Ferrugem Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on offer for the local sandbar at Ferrugem.

Right off the bat, there’s a bit of a slow start. The first couple of days are a write-off for decent surfing, with poor conditions and messy, weak swell. Thursday (2 July) morning is flat and weak with a pathetic 3ft swell from the ENE with a short period of 8 seconds, and the water is feeling much colder than normal for this time of year at 61°F, a solid 5°F below average. That’s a chilly start. Combined wave energy is barely there at only 135, and a light cross-shore just messes it up. Thursday afternoon isn’t any better. Friday (3 July) morning jumps up in size – 8ft from the south with a period of 8 seconds and 899 on the energy scale – but it’s howling cross-shore wind at 16 mph, so it’s going to be a lumpy, blown-out mess. Not worth it.

The first real standout comes on Saturday, 4 July morning. The swell is a solid 8ft from the SSW with a longer period of 10 seconds, giving good energy (1942). The wind is light and cross-offshore from the WSW at 6 mph, which means clean, lined-up waves. This is a proper session for experienced surfers, as the size is a little punchy for beginners. Saturday afternoon turns onshore and messy, so make the most of the morning.

Sunday, 5 July morning is the absolute gem of the near-term. The swell settles to a clean 6ft from the SSE with a long period of 11 seconds (groundswell). Combined energy is still strong at 871, but the real killer is the wind: dead glassy, northerly at only 3 mph. This will be smooth, clean, and absolutely beautiful. Expect good surf with a bit of power behind it. Sunday afternoon is still fun but with light cross-shore bumps creeping in. Crowds are noted as “often” here, and with conditions like these, expect it to be busy. This morning is your best bet across the entire first week.

Monday (6 July) drops off in size and gets a moderate cross-offshore breeze. Still clean-ish but much weaker at 4ft and 519 energy. Not a standout. Tuesday is a mix of onshore junk and small swell. Wednesday (8 July) morning brings another glassy moment with a small 3ft from the ESE (12-second period), so if you want a log or a longboard, it’ll be clean but tiny. Energy is weak at 427.

Now, looking further ahead into the second week, there’s a more serious pulse forecast. Saturday (11 July) looks promising with a clean 4ft from the SE (11 seconds) and offshore to glassy conditions in the morning and afternoon. Not huge, but quality. Sunday (12 July) is a bit rain-soaked and cross-on, better to skip.

The main event of the whole outlook lands on Monday 13 July morning through to Tuesday 14 July morning. Monday morning serves up a clean 8ft from the SSE (11 seconds, 1284 energy) with light cross-offshore wind. This is excellent surf for experienced surfers. Tuesday morning (14 July) is even better: 8ft from the SE (11 seconds, 1498 energy) and dead calm, glassy conditions. That’s the pick of the whole 16 days – a big, clean groundswell with zero wind. It will be powerful, so not one for beginners. By Tuesday afternoon, the onshore breeze creeps in, but still surfable.

Wednesday (15 July) stays solid at 7ft from the ESE (12 seconds), but with moderate cross-offshore wind it’s still clean and good. Thursday 16 July afternoon is another glassy winner with 7ft from the ESE (13 seconds, very long period) and excellent conditions for experienced surfers. Keep an eye on this one.

The final day, Friday 17 July, gets wrecked by strong southerly winds and rain, so that’s a hard pass.

Overall, the near-term highlight is Sunday 5 July morning for a beautiful glassy session on a long-period south groundswell. The absolute best of the whole run is Tuesday 14 July morning for the big, clean, glassy SE swell. Don’t sleep on that one.

Rusty out.

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