Sandy Mouth Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's take a look at what we've got coming up at Sandy Mouth.

Straight up, the next two weeks are looking pretty tough. There's a heap of swell on the cards, but the wind just won't play ball. We're in for a frustrating stretch. It kicks off on Monday the 7th with a 6ft west swell, but that's getting hammered by a 12 mph cross-on breeze, making it choppy. The water temp is about average for this time of year.

The whole first week is a write-off. From Monday the 7th right through to Monday the 14th, every session is plagued by onshore or cross-onshore winds, ranging from 12 mph up to a fresh 22 mph. Even when there's some moderate wave energy around (like 1237 on the Monday morning), the conditions just aren't there for a good paddle. You'll get periods of rain, clouds, and a whole lot of lumpy, messy surf.

We then hit a bit of a lull around Thursday the 10th, with tiny 2ft to 2ft swell and weak energy (down to 50), so you can write that off completely. The following weekend, starting Saturday the 12th, has a bit more size, up to 5ft, but again, it’s cross-on and lumpy.

Into the second week, there’s a flicker of hope on Tuesday morning the 15th. We’ve got a clean-looking 3ft groundswell from the WNW with a nice long 12-second period. The wind drops right out to almost nothing, just 3 mph. The combined energy is a moderate 360. This is the best we’ll see, but it’s a small window and the "marginal" tag on the forecast means it could be tricky with the tide. Still, for a brief moment, it could be glassy and fun on a longboard. That afternoon, the wind gets back on it and it’s gone.

Thursday the 17th sees a serious pulse of energy, with a massive 13ft swell hitting and energy readings of 3345. That’s big, powerful, and well over 8ft – strictly for experts only. But it’s pinned by a 22 mph onshore wind, so it'll be a washing machine. Not worth it.

The last few days from the 19th onward are more of the same: solid west swell (7ft to 10ft) but constantly crossed-up by strong onshore winds. The energy is strong (up to 1147), but the quality is zero.

To be honest, with the persistent onshore flow and the exposed nature of Sandy Mouth, if you see that big swell on the 16th and 17th with strong winds, the setup looks far more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

The one and only standout, if you can call it that, is the small window on Tuesday the 15th. That’s the only time you might get a clean, workable wave for a log.

Rusty.

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