Te Ikaamaru Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let's have a look at what's on the table for Te Ikaamaru Bay.

Honestly, mate, it's a tough one. The whole 16-day window is looking like a bit of a write-off for any decent paddle surfing. The surf is consistently poor, with no real recommendations coming through.

The water temperature is sitting at 56°, which is a touch warmer than usual for this time of year, but nothing crazy.

Looking at the first few days, Friday the 14th sees a tiny 0.3ft swell from the North with a 15-second period. That's a long-period groundswell, but the combined energy is a weak 7. The wind is cross-off from the South, but it's still "poor surf conditions." Saturday the 15th is much the same – a tiny 0.3ft NW groundswell. The wind swings from SSW to a strong S gale, keeping things messy. Sunday the 16th gets gale-force winds and no swell at all, a total blank.

The whole first week is a battle against strong winds, mainly from the South, and a complete lack of any meaningful swell. There's a gap from Sunday the 16th right through to Thursday the 20th with no surf to speak of.

On Thursday the 20th, the wind drops to glassy calm, but the swell is still only 2ft from the NNW with a period of just 3 seconds. That's a short-period, weak windswell. The combined energy is only 14. It's glassy, but there's no power behind it.

From Friday the 21st to the 22nd, the swell tries to pick up a bit, hitting 3ft at one point, but the wind goes onshore and strong from the NNW. This creates fresh cross-onshore, lumpy, and blown-out conditions.

The biggest swell arrives on Sunday the 23rd, with a 7ft NNW swell. The combined energy jumps to 299 (moderate wave energy). But the wind is a strong onshore NW at 34-37 mph, which will completely ruin it. This is the only time the swell gets over 8ft, so it'd be for experts only, but the wind is just too nasty. This setup would be way more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

The second week is a slow fade. The swell drops back to less than 3ft, and the wind is mostly cross-onshore from the NNW. There's a glimmer of glass on Wednesday the 26th morning, with a tiny 1.0ft NNW swell, but again, no power.

So, the call is a blank run. It's a normal pattern for the area when the wind doesn't co-operate. There's just nothing worth paddling out for. Forecasts can change, but right now, I'd be checking the kite gear or finding something else to do.

Rusty.

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