The Island Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s coming up at The Island over the next couple of weeks. It’s a reef break that’s consistent and exposed to the southwest, so it picks up a lot of the ocean’s energy.

We’ve got a rough start, unfortunately. The first few days are pretty cooked. From Sunday the 9th through to Wednesday the 13th, you’re looking at poor, lumpy conditions with strong cross-onshore winds. The swell is there – Sunday morning has a solid 7.9ft SW groundswell with a very long 16-second period and combined energy of 2716 – but that 35 km/h cross-on wind is just ruining it. It's messy and blown out. This pattern holds for a few days, with the swell even peaking on Monday morning at 8.2ft from the SW with a massive 17-second period and energy of 3866, but again, the wind is bad. This is not for beginners anyway – over 8ft on a reef is strictly expert territory – but the conditions are just junk.

Things finally start to turn the corner on Thursday morning the 14th. The wind drops way down to a light breeze, and by the afternoon we get a proper glassy morning with zero wind. That’s the moment. The swell is a solid 6.9ft from the SW with a 16-second period and energy of 2196. This is where it gets interesting for experienced surfers. The morning of Friday the 15th is even cleaner – a light 10 km/h offshore wind from the east, clean waves at 5.9ft from the SW and 16-second swell. That’s a proper window.

The main standout here is the morning of Friday the 15th. Clean conditions, light offshore wind, 5.9ft groundswell with a long period, and excellent shape. The east wind is blowing offshore here, which is the optimum for this break. Crowds can be a thing, but on a Friday morning you might get a bit of a break. The water temp is right around 59.5°F, which is about normal for the time of year.

After that, the surf eases off but stays fun through the weekend and into the next week. Sunday the 16th has a moderate offshore breeze from the east and 4.3ft swell – clean but smaller. Monday the 17th is similar with light winds. The pick of the second week looks like Tuesday the 18th morning – clean, light offshore winds, and a very long 18-second period groundswell at 4.3ft, though the energy is moderate. That long period means the waves will have great shape and power for a point or reef like this, but you'll have to wait between sets. Crowds are possible here.

You’ll hit a few rough days again around Wednesday the 19th with fresh winds, but then look at Friday the 21st – a glassy morning with light east winds and a 5.6ft SW swell. That’s another clean session. The real bombshell comes at the very end of the outlook. The morning of Sunday the 23rd is glassy clean with offshore breeze and a solid 6.2ft SW groundswell at 16 seconds. Then Monday the 24th morning packs a punch – 8.2ft from the SW with a 16-second period and massive combined energy of 4626. But the wind is light and cross-offshore, so it’s clean. That Monday the 24th is the standout of the second week, but being over 8ft, it's for experts only. It’s a long way out, so keep an eye on the forecasts.

So, to wrap up: the first week is pretty grim until Friday the 15th. That Friday morning is your best bet early on. The second week has a few fun, clean mornings, but the big one to watch is Monday the 24th. Take it easy out there.

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