Surf Forecasts:
Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 9 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 12 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 17s period, SW swell with cross-shore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 13 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period, WSW swell with 4,546 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 12 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 17s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.5m and 17s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 15s. The wind is predicted to be cross-shore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 3.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 13) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 5s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 09) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7PM (Wed 12th Aug) | 8ft (2.5m) 17s |
| Best Surf | 7PM (Wed 12th Aug) | 8ft (2.5m) 17s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Thu 13th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's get into it for Rye Ocean Beach.
We're looking at a bit of a mixed bag over the next couple of weeks. The water temp is sitting at 56°, which is about 1° warmer than usual for this time of year – nothing crazy, just a touch on the mild side.
The first few days are a write-off, honestly. We've got a lot of strong wind and onshore slop. Sunday the 9th is a no-go, and Monday the 10th is messy with rain and onshore wind. The swell is building, but the conditions are just not cooperating. Tuesday the 11th and Wednesday the 12th are still pretty average, with lumpy, choppy, or onshore conditions. Basically, we're looking at a gap of about 4 days with nothing worth paddling out for.
Things start to look a bit more promising later in the week, but the swell gets too big for this spot. Thursday the 13th through Saturday the 15th are seeing solid SW groundswell in the 7ft to 8ft range, with a period of 15 seconds. That's a lot of energy, but it's just too much for the setup here, especially with the wind not being ideal. It's probably more interesting for the kite crew than us paddle surfers.
Now, here's the standout. The real window opens up on Sunday the 16th. The swell drops to a much more manageable 6ft from the SW, and the wind goes light offshore from the E. That's clean. The following Monday the 17th is looking like the absolute pick of the forecast. The morning shows a 5ft SW swell with a light offshore, and the afternoon gets even better: 4ft from the SW with a 16-second period, and the wind is offshore from the ENE at only 6 mph. The quality is there. The forecast says "excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers," and that's spot on. That Tuesday the 18th also looks fantastic, with a 4ft SW swell, and Tuesday afternoon getting glassy with the wind dropping to almost nothing. That's the kind of session you dream about.
We've got another swell pulse coming through around the 23rd and 24th, but it's looking like it'll be too big again for the break.
So, for the best on offer, lock in Monday the 17th. The afternoon session in particular is the one to call in sick for. Tuesday the 18th is a very close second, with that glassy afternoon session being a real treat. Get on it.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 29mm), heaviest during Sun night. Very mild (max 13°C on Sun afternoon, min 9°C on Sun night). Mainly strong winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Wed morning. Very mild (max 13°C on Wed afternoon, min 10°C on Wed morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WSW on Wed morning, light winds from the WNW by Thu morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 19 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 548 | 347 | 729 | 2612 | 2879 | 1420 | 911 | 1163 | 1432 | 2941 | 2612 | 3543 | 3280 | 2863 | 3068 | 3237 | 3022 | 2668 | 2278 | 1956 | 1580 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | cross | cross |
High Tide | 6:30PM1.37m | 8:34AM1.30m | 7:35PM1.31m | 9:51AM1.29m | 8:53PM1.26m | 11:07AM1.32m | 10:20PM1.25m | 12:12PM1.38m | 11:43PM1.29m | 1:04PM1.43m | 00:55AM1.36m | 1:48PM1.48m | 1:55AM1.43m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 12:52PM0.80m | 1:32AM0.22m | 1:59PM0.85m | 2:40AM0.25m | 3:23PM0.85m | 3:56AM0.26m | 4:55PM0.78m | 5:14AM0.26m | 6:11PM0.66m | 6:23AM0.24m | 7:09PM0.53m | 7:21AM0.23m | 7:57PM0.40m | ||||||||
 | |  | |  |  |  | |  | | | | | | |  | |  | |  |  | |
 | 7:13 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — |
 | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:43 | — |
mm | 4 | 3 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 13 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 |
Feels °C | 2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 19 | ESE 10 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 17 | N 4 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 |
| kJ | 548 | 347 | 729 | 2612 | 31 | 1420 | 911 | 1163 | 1432 | 6 | 2612 | 3543 | 3280 | 2863 | 3068 | 3237 | 3022 | 2668 | 2278 | 1956 | 1580 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 20 | SSW 19 | ESE 10 | — | SW 8 | S 6 | SSW 17 | NNW 4 | — | SSW 17 | S 15 | SSW 15 | S 16 | S 16 | S 15 | S 16 | S 15 | — | SSW 15 |
| kJ | 83 | 148 | 604 | 122 | 32 | — | 155 | 11 | 58 | 1 | — | 93 | 118 | 76 | 181 | 186 | 119 | 126 | 109 | — | 76 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 14 | ESE 5 | ESE 5 | ESE 4 | — | — | S 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 18 | 2 | 5 | 4 | — | — | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 4 | NNE 4 | NNE 4 | N 4 | SW 17 | SW 7 | WNW 4 | NW 4 | NNW 4 | SW 16 | SW 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 29 | 50 | 10 | 13 | 2879 | 420 | 11 | 17 | 54 | 2941 | 248 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 48 | 53 | 18 | 27 | 337 | 36 | 35 | 27 | 287 | 40 | 24 | 36 | 24 | 23 | 25 | 25 | 71 | 29 | 33 | 33 | 5 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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