Baldwin Beach Park Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what Baldwin Beach Park has in store for us over the next couple of weeks. It’s a bit of a slow burner, but there’s a window of clean conditions that’ll make it worth paddling out.

Right now, the water temp is sitting at 80°, which is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The pattern starts off pretty ordinary. Through Thursday the 3rd and into Friday the 4th, we’ve got a moderate cross-shore wind and a lumpy cross-chop messing things up. Swell is around 6 ft to 7 ft from the ENE, but the period is short on Thursday (7 seconds), so it’s just weak, crumbly stuff. The combined wave energy is weak on Thursday (439) and Friday morning (1403) is still nothing to write home about. Honestly, it’s a bit of a write-off for clean surfing.

Saturday the 5th and Sunday the 6th see the swell holding around 7 ft to 7 ft from the ENE with a longer period (13 seconds), which means better shape, but the cross-shore wind is still blowing 15-16 mph, keeping things choppy. Combined energy climbs into the moderate range (1340-1494), but it’s still not clean enough to get excited about.

Now, Monday the 7th afternoon is where things start to look up. Swell is 8 ft from the ENE, period at 12 seconds, and the wind swings light cross-offshore from the ESE at 12 mph. The wave comment says clean, and the combined energy is strong (1550). That’s the first real glimmer of decent surf.

But the standout window comes on Tuesday the 8th. Tuesday morning we’ve got offshore wind from the SSE at just 3 mph – that’s glassy, folks. Swell drops to 4 ft from the ENE, period 10 seconds. The wave comment says “expect good surf conditions,” and the combined energy is moderate (484). Then Tuesday afternoon gets even better: light cross-offshore breeze from the SE at 6 mph, swell 4 ft from the ENE, period 9 seconds, combined energy moderate (519), and the wave comment says “expect very good surf conditions.” That’s the best on offer – clean, lined up, and not too big for a beginner to handle. If you can only paddle out once this fortnight, make it Tuesday the 8th.

After that, the week of Wednesday the 9th through Friday the 11th sees the swell drop right down to 3 ft-6 ft, with moderate cross-shore wind returning. Combined energy drops into the weak to moderate range (528-1143). It’s marginal, but there might be the odd fun one if you’re keen.

Saturday the 12th and Sunday the 13th get messy again – cross-on and onshore wind, rain showers, and a short-period swell (8-9 seconds). Combined energy is weak (412-660), and conditions are poor. This stretch is best left alone.

Monday the 14th through Wednesday the 16th sees the swell pick back up to 7 ft-7 ft, but with a short period (8 seconds) and moderate cross-shore wind. Combined energy is weak to moderate (432-680). Not great for a point break like Baldwin – that short period will just close out.

The final few days, Thursday the 17th and Friday the 18th, drop back to 3 ft-4 ft from the ESE and E, period 12 seconds, with light cross-shore wind. Combined energy stays weak (439-704). It’s a quiet end to the outlook, but still more promising than the early days.

So to sum it up: the first week is mostly a miss, but Tuesday the 8th is the clear standout with glassy offshore wind and clean, fun-sized waves. After that, it’s a mixed bag, but nothing else comes close.

Rusty.

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