Keel Surf Break

Lat Long: 53.97° N 10.09° W

Keel Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 12 am 16 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Keel sea temperature is
16.0° C
0.8° 

Keel surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Keel surf forecast from 16 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 20 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period, NW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 19 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 10s period, WNW swell with 2,800 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 20 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period with NW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Keel this week:

The surf forecast for Keel over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 20) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 16s. Another secondary swell of 0.1m and 16s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Keel in the next 16 days are 3.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 19) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.7m 9s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 20) at 7AM.

Wave TypeTime (IST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Thu 20th Aug)10ft (3.0m) 9s
Best Surf 4AM (Thu 20th Aug)10ft (3.0m) 9s
Most Powerful10AM (Wed 19th Aug)11ft (3.5m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Keel over the next 16 days.


Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Very mild (max 16°C on Sun morning, min 13°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (light winds from the SSW on Sat night, fresh winds from the SSW by Mon afternoon).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Thu morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Wed morning, min 13°C on Thu morning). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WSW on Tue night, moderate winds from the N by Thu night).

Sunday
16
Monday
17
Tuesday
18
Wednesday
19
Thursday
20
Friday
21
Saturday
22
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.4
SW
6
1.6
WSW
8
1.3
WSW
8
1
WSW
8
1.6
SW
5
1.9
W
7
2.2
W
8
2.5
WNW
10
3
WNW
10
3.5
WNW
10
3
WNW
10
3
WNW
10
1.6
WNW
9
1.3
WNW
8
0.9
WNW
8
0.7
WNW
8
0.6
WNW
7
0.3
WSW
10
0.4
SW
15
0.4
SW
15
0.4
SW
15
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
119
287
246
130
120
378
628
1424
1482
2800
1844
1395
397
222
114
52
37
20
60
55
56
Wind (km/h)
30
S
15
W
20
W
20
SW
35
SSW
30
W
25
W
30
W
35
W
40
W
40
WNW
35
NW
40
NNW
35
N
20
N
25
N
30
N
30
NNE
25
NNE
25
N
20
NNE
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
8:48AM3.58m
8:55PM3.79m
9:25AM3.41m
9:33PM3.49m
10:02AM3.21m
10:14PM3.15m
10:42AM2.98m
11:00PM2.82m
11:30AM2.76m
11:59PM2.54m
12:38PM2.59m
1:27AM2.38m
2:10PM2.57m
3:06AM2.41m
Low Tide
2:38PM0.42m
3:07AM0.22m
3:17PM0.60m
3:43AM0.52m
3:57PM0.83m
4:20AM0.84m
4:42PM1.08m
5:03AM1.15m
5:41PM1.31m
6:04AM1.41m
7:12PM1.46m
7:41AM1.52m
8:57PM1.40m
light rain
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
light rain
cloud
cloud
cloud
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:18
6:20
6:22
6:24
6:26
6:26
6:28
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
9:08
9:07
9:04
9:01
9:00
8:58
8:54
 mm
3
3
1
2
1
4
4
Temp °C
16
16
15
15
16
16
15
15
14
15
15
14
14
14
13
14
14
13
13
14
14
Feels °C
15
15
13
12
11
13
10
9
8
8
9
8
7
7
8
8
7
7
8
8
10
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Keel Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Keel provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Keel can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Keel surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Keel) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Keel may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Mayo and Achill Island? If you are looking for accommodation near Keel, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Mayo and Achill Island, consider staying in Belmullet which is 29 km (18 miles) away. Other places in and around Mayo and Achill Island where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Westport which is 41 km (25 miles) away, Ballina and Claremorris.

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