Surf Forecasts:
Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 13 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 15 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 14s period, SW swell with cross-shore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 14 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 15s period, WSW swell with 8,092 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 15 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 14s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.5m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 15s. The wind is predicted to be cross-shore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 4.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Monday (Jul 20) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10AM (Wed 15th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 10AM (Wed 15th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Tue 14th Jul) | 15ft (4.5m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, I’m Rusty, and I’ve been looking at the charts for your local spot. Let’s call it like it is – the first few days are a total washout. We’ve got a big, raw swell, but it’s all blown out. The good news is that by the end of the week, things clean up and we get a proper session.
Right now, the swell is huge and ugly. Tuesday the 14th is a complete no-go with a 13ft swell from the WSW and a 22-25 mph onshore wind wrecking it. The energy is massive (13657), but it’s lumpy and dangerous. Wednesday the 15th and Thursday the 16th are still too big, with 8ft to 8ft swell and the wind and tide are all wrong. Friday the 17th is still oversized for most, but the wind starts to turn. Friday afternoon sees a 8ft groundswell from the SW with a very long period of 17 seconds, and the wind goes glassy – calm. That’s a sign of things to come, but it’s still a big, powerful wave only for experienced surfers.
Now, here’s the standout. Saturday the 18th is the best of the whole outlook. The swell drops to a clean 6ft from the SW, with a 14-second period – that’s proper groundswell. The wind is offshore from the N at 9 mph, keeping it clean. The energy is still solid at 1271. This is excellent surf for experienced surfers. The water temp is about 57°F, which is pretty normal for this time of year. If you’re a beginner, this one is still a touch big (over 5ft), so Saturday afternoon is your go, with the swell easing to 5ft, the wind going light offshore from the NE, and the break cleaning up. It’s a beach and reef setup, so watch the banks.
Sunday the 19th sees the swell drop to 4ft, and the wind stays offshore, but the energy is weaker (432). It’s a smaller, cleaner day. Monday the 20th and Tuesday the 21st are poor, with strong winds and weak, messy surf. Wednesday the 22nd afternoon has a chance – a 4ft swell with glassy conditions, but it’s small.
After that, the second week gets patchy. There’s a spike of swell on Friday the 24th with 6ft, but that’s ruined by a 25-28 mph cross-offshore wind. Saturday the 25th is a write-off with onshore winds. The last real hope is Tuesday the 28th afternoon, where a 5ft swell from the SW meets very light wind, but it’s a marginal call.
So, bottom line: Saturday the 18th is your best day. Get out there early morning for the biggest, cleanest waves, or go for the afternoon session if you want something a bit more manageable. The crowds are only “sometimes” a problem at Rye Ocean Beach, so you should get plenty of waves.
Stay safe, and I’ll see you in the water.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Tue morning, min 9°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WSW on Tue afternoon, calm by Thu night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 9°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 7606 | 6242 | 4234 | 2570 | 2166 | 2125 | 2350 | 2416 | 2010 | 2035 | 3314 | 2129 | 1271 | 804 | 535 | 330 | 232 | 249 | 502 | 262 | 489 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 11:27AM1.43m | 10:21PM1.31m | 12:30PM1.49m | 11:37PM1.33m | 1:23PM1.54m | 00:50AM1.36m | 2:10PM1.57m | 1:56AM1.40m | 2:53PM1.59m | 2:54AM1.43m | 3:33PM1.59m | 3:48AM1.45m | 4:10PM1.57m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:09PM0.87m | 5:20AM0.20m | 6:24PM0.78m | 6:26AM0.18m | 7:25PM0.67m | 7:26AM0.17m | 8:17PM0.55m | 8:19AM0.20m | 9:03PM0.45m | 9:08AM0.26m | 9:47PM0.38m | 9:53AM0.34m | 10:29PM0.33m | ||||||||
 |  |  | |  |  | | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — |
 | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 12 |
Feels °C | 6 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | — | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | WSW 12 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 |
| kJ | 6051 | — | 4234 | 2570 | 2166 | 2125 | 2350 | 2416 | 2010 | 2035 | 3314 | 2129 | 1271 | 804 | 535 | 330 | 232 | 111 | 502 | 262 | 489 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | S 13 | SSW 16 | S 16 | SSW 15 | SW 20 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | — | — | SW 22 | SW 20 | SW 20 | SW 18 | SSW 10 | WSW 12 | S 15 |
| kJ | — | — | 131 | 43 | 70 | 92 | 84 | 122 | 42 | 483 | 224 | 82 | — | — | 19 | 63 | 97 | 249 | 20 | 47 | 17 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 20 | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 20 | S 20 | SSW 11 | S 16 | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | 39 | 7 | 40 | 20 | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 15 | SW 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 3 | N 4 | N 4 | N 4 |
| kJ | 7606 | 6242 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 12 | 10 | 13 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 40 | 478 | 24 | 25 | 24 | 23 | 15 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 16 | 2 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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