Asilomar Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here again. Let’s break it down for Asilomar in proper units.

This is a tough stretch, no two ways about it. The next few days are a write-off with poor conditions and small, messy surf. The first real chance for anything doesn’t show up until the 20th, and it’s a letdown. The wind is mostly onshore or cross-onshore, which is no good for this exposed beach and reef. The water temp is about normal for this time of year.

Monday the 20th and Tuesday the 21st are a waste – tiny swell, bad wind, no energy. Wednesday the 22nd is the same story. Thursday the 23rd and Friday the 24th are even worse as the wind picks up to a moderate breeze, even though there’s a long-period groundswell (24-second period) sneaking in. The combined energy is moderate (959 on Friday morning), but the onshore wind will chop it to pieces.

Saturday the 25th and Sunday the 26th have a bit more height, but the wind is still onshore. The combined energy is moderate (1145 on Saturday morning), but it’s not clean. Hard pass.

Monday the 27th and Tuesday the 28th are a little better on paper. Swell around 4 ft to 4 ft from the SSW, with a long period of 17-19 seconds. The combined energy gets up to 1224 and 1439, which is a solid moderate push. But the wind is still onshore or cross-onshore, so you’ll be dealing with a choppy surface. The best bet in the whole window is probably Tuesday afternoon the 28th – a bit more size, gentle breeze, but still cross-onshore.

Wednesday the 29th brings a new, bigger swell from the WNW, at 6 ft to 7 ft. That’s a noticeable increase, but the period drops to 9 seconds – that’s short-period windswell, which is junk. The combined energy is strong (1108 to 1326), but it’s cross-onshore again. For a beach and reef spot like this, that’s a messy, choppy mess. It’s more interesting for kite-surfing than paddling.

The last few days, from July 30th to August 4th, are a mix of small, short-period swell and onshore winds. The 1st of August has a bit of a clean-up with light cross-shore winds, but the swell is tiny.

The standout? Honestly, there isn’t a clear winner. The closest we get is Tuesday afternoon the 28th of July, with a 4 ft SSW swell, a 17-second period, and a moderate 1439 combined energy. The wind is cross-onshore, but it’s a light breeze, so it might be just about rideable for an advanced surfer. It’s the only time the numbers give you a *maybe*.

For the rest of it, it’s a waiting game. The wind is the enemy here. Keep an eye on the charts, but don’t hold your breath.

Rusty.

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