
Surf Forecasts:
Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 5 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 8 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 18s period, SW swell with cross-shore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 13 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 14s period, SW swell with 3,187 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 6 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 14s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 06) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 14s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 3.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 5s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 12) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10AM (Mon 6th Jul) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 4PM (Wed 8th Jul) | 7ft (2.2m) 18s |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Mon 13th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s in store for Rye Ocean Beach over the coming weeks.
Alright mate, this stretch has a solid run of clean, punchy groundswells lining up, starting almost immediately and rolling through the first week. The water is sitting at 57.7°, which is just about spot on for the time of year – nothing weird going on there.
Monday morning kicks us off with a clean 5.6 ft SW groundswell, period a lovely 14 seconds, and a light NNE offshore. The energy is strong at 1383, so there’s some proper push behind it. This is excellent for experienced surfers – it’s got size and shape. Later Monday afternoon, the wind goes glassy from the SSE, and the swell drops slightly to 4.6 ft. That’s a real treat for a sunset session, very clean.
Tuesday morning looks just as good – still 4.9 ft from the SW, a very long 17-second period, and a cross-off breeze. That’s groundswell gold. The combined energy is pumping at 1559. Tuesday afternoon sees a cross-shore wind creep in, so the morning is the pick. Wednesday morning is the standout of the week: 5.2 ft, 18-second period, offshore ENE, and the energy rockets up to 2524. That’s a powerful, long-period pulse, perfect for this exposed reef-and-beach setup. Just be aware, with that long period, the waves could be a little straight on the beach sections, but the reef will sort it out. Wednesday afternoon gets a bit big at 7.2 ft, and the energy is huge at 3110, but it starts crossing up – that one is for the experienced crew only.
Thursday and Friday continue the run of clean 4.6 ft to 5.2 ft swells with offshore or cross-off winds, plenty of energy in the 800 to 1200 range. Consistent and fun.
Then we hit a wall. From Saturday the 11th right through to Friday the 17th, it’s a write-off. Strong winds, onshore gales, and messy, blown-out conditions. A couple of those days have big swell – over 9.8 ft on the 13th – but with a 31 mph onshore gale, it’s a full-on kite session, not a paddle one. Just skip it.
Finally, the forecast picks up again on Saturday the 18th. A smaller, clean 3.9 ft SW groundswell with a cross-off breeze and gentle winds. Energy is moderate at 771, but the conditions are clean. Sunday the 19th sees a bump back up to 5.6 ft from the WSW with a moderate breeze, though the quality is a bit more marginal. There’s a big, clean pulse on Tuesday the 21st – 8.2 ft SW, 15-second period, and a strong offshore – but that’s a long way off and it might be a bit too much for this break. We’ll see.
The real standout is Wednesday morning, July 8th. That 5.2 ft, 18-second groundswell from the SW with a clean offshore breeze and strong energy (2524) is about as good as it gets for experienced surfers at Rye Ocean Beach. Get it before it gets too big in the afternoon.
Stay wet, Rye crew.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Tue night, min 8°C on Mon morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Very mild (max 13°C on Fri afternoon, min 8°C on Thu morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the ENE on Thu afternoon, near gales from the N by Sat night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | WSW 12 | WSW 16 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
1179 | 810 | 503 | 1282 | 1096 | 1169 | 1606 | 2888 | 1571 | 1028 | 836 | 1437 | 1164 | 966 | 623 | 469 | 424 | 290 | 299 | 251 | 1373 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | glassy | glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-off | off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on |
High Tide | 4:01PM1.49m | 4:09AM1.31m | 4:31PM1.47m | 4:58AM1.33m | 5:01PM1.45m | 5:51AM1.34m | 5:34PM1.44m | 6:49AM1.35m | 6:14PM1.42m | 7:52AM1.35m | 7:01PM1.39m | 9:01AM1.36m | 7:59PM1.36m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:17PM0.49m | 10:11AM0.44m | 10:52PM0.43m | 10:52AM0.53m | 11:30PM0.38m | 11:35AM0.63m | 00:13AM0.33m | 12:23PM0.74m | 1:03AM0.30m | 1:20PM0.83m | 1:59AM0.27m | 2:27PM0.89m | 3:02AM0.25m | ||||||||
7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | |
— | 5:12 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
Temp °C | 10 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 9 |
Feels °C | 9 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | WSW 12 | WSW 16 |
1179 | 810 | 503 | 1282 | 1096 | 1169 | 1606 | 2888 | 1571 | 1028 | 836 | 1437 | 1164 | 966 | 623 | 469 | 424 | 290 | 299 | 251 | 1373 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 6 | SE 5 | SW 19 | SW 13 | SSW 16 | SSW 24 | SW 14 | S 18 | ESE 5 | SE 5 | SE 4 | SSW 18 | S 15 | S 14 | — | — | — | E 10 | SW 18 | SW 18 | NW 4 |
32 | 10 | 57 | 277 | 51 | 55 | 667 | 222 | 20 | 6 | 5 | 108 | 40 | 34 | — | — | — | 2 | 13 | 79 | 4 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 14 | — | SE 5 | — | — | ESE 12 | S 19 | — | — | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | E 12 | — |
204 | — | 3 | — | — | 14 | 251 | — | — | 47 | 44 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | E 5 | — | — | — | — | — | N 3 | N 4 | N 4 | N 5 | NNW 4 | N 3 | WSW 4 |
9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 33 | 59 | 115 | 19 | 5 | 26 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 52 | 70 | 128 | 192 | 483 | 36 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










