Surf Forecasts:
Caerfai Bay surf forecast from 17 Oct 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 17 Oct, 1PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 11s period, WSW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 24 Oct, 4AM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 11s period, W swell with 5,556 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 17 Oct, 1PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 11s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Caerfai Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Caerfai Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Oct 17) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 11s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Caerfai Bay in the next 16 days are 5.0m 11s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Oct 24) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.7m 6s period and expected on Saturday (Oct 24) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1PM (Sat 17th Oct) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 1PM (Sat 17th Oct) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Sat 24th Oct) | 16ft (5.0m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Caerfai Bay over the next 16 days.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Mon morning. Very mild (max 13°C on Mon afternoon, min 9°C on Sat night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 26mm), heaviest during Tue night. Very mild (max 15°C on Thu afternoon, min 10°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (light winds from the SE on Tue morning, gales from the SSW by Thu afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 17 | Sunday 18 | Monday 19 | Tuesday 20 | Wednesday 21 | Thursday 22 | Friday 23 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 12 | WSW 11 | W 11 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | W 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 11 | W 10 | WSW 10 | WSW 8 | W 8 | WSW 7 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | SW 8 | SW 10 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 176 | 126 | 59 | 34 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 43 | 38 | 51 | 31 | 963 | 1134 | 468 | 782 | 573 | 634 | 1727 | 2104 | 3076 | 4279 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 11:20AM3.18m | 11:45PM2.84m | 12:11PM2.91m | 00:47AM2.60m | 1:30PM2.74m | 2:27AM2.50m | 3:13PM2.78m | 4:04AM2.66m | 4:27PM3.01m | 5:02AM2.95m | 5:16PM3.32m | 5:44AM3.29m | 5:56PM3.65m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:36PM1.26m | 5:46AM1.42m | 6:45PM1.52m | 7:06AM1.62m | 8:36PM1.60m | 9:02AM1.63m | 10:09PM1.44m | 10:23AM1.43m | 11:06PM1.16m | 11:16AM1.15m | 11:48PM0.84m | 11:58AM0.85m | 00:24AM0.54m | ||||||||
 | |  | | |  |  |  | | | |  | |  | | |  | |  | |  | |
 | 7:47 | — | — | 7:48 | — | — | 7:50 | — | — | 7:52 | — | — | 7:54 | — | — | 7:56 | — | — | 7:58 | — | — |
 | — | 6:23 | — | — | 6:21 | — | — | 6:19 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:10 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | 11 | — | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
Temp °C | 12 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 11 |
Feels °C | 6 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | -2 | -4 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 12 | N 5 | W 11 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | W 16 | N 5 | WSW 11 | W 10 | WSW 10 | — | — | NNW 6 | — | — | — | SW 10 | — | — | — |
| kJ | 176 | 27 | 59 | 34 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 13 | 38 | 51 | 31 | — | — | 33 | — | — | — | 1727 | — | — | — |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | WSW 11 | S 11 | S 11 | S 11 | S 12 | W 8 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | W 12 | W 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 3 | 126 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 43 | 36 | 27 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | S 11 | S 11 | — | — | W 19 | W 10 | WSW 12 | N 5 | — | W 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | 3 | 2 | — | — | 7 | 8 | 28 | 2 | — | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 6 | — | NNE 4 | NE 4 | N 3 | NNE 3 | NNE 4 | ESE 3 | SSE 4 | S 4 | SW 4 | WSW 8 | W 8 | WSW 7 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | SW 8 | NW 4 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 |
| kJ | 59 | — | 7 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 4 | 24 | 963 | 1134 | 468 | 782 | 573 | 634 | 62 | 2104 | 3076 | 4279 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 40 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 302 | 196 | 28 | 105 | 68 | 4 | 149 | 360 | 190 | 382 | 62 | 87 | 404 | 621 | 190 | 129 | 383 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - Pembrokeshire | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Caerfai Bay surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the Caerfai Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Caerfai Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Caerfai Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Caerfai Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Caerfai Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Caerfai Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - Pembrokeshire? If you are looking for accommodation near Caerfai Bay, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - Pembrokeshire, consider staying in Fishguard which is 26 km (16 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - Pembrokeshire where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Milford Haven which is 27 km (17 miles) away, Pembroke, Aberporth and Carmarthen.
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