Flemming Beach Park Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for Flemming Beach Park.

Well, to be honest, the next 16 days are a real mixed bag, and to start with, it’s a bit of a bummer. We’ve got a long stretch of nothing much happening. The first few days are pretty much a write-off. Tuesday the 21st is showing tiny 1.0ft cross-off wind slop from the SW with a long 17-second period, but the energy is weak (43) and the wind is a solid 16 mph cross-off, so it’s just messy. That “clean” wave state is deceiving when the swell is that small.

You’ll be waiting a while. From Wednesday the 22nd right through to Friday the 24th, it’s mostly flat, with a few tiny pulses of 2ft on Friday afternoon that just don’t have any grunt. The combined energy stays between 41 and 154, which is weak to just barely moderate. Not worth paddling out for.

The first real window of opportunity, and I mean the only standout, doesn’t show up until the weekend of the 26th of July. Sunday the 26th is the best we’ve got. The morning sees a 6ft NE windswell with a short 8-second period, pushing in with moderate energy (359). The wind is a cross-off from the ENE at 16 mph, which keeps the surface clean. It’s still a little short-period, so it’s not gonna be a classic point-break kind of wave, but for a beach-and-reef setup like Flemming Beach Park, it’s the most surfable of the whole forecast. The afternoon drops to 5ft, still clean. The downside is that the crowd profile says “often,” so expect company.

Monday the 27th drops back to 3ft and the period tanks to 5 seconds in the afternoon, which is just a gutless mess. Then we get a little spike Wednesday the 29th afternoon with 5ft from the NE and a much better 11-second period, energy jumping to 608 (strong), but the wind is a cross-shore from the NE at 12 mph, so it’s not glassy. It’s surfable, but a bit choppy.

After that, there’s a big gap of flat to tiny stuff from the 30th of July through to the 5th of August. Thursday the 30th afternoon is “surfable but very ordinary” with 4ft, and that’s about as good as it gets in the second week. The rest is mostly 1.0ft to 1ft dribble or straight up flat.

So, if you’re gonna pick a day, make it Sunday the 26th of July. It’s not perfect, but it’s the only time we get some size and clean-ish conditions. Everything else is a long wait.

Rusty.

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