Depressions Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let’s have a look at your local forecast for Depressions.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you—the next week and a half is pretty flat and frustrating. We’re looking at a long, slow stretch of poor surf conditions until we finally get a glimmer of hope on Saturday the 18th of July. The water is sitting at a mild 64°, which for this time of year feels a touch warmer than normal, so at least you won’t be freezing your toes off.

So, July 4th through July 13th is basically a write-off. Swell is tiny, mostly around 1ft to 3ft, coming from the SSW or SW with a long period that’s just not delivering any push. The combined wave energy is weak to moderate at best (209 to 662), but the waves are weak and wind-blown. There’s a mix of light onshore and cross-onshore breezes, making everything messy. A couple of mornings look like they might be okay for a float, but really, it’s not worth paddling out.

Around July 8th and 9th, we see a slight bump in size to 4ft to 5ft from the WNW, but the period is a short 9 seconds, so the waves are choppy and weak. The energy jumps a bit (392 to 829), but the actual surf quality is garbage—marginal at best, with strong cross-onshore winds.

We finally get a change on Saturday morning, July 18th. This is the one to circle. We’ve got a 2ft swell from the WNW, with a period of 16 seconds – that’s a nice, long groundswell. But the real hero here is the wind: a glassy, offshore breeze from the SSW at just 3 mph. The combined energy is moderate at 369, and conditions are expected to be good. It won’t be big, but it’ll be clean and well-shaped, especially for a point or a reef setup. For the beginners out there, this is a safe size, and the long period will mean clean lines but longer waits between sets. The downside? Crowds are possible here, so get out early.

Sunday the 19th also looks glassy in the morning with similar 2ft swell, but a bit less energy (254). Still a good option if you missed Saturday.

Now, for the second week, I’ll be quick: Wednesday the 15th and Thursday the 16th are still lookin’ poor and flat. Friday the 17th is marginal, but the real standouts are definitely the 18th and 19th. Keep an eye on that window, but remember, it’s long-range, so treat the promise with a little caution.

Honestly, Depressions is a tough spot for this whole forecast period. It’s a classic case of “it doesn’t stay poor for long,” but this time, it’s testing that rule. If you’re desperate for a paddle, wait for the glass-off on the 18th.

Rusty.

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