Aberaeron Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what we’ve got for Aberaeron over the next couple of weeks. I’ll be straight with you – it’s not looking like a classic stretch for the region.

Looking right across the whole sixteen days, this is a quiet run. We’ve got very little in the way of meaningful swell and a whole lot of periods where the energy just isn’t there. It's a bit of a flat spell, so plan accordingly. The one small flicker of something notable shows up right at the very end.

We start off on Sunday morning, 2nd of August, with tiny waves – we’re talking about 0.7 ft from the west with a short period of 4 seconds. The combined energy is a weak 2, nothing doing really. The water temperature is sitting at 66°, which is a solid 5° above the norm for this time of year, so that’s very warm and unusual, and nice on the skin. The offshore is light from the ESE at 3 mph, keeping things clean. But honest, it’s so small it’s barely surfable.

The whole first week – from Monday the 3rd right through to Saturday the 8th – stays well below any kind of interesting. We see a peak of 5 ft on Wednesday afternoon, 5th of August, coming from the WSW. But that bump hits with a very short period of just 5 seconds, and it comes with a strong cross-onshore wind at 19 mph out of the west. That combination makes it really messy, not to mention the wave energy goes up to 109, which is moderate, but it’s not paddle-friendly. The break setup here is beach and point, and with those strong onshore conditions, that wind is ruining any chance of a good shape. For a beginner, anything over 5 ft is getting too big, but honestly, the quality is so poor I’d say this look better for kite surfing than a traditional paddle session.

We hit a real gap in the middle. From the 9th of August through to the morning of the 14th of August, there are days in a row with absolutely no surf on offer, just zeros for combined energy and dashes for wave height. That’s several days of flatness, which is a normal blank run for this area when conditions align this way. It don’t stay poor forever, and these forecasts can always change, but for now, it is what it is.

Now, the only real standout pops up on Sunday morning, 16th of August. This is the one to keep an eye on, but it’s a long-range call so treat it as promising but less certain. The waves show 5 ft from the WSW by the afternoon, and the combined energy jumps up to 192 – that’s moderate to strong energy. The big catch here is that the period is short at 6 seconds, so it’s a wind swell, not a lovely long-period groundswell. Also, the wind is onshore from the WNW at 9 mph. That means it’ll be breaking a bit clean but onshore, so not perfect. At 5 ft, it is pushing into the range that is only really for solid intermediate or expert surfers, especially with that lumpy onshore texture. Because it’s a short-period swell, it won’t have that lovely push or shape you get from longer periods. It’s the best we’ve got across the whole window though.

Crowds at Aberaeron can happen sometimes, but with this weak run of swell, I wouldn't be too worried about the lineup being packed. Also, the break is “inconsistent” by nature, so you’re normally waiting for the sets anyway.

So yeah, there’s not a whole lot to get excited about. If you’re desperate for a paddle in the second week, the 16th of August offers the only real size, but manage expectations. The long-range outlook gives a bit of hope.

Keep an eye on the sky. Rusty.

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