Sao Pedro Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, I’m Rusty, and I’ve been staring at this forecast for the São Pedro region for the next couple of weeks. I gotta be straight with you – it’s pretty grim. The whole 16-day window is a write-off for decent paddle surfing. There’s not a single recommendation that gets the nod, so we’re looking at a long, blank run.

The first notable surf we see is on the 13th of July, Monday afternoon, but it’s only a tiny 2ft swell from the west with a short period of 6 seconds, and the wind is a cross-onshore from the WSW at 9 mph. The wave energy is barely a whisper at 18, and the conditions are described as “poor.” That’s not what you’re looking for.

From there, it’s a whole lot of nothing. The swell is constantly tiny, usually 0.3ft or 1ft, and the combined energy stays in the low double digits or single digits — well under 100 (like 21, 18, 10, 1). The wind is mostly cross-offshore from the north or northwest, which would normally be good, but there’s just no swell to work with. We get a day of glassy conditions on Wednesday morning the 15th, but with zero swell, that’s just a flat, pretty lake.

The standout – if you can call it that – is the pure lack of any surfable energy. The break here is São Pedro, a sheltered point break that rarely breaks, and this forecast proves it. It’s a beginner-friendly spot, but when the swell is this absent, there’s nothing for anyone. The water temperature is about 66°, which is 1° below the average for this time of year – so nothing unusual, just normal cool water.

For the rest of the window, it’s the same story. Tiny swells from the west or southwest, periods that bounce between 5 and 19 seconds, and energy levels that never break 100. The wind is often clean, but it’s like having a perfect runway with no plane. We get a few moments with a 1ft swell on the 16th, but it’s a short-period 5-second wave with a moderate cross-chop – not worth the paddle.

To be honest, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing, given the consistent clean winds and no surf. But for a surfer? There’s nothing here. I’d say hang up the board for a bit, keep an eye on the charts, but don’t hold your breath. Forecasts can change, but this is a proper blank run that’s more normal for a sheltered spot like this.

Rusty.

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