The Peak Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's get into it.

Alright, folks, let's be honest, the next couple of weeks are looking pretty grim for a paddle. The Peak is our only real option on the table, and it's copping it. We've got a solid run of onshore and cross-shore winds that are just gonna mash up the swell. The water is sitting at 62°F and that's a solid 4°F warmer than usual for this time of year, so it's not a shock to the system when you get in, but the conditions are a different story.

The first week is a write-off. Monday the 7th kicks off with rain showers and a 22 mph cross-on wind, making a mess of that 7ft W swell. The combined wave energy is moderate at 740, but the wind is the killer. The whole of that first week, right through to Sunday the 13th, is just a battle with onshore or cross-shore breezes. There's a brief moment early on Thursday the 10th with a clean cross-off shore wind and a 3ft W swell, but it's still a pass. The big highlight is Saturday morning the 12th – we get a solid 5ft WNW groundswell with a nice long 13-second period, delivering a strong 828 combined energy. The wind is clean cross-off, so it should be clean. That's the best you're going to get, but it's only a "marginal" call, so don't expect perfection. The Peak is a reef setup, so that long period energy should hold up well, but it's not a classic day. The afternoon of the 12th goes straight back to a fresh 22 mph cross-shore, so get in early.

The second week starts to fade. Sunday the 13th afternoon has a tiny 3ft WNW swell and a slight cross-off wind, but it's just surfable, not exciting. Monday the 14th is another clean morning with a 3ft W swell, but the combined energy is low at 198. The wind is a moderate 12 mph cross-off, so it's clean, but the waves are small. The rest of the week is a mix of small surf and deteriorating winds. Thursday the 17th through Saturday the 19th sees a few mornings with clean conditions and tiny 2ft to 3ft WNW swells, but the energy is weak. It's a long paddling session for a few knee-high bumps.

Then, out of nowhere, we get a spike on Sunday the 20th. A 6ft W swell with a 12-second period hits, but it's wrapped in a 12-16 mph cross-on wind, so it's going to be a choppy, messy mess. The following Monday and Tuesday the 22nd and 23rd look even worse, with a 10ft WNW swell on the Tuesday afternoon being completely blown out by a 28 mph onshore gale. That's a massive 2344 combined energy, but with that wind, it's a full-on washing machine. For kite surfers, that setup on the 22nd would be absolute heaven, but for a paddle surfer, it's a hard pass.

Honestly, your best bet in this whole 16-day window is the Saturday morning the 12th. It's not a world-beater, but it's the cleanest window we've got with some size and power. Everything else is a fight against the wind or a battle with tiny waves.

Rusty.

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