Keel Surf Break

Lat Long: 53.97° N 10.09° W

Keel Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 6 pm 15 Oct 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Keel sea temperature is
14.5°C
1.6° 

Keel surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Keel surf forecast from 16 Oct 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 16 Oct, 7AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 12s period, W swell with cross-shore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 16 Oct, 4AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 12s period, W swell with 3,742 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 16 Oct, 7AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 12s period with W swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Keel this week:

The surf forecast for Keel over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Oct 16) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.5m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 2.5m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be cross-shore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Keel in the next 16 days are 3.5m 12s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Oct 16) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.7m 11s period and expected on Friday (Oct 16) at 4PM.

Wave TypeTime (IST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7AM (Fri 16th Oct)11ft (3.5m) 12s
Best Surf 7AM (Fri 16th Oct)11ft (3.5m) 12s
Most Powerful 4AM (Fri 16th Oct)11ft (3.5m) 12s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Keel over the next 16 days.


Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Very mild (max 12°C on Thu afternoon, min 9°C on Sat morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WNW on Thu night, calm by Fri night).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Some drizzle, heaviest during Wed morning. Very mild (max 13°C on Sun night, min 9°C on Mon morning). Mainly fresh winds.

Thu
15
Friday
16
Saturday
17
Sunday
18
Monday
19
Tuesday
20
Wednesday
21
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
!
2
4
3
1
0
0
1
1
3
4
3
3
2
4
!
!
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3.5
WSW
13
3
W
12
3
W
12
2.1
W
12
2.3
W
11
1.9
W
11
1.3
WNW
11
1
WNW
11
2
WSW
10
2.3
WSW
12
1.7
WSW
10
2.4
WNW
15
2.5
W
14
2.5
WNW
13
2.3
WNW
14
2.2
WNW
13
2.1
W
12
3
WNW
11
3
WNW
13
2.5
WNW
13
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
3880
2862
2346
1206
1327
898
416
222
712
1530
586
2460
2939
2085
2012
1568
1269
2180
3500
2434
Wind (km/h)
35
WSW
35
W
35
NW
25
NNW
10
N
10
ESE
10
S
15
SSE
15
SSW
15
S
15
SSE
15
SE
15
ESE
25
ESE
25
SE
20
SSE
5
SE
5
NW
40
NNW
25
W
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
glassy
glassy
cross-off
cross-on
High Tide
9:07PM2.97m
9:16AM3.08m
9:49PM2.70m
10:00AM2.85m
10:45PM2.46m
11:02AM2.66m
00:09AM2.32m
12:29PM2.58m
1:48AM2.36m
1:55PM2.66m
2:59AM2.57m
2:57PM2.84m
3:45AM2.84m
Low Tide
2:56AM0.99m
3:30PM0.94m
3:33AM1.24m
4:21PM1.20m
4:24AM1.47m
5:41PM1.38m
5:51AM1.63m
7:30PM1.37m
7:46AM1.60m
8:44PM1.18m
8:57AM1.41m
9:31PM0.93m
clear
rain showers
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
light rain
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
—
—
8:07
—
—
8:10
—
—
8:11
—
—
8:14
—
—
8:15
—
—
8:18
—
—
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:44
—
—
6:42
—
—
6:38
—
—
6:37
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—
6:35
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—
6:32
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6:30
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 mm
—
4
1
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
1
1
2
Temp °C
12
12
12
12
11
9
10
10
11
12
13
10
10
11
12
13
11
12
11
11
Feels °C
4
5
4
6
7
7
7
6
8
9
11
7
6
6
7
9
8
11
3
4
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Keel Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Keel provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Keel can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Keel surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Keel) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Keel may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Mayo and Achill Island? If you are looking for accommodation near Keel, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Mayo and Achill Island, consider staying in Belmullet which is 29 km (18 miles) away. Other places in and around Mayo and Achill Island where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Westport which is 41 km (25 miles) away, Ballina and Claremorris.

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