Keel Surf Break

Lat Long: 53.97° N 10.09° W

Keel Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 6 pm 15 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Keel sea temperature is
16.4° C
1.8° 

Keel surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Keel surf forecast from 16 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 16 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 1ft (0.3m), 15s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 17 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 9s period, WNW swell with 62 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 16 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 1ft (0.3m), 15s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Keel this week:

The surf forecast for Keel over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.3m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Keel in the next 16 days are 0.6m 9s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 6s period and expected on Friday (Jul 17) at 10PM.

Wave TypeTime (IST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10AM (Thu 16th Jul)1ft (0.3m) 15s
Best Surf10AM (Thu 16th Jul)1ft (0.3m) 15s
Most Powerful 4PM (Fri 17th Jul)2ft (0.6m) 9s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Keel over the next 16 days.


Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 24°C on Wed afternoon, min 13°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (calm on Thu morning, fresh winds from the NNE by Fri afternoon).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Sun morning, min 12°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Wed
15
Thursday
16
Friday
17
Saturday
18
Sunday
19
Monday
20
Tuesday
21
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
SW
16
0.3
SW
16
0.3
SW
15
0.5
W
9
0.3
SW
14
0.3
SW
14
0.6
WNW
9
0.5
NW
8
0.4
NW
8
0.4
NW
7
0.4
NW
7
0.3
W
9
0.3
WNW
12
0.5
W
11
0.5
W
11
0.5
W
10
0.5
W
10
0.5
W
9
0.4
W
9
0.4
W
9
0.4
W
9
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
41
41
33
36
33
31
62
32
20
19
11
13
26
60
56
51
47
42
26
27
25
Wind (km/h)
10
NNW
10
E
0
N
20
N
20
NNE
25
NNE
30
N
25
NNE
25
N
25
N
25
NNE
15
NNE
25
N
20
NNE
20
N
25
N
20
N
20
NNE
25
N
20
NE
15
NNE
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
off
cross-off
High Tide
7:11PM4.05m
7:49AM3.60m
7:57PM4.09m
8:36AM3.55m
8:42PM4.00m
9:21AM3.44m
9:26PM3.81m
10:06AM3.28m
10:11PM3.54m
10:52AM3.11m
10:58PM3.22m
11:41AM2.94m
11:50PM2.92m
12:35PM2.80m
Low Tide
1:32AM-0.11m
1:38PM0.36m
2:18AM-0.12m
2:23PM0.44m
3:03AM-0.01m
3:07PM0.58m
3:47AM0.20m
3:53PM0.76m
4:31AM0.46m
4:41PM0.96m
5:17AM0.75m
5:36PM1.16m
6:09AM1.01m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:28
5:28
5:31
5:31
5:33
5:35
5:35
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
10:04
10:02
10:01
10:00
9:59
9:58
9:57
9:54
 mm
Temp °C
24
23
21
24
19
16
16
13
15
14
12
16
16
14
15
15
15
15
16
16
19
Feels °C
23
22
20
21
15
11
11
8
10
9
8
12
11
11
11
11
12
11
12
13
15
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Keel Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Keel provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Keel can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Keel surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Keel) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Keel may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Mayo and Achill Island? If you are looking for accommodation near Keel, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Mayo and Achill Island, consider staying in Belmullet which is 29 km (18 miles) away. Other places in and around Mayo and Achill Island where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Westport which is 41 km (25 miles) away, Ballina and Claremorris.

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