Surf Forecasts:
Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 31 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 1 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 16s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 1 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 16s period, SW swell with 2,733 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 1 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 12s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 01) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 18s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 2.3m 16s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 01) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 02) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Sat 1st Aug) | 4ft (1.2m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 7PM (Sat 1st Aug) | 7ft (2.1m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Sat 1st Aug) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s break it down.
It’s a slow start, but we’ve got a window coming. The first surfable waves show up on Friday afternoon, July 31st, but it’s nothing to write home about. The real story is a big swell that builds, but we gotta deal with the wind first.
First call is Rye Ocean Beach, Friday afternoon, July 31st. A 4.3ft SW swell with a 12-second period, but a light cross-on wind from the SSW at 3 mph makes it a bit bumpy. The water temp is 56.1°F, right around average for the season.
The best session of the first week is Saturday, August 1st. The morning has clean 3.9ft SW swell with a 12-second period and a cross-offshore breeze from the NNE at 12 mph. That’s clean. But the afternoon is the one: a 6.6ft SW groundswell (17s) with the same clean cross-off wind. The energy is pumping. That’s a great wave for a beginner spot, but that long period (17s) means it’ll have some punch, so be sharp.
Sunday August 2nd is clean but the wind is 25 mph – too strong. Then from Monday August 3rd through Thursday August 6th, it’s a mess of strong cross-onshore winds and poor surf. Don’t bother.
Now, the second week. A massive pulse hits. Monday August 10th morning, we’re looking at 7.5ft of WSW swell with a 14-second period, and the energy is huge. But the forecast says it’s too big for this break. And that’s the story from the 10th through the 15th. We see 8.2ft, 9.8ft, and even a glassy 8.2ft day on Saturday August 15th with a 16-second period. That is a monster, but for a beginner-friendly beach and reef, it’s strictly for the experts. The glassy conditions on that Saturday arvo are a tease – perfect conditions, but the size is over 8ft.
So, the standout is Saturday afternoon, August 1st at Rye Ocean Beach. That 6.6ft of clean, long-period SW groundswell with light offshore winds is your best bet. The rest is either blown out or too big. Aim for that Saturday arvo.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Mon morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 8°C on Sat morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the SSW on Fri afternoon, strong winds from the WNW by Sun night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 13mm), heaviest on Mon afternoon. Very mild (max 12°C on Tue morning, min 8°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the W on Mon afternoon, light winds from the WNW by Thu morning). | |||||||||||||||||||
Fri 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 8 | SW 11 | SW 10 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 16 | SW 16 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 503 | 494 | 437 | 2274 | 2700 | 1855 | 1392 | 1123 | 1124 | 821 | 699 | 1441 | 676 | 593 | 303 | 447 | 418 | 291 | 357 | 1001 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | off |
High Tide | 00:46AM1.20m | 1:56PM1.42m | 1:38AM1.25m | 2:29PM1.44m | 2:26AM1.31m | 2:59PM1.45m | 3:11AM1.36m | 3:27PM1.45m | 3:56AM1.40m | 3:56PM1.46m | 4:42AM1.41m | 4:27PM1.45m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:28PM0.65m | 7:13AM0.29m | 8:05PM0.56m | 7:57AM0.29m | 8:39PM0.48m | 8:38AM0.32m | 9:12PM0.40m | 9:17AM0.38m | 9:45PM0.33m | 9:54AM0.45m | 10:21PM0.27m | 10:32AM0.54m | 10:59PM0.23m | |||||||
 |  |  | | | | |  |  |  |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — |
 | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:34 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:36 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 7 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 11 |
Feels °C | 10 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 16 | SW 16 |
| kJ | 503 | 494 | 437 | 2274 | 2700 | 1855 | 1392 | 1123 | 1124 | 821 | 560 | 161 | 335 | 593 | 258 | 447 | 418 | 291 | 357 | 1001 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 18 | S 18 | SSW 17 | S 16 | SSW 16 | WSW 20 | S 14 | S 14 | SW 17 | SW 13 | SW 15 | S 5 | S 5 | SW 19 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 12 | SSE 7 |
| kJ | 137 | 130 | 432 | 156 | 216 | 135 | 90 | 37 | 37 | 36 | 243 | 45 | 33 | 14 | 28 | 347 | 362 | 254 | 161 | 5 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 20 | S 19 | SSW 17 | — | — | — | — | WSW 20 | — | — | — | — | — | SW 21 | SW 19 | S 5 | SSW 17 | S 8 | SW 20 | SSE 8 |
| kJ | 8 | 7 | 59 | — | — | — | — | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | 153 | 303 | 18 | 29 | 5 | 98 | 6 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | N 3 | N 4 | N 4 | NW 4 | W 5 | WSW 5 | SW 8 | SW 11 | SW 10 | SW 9 | — | — | SW 4 | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | 5 | 23 | 20 | 32 | 64 | 41 | 699 | 1441 | 676 | 304 | — | — | 8 | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 11 | 0 | 16 | 16 | 18 | 27 | 27 | 52 | 71 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 52 | 27 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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