Flemming Beach Park Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. I’ve taken a solid look at what’s ahead for Flemming Beach Park, and I’ve got to level with you—this is a painful forecast. The next 16 days are pretty empty, so let’s break it down so you know what’s what.

The forecast starts on Thursday, August 20th, and it’s rough right out of the gate. There’s a tiny 1ft swell from the SW, with the wind blowing cross-on from the NNE at 6 mph. The water’s a warm 80°F, about average for this time of year. But the surf? Just poor. It’s weak and choppy. That’s the story for a while.

From Friday, August 21st, all the way through to Saturday, August 29th, it’s a real dead zone. The swell sticks around 1ft to 1ft, mostly from the NW or SW, and the wind—though often cross-off—is howling at 15 to 22 mph from the ENE. It might look clean on paper, but the wave energy is pitiful, dropping as low as 13 (weak energy). Day after day, it’s flat or darn close. You’re better off doing something else.

We get a tiny bump on Sunday, August 30th. The morning’s still 1ft from the SW, but the afternoon brings 4ft from the NE, though with a short period of just 6 seconds. That’s windswell, not the good stuff, and with rain showers and a fresh 19 mph cross-off wind, it’s still poor. The energy hits 114 (moderate), but it’s nothing to write home about. That’s about the best we get, and that’s saying something.

The rest into early September is more of the same—tiny swell, poor conditions, plenty of wind. By September 3rd and 4th, we see a longer period swell (18 to 21 seconds) from the WNW, with energy up to 278 (moderate), but the waves are only 2ft to 2ft. That kind of period means cleaner shape and longer lulls, but with no size, it’s not worth the paddle.

So here’s the straight truth: there’s no decent surf in this 16-day stretch. Flemming Beach Park is a fairly exposed beach and reef spot, and it’s consistent when there’s swell, but there just isn’t any. With strong winds and poor quality, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. Stay patient—it’ll turn around eventually.

Rusty.

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