Surf Forecasts:
Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 16 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 17 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 15s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 23 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 13s period, SW swell with 3,422 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 17 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 15s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.2m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 17s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 3.0m 13s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 23) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 4s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Fri 17th Jul) | 7ft (2.2m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Fri 17th Jul) | 7ft (2.2m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Thu 23rd Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.
The outlook for Rye Ocean Beach starts with a bang, but it’s a bang that’s a bit too heavy for the average punter. We’ve got some serious groundswell lining up, but the conditions are going to keep us on our toes.
The standout session is without a doubt Friday 17th July. The swell is a solid 7ft from the SW, with a very long period of 16 seconds. That’s a proper groundswell pushing through, and the combined energy is a massive 2594 (moderate wave energy). The wind is a light cross-off from the NNW, keeping things clean. This is the best you’ll see all week, but at this size, it’s only for experienced surfers. The tide and wind are favorable, but this is a big, powerful wave for Rye Ocean Beach.
The rest of the first week is a mixed bag. Saturday morning the 18th sees the swell drop to 6ft, but the wind is cross-shore, making it messy. Saturday afternoon is cleaner with a light N wind and 5ft swell, but the energy is already dropping. Sunday the 19th into Monday the 20th has smaller surf in the 3ft to 3ft range, with clean cross-off winds, but the energy is weak (under 500). It’s okay for a beginner or a longboard session, but nothing to write home about.
From Tuesday the 21st through to the end of the month, the surf gets more difficult. The wind turns strong and onshore, or the swell gets too big again. You’ll see a few days like the 23rd and 24th where the swell is over 10ft, but the wind is howling onshore (28-34 mph) and the quality is poor. That’s a kite-surfing setup, not a paddle session.
There’s a run of promising days right at the end of the window. Thursday 30th July and Friday 31st July have serious swell again—12ft and 8ft from the SW with a 16-second period. The wind looks light and cross-off, which would make it clean. The energy readings are huge (7035 and 2962). But this is 2 to 2 weeks out, so it’s a promising but less certain call. If it holds, it’s another expert-only day.
The water temperature is about average for the time of year, nothing unusual to report.
All in all, the best bet is Friday 17th July for the experienced crew. After that, wait for the last few days of the month, but keep a close eye on the wind.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat afternoon, min 9°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Wed afternoon, min 11°C on Mon morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNW on Sun night, fresh winds from the N by Tue night). | ||||||||||||||||||
Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 2169 | 2354 | 2384 | 1542 | 1154 | 780 | 486 | 330 | 224 | 194 | 502 | 266 | 305 | 368 | 732 | 486 | 336 | 278 | 476 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on |
High Tide | 00:50AM1.36m | 2:10PM1.57m | 1:56AM1.40m | 2:53PM1.59m | 2:54AM1.43m | 3:33PM1.59m | 3:48AM1.45m | 4:10PM1.57m | 4:39AM1.44m | 4:46PM1.54m | 5:28AM1.41m | 5:19PM1.50m | |||||||
Low Tide | 7:26AM0.17m | 8:17PM0.55m | 8:19AM0.20m | 9:03PM0.45m | 9:08AM0.26m | 9:47PM0.38m | 9:53AM0.34m | 10:29PM0.33m | 10:35AM0.45m | 11:10PM0.31m | 11:15AM0.57m | 11:50PM0.31m | |||||||
 |  | | |  | | |  | |  | | | | | | | | |  | |
 | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — |
 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7 |
Temp °C | 12 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 12 | 16 | 17 | 13 |
Feels °C | 10 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 |
| kJ | 2169 | 2354 | 2384 | 1542 | 1154 | 780 | 486 | 330 | 224 | 144 | 502 | 266 | 305 | 368 | 732 | 486 | 336 | 278 | 476 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | SSW 18 | S 16 | SSW 14 | — | — | — | SW 20 | SW 20 | SW 18 | S 10 | SW 12 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | S 9 | — | E 10 | E 10 | — |
| kJ | 72 | 240 | 131 | 80 | — | — | — | 63 | 60 | 194 | 17 | 112 | 113 | 79 | 2 | — | 2 | 2 | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 22 | WSW 20 | SW 20 | SSW 10 | S 16 | E 11 | S 14 | E 10 | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | 39 | 97 | 20 | 20 | 2 | 4 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 2 | NNW 3 | NW 3 | NNW 3 | NNW 3 | — | N 3 | N 4 | NW 4 | WNW 4 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | — | 2 | 33 | 18 | 28 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 18 | 27 | 35 | 40 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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