The Spit Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – for this stretch, it’s a bit of a flat spell with a side order of frustration. The sole spot on the cards is The Spit, a river mouth setup that’s exposed to the east. The first real chance to get wet doesn’t roll around until Friday morning, July 3rd.

We start things off Friday morning with a small 3ft east swell, period around 8 seconds. The water’s sitting at 71°, which is about average for this time of year. Combined energy is moderate at 202, and we’ve got a clean, cross-off breeze from the northwest at 9 mph. It’s not a standout by any means – just small, surfable wedges for the beginner crew, but it’s the best we’ll see for a few days. Friday afternoon drops off a little to 3ft from the east-northeast, still clean but ordinary.

Saturday July 4 and Sunday July 5 are write-offs – poor conditions with cross and cross-onshore winds picking up, lumpy and choppy. Monday July 6 sees the swell bump up to 5ft in the morning from the southeast, but it’s blown out by a fresh cross-shore wind near 19 mph, combined energy at 453 (moderate), but the quality is garbage. That pattern holds through Tuesday and Wednesday – we see a couple of 5ft and even a 7ft south-southeast swell on Wednesday afternoon July 8 with a whopping 1578 combined energy, but that’s way too big for The Spit and only for experts if it had clean wind – which it doesn’t, it’s cross-shore and messy.

After Wednesday, the surf just tails off. From Thursday July 9 right through to the end of the 16-day window, it’s mostly tiny – under 3ft, often under 2ft. There are a few flickers of hope on Thursday July 16 and Friday July 17 with a long-period 14-second southeast groundswell pushing through, but it’s only 1ft. The wind goes light offshore or cross-off at 6-9 mph, keeping it clean, but there’s just no size to work with. Combined energy in those sessions is sitting between 70 and 96 – weak stuff.

So here’s the deal: the best on offer is Friday morning July 3 – small but clean and rideable for beginners. After that, there’s a long, dry gap from Saturday July 4 through to Wednesday July 15 where conditions are either poor or flat. The last few days of the window, July 16 to 18, hold clean but tiny waves – more of a paddle than a surf. If you’re desperate, get out early on that Friday July 3 or wait for a clean, small session around July 16 or 17. Otherwise, keep the board in the car and wait for a change in the charts.

Rusty.

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