Emery s Left Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, listen up. I’m gonna be straight with you. This is Emery’s Left (reef). Lookin’ over the whole 16-day window, we’ve got a consistent run of swell, but the wind is the villain here. Most of the time it’s cross-on or onshore, wreckin’ what could be a nice wave. The water temperature is a sizzlin’ 74°, and that’s a whopping 6° warmer than usual for this time of year – your wettie might feel even toastier than normal paddlin’ out here.

The first couple of days, Saturday the 12th and Sunday the 13th, are a write-off. Swell’s tiny, around 2ft to 3ft, and the wind is cross-on from the southwest. Combined wave energy is weak, sittin’ at 314, so it’s messed up and weak. Just leave it.

Monday the 14th sees a bump in size, 4ft from the west, but the period drops to a weak 8 seconds. The energy ticks up a notch to 415, but with that short-period chop and cross-on wind, it’s messy. Not your day for a clean ride.

Things get a bit more interesting from Tuesday the 22nd onwards. The swell holds steady around 3ft from the southwest, and the period stretches out to a solid 16 seconds. That’s proper groundswell energy, with combined values climbin’ over 500 (542 on Monday the 21st). That encourages some better shape. The wind turns more onshore than cross, but it’s a light breeze at 6 mph, so it’s not trash – just a bit of texture. Tuesday the 22nd afternoon, Wednesday the 23rd morning, and Monday the 21st afternoon (with a near-calm 3 mph wind) are the pick of a bad bunch – marginal, but surfable if you’re desperate, with face heights around 3ft.

From Monday the 22nd to Wednesday the 24th, there are a few sessions where the wind is light and on, so you could get a wave. But it ain't a standout. After that, the wind picks up again from the 25th to the 27th, gettin’ choppy, and the swell fades back to 2ft to 2ft.

The Best Bet: If you’re committed, aim for Monday the 21st afternoon. The swell is 3ft from the south-west (optimum direction), the period is a tasty 17 seconds, and the wind is a whisper at 3 mph cross-on – that’s as close to glassy as we’re gonna get at this spot over the next two weeks. The combined energy is high at 555, so there’s some push. It’s still not epic, because the wind’s never truly offshore from the east, but it’s the closest we have to a clean wave. Crowds are always here, so expect company. It’s a deep reef wave, so that long period will work well, just be aware the sets could be a bit gappy. For the rest of the window, it’s a hard pass.

Rusty.

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