Surf Forecasts:
Aberaeron surf forecast from 10 Sep 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 10 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 8s period, WSW swell with 196 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Aberaeron this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Aberaeron in the next 16 days are 1.3m 8s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.6m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Thu 10th Sep) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Aberaeron over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Right then, folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for the next couple of weeks.
To be straight with you, the next 16 days look like a write-off for any decent surf. We’ve got a long stretch of nothing worth paddling out for, starting now and going all the way through to the end of the first week. The wind is mostly onshore or cross-shore, the swell is small and weak, and the water temp is a whopping 65°F which is 5°F warmer than usual for this time of year – that’s much warmer than normal, but it’s not going to help the waves.
The only potential glimmer, and I mean a faint one, is around the 24th and 25th of September. On Thursday the 24th we see a bit of a lift in size, with swell hitting 5ft to 7ft from the W and WSW, with combined energy climbing to 200 and then 350 (moderate wave energy). Problem is, the wind is a fresh cross-onshore, so it’s going to be choppy and lumpy. By Friday the 25th morning, the wind shifts to a cross-off from the S at 12 mph, which cleans things up a bit, with a 5ft WNW swell and 126 combined energy. That’s probably the best we’ll see, but it’s still a long way off and the forecast is less certain. For Aberaeron (beach and point), with the swell from the WNW and a period of 6 seconds, it’s a short-period, average-shaped wave. It’s an inconsistent spot anyway, so don’t hold your breath.
Honestly, for the entire 16-day window, there’s nothing that gets my blood pumping. The conditions are just poor across the board. If you’re desperate, keep an eye on that Friday the 25th morning, but temper your expectations. It’s a long blank run for this area, and it might just be one of those quiet spells.
Later, Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 18°C on Sat night, min 12°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SSW on Thu morning, calm by Fri afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Warm (max 22°C on Mon afternoon, min 14°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (calm on Sun afternoon, fresh winds from the NNW by Tue night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 4 | WSW 7 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 6 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | W 4 | WSW 7 | WSW 9 | WSW 5 | SW 5 | WSW 6 | W 4 | WNW 5 | NNW 5 | WSW 9 | NNW 6 | NW 5 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 16 | 168 | 169 | 27 | 26 | 13 | 64 | 102 | 118 | 23 | 16 | 16 | 22 | 27 | 27 | 38 | 56 | 95 | 28 | 84 | 32 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-on | on | on | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-off | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 8:18PM4.52m | 8:42AM4.21m | 8:59PM4.69m | 9:20AM4.33m | 9:38PM4.72m | 9:58AM4.34m | 10:15PM4.59m | 10:34AM4.25m | 10:52PM4.34m | 11:09AM4.05m | 11:27PM4.00m | 11:43AM3.78m | 00:03AM3.61m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 3:06PM0.28m | 3:35AM-0.06m | 3:44PM0.15m | 4:11AM-0.08m | 4:18PM0.13m | 4:44AM0.03m | 4:49PM0.22m | 5:13AM0.24m | 5:17PM0.38m | 5:38AM0.52m | 5:43PM0.61m | 6:00AM0.82m | 6:09PM0.87m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | |  | |  | | | | | | |  | |  | | |  |  | |
 | 6:41 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — |
 | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:42 | — | — | 7:39 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:32 | — | — | 7:30 | — |
mm | — | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | 1 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 21 | 22 | 18 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 14 |
Feels °C | 10 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 20 | 21 | 16 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 8 | — | — | W 4 | NNW 4 | WSW 8 | — | — | — | W 4 | WSW 7 | WSW 9 | W 9 | W 9 | WSW 6 | — | — | WSW 6 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 6 |
| kJ | 2 | — | — | 9 | 12 | 13 | — | — | — | 23 | 16 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 27 | — | — | 12 | 28 | 8 | 4 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | NNW 4 | — | — | — | — | NW 4 | NNW 4 | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 8 | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | 27 | 26 | 1 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 13 | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 4 | WSW 7 | WSW 9 | NNW 4 | — | SW 3 | WSW 6 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | — | — | SSW 2 | WSW 5 | SW 5 | S 3 | W 4 | WNW 5 | NNW 5 | NNW 6 | NNW 6 | NW 5 |
| kJ | 16 | 168 | 169 | 6 | — | 2 | 64 | 102 | 118 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 27 | 5 | 38 | 56 | 95 | 190 | 84 | 32 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 331 | 141 | 66 | 64 | 66 | 188 | 197 | 373 | 66 | 205 | 197 | 71 | 197 | 197 | 88 | 397 | 509 | 71 | 78 | 71 | 77 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mid Wales | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Aberaeron Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Aberaeron provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Aberaeron can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Aberaeron surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Aberaeron) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Aberaeron may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Mid Wales? If you are looking for accommodation near Aberaeron, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Mid Wales, consider staying in Aberystwyth which is 16 km (10 miles) away. Other places in and around Mid Wales where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Trawscoed which is 18 km (11 miles) away, Aberporth, Carmarthen and Builth Wells.
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