Big Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's cookin'.

Right off the bat, the next 16 days are lookin' pretty tough for Big Beach. We've got a long, drawn-out run of small, pretty average surf, with a few flickers of hope but nothing that'll get the heart racing. The first real chance of a decent wave doesn't show up until Sunday the 16th, so the start of the period is a bit of a washout.

Let's break it down. The water temp is sittin' at a warm 80.6°, which is pretty standard for this time of year, so you can leave the winter wetsuit at home.

Saturday the 15th is a write-off. We've got a near-gale howling onshore at 31 mph, makin' a mess of the 2.6 ft south swell. That combined energy is a weak 245, and it's just not worth paddlin' out for. Leave the board in the car.

Things start to change on Sunday the 16th. We've got a 3.0 ft south swell rollin' in, with a sweet long period of 16 seconds. This brings the wave energy up to a solid 588, which is a moderate punch. The wind goes light easterly at 9 mph in the morning, droppin' to just 6 mph in the afternoon. That's cross-off, which will keep things pretty clean. This is our first real standout. The swell direction (S) isn't exactly the optimum (WSW), but the long period groundswell will push some well-shaped waves through. Word of caution: it's a beach break, so that long period can make 'em close out a bit straight, but those 3.0 ft sets should still offer some fun runners. It's a beginner-friendly height, but expect it to be busy—crowds are listed as "sometimes," so on a Sunday with the first clean swell in a while, it'll get a crew.

Monday the 17th is also worth a look. Another 3.0 ft south swell holds in, period still solid at 14 seconds. The wind goes properly offshore from the ENE at 9 mph in the morning. Clean, lined-up waves. The energy drops a bit to 374, but that's still moderate. The afternoon gets a little bumpy with a cross-off breeze, so aim for the morning session. This is solid. Good waves for an intermediate on a fun shortboard.

From Tuesday the 18th through to the start of the following week, it's a grind. Swell drops to 1.6 ft-2.0 ft with periods around 12-13 seconds. The combined energy sits in the low 200s and even down to 161. It's surfable, sure, but it's very ordinary. You'll be fightin' for scraps on a longboard. The winds are light and often glassy, so it'll be clean, but there's just no push.

Then, on Thursday the 20th, we get a little spike in period—18 seconds from the SSW. That's a very long period groundswell. The height is only 2.0 ft, but that energy readin' jumps to 251. These waves will have some weird, drawn-out shape, perfect if you've got a point break or reef to work with, but on a beach break like Big Beach, it might be too straight and fat. Still, it's clean with glassy conditions in the morning.

The second week gets interesting, but temper your expectations. Around Saturday the 22nd and Sunday the 23rd, we see 2.0 ft SSW swell with 15-second periods and light winds. It's clean, but energy is in the 200-300 range. It's an alright longboard wave.

The real potential standout in the second week lands on Wednesday the 26th. We get a 2.0 ft swell from the south with a period of 18 seconds, and the combined energy jumps right up to 424. That's a lot of energy for such a small height—it'll be a deceptive day. The wave faces could have more power than you expect. Mind you, the afternoon wind gets punchy at 19 mph from the east, so it'll be a messy cross-off. The morning is better with a 12 mph ENE breeze. This one is promising but less certain given the long-range call.

Thursday the 27th keeps the 2.6 ft-3.0 ft south swell goin' with 16-second periods and energy in the 400s again. The wind is offshore enough to keep it clean-ish, but it won't be perfect.

Finally, at the very end of the window, Sunday the 30th has a 3.0 ft WSW swell comin' in with an 11-second period. That's a better direction match for the beach. Combined energy jumps to 477, so there will be some punchy, fun waves. Wind stays light from the east. This could be the best day of the whole run if the synoptic setup holds, but that's two weeks out—don't pin your holiday on it.

So, what's the call? If you've got to pick one day, make it Sunday the 16th for the cleanest, most consistent small waves. Monday the 17th morning is a

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