
Surf Forecasts:
Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 29 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 1 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 16s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 3 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 13s period, SW swell with 6,164 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 31 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 12s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 31) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 22s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 4.5m 13s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 03) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 02) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Fri 31st Jul) | 5ft (1.6m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 7PM (Sat 1st Aug) | 7ft (2.2m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Mon 3rd Aug) | 15ft (4.5m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's get into it.
Right off the bat, we’re looking at a slow start with some messy onshore winds and poor surf for the first few days. The first real glimmer of hope comes late Friday afternoon, July 31st, at Rye Ocean Beach (beach and reef). We’ve got a clean 5ft southwest swell, and more importantly, that afternoon goes glassy. That’s a window for some clean little waves, though the energy is moderate (696). It won’t be huge, but for a beginner-friendly spot that’s fairly consistent, it’s a solid option to get wet.
Saturday the 1st and Sunday the 2nd are frustrating. The swell jumps up, but strong northerly winds keep it clean on the surface but make for a tricky paddle. The wave energy gets into the moderate to strong range (921 up to 2454), but the conditions are just marginal. It’ll be a bumpy ride for the experienced crew.
Monday the 3rd and Tuesday the 4th are a total write-off. We get a massive spike in energy with a 13ft southwest swell on Monday afternoon (5998), but it’s accompanied by howling onshore winds and rain. That’s just a washing machine. Kite surfers might have a field day, but for paddle surfing, it’s a hard no.
The first true standout arrives on Friday, August 7th. The morning shows a solid 10ft southwest groundswell (16 seconds) with light southeasterly winds. The combined energy is a very strong 5193. This is a powerful, long-period swell, but for a beach and reef setup, 10ft pushes well beyond the beginner zone and into expert-only territory. The wind and tide are favorable, but the size is a major caveat.
If you can handle the size, Saturday August 8th is your pick of the window. Morning sees a still-chunky 6ft SW swell, but we get clean offshore winds from the east-northeast. The conditions are dialed in for experienced surfers, with moderate energy (1273) and a solid 14-second period. The afternoon glassies off with a clean 5ft swell. That’s the session to circle.
The following week shows promise. Thursday, August 13th, is another one for the big-wave crew. The morning offers a 7ft SW swell with clean cross-off winds and strong energy (2339). By the afternoon, it drops slightly to 6ft but goes dead glassy (2615). That is an incredible window, but size-wise, this is solidly for experienced surfers only.
Overall, the water temp is about average for the time of year here at Rye Ocean Beach. Keep your expectations in check for the first week, but the second half of the forecast has some serious potential if you’ve got the skill for the bigger SW groundswells.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat afternoon, min 9°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (calm on Thu night, fresh winds from the N by Sat afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 13mm), heaviest on Sun night. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 8°C on Sun night). Mainly strong winds. | ||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 16 | WSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 10 | SW 21 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
3446 | 1730 | 1299 | 868 | 634 | 551 | 494 | 432 | 2300 | 2744 | 1571 | 1366 | 1196 | 1300 | 5998 | 2254 | 1193 | 542 | 279 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | on | on | cross-on | cross | glassy | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | on | cross-on | on | on | on |
High Tide | 10:44PM1.14m | 12:39PM1.36m | 11:48PM1.16m | 1:20PM1.40m | 00:46AM1.20m | 1:56PM1.42m | 1:38AM1.25m | 2:29PM1.44m | 2:26AM1.31m | 2:59PM1.45m | 3:11AM1.36m | 3:27PM1.45m | 3:56AM1.40m | ||||||
Low Tide | 5:32AM0.33m | 6:45PM0.74m | 6:25AM0.30m | 7:28PM0.65m | 7:13AM0.29m | 8:05PM0.56m | 7:57AM0.29m | 8:39PM0.48m | 8:38AM0.32m | 9:12PM0.40m | 9:17AM0.38m | 9:45PM0.33m | |||||||
— | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:34 | — | |
mm | 3 | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 12 |
Feels °C | 4 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 16 | — | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 9 |
3446 | 1730 | 1299 | 868 | 634 | 551 | 494 | 430 | 2300 | 2744 | 1571 | 1366 | 1196 | 1300 | — | 2254 | 1193 | 244 | 221 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | S 9 | — | SW 24 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 18 | S 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | S 16 | WSW 20 | SSW 14 | — | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 11 |
44 | 168 | — | 22 | 72 | 137 | 130 | 432 | 154 | 221 | 87 | 44 | 37 | 38 | — | 112 | 163 | 149 | 150 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | S 21 | S 20 | S 19 | SSW 17 | — | — | — | — | WSW 20 | — | — | — | — | SW 24 | SW 21 |
— | — | — | — | 9 | 8 | 7 | 59 | — | — | — | — | 38 | — | — | — | — | 22 | 279 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 4 | N 4 | N 4 | NW 4 | WNW 4 | WSW 14 | — | — | SW 10 | — |
274 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 14 | 24 | 21 | 39 | 49 | 5998 | — | — | 542 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 35 | 35 | 35 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 16 | 18 | 29 | 42 | 35 | 52 | 483 | 40 | 160 | 538 | 35 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










