Rye Ocean Beach Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.39° S 144.78° E

Rye Ocean Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 pm 13 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Rye Ocean Beach sea temperature is
13.9° C
0.6° 

Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 13 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Tuesday 14 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 15s period, SW swell with cross-shore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 13 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 16s period, SW swell with 8,995 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 14 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 15s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:

The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 4.0m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 17s. The wind is predicted to be cross-shore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 4.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 19) at 7PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1AM (Tue 14th Jul)13ft (4.0m) 15s
Best Surf 1AM (Tue 14th Jul)13ft (4.0m) 15s
Most Powerful10PM (Mon 13th Jul)15ft (4.5m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.


Hey, Rusty here.

Alright, July is kicking off ugly. The first few days are a total loss. A massive 12ft to 13ft swell from the SW is getting hammered by a strong 25 mph wind out of the WNW and W, tearing the ocean to shreds. The wave energy is huge (over 13,000), but it’s just a mess of cross-chop. You’d be an idiot to paddle out on Monday 13th or Tuesday 14th July.

From Wednesday 15th through Friday 17th July, the swell drops to around 7ft to 8ft, but it’s still too big for this spot, and the wind is still cross or cross-on, leaving it lumpy and choppy. The water is 57°, about normal for the time of year.

Saturday 18th July is the first real chance. The wind swings to a light offshore from the ENE at 5 mph. The swell drops to 5ft from the SW with a 13-second period. The energy is moderate (822), and the wind is offshore, so the surface will be clean. This is your best window of the first week. It’s still a bit big for beginners, but it’s a solid, clean wave for a good surfer.

From Sunday 19th July, the surf goes flat. The swell drops to 3ft to 4ft, and the energy is weak (under 500). The wind is light and cross-off, so it’s clean, but there’s no power. A real dull stretch. That lasts right through to late on the 24th.

Then, on Friday 24th July afternoon, a new pulse of long-period groundswell shows up. 7ft from the SW with a 17-second period, and the wind is glassy – dead calm. The wave energy is moderate (2,634). This is a standout. Saturday 25th July morning continues the magic: a 6ft SW swell, glassy calm, and a 14-second period. The energy is still moderate (1,225). For a reef-and-beach setup like Rye Ocean Beach, that long period (17 seconds) means the waves will have real power and shape, but it can also make them a bit straight at the beach. The wind is perfect, though. The crowds are listed as “sometimes,” so you might have some company, but it’s worth it.

This is the best session of the whole outlook. Saturday 25th July morning is the one to chase. The swell is 6ft, the period is long, and the glassy conditions are a gift. After that, Sunday 26th July hangs around with a 4ft–4ft swell and light offshore/glassy winds, so still a nice follow-up session.

The very end of the window, Monday 27th and Tuesday 28th July, sees the wind pick up again to 19–22 mph, strong cross-off, but a 6ft swell from the SW keeps the energy moderate (over 1,500). It’s clean, but the wind is strong, making it a more challenging day.

So, in short: the first week is a write-off until Saturday 18th July. Then a long flat stretch. Then Friday 24th and Saturday 25th July are the clear standouts with glassy, powerful conditions.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Mon afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon afternoon, min 9°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WNW on Mon afternoon, calm by Thu morning).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Sat afternoon, min 9°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light.

Mon
13
Tuesday
14
Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
Friday
17
Saturday
18
Sunday
19
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
0
!
0
0
0
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
3
3
3
1
2
1
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3.5
SW
16
4
SW
15
4
WSW
15
4
WSW
15
3
SW
15
2.5
SW
14
2.4
SW
14
2.2
SW
14
2.4
SW
15
2.4
SW
15
2.1
SW
15
2.2
SW
16
2.3
SW
17
2.1
SW
15
1.6
SW
14
1.5
SW
13
1.3
SW
13
1.1
SW
12
0.8
SW
12
0.8
SW
18
1.1
SW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
6407
8152
7459
6773
3866
2606
2166
1875
2416
2449
1881
2354
3088
1976
1064
792
535
335
200
370
587
Wind (km/h)
40
WNW
30
WNW
35
W
35
WSW
20
WNW
20
WNW
15
W
15
WNW
10
WSW
5
SSW
0
SE
15
N
5
NNE
5
NNE
15
NNE
5
ENE
15
N
15
N
15
N
20
N
20
N
Wind State
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross
on
on
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
9:07PM1.33m
11:27AM1.43m
10:21PM1.31m
12:30PM1.49m
11:37PM1.33m
1:23PM1.54m
00:50AM1.36m
2:10PM1.57m
1:56AM1.40m
2:53PM1.59m
2:54AM1.43m
3:33PM1.59m
3:48AM1.45m
Low Tide
4:10AM0.23m
5:09PM0.87m
5:20AM0.20m
6:24PM0.78m
6:26AM0.18m
7:25PM0.67m
7:26AM0.17m
8:17PM0.55m
8:19AM0.20m
9:03PM0.45m
9:08AM0.26m
9:47PM0.38m
9:53AM0.34m
rain showers
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
cloud
cloud
cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:35
7:35
7:33
7:33
7:33
7:33
7:31
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:16
5:16
5:17
5:19
5:19
5:20
5:21
5:22
 mm
2
3
Temp °C
15
13
13
14
11
12
13
13
12
13
12
10
12
12
11
15
13
12
15
13
13
Feels °C
7
6
6
7
6
9
10
10
10
12
10
7
11
11
8
12
10
8
12
9
9
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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