Rye Ocean Beach Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.39° S 144.78° E

Rye Ocean Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 am 17 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Rye Ocean Beach sea temperature is
13.2° C
0.6° 

Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 17 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 21 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 17s period, SW swell with cross-shore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 22 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period, SW swell with 4,013 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 18 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 15s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:

The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 18) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 15s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 3.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 22) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 5s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 19) at 1PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Tue 18th Aug)5ft (1.6m) 15s
Best Surf10PM (Fri 21st Aug)7ft (2.1m) 17s
Most Powerful 7PM (Sat 22nd Aug)10ft (3.0m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Right, g’day, Rusty here. Let’s have a proper look at what’s on the table for Rye Ocean Beach over the next couple of weeks. This is a beach and reef setup, exposed to the SW, so it grabs a decent amount of energy when the conditions line up. First thing to know: there’s actually some surf on offer right from the get-go, so no quiet start.

The water temp is sitting around 56°, with a tiny anomaly of 1°, so it’s pretty much average for this time of year. No drama there.

We kick off on Monday morning, August 17th, with clean 5 ft SW swell, period around 14 seconds, and a light offshore ENE breeze at 6 mph. That’s a solid, long-period groundswell, and with that glassy morning feel, it’s looking like a good one for the early session. The combined energy is moderate at (895), so nothing gnarly, just fun.

That afternoon, the wind swings SE and starts to cross it up at 9 mph, and the swell bumps to 6 ft. It gets a bit lumpy, so the morning is your window.

Tuesday the 18th is another good morning option. Cloudy skies, but a clean 4 ft SW swell with a moderate offshore NE breeze at 12 mph. Easy paddling, neat waves. The energy drops a touch (984), but still worth a paddle.

We then hit a rough patch. From Wednesday morning the 19th, the wind howls out of the north at 28 to 31 mph, and the swell drops to under 3 ft. It stays messy and blown out through Thursday and Friday, with some lumpy cross-shore winds. Surf quality is poor. Friday afternoon on the 21st sees a spike in swell height to 6 ft, but the wind is bad, so it’s a write-off.

Saturday morning the 22nd is where things get interesting, but you need to be experienced. We’ve got a 8 ft SW swell, period 15 seconds, solid energy (2608). The wind is a moderate cross-shore from the WNW at 16 mph, but that’s a lot of water moving. It’s too big for beginners – this is for the crew who know what they’re doing. By the afternoon, it’s even bigger at 8 ft, with onshore wind from the SW, so it’s going to be a bit of a beast.

Sunday the 23rd is still meaty, with 8 ft in the morning, but the cross-shore wind makes it lumpy. The afternoon drops to 6 ft, but it’s still a bit messy.

Then we’ve got a proper lull from Monday the 24th right through to Wednesday the 26th. Strong onshore winds and rain, with swell dropping to under 3 ft. Not worth getting wet.

Thursday the 27th brings some hope. The morning is a bit marginal, with a 4 ft SW long-period groundswell (18 seconds!) and light NW cross-shore wind. The energy is moderate (997). But the real standout is Thursday afternoon: 4 ft SW swell, glassy conditions with NE wind at just 3 mph. That’s going to be clean as a whistle. The period is still long at 16 seconds, so it’ll push in with some shape. This is the pick of the whole outlook for a relaxed, clean session.

Friday the 28th goes a bit rough again, with a 5 ft swell but a gusty cross-offshore NW wind at 16 mph. It’s clean but a bit onshore by the afternoon, and too big for the break setup.

Saturday the 29th is a big one. 12 ft SW swell in the morning! That’s a lot of water, combined energy is strong (4543). The wind is light from the NW at 6 mph, so the face might be okay, but this is only for absolute experts. It’ll be too much for the beach and reef setup. The afternoon drops to 8 ft, still big.

Sunday the 30th morning is a proper consolation for the brave: 7 ft SW groundswell, period 15 seconds, and a light offshore NNE breeze at 6 mph. The comment says it’s excellent for experienced surfers, and I’d agree. Energy is moderate-strong (1823). The afternoon drops to 4 ft and gets a bit of cross-chop.

Monday the 31st morning is a monster again – 10 ft WSW swell with a 17-second period! That’s very long-period groundswell, and it’s going to be powerful. Wind is offshore from the NNE at 9 mph, so it’ll be clean, but the combined energy is huge (10671). Only for the elite crew. Afternoon drops to 8 ft, same story.

Then Tuesday September 1st sees the end of the run, with strong offshore winds making it clean but the swell dropping. Not recommended.

So, the standout days for a good, clean, not-too-big session are Monday morning August 17th, and the absolute gem is Thursday afternoon August 27th. For the big-wave crew, Saturday morning August 22nd and Sunday morning August 30th are your windows, but be smart.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Wed afternoon. Very mild (max 17°C on Tue afternoon, min 10°C on Mon morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the E on Mon morning, near gales from the N by Wed morning).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Thu afternoon, min 11°C on Thu morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the W on Thu afternoon, light winds from the W by Sat night).

Monday
17
Tuesday
18
Wednesday
19
Thursday
20
Friday
21
Saturday
22
Sunday
23
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
3
3
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
!
!
!
!
!
1
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.6
SW
14
1.7
SW
16
1.7
SW
15
1.3
SW
14
1.3
SW
14
1
SW
15
0.8
SW
15
0.7
SW
15
0.7
SW
15
1
WSW
10
0.6
SW
16
1.2
WSW
13
1.8
SW
15
1.8
SW
14
2.1
SW
16
2.3
SW
15
2.5
SW
16
3
SW
15
2.4
SW
14
1.9
SW
14
2
SW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
885
1474
1246
667
621
465
255
239
217
202
219
444
1361
1289
2357
2553
3455
3268
2326
1363
1904
Wind (km/h)
10
ENE
15
SE
20
ENE
20
NE
20
N
25
NNE
45
N
50
N
30
NW
30
NW
30
W
15
W
25
WNW
25
WNW
30
NW
25
WNW
10
SW
20
NW
30
NW
25
NW
30
NW
Wind State
off
cross
cross-off
off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross
cross
on
cross
cross
cross
cross
High Tide
3:05PM1.53m
3:35AM1.50m
3:39PM1.53m
4:18AM1.48m
4:10PM1.50m
5:00AM1.44m
4:40PM1.46m
5:41AM1.39m
5:09PM1.40m
6:23AM1.32m
5:39PM1.33m
7:08AM1.26m
6:12PM1.26m
Low Tide
9:21PM0.24m
9:35AM0.38m
9:59PM0.21m
10:12AM0.47m
10:36PM0.22m
10:48AM0.56m
11:11PM0.24m
11:22AM0.65m
11:46PM0.28m
11:57AM0.73m
00:23AM0.32m
12:37PM0.79m
1:04AM0.36m
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:05
7:03
7:01
7:01
7:00
6:58
6:56
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:45
5:45
5:46
5:47
5:49
5:49
5:50
 mm
2
1
3
1
1
Temp °C
13
16
15
16
17
16
13
13
13
15
16
12
13
13
12
14
13
13
14
14
13
Feels °C
11
12
9
12
13
12
4
7
8
9
9
8
8
7
6
11
10
11
8
8
8
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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