Surf Forecasts:
Aberaeron surf forecast from 11 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 11 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 5s period, NNW swell with 23 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Aberaeron this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Aberaeron in the next 16 days are 0.7m 5s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 11) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 5s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 11) at 10PM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Sat 11th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 5s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Aberaeron over the next 16 days.
Alright, this is Rough seas, Rusty here. Let me be straight with you. Looking out over Aberaeron, it's been a sad affair and it looks like staying that way for a while. Normally I'd say hold tight, but this stretch of flat, weak, and onshore junk is hard to ignore.
We kick off on Saturday the 11th with nothing. Absolutely nothing. A tiny 0.3 ft W swell with a period of just 7 seconds and a combined energy of 2, meaning the ocean barely has a pulse. The wind is coming across from the NNE in the morning at 6 mph, so even that little bump is messy. The following days are even worse. From Sunday the 12th right through to nearly the end of the month, there are long gaps with zero to tiny swell and periods of strong cross-off winds that are cleaning the surface but there's no wave to clean. It's like ironing an empty shirt.
For Aberaeron, a beach and point setup, this is a brutal stretch. The 0.3 ft to 1.0 ft swell we see on the 15th and 16th is laughable, with periods dropping to 8 seconds or less. On the morning of the 16th we do get a glimpse of something – glassy conditions with a 0.3 ft W swell, but the wave energy is a pathetic 1. Not even a ripple you'd bother paddling for.
The water is much warmer than normal for this time of year, sitting at 65° on Saturday morning, but there's no surf to enjoy it in.
We finally see some size appear on Thursday the 24th and Friday the 25th. On Thursday the 24th afternoon a 3 ft SW swell appears with a 4-second period and a combined energy of 35. The wind is light from the N and cross-shore, but that period is so short it will be a bumpy, weak close-out. Then on Saturday the 25th, the swell really pushes up to 7 ft from the WNW, with a period of 6 seconds and a combined energy jumping to 331 – that's strong wave energy. But hold up. This is a big, short-period, onshore mess with cross-on winds from the WSW at 9-16 mph. That's going to be big, stormy, choppy, and unsurfable for all but the most desperate experts, maybe even more suited to kite surfing than paddle surfing at the beach.
Sunday the 26th it drops back to nothing.
So the harsh truth is, over this 16-day window, Aberaeron has absolutely nothing worth paddling out for. It's a blank run. No standout days, no hidden gems, just a long, flat, or blown-out stretch. Sometimes the ocean just takes a holiday. Let's hope the forecasts change quick.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 30°C on Sun afternoon, min 15°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (calm on Sat afternoon, fresh winds from the E by Sun night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 18mm), heaviest on Wed night. Warm (max 29°C on Tue afternoon, min 16°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the E on Tue night, calm by Thu night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 8 | NNW 5 | W 8 | NW 5 | NE 3 | ENE 4 | NE 4 | W 19 | N 6 | W 18 | W 18 | W 10 | W 16 | W 16 | W 9 | W 8 | W 14 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 6 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-on | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | on | glassy | cross-on | glassy | on |
High Tide | 6:05PM3.58m | 6:34AM3.74m | 7:03PM3.89m | 7:32AM3.96m | 7:57PM4.21m | 8:24AM4.13m | 8:46PM4.48m | 9:13AM4.23m | 9:34PM4.65m | 10:00AM4.22m | 10:20PM4.70m | 10:46AM4.12m | 11:05PM4.61m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 12:39PM0.97m | 1:15AM0.93m | 1:49PM0.80m | 2:22AM0.63m | 2:47PM0.59m | 3:19AM0.33m | 3:38PM0.41m | 4:10AM0.10m | 4:24PM0.30m | 4:57AM-0.02m | 5:08PM0.27m | 5:43AM-0.01m | 5:50PM0.33m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | | | | |  | | | | |  |  | |  |  |  | | | |
 | 5:07 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:11 | — | — | 5:11 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — |
 | — | — | 9:35 | — | — | 9:34 | — | — | 9:34 | — | — | 9:32 | — | — | 9:31 | — | — | 9:30 | — | — | 9:29 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 4 | — | 5 | 5 | — | 1 | — |
Temp °C | 23 | 22 | 22 | 27 | 30 | 23 | 24 | 28 | 24 | 25 | 29 | 25 | 26 | 29 | 22 | 22 | 18 | 17 | 19 | 19 | 17 |
Feels °C | 23 | 21 | 24 | 24 | 26 | 17 | 19 | 25 | 20 | 22 | 25 | 20 | 24 | 29 | 21 | 23 | 18 | 19 | 19 | 20 | 16 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 5 | W 8 | NNW 5 | NW 5 | NNW 4 | NNW 6 | — | W 19 | N 6 | N 4 | N 5 | NNW 5 | N 4 | W 9 | NNW 4 | N 5 | — | W 3 | — | W 8 | W 6 |
| kJ | 14 | 1 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 3 | — | 7 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 7 | — | W 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 18 | W 18 | W 10 | W 10 | W 16 | NNW 5 | — | W 8 | NW 4 | W 8 | — | — |
| kJ | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 8 | — | W 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 11 | — | W 16 | — | W 9 | W 8 | W 14 | W 8 | — | — | — |
| kJ | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | 5 | — | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NNW 5 | E 3 | NE 3 | NE 3 | ENE 4 | NE 4 | NNE 3 | E 3 | ENE 3 | N 3 | E 3 | ENE 3 | N 3 | — | — | WSW 3 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | 20 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 3 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 154 | 205 | 154 | 198 | 194 | 386 | 408 | 391 | 198 | 86 | 74 | 198 | 194 | 194 | 307 | 307 | 419 | 216 | 388 | 702 | 216 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mid Wales | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Aberaeron Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Aberaeron provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Aberaeron can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Aberaeron surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Aberaeron) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Aberaeron may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Mid Wales? If you are looking for accommodation near Aberaeron, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Mid Wales, consider staying in Aberystwyth which is 16 km (10 miles) away. Other places in and around Mid Wales where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Trawscoed which is 18 km (11 miles) away, Aberporth, Carmarthen and Builth Wells.
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