Rye Ocean Beach Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.39° S 144.78° E

Rye Ocean Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 am 18 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Rye Ocean Beach sea temperature is
13.2° C
0.6° 

Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 18 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 22 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 16s period, SW swell with cross-shore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 22 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 16s period, SW swell with 3,142 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 18 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 16s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:

The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 18) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 2.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 22) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 5s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 19) at 10AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7PM (Tue 18th Aug)3ft (0.9m) 16s
Best Surf 4AM (Sat 22nd Aug)8ft (2.4m) 16s
Most Powerful 4PM (Sat 22nd Aug)8ft (2.5m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming down the pipe for Rye Ocean Beach. This is a beach and reef set-up that loves a good SW swell, and we’ve got a bit of a mixed bag over the next couple of weeks. The water’s sitting at a pretty normal 56°F for this time of year, so nothing weird going on there.

We kick things off proper on Tuesday the 18th. The morning is looking sweet with a 4ft SW swell, a 14-second period, and a clean NE wind blowing offshore. That’s a solid combo, and the energy is decent with a reading of 974. It’s not massive, but it’ll be clean and fun. The afternoon holds up too, with a lighter NNE breeze keeping things tidy. That’s your best bet for the first few days.

Wednesday the 19th is a write-off. Nasty strong winds, dropping swell. Thursday the 20th is a bit better with a smaller swell, but the wind is all over the place, making it messy. Friday the 21st sees a bigger 5ft to 6ft SW swell pulsing in, but the cross-onshore wind is going to chop it up – not worth paddling out for.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. We’ve got a standout on the cards for Saturday the 22nd. A chunky 8ft SW groundswell with a 16-second period is forecast, packing some serious energy in the 3005 range. That’s a lot of power. The wind is moderate and cross-shore, but the real issue is that it’s simply too big for this spot. This is a wave for the experts only, and even then, it’s going to be a handful. The swell is so long-period that it might break a bit too straight across the beach, but if you’re a seasoned surfer on a reef, you might get some mega ones. Sunday the 23rd is still big at 7ft, but the afternoon on the 23rd is a real treat. The wind swings to a light offshore NE, the swell drops to 6ft, and the energy is still strong. That’s a window for experienced surfers to get some clean, powerful waves.

After that, the quality drops. Monday the 24th is marginal with lumpy cross-offshore winds. Tuesday the 25th is a complete mess with strong onshore winds. We get a few more marginal days mid-week, but nothing really clean until the 28th, which is another day of big, blown-out conditions. The 29th has a clean offshore wind in the afternoon, but the swell is only 5ft with a shorter period, making it a bit average.

The first week of September is looking pretty sad. Mostly small, weak swell and poor wind. The very last slot on Wednesday the 2nd of September afternoon has a tiny 2ft SW swell and a light offshore wind, so it’ll be clean but tiny. There’s a real gap in decent surf from the 25th of August through to the end of the 16-day window, with only a few fleeting moments that are worth a look.

So, to wrap it up: the best on offer is the Tuesday the 18th for a clean, fun session, and the Sunday the 23rd afternoon for the experienced crew looking for a powerful, clean wave. Everything else is a bit of a gamble.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Wed morning. Very mild (max 17°C on Tue afternoon, min 11°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNE on Tue afternoon, strong winds from the N by Wed morning).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun afternoon, min 9°C on Fri night). Mainly fresh winds.

Tuesday
18
Wednesday
19
Thursday
20
Friday
21
Saturday
22
Sunday
23
Monday
24
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
!
!
!
!
4
3
2
2
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.3
SW
14
1.3
SW
14
1
SW
15
0.8
SW
15
0.7
SW
15
0.7
SW
15
0.7
SW
14
0.9
WSW
13
1.1
SW
16
1.6
WSW
15
1.7
WSW
14
2.1
SW
16
2.5
SW
16
2.5
SW
16
2.5
SW
15
2.1
SW
14
1.8
SW
13
1.8
SW
16
1.6
SW
14
1.6
SW
14
1.9
SW
12
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
667
621
465
255
239
217
186
282
580
1178
1142
2357
2907
3142
2754
1762
1179
1622
1063
872
1112
Wind (km/h)
20
NE
15
NNE
25
NE
45
N
50
N
20
NW
25
NW
15
NW
20
WNW
25
WNW
20
WNW
25
WNW
25
NW
15
W
15
W
20
NW
10
NE
20
N
30
N
20
NNW
25
NW
Wind State
off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
High Tide
3:39PM1.53m
4:18AM1.48m
4:10PM1.50m
5:00AM1.44m
4:40PM1.46m
5:41AM1.39m
5:09PM1.40m
6:23AM1.32m
5:39PM1.33m
7:08AM1.26m
6:12PM1.26m
7:59AM1.21m
6:56PM1.18m
Low Tide
9:59PM0.21m
10:12AM0.47m
10:36PM0.22m
10:48AM0.56m
11:11PM0.24m
11:22AM0.65m
11:46PM0.28m
11:57AM0.73m
00:23AM0.32m
12:37PM0.79m
1:04AM0.36m
1:27PM0.83m
1:53AM0.39m
part cloud
clear
cloud
light rain
rain showers
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:03
7:01
7:01
7:00
6:58
6:56
6:54
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:45
5:46
5:47
5:49
5:49
5:50
5:51
 mm
2
3
2
2
1
Temp °C
15
17
16
13
13
14
14
15
12
13
13
12
13
13
13
12
14
13
16
17
14
Feels °C
11
13
12
4
4
8
10
11
7
9
9
7
9
10
9
9
11
11
10
12
9
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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