Baldwin Beach Park Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up for Baldwin Beach Park.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – it’s a tough stretch ahead. This is a reef and point set-up that’s exposed to the north-northeast, and it’s very consistent, so it usually has something. But for the next couple of weeks, the conditions are just not playing ball. The wind is almost always coming from the east or east-northeast, putting us in a cross or cross-onshore situation, and the surf is rarely clean. The water temp is about average for this time of year.

The first few days are a write-off. Sunday the 13th, we’ve got a tiny 3ft swell from the north-northeast with a period of 9 seconds, but it’s cross-on and choppy – just poor. The combined energy is weak at 158. That theme continues through Monday and Tuesday, with the swell staying small and the wind keeping things messy.

There’s a bit of a pulse showing up around Wednesday the 16th. Swell bumps up to 4ft from the east-northeast, period hits 10 seconds, and the energy climbs to a moderate 322. But that moderate east-northeast breeze keeps it cross-shore and chopped up. Still poor.

Now, for you more experienced crew, the swell really starts to push from Thursday the 17th. We’re looking at 7ft from the east-northeast, with a period of 10 seconds and energy jumping to a strong 748. That’s proper size. But the wind is still a problem – moderate cross-shore, and there’s a risk of thunderstorms. It’s still classed as poor. By the afternoon, it’s a marginal call at best, with energy at 842. This is expert territory at over 8ft in the coming days, but the quality just isn’t there for a good paddle session. Honestly, with that wind and swell combo, it’s looking more like a kite-surfing setup than a clean wave for us.

The swell hangs around the 6ft to 7ft mark through the next week, but the wind stays relentless from the east, never swinging truly offshore. The period drops back to 8 seconds from the 19th, making it a shorter-period wind swell. Energy stays moderate to strong, peaking at 951 on the 22nd, but the cross-shore chop kills it.

We don’t get a single standout day here. The best of a bad bunch might be the morning of Saturday the 26th, with a 6ft swell from the east-northeast and a gentle cross-shore breeze. It’s marginal, but it’s the closest we get to clean. Even then, it’s only a 1 out of 10. The very last entry on Monday the 28th has a light cross-onshore from the north-northeast with 5ft from the east, but again, only marginal.

So look, there’s no real “go” window in this 16-day outlook. The swell will be there, but the wind and chop are going to ruin it for paddle surfing. Keep an eye on it, because forecasts change, but for now, it’s a frustrating run.

Rusty.

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