Emery s Left Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, Rusty here. Let's get into what’s cooking at Emery s Left over the next couple weeks.

The pattern is a slow start, no two ways about it. For the first few days, from Wednesday the 2nd through Thursday the 3rd, the wind is junk – onshore from the west and cross-onshore. The swell is small, only about 2ft to 3ft. The combined energy is in the moderate range (around 361 to 505), but the onshore wind and "poor surf conditions" mean you won't get a clean wave. Don't bother.

Things inch up a little Friday the 4th and Saturday the 5th. Swell gets to about 3ft to 4ft from the S/SW. The wave energy climbs, hitting the low 1000s by Saturday, which is moderate but with more push. But the wind still messes it up – Friday is choppy with a moderate cross-onshore breeze, and Saturday has light cross-onshore with little wind ripples. It's "marginal" at best. You could squeak a couple on Saturday afternoon with the light breeze, but it's not what I'd call good.

Sunday the 6th is where the swell starts to show muscle. Combined energy jumps to 1190 in the morning and a strong 1671 in the afternoon. Swell reaches 6ft to 7ft from the SSW with a 13 to 14 second period. That's some proper groundswell with good energy. The wind is still cross-shore, so it's not completely clean, but the afternoon session with a gentle cross-shore might be the most interesting of the weekend.

Then we hit the big one: Monday, September 7th. This is the day. Early morning there's heavy rain, but the wind flips offshore and light from the NNE, which is perfect for this left. Swell pumps at a solid 8ft from the SSW, with a 14-second period. The combined wave energy is a strong 2342. We are looking at "excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers" and a "clean" wave state. The optimum swell direction matches the WSW exposure, so the left-handers will line up. It's big, over 8ft, so this is experts-only territory. The break is "very consistent" and crowds are "always" there, so you won't be alone.

After that, it’s a long, slow fade. Tuesday the 8th drops off fast to 5ft to 5ft with a short 10-second period, and the cross-onshore wind is back making it choppy. From Wednesday the 9th onward, the swell peters out. By the 10th, we're down to 3ft to 2ft, with wave energy below 617. The wind stays onshore most of the time, giving us "poor surf conditions" from the 11th all the way through to the 17th of September. That's a solid week-plus of nothing worth chasing.

So here’s the call: The first few days are a wash. The only real standout is Monday morning, September 7th. If you've got the skills, that’s your window. After that, you've got a dry spell for over a week. It's a bummer, but it is what it is.

Rusty.

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