Church Cove Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Hey, Rusty here. I’ve scanned the Church Cove forecast for the next 16 days, and honestly, it’s a flat, messy run. There’s not a single window where the surf comes together – every session is marked “poor surf conditions.” The water’s sitting at 66°F with a 4°F anomaly, so it’s much warmer than usual for this time of year, but that’s about the only bright spot.

The first few days – from Saturday 18 July through to Friday 24 July – are all tiny, with swell hovering around 0.7 ft to 1 ft, mostly from the west. The wind is often cross-off or cross-on, sometimes light, but never clean enough to make something out of nothing. On Monday 20 July there’s a brief bump in period to 11 seconds, but the swell is still only 1.0 ft, and the wind shifts onshore in the afternoon. Tuesday 21 July morning goes glassy with 1 ft, but again, it’s just too small to ride.

Then around Saturday 25 July, the swell finally shows some life – 7 ft from the west-northwest with a combined energy of 445 (moderate wave energy). But the wind is cross, creating a cross-chop, and the period is a short 7 seconds. That’s a messy, lumpy wave. For a beginner spot like Church Cove, 7 ft is already too big for learners, and with the wind slapping it sideways, it’s not worth paddling out. The next few days keep that lumpy, cross-shore vibe, with swell dropping back to 3 ft and energy around 100. By Tuesday 28 July, the swell pushes 5 ft again but with onshore wind, making it choppy and poor.

After that, it fades back to tiny – 1.0 ft to 2 ft – through the end of July and into August. The wind sometimes goes offshore on 31 July morning (ENE 16 mph), but with only 1.0 ft swell, it’s just a clean little ripple, not a wave. The entire 16-day window is a blank run – no surf worth mentioning. For Church Cove, which is already inconsistent, this kind of stretch is normal. The forecasts can change, but as it stands, there’s nothing to get excited about.

– Rusty

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