The Spit Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Righto, grab a seat. Rusty here, and I’ve had a proper look at what’s comin’ down the line for The Spit. Gotta be straight with you – it’s gonna be a lean spell for a while, so don’t get your hopes up too early.

The swell window is mostly closed for the next week or so. We’ve got a tiny bit of energy from the 11th of July, but it’s barely a ripple – 4 ft from the SE with a long 12-second period, but the wind is a light cross-onshore, so it’s not doing any favours. The water temp is sitting at 70°, which is pretty much spot-on average for this time of year.

After that, things go quiet. From the 12th right through to the 16th of July, the surf is basically a write-off – tiny, chopped, or blown out. You’re looking at a solid gap of several days where there’s nothing worth paddling out for. The energy is weak, sometimes as low as single-digit figures (10 to 56), and the combination of onshore or cross winds just kills any chance of a wave.

Then, from the 17th of July, the swell starts to build, but it gets ugly. We see a jump to 8 ft on the Friday, with combined energy jumping into four-digit territory (1,352), but the wind is a fresh cross-onshore making it lumpy and messy. By Saturday the 18th, the swell is pumping – 10 ft from the ESE – but that’s way too much for this spot. The combined energy hits 3,009, which is a proper grunty swell, but for The Spit, that’s expert-only territory and honestly, it’s a river break that’s likely going to be a washing machine. The wind is cross-shore, so it’s not clean, and honestly, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

The real standout, if we can call it that, is Wednesday the 22nd of July. The swell drops back to a nice, manageable 5 ft from the E, with a long period of 13 seconds – proper groundswell. The kicker here is the glassy conditions on the morning, with no wind. That’s the cleanest window in the whole 16 days. The combined energy is moderate at 746, and the swell direction is lining up well for The Spit (optimum is E). It’s still going to be a bit too big for beginners, but for an intermediate surfer looking for a smooth, lined-up wave, that’s your session. The period is long, so expect better shaped waves and longer lulls between sets – makes paddling out easier.

After that, it fades out again. The 23rd has a clean morning with 4 ft and glass, but the energy drops to 368, and the rest of the week is back to small, onshore junk. Crowds? The Spit gets hit often, so expect company, especially if it cleans up.

So to wrap it up: the first week is a no-go. The middle weekend is too big and messy for anything but kite gear. The one true standout is the morning of Wednesday the 22nd of July – glassy, 5 ft E swell, long period. That’s your call-to-arms. Everything else is a pass.

Rusty.

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