Surf Forecasts:
Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 1 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 2 Sep, 1PM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 16s period, SW swell with cross-onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 8 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 16s period, SW swell with 6,882 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 2 Sep, 1PM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 02) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.3m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be cross-onshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 3.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 08) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 4s period and expected on Saturday (Sep 05) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1PM (Wed 2nd Sep) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 1PM (Wed 2nd Sep) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Tue 8th Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, it’s Rusty here, and I’ve been looking over the charts for Rye Ocean Beach. Honestly, the first week is a bit of a bust for clean, rideable surf. The swell is pumping, but it’s way too big and the wind is all over the place. The real standout doesn’t show up until the second week, so we’ve got to be patient.
The pattern starts with a big, powerful SW groundswell on Tuesday the 1st. The combined energy is already pushing 1657 (moderate to strong), but with a 25 mph cross-off wind, it’s a blown-out mess. The water is 56°, which is about average for the time of year, so no nasty surprises. The swell is too big for beginners at 6 ft, and with a 15-second period, it’s proper groundswell. The spot is a beach and reef, so that long period might make the waves a bit straight and tricky. Wednesday the 2nd and Thursday the 3rd see the swell jacking up to 7 ft–13 ft, but the wind is cross-on and strong, blowing the surf out. The combined energy on Thursday afternoon hits 10930 (very strong), but it’s just too messy. By Friday the 4th, the swell is still huge at 10 ft–12 ft, with a 16-second period (groundswell), and the wind is cross-off from the NNW, but the forecast says it’s just too big for this break. Experts only, and even then, it’s a gamble.
The weekend of the 5th and 6th is a washout. Saturday the 5th has a near gale cross-on wind and a 16 ft swell on the afternoon. That’s not surf, that’s a survival session. The combined energy for that afternoon is 15437 (very strong). Sunday the 6th looks cleaner with a light offshore wind in the afternoon, but the swell is still 7 ft, which is over the limit for this spot. Monday the 7th drops off to 3 ft–4 ft, but it’s weak and inconsistent.
Now, the real highlight. After a long gap of poor conditions, we get a day of absolute magic. On Sunday the 13th, the morning is glassy – no wind at all, 0 mph. The swell is a clean 5 ft from the SW, with a 13-second period. The combined energy is 863 (moderate), and the forecast says “expect very good surf conditions.” This is the one. It’s small enough for a beginner to have a go, but with that period, there’s still some push. The afternoon stays clean with a light cross-off breeze. This is the best on offer, no question. The rest of the week after that is either too big or too windy, so this Sunday morning is the session to circle.
In summary, don’t bother with the first week unless you’re a masochist. Wake up early on Sunday the 13th for the glassy, clean waves at Rye Ocean Beach. It’s a rare gem in a rough forecast period.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Warm (max 20°C on Tue afternoon, min 10°C on Thu night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri afternoon, min 11°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (near gales from the WNW on Sat morning, light winds from the NE by Sun afternoon). | |||||||||||||||||||
Tue 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 14 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | WSW 15 | SW 13 | WSW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 13 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
1025 | 810 | 2299 | 2390 | 2391 | 5704 | 5807 | 4848 | 5224 | 4777 | 3499 | 4209 | 6107 | 4271 | 2383 | 1471 | 736 | 423 | 363 | 398 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 2:56AM1.46m | 2:51PM1.42m | 3:39AM1.49m | 3:22PM1.44m | 4:22AM1.49m | 3:55PM1.44m | 5:09AM1.45m | 4:33PM1.42m | 6:00AM1.38m | 5:17PM1.37m | 6:59AM1.31m | 6:13PM1.30m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:37PM0.25m | 8:59AM0.42m | 9:13PM0.18m | 9:36AM0.48m | 9:50PM0.13m | 10:13AM0.54m | 10:31PM0.12m | 10:53AM0.62m | 11:16PM0.13m | 11:38AM0.68m | 00:08AM0.18m | 12:33PM0.74m | 1:09AM0.25m | |||||||
— | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | |
5:58 | — | — | 5:59 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:02 | — | |
mm | 1 | 3 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 7 |
Temp °C | 20 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 12 |
Feels °C | 13 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SSW 15 | — | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 13 |
1025 | 810 | 2299 | 2390 | 2391 | 3857 | 4595 | 4848 | 5224 | 4777 | 3499 | 201 | — | 3133 | 2383 | 1471 | 736 | 423 | 363 | 398 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | SW 17 | SSW 17 | S 16 | S 16 | — | — | S 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | — | — | — | SSW 15 | WSW 18 | S 9 | SW 22 | SW 21 | SW 20 |
47 | 290 | 97 | 129 | 127 | — | — | 212 | 269 | 235 | 232 | — | — | — | 22 | 104 | 36 | 18 | 70 | 312 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SSW 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 14 | — | SW 22 | S 21 | ESE 4 |
— | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 20 | — | 18 | 8 | 11 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 4 | WNW 4 | WSW 6 | — | WNW 4 | WSW 13 | WSW 14 | — | NW 4 | NW 4 | N 4 | WSW 15 | SW 13 | WSW 13 | — | — | — | — | ESE 3 | — |
35 | 14 | 55 | — | 37 | 5704 | 5807 | — | 13 | 12 | 21 | 4209 | 6107 | 4271 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 42 | 36 | 24 | 24 | 27 | 483 | 36 | 35 | 27 | 27 | 351 | 482 | 519 | 36 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











