Surf Forecasts:
Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 23 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 25 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 12s period, SW swell with cross-onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 24 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 16s period, SW swell with 7,655 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 25 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 12s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 2.5m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be cross-onshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 4.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 4s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4PM (Sat 25th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 4PM (Sat 25th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Fri 24th Jul) | 13ft (4.0m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, I’m Rusty, and I’ve been staring at the charts for Rye Ocean Beach. This is a beach and reef setup, and it’s exposed to the southwest. The water’s sitting at 57°, which is pretty much spot on for this time of year, so nothing weird going on there.
Let’s be honest, the next week is a bit of a write-off. We’ve got a massive pulse of energy coming in, but it’s all wind-chopped and messy. The combined swell energy is pumping hard, hitting 4594 (moderate to strong), but that cross-on westerly breeze at 25 mph is just ruining it. Friday the 24th sees the energy spike even higher, over 13000, with a 13ft swell from the southwest, but that 15-second period (groundswell) is accompanied by a fresh cross-on wind. It’s all lumpy and poor. Saturday and Sunday stay in the 7ft to 10ft range, but the wind barely lets up, and the energy is still strong.
The real glimmer comes on Thursday the 30th of July. For the morning, we get a 6ft southwest swell with a 13-second period, and the wind drops to a glassy 3 mph. The water goes flat calm. The combined energy is a moderate 903, but the clean, glassy conditions will make it feel like a different ocean. The afternoon holds at 5ft with a 12-second period, still glassy. That’s the standout session for the first week.
Then we hit a bit of a lull. Friday the 31st sees the swell drop to 4ft, but the wind picks up, and the energy drops to 468. The start of August looks bigger again, with a 10ft to 12ft swell from the southwest, but it’s all cross-on and choppy. The energy is strong again, up to 5987, but the wind is against us.
The real gem is Tuesday the 4th of August. The morning brings a 6ft southwest swell, with a 16-second period. That’s a long-period groundswell perfect for a setup like this point and reef. The wind is offshore from the east-northeast at 9 mph, and the combined energy is a solid 1989 (moderate). The conditions are clean. This is for experienced surfers at that size, but it’s the best the whole forecast offers. The afternoon holds at 6ft, same period, with a light cross-shore, still good.
Wednesday the 5th and Thursday the 6th of August fade quickly, dropping to under 3ft, and by Friday the 7th the wind is back up, making it marginal.
If you can, aim for the glassy morning of Thursday the 30th of July or the offshore morning of Tuesday the 4th of August. The rest is a waiting game.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat afternoon, min 10°C on Thu afternoon). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WSW on Thu night, light winds from the W by Sat afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon afternoon, min 9°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NW on Mon afternoon, strong winds from the WNW by Tue afternoon). | |||||||||||||||||||
Thu 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | WSW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 10 | SW 10 | SW 10 | SW 10 | SW 12 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 4563 | 7655 | 6573 | 5187 | 4051 | 2660 | 2310 | 1703 | 930 | 1274 | 745 | 541 | 582 | 939 | 2035 | 2157 | 2851 | 2506 | 1991 | 1387 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 5:51PM1.45m | 7:05AM1.33m | 6:24PM1.39m | 7:57AM1.29m | 7:00PM1.33m | 8:53AM1.27m | 7:44PM1.27m | 9:54AM1.27m | 8:36PM1.20m | 10:56AM1.29m | 9:38PM1.16m | 11:52AM1.32m | 10:44PM1.14m | |||||||
Low Tide | 00:29AM0.33m | 12:35PM0.77m | 1:11AM0.35m | 1:20PM0.85m | 1:55AM0.37m | 2:13PM0.90m | 2:43AM0.38m | 3:19PM0.92m | 3:37AM0.38m | 4:37PM0.89m | 4:34AM0.36m | 5:50PM0.83m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | |  | |  | |  |  | | | | |  | | | |  | |
 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — |
 | 5:23 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:25 | — | — | 5:25 | — | — | 5:27 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:29 | — |
mm | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | 2 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 |
Feels °C | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 10 | SW 10 | SW 10 | SW 12 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 |
| kJ | 31 | 350 | 6467 | 4234 | 3609 | 2660 | 2032 | 1448 | 930 | 928 | 745 | 541 | 582 | 939 | 2035 | 2157 | 2851 | 2506 | 1991 | 1387 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 17 | WSW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 13 | S 14 | SW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | SW 22 | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 11 | 26 | 42 | 77 | 208 | 100 | 596 | 243 | 250 | 18 | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 15 | — | NW 4 | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 305 | — | 4 | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | WSW 13 | — | SW 12 | WSW 11 | NW 4 | SW 10 | NW 3 | WNW 4 | NW 4 | NW 4 | N 4 | NW 4 | WSW 11 | — | — | — |
| kJ | 4563 | 7655 | 6573 | 5187 | 4051 | — | 2310 | 1703 | 11 | 1274 | 5 | 16 | 3 | 10 | 42 | 46 | 1515 | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 40 | 40 | 36 | 478 | 40 | 40 | 24 | 36 | 36 | 24 | 29 | 26 | 16 | 27 | 495 | 507 | 40 | 33 | 33 | 11 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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