Surf Forecasts:
Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 8 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 10 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 17s period, SW swell with cross-onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 9 Sep, 1PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 19s period, SW swell with 10,030 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 10 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 17s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.5m and 17s period with a secondary swell of 1.0m and 18s. The wind is predicted to be cross-onshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 4.0m 19s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 4s period and expected on Monday (Sep 14) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 17s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 17s |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Wed 9th Sep) | 13ft (4.0m) 19s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here. Lookin’ at Rye Ocean Beach right now. First few days are a write-off—a massive 12 ft SW swell with 25 mph cross-on winds makes it all mess and danger. Water temp is about normal for the season, 56°.
The big highlight hits Friday, 11 September morning. That’s the one. Clean 7 ft SW swell with a 15-second period—proper groundswell—and glassy conditions, barely any wind. The combined energy is 2206 (moderate to strong). Still too big for beginners, but if you’ve got the nerve, it’s magic.
Thursday, 10 September, is tantalizing but the swell runs 10 ft to 12 ft with cross-on wind—just too much for the break.
After Friday, Saturday morning, 12 September, gives you 8 ft SW swell with a light offshore NNE breeze at 6 mph—clean again but solid. Still, Friday is the real standout.
Sunday, 13 September, the swell drops to 5 ft and stays clean with offshore wind. Fun but less hair-raising.
Then comes a lull early next week—Monday and Tuesday, 14 and 15 September, are poor: small, onshore wind, energy in the low hundreds. Not worth the paddles.
Wednesday, 16 September, gets another strong pulse: 8 ft SW swell, 16-second period, glassy in the afternoon. Combined energy is 3993—real power. That’s your second-best bet.
Friday, 18 September serves up 7 ft SW with clean offshore wind—solid.
The second week gets wild. Sunday, 20 September, dumps 10 ft SW with near gale winds—skip it. Monday, 21 September, sees 10 ft SW and 18-second period but onshore wind, so no good.
Tuesday, 22 September is 8 ft SW with light cross-on. Then Wednesday, 23 September brings 5 ft, 18-second groundswell and moderate wind. Long period means it’ll break straight on this beach-reef set—better for points, but still rideable.
If you can only paddle out once, make it Friday, 11 September morning. Glassy, strong, clean. After that, Wednesday, 16 September arvo is your call.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 12°C on Wed afternoon, min 10°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SSW on Wed morning, calm by Fri night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Sun afternoon, min 10°C on Sat morning). Winds increasing (calm on Sat morning, fresh winds from the N by Sun night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 10 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 6128 | 7992 | 8703 | 5849 | 4437 | 2741 | 2010 | 2559 | 3353 | 2653 | 2094 | 1719 | 1123 | 871 | 598 | 352 | 249 | 1106 | 3514 | 2961 | 2191 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | on | cross-on | on | on | on | glassy | cross-on | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 8:58PM1.19m | 10:41AM1.24m | 10:31PM1.22m | 11:44AM1.29m | 11:52PM1.31m | 12:34PM1.35m | 00:55AM1.41m | 1:17PM1.41m | 1:47AM1.49m | 1:55PM1.45m | 2:32AM1.54m | 2:30PM1.47m | 3:14AM1.55m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 3:11PM0.74m | 3:47AM0.36m | 4:42PM0.65m | 5:10AM0.36m | 5:52PM0.51m | 6:17AM0.34m | 6:46PM0.38m | 7:11AM0.33m | 7:31PM0.27m | 7:56AM0.35m | 8:12PM0.19m | 8:36AM0.38m | 8:49PM0.15m | ||||||||
 | |  |  | | | | | | | |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:31 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — |
 | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:06 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:08 | — | — | 6:09 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 18 | 16 | 20 | 22 | 19 | 19 | 18 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 10 |
Feels °C | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 17 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 20 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 18 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 |
| kJ | 1648 | 7992 | 8703 | 5849 | 4437 | 2741 | 2010 | 2559 | 3353 | 2653 | 2094 | 1719 | 1123 | 871 | 598 | 352 | 249 | 109 | 2878 | 2961 | 2191 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 21 | SSW 19 | S 18 | SSW 17 | S 16 | S 14 | SSW 16 | SSW 17 | S 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 13 | SW 20 | WSW 7 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 566 | 476 | 675 | 476 | 183 | 107 | 196 | 390 | 251 | 149 | 97 | 97 | 48 | 23 | 35 | 15 | 35 | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 19 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 320 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 58 | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | S 6 | S 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 3 | NNW 4 | N 4 | N 4 | NNW 4 | SW 10 | SW 13 | — | — |
| kJ | 6128 | 78 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | 11 | 33 | 10 | 29 | 1106 | 3514 | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 548 | 501 | 40 | 33 | 33 | 24 | 3 | 24 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 27 | 42 | 27 | 2 | 36 | 35 | 33 | 33 | 25 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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