Sao Pedro Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – this 16-day window for the region is a tough one. We’re looking at a long, dry spell with barely a ripple to speak of. The first real chance for a wave doesn’t pop up until the very end, and even then it’s a tiny one. Get ready for a lot of flat days.

The only spot on the radar is Sao Pedro, a sheltered point break that's a "rarely breaks" kind of setup. It’s a beginner-friendly wave, but it’s also often crowded, so don’t expect to have it to yourself. The water temp is sitting at 69°F, which is about average for the time of year, so nothing unusual there.

Right now, and for the bulk of the next week, we’ve got next to nothing. From Friday, August 7th right through until about Tuesday, August 18th, the swell is a ghost. You’re looking at tiny 0.3ft slop from the south, with periods that are all over the place but mostly just wind chop. The combined wave energy is a pathetic 3 to 6 (weak energy) – honestly, it’s not worth paddling out for. The wind is mostly cross-off from the NNW, which keeps the water clean, but there’s just no power to push a wave through. It’s a classic dry spell for a sheltered spot like this.

The only faint glimmer of hope is on Wednesday, August 19th. The morning shows a little pulse of 3ft from the west, with a short period of 5 seconds. The combined energy bumps up to 49 (weak energy), but it’s a messy, short-period wind swell. The wind is light and cross-shore, but the wave quality is still marked as "poor". It’s not going to be a classic, but it’s the biggest bump we’ve seen.

Then, on August 21st, we get the most interesting window of the whole outlook. The morning shows 0.7ft from the SSW, but with a period of 13 seconds, and the energy is 37 (weak energy). The afternoon gets a bit better with the same direction and a longer 15-second period, pushing the energy up to 51 (weak energy). The wind is cross-off from the NNW, so it’ll be clean. While the size is tiny, that longer period means there’s a bit more shape and grunt to the wave. For a "rarely breaks" point like Sao Pedro, any wave with a bit of travel in it is a good sign. Still, it’s not a standout by any stretch – it’s the best of a bad bunch.

The following Saturday, August 22nd, fades back to the same weak 0.7ft, 14-second SSW slop with clean cross-off winds, but the energy dips back to 21 (weak energy).

So, the honest truth? There’s no standout day here. The biggest offering is that 3ft west swell on the 19th, but it’s short-period and messy. The longer-period SSW swell on the 21st is a better quality wave, but it’s tiny. If you’re desperate, that 21st afternoon is your best bet for a clean, slow, long-period ride at Sao Pedro, but don’t expect much. For the rest of the time, you’re better off leaving the board in the car.

Rusty.

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