Dania South Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what we’ve got for Dania South Beach.

To be straight with you, the next two weeks are looking like a rough stretch for paddling into anything decent here. There’s no standout, no hidden gem to get excited about. The first week is all tiny, weak, and mostly messy, and while the second week shows a jump in energy, the wind and conditions look like they’ll ruin any chance of a clean wave. You’ll be sitting this one out unless you’re just after a float in warm water.

That water temperature, by the way, is sitting at 87° in the early forecast, which is a touch warmer than normal for the time of year. So, it’ll feel good on the skin, but the surf won’t do much for the soul.

Starting off Saturday the 12th, it’s not even worth paddling out. You’re looking at a tiny 0.4m (1 ft) swell from the ESE with a weak period of just 4 seconds. The combined energy is a limp 15, so basically nothing. Plus, there’s a risk of thunderstorms and a light cross-onshore breeze. Poor surf from the get-go. Sunday the 13th offers a glassy window in the afternoon, but the swell drops to 0.5m (2 ft) from the SE with the same short 4-second period. It’s clean, but flat. Monday and Tuesday stay in the same rut – tiny, weak, and onshore winds for the most part.

Wednesday the 16th afternoon sees a small bump, with the swell picking up to 0.8m (3 ft) from the NNE at 8 seconds, and the energy climbs to 93. But it’s onshore wind and labeled as “poor surf conditions.” Not your window. Thursday the 17th and Friday the 18th see the energy get into triple digits (121 and 100 respectively), with a 0.8m to 0.9m (3 to 3 ft) swell from the NNE. But again, that moderate cross-onshore breeze will chop it right up. That pattern of building but messy energy continues, with nothing clean until we hit a dry patch.

Then, from Saturday the 19th through to Wednesday the 24th, it’s back to tiny swell, mostly under 0.4m (1 ft), with onshore winds and very low energy (4 to 58). This is a full dead spell. There’s a brief moment of glassy conditions on the morning of Thursday the 24th, but with only 0.2m (0.7 ft) of swell and 7 seconds of period, that’s lake conditions, not surf.

Now, here’s the kicker for the end of the window. Friday the 25th through Sunday the 27th shows a real increase in size and power. The swell jumps to 0.9m (3 ft) on Friday morning and 1.3m (4 ft) by Saturday morning, with period stretching to 11 and even 12 seconds. The energy numbers are big – hitting 244 on Friday morning and 412 by Saturday. This is the most significant swell of the whole forecast, coming from the NNE. But – and it’s a big but – the wind is howling from the E at 30 km/h (19 mph), onshore, all day long. That much wind and that much onshore angle will make it a bumpy, blown-out mess. For a beach and reef setup with that much wind, this looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. It’s a shame, because the raw energy is there, but it’s just not surfable for a traditional surfer.

To sum it up: there are no good surf options in this 16-day window. The only real swell arrives on the 25th, 26th, and 27th, but it’s married to strong onshore winds. The rest is flat or tiny and blown out. With a break that is already “inconsistent,” this kind of blank run is pretty normal for the area, and forecasts can always change, but right now? Leave the boards at home.

Rusty.

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