Surf Forecasts:
Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 14 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 14 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 15s period, SW swell with onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 14 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period, SW swell with 4,155 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 14 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 15s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 14) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be onshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 3.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 14) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 4s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 20) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4PM (Fri 14th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 4PM (Fri 14th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Fri 14th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here with a look at what's comin' down at Rye Ocean Beach.
The next couple of weeks are a proper tale of two halves. We've got a big, powerful pulse of south-west swell on the way, but it's gonna be a bit of a handful before it settles into something truly special. The real standout window is a few days out, so don't get too itchy just yet.
Let's start with Friday the 14th. The swell is already solid at 10ft from the south-west, with a deep, powerful 16-second period. The energy in the water is massive (4354), but the wind is a cross-shore breeze at 12 mph, which will put a chop on it. For most of us, it's just too much water moving around.
Saturday the 15th morning is a real tease. That swell is still a substantial 8ft, but the wind goes glassy. It would be a beautiful sight, but at that size, it's really only one for the experts. The afternoon sees the wind swing onshore and get choppy.
Now, Sunday the 16th. This is where we start talking. The swell has backed off a touch to 6ft from the south-west early, dropping to 5ft in the afternoon, but the period is still a lovely 14 seconds. Combine that with a light cross-offshore breeze from the east and a clear sky, and you're lookin' at some clean, powerful lines. The energy is still strong (1361) but the conditions are described as excellent for experienced surfers. This is your first real shout, but the water temp is about average for the time of year at 56°.
Monday the 17th and Tuesday the 18th keep that quality going with clean conditions and a smaller 4ft to 5ft swell. Tuesday morning especially looks mint with a light offshore breeze from the north-east. The swell is a bit smaller, but it'll be cleaner and more user-friendly for a wider crew. The crowd factor at Rye can be a thing, so getting out there early on a clean day is always the play.
The end of the first week and into the second sees the swell drop right off and some strong northerly winds mess things up. There's a bit of a flat spell from the 19th to the 21st, with only small, weak waves.
The big news is the second pulse. Saturday the 22nd looks wild with a 13ft south-west swell, but it's accompanied by a screaming 28 mph onshore wind. That's a disaster zone. Sunday the 23rd drops to a still-heavy 8ft, but the wind is better, and the conditions are noted as favourable, though the swell is predicted to be too big for this break.
If you're looking further ahead, keep an eye on Friday the 29th. The swell is a nice 6ft from the south-west, a solid 16-second period (1552 energy), and the wind is a light cross-offshore. Conditions are shaping up as excellent for experienced surfers, which often means a great day for a strong intermediate too. It's a long way out, so it's a promising prospect rather than a sure thing, but it's got the most potential of the back half of this outlook.
So, my pick of the bunch is Sunday the 16th for the more experienced crew, and Tuesday the 18th morning for a cleaner, all-rounder session. Keep an eye on the 29th too.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Fri morning, min 9°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Very mild (max 17°C on Tue afternoon, min 9°C on Mon morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the E on Mon morning, strong winds from the N by Wed morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | WSW 14 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
4218 | 3911 | 3672 | 2821 | 2516 | 1855 | 1238 | 1048 | 911 | 885 | 1347 | 1246 | 676 | 621 | 477 | 255 | 223 | 140 | 255 | 314 | 373 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | on | on | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy |
High Tide | 1:04PM1.43m | 00:55AM1.36m | 1:48PM1.48m | 1:55AM1.43m | 2:28PM1.52m | 2:47AM1.48m | 3:05PM1.53m | 3:35AM1.50m | 3:39PM1.53m | 4:18AM1.48m | 4:10PM1.50m | 5:00AM1.44m | 4:40PM1.46m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:09PM0.53m | 7:21AM0.23m | 7:57PM0.40m | 8:10AM0.25m | 8:41PM0.30m | 8:55AM0.30m | 9:21PM0.24m | 9:35AM0.38m | 9:59PM0.21m | 10:12AM0.47m | 10:36PM0.22m | 10:48AM0.56m | 11:11PM0.24m | ||||||||
7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | |
— | 5:42 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:44 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:47 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 3 | 2 | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 |
Feels °C | 10 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 16 | SW 14 |
4218 | 3911 | 3672 | 2821 | 2516 | 1855 | 1238 | 1048 | 911 | 885 | 1347 | 1246 | 676 | 621 | 477 | 255 | 223 | 140 | 163 | 314 | 373 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 14 | SSW 16 | S 15 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | S 14 | SSW 12 | — | — | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | ESE 5 | SW 18 | SSW 17 | SE 4 | SE 7 | SE 7 | SW 20 | SW 18 | SW 13 | S 14 |
136 | 193 | 172 | 196 | 193 | 150 | 123 | — | — | 27 | 56 | 37 | 201 | 27 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 98 | 255 | 83 | 4 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 11 | — | ESE 5 | — | SSW 16 | SE 4 | S 16 | SE 7 | ESE 7 | SSW 16 | E 7 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 25 | — | 15 | — | 24 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 1 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | SE 4 | ESE 4 | SE 5 | ESE 5 | ESE 4 | SE 5 | — | — | E 5 | NNE 3 | NNE 4 | N 4 | N 3 | N 4 | N 4 | N 4 |
— | — | — | — | — | 8 | 8 | 8 | 39 | 13 | 10 | — | — | 8 | 3 | 28 | 27 | 6 | 24 | 35 | 6 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 25 | 25 | 33 | 5 | 33 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 15 | 3 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 43 | 56 | 24 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











