Baldwin Beach Park Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the menu for the next couple of weeks. To be straight with you, it’s a pretty grim stretch for Baldwin Beach Park for the most part. We’ve got a long run of poor conditions, with the wind blowing cross-shore or cross-onshore from the ENE almost constantly, which is not doing us any favours. The swell is mostly short-period, wind-driven slop, so it’s going to be lumpy and uninviting. This dry spell lasts for the first week, so don’t get your hopes up for the near term.

The first real flicker of something half-decent shows up on the morning of Saturday, 5th September. The swell picks up a little, coming from the ENE at 5ft, and the period stretches out to a very long 12 seconds. That’s proper groundswell energy, and the combined energy is moderate (700). The morning looks best with a gentle breeze and just a slight cross-chop, which is a big improvement. This is a point and reef setup, so it should handle that long period better than a beach break. It’s still only a marginal call, but it’s the first window we’ve had.

The next real standout comes on Monday, 7th September. The swell bumps up to a solid 8ft from the ENE, with a period of 10 seconds. The combined energy jumps to strong (1510). Now, this is big—over 8ft, so this is for experienced surfers only. The wind is still cross-onshore, meaning it’s going to be a bit choppy and messy, but that much energy in the water will push through. It’s a marginal call, but it's the biggest swell of the whole period. Be aware, the crowds here are listed as “often,” so it’s going to be busy with the crew who are keen for some size.

After that, things settle back down. The swell drops, and the wind stays uncooperative. There’s a brief moment on Wednesday, 9th September where the morning looks a little more promising. The swell is 6ft from the ENE, but the wind goes light from the NNE, making it just a light cross-onshore breeze. Still marginal, but it’s a step cleaner than the moderate breezes we’ve been dealing with. The swell period is a weak 8 seconds, so it won’t be a classic, but it’s surfable for the patient.

The very end of the window, on Saturday, 12th September, throws a weird curveball. The swell direction flips to the WNW, dropping to 3ft, but the period is a massive 16 seconds. That’s a very long period groundswell. The energy is moderate (507), but the swell is tiny. If you’re on a log, you might get a long, slow glide, but it’s not going to get the heart racing. The wind is still messing with it.

So, the clear winner here is the Monday, 7th September session for the size and power, but it’s a messy, expert-only affair. The Saturday, 5th September morning is the best balance of cleaner conditions, long period, and a more manageable size. It’s not a classic run, but we’ve got a couple of days to keep an eye on.

Rusty.

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