Sororoca Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for the next couple of weeks.

Well, I gotta be straight with you – this outlook is a tough one. For the entire 16-day window, there’s no real green light for a proper surf session. The forecast is filled with ‘poor surf conditions’ across the board, and the lone break on the list, Sororoca, is a tricky spot to begin with. It’s a reef break that rarely breaks, so this run of flat, messy, and choppy conditions is pretty much par for the course around here. Honestly, it’s a bit of a bummer.

Starting from Monday the 10th of August, we’ve got a small east swell rolling in at about 3 ft, but it’s coming from the SE at 12 mph, putting it cross-on. The period is short, only 7 seconds, which means weak, bumpy waves. The combined energy is only 109 (moderate energy), so not much push behind it. That pattern doesn’t change much through the week. The swell tries to pick up a little on Tuesday the 11th, hitting 4 ft in the morning, but the wind swings harder from the SSE at 16 mph, making it cross-shore and lumpy. By Wednesday the 12th, we’re looking at 5 ft swell, but it’s still cross-shore with a fresh breeze at 19 mph, and the energy is climbing to 216 (moderate wave energy). Still, with that short period and cross wind, it’s a no-go.

We get a small drop in size towards the end of the week – Friday the 14th has 3 ft swell with a 6-second period, which is just a messy, weak chop. The combined energy is down to 118 (moderate energy). Saturday the 15th sees a tiny 2 ft swell from the east, but the period stretches to 10 seconds, which is a bit better, but the energy is still meager at 93 (weak energy). Sunday the 16th has a 2 ft swell and a 12-second period, which is a longer period groundswell, suggesting some better shaped waves, but the cross-on wind from the ESE at 12 mph will keep it choppy and messy. The energy is still only 186 (moderate energy).

Looking into the second week, things get a little more interesting in terms of size, but the quality doesn't improve. Monday the 17th has a 5 ft east swell with a 7-second period and cross-shore winds at 16 mph. The energy is up to 238 (moderate wave energy). Thursday the 20th gets similar, with 5 ft swell and energy at 234. But again, the wind is cross or cross-on, and the period is short. There’s a window from Saturday the 22nd into Sunday the 23rd where the wind finally turns onshore from the ENE and then east, which is at least a clean offshore direction for this spot. We see 4 ft swell with a 7-second period. The wind is light, as low as 6 mph on Sunday morning, which is a major positive. The combined energy is around 146 (moderate wave energy). This is the best we’ll see, but honestly, it’s still a short-period, onshore swell at a reef that rarely breaks. It’s not a day to get excited about.

The bottom line is, there’s nothing here that’s worth paddling out for. The only break on offer, Sororoca, is inconsistent, and the conditions are just plain poor. The wind is always wrong, the swell is either too small, too short period, or both. Early on, with the stronger cross-shore winds and moderate swell, it might be worth noting that the setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. But for us surfers, it’s a two-week wait for a clean day that just isn’t coming.

Rusty.

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