Rye Ocean Beach Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.39° S 144.78° E

Rye Ocean Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 pm 18 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Rye Ocean Beach sea temperature is
13.2° C
0.5° 

Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 18 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 22 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 16s period, WSW swell with cross-shore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 22 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 16s period, WSW swell with 3,480 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 22 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 16s period with WSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:

The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 22) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.5m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 2.4m and 16s. Another secondary swell of 0.4m and 16s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-shore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 2.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 22) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 5s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 19) at 4PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Sat 22nd Aug)8ft (2.5m) 16s
Best Surf 4AM (Sat 22nd Aug)8ft (2.5m) 16s
Most Powerful 4AM (Sat 22nd Aug)8ft (2.5m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here, let's take a look at what's coming down the pipe for Rye Ocean Beach.

We're looking at a bit of a slow start to this 16-day stretch, but there's a solid pulse of energy heading our way later on. The water temp is sitting at about 56°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so don't expect any nasty surprises when you get in.

The first real chance to get wet hits on Tuesday the 18th. We've got a clean 4ft swell rolling in from the southwest, with a light offshore breeze from the north-northeast. The wave energy is sitting at a moderate 621, and conditions are looking very good. It's a sweet little window to get a few fun ones before things go a bit sideways.

Wednesday the 19th through Friday the 21st is a write-off, to be honest. The wind cranks up hard from the north and north-northwest, blowing at 28 mph and 16 mph, absolutely ruining what little swell is on offer. You'd be better off staying home.

Now, here's where it gets interesting. The weekend of the 22nd and 23rd of August sees a serious pulse of southwest swell, pushing up to 8ft. The combined energy jumps into the thousands – we're talking 3187 on Saturday morning. But, here's the kicker: that size is pushing it for Rye Ocean Beach, especially with a 16-second period. The forecast says it's too big for this break. For most of us, that's a no-go. The cross-shore winds on Saturday don't help either. It could be a spectacle to watch, but not one to paddle out into unless you're a real glutton for punishment.

The following week brings more frustration. Monday the 24th has a smaller, cleaner 5ft swell but it's only rated as marginal. Tuesday the 25th is choppy onshore junk from the south.

We finally get a proper window again on Wednesday the 26th of August. The morning shows a clean 4ft southwest swell with a nice 16 mph offshore wind from the north-northeast. The wave energy is a moderate 602 and conditions are expected to be very good. This is a solid, clean option.

The end of the month and into September is where the standout quality lies. Sunday the 30th of August has excellent conditions for experienced surfers. We've got a 5ft to 6ft southwest swell, light offshore winds, and a combined energy around 1865. That's proper power and clean faces. Then Monday the 31st of August continues the trend with a 5ft swell, a long 17-second period, and light offshore winds from the north-northwest. The energy is a healthy 1394. This is groundswell, folks. It's going to be clean, powerful, and with those long gaps between sets, paddling out will be easier than it looks.

The best of the best, though, looks like Tuesday the 1st of September. The morning session offers a clean 6ft southwest swell, a near-slick offshore breeze from the north-northeast at just 3 mph, and a combined energy of 1572. This is an excellent call for experienced surfers. If you can get out there, that's your session.

The period winds down on the 2nd of September with smaller, cleaner leftovers, but that earlier run is the real gold.

So, the takeaway: The first week is a bust with one bright spot. The real show is from the 30th of August right through to the 1st of September. That's where you'll find the cleanest, most powerful surf of the window.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Very mild (max 15°C on Tue night, min 11°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the N on Wed morning, light winds from the NW by Thu afternoon).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Some drizzle, heaviest during Mon afternoon. Very mild (max 17°C on Mon morning, min 9°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (light winds from the N on Sun afternoon, fresh winds from the NNW by Mon morning).

Wednesday
19
Thursday
20
Friday
21
Saturday
22
Sunday
23
Monday
24
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
0
!
!
!
!
!
2
2
0
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1
SW
15
0.8
SW
15
0.7
SW
15
0.7
SW
15
0.5
SW
18
0.9
WSW
13
0.8
SW
16
1.2
SW
15
1.2
SW
14
2.5
WSW
16
2.5
SW
15
2.3
SW
15
2.3
SW
14
2.2
SW
14
2.1
SW
16
1.8
SW
16
1.6
SW
14
1.7
SW
14
1.9
SW
13
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
465
255
239
217
155
282
306
675
614
3436
3011
2553
2247
1891
2157
1622
1063
1052
1173
Wind (km/h)
30
NNE
45
N
45
N
25
NNW
25
NNW
15
NW
20
NW
25
WNW
15
NW
25
W
25
WNW
10
WSW
20
WNW
20
NW
5
N
25
N
30
NNW
20
W
15
SW
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
on
High Tide
4:18AM1.48m
4:10PM1.50m
5:00AM1.44m
4:40PM1.46m
5:41AM1.39m
5:09PM1.40m
6:23AM1.32m
5:39PM1.33m
7:08AM1.26m
6:12PM1.26m
7:59AM1.21m
6:56PM1.18m
Low Tide
10:12AM0.47m
10:36PM0.22m
10:48AM0.56m
11:11PM0.24m
11:22AM0.65m
11:46PM0.28m
11:57AM0.73m
00:23AM0.32m
12:37PM0.79m
1:04AM0.36m
1:27PM0.83m
1:53AM0.39m
rain showers
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
cloud
cloud
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part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
rain showers
mod rain
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:01
7:01
7:00
6:58
6:56
6:54
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:46
5:47
5:49
5:49
5:50
5:51
 mm
1
2
1
1
1
10
Temp °C
15
13
13
14
14
14
12
13
14
13
13
13
13
12
15
14
17
17
11
Feels °C
12
4
5
7
10
10
7
8
10
8
9
10
9
9
13
9
12
12
7
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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