Depressions Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get this out there. It’s been a bit of a flat spell, and to be honest, the first few days aren't giving us much to work with. We're looking at a patchy run where the ocean just hasn't got its act together. It's not a total write-off, but you'll be chasing scraps more than scoring gems for the first part of this stretch.

Looking at the whole 16-day window, the pickings are slim. There are long gaps where there’s just nothing worth paddling out for. We’ve got a quiet start, then a brief blip of extra energy that doesn’t pan out, and then we’re back to small and marginal waves. The best window, if you can call it that, looks to be heading into the second week, but even that is far from a guarantee. It’s a lot of waiting and watching.

Right now, on Wednesday the 9th, the swell is tiny at 1ft. The water’s running much warmer than normal for this time of year, 70°F to be exact, which is a bit of a shock to the system. But that doesn't help the surf. The energy is weak, around 196, and it's just not doing anything.

The next few days, Thursday the 10th through Saturday the 12th, are similar. We’re stuck with small, weak swells around 2ft to 2ft. The mornings have a bit of light offshore wind, which is nice, but the swell just isn't there. The energy is moderate but it’s not translating into any rideable waves. You’d be fooling yourself to think there’s a wave out there with any push.

Sunday the 13th is where it gets interesting for a moment. The morning is still small at 4ft, but the afternoon sees a jump to 5ft with a bunch of short-period energy from the WNW. The combined energy spikes to 434, but the problem is the wind. It's cross-onshore, and it’s making everything a messy, choppy mess. At that size, and with that short period and cross-onshore wind, it's pretty much a write-off for a clean surf. This is a case where the conditions are just not on our side.

After that, the week ahead looks pretty grim. From Monday the 14th right through to Saturday the 19th, it’s a desert. Wave heights hover around 1ft to 2ft, with poor conditions and marginal surf being the best case scenario. There’s a lot of nothing, with energy readings mostly in the low to mid-100s and 200s. It's going to be a real test of patience.

The one bright spot in this whole run, and I mean the one, is the weekend of the 20th and 21st. Sunday the 20th has a 2ft SW swell with an 18-second period, and the energy is up there at 381. That’s a long-period groundswell, which is nice to see. The wind is light and offshore, which is a major positive. It’s still small, but the quality could be there. Then Monday the 21st also has some pulse, with a 2ft to 3ft SW swell and a similar long period, and energy at 282 and 388. The wind is again light and offshore in the morning. This is the standout window. It’s not big, but the conditions could line up for a clean, hollow little wave. Given it's so far out, treat it as promising but far from certain. The mornings, in particular, look like the best bet for the cleanest conditions.

From Tuesday the 22nd onward, it fades out again. We're back to sub-3ft swell and a lot of “poor” conditions. Nothing to get excited about. It’s just a flat, quiet end to the outlook.

So, honestly? The surf for most of this period is a no-go. If you’re desperate, keep an eye on that window around the 20th and 21st. But don't hold your breath for the rest. It’s one of those stretches where the boards stay in the car, and you might be better off thinking about other things.

Rusty

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