Rye Ocean Beach Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.39° S 144.78° E

Rye Ocean Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 am 05 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Rye Ocean Beach sea temperature is
13.5°C
0.7° 

Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 5 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 6 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 14s period, SW swell with onshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 9 Sep, 4PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 19s period, SW swell with 12,621 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 6 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 14s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:

The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 06) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.5m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 20s. Another secondary swell of 1.3m and 7s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be onshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 4.0m 19s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10AM (Sun 6th Sep)8ft (2.5m) 14s
Best Surf10AM (Sun 6th Sep)8ft (2.5m) 14s
Most Powerful 4PM (Wed 9th Sep)13ft (4.0m) 19s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s in store for us over the next couple of weeks. It’s a bit of a mixed bag, so we’ll have to be patient and pick our moments.

The overall pattern is dominated by a lot of south-west swell, but for a beach and reef setup like Rye Ocean Beach, the size and wind are going to be the main story. The water is sitting at 56°F, which is a touch warmer than average for this time of year, so that’s a nice little bonus.

First up, we have a long wait. There’s nothing good on offer for the first few days. The forecast really kicks into gear on Sunday, September 6th. The morning looks like a standout, with a solid 8ft SW swell rolling in, a period of 14 seconds, and clean onshore wind. The combined energy is strong at 2736, and the wind and tide are favorable. But, the swell is predicted to be too big for this break, so that’s a bummer for the average surfer. The afternoon is a bit smaller at 7ft, but the wind is onshore, and it’s only marginal.

Things get tricky the following week. The swell gets huge, with peaks of 13ft on Wednesday, September 9th, and Thursday, September 10th, with periods getting up to 19 seconds. That’s serious energy – we’re looking at readings of 13229 and 9755 – but the wind is onshore and strong, making for poor surf conditions. This is more of a kite-surfing setup than a paddling one.

The real highlight, and the one that’s got my attention, is Saturday, September 12th. The morning is looking clean with a light cross-offshore breeze from the NNW at just 3 mph. The swell is a solid 8ft from the SW, with a 15-second period, and combined energy of 2789. The wind and tide are favorable, but again, the size is predicted to be too big for this break. Still, if you’re an experienced local who knows how to handle the power, that morning session could be the best on offer. The afternoon is a bit smaller at 7ft, but the wind goes cross-shore and the conditions are more marginal.

Then, Sunday, September 13th, is another one to circle. The morning has a clean 8ft SW swell, 15-second period, and a gentle offshore breeze from the NNE at 9 mph. The water will be clean, and the energy is solid at 2342. But again, the size is the issue for this break.

We then get a drop-off in size and energy, with a few days of poor conditions and smaller swell in the second week. The swell picks up again from Tuesday, September 15th, but it’s short period, messy, and windy. Not worth a paddle.

Looking further out, the 17th and 18th of September have big 10ft SW swells, but the wind is messy or cross-offshore. The combined energy is very high, in the 4000-5000 range, but the conditions aren't clean enough to make it a true standout.

So, to sum it up: the best bets are the mornings of Saturday, September 12th, and Sunday, September 13th, if you can handle the size. The forecast is more reliable for the first week.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Sat morning. Very mild (max 16°C on Sat morning, min 8°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WSW on Sat night, light winds from the S by Mon night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Some drizzle, heaviest during Tue night. Very mild (max 12°C on Wed afternoon, min 8°C on Tue morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the WSW on Tue morning, strong winds from the SW by Tue night).

Saturday
5
Sunday
6
Monday
7
Tuesday
8
Wednesday
9
Thursday
10
Friday
11
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
!
1
0
0
0
2
2
!
0
0
0
0
0
0
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Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.3
SW
15
2.3
SW
15
3.5
SW
10
2.5
SW
14
2
SW
14
1.8
SW
13
1
SW
12
1
SW
13
1.8
SW
14
1.3
SW
18
2.1
SW
17
2.3
SW
16
2.5
SW
16
4
SW
19
4.5
SW
18
4
SW
18
3.5
SW
17
3
SW
16
2.5
SW
15
2.5
SW
14
2.5
SW
15
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
2437
2268
2850
2534
1528
987
292
316
1218
995
2442
2668
3396
12621
11327
9109
6669
4117
2863
2680
2945
Wind (km/h)
40
NW
40
WNW
45
WSW
20
WSW
15
SSW
20
W
20
WSW
25
SSW
15
SSW
15
W
10
SW
30
WSW
35
SSW
30
SW
20
SW
20
SW
20
SSW
15
W
15
SW
20
SSW
5
SSW
Wind State
cross
cross-on
on
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
on
on
cross-on
on
cross-on
glassy
High Tide
4:33PM1.42m
6:00AM1.38m
5:17PM1.37m
6:59AM1.31m
6:13PM1.30m
8:07AM1.24m
7:28PM1.23m
9:24AM1.22m
8:58PM1.19m
10:41AM1.24m
10:31PM1.22m
11:44AM1.29m
11:52PM1.31m
Low Tide
10:53AM0.62m
11:16PM0.13m
11:38AM0.68m
00:08AM0.18m
12:33PM0.74m
1:09AM0.25m
1:44PM0.76m
2:23AM0.32m
3:11PM0.74m
3:47AM0.36m
4:42PM0.65m
5:10AM0.36m
5:52PM0.51m
rain showers
part cloud
rain showers
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
rain showers
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:37
6:35
6:35
6:33
6:31
6:30
6:28
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:00
6:01
6:02
6:04
6:05
6:06
6:07
 mm
1
2
1
Temp °C
16
14
13
13
13
13
12
12
10
10
11
11
11
12
12
11
11
11
11
11
10
Feels °C
9
5
4
10
10
10
7
6
6
8
9
6
2
5
5
6
6
8
7
7
9
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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