Surf Forecasts:
Carmel Beach surf forecast from 31 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 3 Aug, 11PM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 10s period, NW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 3 Aug, 8AM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 10s period, NW swell with 1,264 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 3 Aug, 11PM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 10s period with NW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Carmel Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Carmel Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 03) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.9m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Carmel Beach in the next 16 days are 2.4m 10s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 03) at 8AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 13s period and expected on Friday (Jul 31) at 11AM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 11PM (Mon 3rd Aug) | 6ft (1.9m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 11PM (Mon 3rd Aug) | 6ft (1.9m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 8AM (Mon 3rd Aug) | 8ft (2.4m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Carmel Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Imperial Units
Alright, let’s break it down in feet and miles per hour. The first few days are a write-off, with a steady cross-onshore breeze messing up the surface. You’re looking at a gap of about four days before anything really gets going.
The first real chance to get a few rides comes on Sunday, August 3rd. The afternoon sees a 7ft swell from the WNW, with a 10-second period and a combined energy that’s moderate. The wind is still onshore, so it’s going to be a bit lumpy and jumbled. That’s a solid size, too – 7ft is for the experienced crew, not the beginners. Water temperature is about normal for the season.
The real standout, if the forecast holds, is around Thursday, August 15th. We’re looking at a 3ft swell from the SSW, but with a really long period of 17 seconds. That’s a proper groundswell. The wind is a light cross-onshore, and the combined energy is moderate (712). That period will give you some clean, long, peeling lines, especially away from the beach breaks. It’s a mellow size, but the quality should be there. The light wind means the surface will be glassy or with just tiny ripples. Keep an eye on that date – it’s the best bet in the whole 16-day window. Crowds are possible at the main spots, so get there early.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Fri afternoon, min 14°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Mon afternoon, min 14°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 10 | NW 10 | NW 10 | NW 10 | NW 10 | NW 10 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | NW 8 | NW 9 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 282 | 221 | 276 | 268 | 291 | 390 | 743 | 875 | 932 | 1145 | 1081 | 936 | 725 | 575 | 387 | 258 | 188 | 162 | 166 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | glassy |
High Tide | 11:21PM1.65m | 1:12PM1.23m | 11:59PM1.56m | 1:38PM1.30m | 00:41AM1.43m | 2:06PM1.37m | 1:31AM1.28m | 2:37PM1.46m | 2:34AM1.11m | 3:14PM1.54m | 4:01AM0.97m | 3:57PM1.62m | |||||||
Low Tide | 6:31AM-0.09m | 6:06PM0.73m | 6:59AM0.00m | 6:56PM0.69m | 7:26AM0.13m | 7:53PM0.63m | 7:55AM0.28m | 8:58PM0.55m | 8:25AM0.45m | 10:13PM0.44m | 8:59AM0.62m | 11:33PM0.29m | |||||||
 | | |  | |  | | | |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — |
 | 8:15 | — | 8:14 | — | — | 8:13 | — | — | 8:13 | — | — | 8:12 | — | — | 8:10 | — | — | 8:09 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 16 | 17 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 15 |
Feels °C | 13 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 8 | NW 8 | S 14 | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 10 | NW 10 | NW 10 | NW 10 | NW 10 | NW 10 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | NW 8 | NW 9 |
| kJ | 282 | 221 | 180 | 268 | 291 | 390 | 743 | 875 | 932 | 1145 | 1081 | 936 | 725 | 575 | 387 | 258 | 188 | 162 | 166 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 15 | S 13 | SSW 14 | S 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | S 12 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 |
| kJ | 157 | 85 | 40 | 153 | 57 | 55 | 75 | 49 | 46 | 44 | 44 | 42 | 38 | 38 | 34 | 73 | 71 | 52 | 71 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 13 | S 14 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | S 13 | S 13 | S 12 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 12 | SW 12 | S 13 | SSW 11 | S 13 | S 13 |
| kJ | 92 | 103 | 56 | 53 | 54 | 52 | 53 | 29 | 28 | 26 | 42 | 41 | 40 | 37 | 36 | 14 | 12 | 31 | 12 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | NW 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | 276 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 2 | 42 | 45 | 20 | 45 | 45 | 20 | 148 | 45 | 20 | 122 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Monterey | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Carmel Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Carmel Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Carmel Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Carmel Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Carmel Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Carmel Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Carmel Beach is 3 km (2 miles) from Monterey. If you plan a vacation in Monterey, look for hotels and other accommodation in Monterey. Monterey has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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