Keel Surf Break

Lat Long: 53.97° N 10.09° W

Issued: 12 am 04 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Keel sea temperature is
15.1° C

1.0°C warmer than normal for this time of year

Keel surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Keel surf forecast from 4 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 9 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 9s period, W swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 4 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 9s period, W swell with 1,056 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 9 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 9s period with W swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Keel this week:

The surf forecast for Keel over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 9s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Keel in the next 16 days are 2.5m 9s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 04) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 4s period and expected on Friday (Jul 10) at 10PM.

Wave TypeTime (IST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Thu 9th Jul)4.5ft (1.3m) 9s
Best Surf10PM (Thu 9th Jul)4.5ft (1.3m) 9s
Most Powerful 4PM (Sat 4th Jul)8ft (2.5m) 9s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Keel over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri night, min 14°C on Fri night). Mainly fresh winds.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Thu morning, min 14°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Saturday
4
Sunday
5
Monday
6
Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
Friday
10
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.5
W
9
2.5
W
9
2.2
W
9
1.8
W
9
1.8
W
8
1.4
WSW
9
1.5
W
8
1.5
W
8
1.5
W
8
1.6
W
9
1.5
W
9
1.3
W
9
1.3
W
9
1.3
W
9
1.2
W
9
1.1
W
9
1.3
W
9
1.2
W
9
0.9
WSW
8
0.8
WNW
10
1.2
W
10
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1017
1056
735
482
461
281
297
305
305
377
343
258
281
282
230
194
274
220
112
147
273
Wind (km/h)
40
SW
35
WSW
20
SW
25
SSW
30
SW
20
SW
20
SSW
25
SW
20
SW
20
SW
15
SW
15
SSW
15
S
15
SSW
15
S
10
SSE
15
SW
5
NE
5
ENE
15
NW
15
NE
Wind State
on
on
on
on
on
on
on
on
on
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
off
glassy
cross
off
High Tide
9:13AM3.02m
9:16PM3.44m
9:53AM2.98m
9:54PM3.33m
10:35AM2.95m
10:36PM3.20m
11:24AM2.93m
11:26PM3.07m
12:20PM2.93m
00:27AM2.96m
1:24PM2.97m
1:39AM2.92m
2:32PM3.07m
2:56AM2.98m
Low Tide
2:55PM0.87m
3:35AM0.57m
3:34PM0.96m
4:13AM0.63m
4:17PM1.06m
4:56AM0.70m
5:10PM1.16m
5:48AM0.77m
6:14PM1.21m
6:51AM0.83m
7:31PM1.18m
8:02AM0.85m
8:48PM1.03m
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
heavy rain
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:13
5:15
5:16
5:16
5:18
5:18
5:20
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
10:14
10:13
10:12
10:12
10:10
10:09
10:08
 mm
27
Temp °C
15
15
15
14
15
14
15
15
15
16
16
15
17
19
19
21
21
19
19
18
14
Feels °C
9
10
12
10
11
11
12
12
13
14
14
13
14
16
17
19
19
18
20
16
11
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.9
WNW
9
0.1
SW
16
2.2
W
9
0.1
SW
15
0.1
SW
15
1.1
WNW
8
1.5
W
8
1.5
W
8
1.5
W
8
1.6
W
9
1.5
W
9
1.3
W
9
1.3
W
9
1.3
W
9
1.2
W
9
1.1
W
9
1.3
W
9
1.2
W
9
0.9
WSW
8
0.8
WNW
10
1.2
W
10
Energy kJ
130
10
735
8
8
146
297
305
305
377
343
258
281
282
230
194
274
220
112
147
273
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
SW
16
0.1
SW
16
0.1
SW
18
0.1
SW
18
0.1
SW
15
0.1
SW
16
0.1
SW
16
0.2
N
10
0.2
N
9
0.2
N
9
0.3
N
8
0.2
N
9
0.3
N
9
0.3
N
8
0.2
N
7
0.2
N
7
0.2
N
8
0.3
WNW
11
0.8
WSW
8
0.2
N
9
Energy kJ
10
10
12
12
9
10
10
8
6
6
12
6
13
11
4
4
5
24
87
7
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
S
18
0.1
N
11
0.1
SW
14
0.1
SW
14
0.1
SW
14
0.1
SW
13
0.2
N
7
0.1
SW
13
0.1
SW
13
0.1
SW
12
0.1
SW
12
0.1
SW
12
0.1
N
7
0.1
N
10
0.1
SW
11
Energy kJ
6
3
8
8
8
7
4
7
7
6
6
5
1
2
5
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.5
W
9
2.5
W
9
1.8
W
9
1.8
W
8
1.4
WSW
9
0.3
SW
2
0.4
SW
3
0.3
SW
2
0.8
NNW
4
Energy kJ
1017
1056
482
461
281
1
2
1
27
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
3
2
2
2
2
1
2
1
1
2
2
2
1
1
1
2
1
2
2
Distance (km)
473
729
65
65
192
65
65
192
65
93
198
58
58
58
58
58
58
0
0
3
0
Best forecast wave conditions in Mayo and Achill Island
Rating
(10 max)
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
2
1
2
2
Best forecast wave conditions in Ireland
Rating
(10 max)
3
2
2
2
2
1
2
2
1
2
2
2
2
1
2
2
1
2
2
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
5
5
5
9
7
7
5
8
7
5
6
9
8
9
8
5
5
5
4
9
9
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Keel Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Keel provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Keel can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Keel surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Keel) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Keel may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Mayo and Achill Island? If you are looking for accommodation near Keel, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Mayo and Achill Island, consider staying in Belmullet which is 29 km (18 miles) away. Other places in and around Mayo and Achill Island where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Westport which is 41 km (25 miles) away, Ballina and Claremorris.

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