
Surf Forecasts:
Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 8 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 13 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 15s period, SW swell with cross-shore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 12 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 17s period, WSW swell with 5,751 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 10 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 20s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 3.0m 17s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 5s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 09) at 4PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Mon 10th Aug) | 4ft (1.2m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 10AM (Thu 13th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Wed 12th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let's get into it.
We're looking at a classic Rye Ocean Beach stretch. The water's sitting at about 56°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, nothing to write home about in the temperature department.
This run starts with a bit of a slow burn. Sunday the 9th is a write-off – strong, gusty winds and the swell is all messed up. You'd be wasting your time. Monday the 10th has some size pushing in, but the wind is all wrong, swinging onshore, and it's messy. We've got a moderate wave energy in the 600-2700 range for those first couple of days, but the conditions just aren't there.
The first real glimmer comes Tuesday the 11th morning. We've got a solid 5ft swell from the SW with a 14-second period, giving it decent shape, and the wind is cross-shore but clean. The energy is moderate, sitting at 1083. It's not perfect, but it's rideable. The Tuesday afternoon session looks a bit cleaner with a cross-offshore breeze, and 5ft waves. That’s probably your best early-week window.
Then we hit a wall. Wednesday the 12th through Friday the 14th, the swell pumps up to 10ft, but it's all onshore and lumpy. The wave energy jumps into the thousands – 2870, 10318, 4229 – it's powerful, but it's a washing machine. This is big, unruly stuff, strictly for the experts, and even then, it's a battle. It's more of a kite-surfing show than a paddle session.
We get a reprieve on Saturday the 15th. The swell drops to 8-8ft, still big, but the morning is clean with a light offshore breeze from the ESE (2898 energy). Still too much for most, but a better look for the brave. The real highlight, the standout session, looks to be Sunday the 16th morning. The swell is a much more manageable 6ft from the SW, with a 14-second period, and we get a gentle offshore breeze from the ENE. The energy is 1424, and it’s described as excellent for experienced surfers. That's the one to circle on the calendar. Clean, punchy, and with that long period, it'll be walling up nicely.
The following week, from Monday the 17th through Wednesday the 19th, we settle into a sweet spot. The swell sits between 4ft and 5ft, with a 14-16 second period. The wind is light and offshore or cross-offshore in the mornings. The energy sits in the 1000-1200 range, and it's all labeled as excellent for experienced surfers. This is your run of good, clean, consistent waves. It'll be a fun week for anyone who knows what they're doing.
Things start to fade after that. Thursday the 20th, the wind picks up and the swell drops. The last half of the month, from the 21st to the 24th, is a mix of small, weak swells and poor wind. The 21st afternoon does have a brief window with glassy conditions and a 3ft swell, which might be a fun little session for a longboard, but it's nothing to get excited about. After that, it's all downhill with onshore slop.
So, to sum it up: the first week is a bit of a write-off with a big, messy swell in the middle. The standout is Sunday the 16th morning, with clean, 6ft SW swell and light offshore winds. The entire stretch from Monday the 17th to Wednesday the 19th is also a solid, consistent run of clean surf. After that, it's a wrap for the forecast period.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 32mm), heaviest during Sun night. Very mild (max 13°C on Sun night, min 8°C on Sun night). Mainly strong winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Wed afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Wed afternoon, min 10°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WNW on Wed afternoon, light winds from the SSE by Fri night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 19 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | WSW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
548 | 347 | 739 | 2612 | 2191 | 1420 | 833 | 874 | 1415 | 2868 | 5452 | 2414 | 4157 | 4027 | 3539 | 3402 | 4483 | 3585 | 2777 | 2372 | 1784 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-on | on | on | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 6:30PM1.37m | 8:34AM1.30m | 7:35PM1.31m | 9:51AM1.29m | 8:53PM1.26m | 11:07AM1.32m | 10:20PM1.25m | 12:12PM1.38m | 11:43PM1.29m | 1:04PM1.43m | 00:55AM1.36m | 1:48PM1.48m | 1:55AM1.43m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 12:52PM0.80m | 1:32AM0.22m | 1:59PM0.85m | 2:40AM0.25m | 3:23PM0.85m | 3:56AM0.26m | 4:55PM0.78m | 5:14AM0.26m | 6:11PM0.66m | 6:23AM0.24m | 7:09PM0.53m | 7:21AM0.23m | 7:57PM0.40m | ||||||||
7:13 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | |
— | 5:37 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:43 | — | |
mm | 4 | 3 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 |
Feels °C | 2 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 19 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 |
548 | 347 | 739 | 2612 | 2191 | 1420 | 833 | 874 | 1415 | 2868 | 4107 | 2414 | 4157 | 4027 | 3539 | 3402 | 4483 | 3585 | 2777 | 2372 | 1784 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 20 | ESE 8 | ESE 9 | S 7 | SW 8 | SW 8 | SSW 17 | N 4 | SW 19 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | S 16 | SSW 17 | S 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | S 16 |
83 | 148 | 604 | 27 | 8 | 91 | 206 | 99 | 57 | 6 | 723 | 126 | 72 | 184 | 129 | 307 | 127 | 196 | 121 | 85 | 135 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 14 | SE 4 | ESE 5 | SSW 19 | SSW 17 | — | S 6 | SSW 15 | — | — | SSW 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
18 | 1 | 2 | 122 | 101 | — | 30 | 84 | — | — | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 4 | NNE 5 | NNE 4 | NNW 4 | WSW 4 | WSW 7 | NW 4 | NW 4 | N 5 | NW 4 | WSW 17 | SW 10 | — | — | — | NW 3 | — | — | — | — | — |
40 | 66 | 14 | 22 | 30 | 335 | 14 | 15 | 72 | 2 | 5452 | 1059 | — | — | — | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 53 | 61 | 0 | 27 | 38 | 36 | 35 | 42 | 287 | 40 | 71 | 40 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 36 | 35 | 33 | 24 | 3 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











