
Surf Forecasts:
Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 21 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 27 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 13s period, SW swell with cross-onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 24 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 16s period, SW swell with 7,873 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 27 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 13s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 27) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.1m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 1.1m and 14s. Another secondary swell of 0.6m and 4s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-onshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 4.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7PM (Mon 27th Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 7PM (Mon 27th Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Fri 24th Jul) | 13ft (4.0m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it for Rye Ocean Beach.
Straight up, the next week is a write-off for paddle surfing. We’ve got plenty of south-west swell pushing through, but it’s coming in with a lot of wind. For the first few days, from Wednesday the 22nd through to Saturday the 25th, we’re dealing with cross-on and onshore breezes between 15 and 25 mph, so the wave face is going to be lumpy and messy. The wave energy is significant—moderate to strong, with values in the hundreds and thousands—but it’s all blown out. The swell is up around 10 ft to 13 ft at times, which is big and powerful, but with the wind state, it’s just not going to be user-friendly. Beginners, this is way too big for you and the conditions are hostile. For the more experienced, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.
The wind starts to ease on Sunday the 26th. Sunday morning still has a moderate breeze and a small 5.2 ft swell, but it’s cross-on and choppy, so not great. By Sunday afternoon, the wind drops to a light breeze and we get a tiny 4.9 ft swell with a 11-second period, and the wind is onshore. It’s marginal, and the tide could be a factor. It’s a small window, but the quality is still poor.
Now, Monday the 27th is where we start to see some hope. The wind swings around to a light NNW breeze, giving us a cross-off wind. The swell drops to 3.9 ft to 4.6 ft, with a 11-second period. The wave energy is moderate (420 to 513). It’s clean, but it’s still a bit small. A good session for the longboard or a fun fish, but not a standout for the period.
The real standout comes on Tuesday the 28th. We’ve got a solid 11 ft to 13 ft groundswell from the south-west, with a 10 to 12-second period. The combined wave energy is strong, hitting 3441 and 2637. The wind is light and clean, with a light breeze from the NNW and a gentle breeze from the SE. It’s one of the best windows of the forecast. However, and this is a big caveat, this swell is predicted to be too big for this break. This is a beach and reef setup, and a 13 ft swell is only for experts. The wave energy is very high, and on the beach breaks, that long-period swell might break a bit too straight. It’s powerful and clean, but you need to be on your game. If you’re an experienced surfer, this is the best on offer, but it’s not for the faint-hearted.
Wednesday the 29th is a mixed bag. Morning is super clean with a light offshore breeze from the ENE and a 7.2 ft swell with a 14-second period. The wave energy is strong (2428). It’s a good size, but again, it’s on the big side for this spot. The afternoon sees the swell drop to 6.2 ft, but the wind goes cross-shore, making it a bit less clean.
Thursday the 30th is looking promising. Morning is glassy, with zero wind, and a 5.2 ft swell with a 13-second period. That’s a clean, fun size. The wave energy is moderate (933). The afternoon is also clean with a light cross-off breeze and a 4.9 ft swell. This is good, consistent surf for the intermediate crew.
Friday the 31st brings another big one. Morning has a 6.9 ft swell from the SW with a very long 18-second period, and a gentle offshore breeze from the ENE. The wave energy is strong (2885). This is a proper groundswell. It’s clean and powerful, but again, the size is on the big side for Rye, and it’s best for experienced surfers. The afternoon is a little smaller at 6.2 ft, with a 16-second period and a clean cross-off breeze. The wave energy is still strong (2132). This is excellent, but the crowd meter says “sometimes,” so expect a few others out there who know what’s up.
The first weekend of August, Saturday the 1st, is a real treat. Morning is clean with a light cross-off breeze, and a 4.6 ft swell with a 14-second period. The afternoon is glassy, with a 4.3 ft swell. The wave energy is moderate (845 and 677). This is the best all-rounder for the average surfer. Fun, clean, and the right size.
Sunday the 2nd and Monday the 3rd, the wind cranks up again. Strong breezes from the north and north-northwest, with gusts up to 28 mph. The swell is small, around 3.3 ft to 3.9 ft, but the wave energy is still moderate (594 to 807). It’s clean cross-off, but it’s going to be
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 15mm), heaviest on Wed afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Wed morning, min 8°C on Thu morning). Mainly strong winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Sat morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 10°C on Sat night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | WSW 13 | SW 11 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
421 | 737 | 1034 | 4222 | 3835 | 7620 | 6188 | 5116 | 3246 | 2789 | 2244 | 1291 | 866 | 617 | 606 | 798 | 997 | 1750 | 2381 | 2010 | 1889 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross-off | on | cross |
High Tide | 5:19PM1.50m | 6:16AM1.37m | 5:51PM1.45m | 7:05AM1.33m | 6:24PM1.39m | 7:57AM1.29m | 7:00PM1.33m | 8:53AM1.27m | 7:44PM1.27m | 9:54AM1.27m | 8:36PM1.20m | 10:56AM1.29m | 9:38PM1.16m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 11:15AM0.57m | 11:50PM0.31m | 11:55AM0.68m | 00:29AM0.33m | 12:35PM0.77m | 1:11AM0.35m | 1:20PM0.85m | 1:55AM0.37m | 2:13PM0.90m | 2:43AM0.38m | 3:19PM0.92m | 3:37AM0.38m | 4:37PM0.89m | ||||||||
7:31 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | |
— | 5:22 | — | — | 5:23 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:25 | — | — | 5:25 | — | — | 5:27 | — | — | 5:28 | — | |
mm | — | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | 2 |
Temp °C | 13 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 |
Feels °C | 7 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | WSW 12 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 |
421 | 378 | 428 | 3436 | 31 | 432 | 6068 | 4234 | 3246 | 2789 | 1897 | 1291 | 866 | 617 | 606 | 798 | 997 | 1750 | 2381 | 2010 | 1889 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 4 | NNW 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 17 | WSW 16 | — | — | S 18 | SSW 15 | S 15 | S 15 | S 14 |
1 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 11 | 26 | — | — | 24 | 74 | 172 | 38 | 107 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | E 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 4 | WSW 13 | SW 11 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | NW 4 | — | SW 12 | — | — | — | NW 3 | NW 3 | NW 3 | NW 4 | NW 3 | — | SSW 5 |
24 | 737 | 1034 | 4222 | 3835 | 7620 | 6188 | 5116 | 26 | — | 2244 | — | — | — | 3 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 7 | — | 66 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 36 | 52 | 27 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 36 | 478 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 36 | 25 | 2 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 3 | 24 | 15 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)
Wind Speed (km/h)
Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










