
Surf Forecasts:
Carmel Beach surf forecast from 25 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Monday 27 Jul, 2PM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 18s period, SSW swell with 903 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Carmel Beach this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Carmel Beach in the next 16 days are 1.2m 18s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 27) at 2PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 15s period and expected on Friday (Jul 31) at 8AM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 2PM (Mon 27th Jul) | 4ft (1.2m) 18s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Carmel Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, here’s what’s shaking for the next couple of weeks. Gotta be honest, it’s a dry spell for most of it.
Right out the gate, we’ve got nothing worth paddling for. All through the end of July, it’s poor conditions with cross-onshore winds messing up any chance of clean waves. The first time you might even see something borderline is Tuesday the 29th of July, but it’s still just marginal and wind is a pain. Then from the 30th of July through to about the 5th of August, it’s a real blank run – day after day of poor to marginal surf, nothing to get your hopes up.
The one window that stands out is Sunday the 2nd of August and into Monday the 3rd. On Sunday the 2nd, we get about 7ft swell from the WNW, period around 9 seconds, with a light onshore breeze that might keep it rideable. The combined energy of all swells is moderate to strong (991). That’s the best we see in this whole stretch. Monday the 3rd is similar, with 6ft from the NW and a 10-second period, light cross-onshore winds, and energy still moderate (741). The wind is not ideal and quality is only marginal, so don’t expect perfection. That size is over 5ft, so this is not for beginners – experts only on the bigger days.
Later on, around the 8th and 9th of August, there’s a tiny pulse of longer period swell from the SSW, but it’s weak – swell heights drop to just over 1ft. Not worth the gas money. Water temp is about 60°F, which is around a degree warmer than normal for this time of year – nothing crazy, pretty average.
So, if you’re itching to surf, aim for that Sunday the 2nd to Monday the 3rd window with the bigger WNW swell. Otherwise, sit tight and wait for things to turn around. Forecasts can change, but right now it’s a tough run.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Sat morning, min 14°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Tue morning, min 13°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 21 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SSW 19 | SSW 19 | SSW 18 | SW 18 | SW 19 | SSW 17 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | WNW 9 | SSW 16 | WNW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | S 17 | S 14 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
799 | 458 | 872 | 657 | 617 | 547 | 735 | 828 | 587 | 751 | 629 | 566 | 539 | 504 | 528 | 433 | 365 | 261 | 244 | 270 | 573 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 10:34AM1.06m | 8:14PM1.66m | 11:05AM1.09m | 8:55PM1.69m | 11:31AM1.10m | 9:33PM1.73m | 11:56AM1.12m | 10:10PM1.73m | 12:21PM1.15m | 10:45PM1.71m | 12:46PM1.19m | 11:21PM1.65m | 1:12PM1.23m | 11:59PM1.56m | |||||||
Low Tide | 1:54PM0.97m | 3:57AM-0.06m | 2:40PM0.94m | 4:32AM-0.11m | 3:22PM0.91m | 5:04AM-0.15m | 4:00PM0.86m | 5:35AM-0.16m | 4:40PM0.82m | 6:03AM-0.14m | 5:21PM0.77m | 6:31AM-0.09m | 6:06PM0.73m | ||||||||
6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | |
— | 8:19 | — | — | 8:19 | — | — | 8:17 | — | — | 8:16 | — | — | 8:15 | — | — | 8:15 | — | — | 8:14 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 17 | 16 | 15 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 14 |
Feels °C | 14 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 6 | SW 21 | NW 6 | SSW 19 | SSW 19 | NW 6 | SW 18 | SW 19 | NW 7 | NW 8 | SSW 17 | NW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 |
73 | 458 | 72 | 657 | 617 | 112 | 735 | 828 | 173 | 255 | 629 | 322 | 383 | 504 | 528 | 433 | 365 | 261 | 244 | 192 | 173 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 21 | S 12 | SW 20 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 18 | SSW 11 | SW 12 | SSW 17 | SSW 18 | SSW 20 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSE 15 | SSE 14 | SSE 14 | S 14 |
799 | 72 | 872 | 27 | 26 | 547 | 23 | 36 | 587 | 751 | 127 | 566 | 539 | 481 | 310 | 353 | 179 | 304 | 269 | 269 | 573 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 12 | NW 9 | SSW 12 | S 10 | S 11 | SSW 13 | NW 11 | SSW 10 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | S 20 | S 18 | S 18 | S 16 | SSE 16 | SSE 16 | S 14 | SSW 15 | S 17 | S 17 |
61 | 13 | 28 | 8 | 2 | 67 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 34 | 31 | 67 | 155 | 99 | 132 | 48 | 153 | 107 | 169 | 270 | 147 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 | WNW 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 7 | NW 6 | — | — | NW 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
82 | 101 | 82 | 65 | 92 | 122 | 100 | 139 | — | — | 331 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 42 | 45 | 20 | 42 | 45 | 20 | 42 | 45 | 20 | 45 | 45 | 20 | 45 | 45 | 20 | 45 | 45 | 20 | 45 | 45 | 20 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Monterey | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Carmel Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Carmel Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Carmel Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Carmel Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Carmel Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Carmel Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Carmel Beach is 3 km (2 miles) from Monterey. If you plan a vacation in Monterey, look for hotels and other accommodation in Monterey. Monterey has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










