Rye Ocean Beach Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.39° S 144.78° E

Rye Ocean Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 am 04 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Rye Ocean Beach sea temperature is
13.4° C
0.4° 

Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 3 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 10 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 15s period, WSW swell with onshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 11 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period, WSW swell with 4,797 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 7 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 15s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:

The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 07) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 19s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 3.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 11) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 5s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 09) at 10AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4PM (Fri 7th Aug)5ft (1.5m) 15s
Best Surf 1AM (Mon 10th Aug)8ft (2.5m) 15s
Most Powerful10AM (Tue 11th Aug)10ft (3.0m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for Rye Ocean Beach over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, we’re in for a rough start. The first few days of the forecast are pretty much a write-off. Tuesday the 4th and Wednesday the 5th are all about rain, strong winds, and messy, poor surf. You’re not gonna wanna paddle out in that. We also have to sit through the rest of the week with nothing but marginal conditions until a real window opens up.

The first real standout, and honestly the best bet in the whole run, is Friday afternoon, the 7th of August. It’s a total glass-off. The wind is swinging around to the east-northeast at just 3 mph, going glassy. The swell is a solid 5 ft from the southwest, with a real long period of 15 seconds – that’s proper groundswell energy. The combined energy is pumping at 1441 (moderate to strong). This is the kind of clean, lined-up surf that will have you smiling. It’s a beach and reef setup, so that long period will be best at the reef or the points. Keep in mind, this spot can get crowded sometimes, but for this moment, it’s all about the quality.

After that, we hit a bit of a lull. Saturday and Sunday the 8th and 9th have some clean wind but the swell is either dropping or getting blown out by strong northerlies. Then it gets real interesting, but not for the faint of heart.

From Monday the 10th through to the 14th, the ocean is going to be pumping, but it’s way too big for most. On Monday the 10th, we’re looking at 8 ft swell from the southwest, with a massive combined energy of 3698. Tuesday the 11th pushes up to 10 ft from the west-southwest, and the energy is a whopping 9570. These are expert-only waves. The winds are mostly favorable, but the size is just too much for this break, especially for beginners. The swell direction is right in the sweet spot, but the power is on another level. If you’re not a seasoned pro, stay on the sand.

We get a bit of a drop on the 15th, but it’s still big. The next real clean shot for the average surfer is Sunday morning, the 16th of August. The wind is glassy from the west-southwest at 3 mph, and the swell is a very manageable 5 ft from the southwest with a 15-second period. The combined energy is 1232 – solid, but not terrifying. The water temp is sitting at 56°, which is about average for this time of year, nothing unusual there.

The last week gets a bit inconsistent. The 17th is still on the bigger side, but the 18th and 19th offer some smaller, cleaner options. Wednesday afternoon the 19th looks like a nice little finisher: glassy east wind, 5 ft swell from the west-southwest. It’s not a world-beater, but a clean, fun session to end the run.

Overall, if you’re not a big-wave charger, your highlight is that Friday afternoon the 7th. If you’re an expert, the 10th through 14th are going to be a serious test of nerve.

Stay safe out there.
Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 12°C on Tue afternoon, min 9°C on Tue morning). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WNW on Tue morning, light winds from the WNW by Wed night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat afternoon, min 9°C on Fri morning). Winds increasing (calm on Fri afternoon, near gales from the N by Sun morning).

Tuesday
4
Wednesday
5
Thursday
6
Friday
7
Saturday
8
Sunday
9
Monday
10
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
0
2
4
4
2
2
0
0
0
!
0
!
!
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.6
SW
11
2.2
SW
12
1.8
SW
10
1.7
SW
10
1.2
SW
14
1.1
SW
13
0.8
SW
12
0.9
SW
16
0.9
SW
18
1.6
SW
16
1.5
SW
15
1.6
SW
17
1.6
SW
16
1.6
SW
16
1.5
SW
15
1.4
SW
14
0.9
SW
16
2.5
WSW
15
2.4
SW
18
2.4
SW
17
2.3
SW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
572
1280
676
603
573
374
210
406
522
1284
966
1597
1367
1284
940
752
376
2734
3559
3321
2687
Wind (km/h)
40
WNW
30
WSW
25
WSW
25
WSW
25
SW
15
WNW
25
NNW
30
WNW
25
W
15
WNW
5
ENE
15
NNE
30
N
35
N
40
N
50
N
45
N
20
SW
30
WSW
25
WNW
25
NNW
Wind State
cross
on
cross-on
on
on
cross
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
cross
glassy
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
on
on
cross
cross-off
High Tide
3:27PM1.45m
3:56AM1.40m
3:56PM1.46m
4:42AM1.41m
4:27PM1.45m
5:30AM1.40m
5:00PM1.44m
6:24AM1.38m
5:40PM1.41m
7:25AM1.33m
6:30PM1.37m
8:34AM1.30m
7:35PM1.31m
Low Tide
9:45PM0.33m
9:54AM0.45m
10:21PM0.27m
10:32AM0.54m
10:59PM0.23m
11:12AM0.63m
11:43PM0.21m
11:58AM0.72m
00:33AM0.21m
12:52PM0.80m
1:32AM0.22m
1:59PM0.85m
2:40AM0.25m
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
cloud
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
cloud
light rain
light rain
cloud
rain showers
rain showers
clear
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:20
7:18
7:18
7:16
7:15
7:13
7:13
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:34
5:35
5:36
5:36
5:37
5:37
5:38
 mm
1
4
2
2
2
1
1
2
3
1
1
Temp °C
11
12
12
12
12
11
11
12
11
11
12
12
13
14
12
12
11
13
12
13
12
Feels °C
4
5
7
7
7
6
6
6
6
8
10
10
7
6
4
1
1
7
6
7
6
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
How to use the Wavefinder 
submit an eyeball surf report

Quick surf report for Rye Ocean Beach:

join our community of surf reporters

FREE! Surf-Forecast.com widget for your website

The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.


Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

Nearest locationNearest