El Arenal Surf Break

Lat Long: 28.56° N 16.33° W

El Arenal Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 6 pm 24 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's El Arenal sea temperature is
25.2°C
1.9° 

El Arenal surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


El Arenal surf forecast from 24 Aug 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 29 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 11s period, NNW swell with 634 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Arenal this week:

The most powerful waves expected at El Arenal in the next 16 days are 1.6m 11s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 29) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 4s period and expected on Tuesday (Aug 25) at 7AM.

Wave TypeTime (WEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful 4AM (Sat 29th Aug)5ft (1.6m) 11s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Arenal over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's talk about what’s on the menu for El Arenal over the next couple of weeks. I’m not going to lie to you, the outlook is pretty grim for a while. If you’re looking for clean, rideable waves, you’re going to be waiting.

The first week and a half is a write-off for quality surf. We’ve got a long stretch of poor conditions from the start through to the 5th of September. The main issue is that the wind never lets up, coming from the north or north-northeast, keeping the ocean messy with a cross or cross-onshore chop. The swell is all over the place, but the energy is weak to moderate for most of it, and the quality just isn't there.

The first hint of something different shows up on the morning of Saturday the 5th of September, but it’s still marginal. Best to keep expectations low.

The real standout here, and the only one worth circling on the calendar, is El Arenal on Monday the 7th of September. Early on that morning, we’ll see a clean 4ft swell arriving from the west-northwest. The real story here is the period – a very long 15 seconds, sending serious groundswell energy through. The combined energy is strong at 1090, so there’ll be plenty of power in the water. The morning sees moderate cross-onshore wind from the north, which isn't perfect, but for this stretch, it’s the best chance we get. The water temp is sitting around 77°F, which is a touch warmer than average for this time of year.

Monday afternoon stays similar, with that same 4ft WNW swell, but the energy jumps to very strong at 1551. The cross-onshore wind sticks around though.

Because this is a long-period groundswell, it’ll be better shaped at the points and reefs rather than the sandbar, so if you can find a bank that’s handling it, you might get some proper lines. Just know that the wind isn’t truly offshore, so it won’t be glassy. Even so, this is the highlight. After Monday, it drops off again into mediocre conditions.

Overall, this is a tough forecast. Hang in there, and keep an eye on that September 7th window.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 23°C on Mon afternoon, min 21°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 24°C on Thu afternoon, min 22°C on Thu night). Mainly fresh winds.

Mon
24
Tuesday
25
Wednesday
26
Thursday
27
Friday
28
Saturday
29
Sunday
30
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.7
NNW
11
1.6
N
11
1.4
N
10
1.3
N
10
1.1
N
9
0.9
N
9
0.9
N
8
0.7
N
8
0.6
N
8
1.2
N
7
0.8
NNW
7
1.3
NE
6
1.9
NNE
6
1.6
NNW
11
1.6
NNW
11
1.5
NNW
10
1.3
NNW
10
1.1
N
9
1
N
9
0.8
NNW
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
737
584
379
307
198
122
111
61
40
123
74
119
289
611
541
441
335
203
158
92
Wind (km/h)
20
NNE
20
NNE
15
NNE
15
N
15
N
15
N
20
N
15
N
10
N
25
NNE
30
NE
30
NE
30
NNE
25
NE
25
NNE
25
NE
25
NNE
20
NNE
20
NNE
20
NNE
Wind State
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
High Tide
00:42AM1.60m
12:54PM1.82m
1:16AM1.73m
1:27PM1.97m
1:47AM1.84m
1:58PM2.08m
2:17AM1.94m
2:29PM2.16m
2:48AM2.00m
2:59PM2.20m
3:19AM2.03m
3:31PM2.18m
3:52AM2.02m
Low Tide
6:36PM0.50m
6:40AM0.49m
7:11PM0.37m
7:13AM0.37m
7:42PM0.25m
7:44AM0.26m
8:12PM0.15m
8:15AM0.18m
8:42PM0.09m
8:46AM0.13m
9:12PM0.06m
9:18AM0.12m
9:43PM0.07m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:39
7:39
7:39
7:41
7:41
7:41
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:36
8:35
8:32
8:31
8:30
8:30
8:29
 mm
Temp °C
23
22
22
22
22
22
22
22
23
24
23
22
23
22
22
23
22
23
23
22
Feels °C
23
22
22
22
22
22
21
22
25
23
22
19
21
19
20
21
21
22
23
22
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the El Arenal Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Arenal provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Arenal can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Arenal surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Arenal) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Arenal may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

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