Rye Ocean Beach Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.39° S 144.78° E

Issued: 3 pm 07 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Rye Ocean Beach sea temperature is
14.2° C

Slightly warmer than usual

Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 7 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 8 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 18s period, SW swell with cross-shore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 13 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 16s period, WSW swell with 8,610 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 7 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 15s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:

The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 24s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 4.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 5s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 11) at 1PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Tue 7th Jul)5ft (1.5m) 15s
Best Surf 4PM (Wed 8th Jul)7ft (2.2m) 18s
Most Powerful 7PM (Mon 13th Jul)13ft (4.0m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Alright, Rusty here again, this time in feet. Water's about 58°F, right around the norm. We've got a solid SW groundswell coming, but you'll have to show some patience.

Tuesday the 7th is a wash with a funky cross breeze. The real fun starts Wednesday morning, July 8th. Clean offshore wind from the ENE at 10 km/h, a 5-foot SW swell with an 18-second period. This is proper, long-period groundswell and the combined energy is reading 2524 - that's got some grunt. This spot is a beach and reef setup, and that long period could make it race down the line on the reef but might make the beachies a bit straight. Wednesday afternoon gets bigger, around 7 feet, but the cross-shore wind messes it up a bit, and that size starts to get heavy for the average surfer.

Thursday the 9th is the pick for the week. Thursday morning is clean and cross-offshore on a 5-foot swell. Then Thursday afternoon, the wind goes glassy. That's perfect. The swell is around 4 feet, but it's clean and workable. Wave energy is moderate at 937.

Friday the 10th is also a goer. Clean all day with a 5-foot swell and light offshore breezes.

If you're a charger, though, you want Wednesday morning, July 16th. We're talking an 8-foot SW swell with a 16-second period and a clean, cross-offshore breeze. The combined swell energy is 3339, and it's hitting from the ideal SW direction. That's big, powerful, and clean. But at 8 feet with that long period, this is strictly for experts. It will be big and it will be heavy.

Look, the rest of the second week is messy. We get a 13-foot spike on the 13th, but it's blown out by strong cross-onshore winds. From the 19th on, it's mostly just wind slop. Save your energy.

The standout is Thursday afternoon the 9th for a clean, mellow session. The heavy hitter is the morning of July 16th. That one's got your name on it if you've got the nerve.

- Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 12°C on Tue afternoon, min 8°C on Thu morning). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 13mm), heaviest on Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Fri afternoon, min 8°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNE on Fri afternoon, near gales from the N by Sat morning).

Tue
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
Friday
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
Monday
13
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
3
4
4
!
4
4
3
4
4
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.5
SW
16
1.6
SW
15
1.6
SW
18
2.2
SW
18
1.8
SW
16
1.5
SW
15
1.3
SW
15
1.8
SW
16
1.6
SW
15
1.5
SW
15
1.3
SW
14
1.1
SW
14
1.1
SW
14
1.2
WSW
10
2.5
SW
13
2.2
SW
13
3.5
SW
13
4
SW
16
3.5
SW
16
4
WSW
15
3.5
SW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1096
1076
1606
2888
1697
1028
757
1591
1155
966
667
476
456
306
2078
1609
4554
7329
6917
7432
6285
Wind (km/h)
5
SE
10
ENE
10
ENE
10
SE
10
NE
10
NNE
5
NE
10
N
15
N
10
NNE
30
N
50
N
40
W
40
W
50
NW
45
WNW
35
WNW
35
WNW
40
WNW
35
WSW
25
WSW
Wind State
cross
cross-off
off
cross
off
cross-off
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
High Tide
4:31PM1.47m
4:58AM1.33m
5:01PM1.45m
5:51AM1.34m
5:34PM1.44m
6:49AM1.35m
6:14PM1.42m
7:52AM1.35m
7:01PM1.39m
9:01AM1.36m
7:59PM1.36m
10:15AM1.39m
9:07PM1.33m
11:27AM1.43m
Low Tide
10:52PM0.43m
10:52AM0.53m
11:30PM0.38m
11:35AM0.63m
00:13AM0.33m
12:23PM0.74m
1:03AM0.30m
1:20PM0.83m
1:59AM0.27m
2:27PM0.89m
3:02AM0.25m
3:45PM0.91m
4:10AM0.23m
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
part cloud
cloud
light rain
light rain
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:37
7:37
7:37
7:35
7:35
7:35
7:35
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:13
5:14
5:14
5:15
5:15
5:15
5:16
5:16
 mm
6
3
4
2
Temp °C
12
12
9
11
11
9
11
11
11
13
12
12
11
9
12
12
11
12
13
12
12
Feels °C
10
9
7
8
7
7
9
9
7
10
6
2
2
0
2
3
4
4
4
4
6
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.5
SW
16
1.6
SW
15
1.6
SW
18
2.2
SW
18
1.8
SW
16
1.5
SW
15
1.3
SW
15
1.8
SW
16
1.6
SW
15
1.5
SW
15
1.3
SW
14
1.1
SW
14
1.1
SW
14
1.2
WSW
10
2.5
SW
13
2.2
SW
13
0.4
SSW
16
4
SW
16
3.5
SW
16
3.5
SW
15
3.5
SW
16
Energy kJ
1096
1076
1606
2888
1697
1028
757
1591
1155
966
667
476
456
294
2078
1609
83
7329
6827
6215
6285
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
SSW
16
0.1
SW
24
1.3
SW
14
0.6
S
18
0.5
S
16
0.3
SSW
16
0.4
SW
20
0.5
S
17
0.3
S
15
0.3
SSW
13
1
SW
12
0.1
SW
22
0.8
SSW
18
0.6
S
16
1.1
SSW
17
Energy kJ
51
22
667
222
125
47
136
147
40
35
306
19
408
188
745
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
ESE
12
0.6
S
19
0.2
ESE
11
0.3
SSW
15
Energy kJ
14
251
12
44
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
ESE
4
0.6
N
3
1.3
N
5
1.3
NNW
5
1.6
W
6
0.6
NW
4
1.4
WNW
5
3.5
SW
13
3.5
WSW
16
4
WSW
15
Energy kJ
8
7
70
80
187
13
91
4554
6917
7432
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
4
5
4
4
3
4
4
3
3
1
3
2
1
1
8
5
2
4
6
Distance (km)
3
0
0
15
0
0
0
0
0
0
18
287
72
36
478
516
40
35
482
40
27
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
4
5
4
4
3
4
4
3
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia
Rating
(10 max)
5
5
7
6
6
4
4
5
4
4
3
4
3
5
5
4
9
6
5
5
9
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
5
5
9
8
7
7
7
6
6
6
5
5
5
5
5
6
8
6
5
5
5
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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