Surf Forecasts:
Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 8 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 14 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 15s period, WSW swell with cross-shore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 14 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 16s period, WSW swell with 9,536 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 9 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.8m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 4.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 5s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 11) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Thu 9th Jul) | 6ft (1.8m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Tue 14th Jul) | 15ft (4.5m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Tue 14th Jul) | 15ft (4.5m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.
Alright folks, Rusty here, checking in. Let's have a look at what the next couple of weeks have in store for us.
First up, the window starts Wednesday afternoon, July 8th, and it kicks off with a bang. We've got a serious pulse of long-period SW groundswell hitting Rye Ocean Beach. We're looking at a solid 7ft of swell, and get this – the period is a very long 18 seconds. That's proper groundswell energy. Its a bit of a beast. The wind is a light cross-offshore from the east, so that face should be pretty clean. The water temp is currently 57°, which is bang on average for this time of year – no surprises there. Now, here's the catch: at this size and with that long period, the swell can be a bit much for a beach and reef setup. It might break a bit too straight and be pretty thumping. This is definitely one for experienced surfers only. The crowds can be an issue here, so get in early if you want a piece.
Moving into Thursday morning, July 9th, the swell drops to a more manageable 5ft from the SW, still with a solid 15-second period. The wind is a light cross-offshore from the north, so it’s looking clean again. This is a much better size for the crew looking for a fun session without getting smashed. Excellent conditions for experienced surfers again.
Friday, July 10th, follows a similar pattern. Morning sees a 5ft SW swell with a 15-second period and a cross-offshore northerly breeze. Afternoon it backs off to 5ft, with the wind swinging to a light offshore from the NNE. Both sessions are looking very good, with clean lines.
Now, we hit a bit of a rough patch. From Saturday, July 11th, right through to the end of the second week, things get pretty messy. The wind cranks up, turning onshore or cross-shore and strong, blowing out what could have been decent swell. There are some days where the swell is huge, like 10ft to 12ft, but it's all onshore junk. With that much wind and size on a beach setup, this looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. This run of poor conditions is about 10 days long, so don't hold your breath.
Keep an eye on Friday afternoon, July 17th. After the gales die down, we get a beautiful window. The wind goes glassy, and we have a 7ft SW swell with a 16-second period. That is a serious standout. It might be a bit big for beginners at 7ft, but for anyone with some experience, that glassy surface on a long-period groundswell is a dream. It's a promising hope after a long wait.
Sunday morning, July 19th, also looks tidy. A 5ft SW swell, 15-second period, with a clean cross-offshore breeze. Not as big as Friday, but a solid, clean surf option.
So to sum it up: the absolute best on offer is that Friday afternoon, July 17th, with the glassy conditions and the 7ft long-period swell. That Friday is a must-surf. The Thursday morning, July 9th, and Friday, July 10th are also excellent calls. The rest is a long wait or blown out.
Stay stoked.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri afternoon, min 8°C on Wed afternoon). Winds increasing (light winds from the E on Wed afternoon, strong winds from the N by Sat morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon morning, min 9°C on Sat afternoon). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the W on Sat night, moderate winds from the NW by Mon night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wed 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | WSW 12 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 15 | SW 15 | WSW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 2888 | 1697 | 1028 | 757 | 1591 | 1155 | 979 | 606 | 476 | 401 | 1977 | 2982 | 2349 | 2636 | 3883 | 4668 | 9287 | 7053 | 5273 | 4081 | 2544 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-on |
High Tide | 5:01PM1.45m | 5:51AM1.34m | 5:34PM1.44m | 6:49AM1.35m | 6:14PM1.42m | 7:52AM1.35m | 7:01PM1.39m | 9:01AM1.36m | 7:59PM1.36m | 10:15AM1.39m | 9:07PM1.33m | 11:27AM1.43m | 10:21PM1.31m | 12:30PM1.49m | |||||||
Low Tide | 11:30PM0.38m | 11:35AM0.63m | 00:13AM0.33m | 12:23PM0.74m | 1:03AM0.30m | 1:20PM0.83m | 1:59AM0.27m | 2:27PM0.89m | 3:02AM0.25m | 3:45PM0.91m | 4:10AM0.23m | 5:09PM0.87m | 5:20AM0.20m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | | | | |  |  |  | | | | |  |  | |  | | | |
 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 |
 | 5:14 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:16 | — | 5:17 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 4 | 4 | 1 |
Temp °C | 10 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 |
Feels °C | 7 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 0 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | — | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 |
| kJ | 2888 | 1697 | 1028 | 757 | 1591 | 1155 | 979 | 606 | 476 | 401 | — | 2982 | 2349 | 2636 | 3883 | 4668 | 8139 | 7053 | 5273 | 4081 | 2544 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 18 | S 16 | SSW 16 | SW 20 | S 17 | S 15 | — | S 14 | — | W 9 | — | — | SW 24 | SW 20 | SSW 16 | SW 19 | — | S 16 | S 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 |
| kJ | 222 | 125 | 47 | 136 | 151 | 38 | — | 14 | — | 76 | — | — | 22 | 141 | 203 | 133 | — | 198 | 161 | 135 | 47 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | ESE 11 | SSW 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 19 | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | 12 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 184 | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 3 | N 4 | N 5 | WSW 12 | NW 4 | WNW 5 | WNW 5 | NW 5 | WNW 5 | WSW 15 | — | — | — | S 5 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 44 | 64 | 1977 | 26 | 95 | 71 | 91 | 100 | 9287 | — | — | — | 55 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 287 | 72 | 287 | 42 | 72 | 71 | 767 | 777 | 40 | 27 | 35 | 27 | 283 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)- Wind Speed (km/h)
FREE! Surf-Forecast.com widget for your website
The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
Nearest