Rye Ocean Beach Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.39° S 144.78° E

Rye Ocean Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 am 27 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Rye Ocean Beach sea temperature is
13.5° C
0.4° 

Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 27 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 1 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 18s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 29 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 16s period, SW swell with 11,133 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 31 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 12s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:

The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 31) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 20s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 4.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 5s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 10AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4PM (Fri 31st Jul)4.5ft (1.4m) 12s
Best Surf 7PM (Sat 1st Aug)7ft (2.1m) 18s
Most Powerful 7AM (Wed 29th Jul)15ft (4.5m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Right, folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ at Rye Ocean Beach.

First thing you gotta know – the water temp is sittin’ at 56°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so nothin’ wild there.

Honestly, the first few days are a write-off. The wind is howling and the ocean is a mess. Monday the 27th of July has some wave energy but the wind is rippin’ and the conditions are just marginal. Tuesday and Wednesday are even worse with that solid onshore wind, and by Wednesday the 29th the swell is crankin’ up to 15ft with a 16-second period, but the wind is a near gale, so it’s just a washing machine. You’d be mad to paddle out there. Thursday the 30th is still a no-go with strong cross-onshore winds and lumpy 7ft surf.

The first real glimmer of hope comes Friday the 31st of July. The morning is still a bit average, but the afternoon... oh boy. The wind drops to nothing – glassy conditions – and we’ve got a clean 5ft south-west swell with a 12-second period. The energy is moderate, and it’ll be a real treat for the beginner and intermediate crew. This is a standout window.

Saturday the 1st of August is also a beauty. Clear skies, a light offshore wind, and the swell builds to 5ft in the afternoon with a super long 16-second period from the south-west. The energy is strong, and the conditions are excellent for experienced surfers. The long period will give you some real grunt, but at a beach-and-reef spot like Rye Ocean Beach, it might wall up a bit, so keep your wits about you.

Sunday the 2nd has some swell but the wind is a strong breeze, so it’s gonna be bumpy and not worth the hassle. The start of the next week is a write-off again with onshore winds and rain. There’s a bit of a gap here with no real good surf until the following weekend.

Then we get a couple of promising days. The 8th of August, Saturday morning, is glassy with a light offshore wind and a 4ft, 14-second south-west swell. The energy is moderate. That’s a great session. The real standout of the whole 16-day stretch, though, is Saturday afternoon the 8th of August. The wind is glassy, the swell is 4ft with a very long 17-second period from the south-west, and the energy is strong. The conditions are excellent for experienced surfers, and the water will be like glass. The long period will make for some proper groundswell lines, but remember it can be a bit tricky at a beach break if it’s too straight. For a clean, glassy surf, this is the pick of the bunch.

The 9th of August is all blown out by a strong breeze, and the 10th and 11th are just messy with onshore and cross-shore winds. So, your best bet is the glassy afternoon of the 31st of July and, for a real treat, the afternoon of the 8th of August.

Rusty out.

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 14mm), heaviest on Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon afternoon, min 8°C on Tue afternoon). Winds increasing (light winds from the N on Mon morning, near gales from the WSW by Tue night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat afternoon, min 8°C on Sat morning). Winds increasing (calm on Fri afternoon, fresh winds from the N by Sat night).

Monday
27
Tuesday
28
Wednesday
29
Thursday
30
Friday
31
Saturday
1
Sunday
2
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
3
3
4
!
1
1
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.4
SW
11
1.5
SW
11
1.6
SW
13
1.6
SW
13
1.9
SW
15
2.4
SW
14
4.5
SW
16
4
SW
16
3
SW
14
2.2
SW
13
2
SW
13
1.6
SW
12
1.6
SW
12
1.4
SW
12
1.3
SW
12
1.3
SW
12
1.6
SW
16
2.3
SW
17
1.9
SW
16
1.7
SW
16
1.6
SW
15
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
466
544
905
851
1547
2293
10494
7127
3341
1619
1299
799
683
542
528
437
1314
2947
1901
1456
1155
Wind (km/h)
20
NNW
25
N
45
N
45
NNW
45
NW
50
WNW
50
SW
35
WSW
30
SW
25
W
25
WSW
15
W
10
WNW
0
E
5
NNE
15
N
10
N
25
N
40
N
35
NNW
30
W
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
on
on
on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
High Tide
8:36PM1.20m
10:56AM1.29m
9:38PM1.16m
11:52AM1.32m
10:44PM1.14m
12:39PM1.36m
11:48PM1.16m
1:20PM1.40m
00:46AM1.20m
1:56PM1.42m
1:38AM1.25m
2:29PM1.44m
2:26AM1.31m
Low Tide
3:19PM0.92m
3:37AM0.38m
4:37PM0.89m
4:34AM0.36m
5:50PM0.83m
5:32AM0.33m
6:45PM0.74m
6:25AM0.30m
7:28PM0.65m
7:13AM0.29m
8:05PM0.56m
7:57AM0.29m
8:39PM0.48m
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
light rain
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
mod rain
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:26
7:26
7:24
7:24
7:24
7:22
7:22
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:27
5:28
5:29
5:30
5:30
5:30
5:31
 mm
4
5
1
2
2
10
Temp °C
15
16
13
14
13
10
11
11
11
12
12
11
10
11
11
10
14
11
13
14
11
Feels °C
10
10
3
4
4
-2
0
3
4
6
6
6
8
10
10
6
10
5
4
6
4
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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