Aja Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here again. Gotta be straight with you—the next couple of weeks at Aja is looking pretty slim. We’ve got a real dry spell on our hands, so don’t be expecting any fireworks.

Right now, starting Wednesday the 12th of August, we’ve got tiny 2-foot easterly swell rolling in with an 11-second period, but the conditions are just ordinary. The water temp is sitting at a pretty normal 84°, so nothing unusual there for this time of year. The wave energy is weak, just 83, and we’ve got a light cross-off breeze. It’s surfable, but not worth getting excited about. That sets the tone for the next week and a half.

Thursday the 13th sees that swell drop a little, with a glassy window in the afternoon, 2 feet from the east, period dropping to 10 seconds. That glassy wind is a positive—makes for a clean surface—but the swell is too small to really get going. Saturday the 15th is similar, with glassy conditions again in the morning and afternoon, same tiny 2-foot east swell. It’s a pattern of “almost but not quite.”

By Sunday the 16th, we get a bit of a bump in the wind with a 12 mph offshore breeze in the afternoon, cleaning things up nicely for that 2-foot wave. But here’s the kicker—the swell is just too weak to be a real standout. The energy stays below 100 for basically the whole run.

We hit a real dead zone from the 18th of August all the way through to the 26th. There are several days with zero swell and poor conditions. Wind cranks up, and on the 24th we even see storm force cross-onshore winds of 62 mph—that’s straight-up dangerous, not surfable. Not worth paddling out.

Now, here’s a flicker of hope. Way out on Thursday the 27th of August, the model shows a change. Late in the afternoon, we get a glassy session with 3-foot easterly swell, an 11-second period, and a solid 244 combined energy. That’s moderate energy, finally. That’s the one to circle on your calendar. But it’s a long way off, so treat it as a promising maybe, not a sure thing.

So as it stands, there’s no true standout in this forecast. It’s a long, flat stretch with only a whisper of hope at the very end. Hang tight, check back closer to the 27th.

Rusty.

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