Baldwin Beach Park Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let's talk about what's coming up for Baldwin Beach Park.

Look, I gotta be straight with you right off the bat. The next sixteen days are a tough slog for us here. The forecast is showing a lot of strong cross-shore winds, which is going to keep things messy. The swell is consistent, but it’s not the kind of clean, lined-up surf we’re after. Most of the time this is going to be a kite surfer's dream, not a paddler's paradise.

The water temperature is sitting around average for this time of year, so you won't need a thick wetsuit, but it ain't bathwater either.

We start off on Sunday the 26th of July with a small 3ft swell from the east, but that 16 mph cross-on wind from the ENE is going to leave it choppy and uninviting. The energy is weak, sitting at 674, and the conditions are just poor. Monday the 27th isn't much better, with a 5ft swell that's still cross-on and choppy. There's a brief moment on Tuesday the 28th where the swell bumps up to 8ft, and while the energy is strong (2211), the wind is still cross-on and we have a risk of thunderstorms. It’s too big for beginners and the wind is ruining it.

The morning of Wednesday the 29th is the one true stand-out in this whole run. The swell is a solid 8ft from the NE, and the wind is a light 3 mph from the NW. That's about as close to offshore as we get here, and it's going to be clean. The energy is strong at 1111. The period is a punchy 10 seconds, which is good for shape. This is the only window where you’ll find some decent, clean lines. But be warned, this is a very consistent spot and crowds are likely, so get out there early. After that, it’s back to the struggle.

From Thursday the 30th of July right through until the end of the first week of August, the forecast is bleak. The wind is a constant cross-shore, the swell is short period and junky, and the energy is mostly moderate to low. You'll see a lot of 5ft to 7ft swell with 8-second periods and strong winds. That’s just a recipe for a washing machine. It’s not worth the paddle out.

There is a tiny glimmer on the horizon, but it's a long way off. On Sunday the 9th of August, the afternoon shows a cross-offshore wind from the SE at 6 mph. The swell is 6ft from the ENE, and the energy is moderate at 396. The wind state is described as "clean," which is the first time we've seen that. It’s promising, but it's two weeks out, so keep your expectations in check. The long-range forecast is a bit of a tease.

For the rest of the period, especially heading into the second week of August, it's just more of the same: cross-shore winds and poor conditions. The setup is much more interesting for the kite surfers than anyone with a paddle.

So, to sum it up: if you're desperate, hit the morning of Wednesday the 29th of July. That's your best bet. Everything else is a pass.

Rusty.

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