Rye Ocean Beach Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.39° S 144.78° E

Rye Ocean Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 am 07 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Rye Ocean Beach sea temperature is
13.4° C
0.6° 

Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 7 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Tuesday 11 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 16s period, SW swell with cross-shore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 10 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 19s period, WSW swell with 8,419 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 7 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 14s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:

The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 07) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 18s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 3.5m 19s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 5s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 09) at 1PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7PM (Fri 7th Aug)5ft (1.5m) 14s
Best Surf 1AM (Tue 11th Aug)5.5ft (1.7m) 16s
Most Powerful10AM (Mon 10th Aug)11ft (3.5m) 19s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G’day, Rusty here, and I’ve got the outlook for Rye Ocean Beach. We’re kicking off Friday the 7th of August, and it’s a slow start with a bit of potential if you’re patient.

The water’s sitting at 56°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so no need to dig out the thickest steamer.

Friday morning is a write-off—cross-shore wind and lumpy, weak energy (1350) with 5 ft SW swell, but it’s messy. The real highlight comes Friday afternoon: it goes glassy, dead calm, with that same 5 ft SW groundswell pumping in at 15 seconds. The energy jumps to 1643, and the conditions are excellent for experienced surfers. The swell direction is a perfect match for the break, and the clean, glassy face will make for some memorable rides. This is the standout of the whole outlook—don’t sleep on it.

Saturday the 8th looks clean but windy (35 km/h N), blowing cross-offshore. The swell holds at 5 ft, period stretches to 16 seconds, but the fresh breeze keeps scores low. Energy is solid (1231–1197), but it’s not the same quality as Friday arvo.

Sunday the 9th is a dud—strong wind, swell dropping to 3–4 ft, and poor surf. Don’t bother.

Monday the 10th gets nasty. A big 12–15 ft SW swell rolls in, but with onshore wind screaming at 60 km/h, it’s a mess. Energy is huge (8419–4445), but this is for kite surfers, not paddle surfers. Avoid.

Tuesday the 11th through Thursday the 13th is all marginal or poor. The swell stays big (7–12 ft) but wind is strong and cross to cross-onshore, creating lumpy, choppy conditions. Energy is high (up to 6051), but the quality is shot.

Friday the 14th and Saturday the 15th are still rough. Saturday the 15th has a clean 10 ft SW swell at 17 seconds with light east wind, but the energy is massive (5750) and the wave height is too big for this break—experts-only territory.

Now, Sunday the 16th of August is a solid second option. Morning brings 6 ft SW swell at 14 seconds with light NNE wind (5 km/h), clean and cross-off. Energy is 1609, and it’s excellent for experienced surfers. The water temp is still average. This is a good session after the big stuff passes.

Monday the 17th morning is glassy with 5 ft SW swell at 13 seconds, offshore NNE wind, and very good conditions. Energy is moderate (737). A nice mellow session.

Tuesday the 18th morning is another standout: 5 ft SW swell at 18 seconds (very long groundswell), light ENE offshore wind, and clean. Energy is 1776. That long period will shape up nicely at this beach and reef setup, though the sets might be spaced out. Excellent for experienced surfers.

Wednesday the 19th offers clean, cross-off conditions with 5 ft SW swell at 15–16 seconds, energy around 950–957. Very good.

Thursday the 20th is clean but wind picks up to 25 km/h N, so it’s marginal. Swell 4–4 ft, energy 1050–1337.

Friday the 21st and Saturday the 22nd fade out. Saturday morning has a 10 ft SW swell but it’s too big for the break, and the afternoon drops to 6 ft with short period (9 seconds) and weak energy (806).

Overall, the best wave of the run is Friday afternoon the 7th—glassy, 5 ft, and clean. The second best is Tuesday morning the 18th with that long-period groundswell. There’s a gap of poor surf from Saturday the 8th through to Saturday the 15th, with only a few marginal windows.

Stay sharp, and get out there Friday arvo.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 13mm), heaviest on Sun night. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri night, min 9°C on Fri morning). Winds increasing (calm on Fri afternoon, near gales from the N by Sun morning).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 17mm), heaviest on Wed afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Tue morning, min 8°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (near gales from the SW on Mon morning, moderate winds from the NW by Mon night).

Friday
7
Saturday
8
Sunday
9
Monday
10
Tuesday
11
Wednesday
12
Thursday
13
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
4
4
2
2
1
0
0
2
0
0
!
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.6
SW
15
1.6
SW
15
1.8
SW
17
1.6
SW
16
1.6
SW
16
1.4
SW
14
1.1
SW
14
1
SW
13
1.2
SW
16
3.5
WSW
19
4.5
SW
11
1.7
SW
16
2
SW
14
1.7
SW
14
1.3
SW
13
2.1
SW
16
2.3
SW
16
4
SW
17
3.5
SW
16
3.5
SW
16
3.5
WSW
15
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1235
1155
1882
1210
1149
833
478
347
729
8419
4345
1599
1602
1130
618
2214
2653
8371
6051
5134
5789
Wind (km/h)
15
WNW
0
S
20
NE
35
N
30
N
30
NNE
50
NNE
45
N
30
NNE
60
SW
45
WSW
25
NW
40
NNW
40
NNW
50
N
35
WNW
40
WNW
55
WSW
30
WSW
30
WNW
30
WNW
Wind State
cross
glassy
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
on
on
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
High Tide
5:00PM1.44m
6:24AM1.38m
5:40PM1.41m
7:25AM1.33m
6:30PM1.37m
8:34AM1.30m
7:35PM1.31m
9:51AM1.29m
8:53PM1.26m
11:07AM1.32m
10:20PM1.25m
12:12PM1.38m
11:43PM1.29m
Low Tide
11:12AM0.63m
11:43PM0.21m
11:58AM0.72m
00:33AM0.21m
12:52PM0.80m
1:32AM0.22m
1:59PM0.85m
2:40AM0.25m
3:23PM0.85m
3:56AM0.26m
4:55PM0.78m
5:14AM0.26m
6:11PM0.66m
clear
clear
cloud
cloud
cloud
light rain
light rain
light rain
mod rain
rain showers
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
cloud
mod rain
rain showers
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:16
7:15
7:13
7:13
7:11
7:11
7:09
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:36
5:37
5:37
5:38
5:39
5:40
5:42
 mm
2
2
1
8
3
2
9
3
Temp °C
11
13
15
13
15
14
12
13
12
12
11
11
13
13
13
11
9
11
12
12
12
Feels °C
8
12
10
6
8
8
2
5
7
0
1
4
5
4
2
1
0
2
6
5
5
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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