Rye Ocean Beach Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.39° S 144.78° E

Rye Ocean Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 pm 21 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Rye Ocean Beach sea temperature is
14.0° C
0.7° 

Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 21 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 26 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 12s period, SW swell with cross-onshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 24 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 16s period, SW swell with 8,220 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 26 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 12s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:

The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 26) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.1m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 18s. The wind is predicted to be cross-onshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 4.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 5s period and expected on Monday (Jul 27) at 10AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1AM (Sun 26th Jul)7ft (2.1m) 12s
Best Surf 1AM (Sun 26th Jul)7ft (2.1m) 12s
Most Powerful 4AM (Fri 24th Jul)13ft (4.0m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G’day, Rusty here, and I’ve got the lowdown on Rye Ocean Beach. This beach and reef setup faces southwest, so it’s all about those SW swells for good form. The water’s sitting at 57°F right now, which is about normal for this time of year – nothing to get excited about.

First up, we’ve got a window on Tuesday the 21st of July, in the afternoon. The wind is from the NNW at 9 mph, cross-off, keeping things clean. The swell is 5ft from the southwest, with a period of 13 seconds – that’s proper groundswell with good energy. The combined energy is at 711, so moderate, but it’s lining up nicely. This is a solid little session, and if you can get out then, it’s the best on offer in the near term.

Then we hit a dry spell. Wednesday the 22nd through to Saturday the 26th of July is a write-off. The wind goes onshore or cross-on, whipping up chop, and the swell gets huge. On Thursday the 23rd, it’s 12ft from the WSW with a 28 mph cross-on wind – that’s messy, lumpy, and only for the mad or the experts. This stretch is over 8ft, so it’s expert-only territory, and with the cross-on wind, it’s more for kite surfers than paddle surfers. The combined energy spikes to 7738 on Thursday morning – that’s strong, but it’s wasted.

Come Sunday the 26th of July, the afternoon brings a relief. The wind drops to glassy – zero mph from the NNE. The swell is 5ft from the southwest, period 11 seconds, and the combined energy is 590. It’s clean, glassy, and the surf looks good. This is a standout, but it’s a bit of a wait for it.

Monday the 27th of July is a miss in the morning, but the afternoon sees 8ft from the WSW at 12 seconds. The wind is WNW at 9 mph, cross-on, making it a bit choppy. The swell is pushing the limit for a fun session – it’s not the best.

Tuesday the 28th of July, the morning is 8ft from the SW, 12 seconds, with a NW wind at 9 mph, cross. It’s rideable but a bit cross-chop. The afternoon is a different story – glassy again, 12ft from the WSW at 13 seconds, combined energy a massive 7022. That’s a lot of power, but it’s too big for most, and the break might be too much. This is expert-only.

Wednesday the 29th of July is a clean, cross-off day with 13ft from the SW at 15 seconds – very long-period groundswell. The wind is NNE at 6 mph, and the combined energy is 6283. This is a beast of a day, but only for the brave. It’s a standout for the big-wave crew.

The run continues into early August. Thursday the 30th of July morning is 7ft from the SW, 13 seconds, with a NNW wind at 9 mph, clean. It’s a good option. Friday the 31st of July afternoon is glassy, 4ft from the SW, 11 seconds – small but clean. Saturday the 1st of August is a gem: morning 3ft from the SW, 13 seconds, cross-off wind from the north at 6 mph, and the afternoon 4ft from the SW, 16 seconds – that’s a very long period groundswell, making for lined-up sets at the reef. The combined energy is 839 in the afternoon. This is the other standout: clean, cross-off, and a proper swell direction.

After that, the surf drops off. Sunday the 2nd of August is cross-off but windy, and the swell is around 4ft to 4ft. Monday the 3rd of August is similar, small and clean. Tuesday the 4th of August brings onshore winds and 6ft from the SW, but the wind is messy, so it’s a no-go. The rest of the week into the 5th of August is onshore chop.

Overall, the best on offer is the Tuesday afternoon the 21st and the Saturday the 1st of August – both clean, with solid SW groundswell and good energy. The Wednesday the 29th is a big-wave standout if you’re an expert. For the rest, it’s a lot of waiting or dealing with the wind.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Wed afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Tue afternoon, min 8°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNW on Tue afternoon, strong winds from the WSW by Thu night).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon morning, min 10°C on Mon morning). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WNW on Fri afternoon, calm by Sun afternoon).

Tue
21
Wednesday
22
Thursday
23
Friday
24
Saturday
25
Sunday
26
Monday
27
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
!
0
3
0
0
!
!
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.4
SW
13
1.2
SW
12
1
SW
12
1.1
SW
13
2.1
SW
11
3.5
WSW
14
3.5
SW
14
4.5
SW
15
4
SW
15
3.5
SW
14
3
SW
14
3
SW
13
2.5
SW
12
2.1
SW
12
1.8
SW
11
1.6
SW
11
1.2
SW
11
1
SW
10
2.4
WSW
12
3
WSW
12
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
711
449
282
411
990
4302
4385
8144
6304
5046
3355
2369
1860
1167
743
564
326
200
1491
2568
Wind (km/h)
15
NNW
25
NNW
25
WNW
25
W
30
WSW
35
W
45
WSW
45
WSW
30
W
35
W
40
WNW
30
W
30
WSW
20
W
20
W
0
NNE
20
WNW
20
NW
15
WNW
15
WNW
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
cross
cross
cross-on
cross
High Tide
4:46PM1.54m
5:28AM1.41m
5:19PM1.50m
6:16AM1.37m
5:51PM1.45m
7:05AM1.33m
6:24PM1.39m
7:57AM1.29m
7:00PM1.33m
8:53AM1.27m
7:44PM1.27m
9:54AM1.27m
8:36PM1.20m
Low Tide
11:10PM0.31m
11:15AM0.57m
11:50PM0.31m
11:55AM0.68m
00:29AM0.33m
12:35PM0.77m
1:11AM0.35m
1:20PM0.85m
1:55AM0.37m
2:13PM0.90m
2:43AM0.38m
3:19PM0.92m
3:37AM0.38m
cloud
cloud
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
light rain
part cloud
cloud
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:31
7:30
7:28
7:28
7:28
7:26
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:22
5:22
5:23
5:24
5:25
5:25
5:27
 mm
1
2
4
2
1
2
2
2
1
Temp °C
15
12
14
11
10
8
10
11
11
12
12
13
13
12
12
13
13
14
15
14
Feels °C
11
6
7
5
4
0
0
1
3
4
6
7
9
8
8
12
9
10
12
11
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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