The Island Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming down the line for us.

We’ve got a bit of a wait, to be honest. The next few days are looking pretty ordinary – messy winds and so-so energy. The first real chance to get excited about won't hit us until Tuesday, September 16th, and even that morning is a bit conditional. The real standout, the one you want to circle on the calendar, is shaping up for Tuesday, September 22nd. That morning looks absolutely firing for the crew who know what they’re doing.

Let’s walk through it.

Saturday the 12th and Sunday the 13th are write-offs. Onshore winds and poor conditions mean there’s nothing worth paddling out for. Monday the 14th isn’t much better with a light cross-onshore breeze making things a bit bumpy.

Now, Tuesday the 15th of September brings a pulse of energy, with the combined swell energy ramping up to 1326. The morning sees a clean 6ft SW swell, but it’s blowing a cross-off at 19 mph. It’s rideable, but it feels like a warm-up. The afternoon gets bigger at 7ft SW, but the wind picks up to 22 mph. It’s still clean, but it’s a handful.

Wednesday the 16th of September is your first decent chance. The morning has that magic combination: a clean 6ft SW groundswell with a 15-second period, and a fresh offshore breeze coming out of the east at 19 mph. That’s proper offshore, and it’ll be grooming The Island (reef) beautifully. Combined energy is a solid 1581. This is the moment.

Thursday the 17th of September afternoon goes completely glassy – zero wind, with a little 3ft SW swell. It’s small, but if you’ve got a log, that glassy window will be pure bliss. Friday the 18th and Saturday the 19th are back to poor conditions with strong, messy winds. Just leave it.

Sunday the 20th of September sees a new pulse – clean again with a 4ft SW swell at 16 seconds, but the energy is up there at 1532. Worth a look if you’re keen. Monday the 21st is similar, holding at 7 to 7ft SW, clean with a cross-off breeze.

Then we get to the main event. Tuesday the 22nd of September morning. This is the one. The Island is looking at a solid 8ft SW groundswell, with a very long 16-second period, and a gentle offshore breeze from the east at just 9 mph. The combined energy is a massive 3145. That’s not just surf, that's serious, powerful, deep water energy hitting a reef. This is strictly for experienced surfers only – anything over 8ft is expert territory. The lineup might have a few out, but the quality on offer is unreal.

The rest of that week drops off a bit. Wednesday the 23rd gets lumpy, Thursday the 24th is cross-shore, but we get a little reprieve on Friday the 25th of September with a clean, gentle offshore and a small 3ft SW swell. It’s small, but clean. Saturday the 26th has a bit more size at 5ft, clean again. Sunday the 27th gets blown out with a near gale.

So, to wrap it up: ride Wednesday the 16th morning for a great session, but the one to block out is Tuesday the 22nd of September morning. That is the best of the 16 days by a long shot.

Rusty.

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