Rye Ocean Beach Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.39° S 144.78° E

Rye Ocean Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 am 29 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Rye Ocean Beach sea temperature is
13.4°C
0.7° 

Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 29 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 30 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 13s period, SW swell with onshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 5 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 14s period, SW swell with 5,842 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 30 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 13s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:

The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 30) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.1m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 14s. The wind is predicted to be onshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 4.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 05) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 5s period and expected on Saturday (Sep 05) at 1AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7PM (Sun 30th Aug)7ft (2.1m) 13s
Best Surf 7PM (Sun 30th Aug)7ft (2.1m) 13s
Most Powerful 7AM (Sat 5th Sep)13ft (4.0m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G’day, Rusty here. Alright, I’ve got to be honest – the next couple of days at Rye Ocean Beach are a bit of a dud for gettin’ any decent waves. From now through Sunday morning, the wind’s gonna be cross-onshore or onshore, and it’ll be choppy and messy. The swell’s around 6 to 7 ft, but it’s not clean, and the wave energy is moderate to strong (1306 to 1589), but with that wind, you’re better off stayin’ home. Water temp is 56°, which is about average for this time of year, so no shock there.

Now, Monday the 31st of August is where things start to look interesting. The wind drops right off, and by the afternoon we’ve got glassy conditions – dead calm. The swell holds at a solid 7 ft from the southwest, with a nice 14-second period, and the energy is strong (2269). This is gonna be clean, well-shaped surf, but here’s the catch – that 7 ft is gettin’ into the zone where it’s gonna be a bit much for beginners. For the more experienced crew, this is the standout of the whole run. The northwest wind in the morning will keep it clean, but the glass-off in the arvo is the real winner. Keep in mind, crowds are possible here sometimes, so get in early.

After that, Tuesday the 1st of September sees a big northerly wind jump in, 25 mph in the morning. The swell backs off a touch, but the wind is cross-offshore, so it will be clean, but the energy drops (1802). The waves will be there, but the wind is strong – it’s more of a session for the dedicated.

Wednesday the 2nd and Thursday the 3rd of September get messy again with onshore or cross-onshore winds. Thursday morning brings a big 10 ft southwest swell with strong energy (3077), but the wind is lumpy cross-shore. That’s expert territory at that size, and the wind isn’t doin’ it any favours. By Thursday afternoon, it’s 12 ft and choppy – poor conditions.

Friday the 4th of September is a bright spot, though. We’ve got a 8 ft southwest swell in the morning with a nice 15-second period and a strong cross-offshore north wind (19 mph) cleanin’ it up. The energy is very strong (2920). This is another one for the experienced surfers – too big for beginners – but the shape should be good on the reefs and points. The afternoon holds similar with 8 ft and the wind stayin’ cross-off. This is your second standout in the run.

The weekend of the 5th and 6th of September gets blown out again, with strong onshore winds and solid 12 ft swell on Saturday – that’s a kite-surfing day if ever there was one. Sunday the 6th of September has a cleaner window with a cross-offshore north wind, but the swell jumps back to 12 ft in the afternoon with strong energy (3997). Again, experts only.

From the 7th of September through the 9th of September, it’s mostly blown out with near-gale or strong onshore winds. Swells are big (10 ft to 16 ft), but the quality is zero. Don’t bother.

Then on Thursday the 10th of September, we see another big clean window: a 13 ft southwest swell with a 16-second period, and a cross-offshore NNW wind at 12 mph. The energy is massive (14641). This is very strong, very long-period groundswell – it’s gonna be powerful and straight-runin’ on the beach, but if you can find a reef or point break, it could be epic. This is a long-range standout, so keep an eye on it, but don’t book your flights yet. Friday the 11th of September is cleaner again with a 8 ft swell and cross-off wind, but then the wind turns on again for the weekend.

Saturday the 12th of September has a 5 ft swell with clean cross-off wind in the morning, but it’s marginal. The afternoon sees a 7 ft swell with a 16-second period and clean north wind – that’s another solid session for the experienced. Sunday the 13th of September finishes the run with clean but windy mornin’ surf, then deterioratin’ into poor conditions by the arvo.

So, to wrap it up: your absolute best bets are Monday the 31st of August afternoon for the glassy 7 ft fun, and Friday the 4th of September morning for the 8 ft clean groundswell. The big stuff on the 10th of September is tantalising but a long way out. Stay safe out there.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 12°C on Mon afternoon, min 8°C on Mon morning). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Warm (max 20°C on Tue afternoon, min 12°C on Tue morning). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the N on Tue morning, light winds from the W by Thu afternoon).

Saturday
29
Sunday
30
Monday
31
Tuesday
1
Wednesday
2
Thursday
3
Friday
4
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
1
3
2
1
!
!
!
!
1
2
2
2
2
!
!
0
!
!
!
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.8
SW
14
1.7
SW
14
1.8
SW
13
1.9
SW
13
2
SW
13
2.2
SW
13
2.1
SW
14
2.1
SW
14
2.3
SW
16
1.9
SW
16
1.6
SW
15
1.5
SW
14
1.9
SW
14
1.9
SW
15
2.3
SW
15
3
SW
14
3.5
WSW
14
2.5
SW
14
2.5
SW
15
2.3
SW
15
2
SW
15
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1289
1163
1053
1191
1306
1668
1618
1712
2635
1719
1123
877
1407
1542
2295
3017
4007
2782
2754
2372
1669
Wind (km/h)
15
WNW
20
SW
15
WNW
15
WNW
20
SSW
15
W
10
NW
5
S
15
N
40
N
30
NNW
20
NW
10
W
15
SW
30
NW
30
WNW
25
WNW
20
WNW
30
N
40
NNW
45
NNW
Wind State
cross-on
on
cross
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
on
cross
cross
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
12:43PM1.28m
00:36AM1.22m
1:18PM1.33m
1:27AM1.32m
1:51PM1.36m
2:12AM1.40m
2:21PM1.40m
2:56AM1.46m
2:51PM1.42m
3:39AM1.49m
3:22PM1.44m
4:22AM1.49m
3:55PM1.44m
Low Tide
6:51PM0.54m
6:56AM0.34m
7:28PM0.44m
7:41AM0.35m
8:03PM0.34m
8:21AM0.37m
8:37PM0.25m
8:59AM0.42m
9:13PM0.18m
9:36AM0.48m
9:50PM0.13m
10:13AM0.54m
10:31PM0.12m
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
mod rain
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:48
6:47
6:45
6:43
6:41
6:41
6:39
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:54
5:55
5:57
5:58
5:59
6:00
6:00
 mm
1
1
6
Temp °C
10
11
11
11
11
10
10
12
12
18
20
14
14
14
13
13
15
13
17
17
15
Feels °C
7
7
8
9
8
6
9
11
9
9
14
8
10
10
7
7
11
11
9
9
7
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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