Rye Ocean Beach Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.39° S 144.78° E

Rye Ocean Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 pm 19 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Rye Ocean Beach sea temperature is
13.2° C
0.5° 

Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 19 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 22 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 16s period, SW swell with cross-shore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 22 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 15s period, WSW swell with 4,485 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 20 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 17s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:

The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 20) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 17s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 13s. Another secondary swell of 0.6m and 3s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 3.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 22) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 20) at 4AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1PM (Thu 20th Aug)2ft (0.6m) 17s
Best Surf 7AM (Sat 22nd Aug)8ft (2.4m) 16s
Most Powerful 4PM (Sat 22nd Aug)11ft (3.5m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s comin’ up for Rye Ocean Beach. It’s a bit of a mixed bag, so let’s get into it.

We start off with a bit of a quiet spell. The first few days are a write-off, honestly. Wednesday the 19th has some small swell but it’s gettin’ hammered by a strong breeze, so it’s just messy. Thursday and Friday the 20th and 21st are similar – a bit of swell but the wind is all over the shop, with a cross-chop that’ll make you work for nothing. The combined energy is moderate, around 347 to 350, but that’s churned up and not doing you any favours.

Now, Saturday the 22nd and Sunday the 23rd, things get interesting. We’ve got a solid 8ft to 7ft SW swell comin’ in, with a long period of 14 to 15 seconds. That’s a proper groundswell. The combined energy jumps way up into the thousands (2642, 2662, 2298). But here’s the rub – for a beach-and-reef setup like this, that’s a lot of power. This is expert territory. On Saturday, it’s blown out with a cross-on wind. But Sunday afternoon is the standout for the first week. The wind swings to a light offshore from the NNE, maybe 6 mph, and the swell is still a hearty 6ft. It’s clean, it’s got power, and for the experienced crew, this is the best session on offer right now. The water temp is about 56°, which is pretty normal for this time of year.

After that, Monday the 24th through to Wednesday the 26th is a bit of a lull again. The swell drops back to 4ft-5ft, but the wind is mixing it up – cross-off one moment, cross the next. It’s just not coming together for a solid session. The energy is moderate (1099 down to 581).

Then we hit another big pulse. Wednesday the 26th afternoon has an 12ft SW swell, but it’s short period at 10 seconds, so it’s a bit of a lumpy beast. It’s too big for the break really. Thursday the 27th and Friday the 28th bring a drop in size, but Friday the 28th afternoon is a true standout for the second week. We’ve got a 10ft SW groundswell with a 17-second period, and a light offshore wind from the NE. The combined energy is massive (4868), and the conditions are clean. That’s a dream session for big-wave experts, but it’s a no-go for anyone else.

Saturday the 29th and Sunday the 30th stay big, with 10ft swell, but the wind gets a bit cross. Monday the 31st is a nice drop-off – 5ft to 5ft SW swell with a 16-second period, and a slight cross-off wind. Combined energy is still strong (1845), but it’s cleaner and more manageable.

Looking into the first week of September, Tuesday the 1st and Wednesday the 2nd look sweet. We’ve got a 3ft to 4ft SW groundswell, with a 14 to 16-second period, and light offshore or cross-off winds. It’s clean, glassy, and the energy is moderate (around 536 to 743). This is a great pick for anyone wanting a fun, clean session without the crowd chaos. Thursday the 3rd is even glassier, with a light SSE breeze and 3ft swell – a proper little gem to finish the outlook.

To wrap it up: the standout for the first week is Sunday afternoon the 23rd – 6ft SW, clean, offshore. For the second week, Friday afternoon the 28th is the one for the heavy hitters, 10ft SW and glassy. For the everyday surfer, Tuesday morning the 2nd of September is the pick of the litter.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Very mild (max 14°C on Wed night, min 9°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the N on Wed night, light winds from the NW by Thu morning).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Mon afternoon. Very mild (max 17°C on Mon morning, min 11°C on Sun morning). Mainly fresh winds.

Thursday
20
Friday
21
Saturday
22
Sunday
23
Monday
24
Tuesday
25
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
!
!
!
4
2
2
0
2
1
0
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
SW
15
0.7
SW
14
0.6
SW
17
1
SW
16
1.3
WSW
15
1.6
WSW
14
2.1
SW
16
2.5
SW
15
3.5
WSW
15
2.5
SW
14
2.3
SW
14
2
SW
13
1.9
SW
16
1.6
SW
14
1.6
SW
14
2
SW
13
1.9
SW
13
1.8
SW
12
1.1
SW
15
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
217
186
173
502
770
1010
2284
3011
4485
2785
1919
1346
1719
1063
990
1226
1173
986
563
Wind (km/h)
35
NNW
25
NW
15
W
25
WNW
30
WNW
25
WNW
30
WNW
30
W
20
SW
15
W
20
NW
10
NNW
30
N
30
NNW
20
W
15
W
20
S
25
SSW
15
S
Wind State
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
High Tide
5:00AM1.44m
4:40PM1.46m
5:41AM1.39m
5:09PM1.40m
6:23AM1.32m
5:39PM1.33m
7:08AM1.26m
6:12PM1.26m
7:59AM1.21m
6:56PM1.18m
8:59AM1.18m
7:55PM1.11m
Low Tide
10:36PM0.22m
10:48AM0.56m
11:11PM0.24m
11:22AM0.65m
11:46PM0.28m
11:57AM0.73m
00:23AM0.32m
12:37PM0.79m
1:04AM0.36m
1:27PM0.83m
1:53AM0.39m
2:32PM0.84m
2:52AM0.41m
rain showers
part cloud
light rain
clear
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
clear
clear
cloud
clear
rain showers
cloud
cloud
part cloud
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:01
7:00
6:58
6:56
6:54
6:54
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:47
5:49
5:49
5:50
5:51
5:52
 mm
1
1
2
1
Temp °C
14
14
14
11
13
14
12
13
14
13
13
15
13
17
16
12
12
12
11
Feels °C
7
10
10
5
8
9
7
8
10
9
10
12
8
11
11
7
6
5
5
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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