Rye Ocean Beach Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.39° S 144.78° E

Rye Ocean Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 am 30 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Rye Ocean Beach sea temperature is
13.5° C
0.5° 

Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 30 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 1 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 17s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 3 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 13s period, SW swell with 3,991 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 31 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 12s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:

The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 31) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 20s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 3.5m 13s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 03) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 4s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 06) at 10AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4PM (Fri 31st Jul)5ft (1.5m) 12s
Best Surf 7PM (Sat 1st Aug)7ft (2.1m) 17s
Most Powerful 7PM (Mon 3rd Aug)11ft (3.5m) 13s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up for Rye Ocean Beach.

Overall, the pattern for the next two and a bit weeks is a bit of a mixed bag. We’ve got a decent run of conditions to start August, but the first couple of days are going to be a write-off. The good news is that after that, there’s a solid stretch of cleaner, more manageable surf, and even a potential standout session way out in the second week.

Thursday, 30th July is a no-go. The swell is around 6.6ft to 7.5ft from the SW with a period of 13s, which sounds decent, but a strong WSW wind at 16 mph is blowing across the face all day, creating choppy, messy conditions. The combined energy is massive, reading 2071, but it’s all wind-driven junk. Keep the board in the car.

Friday, 31st July starts to improve. The morning is still a bit cross-onshore at 6 mph, with a slow 4.9ft SW swell (12s). It’s marginal. But look at Friday afternoon – the wind drops to absolutely nothing. Glassy conditions. That 4.9ft SW swell will be clean and fun. Combined energy is moderate (759). This is a good window for a beginner-friendly wave.

Saturday, 1st August gets interesting. A light N wind (13 mph) is blowing offshore in the morning with a smaller 3.9ft SW swell. It’s clean, but small. The afternoon is where it gets a bit more serious. That same N wind holds, but the swell jumps to 6.6ft from the SW with a very long period of 17s. That’s a serious groundswell, with combined energy hitting 2402. That’s a powerful, long-period pulse. This is for experienced surfers at Rye Ocean Beach – the long period will make it suck hard and wall up, especially on the reef sections. The offshore wind will hold it together, so if you’re comfortable in that range, this is one of the better offerings of the first week.

Sunday, 2nd August sees a fresher N wind (22 mph) keeping things clean offshore, but it’s a bit windy. Swell holds around 5.2ft to 5.9ft from the SW with a 15-16s period. Lots of energy (1829). It’s still rideable and clean, just a bit more work.

Monday, 3rd August and Tuesday, 4th August are a proper storm window. Strong cross/onshore winds (22-28 mph) and a big, disorganised swell (up to 9.8ft on Monday afternoon). The combined energy peaks at 4478, but it’s pure windslop and dangerous. Leave the paddle board at home, this might be more of a kite session.

Wednesday, 5th August to Thursday, 7th August stays poor. Onshore winds and messy conditions. There’s a pulse of short-period windswell around 4.3ft to 5.2ft, but it’s not worth it with the wind.

Now, Friday, 7th August is a true standout for the forecast period. The wind swings around to a light SE (3 mph), going almost offshore. The swell is a solid 7.5ft from the SW at 14s, with a combined energy of 2242. The data says this might be too big for the break, but for the experienced surfer, this is the one to circle. It’s a clean, powerful SW groundswell with light wind. This is big, powerful, and will be clean. Not for beginners.

Saturday, 8th August is the next best day. The morning has a gentle NE offshore wind (9 mph) with a 5.6ft SW swell (14s). That’s a classic, fun day at Rye Ocean Beach – clean, punchy, and manageable. The energy is strong at 1184. The afternoon stays clean with a lighter cross-offshore breeze. This is the most consistent, all-day option for the intermediate surfer.

From Sunday, 9th August onward, the wind picks up again. A strong N wind (22 mph) will keep things clean but windy, with a dropping swell around 4.6ft to 5.2ft. The energy is moderate to strong (1014 to 1265). It’s rideable but will be bumpy in the afternoon. Not a standout.

The rest of the second week (10th to 14th August) is a write-off with strong cross-shore winds and messy, lumpy surf. There’s a big pulse of 5.9ft to 6.9ft swell, but it’s blown out again. The very end of the outlook, Friday 14th August afternoon, has a ridiculously long 20s period swell hitting 4.9ft from the SW, but it’s accompanied by a strong cross-onshore wind, making it unsurfable. Keep an eye on it, but don’t plan a trip.

So, to sum it up: Friday afternoon, 30th July (glassy, small waves) and Saturday morning

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Thu afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat afternoon, min 9°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (calm on Fri afternoon, fresh winds from the N by Sat night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 13mm), heaviest on Mon afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 9°C on Sun morning). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WNW on Mon morning, moderate winds from the WSW by Tue night).

Thursday
30
Friday
31
Saturday
1
Sunday
2
Monday
3
Tuesday
4
Wednesday
5
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
1
2
3
3
2
3
!
1
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.3
SW
13
2
SW
13
1.8
SW
12
1.5
SW
12
1.5
SW
12
1.3
SW
12
0.8
SW
18
2
SW
17
2.3
SW
16
1.8
SW
16
1.6
SW
15
1.6
SW
14
1.7
SW
14
3
SW
14
3.5
SW
11
2.5
SW
11
2
SW
10
1.6
SW
11
1.3
SW
14
1.3
SW
13
1.1
SW
13
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1730
1299
944
634
614
494
437
2248
2744
1697
1232
1109
1203
3513
3135
1570
738
589
706
618
405
Wind (km/h)
25
WSW
25
WSW
10
WSW
10
WNW
0
SSW
5
NNE
20
N
20
N
25
N
35
N
35
N
30
N
40
WNW
45
WSW
35
WSW
35
SW
35
SW
25
WSW
25
WSW
30
SW
20
W
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
glassy
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
on
on
on
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
High Tide
12:39PM1.36m
11:48PM1.16m
1:20PM1.40m
00:46AM1.20m
1:56PM1.42m
1:38AM1.25m
2:29PM1.44m
2:26AM1.31m
2:59PM1.45m
3:11AM1.36m
3:27PM1.45m
3:56AM1.40m
3:56PM1.46m
Low Tide
6:45PM0.74m
6:25AM0.30m
7:28PM0.65m
7:13AM0.29m
8:05PM0.56m
7:57AM0.29m
8:39PM0.48m
8:38AM0.32m
9:12PM0.40m
9:17AM0.38m
9:45PM0.33m
9:54AM0.45m
10:21PM0.27m
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
rain showers
part cloud
thunderstorm
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
rain showers
part cloud
cloud
cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:24
7:24
7:22
7:22
7:20
7:20
7:18
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:30
5:30
5:30
5:31
5:32
5:34
5:35
 mm
2
2
1
3
3
2
4
Temp °C
12
12
11
11
12
12
11
14
12
13
15
13
10
11
11
12
12
12
11
12
11
Feels °C
6
6
7
9
11
11
6
8
7
5
7
6
1
1
4
5
4
6
5
5
6
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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