Keel surf break

Keel surfForecast / Mayo and Achill Island / Ireland

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 11 pm Thursday 15 Jan 2026 IST
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Keel surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Keel sea temperature is
9.5° C
(Which is slightly cooler than normal)


Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Keel this week:

The surf forecast for Keel over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jan 16) at 9AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 4.5m and 15s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-shore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Keel in the next 12 days are 4.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jan 19) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 11s period and expected on Friday (Jan 16) at 9AM.

Wave TypeTime (IST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 9AM (Fri 16th Jan)15ft (4.5m) 15s
Best Surf 9AM (Fri 16th Jan)15ft (4.5m) 15s
Most Powerful12PM (Mon 19th Jan)15ft (4.5m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Keel over the next 12 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Light rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Mild temperatures (max 8°C on Thu night, min 5°C on Fri morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SSE on Thu night, light winds from the NE by Sat afternoon).

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Moderate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Wed afternoon. Mild temperatures (max 9°C on Wed afternoon, min 5°C on Mon night). Mainly strong winds.

Friday
16
Saturday
17
Sunday
18
Monday
19
Tuesday
20
Wednesday
21
Thu
22
NightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPM
Rating
(10 max)
0
!
!
!
4
4
3
0
0
0
!
!
!
!
!
!
2
1
1
!
!
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
4.5
W
4.5
W
4
W
3
W
2.5
W
2.1
W
1.7
W
1.4
W
1.1
W
1
W
3.5
W
4
W
4
W
4
W
3.5
W
3
W
2.2
W
1.9
W
1.2
W
3
W
3.5
W
Period(s) (?)161515141212111010121716161515141312121214
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)9056801068473783188412076513792142687993881185426340498229441634103639624265566
Wind
(km/h)
30
SSE
25
SE
15
ESE
10
ENE
10
NE
5
NE
10
SE
20
SSE
25
SSE
25
SE
25
SE
15
WNW
10
ENE
15
ENE
15
ESE
30
ESE
30
SE
30
SE
25
SE
15
SE
10
SSW
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
cross-
on
crosscross-
off
cross-
off
offoffcross-
off
crosscrosscrosscrosscrosscross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
crosscross-
off
crosscross-
on
High Tide
/ height (m)
4:02AM
3.09
4:29PM
2.88
4:42AM
3.28
5:08PM
3.03
5:18AM
3.47
5:44PM
3.15
5:53AM
3.63
6:18PM
3.24
6:26AM
3.74
6:53PM
3.29
6:58AM
3.78
7:28PM
3.32
7:32AM
3.76
Low Tide
/ height (m)
9:42PM
1.07
10:21AM
0.89
10:24PM
0.92
11:00AM
0.70
11:01PM
0.77
11:35AM
0.53
11:35PM
0.66
12:09PM
0.39
12:08AM
0.58
12:42PM
0.29
12:40AM
0.55
1:15PM
0.23
1:14AM
0.56
1:48PM
0.23
Friday
16
Saturday
17
Sunday
18
Monday
19
Tuesday
20
Wednesday
21
Thu
22
Sunrise-8:49--8:48--8:48--8:45--8:45--8:44--8:42-
Sunset--4:50--4:51--4:52--4:54--4:57--4:59--5:00
rain showers
cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
cloud
light rain
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
heavy rain
rain showers
cloud
clear
Rain (mm)
5---------1------113--
Temp. °C867667656777767789879
Feels °C (?)2122343-10112412023336
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Keel Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Keel provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Keel can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Keel surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Keel) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Keel may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Mayo and Achill Island? If you are looking for accommodation near Keel, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Mayo and Achill Island, consider staying in Belmullet which is 29 km (18 miles) away. Other places in and around Mayo and Achill Island where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Westport which is 41 km (25 miles) away, Ballina and Claremorris.

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