Surf Forecasts:
Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 20 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 22 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 14s period, SW swell with cross-onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 22 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 15s period, WSW swell with 5,038 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 22 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 14s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 22) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 21s. The wind is predicted to be cross-onshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 3.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 22) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 3s period and expected on Monday (Aug 24) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Sat 22nd Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Sat 22nd Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Sat 22nd Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Hey, Rusty here talking surf for the next couple weeks.
We got a bit of a rough start, but some real good days are hiding in there. Water’s running about 56°, which is pretty normal weather for this time of year.
First stop is Rye Ocean Beach (beach and reef). Thursday and Friday mornings are a write-off – messy winds and lumpy surf. Don’t bother.
Saturday the 22nd? Forget about a surfboard. The swell jumps to 10ft from the SW with a 19 mph onshore. The energy is massive, but it’s a blown-out mess. This is kite-surfing weather if anything.
Sunday the 23rd afternoon is where we finally get a score. A clean 7ft SW swell, light offshore wind from the NNE, and a 13-second period giving it some real push. This is one of the best windows for the experienced crew. Crowds are possible here, but it’s worth it.
The middle of the week is a bit of a let-down, but Thursday afternoon the 27th offers a nice 5ft SW swell with offshores again. Cleaner lines and a good size for most folks.
Now, mark your calendar for Friday the 28th. That’s the one. A 7ft pulse from the WSW, a 18-second groundswell period, and a light offshore breeze from the NE. The combined energy is a massive 2523. This is big, clean, and powerful. Expert-only territory, but it’s going to be beautiful.
After that, the wind gets nasty again. Saturday the 29th is a no-go with 28 mph gusts. There’s another big pulse on Friday the 4th of September with 8ft swell, but again, too big for most and cross-windy. Leave that for the guns.
In short, Sunday the 23rd afternoon is solid, but Friday the 28th is the absolute standout. Everything else is just waiting.
Rusty out.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Very mild (max 15°C on Thu afternoon, min 9°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WNW on Thu afternoon, light winds from the W by Sat night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Mon afternoon. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon afternoon, min 10°C on Sun morning). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | Sunday 23 | Monday 24 | Tuesday 25 | Wednesday 26 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 16 | SW 15 | WSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 155 | 173 | 502 | 770 | 701 | 2637 | 3804 | 4737 | 3051 | 1864 | 1346 | 1856 | 970 | 930 | 851 | 1387 | 1247 | 1975 | 1092 | 796 | 600 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross | cross | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | off |
High Tide | 4:40PM1.46m | 5:41AM1.39m | 5:09PM1.40m | 6:23AM1.32m | 5:39PM1.33m | 7:08AM1.26m | 6:12PM1.26m | 7:59AM1.21m | 6:56PM1.18m | 8:59AM1.18m | 7:55PM1.11m | 10:06AM1.18m | 9:09PM1.07m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:48AM0.56m | 11:11PM0.24m | 11:22AM0.65m | 11:46PM0.28m | 11:57AM0.73m | 00:23AM0.32m | 12:37PM0.79m | 1:04AM0.36m | 1:27PM0.83m | 1:53AM0.39m | 2:32PM0.84m | 2:52AM0.41m | 3:52PM0.82m | 3:59AM0.41m | |||||||
 |  |  | |  |  | |  |  | | | | |  | | | | | | | | |
 | 7:01 | — | — | 7:00 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — |
 | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:49 | — | — | 5:49 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:51 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — |
mm | — | 1 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
Feels °C | 10 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 |
| kJ | 147 | 161 | 502 | 770 | 701 | 2637 | 3804 | 3484 | 3051 | 1864 | 1346 | 1856 | 970 | 930 | 851 | 1387 | 1247 | 1975 | 1092 | 796 | 600 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SW 17 | WSW 13 | SW 20 | SW 18 | SSW 17 | SW 24 | — | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SSW 15 | S 15 | SW 20 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | — | — | — | SW 16 |
| kJ | 155 | 173 | 149 | 99 | 330 | 54 | 22 | — | 303 | 686 | 596 | 77 | 17 | 15 | 84 | 434 | 508 | — | — | — | 41 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 9 | SW 7 | WSW 6 | SSW 16 | — | — | — | — | SSW 15 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | — | — | SW 20 | WSW 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 25 | 12 | 8 | 26 | — | — | — | — | 75 | 61 | 55 | — | — | 15 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 4 | NW 3 | WNW 4 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 14 | — | — | — | — | NNW 3 | NW 3 | NNW 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 14 | 3 | 24 | 77 | 75 | 493 | 987 | 4737 | — | — | — | — | 9 | 3 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 2 | 2 | 35 | 25 | 25 | 35 | 40 | 52 | 25 | 18 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 2 | 16 | 33 | 160 | 33 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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