Alex Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Alright, this is a rare one. We’ve got a 16-day window for the spot, Alex, but it’s a tough stretch. The first real chance to get a surf in is Thursday the 23rd of July, but it’s a short-lived window. The overall pattern is small, weak, and mostly messy, with a string of days where the wind and swell just don’t line up. There’s a big gap of no good surf after that Thursday morning, all the way through to Tuesday the 4th of August, so you’re looking at over a week of flat or poor conditions.

Let’s start with the best of it. Thursday morning the 23rd of July is your standout. The swell is a clean 4ft from the ESE, with a short period of 8 seconds, and the wind is glassy from the SSE at just 3 mph. The combined energy is moderate (216), and the water temp is about average for this time of year. It’s a reef break, so that short-period swell will hold up, and with the glassy conditions, it’ll be clean. The optimum swell direction is S, and we’re getting ESE, but it’s still the best on offer. Crowds are sometimes a factor, so you might have a few others out, but early morning should be quiet. This is a solid intermediate option – not too big for beginners at 4ft, and it’s a fairly consistent spot.

After that, Thursday afternoon turns to a cross-on wind, and the quality drops off. From Friday the 24th through to Monday the 27th, it’s all poor, with cross-shore and onshore winds, and the swell stays small around 3ft to 4ft. Monday morning the 27th has a brief glassy moment with 3ft swell, but it’s weak and ordinary – not worth a paddle. Then comes a dead zone: nothing good from Monday afternoon the 27th until Tuesday morning the 4th of August. That’s a solid week of no surf.

Finally, Tuesday morning the 4th of August brings a surprise. The swell jumps to 5ft from the ESE with a period of 6 seconds, and the wind is cross-off from the NE at 9 mph, giving clean conditions. The combined energy is moderate (218). This is a promising one, but it’s over a week away, so call it a “could be good” bet. The wind is offshore-ish, and the swell size is still manageable for intermediates. Wednesday the 5th of August has a bigger 6ft swell from the ESE, but the wind goes cross-on and it gets choppy – that’s for experts only, and the quality is poor. Thursday the 6th has a huge energy spike (1137 to 1294) with a south swell, but the 12-15 mph onshore winds ruin it – it’s more of a kite surfer’s dream than a paddle surfer’s.

So, the standout is Thursday morning the 23rd of July. Get it while you can. After that, be patient. The long-range Tuesday the 4th of August is a tantalising prospect, but no guarantees. Stay tuned.

Rusty.

Read more