Baldwin Beach Park Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s see what’s shaking for the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, it’s a bit of a rough stretch. We’re looking at a lot of days with messy cross-shore wind and chop, and the wave quality is just not there for the most part. There’s a lot of energy in the water, but it’s not gonna be pretty for paddle surfing. The first real window of interest doesn’t even show up until late in the run, and even then it’s pretty ordinary.

The water's sittin’ at about 80°, which is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The standout, if you can call it that, is Baldwin Beach Park (*reef and point*). It’s a very consistent spot, exposed to the swell, but the wind is a constant problem. The best chance for a surf comes on Tuesday, July 28th. The morning sees a clean 8ft swell from the east with a 13-second period, and the wind is offshore from the north at 9 mph. That’s a solid combo. The combined swell energy is strong at 1945. The afternoon holds similar size at 8ft from the ENE, with a 12-second period, and NNW offshore wind at 9 mph. The energy is still high at 1628. This is really the only window where the offshore wind lines up with a decent swell. It’s on the bigger side, so more for intermediate to experienced surfers, and the long period means it’ll wrap into the point nicely. Crowds are likely here, so expect company.

The rest of the run is a write-off for clean waves. From July 29th right through to August 11th, it’s a constant barrage of cross-shore winds, mostly from the east and ENE, with speeds from 12 to 19 mph, making for lumpy, choppy conditions. The swell fluctuates between 3ft and 7ft, but the period is short (6 to 8 seconds) and the wind just ruins it. The combined energy is moderate, reading between 111 and 786, but it’s all junky.

There’s a tiny glimmer on Tuesday, August 11th, with a light cross-offshore breeze from the ESE at 6 mph and a 4ft to 4ft swell from the NE/ENE. The period is short (6 seconds), and the energy is weak (111 to 126). The conditions are clean, but the waves will be very weak and ordinary. It’s surfable, but barely.

Given the persistent cross-shore winds and the choppy conditions on a beach setup, a lot of these days are going to be more appealing for the kite crew than for us paddle surfers.

So, the best bet is to point your van towards Baldwin Beach Park for the morning of the 28th. After that, it’s a long, dry spell. Don’t hold your breath.

Rusty.

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