El Arenal Surf Break

Lat Long: 28.56° N 16.33° W

El Arenal Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 12 pm 25 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's El Arenal sea temperature is
23.5° C
1.0° 

El Arenal surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


El Arenal surf forecast from 25 Jul 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 26 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 8s period, NE swell with 699 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Arenal this week:

The most powerful waves expected at El Arenal in the next 16 days are 2.3m 8s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 26) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.2m 13s period and expected on Monday (Jul 27) at 1PM.

Wave TypeTime (WEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful 1AM (Sun 26th Jul)7.5ft (2.3m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Arenal over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for the next couple of weeks.

Straight up, we’ve got a bit of a rough patch to get through. The first week or so is looking pretty average. There’s swell around, but the wind is just not playing ball. It’s mostly cross or cross-onshore, and the wave quality is taking a hit. The waves are there, but they’re messy and choppy. The water temp is sitting at about 74°, which is a touch warmer than usual for this time of year, so that’s a nice little bonus if you’re already in the water.

Looking at the first spot, El Arenal. It’s a sandbar setup, so it can be a bit inconsistent. The early part of the forecast, from Saturday the 25th through to the end of July, is all about that poor quality. The swell is coming from the NNE, running 3ft to 7ft, with a short period of 6 to 8 seconds. The energy is moderate, with combined energy values in the 100s and 500s, but that wind just ruins it. Honestly, it’s more of a kite-surfing window than paddling, with that cross-onshore chop.

There’s a notable gap of several days where there’s just no good surf to recommend. The first hint of something better appears on the morning of Sunday, August 2nd. The wind finally swings around to a light ESE, giving us a clean, cross-off breeze. The swell is small, only 4ft from the NNE, but with that clean wind, it’s the best we’ve seen. The combined energy is moderate at 234. It’s a bit of a fluke, but that morning session should be the standout of the whole outlook. The crowds are possible at El Arenal, and with the surf being so small and clean, it’ll be a popular spot for a few fun waves.

After that, it’s back to the same old story. The wind turns onshore again and the quality drops right off. The swell picks up again in the first week of August, with some 7ft+ NNE swells on the 5th and 6th, but it’s all cross-onshore and choppy. The energy is strong, with values in the 500s and 700s, but it’s not surfable for a paddle. This extended run of poor conditions carries right through to the end of the forecast on August 9th.

So, the big takeaway? If you can get out on the morning of Sunday, August 2nd, you’ll get the cleanest waves of the whole 16 days. It’s only small, but it’ll be worth it. For the rest of it, you’re either getting blown out or sitting on the beach.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Sun afternoon, min 20°C on Sat night). Mainly fresh winds.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Thu afternoon, min 20°C on Tue morning). Wind will be generally light.

Saturday
25
Sunday
26
Monday
27
Tuesday
28
Wednesday
29
Thursday
30
Friday
31
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.2
NNE
8
2.2
NNE
8
2.3
NE
8
2.2
NE
8
1.8
NE
8
1.4
NE
9
1.7
NNE
8
1.6
NNE
7
1.4
NNE
8
1.4
NNE
8
1.3
NNE
8
1.2
NNE
7
1
NNE
7
0.9
NNE
7
0.9
NNE
7
1
NNE
7
0.9
NE
6
1
NE
6
0.9
ENE
6
1.2
NE
6
0.9
ENE
7
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
560
618
699
602
459
268
336
263
226
214
191
143
91
86
97
85
44
61
65
112
76
Wind (km/h)
25
NNE
30
NNE
25
NNE
25
NNE
25
NNE
20
N
20
NNE
20
NNE
20
NNE
20
N
20
N
20
N
20
N
20
N
20
N
20
NNE
20
NNE
20
NNE
20
NNE
20
NNE
15
NNE
Wind State
cross-on
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross
cross
cross-on
cross
cross-on
High Tide
11:47AM1.58m
00:16AM1.51m
12:35PM1.68m
1:00AM1.60m
1:16PM1.80m
1:37AM1.70m
1:52PM1.91m
2:12AM1.77m
2:25PM2.00m
2:44AM1.83m
2:57PM2.07m
3:16AM1.87m
3:29PM2.10m
3:48AM1.89m
Low Tide
6:08PM0.60m
6:17AM0.59m
6:53PM0.50m
6:59AM0.49m
7:32PM0.40m
7:35AM0.39m
8:07PM0.31m
8:09AM0.31m
8:40PM0.24m
8:41AM0.26m
9:11PM0.20m
9:12AM0.23m
9:43PM0.18m
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:22
7:22
7:22
7:24
7:24
7:24
7:26
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
9:00
9:00
8:59
8:59
8:58
8:57
8:57
 mm
Temp °C
21
21
21
21
22
21
21
22
21
21
21
21
21
21
20
21
22
21
22
22
22
Feels °C
19
18
19
19
20
20
20
21
20
20
19
21
20
20
19
20
22
21
21
21
23
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the El Arenal Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Arenal provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Arenal can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Arenal surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Arenal) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Arenal may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

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