Surf Forecasts:
Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 7 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 8 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 18s period, SW swell with cross-shore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 13 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 16s period, WSW swell with 8,769 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 7 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 4.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 5s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 11) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4PM (Tue 7th Jul) | 5ft (1.5m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 4PM (Wed 8th Jul) | 7ft (2.2m) 18s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Mon 13th Jul) | 13ft (4.0m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Hey crew, Rusty here. Let’s run through the Rye Ocean Beach outlook for the next couple of weeks, using the old feet and inches way.
We start off with some real clean, long-period SW groundswell. Water temp is about 58°F – right around the average for July, nothing crazy. Tuesday the 7th is a beauty. First light we’ve got a 5ft swell from the SW with a 17-second period, packing proper energy. Wind is a light offshore from the ENE, so the waves will be glassy. The afternoon holds up with the same size and a 16-second period.
Wednesday the 8th is the pick of the week. Swell holds at 5ft, period stretches to 18 seconds, and wave energy jumps into the strong range (2524). Offshore ENE wind again in the morning makes for perfect conditions. Wednesday afternoon gets a little crosswind, and the swell pushes to 7ft – that’s a bit much for beginners.
Thursday the 9th is still primo with a clean morning and a 5ft swell. Afternoon goes glassy with a light 1.3m swell, which is about 4ft. Friday the 10th keeps the good run with light cross-off winds and 5ft swell.
Then we hit a rough stretch. Saturday the 11th the wind screams from the north at 31 mph, and the swell drops to a weak 4ft. Sunday through Tuesday the winds stay strong and onshore or cross-onshore, with swell going from 10ft up to 13ft. That’s a mess of chop and whitewater – more for kite surfers than paddle surfers. The wave energy is huge (up to 7928 on Monday arvo) but useless for a clean ride.
Thursday the 16th is still a bit bumpy with light cross-onshore wind and 7ft swell. Friday the 17th is the return to glory: 4ft swell, light cross-off breeze, clean waves. Saturday the 18th has a big 7ft SW groundswell with a 17-second period and fresh offshore winds – that’s expert territory. Sunday the 19th is blown out again.
Peeking into the second week, Tuesday the 21st and Wednesday the 22nd have 10ft SW swell with clean offshore winds. That’s massive, heavy, and only for the experienced. Long-range stuff, but it has a real potential if the wind holds.
Best bet of the whole forecast is that first run: Tuesday the 7th morning through Friday the 10th. Get on it before the chaos hits.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 12°C on Tue afternoon, min 8°C on Tue morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 21mm), heaviest during Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Fri afternoon, min 8°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNE on Fri afternoon, near gales from the N by Sat morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | WSW 12 | SW 12 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 17 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1282 | 1096 | 1076 | 1606 | 2888 | 1697 | 1028 | 757 | 1591 | 1155 | 979 | 752 | 463 | 456 | 1435 | 2757 | 3054 | 4936 | 6335 | 7714 | 7707 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross | off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 4:31PM1.47m | 4:58AM1.33m | 5:01PM1.45m | 5:51AM1.34m | 5:34PM1.44m | 6:49AM1.35m | 6:14PM1.42m | 7:52AM1.35m | 7:01PM1.39m | 9:01AM1.36m | 7:59PM1.36m | 10:15AM1.39m | 9:07PM1.33m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:11AM0.44m | 10:52PM0.43m | 10:52AM0.53m | 11:30PM0.38m | 11:35AM0.63m | 00:13AM0.33m | 12:23PM0.74m | 1:03AM0.30m | 1:20PM0.83m | 1:59AM0.27m | 2:27PM0.89m | 3:02AM0.25m | 3:45PM0.91m | ||||||||
 | |  | |  |  |  | | | | | | |  |  |  | |  | | | | |
 | 7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — |
 | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:16 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 5 | — | 2 | — |
Temp °C | 8 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 11 |
Feels °C | 6 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | WSW 12 | SW 12 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 17 |
| kJ | 1282 | 1096 | 1076 | 1606 | 2888 | 1697 | 1028 | 757 | 1591 | 1155 | 979 | 752 | 463 | 456 | 1435 | 2757 | 3054 | 4936 | 6335 | 7714 | 7707 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SSW 16 | SW 24 | SW 14 | S 18 | S 16 | SSW 16 | SW 20 | S 17 | S 15 | — | — | S 15 | — | — | — | — | SW 24 | S 16 | S 16 | SSW 16 |
| kJ | 282 | 51 | 22 | 667 | 222 | 125 | 47 | 137 | 149 | 38 | — | — | 4 | — | — | — | — | 22 | 190 | 137 | 390 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | ESE 12 | S 19 | — | — | ESE 11 | SSW 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 20 | — |
| kJ | — | — | 14 | 251 | — | — | 12 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 77 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | ESE 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 3 | N 4 | NNW 5 | NW 4 | NW 5 | NW 5 | NW 5 | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 58 | 91 | 24 | 62 | 102 | 35 | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 287 | 72 | 287 | 534 | 767 | 46 | 495 | 495 | 40 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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