Keel Surf Break

Lat Long: 53.97° N 10.09° W

Issued: 12 am 28 Jun 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Keel sea temperature is
15.4° C

1.7°C warmer than normal for this time of year

Keel surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Keel surf forecast from 28 Jun 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 4 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period, W swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 28 Jun, 4PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 13s period, W swell with 6,300 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 4 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period with W swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Keel this week:

The surf forecast for Keel over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 04) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Keel in the next 16 days are 4.5m 13s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jun 28) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.3m 10s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 05) at 7AM.

Wave TypeTime (IST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1AM (Sat 4th Jul)10ft (3.0m) 10s
Best Surf 1AM (Sat 4th Jul)10ft (3.0m) 10s
Most Powerful 4PM (Sun 28th Jun)15ft (4.5m) 13s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Keel over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Mon afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon afternoon, min 13°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the SW on Sun morning, light winds from the WSW by Tue morning).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Some drizzle, heaviest during Wed afternoon. Very mild (max 16°C on Fri afternoon, min 12°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (light winds from the WNW on Tue night, near gales from the WSW by Wed night).

Sunday
28
Monday
29
Tuesday
30
Wednesday
1
Thursday
2
Friday
3
Saturday
4
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
!
2
1
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3.5
WSW
11
4.5
W
13
4
W
12
2.5
W
11
2.5
W
10
1.9
SSW
8
2.3
WSW
9
2
WSW
9
1.9
WSW
10
1.6
W
10
1.2
W
9
3
SW
8
3.5
W
10
3
W
11
2.1
W
11
1.5
W
11
3
WSW
9
3
W
10
1.8
W
10
1.5
W
9
1.3
W
9
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
3155
6300
4080
1514
1360
464
898
658
806
482
234
1048
2180
2363
1065
514
1317
1716
602
380
281
Wind (km/h)
40
SW
40
SW
35
SW
30
SW
30
SSW
35
SE
15
WSW
30
NW
10
NW
20
SSW
50
S
45
WNW
30
W
30
W
20
WSW
35
S
50
SSW
20
N
10
WSW
15
WSW
15
SW
Wind State
on
on
on
on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
on
cross-off
cross-on
on
on
High Tide
5:28AM2.94m
5:42PM3.28m
6:08AM3.02m
6:20PM3.38m
6:47AM3.07m
6:56PM3.47m
7:24AM3.09m
7:32PM3.52m
8:00AM3.09m
8:07PM3.54m
8:36AM3.06m
8:41PM3.51m
9:13AM3.02m
9:16PM3.44m
Low Tide
11:23AM0.89m
11:58PM0.71m
12:01PM0.82m
00:36AM0.61m
12:37PM0.76m
1:13AM0.54m
1:12PM0.74m
1:49AM0.51m
1:46PM0.75m
2:24AM0.51m
2:20PM0.79m
3:00AM0.53m
2:55PM0.87m
3:35AM0.57m
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
light rain
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
light rain
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:09
5:11
5:11
5:11
5:13
5:13
5:13
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
10:15
10:15
10:15
10:15
10:15
10:14
10:14
 mm
3
6
1
Temp °C
13
13
13
14
15
14
14
13
13
13
15
14
13
13
13
14
16
13
13
14
16
Feels °C
4
5
6
9
10
10
12
8
10
7
7
5
8
8
9
7
8
9
12
12
15
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
SSW
14
2.5
W
11
2.5
W
10
1.5
W
10
2.3
WSW
9
2
WSW
9
1.9
WSW
10
1.6
W
10
1.2
W
9
3
W
11
2.1
W
11
1.5
W
11
1.1
NW
9
3
W
10
1.8
W
10
1.5
W
9
1.3
W
9
Energy kJ
20
1514
1360
414
898
658
806
482
234
2363
1065
514
188
1716
602
380
281
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.6
WNW
11
0.2
SSW
13
0.2
SSW
13
0.3
WSW
14
2
NW
10
1.4
NW
9
1.1
NW
10
0.1
SW
16
0.1
SW
16
Energy kJ
571
17
17
37
769
339
204
10
10
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
SSW
14
0.4
NW
7
0.1
S
18
0.1
SW
16
Energy kJ
18
13
6
10
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3.5
WSW
11
4.5
W
13
4
W
12
2.1
WSW
11
0.7
SSW
4
1.9
SSW
8
2
WSW
9
1
NW
5
1.4
NW
7
0.9
SSW
4
3
SW
8
3.5
W
10
1.4
SW
5
3
WSW
9
0.9
W
10
1.1
NW
9
1.3
NW
8
Energy kJ
3155
6300
4080
1065
11
464
687
51
209
31
1048
2180
106
1317
164
179
214
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
3
4
3
2
1
1
3
2
1
1
1
2
4
3
2
2
3
2
2
Distance (km)
621
654
194
65
65
100
28
275
121
58
180
521
486
532
191
58
521
194
187
204
58
Best forecast wave conditions in Mayo and Achill Island
Rating
(10 max)
4
3
2
2
3
2
Best forecast wave conditions in Ireland
Rating
(10 max)
3
4
4
2
2
1
3
2
2
4
3
2
3
3
3
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
5
9
7
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
9
9
6
5
5
5
4
5
5
5
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Keel Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Keel provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Keel can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Keel surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Keel) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Keel may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Mayo and Achill Island? If you are looking for accommodation near Keel, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Mayo and Achill Island, consider staying in Belmullet which is 29 km (18 miles) away. Other places in and around Mayo and Achill Island where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Westport which is 41 km (25 miles) away, Ballina and Claremorris.

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