Surf Forecasts:
Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 27 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 28 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 17s period, SW swell with onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 4 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 15s period, SW swell with 3,375 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 28 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 17s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 28) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.1m and 17s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 18s. The wind is predicted to be onshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 3.0m 15s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 04) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 4s period and expected on Friday (Sep 04) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1PM (Fri 28th Aug) | 7ft (2.1m) 17s |
| Best Surf | 1PM (Fri 28th Aug) | 7ft (2.1m) 17s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Fri 4th Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here. Let’s cut straight to it. The next couple of weeks at Rye Ocean Beach are a mixed bag—there’s some proper swell on the way, but it’s going to be a waiting game for the windows where the wind and tide line up.
First up, Thursday the 27th of August looks like the pick of the early session. We’ve got a clean 3.6ft SW swell pushing in with a light northerly breeze, making for some tidy conditions. Water temp’s sitting at 56.1°, which is about average for this time of year—nothing crazy, just normal. The combined energy is moderate (685), so there’s a bit of push behind it, but it’s still user-friendly. This is the one to be out for if you want a relaxed paddle.
Friday the 28th gets a bit more interesting but messier. The morning’s a write-off with a cross-shore chop, but the afternoon brings a jump to 6.9ft from the SW. That’s getting solid, and with a 17-second period, there’s real groundswell in the water. The wind is onshore though, so it’ll be lumpy. It’s not ideal, but if you’re keen and can handle a bit of push, there’s juice.
The weekend—Saturday the 29th and Sunday the 30th—is mostly marginal. Swell hangs around 5.6-6.6ft, but the wind’s cross-on and choppy, so it’s not worth getting excited about. Monday the 31st flips it. Morning’s clean with a cross-off breeze and 6.9ft SW swell, and by the afternoon it goes glassy with a light NE breeze. This is a standout—clean, solid, and decent period (14 seconds). Just be aware that 6.9ft is pushing past the beginner zone; it’s more for the boys who know what they’re doing.
Tuesday the 1st gets blown out by a strong 28 mph cross-off wind. The waves are there, 5.6-5.9ft, but it’ll be a battle. Skip it. Wednesday the 2nd is poor—cross-onshore and choppy, no fun. Thursday the 3rd has a solid 7.5ft SW swell with a fresh NW cross-off in the morning, which could be alright for the experienced crew, but the afternoon turns lumpy.
Then we hit the bigger stuff. From Friday the 4th through Sunday the 6th of September, the swell builds to 7.9ft, then 8.2ft, then a proper 9.8ft by Saturday afternoon. That’s expert territory—over 8.2ft is only for the skilled. The energy is strong (1860-3791), so there’s plenty of grunt. The wind’s mostly cross or on, so it’ll be challenging. If you’re a kite surfer, this stretch might look more appealing than a paddle.
Monday the 7th is a mess—strong onshore winds near gale force, and the swell is all over the place. Not worth it. Tuesday the 8th drops off and stays poor. The rest of the week into the 9th and 10th is a mix of marginal and too-big. The morning of the 10th has a 9.8ft SW swell with clean cross-off winds, but that’s a big one—only for the brave.
The real standout for the second week is Friday the 11th of September. The swell drops back to 5.9ft from the SW, light offshore NNW wind in the morning, and it’s clean. The energy’s moderate (1319), the period’s 14 seconds, and conditions look excellent for experienced surfers. This is the one to circle on the calendar. Afternoon’s a bit smaller and cross-shore, but still okay.
So, the short version: don’t rush out for the weekend. Thursday the 27th is a nice warm-up, Monday the 31st is the first real standout, and Friday the 11th looks like the best of the longer range—though, as with anything that far out, treat it as promising but not locked in.
Stay salty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Fri morning, min 8°C on Sat morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Wed afternoon. Warm (max 20°C on Tue afternoon, min 9°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon afternoon, strong winds from the N by Tue morning). | ||||||||||||||||||
Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
546 | 1136 | 2454 | 1806 | 1289 | 1163 | 969 | 1191 | 1286 | 1438 | 1572 | 1760 | 2287 | 1592 | 1154 | 799 | 1585 | 2917 | 2462 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | on | on | cross | on | cross | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 10:26PM1.08m | 12:01PM1.24m | 11:37PM1.13m | 12:43PM1.28m | 00:36AM1.22m | 1:18PM1.33m | 1:27AM1.32m | 1:51PM1.36m | 2:12AM1.40m | 2:21PM1.40m | 2:56AM1.46m | 2:51PM1.42m | 3:39AM1.49m | ||||||
Low Tide | 5:06AM0.39m | 6:08PM0.65m | 6:06AM0.36m | 6:51PM0.54m | 6:56AM0.34m | 7:28PM0.44m | 7:41AM0.35m | 8:03PM0.34m | 8:21AM0.37m | 8:37PM0.25m | 8:59AM0.42m | 9:13PM0.18m | |||||||
— | 6:50 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:55 | — | — | 5:57 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:59 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 18 | 20 | 17 | 16 | 13 | 11 |
Feels °C | 9 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | WSW 13 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 |
517 | 784 | 2454 | 1806 | 1289 | 1163 | 969 | 1191 | 1286 | 1438 | 1572 | 1760 | 2287 | 1592 | 1154 | 799 | 1585 | 2083 | 1841 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 19 | SW 18 | S 17 | S 16 | SSW 15 | S 15 | SW 22 | SW 20 | SW 20 | SSW 14 | SW 20 | SW 19 | S 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SW 17 | SSW 16 | — | SSW 13 |
546 | 1136 | 52 | 20 | 21 | 17 | 73 | 137 | 134 | 70 | 196 | 414 | 153 | 81 | 49 | 358 | 85 | — | 35 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 20 | SSE 18 | — | — | — | W 24 | WSW 22 | SW 20 | SSW 15 | — | S 16 | S 17 | — | — | — | SSW 15 | — | — | — |
7 | 62 | — | — | — | 11 | 45 | 98 | 71 | — | 124 | 149 | — | — | — | 44 | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | SSW 4 | — | SW 5 | SW 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 4 | NW 4 | NNW 4 | NW 4 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 |
— | — | — | 16 | — | 44 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 24 | 35 | 11 | 23 | 2917 | 2462 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 16 | 23 | 33 | 35 | 2 | 52 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 24 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 42 | 40 | 74 | 2 | 40 | 35 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











