Flemming Beach Park Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up for Flemming Beach Park. It’s a real mixed bag, and I gotta be straight with you – it’s a long stretch of waiting before anything worth paddling out for really shows up.

For the first week and a half, it’s pretty grim. We’re looking at tiny, weak swells – we’re talking 0.3ft to 1.0ft at best, with most of the time spent on flat spells. The combined swell energy is basically nothing, often in the single digits or low 30s (32). The wind is a constant cross-off from the ENE, but it’s blowing a fresh breeze (19-22 mph) most days, which isn't doing us any favours. It’s clean, but there’s no wave to ride. The water temp is sitting at a normal 80°, nothing unusual there. This stretch is a solid nine days of no-go.

Things start to look a little more interesting around Monday, the 7th of September afternoon. We get a tiny bump of 2ft from the SW with a moderate 11-second period, and the wind drops to a light breeze (6 mph). The combined energy climbs to 123 – still weak, but it's something. The forecast says "surfable waves but very ordinary conditions," so don't get your hopes up for anything special.

Now, Tuesday the 8th of September is where we see some real potential, but it's got a catch. The afternoon picks up a 6ft swell from the WSW with a long 14-second period, pushing the combined energy into strong territory at 1187. However, the ENE wind is still a moderate breeze (16 mph) and cross-off. The caveat here is that long-period swell like that (14 seconds is getting up there) can make for tricky, straight-breaking waves at a beach/reef setup like this. It might be better suited for the experts, as 6ft is getting a bit chunky for beginners.

The one true standout, the moment I’d mark on my calendar, is Monday the 14th of September afternoon. The swell jumps to 6ft from the NE with an 11-second period, giving us cranking 893 combined energy. But the kicker – the wind goes glassy, with a slight air from the ENE at only 3 mph. That means perfectly clean, smooth conditions. This is the one window where it all comes together for a quality session. The swell direction (NE) matches the optimum direction (NW) reasonably well for this spot. Just be aware, 6ft is pushing the limit for beginners.

After that, the second week fades back into small, weak swells (2ft to 2ft) with cross-shore winds and long periods (19-21 seconds), which is a classic sign of a fading groundswell that won't deliver much shape on the beach.

So, to wrap it up: a long, flat first week, one notable but windy day on the 8th, and one absolute glassy gem on the 14th afternoon. That’s your best bet. The rest is mostly a write-off.

Rusty.

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