El Arenal Surf Break

Lat Long: 28.56° N 16.33° W

El Arenal Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 12 am 01 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's El Arenal sea temperature is
23.4° C
0.8° 

El Arenal surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


El Arenal surf forecast from 1 Aug 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 4 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 6s period, NE swell with 166 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Arenal this week:

The most powerful waves expected at El Arenal in the next 16 days are 1.4m 6s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 04) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (WEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful10AM (Tue 4th Aug)4.5ft (1.4m) 6s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Arenal over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, let me just call it like I see it. This is a rough one for El Arenal.

The finder file is totally empty for the whole 16 days. That means there’s no surf I’d want to paddle out into. From Saturday the 1st of August all the way through Sunday the 16th, it’s just poor conditions. That’s a long stretch.

The wind is the main problem. It’s coming from the north or northeast, side-on or cross-on, and it’s blowing between 6 mph and 16 mph. That keeps the surface all chopped up and messy. The swell is small to moderate, but it’s mostly short-period windswell, so the waves don’t have any power or shape.

We do see a little pulse of longer-period energy from the NW around the 11th of August, with a period of 10 seconds, but the wind is still side-on and ruining it. The combined energy peaks at 618 on the 15th of August, which is moderate to strong energy (618), but it’s all windswell with a period of just 7 seconds and cross wind. That’s a choppy, blown-out mess.

The waves get bigger toward the end. By the 14th of August, we’re looking at 7 ft to 7 ft from the NE with an 8-second period and combined energy of 539 to 593. That’s some grunt, but it’s coming from the wrong direction for El Arenal, which needs a northerly swell. And the wind is still cross-on. That’s a recipe for a washing machine.

For a beginner-friendly sandbar, anything over 5 ft starts to get big, and when it’s over 7 ft with a cross-on wind, it’s not a fun paddle. Honestly, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. The wind is always on, and the waves are blown out.

Water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing unusual.

I’m not going to pretend this is good. It’s a dry spell, plain and simple. But forecasts change, and a good window can pop up out of nowhere. Keep checking, but for now, leave the boards at home.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 24°C on Sat morning, min 21°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 23°C on Tue afternoon, min 21°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Saturday
1
Sunday
2
Monday
3
Tuesday
4
Wednesday
5
Thursday
6
Friday
7
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.8
WNW
10
0.9
NNE
7
0.7
NW
9
0.7
WNW
8
0.7
WNW
10
1
NE
6
1.3
NE
6
0.9
ENE
7
1.1
NE
6
1.4
NE
6
1.3
NE
6
1.1
NE
6
1.2
NE
6
1.2
NE
6
1.3
NE
7
1.3
NE
7
1.3
NE
7
1.1
NE
7
1.1
NE
7
1.1
NE
6
1.1
NE
6
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
117
86
81
62
81
71
128
78
103
166
136
91
99
113
158
144
144
118
99
94
91
Wind (km/h)
15
N
15
N
15
N
10
NNE
20
N
10
NNW
10
NE
20
NNE
10
N
15
NE
20
NE
10
NNE
20
NNE
20
NE
10
NNE
15
N
20
N
10
NNW
10
N
20
NNE
10
N
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-on
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
High Tide
4:00PM2.10m
4:21AM1.88m
4:34PM2.06m
4:56AM1.84m
5:09PM1.98m
5:36AM1.79m
5:51PM1.87m
6:22AM1.71m
6:42PM1.74m
7:22AM1.63m
7:51PM1.61m
8:39AM1.58m
9:21PM1.55m
Low Tide
9:44AM0.23m
10:14PM0.19m
10:17AM0.26m
10:47PM0.22m
10:52AM0.32m
11:24PM0.28m
11:33AM0.40m
00:06AM0.37m
12:23PM0.49m
00:59AM0.48m
1:28PM0.58m
2:10AM0.57m
2:57PM0.62m
3:39AM0.60m
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:26
7:26
7:26
7:28
7:28
7:28
7:28
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:55
8:54
8:54
8:53
8:52
8:52
8:52
 mm
Temp °C
24
23
22
23
23
22
23
23
22
22
23
22
22
23
22
22
22
22
22
23
22
Feels °C
24
24
22
24
23
23
23
23
23
23
24
23
22
23
23
24
22
23
24
24
24
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the El Arenal Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Arenal provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Arenal can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Arenal surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Arenal) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Arenal may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

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