
Surf Forecasts:
Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 17 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 22 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 12s period, SW swell with cross-onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 23 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 14s period, SW swell with 3,126 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 18 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 13s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 18) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 13s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 3.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 23) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 3s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 21) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4PM (Sat 18th Jul) | 5ft (1.5m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Wed 22nd Jul) | 7ft (2.2m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Thu 23rd Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright groms, Rusty here. Let’s talk surf.
We’ve got a slow start, but it’s gonna build. Rye Ocean Beach is the spot – a beach and reef, open to the SW, so it’ll catch all the juice.
The weekend starts Saturday morning, 18 July, with some lumpy 6ft SW swell (14 sec) and a cross-shore breeze. Water temp is normal for the season. The afternoon cleans up real nice – glassy, 5ft SW swell (13 sec), moderate energy. That’s a killer window for the beginner-friendly waves here. Sunday, 19 July, keeps it clean with 4ft to 3ft SW swell (12 sec) and light offshore winds. Easy, fun waves.
Monday, 20 July, through Tuesday, 21 July, the swell drops but the period sticks. Tuesday afternoon is a standout – 5ft SW swell (13 sec), light offshore, clean, and moderate energy. That’s a solid session.
Come Wednesday, 22 July, the wind cranks up, and by Thursday, 23 July, it’s a blown-out mess. 8ft SW swell but with strong onshore wind and rain. Total junk.
Friday, 24 July, the swell hits 8ft SW (14 sec) with strong energy, but it’s too big for this break. Same for Saturday, 25 July, with 8ft and 7ft SW – too big for beginners.
Sunday, 26 July, drops to 5ft and 6ft, but the wind is screaming at 22-28 mph. That’s kite-surfing weather, not paddle surfing. Monday, 27 July, is back to 8ft and too big.
The absolute best call is Saturday afternoon, 18 July – glassy, 5ft, clean. And Tuesday afternoon, 21 July – 5ft, clean, light wind. Those are your windows.
Everything else is either too big, too windy, or a mess. The 13ft swells at the end of July and into August are for experts only. Crowds are possible at Rye Ocean Beach on those good days, so get down early.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon afternoon, min 9°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Thu morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Tue afternoon, min 10°C on Wed night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 18 | SW 16 | WSW 12 | WSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | WSW 12 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
1542 | 1154 | 780 | 535 | 330 | 259 | 194 | 502 | 178 | 367 | 822 | 711 | 456 | 282 | 691 | 2424 | 2855 | 2221 | 2120 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on |
High Tide | 1:56AM1.40m | 2:53PM1.59m | 2:54AM1.43m | 3:33PM1.59m | 3:48AM1.45m | 4:10PM1.57m | 4:39AM1.44m | 4:46PM1.54m | 5:28AM1.41m | 5:19PM1.50m | 6:16AM1.37m | 5:51PM1.45m | |||||||
Low Tide | 8:19AM0.20m | 9:03PM0.45m | 9:08AM0.26m | 9:47PM0.38m | 9:53AM0.34m | 10:29PM0.33m | 10:35AM0.45m | 11:10PM0.31m | 11:15AM0.57m | 11:50PM0.31m | 11:55AM0.68m | 00:29AM0.33m | |||||||
— | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:23 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 3 | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 10 |
Feels °C | 10 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | WSW 12 | SW 16 | WSW 12 | WSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | S 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 |
1542 | 1154 | 780 | 535 | 330 | 259 | 129 | 502 | 164 | 367 | 822 | 711 | 456 | 282 | 14 | 2424 | 2855 | 2221 | 2120 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | — | — | — | SW 20 | SW 20 | SW 18 | S 16 | SW 15 | S 14 | S 10 | — | — | SW 8 | E 10 | SW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 15 | S 16 |
42 | — | — | — | 63 | 60 | 194 | 20 | 178 | 4 | 2 | — | — | 51 | 2 | 440 | 63 | 75 | 132 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | W 22 | WSW 20 | SW 20 | SSW 11 | SSW 16 | S 10 | E 11 | — | — | E 10 | — | — | SSW 14 | — | — | — |
— | — | — | 9 | 39 | 97 | 37 | 25 | 7 | 2 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 113 | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 3 | NW 3 | NNW 3 | NW 3 | NNW 3 | NNW 3 | NW 3 | W 4 | WSW 12 | SW 11 | — | — | NW 3 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 691 | 1189 | — | — | 8 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 35 | 40 | 24 | 52 | 52 | 24 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










