Alex Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here.

Alright, let’s be straight with you—this 16-day window for Alex is a tough one. We’ve got a long dry spell coming up, with no real surf worth paddling out for from now until well into the second week of August. The first proper hint of something decent shows up on the morning of Wednesday, August 14th, but that’s over a week away, so keep your expectations in check for now.

For the first week and a half, it’s basically a write-off. The swell is small, wind is mostly cross or onshore, and the energy is weak. From Thursday, August 1st through to Sunday, August 4th, we get a bit of a bump in size—around 4 ft to 6 ft from the ESE—but with onshore winds and poor conditions, it’s just messy, choppy water. The combined energy hits moderate levels (around 262 to 381) but it’s not doing you any favours with the wind. Not worth a session.

Then we hit a quieter stretch from Monday, August 5th into the weekend, with swell dropping under 3 ft and energy fading back to weak (under 200). Still mostly cross-on breezes and poor surf. There’s a brief moment on Monday morning, August 10th, when the wind goes glassy from the NE, but the swell is tiny—only 2 ft from the east with a short 7-second period. You might catch a knee-high dribbler if you’re desperate, but it’s not a standout.

The real glimmer comes on Thursday morning, August 13th. That’s when we see a shift: a noticeable 2 ft swell from the SSE, but with a very long period of 16 seconds. That’s proper groundswell energy—the combined energy jumps to 306, which is solid. The wind is offshore from the north at 6 mph, so it’ll be clean. This is a point break or reef, so that long period should wrap in nicely. Keep in mind, it’s still small in height, but the quality should be there for a patient surfer. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

Then Friday morning, August 14th, is the pick of the bunch. Swell jumps to 6 ft from the south, period is short at 6 seconds, but the combined energy is 454—strong. The wind is cross-offshore from the NE at 6 mph, and conditions are clean. This is a punchy, top-to-bottom wave for the experienced crew. The size is over 5 ft, so it’s not for beginners, and with that short period, there’ll be plenty of close-outs at the beach break, but on a reef or point, you’ll find some solid wedges. Given the break is a reef, it’s got potential.

So, if you’re keen, keep your eyes on Thursday the 13th for a clean, long-period session, and Friday the 14th for the biggest, most powerful waves of the whole outlook. The rest of the window is a skip.

Rusty.

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