Surf Forecasts:
Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 2 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 2 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 15s period, SW swell with cross-shore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 9 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 19s period, SW swell with 11,108 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 2 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 15s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 02) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.4m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 16s. Another secondary swell of 0.8m and 4s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-shore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 4.0m 19s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 5s period and expected on Saturday (Sep 05) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Wed 2nd Sep) | 8ft (2.4m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Wed 2nd Sep) | 8ft (2.4m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Wed 9th Sep) | 13ft (4.0m) 19s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s break down what’s coming for Rye Ocean Beach. This spot’s a beach and reef setup, pretty open to the south-west. It breaks fairly consistent and is usually beginner-friendly. But we got a wild ride ahead.
Water temp’s around 56°, right where it should be for this time of year, no surprises.
First few days are rough. Wednesday afternoon and all day Thursday – cross-onshore winds 19 to 22 mph, swell 8 ft to 15 ft, but the surface is lumpy and blown out. Don’t bother.
Friday the 4th – now this is interesting. Early morning goes clean, cross-offshore wind from the NNW at 12 mph. Swell runs 11 ft from the SW, 16-second period – that’s long-period groundswell. Combined energy is strong at 5360. But heads up, this is too big for beginners. Afternoon stays clean with a light breeze, swell 10 ft. Best of the early stretch, but you need experience.
Saturday the 5th is a total mess – near gale force winds 34 mph plus, totally blown out. Same for Sunday morning, though the wind shifts onshore. Sunday afternoon eases to 7 ft but still marginal.
Then we hit a quiet spell. Monday and Tuesday the 7th and 8th are mostly poor or too small. There’s a brief window Tuesday morning with a very long 18-second period swell at 4 ft, but wind’s cross-shore and energy’s weak at 1817. Barely worth it.
From the 9th on, it gets ugly. Strong onshore winds, big blown swells. Wednesday the 9th and Thursday the 10th have 7 ft to 13 ft swells with terrible wind. This setup’s more for kite surfing than paddle surfing.
Now, the real standout – Sunday the 13th, afternoon session. Swell 6 ft from the WSW, 16-second period, combined energy 1853 – moderate but clean. Wind goes glassy from the NNE, so it’ll be smooth. This is excellent for experienced surfers, with enough punch but not overwhelming. That’s your best bet.
Monday the 14th and Tuesday the 15th swing back to big – 8 ft to 11 ft – but winds are better, especially Tuesday afternoon with a light east breeze and clean conditions. Still, expert only.
Wednesday the 16th onward goes downhill, strong winds and poor quality through the 17th. That window closes fast after Sunday.
So bottom line – if you’re skilled, hit Friday morning the 4th for a solid challenge, or wait for absolute glass on the 13th. Otherwise, it’s a long stretch of frustrating surf.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 14mm), heaviest on Fri night. Very mild (max 16°C on Fri afternoon, min 9°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNW on Fri afternoon, near gales from the WNW by Sat morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Sat afternoon, min 8°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the W on Sat afternoon, calm by Mon night). | |||||||||||||||||||
Wed 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | WSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
2725 | 2680 | 3150 | 6661 | 5681 | 5087 | 4838 | 3544 | 2329 | 4737 | 3369 | 2284 | 1452 | 773 | 423 | 591 | 812 | 1112 | 2414 | 1904 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | on | cross-on |
High Tide | 3:39AM1.49m | 3:22PM1.44m | 4:22AM1.49m | 3:55PM1.44m | 5:09AM1.45m | 4:33PM1.42m | 6:00AM1.38m | 5:17PM1.37m | 6:59AM1.31m | 6:13PM1.30m | 8:07AM1.24m | 7:28PM1.23m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 9:13PM0.18m | 9:36AM0.48m | 9:50PM0.13m | 10:13AM0.54m | 10:31PM0.12m | 10:53AM0.62m | 11:16PM0.13m | 11:38AM0.68m | 00:08AM0.18m | 12:33PM0.74m | 1:09AM0.25m | 1:44PM0.76m | 2:23AM0.32m | |||||||
— | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | |
5:59 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:02 | — | — | 6:04 | — | |
mm | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | 12 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 |
Feels °C | 6 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | — | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 17 | SW 16 |
2725 | 2680 | 3150 | 4835 | 5681 | 5087 | 4838 | 3544 | 2329 | 1363 | — | 2284 | 1452 | 773 | 423 | 591 | 812 | 643 | 2414 | 1904 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | — | — | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | SSW 18 | S 18 | — | — | — | SSW 15 | WSW 18 | WSW 16 | SW 22 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 |
83 | 184 | — | — | 246 | 273 | 254 | 156 | — | — | — | 21 | 62 | 87 | 18 | 70 | 459 | 1112 | 99 | 84 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 15 | — | — | S 20 | SSW 20 | SSW 18 | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21 | — | — | 8 | 38 | 62 | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 3 | WNW 4 | W 5 | WSW 14 | WNW 4 | NW 4 | — | N 4 | WNW 5 | WSW 14 | SW 13 | — | — | — | WSW 4 | SW 6 | — | — | — | WSW 4 |
9 | 29 | 86 | 6661 | 12 | 15 | — | 12 | 143 | 4737 | 3369 | — | — | — | 10 | 90 | — | — | — | 8 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 36 | 27 | 40 | 40 | 35 | 23 | 5 | 115 | 553 | 510 | 40 | 35 | 24 | 2 | 36 | 33 | 15 | 2 | 33 | 27 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











