The Peak Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it.

The Peak is our only option in this 16-day window, and honestly, it’s a tough stretch. There’s a massive gap of flat, poor conditions right through the end of July and into early August. The first real chance of a wave comes on Monday morning, July 27.

The overall pattern is pretty grim. We’ve got a weak, short-period swell that’s mostly from the W or WNW, but the wind is all over the place. The peak of the minor activity hits on Sunday, July 26, with a 7ft swell from the WNW, but the wind is a cross-on 19 mph, and the water is a swampy 62°F, which is a whopping 4°F warmer than normal for this time of year. That’s really unusual. The combined energy sits at 935 (moderate), but the conditions are just poor for surfing.

The only real standout, and I mean the *only* one, is Monday morning, July 27. The swell drops to 4ft from the WNW, with a 10-second period, and the wind swings to a light cross-off from the south at 6 mph. This will keep The Peak clean. The combined energy is 346 (moderate). It’s a small window, but it’s the best we’ll see. Expect good surf conditions.

After that, it’s a long, slow decline. Tuesday morning, July 28, has a 5ft swell from the W, but the wind is a messy cross-shore 16 mph, creating chop. The energy is 322 (moderate). Tuesday afternoon goes glassy but the swell drops to 4ft, and the period is a short 8 seconds. The energy is only 167 (weak). It’s surfable but very ordinary.

From Wednesday, July 29, onwards, the swell just dies. Heights drop below 3ft, the period gets short, and the energy is mostly in the double digits (weak). The wind is often cross-on or onshore. There’s a brief moment on Sunday morning, August 2, with a clean cross-off wind, but the swell is only 2ft. It’s rideable but not worth a drive.

Then we hit a true dead zone. From August 4 through to August 10, the swell is consistently under 2ft, with energy readings in the teens or single digits. The wind sometimes goes clean, even offshore on August 10, but there’s no wave to surf. It’s a long, flat run for the region.

The bottom line: July 27 morning is the best call. The rest of the window is a write-off unless you’re desperate for a flat-water paddle. The Peak is a reef break exposed to the west, and with the right swell direction off the W, it can work, but this forecast is lean. Keep an eye on it, but don’t hold your breath.

Rusty.

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