Dixon Park Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, let’s talk about what’s shaping up for Dixon Park. Gotta be honest, it’s a bit of a slow burn for the first week, but there’s some serious firepower on the horizon if you’re willing to wait.

Right now, things are flat and messy. We’ve got a little dribble of 1.6ft on Thursday afternoon, but it’s from the east with a short period and onshore wind. Not worth paddling out for. The next few days don’t offer much either. Friday morning we see a jump to 4.9ft from the south (10 seconds), but it’s cross-shore wind and the quality is just not there. The water temp is sitting at 64.9°, which is pretty much normal for this time of year.

The first real glimmer of hope comes in on Saturday morning, July 25th. That’s when we get a clean, 5.2ft south swell (11 seconds) with a light offshore from the WNW. The energy is solid (677 combined energy), and it’s looking like the best session of the first week. Dixon Park is a fairly consistent beach and reef setup, and with that offshore wind, it should be firing for a beginner-friendly wave. Crowds are possible here, so get in early.

Sunday morning, July 26th, is another decent shout. A 4.6ft south swell (11 seconds) with a cross-offshore breeze from the west. The energy is still strong (500 combined energy), and the waves will be clean. It’s a good follow-up to Saturday.

After that, the swell drops off hard. From Monday the 27th through to the end of the month, we’re looking at weak, small waves with onshore or cross-shore winds. The energy dips into the double digits, and conditions are mostly poor or ordinary. There’s a stretch of several days there where you’re better off leaving the board in the car.

Then things get interesting. The first week of August sees a massive pulse of south swell. Saturday morning, August 1st, offers a clean 2.6ft south swell with a light cross-offshore, but it’s small. The real beast shows up on Sunday, August 2nd. We’re talking 9.8ft of south swell (10 seconds) in the morning, but it’s got a cross-shore wind and the energy is massive (3383 combined energy). That’s serious, powerful surf. For a beach and reef break, this is going to be a lot of movement. It’s not for beginners; the swell is over 8ft, so this is expert territory. The wind picks up to a strong breeze in the afternoon, making it messy.

The following week stays pumped. Monday, August 3rd, through to Thursday, August 7th, we’ve got swell heights hanging around 9.8ft to 13.1ft, mostly from the south and southeast. The issue is the wind. It’s mostly onshore or cross-onshore, which will chop up the faces. The energy readings are through the roof, with numbers like 5769 and 4823, indicating very strong wave energy.

The standout of the entire outlook, without a doubt, is Friday morning, August 7th. That’s the day to circle. We’ve got a 9.8ft southeast swell with a very long period of 13 seconds, and the wind is glassy. Absolutely glassy. The energy is still huge (2936 combined energy), but that clean, glassy surface is a rare treat for this size. This is an excellent condition for experienced surfers only. That long period groundswell will be reeling, but it might be a bit too straight for a beach break, so look for the peaks. It’s a long way out, so the forecast is promising but not locked in yet.

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