Church Cove Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright surfers, Rusty here. Let’s cut to the chase. The next two weeks at Church Cove are looking proper grim. We've got a long stretch of poor conditions and tiny surf ahead. The first few days are a total loss – there's just no energy at all. So don't rush to wax up; it's going to be a quiet one for a while.

Looking for a glimmer of hope, the morning of Thursday the 13th is the first time the surf even gets a passing nod. It’s not much, but it’s something. Swell is up to 4ft from the WSW with a period of 11 seconds. The wind is a cross-off from the NNW, so it’ll be clean, but the energy is still weak, registering just 344. It’s a tough call at best, and the break is inconsistent anyway, so you’d be scratching for anything. The water temp is 66°, which is a touch warmer than usual for this time of year. After that, we drop right back into the poor conditions and tiny surf for days.

We keep scanning, and the most promising window, if you can call it that, is the morning of Tuesday the 19th. The swell ticks up to 4ft from the WNW, with a solid 11-second period, and the energy climbs to 370. This is the biggest groundswell pulse in the whole window. But the wind is a cross-on from the WNW, making it choppy and messy. It’s frustrating because there’s some power there, but the wind is going to ruin it. It’s the only real window with any kind of size and period, but you’ll be fighting the chop. Church Cove is a fairly exposed spot, so it takes the brunt from all directions.

A full week later, on Monday the 24th, things get lively, but not in a good way for us. The afternoon sees a jump in swell to a solid 7ft from the west, with a strong energy reading of 585 and a howling 25 mph north wind. That’s a building, raw swell with strong winds. That kind of setup at a beach-and-reef break like this is looking far more interesting for the kite surfers than it is for us.

Then on Wednesday the 26th, the ocean really wakes up in the afternoon. Swell hits 8ft from the W, with an energy reading of 722, the strongest of the entire forecast. But the wind is light and onshore from the WSW, the period is a short 8 seconds, and there's light rain. It’s just a messy, maxed-out closeout potential. That’s proper expert territory, and even then, with that short period and onshore wind, it'll be a grinder. Long-range calls like this are promising but far from certain; still, it's worth keeping an eye on.

So, there you have it. A whole lot of nothing, a couple of marginal, wind-affected days, and a possible late burst of unruly, powerful swell. Church Cove is inconsistent, and this stretch really shows it. It’s the kind of dry spell that’s more normal for the area than a fluke. Forecasts can change, but as it stands, I’d find something else to do for the next two weeks.

Stay salty.

Rusty

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