Emery s Left Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, Rusty here. Look, I’ll be straight with you – this 16-day window isn't one for the highlight reel. The only break on the menu is Emery s Left, a reef setup that's exposed to the west and handles a south-west swell. It's a very consistent spot, which is something, but the quality just isn't there for the most part.

The water is sitting at 72° right now, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year – you might not even need a spring suit.

The first sniff of anything worth paddling for kicks off on Wednesday, September 9th in the afternoon, but it's a real struggle. You've got a long-period, 16-second groundswell out of the south-west, pushing 2ft, but the wind is a cross-on breeze from the west-northwest at 6 mph. The combined wave energy is sitting at 397 (moderate), but with rain showers and that cross-on wind, the surface is going to be messy. It's tagged as marginal at best.

Thursday the 10th doesn't get any better. The swell bumps up a touch to 3ft, but the wind swings south-southwest, still cross or cross-on at 9 mph, and the surface is fairly choppy. The energy is similar (513 and 488), but the conditions are just poor. Friday the 11th is a write-off – the wind picks up to 12 mph from the south, creating a cross-chop that ruins any chance of a clean wave. The energy drops into the 400s, and the period backs off a bit to 15 seconds. Saturday the 12th sees the wind turn onshore from the west-southwest and west at 9 mph, with energy dropping below 320. It's a complete no-go.

We roll into the second week, and the pattern just doesn't shift. Sunday the 13th has a short-period, 8-second wind swell in the afternoon with 4ft, but it's cross-on and choppy. The rest of that week is a blur of 1ft to 3ft swells, with the wind mostly cross-on. The energy fluctuates between 237 and 448, but the commentary is either "poor" or "marginal" – no recommendations here.

The end of the week on Friday, September 18th and into the weekend shows a bit more life in the water. The swell stays around 2ft to 3ft, but the period stretches back to a very long 18-19 seconds. The energy climbs into the 500s (535 to 589), which is solid, and the wind lays off to a light breeze. The issue is the wind direction – it's onshore or cross-on from the west-northwest or south. The long period means the waves will have good shape, but on a reef, that long gap between sets can make it a bit of a wait. Still, the cleanest conditions in the whole outlook are on Saturday, September 19th afternoon, with some clouds and a light cross-shore breeze from the south at 6 mph. The energy is 552, and the swell is 3ft out of the south-west. It's the only real standout in a sea of mediocrity, but it's still borderline. The crowd factor is "always" here, so expect company.

After that, the last few days into the 24th see the energy drop back to the 200s and 300s, with onshore or cross-on winds and poor conditions. Honestly, the whole 16-day stretch is a flat run with only a few moments of marginal possibility. For a consistent spot like Emery s Left, it's a frustrating wait. Keep your eyes on the forecasts – it tends not to stay this poor for long, and things can change.

Rusty.

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