Baldwin Beach Park Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, listen up. It’s Rusty here, looking at the surf for Baldwin Beach Park for the next couple of weeks. And I gotta be straight with you – it’s a bit of a slow grind for a while, but there’s a light at the end of the tunnel.

For the first stretch, through the coming week, it’s pretty grim. We’re looking at small, weak surf with cross-shore winds messing up what little there is. The energy is low, often under 200 (107-186) on the scale we use, and the swell is barely pushing 3ft to 4ft. It’s clean-ish skies but the ocean’s got that lumpy, cross-chop look. Not worth paddling out for, honestly. There’s a bit of a bump in size around the 16th and 17th, up to 5ft to 7ft, but it’s short-period windswell – the kind that walls up and closes out. The wind stays on it, so it’s just messy. This run of poor surf goes on for over a week. If you’re desperate, you could look at it for a bodyboard or a body surf, but for a proper surf, it’s a hard pass.

Now, here’s where things get interesting. The real standout, the one you should circle on the calendar, is the 26th of September, Saturday morning. We finally see some proper groundswell filling in out of the NNW. Swell height is around 5ft with a long, clean 14 second period. The energy jumps way up to 1144 – that’s a solid push of power. The wind, for once, is light out of the east, leaving the face fairly clean.

This is a setup that can work well at Baldwin (Hawaii). It’s a reef and point set-up, so a long-period NNW swell at 5ft could really groom those lines. It’s not a monster, but it will have some push. The only catch is that it might be a little too much for the beginners, but for anyone with a bit of experience, this is your window. The day before, the 25th, is also promising with the same direction, the NNW swell at 3ft to 4ft and a 14-15 second period, but that Saturday morning looks the cleanest of the two.

Water temperature is sitting at a normal 80°F for this time of year, nothing unusual there. So, to sum it up: endure the flat, blown-out days this week, and keep your eyes on that Saturday the 26th. It’s the one real chance for a proper surf in this outlook. It’s a long-range call, so don’t book the day off yet, but it’s got the makings of a good one.

Rusty out.

Read more