
Surf Forecasts:
Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 9 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 10 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 17s period, SW swell with onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 9 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 17s period, SW swell with 9,053 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 10 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 17s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.5m and 17s period with a secondary swell of 1.0m and 18s. The wind is predicted to be onshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 4.0m 17s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 4s period and expected on Monday (Sep 14) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 17s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 17s |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Wed 9th Sep) | 13ft (4.0m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here, lookin’ at what’s on offer for Rye Ocean Beach over the next couple of weeks. Honestly, this stretch is gonna be a tough one for the average punter. There’s a massive pulse of south-west swell rollin’ in, but it’s comin’ with some real nasty wind most of the time, and the size is just too much for a beach-and-reef setup like this. The stand-out window is actually the middle of the second week, but even then, it’s a big, powerful swell that’ll only suit the crew with plenty of experience.
Wednesday the 9th is a write-off. We’re talkin’ a solid 11.5 ft to 13.1 ft of SW swell, but it’s gettin’ smashed by a strong, onshore wind. The wave energy is crazy high (8880 to 9640), but it’s just a messy, blown-out mess. Not worth paddlin’ out.
Thursday the 10th and Friday the 11th, the swell is still chunky, sittin’ between 7.5 ft and 11.5 ft, with that 15 to 16 second period groundswell. The water temp is about 56.3°, which is pretty normal for this time of year. The wind does improve, especially Friday morning when it goes glassy, but the problem is the size—it’s just too big for this break. The wave energy is still strong (2268 to 6325), so it’s a powerful ocean, but it’s a pass for the average surfer.
Saturday the 12th is the first real glimmer of hope. The swell drops to a more manageable 7.2 ft to 7.9 ft from the SW, period at 15 seconds, and we get a clean, light cross-offshore breeze. The wave energy is still notable (2215 to 2837), but the conditions are clean. This is about as good as it gets before the size drops off, but it’s still a big, powerful wave for a beginner.
Sunday the 13th and Monday the 14th see the swell fade right down to 3.3 ft to 5.2 ft, and the wave energy drops to weak levels (367 to 1174). The wind stays clean, but the surf is just marginal. Not a great bet.
Then we get into a real messy patch. Tuesday the 15th through to Saturday the 19th, the swell pumps back up to 6.9 ft to 9.8 ft, with strong wave energy (1334 to 3273), but the wind is consistently onshore or cross-onshore, ruining the surface. There are a few clean windows on the 16th, 17th, and 19th where the wind is off, but the swell is still too big for the break. It’s a frustrating run of powerful swell that’s just not alignin’ with the wind.
Sunday the 20th and Monday the 21st are a letdown, with messy wind and weak-to-moderate energy.
Now, here’s the real standout window. Tuesday the 22nd of September. The swell is 6.9 ft to 7.5 ft from the SW, with a very long 16 to 17 second period. That’s a proper groundswell. The wind is a clean, strong cross-offshore from the north. The wave energy is strong (2433 to 3203). This is the best on offer. It’s a big, powerful ocean, but with that clean wind and long-period swell, it’ll be a special day for the experienced surfer. The long period will make the sets a bit more spaced out, and it’ll hold up well on the reef. The crowds are likely here, so get out early.
After that, Wednesday the 23rd and Thursday the 24th get messy again, with onshore wind and huge swell, so that Tuesday is your only real shot.
So, overall, Rye Ocean Beach is a tale of two halves. The first week is a washout. The second week has that one killer day on the 22nd of September for the advanced crew. For everyone else, it’s mostly a blank run. Stay tuned, though, it won’t be this ugly forever.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 12°C on Wed afternoon, min 10°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the SSW on Wed morning, calm by Fri morning). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Sun afternoon, min 10°C on Sat morning). Winds increasing (calm on Sat morning, fresh winds from the N by Sun morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 8 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
6346 | 9006 | 8412 | 5849 | 4437 | 2741 | 2140 | 2741 | 3396 | 2688 | 2122 | 1654 | 1123 | 975 | 598 | 352 | 290 | 445 | 3013 | 2639 | 2006 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | on | cross-on | on | on | on | glassy | cross-on | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | on | on | on | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 8:58PM1.19m | 10:41AM1.24m | 10:31PM1.22m | 11:44AM1.29m | 11:52PM1.31m | 12:34PM1.35m | 00:55AM1.41m | 1:17PM1.41m | 1:47AM1.49m | 1:55PM1.45m | 2:32AM1.54m | 2:30PM1.47m | 3:14AM1.55m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 3:11PM0.74m | 3:47AM0.36m | 4:42PM0.65m | 5:10AM0.36m | 5:52PM0.51m | 6:17AM0.34m | 6:46PM0.38m | 7:11AM0.33m | 7:31PM0.27m | 7:56AM0.35m | 8:12PM0.19m | 8:36AM0.38m | 8:49PM0.15m | ||||||||
6:31 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | |
— | 6:05 | — | — | 6:06 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:08 | — | — | 6:09 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 18 | 16 | 21 | 22 | 19 | 20 | 17 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
Feels °C | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 13 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 20 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 10 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 |
1648 | 9006 | 8412 | 5849 | 4437 | 2741 | 2140 | 2741 | 3396 | 2688 | 2122 | 1654 | 1123 | 975 | 598 | 352 | 290 | 290 | 3013 | 2639 | 2006 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 21 | SSW 19 | S 18 | SSW 17 | S 16 | S 14 | S 13 | SSW 17 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | S 14 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 18 | — | — | SSW 14 |
566 | 476 | 675 | 476 | 183 | 107 | 128 | 385 | 240 | 149 | 93 | 86 | 51 | 24 | 15 | 15 | 58 | 111 | — | — | 40 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 19 | — | — | — | — |
320 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 37 | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | S 6 | S 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 3 | NW 3 | N 4 | N 4 | WNW 4 | SW 8 | — | — | — |
6346 | 158 | 126 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | 3 | 13 | 21 | 38 | 445 | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 538 | 1507 | 40 | 33 | 33 | 24 | 3 | 24 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 2 | 40 | 27 | 33 | 33 | 11 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










