Baldwin Beach Park Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about the surf ahead for Baldwin Beach Park. I’m not gonna sugarcoat it; the next couple of weeks look pretty average, with a few glimmers of hope if you’re willing to wait it out. We’ve got a lot of cross-shore wind on the menu, which is going to keep things a bit messy for the most part.

Right now, we’re looking at a weak start with maybe 3.6ft of swell on Friday morning, but it’s coming from the ENE with an 11-second period. The energy is weak at 342, and the forecast calls for poor conditions. The water temp is sitting at 80.2°, which is right on average for this time of year, so no surprises there. It’s a gentle cross-shore breeze, but it’s creating a bit of a chop.

The next few days, through the weekend and into Monday, the swell drops off and the wind stays cross-onshore, so it’s looking pretty grim. We’re seeing waves around 2.3ft to 3.6ft with short periods under 9 seconds. Not worth getting wet for, unless you just want to mess around on a foamie.

There’s a bump in size around Wednesday the 16th, getting up to 5.2ft to 5.6ft, but the period’s still short and the wind is howling at 15 mph from the E/ENE. It’s not going to be clean. That energy picks up to moderate (313), but the quality just isn’t there.

The wind stays on it through the following week, keeping the surf mostly poor. We get a little more size around the 17th with a 6.6ft swell, but it’s still short-period and cross-shore. This is the kind of setup that will have you fighting the chop more than enjoying the glide.

Now, here’s the one stretch that catches my eye. Towards the end of the month, on Wednesday the 23rd and Thursday the 24th, we finally see some better potential. The swell is up around 5.9ft to 6.9ft, and the period stretches out to 9-10 seconds. More importantly, the wind is forecast to ease off significantly, especially on Thursday morning. We’re talking a light cross-shore breeze with barely any wind ripples. The energy is solidly moderate at 694 and 667. This is the best of the run, and the only time it looks like it might actually be fun out there. It’s still a ways off, so treat it as promising but not a guarantee, forecast-wise.

This break, Baldwin Beach Park, is a reef and point setup that’s very consistent. It’s a beginner-friendly spot, but when the swell is over 5ft, it might be pushing it for the less experienced. With the 6.9ft forecast on the 23rd, I’d say that’s one for the more advanced folks. The direction is ENE, which is not exactly the NNE optimum the spot likes, but it should still wrap in okay.

Overall, don't get too excited for the next couple of weeks. Unless you’re keen on a messy, blown-out session, your best bet is to pencil in that Thursday the 24th morning as the standout.

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