Baldwin Beach Park Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming down the line for Baldwin Beach Park.

First off, the water temp is sitting at 80°, which is bang on normal for this time of year – no surprises there. The spot itself is a reef and point set-up, very consistent, and it likes swell from the NNE. Unfortunately, the wind is going to be a real pain for the next few days. We’ve got a moderate to fresh cross-shore breeze blowing from the ENE for most of the first week, which is going to keep things messy.

Thursday afternoon kicks things off with a 6ft swell from the ENE, but the cross-wind is just making a chop of it. The combined energy is moderate (532), so it’s not worth paddling out for. Friday morning drops to 4ft from the East with a long 14-second period, but again, the cross-wind kills it. The energy is still moderate (715), but the surf is poor. Friday afternoon bumps up to 7ft from the East, same long period, and the energy jumps to a strong 1699, but it’s still a cross-wind mess. The forecast calls it marginal at best. Saturday and Sunday stay similar: 7ft to 7ft from the ENE, periods around 12-14 seconds, energy staying strong (1139-1412), but the wind just won’t let up. It’s all cross-shore and choppy.

Now, Monday morning (September 7) sees the swell hit 8ft from the ENE with a 12-second period. That’s big, and the energy is very strong at 3236 – that’s proper power. But it’s still cross-shore, so it’s rough. Afternoon on Monday the wind shifts to a cross-offshore from the ESE, and the waves drop to 7ft. The forecast says “clean” for the first time, and the energy is still strong at 1410. This is the first real glimmer of hope. Tuesday morning (September 8) is the standout. The swell drops to 5ft from the NE, but the wind is a light cross-offshore from the ESE at only 6 mph. The energy is moderate (579), but the conditions are clean, and the forecast says “expect very good surf conditions.” That’s your best window. The break is a reef and point, so that long-period groundswell will actually shape up nicely here. It’s a beginner-friendly size, and the crowds are often around, so expect company.

After Tuesday afternoon, the swell fades fast. By Wednesday (September 9) we’re down to 3ft, and the wind is back cross-shore. The rest of the second week is poor. There’s a pulse on Monday September 14 with 7ft from the ENE and an 11-second period, moderate energy (899), but the wind is cross-shore again. It’s marginal. The rest of the run through to September 18 is just small, short-period, wind-affected slop. The energy barely reaches 969, and it’s mostly in the 500-600 range – weak and messy.

So, bottom line: You’ve got one real shot, and that’s Tuesday morning September 8. Clean, light winds, shoulder-high waves from the NE. It’ll be worth the paddle. Everything else is a battle with the wind.

Rusty.

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