Bar Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the table for Bar Beach.

To be straight with you, the outlook over the next 16 days is a bit of a mixed bag. We have a solid start to the forecast period on Wednesday the 15th, but it's not for the faint-hearted. After that, things go pretty quiet for a good stretch, but there’s a glimmer of something promising right at the end.

First up, Wednesday the 15th. The swell is pumping in at a solid 8 ft from the south, with a period of 10 seconds, packing a lot of punch – the combined swell energy is a strong 1212. The water temp is sitting at 65°, which is about average for the time of year with only a slight anomaly. However, the wind is a cross-on from the SSW at 19 mph, and that's going to make things pretty lumpy and messy. This is a beach break, so with that size and those conditions, it's really only going to be for the experts, and even then, it's not going to be pretty. Honestly, the setup looks more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer today.

The swell drops a bit into Thursday the 16th, with 7 ft from the south in the morning, but with a short, choppy 8-second period and a cross-on wind, it's still a write-off. That afternoon, the swell drops to 5 ft, and the wind swings onshore from the SE. Friday the 17th and Saturday the 18th see the swell drop further, with onshore winds, keeping the surf poor.

We then go through a long stretch from Sunday the 19th through to about Wednesday the 29th, where the surf is either too small, onshore, or just plain messy. There's a brief moment on the morning of Tuesday the 21st where the wind goes light offshore from the NNW, and the swell is a clean 4 ft from the east with a 10-second period. The combined energy is moderate (360). This shape could be okay, but it’s a small window.

The real standout, the one worth waiting for, is later in the period. On the morning of Thursday the 30th, we get a nice pulse of swell. It’s a 6 ft swell from the SSE, with a period of 11 seconds. The combined energy is a solid 757, so it's got some power. The real kicker is the wind: a light offshore breeze from the NW at 9 mph. That’s going to clean things up nicely. The afternoon looks even better, with the swell at 5 ft from the south, 11-second period, and a light cross-offshore breeze from the NNW. The energy is still high at 696. This is the best window on offer, but it's a long way out, so keep your fingers crossed for the forecast to hold.

So, that's the rundown. A rough start, a long flat spell, and a promise of clean, fun waves right at the end of the month.

Rusty.

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