Rye Ocean Beach Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.39° S 144.78° E

Rye Ocean Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 pm 31 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Rye Ocean Beach sea temperature is
13.4°C
0.7° 

Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 31 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 31 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 17s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 5 Sep, 7PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 15s period, WSW swell with 10,323 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 31 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 15s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:

The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 31) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.0m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 1.1m and 18s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 4.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 05) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 5s period and expected on Saturday (Sep 05) at 1AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7PM (Mon 31st Aug)6.5ft (2.0m) 15s
Best Surf10PM (Mon 31st Aug)7.5ft (2.3m) 17s
Most Powerful 7PM (Sat 5th Sep)15ft (4.5m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, let’s get into it. Rusty here, and I’ve been staring at the charts for Rye Ocean Beach. This is a beach and reef setup, exposed to the southwest, and it’s a beginner-friendly spot that’s fairly consistent. But brace yourselves—this is a wild ride of a forecast.

The water’s sitting at 56°, which is about average for the time of year, so nothing weird there.

The first real shot at a wave comes Monday, August 31st. We’ve got a solid 7ft SW groundswell pumping in with a 14-second period. The energy is massive (2026), so it’s got some serious grunt. Monday morning the wind is a light cross-on from the WNW at 6 mph, so it’s a little bumpy. But Monday afternoon? Absolute glass. The wind drops to 3 mph from the ESE, and it’s glassy. The problem is, this swell is already too big for this break. 7ft is pushing it for the beginners here, but for the stronger paddlers, that afternoon window is going to be clean and powerful. It’s a standout for the whole period.

Now, Tuesday September 1st is a write-off. The wind cranks up to 25 mph from the north, and while it’s cross-off and clean, the surf quality is marginal. Not worth getting wet for.

Wednesday September 2nd is another tease. The swell bumps up to 8ft with a 15-second period, and the energy is intense (2474). But the wind is a moderate cross-on from the west at 12 mph, making it choppy. Again, too big for the spot, but if you’re an expert, the afternoon might be a grunty session.

From Thursday September 3rd through Saturday September 5th, it’s a no-go. The swell gets huge. 12ft to 15ft, with winds howling at 28 mph, cross-on and messy. This is full-on storm surf. The beach setup is going to be a washing machine. Honestly, this looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

Sunday September 6th is still big, with 10ft SW swell and a 16-second period. The wind is a fresh cross-off from the north, so it’s clean. But 10ft is expert territory only. The energy is astronomical (5357). If you’re a charger and you’ve got the board for it, go for it.

Then comes the real highlight. Monday September 7th. The swell drops to 5ft, and the wind goes glassy, 3 mph from the west. The period is 13 seconds, and the energy is a manageable 775. This is the sweet spot. It’s clean, not too big, and the surf comment says “expect very good surf conditions.” This is the best day on offer for the average surfer. Get in the water.

After that, it’s a mess again. Tuesday September 8th through Thursday September 10th sees another big pulse of 8ft to 10ft SW swell with periods hitting 18 seconds. The wind is onshore or cross-on and strong. Poor conditions.

Friday September 11th is a bit better. 7ft SW swell with a 15-second period, and a gentle cross-off from the ESE at 9 mph. It’s clean. The energy is high (2368), but it’s still a big day. Worth a look if you’re experienced.

By Saturday September 12th, the swell backs off to 5ft, but the wind is cross-on and choppy. Not great.

The tail end of the forecast, Sunday September 13th and Monday September 14th, shows a drop in size. 3ft to 4ft SW swell. The wind is offshore or cross-off, and the conditions are clean. The energy is low (529-619). This is small, but for a longboard or a funboard, it’ll be a nice, clean session.

The big gap in the middle—from Thursday September 3rd to Saturday September 5th—is a solid three days of no-go, stormy surf. Then another rough patch from Tuesday September 8th to Thursday September 10th.

So, the standouts: Monday August 31st afternoon for the glassy, powerful, but too-big-for-beginners swell, and Monday September 7th for the perfect, clean, manageable waves. Don’t miss that Monday.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Thu morning. Very mild (max 19°C on Tue morning, min 11°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon afternoon, strong winds from the N by Tue morning).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri morning, min 9°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (near gales from the W on Sat morning, moderate winds from the NNW by Sat night).

Mon
31
Tuesday
1
Wednesday
2
Thursday
3
Friday
4
Saturday
5
Sunday
6
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
!
!
1
2
2
!
0
!
0
0
!
!
!
0
0
!
!
!
!
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.1
SW
14
2.2
SW
16
1.8
SW
15
1.6
SW
15
1.4
SW
14
2.1
SW
16
2.3
SW
15
2.4
SW
15
3.5
SW
14
4.5
WSW
14
4
SW
15
3
SW
15
3
SW
16
2.4
SW
15
4
WSW
13
5
WSW
14
4
SW
16
3
SW
16
2.5
SW
15
1.9
SW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1688
2475
1572
1025
810
2107
2359
2424
4805
7782
6468
4766
3604
2627
5164
10240
8233
4949
3034
1273
Wind (km/h)
5
SE
20
N
40
N
30
NNW
25
NW
20
W
20
W
35
NW
35
W
35
W
30
WNW
30
NNW
40
NNW
50
NW
55
W
35
W
25
WNW
30
N
35
NNE
20
ESE
Wind State
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
2:12AM1.40m
2:21PM1.40m
2:56AM1.46m
2:51PM1.42m
3:39AM1.49m
3:22PM1.44m
4:22AM1.49m
3:55PM1.44m
5:09AM1.45m
4:33PM1.42m
6:00AM1.38m
5:17PM1.37m
Low Tide
8:03PM0.34m
8:21AM0.37m
8:37PM0.25m
8:59AM0.42m
9:13PM0.18m
9:36AM0.48m
9:50PM0.13m
10:13AM0.54m
10:31PM0.12m
10:53AM0.62m
11:16PM0.13m
11:38AM0.68m
00:08AM0.18m
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
rain showers
part cloud
clear
part cloud
rain showers
part cloud
clear
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
heavy rain
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:43
6:41
6:41
6:39
6:37
6:35
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:57
5:58
5:59
6:00
6:00
6:00
6:01
 mm
1
2
1
7
1
18
Temp °C
12
13
19
19
14
14
15
13
13
13
11
15
15
15
12
13
11
14
16
14
Feels °C
11
10
12
13
9
9
10
4
5
5
5
9
7
6
2
5
5
7
9
11
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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