Rye Ocean Beach Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.39° S 144.78° E

Rye Ocean Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 pm 21 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Rye Ocean Beach sea temperature is
13.3° C
0.6° 

Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 21 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 22 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 15s period, SW swell with cross-shore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 22 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 14s period, SW swell with 5,621 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 22 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 15s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:

The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 22) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.1m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 16s. Another secondary swell of 2.1m and 10s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-shore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 3.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 22) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 5s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 26) at 7AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7AM (Sat 22nd Aug)7ft (2.1m) 15s
Best Surf 7AM (Sat 22nd Aug)7ft (2.1m) 15s
Most Powerful 4PM (Sat 22nd Aug)11ft (3.5m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here. Let's talk about the outlook for Rye Ocean Beach.

We've got a solid stretch of surf coming up, but it's not all smooth sailing. The standout action is definitely on Sunday the 23rd and Monday the 31st, but we need to talk about the size. This break is a beach and reef setup, and the water temp is running about average for this time of year.

First up, we kick off Saturday the 22nd in rough shape. A strong 12 ft SW swell on the way, but it's got a fresh 19 mph cross-onshore wind making a mess of things. The wave energy is massive (6146), but it's a no-go for paddle surfing. For the kites out there, though, it could be a good session.

Sunday the 23rd is where it gets interesting. The swell drops to a still-chunky 8 ft from the SW, but the wind switches to a light offshore from the NNE. The water is glassy, and the waves have a long 15-16 second period. This is a quality groundswell. The energy is still high (2891), but it's right on the edge for size. This is for experienced surfers only. The long period is best for the reef section here.

Monday the 24th and Tuesday the 25th are a step down. The swell backs off to 5-6 ft, but the wind is still decent. The energy drops to moderate (995-1152), and the conditions are clean. The waves are more manageable. Tuesday afternoon looks particularly good for the more experienced crew with a 4/10 rating.

Then we hit a bit of a lull from Wednesday the 26th through Thursday the 27th. The swell is small (3-5 ft) and the wind is onshore, creating choppy surf. The energy is weak (439-827). It's a bit of a waiting game.

Now, Friday the 28th morning brings another big pulse. A 7 ft WSW swell with a very long 17-second period and clean cross-offshore winds. The energy is strong (2989). This is another one for the experts only, as the long period will make it dumpy on the beach.

Saturday the 29th morning is a gem. The swell drops to 5 ft from the SW, the wind is a slight cross-offshore from the east, and the energy is moderate (920). It's glassy. This is a great window for all levels.

But hold on – the real highlight arrives on Monday the 31st of August. The swell is a solid 8 ft from the SW, with a long 16-second period, and the wind is absolute glass. Zero mph. The energy is strong (2870). This is the best of the best for experienced surfers. The lineup will be crowded, but the conditions will be epic.

The rest of the first week of September looks mixed. Some big swell with onshore winds, and some smaller, cleaner windows. Saturday the 5th of September looks promising with a 6 ft SW swell and clean cross-offshore winds.

So, to wrap it up: the standout is Monday the 31st of August for the experienced crew. Sunday the 23rd is a close second. For the rest of us, Saturday the 29th morning and the 5th of September are the best bets for a fun, manageable surf.

Rusty, signing off.

Short Range Forecast

Some drizzle, heaviest during Sat morning. Very mild (max 17°C on Mon afternoon, min 8°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WNW on Fri night, light winds from the NNE by Sun afternoon).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 16°C on Thu afternoon, min 11°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Saturday
22
Sunday
23
Monday
24
Tuesday
25
Wednesday
26
Thursday
27
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
0
0
!
!
!
3
1
2
3
3
4
2
1
1
2
2
3
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2
SW
16
3.5
SW
15
3.5
SW
14
3
SW
14
2.3
SW
14
2.2
SW
16
1.9
SW
15
1.6
SW
14
1.6
SW
14
1.6
SW
13
1.8
SW
13
1.7
SW
13
1.7
SW
14
1.4
SW
14
1.3
SW
13
1.2
SW
13
1
SW
12
1.2
SW
14
1.5
SW
19
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
2109
4747
5621
3419
1919
2295
1697
957
865
825
1120
940
1163
799
552
473
264
557
1559
Wind (km/h)
30
WNW
30
W
30
SW
15
WNW
15
NNW
10
NNE
20
NNW
30
N
20
NNE
15
ENE
20
ESE
15
ESE
10
S
15
S
15
S
10
SE
10
N
10
NE
15
N
Wind State
cross
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-off
off
cross-off
High Tide
6:23AM1.32m
5:39PM1.33m
7:08AM1.26m
6:12PM1.26m
7:59AM1.21m
6:56PM1.18m
8:59AM1.18m
7:55PM1.11m
10:06AM1.18m
9:09PM1.07m
11:09AM1.20m
10:26PM1.08m
Low Tide
11:46PM0.28m
11:57AM0.73m
00:23AM0.32m
12:37PM0.79m
1:04AM0.36m
1:27PM0.83m
1:53AM0.39m
2:32PM0.84m
2:52AM0.41m
3:52PM0.82m
3:59AM0.41m
5:11PM0.75m
part cloud
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
light rain
light rain
light rain
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:58
6:56
6:54
6:54
6:52
6:50
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:49
5:50
5:51
5:52
5:52
5:53
 mm
1
2
2
1
Temp °C
12
13
12
11
11
15
13
16
17
15
12
12
13
13
13
13
13
16
15
Feels °C
6
6
5
7
8
12
9
12
12
12
9
9
11
11
10
11
11
13
11
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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