Surf Forecasts:
Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 31 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 2 Sep, 1PM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 16s period, SW swell with cross-shore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 5 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 14s period, WSW swell with 9,267 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 2 Sep, 1PM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 02) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.3m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be cross-shore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 4.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 05) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 4s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 01) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1PM (Wed 2nd Sep) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 1PM (Wed 2nd Sep) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Sat 5th Sep) | 15ft (4.5m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what Rye Ocean Beach has in store for us over the next couple of weeks. This is a beach and reef set-up that likes a good SW groundswell, and that’s exactly what’s on the menu.
It’s a pretty solid run of swell lined up, but man, the wind is going to be the story for a lot of it. For the first few days, we’ve got some serious size and energy rolling in, but it’s coming with cross-onshore winds that’ll chop things up. Tuesday morning, September 1st, sees a clean 6 ft swell from the SW with a 15-second period and a ton of energy (1655), but that north cross-off wind is blowing a stiff 28 mph. It’s clean, but that’s a stiff breeze to deal with. That afternoon drops a touch to 5 ft, but the energy stays high (1072). Honestly, the surf is there, but the conditions are marginal.
Now, Wednesday the 2nd is where things get heavy. Morning has a 7 ft SW groundswell with a 16-second period and massive energy (2232). The wind is cross-on from the west at 12 mph, which is manageable, but that wave height is pushing 7 ft. It’s getting into the territory where it’s a bit much for beginners. By the afternoon it’s 8 ft and the wind picks up, making it a no-go.
Thursday the 3rd? Forget it. We’re looking at 13 ft to 15 ft of WSW swell with wild energy levels (9066 to 11399). The wind is strong and cross-onshore. That’s not for surfing; that’s a full-blown storm surge.
Friday the 4th is a bit of a tease. The swell drops to a still-large 10 ft from the SW (15-seconds, 4705 energy), and the wind goes cross-off from the NNW. It’s clean, but 10 ft is big. The file says the swell is too big for this break, and I’d agree - this is for experienced surfers only on the better banks.
We get a similar situation on Sunday the 6th – 10 ft on the morning, dropping to 8 ft by the afternoon, both with clean conditions thanks to a cross-off breeze. The energy is still hefty (4645 to 2865). Again, it’s clean, but it’s big.
After that, the second week is a mess. A lot of onshore wind, lumpy conditions, and the swell is all over the shop. There are pockets of clean surf, like on Friday the 11th and Saturday the 12th where we see solid 10 ft and 7 ft SW swells with nice cross-off winds. The energy is still moderate (5313 and 2136), so the waves will have some punch. But the conditions are hard to trust, and the crowds at Rye can be a thing.
Honestly, if I had to pick one standout, it’s Tuesday morning, September 1st. That 6 ft SW groundswell (1655 energy) with the north cross-off wind is the most user-friendly window early on. It’s clean, it’s got good period, and the size is manageable. If you’re an experienced surfer and want to test yourself on a heavy day, Wednesday morning, September 2nd offers a clean 7 ft groundswell, but be ready for the size and a bit of cross-on push.
After the first week, the forecast gets messy and the conditions are unreliable. There’s a long gap of poor surf from Thursday the 3rd right through until the end of the second week with very few windows that look any good. The swell keeps coming, but the wind keeps stuffing it up.
So, keep your eyes on the early days, and be ready to pick your window. The ocean’s got plenty of energy, but she’s not making it easy on us.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Very mild (max 19°C on Tue morning, min 9°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the N on Tue morning, moderate winds from the WSW by Tue night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri afternoon, min 10°C on Fri morning). Winds decreasing (near gales from the W on Fri night, light winds from the ENE by Sun afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | WSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
1572 | 1025 | 810 | 1832 | 2553 | 2424 | 3840 | 6373 | 4848 | 4929 | 4376 | 2945 | 5573 | 6889 | 5446 | 3470 | 2350 | 1162 | 535 | 369 | 444 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | on |
High Tide | 2:21PM1.40m | 2:56AM1.46m | 2:51PM1.42m | 3:39AM1.49m | 3:22PM1.44m | 4:22AM1.49m | 3:55PM1.44m | 5:09AM1.45m | 4:33PM1.42m | 6:00AM1.38m | 5:17PM1.37m | 6:59AM1.31m | 6:13PM1.30m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:37PM0.25m | 8:59AM0.42m | 9:13PM0.18m | 9:36AM0.48m | 9:50PM0.13m | 10:13AM0.54m | 10:31PM0.12m | 10:53AM0.62m | 11:16PM0.13m | 11:38AM0.68m | 00:08AM0.18m | 12:33PM0.74m | 1:09AM0.25m | ||||||||
6:43 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | |
— | 5:58 | — | — | 5:59 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:02 | — | |
mm | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | 1 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 19 | 19 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13 |
Feels °C | 12 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | S 15 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | — | — | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 |
1572 | 1025 | 810 | 1832 | 2553 | 2424 | 38 | 4630 | 4848 | 4929 | 4376 | 2945 | — | — | 5446 | 3470 | 2350 | 1162 | 535 | 369 | 444 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SW 17 | SSW 17 | S 16 | S 16 | — | — | S 15 | SSW 16 | SSW 17 | SSW 15 | — | — | — | — | SSW 9 | — | ESE 4 | SW 21 | SW 20 |
83 | 47 | 290 | 97 | 129 | 129 | — | — | 115 | 263 | 160 | 184 | — | — | — | — | 47 | — | 6 | 17 | 259 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | SSW 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 22 | SW 21 | SSE 5 |
— | — | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 18 | 17 | 3 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 4 | NNW 4 | WNW 4 | WSW 6 | NW 3 | NW 4 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | — | NW 4 | NW 4 | NNW 4 | WSW 14 | SW 14 | — | — | — | — | E 4 | ESE 4 | WNW 3 |
44 | 31 | 37 | 57 | 3 | 35 | 3840 | 6373 | — | 10 | 13 | 24 | 5573 | 6889 | — | — | — | — | 16 | 6 | 6 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 478 | 35 | 36 | 36 | 24 | 27 | 483 | 40 | 35 | 27 | 27 | 507 | 482 | 794 | 36 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 29 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











