Surf Forecasts:
Carmel Beach surf forecast from 10 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 11 Aug, 11PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 18s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 15 Aug, 5AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 17s period, SSW swell with 629 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 10 Aug, 11PM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 9s period with NW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Carmel Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Carmel Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Carmel Beach in the next 16 days are 1.0m 17s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 15) at 5AM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 11PM (Mon 10th Aug) | 4ft (1.2m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 11PM (Tue 11th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 18s |
| Most Powerful | 5AM (Sat 15th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Carmel Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Hey crew, Rusty here with the lowdown on Carmel Beach for the next couple of weeks. I’ll be honest, it’s looking pretty flat and funky for a while, so don’t get too excited just yet.
We start off slow. Monday morning, August 10th, there’s some waist-high NW swell at about 5 ft, with wave energy sitting at a moderate 543. Wind is onshore from the WNW at 6 mph, so it’s not doing us any favors. Water temp is about 60°, which is normal for this time of year. Tuesday and Wednesday stay small and onshore, with nothing really worth paddling out for. If you’re itching, Monday morning is your best early call, but keep it mellow.
From Thursday, August 13th, through the middle of the month, it gets pretty bleak. Swell drops off to nothing, and the wind stays messy. There’s a long-period SSW groundswell trying to show on Friday, August 14th, with 2 ft to 2 ft and periods up to 19 seconds, but the wave energy is moderate (499) and the wind is onshore. At a beach break, that long period will just make it weak and straight—not worth it.
From Saturday, August 15th, through Wednesday, August 19th, it’s more of the same: small SSW swell, cross-onshore winds, and poor conditions. Wave energy stays in the moderate range, mostly between 300 and 500. The best of a rough patch might be Wednesday morning, August 19th, with light cross-onshore winds and 3 ft from the SSW, but it’s still only a 1 out of 10. Not a standout.
From Thursday, August 20th, through Tuesday, August 25th, it stays tiny—mostly below 3 ft—with cross-onshore winds. There’s a little bump on Tuesday afternoon, August 25th, with 5 ft from the NW, but the period is a short 6 seconds and wind is a moderate cross-onshore at 12 mph. That’s more of a kite-surfing setup than a paddling one.
Honestly, there’s no real standout in this 16-day window. The consistency is low, and the quality just isn’t there. Forecasts can change, so don’t lose hope, but for now, it’s a waiting game.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Tue afternoon, min 14°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Fri morning, min 13°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | SSW 18 | NW 9 | NW 9 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | SSW 19 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 373 | 330 | 216 | 294 | 226 | 207 | 287 | 316 | 235 | 309 | 286 | 217 | 212 | 251 | 276 | 505 | 407 | 525 | 387 | 287 | 330 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | on | glassy | on | on | on | on | on | on | cross-on | on | on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on |
High Tide | 10:27AM1.17m | 8:54PM1.97m | 11:03AM1.23m | 9:48PM1.96m | 11:38AM1.30m | 10:38PM1.89m | 12:13PM1.37m | 11:28PM1.76m | 12:48PM1.44m | 00:18AM1.59m | 1:23PM1.49m | 1:11AM1.40m | 1:58PM1.52m | 2:10AM1.21m | |||||||
Low Tide | 2:38PM0.81m | 4:21AM-0.35m | 3:37PM0.71m | 5:03AM-0.33m | 4:32PM0.62m | 5:41AM-0.25m | 5:27PM0.54m | 6:18AM-0.12m | 6:22PM0.48m | 6:53AM0.06m | 7:18PM0.44m | 7:26AM0.26m | 8:18PM0.42m | ||||||||
 | |  | | | |  | |  | | | | |  | | | | | | |  | |
 | 6:20 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — |
 | — | 8:04 | — | — | 8:02 | — | — | 8:01 | — | — | 8:00 | — | — | 8:00 | — | — | 7:58 | — | — | 7:57 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 15 |
Feels °C | 16 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | NW 8 | WNW 8 | NW 8 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 |
| kJ | 373 | 330 | 216 | 294 | 226 | 178 | 287 | 316 | 235 | 309 | 286 | 217 | 147 | 103 | 84 | 505 | 407 | 525 | 387 | 287 | 330 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | S 13 | SSW 14 | SSW 18 | SW 17 | SSW 16 | SW 16 | SSW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | NW 8 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 |
| kJ | 158 | 141 | 101 | 87 | 118 | 207 | 145 | 175 | 206 | 164 | 193 | 191 | 140 | 251 | 276 | 57 | 36 | 32 | 90 | 116 | 57 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 11 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 14 | SW 18 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 13 | S 11 | S 11 | S 11 | SSW 20 | SSW 19 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | S 10 | SW 13 | WNW 10 | NW 7 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 |
| kJ | 12 | 98 | 96 | 33 | 155 | 27 | 28 | 99 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 76 | 212 | 140 | 186 | 30 | 44 | 20 | 21 | 19 | 38 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 7 | WNW 4 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 30 | 12 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 192 | 81 | 0 | 81 | 81 | 7 | 122 | 187 | 9 | 81 | 9 | 9 | 148 | 305 | 7 | 148 | 45 | 20 | 148 | 45 | 7 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Monterey | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Carmel Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Carmel Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Carmel Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Carmel Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Carmel Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Carmel Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Carmel Beach is 3 km (2 miles) from Monterey. If you plan a vacation in Monterey, look for hotels and other accommodation in Monterey. Monterey has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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