Rye Ocean Beach Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.39° S 144.78° E

Rye Ocean Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 pm 02 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Rye Ocean Beach sea temperature is
13.5°C
0.8° 

Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 2 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 2 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 15s period, SW swell with cross-shore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 9 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 19s period, SW swell with 11,108 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 2 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 15s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:

The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 02) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.4m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 16s. Another secondary swell of 0.8m and 4s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-shore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 4.0m 19s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 5s period and expected on Saturday (Sep 05) at 7AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Wed 2nd Sep)8ft (2.4m) 15s
Best Surf10PM (Wed 2nd Sep)8ft (2.4m) 15s
Most Powerful10PM (Wed 9th Sep)13ft (4.0m) 19s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, let’s break down what’s coming for Rye Ocean Beach. This spot’s a beach and reef setup, pretty open to the south-west. It breaks fairly consistent and is usually beginner-friendly. But we got a wild ride ahead.

Water temp’s around 56°, right where it should be for this time of year, no surprises.

First few days are rough. Wednesday afternoon and all day Thursday – cross-onshore winds 19 to 22 mph, swell 8 ft to 15 ft, but the surface is lumpy and blown out. Don’t bother.

Friday the 4th – now this is interesting. Early morning goes clean, cross-offshore wind from the NNW at 12 mph. Swell runs 11 ft from the SW, 16-second period – that’s long-period groundswell. Combined energy is strong at 5360. But heads up, this is too big for beginners. Afternoon stays clean with a light breeze, swell 10 ft. Best of the early stretch, but you need experience.

Saturday the 5th is a total mess – near gale force winds 34 mph plus, totally blown out. Same for Sunday morning, though the wind shifts onshore. Sunday afternoon eases to 7 ft but still marginal.

Then we hit a quiet spell. Monday and Tuesday the 7th and 8th are mostly poor or too small. There’s a brief window Tuesday morning with a very long 18-second period swell at 4 ft, but wind’s cross-shore and energy’s weak at 1817. Barely worth it.

From the 9th on, it gets ugly. Strong onshore winds, big blown swells. Wednesday the 9th and Thursday the 10th have 7 ft to 13 ft swells with terrible wind. This setup’s more for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

Now, the real standout – Sunday the 13th, afternoon session. Swell 6 ft from the WSW, 16-second period, combined energy 1853 – moderate but clean. Wind goes glassy from the NNE, so it’ll be smooth. This is excellent for experienced surfers, with enough punch but not overwhelming. That’s your best bet.

Monday the 14th and Tuesday the 15th swing back to big – 8 ft to 11 ft – but winds are better, especially Tuesday afternoon with a light east breeze and clean conditions. Still, expert only.

Wednesday the 16th onward goes downhill, strong winds and poor quality through the 17th. That window closes fast after Sunday.

So bottom line – if you’re skilled, hit Friday morning the 4th for a solid challenge, or wait for absolute glass on the 13th. Otherwise, it’s a long stretch of frustrating surf.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 14mm), heaviest on Fri night. Very mild (max 16°C on Fri afternoon, min 9°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNW on Fri afternoon, near gales from the WNW by Sat morning).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Some drizzle, heaviest during Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Sat afternoon, min 8°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the W on Sat afternoon, calm by Mon night).

Wed
2
Thursday
3
Friday
4
Saturday
5
Sunday
6
Monday
7
Tuesday
8
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
!
0
0
!
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0
0
0
0
!
!
2
0
0
3
3
!
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.4
SW
15
2.5
SW
14
3
SW
14
4.5
WSW
14
3.5
SW
15
3.5
SW
16
3
SW
16
2.5
SW
16
2.3
SW
15
3.5
WSW
14
3
SW
13
2.4
SW
14
2.1
SW
13
1.6
SW
12
1.2
SW
12
1.3
SW
13
1.6
SW
12
1.3
SW
18
2.1
SW
17
2
SW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
2725
2680
3150
6661
5681
5087
4838
3544
2329
4737
3369
2284
1452
773
423
591
812
1112
2414
1904
Wind (km/h)
30
W
35
NW
35
WSW
30
W
25
WNW
20
NNW
15
NNW
45
N
55
WNW
50
W
30
W
20
WSW
10
SSW
10
WNW
20
WSW
20
S
10
SSE
10
NW
20
SSW
25
W
Wind State
cross-on
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
on
cross-on
High Tide
3:39AM1.49m
3:22PM1.44m
4:22AM1.49m
3:55PM1.44m
5:09AM1.45m
4:33PM1.42m
6:00AM1.38m
5:17PM1.37m
6:59AM1.31m
6:13PM1.30m
8:07AM1.24m
7:28PM1.23m
Low Tide
9:13PM0.18m
9:36AM0.48m
9:50PM0.13m
10:13AM0.54m
10:31PM0.12m
10:53AM0.62m
11:16PM0.13m
11:38AM0.68m
00:08AM0.18m
12:33PM0.74m
1:09AM0.25m
1:44PM0.76m
2:23AM0.32m
clear
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rain showers
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clear
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rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
clear
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
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<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:41
6:39
6:37
6:35
6:35
6:33
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:59
6:00
6:00
6:00
6:01
6:02
6:04
 mm
1
12
1
1
Temp °C
13
13
13
13
11
14
16
14
13
13
13
13
13
12
13
12
11
11
11
11
Feels °C
6
6
5
6
5
9
12
6
2
3
5
10
10
9
9
7
8
9
7
6
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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