Rye Ocean Beach Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.39° S 144.78° E

Rye Ocean Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 am 10 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Rye Ocean Beach sea temperature is
13.8° C
0.4° 

Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 10 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 13 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 14s period, WSW swell with cross-onshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 13 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 14s period, WSW swell with 9,323 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 10 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 15s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:

The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 10) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 5.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 5s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 11) at 4PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1PM (Fri 10th Jul)5ft (1.5m) 15s
Best Surf10PM (Mon 13th Jul)16ft (5.0m) 14s
Most Powerful10PM (Mon 13th Jul)16ft (5.0m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.


Alright, Rusty here again. Let’s break down the same outlook for our American friends.

The water temp is 57°F, which is right on the historical average, so no drama there. The first few days have some promise, but we’ve got a beast of a swell coming that’s going to be blown out.

Friday the 10th is your best early call. Morning sees a clean 5ft SW groundswell (15-second period) with a light cross-off breeze from the north at 9 mph. The wave energy is solid (1193), but those long-period sets will be spaced out. For a beach and reef break, the long period can make things a bit straight, but the afternoon goes glassy with a light air and 5ft swell. It’s not epic, but it’s clean and fun for a beginner-friendly spot.

Then the wind goes nuclear from the north on Saturday, hitting 28-31 mph, trashing the 3-4ft swell. Sunday and Monday are a total wipeout for surfing. We’re looking at 10ft to 12ft SW swells, but the wind is screaming from the NW and W, turning the ocean into a mess. This is kite-surfing weather, not paddle surfing. The combined energy hits 9617 on Tuesday afternoon—that’s a ton of power, but it’s all ropy cross-onshore junk.

Wednesday the 15th is a standout on paper, but with a big ‘if’. The swell is still a hefty 10ft SW, and the wind drops to a gentle breeze from the WNW. The notes say the wind and tide are good, but the swell is just too big for this break. At over 8ft, this is experts only. If you’re a local charger, the morning might be on, but expect some cross-shore chop.

Thursday the 16th afternoon is the real jewel. The swell drops to a clean 6ft SW, and it’s *glassy*—ENE wind at just 3 mph. That’s a rare, smooth surface. The period is 14 seconds, still a groundswell, so expect some proper lines. The energy is moderate (1292), and it’s labeled for experienced surfers, so it’s got some grunt. This is the pick of the pack.

Friday the 17th morning keeps the clean theme with a 7ft SW groundswell (16-second period) and a light cross-offshore breeze. The combined energy is 2207, but again, the swell is on the big side for this spot. It’s good for the experts.

After that, the wind picks up again from Saturday the 18th, and the swell fades fast. The rest of the run into the 20s is mostly windy and small, with a marginal moment on the 24th (Friday) afternoon where we get a 5ft SW swell and a light cross-off breeze, but it’s a long way out and the wind could change.

So, the best calls are Friday the 10th afternoon for a clean, fun session, and Thursday the 16th afternoon for that glassy, quality swell. The big mid-week swell is for the hardcore only.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Fri afternoon, min 8°C on Fri morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the N on Fri afternoon, near gales from the NW by Sun morning).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Mon afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon morning, min 10°C on Tue morning). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WNW on Mon afternoon, light winds from the NW by Wed night).

Friday
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
Monday
13
Tuesday
14
Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
!
!
!
3
4
4
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.6
SW
15
1.5
SW
15
1.2
SW
14
1.1
SW
14
1
SW
14
1.3
WSW
13
3
WSW
12
3.5
WSW
12
3
SW
13
3
SW
15
3
SW
15
4
SW
15
3.5
SW
15
3.5
SW
15
3
SW
15
3
SW
14
2.5
SW
14
2.2
SW
14
1.8
SW
14
1.7
SW
14
1.7
SW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1155
966
606
476
390
555
2970
3462
2955
4079
4368
7529
5672
4802
4044
3261
2462
1849
1238
1139
1107
Wind (km/h)
15
N
5
N
25
N
45
N
50
N
40
WNW
50
NW
35
W
40
WNW
45
NW
40
NW
30
W
30
W
35
WSW
20
WSW
15
WNW
10
W
10
WNW
10
NW
5
ENE
10
NE
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-on
cross
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross
glassy
off
High Tide
6:14PM1.42m
7:52AM1.35m
7:01PM1.39m
9:01AM1.36m
7:59PM1.36m
10:15AM1.39m
9:07PM1.33m
11:27AM1.43m
10:21PM1.31m
12:30PM1.49m
11:37PM1.33m
1:23PM1.54m
00:50AM1.36m
Low Tide
12:23PM0.74m
1:03AM0.30m
1:20PM0.83m
1:59AM0.27m
2:27PM0.89m
3:02AM0.25m
3:45PM0.91m
4:10AM0.23m
5:09PM0.87m
5:20AM0.20m
6:24PM0.78m
6:26AM0.18m
7:25PM0.67m
part cloud
clear
part cloud
cloud
mod rain
rain showers
rain showers
cloud
part cloud
cloud
light rain
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:37
7:35
7:35
7:35
7:35
7:35
7:33
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:15
5:15
5:15
5:16
5:16
5:17
5:19
 mm
6
2
2
2
3
Temp °C
10
13
11
12
13
9
11
13
13
14
14
12
12
12
12
13
14
13
12
13
13
Feels °C
6
8
6
3
3
0
0
5
4
5
5
3
5
4
6
9
11
11
9
12
11
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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