Rye Ocean Beach Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.39° S 144.78° E

Rye Ocean Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 am 09 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Rye Ocean Beach sea temperature is
13.9° C
0.5° 

Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 9 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 12 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 14s period, SW swell with cross-shore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 14 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 14s period, WSW swell with 7,062 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 9 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 15s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:

The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 20s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 4.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 5s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 11) at 4PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4PM (Thu 9th Jul)4.5ft (1.3m) 15s
Best Surf 7PM (Sun 12th Jul)11ft (3.5m) 14s
Most Powerful 1AM (Tue 14th Jul)13ft (4.0m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.


G'day, I'm Rusty. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for Rye Ocean Beach over the next couple of weeks.

We've got a bit of a mixed bag coming up. The immediate forecast is looking pretty tidy for the experienced crew, with a solid, long-period southwest swell rolling in. The water temperature is sitting at 57°, which is pretty much spot on average for this time of year, so no nasty surprises there.

The standout window is Thursday the 9th and Friday the 10th. Thursday morning, the wind is a light cross-offshore breeze from the north, which is gonna keep the surface clean. We're looking at a 5ft SW groundswell with a very long 15-second period, packing a decent punch of energy (1075). This is proper stuff for surfers who know what they're doing. The afternoon cleans up even more with a light NE offshore breeze, making for some really nice lines. On Friday, the swell builds slightly to 5ft, again with a sweet 15-second period and a ton of energy (1193). The wind is a bit stronger from the north, but still cross-off, keeping things clean. The afternoon session on Friday is also a winner with light NNE winds. These are the best couple of days here.

Now, the weekend is a write-off. Saturday the 11th gets hammered by strong northerly winds, which will mess up the waves. Sunday the 12th turns nasty with a huge 12ft to 13ft swell on the cards, but the wind is howling and cross-shore, making it a complete mess. The combined energy is off the charts (6576 and 5603), but you won't want to be out there. This pattern of big, messy swell and strong winds actually continues through to Tuesday the 15th. The wave heights are well over 8ft, making it expert-only territory anyway, but the wind is ruining any chance of good surf. It's a solid four-day gap with no real options.

We get a bit of a reprieve on Wednesday the 16th. The swell is still a bit big at 10ft, but the wind is a moderate cross-shore from the southeast. It's still going to be a handful for all but the experts.

The next real hope comes in on Thursday the 17th and Friday the 18th. Thursday morning, the swell drops back to a manageable 5ft with a 14-second period, and a light cross-offshore breeze from the east-southeast will give you clean waves (1057 energy). The afternoon is a bit smaller and more marginal. But Friday the 18th is the second standout of the forecast. The morning sees a nice 6ft SW groundswell with a very long 16-second period, and a light offshore breeze from the northeast, making for some excellent, clean surf (1494 energy). Then, Friday afternoon, the wind drops to glassy conditions with a slight breeze from the SSE, and the 6ft swell is still pumping (1491 energy). That's a bluebird session right there.

After that, it gets a bit inconsistent. Saturday the 19th has some clean 7ft to 6ft surf, but it's a bit big for the break and the wind is just okay. Sunday and Monday are looking small and onshore, with strong winds, so not great. Tuesday the 22nd has a clean 7ft swell with a light offshore from the northeast, which is a good sign for the experienced lads, but the energy is moderate. The rest of the week into the 24th looks poor, with onshore winds and small, weak swell. It's a classic case of getting on it early in the forecast.

Rusty out.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Fri afternoon, min 8°C on Thu morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the NE on Thu afternoon, strong winds from the N by Sat afternoon).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 15mm), heaviest on Sun morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun night, min 10°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (near gales from the WNW on Sun morning, moderate winds from the SSE by Tue night).

Thursday
9
Friday
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
Monday
13
Tuesday
14
Wednesday
15
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
4
3
4
4
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
!
!
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.5
SW
15
1.3
SW
15
1.8
SW
16
1.6
SW
15
1.5
SW
15
1.2
SW
14
1.1
SW
14
1
SW
14
2.3
W
12
3.5
WSW
13
4
WSW
13
3
SW
13
2.5
SW
16
2.5
SW
15
4
WSW
14
3.5
SW
15
4
WSW
16
3.5
SW
16
3
SW
15
2.4
SW
15
1.9
SW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1028
757
1591
1155
966
606
476
390
1596
3488
5603
3003
3439
3051
7062
5603
6795
4984
4024
2449
1463
Wind (km/h)
10
N
5
NE
10
NNE
15
N
5
NNE
25
N
45
N
50
N
40
WNW
55
WNW
35
W
40
WNW
40
NW
45
NW
30
WNW
30
WNW
25
SW
35
S
20
SE
15
SSE
15
ESE
Wind State
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-on
cross
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-off
High Tide
5:34PM1.44m
6:49AM1.35m
6:14PM1.42m
7:52AM1.35m
7:01PM1.39m
9:01AM1.36m
7:59PM1.36m
10:15AM1.39m
9:07PM1.33m
11:27AM1.43m
10:21PM1.31m
12:30PM1.49m
11:37PM1.33m
Low Tide
11:35AM0.63m
00:13AM0.33m
12:23PM0.74m
1:03AM0.30m
1:20PM0.83m
1:59AM0.27m
2:27PM0.89m
3:02AM0.25m
3:45PM0.91m
4:10AM0.23m
5:09PM0.87m
5:20AM0.20m
6:24PM0.78m
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
mod rain
part cloud
light rain
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:37
7:37
7:35
7:35
7:35
7:35
7:35
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:14
5:15
5:15
5:15
5:16
5:16
5:17
 mm
6
3
1
4
4
2
1
Temp °C
9
11
11
10
13
12
13
13
9
11
13
14
13
14
12
10
11
12
11
10
9
Feels °C
7
9
9
6
11
7
4
3
0
-1
5
5
5
5
4
4
4
4
5
6
4
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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