Sandy Mouth Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here, lookin’ at the Sandy Mouth forecast for the next 16 days. Let’s be straight with ya – it’s a tough run. The whole stretch is a flat spell interrupted by a few waves, but the conditions are so ordinary it’s barely worth wettin’ a line. We’ve got a few close-out days and a couple of big, ugly lumps that’ll only interest the brave or the foolish.

The water’s a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, sittin’ at 64°, which is a bit of a novelty but not much else.

Right now, from Monday 27 July onwards, it’s a quiet start. The first few days are tiny – 1 ft to 3 ft of weak, short-period slop from the west, with the combined swell energy barely crackin’ 95 (weak energy). Winds are mostly onshore or cross-onshore, so it’s messy and poor. Monday 27 July afternoon sees some clouds and a 12 mph westerly blowin’ straight on, making the 3 ft swell a total write-off.

Tuesday 28 July through Thursday 30 July stays small, with swell heights maxin’ out at 3 ft. The wind is a mix of light westerlies and southwesterlies, but it’s always onshore or cross-onshore, so the surface is poor. The combined energy hovers under 70 (weak energy). Not a single decent window.

Friday 31 July to Sunday 02 August – still no good. Swell stays around 1.0 ft to 3 ft, but the wind is cross-on or cross-off, and the period is short, 5 to 10 seconds. The surf is tiny, choppy, and lifeless. The only bright spot is Sunday 02 August morning with a gentle cross-off breeze and clean conditions, but the swell is only 1.0 ft. You’d be paddlin’ for whitewash.

Monday 03 August to Wednesday 05 August – the smallest of the lot. Swell is 1.0 ft to 1 ft. Monday 03 August morning has a moment of glassy conditions with a 3 mph southeasterly, but it’s 1 ft of weak swell (combined energy 28). You’d need a toy surfboard. The rest is clean but tiny, with cross-off winds.

Thursday 06 August to Friday 07 August – a slight lift. Thursday 06 August sees the swell edge up to 3 ft from the west-southwest, with clean conditions in the morning from a moderate cross-off breeze. The combined energy is 53 (weak energy). Still not enough to get excited about. Friday 07 August morning is the closest we get to a “surfable” moment – 3 ft from the north-northwest with a 6 mph easterly offshore wind, clean conditions, and a combined energy of 75 (weak energy). The guidance says it’s “surfable waves but very ordinary conditions.” It’s a 1 out of 10, but it’s the best of a bad lot. That’s your pick of the whole 16 days, and it’s still a non-event.

Then we hit Saturday 08 August and Sunday 09 August – things get bigger, but uglier. A solid 7 ft to 8 ft swell from the west rolls in, with a combined energy blastin’ up to 708 (strong wave energy). That’s a lot of water, but the wind is a fresh 19 mph to 22 mph southerly or southwesterly, blowin’ cross or cross-on, creating a lumpy, choppy mess. The period is 8 seconds – short, fat, wind-affected. This is expert-only territory at 7 ft, and with the wind ruining it, it’s more of a kite-surfing setup than a paddle session. The break is exposed, so it’ll be a washing machine.

Monday 10 August to Tuesday 11 August – the swell drops again, but the wind stays strong. Combined energy fades from 216 (moderate) to 108 (weak), but the wind is still onshore or cross-onshore at 12 mph to 19 mph. The surf is poor, choppy, and not worth the drive.

Bottom line: there is no standout session in this 16-day window. The only surfable moment is Friday 07 August morning, and even then it’s a weak, small day with very ordinary quality. The rest is too small, too windy, or too messy. For beginners, the swell never gets above 3 ft until the 8th, when it jumps to 7 ft – too big for learners. For experts, the 7 ft to 8 ft days are blown out by fresh cross-shore winds. It’s a blank run, and for this area, that’s a bit more normal than we’d like.

Rusty.

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