Surf Forecasts:
Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 6 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 10 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 16s period, WSW swell with cross-shore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 12 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 16s period, SW swell with 7,784 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 7 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 15s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 07) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 4.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 5s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1PM (Fri 7th Aug) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Mon 10th Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Wed 12th Aug) | 13ft (4.0m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming down the line for Rye Ocean Beach. It’s a bit of a mixed bag over the next couple of weeks, so we gotta be patient and pick our moments.
The first real chance to get wet hits us on Friday the 7th of August. We’ve got a solid groundswell from the SW pushing through at 5ft, with a very long 15-second period (589 combined energy). The real treat comes in the Friday afternoon session when the wind drops to absolutely glassy, calm conditions. That’s the standout window for experienced surfers – clean, lined-up sets rolling in. The water temp is sitting at 56°, which is right about average for this time of year, so nothing wild there.
Now, after that Friday afternoon dream, the wind gets nasty. Saturday and Sunday are blown out by strong N/NE winds. Then Monday the 10th sees a massive jump in energy with a 7ft SW swell, but that’s accompanied by a howling 31 mph SW onshore – that’s kite-surfing territory, not paddle surfing. That big, messy, lumpy energy (3887 combined energy) is just too ugly for us.
The second week starts to show some promise again. The best bet in the longer range is Sunday the 16th of August. We get a 5ft SW groundswell, and the morning is looking clear with a light 3 mph cross-offshore breeze from the east. That’s going to put some clean, groomed lines across the beach-and-reef setup, and it’s a good size for experienced surfers (1376 combined energy). Keep an eye on that one.
We also have a solid window on Tuesday the 18th of August. It’s a smaller day at 5ft, but the wind is light and cross-offshore, giving us clean, fun waves for the morning session. The water will still be chilly, but it’s a good opportunity to get out without the battle.
Overall, don’t expect much this week unless you’re free on Friday afternoon. The following weekend, especially Sunday the 16th morning, is the one to circle on the calendar. Long-range forecasts can change, but right now, that’s the pick of the bunch.
Stay safe, and don’t be a hero in that Monday gale.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Very mild (max 15°C on Sat afternoon, min 9°C on Fri morning). Winds increasing (calm on Fri afternoon, strong winds from the N by Sat night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 36mm), heaviest during Sun night. Very mild (max 13°C on Tue morning, min 10°C on Tue night). Mainly gales. | |||||||||||||||||||
Thu 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 18 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 7 | SW 19 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 17 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 546 | 522 | 1235 | 1155 | 1882 | 1210 | 1060 | 763 | 548 | 342 | 1100 | 2772 | 2116 | 2982 | 1580 | 1099 | 618 | 2777 | 4920 | 7440 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | on | cross | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | on | on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | on |
High Tide | 4:27PM1.45m | 5:30AM1.40m | 5:00PM1.44m | 6:24AM1.38m | 5:40PM1.41m | 7:25AM1.33m | 6:30PM1.37m | 8:34AM1.30m | 7:35PM1.31m | 9:51AM1.29m | 8:53PM1.26m | 11:07AM1.32m | 10:20PM1.25m | |||||||
Low Tide | 10:59PM0.23m | 11:12AM0.63m | 11:43PM0.21m | 11:58AM0.72m | 00:33AM0.21m | 12:52PM0.80m | 1:32AM0.22m | 1:59PM0.85m | 2:40AM0.25m | 3:23PM0.85m | 3:56AM0.26m | 4:55PM0.78m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  |  | | |  |  | |  | | | | |  | | | |  | |
 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — |
 | 5:36 | — | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:40 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 3 | 5 | 26 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | 4 | 4 | 6 |
Temp °C | 14 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 11 |
Feels °C | 9 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 3 | -2 | -1 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 18 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | ESE 7 | SW 19 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 17 | WSW 16 | WSW 17 |
| kJ | 546 | 522 | 1235 | 1155 | 1882 | 1210 | 1060 | 763 | 548 | 342 | 5 | 2772 | 2116 | 2982 | 1580 | 1099 | 618 | 2777 | 3548 | 3744 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | SW 14 | SW 7 | SW 19 | SW 18 | S 16 | SSW 16 | — | SW 18 | WSW 17 | — | SSW 19 | — | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | S 15 | SW 20 | SSW 17 | — | SSW 17 |
| kJ | 1 | 214 | 54 | 441 | 607 | 21 | 48 | — | 83 | 202 | — | 122 | — | 50 | 70 | 17 | 309 | 166 | — | 164 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 20 | S 17 | SSW 16 | SW 7 | SSW 18 | — | — | — | SSW 14 | — | — | — | — | — | S 6 | — | SSW 16 | — | — | — |
| kJ | 38 | 24 | 52 | 46 | 61 | — | — | — | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | — | 27 | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 3 | SW 6 | — | — | — | N 4 | N 4 | N 4 | N 5 | NNE 5 | SW 7 | SW 9 | SW 9 | NW 3 | N 3 | N 4 | N 4 | N 5 | SW 16 | SW 17 |
| kJ | 3 | 104 | — | — | — | 43 | 28 | 27 | 72 | 66 | 1100 | 993 | 1299 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 42 | 77 | 4920 | 7440 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 25 | 35 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 27 | 27 | 53 | 46 | 24 | 495 | 495 | 35 | 27 | 60 | 277 | 36 | 287 | 281 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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