Church Cove Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, let’s look at what we’ve got on the table for Church Cove.

Honestly, mate, looking over the whole 16-day run, it’s a pretty quiet stretch. The swell stays small and the quality is mostly ordinary, so we’re not looking at any proper standout days. The best window falls around the middle of the week, but even then, it’s more about having a paddle than scoring gems.

Let’s start with Sunday the 9th. It’s flat out messy – clear skies but a 10-15 mph cross-onshore breeze has the water all chopped up. Swell is tiny at 1 ft from the WNW with a 9-second period, and the combined energy is weak (31). The water is sitting at 66°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, but that’s about the only good thing. Pretty much a write-off.

Monday the 10th is a bit better. Morning sees a light cross-offshore breeze from the NNW at 6 mph, tidying things up. Swell lifts slightly to 2 ft from the west with a 9-second period, and the combined energy jumps to 71. It’s still small, but clean enough for a longboard or a foiler. The afternoon gets a bit windier (9 mph) but stays clean.

Now, Wednesday the 12th is where we see a little pulse. The afternoon is the pick of the week so far: glassy conditions with a 3 mph SSE breeze, and the swell bumps up to 3 ft from the WSW at 9 seconds. The energy reads moderate at 142. It’s still ordinary waves, but glassy and small is a rare combo, so if you’re desperate for a slide, that’s your moment.

Thursday the 13th has more size – 4 ft from the west in the afternoon, with a 10-second period and a combined energy of 292 – solid energy for the area. But the 15 mph cross-shore wind ruins it, chopping everything up. Not worth it.

From there, it’s a long, dry spell. Friday the 14th through Tuesday the 19th is a dead zone. The swell drops back under 2 ft, winds are all over the place, and the only clean moments are too small to bother with. By Wednesday the 19th, we get a 0.7 ft, 16-second groundswell with glassy conditions, but that’s barely a ripple. The combined energy is only 41.

The last few days (20th to 24th) have a few clean mornings with offshore winds, like Thursday the 20th morning with a 12 mph NNE offshore, but again, the swell is tiny (2 ft). The energy sits between 51 and 112, which is just weak to low-moderate.

So, the best of a bad bunch is Wednesday the 12th afternoon at Church Cove. Glassy conditions and a bit of waist-high swell (3 ft) from the WSW. It’s small and the break is inconsistent, but it’s the cleanest you’ll get. The rest is a long gap of nothing much. Sometimes the area goes quiet, and this is one of those times. Forecasts can change, but right now, keep your expectations low.

Rusty.

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