Surf Forecasts:
Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 27 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 28 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 17s period, SW swell with cross-onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 3 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 14s period, SW swell with 3,388 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 27 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 13s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 27) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 21s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 3.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 03) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 4s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 01) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4PM (Thu 27th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 1PM (Fri 28th Aug) | 7ft (2.1m) 17s |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Thu 3rd Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, surfers, Rusty here.
Alright, let’s take a look at the 16-day outlook for Rye Ocean Beach. This is a beach and reef set-up that’s exposed to SW swells, and the water is sitting at 56°F, which is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.
The first few days are a bit of a mixed bag with some fun small waves around, but the real standout is a clean, glassy window on Monday afternoon, August 31st. That’s the pick of the forecast. The swell is a solid 7ft from the SW, hanging around 14 seconds, giving it decent energy (2235). The wind is light and offshore from the NE, so it’s going to be clean and well-shaped. That’s a proper session for confident surfers. Monday morning is also worth a look with a 7ft SW swell and a clean cross-off breeze, but the afternoon is the better call.
The first few days of August 27th and 28th see some smaller, shoulder-high waves (4ft to 5ft) with SW swell and a period around 12-13 seconds, but the winds are a bit tricky, with cross-shore and onshore conditions keeping things a touch messy. The energy isn’t huge (537 to 632), so it’s more of a longboard or funboard morning.
Friday, August 28th, the swell bumps up to 7ft in the afternoon, but it’s onshore from the SSW, and the energy is strong (2647), but it’s looking too big for this break and the conditions are messy. I’d leave it.
From Saturday, August 29th, through to Sunday, August 30th, the swell sits around 6ft to 7ft, but the winds are cross or onshore, and the wave quality is marginal. The energy is moderate (1193 to 1392), but it’s not the best.
Then on Monday, the 31st, we get that clean, offshore window I mentioned. After that, the wind really cranks up. From Tuesday, September 1st, the wind is howling from the N and NNW at 28 to 31 mph, and while the swell is still around 6ft to 6ft with a long 15-16 second period, it’s blown out and poor. The energy is strong (1288 to 1671), but you’d be fighting a gale.
The following week is dominated by big, powerful SW swells, ranging from 8ft to 13ft, with periods of 13 to 17 seconds. The energy is huge (2399 to 7046), but the wind is consistently strong, cross-shore, and often onshore. The combination of massive swell and strong wind makes it a kite-fuelled scenario rather than a paddle-friendly one. The waves are too big for beginners and challenging for most.
There are a few windows where the wind and tide are favourable, but the swell is simply too big for this break (like on September 3rd, 4th, 6th, 7th, and 11th). The sets will be powerful and the paddling will be a mission. If you’re an expert and you time it right, you might get a few clean ones, but the wind is often a problem.
Overall, the best call is Monday afternoon, August 31st. That’s the session to plan for.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Thu afternoon, min 8°C on Sat morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Tue morning, min 9°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon afternoon, strong winds from the NNW by Tue afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
383 | 398 | 546 | 1136 | 2595 | 1806 | 1289 | 1163 | 969 | 1173 | 1226 | 1719 | 1665 | 1550 | 2287 | 1592 | 1237 | 1626 | 2264 | 2265 | 1777 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | on | on | cross | on | cross-on | cross | on | cross | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 11:09AM1.20m | 10:26PM1.08m | 12:01PM1.24m | 11:37PM1.13m | 12:43PM1.28m | 00:36AM1.22m | 1:18PM1.33m | 1:27AM1.32m | 1:51PM1.36m | 2:12AM1.40m | 2:21PM1.40m | 2:56AM1.46m | 2:51PM1.42m | 3:39AM1.49m | |||||||
Low Tide | 5:11PM0.75m | 5:06AM0.39m | 6:08PM0.65m | 6:06AM0.36m | 6:51PM0.54m | 6:56AM0.34m | 7:28PM0.44m | 7:41AM0.35m | 8:03PM0.34m | 8:21AM0.37m | 8:37PM0.25m | 8:59AM0.42m | 9:13PM0.18m | ||||||||
6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | |
— | 5:53 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:55 | — | — | 5:57 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:59 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 10 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 18 | 18 | 16 | 13 | 13 | 12 |
Feels °C | 7 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 |
383 | 398 | 517 | 841 | 2595 | 1806 | 1289 | 1163 | 969 | 1173 | 1226 | 1719 | 1665 | 1550 | 2287 | 1592 | 1237 | 1626 | 2264 | 2265 | 1777 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 21 | SW 19 | SW 18 | S 17 | S 16 | S 14 | SSW 14 | SW 22 | SW 20 | SW 20 | SSW 16 | SW 20 | SW 19 | S 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | — |
106 | 117 | 546 | 1136 | 52 | 20 | 16 | 19 | 73 | 137 | 134 | 188 | 312 | 602 | 131 | 79 | 51 | 77 | 133 | 77 | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 22 | SW 21 | S 20 | SSE 18 | — | — | — | W 24 | WSW 22 | SSW 14 | S 13 | — | S 14 | SSW 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
48 | 117 | 7 | 62 | — | — | — | 11 | 45 | 70 | 32 | — | 101 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 4 | NW 4 | NNW 4 | NW 3 | — | WNW 4 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 55 | 58 | 10 | 2 | — | 29 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 2 | 0 | 23 | 23 | 33 | 27 | 2 | 52 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 495 | 351 | 36 | 24 | 24 | 25 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











