Sao Pedro Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's be straight with you – this is a tough one for the region. The whole 16-day window is looking pretty bleak for surf. We've got a long stretch of tiny, weak swell with no real energy to get excited about, and the wind is mostly howling out of the north, cross-off at best, but often just too strong for clean conditions. The one spot we have to work with is Sao Pedro, a sheltered point break that rarely breaks, so this kind of blank run is actually more normal for the area. There's not a single standout period to recommend; the waves are just too small and the confidence is zero.

Starting off now, Thursday the 9th and into Friday the 10th, we're looking at a tiny 0.3ft swell from the south with a very long period of 16-17 seconds from the south-west. The combined energy is a measly 6 to 15 (weak energy). That's a groundswell, but there's no power behind it. The wind is a stiff cross-off from the north-west at 15 to 25 km/h, which keeps the surface clean but won't do anything to make that ankle-high bump rideable. It's poor surf, plain and simple.

Saturday the 11th is a total flat spell with zero energy. The wind goes light in the morning, then a bit of a cross-shore in the afternoon, but with no swell, it's a write-off.

Sunday the 12th sees a tiny 0.3ft pulse from the south-west again, period hitting 19 seconds. Energy is still weak (15-16). The wind is onshore or cross-onshore, so it's not even clean. This is a classic case of a long-period groundswell that's too small and weak to wrap in properly.

Monday the 13th and Tuesday the 14th are the same story. Swell heights barely hit 0.7ft to 2ft, period is all over the place from 6 seconds to 18 seconds. The energy on Tuesday morning hits 28 (weak energy), but it's a short-period 6-second westerly windswell that's just messy with a cross-shore wind. Not worth a paddle.

From Wednesday the 15th all the way through to Friday the 24th of July, the pattern doesn't change. We're looking at near-flat conditions with 0.3ft to 1ft swell from the west or south-west, and constant strong cross-off winds from the north-northwest at 20-35 km/h. The energy levels stay in the weak range (3 to 39). The wave comment is "poor surf conditions" on every single row. Even on the 23rd of July afternoon when a 3ft westerly swell pops up with a 6-second period, the energy is only 39 (still weak), and the wind is a fresh 35 km/h, so it's just a choppy, wind-blown mess.

Honestly, for this entire 16-day run, the setup looks more interesting for a kite surfer with that steady north wind than for anyone with a paddle. The water temperature anomaly is not recorded, so we can't say much about that, but given the lack of any real swell, it's not the main concern. Hang in there, surfers, but this one's a total flat spell. Forecasts can change, but right now, there's nothing to get excited about.

Rusty.

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