Baldwin Beach Park Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab your coffee and let’s get into it. I’m Rusty, and this is the surf outlook for Baldwin Beach Park.

We’ve got a bit of a wait on our hands this week. The surf through the early days is poor at best—choppy, cross-shore winds, and weak, short-period swell running at around 4 to 5 ft. The combined wave energy is moderate in the 200–400 range initially, but it’s just not doing anything clean.

Then around the middle of next week, the swell picks up noticeably. Thursday the 14th sees some energy jump to 6 ft with the ENE swell, but the wind is still cross-onshore and choppy, so you’re grinding through slop. The energy hits 455 (moderate). By Saturday the 15th, we’re looking at 6–7 ft ENE swell, and the energy climbs into the 800–1000 range (moderate to strong). However, it’s still a bit messy.

The real standout window comes on Sunday the 16th and especially Monday the 17th. Sunday brings 8 ft swell from the ENE with a very long period of 13 seconds (groundswell), and energy is massive at 2205. That’s strong. Cross-onshore morning, shifts to cross-shore arvo, but at that size, it’s big and powerful—really only for the experienced crew. Keep in mind, longer period swells at a beach-and-reef setup like this can make the waves wall up and break a bit straight, so you want to pick your peak.

Monday the 17th is the best on offer. The swell drops to a still solid 6 ft from the NE, period 10 seconds (good energy, 756), and the morning goes glassy with zero wind. That is clean, lined-up surf—should have some nice shape coming down the reef and point sections. This is your day.

After that, the energy fades fast. From Tuesday the 18th onward, we’re back to smaller, short-period swell in the 3 to 5 ft range, mostly ENE and cross-onshore. The wind stays moderate and bumpy, and the energy drops below 250. Not much to write home about in that second week.

Water temperature is about average for this time of year, no major anomaly. The break is very consistent, so when it cleans up, it delivers. Baldwin can get busy on the good days, so expect company.

For the standout: Monday the 17th – 6 ft NE swell, glassy conditions, good energy. That's the one.

Rusty

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