Emery s Left Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. The long-range picture for Emery’s Left is a bit of a grind, if I’m being honest. We’ve got a solid, consistent reef break to work with, but the ocean’s not giving us much to get excited about for a good stretch. The first real pulse of energy shows up around the 14th, but even then, it’s a marginal call. The standout window looks to be the weekend of the 15th and 16th, with the biggest, most promising swell of the window, though it’s still not a classic.

Here’s how it breaks down. For the first several days, from the 7th right through the 13th, we’re looking at tiny, weak surf. Swell heights are stuck between 1ft and 3ft, with periods mostly in the teens, but the energy is just not there – it’s weak, with readings sitting in the 200s and 300s. The wind is mostly cross-onshore or light, and the call is just "poor surf conditions." There’s a brief moment on Tuesday afternoon the 11th where the wind goes glassy, but the swell is still a meager 2ft, so it’s not going to be worth paddling out for anything but a splash. It’s a waiting game.

Now, the first sign of a pulse arrives on Thursday the 14th. The energy jumps up into the 500s, which is a moderate jump, and the swell is still 2ft but with a solid 18-second period. That’s a long-period groundswell, which is nice for a reef, but it’s still small and the call is only "marginal." The wind is offshore, which is a big plus, but the size just isn’t there.

The real pick of the bunch, the one you might want to circle, is the morning of Saturday the 15th. That’s when we see the biggest swell of the entire run, hitting 3ft, with energy up at 613 and a period of 16 seconds. The wind is light offshore, so it should be clean. It’s not big, but it’s the best combination of size, energy, and conditions we get. The afternoon bumps up to 4ft, but the wind stays on and the call drops back to poor. So, it’s a morning mission.

After that, it’s a slow fade. The rest of the window through the 22nd sees the swell hover around 2ft to 3ft, with energy in the 300s to 500s. The wind is mostly cross-onshore, and the calls are consistently "poor." There’s a bit more energy on the 21st and 22nd, but the wind and the marginal quality keep it from being anything special. It’s just a long, flat-ish stretch.

So, if you’re keen, the 15th is your day. It’s not going to be a world-beater, but it’s the best we’re going to get. For the rest, it’s a lot of sitting on the beach watching the horizon. The water temp is a notable 75°, which is a solid 7° above normal for this time of year, so the water will feel properly warm. Keep the board waxed, but don’t hold your breath.

Rusty

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