Aja Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, let’s talk about what’s happening at Aja.

First off, the bad news: we’re looking at a real dry spell right now. From Wednesday, the 22nd of July, right through to the end of the month, there’s just nothing doing. The waves are tiny, the energy is weak, and the reports are all “poor surf conditions.” A few days there’s no swell at all. It’s a flat spell that lasts about a week and a half. You’d be wasting your time paddling out.

But then, come Sunday, the 2nd of August, things change. That morning, the wind goes glassy from the west at just 5 km/h, and we’ve got a 4 ft groundswell rolling in from the east with a very long period of 17 seconds. The combined energy jumps to 675 (moderate), and the water temp is 83°F, which is about normal for this time of year. That afternoon, the swell bumps up to 4 ft, energy hits 869, and the wind stays glassy. The report says “expect very good surf conditions.” This is a genuine standout. Aja is a reef break, so that long period, easterly groundswell will wrap in nicely. Clean, glassy, and solid. It’s the best on offer, no question.

Monday the 3rd of August sees the swell pulse up to 5 ft in the morning, period still 17 seconds, and energy jumps to 1298 (strong). But the wind turns onshore from the NNW at 10 km/h, and the report says marginal conditions. That afternoon, it’s 5 ft swell with a 18-second period, energy 1579, but wind is cross-onshore. For a reef, that’s not ideal. It’s still got power, but it’s not clean.

Tuesday the 4th of August gets bigger – 7 ft in the morning – but with a 20 km/h wind from the north, it’s cross-onshore and choppy. Energy is 2373 (very strong), but that’s messy. Not for the faint-hearted. The afternoon drops to 5 ft, but the wind is cross-shore, creating cross-chop.

Then Wednesday the 5th of August is another good shout. The swell drops to 4 ft, still a long 16-second period from the east, but the wind is light cross-offshore from the ENE at 10 km/h. Energy is 687 (moderate). The report says “very good surf conditions.” Clean again. Thursday the 6th of August eases further to 3 ft, period 14 seconds, with light offshore wind. Good, but smaller.

So, the highlight is Sunday the 2nd of August, with that glassy morning and 4 ft of clean, long-period groundswell. Wednesday the 5th of August is the backup with clean, smaller waves. The rest of the window is a write-off until that little pulse.

Stay patient, and keep an eye on the long-range – that Sunday swell is the one to circle on the calendar.

Rusty.

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