The Spit Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s be real with you. Looking at the whole 16-day window for The Spit, it’s a bit of a rough stretch. We've got a lot of onshore and cross-onshore wind messing things up, and the swell never really lines up with what this spot wants. It’s going to be a grind, and there’s no classic day jumping out. The first few days are looking pretty weak and average, and then it just gets bigger, but uglier.

Right now, the water temp is sitting at 69°F, which is about normal for this time of year. Not a drama there.

The first real chance to get wet is early Sunday morning, the 9th. The wind is glassy out of the NNW, and we have a small 3ft east swell rolling in with a 9-second period. The combined energy is only at 167, so it’s weak, but it’s clean. This is a beginner-friendly wave anyway, so the small, clean conditions are your best bet. It's not going to be epic, but it's surfable. The afternoon gets chopped up by a NNE breeze, so get on it early.

Monday the 10th morning sees a stronger NW wind, creating a cross-offshore. The swell stays tiny at 3ft. The energy kicks up to 238, but it's still pretty weak. The afternoon is interesting for a bit with a W wind going offshore and clean, but the swell is short-period and from the NNE, which is all over the place. Not great.

From Tuesday the 11th through Thursday the 13th, we’re looking at a slow grind of tiny, clean surf. Swell heights hover around 2ft to 2ft, with weak energy readings in the 40-90 range. It’s pretty gutless. The mornings are the cleanest with light offshore or cross-offshore breezes, but you’ll be paddling for dribbles. Thursday afternoon gets chopped by an onshore breeze, so that’s done.

Then we hit a real lull. From Friday the 14th through Sunday the 16th, the swell just drops off a cliff. We're talking 1ft to 2ft of slop, with moderate to fresh onshore and cross-shore winds. The energy is pathetic, below 105. This is a period to find something else to do. The river mouth won't be breaking with any sort of quality.

Now, the second week gets interesting, but not in a good way. Starting Monday the 17th, a pulse of windswell shows up, but it’s coming from the ESE with a short 6-second period. It’s bigger, hitting 5ft to 5ft, and the energy jumps to 199-214. But it's all onshore slop. The wind is howling from the SE, making it a complete mess. This looks more like a day for the kite surfers than for us paddle surfers.

It gets worse. From Tuesday the 18th through Sunday the 23rd, the swell gets bigger, driven by that persistent SE wind. We’re looking at 5ft to 8ft of lumpy, cross-onshore chaos. The combined energy is huge—we're talking 413 to a massive 1902. The period is still short, between 7 and 11 seconds, so it’s just a wall of wind chop. There's one standout moment on Friday the 21st, where the text says the wind and tide are favorable, but the swell is just too big for The Spit. That’s a huge callout. At 8ft, this place is maxed out and would be only for experts, and even then, it’s probably closing out. The rest of that period is just punishing.

So, to be honest, there’s no “go-to” day in this forecast. The only time it's clean enough is Sunday morning, the 9th, with that tiny glassy wave. It's weak, but it's the only shot. The rest is either too small to bother, or too big and messy to be any fun. It’s a waiting game.

Rusty.

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