Rye Ocean Beach Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.39° S 144.78° E

Rye Ocean Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 am 03 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Rye Ocean Beach sea temperature is
13.3° C
0.3° 

Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 3 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 3 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 14s period, WSW swell with cross-shore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 10 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 16s period, WSW swell with 14,638 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 3 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 14s period with WSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:

The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 03) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.1m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 13s. Another secondary swell of 2.0m and 10s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-shore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 5.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.7m 5s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 09) at 4AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Mon 3rd Aug)7ft (2.1m) 14s
Best Surf10PM (Mon 3rd Aug)7ft (2.1m) 14s
Most Powerful10AM (Mon 10th Aug)18ft (5.5m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it for Rye Ocean Beach. This is a beach and reef setup, and it’s a bit of a mixed bag for the next couple of weeks. The water temp is sitting around 56°F right now, which is about average for this time of year, so nothing shocking there.

The start of the window is a bit of a write-off. Monday and Tuesday are looking pretty ordinary with fresh cross-shore winds and lumpy, choppy conditions. Not worth paddling out for. We’ve got some solid swell energy, but the wind is just ruining it. Wednesday and Thursday are more of the same – poor conditions with onshore and cross-shore winds making a mess of things. You’ll want to sit this one out.

Now, hold onto your board, because Friday, August 7th is where it’s at. The morning kicks off with a light NNW cross-off breeze and a clean 6ft SW groundswell, with a period of 16 seconds. That’s some serious energy behind it (1568). The afternoon sees the wind shift to a light offshore from the NE, cleaning up a 5ft SW swell (1528). This is the standout. The conditions are clean, the swell is solid, and it’s going to be a good session for experienced surfers. The swell is a bit too big for beginners, but for the rest of you, this is the pick of the litter.

Saturday the 8th offers up some clean surf with a 5ft SW swell, but a strong breeze from the north is going to be a factor, making it a bit of a challenge. It’s still surfable, but not as perfect as Friday.

Then we hit a bit of a lull. Sunday the 9th is a write-off with strong winds and poor conditions. Then we get a massive pulse of energy on the 10th and 11th, but it’s just too big. We’re talking 18ft on Monday morning (25038) and 12ft on Monday afternoon. That’s expert-only territory, and even then, it’s a beast. The wind is better, but the size is overwhelming. The 11th is similar, with 7ft to 8ft SW swells, but the wind is still strong, making it a tough paddle.

The rest of the week into the second week is a bit of a washout. The wind is mostly cross-on or onshore, and the swell is either too big or too messy. The 14th of August has a clean morning with a 8ft SW swell and a cross-off breeze, but it’s still a big swell. It’s promising, but it’s a long way out, so keep an eye on it. The 17th and 18th also have some potential with clean conditions, but again, the swell is on the bigger side and the confidence is lower this far out.

For the most part, this is a place that can fire, but we’re having to wait for the right day. Friday the 7th is your absolute best bet. The rest of the window is a game of patience.

Rusty out.

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 19mm), heaviest on Mon night. Very mild (max 13°C on Mon afternoon, min 8°C on Mon night). Mainly fresh winds.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Very mild (max 15°C on Sat afternoon, min 8°C on Thu morning). Winds increasing (calm on Fri afternoon, near gales from the N by Sat night).

Monday
3
Tuesday
4
Wednesday
5
Thursday
6
Friday
7
Saturday
8
Sunday
9
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
4
4
3
2
1
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.6
SW
15
1.9
WSW
15
2.1
WSW
13
1.5
SW
11
3
WSW
10
1.6
SW
10
1.6
SW
8
0.7
SW
19
0.9
SW
13
0.8
SW
12
0.9
SW
16
1.1
SW
15
1.7
SW
16
1.6
SW
15
1.4
SW
14
1.6
SW
16
1.6
SW
16
1.4
SW
14
1.3
WSW
14
1.5
WSW
13
4
WSW
13
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1020
1488
1449
515
1734
520
330
339
282
206
406
566
1467
1074
834
1256
1194
763
626
772
5070
Wind (km/h)
35
NW
35
W
35
W
35
WNW
35
SW
25
W
25
WSW
30
WSW
20
W
25
NW
25
NW
15
WNW
10
NNW
10
NE
20
N
35
N
35
N
50
N
60
N
30
WNW
25
W
Wind State
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
High Tide
2:59PM1.45m
3:11AM1.36m
3:27PM1.45m
3:56AM1.40m
3:56PM1.46m
4:42AM1.41m
4:27PM1.45m
5:30AM1.40m
5:00PM1.44m
6:24AM1.38m
5:40PM1.41m
7:25AM1.33m
6:30PM1.37m
Low Tide
9:12PM0.40m
9:17AM0.38m
9:45PM0.33m
9:54AM0.45m
10:21PM0.27m
10:32AM0.54m
10:59PM0.23m
11:12AM0.63m
11:43PM0.21m
11:58AM0.72m
00:33AM0.21m
12:52PM0.80m
1:32AM0.22m
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<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:20
7:20
7:18
7:18
7:16
7:15
7:13
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:32
5:34
5:35
5:36
5:36
5:37
5:37
 mm
1
4
3
3
5
2
1
1
1
5
2
8
1
Temp °C
12
13
9
12
12
11
12
12
11
9
12
12
13
14
13
14
15
14
12
12
11
Feels °C
4
5
2
4
4
7
6
6
6
3
7
8
10
11
10
6
7
5
3
6
2
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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