Surf Forecasts:
Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 4 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 4 Sep, 1PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period, SW swell with cross-shore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 9 Sep, 7PM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 19s period, SW swell with 16,078 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 4 Sep, 1PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 04) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be cross-shore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 5.0m 19s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 4s period and expected on Saturday (Sep 05) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1PM (Fri 4th Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 1PM (Fri 4th Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Wed 9th Sep) | 16ft (5.0m) 19s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here, and we’re looking at Rye Ocean Beach. Let’s break it down.
This spot is firing up big, but it’s mostly for the guys who can handle some serious water. It's a beach and reef break wide open to the southwest. Water temp is pretty much normal for now.
The first few days are all about heavy groundswell. Friday the 4th has a 10ft SW swell rolling in with a 16-second period. The combined energy is huge, around 5026. Morning has a cross-shore NW wind at 15 mph, but afternoon cleans up with a cross-off breeze. Problem is, 10ft is way too big for most people. Save this for the experts.
Saturday the 5th is garbage. Rain, a strong breeze at 28 mph, and lumpy chop. Swell drops to 8ft, but the wind kills it. Sunday the 6th has an 8ft SW swell with a light onshore wind in the afternoon. Still too big and a little rough.
Tuesday the 8th is the first real standout. Morning has a 4ft SW groundswell with a very long 18-second period and a light cross-off breeze. Clean as glass. Combined energy is 2050. This is excellent for experienced surfers. That long period makes for some beautiful shaped waves. Afternoon is glassy with a 7ft swell, but again, that size is pushing it.
The middle of the week gets nasty. Wednesday the 9th sees a 13ft swell and onshore winds up to 25 mph. Thursday the 10th is the same—huge swell and messy conditions.
Friday the 11th morning is glassy calm with a 7ft swell. It’s still big, but the conditions are perfect for handling it.
The second week settles a bit. Saturday the 12th morning is the best all-round window: 6ft SW swell, glassy, light air, and a clean 15-second period. Combined energy is 1577. Not too big, good shape, no wind. Afternoon gets a light sea breeze, still fun.
Sunday the 13th is blown out by a strong offshore wind at 28 mph. Small, clean waves, but the paddle out will be a grind.
Monday the 14th has tiny 3ft to 4ft swell and lumpy cross-shore wind—skip it. Tuesday the 15th onward brings another pulse of 8ft swell, but the wind stays messy. By Thursday the 17th, it’s a monster 21ft groundswell with onshore wind. That’s kite-surfing size.
So, for you paddle surfers, the best bets are Tuesday morning the 8th for the clean, long-period lines, and Saturday morning the 12th for the best mix of size and calm conditions. Both are for experienced hands only.
Rusty out.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Fri night. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri afternoon, min 10°C on Fri morning). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WNW on Sat morning, light winds from the SSW by Sun afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Very mild (max 12°C on Mon morning, min 8°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon night, strong winds from the SW by Tue night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 11 | SW 14 | SW 14 | WSW 12 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 5087 | 4838 | 3544 | 2437 | 3287 | 1538 | 938 | 1618 | 1290 | 379 | 273 | 1067 | 1112 | 2414 | 2839 | 7826 | 15637 | 14737 | 9633 | 6554 | 3926 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | on | cross-on | on | cross | on | on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on |
High Tide | 3:55PM1.44m | 5:09AM1.45m | 4:33PM1.42m | 6:00AM1.38m | 5:17PM1.37m | 6:59AM1.31m | 6:13PM1.30m | 8:07AM1.24m | 7:28PM1.23m | 9:24AM1.22m | 8:58PM1.19m | 10:41AM1.24m | 10:31PM1.22m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:13AM0.54m | 10:31PM0.12m | 10:53AM0.62m | 11:16PM0.13m | 11:38AM0.68m | 00:08AM0.18m | 12:33PM0.74m | 1:09AM0.25m | 1:44PM0.76m | 2:23AM0.32m | 3:11PM0.74m | 3:47AM0.36m | 4:42PM0.65m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  | |  | | | |  | |  | | |  | | |  | | | | |
 | 6:39 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — |
 | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:02 | — | — | 6:04 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:06 | — |
mm | — | — | 7 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 |
Feels °C | 8 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 21 | SSW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 |
| kJ | 5087 | 4838 | 3544 | 2437 | 2665 | 1021 | 938 | 1618 | 971 | 379 | 273 | 1067 | 790 | 2414 | 2839 | 1595 | 940 | 14737 | 9633 | 6554 | 3926 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 17 | SSW 18 | S 18 | S 16 | SSW 15 | — | SW 20 | WSW 18 | — | SW 22 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 18 | SW 12 | SW 26 | SSW 19 | — | SSW 20 | S 18 | S 16 | SSW 16 |
| kJ | 227 | 243 | 162 | 127 | 130 | — | 15 | 31 | — | 18 | 69 | 459 | 1112 | 503 | 26 | 602 | — | 1656 | 768 | 659 | 411 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 20 | S 15 | — | S 22 | S 20 | SSW 20 | SSW 18 | — | WSW 26 | S 21 | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | 37 | 17 | — | 9 | 8 | 37 | 61 | — | 66 | 229 | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 4 | NW 4 | N 4 | NNW 5 | WSW 15 | WSW 11 | SW 10 | S 6 | WSW 12 | SW 6 | SW 7 | — | — | — | WSW 7 | SW 16 | SW 19 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 13 | 11 | 18 | 63 | 3287 | 1538 | 847 | 23 | 1290 | 93 | 183 | — | — | — | 324 | 7826 | 15637 | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 25 | 23 | 52 | 128 | 483 | 337 | 35 | 25 | 35 | 36 | 33 | 24 | 2 | 24 | 287 | 593 | 1507 | 337 | 160 | 160 | 27 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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