Baldwin Beach Park Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what’s on the cards for the next couple of weeks.

Straight up, I gotta be honest with you – this stretch is a bit of a shocker for Baldwin Beach Park. We’ve got a long, quiet run ahead. The surf kicks off on Tuesday afternoon the 28th of July with a solid pulse, but the conditions are already working against us, and it doesn't really get good from there.

So, Tuesday arvo we see a 8ft swell from the ENE, with a period of 12 seconds – that’s proper energy, a big 1754 (moderate-to-strong energy) reading. But the wind’s blowin’ 9 mph from the NNE, which is listed as offshore for this spot. That’s the best part of it. Problem is, the wave comment calls it marginal. That’s a lot of water moving, and with 8ft, it's not for beginners. Could be some meaty ones if you’re an experienced local, but it’s not clean, clean.

Wednesday morning the 29th drops back to 4ft from the ENE, still around 9 seconds, and the wind goes light at 3 mph from the ENE, but it's classed as cross-shore, so we’re not getting those perfect offshores. The energy’s down to 477 (moderate). It’s still marginal, and honestly, it’s a bit all over the place.

From Thursday the 30th onward, things turn grim. The wind picks up from the east, 12-19 mph, and it stays cross-shore or cross-onshore, just lumping up the surface. The swell hangs around 4ft to 7ft, but the period drops to 7-8 seconds – short, weak stuff – and the energy sits between 243 and 944. Every single one of these days gets a “poor surf conditions” call. It’s chop city, not good for paddle surfing. At times, with that wind and that messy swell, the setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than a traditional surf session.

This poor run goes all the way through, with no real standout days. There’s a minor bump on August 4th where the period stretches to 11 seconds and the swell holds around 5-5ft, but it’s still cross-onshore and messy. The energy is 524-542 (moderate), but the comment is still poor or marginal. I wouldn’t get too excited.

By the time we hit August 5th through to the 12th, it’s just more of the same: small, short-period, wind-affected slop. Energy drops below 200 in places, barely a ripple. The water temp is a pretty standard 79°F, about normal for this time of year, nothing to write home about.

There is no true standout in this 16-day window. The best chance, if you’re desperate, is that Tuesday the 28th arvo with the offshore wind and the big 8ft ENE swell, but even then it’s a marginal call. For the rest of it – save your energy. Blank runs happen here, and this is one of them. Forecasts can change, but right now, it’s a long wait.

Rusty.

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