Rye Ocean Beach Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.39° S 144.78° E

Rye Ocean Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 am 13 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Rye Ocean Beach sea temperature is
13.9° C
0.5° 

Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 12 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 13 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 15s period, WSW swell with cross-onshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 13 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 15s period, WSW swell with 11,148 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 13 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 15s period with WSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:

The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 5.0m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 4.5m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be cross-onshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 5.0m 15s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 3s period and expected on Monday (Jul 20) at 10AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Mon 13th Jul)16ft (5.0m) 15s
Best Surf10PM (Mon 13th Jul)16ft (5.0m) 15s
Most Powerful10PM (Mon 13th Jul)16ft (5.0m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.


Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get you the full picture for Rye Ocean Beach.

First up, the water temp is sitting at 57°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year up here, so no nasty surprises when you get wet.

Right now, we’re looking at a bit of a rough start. The next few days are going to be a write-off for a proper paddle session. Monday and Tuesday are packing serious size – swells from 12 ft to 13 ft – but the wind is a mess. Strong cross-shore and cross-onshore breezes are just chopping everything up. It’s big, but it’s ugly. The combined energy is massive (5899 and 6399 on Monday, then over 13000 on Tuesday), but it’s not doing you any favours.

Wednesday the 15th through to Friday the 17th, the swell drops a bit to 7 ft - 8 ft, and the wind starts to clean up. The problem is, even with cleaner conditions, that swell is still too big for this break to handle properly. It’s going to be a wall of white water. If you’re a beginner, stay well clear of anything over 5 ft here, and definitely over 8 ft is expert-only territory.

Now, we finally get a window. Saturday the 18th is the standout. The swell drops to a much friendlier 5 ft to 5 ft from the SW with a 13-14 second period, which is a nice long groundswell. This is properly clean, with light cross-off winds, near glassy at times on the Saturday afternoon. The energy is moderate (981 and 642), but for a beach-and-reef setup, this is where you want to be. The optimum direction matches the swell direction, and the conditions are just right. The crowds here can be an issue sometimes, so get in early.

Sunday the 19th is a drop-off. The swell fades to 3 ft - 3 ft. It’s clean, but marginal. After that, we have a stretch of small, clean days from Monday the 20th through to Thursday the 23rd, with swell around 3 ft to 5 ft. The winds are offshore or cross-off, but the energy is weak (under 1000). It’s surfable, but nothing to get excited about. The wind picks up again on the 23rd, turning it ugly.

We get a pulse on Friday the 24th – a 5 ft to 7 ft SW swell with a very long period of 17-19 seconds. That’s proper groundswell energy (1693 and 2739). The Friday morning looks messy with a cross-shore wind, but the Friday afternoon cleans up nicely with a cross-off breeze. That 7 ft might be a bit meaty for the average surfer, but for the experts, that afternoon session could be a solid option.

The final weekend (25th and 26th) is back to strong winds messing up the swell, and by the 27th and 28th, the swell is too big again (7 ft - 13 ft) with howling winds. A real shame, as the conditions are clean, but it’s just too much for the break.

So, to wrap it up: Saturday the 18th is your best bet for a fun, clean session on a manageable swell. Keep an eye on Friday the 24th afternoon for a bigger, more powerful option if you've got the skills.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Mon afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon morning, min 9°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NW on Mon morning, light winds from the WNW by Wed night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat afternoon, min 9°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light.

Monday
13
Tuesday
14
Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
Friday
17
Saturday
18
Sunday
19
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
!
0
0
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
4
3
3
2
1
2
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3.5
SW
15
3.5
SW
16
4.5
WSW
15
4
WSW
15
4
WSW
15
3
SW
15
2.5
SW
14
2.5
SW
14
2.2
SW
14
2.3
SW
14
2.3
SW
14
2.2
SW
15
2.3
SW
16
2.2
SW
16
1.8
SW
14
1.6
SW
14
1.4
SW
13
1.1
SW
13
0.9
SW
12
0.8
SW
12
0.7
SW
18
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
5568
6185
9083
7459
7074
4234
2747
2322
1849
2082
2111
2038
2702
2325
1307
961
642
424
252
193
319
Wind (km/h)
45
NW
45
WNW
30
NW
35
WNW
30
WSW
20
W
20
WNW
15
WSW
10
NW
5
W
10
S
10
ESE
15
N
5
N
10
NNW
15
NNW
5
N
10
NNW
15
NNW
15
NNE
20
NNW
Wind State
cross
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
10:15AM1.39m
9:07PM1.33m
11:27AM1.43m
10:21PM1.31m
12:30PM1.49m
11:37PM1.33m
1:23PM1.54m
00:50AM1.36m
2:10PM1.57m
1:56AM1.40m
2:53PM1.59m
2:54AM1.43m
3:33PM1.59m
3:48AM1.45m
Low Tide
3:45PM0.91m
4:10AM0.23m
5:09PM0.87m
5:20AM0.20m
6:24PM0.78m
6:26AM0.18m
7:25PM0.67m
7:26AM0.17m
8:17PM0.55m
8:19AM0.20m
9:03PM0.45m
9:08AM0.26m
9:47PM0.38m
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:35
7:35
7:35
7:33
7:33
7:33
7:33
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:16
5:16
5:17
5:19
5:19
5:20
5:21
 mm
2
2
Temp °C
14
14
12
13
14
12
11
13
14
13
13
13
10
12
12
11
14
13
12
15
13
Feels °C
4
5
5
6
8
7
8
10
12
11
11
11
8
10
10
7
12
10
8
12
8
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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