Baldwin Beach Park Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s break down what we’ve got lined up for Baldwin Beach Park over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, the next week is a tough one. We’re looking at a stretch of poor surf conditions from now through the 22nd of September. The wind is the main culprit here, blowing cross-shore or cross-onshore from the ENE at 9 to 16 mph, keeping the surface messy and choppy. There’s some swell on the table, but it’s not doing us any favors. For the first few days, we’ve got weak, short-period NE windswell, and even when the energy picks up into the moderate range (combined energy values in the 100s to 600s) around the 16th to 18th, the swell direction swings more easterly and the wind stays bad. Basically, it’s a messy week with no real windows of clean surf. Baldwin is very consistent, so it’s not a total shocker to see a flat spell, but this is a poor run.

There is a glimmer of hope, but it’s a distant one. The only day that even sniffs a recommendation is the 21st of September. Monday morning and afternoon finally step up to a “marginal” call. Swell bumps up to 6 ft from the ENE with a period of 9 seconds, and the combined energy is solid at 552 to 590. The wind is still cross-shore from the E/ENE at 12 mph, so don’t expect perfection, but it’ll be the best we’ve seen in over a week. It’s still a cross-shore chop, but the extra push makes it rideable for the keen and desperate. It’s a reef and point setup, so that 9-second period will offer some shape.

Honestly, if you’ve got to paddle out, that Monday the 21st is your best shout. The water temperature here is sitting about average for the time of year, nothing wild to report there. Don’t hold your breath on that afternoon session on the 22nd though – the wind goes cross-onshore again and kills it. After that, we’re back into poor surf through the end of the forecast window. Long range, there’s a hint of a bigger, longer-period swell showing up on the 28th of September, but that’s over a week away and the wind is still crummy. That 6 ft – 6 ft swell with an 8 to 9-second period on the 28th and 29th is only marginal at best, so don’t book your flights yet.

So, apart from that one day on the 21st, it’s a pretty bleak outlook. Hang tight, and maybe give it a good look next week.

- Rusty

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