Keel surf break

Keel surfForecast / Mayo and Achill Island / Ireland

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 5 am Monday 09 Feb 2026 IST
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Keel surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Keel sea temperature is
8.6° C
(Which is 1.1°C colder than average for this time of year)


Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Keel this week:

The surf forecast for Keel over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Feb 09) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 21s period with a secondary swell of 1.3m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Keel in the next 12 days are 6.5m 13s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Feb 16) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 3.0m 10s period and expected on Thursday (Feb 12) at 9AM.

Wave TypeTime (IST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 9PM (Mon 9th Feb)5ft (1.6m) 21s
Best Surf 3AM (Tue 10th Feb)11ft (3.5m) 19s
Most Powerful12PM (Mon 16th Feb)21ft (6.5m) 13s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Keel over the next 12 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Moderate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Tue morning. Very mild (max 10°C on Tue night, min 7°C on Mon morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the ESE on Mon night, fresh winds from the W by Wed night).

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Moderate rain (total 16mm), heaviest on Sat night. Mild temperatures (max 9°C on Thu afternoon, min 4°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (light winds from the E on Fri night, gales from the SSE by Sat night).

Monday
09
Tuesday
10
Wednesday
11
Thursday
12
Friday
13
Saturday
14
Sunday
15
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
5
!
!
1
0
!
0
0
!
1
1
1
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
0.9
WSW
0.9
WSW
2.4
W
3.5
WSW
3
WSW
2.5
WSW
3.5
WSW
4
WSW
4
WSW
3
WSW
3
WSW
2.5
WSW
1.8
WSW
1.7
WSW
1.8
WSW
2.2
WSW
1.9
WSW
3
S
4.5
WSW
5
WSW
4
WSW
Period(s) (?)13121917161414141816161413131314139101212
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)2802424317678742342671426267411011353844758245211379681137168312361261365072854277
Wind
(km/h)
20
E
25
ENE
10
ESE
30
ESE
20
SE
15
SSE
25
SW
20
W
30
W
25
SSW
10
ENE
50
NNE
40
N
30
N
15
NNE
20
SE
45
SSE
60
SSE
40
SW
45
SW
45
WSW
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
crosscross-
on
oncross-
on
cross-
on
onoffoffcross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
crosscross-
on
cross-
on
ononon
High Tide
/ height (m)
10:09AM
2.77
10:45PM
2.68
11:08AM
2.50
11:55PM
2.54
12:39PM
2.35
1:31AM
2.54
2:21PM
2.40
2:51AM
2.72
3:29PM
2.59
3:44AM
2.97
4:14PM
2.81
4:23AM
3.25
4:50PM
3.04
Low Tide
/ height (m)
4:17PM
1.18
4:53AM
1.40
5:19PM
1.42
6:29AM
1.52
6:59PM
1.52
8:15AM
1.44
8:29PM
1.42
9:22AM
1.22
9:26PM
1.22
10:07AM
0.96
10:08PM
0.99
10:43AM
0.69
10:43PM
0.77
Monday
09
Tuesday
10
Wednesday
11
Thursday
12
Friday
13
Saturday
14
Sunday
15
Sunrise8:12--8:11--8:08--8:07--8:04--8:03--8:00--
Sunset-5:36--5:37--5:39--5:42--5:44--5:45--5:47-
cloud
light rain
rain showers
light rain
cloud
part cloud
cloud
light rain
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
clear
cloud
cloud
rain showers
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
Rain (mm)
-414---1-11322---7426
Temp. °C7788910999895666459988
Feels °C (?)21415645426-6-3-3-1-2-631-2-3
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder

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Information about the Keel Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Keel provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Keel can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Keel surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Keel) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Keel may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Mayo and Achill Island? If you are looking for accommodation near Keel, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Mayo and Achill Island, consider staying in Belmullet which is 29 km (18 miles) away. Other places in and around Mayo and Achill Island where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Westport which is 41 km (25 miles) away, Ballina and Claremorris.

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