Surf Forecasts:
Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 1 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 2 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 16s period, SW swell with cross-onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 3 Sep, 1PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 13s period, WSW swell with 6,373 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 2 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 02) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.1m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 17s. Another secondary swell of 0.9m and 6s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-onshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 4.5m 13s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 03) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 4s period and expected on Saturday (Sep 05) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10AM (Wed 2nd Sep) | 7ft (2.1m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 10AM (Wed 2nd Sep) | 7ft (2.1m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Thu 3rd Sep) | 15ft (4.5m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here. Let’s break down the 16-day outlook for Rye Ocean Beach.
The first few days are a total washout. Wednesday morning starts with a 2.1m SW swell, 16-second period, but a cross-on 20 km/h wind from the WNW has it choppy and messy. The energy is reading 2427 (moderate). The water is 14°, which is normal for the season. The swell is simply too big and ugly for a beginner break. Wednesday afternoon and all of Thursday worsen with stronger winds and bigger, lumpier surf. Nothing to even think about.
Friday morning, September 4th, offers a clean-up with a 3.5m SW swell, 16-second period, and a cross-off wind from the NNW at 25 km/h. The energy is 5570 (strong). This is a big, powerful groundswell, and at 3.5m, it’s for experts only. The surf will be clean, but it’s a serious step up.
After a few blown-out days, Sunday afternoon, September 6th, is a real standout. The swell drops to 1.8m from the SW, period 14 seconds, and the wind goes glassy – 5 km/h. The energy is 1297 (moderate). This is excellent for experienced surfers. Clean, lined-up waves with that moderate energy. Crowds are possible, so expect some company.
The next gem is Monday morning, September 8th. The swell is only 1.3m, but the period is a very long 18 seconds. Wind is light cross-off from the NNW. The energy is 1667 (moderate). That long-period groundswell will wrap into the reef and point sections, making for some long, clean walls. It’s small but quality, for the experienced surfer.
Then on Thursday morning, September 10th, another big one – a 3.5m SW swell, 17-second period, with glassy wind from the north. The energy is massive at 8635 (very strong). This is a serious, clean, big-wave day for experts only.
After that, the weekend of the 12th-13th has some smaller, average surf. Sunday morning, September 13th, offers a nice 1.6m SW swell with glassy conditions, energy at 923 (moderate). Clean and fun, but not a standout.
The second week is a bit of a gamble. The 15th has some moderate swell with onshore winds, making it choppy. The 17th of September looks promising again with a 3.5m to 4.5m SW swell, 16-17 seconds, and clean cross-off wind. The energy is huge (7062 – strong). This is another expert-only prospect, but it’s a long way off.
Bottom line: Sunday afternoon, September 6th, and Monday morning, September 8th, are the best bets for experienced surfers. Thursday, September 10th, is for the big-wave crew. The first week is a no-go for beginners.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 14mm), heaviest on Fri night. Very mild (max 16°C on Fri afternoon, min 9°C on Thu night). Mainly strong winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Sat morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat morning, min 10°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (near gales from the WNW on Sat morning, calm by Sun afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | WSW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 20 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 2269 | 2553 | 2680 | 3647 | 6221 | 5476 | 5330 | 4605 | 3544 | 2437 | 4209 | 1401 | 1929 | 1215 | 736 | 511 | 357 | 548 | 1124 | 2140 | 1664 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | on | cross-on | on | cross | cross-off | on | on |
High Tide | 2:51PM1.42m | 3:39AM1.49m | 3:22PM1.44m | 4:22AM1.49m | 3:55PM1.44m | 5:09AM1.45m | 4:33PM1.42m | 6:00AM1.38m | 5:17PM1.37m | 6:59AM1.31m | 6:13PM1.30m | 8:07AM1.24m | 7:28PM1.23m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 9:13PM0.18m | 9:36AM0.48m | 9:50PM0.13m | 10:13AM0.54m | 10:31PM0.12m | 10:53AM0.62m | 11:16PM0.13m | 11:38AM0.68m | 00:08AM0.18m | 12:33PM0.74m | 1:09AM0.25m | 1:44PM0.76m | 2:23AM0.32m | ||||||||
 | |  |  |  |  | |  |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:41 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — |
 | — | 5:59 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:02 | — | — | 6:04 | — |
mm | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | 13 | 3 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 |
Feels °C | 9 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SSW 17 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 |
| kJ | 2269 | 2553 | 2680 | 3647 | 4697 | 5476 | 5330 | 4605 | 3544 | 2437 | 96 | 1401 | 1929 | 1215 | 736 | 511 | 357 | 416 | 1124 | 2140 | 1664 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | S 16 | — | — | SSW 15 | SSW 17 | SSW 18 | S 18 | S 17 | — | — | SSW 15 | WSW 18 | WSW 16 | SW 22 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 13 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 |
| kJ | 97 | 83 | 129 | — | — | 228 | 227 | 243 | 158 | 151 | — | — | 21 | 61 | 86 | 18 | 71 | 548 | 480 | 100 | 83 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 15 | — | — | S 21 | SSW 20 | SSW 18 | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21 | — | — | 9 | 38 | 63 | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 6 | NW 3 | NW 4 | — | WSW 14 | — | NW 4 | — | N 4 | NW 5 | WSW 15 | SW 9 | — | — | — | NNW 2 | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 61 | 2 | 41 | — | 6221 | — | 13 | — | 19 | 82 | 4209 | 901 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 24 | 36 | 27 | 40 | 36 | 35 | 23 | 23 | 70 | 553 | 510 | 40 | 24 | 0 | 15 | 2 | 24 | 15 | 0 | 33 | 478 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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