Church Cove Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you—this 16-day window for Church Cove is a long, flat, and frustrating stretch. There’s a solid gap of nothing worth paddling out for at the start, and honestly, the whole period is a test of patience. The first real chance of anything half-decent doesn’t show up until way down the track.

The opening week is a write-off. From the 9th through to the 17th, we’re looking at tiny, weak swells with poor energy. The water’s a touch warmer than usual for this time of year at 66°F, but that’s about the only highlight. You’ll see a bit of bump on the 12th, but it’s weak and won’t get you excited. The 13th brings a slight pulse, but it’s marginal at best. It’s a real grind.

After that, there’s a proper lull for several days—nothing but knee-high dribble and onshores. It’s the kind of stretch where you’d be better off sorting your gear than staring at the ocean.

Then, finally, on Tuesday the 18th, things start to wake up. The morning looks like the best bet of the whole period. We’ve got a clean, glassy dawn with a 5ft swell rolling in from the west. The energy reading is 272, which is moderate, and the swell period is 8 seconds. It’s not huge, but with the glassy conditions, it’ll be the cleanest surf we’ve seen. This is the standout, but don’t book the day off work just yet—the afternoon turns to junk with a cross-shore breeze. For a beginner, 5ft is getting on the bigger side, so be aware.

Wednesday the 19th has a similar story early—glassy with 4ft from the west, but it’s “ordinary” at best. The wind stays light in the morning, but it’s not the same quality as Tuesday. As we get into the 20th, there’s a bit of swell, but the period drops right off, making it short and weak.

The final stretch into the 24th is a return to the flatness. It’s small, mostly cross-offshore and clean, but there’s just no power. This isn’t a blank run that’s out of the ordinary for this spot—it’s a slow, quiet time of year, and the forecast says it’s likely to stay that way.

So, if you’re keen, keep an eye on the dawn patrol on Tuesday the 18th. That’s the one to go for. Everything else is just waiting for the next proper swell to fill in. Until then, stay patient.

Rusty.

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