Emery s Left Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you: it’s looking pretty grim out at Emery’s Left (United States) for the next couple of weeks. We’ve got a classic case of “no dice” for most of this forecast window. The swell’s there, but it’s small, the wind is mostly onshore or cross-onshore, and the surf quality is just plain poor. For the first few days—Monday the 14th through Wednesday the 16th—we’re looking at waist-high slop, maybe 1.2m at best on Monday morning, but it’s coming in from the west with a short, weak 8-second period. Combined energy is only around 400, so it’s weak, and that cross-onshore breeze is chopping it up. Water temp is 23°, which is a solid 3° warmer than usual for this time of year—that’s notable, so at least the water feels nice, even if the waves don’t.

By Thursday the 17th, the swell drops a bit but the period stretches out to 15 seconds. That’s a longer period, which usually means more push, but at 0.8m it’s just not enough to do anything. The energy bumps up to 415–535, so moderate, but the wind is still on it. I see a few “marginal” tags on Thursday afternoon and Friday morning, but honestly, that’s just code for “maybe if you’re desperate.” The swell direction is SW, which is fine for this spot—it’s exposed to W and the optimum is W—but there’s no size behind it.

We’ve got a real gap here. From Friday the 18th through Monday the 22nd, it’s all sub-meter, poor surf, with onshore winds most of the time. Saturday the 19th and Sunday the 20th, the period stays around 18 seconds, which is long, but the heights are stuck at 0.8–0.9m. Long period at a reef like this can be good, but not when it’s this small. It’s just gonna close out or dribble. Energy values are moderate, in the 470–596 range, but that doesn’t matter when the waves are knee-to-waist high.

Then we hit another stretch—Tuesday the 23rd through Tuesday the 29th—where it’s just flat-out bad. Swell heights hover around 0.6–0.9m, periods drop from 15 down to 12 seconds, and the wind is mostly onshore or cross-onshore from the W or WNW. There’s a brief moment on Monday the 22nd with some clouds and a cross-on breeze, but even that’s tagged as marginal at best. The energy stays in the 238–474 range, so it’s weak to moderate, but it doesn’t matter—there’s nothing rideable.

Bottom line: there are no good surf options in this 16-day window. Not one standout day. If you’re a beginner, you might find a few soft, crumbly waves on the 17th or 18th, but it’s not worth paddling out for. This is one of those blank runs that happens sometimes. The spot itself is very consistent—it always has something—but “something” right now is just mush. I wouldn’t even bring the board. Forecasts change, though, so don’t write it off completely, but as it stands, you’re better off finding something else to do.

Stay patient, keep an eye on the charts, and we’ll see if anything pops.
Rusty

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