Flemming Beach Park Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let's be straight with you. Looking at Flemming Beach Park over the next couple of weeks, the ocean’s not exactly rolling out the red carpet for us. It's a long stretch of marginal and poor conditions, so don't get too amped for any magic sessions. We've got a bit of a wait on our hands.

Right now, into Monday afternoon (September 7th), the surf is just about at 4ft with a southwest swell, but it's coming in at 15-second intervals. That’s a long period, which could be good, but the forecast is barely rating it at all. There's a storm risk, and with that onshore easterly push at 25 km/h, it's not looking inviting. The water temp is 80°, which is pretty much spot on for this time of year, so no surprises there.

Tuesday (September 8th) sees a similar story. The morning has a bit more size, pushing 6ft from the west-southwest, but again, it's not being rated as anything worth getting excited about. The wind is still a cross-off at 25 km/h, so it might be clean but pretty average. The energy drops right off into the afternoon, and the following days up to Friday (September 11th) are mostly tiny, poor, and chopped up. There is a whisper of a 4ft northeast swell on Friday afternoon, but it's got a short, 8-second period, so it's not going to have any punch.

The first real sign of life doesn't show up until Saturday afternoon (September 12th). This is the first day the forecast actually flags as "expect good surf conditions". It's only 4ft from the northeast, but the energy is moderate, and the wind is light at 15 km/h. It's not a standout by any means, but it's the first day we get a proper chance at some clean waves.

Then we go back into the doldrums. Sunday through Thursday (September 13-17) is all small, weak, and cross-off. The energy is low, the periods are all over the place, and there's not a lot to say.

The next notable blip comes Friday, September 18th. We get a pulse of northwest swell pushing through at 4ft, with a moderate 12-second period. The energy is building, showing well into the moderate range in the morning. It's still only marginal, but it's something.

The weekend of September 19th and 20th is where you'll want to keep an eye out. Saturday morning is another "expect good surf conditions" call. It's small—only 2ft—but it's a clean southwest swell with a nice long 16-second period. The wind is a gentle 15 km/h, which is a big positive. It's not the biggest day, but it could be the cleanest.

Finally, on Sunday the 20th, the swell bumps up to 3ft out of the north-northwest, with the energy staying solid. If this holds, it might be the pick of the fortnight, but remember, it's ten days out, so take it with a grain of salt. The period is a middling 11 seconds, so it should offer some shape.

Beyond that, it's more of the same—small, weak, and pretty ordinary. The wind is mostly cross-off from the east, which keeps things clean but doesn't help with the lack of size. It's going to be a period of waiting and watching, hoping one of these longer-range pulses firms up.

Rusty.

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