Surf Forecasts:
Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 13 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 14 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period, SW swell with cross-shore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 14 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period, SW swell with 4,748 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 14 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 14) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be cross-shore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 3.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 14) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 4s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 19) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Fri 14th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Fri 14th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Fri 14th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, this is Rusty. Let’s break down what’s coming for Rye Ocean Beach over the next couple of weeks.
The first few days are a write-off. We’ve got some serious juice coming in, but it’s just too much muscle for this spot. From Thursday the 13th through Saturday the 15th, there’s a solid 10ft to 8ft SW swell with a long 15-16 second period and energy up in the strong range. The word is that it’s simply too big for this break. We’ll be watching from the beach.
Sunday the 16th is the one to get excited about. That morning, we see a 6ft SW swell (period 14 secs, energy still strong) with a clean offshore breeze out of the ENE at 6 mph. The call is “excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers,” and I’m all in on that. It’s over 5ft, so it’s for the crew who can handle it, but that Sunday morning is the clear standout of the whole run.
Monday the 17th morning keeps it going with a 5ft SW swell and a light cross-offshore breeze – clean and fun. Tuesday the 18th morning is also a good one, with a 4ft SW swell and a moderate offshore from the NNE at 12 mph, clean again, and rated “excellent.” That’s a solid three-day window from Sunday through Tuesday morning.
Then it drops off hard. Wednesday the 19th and Thursday the 20th are small and weak – under 3ft, with energy falling away and messy wind. Not worth the paddle. Friday the 21st afternoon goes glassy with a tiny 3ft swell, but that’s a long shot.
From Saturday the 22nd onwards, it gets ugly. Strong winds (25-28 mph) bring lumpy, messy conditions, and then another big pulse hits Sunday the 23rd – a 12ft SW swell with huge energy, but with strong onshore wind. Later in the week, the 24th and 25th see 7ft to 10ft swells with strong offshore winds, which cleans it up, but those are big numbers – experts only and it’ll be heavy. The very end of the run on the 28th is still messy with onshore wind.
Water temp is about 56°F, which is pretty average for this time of year.
So, your play is Sunday morning the 16th – clean offshore, solid SW groundswell, and a proper session for experienced surfers. Monday and Tuesday mornings are the solid backup. The rest is either too big, too small, or too blown out to bother.
Keep an eye on it, but that Sunday is the one.
- Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Thu afternoon, min 10°C on Sun morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Tue afternoon, min 10°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon morning, fresh winds from the N by Wed morning). | |||||||||||||||||||
Thu 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 4471 | 4738 | 4218 | 3911 | 3672 | 2668 | 2516 | 1736 | 1336 | 1048 | 911 | 898 | 1347 | 1246 | 676 | 621 | 477 | 309 | 223 | 169 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross | cross-on | on | on | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 11:43PM1.29m | 1:04PM1.43m | 00:55AM1.36m | 1:48PM1.48m | 1:55AM1.43m | 2:28PM1.52m | 2:47AM1.48m | 3:05PM1.53m | 3:35AM1.50m | 3:39PM1.53m | 4:18AM1.48m | 4:10PM1.50m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 6:11PM0.66m | 6:23AM0.24m | 7:09PM0.53m | 7:21AM0.23m | 7:57PM0.40m | 8:10AM0.25m | 8:41PM0.30m | 8:55AM0.30m | 9:21PM0.24m | 9:35AM0.38m | 9:59PM0.21m | 10:12AM0.47m | 10:36PM0.22m | |||||||
 |  |  | | | | |  |  | |  | | | | | | | |  | | |
 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — |
 | 5:42 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:44 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 14 |
Feels °C | 12 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 |
| kJ | 4471 | 4738 | 4218 | 3911 | 3672 | 2668 | 2516 | 1736 | 1336 | 1048 | 911 | 898 | 1347 | 1246 | 676 | 621 | 477 | 309 | 223 | 169 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 16 | S 16 | S 14 | SSW 16 | S 15 | S 16 | S 16 | S 14 | SSW 14 | SE 5 | — | ESE 5 | SE 5 | SSW 15 | SW 18 | SSW 17 | SE 4 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | SW 20 |
| kJ | 181 | 257 | 138 | 193 | 172 | 188 | 179 | 150 | 63 | 9 | — | 16 | 4 | 44 | 201 | 27 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 61 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 16 | SSW 11 | — | SW 18 | — | SSW 15 | S 16 | S 16 | SE 6 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 26 | 25 | — | 162 | — | 22 | 5 | 5 | 2 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ESE 4 | — | ESE 5 | — | — | ESE 5 | E 5 | NNE 3 | NE 2 | NNE 4 | N 4 | N 4 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | — | 32 | — | — | 34 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 18 | 21 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 23 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 33 | 3 | 33 | 14 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 27 | 18 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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