The Spit Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks. Rusty here. Grab a coffee, because it’s a quiet one for The Spit over the next couple of weeks. We’ve got a long gap ahead before anything really worth paddling out for shows up.

Let’s start with the water. The temperature is sitting at 69°F, which is about average for this time of year, so no need to dig out the thicker rubber just yet. But the bad news is, the start of the period is a total bust. From Saturday the 8th right through to the end of the week, the conditions are a write-off. The swell is small and weak, with combined energy barely cracking 100 (85 on Saturday morning), and the wind is mostly cross or onshore, messing up what little there is. You’ll see a few sessions with a "surfable" tag, but honestly, at 2ft to 3ft with short period (7-9 seconds), it’s nothing to get excited about.

There is a glimmer on Sunday morning, the 9th. The wind goes glassy and the swell picks up to 3ft from the east, with a period of 9 seconds. The energy climbs to 167 (moderate). It’s still small and a bit ordinary, but for a beginner or someone just wanting to get wet, that’s your best window in the first week. The Spit is a consistent river break, exposed to the east, so that east swell has a shot. It’s just not going to be a standout.

The second week offers a little more size but a lot more wind. On Monday the 17th, the swell gets a bit of a kick, hitting 4ft, but the period drops to a weak 6-7 seconds. The combined energy hits 217, which is moderate, but it’s coming with a strong cross-onshore SSE wind at 15-18 mph. That’s going to be choppy and lumpy. Not for the longboarders, and honestly, with that much wind and a beach/river setup, it looks more like a kite-surfing day than a paddle session.

The biggest swell of the whole forecast hits on Tuesday the 18th. The morning shows 5ft from the east with an 8-second period and a combined energy of 419 (strong). That’s a solid number. But again, the wind is a cross-shore to cross-onshore SSE breeze at 15 mph, creating a cross-chop. For a confident surfer, there might be a few waves in there, but the conditions will be messy. It’s not a clean, easy day. The Spit is a river mouth, so that short period, wind-affected swell won’t be holding its shape well.

After that, the rest of the month fades back into 2ft to 3ft range with persistent cross-shore winds. The gap between decent surf is pretty much the whole 16 days – there’s no real standout session where everything lines up perfectly. The best you can hope for is a window of clean, small waves on the morning of the 9th (Sunday) or maybe a bigger but messier session on the 18th.

Keep your eyes on the forecasts, though. It’s been flat, but it never stays that way forever.

Rusty.

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