Dixon Park Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here with a look at what’s coming up for Dixon Park over the next couple of weeks. Let me tell ya, it’s a bit of a mixed bag, so let’s break it down.

We start off the month pretty flat. The first few days are a struggle with weak southerly swells that just don't have enough push. The water temp is sitting around 65°, which is pretty much what you'd expect for this time of year. Tuesday the 1st and Wednesday the 2nd offer up ankle-to-knee high waves, but the wind is either cross-off or straight offshore and pretty breezy, making it feel more like a chore than a session. The swell energy is weak, hovering around 100-200 on the energy scale, and the period is long at 11 seconds, meaning those waves are going to be fat and hard to get into. Not one to get excited about.

Thursday the 3rd is a write-off with fresh offshore winds and really no swell to speak of. The energy drops below 100. That run of poor surf stretches right through until the 7th. Friday the 4th does have a glassy morning, but again, we’re only talking about 3 ft of weak, long-period swell. It sounds nice for a float, but there’s no real power behind it.

Finally, we get a little bump around Monday the 8th with a brief window of glassy conditions on the morning. Swell is still small, under 3 ft, but the wind is dead calm. It’s a poor-quality wave, but if you’re desperate for a paddle, it’s the best we’ve seen in a week.

Then the big change comes. Thursday the 10th sees a serious ramp up in size with 10 ft of southerly swell, but it’s accompanied by strong, messy winds. The energy jumps up to over 4000, which is a lot of power, but the conditions are so choppy and blown out that it’s a complete washout for a normal surfboard.

Now, listen closely. The standout, and I mean the only real standout, is the morning of Friday the 11th. We have a massive 16 ft southerly swell, 13-second period, and energy reading over 15000. But, and this is a big but, the forecast says the swell is predicted to be too big for this break. At that size, with a moderate cross-shore wind, this is strictly for the experts, and even then, it's a serious paddle. The wind is moderate cross-shore, which is alright, but that kind of energy on a beach and reef setup is going to be a beast. If you're not a seasoned charger, do yourself a favour and watch from the car park.

After that, the swell drops through the weekend but stays messy. Saturday the 12th has some waist-high waves, but the wind is cross-onshore and choppy. Next real glimmer of hope comes on Monday the 14th morning. We get a glassy, dead calm morning with a clean 3 ft of swell from the ESE with a 10-second period. The energy is moderate at 328, and the forecast says “expect good surf conditions.” This is your window. It’s small but clean and has far less crowd potential given the messy week prior. For the rest of the second week, it fades back to small, weak, and onshore slop.

So, bottom line: the entire first week is a bust. The only session worth your time is Friday the 11th morning if you’re a pro, or Monday the 14th morning for a clean but small cruise. Everything else, leave the board in the car.

Rusty.

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