Surf Forecasts:
Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 3 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 4 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 15s period, SW swell with cross-shore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 9 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 19s period, SW swell with 11,962 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 4 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 15s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 04) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.5m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 15s. The wind is predicted to be cross-shore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 4.0m 19s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 5s period and expected on Saturday (Sep 05) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Fri 4th Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Fri 4th Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Wed 9th Sep) | 13ft (4.0m) 19s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.
Right off the bat, we’ve got a huge pulse of swell hitting Rye Ocean Beach, but it’s a tricky one. The first few days are a write-off for most of us because the swell is just too big, especially for a beginner-friendly spot. The real standout, and the one to mark on your calendar, is Friday morning, September 4th. The water temp is sitting right around 56°, which is pretty normal for this time of year. That morning, we’re seeing a solid 12ft groundswell from the SW, with a super-long period of 16 seconds. That’s a lot of energy (5264), and the wind is coming from the NW at 12 mph, giving us a clean, cross-off breeze. The sets will be fat and powerful, with long lulls between them. The quality is top-notch, but heads up – this size is for experienced surfers only. Beginners, sit this one out.
The Saturday morning, September 12th window is also looking promising. The swell has dropped to a more manageable 7ft from the SW, with a 15-second period (2153 energy). The wind is a light, glassy offshore from the NE at 6 mph. That’s about as clean as it gets. It’s still a big day for the average surfer, but with those conditions, it’ll be a proper session. Crowds are possible here, so get in early.
The rest of the first week is a mess of strong onshore winds and messy conditions. From the 5th through the 9th, it’s mostly blown out or too big with poor wind. The 10th and 11th are still on the big side with onshore wind, making it a tough paddle.
We get a brief reprieve on the Tuesday afternoon, September 15th. The swell is a modest 5ft from the SW, with a 15-second period (848 energy). The wind is light from the NNW, giving us a clean cross-off. It’s not the power of the earlier days, but the conditions will be clean and surfable.
Then, the final week is a bit of a lottery. The Wednesday afternoon, September 16th has a good-looking 7ft SW swell with an 18-second period (5268 energy) and a moderate offshore from the NNE. That’s a lot of ocean energy, but the wind is moderate, so it’s not perfect. The 17th and 18th are a complete write-off again with gale-force winds and rain.
So, to wrap it up: the best bet is Friday morning, September 4th for the experienced crew, and Saturday morning, September 12th for a slightly smaller but incredibly clean session. The rest of the time, you’re either dodging huge swell or battling the wind.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 15mm), heaviest on Fri night. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri afternoon, min 9°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WNW on Sat morning, light winds from the W by Sun morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Tue night. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun afternoon, min 8°C on Tue morning). Winds increasing (calm on Tue morning, strong winds from the SSW by Tue night). | |||||||||||||||||||
Thu 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 14 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | WSW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 8 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 18 | SW 18 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 6207 | 5681 | 5087 | 4605 | 3544 | 2298 | 4346 | 1423 | 1996 | 1285 | 860 | 471 | 594 | 444 | 1112 | 2758 | 2212 | 4511 | 8558 | 11341 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | on | on | on | on | cross-on |
High Tide | 4:22AM1.49m | 3:55PM1.44m | 5:09AM1.45m | 4:33PM1.42m | 6:00AM1.38m | 5:17PM1.37m | 6:59AM1.31m | 6:13PM1.30m | 8:07AM1.24m | 7:28PM1.23m | 9:24AM1.22m | 8:58PM1.19m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 9:50PM0.13m | 10:13AM0.54m | 10:31PM0.12m | 10:53AM0.62m | 11:16PM0.13m | 11:38AM0.68m | 00:08AM0.18m | 12:33PM0.74m | 1:09AM0.25m | 1:44PM0.76m | 2:23AM0.32m | 3:11PM0.74m | 3:47AM0.36m | |||||||
 |  | |  |  |  |  |  |  | |  | | | | | |  | | | | |
 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — |
 | 6:00 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:02 | — | — | 6:04 | — | — | 6:05 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | 9 | 5 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 11 |
Feels °C | 7 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SSW 17 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 21 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 18 | SW 18 |
| kJ | 4835 | 5681 | 5087 | 4605 | 3544 | 2298 | 95 | 1423 | 1996 | 1285 | 860 | 471 | 69 | 444 | 746 | 2758 | 2212 | 4511 | 8558 | 11341 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SSW 15 | SSW 17 | SSW 18 | S 18 | S 17 | — | — | SW 20 | WSW 18 | — | SW 22 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 18 | SSW 17 | SW 27 | SW 24 | SSW 17 | SSW 21 |
| kJ | — | 225 | 164 | 240 | 162 | 151 | — | — | 15 | 31 | — | 18 | 69 | 373 | 1112 | 99 | 29 | 200 | 772 | 1496 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 20 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | S 22 | — | SSW 19 | S 6 | — | SW 26 | SW 24 | S 22 | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 37 | 21 | 18 | 9 | — | 37 | 50 | — | 27 | 144 | 238 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 14 | — | NW 4 | — | NNE 3 | NNW 5 | WSW 15 | SW 9 | — | — | — | WNW 4 | SW 13 | SW 8 | — | — | SW 6 | — | — | — |
| kJ | 6207 | — | 13 | — | 12 | 61 | 4346 | 743 | — | — | — | 13 | 594 | 428 | — | — | 84 | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 40 | 29 | 23 | 25 | 52 | 351 | 510 | 40 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 52 | 478 | 33 | 2 | 24 | 35 | 593 | 1175 | 40 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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