Caerfai Bay Surf Break

Lat Long: 51.87° N 5.25° W

Caerfai Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 12 am 01 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Caerfai Bay sea temperature is
17.6°C
1.4° 

Caerfai Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Caerfai Bay surf forecast from 1 Sep 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Friday 4 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 8s period, WSW swell with 623 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Caerfai Bay this week:

The most powerful waves expected at Caerfai Bay in the next 16 days are 2.4m 8s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 04) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 4s period and expected on Saturday (Sep 05) at 1AM.

Wave TypeTime (BST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful 1AM (Fri 4th Sep)8ft (2.4m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Caerfai Bay over the next 16 days.


Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Very mild (max 19°C on Wed afternoon, min 16°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (light winds from the W on Mon night, strong winds from the S by Wed morning).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Some drizzle, heaviest during Thu night. Very mild (max 19°C on Thu night, min 14°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the SW on Thu night, light winds from the SW by Sat afternoon).

Tuesday
1
Wednesday
2
Thursday
3
Friday
4
Saturday
5
Sunday
6
Monday
7
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.8
WSW
6
0.9
SW
6
0.9
WSW
5
1.7
SW
6
1.8
SW
7
1.8
WSW
7
1.5
WSW
7
1.6
WSW
7
2.4
WSW
8
1.7
WSW
8
1.6
WSW
7
1.1
WSW
6
0.8
WSW
7
0.6
WSW
8
0.5
WSW
9
0.3
WSW
9
0.7
S
5
0.8
SSW
5
0.9
WSW
12
1.2
W
11
1.1
WSW
10
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
46
49
49
198
336
343
234
243
623
327
212
93
57
50
46
15
22
31
236
332
250
Wind (km/h)
20
SW
25
SW
25
WSW
40
S
30
SW
35
SW
30
SW
30
SW
30
WSW
30
W
35
W
30
NW
10
W
15
WSW
15
SSE
25
SSE
25
SSE
30
SSW
20
WSW
10
NW
15
WSW
Wind State
on
on
on
cross-on
on
on
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross
on
High Tide
10:11AM4.01m
10:29PM4.13m
10:49AM3.86m
11:10PM3.87m
11:32AM3.63m
11:58PM3.55m
12:24PM3.34m
00:59AM3.20m
1:36PM3.09m
2:25AM2.95m
3:12PM3.03m
4:07AM2.97m
4:45PM3.25m
Low Tide
4:09AM0.23m
4:17PM0.30m
4:41AM0.40m
4:53PM0.49m
5:18AM0.65m
5:35PM0.74m
6:03AM0.95m
6:33PM1.04m
7:11AM1.25m
8:08PM1.28m
9:04AM1.40m
10:12PM1.23m
10:50AM1.23m
11:37PM0.93m
part cloud
cloud
light rain
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
rain showers
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
clear
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:31
6:33
6:35
6:35
6:37
6:39
6:41
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:08
8:07
8:04
8:01
8:00
7:57
7:54
 mm
3
1
Temp °C
17
17
17
18
19
18
18
18
19
15
17
16
14
15
15
16
19
19
19
18
17
Feels °C
14
14
13
14
15
14
14
14
12
9
11
10
12
14
12
11
14
14
17
18
17
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Caerfai Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Caerfai Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Caerfai Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Caerfai Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Caerfai Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Caerfai Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Wales - Pembrokeshire? If you are looking for accommodation near Caerfai Bay, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - Pembrokeshire, consider staying in Fishguard which is 26 km (16 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - Pembrokeshire where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Milford Haven which is 27 km (17 miles) away, Pembroke, Aberporth and Carmarthen.

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