Rye Ocean Beach Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.39° S 144.78° E

Rye Ocean Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 pm 22 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Rye Ocean Beach sea temperature is
13.7° C
0.5° 

Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 22 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 26 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 11s period, SW swell with cross-shore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 24 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 16s period, SW swell with 7,933 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 26 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 11s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:

The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 26) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.1m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be cross-shore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 4.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 4s period and expected on Monday (Jul 27) at 4PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Sun 26th Jul)7ft (2.1m) 11s
Best Surf10PM (Sun 26th Jul)7ft (2.1m) 11s
Most Powerful 4AM (Fri 24th Jul)13ft (4.0m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G’day, I’m Rusty, and I’ve been staring at the charts for Rye Ocean Beach. We’ve got a bit of a rough patch ahead, but there’s a few windows that might just get you wet.

Right now, the water temp is sitting at 57°F, which is pretty normal for this time of year, so no surprises there. The first week is a write-off, honestly. From Wednesday afternoon the 22nd through to the end of the month, the wind is just destroying everything. It’s a full-on run of poor conditions with strong cross-onshore winds and lumpy, messy surf. The combined swell energy is weak to moderate at best, with values climbing from 545 up into the thousands, but the wind just won’t let up. We’ve got a solid SW groundswell pushing through, with heights up to 13 ft and periods out to 15 seconds, but it’s all blown out. If you’re a kite surfer, this setup might look interesting, but for a paddle, it’s a no-go.

We finally get a break on Tuesday morning the 28th. The wind swings around to a light cross-offshore from the NNW, and the swell is a hefty 8 ft from the SW with a period of 15 seconds. The combined energy is strong at 3355. The notes say the wind and tide are favorable, but honestly, the swell is too big for this break – it’s a beginner spot, so that’s only for experienced heads. The same goes for Tuesday afternoon and Wednesday the 29th: clean conditions but still too big for most.

The real standout, the one worth pointing a board at, is Thursday afternoon the 30th of July. The wind is a gentle cross-offshore from the ESE at 9 mph, the swell is a manageable 5 ft from the SW with a period of 13 seconds, and the combined energy is moderate at 878. The forecast says “expect very good surf conditions.” This is clean, the swell direction is dead-on from the optimum SW, and the crowd situation says “sometimes” – so expect a few locals out, but it’s not a circus. This is the best on offer in the whole window.

Friday morning the 31st has a tiny 4 ft swell with a light offshore from the N, but it’s weak energy (349). It’s clean, but small. Saturday the 1st of August is a bit bigger at 4 ft but with a very long 17-second period, which is a groundswell, and the combined energy is moderate at 1038. The wind is cross-offshore from the N, so it’s clean, but that long period might make it a bit straight at the beach. It’s marginal, but if you’re keen, it’s a goer.

After that, from Sunday the 2nd of August onward, the wind turns back onshore, and we’re back into poor surf conditions with cross-onshore winds and lumpy, messy waves. That’s it for the 16 days. The gap between the first decent surf on the 28th and the next bump is only a couple of days, but then it falls off a cliff again. Stay patient, and if you’re keen, hit Thursday the 30th.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Wed afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Fri night, min 9°C on Wed night). Mainly strong winds.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Tue morning, min 10°C on Sat night). Mainly fresh winds.

Wed
22
Thursday
23
Friday
24
Saturday
25
Sunday
26
Monday
27
Tuesday
28
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
!
!
!
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Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.1
SW
13
2.5
SW
11
3
SW
14
3
SW
14
4
SW
16
4
SW
15
3.5
SW
15
3
SW
13
3
SW
13
3
SW
12
2.2
SW
12
1.8
SW
11
1.9
SW
11
2.1
SW
11
2
SW
11
2.2
SW
11
2.4
SW
13
2.5
SW
15
2.5
SW
16
2.3
SW
15
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
357
1713
3544
4021
7482
6304
5187
3105
3026
2310
1425
802
804
963
935
1172
1945
2959
3246
2404
Wind (km/h)
30
WSW
30
W
35
W
40
WSW
40
WSW
30
W
35
W
40
WNW
30
WNW
25
WSW
25
WNW
30
WNW
25
W
25
WNW
30
WNW
25
W
15
NNW
20
NNW
15
WNW
15
WSW
Wind State
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
on
High Tide
5:19PM1.50m
6:16AM1.37m
5:51PM1.45m
7:05AM1.33m
6:24PM1.39m
7:57AM1.29m
7:00PM1.33m
8:53AM1.27m
7:44PM1.27m
9:54AM1.27m
8:36PM1.20m
10:56AM1.29m
9:38PM1.16m
Low Tide
11:50PM0.31m
11:55AM0.68m
00:29AM0.33m
12:35PM0.77m
1:11AM0.35m
1:20PM0.85m
1:55AM0.37m
2:13PM0.90m
2:43AM0.38m
3:19PM0.92m
3:37AM0.38m
4:37PM0.89m
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
cloud
cloud
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rain showers
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<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:30
7:28
7:28
7:28
7:26
7:26
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:22
5:23
5:24
5:25
5:25
5:27
5:28
 mm
3
5
1
1
1
1
4
Temp °C
12
10
11
11
11
12
12
13
13
14
12
12
14
12
13
14
14
15
16
14
Feels °C
6
4
2
1
2
5
4
7
7
9
7
6
9
8
8
9
10
12
12
11
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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