Rye Ocean Beach surfForecast / VIC – Mornington Peninsula / Australia

information circle16 Day Weather and Surf, issued 9 am Saturday 16 May 2026 AEST
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Rye Ocean Beach sea temperature is
16.3° C
(Which is slightly warmer than usual)

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:

The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (May 17) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 15s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 1.7m 16s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (May 17) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Saturday (May 16) at 10PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10AM (Sun 17th May)5.5ft (1.7m) 15s
Best Surf10AM (Sun 17th May)5.5ft (1.7m) 15s
Most Powerful 4AM (Sun 17th May)5.5ft (1.7m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Warm (max 21°C on Sat afternoon, min 14°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NE on Sat afternoon, calm by Mon afternoon).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Very mild (max 16°C on Thu afternoon, min 13°C on Tue morning). Mainly fresh winds.

Saturday
16
Sunday
17
Monday
18
Tuesday
19
Wednesday
20
Thursday
21
Friday
22
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
3
4
2
3
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
3
3
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.9
WSW
14
0.9
WSW
14
1.7
WSW
16
1.7
WSW
15
1.4
SW
14
1.5
SW
14
1.5
SW
13
1.4
SW
12
1.2
SW
12
1.1
SW
12
1.2
SW
11
1.1
SW
11
0.6
SW
17
0.8
SW
16
0.9
SW
16
1.4
SW
14
1.5
SW
14
1.6
SW
12
1.4
SW
13
1.5
SW
13
1.2
SW
12
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
323
337
1461
1174
822
828
746
558
421
314
357
297
241
371
421
833
862
718
673
721
393
Wind (km/h)
30
N
25
N
20
N
15
NNW
20
NNE
15
N
15
NW
5
WSW
15
SSW
10
W
30
SW
25
SSW
25
SSW
20
SSW
15
SSW
15
SW
15
WSW
15
WSW
15
NNW
5
N
15
NNE
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
glassy
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
on
on
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
cross-off
glassy
off
High Tide
11:03AM1.40m
10:24PM1.30m
12:06PM1.51m
11:20PM1.34m
1:01PM1.60m
00:14AM1.39m
1:51PM1.67m
1:07AM1.42m
2:39PM1.69m
2:00AM1.44m
3:25PM1.68m
2:54AM1.44m
4:10PM1.64m
3:50AM1.41m
Low Tide
4:57PM0.79m
5:05AM0.29m
6:03PM0.78m
6:01AM0.20m
7:00PM0.75m
6:54AM0.13m
7:51PM0.71m
7:45AM0.10m
8:39PM0.67m
8:35AM0.10m
9:27PM0.63m
9:25AM0.15m
10:14PM0.60m
part cloud
cloud
light rain
cloud
cloud
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
rain showers
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:15
7:16
7:16
7:18
7:18
7:18
7:20
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:17
5:16
5:15
5:15
5:15
5:14
5:14
5
2
2
Temp °C
20
21
18
16
16
15
17
18
16
14
14
14
14
14
14
15
16
14
13
15
14
14
16
14
14
14
13
15
17
14
12
8
8
9
10
11
11
13
11
11
14
12
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.9
WSW
14
0.9
WSW
14
1.7
WSW
16
1.7
WSW
15
1.4
SW
14
1.5
SW
14
1.5
SW
13
1.4
SW
12
1.2
SW
12
1.1
SW
12
1.2
SW
11
1.1
SW
11
1
SW
10
1
SW
10
1.1
SW
11
1.4
SW
14
1.5
SW
14
1.6
SW
12
1.4
SW
13
1.5
SW
13
1.2
SW
12
Energy kJ
323
337
1461
1174
822
828
746
558
421
314
357
297
200
196
258
833
862
718
673
721
393
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
SE
7
0.1
SE
7
0.3
SSE
17
0.3
E
8
0.2
ESE
8
0.1
SE
8
0.2
ESE
9
0.2
ESE
9
0.2
ESE
9
0.4
SW
20
0.4
SW
18
0.6
SW
18
0.6
SW
17
0.8
SW
16
0.9
SW
16
0.1
SE
11
0.1
SE
11
0.4
SW
15
0.1
SE
11
0.1
SE
10
0.8
SW
14
Energy kJ
2
2
57
11
7
3
8
8
8
97
114
199
241
371
421
5
5
76
5
4
241
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
SSW
15
0.1
S
24
0.1
SW
21
0.1
SW
21
0.3
SW
3
0.1
SE
9
0.1
SE
9
0.1
SE
10
0.1
SE
11
0.1
SE
11
0.1
SE
11
0.2
S
14
0.1
SE
11
0.1
SE
10
Energy kJ
21
11
18
18
2
3
3
4
4
4
5
16
5
4
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
NNE
4
0.6
N
4
0.4
SW
3
0.4
SW
3
0.8
SW
4
1
SSW
5
1.3
SSW
6
1.1
SSW
5
1.2
SSW
5
1
SSW
6
1.1
SSW
5
0.4
NW
3
Energy kJ
13
9
2
3
19
46
104
64
77
58
64
2
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
4
4
3
3
3
3
2
2
4
2
3
3
2
2
2
2
3
3
3
Distance (km)
24
16
2
0
3
0
2
0
24
2
791
36
71
33
24
33
24
24
0
0
0
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
4
4
4
3
3
3
2
2
2
3
3
3
3
3
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia
Rating
(10 max)
3
4
5
4
4
3
4
3
4
4
4
4
5
5
9
4
5
7
5
4
4
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
6
4
7
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
6
5
9
6
5
9
7
6
5
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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