Ferrugem Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the table for the next couple of weeks.

This forecast starts with a bit of a whimper to be honest. The first few days are pretty marginal with tiny, weak swell and wonky winds. You’d be working hard for nothing much. The real action starts to build from the middle of the week, and there’s a couple of standout windows that are worth getting excited about.

Saturday 5th September is a write-off. We’re looking at a weak 3ft south swell, with a period around 9-10 seconds, and the wind is all over the place. The energy is low (310) and it’s just not doing anything. Sunday 6th gets a bit bigger but the wind is howling from the SSW at 15-19 mph, making it a messy, lumpy mess. Forget it.

Come Monday 7th September, we get a small pulse. The morning is still cross-shore with a 5ft south swell, but the wind is lighter. Still, it’s only a 1/10. The afternoon sees the wind swing to a light SE onshore, with a 5ft SSE swell. It’s clean, but still small.

Tuesday 8th September is where things start to look up. The morning has a light N wind, cross-offshore, and a clean 3ft SSE swell. Combined energy is moderate (494). It’s a small wave, but clean. The standout for the early part of the week is Wednesday 9th September. The morning is pure gold: a clear sky, light N wind at 6 mph, cross-offshore, and a 6ft NE swell. The energy is solid (849) and the waves are looking very good. This is the best session of the first week. The afternoon gets a bit tricky with an onshore breeze.

Thursday 10th offers a glassy morning with a 4ft east swell – clean but small. The afternoon gets a weird 3ft SSE swell with a very long 14-second period, but the energy is moderate (407).

The second week starts to show some serious potential. After a tiny, windy Friday 11th, Saturday 12th September has a clean 5ft south swell in the morning, but the real news is the afternoon. An 8ft south swell with a 9-second period, cross-offshore wind, and a combined energy of 1143 – that’s a solid, punchy wave. This is a big call for experienced surfers only.

Sunday 13th September is a monster. The morning has an 12ft south swell (10-second period) and a massive energy reading of 3762. This is not for the faint of heart. The wind is cross-shore, but it’s too big for this break. Experts only, and even then, it’s a wild beast. The afternoon is blown out with a 19 mph onshore wind.

Monday 14th drops back to a 8ft SSE swell with a 12-second period – still big, but a bit more manageable. The wind is light cross-shore, but the energy is still high (1522). Tuesday 15th September is the absolute standout of the entire forecast. The morning delivers an 8ft SE swell with a 14-second period, light offshore N wind, and an energy reading of 2821. This is excellent, clean, powerful groundswell. The swell direction (SE) matches the optimum for the break. This is a day for experienced surfers to get absolutely stoked. The afternoon stays decent but gets a bit cross-shore.

The rest of the week fades. Wednesday 16th has a 6ft SE swell with a long period (13 seconds), but the wind is onshore. Thursday 17th is clean but smaller (4-5ft). Friday 18th September is a nice little glassy morning with a 3ft SE swell, but the energy is actually moderate (825) – a clean, fun little wave for a longboard.

Saturday 19th is another glassy morning, 2ft of south swell, and then a clean afternoon. Sunday 20th September – the last day – has a 7ft ENE swell, cross-offshore wind, and moderate energy (569). It’s a decent option to end the forecast.

The water temperature is about average for this time of year, nothing unusual.

So, the two true standouts: Wednesday 9th September morning for the clean, fun, head-high waves, and Tuesday 15th September morning for the big, powerful, clean groundswell. That Tuesday is the one to circle on the calendar.

Stay safe, and don't be a hero on the 13th.

Rusty.

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