Surf Forecasts:
Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 15 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 16 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 14s period, SW swell with cross-shore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 22 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 16s period, WSW swell with 11,654 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 16 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 14s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 16) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.2m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 14s. The wind is predicted to be cross-shore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 5.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 22) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 4s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 20) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Sun 16th Aug) | 7ft (2.2m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Sun 16th Aug) | 7ft (2.2m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Sat 22nd Aug) | 16ft (5.0m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here, lookin’ at the charts for Rye Ocean Beach.
Alright, there’s a bit of a wait for things to line up proper. The next week or so is a bit of a mixed bag, but we’ve got some serious juice building for the end of the run. The water temp is sittin’ at 55°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, nothing strange there.
First real window that’s worth paddling out for is Sunday morning, the 16th. We’ve got a clean 6 ft southwest swell rollin’ in with a solid 14-second period. The wind is a light easterly, which is cross-offshore, making for some clean faces. The combined swell energy is moderate at 1440. This is good for experienced surfers, but that 6 ft might be a bit much for the groms. Keep an eye on the crowd situation as it can get busy at times.
Monday morning, the 17th, stays in the game. Still a clean 5 ft from the southwest, period still at 14 seconds, and a nice east-northeast cross-offshore breeze keeps things tidy. Energy is on the lighter side at 885, but the quality is there for a fun session.
Tuesday, the 18th, is your pick of the first week. Morning shows a 4 ft southwest swell with a 14-second period and a light northeast wind blowin’ straight offshore. Energy is moderate at 974. The afternoon cleans up even more with a light east breeze going cross-off, and the swell holds at 4 ft. Clean, offshore conditions are a major win. This is the standout for the early part.
Now, we hit a dry spell. From Wednesday the 19th through to maybe Friday the 21st, it’s a write-off. The swell drops way off, and when it does pop back up, the wind is howling onshore or side-shore. Not worth a look.
Saturday the 22nd is a hard pass. That swell pumps up to 13 ft (4679 energy), but it’s with a near-gale force westerly wind. That’s blown-out, giant, and dangerous. Only for the madmen or the kitesurfers. Sunday the 23rd is similar, massive 12 ft swell (5571 energy) but with strong winds making a mess of it. Too big and too ugly.
We get another big pulse rolling in around Tuesday the 25th, with a solid 10 ft southwest groundswell. The period is a very long 15 seconds. The energy is huge (8543 in the morning). Now, the wind is a gentle south-southwest cross-onshore, which isn’t perfect, but it’s light enough that it might be manageable. This is a spot that says the swell is too big, and at 10 ft, it’s really only for experts. A long-period swell like this will be lined up, but Rye Ocean Beach is a beach and reef setup, so that long period might make it a bit dumpy and straight. Still, it’s the biggest, most powerful swell of the whole forecast, so it’s *the* one to watch if you’re a charger and you can handle the crowd.
For the last few days, it cleans up. Thursday the 27th afternoon looks magic: a clean 4 ft from the southwest, 13-second period, and a light northeast breeze blowin’ straight offshore (684 energy). That’s as clean as it gets. Friday the 28th afternoon is another beauty for experienced surfers: 5 ft from the southwest with a 16-second period and light offshore winds (1230 energy). The morning of Saturday the 29th also looks clean with a 4 ft southwest swell. These last few days are the true reward for the patient.
So, if you’re looking for a session, aim for Tuesday the 18th for the cleanest conditions. For the biggest, most powerful waves, you’ll want to be out there Tuesday the 25th, but only if you’ve got the skills. The final weekend of the 28th and 29th looks like a clean, fun way to finish the run.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon afternoon, min 9°C on Mon morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Wed afternoon. Very mild (max 17°C on Tue afternoon, min 10°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the N on Wed afternoon, calm by Thu night). | |||||||||||||||||||
Sat 15 | Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 15 | WSW 15 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 18 | WSW 11 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
2516 | 1983 | 1336 | 1139 | 975 | 885 | 1474 | 1246 | 667 | 621 | 465 | 305 | 232 | 142 | 155 | 189 | 249 | 729 | 781 | 1287 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-on |
High Tide | 1:55AM1.43m | 2:28PM1.52m | 2:47AM1.48m | 3:05PM1.53m | 3:35AM1.50m | 3:39PM1.53m | 4:18AM1.48m | 4:10PM1.50m | 5:00AM1.44m | 4:40PM1.46m | 5:41AM1.39m | 5:09PM1.40m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:57PM0.40m | 8:10AM0.25m | 8:41PM0.30m | 8:55AM0.30m | 9:21PM0.24m | 9:35AM0.38m | 9:59PM0.21m | 10:12AM0.47m | 10:36PM0.22m | 10:48AM0.56m | 11:11PM0.24m | 11:22AM0.65m | 11:46PM0.28m | |||||||
— | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:00 | — | — | |
5:43 | — | — | 5:44 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:49 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 10 |
Temp °C | 13 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 16 | 13 | 15 | 17 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 12 | 13 | 16 | 10 |
Feels °C | 9 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 2 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 16 |
2516 | 1983 | 1336 | 1139 | 975 | 885 | 1474 | 1246 | 667 | 621 | 465 | 305 | 232 | 142 | 121 | 189 | 249 | 729 | 731 | 1115 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | S 14 | SSW 14 | — | — | ESE 4 | SSW 17 | SSW 15 | SW 18 | ESE 5 | SE 4 | SE 7 | SE 7 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | WSW 20 | SW 18 | SSW 17 |
193 | 150 | 104 | — | — | 7 | 57 | 44 | 307 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 59 | 155 | 173 | 163 | 253 | 781 | 27 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 11 | — | ESE 6 | — | SSW 15 | SE 4 | — | ESE 6 | E 6 | S 16 | SW 3 | WSW 19 | S 18 | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | 25 | — | 21 | — | 22 | 1 | — | 4 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 415 | 24 | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | ESE 4 | ESE 4 | SE 5 | ESE 5 | — | — | NE 2 | NNE 4 | N 4 | N 4 | N 4 | N 4 | WSW 3 | NW 3 | WNW 4 | WSW 11 |
— | — | — | — | 7 | 21 | 10 | 42 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 27 | 6 | 48 | 44 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 1287 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 33 | 33 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 43 | 45 | 27 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 27 | 52 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











