Rye Ocean Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what the next couple of weeks are serving up.

Right off the bat, this is a tricky outlook. We're looking at Rye Ocean Beach, and the first real call isn't until Tuesday afternoon, September 8th. Before that, it's flat or just not worth paddling out.

So, Tuesday afternoon. This is where it gets interesting, but also a bit of a warning. We've got a solid 7ft SW groundswell rolling in, with a very long 17-second period. The combined energy is strong at 3023. That much power, with that period, is going to make it dumpy and heaving on a beach break. The wind is light onshore from the SSW, so it's not going to be pristine. This one is for experienced surfers only. The water temp is about average for this time of year.

Wednesday the 9th, the swell jumps up to 12ft to 13ft with strong onshore gales. That's a mess. Too big and blown out. Thursday the 10th is more of the same – big swell, strong onshore wind, poor conditions. We're basically in a holding pattern of massive, messy surf.

Friday the 11th morning shows promise with a 7ft SW swell and light offshore WSW winds, making for a clean window. The period is a moderate 14 seconds. The energy is still moderate at 1956. This is a good call for an intermediate surfer; it's still a bit of size, but the clean conditions make it manageable.

Saturday the 12th is the standout. The morning has a 8ft SW swell (energy 2527) with light offshore winds from the N. By afternoon, it's even better: glassy conditions with just a slight air from the NNE, and the swell holding at 7ft. The 15-second period will be delivering clean, lined-up sets. The cross-off wind will keep the faces smooth. This is the best on offer. Good for intermediate to experienced surfers.

Sunday the 13th, the swell drops to 5ft, but the winds pick up strong from the N, creating a clean but wind-affected chop. It's a drop-off from Saturday.

Then we hit a long gap. From Monday the 14th through to the middle of the week, the wind is all over the place, mostly strong onshore or cross-shore, with dropping swell. The energy drops into the weak-to-moderate range (under 1000). It's a dry spell.

We get a blip on Tuesday the 15th afternoon with a 8ft SW swell and gentle cross-onshore wind, but the period drops to 12 seconds. The energy is moderate at 1442, but the wind state is "gentle cross-onshore and fairly choppy." It’s not a standout.

The next real window appears on Monday the 21st of September. The afternoon session sees a 5ft SW groundswell with a 13-second period and, crucially, a light offshore wind from the NNE. The forecast says "expect very good surf conditions" with clean waves and moderate energy (970). This is the other standout, but it's way out there – two weeks away – so treat it as a promising long-range call.

The middle stretch from the 16th to the 20th is largely a write-off due to wind or poor conditions. The 19th of September has some big, clean swell (12ft, 16 seconds) but the wind is strong cross-off. It’s big and clean, but the size limits it to experts only.

So, to sum it up: Saturday the 12th is your best bet in the near term. Monday the 21st afternoon is the long-range whisper. Don't waste your time on the messy, stormy days in between.

Rusty.

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