Aja Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about Aja. It’s a reef setup, and it’s inconsistent, so when it’s on, it’s a treat, but you’ll be waiting for it.

Right now, for the first couple of days, there’s a bit of swell around but the wind is just wrecking it. You’ve got a 7ft swell from the WNW on Wednesday the 26th, but that cross-off wind from the SSW is blowing at 25 mph, making it proper messy. The water’s sitting at 84°F, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

We get a bit of a cleanup on Friday the 28th morning. The swell drops to 4ft from the west, but the wind swings SE and goes offshore. That’s clean. The period is 10 seconds, so it’s got a bit of push. The combined energy is sitting at 264 (moderate), but it’s marginal. It’s a small window, not a stand-out.

Then from Saturday the 29th through to the end of the month, it’s flat or useless. Tiny waves, no energy, and the wind is all over the place. There’s a real gap here. Nothing worth paddling out for.

Into the first week of September, the swell picks up, but the wind is horrendous. On Wednesday the 2nd, the swell jumps to 21ft from the north with a period of 9 seconds, but the wind is onshore from the NW at 15 mph. The combined energy is a massive 6503 (very strong), but the conditions are just poor. That’s more of a kite-surfing setup than a paddle surf one. Too big and blown out for most.

The next real chance comes on Sunday the 6th of September morning. There’s a 10ft swell from the east, period of 10 seconds, but the wind is cross-shore from the NE at 19 mph, making it lumpy. The energy is strong at 1775 (very strong), but it’s still marginal. Not clean enough to call a stand-out.

The last hope in the window is Thursday the 10th of September afternoon. You’ve got a 10ft swell from the WNW, with a period of 8 seconds and a moderate breeze from the SSW at 15 mph, which is cross-off. The energy is 1615 (strong). It’s still only marginal, but it’s the best looking of the bunch. The wind is offshore enough to clean it up a bit. That’s your pick of the 16 days, but it’s a big, short-period swell, so it’s going to be heavy and for experts only. Don’t send the beginners out there.

So, to sum it up: the first week is a write-off, and the second week has size but is mostly messy. The standout, if you’re an experienced surfer, is the afternoon of Thursday the 10th of September. Keep an eye on it, but don’t get your hopes too high.

Rusty.

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