Flemming Beach Park Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks. Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what’s on offer for Flemming Beach Park. It’s a beach and reef setup, fairly exposed to the swell, but we’re in for a long, quiet stretch.

Overall, the pattern is flat. Real flat. We’re looking at a solid 16-day run with barely a ripple to get excited about. The first sign of any kind of bump doesn’t show up until the very end of the period. The first week and a half is a total write-off for any kind of decent surf. Most of the time we’re looking at tiny 1 ft waves with weak energy readings mostly in the double digits – like 16 (combined energy), 10, 9... that’s barely enough to move a sea lion. The wind is a constant cross-off from the ENE, which is clean enough, but there’s just no swell to work with.

The water temp is sitting at 80°, right about normal for the time of year, so no surprises there.

Moving into the second week, things don’t look much better. We stay stuck in that same pattern of tiny, weak swell. The energy starts to inch up a bit around August 14th, with readings hitting 111 on Friday morning and 109 on Saturday, but the swell height is still only 2 ft. It’s still poor surf conditions across the board. The wind stays stubbornly cross-off, which is a shame because with a bit of size, it’d be clean.

The real standout, if you can even call it that, is way out there on Monday, August 17th. The morning shows a big jump in combined energy to 249, and the swell bumps up to 2 ft from the WNW with a long period of 16 seconds. But it’s still not great. By the afternoon, the light rain moves in with a light SSE breeze, turning the wind cross-off. The swell gets to 2 ft from the WNW, period 15 seconds, and the energy hits 280 – that’s the best we see all fortnight. The forecast even says "expect good surf conditions", and it scores a 2/10... but honestly, compared to the rest, that’s the only day that might offer a couple of rideable, clean little lines. It’s a long period groundswell, so it might be a bit straight for the beach break, but the reef section could hold it together. Crowds are possible here, so keep that in mind if you’re the only one out.

But that’s it. This is a blank run for the area. It’s not unusual for Flemming Beach Park to go quiet for a stretch like this. Forecasts can change, but right now, there’s nothing to get excited about until that last Monday.

Rusty.

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