Surf Forecasts:
Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 30 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 30 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 13s period, SW swell with onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 3 Sep, 7PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 14s period, WSW swell with 5,473 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 30 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 13s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 30) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.1m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 14s. The wind is predicted to be onshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 4.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 03) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 5s period and expected on Saturday (Sep 05) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7PM (Sun 30th Aug) | 7ft (2.1m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 7PM (Sun 30th Aug) | 7ft (2.1m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Thu 3rd Sep) | 13ft (4.0m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Howdy, Rusty here again. Let’s break it down in feet and miles, for those who think in old-school units.
Looking at Rye Ocean Beach, a beach and reef setup that faces the south-west, we’ve got a solid 16-day window with some gems and some real duds. Water temp is about 56°, dead average for the season.
We start on Sunday the 30th of August. Swell is 6 to 7 ft from the SW, with a 13-second period – that’s proper groundswell energy. But the wind is cross-on and onshore, so the waves will be a bit rough and choppy. Not the best day to paddle out.
Monday the 31st is where it’s at. Morning comes with a light cross-shore, and by the afternoon it turns glassy – dead calm. We’ve got a 7 ft SW swell with a 14-second period. The combined energy is solidly in the moderate to strong zone (2028 to 2293). The waves will have nice shape, and the wind won’t mess ‘em up. It’s a touch big for beginners, but for the rest of us, this is a beauty. Expect a few heads in the water, though.
Tuesday the 1st of September starts with strong north winds at 28 mph, cleaning the waves up but making it a battle. Swell is 6 ft. The afternoon turns lumpy, so chalk it up to a training day. Wednesday the 2nd is similar – swell builds to 7-8 ft, 15-second period, but cross-onshore winds make it choppy. The energy is there, but the quality isn’t.
Then we hit the rough stretch. From Thursday the 3rd, the swell jumps to 13 ft from the WSW, with cross-onshore winds at 22 mph. The combined energy is massive (8454). This is a heavy, powerful, and dangerous swell. Way too big for a fun surf, and the wind is ruining it. This continues through Friday and Saturday – 10-12 ft swells with strong to near gale-force winds. At this point, with the wind and size, this setup is more for kite surfers than paddle surfers.
Sunday the 6th gives us a break. The swell drops to 8 ft in the morning and 7 ft by the afternoon, with a long 13-14 second period. The wind shifts to a clean offshore from the north at 12 mph. The energy is moderate to strong (2555 to 1843). This is a good, solid day for experienced surfers. The waves will have good shape and the wind won’t ruin it.
After that, Monday the 7th sees a drop to 4 ft, with clean but strong winds. The energy is weak (573 to 776). A few small clean waves, but not much grunt. Tuesday the 8th and Wednesday the 9th bring another massive pulse – up to 13 ft – with near gale-force winds. Blown out. Dangerous. Kite weather again. This hangs around through Thursday the 10th.
Now, Friday the 11th of September is the real winner. The swell is a perfect 6 ft in the morning (5 ft in the afternoon), with a very long 16-second period from the SW. The wind is glassy in the morning and a light offshore in the afternoon. The combined energy is moderate (1554 to 1313). The waves will have beautiful shape, the sets will be spaced nicely, and the water will be like glass. For experienced surfers, this is the best session in the whole 16 days.
Saturday the 12th is still okay – 7-7 ft with a light cross-shore and a 14-15 second period. It’s good, but not as perfect as Friday. From Sunday the 13th onward, the swell stays around 5-6 ft, but the wind is strong and cross-off. The energy drops, and the quality slides into marginal. The waves are there, but the wind is always messing with the shape.
So, circle Friday the 11th of September – that’s the one to call in sick for. Monday the 31st of August is the second-best bet, with that glassy afternoon session. Everything else gets blown out or is too big. Keep the board handy, but pick your days wisely.
Rusty out.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 19°C on Tue afternoon, min 9°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon morning, strong winds from the N by Tue morning). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 13mm), heaviest on Fri night. Very mild (max 18°C on Fri afternoon, min 9°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NW on Thu night, strong winds from the N by Fri night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | WSW 13 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | WSW 14 | SW 11 | WSW 12 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
1191 | 1306 | 1668 | 1729 | 1688 | 2475 | 1456 | 936 | 1154 | 1925 | 2425 | 2680 | 5212 | 4185 | 4956 | 4320 | 3194 | 2178 | 4395 | 2425 | 2502 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | on | cross-on |
High Tide | 1:18PM1.33m | 1:27AM1.32m | 1:51PM1.36m | 2:12AM1.40m | 2:21PM1.40m | 2:56AM1.46m | 2:51PM1.42m | 3:39AM1.49m | 3:22PM1.44m | 4:22AM1.49m | 3:55PM1.44m | 5:09AM1.45m | 4:33PM1.42m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:28PM0.44m | 7:41AM0.35m | 8:03PM0.34m | 8:21AM0.37m | 8:37PM0.25m | 8:59AM0.42m | 9:13PM0.18m | 9:36AM0.48m | 9:50PM0.13m | 10:13AM0.54m | 10:31PM0.12m | 10:53AM0.62m | 11:16PM0.13m | ||||||||
6:47 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | |
— | 5:55 | — | — | 5:57 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:59 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:00 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | 12 | 2 | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 18 | 19 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 18 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 11 |
Feels °C | 9 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SSW 18 | SW 16 | SW 12 |
1191 | 1306 | 1668 | 1729 | 1688 | 2475 | 1456 | 936 | 1154 | 1925 | 2425 | 2680 | 3242 | 4185 | 4956 | 4320 | 3194 | 2178 | 31 | 864 | 1807 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 20 | SW 20 | SSW 15 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | — | — | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | — | — | SW 15 |
137 | 134 | 71 | 196 | 515 | 97 | 83 | 47 | 293 | 57 | 82 | 79 | — | — | 308 | 181 | 123 | 95 | — | — | 856 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 20 | WSW 20 | — | S 14 | S 13 | — | — | — | S 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
98 | 149 | — | 103 | 90 | — | — | — | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 4 | NW 4 | W 4 | — | — | WNW 4 | WSW 13 | — | — | — | — | N 5 | WSW 14 | SW 11 | WSW 12 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | 55 | 52 | 22 | — | — | 54 | 5212 | — | — | — | — | 60 | 4395 | 2425 | 2502 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 2 | 52 | 24 | 18 | 3 | 14 | 478 | 74 | 36 | 36 | 35 | 71 | 40 | 40 | 18 | 18 | 42 | 351 | 482 | 538 | 24 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











