Baldwin Beach Park Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's take a look at what's cookin' for the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – the forecast for Baldwin Beach Park is a real mixed bag for the next fortnight. We’ve got a ton of onshore and side-shore wind, choppy conditions, and surf that’s just not playing ball for most of the run. Water temp is about average for this time of year.

The first real shot at anything half decent doesn't show up until way into the second week. There's a big gap of poor surf from now until around September 7, with moderate cross-winds and choppy seas making it a total write-off.

The first glimmer of hope comes on Monday, September 7. The combined swell energy is pumping up to 660 (moderate wave energy) early Monday morning from the ENE, pushing waves around 5 ft. It’s still a side-shore wind, but with a light breeze, so it’s not all blown out. The period stretches out to 11 seconds, meaning there’s proper groundswell energy in the water. That longer period will make the paddle out easier, but at a beach break it can make things a little straight. It's still only a 2/10 on the scoresheet, but it's the best we've seen.

Then things get a bit more interesting, but I wouldn’t call it a standout. Thursday, September 10 sees the swell push up to 6 ft from the NE, with combined energy hitting 808 (still moderate). The wind swings around to a light offshore out of the north early on Thursday morning. Offshore wind and 6 ft swell at a reef and point break? That gets the blood pumping. The crowd is "often" here, so don’t expect a solo session. It’s still marked as marginal though, with questionable tide conditions.

Friday, September 11 might be the pick of the bunch. Swell ramps up to 8 ft from the NE, with 983 combined energy (edging into strong wave energy). The period's only 9 seconds, so it's a shorter-period swell, but paired with those light offshore north winds in the morning, the waves will have some push and shape. At 8 ft, this is getting into expert territory, especially if those tide lines get weird. The wind goes cross in the afternoon, so get it early.

Bottom line: we have a lot of poor, choppy days to get through. The 10th and 11th of September (Thursday and Friday) look like the only real chance this month, and even then, the forecasts are long range. Keep checking back.

Rusty.

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