Te Ikaamaru Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at this stretch. Plain and simple, it’s a bleak run ahead for Te Ikaamaru Bay. We’re looking at a full 16-day window with absolutely nothing worth paddling out for. Every single forecast slot scores a zero – that’s rare, but when it happens, it happens. The good news? It’s a fairly consistent break most of the time, so this kind of dead spell tends not to hang around forever. Conditions can flip.

Right off the bat, Monday the 7th is a write-off. Strong offshore winds at 28 mph and 22 mph with mod rain and light rain – sure, the wind direction is offshore, but at that strength it’s just a battle. Swell is tiny at 1 ft from the NW, with weak energy (25 to 26). No joy.

Tuesday the 8th is flat with just 1 ft and light winds. Cross-shore and cross-offshore, but the swell’s got no push. Energy is a measly 18 to 19. Wednesday the 9th is even worse – glassy in the morning but with a 0.7 ft NW swell and energy at 7. That’s a lake. No surfing.

Things try to flicker Thursday the 10th. Morning brings 4 ft from the NW, period only 6 seconds, but the wind is onshore at 25 mph and it’s heavy rain. Combined energy hits 116, which is moderate, but with onshore wind that strong it’s just a mess. Afternoon cleans up cross-off, but the swell drops to 3 ft and the rain is heavy. Hard pass.

Friday the 11th is a tease. Morning has a 1.0 ft swell with a 19-second period from the NW – that’s a very long period groundswell, but it’s tiny and onshore wind ruins it. Energy is 58. Afternoon is cross-onshore and lumpy with 19 mph wind. Not happening.

From Saturday the 12th through to Tuesday the 15th, it’s flat or near-flat. Swells under 1 ft, periods all over the place, and energy barely registering. Glasses and light winds don’t matter when there’s nothing to ride.

Wednesday the 16th has a clean look with cross-offshore winds at 22 mph and 3 ft from the NNW, period 6 seconds, energy 63. Problem is, it’s still only 3 ft and the wind is strong. Not worth the drive.

Thursday the 17th to Friday the 18th stays small and messy, with energy in the teens and low fifties. No standouts.

Now, Saturday the 19th is the only real spike in the whole run. Morning shows 8 ft from the NW, period 7 seconds, with onshore wind at 31 mph. Energy is a whopping 640 – strong to very strong. Afternoon is 8 ft from the NNW, 8 seconds, onshore at 40 mph, energy 628. That is serious swell size, but the wind is a gale-force onshore. That’s not for paddle surfing. For the experienced, if you could find shelter, maybe, but with onshore wind and a beach setup, this looks more interesting for kite surfing than anything. Definitely not for beginners – over 8 ft is expert-only territory.

Sunday the 20th and Monday the 21st drop back to small, weak swell with cross-onshore wind. The only decent window might be Monday the 21st morning – offshore wind at 12 mph, 3 ft from the NNW, period 5 seconds, energy 54. Clean, but waist-high at best.

Tuesday the 22nd finishes it off with a 5 ft in the morning (energy 157) and 7 ft in the afternoon (energy 326) from the NNW, both with clean cross-offshore winds at 19 to 25 mph. Swell is moderate to moderate-strong, but still not enough to make up for the previous two weeks of nothing. The 7 ft afternoon could be a fun option for someone who doesn’t mind a bit of wind, but overall, this stretch has no standout days.

Bottom line: if you’re in Te Ikaamaru Bay, you’re not surfing for the next two weeks. Keep an eye on the charts – this kind of quiet spell usually breaks.

Rusty.

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