Caerfai Bay surfForecast / Wales – Pembrokeshire / UK

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 5 pm Sunday 01 Mar 2026 GMT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Caerfai Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Caerfai Bay sea temperature is
8.7° C
(Which is normal for this time of year)

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Caerfai Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Caerfai Bay over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Mar 03) at 9AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Caerfai Bay in the next 12 days are 4.0m 11s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Mar 02) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.0m 6s period and expected on Friday (Mar 06) at 12AM.

Wave TypeTime (GMT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 9AM (Tue 3rd Mar)5ft (1.5m) 14s
Best Surf 9AM (Tue 3rd Mar)5ft (1.5m) 14s
Most Powerful 3AM (Mon 2nd Mar)13ft (4.0m) 11s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Caerfai Bay over the next 12 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Light rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Mon morning. Very mild (max 10°C on Sun afternoon, min 7°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (gales from the S on Sun night, light winds from the NE by Tue afternoon).

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Moderate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Thu afternoon. Very mild (max 11°C on Wed afternoon, min 6°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the N on Thu night, light winds from the WSW by Fri afternoon).

Sun
01
Monday
02
Tuesday
03
Wednesday
04
Thursday
05
Friday
06
Saturday
07
PMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAM
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
1
0
3
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
3
SW
4
SSW
3.5
SW
2.5
SW
1.6
SW
1.5
W
0.9
WSW
0.7
WSW
0.5
W
0.4
WSW
0.6
W
0.7
W
0.7
W
1.2
W
1.1
W
0.9
WSW
0.9
WSW
1.3
WSW
0.9
WSW
2.1
WSW
2.5
WSW
Period(s) (?)8101110101413121111131212810101012121414
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)939357830101251479808298150623811913713216326018418049626717482528
Wind
(km/h)
55
S
60
S
45
S
15
SW
25
SW
10
NNE
10
NE
10
ESE
20
SE
20
SSE
30
SE
40
SE
25
S
45
N
25
NW
10
WSW
25
S
30
S
30
SSW
40
SSW
35
SSW
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
cross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
ononcross-
off
offcross-
off
crosscrosscrosscrosscross-
on
cross-
off
crosscross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
High Tide
/ height (m)
5:55PM
3.55
6:13AM
4.00
6:37PM
3.81
6:53AM
4.26
7:15PM
3.99
7:30AM
4.40
7:49PM
4.09
8:05AM
4.42
8:22PM
4.09
8:37AM
4.31
8:53PM
4.01
9:09AM
4.11
9:23PM
3.86
9:40AM
3.84
Low Tide
/ height (m)
12:18AM
0.56
12:49PM
0.28
12:57AM
0.32
1:25PM
0.11
1:31AM
0.16
1:57PM
0.04
2:02AM
0.10
2:27PM
0.07
2:32AM
0.13
2:54PM
0.19
3:01AM
0.25
3:21PM
0.38
3:30AM
0.44
Sun
01
Monday
02
Tuesday
03
Wednesday
04
Thursday
05
Friday
06
Saturday
07
Sunrise--7:05--7:03--7:01--6:58--6:56--6:54--6:52
Sunset5:59--6:00--6:02--6:05--6:06--6:07--6:09--
cloud
light rain
light rain
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
light rain
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
Rain (mm)
-33------2--45-------
Temp. °C1010109988971111101086799101010
Feels °C (?)-1-3152556376252-1343423
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder

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Information about the Caerfai Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Caerfai Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Caerfai Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Caerfai Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Caerfai Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Caerfai Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Wales - Pembrokeshire? If you are looking for accommodation near Caerfai Bay, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - Pembrokeshire, consider staying in Fishguard which is 26 km (16 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - Pembrokeshire where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Milford Haven which is 27 km (17 miles) away, Pembroke, Aberporth and Carmarthen.

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