Asilomar Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's talk about what's on the menu for Asilomar over the next couple of weeks. Gotta be honest with you, it’s a bit of a slow cooker this time around. We’re looking at a long stretch of small, messy surf before things start to get interesting.

The water temp is sitting at 58°, which is about 1° cooler than normal for this time of year. Not a huge shock, but it's a little nippy, so you’ll want the 4/3.

The first real hope doesn't really appear until Wednesday, September 2nd. On the Wednesday morning, we see a tiny, glassy 0.4m swell (about 1ft) from the SW with a long 16-second period. The wave energy is weak at 191 units, but with the glassy conditions, you might find a fun little wave if you’re on a log. It's surfable, but very ordinary.

Things stay pretty average through the rest of the first week and into the second. There are a few pulses of energy, like the 0.9m to 1.0m (3ft to 3ft) SSW swells on Thursday and Friday, but the wind is onshore or cross-onshore, and the period is long (15-19 seconds). That long period at a beach-and-reef setup like Asilomar means the swell will hit the reef a bit weird and break straight. The energy picks up a bit (841 units on Friday afternoon) but the poor wind just chops it up.

We hit a bit of a lull after that. The weekend of the 6th and 7th is mostly small and messy, though Monday the 7th morning has a clean, cross-offshore wind with a 0.7m (2ft) SSW swell. It’s small, but clean.

The real standout, what we’ve been waiting for, looks like it arrives around Thursday, September 10th. The Thursday morning shows a much bigger 1.8m (about 6ft) swell from the WNW with a 12-second period. The combined wave energy jumps to a solid 1200 units – that’s moderate to strong energy. The wind is light offshore from the NNW. Now, at 6ft, this is getting into expert territory for a spot like Asilomar, and with that longish period it will have some push. This is the one to circle on the calendar. It’s not perfect – the afternoon sees the wind swing cross-shore – but the morning session looks like the best on offer in this whole 16-day window. If you can only surf one day, make it the 10th.

Looking further ahead, the swell drops off again. The following Saturday (September 12th) morning has clean conditions again with a little 0.6m (2ft) SW groundswell, but it’s a drop in the bucket compared to that Thursday pulse. The rest of the second week is small, onshore, and not worth getting excited about.

So, in short: a lot of small, average days, a few clean but weak windows, and one promising, punchy day on the 10th. Don't get your hopes up for consistent waves, but keep an eye on that Thursday morning for the real deal.

Rusty.

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