El Arenal Surf Break

Lat Long: 28.56° N 16.33° W

El Arenal Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 6 pm 22 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's El Arenal sea temperature is
23.3° C
0.9° 

El Arenal surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


El Arenal surf forecast from 22 Jul 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 26 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 8s period, NE swell with 811 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Arenal this week:

The most powerful waves expected at El Arenal in the next 16 days are 2.4m 8s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 26) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.2m 12s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 23) at 7PM.

Wave TypeTime (WEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful 4PM (Sun 26th Jul)8ft (2.4m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Arenal over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, this is Rusty, and I’m looking at the outlook for El Arenal. Straight up, I’ve gotta be honest with you – we’re in a bit of a dry spell here. The whole 16-day window is a tough one to call, but I’ll walk you through it.

We start off on Wednesday, July 22nd, and the surf is already a write-off. We’ve got a clean 6-ft swell from the NE, but it’s short period at 7 seconds, and that moderate cross-shore wind is just making it messy. The wave energy is weak at 353 units. This pattern sticks around for days: solid walls of swell coming in, but the wind just won't cooperate, staying cross or cross-onshore with speeds around 16 mph. The water temp is sitting at 74°F, which is pretty average for this time of year.

It’s not until Sunday, July 26th, that things get interesting, but only in a "maybe" kind of way. The morning swell hits 8-ft from the NE with an 8-second period, and the energy jumps up to 761. That’s a lot of water moving around. But it’s still cross-shore wind, so the report calls it marginal. For a beginner spot like this, that 8-ft is already getting too big, and the conditions would be lumpy. Honestly, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than a relaxing paddle session.

The rest of the run is more of the same: the swell hangs around between 4-ft and 7-ft, but the wind never really gives us a clean window. We get a tiny break on Tuesday, August 5th, in the afternoon when the wind goes cross-offshore and it cleans up, but by then the swell has dropped to just 4-ft with a 6-second period – pretty weak and small. The energy is a low 268.

So, what’s the best on offer? If I had to pick one, it'd be that Sunday, July 26th morning session for the sheer size and power (8-ft at 761 energy), but only if you’re an experienced surfer who can handle a cross-chop. The wind is moderate cross-shore, so it'll be lumpy. There’s not really a standout clean day for everyone. The second week (August 1st onwards) doesn't look any better; the swell holds but the wind stays funky.

It’s a poor run for El Arenal. Sometimes that happens. Forecasts change, but right now, it’s a waiting game.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Wed afternoon, min 20°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 23°C on Mon afternoon, min 21°C on Sat afternoon). Mainly fresh winds.

Wed
22
Thursday
23
Friday
24
Saturday
25
Sunday
26
Monday
27
Tuesday
28
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.6
NNE
7
1.6
NNE
7
1.6
NNE
7
1.7
NNE
7
1.5
N
7
2
NNE
7
2
NNE
8
2.1
NNE
8
2.2
NNE
8
2.2
NNE
8
2.4
NNE
8
2.4
NE
8
2.4
NE
8
2.2
NE
8
2
NNE
8
1.8
NNE
8
1.7
NNE
8
1.4
NNE
8
1.3
NNE
8
1.2
NNE
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
250
236
222
293
220
435
447
536
618
634
750
786
811
647
476
402
335
245
196
161
Wind (km/h)
25
NNE
25
NE
25
NNE
30
NNE
25
NNE
25
NNE
25
NNE
30
NNE
25
NNE
30
NNE
30
NNE
25
NE
30
NNE
25
NNE
25
NNE
20
NNE
20
NNE
15
NNE
20
NNE
15
NNE
Wind State
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
High Tide
8:47PM1.47m
9:32AM1.47m
10:06PM1.41m
10:45AM1.50m
11:20PM1.44m
11:47AM1.58m
00:16AM1.51m
12:35PM1.68m
1:00AM1.60m
1:16PM1.80m
1:37AM1.70m
1:52PM1.91m
2:12AM1.77m
Low Tide
3:04AM0.70m
3:51PM0.74m
4:18AM0.72m
5:09PM0.69m
5:25AM0.67m
6:08PM0.60m
6:17AM0.59m
6:53PM0.50m
6:59AM0.49m
7:32PM0.40m
7:35AM0.39m
8:07PM0.31m
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:20
7:22
7:22
7:22
7:22
7:24
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
9:01
9:00
9:00
9:00
9:00
8:59
8:59
 mm
Temp °C
21
21
21
21
20
21
21
20
21
21
21
22
22
22
22
23
22
22
22
21
Feels °C
19
20
19
19
19
19
19
18
19
19
19
20
20
20
20
22
22
21
21
21
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the El Arenal Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Arenal provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Arenal can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Arenal surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Arenal) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Arenal may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

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