Depressions Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here, and I’ve gotta be straight with you—this outlook for Depressions is a tough one. We’re looking at a 16-day window that’s mostly flat, weak, and blown out. The water’s sitting at a warm 70°, which is way above what you’d expect for this time of year, so you might feel like you’re surfing in the tropics, but the waves just aren’t cooperating. There’s a real quiet spell ahead.

The first surfable moment pops up on Tuesday the 11th, but it’s nothing to write home about. Early morning has some clouds and a glassy 3 mph breeze from the SW, with a tiny 1 ft swell out of the SSW—period’s a moderate 14 seconds. The combined energy is weak at (145). It’s rideable if you’re desperate, but it’s very ordinary, and the wind swings cross-onshore later. Not a winner.

Things stay marginal through the rest of the week. Wednesday the 12th sees a light 1 ft SSW swell with a 17-second period, but cross-onshore winds mess it up. Energy’s (152) and the surf feels poor. Thursday the 13th is similar—2 ft, onshore winds, nothing clean. Friday the 14th has a slight bump to 2 ft with a longer 18-second period, but combined energy climbs a bit to (212) and (311) in the afternoon. Still, onshore winds and poor conditions keep it flat and frustrating.

Saturday the 15th offers the best glimpse of the whole run. Morning has a clear sky, light 6 mph onshore wind, and a 2 ft swell from the SSW at 16 seconds. Energy is (295), and it’s described as marginal but not a total write-off. The swell direction is SSW—not the spot’s optimum WSW—so it’s a bit off-angle, and the break is fairly exposed. Still, for beginners, it’s consistent enough, though crowds might pop up sometimes. This is as good as it gets, but it’s hardly a standout.

Sunday the 16th holds similar 3 ft SSW swell with energy (340) in the morning, but cross-onshore winds shred any quality by afternoon. From Monday the 17th onward, it’s a mess of cross-onshore and onshore winds, with swell sizes rarely cracking 2 ft. The second week trickles along with weak 1 ft to 2 ft swells, short periods down to 10 seconds, and energy dropping to as low as (95). Tuesday the 25th has a small 1 ft SSW swell with a 16-second period and light onshore wind, but the energy’s a paltry (240) and conditions are poor.

Honestly, there’s no real standout here. If you’re a beginner just wanting a paddle, Saturday the 15th morning is your best bet—clean enough with small waves, but keep expectations low. For anyone else, it’s a blank run. The break is fairly consistent for the area, so it tends not to stay this quiet for long—forecasts can change. Until then, maybe bring a surf mat or just enjoy the warm water.

Rusty.

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