Rye Ocean Beach Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.39° S 144.78° E

Rye Ocean Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 am 09 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Rye Ocean Beach sea temperature is
13.4° C
0.7° 

Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 8 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 13 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 15s period, SW swell with cross-shore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 12 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 17s period, WSW swell with 5,751 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 10 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 16s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:

The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 20s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 3.0m 17s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 5s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 09) at 4PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1AM (Mon 10th Aug)4ft (1.2m) 16s
Best Surf10AM (Thu 13th Aug)10ft (3.0m) 15s
Most Powerful 7PM (Wed 12th Aug)10ft (3.0m) 17s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here. Let's get into it.

We're looking at a classic Rye Ocean Beach stretch. The water's sitting at about 56°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, nothing to write home about in the temperature department.

This run starts with a bit of a slow burn. Sunday the 9th is a write-off – strong, gusty winds and the swell is all messed up. You'd be wasting your time. Monday the 10th has some size pushing in, but the wind is all wrong, swinging onshore, and it's messy. We've got a moderate wave energy in the 600-2700 range for those first couple of days, but the conditions just aren't there.

The first real glimmer comes Tuesday the 11th morning. We've got a solid 5ft swell from the SW with a 14-second period, giving it decent shape, and the wind is cross-shore but clean. The energy is moderate, sitting at 1083. It's not perfect, but it's rideable. The Tuesday afternoon session looks a bit cleaner with a cross-offshore breeze, and 5ft waves. That’s probably your best early-week window.

Then we hit a wall. Wednesday the 12th through Friday the 14th, the swell pumps up to 10ft, but it's all onshore and lumpy. The wave energy jumps into the thousands – 2870, 10318, 4229 – it's powerful, but it's a washing machine. This is big, unruly stuff, strictly for the experts, and even then, it's a battle. It's more of a kite-surfing show than a paddle session.

We get a reprieve on Saturday the 15th. The swell drops to 8-8ft, still big, but the morning is clean with a light offshore breeze from the ESE (2898 energy). Still too much for most, but a better look for the brave. The real highlight, the standout session, looks to be Sunday the 16th morning. The swell is a much more manageable 6ft from the SW, with a 14-second period, and we get a gentle offshore breeze from the ENE. The energy is 1424, and it’s described as excellent for experienced surfers. That's the one to circle on the calendar. Clean, punchy, and with that long period, it'll be walling up nicely.

The following week, from Monday the 17th through Wednesday the 19th, we settle into a sweet spot. The swell sits between 4ft and 5ft, with a 14-16 second period. The wind is light and offshore or cross-offshore in the mornings. The energy sits in the 1000-1200 range, and it's all labeled as excellent for experienced surfers. This is your run of good, clean, consistent waves. It'll be a fun week for anyone who knows what they're doing.

Things start to fade after that. Thursday the 20th, the wind picks up and the swell drops. The last half of the month, from the 21st to the 24th, is a mix of small, weak swells and poor wind. The 21st afternoon does have a brief window with glassy conditions and a 3ft swell, which might be a fun little session for a longboard, but it's nothing to get excited about. After that, it's all downhill with onshore slop.

So, to sum it up: the first week is a bit of a write-off with a big, messy swell in the middle. The standout is Sunday the 16th morning, with clean, 6ft SW swell and light offshore winds. The entire stretch from Monday the 17th to Wednesday the 19th is also a solid, consistent run of clean surf. After that, it's a wrap for the forecast period.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 32mm), heaviest during Sun night. Very mild (max 13°C on Sun night, min 8°C on Sun night). Mainly strong winds.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Wed afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Wed afternoon, min 10°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WNW on Wed afternoon, light winds from the SSE by Fri night).

Sunday
9
Monday
10
Tuesday
11
Wednesday
12
Thursday
13
Friday
14
Saturday
15
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
0
4
2
0
0
1
2
0
0
0
0
!
!
!
!
0
!
!
!
!
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.2
SW
14
1
SW
13
1.2
SW
16
1.9
SW
19
1.9
SW
17
1.7
SW
16
1.4
SW
14
1.5
SW
14
1.6
SW
16
2.4
SW
16
3
WSW
17
2.2
SW
16
3
SW
15
3
SW
15
3
SW
15
3
SW
15
3
SW
16
3
SW
16
2.5
SW
15
2.3
SW
15
2.1
SW
15
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
548
347
739
2612
2191
1420
833
874
1415
2868
5452
2414
4157
4027
3539
3402
4483
3585
2777
2372
1784
Wind (km/h)
40
NNE
50
N
15
ENE
25
NNW
30
SW
35
W
35
NW
35
NNW
45
N
35
W
35
WNW
30
WSW
20
NW
20
WNW
20
WNW
20
WNW
25
SW
15
SW
15
ESE
15
S
10
E
Wind State
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
on
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross
cross-on
on
on
cross-off
cross-on
cross-off
High Tide
6:30PM1.37m
8:34AM1.30m
7:35PM1.31m
9:51AM1.29m
8:53PM1.26m
11:07AM1.32m
10:20PM1.25m
12:12PM1.38m
11:43PM1.29m
1:04PM1.43m
00:55AM1.36m
1:48PM1.48m
1:55AM1.43m
Low Tide
12:52PM0.80m
1:32AM0.22m
1:59PM0.85m
2:40AM0.25m
3:23PM0.85m
3:56AM0.26m
4:55PM0.78m
5:14AM0.26m
6:11PM0.66m
6:23AM0.24m
7:09PM0.53m
7:21AM0.23m
7:57PM0.40m
light rain
light rain
heavy rain
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
cloud
part cloud
rain showers
light rain
rain showers
light rain
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
cloud
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:13
7:13
7:11
7:11
7:09
7:07
7:07
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:37
5:38
5:39
5:40
5:42
5:42
5:43
 mm
4
3
14
5
3
2
1
1
2
1
1
1
Temp °C
11
12
13
9
13
12
12
12
11
12
13
11
12
13
13
12
13
12
11
11
11
Feels °C
2
2
7
3
8
5
5
4
2
4
5
4
8
8
8
8
7
8
7
7
8
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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