Surf Forecasts:
Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 16 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 22 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 15s period, SW swell with onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 23 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 17s period, SW swell with 4,312 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 16 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 14s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 16) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 14s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 3.0m 17s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 23) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 5s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 19) at 4PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Sun 16th Aug) | 5ft (1.6m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 7PM (Sat 22nd Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Sun 23rd Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G'day, Rusty here. Let's get stuck into the surf outlook for Rye Ocean Beach.
The next couple of weeks have some real moments, but you'll have to work around some wild wind. The first good window opens on Sunday, August 17th. A 5ft SW groundswell with a long 14-second period is rolling in. The wind is the key here: clean, gentle offshore from the ENE at 9 mph. That's going to make for some really clean, peeling waves. This is your top pick for the first week.
Monday, August 18th is another good one. A 4ft SW swell with a 14-second period, and again we get offshore winds from the NE at 12 mph. It's a little smaller, but you'll still find some nice lines.
Then we hit a rough patch. From the 19th through to the 27th, it's mostly a write-off. Gusty 31 mph winds from the north on the 19th and 20th will mess it up, followed by a long run of strong onshore winds that'll blow everything out. The swell gets big, hitting over 8ft on the 23rd, but it'll be blown out and sloppy. For a beach and reef spot like this, that's a kite-surfing set-up, not a paddle-surfing one. The water temp is around 56°, which is typical for this time of year.
Now, if you're patient, the Saturday, August 29th is the real gem. A 6ft SW swell is on the way, but the wind is perfect – a light offshore from the north at 6 mph. This is shaping up for an epic morning of clean, powerful surf. It's rated for experienced surfers, so the more confident crew will love it. The Sunday the 30th also looks tidy with a 5ft SW swell and a light cross-offshore breeze.
So, my call: hit the 17th and 18th for some quality. Ride out the stormy week, and then lock in the 29th. That's the session. It's a long wait, but it'll be worth it.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Tue night. Very mild (max 18°C on Tue afternoon, min 10°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (light winds from the E on Mon morning, near gales from the N by Wed morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Thu afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Thu afternoon, min 9°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (near gales from the N on Wed afternoon, light winds from the WSW by Thu afternoon). | |||||||||||||||||||
Sun 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | SW 12 | WSW 14 | WSW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1139 | 990 | 885 | 1474 | 1246 | 667 | 621 | 465 | 255 | 236 | 217 | 183 | 282 | 458 | 614 | 672 | 2136 | 2808 | 3135 | 3080 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | off | cross | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | on | on | cross |
High Tide | 2:47AM1.48m | 3:05PM1.53m | 3:35AM1.50m | 3:39PM1.53m | 4:18AM1.48m | 4:10PM1.50m | 5:00AM1.44m | 4:40PM1.46m | 5:41AM1.39m | 5:09PM1.40m | 6:23AM1.32m | 5:39PM1.33m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:41PM0.30m | 8:55AM0.30m | 9:21PM0.24m | 9:35AM0.38m | 9:59PM0.21m | 10:12AM0.47m | 10:36PM0.22m | 10:48AM0.56m | 11:11PM0.24m | 11:22AM0.65m | 11:46PM0.28m | 11:57AM0.73m | 00:23AM0.32m | |||||||
 |  | | | |  | |  |  |  |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:00 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — |
 | 5:44 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:49 | — | — | 5:49 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 13 | 12 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 18 | 16 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 |
Feels °C | 10 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | SW 12 | WSW 14 | WSW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 |
| kJ | 1139 | 990 | 885 | 1474 | 1246 | 667 | 621 | 465 | 255 | 236 | 217 | 183 | 282 | 458 | 614 | 672 | 2136 | 2808 | 3135 | 3080 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SE 4 | ESE 4 | SSW 17 | SSW 15 | SW 18 | SSW 17 | SE 4 | SE 7 | SE 7 | SW 19 | WSW 10 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 11 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | S 16 | S 16 |
| kJ | — | 9 | 8 | 57 | 44 | 307 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 59 | 75 | 171 | 130 | 447 | 361 | 27 | 48 | 137 | 129 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | SSW 11 | — | SE 5 | — | SSW 15 | SW 15 | S 16 | E 7 | SW 18 | S 16 | — | SW 19 | SW 18 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | 25 | — | 7 | — | 23 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 155 | 20 | — | 303 | 621 | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | ESE 4 | — | SE 4 | ESE 5 | E 5 | E 5 | NNE 3 | NNE 5 | NNE 5 | NNW 4 | NW 4 | WNW 4 | W 4 | WNW 3 | WNW 3 | NW 4 | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | 7 | — | 5 | 34 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 63 | 74 | 17 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 7 | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 15 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 70 | 70 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 35 | 16 | 25 | 35 | 52 | 40 | 18 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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