Dixon Park Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, I’m Rusty, and I’ve been watchin’ the charts for Dixon Park – looks like a rough stretch ahead with not much to get excited about. Let’s break it down.

Right now, the forecast kicks off on Tuesday, 14 July, but there’s barely a ripple. We’re talkin’ a tiny 0.3 ft southerly swell with a ridiculously long 20-second period – that’s groundswell, but it’s so weak the combined energy is only 14 – it’s flat. Water temp is 65.7°F, which is about average for this time of year, so no shocks there. The wind is blowin’ offshore from the WNW at 25 km/h, but with no wave to work with, it’s just a waste of a clean morning. The afternoon stays tiny (0.3 ft, 16 seconds, 11 energy), and despite gentle offshore breezes, it’s a complete dud. No surf to speak of.

Wednesday, 15 July, sees a sudden jump in size – 7.2 ft from the south, but the period is a short 8 seconds, and the combined energy hits 675 – that’s moderate energy, but the wind is a messy cross-shore from the SW at 25 km/h, and conditions are poor. By the afternoon, it’s 9.8 ft from the SSW (10 seconds, 1507 energy – strong), but the wind is a fresh cross-onshore from the SSW at 35 km/h, with rain showers. This is a washing machine, not a surf session. That 9.8 ft is well over 8 ft, so it’s only for experts, and even then, the quality is terrible. A beach-and-reef setup like this, with strong onshore wind and big messy swell, is more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

Thursday, 16 July, stays rough – 6.6 ft southerly swell (8 seconds, 473 energy) in the morning with moderate cross-onshore wind, then the afternoon brings 7.2 ft from the south (8 seconds, 648 energy) with onshore winds from the SE at 15 km/h. The afternoon gets a marginal rating of 1/10, but it’s still not worth paddlin’ out. The rest of the week through to Sunday, 19 July, is a write-off – onshore winds, short-period windswell in the 3.3 ft to 5.9 ft range, and poor conditions. The combined energy fluctuates between 173 and 755, but none of it’s clean.

There’s a long gap of no good surf until we hit the following week. Monday, 20 July, is still marginal with 4.6 ft easterly swell (10 seconds, 510 energy) and light cross-onshore breezes – only a 1/10 score. Nothing to rush for.

Then things start to show a glimmer. Tuesday, 21 July, is the first real standout. Morning brings 3.6 ft easterly swell (10 seconds, 284 energy) with light offshore winds from the NW at 10 km/h – clean wave faces. The afternoon is even better: 3.3 ft swell (10 seconds, 232 energy) with a light cross-offshore breeze from the NNE. Both sessions scored a 2/10 for “expect good surf conditions,” which is the best we’ve seen. The swell direction is S, but the optimum is SE – so it’s a bit off, but the clean conditions make it rideable. For a beginner spot like Dixon Park, this is a solid window for a paddle.

Wednesday, 22 July, morning is similar – 3.3 ft easterly swell (10 seconds, 217 energy) with light cross-offshore wind from the WNW – clean again. But the afternoon turns cross-onshore, and the quality drops.

The next real highlight is Thursday, 23 July. Morning: 4.9 ft easterly swell with a very long 13-second period – that’s proper groundswell, and combined energy is 860 (moderate). Wind is offshore from the WNW at 5 km/h – glassy conditions. The forecast scores this a 3/10 as “expect very good surf conditions,” easily the best of the whole outlook. That long period means the waves will have more shape and energy, but at a beach-and-reef break like Dixon Park, it might break a bit straight. Still, with such clean conditions, it’s worth a look. The afternoon gets a bit messy with cross-onshore wind, but the morning is the pick.

Friday, 24 July, keeps the run going with 4.6 ft easterly swell (11 seconds, 508 energy) in the morning and offshore NW wind at 10 km/h – another 3/10 score for “very good surf conditions.” The afternoon is also clean with cross-offshore breeze.

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