The Spit Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it. The Spit is our only spot on the menu for this 16-day window, and I gotta be honest with you—it’s a bit of a mixed bag. We’re looking at a long stretch of marginal to poor conditions, but there's a couple of flashes that might get you wet.

The pattern starts off weak. Monday the 10th, we’ve got a tiny 3 ft easterly swell rolling in, but that 30 km/h cross-offshore wind from the NNW is fresh and messy, making for poor surf. The combined energy is moderate (243). By Monday afternoon, the wind swings to the west, still fresh, but it goes offshore, cleaning things up a bit—still, it’s only marginal at best.

Tuesday the 11th sees a drop to 2 ft of easterly swell. The wind lightens up to a gentle offshore from the WNW in the morning, so the surf is clean but really small—just ordinary. The same story carries into Wednesday the 12th with a light cross-offshore breeze, but the swell is still tiny.

Thursday the 13th is the same small stuff, 2 ft, with a light offshore wind in the morning—clean but weak. The afternoon turns to a cross-onshore, chopping it up. By Friday the 14th, we get a bump in size: 6 ft from the SSE, but the wind is a moderate cross-shore, putting a chop on it. The energy jumps to moderate (589), but the conditions are marginal.

From Saturday the 15th right through to Sunday the 23rd, it’s a pretty grim run. Most days show poor surf with moderate to fresh cross-onshore or cross-shore winds, lumpy and choppy. The swell direction hangs around the east to southeast, but the wind just never plays ball. There’s a couple of days with 5 ft to 6 ft easterly swell (like the 22nd and 23rd), but the cross-onshore wind ruins any chance of quality. The combined energy hits 623 on the 22nd, but you’d be battling a messy onshore wind. Honestly, that setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

Now, the highlight. Hang in there. Tuesday the 25th morning is our standout. The wind finally goes light and offshore from the WNW, dropping to 10 km/h. The swell is a clean 4 ft from the east, with a period of 9 seconds and moderate combined energy (244). The forecast says “expect good surf conditions.” This is it. The Spit is a river mouth, exposed to the east, so it’ll pick up that easterly swell nicely. The offshore wind will have it glassy and clean. It’s the only real winner in the whole 16 days—a true gem at the end of a long, dry spell.

Remember, near-term calls are reliable, but this Tuesday the 25th is a long way out, so keep an eye on it. Crowds are often a thing at The Spit, so get there early if you can.

No other breaks to mention. This is a long gap of poor surf before that one good morning.

Rusty.

Read more