Te Ikaamaru Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab a seat. Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – we’ve got a proper flat spell on our hands for the next week or so. It’s a tough run at Te Ikaamaru Bay, and honestly, there’s nothing worth paddling out for from Thursday the 16th all the way through to the end of the month. The first record is for Thursday afternoon with a tiny 2ft NW swell and a moderate offshore breeze, but the combined energy is only a weak 37 – that’s just not enough to get excited about. The water’s sitting at 54°, which is bang on average for the time of year, so no surprises there.

Through Friday and the weekend, it’s a complete washout. We’re looking at onshore winds, tiny swell at 0.3ft to 2ft, and energy figures that barely hit double digits. Sunday the 19th has a couple of glassy moments with that 0.3ft NW swell, but it’s so small you’d be dragging your knuckles. Monday the 20th sees a clean 1ft NW swell with a light cross-off breeze, but again, energy is pitiful at 3 – not a wave you’d bother with.

Things start to lift a little around Thursday the 24th. The swell picks up to 4ft from the NNW, but the wind’s howling onshore at 25 mph, making a mess of it. Energy climbs to 56, but it’s still poor surf quality. By Saturday the 25th, we’re seeing a 6ft NNW swell with 295 energy – that’s moderate wave energy – but again, strong onshore winds ruin any chance of a clean wave. For beginners, anything over 5ft is getting big, so keep that in mind. It’s really only looking like a setup for kite surfing, not paddle surfing. The period is only 7 seconds, so it’s a short-period windswell anyway – not your classic groundswell shape.

The only real standout in the whole 16-day window is Monday the 27th. The morning is a bit lumpy with a 19 mph cross-on, but the afternoon turns glassy. We get a 3ft NNW swell with 29 energy, and the wind drops to zero – absolutely glass. If you can paddle out Monday afternoon, that’s your best shot. It’s a clean, tiny wave. The crowds can be around sometimes at Te Ikaamaru Bay, but on a day this small, you’ll likely have it to yourself.

After that, it’s back to onshore winds and low energy. The week of the 29th to 31st has stronger winds again – hitting 28 mph – and small, messy swell. Not worth the drive.

So here’s the drill: mostly blank until Monday the 27th afternoon, and that’s your only real window. It’s a long gap, but forecasts can change. For now, keep your wax dry.

Rusty

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