Flemming Beach Park Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming our way for Flemming Beach Park (Flemming-Beach-Park). Straight up, the water’s sitting at 80°, which is pretty normal for this time of year, so no need to dig out the thick rubber.

Honestly, I’m not gonna sugarcoat it – the next week and a half is a real struggle. We’ve got a solid run of tiny, weak swell with barely any energy behind it. From Tuesday morning the 11th right through to the 19th, it’s all below 1.0 ft and the combined energy is mostly in the single digits or low teens (12, 14, 8, 12, etc.). That’s flat, my friends. The wind is mostly a cross-off from the ENE, but it’s often a fresh breeze, so even the little bumps are gonna be chopped up. There’s a brief moment on the morning of Sunday the 16th with a light offshore from the SE, but the swell is only 1.0 ft – you’d be working for nothing.

Things try to get a pulse on Thursday the 20th. The morning shows a 5 ft swell from the NE, but the period is a short 7 seconds – that’s weak, bouncy, windswell. The combined energy jumps to 321, which is moderate, but it’s messy. The wind is still cross-off from the ENE, so it won’t be clean. This is really only for the experienced guys who are desperate.

After that, it’s back to tiny, weak stuff for the rest of the run. The swell direction swings to SW with a long period (16-18 seconds) from the 18th to the 22nd, but the height is only 1.0 ft to 1 ft. All that deep ocean energy hits the reef and just doesn’t have enough push to make anything rideable. The energy gets up to 111 on the 21st afternoon, but still, no height.

Bottom line: if you’re looking for a wave in the next 16 days, you’re gonna be waiting a long time. There’s not a single standout session. The only real pulse is the 5 ft on the morning of the 20th, but it’s short-period and not clean. For a beach and reef setup like this, you’d need a proper swell and some offshore wind to make it work. With the strong cross-off winds we’ve got, this looks more like a spot for the kite crew than paddle surfers right now. Hang in there, because forecasts can change, but right now, it’s a long dry spell.

Rusty.

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