Church Cove Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s comin’ our way at Church Cove. I’m gonna be straight with you – this isn’t exactly a classic run of waves. The next week and a half is looking pretty grim, with a lot of time spent staring at flat, messy water. But there is a couple of little flickers of hope if you’re patient.

The short story is that we’ve got a long, dry spell ahead. From today, Sunday the 12th, right through until Saturday the 19th, the surf is basically a no-go. The swell is tiny, mostly under 2 ft, and the wind is all over the shop – mostly a cross-off or cross-on breeze that’s just ruining any chance of a clean wave. The combined energy is weak, barely cracking 100 (22 to 96). It’s just not worth paddling out for.

The first real shred of hope comes on Sunday the 19th in the afternoon. We’ll see a little bump of new swell, coming in from the NW at 4 ft, with a period of 6 seconds. The wind will be a light cross-off from the ESE, which will keep the surface clean. It’s not gonna be firing, just “surfable waves but very ordinary conditions,” but it’s something. The energy is a moderate 137.

After that, we slip back into the doldrums for a few more days. The wind stays messy, and the swell is inconsistent. It’s not until Thursday the 23rd that things get a bit more interesting. The morning sees a bit more size, with a 4 ft WNW swell, period of 8 seconds, and a light cross-off breeze from the E. The combined energy jumps to a solid 233, so there’s a bit of kick to it. Again, it’s not a classic, but it’s the best-looking window in the first two weeks.

The Real Standout. Now, if you’re an experienced surfer and you’re willing to wait, the real deal might be on Monday the 27th in the morning. The swell is set to pump at 10 ft from the WSW, with a period of 10 seconds. That’s a serious groundswell. The combined energy is a whopping 1847, so there’s a ton of power behind it. The wind is a light offshore from the SW. This is the most promising looking setup in the whole forecast. The wave comment says “marginal surf forecast or questionable tide conditions,” but for a spot like Church Cove, which is fairly exposed to a SW swell, this could be a proper session. Just be aware that at 10 ft, this is expert territory only. And with crowds listed as “sometimes,” you might have company.

So, to wrap it up: the next two weeks are mostly a write-off. If you’re desperate, Sunday the 19th afternoon or Thursday the 23rd morning offer the only real opportunities for a paddle. But the one to mark on your calendar is Monday the 27th – that’s the big one, but it’s for the confident crew only.

Stay patient, and stay wet.

Rusty.

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