Sao Pedro Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – the forecast for the coming weeks is a bit of a heartbreaker for surfers. We’ve got a solid 16-day window but the ocean is playing dead for most of it. The first record of anything worth paddling for doesn't show up until Sunday morning, July 26th, and even then it’s not much to write home about.

We’re looking at a long stretch of flatness or near-flat conditions. The first real suggestion of a wave comes in on Sunday morning, July 26th, at Sao Pedro (a point break). It’s a rare occurrence – this spot is listed as "rarely breaks" – so seeing any activity here is a bit of a novelty. The swell is tiny, just 0.3 ft from the south, but it’s a 15-second period, which means it’s a long-period groundswell. That’s good for a point break like this, but the energy is weak, clocking in at just 8. The wind is from the N at 15 mph, a cross-off, so the wave face will be clean. The water temperature is 70°, which is about average for the time of year with a normal anomaly of 1°. Honestly, this is a beginner-level wave for the experienced surfer to stretch their legs on, but it’s not going to bowl you over.

From Monday, July 27th, through to Saturday, August 2nd, the surf is mostly non-existent. There are a few tiny pulses, like a 1.0 ft WNW swell on Monday afternoon, but with a period of just 5 seconds, it’s weak and messy (energy of 5). The wind switches to a glassy NE on Monday morning, but with no swell, it’s a flat calm. We have a few days of zero wave energy, with the combined energy dropping to 0 on many occasions. The wind is often cross-off or offshore, which is a tease, but the ocean just doesn't have the juice.

The next little blip is on Sunday morning, August 2nd, with a 1.0 ft WSW swell, period 8 seconds, bringing a combined energy of 11. The wind is from the N at 12 mph, cross-off. It’s still tiny, and the word "poor surf conditions" is in the notes. This is not the time to get excited.

The entire second week is more of the same. From Monday, August 3rd, through to Monday, August 10th, the swell is almost non-existent. We see a few 0.3 ft and 0.7 ft swells, but the periods are short (7-9 seconds) or long (13-14 seconds), but the energy is always in the single digits or low teens. The wind is persistently cross-off from the north and northwest, and often strong, with speeds hitting 25-28 mph on Friday, August 7th. That kind of wind, combined with tiny swell, isn't for surfing – it’s a waste of a good breeze.

So, the verdict? There is no standout. There is no best on offer. The only true "surf" is the ghostly 0.3 ft, 15-second groundswell at Sao Pedro on Sunday morning, July 26th. It’s a rare break, so it’s notable that it’s even showing a pulse, but it’s not a session you’d drive for. Expect a lot of flat water, a lot of rigging and de-rigging in the wind, and no real waves to ride. This is a time for fixing dings or checking the forecast again, because the ocean is taking a long nap.

This is Rusty, signing off. Stay patient.

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