Baldwin Beach Park Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s break down what the next couple of weeks look like. I’ll be honest with you—this stretch is a tough one for surfers. We’ve got a solid run of days, but the conditions just aren’t lining up for a good paddle.

The overall picture is persistent cross-shore winds, mostly from the east and east-northeast, and a chop that never really cleans up. The wave energy is there, but it’s messy. The best swell direction for Baldwin Beach Park is from the north-northeast, but we’re seeing a lot of east-northeast energy instead, which isn’t ideal for this exposed reef and point setup.

Starting off Wednesday morning, the 9th of September, there’s some small swell at 4 ft from the east-northeast with a period of 8 seconds. The combined energy is moderate at 548, but the wind is cross-shore at 9 mph, and the call is “marginal surf forecast.” It’s just not worth suiting up. The water temperature is about 80°, which is pretty normal for this time of year, no big anomaly there.

The rest of the week and into the next doesn’t improve. Thursday the 10th through to the end of the second week is all "poor surf conditions" with zero scores. We see the swell bumping up to 5 ft to 5 ft on the 17th and 18th of September, and the combined energy gets into the 300s and even 400s on the 22nd, but it’s all wrapped in cross-shore winds of 12 to 16 mph. That’s a chop fest, not a surf session. For a beginner-friendly spot, anything over 5 ft starts to get a bit much, and with the wind like this, it’s just messy.

There is a moment on the morning of Tuesday the 15th of September that looks interesting—wind shifts to light north-northeast at 3 mph, offshore. But the swell is tiny at 3 ft from the north-northeast with a period of 7 seconds, and the energy is weak at 105. It’s a tease. The call is still “poor surf conditions,” so I wouldn’t hold my breath.

Honestly, there’s not a single standout in this whole 16-day window. The closest we get to a decent option is maybe that Tuesday morning with the offshore wind, but the swell just isn’t there. If you’re desperate for a paddle, you might find a few weak, cleanish waves on the 15th, but it’s not what I’d call a good session. For the rest of it, with the consistent cross-shore chop and moderate energy, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. The waves are there, but they’re not for us.

Keep your hopes up—forecasts can change, and it doesn’t stay poor forever. But for now, I’d leave the boards in the car.

Rusty.

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