
Surf Forecasts:
Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 13 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 17 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 15s period, SW swell with onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 15 Sep, 7PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 14s period, SW swell with 5,815 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 17 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 15s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 17) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.5m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 15s. The wind is predicted to be onshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 4.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 5s period and expected on Saturday (Sep 19) at 10PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Thu 17th Sep) | 8ft (2.5m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Thu 17th Sep) | 8ft (2.5m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Tue 15th Sep) | 13ft (4.0m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what’s cookin’ for Rye Ocean Beach over the next couple of weeks.
Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you: the next week and a half is a write-off for decent waves, mainly because of shocking winds and the swell just being too messy or too powerful for this set-up. It’s a beach and reef break, so when the wind’s wrong, it turns into a washing machine.
The first real chance of something clean doesn’t roll around until the morning of Friday, 18 September. That morning, we get a SSW swell of 6ft, period at a juicy 14 seconds, and the wind is a light NNW 16 mph, blowing cross-offshore. It’s not massive, but the energy is moderate (1969) and the surface will be clean. We’re looking at marginal conditions, but it’s the best we’ve seen for a while. The water temp feels about average for the time of year.
Things improve a touch on the morning of Saturday, 19 September with a similar SSW 6ft at 13 seconds, NNW cross-off wind again at 16 mph. It’s still a little marginal, but the energy is moderate (1021). Could be a session for a patient surfer, but it’s not going to go down in the history books.
Now, if you’ve got some experience and don’t mind slightly bigger stuff, you need to look ahead to the Monday, 28 September afternoon session. This is the standout of the whole outlook. You’ve got a solid, long-period SSW groundswell – 6ft at 16 seconds – combined wave energy is strong (1851), and the wind is a clean NE offshore breeze at 12 mph. This will produce excellent, clean surf, but that 6ft height and long period means it’s better suited to more experienced crew. The swell direction (SW) lines up nicely with the optimum for the break. This is the one to circle on the calendar, even though it’s a bit of a wait. Crowds are possible here sometimes, but on that day, with the conditions, it’ll be worth competing for a spot.
The following morning, Tuesday, 29 September, still has some size with a 7ft SSW swell and a 15-second period, but the wind shifts to a moderate WNW cross-shore, so the quality drops back into that marginal/questionable zone. The run of better days looks over after that Monday afternoon.
So, wrap it up: a long, slow start, one brief window of clean-but-not-amazing surf next weekend, then a proper clean, good-energy session on the afternoon of the 28th for those with a bit of experience. The rest of the time, you’re best off checking the forecasts again in a week.
- Rusty
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Warm (max 20°C on Sun night, min 10°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NW on Sun night, strong winds from the SW by Tue afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 23°C on Sat afternoon, min 8°C on Thu night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||
Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | Saturday 19 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | WSW 7 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
598 | 404 | 295 | 126 | 2362 | 4839 | 4974 | 4395 | 4024 | 3330 | 2090 | 1363 | 1197 | 1119 | 2113 | 1505 | 1021 | 821 | 370 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross-on | on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 1:47AM1.49m | 1:55PM1.45m | 2:32AM1.54m | 2:30PM1.47m | 3:14AM1.55m | 3:03PM1.47m | 3:52AM1.53m | 3:33PM1.44m | 4:29AM1.48m | 4:02PM1.39m | 5:05AM1.42m | 4:30PM1.33m | |||||||
Low Tide | 7:56AM0.35m | 8:12PM0.19m | 8:36AM0.38m | 8:49PM0.15m | 9:13AM0.43m | 9:24PM0.14m | 9:47AM0.50m | 9:58PM0.16m | 10:20AM0.56m | 10:30PM0.20m | 10:52AM0.62m | 11:02PM0.25m | |||||||
— | 6:24 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | |
— | — | 6:08 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:10 | — | — | 6:12 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:13 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 20 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 20 | 15 | 22 | 23 | 19 |
Feels °C | 17 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 18 | 19 | 14 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 16 | — | SSW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 |
598 | 404 | 295 | 126 | 352 | — | 46 | 4284 | 4024 | 3330 | 2090 | 1363 | 1197 | 1119 | 2113 | 1505 | 1021 | 821 | 370 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 18 | — | — | — | S 16 | SSW 15 | S 14 | S 15 | — | SW 22 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SSW 15 | — | SW 19 | SW 18 |
22 | 15 | 58 | 109 | — | — | — | 129 | 237 | 106 | 38 | — | 18 | 694 | 823 | 72 | — | 15 | 50 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | S 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 22 | S 17 | — | — | — | SW 20 | — |
— | — | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 19 | 153 | — | — | — | 15 | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 4 | WNW 3 | W 3 | WSW 7 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | — | S 6 | — | — | SW 6 | NW 3 | — | NNW 3 | N 4 | NNW 4 | NW 4 |
9 | 3 | 7 | 105 | 2362 | 4839 | 4974 | 4395 | — | 91 | — | — | 72 | 3 | — | 8 | 33 | 42 | 49 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 2 | 25 | 24 | 52 | 495 | 676 | 281 | 347 | 160 | 33 | 36 | 52 | 2 | 2 | 35 | 27 | 2 | 25 | 27 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










