Rye Ocean Beach Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.39° S 144.78° E

Rye Ocean Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 pm 10 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Rye Ocean Beach sea temperature is
13.5° C
0.8° 

Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 10 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 13 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period, SW swell with cross-onshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 13 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 16s period, WSW swell with 5,562 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 13 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:

The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 13) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be cross-onshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 3.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 13) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 6s period and expected on Monday (Aug 17) at 1PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4PM (Thu 13th Aug)10ft (3.0m) 16s
Best Surf 4PM (Thu 13th Aug)10ft (3.0m) 16s
Most Powerful 1AM (Thu 13th Aug)11ft (3.5m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Rusty here, lookin’ at a mixed bag of a start here, but there’s some good waves comin’ for Rye Ocean Beach. We’ve got a massive pulse of south-west swell due mid-week, but it’ll be too big and messy for most. The real magic comes after it settles down.

This spot is a beach and reef setup, and the optimum angle for the swell is from the south-west, which is exactly what we’ve got comin’.

Alright, let’s start at the beginning. Tuesday the 11th is a write-off – raw 5ft to 6ft south-west swells, but the wind is a choppy cross-off at best, and the water is just churned up. The wave energy is pretty high for these conditions (1144 to 1200), but it’s not useable.

Wednesday and Thursday (12th and 13th) are for the brave or the foolish, not the everyday surfer. The swell jacks up to 10ft straight from the south-west and the energy is massive (8001 on Wednesday afternoon, 4712 Thursday morning). The wind is onshore or cross-shore strong, so it’ll be a washing machine. Unless you’re a tow-in expert, stay on the sand.

Friday (14th) and Saturday (15th) are still big – 8ft to 10ft south-west swell, energy still pumping (over 4000). The wind eases a bit, but it’s still onshore and the sets are too heavy for a longboard or a learner. The swell period is a long 15 to 16 seconds, so those waves have serious punch. For a bigger, stronger surfer the early sessions might be worth a paddle, but it’s a gamble.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting.

Sunday the 16th is the turning point. The swell drops to a more manageable 6ft, still from the south-west, but the wind goes offshore from the east-north-east! That’s clean, lined-up surf. The energy is down to 1316, which is still solid. The low tide might be a factor but an experienced surfer will find some proper, open-faced walls. The clean, glassy conditions on offer are a major plus. This session is a standout for experienced surfers.

Monday morning the 17th is even better. The swell eases to 5ft, with that beautiful east-north-east offshore breeze at 9 mph, making it super clean. The swell period is a nice 15 seconds, giving you that long, groundswell pulse. (1060 energy). This is textbook Rye Ocean Beach – punchy, clean, and not too crowded. Rye (this spot) can get crowded sometimes, so get down there early.

Tuesday the 18th keeps the winning streak. A light north-east offshore in the morning is just perfect. The swell is 4ft to 5ft from the south-west, with a very long 15 to 17 second period. That long period will make the waves peel better over the reef sections, but it can also make the beach breaks a bit straight. Still, a light-offshore morning with 4ft glassy waves? That’s a can’t-miss session. Energy is around 1102.

The surf then slowly fades through the middle of the third week, dropping to 2ft by the 20th. You’ll find small, clean fun if you’re on a log or a mid-length, but nothing to get amped about.

Later, on Friday the 21st and Saturday the 22nd, there’s a new, smaller pulse of south-west swell, coming in around 3ft to 4ft, with north-north-east winds keeping it clean. It’s not the size of the previous weekend, but for an after-work or a dawn session, it’ll be perfect.

Overall, the standout is the Sunday 16th to Tuesday 18th window, with Sunday and Monday morning offering the best, cleanest, most powerful surf for the experienced surfer.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Some drizzle, heaviest during Wed morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Thu afternoon, min 9°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NNW on Tue night, light winds from the WNW by Thu afternoon).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 8°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Tuesday
11
Wednesday
12
Thursday
13
Friday
14
Saturday
15
Sunday
16
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
!
!
!
0
!
!
!
3
4
2
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.7
SW
16
1.6
SW
14
1.7
SW
14
1.7
SW
16
2.2
SW
16
3
WSW
16
3.5
WSW
16
3
SW
16
3
SW
16
3
SW
15
3
SW
16
3
SW
16
2.5
SW
15
2.5
SW
15
2.3
SW
15
1.9
SW
14
1.8
SW
14
1.7
SW
14
1.6
SW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1420
1006
1139
1537
2414
4543
5562
4547
4013
3710
4483
3916
3144
2741
2372
1505
1255
1179
965
Wind (km/h)
30
W
30
NW
25
NNW
35
NNW
35
NW
25
WSW
25
W
30
WNW
15
WNW
20
WNW
20
W
25
SW
15
SW
15
S
20
S
15
ESE
20
ENE
20
SE
25
E
Wind State
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
off
cross
cross-off
High Tide
9:51AM1.29m
8:53PM1.26m
11:07AM1.32m
10:20PM1.25m
12:12PM1.38m
11:43PM1.29m
1:04PM1.43m
00:55AM1.36m
1:48PM1.48m
1:55AM1.43m
2:28PM1.52m
2:47AM1.48m
Low Tide
2:40AM0.25m
3:23PM0.85m
3:56AM0.26m
4:55PM0.78m
5:14AM0.26m
6:11PM0.66m
6:23AM0.24m
7:09PM0.53m
7:21AM0.23m
7:57PM0.40m
8:10AM0.25m
8:41PM0.30m
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
rain showers
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:11
7:11
7:09
7:07
7:07
7:05
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:39
5:40
5:42
5:42
5:43
5:44
 mm
1
Temp °C
13
12
12
12
11
13
11
12
14
13
13
12
12
12
12
13
13
15
11
Feels °C
7
5
5
4
3
7
6
7
10
9
8
6
8
8
8
8
11
10
5
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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