Rye Ocean Beach Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.39° S 144.78° E

Rye Ocean Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 am 07 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Rye Ocean Beach sea temperature is
13.4° C
0.6° 

Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 6 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Tuesday 11 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 15s period, WSW swell with cross-shore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 13 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 17s period, SW swell with 11,335 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 7 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 15s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:

The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 07) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 19s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 4.5m 17s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 13) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 5s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 09) at 1PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4PM (Fri 7th Aug)5ft (1.6m) 15s
Best Surf 4AM (Tue 11th Aug)10ft (3.0m) 15s
Most Powerful 1AM (Thu 13th Aug)15ft (4.5m) 17s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what’s on the cards for Rye Ocean Beach over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, we’ve got a solid 5 ft SW groundswell rolling in with a very long 15-second period, and the water temp is sitting at 13°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year. The first real standout is Friday afternoon, August 7th. The wind drops right out to a glassy 3 mph from the east, making it look near-perfect for a session. The combined energy is pumping through at 1643 (moderate), and the conditions are as clean as you’ll get. This is a beginner-friendly break, so it’s a good one to get amongst.

Saturday the 8th brings a shift – a strong 22 mph northerly cross-offshore wind keeps the surf clean, but with that swell still around 5 ft and a 16-second period, it’s a bit of a battle with the breeze. The energy drops a touch, and while it’s surfable, it’s not the best of the run.

By Sunday the 9th, the wind cranks up to 28-31 mph from the north-northeast, and the swell fades to 3-4 ft. The energy is weak (under 600), and the comments are a clear “poor surf conditions.” It’s a write-off. Monday the 10th is a no-go as well – a massive 13 ft SW swell with a 17-second period hits, but it’s a mess with 28 mph cross-onshore winds. The combined energy is huge (9876), but this is a blown-out, dangerous setup. For paddle surfing, it’s a hard pass – this looks more like a kiter’s playground.

The rough weather continues through Tuesday the 11th to Thursday the 13th of August. The swell stays big, often over 8 ft, with strong winds and cross-onshore conditions. The energy readings are high (up to 13,505), but it’s ugly, lumpy, and for experts only if they’re keen on a battle. Friday the 14th and Saturday the 15th see the swell still at 8 ft to 10 ft, and despite the wind being a bit lighter, the forecasts say the swell is too big for this break. Fair warning.

Now, we get a nice little window. Sunday afternoon, August 16th – the wind swings to a light easterly at 3 mph, the swell drops to a clean 6 ft from the SW with a 14-second period, and the energy is a tidy 1203. It’s glassy, clean, and the comments say “excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers.” This is a solid pick for a late surf. The following day, Monday the 17th, is more marginal, but Tuesday afternoon, August 18th, is another beauty. The swell is 4 ft from the WSW, period 14 seconds, and the wind goes glassy again. The energy is 1171, and it’s pure glass – a real treat for a quiet session, though the crowd at Rye can be “sometimes” around, so you might have company.

The final standout in the longer range is Saturday morning, August 22nd. A solid 7 ft WSW swell with a 13-second period, clean 6 mph cross-offshore wind, and an energy reading of 1309. The forecast says “excellent surf conditions,” but with that swell size, it’s pushing into the intermediate/expert range. The afternoon of the 22nd has an 8 ft SW swell, which is flagged as too big for the break, so stick to the morning.

Overall, we’ve got a rough start, a couple of glassy gems in the second week, and a promising finish. The Friday afternoon and Sunday afternoon windows are your best bets for clean, fun waves. The big stuff in between is for the hardcore only, or the kite crowd.

Stay stoked,
Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat afternoon, min 9°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (calm on Fri afternoon, near gales from the N by Sun morning).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 14mm), heaviest on Mon morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Tue morning, min 9°C on Wed afternoon). Winds decreasing (near gales from the WSW on Mon morning, moderate winds from the NW by Mon night).

Friday
7
Saturday
8
Sunday
9
Monday
10
Tuesday
11
Wednesday
12
Thursday
13
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
4
4
2
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.6
SW
15
1.6
SW
15
1.8
SW
17
1.6
SW
16
1.6
SW
16
1.4
SW
14
1.1
SW
14
1
SW
13
1.5
SW
20
1.9
SW
19
4
SW
17
3
SW
16
2
SW
14
1.7
SW
14
1.3
SW
13
1.7
SW
17
2.5
SW
16
4.5
SW
17
4
SW
16
4
WSW
16
3
SW
15
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1235
1155
1882
1210
1164
763
478
347
1800
2585
9774
4123
1602
1147
600
1702
3369
11335
7465
7568
3275
Wind (km/h)
15
WNW
5
E
20
NNE
35
N
35
N
35
NNE
45
NNE
50
NNE
40
N
45
WSW
45
WSW
30
WNW
35
NNW
40
NNW
45
N
50
NNW
50
W
50
WSW
35
WNW
30
WSW
25
WNW
Wind State
cross-on
glassy
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
on
cross-on
on
cross-on
High Tide
5:00PM1.44m
6:24AM1.38m
5:40PM1.41m
7:25AM1.33m
6:30PM1.37m
8:34AM1.30m
7:35PM1.31m
9:51AM1.29m
8:53PM1.26m
11:07AM1.32m
10:20PM1.25m
12:12PM1.38m
11:43PM1.29m
Low Tide
11:12AM0.63m
11:43PM0.21m
11:58AM0.72m
00:33AM0.21m
12:52PM0.80m
1:32AM0.22m
1:59PM0.85m
2:40AM0.25m
3:23PM0.85m
3:56AM0.26m
4:55PM0.78m
5:14AM0.26m
6:11PM0.66m
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
light rain
light rain
part cloud
light rain
thunderstorm
light rain
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
light rain
light rain
light rain
rain showers
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:16
7:15
7:13
7:13
7:11
7:11
7:09
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:36
5:37
5:37
5:38
5:39
5:40
5:42
 mm
3
2
4
3
2
2
3
4
1
1
Temp °C
11
13
13
13
14
14
12
13
12
13
12
10
14
13
12
11
10
11
13
13
12
Feels °C
9
12
10
5
7
7
3
5
3
5
3
3
5
4
2
0
-1
4
7
7
6
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
How to use the Wavefinder 
submit an eyeball surf report

Quick surf report for Rye Ocean Beach:

join our community of surf reporters

FREE! Surf-Forecast.com widget for your website

The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.


Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

Nearest locationNearest