Rye Ocean Beach Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.39° S 144.78° E

Rye Ocean Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 am 11 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Rye Ocean Beach sea temperature is
13.8° C
0.4° 

Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 11 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 12 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 13s period, WSW swell with cross-shore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 14 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 15s period, WSW swell with 10,050 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 12 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 13s period with WSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:

The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 12) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.5m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 24s. The wind is predicted to be cross-shore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 4.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 5s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 11) at 4PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Sun 12th Jul)11ft (3.5m) 13s
Best Surf10PM (Sun 12th Jul)11ft (3.5m) 13s
Most Powerful 1AM (Tue 14th Jul)15ft (4.5m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.


Alright, mate, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.

Right off the bat, this outlook for Rye Ocean Beach is a tough one. We’ve got a serious run of wind and wild swell that’s going to keep things messy for a while. The wait is real – there’s no surf worth paddling for until at least Wednesday, July 15th, and even then, it’s only for the brave.

The big story is the first few days. Saturday the 11th and Sunday the 12th are a write-off. We’re talking 25-34 mph winds, swinging from cross-off to cross-on, with swell anywhere from 3 ft to 12 ft. The combined energy is huge, hitting 2340 and even 3285 but it’s all just a cauldron of cross-chop and onshore mush. Don’t even think about it.

Monday the 13th holds some serious size – 12 ft from the SW with a long period of 15-16 seconds. That’s a groundswell with 5362 to 6219 units of energy, which is proper strong. But the wind is a strong 28 mph cross-shore, making it a mess. This setup is much more for the kite crew than paddle surfers. Same goes for Tuesday the 14th – 13 ft swell with a WSW wind? That’s big and lumpy (13303 energy). Only experts should even look at it.

Now, Wednesday the 15th. This is where things get interesting for the brave. The swell drops to 8 ft in the morning and 7 ft in the afternoon, still a SW groundswell at 14 seconds. The wind goes light – 12 mph cross-shore in the morning, dropping to 6 mph in the arvo. That’s a moderate to light breeze and the water is clean. But the kicker is the size. 8 ft is big and that means it’s for experienced surfers only. The combined energy is still solid at 2603. If you’re an expert, Wednesday arvo could be the standout window with the lighter wind, but it’ll be heavy.

Thursday the 16th morning is only marginal with a 6 ft swell and some cross-shore breeze. But hold up – Thursday afternoon turns it on. We get glassy conditions, zero wind, and a clean 6 ft SW swell with a 14-second period. The energy is 1472. That’s the pick of the early window for an experienced surfer looking for a clean, powerful wave. It’ll be quality, but still solid.

Friday the 17th is another beauty on paper. Morning brings a 8 ft swell with a 16-second period and light cross-off wind – clean. The energy is 3306. That’s a lot of power. Then Friday afternoon goes glassy with a 8 ft swell and the same long period. This is the true standout of the outlook. Glassy, clean, and a 8 ft SW groundswell? That’s a session for the confident to remember.

After that, things drop off. Saturday the 18th is smaller at 4-5 ft but the wind picks up to 16 mph – clean, but marginal. Sunday the 19th sees a weird 20-second period swell at 3 ft, but it’s blown out by strong winds with 891 energy. Not one for the beach.

The second week is a bit of a mixed bag. Monday the 22nd morning has a 5 ft, 10-second swell with light cross-off wind – expect good conditions. Then Tuesday the 23rd morning brings a massive 12 ft, 16-second swell from SW, with a fresh breeze and clean conditions. That’s huge. 5331 energy. Only for experts, and even then, it’s a bomb. Thursday the 24th and Friday the 25th are blown out or marginal, with strong winds and messy cross-shore chop.

Don’t get your hopes up too high for the long-range stuff. The real sweet spot is that Friday the 17th arvo – glassy, clean, and a solid 8 ft groundswell. That’s the one to circle. If you’re an experienced surfer, the Wednesday the 15th arvo also offers a heavy but cleaner window.

Overall, a slow start, a few heavy windows for the brave, and one glassy gem to finish the first week. Hang in there.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 19mm), heaviest on Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon morning, min 9°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (near gales from the NNE on Sat afternoon, fresh winds from the WNW by Mon night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Tue morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Thu afternoon, min 10°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WSW on Tue afternoon, calm by Thu afternoon).

Saturday
11
Sunday
12
Monday
13
Tuesday
14
Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
Friday
17
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
!
0
0
0
!
!
3
2
4
4
!
!
4
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.1
SW
14
1
SW
14
1.2
WSW
13
2.5
SW
13
3.5
WSW
12
3
SW
13
3.5
SW
15
3.5
SW
16
4.5
WSW
15
4
WSW
15
3.5
SW
15
3
SW
15
2.5
SW
14
2.2
SW
14
1.9
SW
14
1.8
SW
14
1.8
SW
14
1.8
SW
14
2.5
SW
16
2.3
SW
16
1.8
SW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
476
390
430
2207
3266
3242
5255
5926
10050
7235
5912
4234
2562
1770
1403
1255
1336
1220
3077
2601
1382
Wind (km/h)
40
N
55
NNE
50
NW
50
NW
40
WNW
40
WNW
45
NW
45
NW
40
WNW
35
W
40
WSW
20
WSW
20
WNW
10
NW
10
WNW
15
NW
0
NNE
10
N
10
NNW
5
ENE
10
N
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-on
cross
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross
cross
cross
cross
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
cross-off
High Tide
7:01PM1.39m
9:01AM1.36m
7:59PM1.36m
10:15AM1.39m
9:07PM1.33m
11:27AM1.43m
10:21PM1.31m
12:30PM1.49m
11:37PM1.33m
1:23PM1.54m
00:50AM1.36m
2:10PM1.57m
1:56AM1.40m
Low Tide
1:20PM0.83m
1:59AM0.27m
2:27PM0.89m
3:02AM0.25m
3:45PM0.91m
4:10AM0.23m
5:09PM0.87m
5:20AM0.20m
6:24PM0.78m
6:26AM0.18m
7:25PM0.67m
7:26AM0.17m
8:17PM0.55m
cloud
light rain
mod rain
rain showers
rain showers
light rain
part cloud
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:35
7:35
7:35
7:35
7:35
7:33
7:33
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:15
5:15
5:16
5:16
5:17
5:19
5:19
 mm
4
7
1
2
1
1
3
1
2
Temp °C
12
13
10
11
12
13
14
14
13
12
13
12
12
14
14
14
15
14
12
13
13
Feels °C
3
3
0
0
3
4
5
5
4
5
4
6
8
11
12
10
14
12
10
12
11
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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