Flemming Beach Park Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, mates, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you: the next couple of weeks are looking pretty grim for a proper paddle. There’s a whole lot of nothing on the horizon, and it’s going to be a test of patience for anyone jonesing for a wave.

First up, we’re looking at a long, flat stretch. From now through the 16th of August, there’s simply no surf worth talking about. The swell is tiny, mostly around 0.7ft to 1ft, and with a cross-off breeze blowing at 15 to 19 mph, it’s just not doing anything for us. The energy in the water is weak too, with readings down in the low double digits. It’s going to be a week and a half of staring at a lake-like ocean. If you’re new to the area, this is what a proper flat spell looks like.

Then, things get a little interesting, but not necessarily good. On Monday the 17th, we finally see some real swell push in. The height jumps to 6ft in the morning and 5ft in the afternoon, coming from the NNE. The energy readings jump way up to 662 and 403, which is a solid pulse of power. But here’s the catch – the wind is cross-off from the SSW/S, which is okay, but the forecast notes it as “marginal surf forecast or questionable tide conditions.” The period is around 9-10 seconds, so it’s not a super clean groundswell. It’s a taste of something, but it’s not going to be a day to call in sick for. It’s more of a “keep your expectations low” kind of day.

After that little blip, it’s back to nothing much. Tuesday the 18th has a tiny 2ft wave with light cross-on wind, but the energy is weak. The rest of the week is a return to small, poor surf. The swell does pick up a bit in the 1ft to 2ft range from the SW, and the period is long, between 15 and 21 seconds, but the wave height is just too small to do anything with. The energy is moderate at times, hitting 175, but it’s all for nothing with that tiny swell. The wind stays a cross-off from the ENE, keeping the surface clean, but there’s just no wave to ride.

Looking further out, the second week doesn't offer any hope either. The swell stays small, around 1ft to 2ft, and the energy fades. It’s just more of the same – clean but flat. The only thing that changes is the wind, which might pick up a bit.

So, the honest truth is, there are no standouts in this 16-day window. The only day that even gets close to a surfable wave is that Monday the 17th, but even that is marginal. The setup with the moderate energy and clean conditions might actually look more interesting for the kite surfers than us paddle surfers. For us, it's a good week to check the wax, fix a ding, and wait for the next system to show up. The consistency isn’t there, which is a bit more normal for this stretch, but it won’t stay this way forever. Forecasts can change, so keep an eye out.

Stay salty.

Rusty

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