Emery s Left Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for the only show in town.

Alright, we're looking at a pretty flat and quiet period ahead, so don't get your hopes up for any hero sessions. The water is sitting at a balmy 73°F at Emery's Left, which is a solid 6°F warmer than usual for this time of year – that's bloody unusual, so you can leave the thick wettie at home.

The first bit of swell worth paddling out for is a bit of a tease. Monday morning the 20th of July, we've got a long-period SW groundswell rolling in at 3ft with a period of 15 seconds. The combined energy is weak (546). The wind is a light cross-on, so it won't be glassy, but it's not a total write-off. The catch is, the models are calling it "marginal" and it's a reef break that's very consistent, so it might be more of a grovel than a cruise. It's a small, long-period swell, so at a reef break like this, it could actually set up alright, but it's not going to be anything to write home about.

Tuesday the 21st isn't much better, with a similar 4ft SW swell but still light onshore winds. The energy is still weak (599). We get a little bump in size on Thursday the 23rd with 4ft, but the wind stays onshore and the energy is still moderate (654). Honestly, the whole first week is a bit of a struggle with "marginal" or "poor" conditions flagged.

Now, there's a glimmer of hope on the horizon. Friday the 24th of July, the combined energy finally kicks into a moderate range (1175) with a 4ft SSW swell. The wind is light and onshore, but it's the best-looking window in the first week. Then on Saturday the 25th, we get a very long-period swell (21 seconds) at 3ft. That's a proper groundswell, but it's small. The energy is moderate (911). At a reef, that long period could mean some real lines, but the wind is cross-on, so it won't be pristine.

The real standout, if you can call it that, comes on Monday the 27th of July. We've got a 4ft SW swell with a 17-second period, and the combined energy is starting to look solid (1337). The wind is a light cross-shore, which is a lot better. The score is the highest we've seen. This is the best bet in the whole outlook. Still, it's labelled "marginal," so it's not a sure thing.

After that, the swell drops back into the weak category with poor conditions all the way through to the end of the 16-day window. The morning of July 31st brings a 5ft SSW swell, but with a cross-on wind and only moderate energy, it's not looking inviting. By the 4th of August, we get another pulse of 4ft S swell with moderate energy (1166), but the wind is cross-on and it's labelled marginal.

So, to put it straight: the best on offer is the morning of Monday the 27th of July at Emery's Left. It's not a classic, but it's the only window with a bit of oomph and a more favourable wind. For the rest of the time, it's a whole lot of small, average, or blown-out surf. This break is very consistent, so it's frustrating that the conditions are so poor. It's a run of bad luck, but forecasts can change.

Rusty.

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