Coogee Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a proper look at the next couple of weeks for our stretch of coast. It’s a bit of a mixed bag, so let’s get into it.

To start, we’re looking at a pretty average run of surf. There’s some energy in the water, but the winds are going to be working against us for most of the first week. We’ve got a spell of small, choppy, onshore slop that’s going to have you checking the cams and shaking your head. Expect a bit of a waiting game.

Saturday the 15th kicks off with a small 4ft south swell, but a gentle cross-shore wind will have it looking a bit lumpy. The water is a touch on the chilly side too, sitting at 61°, which is about 3° colder than the long-term average for this time of year. It’s not a dramatic drop, but you’ll feel it in a thin wetsuit. This one is a scratchy, marginal call at best.

The rest of that weekend and into the start of the next week doesn't offer much hope. The swell drops off and the cross-onshore winds just chop it all up into nothing. It’s all small, weak, and poor. This is a solid stretch of nothing.

Now, the first real glimmer of hope shows up on Wednesday the 19th. The swell isn’t huge, only about 4ft from the ESE, but the magic word is there: offshore. A light W wind should clean up Coogee’s (beach reef and point) surfaces nicely. The wave energy is only moderate (314), but it’ll be head-high and clean. It’s not a world-beater, but after a few days of junk, it’ll feel like a champion. Don’t expect the crowds to be in a forgiving mood, they’ll be out for whatever they can get.

Then we go dry again. The swell dies right off for the next few days, and we’re back to small, clean but tiny waves that are barely worth the paddle. This lull looks to stretch on through Thursday and Friday, and into Saturday the 22nd. The morning will be flat and clean, but by Saturday afternoon, the wind swings to the south and howls to 25 mph, dragging up a sudden 7ft of south swell. It’ll be raw and powerful, but that strength of wind is going to shred it. It’s a classic case of a quick, windy pulse, not a clean surf day.

Sunday the 23rd is a much better deal. The swell settles back to a clean 4ft from the south, but this time it’s with a light offshore W wind again. This will be a fun, clean groveler with better shape than the previous week. The energy is a bit stronger this time (287) and looks to be a decent Sunday morning session.

But the most promising window on the whole chart is the following Saturday, the 29th. Now, this is a long way out, so don’t book your flights just yet, but the models are showing a nice push of ENE swell around 6ft – 6ft, with a fresh offshore W wind. The energy is building to a strong level (523) which should translate into some proper, punchy walls. This is the standout on offer, looking at a Saturday morning with moderate offshore wind and a solid amount of swell. The period is a short-ish 8 seconds, which can make it a bit crumbly, but the direction is right and it’ll have some power. Keep your fingers crossed that this one holds together.

Before that, Thursday the 28th also looks surfable with around 7ft of ENE swell, but the winds and conditions are more marginal. The 29th is the one to mark in the calendar. It’s a week and a half away, so it’s a promising long-range call, but one that could still shift left or right.

After that, the swell starts to fade again into Sunday the 30th. It’s a smaller 3ft to 3ft from the ESE, but with light offshore winds and even a chance of some glassy conditions in the afternoon. It’ll be a clean, small-wave day to finish the run.

So, to wrap it up: bring your patience. The first half of this period is mostly a write-off. If you’re keen, Wednesday the 19th and Sunday the 23rd are your best bets for a morning paddle. But the real one to watch is Saturday the 29th – it looks like the best combination of size, wind, and condition on offer. Just remember it’s a long-range forecast and things can change.

Rusty, signing off.

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