Rye Ocean Beach Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.39° S 144.78° E

Rye Ocean Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 am 12 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Rye Ocean Beach sea temperature is
13.9° C
0.5° 

Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 12 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 13 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 16s period, SW swell with cross-onshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 13 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 16s period, SW swell with 10,318 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 13 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 16s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:

The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 4.5m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 4.5m and 16s. Another secondary swell of 0.7m and 17s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-onshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 4.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 19) at 4PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Mon 13th Jul)15ft (4.5m) 16s
Best Surf10PM (Mon 13th Jul)15ft (4.5m) 16s
Most Powerful10PM (Mon 13th Jul)15ft (4.5m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.


G’day, Rusty here, lookin’ at what’s on offer for Rye Ocean Beach over the next couple of weeks. Straight up, it’s a bit of a rough start. We’ve got a solid run of south-west groundswell coming through, but the wind is going to mess it up for a while. The first real chance to paddle out doesn’t come until Wednesday, 15 July, and even then, it’s a bit of a mixed bag.

The week kicks off with a big, angry ocean. Sunday the 12th through to Tuesday the 14th, we’re looking at messy, cross-shore howling winds and swell well over 8 ft, heading into the 10-13 ft range. The combined energy is cranked up, with readings like 1974 and even 12725, which is just raw power – but it’s all cross-chop and blown-out. Not worth a look. If you’re into kite surfing, this setup might be your thing, but for a paddle surfer, it’s a no-go.

Then Wednesday the 15th rolls in, and the wind drops. We’ve got an 8 ft SW swell with a 14-second period, clean cross-off wind on the morning, and the comment says wind and tide are favourable. The catch is the swell is still predicted to be a bit too big for the break, but for an experienced surfer, this is the first real window. The energy is still strong at 2837, but it’s cleaner. Thursday the 16th afternoon is a standout: the wind goes glassy, zero wind, with a 7 ft SW groundswell at 15 seconds. That’s a long-period swell, meaning it’s got plenty of energy (2060) and the sets will be spaced out, making it easier to get out. The glassy conditions will make it look like a mirror. That’s the pick of the first week.

Friday the 17th is also a treat, with clean cross-off winds and a 8 ft SW groundswell at 16 seconds (2819 energy). But again, the swell size is a bit much for beginners. Saturday the 18th morning sees the swell drop to 5 ft, still clean, but the energy is down to 816, and the score is marginal. It’s a smaller, cleaner option if you’re not keen on the bigger stuff.

The second week, from Sunday the 19th, it drops right off. Sunday the 19th is a write-off with big N wind and a weak 3 ft swell. The next decent chance comes on Monday the 27th. That’s a full week away, but it’s worth a mention. We’ve got a 7 ft SW groundswell at 14 seconds, with clean cross-off wind and plenty of energy (1919). The water temperature is sitting at 57°F, which is about normal for this time of year, so you won’t need a full wetsuit, but a 3/2 is your friend.

The real standout in the whole 16-day window, though, has to be Saturday the 25th July. Morning: clear 7 ft SW groundswell at 17 seconds, perfectly clean with offshore wind. The energy is 2267, which is serious. The comment says “excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers.” That’s a long-period groundswell, so it’ll be lining up nicely, with long gaps between sets. The afternoon is glassy with a 7 ft SW swell. This is the one to circle on the calendar. Crowds are likely, as it’s a fairly consistent spot, but for that quality, you’ll forgive a few extra heads in the water.

So, to wrap it up: the first few days are a mess. Get in the water from Wednesday the 15th if you’re experienced, but Thursday the 16th afternoon is glassy gold. The absolute best of the lot is Saturday the 25th July – clean, long-period swell, perfect wind. The rest of the second week is smaller and more marginal. Keep an eye on the forecasts, but that Saturday is the one.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Sun afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon morning, min 11°C on Sun morning). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WNW on Sun morning, moderate winds from the W by Tue night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Thu afternoon, min 10°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light.

Sunday
12
Monday
13
Tuesday
14
Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
Friday
17
Saturday
18
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
!
0
0
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
4
2
3
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.5
WSW
12
3
WSW
12
3
SW
13
3.5
SW
15
3.5
SW
16
4.5
WSW
15
4
WSW
15
3.5
SW
15
3
SW
15
2.5
SW
14
2.3
SW
14
2.1
SW
14
2.1
SW
14
2.1
SW
15
2.2
SW
15
2.3
SW
16
2.1
SW
16
1.8
SW
14
1.5
SW
14
1.4
SW
13
1.1
SW
13
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1875
3091
3420
5324
6490
8772
7049
5832
3612
2747
2035
1618
1804
1881
2038
2668
2129
1289
816
623
431
Wind (km/h)
45
WNW
40
WNW
40
WNW
45
NW
45
WNW
35
W
25
W
25
WSW
20
W
20
NW
10
SW
10
W
15
NW
0
NW
10
NW
15
NNW
5
NNE
10
NNW
15
NNW
15
NNE
25
N
Wind State
cross
cross-on
cross
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross
on
cross-on
cross
glassy
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
7:59PM1.36m
10:15AM1.39m
9:07PM1.33m
11:27AM1.43m
10:21PM1.31m
12:30PM1.49m
11:37PM1.33m
1:23PM1.54m
00:50AM1.36m
2:10PM1.57m
1:56AM1.40m
2:53PM1.59m
2:54AM1.43m
Low Tide
2:27PM0.89m
3:02AM0.25m
3:45PM0.91m
4:10AM0.23m
5:09PM0.87m
5:20AM0.20m
6:24PM0.78m
6:26AM0.18m
7:25PM0.67m
7:26AM0.17m
8:17PM0.55m
8:19AM0.20m
9:03PM0.45m
part cloud
light rain
cloud
part cloud
light rain
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:35
7:35
7:35
7:35
7:33
7:33
7:33
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:15
5:16
5:16
5:17
5:19
5:19
5:20
 mm
2
2
3
Temp °C
13
13
12
14
14
12
13
13
13
13
13
13
13
14
14
11
13
12
11
14
13
Feels °C
3
4
2
5
5
6
7
7
8
11
11
10
10
13
13
9
12
10
7
10
8
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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