Asilomar Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, let me break down what we've got for Asilomar. I'll be honest, it’s a tough forecast ahead, so don't get your hopes up too high.

For the next two weeks, we’re looking at a persistent cross-onshore wind pattern that’s just messing up the surf. The wave energy is there – moderate to moderate-strong in the 300 to 400 range – but it’s all bumpy and chopped up. Monday afternoon the 10th starts with a 3ft WNW swell at 9 seconds, water temp around 60° which is pretty normal for August, but that cross-on wind from the West at 9 mph makes it a poor day.

Tuesday the 11th is more of the same, with a light cross-onshore breeze keeping it bumpy. The swell drops to 2ft on Tuesday afternoon, but you get a weird 18-second period groundswell from the SW. That’s a long period, which usually means better shaped waves, but with that onshore wind, it’s just going to be a choppy mess.

The only real windows of opportunity are the mornings of Saturday the 15th and Sunday the 16th. On Saturday morning we get a 3ft SSW swell with a 16-second period, and the wind finally goes offshore out of the NW at only 3 mph. That’s a huge positive – light offshore wind will give you clean, smooth faces. Sunday morning is similar, with a 3ft SSW swell, 16-second period, and a light NW offshore breeze at 6 mph. These two mornings are your best chance. The energy is moderate (around 545 and 577), so don't expect heavy waves, but it will be the cleanest you'll see.

After that, it’s right back to poor conditions as the cross-onshore wind picks up. The swell hangs around 2ft to 3ft for the rest of the week, but the wind is just a killer. The second week, from the 18th onward, is mostly poor surf with the wind staying onshore or cross-onshore, and the swell energy drops off into the weak 200 range. There’s a slight possibility on the 22nd with a 3ft WNW swell and light offshore wind, but it’s nothing to write home about.

For this full 16-day stretch, there are no epic stand-outs. The best on offer are those two mornings – Saturday the 15th and Sunday the 16th – with light offshore wind and a clean, long-period groundswell. If you get out then, you might find a few clean ones, but don't expect much power. The rest of the time, the conditions just aren't playing ball.

Rusty.

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