Surf Forecasts:
Aberaeron surf forecast from 16 Sep 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 19 Sep, 1PM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 7s period, WSW swell with 328 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Aberaeron this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Aberaeron in the next 16 days are 1.8m 7s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 19) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 5s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 4PM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Sat 19th Sep) | 6ft (1.8m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Aberaeron over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, mate, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you. The next couple of weeks are looking pretty grim for any proper surf. We’ve got a long stretch of small, weak, and messy swell, and honestly, there’s not a single standout day in the whole window. We're looking at a real dry spell, so if you're desperate, you might get a few ankle-biters, but nothing that’s going to get the heart rate up.
The first real push of energy arrives on the morning of Saturday the 19th of September. A west-southwest swell bumps up to 5.2ft, and there's a bit of power behind it with the combined energy reading 268. But it’s not clean. The wind is a fresh cross-onshore breeze from the west-southwest, which is going to make it lumpy and difficult to read. It’s still the biggest surf of the period, but the quality just isn't there. The afternoon cleans up slightly, dropping to 3.9ft from the west, with a moderate breeze, but it’s still not going to be pretty.
After this, it just fades away. By Sunday the 20th, the swell has backed right off to under 3ft, and we’re dealing with light cross-onshore winds. From Monday the 21st right through to the end of the month, the swell is pretty much non-existent – we’re talking 0.3ft to 1ft at best. There are a few windows of glassy conditions in the mornings, like on Monday the 21st, Tuesday the 22nd, and Sunday the 27th, and some clean cross-offshore days later on, but with that little swell, it’s not worth getting wet. The odd long-period pulse shows up, like an 18-second wave on Tuesday afternoon, but it’s 0.3ft – no good.
The only spot in the data is Aberaeron, a beach and point break that is inconsistent at the best of times. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there. Given how small the surf is and how much wind there is on the bigger days, this looks more like a session for the kites than the surfboards. There are no recommendations for a reason.
Hang in there. A blank run like this is a reminder that forecasts can change, and it never stays this flat for long.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Fri afternoon. Very mild (max 16°C on Tue night, min 13°C on Thu night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Very mild (max 18°C on Sat morning, min 14°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SW on Fri night, calm by Sun afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | Saturday 19 | Sunday 20 | Monday 21 | Tuesday 22 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 9 | W 5 | WSW 5 | W 5 | W 5 | WNW 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | W 8 | WNW 4 | NW 5 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 6 | W 3 | W 6 | W 18 | W 11 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 63 | 16 | 52 | 94 | 95 | 110 | 43 | 111 | 261 | 268 | 172 | 24 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | on | cross-on | on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | glassy | glassy | cross | glassy |
High Tide | 11:43AM3.78m | 00:03AM3.61m | 12:19PM3.46m | 00:41AM3.21m | 12:58PM3.11m | 1:27AM2.83m | 1:54PM2.79m | 2:45AM2.53m | 3:47PM2.62m | 5:06AM2.53m | 5:39PM2.81m | 6:15AM2.78m | 6:30PM3.14m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 6:00AM0.82m | 6:09PM0.87m | 6:22AM1.12m | 6:42PM1.16m | 6:55AM1.41m | 7:35PM1.45m | 7:58AM1.66m | 9:07PM1.67m | 9:47AM1.78m | 11:05PM1.66m | 11:37AM1.65m | 00:30AM1.41m | 12:44PM1.37m | 1:20AM1.08m | |||||||
 | |  | | |  |  |  | |  | |  |  | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:50 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — |
 | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:25 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:21 | — | — | 7:19 | — | — | 7:15 | — |
mm | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | 5 | 4 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 17 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 19 | 18 | 19 |
Feels °C | 11 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 19 | 18 | 20 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 9 | NNW 5 | NNW 5 | — | — | — | NW 5 | NNW 5 | — | — | W 8 | WSW 7 | NW 5 | NNW 5 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | — | W 3 | W 6 | W 6 | W 11 |
| kJ | 63 | 23 | 2 | — | — | — | 19 | 2 | — | — | 172 | 20 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 4 | — | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | WSW 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 14 | WSW 7 | W 8 | W 3 | — | — | SW 6 | — | W 18 | W 16 |
| kJ | — | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 15 | 1 | 1 | — | — | 2 | — | 6 | 5 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 8 | W 14 | NNW 4 | — | — | — | — | W 12 | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | 4 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 5 | W 5 | WSW 5 | W 5 | W 5 | WNW 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | — | WNW 4 | — | WSW 7 | — | WSW 4 | WSW 6 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 42 | 16 | 52 | 94 | 95 | 110 | 43 | 111 | 261 | 268 | — | 24 | — | 9 | — | 3 | 8 | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 71 | 280 | 327 | 361 | 397 | 71 | 364 | 386 | 386 | 262 | 66 | 71 | 64 | 78 | 64 | 72 | 221 | 192 | 72 | 64 | 64 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mid Wales | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Aberaeron Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Aberaeron provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Aberaeron can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Aberaeron surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Aberaeron) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Aberaeron may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Mid Wales? If you are looking for accommodation near Aberaeron, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Mid Wales, consider staying in Aberystwyth which is 16 km (10 miles) away. Other places in and around Mid Wales where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Trawscoed which is 18 km (11 miles) away, Aberporth, Carmarthen and Builth Wells.
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