Rye Ocean Beach Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.39° S 144.78° E

Rye Ocean Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 am 15 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Rye Ocean Beach sea temperature is
13.9° C
0.6° 

Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 15 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 15 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 14s period, SW swell with cross-onshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 16 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 15s period, SW swell with 2,783 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 15 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 14s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:

The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.5m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 14s. The wind is predicted to be cross-onshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 2.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 3s period and expected on Monday (Jul 20) at 10AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1PM (Wed 15th Jul)8ft (2.5m) 14s
Best Surf 1PM (Wed 15th Jul)8ft (2.5m) 14s
Most Powerful 1PM (Thu 16th Jul)8ft (2.5m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G’day, Rusty here. Looks like we’ve got a bit of a slow start and then a heap of swell that’s going to be too much for Rye Ocean Beach. The first real window of decent surf doesn’t kick in until Saturday the 18th. Before that, there’s a couple of days of nearly 8ft SW groundswell with a long 14-15 second period, but that’s pushing right into the danger zone for this exposed beach and reef setup. On Wednesday the 15th and Thursday the 16th, the combined energy is through the roof (2645 and 3012), but the wind is cross-on and the swell is simply too big for this spot. Friday the 17th cleans up with a light N cross-off and 7ft SW swell, but again, that’s still too big for the break. So, there’s a gap of no real surf recommendations until Saturday morning.

Your standout window is Saturday the 18th. The morning starts with a clean 6ft SW swell (14s period) and a light NW cross-off. The combined energy drops to 1195, which is still solid but manageable for experienced surfers. Then Saturday afternoon gets even better – the wind goes glassy, with a slight air from the NNE, and the swell settles to a beautiful 5ft SW (13s). The energy is a moderate 721, and the water temp is sitting at 57°, which is about normal for this time of year. That afternoon session is the pick of the two weeks: clean, glassy, and solid head-high waves. Crowds are possible at this spot, so get out early.

Sunday the 19th is a big drop-off. The swell fades to 4ft in the morning and 3ft in the afternoon, with a clean N wind. It’s surfable, but marginal. The combined energy is down to 431 and 388, so it’s weak. Monday the 20th is even smaller, with a 3ft WSW swell, but the wind is a moderate 15 mph N cross-off, keeping it clean. The energy is only 457, so it’s a log day at best.

Through the rest of the second week, the swell tries to come back but it’s mostly messy or too big. Tuesday the 21st has a fun little 4ft WSW swell in the afternoon, with a light NW cross-off and a combined energy of 572. That’s a clean, mellow option. But from Wednesday the 22nd onwards, it’s a lot of strong cross-off winds and building swell. Thursday the 23rd and Friday the 24th see big SW swell returning (8ft to 10ft) with cross-on winds, making it completely unsurfable. Saturday the 25th still has a 8ft SW swell, too big for the break, and the wind is a fresh 19 mph cross-off. The rest of the month into the 30th is a mix of strong winds, rain, and messy cross-shore conditions, with occasional small clean windows that are too weak to get excited about.

Bottom line: if you’ve got a window, aim for Saturday the 18th afternoon. That’s your one true gem. Everything else is either too big, too small, or blown out.
Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Wed afternoon, min 9°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 9°C on Sat morning). Wind will be generally light.

Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
Friday
17
Saturday
18
Sunday
19
Monday
20
Tuesday
21
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
4
3
2
1
2
2
1
1
1
1
3
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.5
SW
14
2.4
SW
14
2.4
SW
14
2.5
SW
15
2.5
SW
15
2.3
SW
15
2.2
SW
16
2.2
SW
16
2.1
SW
15
1.7
SW
14
1.4
SW
13
1.2
SW
13
1.1
SW
12
0.9
SW
12
0.6
SW
18
0.9
WSW
16
0.6
SW
15
0.9
WSW
14
1.3
WSW
14
1.3
WSW
13
1.1
SW
12
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
2570
2166
2285
2746
2668
2169
2325
2354
1776
1154
721
486
330
232
194
447
178
367
672
572
398
Wind (km/h)
25
WNW
15
W
10
W
10
WSW
10
SSW
5
NW
15
NNW
10
N
5
NW
10
NW
5
NNE
10
NNE
15
N
10
N
15
N
25
N
20
N
25
N
25
N
15
NW
30
N
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
cross-off
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
12:30PM1.49m
11:37PM1.33m
1:23PM1.54m
00:50AM1.36m
2:10PM1.57m
1:56AM1.40m
2:53PM1.59m
2:54AM1.43m
3:33PM1.59m
3:48AM1.45m
4:10PM1.57m
4:39AM1.44m
4:46PM1.54m
Low Tide
6:24PM0.78m
6:26AM0.18m
7:25PM0.67m
7:26AM0.17m
8:17PM0.55m
8:19AM0.20m
9:03PM0.45m
9:08AM0.26m
9:47PM0.38m
9:53AM0.34m
10:29PM0.33m
10:35AM0.45m
11:10PM0.31m
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:35
7:33
7:33
7:33
7:33
7:31
7:31
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:17
5:19
5:19
5:20
5:21
5:22
5:22
 mm
Temp °C
11
13
13
12
13
12
10
13
12
11
13
12
12
15
14
13
15
13
14
17
13
Feels °C
7
10
11
10
11
11
7
11
12
9
11
9
8
13
11
8
10
8
10
14
7
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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