Surf Forecasts:
Baldwin Beach Park surf forecast from 17 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 23 Jul, 2PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 11s period, ENE swell with 455 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Baldwin Beach Park this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Baldwin Beach Park in the next 16 days are 1.4m 11s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 23) at 2PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.3m 19s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 23) at 11PM.
| Wave Type | Time (HST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 2PM (Thu 23rd Jul) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Baldwin Beach Park over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, this is Rusty. Let me tell you about the outlook for Baldwin Beach Park.
Honestly, the next week and a half is a tough one for us here. We’re looking at a long stretch of poor surf conditions. The wind is nearly always cross or cross-onshore, and the wave quality is just not there. From Friday the 17th through to the 25th, it’s a flat, choppy mess. The swell is mostly short-period windswell from the ENE, with wave heights bouncing between 3 ft and 6 ft, but the energy is weak to moderate—the best it gets is a combined energy of 496 on the 25th afternoon, but it’s still just messy. There’s a solid 10-day gap of nothing worth paddling out for.
Now, things start to look a little more promising as we head into the last week of July. On Sunday the 26th, we start to see a change. The swell period jumps to 16 seconds and longer, which is proper groundswell. The energy gets strong, hitting 1069 on Sunday afternoon. But the wind is still cross, and the surf is described as marginal. The real energy builds on Monday the 27th and Tuesday the 28th. We’re talking an 8 ft swell from the ENE on Tuesday morning, with a very long period of 14 seconds and extreme energy levels of 2702. This is serious, heavy water. The problem is that the wind is cross-onshore, which will make it choppy and tough to manage. At that size, it’s only for experts. For a spot like Baldwin Beach Park, which is a reef and point setup, that long-period groundswell will line up well, but the wind is the spoiler. The water temperature is 79°, which is pretty average for this time of year.
The best window, if you’re willing to take a gamble, is the morning of Wednesday the 30th. Swell is 6 ft from the ENE with a 12-second period, and we finally get a gentle cross-shore breeze. The combined energy is still high at 898, and the surf is described as marginal, but the conditions are the cleanest we’ve seen. It’s still not a standout, but it’s the best on offer. After that, it drops off again.
Overall, this is a long, quiet run. The setup is more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing on most days. Don't hold your breath for the first week, but keep an eye on that last week of July for a possible window.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Fri morning, min 24°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Mon night. Warm (max 26°C on Mon morning, min 24°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 7 | ENE 6 | E 6 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | E 8 | ENE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | ENE 8 | E 7 | NE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 6 | E 12 | E 12 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 131 | 133 | 161 | 308 | 394 | 223 | 238 | 190 | 120 | 161 | 70 | 77 | 117 | 136 | 61 | 62 | 92 | 106 | 99 | 176 | 187 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross |
High Tide | 5:08PM0.89m | 5:17AM0.56m | 5:32PM0.81m | 6:25AM0.56m | 5:50PM0.73m | 7:52AM0.58m | 5:59PM0.66m | 9:49AM0.62m | 5:38PM0.60m | 11:30AM0.68m | 12:23PM0.74m | ||||||||||
Low Tide | 10:06AM0.16m | 11:54PM0.27m | 10:46AM0.27m | 00:26AM0.25m | 11:28AM0.39m | 00:59AM0.24m | 12:20PM0.49m | 1:37AM0.23m | 2:16PM0.58m | 2:24AM0.22m | 3:23AM0.21m | 4:27AM0.19m | |||||||||
 | |  |  | |  | | | | | |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 5:52 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — |
 | — | 7:08 | — | — | 7:08 | — | — | 7:08 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 27 | 27 | 26 | 27 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 25 |
Feels °C | 27 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 25 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | WNW 13 | WNW 13 | NNE 6 | W 12 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | W 12 | E 7 | E 7 | E 12 | E 11 | NE 7 | NE 7 | E 11 | E 12 | E 12 | NNW 10 | ENE 11 |
| kJ | 33 | 21 | 19 | 34 | 34 | 33 | 11 | 49 | 54 | 11 | 70 | 39 | 41 | 61 | 50 | 26 | 81 | 106 | 99 | 10 | 39 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 14 | WNW 14 | WNW 13 | SW 15 | SW 15 | WNW 13 | W 20 | W 12 | W 12 | SW 18 | W 12 | E 12 | SW 17 | SW 17 | E 11 | E 11 | NE 7 | NE 8 | NNW 10 | WSW 20 | SW 18 |
| kJ | 66 | 64 | 60 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 11 | 26 | 11 | 11 | 60 | 57 | 24 | 14 | 11 | 37 | 50 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | WSW 16 | SW 16 | N 9 | W 22 | SW 14 | SW 14 | W 20 | SW 19 | E 14 | E 13 | SW 16 | W 11 | W 11 | E 15 | E 14 | SW 18 | NNW 11 | WSW 20 | SW 16 | NNW 9 |
| kJ | 10 | 25 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 37 | 12 | 11 | 38 | 10 | 8 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 7 | ENE 6 | E 6 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | E 8 | ENE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | ENE 8 | NNE 7 | NE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 6 | E 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 |
| kJ | 131 | 133 | 161 | 308 | 394 | 223 | 238 | 190 | 120 | 161 | 68 | 77 | 117 | 136 | 61 | 62 | 92 | 97 | 97 | 176 | 187 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 19 | 113 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 22 | 19 | 22 | 5 | 19 | 22 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 22 | 19 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Maui | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Baldwin Beach Park Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Baldwin Beach Park provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Baldwin Beach Park can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Baldwin Beach Park surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Baldwin Beach Park) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Baldwin Beach Park may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a vacation in Maui? If you are looking for accommodation near Baldwin Beach Park, camping, hotels and condos and appartments in Maui, consider staying in Kahului which is 4 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Maui where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Wailuku which is 11 km (7 miles) away, Kihei, Lanai - Lanai and Kaunakakai - Molokai.
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