
Surf Forecasts:
Baldwin Beach Park surf forecast from 21 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Monday 27 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 15s period, E swell with 1,429 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Baldwin Beach Park this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Baldwin Beach Park in the next 16 days are 1.8m 15s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 27) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.3m 19s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 23) at 11PM.
| Wave Type | Time (HST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 2AM (Mon 27th Jul) | 6ft (1.8m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Baldwin Beach Park over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Hey, Rusty here. Let’s be honest – the next couple of weeks at Baldwin Beach Park are looking tough. It’s the only spot we’ve got on the list, and this reef-and-point break is usually consistent, but the weather and swell just aren’t cooperating for a good paddle.
For the first week, starting Tuesday the 21st, it’s a real mess. Light rain, a weak 4ft swell from the east-northeast with a short 7-second period, and a moderate cross-shore wind blowing at 12 mph. The combined wave energy is a paltry 178. The water is warm at 80°, which is about normal for this time of year. Honestly, it’s just poor surf – not worth dragging the board out.
Wednesday and Thursday are more of the same. The swell gets a little bigger, but it’s still short-period and choppy. Winds stay cross-shore and moderate. On Wednesday afternoon the 22nd, the period stretches to 12 seconds and combined energy hits 586 – that’s moderate – but the swell is only 5ft with a cross-shore wind, and the conditions are only marginal. Friday and Saturday the 24th and 25th? Same story: poor surf, cross-shore wind, short-period junk.
Now, Sunday the 26th offers a glimmer of hope, but you’ve gotta be smart. The swell drops a bit to 4ft, but the period shoots up to a very long 16 seconds from the east. The combined wave energy jumps to a strong 1122. That is serious power for a small-looking wave. This is a proper groundswell, and Baldwin being a reef and point is the right place for it. The wind is a moderate cross-shore at 16 mph, and conditions are still marginal. Morning is your best bet before it gets choppy in the afternoon. If you’re experienced and you get out early, you might grab some clean lines, but it’s not a sure thing.
The long-period energy sticks around Monday the 27th and Tuesday the 28th, with combined energy still over 1300 and 1200 – very strong. The wind eases to a gentle cross-onshore on Monday and a light cross-onshore Tuesday morning. The swell holds at about 6ft to 6ft from the east with 13 to 14-second periods. But it’s all cross-onshore or onshore, so it’s going to be bumpy. And the direction isn’t ideal – Baldwin likes north-northeast swell, not east.
After that, the energy fades. Wednesday the 29th still has moderate energy, but the swell is dropping and the period shortening, with the wind staying cross-onshore. By Thursday the 30th, we’re back to weak conditions.
There’s a quiet stretch until Sunday the 2nd of August. That morning, the swell picks back up to 7ft from the east-northeast with a 9-second period and combined energy of 739 – moderate. The wind is a moderate cross-shore, so it’s not awful, but the short period means a bumpy, crumbly wave. Not a standout.
If I had to pick one window, it’s Sunday morning the 26th. That very long-period groundswell will have real punch, and with a bit of luck on the wind, you might get a few good ones. The rest of the fortnight? Pretty much a bust for clean, quality waves at Baldwin.
Keep the wax on standby, but don’t hold your breath. Rusty out.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Tue morning. Warm (max 26°C on Tue afternoon, min 24°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Fri morning. Warm (max 26°C on Fri morning, min 24°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 12 | E 12 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | NE 8 | E 16 | E 16 | E 15 | E 14 | E 14 | E 14 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
117 | 162 | 171 | 163 | 583 | 177 | 207 | 219 | 195 | 235 | 344 | 310 | 330 | 339 | 353 | 817 | 1074 | 1429 | 1179 | 1179 | 1110 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 9:49AM0.62m | 5:38PM0.60m | 11:30AM0.68m | 12:23PM0.74m | 1:00PM0.80m | 1:32PM0.84m | 11:32PM0.44m | 2:02PM0.87m | 00:28AM0.46m | 2:29PM0.90m | 1:11AM0.49m | ||||||||||
Low Tide | 2:16PM0.58m | 2:24AM0.22m | 3:23AM0.21m | 4:27AM0.19m | 5:24AM0.16m | 8:56PM0.42m | 6:12AM0.12m | 9:02PM0.40m | 6:52AM0.09m | 9:16PM0.38m | |||||||||||
5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | |
— | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:06 | — | — | 7:06 | — | |
mm | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 25 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 24 | 25 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 25 |
Feels °C | 26 | 27 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 24 | 25 | 23 | 25 | 25 | 23 | 24 | 24 | 23 | 25 | 26 | 25 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 11 | E 11 | E 12 | E 11 | SW 18 | E 12 | WSW 20 | NNW 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | E 16 | E 14 | E 14 | E 13 | E 16 | E 16 | E 16 | E 15 | E 14 | E 14 | E 14 |
23 | 39 | 103 | 123 | 12 | 177 | 38 | 9 | 34 | 19 | 44 | 37 | 57 | 54 | 305 | 817 | 1074 | 1429 | 1179 | 1179 | 1110 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 15 | E 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 23 | NNW 11 | NNW 10 | WSW 20 | SW 18 | WSW 18 | SW 17 | WSW 16 | SW 19 | E 16 | E 12 | SW 17 | SW 16 | NE 8 | SW 16 | SW 15 | NE 8 |
38 | 58 | 10 | 10 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 37 | 50 | 31 | 47 | 26 | 15 | 48 | 25 | 45 | 41 | 143 | 9 | 9 | 133 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 17 | SW 17 | W 11 | SW 24 | N 12 | WSW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | NNW 9 | NNW 9 | NNW 8 | N 8 | SW 16 | SW 18 | SW 18 | — | — | SSW 16 | — | — | — |
11 | 11 | 2 | 22 | 3 | 30 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 51 | 49 | — | — | 25 | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 12 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | — | NE 7 | NE 8 | — |
117 | 162 | 171 | 163 | 583 | 69 | 207 | 219 | 195 | 235 | 344 | 310 | 330 | 339 | 353 | 305 | 262 | — | 126 | 147 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 5 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 22 | 19 | 19 | 22 | 19 | 19 | 22 | 19 | 19 | 22 | 19 | 19 | 22 | 19 | 19 | 22 | 3 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Maui | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Baldwin Beach Park Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Baldwin Beach Park provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Baldwin Beach Park can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Baldwin Beach Park surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Baldwin Beach Park) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Baldwin Beach Park may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a vacation in Maui? If you are looking for accommodation near Baldwin Beach Park, camping, hotels and condos and appartments in Maui, consider staying in Kahului which is 4 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Maui where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Wailuku which is 11 km (7 miles) away, Kihei, Lanai - Lanai and Kaunakakai - Molokai.










