Rye Ocean Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ll be straight with you: the next 16 days at Rye Ocean Beach are a bit of a mixed bag, with a slow start and some big, powerful stuff later on, but we’ve got a couple of windows that are worth getting excited about.

Right now, the water temp is sitting at 56°F – that’s about average for this time of year, so nothing to shock the system.

We kick off on Wednesday, the 12th of August, but it’s a rough one. A strong 7ft SW swell is rolling in with a 16-second period, but a 22 mph W wind is smashing it up, making for lumpy, poor conditions. That swell jumps to 10ft in the afternoon, and the wind swings to WNW at 19 mph – still messy. The wave energy is massive though, like 8892 (moderate to strong), but it’s not doing you any favours with that onshore wind. Thursday, the 13th, and Friday, the 14th, are pretty much the same story: 10ft SW swell, but the wind is cross-onshore and the surf is too big for this break. The energy is still high – 5137 and 4153 – but it’s just a washing machine out there.

Now, Saturday the 15th starts to ease. The swell drops to 8ft in the morning, and the wind goes light at 3 mph from the SSE. The forecast says wind and tide are favorable, but again, that swell is still too big for a beginner-friendly spot. It’s a bit cleaner, but still a handful. The energy is 3095.

The first real standout hits Sunday the 16th. The swell drops to 6ft from the SW with a 14-second period, and the wind turns offshore from the ENE at 9 mph. This is clean, nice surf – excellent for experienced surfers. The wave energy is 1498 (moderate). It’s a solid session. The morning is your best bet. Monday the 17th holds similar conditions: 5ft SW swell, 14-second period, and light offshore winds from the ENE again. Clean waves, good energy (1009). This is a great run.

Tuesday the 18th, the swell drops further to 4ft, but the wind is offshore from the NNE at 12 mph, keeping it clean. The energy is 1016. It’s marginal, but still rideable. The afternoon sees a 4ft swell with a light offshore from the N – clean, but small.

Then we hit a dry patch. From Wednesday the 19th through to Sunday the 23rd, the swell is tiny (2ft to 4ft), and the wind is either onshore or cross-off, but the waves are just too weak – energy drops to 255-904. A few days of poor to marginal conditions. Nothing to paddle out for.

The second standout is a long-range promise for Monday the 24th of August. The swell jumps back to 7ft from the WSW with a 10-second period, but the wind is offshore from the E at 6 mph. The energy is 1325 (moderate). It’s clean, but that swell is still a bit big for beginners. Tuesday the 25th looks even bigger – 10ft SW swell with a 13-second period, and a strong offshore from the N at 22 mph. The energy is 2950 (moderate to strong). The wind is clean, but this is only for experienced surfers. It’s big, powerful, and a bit of a beast.

From Wednesday the 26th onwards, the swell settles back to 5ft to 6ft, but the wind stays strong and offshore, giving clean but marginal conditions. The energy drops to 633-1408. The last few days of the window are a bit quiet.

Best bet: Sunday the 16th and Monday the 17th for clean, offshore conditions with a solid 5ft to 6ft SW swell. The later period on the 24th and 25th is promising for the big-wave crew, but it’s a week away and less certain.

Rusty.

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