Rye Ocean Beach Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.39° S 144.78° E

Rye Ocean Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 pm 17 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Rye Ocean Beach sea temperature is
13.7° C
0.4° 

Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 17 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 22 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 12s period, SW swell with cross-onshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 23 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 14s period, SW swell with 3,126 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 18 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 13s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:

The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 18) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 13s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 3.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 23) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 3s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 21) at 10AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4PM (Sat 18th Jul)5ft (1.5m) 13s
Best Surf10PM (Wed 22nd Jul)7ft (2.2m) 12s
Most Powerful 7AM (Thu 23rd Jul)10ft (3.0m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright groms, Rusty here. Let’s talk surf.

We’ve got a slow start, but it’s gonna build. Rye Ocean Beach is the spot – a beach and reef, open to the SW, so it’ll catch all the juice.

The weekend starts Saturday morning, 18 July, with some lumpy 6ft SW swell (14 sec) and a cross-shore breeze. Water temp is normal for the season. The afternoon cleans up real nice – glassy, 5ft SW swell (13 sec), moderate energy. That’s a killer window for the beginner-friendly waves here. Sunday, 19 July, keeps it clean with 4ft to 3ft SW swell (12 sec) and light offshore winds. Easy, fun waves.

Monday, 20 July, through Tuesday, 21 July, the swell drops but the period sticks. Tuesday afternoon is a standout – 5ft SW swell (13 sec), light offshore, clean, and moderate energy. That’s a solid session.

Come Wednesday, 22 July, the wind cranks up, and by Thursday, 23 July, it’s a blown-out mess. 8ft SW swell but with strong onshore wind and rain. Total junk.

Friday, 24 July, the swell hits 8ft SW (14 sec) with strong energy, but it’s too big for this break. Same for Saturday, 25 July, with 8ft and 7ft SW – too big for beginners.

Sunday, 26 July, drops to 5ft and 6ft, but the wind is screaming at 22-28 mph. That’s kite-surfing weather, not paddle surfing. Monday, 27 July, is back to 8ft and too big.

The absolute best call is Saturday afternoon, 18 July – glassy, 5ft, clean. And Tuesday afternoon, 21 July – 5ft, clean, light wind. Those are your windows.

Everything else is either too big, too windy, or a mess. The 13ft swells at the end of July and into August are for experts only. Crowds are possible at Rye Ocean Beach on those good days, so get down early.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon afternoon, min 9°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Thu morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Tue afternoon, min 10°C on Wed night). Mainly fresh winds.

Saturday
18
Sunday
19
Monday
20
Tuesday
21
Wednesday
22
Thursday
23
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
1
2
3
1
0
0
!
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.9
SW
15
1.7
SW
14
1.5
SW
13
1.3
SW
13
1.1
SW
12
1
SW
12
0.6
SW
18
1
SW
16
0.8
WSW
12
0.9
WSW
14
1.4
SW
14
1.4
SW
13
1.2
SW
12
1
SW
12
1.5
WSW
12
2.5
SW
14
2.5
SW
14
2.4
SW
14
2.1
SW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1542
1154
780
535
330
259
194
502
178
367
822
711
456
282
691
2424
2855
2221
2120
Wind (km/h)
10
NW
15
NW
0
NE
10
N
15
N
10
NNE
15
NNW
25
NNW
15
NNW
15
NW
20
NNW
10
N
25
NNW
30
NW
30
WSW
15
WNW
25
SW
30
SW
20
W
Wind State
cross
cross
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
High Tide
1:56AM1.40m
2:53PM1.59m
2:54AM1.43m
3:33PM1.59m
3:48AM1.45m
4:10PM1.57m
4:39AM1.44m
4:46PM1.54m
5:28AM1.41m
5:19PM1.50m
6:16AM1.37m
5:51PM1.45m
Low Tide
8:19AM0.20m
9:03PM0.45m
9:08AM0.26m
9:47PM0.38m
9:53AM0.34m
10:29PM0.33m
10:35AM0.45m
11:10PM0.31m
11:15AM0.57m
11:50PM0.31m
11:55AM0.68m
00:29AM0.33m
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
light rain
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:33
7:33
7:31
7:31
7:31
7:30
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:20
5:21
5:22
5:22
5:22
5:23
 mm
1
2
1
3
Temp °C
11
10
12
12
11
14
13
12
15
12
12
14
12
14
14
12
11
10
10
Feels °C
10
8
11
10
7
11
10
8
12
7
8
11
8
9
8
7
5
3
5
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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