Rye Ocean Beach Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.39° S 144.78° E

Rye Ocean Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 pm 05 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Rye Ocean Beach sea temperature is
13.4°C
0.6° 

Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 5 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 6 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 14s period, SW swell with cross-onshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 10 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 18s period, SW swell with 10,769 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 6 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 14s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:

The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 06) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.1m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 1.1m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be cross-onshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 4.0m 18s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Sunday (Sep 13) at 4AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10AM (Sun 6th Sep)7ft (2.1m) 14s
Best Surf10AM (Sun 6th Sep)7ft (2.1m) 14s
Most Powerful 4AM (Thu 10th Sep)13ft (4.0m) 18s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for our local stretch.

We’re in for a bit of a mixed bag over the next two weeks. The ocean is going to be pumping with a lot of energy, but the real challenge is going to be the wind. It’s mostly onshore or cross-onshore, which is going to make a mess of things for a lot of the time. The few windows of good conditions are almost all when the swell is just too big for this spot, so we have to be picky.

The water temp is sitting at 56°, which is about what you’d expect for this time of year.

Right now, the first real opportunity isn’t until Saturday morning, the 6th of September. Rye Ocean Beach has a solid 8ft of south-west swell, with a period of 14 seconds. That’s a proper groundswell with plenty of energy (2426). But the key here is the wind – it’s a clean onshore, and the call is that the wind and tide are favorable. The problem is, 8ft is pushing it for a beginner spot, and it might be too big for a comfortable session. It’s the best we’ve got on offer for that first week, but it’s a serious one.

Then we go into a long stretch of poor conditions. Monday the 8th of September afternoon sees a huge 7ft groundswell from the SW with a 17-second period, but the wind is onshore and messy. By Wednesday the 10th, we’re looking at 13ft monsters with a 19-second period and a strong onshore gale. That’s just a washing machine. The combined energy is a massive 10942, but it’s unsurfable for paddle surfing – that’s kite-surfing territory if anything.

The next time things look clean is Saturday, the 13th of September. The morning has a 8ft south-west swell, 16-second period, and a light cross-offshore breeze from the north. That’s clean. But again, 8ft is a lot for this break and is really only for the experts. The energy is strong at 3084. The crowds are said to be *sometimes* a factor, so you might get a few out there, but with that size, it’ll thin out.

There’s another standout later in the run. Thursday the 17th of September afternoon sees a 8ft south-west swell, 16-second period, with a light offshore breeze from the north-east. That’s glassy, clean conditions. The energy is 3610. This is a promising one, but it’s a long way out, so keep your fingers crossed.

There’s a dead spot in the middle. From the afternoon of the 13th until the 17th, it’s mostly too big, onshore, or just plain messy. The call for the 18th and 19th is marginal, with lumpy cross-shore winds.

So, bottom line: the standout is the Saturday the 13th of September morning for the clean, big wave session for the experienced crew. The backup is the Thursday the 17th of September afternoon if the glass-off holds. For the rest of it, we’re waiting for the wind to play nice with the swell.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Some drizzle, heaviest during Sat night. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun morning, min 8°C on Tue morning). Mainly strong winds.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Some drizzle, heaviest during Tue night. Very mild (max 12°C on Wed afternoon, min 9°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SSW on Tue night, light winds from the W by Thu night).

Sunday
6
Monday
7
Tuesday
8
Wednesday
9
Thursday
10
Friday
11
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
!
2
0
0
0
1
2
!
0
0
!
0
!
0
!
!
0
!
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3.5
SW
10
2.1
SW
14
2
SW
14
1.7
SW
13
1.1
SW
12
0.9
SW
13
1.2
SW
14
1.3
SW
18
2.1
SW
17
2.1
SW
16
3.5
SW
16
4
SW
19
4
SW
18
3.5
SW
17
3.5
SW
16
2.5
SW
16
2.3
SW
15
2.3
SW
14
2.5
SW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
2648
1785
1528
903
335
279
557
995
2442
2061
6080
9945
10647
8074
5777
3499
2140
2119
3142
Wind (km/h)
45
WSW
15
W
15
SW
20
WSW
25
WSW
30
S
15
S
15
W
20
SW
30
SSW
35
SSW
35
SW
30
SW
20
WSW
25
SW
20
WSW
15
W
20
SSW
5
S
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
on
on
on
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
High Tide
6:00AM1.38m
5:17PM1.37m
6:59AM1.31m
6:13PM1.30m
8:07AM1.24m
7:28PM1.23m
9:24AM1.22m
8:58PM1.19m
10:41AM1.24m
10:31PM1.22m
11:44AM1.29m
11:52PM1.31m
Low Tide
11:16PM0.13m
11:38AM0.68m
00:08AM0.18m
12:33PM0.74m
1:09AM0.25m
1:44PM0.76m
2:23AM0.32m
3:11PM0.74m
3:47AM0.36m
4:42PM0.65m
5:10AM0.36m
5:52PM0.51m
rain showers
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
rain showers
cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:35
6:35
6:33
6:31
6:30
6:28
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:01
6:02
6:04
6:05
6:06
6:07
 mm
1
1
Temp °C
13
14
14
13
12
11
10
10
12
11
11
12
11
11
12
11
10
10
9
Feels °C
5
13
11
8
7
5
5
7
7
5
3
4
4
6
7
7
5
6
6
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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