The Spit Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. The next couple of weeks are gonna be a bit of a grind for waves, to be honest. We’ve got a long stretch of poor to very ordinary surf ahead, so you’ll want to pick your moments carefully.

The first real glimmer of hope doesn’t show up until Friday the 21st. For over a week before that, from Monday the 10th right through Thursday the 20th, it’s mostly small, weak, and messy. The winds are gonna be a constant problem, mostly cross-shore or cross-onshore, chopping things up. The swell energy is low, barely registering over 200 in the combined energy, and the waves are just not doing anything for us. There are a few mornings with light offshore winds, but the swell is just too small and weak to be worth the paddle. It’s a real flat spell.

Now, that Friday the 21st is the one standout. The morning looks like the pick of the whole window. The swell jumps up to a solid 10ft from the E, with a period of 10 seconds. That’s a lot of water moving, the combined energy is massive, over 2500. But, and it’s a big but, this is The Spit (Spit), a river break. A swell this size is going to be too big for this spot. It’s only for the experts, and even then, it’s going to be critical. The wind is cross-shore, so it won’t be glassy, but the power is there. This is the day to watch from the bank or, if you’re a big-wave charger, maybe the only day to even consider it.

The following Sunday morning, the 23rd, is the other moment. The swell has dropped back to a much more manageable 5ft from the E, and the wind is forecast to be glassy. That’s the magic word. It’ll be clean, and the river mouth setup should handle that size well. This is your best bet for a proper surf, with the offshore and clean conditions making it a real option. It’s a Sunday, so expect some company, but the quality should be worth it.

After that, things taper off again. The last couple of days of the window, the 24th and 25th, have some clean, offshore mornings, but the swell is only around 4-4ft. It’s not going to be firing, but if you’re desperate for a little push, it might be a goer. The wind on Monday afternoon is forecast to be strong offshore, which can make it tough to get out, but the surface will be clean.

So, the plan is simple: hang tight through the first week and a half, be ready for the big, dangerous Friday, and then make the most of the glassy Sunday. The water temp is around 69°, which is pretty normal for this time of year, so the wetsuit situation is standard.

That’s the long and short of it. It’s a period of patience, but there are a couple of windows to make it worth your while.

Rusty

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