Flemming Beach Park Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, the outlook is a bit of a flat spell for the most part. We've got a long stretch of poor surf conditions ahead, so don't get your hopes up for anything special. The only real pulse of energy comes in around Monday the 7th, but it's got a lot of conditions working against it for a good paddle session.

The only spot in the game is Flemming Beach Park, a beach and reef setup that's fairly exposed to the swell. It's a consistent beginner-friendly break, but it can get crowded often. The water temp is sitting at 80°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year.

We start with nothing really on Friday the 4th and Saturday the 5th – tiny, weak swell. There's a bit of a bump Sunday the 6th with a SW swell around 3ft and a moderate energy reading (196), but the wind is a cross-offshore breeze from the ENE at 15 mph, which isn't helping it clean up. The conditions are still poor.

The standout, if you can call it that, is Monday the 7th. The afternoon brings a solid 6ft swell from the SW with a very long 15-second period – that's proper groundswell. The wave energy is strong (1377). But here's the kicker: it's a cross-offshore wind from the E at 12 mph. For a beach and reef setup, that long period swell tends to break a bit too straight, making it tricky. The morning is a bit smaller at 4ft and a fresh 19 mph cross-off wind. The wave comment says it's marginal, and I'd only be looking at this one if you're an experienced surfer. The size is over 5ft, so it's a bit much for beginners.

Tuesday the 8th morning sees the swell drop to 5ft from the WSW, but again, cross-off winds. The afternoon has a brief moment of light offshore wind from the ESE at 6 mph with a 4ft NE swell, but the energy is dropping (528). It's labeled "good surf conditions," but the size is underwhelming.

After that, from Tuesday afternoon onward, it's a long, sad run of tiny surf. From Wednesday the 9th all the way through to Saturday the 19th of September, the swell is mostly under 2ft with weak to moderate energy. The wind is almost always a cross-off from the ENE at 12 to 22 mph, making it choppy and poor. With the swell that small and the wind steady, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. There's no real hope for a decent wave in that second week.

So, to sum it up: the only half-decent window is Monday the 7th afternoon for the experienced crew, but don't expect a classic. The rest is a write-off for a good paddle. Forecasts can change, but this one looks pretty locked in for a quiet run.

Rusty.

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