Aja Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it.

The next week and a half is going to be a real test of patience, folks. We’ve got a solid stretch of small, weak surf and less-than-ideal conditions, but there’s a little window of promise mid-next week that’s worth keeping an eye on.

For the next few days, don’t get your hopes up. Thursday morning is seeing a tiny 1.1m of north swell at Aja, but it’s got a cross-onshore wind making it choppy, and the energy is weak at 180. Honestly, not worth the paddle out. That afternoon is more of the same. Friday morning we see a drop in size to 0.8m, but the wind turns offshore from the ESE, which is a plus. It’s clean, but the swell energy is weak (92) and the period is a short 8 seconds. It’s surfable, but very ordinary.

We’ve got a real dry spell from Friday afternoon through to Tuesday. Waves are tiny, around 0.4m, and the wind stays cross-offshore. Even when the period stretches out to 14 seconds, there’s just no energy in the water. The energy readings are very low, well under 100. This is a stretch of several days where you’re better off doing anything else.

Now, here’s the one to watch. The morning of Wednesday, the 16th, things start to wake up. We’ve got 0.9m of east swell, but the energy jumps to 213, which is moderate. The period is a workable 9 seconds and, crucially, the wind is offshore and light. It’s the first time in a while that it looks clean and has a bit of push. Aja’s a reef break that’s exposed to the north, and this east swell is a bit off its optimum, but it should still offer some shape. This is the standout of the week. It won’t be big, but it’ll be clean.

After that, we sink back into mediocrity. Thursday and Friday are small and unremarkable. Then the weekend gets blown out. A fresh cross-shore wind kicks up on the 20th and the surf gets lumpy and messy. It’s a mess.

The real story is the start of the following week. Monday the 21st sees a serious surge in energy, with readings jumping to 2433 – that’s strong to very strong. But there’s a near gale blowing from the northeast. It’s creating a big, stormy mess at the beach. The swell is there, but the wind is going to make it unrideable. By Tuesday afternoon, we’re looking at storm force cross-onshore winds, and it’s just a blown-out disaster. There is some serious size out there, but it’s not for paddling.

So, in a nutshell: the only real window of clean surf in the next 10 days is Wednesday morning, the 16th. It’s a small but clean day. The second week looks like it’s going to be all about the storm, and that’s a pass for us.

The water temp is a balmy 84°, which is spot on for this time of year. At least you won’t need a wetsuit when you’re staring at the flatness.

Keep an eye on that Wednesday, and otherwise, find something else to do.

Rusty.

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