Surf Forecasts:
Aberaeron surf forecast from 9 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 11 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 5s period, NNW swell with 22 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Aberaeron this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Aberaeron in the next 16 days are 0.6m 5s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 11) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 6s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 11) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Sat 11th Jul) | 2ft (0.6m) 5s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Aberaeron over the next 16 days.
Alright lads and lassies, Rusty here. Let's have a look at the surf picture for the next couple of weeks. I’ll level with you, it’s looking grim.
The whole 16-day window is a bust. We’re looking at a long, long stretch of flatness and small, weak junk. There's a massive gap in real surf from start to finish.
The Overall Picture
It’s a consistent story of no energy. The combined energy of all swells is stuck on weak numbers, barely making it out of single digits. The little bumps we see are short-period windswell – not the kind that gets you stoked.
Kicking off on Thursday, July 9th, there’s a tiny 0.6ft swell from the WSW, but with a light cross-onshore breeze. That’s a write-off. Friday the 10th has a small 1ft pulse from the NNW on the Friday afternoon, but the wind is light cross-onshore. Still terrible.
Saturday the 11th gives us a clean cross-offshore wind on the Saturday morning, but the swell is a pathetic 0.3ft from the west with a 7-second period. It would be clean, but you couldn't even ride a ripple that size. The Saturday afternoon is messy with a moderate breeze.
From Sunday the 12th of July all the way to Wednesday the 23rd of July, it’s the same banging of the drum. Some mornings will be clean with cross-offshore ENE winds, but the swell is flat or stuck on 0.3ft. The combined energy numbers are almost all single digits.
There's a brief flash on Sunday the 19th of July in the afternoon where a 3ft pulse from the NNW bumps the combined energy up to 28, but it’s short-period (5 seconds) and the wind is a gentle cross-onshore, making it choppy. Not a standout.
The only session that looks interesting is Wednesday the 15th of July. The Wednesday morning has a true offshore wind from the east at 9 mph – that’s a major win for clean waves. But, the swell is still only 0.3ft from the west with a 16-second period. That’s a long-period groundswell, so the shape would be perfect at a point or reef, but with barely any height, it’s a no-show here at the beach and point.
The Verdict
Honestly, save the wax for another time. There are zero standout sessions in this 16-day forecast. The swell energy is too weak, and the few windows of good wind are wasted on flat water. This is a natural blank run for Aberaeron. The water temp is a warm 63°F, which is about 5°F warmer than average for the season, so a flat-water paddle might be worth it for the warmth alone. But for surfing? Don’t bother. Not for at least ten days.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Sat afternoon. Warm (max 28°C on Sat morning, min 16°C on Thu morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 31°C on Tue afternoon, min 14°C on Sun night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 4 | WSW 4 | W 10 | W 9 | NNW 3 | W 9 | W 8 | NNW 5 | W 8 | W 7 | NNE 3 | E 3 | ENE 3 | W 19 | NNW 6 | W 18 | W 18 | W 10 | W 16 | W 16 | W 9 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 2 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross | cross-on | glassy | cross-off | cross | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 3:45PM3.22m | 4:16AM3.44m | 4:58PM3.34m | 5:29AM3.54m | 6:05PM3.58m | 6:34AM3.74m | 7:03PM3.89m | 7:32AM3.96m | 7:57PM4.21m | 8:24AM4.13m | 8:46PM4.48m | 9:13AM4.23m | 9:34PM4.65m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:05AM1.05m | 10:24PM1.25m | 11:18AM1.06m | 11:52PM1.16m | 12:39PM0.97m | 1:15AM0.93m | 1:49PM0.80m | 2:22AM0.63m | 2:47PM0.59m | 3:19AM0.33m | 3:38PM0.41m | 4:10AM0.10m | 4:24PM0.30m | ||||||||
 | |  | | | | |  |  |  | | | | | | | | | |  |  | |
 | 5:05 | — | — | 5:05 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:11 | — | — | 5:11 | — | — |
 | — | — | 9:37 | — | — | 9:36 | — | — | 9:35 | — | — | 9:34 | — | — | 9:34 | — | — | 9:32 | — | — | 9:31 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 6 | 3 |
Temp °C | 17 | 19 | 19 | 23 | 22 | 21 | 28 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 29 | 23 | 24 | 29 | 23 | 24 | 31 | 26 | 26 | 28 | 21 |
Feels °C | 17 | 19 | 18 | 23 | 21 | 21 | 26 | 24 | 23 | 22 | 25 | 18 | 18 | 25 | 17 | 20 | 27 | 20 | 25 | 28 | 19 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 4 | WSW 4 | — | NNW 3 | W 9 | NNW 5 | NNW 6 | W 8 | NNW 5 | NNW 5 | — | NNW 5 | — | W 19 | NNW 6 | N 4 | — | NNW 4 | — | W 9 | NNW 5 |
| kJ | 2 | 2 | — | 1 | 2 | 14 | 28 | 1 | 13 | 4 | — | 5 | — | 7 | 10 | 1 | — | 1 | — | 2 | 5 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | W 10 | W 9 | — | W 9 | W 7 | — | W 6 | W 7 | — | — | — | — | — | W 18 | W 18 | N 5 | W 10 | W 16 | W 9 |
| kJ | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 8 | — | W 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 10 | W 16 | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 5 | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | NNW 3 | — | NNW 3 | — | — | NNW 5 | E 3 | ENE 3 | NNE 3 | E 3 | ENE 3 | NE 3 | E 3 | ENE 3 | NE 3 | E 3 | E 3 | ENE 3 | E 3 |
| kJ | — | — | 1 | — | 4 | — | — | 22 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 8 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 125 | 251 | 125 | 64 | 64 | 72 | 154 | 187 | 157 | 369 | 194 | 390 | 408 | 86 | 198 | 198 | 74 | 188 | 258 | 212 | 185 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mid Wales | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Aberaeron Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Aberaeron provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Aberaeron can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Aberaeron surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Aberaeron) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Aberaeron may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Mid Wales? If you are looking for accommodation near Aberaeron, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Mid Wales, consider staying in Aberystwyth which is 16 km (10 miles) away. Other places in and around Mid Wales where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Trawscoed which is 18 km (11 miles) away, Aberporth, Carmarthen and Builth Wells.
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