Te Ikaamaru Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's take a look at what's on the table for Te Ikaamaru Bay over the next couple of weeks. I gotta be straight with you – it’s a tough stretch.

The pattern for the whole 16-day window is pretty grim. We’ve got a lot of wind, and when the swell does show, it’s either messy or the wind just ruins it. There are no real standout days, but there are a couple of moments where the conditions line up just enough to get wet, if you're desperate. The first few days are a write-off, and then there are long gaps where it’s just not worth paddling out.

Let’s start with this weekend. Sunday the 6th is a no-go. There’s some solid swell – 7ft to 8ft from the NW – but the wind is howling from the NNW at 28 mph, making it blown-out and ugly. The combined energy is moderate to strong (388-692), but you won’t enjoy it.

Monday the 7th sees a dramatic drop in swell, down to 2ft, but the wind swings to a strong offshore from the SSE at 28 mph. The water temperature is about average for this time of year. It’s clean, but with that tiny swell and strong wind, paddling into anything will be a battle. The period is short at 8 seconds, so it’s weak. The afternoon is even smaller at 1ft.

Now, here’s the only real bright spot. Tuesday the 8th morning and afternoon, we get a brief moment of glass. The wind is from the SW at 3 mph, and it’s glassy. The swell is tiny at 1ft from the NW with an 8-second period, so the combined energy is very weak (18). It’s not going to be epic, but if you have a log and just want to feel the water, this is your window. It’s clean and peaceful.

After that, it goes downhill again. From Wednesday the 9th through to Monday the 21st, the story is mostly onshore winds, lumpy conditions, and very small swell. There are a few pulses of energy, like Thursday the 10th morning with 6ft NW swell and moderate energy (325), but the wind is onshore from the NW at 22 mph. It’s just messy.

There’s a period from around the 14th to the 15th where there is literally no swell at all, just flat and choppy. Then later in the second week, we get another shot of NW windswell around 5ft to 5ft, but again, the wind is howling from the NNW at 22-28 mph. It’s a no-go for a paddle board.

Honestly, for this stretch, it’s a quiet period for Te Ikaamaru Bay. There’s no standout day. If you’re a beginner, the only time to even think about it is Tuesday the 8th for a flat, glassy session. For everyone else, keep an eye on the charts, because this run of poor conditions can't last forever.

This is Rusty, signing off.

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