Surf Forecasts:
Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 23 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 23 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 16s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 30 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 16s period, SW swell with 2,875 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 23 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 23) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.2m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 2.4m 16s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 30) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Monday (Aug 24) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7PM (Sun 23rd Aug) | 7ft (2.2m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 7PM (Sun 23rd Aug) | 7ft (2.2m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Sun 30th Aug) | 8ft (2.4m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s on offer for Rye Ocean Beach.
First up, Sunday the 23rd of August has a big swell rolling in at 8 ft from the SW, with a period of 14 seconds and a combined energy of 2757. That’s a lot of power. The wind is a light NNW at 9 mph, keeping it clean, but for a beginner spot, this is too much. The afternoon cleans up even more with a NNE offshore at 6 mph, the swell easing to 7 ft, and the period stretching to 16 seconds. Real groundswell, but again, too big.
Monday the 24th drops off to 5 ft SW in the morning, but the wind is a stiff N at 19 mph, cross-off, and energy drops to 995. It’s clean but marginal. The afternoon is similar with 5 ft and 719 energy.
Tuesday the 25th is nothing special. Light rain and a solid E wind at 16 mph, cross-off, with 6 ft SW swell. Energy is up to 1032 but the wind’s not helping. The afternoon goes onshore with a WSW breeze, messy.
Wednesday the 26th is a washout. Onshore winds both sessions, scores at zero.
Thursday the 27th morning is still poor, but the afternoon shows a glimmer. The wind swings to a light NNW cross-off at 6 mph, the swell drops to 4 ft, and the period is 14 seconds. Energy is low at 778, but it’ll be clean.
Friday the 28th brings another big one: 7 ft SW with an 18-second period and 2661 energy. That’s long-period groundswell, and for a beach and reef setup, it might break a bit straight. The wind is NW at 16 mph, cross, so it’s got some chop. Too big and messy.
Saturday the 29th is average. Cross-shore winds, 5 ft swell, 1032 energy.
Sunday the 30th we get another pulse: 8 ft SW, 16 seconds, 3112 energy. The wind is light WSW cross-on, choppy. Too big.
Monday the 31st is cleaner. A NNW cross-off at 9 mph, 7 ft SW swell, 15 seconds, 2333 energy. Clean but big.
Now, Sunday the 6th of September is the real standout. The morning has a NNW cross-off at 6 mph, 6 ft SW swell, 12-second period, and 1290 energy. The afternoon is even better with a N breeze at just 3 mph, nearly glassy, and the swell holds at 6 ft with 1489 energy. The water temp is 56°, about average. This is the session. Clean, solid, and the best of the whole run.
Monday the 7th of September is a mess. A NW gale at 28 mph in the morning, and by the afternoon it’s 31 mph from the W with a 13 ft swell and 10007 energy. That’s blown out and dangerous. Kite surfers might be out, but for us, it’s a hard pass.
So, to sum it up: the first week is a mix of too big or poor conditions, but Sunday the 6th of September is the clear winner. Don’t miss it.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 14mm), heaviest on Mon night. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon afternoon, min 8°C on Sun morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNE on Sun afternoon, fresh winds from the NNE by Sun night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Fri afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Thu afternoon, min 8°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 23 | Monday 24 | Tuesday 25 | Wednesday 26 | Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 14 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1919 | 2295 | 1697 | 957 | 704 | 777 | 954 | 925 | 1163 | 799 | 984 | 732 | 383 | 434 | 863 | 2630 | 2062 | 1591 | 1016 | 731 | 878 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | on | on | on | on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | on | cross-on |
High Tide | 6:12PM1.26m | 7:59AM1.21m | 6:56PM1.18m | 8:59AM1.18m | 7:55PM1.11m | 10:06AM1.18m | 9:09PM1.07m | 11:09AM1.20m | 10:26PM1.08m | 12:01PM1.24m | 11:37PM1.13m | 12:43PM1.28m | 00:36AM1.22m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 12:37PM0.79m | 1:04AM0.36m | 1:27PM0.83m | 1:53AM0.39m | 2:32PM0.84m | 2:52AM0.41m | 3:52PM0.82m | 3:59AM0.41m | 5:11PM0.75m | 5:06AM0.39m | 6:08PM0.65m | 6:06AM0.36m | 6:51PM0.54m | ||||||||
 | |  |  | |  |  | | |  | | | | |  | |  | | | | | |
 | 6:56 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — |
 | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:51 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:53 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 12 |
Feels °C | 8 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 |
| kJ | 1919 | 2295 | 1697 | 957 | 704 | 777 | 954 | 925 | 1163 | 799 | 984 | 732 | 383 | 434 | 757 | 2630 | 2062 | 1591 | 1016 | 731 | 878 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SW 16 | S 15 | SSW 14 | SW 20 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | — | S 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 22 | SW 19 | SSW 18 | S 18 | S 16 | S 14 | — | SW 19 |
| kJ | 777 | 596 | 118 | 38 | 15 | 50 | 78 | 381 | — | 6 | 12 | 91 | 76 | 163 | 863 | 31 | 6 | 45 | 16 | — | 183 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 18 | — | — | — | — | N 3 | — | — | — | — | — | W 24 | WSW 23 | WSW 22 | S 20 | — | — | — | — | — | SW 19 |
| kJ | 61 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 11 | 50 | 181 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | 133 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | NNW 3 | N 4 | N 3 | — | ENE 3 | — | SW 4 | SW 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 5 | — |
| kJ | — | — | 3 | 12 | 5 | — | 4 | — | 13 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 40 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 11 | 3 | 2 | 27 | 16 | 0 | 15 | 24 | 52 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 25 | 2 | 24 | 25 | 29 | 24 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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