Church Cove Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, let’s take a look at what’s on the cards for the next couple of weeks.

To be straight with you, the outlook is a tough one. We’re looking at a long, dry spell with hardly any surf worth paddling out for. From now until the middle of the month, the swell is tiny and the conditions are mostly messy. There’s a lot of weak, short-period windswell and poor wind directions making a mess of things. It’s the kind of setup that will have you staring at a flat ocean more often than not.

The first real glimmer of hope, and honestly the only standout window in the whole 16 days, is Monday, August 3rd. Early that morning at Church Cove, we’ve got a small 3ft WSW swell with a period of 8 seconds. The wind is glassy – absolutely dead calm – and the combined energy is a weak 81. It’s not going to be pumping, but for a spot that’s been getting hammered by cross-shore wind and chop, this is a rare moment of clean, rideable conditions. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so no need to worry about a wetsuit change. Just keep in mind, Church Cove is inconsistent and sometimes has crowds, but on a Monday morning with that tiny swell, you might have it mostly to yourself.

After that, it’s back to the same old story. The rest of the first week and into the second week shows tiny, weak swells with poor onshore or cross-shore winds. The wind does go clean offshore from August 7th onward, but the swell drops to almost nothing – 0.7ft to 1.0ft. The combined energy numbers are pitiful, in the single digits and low teens. It’s just not enough to push a surfer around.

The tail end of the forecast, around August 13th and 14th, the swell starts to pick up a little. On the 13th afternoon, we see a 3ft WNW swell hitting 128 combined energy, and by the 14th morning it’s a 3ft W swell with 183 energy, with clean offshore winds. The period is 9-10 seconds, so it’s a modest groundswell. It’s promising, but still weak and very far out. The period isn’t long enough to make it a standout, and it’s a long way off. Keep an eye on it, but don’t bank on it.

For now, the only real shout is that Monday morning glass-off at Church Cove. It’s small, it’s clean, and it’s your best bet in a very quiet forecast.

Rusty.

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