Rye Ocean Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, surfers, Rusty here. Let me tell you what's cooking for the Rye Ocean Beach stretch. It's a beach and reef setup, and it's exposed to the south-west, so it needs the right missus to get it working.

Right off the bat, the first few days are a tough pill to swallow. Tuesday, the 21st, we've got some weak 5-foot swell from the WSW, but the wind is a cross-off from the north, so it's clean. The energy is moderate (906), and the period is a touch short. It's a real marginal call; you might find a closeout or two, but it's hard to get excited about. The water temp is about average for the time of year, so no surprises there.

The outlook gets grim from Wednesday the 22nd right through to Sunday the 27th. We get a big pulse of swell, hitting 10-foot to 13-foot, and even peaking at 13-foot on Friday the 24th with a very long period of 15 seconds. The combined energy is massive (over 13,000 on the 24th morning), but it's all blown out. The wind is cross-on or onshore, mostly from the west, strong and messy. It's a real write-off. That kind of size and onshore wind makes it a kite surfer's dream, not a paddle surfer's.

Now, after that stormy mess, things get interesting. The standout window is from Monday the 27th onwards. The morning of the 27th is still a bit lumpy, but Monday afternoon, the guidance suggests the wind and tide line up, and we get a 7-foot swell from the SW with a 13-second period. The energy is strong (1660), and the wind is a gentle onshore breeze from the WSW. The models say the swell could be too big for this break, but those conditions are a massive tease.

But the real gold is on Tuesday the 28th. The morning delivers a 10-foot swell from the SW with a very long 16-second period and a clean, cross-off wind from the NNW. The energy is pumping (5316). The guidance says the swell is too big for the break, but for a strong surfer, this is the best on offer. The afternoon is even stronger with a 10-foot WSW swell, same period, and still clean. The combined energy is over 10,000. This is the session to watch.

Wednesday the 29th and Thursday the 30th keep the clean, cross-off winds from the NNW, with solid 8-foot to 12-foot SW and WSW swells, all with very long periods (15 to 17 seconds). The energy is still massive (over 7,700 on Wednesday morning). The same caveat applies: great for the experienced crew, but the beach break setup might see those long-period swells break a bit too straight.

Into early August, the first of the month (Saturday) still has a clean 7-foot SW swell, but the wind is a stiff cross-off from the NNE. The pattern fades into Sunday and Monday the 5th, with the swell dropping and the wind turning messy again.

So, there's a long stretch of flat or blown-out days, but the end of the month turns it on. The real standout is Tuesday the 28th and Wednesday the 29th of July. If you're good enough to handle a 10-foot+ groundswell under clean skies, that's your window. The break is fairly consistent, so it's not a total shock when it gets good. Just be ready for the crowds, as Rye can get a few heads out when it's clean.

Rusty.

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