Rye Ocean Beach Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.39° S 144.78° E

Rye Ocean Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 pm 14 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Rye Ocean Beach sea temperature is
13.1° C
0.4° 

Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 14 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 15 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 15s period, SW swell with onshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 15 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 15s period, SW swell with 3,357 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 15 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 15s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:

The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 15) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 15s. The wind is predicted to be onshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 3.0m 15s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 15) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 5s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 20) at 7PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Sat 15th Aug)10ft (3.0m) 15s
Best Surf 4AM (Sat 15th Aug)10ft (3.0m) 15s
Most Powerful 4AM (Sat 15th Aug)10ft (3.0m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming down the line for Rye Ocean Beach.

Right off the bat, we’ve got a big, powerful groundswell pushing in, but it’s a bit of a double-edged sword. The water temp is sitting at 56°, which is about average for this time of year. The first few days are a write-off for most of us because the swell is just too damn big. You’re looking at 10 ft on Friday the 14th, with a massive combined energy of 4104. The wind is onshore too, so it’s a messy, dangerous beast. Saturday the 15th is similar, still too big at 8 ft, even with lighter winds.

The real window opens on Sunday morning, August 16th. The swell has dropped to a still-chunky 6 ft from the SW, but the wind is light offshore from the ENE. It’s clean, the energy is still very solid at 1440, and with a period of 14 seconds, those waves will have some real push. This is for experienced surfers only, though—6 ft at this spot with that energy is not a beginner wave. Sunday afternoon gets a bit smaller and more cross-shore, so make the most of the morning.

Monday the 17th and Tuesday the 18th are the sweet spot for the average surfer. The swell drops to a friendly 4 ft to 5 ft, still from the SW. Tuesday morning is the standout here: clean, offshore wind from the NNE, and the combined energy is a moderate 877. The period stays around 14 seconds, so you’ll get nice, lined-up waves. It’s a very good call.

After that, the swell fades and the wind howls. Wednesday the 19th through Friday the 21st are mostly a bust with strong winds and tiny, blown-out surf. Things pick up just a little on Thursday afternoon, but it’s nothing to write home about.

Then we get a pulse of energy. Saturday the 22nd is a write-off again with strong onshore winds, but Sunday morning, August 23rd, shows 7 ft SW swell with a cross-onshore wind. It’s a bit lumpy and, again, too big for beginners. The energy is nearly 2000, so it’s powerful.

Now, here’s a real tease for the long-range. Monday, August 24th, is going to be a monster. We’re talking 13 ft from the SW with a combined energy of 7481. That’s a massive, powerful swell. The wind is light offshore in the morning and goes glassy calm in the afternoon. This is not a day for the faint of heart—expert surfers only, and you’ll need a big board and a bigger pair. The water temp info for this late date isn’t available, but the swell period is 17 seconds, which is very long. That kind of period will make it break deep and straight at a beach break like this, so points and reefs would be better, but if you’re a charger, the power will be incredible.

The rest of that week and into the next is a mess of strong wind and fading swell, with one last glimmer on Saturday morning, August 29th. It’s only 6 ft WSW, but the wind is glassy calm. The period is a short 11 seconds, so it won’t have the same grunt, but if you want a clean, smaller wave to finish the run, that’s your window.

Best on offer: Without a doubt, Sunday morning, August 16th, for the clean, powerful, experienced-surfer waves. For the everyday surfer, Tuesday morning, August 18th, is your best bet with consistent, clean, manageable waves. The big Monday on the 24th is a true standout for the experts, but it’s a long way off and conditions can change.

Rusty, signing off.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon afternoon, min 10°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Thu morning. Very mild (max 17°C on Tue afternoon, min 11°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNE on Tue afternoon, strong winds from the N by Wed morning).

Saturday
15
Sunday
16
Monday
17
Tuesday
18
Wednesday
19
Thursday
20
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
!
!
!
!
4
1
2
2
3
3
3
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3
SW
15
2.5
SW
15
2.4
SW
15
2.1
SW
14
1.8
SW
14
1.7
SW
14
1.6
SW
14
1.6
SW
14
1.7
SW
16
1.7
SW
15
1.3
SW
14
1.3
SW
14
1.1
SW
16
0.9
SW
14
0.7
SW
15
0.6
WSW
14
0.5
SW
18
0.9
SW
16
0.9
SW
13
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
3672
2982
2516
1863
1336
1139
990
885
1456
1246
667
630
532
305
236
140
157
381
257
Wind (km/h)
20
SSW
5
SE
20
SSW
20
SE
10
ESE
20
SSE
15
E
15
ENE
20
ESE
15
ENE
20
NE
10
NNE
20
NE
40
N
45
N
30
N
25
NNW
20
W
35
WNW
Wind State
cross-on
glassy
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross
High Tide
00:55AM1.36m
1:48PM1.48m
1:55AM1.43m
2:28PM1.52m
2:47AM1.48m
3:05PM1.53m
3:35AM1.50m
3:39PM1.53m
4:18AM1.48m
4:10PM1.50m
5:00AM1.44m
4:40PM1.46m
Low Tide
7:21AM0.23m
7:57PM0.40m
8:10AM0.25m
8:41PM0.30m
8:55AM0.30m
9:21PM0.24m
9:35AM0.38m
9:59PM0.21m
10:12AM0.47m
10:36PM0.22m
10:48AM0.56m
11:11PM0.24m
cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:07
7:05
7:05
7:03
7:01
7:01
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:43
5:44
5:45
5:45
5:46
5:47
 mm
4
4
1
Temp °C
13
13
13
14
12
13
14
13
15
13
15
17
15
13
12
13
14
16
10
Feels °C
8
10
9
9
10
10
11
10
10
10
11
14
11
4
3
7
9
11
4
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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