Depressions Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it for the local stretch.

Honestly, looking at the next 16 days, it’s a tough run. We’re dealing with a lot of poor surf conditions and only marginal windows. The pattern is there, but the quality is just off. The water is sitting at 70°—that’s much warmer than normal for this time of year, by about 7°, which is pretty wild for us.

The first real sniff of a session comes on Monday morning, September 7th. Depressions has a south swell rolling in at 4ft with a 13-second period, which is a proper groundswell. The combined energy is moderate (448). The wind is light and onshore, so the surface won’t be too wrecked. It’s a beginner-friendly spot, and it’s fairly consistent, but the rating is low. Look, it’s a small, cleanish window. After that, through Tuesday and Wednesday, the swell drops off fast and the wind goes cross-onshore, making it choppy. Thursday morning the 10th has a little bump of 2ft from the SW with a 17-second period, but the energy is still moderate (384) and the wind is onshore. It’s *marginal* at best.

We get a bit of a pulse from the WNW starting Saturday the 12th. The size picks up to 3ft by morning, but the period drops to 8 seconds—short period windswell. The energy is moderate (257). By the afternoon, it’s 5ft but the period is only 7 seconds, and the wind is cross-onshore. That’s going to be a bumpy, messy beach break. Not great for paddling, but if you’re a kite surfer, that setup might look more interesting than paddle surfing. Sunday the 13th sees the swell peak at 5ft in the afternoon with a 9-second period, combined energy hitting 435. That’s big enough for the experts, but with that short period and cross-onshore wind, it’s going to be a close-out mess.

The standout? Honestly, it’s the Monday morning, September 7th, for the cleanest lightest wind on a small south swell. Later in the week, the 5ft WNW swell on Sunday the 13th is the biggest, but it’s for experts only and the conditions are poor. There’s a long gap from the 14th to the 20th where it’s just marginal or poor. The second week shows a bit more promise, with the morning of Monday the 21st seeing a 3ft SW groundswell (17-second period) and the combined energy climbing to 413, with clean onshore winds. That’s the one to watch in the more distant future, but it’s a long way off—keep an eye on it.

So, bottom line: the best bet is the Monday morning session, but keep your expectations low. The rest of the window is mostly a write-off.

Rusty.

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