Flemming Beach Park Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's be honest with you right off the bat: the next two weeks at Flemming Beach Park are looking pretty grim. This is a stretch of beach and reef that's fairly exposed to the swell, but we just aren't getting any of the good stuff. The water is sitting at a warm 79°F, which is pretty much what you'd expect for this time of year, so at least you won't be shivering while you're staring at the flat ocean.

We're starting off with a real dud. From Wednesday the 8th of July right through the weekend, it's almost completely flat. The swell is barely a ripple, coming in from the west at 0.3ft or 0.7ft, and even though the wind is cross-off, you can't surf what isn't there. The combined wave energy is a measly 5 or 21, which is about as weak as it gets. I'm talking a full week of nothing. You'll be looking at a dry spell from the 8th to the 14th of July, with next to no surf on offer.

Now, there's a tiny flicker of life on Monday the 13th of July. The swell jumps to 5ft from the NE, but the period is a short, choppy 7 seconds. That's a windswell, and it's messy. The combined energy jumps to 425, which is moderate, but the wave comment says "marginal surf forecast". The wind is still cross-off, so it might be clean, but the quality just isn't there. This is a beginner-friendly break, and 5ft is right on the edge of being too much for a learner, especially with that short period pushing in sloppy lines.

After that, we go back into the doldrums. The swell drops back to 2ft for days, and the energy stays low. The wind is a constant cross-off from the ENE, which is at least blowing the surface clean, but there's nothing to ride.

The second week isn't much better. We get another pulse on the 20th and 21st of July, with 5ft and 5ft swell from the NE, again with a short period of 8 seconds. The energy is moderate (314 and 247), but the wave comment is still "poor surf conditions". The wind is a moderate breeze, cross-off, but it's just not coming together. The swell is too short-period and weak to form any decent waves.

Honestly, for the whole 16 days, there's nothing I can point to as a standout. It's a bleak run. The setup at Flemming Beach Park, with the beach and reef combo and that constant cross-off wind, might actually look more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer on those days when the swell is up but the quality is poor. For us regular surfers, it's a waiting game. The forecasts can change, but right now, I'd leave the boards at home.

Rusty.

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