Rye Ocean Beach Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.39° S 144.78° E

Rye Ocean Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 am 31 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Rye Ocean Beach sea temperature is
13.3°C
0.5° 

Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 30 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 31 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 14s period, SW swell with cross-onshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 5 Sep, 7PM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 16s period, WSW swell with 13,743 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 31 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 14s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:

The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 31) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.1m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 22s. The wind is predicted to be cross-onshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 5.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 05) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 5s period and expected on Monday (Sep 07) at 7AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7AM (Mon 31st Aug)7ft (2.1m) 14s
Best Surf 7AM (Mon 31st Aug)7ft (2.1m) 14s
Most Powerful 7PM (Sat 5th Sep)18ft (5.5m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s happening at Rye Ocean Beach.

Water temp is about normal for the season—nothing to write home about.

The action starts Monday the 31st of August with a solid SW groundswell. Monday morning brings a 7 ft swell from the SW with a 14-second period and a light NW cross breeze. The combined energy is strong (2026), and it glassed off in the afternoon with a 3 mph easterly—clean as glass. But this beach-and-reef setup is already pushing into expert territory at that size. If you’re experienced, Monday afternoon is a jewel, but most folks will find it too big.

Tuesday the 1st of September drops to 6 ft in the morning, still a long 15-second period, but the wind is cross-off from the north at 28 mph. The energy is still strong (1539), but that wind is howling—clean but bumpy. The afternoon goes to 5 ft with a fresh breeze, still marginal.

Then we hit a rough patch. Wednesday the 2nd of September through Thursday the 3rd sees the swell pump to 7 ft, 10 ft, even 13 ft, with cross-on winds and massive energy (up to 11296). It’s lumpy, choppy, and blown out—kite surfing territory, not paddle surfing. Friday the 4th cleans up with cross-off winds but the swell is 12 ft to 10 ft with a 16-second period—still too big for all but the hardcore.

Saturday the 5th is a total write-off: near gale winds, 15 ft to 16 ft swell, chaos. Sunday the 6th shows some relief with 8 ft in the morning and 8 ft in the afternoon, and the wind goes glassy from the NE at 3 mph. That afternoon session could be glassy and fun if you’re confident, but it’s still a heavy paddle.

From Monday the 7th of September, the swell backs off to 6 ft to 5 ft with clean winds, but the energy drops (716 to 879) and conditions are only marginal. A lull through mid-week, with the swell bouncing between 5 ft and 12 ft, often too big or with poor winds.

Now, here’s the standout: Sunday the 13th of September. The morning brings a 6 ft swell from the SW with a very long 18-second period, glassy conditions with a light NE breeze at 3 mph, and strong energy (2722). This break loves SW swells, and that’s exactly what’s coming. Glassy, long-period groundswell, manageable for experienced surfers—this is the pick of the fortnight. The afternoon bumps to 7 ft with a light cross breeze, still good but more push.

The rest of the second week is more of the same: big swells, often too big, with clean windows on Monday the 14th and Tuesday the 15th of September, but the swell is 8 ft to 13 ft—only for experts. Energy stays high (over 2900), so there’s plenty of power, but it’s not a beginner’s game.

To sum it up: the first few days are mixed—too big or blown out, with a glassy window on Monday the 31st afternoon that’s solid but heavy. The real highlight is Sunday the 13th of September—glassy, long-period, and clean. Circle that one.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Some drizzle, heaviest during Tue night. Very mild (max 19°C on Tue afternoon, min 9°C on Mon morning). Winds increasing (calm on Mon afternoon, strong winds from the N by Tue morning).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri morning, min 9°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (moderate winds from the NNW on Thu night, near gales from the WNW by Sat morning).

Monday
31
Tuesday
1
Wednesday
2
Thursday
3
Friday
4
Saturday
5
Sunday
6
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
!
!
!
1
1
1
0
!
!
0
0
!
!
!
0
0
!
!
!
!
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.1
SW
14
2.1
SW
14
2.2
SW
16
1.8
SW
15
1.5
SW
15
1.5
SW
14
1.9
SW
15
2.1
SW
16
2.4
SW
14
3
SW
14
4.5
WSW
13
3.5
SW
15
3
SW
15
3
SW
15
2.5
SW
15
3
SW
14
5
WSW
14
4
SW
16
3
SW
16
2.4
SW
15
1.8
SW
13
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1729
1688
2475
1456
936
890
1606
2129
2391
2815
6788
5377
4279
4085
2906
4222
10098
9507
4704
2483
1197
Wind (km/h)
10
WNW
5
E
20
NNW
40
N
30
NNW
30
NW
25
W
20
W
35
NW
30
W
25
WSW
30
WNW
30
N
35
N
45
NNW
60
WNW
50
W
25
WNW
20
NNW
40
N
20
E
Wind State
cross-on
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
1:51PM1.36m
2:12AM1.40m
2:21PM1.40m
2:56AM1.46m
2:51PM1.42m
3:39AM1.49m
3:22PM1.44m
4:22AM1.49m
3:55PM1.44m
5:09AM1.45m
4:33PM1.42m
6:00AM1.38m
5:17PM1.37m
Low Tide
8:03PM0.34m
8:21AM0.37m
8:37PM0.25m
8:59AM0.42m
9:13PM0.18m
9:36AM0.48m
9:50PM0.13m
10:13AM0.54m
10:31PM0.12m
10:53AM0.62m
11:16PM0.13m
11:38AM0.68m
00:08AM0.18m
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
light rain
part cloud
clear
cloud
rain showers
part cloud
clear
part cloud
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
heavy rain
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:45
6:43
6:41
6:41
6:39
6:37
6:35
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:57
5:58
5:59
6:00
6:00
6:00
6:01
 mm
1
3
1
4
1
13
Temp °C
10
13
13
18
19
15
14
15
13
14
13
12
15
15
15
13
14
11
14
15
14
Feels °C
9
11
10
10
12
9
9
11
5
7
8
6
8
9
6
1
4
4
7
7
9
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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