Aja Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, folks, Rusty here. We’re looking at a pretty grim stretch for Aja over the next 16 days. The pattern is a whole lot of nothing, with a few glimmers of hope that are still just “ordinary” at best. The first week is a total write-off, and it’s not until the second week that we might see a couple of okay sessions.

The water's sitting at 86°F which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so if you're paddling out, you won't need a thick suit.

Let's be honest, the first week is a bust. For the first four days, from Friday 7th through to Monday 10th, we've got a big, powerful swell brewing, but it's completely unsurfable. The light here is red. On Friday 7th, we’re looking at a huge 10ft swell from the east with a 15-second period and a massive 8438 combined energy, but it’s being hammered by a 43 mph westerly gale. That’s just a washing machine. By Saturday 8th, it drops to a tiny 2ft, but the wind is a severe gale. That theme continues all the way through to Wednesday 12th – the swell is tiny, below 3ft, and the wind is too strong to make anything of it. There’s a solid 5-day gap here with absolutely no recommendations.

The first sign of life comes on Wednesday 12th afternoon. The swell is a pathetic 2ft from the east with an 11-second period and a weak 59 combined energy. The wind is a light breeze, so it’s clean, but the comment is “surfable waves but very ordinary conditions.” That’s the best of the first week, and it’s not good.

The second week is a little more interesting, but still nothing to write home about. From Saturday 15th through to Sunday 16th, we get a run of clean conditions with a 2ft east swell and a 12-second period. The energy is low, around 130-141, but the wind is light and cross-offshore. These are the standout windows, but only because everything else is so bad. The waves will be small and weak, but at least they’ll be clean.

The only notable rise in size comes on Thursday 20th August. The swell jumps to 8ft from the east with a 9-second period, and combined energy hits 1162. The wind is a clean 16 mph cross-offshore, so it’s not blown out. The comment says “marginal surf forecast or questionable tide conditions.” That’s a big swell, over 8ft, so it’s expert territory only, and the short 9-second period means it’ll be a bit crumbly and less powerful. It’s a big, messy, heavy wave for the brave.

After that, it drops right off again. Friday 21st is flat, and Saturday 22nd brings back a tiny 3ft to 4ft east swell with a short 7-second period.

The best of the lot is the Thursday 20th if you’re an expert, or the clean but tiny conditions on Saturday 15th and Sunday 16th for a beginner on a longboard. Honestly, don’t get your hopes up.

Rusty.

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