Emery s Left Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what’s coming down the line for the next couple of weeks.

To be straight with you, it’s a pretty grim run for the most part. There’s some solid long-period groundswell on the charts, but the wind is going to ruin it for the first week. We’ve got a long wait for a decent window, and even then, it’s not going to be big.

Starting off Sunday, the 6th of September, we’ve got a 6ft SSW swell rolling in with a 13-second period and some serious energy (1170), but a 12 mph NNW cross-onshore wind has it all chopped up and blown out. Monday and Tuesday are the same story – the swell drops a little but the wind stays ugly. The wave comment says it all: poor surf conditions. Don’t bother.

We finally get a change on Wednesday the 9th. The wind goes light offshore from the WSW at 3 mph, and the swell is a tiny 2ft, but the period stretches out to a very long 16 seconds. The energy is weak (362) and it’s only marginal. Thursday the 10th morning is similar – 3ft of that long-period SW groundswell, light cross-onshore wind, and a bit more energy (532). It’s barely worth paddling out for, but if you’re desperate, that’s the best of a bad lot in the first week.

From Friday the 11th right through to the start of the third week, it’s a whole lot of nothing. The swell stays small, under 3ft, and the wind either stays cross or goes onshore. There are a few mornings with light offshore breezes and that lovely long-period SW groundswell (up to 19 seconds on the 18th), but the wave heights are just too small to get excited about. The combined energy stays mostly in the 200 to 500 range, which is weak to moderate at best. There’s a stretch of days here where you’d be better off doing something else.

Now, here’s the one that catches the eye. Saturday the 19th of September. The morning shows a clean 3ft SW groundswell with a period of 18 seconds, light WSW offshore wind, and the energy jumps to 540. It’s still only marginal, but the afternoon looks slightly better: still 3ft, 18 seconds, and the energy climbs to 652. The wind holds light offshore from the WSW. For a reef break that’s very consistent and exposed to the west, this is the standout period. The direction is spot on. This spot can get crowded and it’s an intermediate-level wave, so be aware of that.

Before that, Monday the 14th has a very brief moment – 2ft with an 18-second period and light onshore wind, but it’s too small to be anything more than a curious look.

So, the honest truth: the first week is mostly a loss. The best surf of the whole run looks like it could be on Saturday the 19th, but it’s small and it’s a long way out, so treat it as promising but not guaranteed. There’s a big gap of several days with nothing recommended, which is tough. The water temperature feels about average for the time of year.

Stay patient. The longer-period swells are there, we just need the wind to back off.

Rusty.

Read more