Surf Forecasts:
Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 11 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 11 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 16s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 15 Sep, 7PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 14s period, SW swell with 5,452 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 11 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 11) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.5m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 4.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Sep 13) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Fri 11th Sep) | 8ft (2.5m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Fri 11th Sep) | 8ft (2.5m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Tue 15th Sep) | 13ft (4.0m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s shaping up at Rye Ocean Beach.
Right now, the ocean is pumping but it’s a bit of a wild card. We’ve got a serious run of strong, long-period SW groundswell coming in. The energy is massive – we’re talking values up to 3326 (moderate to strong) for Friday the 11th. But here’s the catch: the swell is too big for the break, and it’s bumpy with a cross-onshore wind. The water temp is 56.3°, which is about average for this time of year, nothing wild. Friday is a wash for a paddle.
Saturday the 12th looks better in the morning. Swell is still 7.9 ft from the SW with a 16-second period. The wind is a light cross-offshore from the north, so it’ll be clean. Still big for beginners though, over 8.2 ft is expert territory. Saturday afternoon gets even better: offshore wind from the NE at 6 mph and a 6.9 ft SW swell. That’s clean, lined-up surf, but again, only for those who can handle some size.
Sunday the 13th drops a bit, 4.9-5.2 ft SW swell, but the wind cranks up to 22 mph from the north. The energy is still moderate (1136), but that wind will make it tricky. It’s a pass for me.
Monday the 14th, the swell fades to around 3.6 ft, and the wind goes onshore in the afternoon. Poor conditions. Tuesday the 15th is a complete write-off – onshore gales and a 13.1 ft swell. That’s dangerous and messy, more for the kite crew than paddle surfers.
Wednesday the 16th is another big day, 9.8 ft SW swell but with a strong cross-onshore. Thursday the 17th is still too big at 6.9 ft, but the wind is lighter. Friday the 18th looks promising – 6.9 ft SW swell, 16-second period, clean with a cross-offshore from the NW. The energy is moderate (2311), and the conditions are favorable. This is a standout for the confident surfer.
Saturday the 19th is smaller, 4.9-5.9 ft, clean but not as punchy. Then we hit a bit of a gap. Sunday the 20th and Monday the 21st have poor conditions or onshore wind. Tuesday the 22nd is another 13.1 ft monster with onshore wind – no go.
Wednesday the 23rd is interesting: 8.2 ft SW swell, 15-second period, clean with a cross-offshore from the ESE. That’s another standout window for experts. Energy is moderate (2762). Thursday the 24th drops off quickly.
The best bets on the table are Saturday the 12th morning for clean, big waves, and Friday the 18th and Wednesday the 23rd for that clean, powerful groundswell. Keep an eye on those windows – they’re the true standouts.
Stay safe out there.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Sun afternoon, min 11°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (calm on Fri night, strong winds from the N by Sun night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Tue morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon afternoon, min 8°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the SW on Tue afternoon, calm by Thu morning). | |||||||||||||||||||
Fri 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 2945 | 3634 | 2723 | 2012 | 1500 | 1108 | 1028 | 598 | 404 | 290 | 128 | 2326 | 5295 | 4904 | 4079 | 3532 | 2792 | 1804 | 1343 | 1514 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | glassy | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | on | on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | on | cross-off |
High Tide | 11:52PM1.31m | 12:34PM1.35m | 00:55AM1.41m | 1:17PM1.41m | 1:47AM1.49m | 1:55PM1.45m | 2:32AM1.54m | 2:30PM1.47m | 3:14AM1.55m | 3:03PM1.47m | 3:52AM1.53m | 3:33PM1.44m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:52PM0.51m | 6:17AM0.34m | 6:46PM0.38m | 7:11AM0.33m | 7:31PM0.27m | 7:56AM0.35m | 8:12PM0.19m | 8:36AM0.38m | 8:49PM0.15m | 9:13AM0.43m | 9:24PM0.14m | 9:47AM0.50m | 9:58PM0.16m | |||||||
 |  |  | |  | | | |  | | |  | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — |
 | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:08 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:10 | — | — | 6:12 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 12 | 16 | 19 | 18 | 20 | 21 | 19 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
Feels °C | 8 | 9 | 14 | 17 | 16 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 16 | — | WSW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 |
| kJ | 2945 | 3634 | 2723 | 2012 | 1500 | 1108 | 1028 | 598 | 404 | 290 | 128 | 416 | — | 4771 | 4079 | 3532 | 2792 | 1804 | 1343 | 1514 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 17 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 18 | — | — | — | S 16 | S 17 | S 16 | S 14 | — | SSW 14 |
| kJ | 381 | 243 | 211 | 97 | 81 | 28 | 24 | 22 | 15 | 58 | 109 | — | — | — | 127 | 200 | 124 | 101 | — | 215 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | N 4 | N 4 | NNE 3 | N 4 | SW 4 | WSW 4 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | — | SSW 16 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | 13 | 19 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 44 | 2326 | 5295 | 4904 | — | 1302 | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 33 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 2 | 52 | 52 | 52 | 742 | 281 | 274 | 33 | 35 | 24 | 25 | 2 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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