The Spit Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. The Spit is the only break on the cards for this whole run, and truth be told, it’s a bit of a sad story for us surfers. There’s a real gap at the start with nothing worth paddling out for, and the ocean just doesn’t want to cooperate for the most part. We’ve got a long stretch of small, junky, onshore slop that’ll have you checking the cam and then walking back to the car.

The first decent look at something with a pulse is Thursday the 17th in the morning. There’s a push of swell, with a solid 10ft of south-southeast windswell, but it’s coming with a moderate cross-shore breeze and a lumpy cross-chop. The energy is moderate at 2436, but for The Spit, this is way too much. It’s a river mouth, and that size just closes out and jacks all over the place. It’s one for the experts only, and honestly, it’s not even that clean. The afternoon drops back down to 5ft and gets messy again.

After that, it’s a whole lot of nothing. From the 18th right through to the 24th, we’re looking at tiny, weak surf. The swell drops below 4ft, the periods are short and crumbly, and the wind is mostly onshore or cross-onshore, chopping up anything that tries to form. There’s a tiny window on the 19th in the morning with a light cross-offshore breeze from the northwest, and the swell is a clean but tiny 2ft from the southeast. It’s surfable, but it’s really just ankle-to-knee slop. The energy is weak, a mere 107, and it’s not going to be worth getting wet for unless you’re desperate.

The second week is bleak. From the 25th all the way through to the 1st of October, the surf stays small and poor. The swell is consistently under 3ft, with periods around 7 to 8 seconds, and the wind is almost always onshore or cross-on from the east. There’s no punch, no shape, and the combined energy is consistently weak, mostly under 150. It’s a long, flat, and frustrating stretch. There’s a slight bump on the 30th with 4ft of east-northeast swell, but the period is a short 8 seconds and it’s cross-on, so it’ll be lumpy and sectiony.

For the standout, you’re looking at that Thursday 17th morning, but it’s more of a “look at it from the car” situation than a “go get barreled” one. It’s the only time the size gets up, but the conditions are against it. Don’t get too hyped. This is a stretch where the river mouth just isn’t doing its thing.

The water temp is sitting at 70°F, which is right on the money for this time of year, nothing weird there.

So, bottom line: if you’re a beginner, stay home. If you're an expert and you’ve got a death wish, maybe peek at the 17th, but even then, it’s a mess. The long-range stuff is promising in terms of size, but it’s too far out and the wind forecast is rubbish. It’s a poor run for The Spit.

Rusty.

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