
Surf Forecasts:
Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 29 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 1 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 17s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 29 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 16s period, SW swell with 9,299 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 31 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 12s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 31) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 20s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 4.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Monday (Aug 03) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4PM (Fri 31st Jul) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 7PM (Sat 1st Aug) | 7ft (2.1m) 17s |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Wed 29th Jul) | 15ft (4.5m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s break this down for the next couple of weeks at Rye Ocean Beach. We’ve got a big SW groundswell rolling in right away, but the wind is trash for the first few days, so you’ll be sitting this one out.
Water temp is about 56°F, right where it should be for this time of year.
Wednesday the 29th: a total mess. SW wind howling at 31 mph, with a 16 ft SW swell. The period is a long 16 seconds, so there’s a ton of energy in the water (combined energy 11,188), but it’s blown out. Thursday is no better – still onshore and choppy with 8 ft SW swell and fresh winds.
Friday the 31st is where the turn happens. The morning is still a bit funky, but the afternoon goes glassy. You’ll see a clean 4 ft SW swell (combined energy 639) with zero wind. That’s your first real window. Nice and clean for a beginner-friendly wave.
Saturday the 1st of August sees a long-period 6 ft SW swell moving in from the south-west. The wind is cross-offshore out of the north in the afternoon, so it should be clean. A bit bigger, but still manageable.
Sunday the 2nd is similar – 6 ft to 6 ft SW swell – but the wind picks up to a fresher 22 mph, so it’s going to be a little bumpy. Still clean-ish, but not the best.
Monday the 3rd through to the 5th is another write-off with onshore winds and messy conditions.
Now, the real standout. Thursday the 6th of August into Friday the 7th of August is where it’s at. We’ve got a 4 ft to 7 ft SW groundswell, with a period pushing 16 to 18 seconds. Northeast winds, light and offshore, will have the waves glassy and peeling. This is the best surf on offer in the whole outlook. The combined energy is strong (1,475 to 2,608), meaning solid power behind those lines. If you can get out there, this is the session.
After that, the weekend of the 8th and 9th drops off in size but stays clean. The wind is still cross-offshore but fresher, so expect a little chop. Still worth a go.
Monday the 10th and Tuesday the 11th see the swell jump back up, with a 7 ft to 10 ft SW groundswell. The combined energy is massive – between 1,470 and 5,492 – but the catch is the swell is predicted to be too big for this break. For an exposed beach and reef, that’s expert-only territory and can get unruly.
From the 12th onward, it’s messy again with onshore winds and big lumpy swell.
So, for the best surf: Thursday the 6th and Friday the 7th of August. Clean offshore winds, solid SW groundswell, and enough power to get you into some good ones. Mark it down.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Wed morning. Very mild (max 12°C on Thu afternoon, min 9°C on Fri morning). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the SW on Wed morning, calm by Fri afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Sun night. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 8°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (light winds from the N on Sat morning, strong winds from the WNW by Sun night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 10 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
11188 | 7557 | 3446 | 1730 | 1338 | 944 | 695 | 494 | 511 | 432 | 2142 | 2568 | 1855 | 1513 | 924 | 902 | 1866 | 3097 | 1513 | 1187 | 396 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | on | on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross | glassy | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | on | on | on | on | on |
High Tide | 11:52AM1.32m | 10:44PM1.14m | 12:39PM1.36m | 11:48PM1.16m | 1:20PM1.40m | 00:46AM1.20m | 1:56PM1.42m | 1:38AM1.25m | 2:29PM1.44m | 2:26AM1.31m | 2:59PM1.45m | 3:11AM1.36m | 3:27PM1.45m | 3:56AM1.40m | |||||||
Low Tide | 5:50PM0.83m | 5:32AM0.33m | 6:45PM0.74m | 6:25AM0.30m | 7:28PM0.65m | 7:13AM0.29m | 8:05PM0.56m | 7:57AM0.29m | 8:39PM0.48m | 8:38AM0.32m | 9:12PM0.40m | 9:17AM0.38m | 9:45PM0.33m | ||||||||
7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | |
— | 5:29 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:34 | — | |
mm | 2 | 1 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 11 |
Feels °C | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | S 18 | SW 12 | SW 22 | SW 10 |
— | 138 | 45 | 1730 | 1299 | 944 | 695 | 494 | 511 | 416 | 2142 | 2568 | 1855 | 1513 | 924 | 902 | 1866 | 24 | 1513 | 75 | 396 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | S 9 | — | SW 24 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 18 | S 18 | SSW 17 | S 16 | SSW 16 | WSW 20 | WSW 17 | — | — | SW 24 | S 16 | SW 12 |
— | — | — | 168 | — | 22 | 72 | 137 | 130 | 432 | 158 | 237 | 135 | 85 | 38 | 404 | — | — | 22 | 5 | 184 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 21 | S 20 | S 19 | SSW 17 | — | — | — | — | WSW 20 | S 15 | — | — | SW 24 | S 22 | SW 20 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | 8 | 7 | 59 | — | — | — | — | 75 | 17 | — | — | 22 | 9 | 396 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | — | WSW 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 3 | N 3 | N 4 | N 4 | WNW 4 | W 5 | SW 13 | — | SW 12 | — |
11188 | 7557 | 3446 | — | 1338 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 7 | 13 | 18 | 40 | 64 | 3097 | — | 1187 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 337 | 274 | 35 | 24 | 40 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 16 | 18 | 42 | 42 | 287 | 36 | 478 | 281 | 52 | 52 | 33 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)
Wind Speed (km/h)
Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










