Rye Ocean Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, surfers, Rusty here.

Alright, let’s take a look at the 16-day outlook for Rye Ocean Beach. This is a beach and reef set-up that’s exposed to SW swells, and the water is sitting at 56°F, which is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The first few days are a bit of a mixed bag with some fun small waves around, but the real standout is a clean, glassy window on Monday afternoon, August 31st. That’s the pick of the forecast. The swell is a solid 7ft from the SW, hanging around 14 seconds, giving it decent energy (2235). The wind is light and offshore from the NE, so it’s going to be clean and well-shaped. That’s a proper session for confident surfers. Monday morning is also worth a look with a 7ft SW swell and a clean cross-off breeze, but the afternoon is the better call.

The first few days of August 27th and 28th see some smaller, shoulder-high waves (4ft to 5ft) with SW swell and a period around 12-13 seconds, but the winds are a bit tricky, with cross-shore and onshore conditions keeping things a touch messy. The energy isn’t huge (537 to 632), so it’s more of a longboard or funboard morning.

Friday, August 28th, the swell bumps up to 7ft in the afternoon, but it’s onshore from the SSW, and the energy is strong (2647), but it’s looking too big for this break and the conditions are messy. I’d leave it.

From Saturday, August 29th, through to Sunday, August 30th, the swell sits around 6ft to 7ft, but the winds are cross or onshore, and the wave quality is marginal. The energy is moderate (1193 to 1392), but it’s not the best.

Then on Monday, the 31st, we get that clean, offshore window I mentioned. After that, the wind really cranks up. From Tuesday, September 1st, the wind is howling from the N and NNW at 28 to 31 mph, and while the swell is still around 6ft to 6ft with a long 15-16 second period, it’s blown out and poor. The energy is strong (1288 to 1671), but you’d be fighting a gale.

The following week is dominated by big, powerful SW swells, ranging from 8ft to 13ft, with periods of 13 to 17 seconds. The energy is huge (2399 to 7046), but the wind is consistently strong, cross-shore, and often onshore. The combination of massive swell and strong wind makes it a kite-fuelled scenario rather than a paddle-friendly one. The waves are too big for beginners and challenging for most.

There are a few windows where the wind and tide are favourable, but the swell is simply too big for this break (like on September 3rd, 4th, 6th, 7th, and 11th). The sets will be powerful and the paddling will be a mission. If you’re an expert and you time it right, you might get a few clean ones, but the wind is often a problem.

Overall, the best call is Monday afternoon, August 31st. That’s the session to plan for.

Rusty.

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