Sao Pedro Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let me level with you. For a spot that rarely breaks and needs everything to line up just right, the next couple of weeks are looking pretty grim.

Gazing out over the whole 16-day window from now, I’ve got to be straight with you – there ain’t a single day worth paddling out. The first few days of the outlook show flat to almost flat conditions. On the 20th of August, we’re looking at a tiny 1 ft swell, but the period is a short 4 seconds, so there’s no grunt behind it. It’s glassy that morning, but with only 4 units of combined energy, it’s just not enough to wrap around the point.

The long-range into the end of August and early September isn’t any kinder. We are staring down a significant gap with zero surf on offer for days at a stretch. From around the 28th of August, the swell completely flatlines, and even with clean, offshore winds, you can’t surf what isn’t there. The one small blip at the very end, on the 31st of August, shows a super long period 19-second groundswell, which normally gets the heart racing, but it’s only 0.3 ft. That’s just a long-period bump on a lake, not a wave. Combined energy (19) confirms it’s weak as dishwater.

Water temp is sitting at 68°F, which is pretty much normal for this time of year, so at least you won’t be freezing on the beach watching the flat spell.

Honestly, for this region, a blank run like this isn’t that unusual. Sao Pedro is a sheltered point that rarely breaks, and this forecast is the textbook example of why. If you've got a kite, those cross-off winds from the NNW from the 21st onward are blowing 15 to 28 mph, and the setup is a beach and point – that could be more interesting for you than a surfboard right now. But for the rest of us? It’s a waiting game. It tends not to stay this poor forever, and forecasts can change, but right now, there’s nothing to get excited about.

Rusty

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