Surf Forecasts:
Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 12 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 13 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period, SW swell with cross-onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 13 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 16s period, WSW swell with 6,330 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 13 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 13) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 15s. The wind is predicted to be cross-onshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 3.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 13) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 5s period and expected on Tuesday (Aug 18) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1PM (Thu 13th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 1PM (Thu 13th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Thu 13th Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s heading our way.
The first bit of the run is a write-off, no sugar-coating it. We’re looking at a solid gap of a few days with nothing worth paddling for. The swell is big and angry, with a strong southwest groundswell packing a serious punch – combined energy readings are sitting up in the thousands (9101, 5143, 4652). Winds are cross-onshore, making a mess of things. The water is sitting at 56°F, which is about bang on average for this time of year, so nothing unusual there.
It’s not until Sunday morning, August 16th, that things start to turn. That’s our standout window. Rye Ocean Beach (beach and reef) cleans right up with an offshore breeze from the ENE at 15 mph. The swell drops to a more manageable 6ft, still a solid southwest groundswell, but with a long period of 14 seconds, it’s going to have some muscle. The combined energy is still strong at 1355. This is a morning for experienced surfers only – that size and period at a beach and reef setup will be powerful and a bit thumping, but the conditions will be clean. The crowd factor is “sometimes” here, so you might have a few out, but it won’t be chaos.
Moving into Monday the 17th, the swell drops a touch more to 5ft, with a clean cross-offshore wind from the ENE. Combined energy is 988, still decent. The wave comment says “expect very good surf conditions,” and I’m feeling it.
Tuesday the 18th is another good call. The swell is down to 4ft, wind is light and cross-off from the NNE, and the water is clean. This is getting into easier territory, but still a good wave for it. The combined energy is 1109, so there’s a bit of push behind it.
After that, the swell fades away towards the end of the week. There’s a bit of a pulse around the 22nd, but the wind is messy and the energy is weird. Then we get a massive spike in swell again around the 23rd and 24th, but it’s all onshore junk – not for surfing.
The very end of the run, on August 27th, has a bit of promise. The swell is down to 5ft, wind is light and cross-off from the NW, with low energy (1167). The conditions are clean, but it’s a long way off, so keep an eye on it.
For the standout, I’m locking in Sunday morning, August 16th at Rye Ocean Beach. Clean offshore, 6ft southwest swell, powerful – that’s the one you want to be up early for.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Wed afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Wed afternoon, min 10°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the W on Wed afternoon, light winds from the SSE by Sat morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 8°C on Sun morning). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Wed 12 | Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 16 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 4752 | 6330 | 4978 | 4471 | 4678 | 4013 | 3672 | 3402 | 2633 | 2482 | 1830 | 1355 | 1147 | 938 | 978 | 1438 | 1262 | 667 | 763 | 532 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | on | on | cross | cross-on | cross-off | off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off |
High Tide | 10:20PM1.25m | 12:12PM1.38m | 11:43PM1.29m | 1:04PM1.43m | 00:55AM1.36m | 1:48PM1.48m | 1:55AM1.43m | 2:28PM1.52m | 2:47AM1.48m | 3:05PM1.53m | 3:35AM1.50m | 3:39PM1.53m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 4:55PM0.78m | 5:14AM0.26m | 6:11PM0.66m | 6:23AM0.24m | 7:09PM0.53m | 7:21AM0.23m | 7:57PM0.40m | 8:10AM0.25m | 8:41PM0.30m | 8:55AM0.30m | 9:21PM0.24m | 9:35AM0.38m | 9:59PM0.21m | |||||||
 |  |  |  |  | | | | | | |  | |  | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — |
 | 5:40 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:44 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — |
mm | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 11 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 15 |
Feels °C | 8 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 16 |
| kJ | 3458 | 4869 | 4978 | 4471 | 4678 | 4013 | 3672 | 3402 | 2633 | 2482 | 1830 | 1355 | 1147 | 938 | 978 | 1438 | 1262 | 667 | 763 | 532 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 19 | — | S 15 | S 16 | S 16 | S 17 | SSW 16 | S 15 | S 14 | S 16 | SSW 14 | — | SE 4 | — | SE 4 | SE 4 | SSW 16 | SW 18 | SSW 17 | ESE 4 |
| kJ | 891 | — | 165 | 181 | 242 | 140 | 191 | 163 | 96 | 129 | 265 | — | 4 | — | 10 | 5 | 47 | 442 | 28 | 6 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 17 | — | ESE 5 | — | SSW 16 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 55 | — | 9 | — | 24 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | E 4 | — | ESE 4 | ESE 4 | — | ESE 5 | — | E 5 | — |
| kJ | 4752 | 6330 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | — | 13 | 16 | — | 28 | — | 5 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 24 | 35 | 36 | 23 | 25 | 24 | 36 | 24 | 33 | 33 | 14 | 0 | 15 | 14 | 0 | 15 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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