
Surf Forecasts:
Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 10 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 13 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period, SW swell with cross-shore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 12 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 17s period, WSW swell with 5,158 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 13 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 13) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be cross-shore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 3.0m 17s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 4s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10AM (Thu 13th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 10AM (Thu 13th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Wed 12th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it. The next couple of weeks have a bit of everything, but you gotta pick your moments. The ocean’s gonna be messy early, then clean up, then blow itself out again. The short version: this coming Sunday and Monday morning are your real standouts. There’s also a sneaky window mid-week after that, but the winds get cranky. Overall, it’s a mixed bag with a couple of proper gems if you’re patient.
Right now, Tuesday morning at Rye Ocean Beach is pretty average. There’s a 5.2ft SW swell at 14 seconds, but a 30 km/h NW cross-shore is just chopping it up. It’s surfable for a beginner, but it’s lumpy and not much fun. The water is 56.3°, which is pretty much spot on for this time of year. The energy is strong though – combined energy is 1201. The afternoon cleans up a touch – wind drops to 25 km/h cross-off, swell 5.6ft, still that 14-second period. It’s cleaner, but still marginal.
Wednesday turns ugly. The swell builds to 7.2ft and then 9.8ft with a 16-second period, but the wind swings onshore and it’s just a messy, lumpy mess. Strong energy, 2598 and then 8536, but it’s a no-go for paddle surfing. This is getting to the size where it’s exciting to watch, but not to ride. Thursday and Friday stay big – 9.8ft from the SW with that long 16-second period. The wind is more moderate, but it’s still cross or cross-on, and honestly, at this size for a beach and reef break, it’s just too much. The energy is strong – 4837, 4192, 4507 – but it’s not our day. 9.8ft is way past beginner territory and into the “only for experts” zone. Friday afternoon, the wind goes fully onshore, so that’s a dead loss.
Saturday, the swell drops to 8.2ft and then 7.5ft, still with that long 15-second period. But again, the wind is cross-on, and while it’s more manageable, it’s still not clean. It’s a bit too big and washy to be any good. The energy is still strong – 2781 and 2531 – so there’s plenty of water moving, but it’s not lining up right.
Now, here’s the good stuff. Sunday, August 16th, early morning is the first real standout. The swell has pulled back to 6.2ft from the SW, period still a solid 14 seconds, but the wind is a light 10 km/h ENE cross-off. That’s the clean, glassy window. Combined energy is still strong at 1524, but it won’t feel too wild. This is excellent surf for experienced surfers – good shape, proper push, and clean faces. The morning is your ticket.
Monday, August 17th, morning is also a cracker. Swell 5.2ft, same SW direction, 14-second period, and a light offshore ENE wind at 10 km/h. This is clean, lined-up, and much more user-friendly. Energy is a bit weaker – 911 – but it’s a very, very good option. The afternoon on Monday is smaller and the wind swings a bit cross-shore, so grab the morning.
Tuesday morning, August 18th, is another good one. Swell dips to 4.3ft but the period is still 14 seconds, and the wind is a gentle offshore from the NNE. Clean walls and easy paddling. Energy is still moderate at 1130. It’s an excellent option for a longer, more relaxed session. The water is still around 56.3°.
After that, the swell fades quickly through the rest of that week. By Wednesday the 19th, it’s dropping to 3.3ft and under, with the period staying long. It’s clean, but the size is getting small and weak. The energy drops right off – 499 and then 379. Still, there are clean waves to be had if you’ve got a bigger board. Thursday and Friday look small but clean as well, with the size hovering around 2.6ft to 4.6ft. Friday morning sees a little pulse of 4.6ft, and with a 16-second period, it might break a bit straighter at the beach, but it’s still clean and okay.
The real problem comes on the 23rd and 24th. The swell is tiny, 3ft and under, but the wind goes ballistic – 40-45 km/h from the north. That’s a strong breeze and it’s just blown-out mayhem. The energy is weak – 348, 376, 368 – and there’s nothing to surf. Honestly, that looks more interesting for kitesurfing than paddle surfing.
Then, there’s a strange blip at the very end. On Wednesday afternoon, August 26th, the forecast throws a
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Wed morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Thu afternoon, min 10°C on Wed morning). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NNW on Tue night, light winds from the WSW by Thu afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun afternoon, min 9°C on Sun morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | WSW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
1006 | 1139 | 1537 | 2414 | 4187 | 4796 | 4748 | 4065 | 3810 | 4372 | 3678 | 3144 | 2704 | 2404 | 1881 | 1463 | 1255 | 1033 | 885 | 754 | 1149 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | off | cross | off |
High Tide | 8:53PM1.26m | 11:07AM1.32m | 10:20PM1.25m | 12:12PM1.38m | 11:43PM1.29m | 1:04PM1.43m | 00:55AM1.36m | 1:48PM1.48m | 1:55AM1.43m | 2:28PM1.52m | 2:47AM1.48m | 3:05PM1.53m | 3:35AM1.50m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 3:23PM0.85m | 3:56AM0.26m | 4:55PM0.78m | 5:14AM0.26m | 6:11PM0.66m | 6:23AM0.24m | 7:09PM0.53m | 7:21AM0.23m | 7:57PM0.40m | 8:10AM0.25m | 8:41PM0.30m | 8:55AM0.30m | 9:21PM0.24m | ||||||||
7:11 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | |
— | 5:39 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:44 | — | — | 5:45 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 16 |
Feels °C | 5 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 13 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 |
1006 | 1139 | 1537 | 2414 | 3458 | 4493 | 4748 | 4065 | 3810 | 4372 | 3678 | 3144 | 2704 | 2404 | 1881 | 1463 | 1255 | 1033 | 885 | 754 | 1149 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 7 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | NNW 5 | SW 19 | S 16 | SSW 16 | S 16 | SSW 17 | S 16 | S 16 | S 15 | SSW 15 | S 16 | S 15 | SSW 14 | SE 4 | SSW 12 | ESE 4 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 |
149 | 61 | 57 | 17 | 891 | 198 | 89 | 127 | 372 | 135 | 134 | 121 | 77 | 127 | 115 | 61 | 4 | 57 | 7 | 27 | 53 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | — | SE 10 | S 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 14 | — | SSW 16 | — | SSW 10 |
46 | — | 4 | 132 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 40 | — | 26 | — | 9 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NW 3 | NNW 4 | W 5 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | E 4 | — | SE 5 | — | SE 4 | ESE 5 |
— | 7 | 32 | 52 | 4187 | 4796 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | — | 23 | — | 10 | 35 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 27 | 27 | 35 | 40 | 24 | 24 | 29 | 24 | 25 | 24 | 40 | 33 | 24 | 33 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 11 | 0 | 15 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











