Depressions Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright team, Rusty here. Let’s be honest, the next couple of weeks are looking pretty flat and funky for our breaks.

This whole 16-day forecast is a tough one. We’ve got small, weak swell after small, weak swell, and most of it is getting chopped up by cross-shore or onshore wind. There’s a big gap of nothing worthwhile to start. The first real look isn’t until Thursday the 10th, and even that’s a stretch.

The focus is on Depressions. It’s a beginner-friendly zone, breaks fairly consistently, and likes a WSW swell. The water is running a very unusual 70°F, which is a solid 7°F warmer than normal – a real oddball for this time of year.

Tuesday afternoon the 8th gives us our first taste: a 3ft swell from the SSW with a long 13-second period. The energy is weak (276). But it’s got a light cross-shore wind at 3 mph, so the surface is already messy. It’s marginal at best.

Wednesday the 9th is a total loss with poor conditions and stronger wind. Thursday the 10th morning is the cleanest of the bunch. We have a light, offshore breeze from the SW, with a 2ft, 17-second groundswell. Still only marginal with weak energy (326), but it’s the best chance for a clean ride. Friday the 11th is a carbon copy.

Saturday the 12th morning shows a bump to 3ft from the WNW, but the period drops to a weak 7 seconds. The energy is still moderate (333). Light offshore wind in the morning keeps it clean for beginners, but the quality will be poor. The afternoon goes choppy. Sunday the 13th is more of the same – a little size but messy.

Monday the 14th is the one day in the first week with a full day of light onshore wind, offering a consistent 3ft W swell. It’s clean but tiny.

From the 15th to the 22nd, it’s a grim run of small, short-period swell and cross-shore winds. Don’t bother.

Then, on Wednesday the 23rd, we get a late pulse. The afternoon shows a 6ft WNW swell, but with a terrible 6-second period. The energy jumps to a moderate 515, but it’s blowing 9 mph cross-shore. That much swell with that short a period and onshore wind will be a washing machine. Too big for beginners, and only for experts who want a beating. This setup might actually be better for a kite than a paddle board.

The Pick? If you’re jonesing, the mornings of Thursday the 10th, Friday the 11th, and Sunday the 13th are your best bet. You’re looking for a clean, tiny 2-2ft wave with a very long period. That 17-second groundswell means long waits between sets. At a beach break, that long period makes the wave break straight and dumpy. It’s not ideal. The standout is Monday the 14th – a full day of clean, 3ft surf with onshore wind, making it the most consistent tiny option for a beginner. It’s not good, but it’s the best we’ve got.

Keep an eye on the end of the month. There’s energy coming, but it needs better wind.

- Rusty

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