
Surf Forecasts:
Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 20 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 25 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 13s period, SW swell with cross-shore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 24 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 14s period, SW swell with 6,402 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 25 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 13s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 3.0m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be cross-shore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 4.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10AM (Sat 25th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 10AM (Sat 25th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Fri 24th Jul) | 13ft (4.0m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at Rye Ocean Beach. This is a beach and reef setup, so it can handle swell from a few angles, and it’s best when the wind is out of the NE—offshore for this place.
Right now, the water temp is sitting at 57°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so nothing unusual there.
The first surf worth paddling out for is Monday morning, July 20. There’s a 3ft SW groundswell rolling in with a long 16-second period, so the energy is decent (547). The wind is cross-off from the NNW at 12 mph, which will keep things clean. It’s a marginal call, and the break is fairly consistent, but it’s a quiet spot crowds-wise, so you might get a few to yourself. Monday afternoon drops off to 2ft and a cross breeze, not much to write home about.
Tuesday July 21 looks a touch better. Morning has 5ft SW swell with a 14-second period, and the combined energy is strong (813). Wind is cross-off from the N at 12 mph, so the face should be tidy. Again, it’s in that marginal zone, but for a beginner-friendly spot, it’s worth a look. Tuesday afternoon holds similar size, but the wind backs off a little.
Then we hit a rough patch. From Wednesday July 22 right through to the end of the month, conditions get messy. The wind swings onshore or cross-onshore, and the swell jumps up—big numbers like 10ft to 12ft from Thursday July 23 through Friday July 25. That’s too much wave for this break, especially with the wind tearing it up. The energy readings are huge (7030, 6830, 7379), but it’s all chop and lump. Not a paddle board day—more like a kite session if you’re into that.
Saturday July 25 morning, the wind goes cross and the swell is 10ft, but it’s still too big for the break to handle well. The energy is massive (5950), but the offshore wind isn’t there. The rest of that weekend and into the next week remains a write-off with onshore winds and solid swell.
Now, here’s a glimmer. Wednesday July 29 morning, the wind finally turns offshore from the NE at 6 mph, and the swell is a meaty 8ft SW with a 16-second period. Combined energy is 3029—strong. That’s still a big wave for this spot, and the file says it’s too big for the break, so it’s for experienced surfers only. Wednesday afternoon gets glassy with NNE wind at 3 mph, 7ft SW swell, and the energy is 2530. That’s a standout moment—clean, glassy, and a proper groundswell. But it’s a big wave, so don’t take it lightly.
Thursday July 30 afternoon is another bright spot. The wind is cross-off from the NNE, light at 3 mph, with 5ft SW swell and a 14-second period. Energy is 1035, moderate. The file calls it excellent for experienced surfers, and it’s the most manageable size of the later period. That’s the one to circle.
Friday July 31 through the first few days of August, the swell stays big—8ft to 18ft, with wind staying cross-off from the N. The energy is through the roof (2997 up to 16250). The conditions are clean, but the wave size is for experts only. It’s a long-range call, so don’t bank on it, but if you’re a solid surfer, August 1–3 could be a big-wave playground.
Bottom line: The best chance for a decent session is Thursday July 30 afternoon, with clean 5ft waves and light offshore winds. For the big wave crew, Wednesday July 29 afternoon glassy session is a standout, but it’s a big one. The rest of the window is either blown out or too oversized for fun.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Wed afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon afternoon, min 8°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NW on Mon afternoon, fresh winds from the WSW by Wed night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Thu morning. Very mild (max 13°C on Fri night, min 7°C on Thu morning). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WNW on Fri afternoon, moderate winds from the W by Sat night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 11 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
502 | 226 | 418 | 777 | 711 | 449 | 421 | 527 | 1562 | 3875 | 4310 | 5366 | 6128 | 4940 | 4247 | 2982 | 2973 | 2233 | 1347 | 980 | 1131 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 4:10PM1.57m | 4:39AM1.44m | 4:46PM1.54m | 5:28AM1.41m | 5:19PM1.50m | 6:16AM1.37m | 5:51PM1.45m | 7:05AM1.33m | 6:24PM1.39m | 7:57AM1.29m | 7:00PM1.33m | 8:53AM1.27m | 7:44PM1.27m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:29PM0.33m | 10:35AM0.45m | 11:10PM0.31m | 11:15AM0.57m | 11:50PM0.31m | 11:55AM0.68m | 00:29AM0.33m | 12:35PM0.77m | 1:11AM0.35m | 1:20PM0.85m | 1:55AM0.37m | 2:13PM0.90m | 2:43AM0.38m | ||||||||
7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | |
— | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:23 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:25 | — | — | 5:25 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | 1 | 4 | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 |
Feels °C | 7 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 11 | SW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 |
502 | 226 | 418 | 777 | 711 | 449 | 421 | 527 | 1562 | 3155 | 63 | 5366 | 6128 | 4940 | 4247 | 2968 | 2319 | 1934 | 1347 | 980 | 851 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 16 | WSW 12 | WSW 18 | SSW 14 | — | E 11 | E 10 | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 17 | S 15 | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 16 | — |
20 | 125 | 32 | 36 | — | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 702 | 477 | — | — | — | — | — | 25 | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | S 10 | E 11 | — | — | — | N 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
25 | 7 | 2 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 3 | NNW 3 | NW 3 | N 3 | N 3 | NNW 3 | WNW 4 | WSW 5 | — | SW 14 | SW 14 | — | — | WSW 10 | — | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | — | — | SW 11 |
2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 71 | — | 3875 | 4310 | — | — | 1962 | — | 2982 | 2973 | 2233 | — | — | 1131 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 27 | 35 | 36 | 35 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 478 | 475 | 40 | 36 | 40 | 40 | 24 | 36 | 24 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










