Aja Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, Rusty here. Look, I've got to be straight with you – this Aja outlook is a tough one. We're looking at a pretty barren 16-day window, with nothing on offer that I'd really want to paddle out for. The whole period is a write-off for decent surf.

The first real chance to even talk about waves comes on Monday the 10th of August, but even then it's a struggle. We've got a moderate energy swell (919) coming in, but it's messy. The water is a warm 86°, which is about normal for this time of year, but that's where the good news ends.

The main issue is the wind. For most of the period, we're dealing with strong to gale-force cross-offshore winds, especially early on. This creates clean faces but with that much wind, it's just not enjoyable. By Monday the 10th, the wind drops to a fresh breeze, but the swell is still only a marginal 5ft from the West, with a long period of 12 seconds. That long period means the sets will have good energy, but at a beach break like Aja, it's likely to break too straight and close out. It's a reef break, so that helps, but the conditions are still only marginal.

The rest of the week is a slow decline. The swell drops, the wind shifts onshore, and the energy plummets. By the 14th of August, we're looking at tiny 1ft waves with a combined energy of just 32. It's not worth getting wet.

The second week doesn't offer any hope. From the 15th of August onwards, the swell is tiny, and the energy readings are consistently in the double digits. There's a faint glimmer on the 16th with a "surfable waves" comment, but it's only 2ft and a 10-second period, which is just not enough to get excited about. The 22nd of August shows a tiny 1.0ft, but that's it. The rest is flat.

Honestly, for this stretch, there's nothing to recommend. The best we can say is that the reef at Aja might clean up a tiny bit of that 5ft swell on Monday morning, but with the wind and the marginal rating, it's a hard pass. The setup is more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer at this point, I reckon. Keep an eye on the forecasts, things can change, but for now, I'd find something else to do.

Rusty.

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