Surf Forecasts:
Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 17 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 17 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 16s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 24 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period, WSW swell with 3,684 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 17 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.2m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 17s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 3.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 3s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1PM (Fri 17th Jul) | 7ft (2.2m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 1PM (Fri 17th Jul) | 7ft (2.2m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Fri 24th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here, and I’ve got a look at what’s coming up for Rye Ocean Beach. This is a beach and reef setup, exposed to the SW, and it’s a beginner-friendly spot that’s fairly consistent. The water temp is sitting at 56.7°F, which is about average for this time of year, so nothing out of the ordinary there.
We’re kicking off the period on Friday, July 17th, with some solid energy in the water. The morning session sees a 7.2ft SW groundswell with a long 16-second period, and the combined energy is pumping at 2594 (moderate to strong). The wind is a cross-off from the NNW at 15 mph, so it’s going to be clean. The afternoon stays clean with a 7.2ft SW swell, 16-second period, and the wind switches to a light offshore from the NNE at 5 mph, turning glassy. It’s a standout for sure—clean, good-sized lines rolling in. But fair warning: at 7.2ft, this is getting a bit too big for beginners; it’s more suited to intermediate and above. The long period means the waves will have real shape, and the energy is there, so expect some proper sets.
Saturday, July 18th, is a bit of a drop-off. Morning has a 5.6ft SW swell with a 14-second period, but the wind is a cross-shore from the NW at 15 mph, and the combined energy is 1154 (moderate). It’s manageable but not as clean. The afternoon, though, is a hidden gem: 4.9ft SW swell, 13-second period, and the wind goes glassy from the NNE at 5 mph. The energy is at 780 (moderate), and it’s looking very good—clean, fun waves for a surf.
Sunday, July 19th, the swell drops again. Morning has 3.6ft SW with a 12-second period, cross-off wind from the N at 15 mph, and energy at 437 (weak). It’s clean but small. Afternoon is 3.0ft SW with the same period, 385 energy, and a light cross-off from the N at 10 mph. You’ll get a few, but it’s not the day to get excited.
Monday, July 20th, is a bit of a mixed bag. Morning brings a 3.6ft SW swell with a long 16-second period, but the wind is a stiff cross-off from the NNW at 25 mph, energy at 639 (moderate). It’s clean but the wind is gusty, so it’ll be a bit of a wrestle. Afternoon sees a drop to 2.3ft SW with a 15-second period, 389 energy, and a cross-shore from the NW at 15 mph—nothing special.
Tuesday, July 21st, the afternoon is the pick. Morning has 3.6ft SW with a 14-second period, cross-off wind from the NNW at 15 mph, and 447 energy—clean but small. Then the afternoon turns on with a 4.6ft SW swell, 13-second period, 732 energy (moderate), and a light cross-off from the NNE at 10 mph. It’s clean, and the waves should be fun.
Now, from Wednesday, July 22nd
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 9°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Wed night. Very mild (max 16°C on Wed afternoon, min 11°C on Mon night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 11 | SW 13 | WSW 16 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 2354 | 2384 | 1542 | 1154 | 780 | 486 | 335 | 228 | 194 | 587 | 226 | 305 | 443 | 732 | 613 | 373 | 349 | 1494 | 2039 | 2775 | 3684 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | off | cross | cross | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on |
High Tide | 2:10PM1.57m | 1:56AM1.40m | 2:53PM1.59m | 2:54AM1.43m | 3:33PM1.59m | 3:48AM1.45m | 4:10PM1.57m | 4:39AM1.44m | 4:46PM1.54m | 5:28AM1.41m | 5:19PM1.50m | 6:16AM1.37m | 5:51PM1.45m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:17PM0.55m | 8:19AM0.20m | 9:03PM0.45m | 9:08AM0.26m | 9:47PM0.38m | 9:53AM0.34m | 10:29PM0.33m | 10:35AM0.45m | 11:10PM0.31m | 11:15AM0.57m | 11:50PM0.31m | 11:55AM0.68m | 00:29AM0.33m | ||||||||
 | |  |  | |  | |  | | | |  | | | | | |  |  | | | |
 | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — |
 | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:23 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | — | — |
Temp °C | 10 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 10 |
Feels °C | 7 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 2 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 18 | SW 14 | SSW 16 | SW 16 |
| kJ | 2354 | 2384 | 1542 | 1154 | 780 | 486 | 335 | 228 | 144 | 587 | 226 | 305 | 443 | 732 | 613 | 373 | 349 | 12 | 564 | 49 | 3353 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 18 | S 16 | SSW 14 | — | — | — | SW 20 | SW 20 | SW 18 | S 16 | WSW 12 | WSW 9 | E 11 | — | — | E 10 | E 10 | — | — | — | SSW 16 |
| kJ | 240 | 131 | 80 | — | — | — | 63 | 60 | 194 | 20 | 158 | 80 | 2 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | 85 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | W 22 | WSW 20 | SW 20 | SSW 11 | SSW 16 | SE 11 | S 14 | SE 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | 39 | 97 | 22 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 2 | NW 3 | NNW 3 | NNW 3 | NW 3 | — | N 3 | NNW 3 | NW 3 | SW 13 | SW 11 | SW 13 | WSW 16 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | — | 2 | 9 | 9 | 1494 | 2039 | 2775 | 3684 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 40 | 52 | 40 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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