Emery s Left Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming down the line for Emery’s Left over the next couple of weeks. I’ve got to be straight with you – this isn’t a run that’ll have you bragging to your mates. We’re looking at a long, slow grind of small, weak swell and mostly average conditions, so keep your expectations in check.

The pattern starts off quiet, and honestly, it stays that way for a good stretch. The first wave energy we see is on Thursday the 2nd, but don’t get excited. It’s a tiny 2ft SSW swell with a very long 18-second period – that period is nice for that reef, but the height is just too small to get much happening. The wind is a cross-on 12 mph WNW breeze, leaving it choppy and messy. Combined wave energy is moderate at 412, but the quality is poor. That theme sticks around for days.

Friday the 3rd through Sunday the 5th are all much the same story: small swells between 2ft and 3ft from the SW, with periods dropping from 16 to 14 seconds. Winds stay mostly onshore or cross-on from the west and northwest. Every session is rated as poor surf. We’re basically treading water.

Now, Monday the 6th afternoon sees a little flicker of hope. The swell drops to 2ft, but the period jumps way up to a very long 20 seconds, and the combined energy kicks up to 619 (moderate). The wind goes light and offshore from the west – glassy conditions for the reef. This is the kind of window where one of those long-period lines might just wrap in and give you a clean little runner. It’s only rated marginal because of the size, but if you’re keen and you know the spot, the Tuesday morning on the 7th looks slightly better with a 4ft SW swell at 18 seconds and clean offshore 9 mph west winds. Energy is up to 762 (moderate). This is probably the best chance you’ll get, but it’s still on the small side for this break. Tuesday afternoon through Wednesday the 8th keep that clean, offshore theme with similar 3ft to 3ft SW swell, still marginal.

Thursday the 9th through Sunday the 12th, the swell holds around 3ft from the SW, but the period drops to 15 and 14 seconds, and the wind swings to the SSW, putting a cross or cross-on chop on the surface. Quality drops back to poor by Saturday. The energy starts to fade too, from 603 down to 333.

The second week, from Monday the 13th onward, it’s a real fade-out. Swell heights drop to 3ft, then 2ft, then down to 1ft. Periods get shorter – 13 to 14 seconds. The odd session on Monday the 13th afternoon or Wednesday the 15th might scrape into marginal, but it’s mostly poor surf with weak, choppy conditions. The combined energy drops below 300, telling you there’s just not enough power in the water.

To be honest, the standout window here is really just that Monday afternoon the 6th through Wednesday the 8th. If you can get on it during the morning of Tuesday the 7th, you’ve got a 4ft, very long-period SW groundswell hitting this exposed west-facing reef with clean, glassy offshore west winds. The break is very consistent, and it’s an intermediate level wave, so it’s not for beginners. Just remember, that long period means the sets will be spaced out, but when they come, they’ll have some shape. Crowds are always an issue here at Emery’s Left, so be prepared to share the reef.

Water temp is sitting at a touch warmer than normal for this time of year – around 68°, which is 3° above average.

Other than that little run, it’s a quiet outlook. It’s the kind of stretch where you check the forecast, shrug, and go do something else.

Rusty.

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