Keel Surf Break

Lat Long: 53.97° N 10.09° W

Keel Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 12 am 21 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Keel sea temperature is
15.5°C
1.3° 

Keel surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Keel surf forecast from 21 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Tuesday 22 Sep, 7PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 14s period, W swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 25 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 16s period, W swell with 9,798 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 22 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 11s period with WSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Keel this week:

The surf forecast for Keel over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 22) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.3m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 18s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Keel in the next 16 days are 4.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 25) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 8s period and expected on Monday (Sep 21) at 7AM.

Wave TypeTime (IST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10AM (Tue 22nd Sep)7.5ft (2.3m) 11s
Best Surf 7PM (Tue 22nd Sep)10ft (3.0m) 14s
Most Powerful 7AM (Fri 25th Sep)15ft (4.5m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Keel over the next 16 days.


Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 17°C on Mon morning, min 12°C on Tue afternoon). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SSW on Mon afternoon, calm by Tue morning).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Heavy rain (total 24mm), heaviest during Thu night. Very mild (max 15°C on Thu afternoon, min 10°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the S on Thu morning, light winds from the SW by Thu night).

Monday
21
Tuesday
22
Wednesday
23
Thursday
24
Friday
25
Saturday
26
Sunday
27
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
4
4
!
3
3
1
0
0
!
!
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.9
W
11
2.1
WSW
10
2.5
WSW
10
2.3
WSW
11
2.5
W
14
3
W
14
2.5
W
12
2.3
WNW
12
1.9
WNW
11
1.2
WNW
10
3
SW
9
3
WSW
12
4.5
W
16
4
W
14
3
W
12
3
W
11
3.5
WSW
11
3.5
WSW
10
2.5
W
9
2.5
W
10
2.4
W
9
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
914
884
1250
1143
2939
3201
1901
1366
823
279
1172
2598
9195
5505
2386
2092
2549
1939
1279
1240
1004
Wind (km/h)
30
S
30
S
30
SSW
5
N
10
N
10
NNW
10
NW
10
W
25
SSE
45
S
50
S
10
W
15
SSW
25
SSW
30
SSW
45
SSW
35
SW
35
WSW
35
SW
40
SSW
30
SSW
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
on
on
on
High Tide
2:56PM2.66m
3:47AM2.56m
3:52PM2.91m
4:29AM2.82m
4:31PM3.18m
5:04AM3.08m
5:06PM3.42m
5:35AM3.34m
5:38PM3.63m
6:06AM3.55m
6:11PM3.78m
6:37AM3.71m
6:45PM3.86m
Low Tide
8:43AM1.54m
9:37PM1.21m
9:43AM1.32m
10:20PM0.93m
10:24AM1.07m
10:53PM0.66m
10:58AM0.83m
11:23PM0.40m
11:30AM0.61m
11:53PM0.19m
12:02PM0.42m
00:23AM0.05m
12:35PM0.28m
00:54AM-0.01m
clear
clear
rain showers
light rain
light rain
part cloud
clear
clear
cloud
cloud
cloud
heavy rain
light rain
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
light rain
light rain
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:22
7:24
7:26
7:28
7:30
7:31
7:33
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
7:43
7:39
7:37
7:35
7:32
7:30
7:28
 mm
2
3
1
17
2
3
2
1
2
2
1
Temp °C
17
17
16
13
12
13
13
13
13
14
15
12
12
13
14
14
14
13
14
14
14
Feels °C
13
13
12
13
11
10
11
11
10
5
6
10
7
8
8
6
8
6
7
7
7
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Keel Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Keel provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Keel can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Keel surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Keel) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Keel may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Mayo and Achill Island? If you are looking for accommodation near Keel, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Mayo and Achill Island, consider staying in Belmullet which is 29 km (18 miles) away. Other places in and around Mayo and Achill Island where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Westport which is 41 km (25 miles) away, Ballina and Claremorris.

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