Baldwin Beach Park Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for the Baldwin Beach Park area.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – this stretch of the forecast is a tough one. We're looking at a solid run of poor surf conditions that stretches from the start of the period all the way through until the morning of Sunday, July 26th. That's a long gap with nothing really worth paddling out for. The wind is a persistent problem, blowing from the east and east-northeast at 12 to 16 mph, keeping things cross-shore and choppy for the vast majority of that time.

The water temperature at Baldwin Beach Park is sitting at 79°, which is bang on average for this time of year, so no worries there about needing a thick suit.

For the first week and a half, the swell is mostly coming from the ENE, with heights ranging from 3ft to 6ft, but the periods are short, between 6 and 8 seconds. That's just weak, wind-driven chop. The combined energy is all over the place, getting up to 432 (moderate energy) on the 12th, but it's still just messy, poor-quality surf. The wind is the enemy here, and it's not letting up.

Now, the only glimmer of hope comes right at the very tail end of the 16-day window. On Sunday morning, July 26th, we finally see a drop in the wind to a gentle breeze (9 mph) from the ENE. The swell drops right off to 4ft, but it's still cross-shore. The energy is weak (240), and the report calls it "marginal." It's not a standout by any stretch, but it's the only window where the conditions might be borderline acceptable for a quick session. The wind is lighter, which might make the cross-chop a little less of a nightmare.

The afternoon of the 26th, the wind goes cross-onshore again and the energy drops to just 91, so it's back to poor conditions.

So, the honest truth is, there are no good surf options to highlight in this 16-day window. The pattern is locked in with a relentless trade wind setup that's just destroying the surf quality. The only break to consider is Baldwin Beach Park, a reef and point setup that's very consistent and exposed to the NNE, which is our predominant swell direction. It's a beginner-friendly spot, but with these conditions, it's just not offering anything for anyone. The setup actually looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing given the persistent cross-winds.

Given the spot is very consistent, this is a frustrating run. It tends not to stay this poor for long, so keep an eye on the forecasts – things can change.

Rusty.

Read more