Church Cove Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s break down what’s coming for Church Cove.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – the next few days are pretty grim. We’ve got a bit of swell, but the wind is just all wrong. Sunday, September 6th, is a write-off: cross-shore and cross-onshore breezes, choppy, messy, and the energy is weak (146 and 101). Don’t even bother.

Now, Monday the 7th morning sees a real jump in size – 7ft from the WSW with a period of 13 seconds. That’s proper groundswell energy, you can feel it in the numbers (1571). But the wind is cross, so it’s gonna be a lumpy, cross-choppy mess. It’s a “marginal” call. The afternoon is worse with onshore wind. Not the day.

Tuesday the 8th is where it gets a little interesting. The morning is clean, with a light cross-off wind from the NNW. The swell is still solid at 7ft from the west, period 10 seconds, and there’s plenty of energy in the water (1367). That’s the best we’ve seen all week, but it’s a powerful wave. For experienced surfers, Tuesday morning is the standout of the first week. The afternoon gets shredded by a fresh 22 mph cross-breeze, so get in early.

Wednesday and Thursday (9th and 10th) are mostly onshore, choppy, and poor. The swell drops off a cliff on Thursday to a weak 4ft. The wind is straight onshore, making it terrible.

We then hit a long, dry gap. From Friday the 11th all the way through to Monday the 14th, the surf is weak, the wind is onshore or cross-onshore, and the scores are zero. It’s about 4 days of absolute flatness and frustration. The only tiny glimmer is Monday the 14th morning, but it’s still onshore and weak.

Then, on Tuesday the 15th, we get a little pulse. The morning is clean with a light cross-off from the NNW, swell 5ft from the west with a nice 11-second period (498 energy). It’s marginal, but at least it’s clean. Not a standout, but a glimmer.

Now, for the real standout of the whole outlook – you have to wait until Wednesday the 16th of September. The morning is absolutely glassy. Zero wind from the NE. The swell is a clean 6ft from the west, period 10 seconds, and the energy is solid (630). The report says “expect good surf conditions.” That is the best single session in the entire 16-day window. If you can get out that morning, you’ll have the place to yourself because it’s inconsistent, so the crowds are only “sometimes” a problem. A clean, glassy, 6ft west swell at Church Cove – that’s a rare treat.

After that, the rest of the forecast is a slow fade. The 17th and 18th are weak and mostly messy. The 19th of September has a clean morning (light offshore, 4ft, 10s) but it’s small.

Bottom line: The first week is a bust. Tuesday the 8th morning is the only half-decent option for the experienced crew. The absolute winner, the one you mark on your calendar, is Wednesday the 16th of September morning. Glassy, clean, solid 6ft west swell. That’s the one.

Rusty.

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