Surf Forecasts:
Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 24 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 25 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 12s period, SW swell with cross-onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 29 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 16s period, SW swell with 9,109 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 25 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 12s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 2.5m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be cross-onshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 4.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 5s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4PM (Sat 25th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 4PM (Sat 25th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Wed 29th Jul) | 15ft (4.5m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s break down the waves for Rye Ocean Beach.
This 16-day forecast is a bit of a rollercoaster. The first few days are a total no-go, thanks to a big southwest groundswell getting hammered by strong cross-onshore winds. The first real chance doesn't come until the weekend.
The absolute best, the one to plan around, is Thursday afternoon the 30th of July. The wind goes glassy, like a sheet of glass, and we’ve got a solid 6ft southwest groundswell with a 13-second period. The combined energy is moderate at 1015, and the word is it’s excellent for experienced surfers. Water temp is about 57°, dead average. This is the session.
The second standout is Saturday afternoon the 1st of August. We get a light offshore breeze from the north, cleaning up a 6ft southwest groundswell. The period is a very long 16 seconds, which means real power and shape. The energy is moderate at 1456. Crowds can be a factor at Rye, so keep that in mind.
The following Sunday the 2nd of August stays clean with a light north wind, but the swell bumps up to 8ft to 8ft. That’s big, expert territory, and the forecast says it’s too big for this break.
The week of the 3rd of August is clean but smaller. Monday the 3rd has offshore winds and 6ft groundswell, but the energy is fading. Then Tuesday and Wednesday the 4th and 5th are a write-off with strong onshore winds and tiny, weak swell.
We do get a late, long-range flicker. Thursday afternoon the 6th of August has a clean cross-off breeze, a 5ft southwest swell, and a crazy long 21-second period. The energy is moderate at 3132. It’s a promising, proper groundswell pulse, but it’s a long way out. For now, circle the 30th of July for the best.
Rusty out.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun afternoon, min 11°C on Fri afternoon). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WNW on Fri night, light winds from the WNW by Sun morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Mon afternoon, min 9°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NNW on Mon night, light winds from the W by Wed night). | |||||||||||||||||||
Fri 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 12 | SW 13 | WSW 12 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 5187 | 3581 | 2991 | 2271 | 1291 | 802 | 606 | 533 | 422 | 429 | 677 | 1204 | 1435 | 6996 | 6288 | 3515 | 2205 | 1210 | 990 | 784 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | glassy | cross |
High Tide | 6:24PM1.39m | 7:57AM1.29m | 7:00PM1.33m | 8:53AM1.27m | 7:44PM1.27m | 9:54AM1.27m | 8:36PM1.20m | 10:56AM1.29m | 9:38PM1.16m | 11:52AM1.32m | 10:44PM1.14m | 12:39PM1.36m | 11:48PM1.16m | |||||||
Low Tide | 1:11AM0.35m | 1:20PM0.85m | 1:55AM0.37m | 2:13PM0.90m | 2:43AM0.38m | 3:19PM0.92m | 3:37AM0.38m | 4:37PM0.89m | 4:34AM0.36m | 5:50PM0.83m | 5:32AM0.33m | 6:45PM0.74m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  |  | | |  |  | | | | |  | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — |
 | 5:24 | — | — | 5:25 | — | — | 5:25 | — | — | 5:27 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:30 | — |
mm | — | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 11 |
Feels °C | 4 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 15 | — | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 |
| kJ | 4618 | 3581 | 2497 | 1897 | 1291 | 802 | 606 | 533 | 422 | 429 | 677 | 1204 | 227 | — | 6288 | 3515 | 2205 | 1210 | 990 | 784 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | SW 18 | SW 16 | WSW 16 | SSW 16 | SW 15 | — | SW 14 | — | WSW 18 | — | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | — | — | SW 25 | SSW 24 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | 12 | 11 | 26 | 27 | 106 | — | 261 | — | 61 | — | 89 | 70 | — | — | 25 | 54 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 15 | — | — | — | SSW 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 24 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | — | — | — | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 11 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | NW 4 | SW 12 | SW 12 | — | — | — | NW 2 | NNW 3 | N 4 | NNW 5 | WNW 5 | WSW 12 | SW 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 5187 | 16 | 2991 | 2271 | — | — | — | 1 | 5 | 13 | 61 | 46 | 1435 | 6996 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 71 | 40 | 40 | 24 | 36 | 25 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 42 | 287 | 71 | 287 | 281 | 281 | 33 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 25 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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