Aberaeron Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright crew, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s on the menu for Aberaeron over the next couple of weeks.

Got to be honest with you, this is a tough stretch. The entire 16-day window is a grind. There’s a huge dry spell right at the start, with no real surf to speak of from the 5th of August all the way through the 17th. It’s pretty much a write-off. The swell is tiny, the wind is mostly onshore or cross-onshore, and the energy is just weak. You’ll see combined energy values down in the single digits and teens (like 2, 5, 10) – that’s barely a ripple. Even when the wind goes glassy on the 11th and 12th, there’s no swell to push it. It’s a frustrating wait.

Things finally show a pulse on the 18th of August. We get a jump in swell, with a WSW swell pushing 5ft to 7ft and a period of 6 to 7 seconds. The combined energy kicks up to 126 and then 382 – that’s moderate energy, finally something to get your heart rate up. But here’s the kicker: the wind is cranking onshore or cross-onshore with a fresh breeze, and the forecast is calling it “poor surf conditions.” For a beach and point setup like Aberaeron, that kind of wind and chop is going to make it a messy, lumpy mess. Honestly, with that much wind and that size, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

The best of a bad bunch might be the 19th of August. The swell drops to 4ft from the WNW, still a solid waist to chest high, and the combined energy is 122 – moderate. The wind turns light from the NNW, giving us a light cross-onshore with small ripples. It’s not clean, but it’s the best we’ll see. Still, with the area being inconsistent and only fairly exposed to the SW swell, you’re gambling on a lumpy wave.

Don’t get your hopes up for the 20th either. The swell is only 2ft, and while the wind is cross-off and the report says “clean,” the energy is only 23. That’s a weak dribbler.

So, what’s the standout? Honestly, there isn’t a true standout. If you’re desperate, the morning of the 19th of August is the only window with some size and manageable wind, but manage your expectations. The long wait between the 5th and the 17th is a real bummer. This is one of those blank runs that’s more normal for the area when the conditions don’t align. Forecasts can change, but as it stands, it’s a tough call.

Rusty.

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