Asilomar Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for Asilomar over the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, the outlook is a bit of a slow burn. The next week or so is looking pretty average, with only small, marginal surf and mostly dodgy wind conditions. The real standout, the one that’s got my attention, is way out there in the second week.

The Overall Pattern

We’ve got a long stretch of pretty weak surf ahead. The wave energy is moderate at best, with readings like 529 (moderate) early on, but the quality is just not there. The wind is a constant problem, with a lot of “on” and “cross-on” which will mess up the face. The best bet for a clean wave is going to be a session where the wind is light and offshore, but those are few and far between.

The First Week (Mon 7th Sep – Sun 13th Sep)

Monday morning, the 7th, has a tiny 3 ft swell from the S with a period of 14 seconds, but the wind is onshore. It’s a “marginal” call at best. The water temp is about 60°F, which is pretty normal for this time of year. The energy is moderate (529), but it’s just not going to be fun. The week goes on with similar small stuff, 2 ft to 4 ft, and the wind stays crap. By Saturday afternoon, the 12th, the wind is howling at 19 mph from the WNW, and the swell is a messy 6 ft with a short period of 6 seconds. That’s not surfable for a paddle; you’d be better off down the beach with a kite. Sunday the 13th is a bit better with a 4 ft WNW swell, but the wind is still onshore.

The Gaps

From Monday morning the 14th all the way through to Saturday the 19th, there’s no surf worth paddling out for. The wind is too strong, the swell is weak, and the conditions are just poor. It’s a blank run of about 6 days.

The Standout Window (Tues 22nd Sep)

Now, this is the one to keep an eye on. Tuesday afternoon, the 22nd of September, is the only real winner in the whole forecast. The swell is a solid 6 ft from the WNW with a period of 11 seconds. That’s a proper groundswell. The energy is strong at 1025 (strong). More importantly, the wind is light and cross-shore from the WSW at 6 mph. That’s clean, with only small ripples. This is the pick of the lot. The swell direction (WNW) is a good match for the optimum (W) for Asilomar. It’s a long-range call, so don’t book the time off just yet, but it’s the only window that has me feeling a bit of stoke.

So, for the next week, don’t get your hopes up. The board will stay in the shed. But mark that Tuesday the 22nd in your calendar. It’s the best chance we’ve got.

Rusty.

Read more