Surf Forecasts:
Alex surf forecast from 15 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 16 Sep, 6AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 9s period, ESE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 16 Sep, 6PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 11s period, ESE swell with 455 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 16 Sep, 6AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 9s period with ESE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Alex this week:
The surf forecast for Alex over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 5s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Alex in the next 16 days are 1.4m 11s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6AM (Wed 16th Sep) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 6AM (Wed 16th Sep) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Wed 16th Sep) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Alex over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G'day, I'm Rusty, and I'm looking right at the 16-day forecast for Alex. Straight up, I gotta tell ya, it's a pretty tough run. We've got a whole string of days here where the conditions just aren't coming together. The swell sticks around, sure, but the wind is a constant problem, mostly cross-onshore or cross, and that's gonna keep things messy and choppy. There's no standout session here, nothing that gets the heart racing. It's one of those periods where you're better off waiting for the next system to shift things around.
Kicking things off on Tuesday the 15th, we've got a weak-to-moderate swell energy (166) coming from the ESE at about 4 ft. But the wind is a moderate breeze from the E at 16 mph, putting a cross-onshore chop all over it. That 'poor surf conditions' tag is spot on. That pattern pretty much sets the tone for a solid ten days. The swell height bounces between 3 ft and 6 ft, and the energy picks up a bit, hitting a moderate range (461) on Sunday the 20th morning with a 6 ft ESE swell, but it's still cross-shore wind at 16 mph. It's just not clean. We get a tiny glimmer on Wednesday morning the 23rd – the swell period jumps to 12 seconds, which is a nice long-period groundswell, and the wind drops to a light 3 mph from the E, leaving a light cross-shore ripple. The wave comment shifts to 'marginal' and the energy is moderate (463). But even then, the swell direction is ESE and the optimum for Alex is S, so it's not hitting the reef the way it wants to. It's a maybe, but far from a standout.
Following that, it's back to the same story: moderate to fresh onshore breezes, lumpy and choppy conditions, and 'poor surf' from the 23rd afternoon right through to the 30th of September. The swell sticks around, but the quality never improves. There are no real standouts here, just a long, drawn-out period of average to poor surf. The water temp is sitting at 80°F when the records start, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, but you won't be enjoying it much if you're battling the chop.
So, the honest word from me, Rusty, is that this 16-day window is a write-off for a decent surf at Alex. The reef wants S swell and clean offshore winds to really shine, and we're getting none of that.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Warm (max 26°C on Thu morning, min 23°C on Tue night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 24mm), heaviest during Fri afternoon. Warm (max 26°C on Sat afternoon, min 24°C on Sat night). Mainly fresh winds. | |||||||||||||||||||
Tue 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | Saturday 19 | Sunday 20 | Monday 21 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 8 | ESE 9 | ESE 8 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | SE 10 | SE 6 | SE 7 | SE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 7 | SE 8 | SE 8 | SE 8 | ESE 8 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 160 | 86 | 82 | 380 | 313 | 260 | 322 | 191 | 192 | 163 | 311 | 270 | 256 | 393 | 306 | 250 | 107 | 99 | 96 | 157 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 5:34PM1.99m | 6:09AM1.97m | 6:30PM1.97m | 7:08AM1.94m | 7:28PM1.98m | 8:07AM1.94m | 8:25PM2.01m | 9:02AM1.98m | 9:20PM2.07m | 9:54AM2.04m | 10:11PM2.15m | 10:42AM2.11m | 10:58PM2.24m | |||||||
Low Tide | 11:41PM0.29m | 12:10PM0.41m | 00:43AM0.31m | 1:11PM0.42m | 1:44AM0.29m | 2:10PM0.40m | 2:42AM0.24m | 3:05PM0.34m | 3:35AM0.19m | 3:55PM0.28m | 4:23AM0.12m | 4:41PM0.21m | ||||||||
 |  |  | |  |  | |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 5:26 | — | — | 5:26 | — | — | 5:26 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — |
 | 5:29 | — | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:29 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 2 | 5 | — | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | — | 4 | 3 | — | — |
Temp °C | 25 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 25 |
Feels °C | 22 | 22 | 24 | 23 | 23 | 24 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 24 | 24 | 23 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 25 | 25 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 13 | ESE 9 | ESE 8 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | ESE 11 | SSE 13 | SSE 13 | ESE 10 | SE 9 | SSE 13 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | ESE 7 | ESE 8 | SSE 11 | SE 8 | SE 8 | E 8 | ESE 8 |
| kJ | 4 | 86 | 82 | 18 | 28 | 260 | 17 | 33 | 63 | 88 | 17 | 109 | 163 | 208 | 306 | 11 | 107 | 99 | 71 | 157 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | SSE 12 | E 5 | S 13 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | S 9 | SSE 13 | SSE 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 12 | SE 10 | S 8 | SE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | E 7 | SSE 9 | SSE 8 |
| kJ | 2 | 14 | 29 | 13 | 28 | 28 | 44 | 53 | 22 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 27 | 124 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 68 | 15 | 13 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SE 14 | SE 12 | S 12 | S 13 | SE 14 | E 6 | — | SSE 15 | SSE 14 | S 13 | S 12 | — | — | — | — | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | S 14 | SSE 13 |
| kJ | — | 8 | 40 | 12 | 14 | 7 | 7 | — | 21 | 21 | 14 | 11 | — | — | — | — | 17 | 16 | 4 | 16 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 8 | E 5 | — | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | — | SE 10 | SE 6 | SE 7 | SE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | E 7 | ESE 7 | E 7 | — | SE 8 | — |
| kJ | 160 | 24 | — | 380 | 313 | — | 322 | 191 | 192 | 163 | 311 | 270 | 256 | 393 | 150 | 250 | 106 | — | 96 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 775 | 755 | 6 | 840 | 1148 | 840 | 1148 | 840 | 828 | 1327 | 775 | 775 | 755 | 755 | 755 | 755 | 164 | 12 | 775 | 195 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Bahia - Norte | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Brazil | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Alex Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Alex provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Alex can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Alex surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Alex) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Alex may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Alex is 6 km (4 miles) from the city of Salvador. If you plan a holiday in Bahia - Norte, look for hotels and other accommodation in Salvador. Salvador has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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