
Surf Forecasts:
Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 7 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 8 Sep, 4PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 17s period, SW swell with onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 9 Sep, 1PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 19s period, SW swell with 11,156 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 8 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 12s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 08) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 1.0m and 19s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 4.0m 19s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 4s period and expected on Monday (Sep 14) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Tue 8th Sep) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 4PM (Tue 8th Sep) | 7ft (2.1m) 17s |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Wed 9th Sep) | 13ft (4.0m) 19s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what the next couple of weeks are serving up.
Right off the bat, this is a tricky outlook. We're looking at Rye Ocean Beach, and the first real call isn't until Tuesday afternoon, September 8th. Before that, it's flat or just not worth paddling out.
So, Tuesday afternoon. This is where it gets interesting, but also a bit of a warning. We've got a solid 7ft SW groundswell rolling in, with a very long 17-second period. The combined energy is strong at 3023. That much power, with that period, is going to make it dumpy and heaving on a beach break. The wind is light onshore from the SSW, so it's not going to be pristine. This one is for experienced surfers only. The water temp is about average for this time of year.
Wednesday the 9th, the swell jumps up to 12ft to 13ft with strong onshore gales. That's a mess. Too big and blown out. Thursday the 10th is more of the same – big swell, strong onshore wind, poor conditions. We're basically in a holding pattern of massive, messy surf.
Friday the 11th morning shows promise with a 7ft SW swell and light offshore WSW winds, making for a clean window. The period is a moderate 14 seconds. The energy is still moderate at 1956. This is a good call for an intermediate surfer; it's still a bit of size, but the clean conditions make it manageable.
Saturday the 12th is the standout. The morning has a 8ft SW swell (energy 2527) with light offshore winds from the N. By afternoon, it's even better: glassy conditions with just a slight air from the NNE, and the swell holding at 7ft. The 15-second period will be delivering clean, lined-up sets. The cross-off wind will keep the faces smooth. This is the best on offer. Good for intermediate to experienced surfers.
Sunday the 13th, the swell drops to 5ft, but the winds pick up strong from the N, creating a clean but wind-affected chop. It's a drop-off from Saturday.
Then we hit a long gap. From Monday the 14th through to the middle of the week, the wind is all over the place, mostly strong onshore or cross-shore, with dropping swell. The energy drops into the weak-to-moderate range (under 1000). It's a dry spell.
We get a blip on Tuesday the 15th afternoon with a 8ft SW swell and gentle cross-onshore wind, but the period drops to 12 seconds. The energy is moderate at 1442, but the wind state is "gentle cross-onshore and fairly choppy." It’s not a standout.
The next real window appears on Monday the 21st of September. The afternoon session sees a 5ft SW groundswell with a 13-second period and, crucially, a light offshore wind from the NNE. The forecast says "expect very good surf conditions" with clean waves and moderate energy (970). This is the other standout, but it's way out there – two weeks away – so treat it as a promising long-range call.
The middle stretch from the 16th to the 20th is largely a write-off due to wind or poor conditions. The 19th of September has some big, clean swell (12ft, 16 seconds) but the wind is strong cross-off. It’s big and clean, but the size limits it to experts only.
So, to sum it up: Saturday the 12th is your best bet in the near term. Monday the 21st afternoon is the long-range whisper. Don't waste your time on the messy, stormy days in between.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Very mild (max 12°C on Tue afternoon, min 8°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon night, strong winds from the SW by Tue night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Sun afternoon, min 9°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (calm on Fri night, fresh winds from the N by Sun morning). | ||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
1330 | 995 | 2442 | 2061 | 6003 | 9572 | 9524 | 6117 | 4605 | 2868 | 1956 | 2066 | 3222 | 2381 | 1808 | 1540 | 936 | 886 | 631 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | on | on | cross-on | on | on | on | on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 8:07AM1.24m | 7:28PM1.23m | 9:24AM1.22m | 8:58PM1.19m | 10:41AM1.24m | 10:31PM1.22m | 11:44AM1.29m | 11:52PM1.31m | 12:34PM1.35m | 00:55AM1.41m | 1:17PM1.41m | 1:47AM1.49m | |||||||
Low Tide | 1:09AM0.25m | 1:44PM0.76m | 2:23AM0.32m | 3:11PM0.74m | 3:47AM0.36m | 4:42PM0.65m | 5:10AM0.36m | 5:52PM0.51m | 6:17AM0.34m | 6:46PM0.38m | 7:11AM0.33m | 7:31PM0.27m | |||||||
— | 6:33 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | |
— | — | 6:04 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:06 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 16 | 19 | 17 | 21 | 22 | 19 |
Feels °C | 7 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 20 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 |
1330 | 790 | 2442 | 2061 | 1648 | 8729 | 9524 | 6117 | 4605 | 2868 | 1956 | 2066 | 3222 | 2381 | 1808 | 1540 | 936 | 886 | 631 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 20 | SW 18 | SW 13 | SW 26 | SSW 21 | — | S 19 | S 17 | S 16 | — | — | SSW 17 | S 15 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 |
377 | 995 | 581 | 27 | 333 | — | 767 | 582 | 245 | — | — | 293 | 229 | 146 | 84 | 75 | 57 | 25 | 22 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 20 | SSW 18 | — | — | SSW 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
37 | 61 | — | — | 191 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | SW 7 | SW 16 | SW 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 3 | N 4 | NNW 4 | N 4 |
— | — | — | 279 | 6003 | 9572 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 19 | 11 | 19 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 24 | 24 | 29 | 478 | 593 | 1398 | 501 | 160 | 33 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 27 | 27 | 27 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










