Surf Forecasts:
Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 28 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 1 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 18s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 29 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 16s period, SW swell with 13,409 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 31 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 12s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 31) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 20s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 5.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 02) at 10PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4PM (Fri 31st Jul) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 7PM (Sat 1st Aug) | 7ft (2.1m) 18s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Wed 29th Jul) | 16ft (5.0m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here again. Let’s break down Rye Ocean Beach.
The first few days are a total loss. Starting Tuesday 28 July, we’ve got a 6ft SW swell getting smashed by a 28 mph NW wind. Water temp is 56°F, pretty normal for the time of year. The swell energy is strong (2243), but the conditions are just ugly. Then Wednesday 29 July gets a massive 16ft SW swell with a 16-second period, but the wind is howling onshore at 28 mph. Don’t even think about it.
We’ve got a big gap of poor to marginal conditions until Friday 31 July. Friday morning is still iffy with a 5ft SW swell, but the afternoon is the first real chance. The wind drops to a glassy 3 mph from the NNE, and the swell is 5ft from the SW, 12-second period. The energy is moderate (691), but those glassy conditions make it clean. This is the first window. The break is fairly consistent, and crowds are possible.
The weekend of 1-2 August looks solid. Saturday morning has a 4ft SW swell with a 16 mph cross-offshore N wind, clean. Saturday afternoon gets a 7ft SW swell with a very long 17-second period. That’s proper groundswell, and at a beach-and-reef setup, it might break a bit straight, but it’s clean. Sunday follows the same pattern, clean and around 6-7ft on the SW swell.
Monday 3 August is a write-off again. Rain and strong cross-on wind make the 10ft SW swell a lumpy mess. The standouts arrive in the second week. Circle Friday 7 August. We’ve got a 5ft SW swell with a 16-second period, and a light offshore wind from the NNE at 6 mph. The energy is solid (1256). This is excellent surf for experienced surfers. Saturday 8 August morning is also a beauty: 5ft SW swell, 15-second period, and a gentle offshore NNE breeze. Clean and lined up.
Now, the big one is Monday 10 August. The swell pumps to 10ft from the SW with a 21-second period – a massive groundswell. The energy is enormous (9079). The wind is strong cross-offshore, but the tide is favorable. The forecast says it’s simply too big for this break. Beginners stay away. For experts, it’s a heavy, powerful wave only for the brave. The same goes for Tuesday 11 August with 8ft and 8ft SW swells. Big, powerful, clean, but for experts only.
Overall, there’s a consistent SW swell running, so you’ve got to pick your windows. The best are the glassy Friday 31 July afternoon, the clean 7-8 August mornings, and the huge, expert-only 10-11 August. The rest is wind-affected or too big.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 18mm), heaviest on Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Tue afternoon, min 7°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (near gales from the WNW on Tue night, light winds from the NW by Fri morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Sun night. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 9°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (calm on Fri afternoon, strong winds from the SSW by Sun night). | |||||||||||||||||||
Tue 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | WSW 13 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1547 | 2371 | 12399 | 7822 | 3781 | 1730 | 1609 | 929 | 695 | 546 | 520 | 442 | 2248 | 3052 | 2042 | 1571 | 1229 | 1237 | 3574 | 2349 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-on | on | on | on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 9:38PM1.16m | 11:52AM1.32m | 10:44PM1.14m | 12:39PM1.36m | 11:48PM1.16m | 1:20PM1.40m | 00:46AM1.20m | 1:56PM1.42m | 1:38AM1.25m | 2:29PM1.44m | 2:26AM1.31m | 2:59PM1.45m | 3:11AM1.36m | |||||||
Low Tide | 4:37PM0.89m | 4:34AM0.36m | 5:50PM0.83m | 5:32AM0.33m | 6:45PM0.74m | 6:25AM0.30m | 7:28PM0.65m | 7:13AM0.29m | 8:05PM0.56m | 7:57AM0.29m | 8:39PM0.48m | 8:38AM0.32m | 9:12PM0.40m | |||||||
 |  |  | | | |  | |  |  |  | | | | | |  | | | | |
 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — |
 | 5:28 | — | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — |
mm | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 |
Temp °C | 14 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 11 |
Feels °C | 5 | -1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 14 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | S 15 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | — | SW 13 |
| kJ | 1547 | 2371 | 93 | 80 | 18 | 1730 | 1299 | 929 | 695 | 546 | 520 | 442 | 2248 | 3052 | 2042 | 1571 | 1229 | 1237 | — | 1634 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | — | — | — | — | S 9 | — | SW 24 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 18 | S 19 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | S 16 | WSW 20 | N 5 | — | — |
| kJ | 574 | — | — | — | — | 139 | — | 22 | 72 | 137 | 130 | 432 | 182 | 249 | 235 | 132 | 37 | 1 | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 21 | S 20 | S 19 | S 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | 8 | 7 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 5 | W 6 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | — | SW 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 4 | N 4 | N 4 | NW 4 | WNW 5 | SW 14 | WSW 13 |
| kJ | 110 | 238 | 12399 | 7822 | 3781 | — | 1609 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | 26 | 27 | 58 | 168 | 3574 | 2349 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 516 | 516 | 510 | 274 | 40 | 24 | 40 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 18 | 23 | 27 | 2 | 38 | 160 | 347 | 283 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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