Baldwin Beach Park Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what we’ve got coming down the pipeline.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – the next week to ten days are looking pretty average at Baldwin Beach Park. We’ve got a constant ENE wind blowing cross to cross-onshore, and that’s putting a chop on the surface that’s gonna make things a bit of a struggle. The swell is hanging around the 5ft to 6ft mark (mostly in the 5ft to 6ft range), coming from the ENE with a short, weak period of just 7 to 8 seconds. The energy’s moderate at best (271 to 748) but the wind and the chop are just killing the quality. Real “poor surf conditions” stuff, you know? Nothing worth paddling out for.

Now, we do start to see a glimmer of hope on Sunday, the 6th of September. The swell direction swings around to the east, and the period jumps up to 12 seconds – that’s a proper groundswell. The morning session on the 6th has the swell sitting around 7ft with a beefy energy reading of 1,258 (moderate to strong). The wind is still cross from the east at 16 mph, so it’s not glass, but the extra period should give the waves a bit more shape. Still, it’s only marked as marginal, so temper your expectations.

That trend continues into the following week. The morning of Tuesday, the 8th of September sees a 7ft ENE swell with an 11-second period and a cross breeze from the east at 12 mph. Energy is strong at 1,104. It’s still a bit bumpy, but better.

The real standout, the one I’d circle on the calendar, is Wednesday morning, the 9th of September. The swell is pushing 10ft from the ENE with a 10-second period and a massive energy reading of 1,699 (strong). What makes this one special is the wind – it’s dropping right back to nearly nothing, just a slight air from the NE at 3 mph. That’s as close to glassy as we get. Now, 10ft is getting into expert territory – that’s a heavy, powerful wave. This is a reef and point setup here at Baldwin, and with that size and the light wind, it’s going to be a serious, grinding left for the crew with the skills and the guts. The crowd factor says “often” here, so expect a few locals to be on it, but with conditions like that, it might be worth the company.

Thursday the 10th drops back down, and by the 11th we’re losing the swell completely. The last few days of the outlook (from the 12th of September onward) are flat and poor again – just small, weak, messy little waves.

So, to sum it up: don’t rush out for the next week. The best bet, the one true standout, is the morning of Wednesday, the 9th of September – big, powerful groundswell, light offshore/glassy wind, and the potential for some memorable waves if you’ve got the nerve. Before that, Sunday the 6th and Tuesday the 8th offer a bit of improvement but nothing that’ll blow your mind.

Stay safe out there.

- Rusty

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