Flemming Beach Park Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, I’m Rusty, and I’ve been staring at the charts for Flemming Beach Park for what feels like forever, and honest to god, it’s a tough stretch. Right now, through the 16-day window, the surf is pretty much a no-show. We’re looking at a long, dry gap with barely a ripple and almost nothing worth paddling out for. The first few days from Friday 14 August right through to Thursday 20 August are all “poor surf conditions” – tiny little 0.7 ft to 1 ft slop, weak energy (the combined energy of all swells directed here is a measly 11 to 116), and a consistent cross-off wind from the ENE, blowing at 12 to 28 mph. It’s not even clean enough to call it a session. The water temperature is 80°, which is about average for the time of year – no surprise there.

The only flicker of something happens on Friday 21 August morning, where we get a score of 1 out of 10 – surfable but very ordinary. The swell is a tiny 1 ft from the SW with a period of 17 seconds, so it’s a long-period groundswell, but the energy is still weak at 136. The wind is a gentle 9 mph from the ENE, cross-off, so it’s clean, but honestly, you’d be struggling to catch anything worthwhile. Saturday 22 August morning is similar – 1 ft SW, 16-second period, energy at 97, and a light breeze. It’s a glimmer, but not a standout.

After that, it’s back to a dead zone from Sunday 23 August through to Thursday 27 August, with zero energy or just tiny dribbles. The only real standout – and I’m saying this with a heavy heart because it’s far out – is Friday 28 August morning. We get a 5 ft swell from the NE, but the period is short at 7 seconds, so it’s windswell, and the energy is moderate at 207. The wind is cross-off from the ENE at 12 mph, so it’s clean, but 5 ft with short period means it’ll be choppy and probably more fun for bodyboarding than a decent surf. The break is a beach and reef setup, so it could be a bit of a mess, and honestly, it looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. The crowds are often there, so expect company.

The rest of the window – 29 August – is back to tiny 1.0 ft SW groundswell with weak energy. If you’re desperate, Friday 28 August morning is the best on offer, but it’s a long-range call so don’t bank on it. For now, the forecast is pretty bleak – Flemming Beach Park is a consistent spot, so it tends not to stay poor for long, but this run is a real test of patience. Hang tight, mate.
Rusty

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