
Surf Forecasts:
Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 27 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 30 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 12s period, SW swell with onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 29 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 16s period, SW swell with 12,706 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 30 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 12s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.1m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 1.8m and 12s. Another secondary swell of 0.1m and 24s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be onshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 5.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 5s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Thu 30th Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Thu 30th Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Wed 29th Jul) | 16ft (5.0m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here, and I’ve had a good look at what’s coming down the line for Rye Ocean Beach. This is a beach and reef setup, wide open to swell from the southwest, and it’s a spot that can handle a bit of energy, but we’ve got a wild ride ahead. The water temp is sitting at 56°, which is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.
The window kicks off with a bit of a false start. Tuesday the 28th has some solid southwest swell, 5ft to 6ft pushing in with a long 13 to 15 second period, and the combined energy is moderate to strong (873 to 1621). But the wind is howling—28 to 31 mph from the NNW and NW—and it’s a cross-off breeze that’s just too strong to make it enjoyable. The surf is poor, and honestly, it’s not worth paddling out. Wednesday the 29th gets even bigger, with a massive 15ft to 13ft southwest swell, 16 second period, and the energy is off the charts (10886 to 8224), but it’s onshore, blown out by 34 mph winds, and it’s just a mess. Thursday the 30th is still messy with 8ft to 7ft southwest swell, but the wind is cross-onshore, so it’s lumpy and poor.
Friday the 31st is where things start to look up. The morning is still a bit marginal with 5ft swell and 12 second period, light cross-onshore wind, but the afternoon is a beauty. The wind drops to glassy, calm, with 5ft southwest swell at 12 seconds, and the energy is moderate (737). The surf is clean and very good—this is a standout session for the week. The crowds are possible here, so get in early.
Saturday the 1st of August is a mixed bag. Morning has a small 3ft swell with a very long 18 second period, and it’s clean with a cross-off wind, but it’s marginal. The afternoon though, that’s the real deal. 7ft of southwest swell, 18 second period, strong energy (3079), and clean cross-off wind. This is a big, powerful groundswell, and it’s going to be incredible. The long period means it’ll be better shaped, but at a beach and reef setup, it might break a bit straight, so pick your spot. Sunday the 2nd and Monday the 3rd are poor again, with strong winds and lumpy conditions, despite the swell size.
Now, the second week. Tuesday the 4th and Wednesday the 5th are clean and glassy, with 4ft to 4ft southwest swell, 12 to 14 second period, and light winds. Wednesday afternoon is excellent, glassy, and the energy is moderate (1047). Thursday the 6th is clean again, 4ft to 4ft southwest swell, 15 second period, with offshore winds in the afternoon. That’s a nice, clean session. Friday the 7th drops off to tiny 2ft to 1ft swell, so it’s a no-go. Saturday the 8th and Sunday the 9th have a bit of size (5ft to 6ft) but the wind is howling again, 34 mph, so it’s messy and poor. Monday the 10th is small and windy. Tuesday the 11th is clean and glassy in the afternoon with 4ft southwest swell, 13 second period—a good, quiet session. Wednesday the 12th is a monster, with 12ft to 16ft of southwest swell, 13 to 14 second period, and the energy is huge (3736 to 15040). It’s clean, but this is way too big for anyone but experts.
The best of the lot? Friday afternoon the 31st of July and Saturday afternoon the 1st of August. The Friday is glassy and clean, and the Saturday is a powerful, long-period groundswell with clean wind. For the second week, Wednesday the 5th of August afternoon is a standout—glassy, clean, and just the right size.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 19mm), heaviest on Tue night. Very mild (max 15°C on Tue morning, min 7°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (near gales from the WSW on Tue night, light winds from the WSW by Thu night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Fri morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat afternoon, min 8°C on Sun morning). Winds increasing (calm on Fri afternoon, fresh winds from the SW by Sun afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | WSW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
851 | 1547 | 2371 | 10886 | 8096 | 3781 | 1915 | 1609 | 944 | 683 | 593 | 511 | 510 | 2796 | 3431 | 1878 | 1783 | 1736 | 2449 | 1975 | 1120 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 10:56AM1.29m | 9:38PM1.16m | 11:52AM1.32m | 10:44PM1.14m | 12:39PM1.36m | 11:48PM1.16m | 1:20PM1.40m | 00:46AM1.20m | 1:56PM1.42m | 1:38AM1.25m | 2:29PM1.44m | 2:26AM1.31m | 2:59PM1.45m | 3:11AM1.36m | |||||||
Low Tide | 4:37PM0.89m | 4:34AM0.36m | 5:50PM0.83m | 5:32AM0.33m | 6:45PM0.74m | 6:25AM0.30m | 7:28PM0.65m | 7:13AM0.29m | 8:05PM0.56m | 7:57AM0.29m | 8:39PM0.48m | 8:38AM0.32m | 9:12PM0.40m | ||||||||
7:26 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | |
— | 5:28 | — | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — | |
mm | — | 3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 |
Feels °C | 6 | 3 | -2 | -1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 15 | SW 14 | — | SSW 15 | S 11 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 |
851 | 1547 | 2371 | — | 128 | 91 | 1834 | 1395 | 944 | 683 | 593 | 511 | 420 | 2796 | 3431 | 1878 | 1783 | 1736 | 2449 | 1975 | 1120 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 17 | SSW 15 | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 8 | SW 24 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SSW 19 | SSW 19 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | WSW 18 | SSW 14 | — | S 18 |
22 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | 20 | 22 | 72 | 136 | 131 | 510 | 283 | 375 | 90 | 82 | 541 | 37 | — | 6 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 24 | S 21 | S 20 | S 19 | S 17 | — | — | — | — | SSW 15 | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 23 | — | — | — | — | 42 | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 5 | NW 5 | WNW 5 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | WSW 13 | SW 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 4 | NNW 4 | WNW 4 | S 5 | S 6 | SSE 6 | SE 5 |
115 | 90 | 173 | 10886 | 8096 | 3781 | 1915 | 1609 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 14 | 47 | 32 | 50 | 154 | 89 | 29 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 277 | 516 | 395 | 510 | 274 | 52 | 40 | 40 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 27 | 27 | 40 | 480 | 40 | 33 | 33 | 14 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










