Sororoca Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's cut through the static and talk about this outlook for our local spot.

Honestly, we're looking at a pretty grim window here. The forecast is flat-lining on decent surf for the entire 16-day run. The swell is on the small side, the wind is almost always rubbish, coming from the east-southeast, and the conditions are just plain messy. The water temp is sitting at 80°F, which is about average for this time of year, so at least it'll be warm while you're sitting there waiting for a clean one.

We kick off on Saturday, the 29th of August, with a 3ft swell from the east at a short period of 8 seconds. The wind is a moderate, cross-onshore breeze from the southeast at 16 mph, churning the surface into a choppy mess. The combined swell energy is a weak 167. It's just not worth paddling out.

This pattern of poor surf conditions and cross-onshore winds continues day after day. The swell height bounces between 3ft and 6ft, but the period rarely gets above 8 seconds, so it's all weak, short-period wind swell. The energy values are moderate for a few days, like on Monday the 31st of August when it hits 409, but the wind is still cross-on and ruining any chance of a clean face.

There's a small shift on the weekend of the 5th and 6th of September, where the wind briefly turns to a light onshore breeze from the east-northeast. The swell drops to just 3ft, but the lighter wind makes it slightly less awful. The energy is weak, around 131, and with a period of 7 seconds, it's still pretty junky. This is a *maybe* paddle for someone desperate, but certainly not a standout.

Things get a bit more interesting around the 8th of September, when the swell picks up to 5ft from the east-southeast with a period of 6-7 seconds. The wind switches to a moderate cross-shore, which is a slight improvement, but the energy is still moderate (201-285). The reports call it "moderate cross-shore with a cross-chop," which is surf-speak for "still messy."

The last glimmer of hope is around the 13th of September, where the combined energy spikes to 321 from a 4ft, 8-second east-southeast swell. But once again, the darn wind is back to a moderate cross-onshore at 16 mph, making it choppy and poor.

The truth is, this spot is a reef that "rarely breaks," and for good reason in this forecast. The optimum swell direction is from the northeast, but we're getting nothing but east and east-southeast wind swell. The whole 16-day window is a bust. There are no standouts, no clean days, no real surf on offer. It's a blank run, and for this area, that's not unusual when the wind decides to blow the wrong way for weeks on end.

If you're really keen, the 5th and 6th of September might be the least offensive, but don't expect much. For everyone else, save your energy and wax.

Rusty.

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