Alex Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Nothing worth paddling out for until Friday the 11th – the whole run before that is onshore junk, cross-shore chop, and messy energy. Water temp at Alex (Big Island) is 80°, right around normal for this time of year – no weird warm or cold bounce, just your usual tropical bath.

First real window comes Friday morning the 11th – small, but clean. Light NE offshore breeze, 3ft of SE swell at 7 seconds. Weak – combined energy reading is 193, on the low end of moderate – so don’t expect much push. Surfable, but ordinary. The afternoon kills it with a fresh 30 km/h cross-shore and lumpy chop, so get out early if you’re keen. Saturday morning the 12th looks better: NW wind at just 5 km/h, glassy, 4ft of ESE swell at 8 seconds, energy reading 276. That’s your first decent session – clean, small, maybe a bit soft, but worth the paddle. Crowds are possible at Alex – it’s fairly consistent and exposed, so you won’t be alone.

Then it goes flat and messy again – Saturday afternoon through Monday the 14th is all cross-onshore wind and chop, nothing worth mentioning. Tuesday the 15th morning has a similar cross-off light breeze and 3ft swell, but energy drops to 180 – weak and ordinary. Wednesday the 16th morning is another small clean window: NE breeze 15 km/h, 3ft at 8 seconds, energy reading 211. Just surfable, not memorable.

Then the onshores come back hard – from Wednesday afternoon through the 20th, it’s mostly cross-onshore and choppy, with a couple of bigger 5–5ft pulses but all windblown. The standout of the entire run is Monday morning the 21st: light NE offshore at 10 km/h, 4ft of SE swell, but the period jumps to 9 seconds and energy reading is a solid 331 – that’s the most organised swell of the period. Clean, lined up, and with that offshore breeze, Alex should be actually fun. Crowds likely – it’s a good one. After that, the second week fades into same old cross-onshore nonsense, with one interesting blip on the 23rd: swell period hits 12 seconds and energy spikes to 684 – that’s strong energy, but wind stays cross-onshore, so it’ll be a messy mix of power and chop. Too bad.

Overall, it’s a lean fortnight – only two real standouts: Saturday the 12th morning and especially Monday the 21st morning. That 21st is the one to circle, but at a week out, treat it as promising, not nailed on. The rest is mostly blown-out and ordinary. If you’re a kiter, actually, there’s a lot more for you in that cross-shore chop than for us paddle guys. Keep your wetsuit handy, check the wind before you drive, and don’t get too attached to plans.

Rusty.

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