Rye Ocean Beach Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.39° S 144.78° E

Rye Ocean Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 am 06 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Rye Ocean Beach sea temperature is
13.4°C
0.6° 

Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 6 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Tuesday 8 Sep, 4PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 17s period, SW swell with onshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 9 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 18s period, SW swell with 10,527 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 8 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 19s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:

The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 08) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 19s period with a secondary swell of 1.6m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 4.0m 18s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Sep 13) at 10AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7AM (Tue 8th Sep)3.5ft (1.1m) 19s
Best Surf 4PM (Tue 8th Sep)7ft (2.1m) 17s
Most Powerful10PM (Wed 9th Sep)13ft (4.0m) 18s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G’day, I’m Rusty. Let’s talk about what’s on the cards for Rye Ocean Beach over the next couple of weeks.

Look, I’m not gonna sugarcoat it – the start of the run is a bit of a mixed bag. We’ve got some solid SW groundswell coming through, but it’s been too big for the setup, and the wind has been messing with it. The first real chance to get wet that’s worth getting excited about lands on Saturday the 12th. That afternoon session is the standout. The swell is a decent 6ft from the SW, with a long 15-second period pushing plenty of energy (1515). The wind goes glassy – literally, a slight air from the NNE – and that’s as clean as it gets. The water temp is sitting at about 56°, which is pretty much normal for this time of year, so no surprises there. This one is a proper gem, but it’s one for experienced surfers because the swell’s still a touch over 5ft.

Before that, we’ve got a few days of onshore wind and big, messy swell. Sunday the 6th morning has a 8ft SW swell and cross-on wind – it’s just too big for this break and choppy. The afternoon’s no better. Monday the 7th and Tuesday the 8th are mostly poor or marginal, with strong onshore winds and short-period junk. The energy’s moderate to strong at times, but the conditions just aren’t playing ball.

After Saturday’s highlight, things get a bit rough again. Sunday the 13th has some clean cross-off wind but the swell drops to 4ft and the energy’s weak (691). Not much to write home about. Monday the 14th is a write-off with 28 mph winds and rain. Then we’re into another big pulse around Tuesday the 15th and Wednesday the 16th – 13ft SW swell, high energy (11774), but onshore gales ruin it. That’s kite-surfing territory, not paddle surfing.

The next real flicker of hope comes on Thursday the 17th. The afternoon has glassy conditions again with a 8ft SSW swell (3897 energy). It’s still a bit big for beginners, but the wind is dead calm. That’s a good one for experienced crew. Friday the 18th is clean but the swell’s small and the wind is howling at 28 mph, so it’s a struggle.

The rest of the run into the third week – Saturday the 19th through Monday the 21st – is a mix of small, clean swells with long periods but stiff winds, or bigger swells with onshore wind. Nothing that really jumps out. The crowds at Rye Ocean Beach can be an issue sometimes, especially when it’s clean, so keep that in mind.

So, bottom line: Saturday the 12th afternoon is your best bet – glassy, clean, and a solid 6ft groundswell. Thursday the 17th afternoon is a close second. The rest of the window is either too big, too windy, or too small.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Some drizzle, heaviest during Tue night. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun morning, min 8°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (calm on Sun morning, strong winds from the SW by Tue night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 12°C on Wed night, min 7°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the SSW on Wed morning, calm by Fri night).

Sunday
6
Monday
7
Tuesday
8
Wednesday
9
Thursday
10
Friday
11
Saturday
12
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
!
1
0
0
0
2
2
!
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
!
!
!
!
4
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.3
SW
14
1.9
SW
14
1.7
SW
13
1
SW
12
0.9
SW
13
1.8
SW
14
1.3
SW
18
2.1
SW
17
2.1
SW
16
3.5
SW
16
4
SW
18
4
SW
17
3.5
SW
17
3
SW
16
2.5
SW
15
2.3
SW
14
2.2
SW
14
2.4
SW
16
2.2
SW
15
1.8
SW
15
1.6
SW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
2125
1423
903
292
269
1218
995
2442
2061
6003
10012
10033
6879
5169
3367
2090
1956
2803
2237
1432
992
Wind (km/h)
15
W
20
SW
20
WSW
25
SW
25
S
15
S
15
W
20
SSW
40
SW
40
SSW
40
SW
35
SW
25
WSW
25
SW
20
WSW
15
WSW
20
SSW
0
W
10
NNE
5
NNE
20
N
Wind State
cross-on
on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
on
on
on
on
on
on
on
cross-on
glassy
cross-off
glassy
cross-off
High Tide
5:17PM1.37m
6:59AM1.31m
6:13PM1.30m
8:07AM1.24m
7:28PM1.23m
9:24AM1.22m
8:58PM1.19m
10:41AM1.24m
10:31PM1.22m
11:44AM1.29m
11:52PM1.31m
12:34PM1.35m
00:55AM1.41m
Low Tide
11:38AM0.68m
00:08AM0.18m
12:33PM0.74m
1:09AM0.25m
1:44PM0.76m
2:23AM0.32m
3:11PM0.74m
3:47AM0.36m
4:42PM0.65m
5:10AM0.36m
5:52PM0.51m
6:17AM0.34m
6:46PM0.38m
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
rain showers
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:35
6:35
6:33
6:31
6:30
6:28
6:26
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:01
6:02
6:04
6:05
6:06
6:07
6:07
 mm
1
Temp °C
14
13
13
12
11
10
10
12
11
11
11
12
11
12
11
10
9
9
12
18
16
Feels °C
13
9
8
4
4
6
8
7
5
1
2
4
6
7
6
6
5
7
9
15
12
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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