The Spit Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what The Spit has in store for us over the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, it’s a pretty grim stretch for surf at The Spit. The forecast is packed with poor conditions, and for the first week or so you’d be hard pressed to find anything worth paddling out for. The water temp is sitting at 70°F which is about average for this time of year, so at least you won’t be freezing if you do go for a swim.

Saturday the 12th kicks off with light rain and a 4ft swell from the ESE at a weak 6 seconds. The wind is a cross-on at 16 mph, making it choppy. The energy is weak (121), and the whole day is a write-off. Sunday the 13th is more of the same, with similar small, weak swell and cross-on winds.

We see a slight improvement by Tuesday the 15th morning with a light cross-off wind and clean conditions, but the swell is tiny at 2ft with hardly any energy (38) – barely a ripple. Wednesday the 16th afternoon brings a jump in size to 6ft from the SE, but with a messy, strong cross-wind at 28 mph, the energy jumps to moderate (387), but you don’t want to be out there.

Thursday the 17th sees solid 6ft to 7ft SE swell with a longer 10-second period, and the wave energy gets into a strong range (783-788). But that fresh cross-wind keeps it lumpy and messy.

Now, Friday the 18th is the only standout in the whole outlook. We’ve got a big 10ft swell from the SSE, with a 10-second period, and the combined energy is very strong (2318). The wind in the morning is just a gentle breeze from the SSE at 9 mph, so it’s clean with only slight cross-chop. The report says the wind and tide are favorable, but that 10ft is too big for beginners and really only for experienced surfers. For the pros, this is the day to be out there – big, clean waves at The Spit. The afternoon stays big but gets a cross-on wind, making it rougher.

After that, it drops off again. Saturday the 19th morning has a cleaner cross-wind and a 5ft ESE swell with a very long 12-second period, but the energy is still strong (656) - could be a fun option for the better surfers if the sets line up. The rest of the week after that is pretty much flat or trash with tiny swell and onshore winds.

So, to sum it up: if you’re not an expert, the whole 16 days is a dud. If you are an expert, point your car at The Spit on Friday the 18th morning for the only real highlight – a big, powerful swell with clean conditions. The rest is best left alone.

Rusty.

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