Emery s Left Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab a coffee, this is a tough one. Lookin' at the charts for the next couple of weeks and honestly, it’s a bit of a grind. We’ve got a long, dry spell ahead before anything really worth paddling out for shows up.

The first solid recommendation doesn’t come in until about a week from now. That’s a big gap of flat, messy, or just plain poor conditions. For the first few days, it’s all small, cross-onshore junk with barely enough energy to roll through. Not worth wetting a suit for.

Things start to whisper around Monday 20th July. Emery’s Left (a reef setup) starts showing the faintest pulse. The swell is small, around 3ft from the SW, but it’s a long-period groundswell pushing 15 to 16 seconds, which gives it a bit of shape and push down the reef. The wind is light and cross-on, which isn't perfect, but it’s manageable. The water’s sitting around 71°F at the start, and it’s much warmer than normal for this time of year – about 5°F warmer, so you might get away with a spring suit if you’re tough. The combined energy is moderate, reading 577 (moderate wave energy). It’s marginal, but for the early birds who have been suffering the flat spell, it’s the first proper option. Just keep in mind that this place is very consistent, so it usually has a pulse when others don’t, and it can get crowded – with crowds listed as always, expect plenty of company in the water.

The real standout, the one that gets the heart rate up, gears up for Saturday 25th July. We see a proper pulse of swell roll in. Emery’s Left picks up a 6ft set from the S, which is a significant jump. The combined energy rockets up to 1488 (strong wave energy). Now, that is some serious juice for this spot. The wind is onshore from the W, which is a bummer and will put a bit of texture on it, so it won't be glassy. At 6ft, it’s getting a bit big for the beginners, leaning more into intermediate territory. Given the long period (15 seconds) and the fact it’s pounding onto a reef, it’s going to be powerful and hollow. This is the one session in the whole outlook that has real bite. The quality is still flagged as marginal, but the energy and size are undeniable. If you’re an experienced local who knows how to read the reef and handle onshore bumps, this is the only window that’s worth planning for.

So, in short: lots of flat and poor days, a slight tease of a rideable window on the 20th, but the only real highlight is that Saturday the 25th. The long-range call there is promising but less certain, so keep an eye on it as we get closer. Conditions are temperamental, but for a reef break that’s exposed to the swell and has a history of holding size, that’s where I’d put my money.

Rusty.

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