Surf Forecasts:
Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 15 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 15 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 15s period, SW swell with onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 22 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 14s period, WSW swell with 6,040 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 15 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 15s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 15) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.5m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be onshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 4.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 22) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 5s period and expected on Monday (Aug 17) at 10PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1PM (Sat 15th Aug) | 8ft (2.5m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 1PM (Sat 15th Aug) | 8ft (2.5m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Sat 22nd Aug) | 13ft (4.0m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, mate, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for Rye Ocean Beach.
Right off the bat, we’ve got a real mix of conditions coming through. The water temperature is sitting at 56°, which is pretty much normal for this time of year, so no surprises there. The first few days are a bit of a write-off for most of us, but there’s a clear standout window that’s gonna get the blood pumping.
The big news is Sunday morning, the 16th of August. We’ve got a solid 6ft SW groundswell rolling in with a 14-second period, and the wind is coming from the east at 6 mph, giving us a clean, cross-off breeze. The wave energy is moderate (1440), and the conditions are dialed in for experienced surfers. This is the pick of the bunch, no question.
The following Monday morning, the 17th, is also worth a paddle. The swell drops a touch to 5ft from the SW, still with a 14-second period, and the wind is a gentle cross-off from the ENE at 9 mph. It’s clean, with moderate energy (885), and should offer some fun, punchy waves.
Tuesday morning, the 18th of August, keeps the run going. Swell is 4ft from the SW, period 14 seconds, and we’ve got a light offshore breeze from the NE at 9 mph. That’s clean, glassy conditions, with moderate energy (974). A solid session for a midweek surf.
After that, the forecast goes a bit flat. Wednesday through to Friday of the 19th to 21st is mostly blown out or too small, with messy cross-shore winds and weak energy. The swell drops to under 3ft, and the conditions are poor. A few days of rest.
Then we get a massive spike in swell from the 22nd of August onward, but it’s a double-edged sword. The waves are huge – 10ft and bigger – with a very long 15 to 17-second period from the SW. The wave energy is strong to very strong (over 4000 to 13980). But the wind is mostly onshore or cross, and the size is well beyond what most paddle surfers can handle. This is big, heavy, and messy. For the experienced crew, that Sunday morning the 23rd might be a look, but the cross-off wind is strong, and the swell is 12ft. It’s more of a tow-in or a spectator sport.
The latter part of the forecast, from the 29th of August, shows some promise again. Saturday morning the 29th has a 8ft SSW groundswell with a very long 19-second period and a light offshore breeze from the NNE. The wave energy is strong (4800), but the period is so long it’ll be very clean and powerful, best suited for point breaks or reefs – not so much a beach break. Then Sunday morning the 30th of August is looking like a real gem. The swell drops to 6ft from the SW with a 16-second period, light offshore from the north at 6 mph, and clean conditions. Moderate energy (1842) and excellent for experienced surfers. That’s a standout session to finish the run.
All in all, the best windows are Sunday morning 16th, Monday morning 17th, Tuesday morning 18th, and then Sunday morning 30th of August. The rest of the time, it’s either flat, blown out, or too big.
Rusty out.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon afternoon, min 9°C on Mon morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Very mild (max 16°C on Tue afternoon, min 9°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (calm on Tue afternoon, strong winds from the N by Wed afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | WSW 13 | SW 13 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 10 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
2982 | 2516 | 1855 | 1336 | 1139 | 1060 | 885 | 1474 | 1246 | 667 | 630 | 532 | 305 | 226 | 169 | 186 | 225 | 352 | 860 | 742 | 2126 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | glassy | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on |
High Tide | 1:48PM1.48m | 1:55AM1.43m | 2:28PM1.52m | 2:47AM1.48m | 3:05PM1.53m | 3:35AM1.50m | 3:39PM1.53m | 4:18AM1.48m | 4:10PM1.50m | 5:00AM1.44m | 4:40PM1.46m | 5:41AM1.39m | 5:09PM1.40m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:57PM0.40m | 8:10AM0.25m | 8:41PM0.30m | 8:55AM0.30m | 9:21PM0.24m | 9:35AM0.38m | 9:59PM0.21m | 10:12AM0.47m | 10:36PM0.22m | 10:48AM0.56m | 11:11PM0.24m | 11:22AM0.65m | 11:46PM0.28m | ||||||||
7:07 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:00 | — | — | |
— | 5:43 | — | — | 5:44 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:49 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 6 | — | — | — | — | 8 | 7 |
Temp °C | 12 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 10 |
Feels °C | 10 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 1 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | WSW 13 | SW 13 | SW 15 | SW 14 | — |
2982 | 2516 | 1855 | 1336 | 1139 | 1060 | 885 | 1474 | 1246 | 667 | 630 | 532 | 305 | 226 | 169 | 186 | 225 | 352 | 860 | 742 | — | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | S 14 | SSW 14 | — | — | SE 4 | SSW 17 | SSW 15 | SW 18 | E 5 | SE 4 | SE 7 | SE 7 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 17 | SW 20 | SW 18 | — |
196 | 193 | 150 | 104 | — | — | 10 | 57 | 44 | 307 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 59 | 155 | 171 | 135 | 97 | 607 | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 11 | — | ESE 6 | SSW 17 | ESE 4 | SSW 16 | — | E 6 | S 17 | N 4 | SW 4 | S 19 | SSW 17 | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | 25 | — | 17 | 27 | 7 | 24 | — | 3 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 29 | 30 | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | E 4 | ESE 5 | SE 4 | ESE 5 | — | E 5 | NNE 3 | N 4 | N 4 | N 4 | N 4 | NNW 4 | — | NW 3 | WNW 4 | SW 10 |
— | — | — | — | — | 10 | 22 | 16 | 34 | — | 8 | 3 | 32 | 37 | 13 | 19 | 7 | — | 8 | 32 | 2126 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 3 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 43 | 70 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 287 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)
Wind Speed (km/h)
Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











