Flemming Beach Park Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ve had a good look at the charts for Flemming Beach Park over the next couple of weeks, and I’ll be straight with ya – it’s a pretty grim run. There’s a big gap of flat, junk conditions right through from now until mid-week next week, and even when things try to pick up, it’s nothing to get excited about. The water temp is sitting around 80°, which is pretty much spot on average for this time of year, so no weirdness there.

Right off the bat, we’ve got nothing but rubbish. Friday the 24th through to Tuesday the 29th is a total write-off. Winds are a fresh easterly breeze, 22 to 22 mph, cross-off or cross-shore all the way, with swell either tiny at 2 ft or short-period windswell around 4 ft to 6 ft. The energy readings are weak to moderate – between 117 and 369 – but the quality is just poor. Don’t even bother paddling out.

Now, Wednesday the 29th morning is the first time we see a pulse of energy. Swell hits 8 ft from the NE with a 10-second period, and the combined energy jumps right up to 1068 – that’s strong. But the problem? It’s only rated as marginal, with a cross-off wind from the SSW at 9 mph. That’s a chunky wave, over 5 ft, so it’s getting a bit much for beginners, but the onshore/cross-off component is gonna mess up the face. Not a standout.

Thursday the 30th through to Thursday the 7th of August is a long, flat slog. Swell drops to barely 1 ft to 2 ft, with periods all over the place – some long 18-second groundswell, but no size. Winds stay fresh easterly, 16 to 25 mph, cross-off. Energy readings sit pathetic at 5 to 90. Nothing to surf.

There is one tiny glimmer way out there. On Friday the 7th of August, in the morning, we get a glass-off – wind goes light and variable from the ESE at just 3 mph, dead calm. Swell is a tiny 1 ft from the SW, but with a very long 20-second period – proper groundswell. The energy is 119, so weak, and the comment says “surfable waves but very ordinary conditions,” scoring a 1. On a glassy day, with that long period, you might sneak a couple of clean little bombs at the reef if you’re desperate, but it’s a long way out and very uncertain.

So what’s the best? Honestly, the only break worth even a thought is Flemming Beach Park itself, on the morning of the 7th of August. That glassy condition is the only clean window we get, with a tiny but long-period swell. But it’s so small and far out, don’t hold your breath.

Overall, this is a long, flat 16-day stretch with almost zero rideable surf. Flemming Beach Park is fairly exposed and consistent, so it tends not to stay this grim forever – forecasts can change. For now, save your wax.

Rusty.

Read more