Baldwin Beach Park Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, we're looking at a pretty grim run for a while. The wind is just a mess. It's stuck in the east and northeast, blowing cross-shore or cross-onshore, and it's got that horrible chop on it. The swell is weak and short-period, mostly around 7 seconds, which is just junk. The combined energy is low, barely cracking 200 at times, which tells you there's nothing behind it. The water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing unusual there.

This goes on for days. From Tuesday the 11th right through to Sunday the 16th, it's all "poor surf conditions" with scores of 0. The wind is a constant 12-19 mph, just ruining everything. The swell does build from 4 ft up to 8 ft by the weekend, but it's all coming from the ENE and the wind is either on it or cross to it, so it's just lumpy, messy, and blown out. Unless you're on a kite, there's nothing for a surfer here.

Then, finally, something changes. On Monday the 17th, we get one day that actually looks like it could be a goer. The wind swings around to the southeast, becoming a light cross-offshore breeze at 9 mph. That's the key. The swell is a solid 8 ft from the ENE, with a period that's climbed to 10 seconds, giving it some proper punch. The combined energy is a massive 1268, so there's plenty of power. This is only for experienced surfers, though – 8 ft is heavy and it's a lot of water moving around. The conditions are described as "clean," which is music to my ears. This is the standout window, right here on Monday the 17th.

After that, it's back to the same old story. From Tuesday the 18th right through to the end of the forecast on Wednesday the 26th, the wind veers back to the east and northeast, the swell drops back to the 3 ft to 6 ft range, and the period drops back to 7-8 seconds. It's just a long stretch of mediocre, onshore-affected slop. The energy levels are moderate at best, around 200-400, and the conditions are consistently poor or choppy.

Look, the only true standout is that Monday the 17th. Keep an eye on that. But for the rest of the 16-day run, it's a long, dry spell. The good news is Baldwin Beach Park is a very consistent spot, so it won't stay poor forever. The forecasts can change, and we might get some better wind in the mix. For now, I'll be watching the 17th.

Rusty.

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