Church Cove Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what Church Cove is doing for us over the next couple of weeks.

To be straight with you, the first week is a bit of a tease. There’s a few days where the ocean is just not playing ball. From the start of Monday the 6th of July right through to Tuesday the 7th, it’s pretty much a write-off. The swell is small and weak, and the wind is all wrong – cross-on and choppy. Not worth paddling out.

We start to see a glimmer of hope on Wednesday the 8th. The morning session kicks off with a clean 3 ft swell from the west, with a period of 10 seconds. The wind is light and cross-off, setting it up nicely. The combined swell energy is (125) – moderate. It’s not going to blow your mind, but it’s surfable. Thursday the 9th looks even better. We’ve got a solid offshore wind (NE) in the morning. The waves are still around 3 ft from the west, period 9 seconds, and it’s clean. The afternoon hangs in there too with a light cross-off breeze. Friday the 10th morning gets a bit lively with a stronger cross-off breeze, but the real treat is the afternoon. It goes glassy. Dead calm. The waves are 3 ft from the west, period 9 seconds, and it’s just you and the ocean (120 energy). That’s a standout moment for the week.

Saturday the 11th keeps the clean conditions going with a light cross-off, and the swell hangs around 3 ft from the west. Not big, but the consistency is there.

Now the second week takes a sharp turn. Sunday the 12th and Monday the 13th see the swell drop right off to almost nothing – 1.0 ft and 0.7 ft with very strange long-period groundswell (19 seconds!) but it’s weak as water (23-55 energy). Not a surfer’s wave. The following days through to Thursday the 16th are all minimal knee-high slop at best. Then on Friday the 17th of July, we get a little bump back up to 3 ft with a westerly direction, but the period is a short 5 seconds. It’s clean in the morning with an offshore breeze, but the combined energy is still low (83). Saturday the 18th through Monday the 20th sees the swell building quickly – up to 5 ft, then 7 ft, and even 7 ft with some solid energy (531 at its peak). But the wind is a mess. Cross-off breezes up to 22 mph and cross-shore chop make those bigger waves a battle. The long-range standout that could be worth a look, if you’re an expert, is the morning of Tuesday the 21st of July. We have a 6 ft west swell with an 8-second period and moderate wind. The energy is strong (378), but it’s going to be a lumpy, powerful session. Not for the faint hearted.

Water temp is about average for the time of year, nothing unusual.

Keep your eyes on that glassy Friday afternoon and the clean Thursday morning. That’s the best we’ve got in the first week.

Rusty.

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