The Spit Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, listen up. It's Rusty, and I’ve got to be straight with you: the next couple of weeks at The Spit look pretty damn lackluster. We're staring down a lot of small, weak surf and wind that just won't quit.

The Big Picture
We're in for a long stretch of tiny, gutless waves. The energy readings directed at us are mostly in the 30s and 70s (78, 38, 46, 34, etc.) – that's weak, low-energy stuff. The swell is coming from the east and northeast, which is not the direction this spot likes. It's going to be a battle for any shape, and with winds all over the place, it's not looking inviting.

The First Week – A Grind
We are starting off flat and messy. From Wednesday the 2nd through the 8th, it's basically a write-off. The swell is tiny, under a foot and a half, with periods of 10 seconds or less, and cross-off and cross-shore breezes are going to keep it lumpy. There might be a few clean windows, like Wednesday morning's 0.6m (78) with a cross-off breeze, but that doesn't make up for the total lack of push. The scores are near zero, telling you just how poor it will be. Days like the 4th and 5th will just be soft, bumpy slop.

The One Brief Pulse
Then, on Wednesday the 9th of September, we finally get a pulse. The swell jumps to 5ft, but with a short period of only 6 seconds from the north. The combined energy hits (222), which is the strongest we'll see. But, it's all short-period wind swell. Wednesday morning is clean with a cross-off breeze, so for a few hours, it might be fun and grovelly. But a 6-second period means it's going to be a bit jumbled, and the afternoon looks to go bad with a cross-shore wind. This is our one, and only, real chance in the first week, and it's not exactly a classic.

Holding Pattern
After that, we go right back into the doldrums. From the 10th through the 12th, it's back to small waves and poor conditions. On the 13th, there’s a small improvement with a 2ft east swell and clean morning conditions, but again, it's weak. Then on Monday the 14th, we get a brief moment of pure glass with a 2ft east swell, but with energy of just (52), it's still tiny and weak. It could be fun on a longboard, but nothing more.

The Second Week
The second week stays the same. The 15th and 16th bring a mix of cross-shore and cross-on winds with small, weak swells. There is a long-period (14s) swell from the southeast on Tuesday afternoon the 15th, but it comes with a 30 km/h cross-onshore wind, so it'll be blown out.

The one tiny glimmer of hope is Thursday morning the 17th, which looks glassy with a 2ft swell. The energy reading (58) is weak, but clean and glassy at The Spit is always worth a look, even if it's for a few knee-high rollers.

The Final Word
The only standout in this entire stretch is the brief pulse on the morning of Wednesday the 9th, and even that is marginal. Otherwise, it's a waiting game. These flat spells don't usually last forever, and forecasts can change. But for now, I'd say keep the wetsuit dry and save your energy for a better day.

Rusty.

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