Surf Forecasts:
Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 25 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 28 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 17s period, SW swell with onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 28 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 17s period, SW swell with 2,570 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 27 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 12s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 27) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 15s. Another secondary swell of 0.3m and 3s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 2.1m 17s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 28) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 4s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 01) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1PM (Thu 27th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 1PM (Fri 28th Aug) | 7ft (2.1m) 17s |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Fri 28th Aug) | 7ft (2.1m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, I’m Rusty. Let’s have a look at what’s comin’ down the line for Rye Ocean Beach. It’s a beach and reef setup, fairly consistent, exposed to the SW. The water temp’s sittin’ about 56.3° with a normal anomaly for this time of year, so no surprises there. The optimum swell direction is SW, and we’ve got plenty of that headed our way. But I gotta be straight with ya – there’s a bit of a rough patch up front.
We’re lookin’ at a period startin’ Wednesday, August 26th with nothin’ to write home about. The morning’s got a 5.9ft SW swell (14 seconds) but onshore SSW winds at 15 mph are wreckin’ it – poor surf conditions (weak energy). The afternoon’s no better, same wind, smaller 5.2ft swell (13 seconds) and still poor. So the first couple days are a write-off. Thursday the 27th morning stays poor with a cross-shore breeze, but by the afternoon things start to turn. We get a clean, 3.6ft SW swell (14 seconds) with a light cross-offshore NNE breeze – that’s near glassy. The energy’s moderate at 638, and the wave comment’s callin’ it “very good surf conditions.” That’s your first real window for a paddle. It’s small but tidy.
Friday the 28th has some cross-chop in the mornin’ with a 4.6ft SW swell (18 seconds, long period). By afternoon the swell bumps up to 6.9ft from the same direction (17 seconds), but the onshore SSW wind at 9 mph and the comment say it’s too big for this break – a kite surfer’s dream maybe, but for a paddle surfer, that’s expert territory. Saturday the 29th is marginal with cross-onshore wind, and Sunday the 30th has a 5.9ft to 6.6ft SW swell but light onshore breezes – still marginal, with moderate energy (1362–1485).
Now, Monday, August 31st is where we get a standout. The morning serves up a clean 6.9ft SW swell (14 seconds) with a light cross-offshore N breeze. The comment says “wind and tide favorable” but the swell’s edgin’ on too big – still, with clean conditions and moderate-to-strong energy (1897), it’s a solid call for experienced surfers. The afternoon gets even better: 5.9ft SW swell (14 seconds, 1884 energy) with near-glass offshore NNE wind – “excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers” is what they’re sayin’. That’s the pick of the first week. Clean, groomed, and punchy. Crowds are possible here, so get in early.
Tuesday, September 1st has a 5.9ft SW swell (16 seconds) but strong 25 mph cross-offshore winds keep it marginal. The cross-chop picks up through the week. Wednesday the 2nd stays marginal with onshore winds by the afternoon. Thursday the 3rd swings back with a 6.9ft SW swell (16 seconds, 2203 energy) but fresh cross-winds make it lumpy – still, it’s clean enough for a go if you’re keen, but the swell’s borderin’ on big.
Friday, September 4th is a beast. An 11.5ft SW swell (17 seconds) in the mornin’ with light cross-onshore wind – energy’s very strong at 6654 – but it’s too big for this break. The afternoon’s glassy with the same 11.5ft swell (18 seconds) and a near 8000 energy reading. That’s hardcore heavy stuff – experts only, if at all. Saturday the 5th still has 8.2ft swell (16 seconds) and clean cross-offshore wind in the mornin’ – too big for the average punter. Sunday, September 6th drops back to a nice 5.9ft SW swell (13–14 seconds) with light cross-offshore breeze in the afternoon, clean, and the comment says “excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers” again – that’s another gem for the second week.
Monday the 7th is rain and wind, keepin’ it poor. Tuesday the 8th has a massive 20–21 second period swell comin’ in (4.9ft to 8.2ft), but onshore gales at 22 mph ruin it – poor conditions. Wednesday the 9th and Thursday the 10th both see 8.2ft to 9.8ft SW swells (15–18 seconds) with cross-onshore or onshore breezes, and the energy is huge (3905–4915), but the comment says wind and tide are favorable, yet the swell’s too big – that’s for the big-wave crew or the kite crowd.
All up, the real standouts are Thursday afternoon, August 27th for a small clean wave and Monday, August 31st afternoon for
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Thu afternoon, min 8°C on Thu morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Mon afternoon, min 9°C on Sat morning). Winds increasing (calm on Sun night, fresh winds from the N by Mon night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 26 | Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 14 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
1336 | 905 | 669 | 338 | 404 | 577 | 1136 | 2454 | 1694 | 1196 | 915 | 892 | 1127 | 1286 | 1812 | 1618 | 1119 | 2061 | 1474 | 962 | 1862 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | on | on | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | on | on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 10:06AM1.18m | 9:09PM1.07m | 11:09AM1.20m | 10:26PM1.08m | 12:01PM1.24m | 11:37PM1.13m | 12:43PM1.28m | 00:36AM1.22m | 1:18PM1.33m | 1:27AM1.32m | 1:51PM1.36m | 2:12AM1.40m | 2:21PM1.40m | 2:56AM1.46m | |||||||
Low Tide | 3:52PM0.82m | 3:59AM0.41m | 5:11PM0.75m | 5:06AM0.39m | 6:08PM0.65m | 6:06AM0.36m | 6:51PM0.54m | 6:56AM0.34m | 7:28PM0.44m | 7:41AM0.35m | 8:03PM0.34m | 8:21AM0.37m | 8:37PM0.25m | ||||||||
6:52 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | |
— | 5:52 | — | — | 5:53 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:55 | — | — | 5:57 | — | — | 5:58 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 18 | 16 | 20 | 21 | 17 |
Feels °C | 6 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 14 | SW 13 | WSW 13 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 |
1336 | 905 | 669 | 338 | 404 | 577 | 904 | 2454 | 1694 | 1196 | 915 | 892 | 1127 | 1286 | 1812 | 1618 | 1119 | 2061 | 1474 | 962 | 1862 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 18 | — | S 5 | SW 15 | SW 21 | SW 19 | SW 18 | S 17 | S 16 | SSW 15 | S 14 | SW 22 | SW 20 | SW 20 | SSW 14 | SW 20 | SW 16 | S 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 |
6 | — | 18 | 76 | 117 | 546 | 1136 | 52 | 20 | 21 | 4 | 73 | 137 | 99 | 69 | 196 | 765 | 147 | 81 | 88 | 44 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | SW 16 | WSW 22 | SW 21 | S 20 | SSE 18 | — | — | — | W 24 | WSW 22 | SW 20 | SW 20 | — | SSW 16 | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | 91 | 48 | 117 | 7 | 62 | — | — | — | 11 | 45 | 98 | 100 | — | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 5 | — | SSW 5 | SW 6 | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 3 | N 4 | NW 5 | WNW 4 |
22 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | — | 32 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 23 | 60 | 26 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 33 | 33 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 25 | 33 | 29 | 24 | 274 | 24 | 2 | 24 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 483 | 35 | 3 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











