Keel Surf Break

Lat Long: 53.97° N 10.09° W

Keel Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 6 am 03 Oct 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Keel sea temperature is
15.1°C
1.6° 

Keel surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Keel surf forecast from 3 Oct 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 5 Oct, 10PM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 11s period, WNW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 10 Oct, 10AM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 13s period, WNW swell with 9,737 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 5 Oct, 10PM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 11s period with WNW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Keel this week:

The surf forecast for Keel over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Oct 05) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.4m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 1.2m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Keel in the next 16 days are 5.5m 13s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Oct 10) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 2s period and expected on Monday (Oct 05) at 10PM.

Wave TypeTime (IST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Mon 5th Oct)8ft (2.4m) 11s
Best Surf10PM (Mon 5th Oct)8ft (2.4m) 11s
Most Powerful10AM (Sat 10th Oct)18ft (5.5m) 13s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Keel over the next 16 days.


Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Sun afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Sat night, min 11°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SSW on Sun morning, light winds from the NNW by Mon night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Heavy rain (total 29mm), heaviest during Wed night. Very mild (max 15°C on Thu night, min 11°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (light winds from the WNW on Wed morning, strong winds from the SW by Thu night).

Saturday
3
Sunday
4
Monday
5
Tuesday
6
Wednesday
7
Thursday
8
Friday
9
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.6
W
9
2.1
W
9
1.6
WNW
11
1.7
WNW
10
1.9
WNW
10
2.1
WNW
12
2.5
W
11
2.5
W
11
2.4
WNW
11
2.2
WNW
10
2.1
WNW
9
2.5
WNW
11
2.3
WNW
10
2.5
WNW
11
2.4
WNW
12
1.6
WNW
11
1.6
WNW
10
2.5
WSW
9
3.5
W
9
3.5
W
10
5
WNW
13
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
441
748
575
647
725
1247
1667
1639
1488
980
721
1358
1170
1603
1514
595
490
1175
2129
2716
8914
Wind (km/h)
20
SW
25
SSW
35
S
35
SSW
35
SSW
35
SW
30
SW
25
SW
15
NW
30
WNW
30
WNW
20
WNW
25
NW
20
W
35
SW
35
W
30
WSW
40
SW
40
WNW
45
WNW
50
W
Wind State
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
on
on
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
High Tide
10:53AM3.03m
11:50PM2.70m
12:18PM2.89m
1:32AM2.66m
1:52PM2.95m
3:00AM2.84m
3:08PM3.17m
4:01AM3.10m
4:06PM3.42m
4:48AM3.37m
4:52PM3.63m
5:27AM3.58m
5:33PM3.76m
Low Tide
5:16PM0.98m
5:44AM1.32m
7:02PM1.05m
7:35AM1.37m
8:39PM0.87m
9:01AM1.19m
9:43PM0.59m
10:00AM0.92m
10:31PM0.33m
10:45AM0.67m
11:10PM0.15m
11:25AM0.46m
11:46PM0.06m
part cloud
clear
cloud
cloud
light rain
part cloud
cloud
light rain
rain showers
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
heavy rain
mod rain
light rain
light rain
clear
part cloud
cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:43
—
—
7:46
—
—
7:48
—
—
7:50
—
—
7:52
—
—
7:52
—
—
7:54
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—
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
—
7:13
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—
7:09
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—
7:07
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—
7:05
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—
7:02
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7:00
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6:58
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 mm
—
—
—
—
1
—
—
1
2
—
—
—
—
—
15
7
2
5
—
—
—
Temp °C
13
13
15
15
15
15
15
15
12
12
12
12
12
12
14
14
14
15
13
12
12
Feels °C
9
8
10
10
10
10
10
11
9
6
6
7
7
7
8
9
9
10
5
2
2
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Keel Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Keel provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Keel can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Keel surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Keel) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Keel may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Mayo and Achill Island? If you are looking for accommodation near Keel, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Mayo and Achill Island, consider staying in Belmullet which is 29 km (18 miles) away. Other places in and around Mayo and Achill Island where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Westport which is 41 km (25 miles) away, Ballina and Claremorris.

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