Church Cove Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let’s have a look at what’s on the table for Church Cove.

Honestly, I’m looking at this 16-day window and it’s a real tough one for Church Cove. The forecast is mostly a flat, choppy, and ordinary run. We’ve got a big gap of surf that’s barely worth a paddle, stretching from now, the 30th of July, all the way through the first week of August. The waves are there, but they’re small, weak, and the wind is usually a mess. There’s no standout session, no day that screams “get in the water.” The best we can say is there’s a bit of a pulse, but it’s not going to be a memory-maker.

The water temperature is sitting at 67°, which is a whopping 5° warmer than usual for this time of year. That’s a real anomaly, so you can leave the thick wetsuit at home; it’s feeling much more like a summer bath.

The only time I see a glimmer of hope is on the morning of Monday the 3rd of August. We’ve got an offshore wind from the ENE, glassy conditions, and the combined swell energy nudges up to 111 (moderate). The swell is from the WSW at 3 ft with a 9-second period. It’s surfable, but it’s still very ordinary. It’s the closest thing to clean we’ll get, but it’s tiny. Forget about the bigger stuff that appears later.

Then, on Sunday the 9th of August, the swell starts to kick up. The afternoon sees a 6 ft swell from the SW, with a combined energy of 369 (strong). But the wind is a cross-onshore from the S at 12 mph, making it choppy. The period is short at 7 seconds, so it’s just a messy, crumbly wall. That’s too big for beginners at 6 ft, and with the onshore wind, it’s not going to be a classic for anyone. The morning of the 10th of August has a 5 ft swell from the WSW, but it’s onshore wind from the SW. It’s a step down in size, but still not clean.

The following days into the second week are a real write-off. The swell drops back to tiny, and the wind is either onshore or cross-onshore, with some fresh breezes hitting 19 mph by the 11th. The period stays short, and the energy is weak. The 14th of August has a tiny 1.0 ft swell with a clean offshore NNE wind, but it’s basically flat.

I’m struggling to find a real highlight here. If I absolutely had to pick a time to go, it’s that Monday morning the 3rd of August. The conditions will be glassy and clean, and the swell is the most promising it gets for a clean wave. But don’t expect a big day; it’s a session for the log or a longboard. The rest of the period is a lesson in patience.

Rusty.

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