Ferrugem Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's coming up for Ferrugem.

First up, the water temp is sitting at about 67°F, which is roughly 2°F warmer than usual for this time of year, so nothing too wild, just a touch on the mild side.

Honestly, the next week or so is pretty grim. We’ve got a long stretch of small, weak swell with poor conditions. The first few days, from Sunday the 2nd through to the end of the first week, are mostly a write-off. The swell is tiny, around 2ft to 4ft, with a short, weak period of 7-8 seconds coming from the ENE. The wind is mostly onshore or cross-shore, and the wave energy is pathetic, in the 100-140 range (139). You’re looking at about 6 days of this kind of slop. It’s just not worth paddling out for.

We finally see a shift on Tuesday the 4th. A new SSE swell pushes in with a solid 12-second period, and the energy jumps to 333. That’s a proper groundswell. The Tuesday morning session looks like the first real window of the whole forecast, with some clouds and a light NNE cross-offshore breeze at about 6 mph. The waves will be around 3ft, but that long period will make them punchy and clean. It's a short-lived window though, as the wind swings around by the afternoon.

The real standout, the one to circle on the calendar, is Tuesday the 11th of August. This is for the experienced crew. We’ve got a solid SSE swell rolling in with a 8ft to 8ft face, a very long 13-14 second period, and the wind is forecast to be glassy – zero to 3 mph from the SW and S. The wave energy is massive, hitting 1777 to 2219. This is powerful, clean groundswell. The longer period means it will barrel and hold its shape, but at this size, it’s strictly for the experts. The beach break setup could see it shutting down a bit, but for the right surfer, Tuesday the 11th is the best bet in the entire 16-day window. Keep in mind this is a long-range call, so it’s promising but not locked in yet.

The swell backs off again after that, but we get some moderate, cross-off conditions on the 15th and 16th with smaller 4ft to 5ft swell from the SSE and ENE, though the wind gets stronger, making it a bit of a battle.

So, to sum it up: a long, flat spell to start, a brief clean-up on the 4th, and then a big, heavy, glassy session for the experts on the 11th. That's your best shot.

- Rusty

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