Surf Forecasts:
Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 16 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 23 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period, SW swell with cross-shore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 22 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 15s period, WSW swell with 5,343 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 16 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 14s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 16) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 14s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 3.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 22) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 4s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 19) at 4PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1PM (Sun 16th Aug) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Sun 23rd Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Sat 22nd Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for the next couple of weeks.
We’ve got a solid run of surf setting up, but it’s a bit of a mixed bag. The first call is for Sunday morning, August 16th, at Rye Ocean Beach. This is the standout session of the first week. We’re looking at a clean 6ft south-west swell, with a long 14-second period on it – that’s proper groundswell energy. The wind is a light, cross-off breeze from the ENE, so the faces will be clean. The water temp is sitting at 55°, which is about average for this time of year. The combined energy is strong (1440), so you’ll feel the push. It’s a bit too big for beginners, but for the experienced crew, this is a top pick.
Monday morning, August 17th, is also worth a look. It drops a touch to 5ft, but still with that long 14-second period and a clean cross-off wind. The energy is moderate (885). Tuesday morning, August 18th, is a sneaky good one – the swell drops to 4ft, but we get a pure offshore wind from the NE at 12 mph, making for some clean, punchy lines. The energy is moderate (974). That’s a solid beginner-friendly option.
The middle of the week gets a bit messy. Wednesday, August 19th, and Thursday, August 20th, see the swell drop off and the wind goes strong and funky. The energy is weak, and the surf is poor. We’ll be waiting it out.
Friday, August 21st, is interesting. The morning shows a 3ft swell, but with a massive 19-second period. That’s seriously long-period groundswell. The energy is strong (1099), but at a beach break like Rye, that long period can make it break a bit too straight and fat. It’s a marginal call, but might offer some clean lines for the patient ones.
Now, Saturday, August 22nd, we see a big spike in size, with 12ft of southerly swell, but it’s blowing a strong onshore wind. The energy is massive (9482), but the conditions are just poor. This is a write-off for paddle surfing – it’s more of a kite-surfing setup if you’re into that.
Sunday, August 23rd, is another big one. We’ve got 8ft of swell, which is now too big for this spot. The wind is a cross-shore, but the energy is very strong (2943). This is for experts only, and even then, it’s a tricky one.
Things settle down for the final week. Wednesday afternoon, August 26th, sees a clean 4ft swell with a light cross-off breeze. The energy is moderate (602). That’s a good, relaxed session. Thursday morning, August 27th, is the best of the second week. A clean 6ft south-west swell (18-second period) with a pure offshore NNE wind. The energy is very strong (2879). That’s a proper, powerful, clean wave. It’s for experienced surfers, but it’s a cracker.
Saturday, August 29th, is a dreamy glass-off. The afternoon session has 4ft of swell, glassy conditions, and light winds. The energy is moderate (708). That’s a perfect wave for everyone.
The very end of the run, Monday, August 31st, sees a 6ft swell but with a near-gale wind. It’s going to be a choppy, blown-out mess. Leave it.
So, to wrap it up: the absolute best on offer is Sunday morning, August 16th, for the first big, clean groundswell. For the second week, the standout is Thursday morning, August 27th, for that powerful, offshore swell.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Tue afternoon, min 10°C on Sun morning). Winds increasing (calm on Sun morning, fresh winds from the NNE by Tue night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Fri afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Wed afternoon, min 9°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the N on Wed morning, light winds from the NW by Thu night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | WSW 16 | SW 13 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | SW 16 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
1336 | 1139 | 990 | 885 | 1474 | 1246 | 667 | 621 | 465 | 309 | 276 | 217 | 189 | 436 | 412 | 446 | 799 | 3385 | 5343 | 4242 | 3784 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-on | on | on | cross |
High Tide | 2:28PM1.52m | 2:47AM1.48m | 3:05PM1.53m | 3:35AM1.50m | 3:39PM1.53m | 4:18AM1.48m | 4:10PM1.50m | 5:00AM1.44m | 4:40PM1.46m | 5:41AM1.39m | 5:09PM1.40m | 6:23AM1.32m | 5:39PM1.33m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:41PM0.30m | 8:55AM0.30m | 9:21PM0.24m | 9:35AM0.38m | 9:59PM0.21m | 10:12AM0.47m | 10:36PM0.22m | 10:48AM0.56m | 11:11PM0.24m | 11:22AM0.65m | 11:46PM0.28m | 11:57AM0.73m | 00:23AM0.32m | ||||||||
7:05 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:00 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | |
— | 5:44 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:49 | — | — | 5:49 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 3 | 1 | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 16 | 13 | 15 | 17 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 10 |
Feels °C | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | WSW 16 | SW 13 | WSW 12 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 |
1336 | 1139 | 990 | 885 | 1474 | 1246 | 667 | 621 | 465 | 309 | 276 | 217 | 189 | 436 | 412 | 247 | 589 | 3385 | 4139 | 3216 | 3784 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 14 | SE 5 | ESE 4 | SE 4 | SSW 17 | SSW 15 | SW 18 | ESE 5 | SE 4 | SE 7 | SE 7 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 21 | SW 16 | SW 18 | — | — | SW 19 | SSW 16 |
104 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 57 | 44 | 307 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 58 | 154 | 214 | 69 | 406 | 799 | — | — | 414 | 82 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | SSW 11 | — | ESE 5 | — | ESE 4 | SW 15 | S 16 | E 6 | S 17 | E 7 | — | SW 19 | WSW 11 | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | 25 | — | 17 | — | 8 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1 | — | 446 | 222 | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | ESE 4 | ESE 4 | SE 4 | ESE 5 | — | — | NNE 3 | N 4 | N 4 | N 4 | NNW 3 | — | — | — | WNW 3 | — | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | — |
— | — | 19 | 12 | 10 | 34 | — | — | 3 | 34 | 50 | 48 | 2 | — | — | — | 6 | — | 5343 | 4242 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 61 | 56 | 27 | 25 | 23 | 18 | 2 | 25 | 40 | 40 | 52 | 25 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











