Asilomar Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what we've got coming up for Asilomar.

To be straight with you, this 16-day window is a bit of a tough one. The surf is going to be small and messy for most of it, and you'll be looking at a lot of onshore or cross-onshore winds. The water temp is sitting at about 59° which is pretty normal for the time of year, so at least you won't need a thick suit, but you might need your patience.

We kick things off on Monday the 27th of July and honestly, it's a write-off for the first week. There's some decent-sized swell in the water, with combined energy hitting around 825 on the Monday morning and even pushing 1146 in the afternoon—that's moderate to strong energy—but it's all coming with a stiff onshore wind. The swell is a long-period 18-19 seconds from the SSW, which would be beautiful if it was clean, but it's not. The waves are going to be blown-out and sloppy. That trend continues with onshore winds and poor conditions right through until the end of July and the start of August. The swell energy drops off a cliff by the 31st, down to 292, and the waves get smaller and weaker.

There is a slight flicker of hope rolling into Sunday the 2nd of August. The morning shows a 6 ft swell from the WNW with a period of 10 seconds and combined energy of 610. The wind is still onshore from the NW at 9 mph, so it's not perfect, but the wave comment shifts from "poor" to "marginal." It's the best we've seen so far, but it's still only a 1 out of 10 sort of day. The afternoon stays onshore, so not much to get excited about.

Monday the 3rd of August is actually the standout, and the best of the whole outlook. The wind swings to a light cross-shore from the SW at just 6 mph. The swell holds at 5 ft from the WNW with a 10-second period, giving us a combined energy of 557. It's still just a "marginal" call, but this is your window. The lighter cross-shore wind will keep things cleaner than anything else we've seen, and the 5 ft offers a bit of push. It's not going to be epic, but at Asilomar, with that exposure to the west, it's the closest we're going to get to a decent session.

After Tuesday the 4th of August, the surf tails off again quickly. The swell drops below 3 ft and the combined energy sinks into the low hundreds, flirting with 128 by the 5th. We get a long-period 20-second swell on the 6th of August but it's only 1 ft, so it's not going to do much. The weekend of the 8th and 9th sees a little bump back up to 4 ft on the Sunday, but the wind is cross-onshore again, so you're looking at chop. The last few days of the forecast, around the 10th and 11th of August, show some long-period groundswell from the SSW with periods of 19-21 seconds, but the heights are tiny at 2 ft to 2 ft. It's a tease, not a session.

So, here's the bottom line: The best on offer is Monday the 3rd of August with that cross-shore wind and a 5 ft swell. Sunday the 2nd is a runner-up if you're desperate. For the rest, keep your board in the van and wait for the next forecast update. This is a long blank run, so don't force it.

Rusty.

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