The Spit Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's talk about what The Spit has in store.

First, the bad news: we’ve got a blank run on our hands. The start of this period is a write-off. There’s just nothing happening for the first week. Small, weak swells and messy wind are all we get until things finally start to look up.

The first real sniff of a wave comes on Wednesday, July 23rd, but here’s the kicker – it's actually too big for this break. The guiding is saying the swell is going to be too powerful, which for a river break that’s exposed to the east, is no joke. We’re looking at 7ft to 8ft of easterly swell, but with a period of 12 seconds, that’s a groundswell with real muscle. The combined energy is pumping hard, over 1600 (1631-1650). The wind is a moderate cross-shore from the south, which isn't ideal but could be workable for the brave. Only for experts though, this is the only thing on offer and it’s a serious step up. If you’re a beginner, stay on the sand.

After that, the swell drops back a bit into Thursday, July 24th, but again the forecast says it’s still too big for the break in the afternoon.

The saving grace arrives later. Saturday, July 25th afternoon, the stars nearly align. We get a 6ft easterly swell with that lovely 12-second period. The wind goes glassy from the ESE (5 km/h) – that’s a major positive, perfect clean conditions. The combined energy is still chunky at 964 (moderate wave energy). This is looking like the best session of the whole outlook. Expect clean, glassy faces.

Sunday, July 26th keeps the good run going, with the swell dropping slightly to 5ft but still with that 12-second period. The wind goes light offshore from the SSW at 10 km/h in the morning, then goes dead calm in the afternoon. Clean again, and with a combined energy of 710 (moderate). This is a solid, fun wave for intermediate and above.

Further out into the final days of the month, we see smaller but cleaner options. Tuesday, July 28th morning looks magic with a 4ft easterly swell, 13-second period, and glassy conditions from a light westerly breeze. That’s a gem of a window if you can time it.

To wrap it up: the first week is a total loss. The standout is the stretch from Saturday, July 25th afternoon through Monday, July 27th morning. The absolute best on offer is that glassy Saturday, July 25th afternoon – you couldn’t ask for better conditions at a break that’s been battered by wind all week. Be aware, The Spit can get crowded, so expect company if you chase those clean windows.

Stay stoked.

Rusty.

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