Rye Ocean Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s look at what’s coming up for Rye Ocean Beach. It’s a bit of a mixed bag – some real promise, but we gotta wade through some ugly weather to get to the good stuff.

We start off with a bit of a tease. Friday morning, the 10th of July, has some clean 5ft SW groundswell with a long 15-second period, and the water’s sitting at a normal 57°. The wind is a light cross-off, a gentle breeze, so it’s looking clean. Combined energy is moderate at 1193. It’s a beginner-friendly beach and reef setup, so it’s a good option to get wet. The afternoon cleans up even more with 5ft SW swell and glassy conditions, but the energy drops a bit to 966. It’s a nice start.

Then the wheels come off. Saturday the 11th and Sunday the 12th are a write-off. Howling northerly and northwesterly winds, up to 31 mph, are going to trash the surface. Sunday sees the swell jump to 10ft, but with near-gale cross-shore winds, it’s a complete mess. The combined energy jumps to 2545, but it’s unsurfable.

Monday the 13th and Tuesday the 14th are no better. We’re looking at a massive 12ft to 13ft SW groundswell with very long 15-16 second periods. The energy is strong to very strong, hitting 14,462 on Tuesday morning. But the wind is a brutal cross-shore or cross-onshore, 19-28 mph. This is big, powerful, and ugly. This is expert territory, and even then, the wind is going to make it a battle. Honestly, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

Things start to calm down on Wednesday the 15th. The swell drops to a still-chunky 8ft, but the wind is a moderate cross-shore. The forecast notes it’s probably too big for this break, so keep that in mind. It’s a step in the right direction, but not the standout.

Now, here is the real standout for the whole period. On Thursday the 16th of July, the afternoon session is the one to circle. The swell drops to a very manageable 6ft from the SW, with a 14-second period. The wind goes glassy, absolutely dead calm, with a light SSE breeze. This is going to be clean, smooth, and beautiful. The combined energy is a moderate 1400. This is the best window for experienced surfers to get some truly excellent, clean waves at Rye Ocean Beach.

Friday the 17th is a solid backup plan. The swell holds at 7ft SW with a long 16-second period in the morning, and the wind is a light cross-off. The afternoon is even cleaner, with 6ft SW swell and light cross-off breezes. It’s a good run of clean, lined-up swell.

After that, the energy drops off fast. The weekend of the 18th and 19th sees the swell shrink to 4ft or less, and the wind picks up again, making it poor. There’s a long gap of poor conditions from the 20th of July right through to the 25th, with small, weak swell and strong, messy winds. The combined energy is weak, mostly below 300. It’s a blank run that’s pretty normal for the area when the weather turns.

So, to wrap it up: get out there Friday morning for a fun session, but the absolute best is the glassy Thursday afternoon on the 16th. After that, it’s a long wait for the next pulse.

Rusty.

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