The Island Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a proper look at what’s coming up for The Island over the next couple of weeks. This spot is a consistent, exposed reef break that loves a good SW groundswell, and we’ve got plenty of that on the cards. Water temp is sitting at 60°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so no shock to the system.

We start the period with a bit of a slow grind. Sunday the 6th has a solid 6 ft SW swell with a very impressive 1242 combined energy, but the wind is a cross-off at 12 mph and it’s flagged as marginal. It’s rideable, but it’s not the cleanest. Monday the 7th is a write-off, with a messy 19 mph cross-off wind in the afternoon and a low score, so I’d skip that.

Now, Tuesday the 8th is where it starts to get interesting. The morning brings a beautiful 6 ft SW groundswell with a long period of 17 seconds and combined energy hitting 1801. That’s a serious push of energy, and with a gentle 9 mph cross-off breeze, the face should be clean and lined up. This is prime for the experienced crew – that size and period will have plenty of power. The afternoon bumps up to 8 ft SW with a 16-second period and a massive 4415 energy reading. That’s a lot of water moving. It’s still cross-off, but the quality drops to marginal; at that size, it’s strictly for the experts and you’ll want your wits about you.

Wednesday the 9th is a no-go. The swell holds in the 6 ft to 8 ft range with even bigger energy numbers, but that strong 25 mph SE wind will chop it to pieces. Not worth paddling out.

The real standout, the one I’d be circling, is Friday the 11th in the afternoon. We get a 4 ft SW groundswell with a 15-second period – not the biggest, but the wind drops to a dead calm 3 mph from the east, going glassy. Combined energy is still a decent 723. That’s pure, clean, glassy conditions on a reef that loves SW swell. The wave quality is flagged as very good. This will be a dream session for the intermediate and above crew, and the crowd potential is only “sometimes,” so you might even get some waves to yourself.

Saturday the 12th and Sunday the 13th are a mess. Strong cross-shore and onshore winds blow the surf out, with waves dropping under 3 ft. Not your weekend.

We get a little reset early in the second week. Tuesday the 15th morning has a solid 6 ft SW groundswell with a 14-second period, combined energy of 1278, and a gentle offshore breeze from the ESE. That’s clean and punchy, scored as excellent for experienced surfers. A proper morning session if you can get out.

Then we hit a long, quiet stretch. From Wednesday the 16th afternoon through to Sunday the 20th, the winds turn mostly onshore or cross-on, and while there’s still some swell, the quality plummets. Many days score zero. It’s a proper lull.

But hold onto your leash, because Monday the 21st is a long-range gem worth knowing about. The morning brings a 8 ft SW swell with a 16-second period and a massive 3864 combined energy, with clean cross-off winds. Then the afternoon goes nuclear: 8 ft SW with a massive 21-second period and combined energy of 5980. That’s very long-period groundswell. At this size and period, The Island will be a powerful, heaving reef – absolutely for experts only. The wind stays clean with a moderate cross-off. This is a serious, heavy swell event that’s worth planning for, but remember it’s a long way out so things can change.

Rusty.

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