
Surf Forecasts:
Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 30 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 1 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 16s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 3 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 12s period, SW swell with 2,976 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 31 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 12s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 31) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 20s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 3.5m 12s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 03) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 02) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4PM (Fri 31st Jul) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 7PM (Sat 1st Aug) | 7ft (2.2m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Mon 3rd Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 12s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here again. Let's talk about the next couple of weeks at Rye Ocean Beach.
We’ve got a bit of chop to start, but there’s a real sweet spot coming up for the experienced crew.
Friday, July 31st kicks things off. The morning is a bit messy with a cross breeze, but the swell is already a decent 5ft from the SW (combined energy of 715). The real story is Friday afternoon – the wind drops to nothing, going glassy. That’s a massive plus. You’ve got a clean 4ft SW swell with a 12-second period, and with the energy at 648, it’s not the biggest, but those conditions are going to make it feel like a million bucks. For a beginner-friendly spot, this is a great window to get wet.
Saturday, August 1st is a tale of two sessions. The morning is clean with a cross-offshore breeze, but the swell is a smaller 4ft. The Saturday afternoon though, is a standout. The swell jumps to 7ft from the SW with a very long 17-second period (combined energy of 2430!). That’s proper groundswell. The wind is a clean cross-off at 12 mph. The water temp is about average for the time of year. This is a big, powerful swell for Rye, and it’s going to be a bit much for the beginners. For the experienced surfer, this is the best on offer in the first week. The long period means it’ll be a bit walled at the beach, but the reefs will be handling it nicely.
Sunday, August 2nd keeps the swell size up around 6ft to 6ft with a strong 16-second period, but the wind is howling at 18-22 mph. It’s still clean-ish, but that’s a stiff breeze. The energy is high (1990), but the wind will make it a battle. This one is for the winter wetsuit warriors only.
From Monday, August 3rd through to Thursday, August 6th the surf quality drops off. The wind swings onshore and the waves get lumpy. The swell is there, but it’s not pretty. There’s a window on Thursday, August 6th afternoon where the wind goes glassy again with a 4ft SW swell, but it’s not the same quality as the Saturday session.
Now, let’s talk about the real highlight. Friday, August 7th. This is the one to circle. Morning and afternoon, the wind is light and cross-offshore. The swell is a solid 4ft to 5ft from the SW, with a 14 to 15-second period. The combined energy is sitting at 1186 and 1167. The forecast says “excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers.” This is clean, punchy, and lined up. The water temp is still about average for the time of year. This is the best quality window in the entire 16-day run.
Saturday, August 8th and Sunday, August 9th are still rideable, but the wind gets up again. The swell is still present, but the breeze is making it harder work.
Looking further out, things get interesting but also dangerous. Monday, August 11th morning shows a massive 12ft SW swell with a 16-second period. The combined energy is a whopping 5625. The wind is moderate and cross-shore, but the file says the swell is predicted to be too big for this break. That’s an 12ft wave at a beach and reef setup. This is experts-only territory, and even then, it’s a question of whether it’s breaking too far out or closing out completely. The rest of that week and into the next is a mix of rain and strong onshore winds, with the swell staying big and unruly.
The standout is clear: Friday, August 7th is your best bet for quality, clean surf. The Saturday, August 1st afternoon is the best for powerful, long-period swell, but it’s for the big dogs only.
Rusty out.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 8°C on Sat morning). Winds increasing (calm on Fri afternoon, fresh winds from the N by Sun morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Mon morning. Very mild (max 13°C on Sun night, min 8°C on Mon morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WNW on Mon morning, light winds from the SW by Wed afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||
Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 10 | SW 8 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 17 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
868 | 634 | 503 | 442 | 437 | 2274 | 2700 | 1855 | 1513 | 1123 | 1006 | 1237 | 2483 | 1380 | 553 | 250 | 373 | 499 | 487 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross | glassy | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | on | cross-on |
High Tide | 11:48PM1.16m | 1:20PM1.40m | 00:46AM1.20m | 1:56PM1.42m | 1:38AM1.25m | 2:29PM1.44m | 2:26AM1.31m | 2:59PM1.45m | 3:11AM1.36m | 3:27PM1.45m | 3:56AM1.40m | 3:56PM1.46m | |||||||
Low Tide | 6:25AM0.30m | 7:28PM0.65m | 7:13AM0.29m | 8:05PM0.56m | 7:57AM0.29m | 8:39PM0.48m | 8:38AM0.32m | 9:12PM0.40m | 9:17AM0.38m | 9:45PM0.33m | 9:54AM0.45m | 10:21PM0.27m | |||||||
— | 7:24 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:34 | — | — | 5:35 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 12 |
Feels °C | 7 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 17 | S 16 | SW 12 | SW 8 | SW 9 | SW 14 | SW 12 |
868 | 634 | 503 | 442 | 437 | 2274 | 2700 | 1855 | 1513 | 1123 | 1006 | 1237 | 190 | 21 | 236 | 250 | 194 | 350 | 392 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 24 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 18 | S 18 | SSW 17 | S 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | S 14 | S 14 | — | — | SW 15 | SW 11 | SW 14 | SW 8 | SW 17 |
22 | 72 | 137 | 130 | 432 | 156 | 216 | 135 | 82 | 72 | 37 | 36 | — | — | 186 | 153 | 238 | 91 | 487 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | S 21 | S 20 | S 19 | SSW 17 | — | — | — | — | WSW 20 | — | — | — | — | — | SW 14 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SSW 17 |
— | 9 | 8 | 7 | 56 | — | — | — | — | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | 132 | 373 | 499 | 58 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 3 | N 4 | N 4 | N 4 | WNW 4 | WNW 5 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 10 | — | SW 8 | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | 18 | 14 | 13 | 32 | 100 | 2483 | 1380 | 553 | — | 164 | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 27 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 16 | 18 | 27 | 27 | 18 | 27 | 35 | 36 | 36 | 40 | 27 | 24 | 24 | 2 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











