Dixon Park Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on offer at Dixon Park over the next couple of weeks.

First up, the short-term is a bit of a write-off. We’ve got a solid pulse of swell rolling in, but it’s being hammered by strong onshore winds and rain. From Monday the 6th right through to Wednesday the 8th, it’s a messy, blown-out affair with waves in the 7ft to 12ft range. The combined wave energy is cranked up high (1426 to 4716), but it’s all for nothing with that cross-onshore chop. Not worth paddling out. This is a beach and reef setup, and with this much wind and power, it’s honestly looking more like a kiteboarding session than a surf.

The first real window opens up on Thursday morning the 9th of July. The swell drops back to a manageable 7ft from the SE, but the real story is the wind. We’re looking at glassy conditions. The combined energy is still moderate (881), so there’s some push. It’s a beginner-friendly break, and with the crowd factor listed as "sometimes," you might have a few out, but the clean conditions will make it worth it. The water temp is about average for this time of year.

Friday the 10th and Saturday the 11th keep the good vibes going. Friday morning brings a clean 6ft SE swell with a light offshore breeze. Saturday is the best of the bunch for the first week: a clean 4ft from the SE, with a solid offshore wind from the NW. The energy is lower (397), but the conditions will be super clean. Saturday afternoon stays clean too, with a 3ft ESE swell and a gentle offshore wind.

Then we hit a flat spell. From Sunday the 12th right through until Tuesday the 14th, the swell drops off a cliff. We’re talking 1.0ft to 3ft at best, with very low energy (down to 10). It’s a flat spell, plain and simple.

Now, the long-range looks promising but is less certain. Wednesday the 15th of July morning is a standout if it comes together. We’ve got a solid 7ft S swell pumping in, with a long 10-second period, and it’s clean with a cross-offshore wind. The combined energy is a strong 1016. This is solid, powerful groundswell, and it’s a beach and reef setup, so it could offer some good shape. That said, 7ft is getting into the "experts only" territory for many. The afternoon turns ugly with 10ft and a cross-onshore wind, so it’s a morning mission only.

The following week has a couple of other interesting days. Saturday the 18th of July looks clean and fun, with a 6ft SE swell and long 11-second period. The energy is 927, and the wind is light and cross-offshore. A solid, clean day. Sunday the 19th stays clean with a 4ft SE swell and a moderate offshore, but the energy is lower.

The best on offer is a tough call. For guaranteed clean conditions, Thursday morning the 9th of July is the clear winner because of the glassy conditions. For the biggest, most powerful swell, Wednesday morning the 15th of July is the one to watch, but it’s a long-range call and is only for the experienced crew. I’d be circling Thursday the 9th for a sure thing, and keeping an eye on that Wednesday the 15th for a potential score.

Rusty out.

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