Alex Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, let’s talk about what’s cooking at Alex.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – the next week and a half is looking pretty grim. For the first ten days, the wind is a mess, mostly cross-onshore or onshore, and the swell is small and weak. You’re looking at a lot of days where the combined wave energy is well under 500 (a weak energy reading), and the period is short, mostly around 6 to 8 seconds. That’s windswell, not groundswell, so the waves will be weak and gutless. The water temp is about average for the time of year, nothing special.

We don’t really get a sniff of anything decent until Friday morning, the 31st of July. That morning, the wind goes glassy – calm, dead flat – and the swell is 3ft from the ESE. It’s a short period (7s), so it won't have much punch, but for a few hours you might find a clean little crumbler. The combined energy is only 98 (weak), so don’t expect to get too excited. The wind switches back onshore by the afternoon, so that window is tiny.

The real standout, the only one worth marking on your calendar, is Thursday morning, the 6th of August. The wind is light and cross-offshore from the NE, cleaning up the 4ft, 8-second swell from the ESE. The combined energy is 227 (moderate), which is the healthiest we’ve seen. The direction is cross-off, so the wave face should be smooth. That’s your best shot. It’s still a short-period swell, so it’ll be a bit fat and won’t barrel, but for a reef break like Alex, it’ll offer some fun, rideable lines. Keep in mind, crowds are possible here.

After that, we get a bit of a pulse on Friday the 7th of August morning. The wind goes offshore from the NNW, which is the optimum direction for this spot. The swell is only 2ft but it’s got a long 11-second period – that’s groundswell energy. The combined energy is 199 (moderate), but the size is tiny. It’ll be clean and glassy, but you’ll be scratching for waves. Not a standout, but a possible session if you’re desperate.

For the rest of the run, forget it. Strong winds, onshore, with stormy conditions and a lot of rain. The swell picks up a bit in the first week of August, hitting 5ft to 7ft, but the wind is always cross-onshore or onshore, so it’ll be a choppy, lumpy mess. That’s more a kite-surfing setup than a paddle-surfing one.

So, to wrap it up: the best bet is Thursday morning, the 6th of August. Everything else is a long shot. If you can’t make that, the 31st of July morning is your only other clean window, but it’s small.

Rusty.

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