Keel surf break

Keel surfForecast / Mayo and Achill Island / Ireland

information circle16 Day Weather and Surf, issued 11 pm Wednesday 18 Mar 2026 IST
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Keel surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Keel sea temperature is
8.8° C
(Which is slightly cooler than normal)

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Keel this week:

The surf forecast for Keel over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Mar 19) at 9AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.4m and 13s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Keel in the next 16 days are 8.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Mar 25) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.5m 10s period and expected on Thursday (Mar 26) at 6AM.

Wave TypeTime (IST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 9AM (Thu 19th Mar)8ft (2.4m) 13s
Best Surf12AM (Sat 21st Mar)10ft (3.0m) 16s
Most Powerful12PM (Wed 25th Mar)26ft (8.0m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Keel over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Thu afternoon, min 9°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Moderate rain (total 16mm), heaviest on Mon afternoon. Very mild (max 10°C on Sat night, min 5°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (light winds from the E on Sun night, near gales from the WNW by Tue afternoon).

Thursday
19
Friday
20
Saturday
21
Sunday
22
Monday
23
Tuesday
24
Wed
25
NightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPM
Rating
(10 max)
!
4
3
1
0
0
!
!
!
0
!
!
!
0
0
0
0
0
0
!
!
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
3
WNW
2.4
WNW
2
WNW
1.6
WNW
1
WNW
1.5
WNW
3
WNW
3.5
WNW
4
WNW
3.5
WNW
3
WNW
4.5
WNW
4.5
WNW
4.5
WNW
4
WNW
3
WNW
4
W
3
W
4.5
W
7.5
W
7.5
W
Period(s) (?)131312111013161616151414141514131111121416
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)27671759115861522576938036591733252923366681980398474669929303744253449022275029128
Wind
(km/h)
20
NE
10
E
10
SE
15
S
10
S
20
SSW
10
SSW
10
S
20
SSW
30
SSW
25
N
25
N
15
E
35
SSE
50
SSW
35
SW
45
WNW
60
WNW
55
WNW
45
NW
25
WSW
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
offcross-
off
crosscross-
on
cross-
on
ononcross-
on
ononcross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
on
ononcross-
on
crosscross-
on
crosscross-
on
High Tide
/ height (m)
5:32AM
3.91
6:00PM
3.79
6:07AM
3.99
6:34PM
3.86
6:45AM
3.97
7:10PM
3.84
7:24AM
3.83
7:49PM
3.71
8:08AM
3.59
8:31PM
3.49
8:58AM
3.26
9:21PM
3.22
10:01AM
2.92
Low Tide
/ height (m)
11:22PM
0.34
11:45AM
-0.08
11:56PM
0.20
12:18PM
-0.14
12:32AM
0.14
12:53PM
-0.07
1:10AM
0.17
1:30PM
0.12
1:50AM
0.30
2:10PM
0.41
2:36AM
0.52
2:57PM
0.76
3:33AM
0.80
3:56PM
1.12
Thursday
19
Friday
20
Saturday
21
Sunday
22
Monday
23
Tuesday
24
Wed
25
Sunrise-6:46--6:43--6:41--6:39--6:35--6:33--6:31-
Sunset--6:50--6:52--6:53--6:55--6:58--7:00--7:01
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
light rain
clear
part cloud
light rain
mod rain
light rain
light rain
rain showers
light rain
light rain
light rain
Rain (mm)
----------1--36312412
Temp. °C1011141310109910108869101086789
Feels °C (?)591313656766221-101-3-8-6-21
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Keel Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Keel provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Keel can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Keel surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Keel) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Keel may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Mayo and Achill Island? If you are looking for accommodation near Keel, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Mayo and Achill Island, consider staying in Belmullet which is 29 km (18 miles) away. Other places in and around Mayo and Achill Island where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Westport which is 41 km (25 miles) away, Ballina and Claremorris.

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