Rye Ocean Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at Rye Ocean Beach. This is a beach and reef setup, so it can handle swell from a few angles, and it’s best when the wind is out of the NE—offshore for this place.

Right now, the water temp is sitting at 57°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so nothing unusual there.

The first surf worth paddling out for is Monday morning, July 20. There’s a 3ft SW groundswell rolling in with a long 16-second period, so the energy is decent (547). The wind is cross-off from the NNW at 12 mph, which will keep things clean. It’s a marginal call, and the break is fairly consistent, but it’s a quiet spot crowds-wise, so you might get a few to yourself. Monday afternoon drops off to 2ft and a cross breeze, not much to write home about.

Tuesday July 21 looks a touch better. Morning has 5ft SW swell with a 14-second period, and the combined energy is strong (813). Wind is cross-off from the N at 12 mph, so the face should be tidy. Again, it’s in that marginal zone, but for a beginner-friendly spot, it’s worth a look. Tuesday afternoon holds similar size, but the wind backs off a little.

Then we hit a rough patch. From Wednesday July 22 right through to the end of the month, conditions get messy. The wind swings onshore or cross-onshore, and the swell jumps up—big numbers like 10ft to 12ft from Thursday July 23 through Friday July 25. That’s too much wave for this break, especially with the wind tearing it up. The energy readings are huge (7030, 6830, 7379), but it’s all chop and lump. Not a paddle board day—more like a kite session if you’re into that.

Saturday July 25 morning, the wind goes cross and the swell is 10ft, but it’s still too big for the break to handle well. The energy is massive (5950), but the offshore wind isn’t there. The rest of that weekend and into the next week remains a write-off with onshore winds and solid swell.

Now, here’s a glimmer. Wednesday July 29 morning, the wind finally turns offshore from the NE at 6 mph, and the swell is a meaty 8ft SW with a 16-second period. Combined energy is 3029—strong. That’s still a big wave for this spot, and the file says it’s too big for the break, so it’s for experienced surfers only. Wednesday afternoon gets glassy with NNE wind at 3 mph, 7ft SW swell, and the energy is 2530. That’s a standout moment—clean, glassy, and a proper groundswell. But it’s a big wave, so don’t take it lightly.

Thursday July 30 afternoon is another bright spot. The wind is cross-off from the NNE, light at 3 mph, with 5ft SW swell and a 14-second period. Energy is 1035, moderate. The file calls it excellent for experienced surfers, and it’s the most manageable size of the later period. That’s the one to circle.

Friday July 31 through the first few days of August, the swell stays big—8ft to 18ft, with wind staying cross-off from the N. The energy is through the roof (2997 up to 16250). The conditions are clean, but the wave size is for experts only. It’s a long-range call, so don’t bank on it, but if you’re a solid surfer, August 1–3 could be a big-wave playground.

Bottom line: The best chance for a decent session is Thursday July 30 afternoon, with clean 5ft waves and light offshore winds. For the big wave crew, Wednesday July 29 afternoon glassy session is a standout, but it’s a big one. The rest of the window is either blown out or too oversized for fun.

Rusty.

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