Baldwin Beach Park Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – this is a tough stretch. For the first week and a half, we’re looking at a real dry spell. From Wednesday the 26th of August all the way through to Monday the 7th of September, the surf is just plain poor. Constant medium-period, ENE windswell, but the wind is never doing us any favours. It’s cross-shore or cross-onshore all day, every day, with a chop that’ll have you fighting the board more than riding it. The swell height bounces between 3 ft and 6 ft, but with that short period (6 to 8 seconds) and that messy wind, it’s not worth paddling out for. The combined wave energy sits in the moderate range (between 160 and 398), but it just doesn’t matter when the surface is that ugly. Don’t even bother.

There is a small glimmer of hope on the 1st of September, with a "marginal" call and a gentle breeze, but it’s still a 5 ft cross-shore chop. It’s not a green light.

Now, for the real news. The only saving grace in this whole 16-day window pops up on Wednesday the 9th of September. Things finally get interesting. The swell direction shifts to straight East, the period jumps to a very long 12 seconds, and the combined energy skyrockets to 1109 – that’s strong, deep groundswell energy. The swell height is 5 ft, which is a solid size, but the wind is a light cross-onshore (6 to 9 mph). That’s not glassy, but it’s workable, and the long period will make for some proper lines.

The main spot here is Baldwin Beach Park (reef and point). This is where you want to be. That 5 ft East swell (12-second period) is going to wrap in nicely, and with it being a reef and point setup, those long-period groundswell lines will really stand up and offer some proper shaped waves. The water temp is a warm 80°, which is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there. Baldwin is very consistent, and it’s exposed to that NNE optimum, so the East swell is a reasonable match. It’s also a beginner-friendly spot, but at 5 ft with that long period, it might be pushing the limits for total newbies. The crowds are marked as "often," so you can expect to share the waves, but for the best offering in this whole period, it’s worth the company.

The 10th of September looks similar, with a 5 ft swell from East at a very long 13 seconds. The energy is still strong (777), but that cross-onshore wind is still there. It’s a continuation of the good conditions, but the peak of the swell is on the 9th.

So, to sum it up: the first 12 days are a write-off. A frustrating, choppy, cross-shore mess. But hang in there. The 9th and 10th of September are the only two days that look genuinely worthwhile, with Baldwin Beach Park being the stand-out. The long period groundswell is the real deal, even if the wind is just a little bit onshore. It’s the best we’ve got, and honestly, it looks pretty good.

Rusty.

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