Surf Forecasts:
Carmel Beach surf forecast from 7 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 9 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 9s period, NW swell with 783 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Carmel Beach this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Carmel Beach in the next 16 days are 2.2m 9s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 11PM (Thu 9th Jul) | 7ft (2.2m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Carmel Beach over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright, this is Rusty.
Let’s talk about Carmel Beach. Honestly, the next week and a half isn't looking like much to get excited about. We've got a long stretch of poor to marginal conditions with persistent cross-onshore wind, which is gonna keep things messy.
The trouble starts right away today, Tuesday, the 7th. There’s some long-period groundswell in the water, a 3ft SSW swell with a 19-second period, but the wind is howling from the NW at 12-16 mph, crossing right onto the face. The combined energy is moderate at 1031, but the chop is ruining it. That same setup keeps going through the 8th with a bit less size.
Wednesday the 9th brings a bump in swell height up to 6ft, but again it's a short-period, wind-driven NW swell, and the same cross-onshore breeze makes a mess of it. By Friday the 11th and Saturday the 12th, conditions are so-so, just marginal. Nothing clean. This pattern of moderate cross-onshore winds and moderate energy (around 564-654) drags out through the middle of the month. Tuesday the 16th is a write-off with 16 mph NW winds.
Honestly, the only flicker of something interesting might be on Saturday the 18th. We see the combined swell energy jump up to a strong 1480, with a 7ft WNW swell coming in. The wind is lighter, only 6 mph from the NW, which is still cross-on, but lighter. Then by Saturday afternoon, the wind actually switches to onshore from the west at 9 mph. That’s still not glassy, but it’s the best wind condition we see all period.
That 7ft is getting up there, getting a bit big for beginners, but might offer something for the more experienced crew on a longer board. The swell direction is a little west of north-west, so it’ll hit the beach. It’s not a classic stand-out, just the least worst option in a long, poor run.
Given the persistent cross-onshore wind and the beach break setup, honestly, this stretch looks more interesting for someone with a kite than a paddle. The winds and waves are there for that kind of fun, just not for clean surf.
As for the water temp, it’s unseasonably warm, about average for the time of year, so maybe you can wear a shorty if you're tough enough to paddle into that chop.
Stay patient. Forecasts can change.
- Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Tue morning, min 12°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Sat morning, min 12°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Mon 13 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 20 | SSW 19 | NW 11 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | NW 8 | NW 9 | WNW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | NW 8 | NW 9 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 9 | NW 9 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 485 | 774 | 572 | 399 | 487 | 458 | 456 | 537 | 553 | 703 | 599 | 493 | 493 | 315 | 274 | 268 | 363 | 346 | 346 | 371 | 380 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 3:53AM1.00m | 4:56PM1.51m | 5:34AM0.89m | 5:37PM1.63m | 7:21AM0.88m | 6:23PM1.76m | 8:50AM0.94m | 7:13PM1.87m | 9:56AM1.02m | 8:05PM1.97m | 10:48AM1.09m | 8:58PM2.04m | 11:33AM1.14m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:43PM0.63m | 9:52AM0.38m | 00:00AM0.44m | 10:33AM0.54m | 1:08AM0.22m | 11:23AM0.69m | 2:07AM-0.01m | 12:23PM0.79m | 3:01AM-0.21m | 1:28PM0.84m | 3:51AM-0.37m | 2:32PM0.84m | 4:39AM-0.47m | 3:32PM0.81m | |||||||
 | |  |  | | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — |
 | 8:29 | — | 8:29 | — | — | 8:28 | — | — | 8:28 | — | — | 8:28 | — | — | 8:27 | — | — | 8:27 | — | — | 8:27 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 17 | 17 |
Feels °C | 9 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 16 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 20 | SSW 19 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | NW 8 | SSW 16 | NW 8 | NW 9 | SSW 16 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | WNW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 9 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 9 | NW 9 |
| kJ | 485 | 774 | 497 | 399 | 242 | 458 | 456 | 537 | 402 | 703 | 599 | 493 | 493 | 315 | 274 | 268 | 363 | 346 | 346 | 371 | 380 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 12 | NW 11 | SSW 15 | WNW 11 | SSW 17 | S 19 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | — | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 |
| kJ | 142 | 123 | 144 | 75 | 487 | 66 | 412 | 417 | — | 318 | 280 | 256 | 242 | 242 | 252 | 204 | 236 | 236 | 136 | 139 | 184 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | S 8 | S 8 | SSW 15 | SSW 19 | — | SW 13 | — | — | — | — | — | S 21 | S 20 | S 20 | S 10 | S 18 | S 18 | S 16 | WNW 17 | W 14 |
| kJ | 261 | 5 | 1 | 142 | 124 | — | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | 7 | 30 | 2 | 55 | 24 | 79 | 54 | 15 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 11 | NW 7 | — | NW 8 | — | — | WNW 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 147 | 129 | 572 | 205 | — | 371 | — | — | 553 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 20 | 45 | 45 | 20 | 45 | 45 | 24 | 45 | 45 | 30 | 45 | 45 | 20 | 45 | 45 | 20 | 148 | 45 | 20 | 45 | 45 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Monterey | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Carmel Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Carmel Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Carmel Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Carmel Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Carmel Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Carmel Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Carmel Beach is 3 km (2 miles) from Monterey. If you plan a vacation in Monterey, look for hotels and other accommodation in Monterey. Monterey has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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