Te Ikaamaru Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, pulling into the local car park. Let's be honest with you, the next 16 days at Te Ikaamaru Bay look like a proper drought. A real flat spell. There is nothing in the charts that’s going to get me out of bed early. The first couple of days are dead flat, and the pattern doesn't really change.

From Tuesday the 28th of July, we’re looking at total doldrums. Swell is barely a ripple, with a combined energy of just (2), and those light northerlies are blowing cross-onshore, making it a complete write-off. That sets the tone for the whole week.

Wednesday the 29th brings a bit more wind, but it's a nasty 22 mph cross-onshore blow from the north. The swell tries to pop up to 2 ft, but it’s short period windswell and the energy is still pathetic (12 to 58). It’s a mess, not surfable.

Thursday the 30th and Friday the 31st see the swell size actually build, hitting 7 ft to 8 ft. The combined energy climbs into the hundreds (305 to 825), which sounds promising, but the wind is howling onshore from the NNW at 28 to 31 mph. This is pure, washing-machine, close-out shorebreak. The wave quality is poor; it’s more of a windsurfing or kitesurfing show than a surf session. For a beginner-friendly spot like this, 8 ft is way too big, and with those winds, it’s dangerously messy.

Then we hit a massive gap. From Saturday the 2nd of August all the way through to Sunday the 9th of August, the combined energy drops to zero. That’s a full 8 days of absolutely nothing. The water is clean, but it’s a lake. The wind swings southerly, sometimes strong, but there’s simply no swell to push.

There is a brief, tiny flicker on Monday the 3rd of August. The morning is glassy, with a light southwesterly, but the swell is only 1.0 ft from the north. The energy is a measly (2). It’s clean, but you’d be on a foamie just paddling around.

The most interesting thing on the charts is a super long period swell (21 seconds) showing up on the afternoon of Sunday the 9th of August. But it’s tiny, just 0.3 ft, and blowing 16 mph cross-onshore. It’s a tease. Finally, the 10th of August brings a bit more size, with NNW 4 ft, but it’s onshore again at 25 mph. The energy is still low (48 to 52).

The bottom line: there’s no standout here. The entire 16-day window is a dud for Te Ikaamaru Bay. The consistency is shot, the winds are wrong, and the combination of size and clean conditions never lines up. Keep the board in the car, or go for a hike. The forecasts can change, but this run looks like a proper blank one for this part of the coast.

Rusty.

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