Surf Forecasts:
Carmel Beach surf forecast from 13 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 14 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 8s period, NW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 17 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 17s period, WNW swell with 409 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 14 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 8s period with NW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Carmel Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Carmel Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Carmel Beach in the next 16 days are 0.9m 17s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 5AM (Tue 14th Jul) | 4ft (1.2m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 5AM (Tue 14th Jul) | 4ft (1.2m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 11PM (Fri 17th Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Carmel Beach over the next 16 days.
Alright surfers, Rusty here. Let’s be straight about Carmel Beach. Looking at this 16-day window, it’s a tough one. There isn’t a single day I’d tell you to rush out for. The whole run is a mix of poor and marginal surf, with the wind blowing cross-onshore almost the entire time.
Starting Monday, July 13th, we see a 4ft swell from the NW with a 9-second period, and the combined wave energy is moderate at 460. But the wind is onshore from the W at 6 mph, and it’s just not clean. Monday afternoon is a total washout. Tuesday the 14th keeps the swell around 4ft, but the wind goes cross-onshore from the NW at 9 mph, making it choppy and messy. That pattern just sticks.
From Wednesday the 15th through Sunday the 19th, it’s a dry spell. The swell stays small, between 2ft and 3ft, and while the period gets very long, up to 17 seconds, this long-period groundswell is hitting a beach break. It’ll be too straight and won’t shape up. The water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing unusual.
The only real hint of something happens on Saturday, July 25th. The swell swings to the S, with a 4ft swell and a 14-second period, giving a strong combined wave energy of 1108. That’s the most energy in the whole forecast. But the wind is still a cross-onshore from the WNW at 9 mph, and the call is still just “marginal.” It’s a tease of energy, but the wind ruins it.
For a beginner-friendly spot like Carmel Beach, even the 5ft swells we get on Thursday the 16th are too big for learners, and the conditions are poor anyway. With all this onshore and cross-onshore wind, this whole setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.
Bottom line: it’s a quiet period. For a spot that’s “very consistent,” this is a rare blank run, but it won’t last forever. Keep watching, but for now, stay dry.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Tue morning, min 15°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Thu morning, min 13°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sun 19 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | SW 18 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | WNW 9 | NW 8 | NW 8 | WNW 17 | WNW 17 | WNW 16 | WNW 16 | WNW 16 | WNW 16 | WNW 16 | WNW 15 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 202 | 221 | 221 | 154 | 187 | 182 | 160 | 164 | 215 | 261 | 402 | 338 | 306 | 344 | 344 | 385 | 407 | 402 | 353 | 273 | 309 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 8:58PM2.04m | 11:33AM1.14m | 9:51PM2.05m | 12:15PM1.19m | 10:43PM2.01m | 12:56PM1.25m | 11:34PM1.90m | 1:38PM1.30m | 00:26AM1.73m | 2:19PM1.37m | 1:20AM1.52m | 3:01PM1.42m | 2:20AM1.29m | 3:44PM1.47m | |||||||
Low Tide | 4:39AM-0.47m | 3:32PM0.81m | 5:25AM-0.51m | 4:31PM0.77m | 6:09AM-0.47m | 5:30PM0.72m | 6:52AM-0.38m | 6:31PM0.68m | 7:33AM-0.23m | 7:36PM0.64m | 8:12AM-0.04m | 8:47PM0.60m | 8:51AM0.17m | ||||||||
 |  | |  |  | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | 5:58 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:03 | — |
 | 8:27 | — | 8:27 | — | — | 8:25 | — | — | 8:25 | — | — | 8:24 | — | — | 8:24 | — | — | 8:23 | — | — | 8:22 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 17 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 18 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 16 |
Feels °C | 16 | 17 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 14 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | WNW 9 | WNW 19 | WNW 19 | WNW 17 | WNW 17 | WNW 16 | WNW 16 | WNW 16 | WNW 16 | WNW 16 | WNW 15 |
| kJ | 202 | 221 | 221 | 154 | 187 | 182 | 160 | 164 | 215 | 261 | 402 | 207 | 271 | 344 | 344 | 385 | 407 | 402 | 353 | 273 | 270 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | S 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SW 18 | SSW 13 | WNW 13 | SW 16 | WNW 20 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 19 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 18 | SW 18 | NW 11 | SW 17 | SW 17 |
| kJ | 180 | 184 | 184 | 78 | 60 | 85 | 152 | 63 | 58 | 90 | 216 | 89 | 76 | 130 | 74 | 74 | 246 | 258 | 29 | 238 | 309 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 16 | WNW 17 | SW 19 | SW 13 | WNW 14 | WNW 14 | WNW 14 | SW 18 | SW 17 | WNW 20 | SW 16 | WNW 12 | SW 19 | SW 14 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SSE 11 | S 14 |
| kJ | 129 | 55 | 59 | 45 | 41 | 69 | 66 | 108 | 70 | 163 | 89 | 29 | 89 | 74 | 84 | 48 | 44 | 44 | 44 | 41 | 94 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 7 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 5 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 338 | 306 | 232 | 199 | 101 | 58 | 74 | 83 | 88 | 120 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 7 | 42 | 270 | 7 | 45 | 45 | 20 | 42 | 45 | 20 | 42 | 45 | 20 | 45 | 45 | 20 | 45 | 45 | 20 | 45 | 45 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Monterey | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Carmel Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Carmel Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Carmel Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Carmel Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Carmel Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Carmel Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Carmel Beach is 3 km (2 miles) from Monterey. If you plan a vacation in Monterey, look for hotels and other accommodation in Monterey. Monterey has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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