El Arenal Surf Break

Lat Long: 28.56° N 16.33° W

El Arenal Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 6 am 10 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's El Arenal sea temperature is
22.5° C
0.4° 

El Arenal surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


El Arenal surf forecast from 10 Jul 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Friday 17 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 8s period, NE swell with 407 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Arenal this week:

The most powerful waves expected at El Arenal in the next 16 days are 1.9m 8s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 6s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 16) at 7AM.

Wave TypeTime (WEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful 1PM (Fri 17th Jul)6ft (1.9m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Arenal over the next 16 days.


Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cooking for El Arenal over the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, I’ve gotta level with you – this is a tough stretch. The whole 16-day window is a bit of a write-off for us. There’s no stand-out window, no clean swell, and the wind is pretty much always working against us. The first surf recommendation doesn't even appear because the conditions are just too poor to paddle out. From the 10th of July right through to the 25th, we are looking at a solid two-week gap with no green lights.

The swell does try to build, especially around the 12th of July with a 4 ft swell from the NNW, period around 10 seconds and moderate wave energy (311). The problem is it’s a thoroughbred onshore wind from the north, making it a messy, choppy mess. Even when the swell gets bigger towards the 17th and 18th of July, with 6 ft to 7 ft from the NE and wave energy climbing into the moderate to strong range (406 to 506), the cross-onshore and onshore winds ruin the surface. It’s a perfect recipe for a washing machine, not a surf session.

The biggest swell of the whole run hits around the 24th and 25th of July. We’re talking 7 ft to 8 ft from the NE with very strong wave energy (1679 and 1070). That’s solid, powerful stuff. But again, the wind is blowing cross-onshore from the north at 25 km/h, so it’s going to be a beast of a close-out. For the experienced crew, maybe there’s a wave in there, but it’s not what I’d call a day for the beach. With that kind of wind and swell, honestly, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

Because there are no good options, I can’t even highlight a break for you. The consistent pattern we’re seeing is wind and chop, and that’s just the way it is for the area sometimes. Don’t bin the board just yet, though – it tends not to stay poor for long, and forecasts can change.

Stay salty,
Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Fri afternoon, min 20°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Mon morning, min 20°C on Mon morning). Wind will be generally light.

Friday
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
Monday
13
Tuesday
14
Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
NW
9
0.8
N
5
0.4
NW
9
0.4
NW
8
0.7
N
5
1
NNW
9
1.2
NNW
10
1.3
NNW
9
1.1
NNW
9
1
NNW
9
1
NNW
8
1
NNW
8
0.9
NNW
8
0.7
NNW
8
0.6
NNW
8
0.4
NW
10
0.9
NE
5
1
NE
5
1.3
NE
6
1.3
NE
6
1.6
NE
7
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
23
34
19
18
21
165
263
255
194
161
150
128
92
55
49
23
37
56
114
136
221
Wind (km/h)
20
NNW
20
N
10
WNW
10
WNW
20
NNW
20
N
15
N
15
N
10
NNE
15
N
15
NNE
10
NE
10
NE
20
NNE
15
NNE
20
NNE
20
NNE
20
NNE
20
NNE
25
NNE
20
NNE
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-on
High Tide
10:25AM1.69m
10:54PM1.72m
11:32AM1.81m
00:03AM1.81m
12:31PM1.95m
1:03AM1.90m
1:25PM2.10m
1:56AM1.98m
2:15PM2.22m
2:46AM2.02m
3:02PM2.29m
3:32AM2.02m
3:47PM2.30m
Low Tide
4:38PM0.50m
5:10AM0.41m
5:48PM0.37m
6:12AM0.32m
6:49PM0.22m
7:07AM0.23m
7:44PM0.08m
7:57AM0.15m
8:34PM-0.01m
8:44AM0.11m
9:22PM-0.04m
9:28AM0.11m
10:08PM-0.01m
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:13
7:15
7:15
7:16
7:16
7:16
7:16
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
9:06
9:06
9:05
9:05
9:05
9:05
9:04
 mm
Temp °C
21
22
22
22
22
21
21
22
21
21
21
21
21
21
21
21
21
20
21
21
20
Feels °C
20
22
23
23
22
21
21
21
21
21
20
22
22
20
21
20
20
20
20
20
20
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the El Arenal Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Arenal provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Arenal can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Arenal surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Arenal) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Arenal may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

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