Rye Ocean Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, I’m Rusty. Let’s talk about what’s on the cards for Rye Ocean Beach over the next couple of weeks.

Look, I’m not gonna sugarcoat it – the start of the run is a bit of a mixed bag. We’ve got some solid SW groundswell coming through, but it’s been too big for the setup, and the wind has been messing with it. The first real chance to get wet that’s worth getting excited about lands on Saturday the 12th. That afternoon session is the standout. The swell is a decent 6ft from the SW, with a long 15-second period pushing plenty of energy (1515). The wind goes glassy – literally, a slight air from the NNE – and that’s as clean as it gets. The water temp is sitting at about 56°, which is pretty much normal for this time of year, so no surprises there. This one is a proper gem, but it’s one for experienced surfers because the swell’s still a touch over 5ft.

Before that, we’ve got a few days of onshore wind and big, messy swell. Sunday the 6th morning has a 8ft SW swell and cross-on wind – it’s just too big for this break and choppy. The afternoon’s no better. Monday the 7th and Tuesday the 8th are mostly poor or marginal, with strong onshore winds and short-period junk. The energy’s moderate to strong at times, but the conditions just aren’t playing ball.

After Saturday’s highlight, things get a bit rough again. Sunday the 13th has some clean cross-off wind but the swell drops to 4ft and the energy’s weak (691). Not much to write home about. Monday the 14th is a write-off with 28 mph winds and rain. Then we’re into another big pulse around Tuesday the 15th and Wednesday the 16th – 13ft SW swell, high energy (11774), but onshore gales ruin it. That’s kite-surfing territory, not paddle surfing.

The next real flicker of hope comes on Thursday the 17th. The afternoon has glassy conditions again with a 8ft SSW swell (3897 energy). It’s still a bit big for beginners, but the wind is dead calm. That’s a good one for experienced crew. Friday the 18th is clean but the swell’s small and the wind is howling at 28 mph, so it’s a struggle.

The rest of the run into the third week – Saturday the 19th through Monday the 21st – is a mix of small, clean swells with long periods but stiff winds, or bigger swells with onshore wind. Nothing that really jumps out. The crowds at Rye Ocean Beach can be an issue sometimes, especially when it’s clean, so keep that in mind.

So, bottom line: Saturday the 12th afternoon is your best bet – glassy, clean, and a solid 6ft groundswell. Thursday the 17th afternoon is a close second. The rest of the window is either too big, too windy, or too small.

Rusty.

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