The Island Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here with a look at what we’ve got coming down the pike. It’s a solid run, but you’ve gotta be patient and pick your moments. The Island is the only game in town this stretch, and it’s got the goods for those who can handle it, but the wind’s gonna be a joker in the pack.

First up, Tuesday the 8th. We’re looking at a decent start. Morning session is the go: a clean 6-foot SW swell with a very long 17-second period. That’s a proper groundswell, loads of energy (1801) and the ESE breeze is light, holding it clean. This is prime for experienced surfers only – the reef will be working, but with that period, expect long, lined-up waves. The water temp is 59°, which is about bang on average for this time of year. The afternoon gets messy though – wind swings to the SSE and howls to 25 km/h, turning conditions marginal. It’s a Tuesday, so fewer people, but this break can get crowds.

Wednesday the 9th is a write-off for quality. That strong breeze (25 mph) from the SE is going to chop things up badly, even with the swell pushing 7 to 8 feet. The energy is massive (3027 to 3753), but it’s a battle, not a surf. Leave it.

Things clean up Thursday the 10th morning. A crisp offshore breeze from the East at 19 mph and a solid 6-foot SW swell (16 seconds, 1838 energy). That’s fresh-offshore and clean. The waves will have some punch, but it’s still a reef break and 6 feet is on the bigger side for all but the advanced crew. The afternoon goes cross-off, but still workable.

Friday the 11th is a sweet little highlight. The swell drops a bit to 4 feet, but the period stays at a very long 15 seconds. The big story is the morning: Sunday? No, Friday afternoon – glassy as a mirror. SE wind at only 3 mph. That’s just you and the ocean. The energy (753) is moderate, but for a clean, glassy 4-foot wave on a long-period SW swell, The Island will be offering up quality rights. This is one of the true standout sessions.

From Saturday the 12th through Monday the 14th, we get a big lull. Swell drops to 4 feet or even 3 feet, and the wind gets ugly – cross-shore and cross-on, lumpy and choppy. The energy drops into the low hundreds. Not worth paddling for, honestly. There’s a clean-ish window Monday morning with only 3 feet and gentle breeze, but it’s small.

Tuesday the 15th sees the swell start to rebuild, but the wind is still fresh and cross-off, keeping it messy. The 4 to 5-foot range with 14-second period is okay, but not a standout.

Now, here’s where it gets good again. Wednesday the 16th morning. A fresh offshore breeze from the East, 6-foot SW groundswell with a 16-second period, and strong energy (1577). That’s excellent surf for experienced surfers. The lineup will be powerful. This is a serious stand-out for the second week.

After that, the wind turns cranky again from Thursday the 17th to Saturday the 19th. Cross-shore winds and lumpy conditions ruin what could be good swell pulses. The swell hits 7 feet again on Saturday the 19th afternoon, but it’s light cross-shore, so it might be okay, but not the best.

Then we roll into Monday the 21st. This is the big one. The morning is clean with a gentle cross-off, 6-foot SW swell, 16-second period, and 1924 energy. But it’s the afternoon that’s the true standout: gentle SSE breeze, clean, 7-foot SW swell, 16 seconds, and 2081 energy. That is a phenomenal combination. This is advanced territory, but the quality will be as good as it gets. Mark Monday the 21st afternoon on your calendar.

Wednesday the 23rd morning also looks cracking on paper: rain showers clearing to light SE cross-off, a solid 8 feet of SW groundswell (16 seconds) and massive energy (3141). That’s big for the experts, and the conditions are clean. If you’re charging, get on it.

So, bottom line: Friday the 11th afternoon for the glassy, smaller session, Wednesday the 16th morning for offshore power, and Monday the 21st afternoon for the best all-round quality of the forecast. The rest is either windy or a bit too small.

Rusty.

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