Rye Ocean Beach Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.39° S 144.78° E

Rye Ocean Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 am 11 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Rye Ocean Beach sea temperature is
13.7°C
0.9° 

Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 11 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 11 Sep, 1PM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 15s period, SW swell with onshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 15 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 14s period, SW swell with 5,974 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 11 Sep, 1PM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 15s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:

The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 11) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.4m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 17s. The wind is predicted to be onshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 4.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Sep 13) at 10AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1PM (Fri 11th Sep)8ft (2.4m) 15s
Best Surf 1PM (Fri 11th Sep)8ft (2.4m) 15s
Most Powerful10PM (Tue 15th Sep)13ft (4.0m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ll be straight with you – this is a tricky outlook for Rye Ocean Beach. The water’s sitting at about 57°F, which is pretty much what you’d expect for this time of year. The problem is, for the first few days, the swell is just too meaty for this setup. We’ve got some serious groundswell energy pushing in, but it’s going to be a waiting game for the conditions to line up right.

Starting off this Friday, the 11th of September, the morning looks glassy with a light SSW breeze, and there’s a solid 8ft SW groundswell with a long 15-second period. The energy is strong at 2662, but honestly, that’s just too much wave for a beginner-friendly beach and reef. It’s going to be a washing machine. By the afternoon, the wind shifts and it gets a bit lumpy, so no dice.

Saturday the 12th cleans up nicely with light offshore breezes in the morning and a still-big 8ft SW swell (2934 energy). The waves will look pretty, but again, over 8ft is expert-only territory, and we’re riding that line. The afternoon drops slightly to 7ft and stays clean, but it’s still a heavy paddle for anyone not on their game.

Sunday the 13th sees the swell drop to a more manageable 5ft in the morning, but a fresh 22 mph northerly cross-offshore wind makes it messy and the score drops right off. The energy is moderate at 1164, but the conditions are marginal.

Now, from Monday the 14th right through to Tuesday the 23rd of September, there’s a long stretch where the swell is either too small, too big, or the wind is on it. Monday has small, weak 4ft swell with a fresh cross-shore wind – a write-off. Tuesday the 15th has an 12ft onshore mess with 5278 energy – that’s a kite-surfing day, not a paddle-surfing day. Wednesday the 16th is also big and choppy. Thursday the 17th calms a bit with a 7ft SW swell and light cross-shore winds, but the tide window is questionable.

The first true standout doesn’t come until Friday the 18th of September. The morning shows a 7ft SW groundswell with a 14-second period and a fresh northerly cross-offshore breeze. It’s clean, the energy is moderate-strong at 2169, and the wind is blowing right off the land. This is a solid window for experienced surfers. The afternoon stays clean but the wind picks up strong, so morning is the call.

Saturday the 19th and Sunday the 20th are poor again thanks to strong winds and building onshore slop. The 20th afternoon sees a massive 15ft WSW swell with 9431 energy, but it’s onshore – stay out of the water.

Then we get another potential highlight on Monday the 21st of September. The morning session offers a 13ft SW groundswell with a very long 19-second period and a light northerly cross-offshore breeze. The energy is very strong at 11176. This is an absolute beast of a groundswell, but at that size and period, it’s only for experts. The waves will have heaps of power, but at a beach and reef like Rye Ocean Beach, that long period can make it break a bit straight and fast. Still, with clean offshore wind, it’s a spectacular sight if you’ve got the skills. The afternoon drops to 12ft and goes glassy – also a great window for the brave.

Tuesday the 22nd stays clean in the morning with a 7ft SW swell, but the clouds roll in and the wind swings onshore in the arvo. Wednesday the 23rd morning has clean, light winds and a 8ft SW groundswell with a 16-second period – another nice window for the experienced crew.

After that, the energy drops right off from Thursday the 24th onwards. Swell sizes fall below 4ft, the wind goes onshore or cross-shore, and the quality disappears. The last few days of the outlook are a write-off with tiny, weak waves.

So, to sum it up: the standout sessions are Friday morning the 18th of September and Monday morning the 21st of September. Both have clean offshore winds and serious SW groundswell, but the size means only experienced surfers should paddle out. The rest of the period is either too big, too windy, or too small.

Stay safe out there, and read the rips.

Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Sun night. Warm (max 21°C on Sun morning, min 10°C on Fri morning). Winds increasing (calm on Fri morning, fresh winds from the N by Sun morning).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon afternoon, min 8°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the SW on Tue afternoon, calm by Wed night).

Friday
11
Saturday
12
Sunday
13
Monday
14
Tuesday
15
Wednesday
16
Thursday
17
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
!
!
!
!
!
3
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
!
!
!
3
!
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.3
SW
15
2.5
SW
15
2.5
SW
16
2.4
SW
16
2.1
SW
15
1.8
SW
15
1.6
SW
15
1.4
SW
15
1.2
SW
15
1.1
SW
13
0.9
SW
13
1.7
WSW
9
3.5
SW
13
3.5
SW
14
3.5
SW
14
3
SW
15
3
SW
15
2.5
SW
15
2.1
SW
14
1.9
SW
14
2.2
SW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
2278
2945
3634
2723
2012
1500
1108
930
606
398
290
454
4003
5144
4310
3695
3398
2792
1855
1403
1811
Wind (km/h)
5
SSW
10
S
5
NE
10
N
5
ENE
20
N
35
N
30
N
30
N
30
WNW
25
WNW
30
WSW
35
WSW
45
SW
30
SSW
20
S
20
SSW
5
SSW
10
WNW
5
SE
15
N
Wind State
glassy
cross-on
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
cross
cross
cross-off
High Tide
11:44AM1.29m
11:52PM1.31m
12:34PM1.35m
00:55AM1.41m
1:17PM1.41m
1:47AM1.49m
1:55PM1.45m
2:32AM1.54m
2:30PM1.47m
3:14AM1.55m
3:03PM1.47m
3:52AM1.53m
3:33PM1.44m
Low Tide
5:52PM0.51m
6:17AM0.34m
6:46PM0.38m
7:11AM0.33m
7:31PM0.27m
7:56AM0.35m
8:12PM0.19m
8:36AM0.38m
8:49PM0.15m
9:13AM0.43m
9:24PM0.14m
9:47AM0.50m
9:58PM0.16m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
cloud
rain showers
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:28
6:26
6:26
6:24
6:22
6:20
6:18
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:07
6:07
6:07
6:08
6:09
6:10
6:12
 mm
3
Temp °C
11
12
12
16
20
18
21
21
16
13
16
15
11
11
11
11
10
9
9
11
11
Feels °C
8
9
9
14
17
15
14
15
12
8
12
10
2
1
2
5
5
6
7
8
8
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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