Rye Ocean Beach Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.39° S 144.78° E

Rye Ocean Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 am 03 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Rye Ocean Beach sea temperature is
13.5°C
0.8° 

Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 2 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 4 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 15s period, SW swell with cross-shore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 9 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 19s period, SW swell with 12,288 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 4 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 15s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:

The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 04) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.5m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be cross-shore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 4.0m 19s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 4s period and expected on Saturday (Sep 05) at 4AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1AM (Fri 4th Sep)11ft (3.5m) 15s
Best Surf 1AM (Fri 4th Sep)11ft (3.5m) 15s
Most Powerful10PM (Wed 9th Sep)13ft (4.0m) 19s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's coming down the pipe for the next couple of weeks.

We're looking at a pretty wild start, and I gotta be honest, for the next few days it's more about sitting it out than paddling out. The ocean's got a lot of energy, and while there's plenty of swell, the wind's gonna be a mess. We’ve got a monster pulse coming through, but it's going to take a while for things to clean up.

Thursday the 3rd is a washout. We've got rain showers and a stiff 19 mph WSW wind smacking straight across the break. The swell is a solid 10 ft from the SW with a combined energy of 3774, which is strong, but it's gonna be lumpy, blown-out, and real ugly. Not worth your time. That swell actually jumps up to 13 ft in the afternoon, making it even more of a mess.

Friday the 4th! Now this is where it gets interesting, but you need to be careful. The wind swings around to the NNW at 12 mph, going cross-offshore. The main issue here is the size. We've got a 12 ft SW groundswell rolling in with a period of 16 seconds, and the energy is a massive 5171. That is *big*, powerful water. A long-period SW groundswell like this will be hitting Rye Ocean Beach hard, and at 12 ft, it's going to be too big for most. The conditions will be clean, but this is strictly for experienced surfers who know the reef breaks. The 10 ft in the afternoon with a light NW cross-shore will be a bit friendlier, but still a heavy day.

Saturday the 5th is a write-off. A near-gale force WNW wind of 31 mph is going to tear the ocean apart. The swell is still solid at 8 ft, but it'll be a massive, jumbled mess with a combined energy of 2679. Leave it for the kites, boys.

The rest of that first week is pretty marginal. Sunday the 6th and Monday the 7th are small, bumpy, and weak. Tuesday the 8th has a 4 ft SW groundswell with a very long 18-second period. That’s a beautiful period, and with light winds, the sets will be clean, but it's likely to be too straight for the beach break. The water temp is sitting at 56°F, which is just about average for this time of year up in the Rye region.

We have another massive pulse coming in on Wednesday the 9th with 8 ft to 12 ft swells, but it's again plagued by strong onshore winds. The wind finally relents on Thursday the 10th, giving us clean faces on a 12 ft SW swell, but again, that’s a whole lot of water for a beach-and-reef setup like Rye Ocean Beach. Only the crew on the big guns will be getting waves.

Now, for the standout window. If you can wait, Friday the 11th of September is our pick of the entire outlook. The swell drops back to a very manageable 6 ft from the SW, with a 15-second period—plenty of energy (1522). But the real magic is the wind. We get a light NNE offshore breeze, and in the afternoon it goes to a light ESE cross-offshore. That means the waves will be clean, lined up, and glassy. This is excellent surf for experienced surfers, and the crowd profile says it can get busy, but with conditions this good, it'll be worth competing for a spot.

The following week gets messy again, with strong winds and lumpy conditions. There's another flash of clean surf on Thursday the 17th with a 7 ft cross-offshore swell, but the energy is lower. And then Friday the 18th sees another solid 8 ft SW swell with clean offshore winds, but the 28 mph wind makes it a contest only for the strong. At that size, it’s big and challenging, so it’s a similar story to Friday the 4th—expert territory.

In short: the next few days are a no-go thanks to wind and size. Best bet is to pencil in Friday the 11th for the cleanest, most fun waves of the run. The long-range stuff has potential, but it's a week-and-a-half out and could change.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 15mm), heaviest on Fri night. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri afternoon, min 9°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NW on Fri afternoon, strong winds from the WNW by Sat afternoon).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Some drizzle, heaviest during Mon morning. Very mild (max 13°C on Sun morning, min 9°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon night, fresh winds from the SSW by Tue night).

Thursday
3
Friday
4
Saturday
5
Sunday
6
Monday
7
Tuesday
8
Wednesday
9
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
!
!
!
!
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
0
1
3
!
0
0
0
!
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3
SW
14
4
WSW
14
3.5
SW
15
3.5
SW
16
3
SW
16
2.5
SW
16
2.3
SW
15
3.5
WSW
15
3
SW
14
2.3
SW
14
2
SW
13
1.6
SW
12
1.7
WSW
12
2.5
SW
8
0.8
SW
20
1.3
SW
18
2.1
SW
17
2.1
SW
16
2.5
SW
15
3.5
SW
21
4
SW
19
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
3699
6392
5757
5022
4605
3544
2469
5140
3105
1968
1279
786
871
836
455
995
2414
2061
2758
11354
11672
Wind (km/h)
30
WSW
30
WSW
25
WNW
20
NNW
15
NW
40
N
50
WNW
50
WNW
35
W
20
WSW
15
SSW
15
W
15
W
25
SSW
15
SSW
10
W
15
SW
25
SSW
30
SSW
30
SSW
20
SSW
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
High Tide
3:22PM1.44m
4:22AM1.49m
3:55PM1.44m
5:09AM1.45m
4:33PM1.42m
6:00AM1.38m
5:17PM1.37m
6:59AM1.31m
6:13PM1.30m
8:07AM1.24m
7:28PM1.23m
9:24AM1.22m
8:58PM1.19m
Low Tide
9:50PM0.13m
10:13AM0.54m
10:31PM0.12m
10:53AM0.62m
11:16PM0.13m
11:38AM0.68m
00:08AM0.18m
12:33PM0.74m
1:09AM0.25m
1:44PM0.76m
2:23AM0.32m
3:11PM0.74m
3:47AM0.36m
rain showers
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
mod rain
rain showers
thunderstorm
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:41
6:39
6:37
6:35
6:35
6:33
6:31
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:00
6:00
6:00
6:01
6:02
6:04
6:05
 mm
1
9
3
2
1
Temp °C
13
14
11
14
15
15
15
13
13
13
12
12
12
13
12
11
11
11
10
11
11
Feels °C
7
7
5
9
11
8
6
3
6
9
8
9
7
8
8
8
7
5
3
5
6
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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