Keel Surf Break

Lat Long: 53.97° N 10.09° W

Keel Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 6 pm 11 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Keel sea temperature is
15.6°C
1.1° 

Keel surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Keel surf forecast from 11 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 16 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 11s period, WNW swell with cross-shore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 17 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 12s period, WNW swell with 3,496 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 12 Sep, 7PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 12s period with WNW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Keel this week:

The surf forecast for Keel over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 12) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.1m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 1.8m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Keel in the next 16 days are 3.5m 12s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 17) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 8s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 4AM.

Wave TypeTime (IST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7PM (Sat 12th Sep)7ft (2.1m) 12s
Best Surf 1AM (Wed 16th Sep)10ft (3.0m) 11s
Most Powerful10PM (Thu 17th Sep)11ft (3.5m) 12s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Keel over the next 16 days.


Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Fri night. Very mild (max 17°C on Fri night, min 13°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (near gales from the SSW on Fri night, calm by Sat night).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Mon afternoon. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon afternoon, min 13°C on Tue afternoon). Mainly strong winds.

Fri
11
Saturday
12
Sunday
13
Monday
14
Tuesday
15
Wednesday
16
Thursday
17
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
3
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
!
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.1
W
9
3.5
SW
8
2.3
WNW
12
2.2
WNW
12
1.8
WNW
12
1.4
NW
11
1.2
NW
10
0.9
NW
9
1.2
W
8
2.3
WSW
7
2.4
W
10
2.2
W
10
2.5
WNW
10
3
WNW
11
2.2
W
10
2.5
W
10
3.5
W
10
3.5
WNW
11
3.5
WNW
11
3.5
WNW
12
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
686
1342
1496
1459
889
458
281
115
195
493
1048
876
1287
2380
1046
1160
2270
3373
3311
3377
Wind (km/h)
25
SSW
55
SSW
35
WSW
15
NNW
5
NNW
10
SSE
30
S
30
SSW
30
S
40
SSW
35
W
35
WNW
35
NW
35
NW
30
WSW
45
SW
45
WNW
45
W
45
WNW
40
WNW
Wind State
on
cross-on
on
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross
cross
cross
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
High Tide
6:34PM4.04m
7:04AM3.78m
7:11PM4.01m
7:38AM3.76m
7:47PM3.88m
8:11AM3.66m
8:23PM3.66m
8:43AM3.49m
8:58PM3.37m
9:15AM3.27m
9:35PM3.06m
9:51AM3.02m
10:17PM2.74m
Low Tide
00:48AM-0.14m
12:58PM0.21m
1:22AM-0.08m
1:33PM0.23m
1:55AM0.09m
2:08PM0.33m
2:26AM0.34m
2:42PM0.50m
2:58AM0.63m
3:18PM0.74m
3:31AM0.93m
3:58PM1.01m
part cloud
rain showers
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
light rain
rain showers
clear
clear
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:07
7:07
7:09
7:11
7:13
7:15
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:07
8:05
8:01
8:00
7:57
7:54
7:52
 mm
8
2
4
2
1
3
2
1
Temp °C
15
17
16
14
14
14
16
16
17
16
15
14
14
13
14
15
14
14
14
14
Feels °C
10
11
11
11
13
11
12
12
12
10
11
8
8
6
9
7
6
5
5
6
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Keel Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Keel provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Keel can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Keel surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Keel) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Keel may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Mayo and Achill Island? If you are looking for accommodation near Keel, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Mayo and Achill Island, consider staying in Belmullet which is 29 km (18 miles) away. Other places in and around Mayo and Achill Island where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Westport which is 41 km (25 miles) away, Ballina and Claremorris.

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