Drummond Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on offer.

We’ve got a long 16-day window ahead, but honestly, the first week is a write-off. For the first several days, from Saturday the 8th right through, the conditions are just plain ugly. There’s plenty of swell, don’t get me wrong, but it’s being hammered by strong, messy winds every single day. The energy is there – we’re talking moderate to very strong wave energy (883 all the way up to 4830) – but it’s all cross-shore, onshore, or just plain howling. The swell is coming from the WSW, and for a spot like Drummond Point, that’s the right direction, but the wind is absolutely ruining it. It’s a beach, reef, and point setup, so it can handle a lot, but with winds hitting 37 mph and near-gale conditions on Sunday afternoon, this is more of a kite-surfing spectacle than a paddle-surfing session. The water is sitting around 59°F, which is about normal for this time of year, but you won’t be feeling it through the wind chill.

Even the mornings that look a little better, like Thursday the 13th and Friday the 14th, are only “marginal” at best with a 2 out of 10 score. The swell is still solid, 7 ft to 7 ft, but the wind is light and cross-shore, so you might find a few sloppy ones if you’re desperate. The period is long, around 16-17 seconds, so there’s some groundswell power, but it’s going to be lumpy.

Then we hit the second week, and things start to change. It’s not a barn-burner, but it’s clean. The real standout, and the only time I’d get excited, is on Thursday the 20th. The morning and afternoon both look excellent for experienced surfers. The swell is 8 ft from the WSW, a solid size that’s too big for beginners, but perfect for those who know what they’re doing. The wind is cross-off and light, coming from the ESE and SSE at just 9 mph, making for clean conditions. The energy is strong at 3471 and 3378, and with a period of 17-18 seconds, it’s a proper groundswell. This is a point break and reef setup, so that long period will wrap in nicely. You’ll be sharing the water with some others – crowds are “sometimes” a thing here – so expect a few familiar faces.

Before that, the weekend of the 16th and 17th gets a little better. The swell drops to 4 ft, but the wind goes glassy or cross-off. Sunday the 16th has some clouds and clean conditions, and Monday the 17th has a glassy afternoon with a slight air. That’s small, fun, clean surf for a longboard or a fish. The swell is still from the WSW, but the energy is low (660 to 810), so it’s mellow.

After that Thursday standout, the swell drops back off. Friday the 21st is clean but marginal, and by Saturday the 22nd, the wind picks up again, killing the quality. The final day, Sunday the 23rd, is a complete washout with onshore wind and a bumpy 5 ft.

So, to sum it up: the first week is a total loss. If you’re patient, the best bet by a long shot is Thursday the 20th at Drummond Point. That’s your window for some powerful, clean, long-period groundswell. Everything else is either too windy or too small.

Rusty.

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