Sororoca Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, gather round. Rusty here. Gotta be straight with you – this 16-day window for our local stretch is a tough one. The only break the files point to is Sororoca, and it rarely breaks, so right off the bat we’re up against it. The forecast is pretty much a flat, windy mess with no real standouts.

We kick off on Saturday, 22 August, and there’s nothing to get excited about. The swell is small, around 3 ft from the E, with a short period of 7 seconds – that’s windswell, not groundswell, lacking any punch. The wind is a cross-onshore SE breeze at 12 mph, making it choppy and poor. Wave energy is weak (169). The water temperature is 80° with a small anomaly of 1°, so it’s about average for the time of year, which is nice but not enough to save the day.

This poor pattern locks in. Through Sunday, Monday, Tuesday, the swell stays around 3 ft to 5 ft, but the wind stays cross or cross-onshore, mostly from the SE at 16 to 19 mph. The wave energy climbs into moderate territory – 213 on Monday, 254 that afternoon – but it’s all lumpy, cross-chop. The period stays short, 6 to 7 seconds, so the waves are just messy and weak.

By 26 August, Wednesday morning, the combined energy jumps to 414, which is a solid moderate energy, and the swell is 5 ft from the ESE with a period of 8 seconds. But it’s still cross-shore wind and lumpy. The rating is zero, and the comments are “poor surf conditions.” There’s no clean window.

The whole first week is a write-off. We get a bit more size around 30 August and into early September – swell hitting 5 ft – but the wind never lets up. It’s always cross-on or cross-shore, and the period is stuck at 8 seconds. The energy figures in the 200s and 300s show there’s juice, but with the wind direction and the rareness of the break, it’s just not coming together. The optimum swell direction for Sororoca is NE, and we’re getting E and ESE, so that’s a mismatch right there.

The second week, from 1 September onward, is more of the same: 4 ft to 5 ft of E/ESE swell, short period, cross-onshore wind. No glassy mornings, no offshores, nothing. The highest energy we see is 348 on 5 September, but it’s paired with a fresh cross-onshore breeze and rain showers. For a reef break that’s already inconsistent, this is a no-go for a paddle surfer. Honestly, with that much wind and a beach setup, it might look more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

So, the bottom line: there are no good surf options in this 16-day window. The area is prone to blank runs, and this is one of them. Forecasts can change, but right now, sit this one out.

Rusty.

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