Rye Ocean Beach Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.39° S 144.78° E

Rye Ocean Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 am 02 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Rye Ocean Beach sea temperature is
13.5°C
0.8° 

Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 1 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 2 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 16s period, SW swell with cross-onshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 3 Sep, 1PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 13s period, WSW swell with 6,373 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 2 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 16s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:

The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 02) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.1m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 17s. Another secondary swell of 0.9m and 6s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-onshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 4.5m 13s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 03) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 4s period and expected on Saturday (Sep 05) at 7AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10AM (Wed 2nd Sep)7ft (2.1m) 16s
Best Surf10AM (Wed 2nd Sep)7ft (2.1m) 16s
Most Powerful 1PM (Thu 3rd Sep)15ft (4.5m) 13s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s break down the 16-day outlook for Rye Ocean Beach.

The first few days are a total washout. Wednesday morning starts with a 2.1m SW swell, 16-second period, but a cross-on 20 km/h wind from the WNW has it choppy and messy. The energy is reading 2427 (moderate). The water is 14°, which is normal for the season. The swell is simply too big and ugly for a beginner break. Wednesday afternoon and all of Thursday worsen with stronger winds and bigger, lumpier surf. Nothing to even think about.

Friday morning, September 4th, offers a clean-up with a 3.5m SW swell, 16-second period, and a cross-off wind from the NNW at 25 km/h. The energy is 5570 (strong). This is a big, powerful groundswell, and at 3.5m, it’s for experts only. The surf will be clean, but it’s a serious step up.

After a few blown-out days, Sunday afternoon, September 6th, is a real standout. The swell drops to 1.8m from the SW, period 14 seconds, and the wind goes glassy – 5 km/h. The energy is 1297 (moderate). This is excellent for experienced surfers. Clean, lined-up waves with that moderate energy. Crowds are possible, so expect some company.

The next gem is Monday morning, September 8th. The swell is only 1.3m, but the period is a very long 18 seconds. Wind is light cross-off from the NNW. The energy is 1667 (moderate). That long-period groundswell will wrap into the reef and point sections, making for some long, clean walls. It’s small but quality, for the experienced surfer.

Then on Thursday morning, September 10th, another big one – a 3.5m SW swell, 17-second period, with glassy wind from the north. The energy is massive at 8635 (very strong). This is a serious, clean, big-wave day for experts only.

After that, the weekend of the 12th-13th has some smaller, average surf. Sunday morning, September 13th, offers a nice 1.6m SW swell with glassy conditions, energy at 923 (moderate). Clean and fun, but not a standout.

The second week is a bit of a gamble. The 15th has some moderate swell with onshore winds, making it choppy. The 17th of September looks promising again with a 3.5m to 4.5m SW swell, 16-17 seconds, and clean cross-off wind. The energy is huge (7062 – strong). This is another expert-only prospect, but it’s a long way off.

Bottom line: Sunday afternoon, September 6th, and Monday morning, September 8th, are the best bets for experienced surfers. Thursday, September 10th, is for the big-wave crew. The first week is a no-go for beginners.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 14mm), heaviest on Fri night. Very mild (max 16°C on Fri afternoon, min 9°C on Thu night). Mainly strong winds.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Sat morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat morning, min 10°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (near gales from the WNW on Sat morning, calm by Sun afternoon).

Wednesday
2
Thursday
3
Friday
4
Saturday
5
Sunday
6
Monday
7
Tuesday
8
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
!
0
!
0
0
!
!
!
!
0
0
0
!
4
2
1
0
3
4
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.1
SW
16
2.3
SW
15
2.5
SW
14
3
SW
14
4
WSW
14
3.5
SW
15
3.5
SW
16
3
SW
16
2.5
SW
16
2.3
SW
15
3
WSW
15
2
SW
14
2.2
SW
14
1.8
SW
14
1.6
SW
12
1.3
SW
13
1.1
SW
13
0.8
SW
20
1.3
SW
18
1.9
SW
17
1.8
SW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
2269
2553
2680
3647
6221
5476
5330
4605
3544
2437
4209
1401
1929
1215
736
511
357
548
1124
2140
1664
Wind (km/h)
20
WNW
30
W
35
NNW
35
W
30
W
30
WNW
25
NNW
15
NW
40
N
50
WNW
50
W
30
WSW
15
WNW
5
W
10
SW
10
WNW
15
SSW
10
SE
10
NNW
25
SSW
40
SSW
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
on
cross-on
on
cross
cross-off
on
on
High Tide
2:51PM1.42m
3:39AM1.49m
3:22PM1.44m
4:22AM1.49m
3:55PM1.44m
5:09AM1.45m
4:33PM1.42m
6:00AM1.38m
5:17PM1.37m
6:59AM1.31m
6:13PM1.30m
8:07AM1.24m
7:28PM1.23m
Low Tide
9:13PM0.18m
9:36AM0.48m
9:50PM0.13m
10:13AM0.54m
10:31PM0.12m
10:53AM0.62m
11:16PM0.13m
11:38AM0.68m
00:08AM0.18m
12:33PM0.74m
1:09AM0.25m
1:44PM0.76m
2:23AM0.32m
clear
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heavy rain
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part cloud
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clear
clear
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<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:41
6:41
6:39
6:37
6:35
6:35
6:33
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:59
6:00
6:00
6:00
6:01
6:02
6:04
 mm
1
13
3
2
Temp °C
14
14
13
13
13
12
14
16
15
14
13
13
14
14
13
13
13
12
13
13
12
Feels °C
9
7
6
5
6
6
9
12
7
4
3
7
11
12
10
10
9
10
11
9
6
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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