Sao Pedro Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, it’s Rusty.

Honestly, it’s a pretty flat stretch ahead for our stretch of coast. The swell window’s looking mostly closed for the next two and a half weeks, and the little bumps that do show are weak and disorganised. If you’re hanging for a wave, you’re going to be waiting a while.

We’re starting off with next to nothing on Wednesday the 9th – just a tiny 0.3ft wobbler out of the west with a 13-second period, but the north-northwest cross-offshore breeze at 19 mph is going to chew up whatever’s there. The combined energy is a feeble 4, so it’s basically a lake with a ripple. Water temp is sitting at 68°, which is about normal for this time of year, so a touch cool but not crazy.

Thursday the 10th and Friday the 11th are similar – tiny 0.7ft bits of west swell, but the period drops right off to 8 seconds then 7 seconds. That’s short-period, chopped-up junk. There’s a bit of relief Friday morning when the wind swings north at 9 mph and goes offshore, so the surface will be clean, but the energy is still only a 6. You’d be fighting for a knee-high slop.

Saturday the 12th morning is the first little glimmer. The wind goes light north-northeast at 6 mph, offshore, and there’s a 0.3ft south-west swell with a 13-second period. It’s still tiny, and combined energy is a 7, but it’s clean. Sao Pedro (known locally as just the Point) is a sheltered point that rarely breaks, so when it’s this small, it’s basically non-existent.

Then we hit a real dead zone. From Saturday afternoon right through to Tuesday the 15th, there’s nothing – just flat, glassy mornings and cross-off breezes in the arvos. If you’ve got a longboard and no standards, you might find a ripple, but honestly, it’s a blank run.

Wednesday the 16th and Thursday the 17th stay flat, with a fresh north-northwest breeze at 19-22 mph kicking up a bit of chop. By Friday the 18th, there’s a hint of life – a 0.3ft south-west swell with a very long 15-second period, but the energy is only a 9 and the wind is still cross-offshore at 19 mph. That long period at a point like this can be okay, but with this little size, it’s not doing anything.

The weekend of the 19th and 20th shows a small pulse – maybe 0.3ft on Saturday with a 14-second period, and the wind goes light offshore at 12 mph for the morning. Still tiny. Still not surfable. The combined energy is a 7.

Finally, there’s a slight uptick around Tuesday the 22nd. The morning shows 1ft from the south with a short 5-second period, but the energy is only a 4. That’s windswash, not surf. By the afternoon, it’s 0.7ft with a 10-second period and a bit more energy at 8, but it’s still a dribble.

The last couple of days, the 23rd and 24th, actually see a bit of a change – wind swings onshore from the south-west, and we get 0.7ft of west swell with a 9-second period. The energy nudges up to 6, but it’s cross-onshore and choppy. It’s not surf, but it might be enough for a bodyboard or a boogie. Honestly, for the paddle surfers, there’s nothing here. The setup is more interesting for the kite crew if anything kicks up, but even that looks marginal.

Bottom line: there’s no real surf to get excited about in this whole 16-day window. Sao Pedro is a spot that rarely breaks anyway, so this kind of long flat spell isn’t unusual for it. But it won’t stay poor forever – the swell charts can flip. Keep an eye out, but don’t hold your breath.

Rusty.

Read more