Rye Ocean Beach Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.39° S 144.78° E

Rye Ocean Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 pm 08 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Rye Ocean Beach sea temperature is
13.4° C
0.7° 

Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 8 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 10 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 17s period, SW swell with cross-shore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 12 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 19s period, WSW swell with 7,441 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 9 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 14s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:

The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 09) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 14s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 3.5m 19s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 5s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 09) at 4PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Sun 9th Aug)4.5ft (1.4m) 14s
Best Surf 4PM (Mon 10th Aug)7ft (2.1m) 17s
Most Powerful 4PM (Wed 12th Aug)11ft (3.5m) 19s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at the next couple of weeks for Rye Ocean Beach. It’s a mixed bag, to be honest. We’ve got some proper size coming in mid-period, but the wind’s going to be a pain in the arse for a chunk of it. The water’s sitting at 56°F and that’s about normal for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The first real window we get is Saturday the 8th. There’s a 5ft swell rolling in from the southwest with a 16-second period, and the energy’s moderate at 1197. North wind at 15 mph is cross-offshore, so it should be clean. It’s a bit marginal with the tide, but it’s the first chance to get wet. That’s your pick for the weekend.

Sunday the 9th is a write-off. The wind cranks up to 25-28 mph from the NNE, strong offshore and clean-looking, but it’ll be a battle just to get out. Paddling into anything will be a mission. Give it a miss.

Monday the 10th has a bit more size – 6ft – and a long 19-second period, but the wind swings onshore in the afternoon and makes a mess of it. Morning might have a window, but the score’s low. Tuesday the 11th is similar, around 5-5ft with a fresh cross-offshore breeze, but it’s lumpy. Not great.

Then things get properly big and messy. From Wednesday the 12th through to Friday the 14th, we’ve got 7ft to 12ft of southwest swell, but it’s all cross-onshore and choppy. Not worth it. The energy readings are strong to very strong – up to 12133 – but it’s all wasted with that wind. Honestly, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

Saturday the 15th, the swell drops back to 8ft, and the wind is light, but it’s onshore. The notes say it’s just too big for this break anyway. Not for the faint-hearted.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. From Sunday the 16th, things start to settle. The swell backs down to the 5-7ft range, and we start getting those clean, cross-offshore days with light winds. Sunday morning looks excellent for experienced surfers – 7ft from the southwest, 14-second period, east wind at 9 mph, clean as. Monday the 17th afternoon is the real standout though – glassy conditions, 6ft of southwest swell, 15-second period, barely a breath of wind. That’s the one you want to plan for. It’s a beach and reef break, so those long-period swells can be a bit tricky, but with that glass, it’ll be worth it.

The following week keeps the good vibes. Tuesday the 18th has clean 3-4ft waves, light winds, very good conditions. Thursday the 20th and Friday the 21st also look clean, with Friday afternoon bringing a nice 6ft from the WSW with an 18-second period and light offshore – that’s a great one for the end of the week. Saturday the 22nd and Sunday the 23rd continue the trend, with Sunday afternoon looking like a proper finisher – 7ft from the southwest, 19-second period, light offshore wind. Clean, glassy, and some real push to it.

So, overall, the first week is mostly a write-off with that onshore junk, but the second week – from Sunday the 16th onwards – has some proper gems, especially Monday the 17th afternoon and Sunday the 23rd. Weigh it all up, and those two are your standouts. Keep an eye on the tides, but it’s looking good.

Later, Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 21mm), heaviest during Sun night. Very mild (max 13°C on Sat night, min 9°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (moderate winds from the NNE on Sun night, strong winds from the N by Tue afternoon).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Tue night. Very mild (max 14°C on Thu afternoon, min 9°C on Wed morning). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the N on Tue night, moderate winds from the WNW by Thu afternoon).

Sunday
9
Monday
10
Tuesday
11
Wednesday
12
Thursday
13
Friday
14
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
1
0
2
2
!
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
!
!
0
0
0
!
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.4
SW
14
1.2
SW
14
1
SW
13
1.2
SW
16
1.9
SW
19
2.1
SW
17
1.7
SW
16
1.4
SW
14
1.5
SW
14
1.6
SW
17
2.3
SW
16
3.5
WSW
19
2
SW
16
3
SW
15
3
SW
15
3
SW
16
3
SW
16
3
SW
16
3
SW
15
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
833
548
347
739
2612
2719
1420
833
886
1339
2481
7441
2027
3797
3352
3827
4737
4372
3493
Wind (km/h)
30
NE
40
NNE
40
NNE
35
N
30
NNW
25
NW
40
W
30
NW
35
NNW
45
N
35
W
50
WNW
30
W
25
WNW
20
WNW
25
WNW
25
WSW
20
SW
20
SE
Wind State
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-on
on
on
cross
High Tide
7:25AM1.33m
6:30PM1.37m
8:34AM1.30m
7:35PM1.31m
9:51AM1.29m
8:53PM1.26m
11:07AM1.32m
10:20PM1.25m
12:12PM1.38m
11:43PM1.29m
1:04PM1.43m
00:55AM1.36m
Low Tide
00:33AM0.21m
12:52PM0.80m
1:32AM0.22m
1:59PM0.85m
2:40AM0.25m
3:23PM0.85m
3:56AM0.26m
4:55PM0.78m
5:14AM0.26m
6:11PM0.66m
6:23AM0.24m
7:09PM0.53m
light rain
light rain
light rain
mod rain
light rain
rain showers
part cloud
cloud
cloud
rain showers
part cloud
rain showers
light rain
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:13
7:13
7:11
7:11
7:09
7:07
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:37
5:38
5:39
5:40
5:42
5:42
 mm
2
4
2
8
3
2
9
2
1
Temp °C
13
11
12
13
9
13
13
11
12
11
11
11
11
12
14
12
12
12
12
Feels °C
6
2
4
7
3
5
6
4
4
1
3
2
4
6
10
8
7
7
8
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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