Aja Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s break it down.

First up, the outlook for Aja – it’s a reef break, and it’s been a real struggle. We’re looking at a long dry spell right from the start. From Sunday, July 26th, all the way through the morning of Wednesday, August 5th, there’s basically nothing worth paddling out for. The energy is reading zero, and the swell just isn’t showing up. It’s a tough stretch, with a few glassy mornings but no waves to ride.

Now, late on Wednesday, August 5th, things start to stir. A solid east swell pushes in, 5 feet, with a very long period of 16 seconds. The combined energy jumps to 1149 – that’s moderate wave energy. The wind is onshore, though, so it’s not clean. The conditions are marginal, and with the period that long, Aja’s reef setup could be a bit straight, but it’s the first sign of life.

Thursday, August 6th, sees the swell building. Morning runs 6 feet east, 18-second period, energy at 1995, but it’s still onshore and messy. By the afternoon, it’s 7 feet, still east, 18 seconds, but the wind switches to a cross-onshore, making it choppy. This is big, powerful, and long-period groundswell – definitely for experienced surfers only, and the wind is a letdown.

The standout window is Friday, August 7th. That’s the one. Morning starts with a 8 feet east swell, 17-second period, and combined energy at 3152 – strong wave energy. The wind is light cross-offshore, and it cleans up beautifully. Conditions are excellent for experienced surfers. The afternoon gets even better: glassy conditions, same 8 feet swell, 3065 energy. This is the best of the whole forecast. The swell direction is east, and Aja’s optimum is north, so it’s not a perfect match, but the size, power, and clean wind make it a real standout. Crowds are possible here, so keep that in mind.

Saturday, August 8th, drops off a bit. The swell holds at 8 feet east, 16-second period, but the wind goes cross-shore in the morning and cross-onshore in the afternoon. Energy is still high, but the quality fades. Sunday, August 9th, sees the swell drop to 4 feet, with a strong cross-offshore wind from the south, but it’s windy and the energy is down to 801. Not great.

The water temperature at Aja is 85°F, which is 0.5°F above the long-term average – basically normal for this time of year.

So, to sum it up: the first week is a write-off. Friday, August 7th, is the absolute best call – big, clean, and powerful, but it’s for experts only. After that, it fades. If you’re a kite surfer, some of those windy, choppy days might look interesting, but for paddle surfing, it’s a short-lived window.

Rusty.

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