Rye Ocean Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here, and I’ve had a good look at what’s coming down the line for Rye Ocean Beach. This is a beach and reef setup, wide open to swell from the southwest, and it’s a spot that can handle a bit of energy, but we’ve got a wild ride ahead. The water temp is sitting at 56°, which is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The window kicks off with a bit of a false start. Tuesday the 28th has some solid southwest swell, 5ft to 6ft pushing in with a long 13 to 15 second period, and the combined energy is moderate to strong (873 to 1621). But the wind is howling—28 to 31 mph from the NNW and NW—and it’s a cross-off breeze that’s just too strong to make it enjoyable. The surf is poor, and honestly, it’s not worth paddling out. Wednesday the 29th gets even bigger, with a massive 15ft to 13ft southwest swell, 16 second period, and the energy is off the charts (10886 to 8224), but it’s onshore, blown out by 34 mph winds, and it’s just a mess. Thursday the 30th is still messy with 8ft to 7ft southwest swell, but the wind is cross-onshore, so it’s lumpy and poor.

Friday the 31st is where things start to look up. The morning is still a bit marginal with 5ft swell and 12 second period, light cross-onshore wind, but the afternoon is a beauty. The wind drops to glassy, calm, with 5ft southwest swell at 12 seconds, and the energy is moderate (737). The surf is clean and very good—this is a standout session for the week. The crowds are possible here, so get in early.

Saturday the 1st of August is a mixed bag. Morning has a small 3ft swell with a very long 18 second period, and it’s clean with a cross-off wind, but it’s marginal. The afternoon though, that’s the real deal. 7ft of southwest swell, 18 second period, strong energy (3079), and clean cross-off wind. This is a big, powerful groundswell, and it’s going to be incredible. The long period means it’ll be better shaped, but at a beach and reef setup, it might break a bit straight, so pick your spot. Sunday the 2nd and Monday the 3rd are poor again, with strong winds and lumpy conditions, despite the swell size.

Now, the second week. Tuesday the 4th and Wednesday the 5th are clean and glassy, with 4ft to 4ft southwest swell, 12 to 14 second period, and light winds. Wednesday afternoon is excellent, glassy, and the energy is moderate (1047). Thursday the 6th is clean again, 4ft to 4ft southwest swell, 15 second period, with offshore winds in the afternoon. That’s a nice, clean session. Friday the 7th drops off to tiny 2ft to 1ft swell, so it’s a no-go. Saturday the 8th and Sunday the 9th have a bit of size (5ft to 6ft) but the wind is howling again, 34 mph, so it’s messy and poor. Monday the 10th is small and windy. Tuesday the 11th is clean and glassy in the afternoon with 4ft southwest swell, 13 second period—a good, quiet session. Wednesday the 12th is a monster, with 12ft to 16ft of southwest swell, 13 to 14 second period, and the energy is huge (3736 to 15040). It’s clean, but this is way too big for anyone but experts.

The best of the lot? Friday afternoon the 31st of July and Saturday afternoon the 1st of August. The Friday is glassy and clean, and the Saturday is a powerful, long-period groundswell with clean wind. For the second week, Wednesday the 5th of August afternoon is a standout—glassy, clean, and just the right size.

Rusty.

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