Windansea Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let’s break down the next couple of weeks for the surf.

The story is a tough one. We’ve got a decent start, but the wind is a real problem, and then it just goes flat for a long stretch. The first few days have some swell, but the conditions are messy, and then we hit a wall of nothing.

The first chance to get wet is on Monday, July 27th. We’re looking at Windansea, a classic reef break that’s fairly consistent. The swell is coming from the Southwest at 4ft, with a period of 18 seconds. That’s a proper long-period groundswell, which means good energy, but it might be a bit tricky for the beach breaks. For a reef like Windansea, it’s a good thing. The water temp is about average for the time of year. The combined energy is moderate at 995, but the wind is a cross-onshore at 9 mph, making it fairly choppy. The tide might be a pain, too. It’s not a total write-off, but it’s not prime.

Tuesday, the 28th, is more of the same. The swell picks up a little to 4ft, still from the Southwest, still that long 17-second period. The combined energy pushes into the high moderate range at 1099 in the morning and 1129 in the afternoon. But again, the wind is cross-onshore, 9 mph, keeping it messy. The scores are a bit better, but the wind is the enemy. It’s frustrating.

Wednesday, the 29th, and the swell is still there at 4ft from the Southwest, but the wind is still cross-onshore, though lighter at 6 mph. It’s still not clean.

Thursday, the 30th, the swell holds at 5ft from the South-Southwest, but the period drops to 14 seconds. The wind finally goes onshore directly from the West at 6 mph. That’s not good. The break is getting blown out.

From Friday, July 31st, through the weekend and into the first week of August, things just get worse. The swell starts to drop, and the wind remains onshore or cross-onshore. The combined energy falls from 925 down to just 169. The wave heights get smaller and smaller, dropping to 1ft. The wind state is described as “unknown” or “fairly choppy,” which is the kiss of death.

From August 1st onward, the surf is just poor. The swell is tiny, and the wind is bad. The energy drops to a weak 305. It’s basically a flat spell. There’s a gap of several days here with absolutely nothing to recommend.

We see a slight, tiny pulse around August 6th and 7th, with swell from the Southwest at 1ft to 2ft, but the period is very long again (20 to 21 seconds), which is mainly just noise. The energy is still weak, under 400. This is not worth paddling out for.

The outlook doesn’t improve through August 11th. The swell stays small, the wind is onshore, and the energy is weak. The whole second week of the forecast is a dud.

So, the bottom line? The best bet, if you’re desperate, is the morning of Tuesday, July 28th. Windansea will have a solid 4ft of Southwest groundswell with a moderate energy reading (1099). The wind is a problem, but it’s the most potential in the whole 16-day window. Everything else is a flat, blown-out mess. It’s one of those times where the ocean just isn’t cooperating.

Rusty.

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