Surf Forecasts:
Aberaeron surf forecast from 16 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 18 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 5s period, NNW swell with 78 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Aberaeron this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Aberaeron in the next 16 days are 1.2m 5s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 18) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 6s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 18) at 10PM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Sat 18th Jul) | 4ft (1.2m) 5s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Aberaeron over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ll be straight with you – this 16-day stretch for Aberaeron is a tough one. There’s no real surf to get excited about. The forecast is packed with tiny, weak swells and onshore winds that just won’t give us a break. You’re looking at over a week of nothing worth paddling out for, starting from now.
The first spot worth even a mention is Aberaeron (beach and point). It’s not a standout by any stretch, but it’s the only option. The water is a very unusual 66° – much warmer than normal for this time of year, which is a bit of a surprise.
On Thursday the 16th, the morning is flat. A tiny 0.3ft swell from the west with a 14-second period, but the combined energy is a measly 5 – weak. The wind is light and cross-offshore, so it’s clean, but there’s just nothing to ride. The afternoon gets worse with a 2ft northerly windswell at a shocking 3-second period, blown out by a cross-onshore breeze.
The rest of the period is a write-off. Friday the 17th through to the end of the month shows mostly cross-onshore wind, with swell heights that barely scrape 3ft. The best we see is a brief glimmer on Monday the 27th morning, when it goes glassy with a 1ft southwesterly swell. The period is only 4 seconds though, and the combined energy is just 7. It’s clean, but it’s tiny and weak. For the rest of the time, the wind is mostly cross-onshore, and the swell is a mix of short-period windswell that never gets over 4ft.
Honestly, if you’re desperate for a paddle, that Monday morning on the 27th is your best bet – it’ll be glassy, but don’t expect much push. For a proper session, you’re better off waiting for a change in the weather pattern. This stretch looks more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer, given the consistent wind and poor surf quality.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 24°C on Thu morning, min 13°C on Sat night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Mon night, min 13°C on Mon morning). Winds increasing (calm on Mon night, fresh winds from the NNW by Tue night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 14 | N 3 | W 8 | NNW 4 | NNW 4 | NNW 5 | NNW 4 | NNW 5 | NNW 5 | NNW 5 | NNW 4 | N 4 | N 4 | NNW 4 | NNW 5 | NNW 5 | NNW 4 | N 4 | N 4 | NNW 4 | NNW 5 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 4 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 18 | 64 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 9 | 6 | 33 | 46 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | off |
High Tide | 10:20PM4.70m | 10:46AM4.12m | 11:05PM4.61m | 11:31AM3.94m | 11:50PM4.38m | 12:16PM3.71m | 00:36AM4.06m | 1:02PM3.46m | 1:24AM3.69m | 1:52PM3.21m | 2:17AM3.32m | 2:52PM3.00m | 3:23AM3.03m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:08PM0.27m | 5:43AM-0.01m | 5:50PM0.33m | 6:26AM0.12m | 6:30PM0.48m | 7:09AM0.35m | 7:10PM0.68m | 7:49AM0.64m | 7:51PM0.93m | 8:30AM0.94m | 8:34PM1.17m | 9:13AM1.21m | 9:26PM1.38m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | | | | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 5:13 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:18 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — |
 | — | — | 9:30 | — | — | 9:29 | — | — | 9:28 | — | — | 9:27 | — | — | 9:25 | — | — | 9:24 | — | — | 9:22 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 24 | 23 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 18 | 15 | 17 | 20 | 17 | 18 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 19 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 14 | 17 | 16 |
Feels °C | 21 | 19 | 21 | 19 | 16 | 17 | 12 | 13 | 18 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 15 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | W 8 | NNW 4 | W 8 | — | — | — | — | NNW 5 | NNW 5 | — | — | — | — | NNW 5 | NNW 5 | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | 1 | 5 | 1 | — | — | — | — | 39 | 4 | — | — | — | — | 17 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 8 | W 14 | W 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 1 | 4 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | N 3 | — | NNW 4 | NNW 4 | NNW 5 | NNW 4 | NNW 5 | — | — | NNW 4 | N 4 | N 4 | NNW 4 | — | — | NNW 4 | N 4 | N 4 | NNW 4 | NNW 5 |
| kJ | — | 8 | — | 3 | 6 | 22 | 18 | 64 | — | — | 6 | 11 | 9 | 24 | — | — | 20 | 9 | 6 | 33 | 46 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 196 | 194 | 125 | 307 | 352 | 393 | 360 | 360 | 360 | 251 | 327 | 334 | 389 | 154 | 198 | 252 | 331 | 972 | 393 | 125 | |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mid Wales | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Aberaeron Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Aberaeron provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Aberaeron can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Aberaeron surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Aberaeron) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Aberaeron may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Mid Wales? If you are looking for accommodation near Aberaeron, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Mid Wales, consider staying in Aberystwyth which is 16 km (10 miles) away. Other places in and around Mid Wales where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Trawscoed which is 18 km (11 miles) away, Aberporth, Carmarthen and Builth Wells.
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