Aja Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, I'm Rusty, and I've got a tough one for you today. The outlook for Aja, a reef break, is looking pretty grim for the foreseeable future. This spot is known for being inconsistent, and unfortunately, that's exactly what we're seeing. There's a massive gap in the forecast with no decent surf, so don't get your hopes up for a quick fix.

The water temperature here is sitting at 84°F, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

Let's start from Friday the 21st of August. We've got a tiny 1ft swell from the ENE with a short 8-second period, and the combined energy is a weak 21. It's basically flat. The wind is a fresh 19 mph cross-off, which cleans things up, but there's nothing to ride. The whole weekend follows the same pattern – tiny to no swell, and while the wind stays offshore, it's too strong to be fun. Expect a strong breeze from the SE on Saturday hitting 25 mph, making it clean but near impossible to paddle into. The 23rd and 24th are completely flat with no swell at all.

Things get a little interesting on Tuesday the 25th of August. The afternoon sees a massive 12ft swell from the E with a very long 16-second period. The combined energy is a whopping 6197, so there's a lot of power in the water. However, this is where the reef break comes into its own – a long-period groundswell like this is best at a reef, so the shape could be good. The wind is a light 9 mph cross-shore, but it's a marginal call. This is a big swell over 8ft, so it's for experts only. The next day, the 26th, the swell is still big at 12ft, but the wind turns cross-onshore from the W, making it choppy and poor. The energy remains strong at 2563, but the conditions are naff.

After that, it's back to poor conditions with a mix of strong onshore winds and small, weak swells. There's a brief window around Thursday the 3rd of September with a small 3ft swell from the E and a 10-second period, and a light breeze, but the conditions are only described as "very ordinary." The energy is a moderate 135, but it's nothing to write home about.

The real highlight, if you can call it that, is on Saturday the 5th of September. The morning brings a clean 5ft swell from the E with a long 14-second period, and guess what? The wind is glassy – a complete 3 mph calm from the N. The combined energy is a strong 855. This is what you're waiting for. The glassy conditions mean the reef will be pristine, and the 5ft swell is a great size for intermediates. The forecast says "expect very good surf conditions," and it's the only standout in the whole 16-day window. The afternoon shifts to a light cross-onshore, so get in early.

To sum it up, you've got a long wait. The only real chance for a decent session is on the morning of Saturday the 5th of September. It's a promising call, but remember, it's a long way out, so keep an eye on the forecasts. The rest of the window is a write-off.

Rusty.

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