Alex Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. The long-range forecast for Alex is looking like a real mixed bag, and honestly, it starts out pretty slow. We’ve got a lot of small, short-period swell and onshore winds for the next week or so, so you’re gonna have to be patient if you’re chasing anything decent.

The first window that’s worth looking at is that Thursday morning, the 14th. We’ve got a little ESE swell at 3ft, with an 8-second period. But what makes it stand out is the wind – it’s going glassy. That’s a rare treat around here, and it’ll make the most of what’s on offer. The energy is moderate at 215, but the clean conditions will make it feel better than the numbers suggest. It’s a small day, so it’s good for a log or a fish, not for a step-up.

Then we have another standout on Saturday morning, the 16th. It’s still small, 3ft from the ESE, with a 10-second period, but again, we get that glassy surface and light winds. This one has a bit more energy behind it, 360, so there might be a touch more push. It’s a similar deal to Thursday, but maybe slightly better.

Now, looking further out, things get a whole lot more interesting, but also messier. Around Tuesday the 18th, the swell starts to fill in properly. The wave heights jump to over 7ft from the SE, and the energy readings get strong, into the 650-675 range. But, and it’s a big but, the wind is going to be a problem. We’re looking at a moderate cross-onshore breeze, which is gonna chop it all up. It’s going to be bigger, but it’s not going to be clean. It’s going to be a bit of a battle.

The biggest swell on the charts is for the 19th, with the morning showing 5ft from the SSE, but the period jumps to a long 13 seconds. That’s proper groundswell energy, and the energy reading gets up to 964, which is some serious juice. But, again, the wind is going to be cross-shore and it’s going to be a mess. This one is strictly for the experienced crew who don’t mind some texture on the face. This is a case where the setup at a beach break like this might look more like a kite-surfing day than a paddle-surfing day.

Remember, this is all a bit far out, so treat those calls for the second week as promising but with a big old “maybe” attached. We’ll have to see how it all lines up as we get closer.

As for the water, it’s 79° at the start, which is a bit warmer than average for this time of year, so the wetsuit can stay thin.

Bottom line: the next week is small and weak. The 14th and 16th are your best bets early for a clean, small-wave fix. The second week has the size, but the conditions look rough, so only head out if you’re up for a challenge.

Rusty out.

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