Emery s Left Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here, and I’ve gotta be straight with ya – the next couple of weeks at Emery’s Left are lookin’ pretty grim. We’re staring down the barrel of a long stretch with next to no decent surf on offer. The ocean’s basically flat and moody, so don’t expect much to get excited about.

The first record we’ve got is for Thursday the 10th of September. Thursday morning, it’s clear skies, cross-shore wind from the SSW at 9 mph, and a tiny 3 ft SW swell rolling in with a long 16-second period. The combined energy is weak (507). The water’s sitting at 72°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year – a nice little anomaly of 3°. But mate, the surf is marginal at best, with questionable tide conditions. Thursday afternoon doesn’t improve – same small swell, same cross wind, still a 1/10 vibe. Not worth paddling out.

Friday the 11th is even worse – the wind picks up to 12 mph from the SSW, kicking up a cross-chop, and the swell stays at 3 ft, period dropping to 15 seconds. The wave comment is straight-up “poor surf conditions.” Saturday and Sunday don’t get any better – onshore winds, smaller swell, and the period drops to 7-8 seconds on Sunday, which is short-period junk. The combined energy drops below 300, and the surf is consistently rated poor.

We’ve got a gap here from Saturday the 12th right through to Tuesday the 15th of September – a solid four days with no recommendations. Tuesday morning shows a little 2 ft swell with a 16-second period, but it’s cross-onshore and marginal. Wednesday the 16th has a similar story – 3 ft SW swell, but onshore wind and poor conditions. The whole first week is a bust.

The second week doesn’t offer much hope either. From Thursday the 17th through to the end of the forecast window on Friday the 25th of September, every session is rated “poor surf conditions” or “marginal.” The swell stays tiny – between 2 ft and 3 ft – and the wind is almost always onshore or cross-onshore. The combined energy fluctuates between 287 and 641, which is weak to moderate, but it’s all for nothing with the wind messing it up. The best of a bad lot might be Monday the 21st of September morning – a 3 ft SW swell, 17-second period, and light cross-onshore wind with small wind ripples. The score is a 2/10, which is the highest in the whole 16 days, but that’s hardly a ringing endorsement.

Emery’s Left is a reef break that’s very consistent, but with this forecast, even consistency can’t save it. The swell is just too small, the wind is wrong, and the quality is shot. If you’re a kite surfer, the onshore chop might be fun, but for paddle surfing, it’s a hard pass. The water temp stays around average for the time of year, so at least you won’t freeze, but that’s about the only positive.

That’s the reality, folks. We’ve got a 16-day window with almost nothing to recommend. It’s a dry spell, but it won’t last forever. Keep an eye on the forecasts – things can change.

Rusty.

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