
Surf Forecasts:
Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 22 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 26 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 11s period, SW swell with cross-shore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 29 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 16s period, SW swell with 14,297 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 26 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 11s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 26) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.2m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 1.8m and 11s. Another secondary swell of 0.2m and 16s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-shore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 5.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 4s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4PM (Sun 26th Jul) | 7ft (2.2m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 4PM (Sun 26th Jul) | 7ft (2.2m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Wed 29th Jul) | 18ft (5.5m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the menu for Rye Ocean Beach over the next couple of weeks. I’ll be straight with you – it’s going to be a long wait for the good stuff.
We kick off the outlook on Thursday, the 23rd of July, but don’t get your hopes up. The first week is pretty much a write-off. We’ve got a solid 10ft to 12ft SW groundswell rolling in, but it’s coming in with a 15 second period, which means it’s got some serious energy behind it. The problem is the wind – it’s howling out of the W and WSW at 18 to 25 mph, putting it right on the cross. The water temp is sitting at 57°, which is pretty normal for this time of year, so nothing unusual there. The surf is just plain messy and lumpy. This ain't a beginner's day; the swell’s too big and the wind’s too strong. Frankly, it looks more interesting for the kite surfers than us paddle types.
Saturday morning stays lumpy, but by Saturday afternoon we get a brief shift to onshore wind from the WSW at 15 mph. The swell is still 10ft from the SW, but the wave comment says "poor surf conditions", so the quality just isn't there.
We finally get a break from the worst of the wind on Sunday, the 26th of July. The swell drops to 6ft in the morning, but the wind is a cross-shore from the WNW. The afternoon session looks a bit more promising with a 7ft SW swell and a gentler cross-shore breeze. The comment says the swell is predicted to be too big for this break, so even though it’s a bit cleaner, it’s still a challenging one.
The beginning of the following week, Monday the 27th and Tuesday the 28th, sees the swell drop to a more manageable 5ft. The wind turns cross-offshore from the NNW, which cleans things up nicely. But the surf is still rated as marginal, and the energy is weak. It’s small, clean, but not really firing.
Then we get another big pulse of energy. Wednesday the 29th of July sees a massive 18ft SW groundswell (16-second period). The wind is a strong cross-onshore from the SSW at 28-31 mph. This is a beast, but it’s blown out. The rest of the week into early August is a parade of cross-onshore winds and lumpy, messy surf, with the swell hovering around 4ft to 8ft. Not worth paddling out for.
Now, for the true standout. Listen up, because this is the one. On Thursday, the 6th of August, we get a clean, offshore wind from the NNE at just 6 mph. The swell is 6ft from the SW with a 15-second period, and it’s got some power. The report says "excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers" – and that’s the call. The wind is light and offshore, the swell has power and direction. It’s the best on offer in this whole 16-day window. The following Friday, the 7th, also looks promising with a moderate offshore wind from the ENE at 15 mph and a 5ft SW swell. That’s a solid second option.
So, to sum it up: you’ve got a long, ugly patch of lumpy, windy, and oversized surf for the first week and a half. The real prize is just a bit further out. Mark your calendar for Thursday, the 6th of August, morning session at Rye Ocean Beach. Light offshore, clean lines, and a solid SW groundswell. That’s the one you wait for.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Thu morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat afternoon, min 9°C on Thu morning). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WNW on Fri night, moderate winds from the W by Sat afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Tue night. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon afternoon, min 8°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (light winds from the WNW on Sun afternoon, strong winds from the SSW by Tue night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 10 | SW 10 | SW 11 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 16 | SW 12 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
3709 | 4021 | 7220 | 6106 | 5116 | 3983 | 2770 | 2483 | 1398 | 756 | 1051 | 588 | 573 | 584 | 878 | 748 | 2061 | 3973 | 14297 | 10479 | 4339 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 5:51PM1.45m | 7:05AM1.33m | 6:24PM1.39m | 7:57AM1.29m | 7:00PM1.33m | 8:53AM1.27m | 7:44PM1.27m | 9:54AM1.27m | 8:36PM1.20m | 10:56AM1.29m | 9:38PM1.16m | 11:52AM1.32m | 10:44PM1.14m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 11:55AM0.68m | 00:29AM0.33m | 12:35PM0.77m | 1:11AM0.35m | 1:20PM0.85m | 1:55AM0.37m | 2:13PM0.90m | 2:43AM0.38m | 3:19PM0.92m | 3:37AM0.38m | 4:37PM0.89m | 4:34AM0.36m | 5:50PM0.83m | ||||||||
7:30 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | |
— | 5:23 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:25 | — | — | 5:25 | — | — | 5:27 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:29 | — | |
mm | 2 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Temp °C | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 10 |
Feels °C | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 4 | -2 | -2 | -1 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 10 | SW 10 | SW 11 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 16 | — | — | SSW 15 | SW 14 |
43 | 31 | 359 | 5990 | 4234 | 3555 | 2660 | 2166 | 1398 | 756 | 716 | 588 | 573 | 584 | 878 | 748 | 2061 | — | — | 316 | 4339 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 16 | WSW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | — | SW 14 | — | SW 16 | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 11 | 26 | 41 | 77 | — | 261 | — | 803 | — | — | — | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 15 | — | — | — | S 16 | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | — | — | — | 129 | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | — | WNW 4 | SW 11 | WNW 3 | NW 3 | NW 3 | N 4 | NNW 4 | NW 5 | SW 12 | SW 16 | SW 16 | — |
3709 | 4021 | 7220 | 6106 | 5116 | 3983 | 2770 | 2483 | — | 9 | 1051 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 12 | 40 | 62 | 3973 | 14297 | 10479 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 40 | 40 | 40 | 36 | 71 | 46 | 36 | 40 | 25 | 25 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 27 | 483 | 74 | 160 | 281 | 281 | 516 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










