
Surf Forecasts:
Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 5 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 10 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 17s period, SW swell with cross-shore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 10 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 18s period, SW swell with 9,524 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 7 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 15s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 07) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 4.0m 18s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 5s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 09) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1PM (Fri 7th Aug) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 7PM (Mon 10th Aug) | 7ft (2.1m) 17s |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Mon 10th Aug) | 13ft (4.0m) 18s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, I’m Rusty, and here’s how the waves are shaping up for Rye Ocean Beach over the next couple of weeks.
Right now, it’s flat. There’s no surf worth talking about through Wednesday afternoon, Thursday, and into Friday morning. The swell is small and the wind is rubbish, so just leave the board in the shed until later.
The action starts to fire up on Friday afternoon, 7th August. That’s the one to aim for. We’ve got a 5ft SW groundswell rolling in with a long 15-second period, and the wind turns offshore from the NNE at 9 mph. That’s clean, glassy conditions. The combined energy is pumping at (1622), and the break is a beach-and-reef setup that will handle this swell nicely. It’s a beginner-friendly spot, so the size is fine for most. Just keep an eye out – crowds can pop up here sometimes. The water temperature is 56°F, which is pretty average for this time of year, so a 4/3 wetsuit is your best mate.
Saturday morning, 8th August, still has a decent 5ft SW groundswell (16-second period), and the wind is cross-offshore from the north at 25 mph, so it’s clean but windy. The energy is still solid (1231), but the strong breeze will make it a bit of a paddle. Saturday afternoon is similar, just a little less wind.
Sunday, 9th August, the swell drops to 4ft and the wind gets nasty – near gale force from the north at 34 mph in the morning. The combined energy (631) is dropping, and it’s not worth getting wet. Monday, 10th August, brings a huge jump in swell – 15ft in the morning with a short 9-second period, and cross-onshore wind from the WSW at 22 mph. That’s messy, lumpy, and dangerous. The combined energy (3061) is strong, but this is kite-surfing territory, not paddle surfing. Avoid.
Tuesday, 11th August, the swell drops back to 5ft, and the wind is cross-offshore from the NNW at 22 mph. Clean, but the energy is moderate (1119). Still, the wind is fresh, so it’s a bit of a workout. The standouts are really Friday afternoon and maybe a window on Tuesday morning.
From Wednesday, 12th August, onward, the swell gets huge again – 10ft to 16ft SW groundswell with very long periods (17-18 seconds). The combined energy goes through the roof – up to 26380 on Thursday afternoon, 13th August. That’s massive, powerful energy. The wind is mostly cross-onshore or onshore, so it’s messy, but the sheer size means only experts should even think about it. The break is exposed, and these swells are too big for this spot.
The best chance for decent, clean surf in the second week comes on Saturday, 15th August afternoon – glassy conditions with 10ft SW groundswell (17-second period) and zero wind. The combined energy (5658) is very strong, and the waves will be huge and clean. Only for experienced surfers. Sunday, 16th August morning, is also glassy with 8ft SW groundswell (16 seconds) and energy (2547). That’s a bit more manageable for strong intermediates, but still big.
After that, Monday and Tuesday, 17th-18th August, drop to 4-7ft, with cross-offshore winds and clean conditions. The energy (779-2532) is moderate, and the swell periods are still long (14-19 seconds). These are okay but not standout. Wednesday, 19th August, has a similar 5ft SW swell with clean cross-offshore wind, but energy (1323) is moderate. The last few days, 20th August, get messy again with rain and cross-onshore wind.
The standout: Friday afternoon, 7th August, is your best bet. Clean offshore wind, solid 5ft SW groundswell, and good energy. After that, keep an eye on Saturday, 15th August afternoon for a glassy, big-wave session, but that’s one for the experienced crew only.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Thu afternoon, min 10°C on Thu morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the ENE on Fri afternoon, strong winds from the N by Sat morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 15mm), heaviest on Sun night. Very mild (max 15°C on Tue morning, min 9°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (near gales from the N on Sat night, moderate winds from the NW by Mon afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 16 | SW 18 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 21 | SW 9 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
600 | 292 | 558 | 522 | 1235 | 1155 | 1722 | 1210 | 1060 | 763 | 548 | 342 | 940 | 3412 | 2191 | 2444 | 1290 | 1115 | 821 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 4:42AM1.41m | 4:27PM1.45m | 5:30AM1.40m | 5:00PM1.44m | 6:24AM1.38m | 5:40PM1.41m | 7:25AM1.33m | 6:30PM1.37m | 8:34AM1.30m | 7:35PM1.31m | 9:51AM1.29m | 8:53PM1.26m | |||||||
Low Tide | 10:21PM0.27m | 10:32AM0.54m | 10:59PM0.23m | 11:12AM0.63m | 11:43PM0.21m | 11:58AM0.72m | 00:33AM0.21m | 12:52PM0.80m | 1:32AM0.22m | 1:59PM0.85m | 2:40AM0.25m | 3:23PM0.85m | 3:56AM0.26m | ||||||
— | 7:18 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 12 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 13 |
Feels °C | 7 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 16 | SW 18 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 16 | ESE 9 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 |
600 | 292 | 558 | 522 | 1235 | 1155 | 1722 | 1210 | 1060 | 763 | 548 | 342 | 720 | 8 | 2191 | 2444 | 1290 | 1115 | 821 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SW 16 | S 8 | SW 14 | SW 7 | SW 19 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 21 | — | SSW 18 | S 6 | S 15 | ESE 11 | SW 22 |
192 | 163 | 1 | 214 | 65 | 441 | 61 | 51 | 48 | 21 | 83 | 154 | 940 | — | 102 | 39 | 39 | 11 | 389 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 17 | S 8 | S 8 | S 17 | SSW 16 | SW 7 | — | — | — | — | S 18 | — | SSW 21 | — | — | SSW 16 | — | SE 11 | SE 10 |
23 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 52 | 46 | — | — | — | — | 6 | — | 43 | — | — | 84 | — | 4 | 4 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 5 | WNW 3 | W 5 | WSW 7 | — | — | N 3 | N 4 | N 4 | NNE 4 | NNE 5 | N 5 | N 4 | SW 9 | SW 9 | — | NW 3 | NNW 4 | NNW 4 |
41 | 10 | 16 | 81 | — | — | 5 | 24 | 27 | 30 | 100 | 85 | 18 | 3412 | 1227 | — | 12 | 7 | 21 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 24 | 23 | 2 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 27 | 43 | 27 | 70 | 29 | 40 | 40 | 35 | 27 | 42 | 35 | 2 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











