
Surf Forecasts:
Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 4 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 10 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 17s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 12 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 19s period, SW swell with 7,299 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 7 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 15s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 07) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 3.5m 19s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.9m 6s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 09) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1PM (Fri 7th Aug) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 7PM (Mon 10th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 17s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Wed 12th Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 19s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it for Rye Ocean Beach.
We’re looking at a bit of a mixed bag for the next couple of weeks. The water’s sitting at 56° which is right about average for this time of year, so nothing wild there. The early part of the week is a write-off with poor conditions and strong onshore winds, so don’t even bother paddling out until we get to Friday.
Friday morning, August 7th, we start to see some life. Swell is 5 ft from the SW with a long 16-second period – that’s proper groundswell. The wind goes glassy by Friday afternoon, and with a combined energy of 1546, that’s a solid moderate pulse. This is your best bet for the near term: clean, lined-up waves, but it’s a bit too big for beginners. For the experienced crew, this is the standout.
Saturday the 8th keeps the swell around 5 ft to 6 ft from the SW, period holding at 16 seconds, but the wind picks up to a fresh 18 mph from the N. It’s cross-off, so the waves will be clean, but it’ll be a bit lumpy. The energy is still strong at over 1400, so there’s power, but the wind will make it tricky.
Sunday the 9th is a no-go – near gale force winds, don’t even think about it.
Then we hit a rough patch. From Monday the 10th through to about Wednesday the 12th, the swell gets big – 12 ft to 15 ft – but the wind is howling from the NW and W, making it a complete mess. The combined energy jumps into the thousands (11,265 on Monday afternoon), which is strong, but it’s just a blown-out, lumpy, cross-chop situation. This is kite-surfing territory, not paddle surfing.
From Thursday the 13th of August through to Tuesday the 18th, the swell stays solid, 8 ft to 12 ft from the SW, with periods between 15 and 18 seconds. The wind finally calms down, with light to moderate breezes and some offshore or cross-off conditions. The issue is, the swell is consistently too big for the break. The numbers are all there – 5,000 to 7,000 combined energy – but it’s just too much for Rye Ocean Beach. Even with clean conditions, 10 ft waves are only for experts. The best window in this stretch is probably Tuesday the 18th afternoon: 6 ft from the SW, 16-second period, 1858 energy, and a light ESE breeze keeping it clean. That’s a solid option for experienced surfers, but it’s still a late call.
After that, the swell drops back to 5 ft to 5 ft by Wednesday the 19th, but the wind is up again and the quality fades.
Overall, the best on offer is Friday afternoon, August 7th – glassy, 5 ft SW groundswell, great energy. Tuesday afternoon, August 18th is a promising long-range option, but don’t book the trip just yet. The rest of the window is either too small, too windy, or too big. Hang in there.
- Rusty
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Very mild (max 12°C on Wed morning, min 9°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WSW on Tue night, calm by Fri morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Sun night. Very mild (max 15°C on Sat morning, min 10°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNE on Fri night, near gales from the N by Sun morning). | ||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 10 | SW 9 | SW 19 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 16 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 16 | SW 19 | SW 17 | SW 16 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
730 | 336 | 339 | 537 | 248 | 406 | 686 | 1267 | 1171 | 1597 | 1350 | 1267 | 915 | 492 | 222 | 2793 | 2977 | 2191 | 3219 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross | cross |
High Tide | 3:56AM1.40m | 3:56PM1.46m | 4:42AM1.41m | 4:27PM1.45m | 5:30AM1.40m | 5:00PM1.44m | 6:24AM1.38m | 5:40PM1.41m | 7:25AM1.33m | 6:30PM1.37m | 8:34AM1.30m | 7:35PM1.31m | |||||||
Low Tide | 9:54AM0.45m | 10:21PM0.27m | 10:32AM0.54m | 10:59PM0.23m | 11:12AM0.63m | 11:43PM0.21m | 11:58AM0.72m | 00:33AM0.21m | 12:52PM0.80m | 1:32AM0.22m | 1:59PM0.85m | 2:40AM0.25m | |||||||
— | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:38 | — | |
mm | 4 | 2 | 2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | — | — | 3 |
Temp °C | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 13 |
Feels °C | 5 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 21 | SW 9 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 16 | SW 6 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | WSW 13 | SW 21 | SW 19 | SW 17 | SW 16 |
153 | 336 | 289 | 537 | 248 | 406 | 132 | 1267 | 1171 | 1597 | 1350 | 1267 | 915 | 492 | 219 | 735 | 2977 | 2191 | 3219 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 12 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 16 | S 8 | SW 18 | SW 7 | SW 19 | SSW 6 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SSW 21 | SSW 19 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 |
78 | 158 | 339 | 192 | 163 | 5 | 686 | 79 | 441 | 28 | 53 | 48 | 42 | 82 | 222 | 44 | 122 | 102 | 84 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 21 | SW 19 | SSW 18 | S 17 | S 8 | S 8 | SW 14 | SSW 16 | SW 7 | SW 6 | SSW 6 | — | — | SSW 14 | SW 24 | ESE 7 | ESE 10 | — | — |
9 | 236 | 32 | 23 | 1 | 1 | 214 | 51 | 47 | 20 | 4 | — | — | 20 | 23 | 5 | 10 | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 10 | — | SW 8 | — | NW 3 | WNW 4 | — | — | — | — | NNE 3 | N 4 | N 4 | N 5 | N 6 | WSW 16 | W 9 | WSW 11 | NNW 4 |
730 | — | 201 | — | 6 | 24 | — | — | — | — | 9 | 9 | 18 | 117 | 228 | 2793 | 575 | 1386 | 42 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 36 | 40 | 35 | 2 | 27 | 35 | 27 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 43 | 61 | 128 | 70 | 337 | 35 | 35 | 35 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











