The Island Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a proper look at what the next couple of weeks are serving up. We’re focusing on one spot: The Island. It’s a consistent, exposed reef break that loves a good SW groundswell, and it’s set to be the main event for the whole stretch.

First up, water temps are sitting right on the mark for this time of year at 60°F, so nothing unusual there – a solid, predictable start.

The forecast period begins on Saturday the 25th of July, but honestly, it’s a write-off. The morning has a bit of waist-high swell at 4ft from the SW with a decent 13-second period, but that cross-on wind (10 km/h) just messes it up. The afternoon gets worse: bigger at 5ft but with onshore wind at 20 km/h. Not worth paddling out. Sunday the 26th is similar – a little drop in size and messy conditions. The trend continues through Monday the 27th: on Tuesday the 28th we get another bump in swell (7ft SW, 14 sec), but the wind is cross-shore all day, leaving it lumpy. Nobody’s going to be smiling.

Then we see the first real glimmer. Wednesday morning, July 29th – the swell pushes up to 7ft from the SW with a very long 15-second period. That’s proper groundswell energy, with a combined energy reading of 2160 – solid. And the wind… it goes cross-offshore (SSE, 20 km/h), cleaning it right up. This is where The Island shows its class. The sets will have real punch, though the long period at a reef setup means you need to be on your game. Thursday the 30th morning is also clean, with a light NE offshore at 15 km/h and a still solid 5ft SW swell. The sessions on Wednesday morning and Thursday morning are the standout picks of the first week.

Now, into the second week, things get interesting again. After a drop-off and some messy days, we’re looking at Monday morning, August 3rd. The wind goes offshore from the ENE at 25 km/h, the swell is 4ft from the SW with a 14-second period, and it’s clean. It’s smaller, but it’ll be glassy and fun.

The big one that’s worth circling on your calendar is Friday morning, August 7th. It’s more than a week out, so treat it as promising but not locked in. The swell pumps up to 8ft from the SW, period of 16 seconds (that's very long period), and the combined energy is a massive 2944 – that’s serious power. The wind is a light NNE cross-offshore at 15 km/h. For advanced surfers who know The Island, this is the session of the forecast. It’s going to be big, clean, and powerful. Beginners should sit this one out – that’s expert territory.

After that, it trails off into onshore winds and smaller, weaker swells toward the end of the run. The gap from the 7th to the end has a couple of marginal days, but nothing that beats that Friday morning.

So, to sum it up: Wednesday morning July 29th and Friday morning August 7th are your true standouts. The water’s average temp, the crowds can pop up at The Island sometimes, but the quality on those days will be worth it. Stick to the SW groundswell windows and the offshore winds, and you’ll be laughing.

Rusty.

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