Surf Forecasts:
Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 26 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 28 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 17s period, SW swell with onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 31 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 17s period, SW swell with 3,198 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 27 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 12s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 27) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 15s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 2.3m 17s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 31) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 5s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 01) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10AM (Thu 27th Aug) | 4ft (1.2m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 1PM (Fri 28th Aug) | 7ft (2.1m) 17s |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Mon 31st Aug) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's coming down the pipe for us.
We're starting off quiet, with nothing much to get excited about. For the first few days, it's a bit of a mixed bag. On Wednesday the 26th, we see a solid 5ft SW groundswell (905 combined energy) rolling in, but a stiff onshore breeze is going to mess it up. Not worth paddling out for.
Thursday the 27th morning brings a cleaner option. The swell drops to 4ft from the SW, with a long 12-second period. The wind is a light cross-offshore from the NW, setting things up nice. Expect some decent, clean lines, nothing too big. The afternoon lightens up even more with a 14-second period, better quality. But still, the scores are just modest – it’s good but not spectacular.
Friday the 28th morning gets messy again with a lumpy 5ft swell and onshore wind – better left alone. The afternoon, though, the swell jumps to 7ft from the SW. The wind is onshore and that’s just too much power for Rye Ocean Beach. The water temp is 56°, pretty average for late August.
Here is the standout: Monday the 31st. That’s the one. Morning session has a solid 7ft SW groundswell with a long 15-second period and light, cross-offshore NNW wind. It's too big for the beginners, but for anyone with some experience, those will be clean, powerful lines. The combined energy is a strong 2423. If you can get out there, that morning will be special. The afternoon is a bit smaller, 7ft, but still excellent.
Tuesday the 1st of September starts clean with a 6ft SW swell and a super long 16-second period, but the wind is howling at 25 mph. That’s gnarly, even if it is cross-offshore.
The rest of the first week into the second week is essentially written off. Thursday the 3rd brings a huge 10ft SW swell (3460 combined energy) with a fresh cross-shore wind – pure lumpy chaos. That trend of big, messy or blown-out surf continues all the way through to the 9th of September. This entire stretch is for experienced guys only, and even then, conditions will be mostly poor.
The only other flicker of hope arrives on Thursday the 10th of September. The swell has dropped to a manageable 5ft from the SW, and the afternoon is completely glassy with very light wind from the south. That’s a rare, beautiful window. Expect clean, glassy faces. A great session for the experienced surfer to finish off the run.
So, to wrap it up: the best bet for clean, quality waves is the morning of Monday the 31st of August. For those who can wait, the afternoon of Thursday the 10th of September offers a rare glassy window. Everything else in between is for the hardcore only or best left for the kites.
Stay stoked.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Thu afternoon, min 8°C on Thu morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Tue afternoon, min 9°C on Mon morning). Winds increasing (calm on Sun afternoon, strong winds from the N by Mon night). | ||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 14 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
669 | 383 | 404 | 546 | 1136 | 2454 | 1806 | 1196 | 1063 | 892 | 1021 | 1025 | 1889 | 1688 | 3198 | 2414 | 1592 | 1154 | 2144 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-on | on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 11:09AM1.20m | 10:26PM1.08m | 12:01PM1.24m | 11:37PM1.13m | 12:43PM1.28m | 00:36AM1.22m | 1:18PM1.33m | 1:27AM1.32m | 1:51PM1.36m | 2:12AM1.40m | 2:21PM1.40m | 2:56AM1.46m | |||||||
Low Tide | 3:59AM0.41m | 5:11PM0.75m | 5:06AM0.39m | 6:08PM0.65m | 6:06AM0.36m | 6:51PM0.54m | 6:56AM0.34m | 7:28PM0.44m | 7:41AM0.35m | 8:03PM0.34m | 8:21AM0.37m | 8:37PM0.25m | |||||||
— | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:53 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:55 | — | — | 5:57 | — | — | 5:58 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 17 | 15 | 19 | 20 | 19 |
Feels °C | 9 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 14 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 14 | SW 13 | WSW 13 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 |
669 | 383 | 404 | 525 | 918 | 2454 | 1806 | 1196 | 1063 | 892 | 1021 | 1025 | 1889 | 1688 | 3198 | 2414 | 1592 | 1154 | 2144 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 5 | SW 15 | SW 21 | SW 19 | SW 18 | S 17 | S 16 | SSW 15 | S 14 | SW 22 | SW 20 | SW 20 | SSW 16 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 17 |
18 | 76 | 117 | 546 | 1136 | 52 | 20 | 21 | 16 | 73 | 137 | 134 | 191 | 446 | 973 | 164 | 81 | 80 | 166 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | WSW 22 | SW 21 | S 20 | SSE 18 | — | — | — | — | WSW 22 | S 13 | S 14 | — | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | — | — | — | — |
91 | 48 | 117 | 7 | 62 | — | — | — | — | 45 | 32 | 32 | — | 169 | 211 | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 4 | — | SW 4 | SW 6 | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 3 | N 4 | NW 5 | NNW 4 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | — | 27 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | 42 | 74 | 6 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 24 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 25 | 2 | 52 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 483 | 27 | 27 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











