Aja Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for this stretch of coast.

Well, to be honest, it's a pretty grim start. We're looking at a long dry spell with no real surf on offer for the first week or so. From Friday the 10th right through to the end of the next week, it's just one big gap of nothing. The wind is howling, mostly gale force or stronger, and the swell is flat. It's just not happening.

The first glimmer of anything comes on Monday the 13th. We get a tiny pulse of swell, maybe 0.7ft to 1.0ft from the west and east, but it's so weak the energy is barely there (18 to 28). The wind is offshore and clean though, so it's a start. But honestly, you'd be hard-pressed to get a ride.

That tiny bit of swell sticks around through to Friday the 17th, but it's never more than about 3ft. The energy is still low (only getting to 106 on Friday afternoon). The wind stays clean, but the surf is just too small to get excited about. It’s a total tease.

Now, things get a bit more interesting as we head into the second week. Saturday the 18th sees a jump in size to 7ft, but with a nasty 25 mph cross-shore wind and a short, choppy 6-second period. That's a mess. Not one for the log.

The real standout, and this is the one to keep an eye on, is Aja (reef) on Tuesday the 21st of July in the morning. The swell is going to pump up to a solid 15ft from the east, with a decent 10-second period. The combined swell energy is a massive 3906, so there's plenty of power behind it. The wind is a cross-off at 19 mph, which should keep it reasonably clean. This is a proper groundswell, and for a reef, it'll be lined up. But listen – at 15ft, this is big, expert-only territory. It'll be a heavy, powerful wave, and definitely not for the faint of heart. It's also a reef break, so the long period will make it peg and barrel. Crowds could be possible here for a wave this good.

The rest of that week holds some size, with waves between 6ft and 12ft, but the wind starts to shift more cross-shore and onshore, lumping things up and making it a bit of a battle. By the weekend of the 25th, it drops right off again into the tiny stuff.

So, the standout is undoubtedly Tuesday the 21st. That morning session at Aja with a 15ft east swell and clean-ish wind is the one to circle. It’s a long way off, so the forecast could shift, but right now, it's the only real highlight in an otherwise quiet outlook.

Stay safe out there.

Rusty

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