Surf Forecasts:
Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 10 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 10 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 16s period, SW swell with onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 15 Sep, 4PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 14s period, SW swell with 4,242 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 10 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.5m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 15s. The wind is predicted to be onshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 3.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Sep 13) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Thu 10th Sep) | 8ft (2.5m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Thu 10th Sep) | 8ft (2.5m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Tue 15th Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for the Rye Ocean Beach area over the next couple of weeks.
We’ve got a fair bit of action coming, but you’re going to have to be patient. The first few days are a write-off, with Thursday the 10th seeing a big, raw 10ft SW groundswell (combined energy of 4620) but with a stiff onshore wind. It’s a mess. We’re looking at a gap of no real surf until Friday the 11th, and even then, it’s tricky.
The standout window, and the best on offer by a long shot, is the Saturday morning session on the 12th of September. The water is sitting at 57°F, which is about average for the time of year. We’ve got a solid 8ft SW groundswell, with a beautiful 16-second period. That’s proper long-period energy, which will groom up nicely at Rye Ocean Beach’s beach and reef setup. The wind is a light NNE cross-offshore at 6 mph, keeping things clean. The combined energy is a strong 2934. It’s sizeable though – over 5ft – so it’s not for beginners, but for the experienced crew, this is the one. The wind stays light and cross-off through the afternoon with a 7ft swell, making it a very solid day.
Sunday the 13th sees the swell drop to 5ft in the morning, but the wind swings north and gets howling at 22 mph, making it a bit of a battle. The swell drops further, and the week after that is a mixed bag of onshore winds and big, messy swells.
Thursday the 17th is worth a mention. The morning shows a 7ft SW groundswell, with a clean NNW cross-offshore breeze at 9 mph. The combined energy is 1683. This is a good call for experienced surfers, but it’s not quite the quality of that Saturday.
The long-range stuff from the 19th onwards is inconsistent. We get a pulse of cleaner, smaller swell around the 21st and 22nd of September, with a 4ft to 4ft SW groundswell and light offshore or cross-off winds. The 22nd morning looks clean with a gentle NNE offshore. It’s small, but it’s a chance for a sneaky session if you’re desperate. The crowds here are sometimes an issue, and with the better days, you won’t be alone.
Overall, mark your calendar for Saturday the 12th of September – that’s your best bet. Lock it in.
Rusty, signing off.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Sat afternoon, min 10°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (calm on Fri night, strong winds from the N by Sun morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Sun afternoon. Warm (max 21°C on Sun afternoon, min 10°C on Sun night). Mainly fresh winds. | |||||||||||||||||||
Thu 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 13 | WSW 13 | SW 10 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 4437 | 2741 | 2278 | 2945 | 3634 | 2723 | 2012 | 1500 | 1108 | 842 | 757 | 525 | 581 | 625 | 2782 | 4242 | 3208 | 3769 | 3228 | 2516 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | on | on | cross-on | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on |
High Tide | 10:31PM1.22m | 11:44AM1.29m | 11:52PM1.31m | 12:34PM1.35m | 00:55AM1.41m | 1:17PM1.41m | 1:47AM1.49m | 1:55PM1.45m | 2:32AM1.54m | 2:30PM1.47m | 3:14AM1.55m | 3:03PM1.47m | 3:52AM1.53m | |||||||
Low Tide | 4:42PM0.65m | 5:10AM0.36m | 5:52PM0.51m | 6:17AM0.34m | 6:46PM0.38m | 7:11AM0.33m | 7:31PM0.27m | 7:56AM0.35m | 8:12PM0.19m | 8:36AM0.38m | 8:49PM0.15m | 9:13AM0.43m | 9:24PM0.14m | |||||||
 |  | | |  |  | | |  |  |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — |
 | 6:06 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:08 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:10 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 19 | 18 | 19 | 21 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
Feels °C | 6 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 15 | 11 | 16 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 5 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 13 | WSW 13 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SSW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 |
| kJ | 4437 | 2741 | 2278 | 2945 | 3634 | 2723 | 2012 | 1500 | 1108 | 842 | 757 | 525 | 581 | 181 | 2782 | 243 | 3208 | 3769 | 3228 | 2516 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 16 | S 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 17 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | N 3 | SW 20 | WSW 19 | SW 18 | — | — | SSW 15 | S 16 | S 16 | S 16 |
| kJ | 183 | 107 | 384 | 381 | 243 | 211 | 97 | 81 | 56 | 24 | 1 | 15 | 37 | 109 | — | — | 87 | 134 | 183 | 132 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 4 | NNW 4 | WSW 5 | — | WSW 9 | SW 10 | — | SW 14 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 27 | 24 | 39 | — | 352 | 625 | — | 4242 | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 274 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 52 | 27 | 27 | 35 | 36 | 35 | 52 | 556 | 33 | 24 | 24 | 24 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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