Keel Surf Break

Lat Long: 53.97° N 10.09° W

Keel Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 6 am 28 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Keel sea temperature is
15.7° C
0.7° 

Keel surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Keel surf forecast from 28 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 2 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 8s period, NW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 30 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 9s period, NW swell with 636 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 2 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 8s period with NW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Keel this week:

The surf forecast for Keel over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 02) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 8s. Another secondary swell of 0.3m and 2s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Keel in the next 16 days are 2.0m 9s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.9m 8s period and expected on Tuesday (Aug 04) at 1PM.

Wave TypeTime (IST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7AM (Sun 2nd Aug)4ft (1.2m) 8s
Best Surf 7AM (Sun 2nd Aug)4ft (1.2m) 8s
Most Powerful 7AM (Thu 30th Jul)6.5ft (2.0m) 9s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Keel over the next 16 days.


Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Tue night. Very mild (max 16°C on Tue morning, min 13°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SSW on Tue morning, light winds from the W by Tue night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Heavy rain (total 39mm), heaviest during Sun night. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri morning, min 12°C on Sun morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the W on Fri night, light winds from the SSE by Sat night).

Tuesday
28
Wednesday
29
Thursday
30
Friday
31
Saturday
1
Sunday
2
Monday
3
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
1
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.6
W
8
2
WSW
8
1.7
W
8
1.4
W
8
1.3
W
8
1.4
W
8
1.3
WNW
7
1.1
W
7
1.5
W
6
1.7
W
7
1.6
W
7
1.7
WNW
7
1.7
NW
8
1.5
NW
8
1.3
NW
8
0.6
WSW
8
1.6
SW
8
1.8
SW
9
1.3
SW
9
1.2
SW
8
1
SW
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
299
489
382
241
196
217
191
124
170
266
233
248
371
299
211
46
375
497
269
201
129
Wind (km/h)
35
SSW
35
SW
15
SW
15
W
20
W
25
W
25
NW
25
WSW
30
WSW
30
WSW
35
W
30
NW
25
WNW
15
W
10
SSW
15
ESE
25
ESE
20
SE
25
ESE
15
ESE
10
N
Wind State
on
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
6:05PM3.40m
6:32AM3.10m
6:39PM3.57m
7:06AM3.20m
7:12PM3.68m
7:39AM3.26m
7:43PM3.73m
8:12AM3.30m
8:15PM3.71m
8:45AM3.30m
8:48PM3.63m
9:20AM3.27m
9:23PM3.50m
Low Tide
11:47AM0.85m
00:23AM0.58m
12:22PM0.72m
00:56AM0.43m
12:55PM0.63m
1:28AM0.33m
1:27PM0.58m
2:00AM0.28m
1:59PM0.58m
2:30AM0.28m
2:32PM0.63m
3:02AM0.33m
3:07PM0.71m
3:37AM0.43m
part cloud
part cloud
mod rain
part cloud
clear
rain showers
clear
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
mod rain
mod rain
heavy rain
mod rain
mod rain
mod rain
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:46
5:47
5:48
5:50
5:52
5:54
5:56
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
9:45
9:44
9:43
9:40
9:38
9:37
9:35
 mm
7
2
1
1
2
1
7
10
18
9
7
8
Temp °C
16
16
16
15
15
14
14
14
14
14
14
14
14
14
14
12
13
14
13
15
15
Feels °C
11
11
13
12
11
10
9
9
9
7
8
7
9
11
13
9
8
10
8
15
15
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Keel Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Keel provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Keel can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Keel surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Keel) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Keel may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Mayo and Achill Island? If you are looking for accommodation near Keel, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Mayo and Achill Island, consider staying in Belmullet which is 29 km (18 miles) away. Other places in and around Mayo and Achill Island where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Westport which is 41 km (25 miles) away, Ballina and Claremorris.

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