Church Cove Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a proper look at what’s on offer at Church Cove over the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, I’ve got to be straight with you – this is a tough one. The 16-day window starts with a big, fat gap. For the first six days, from Sunday the 19th right through to the end of Friday the 25th, there’s nothing worth paddling out for. The swell is tiny, mostly around 0.7 ft to 1 ft, and the energy is barely registering, with combined swell energy values sitting at just 6 to 30. That’s not surf, that’s a lake. The wind is all over the place too – some glassy moments, sure, but even with clean conditions, there’s just no wave to ride. It’s a dead start.

Things start to show a pulse around Saturday the 26th, but it’s still pretty ordinary. The swell picks up slightly to 2 ft from the WNW, with a period of 6 seconds and combined energy of 44, but it’s got a cross-shore wind and a cross-chop that’ll have you bouncing around. Not good.

The 27th and 28th see a rise in swell, but the wind turns against us. By Monday the 28th, we’re looking at 5 ft to 5 ft swell from the WNW, with periods around 7 seconds and combined energy hitting 245 to 266. That’s moderate energy, but it comes with a fresh cross-onshore wind that’ll chop it all to pieces. This setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing, to be honest.

Now, the best bet in this whole outlook is a bit of a compromise. It falls on Thursday the 30th of July in the morning. The swell is a meagre 2 ft from the west, period 10 seconds, combined energy 93 – only weak energy. But here’s the thing: the wind is offshore from the NNE at 12 mph, blowing clean. The water is about average for the time of year. It’s not a standout by any stretch, but it’s the only period where the conditions are remotely surfable and the wind is actually working for us. The break itself is Church Cove, which is a sheltered little spot, fairly exposed to the SW swell, but it’s inconsistent and crowds are possible sometimes. On a 2 ft west swell with a clean offshore breeze, it might just offer a few fun little waves if you’re patient.

Looking further out, the first week of August sees a little more size – 4 ft to 4 ft from the west on the 2nd and 3rd, with combined energy climbing to 194 and 263, but the wind is cross-offshore and the consistency is still poor. These are promising but less certain calls, and the surf quality remains ordinary. Honestly, don’t hold your breath.

Signing off, Rusty.

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