Surf Forecasts:
Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 28 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 30 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 13s period, SW swell with onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 4 Sep, 4PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 15s period, SW swell with 4,711 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 30 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 13s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 30) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.1m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 15s. The wind is predicted to be onshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 3.0m 15s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 04) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 4s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 01) at 4PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7PM (Sun 30th Aug) | 7ft (2.1m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 7PM (Sun 30th Aug) | 7ft (2.1m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Fri 4th Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let's break down the next two weeks of surf.
First up, we've got a decent SW groundswell arriving, but the first few days are wrecked by onshore and cross-onshore winds. Water temp is pretty standard for late summer. You're gonna have to sit tight through the weekend.
Saturday August 29 and Sunday August 30 are a total bust. There's 6ft to 7ft of SW swell with a long 13 to 14 second period, but the wind is on it or cross-on, and the combined wave energy is already cooking (1191 to 1589). It's just junky windswell. Pass.
The first real highlight hits Monday August 31. The morning at Rye Ocean Beach has a clean 7ft SW swell, period at 14 seconds, with light cross winds. The combined energy is moderate (1978). But the real standout is Monday afternoon. The swell drops a little to 7ft from the SW, but the wind goes *dead calm* – glassy from the ENE. The wave energy pushes up to 2270 (moderate to strong). This is the session to lock in. The only catch is that 7ft is a bit much for beginners, but if you've got some experience, this is the best of the whole forecast.
Tuesday September 1 is a no-go. The wind jumps to 22 mph from the north, cross-off, and the energy fades. Not worth the paddle.
Wednesday September 2 through Friday September 4 the swell keeps coming at 7ft to 10ft from the SW with long periods. The wave energy gets strong (1911 to 4939). But the wind is messy – onshore, strong cross, or strong breezes. The combined energy is solid, but it's lumpy and blown out. This is honestly looking more like a kite-surfing zone than a paddle spot – too much wind and chop for a clean line. Not recommended.
The next flicker of hope is Saturday September 5. You get a 8ft SW swell with a 15-second period and clean cross-off wind from the NNW at 22 mph. Combined energy is strong (2526). Clean waves, but again, that's a lot of water for most – it's expert-only territory. Worth a look if you're in that crew.
Then comes a long dry patch. From Sunday September 6 all the way through Thursday September 10, it's onshore gales, rain, or poor conditions. There's a tiny chance on Friday September 11 morning where the swell drops to 5ft with a 15-second period, but the wind is moderate cross-shore and the energy is weak (1049). It's marginal, not a destination session.
Saturday September 12 and Sunday September 13 see the swell build again – 7ft to 8ft SW with 16-second period and very strong energy (3047 to 3537). Sunday morning looks clean with cross-off NNW wind at 16 mph. But that 8ft will be too big for anyone but experienced big-wave surfers. If that's your game, Sunday morning (September 13) could be a promising long-range call, but it's a ways out and could shift.
So, the bottom line: Monday August 31 afternoon is your clear winner. That glassy 7ft SW swell at Rye Ocean Beach is gonna be pristine. Don't miss it.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Mon afternoon, min 9°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Tue afternoon, min 10°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NW on Wed night, strong winds from the NW by Thu afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | WSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
1806 | 1289 | 1163 | 1053 | 1191 | 1306 | 1561 | 1618 | 1572 | 2475 | 1719 | 1237 | 1163 | 1860 | 1889 | 2413 | 2293 | 2140 | 2140 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross-on |
High Tide | 11:37PM1.13m | 12:43PM1.28m | 00:36AM1.22m | 1:18PM1.33m | 1:27AM1.32m | 1:51PM1.36m | 2:12AM1.40m | 2:21PM1.40m | 2:56AM1.46m | 2:51PM1.42m | 3:39AM1.49m | 3:22PM1.44m | |||||||
Low Tide | 6:06AM0.36m | 6:51PM0.54m | 6:56AM0.34m | 7:28PM0.44m | 7:41AM0.35m | 8:03PM0.34m | 8:21AM0.37m | 8:37PM0.25m | 8:59AM0.42m | 9:13PM0.18m | 9:36AM0.48m | 9:50PM0.13m | |||||||
— | 6:48 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:55 | — | — | 5:57 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:59 | — | — | 6:00 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 |
Temp °C | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 18 | 20 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 13 |
Feels °C | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 3 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 |
1806 | 1289 | 1163 | 1053 | 1191 | 1306 | 1561 | 1618 | 1572 | 2475 | 1719 | 1237 | 1163 | 1860 | 1889 | 2140 | 2293 | 2140 | 2140 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 16 | S 15 | S 15 | SW 22 | SW 20 | SW 20 | SSW 15 | SW 20 | SW 19 | S 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | — |
20 | 17 | 17 | 73 | 137 | 134 | 71 | 309 | 520 | 153 | 81 | 50 | 82 | 51 | 85 | 83 | 75 | 67 | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | W 24 | WSW 22 | SW 20 | WSW 20 | — | SSW 12 | S 19 | — | — | NE 5 | S 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | 11 | 45 | 98 | 149 | — | 51 | 178 | — | — | 1 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 5 | — | — | SW 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 4 | NW 4 | NW 4 | — | — | WSW 14 | NW 4 | WNW 4 | WNW 5 |
17 | — | — | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23 | 39 | 14 | — | — | 2413 | 16 | 26 | 95 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 27 | 2 | 52 | 2 | 2 | 52 | 24 | 14 | 0 | 24 | 27 | 35 | 29 | 24 | 33 | 24 | 27 | 71 | 71 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











