Rye Ocean Beach Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.39° S 144.78° E

Rye Ocean Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 am 08 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Rye Ocean Beach sea temperature is
13.4°C
0.6° 

Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 8 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 9 Sep, 1PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 19s period, SW swell with onshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 9 Sep, 1PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 19s period, SW swell with 10,377 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 9 Sep, 1PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 19s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:

The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 4.0m and 19s period with a secondary swell of 3.5m and 19s. The wind is predicted to be onshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 4.0m 19s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Sep 13) at 10PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1PM (Wed 9th Sep)13ft (4.0m) 19s
Best Surf 1PM (Wed 9th Sep)13ft (4.0m) 19s
Most Powerful 1PM (Wed 9th Sep)13ft (4.0m) 19s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G'day, I'm Rusty. Let's have a look at what's on offer for the Rye Ocean Beach stretch over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, we've got a solid run of groundswell rolling in from the southwest, but it's a bit of a mixed bag. The water temp is sitting at about 56°, which is pretty much bang on what you'd expect for this time of year, so no shocks there.

The action kicks off on Tuesday the 8th. The morning is a bit of a write-off with a cross-onshore breeze messing things up, but come Tuesday afternoon, the wind swings onshore and the swell is bumping at 7 ft from the southwest with a cracking 17-second period. The combined wave energy is pumping at 3023 (moderate energy), and it's clean. The only catch? It's a bit big for the beginners, but for the rest of us, that's a solid session.

Wednesday the 9th is a no-go. The wind is howling from the SSW at 35 km/h, and the swell is a beast at 12 ft to 13 ft with heavy energy numbers (8140 and 17569). That's expert territory, and with the wind making it lumpy, it's more of a day to watch from the beach.

Thursday the 10th and Friday the 11th are frustrating. The swell is still in the 7 ft to 12 ft range, but the wind is either onshore or cross-onshore, making it messy. The energy is still there, but it's not worth paddling out for.

Now, Saturday the 12th is where it gets interesting. The morning starts with a clean cross-offshore breeze from the north at just 10 km/h, and the swell is a solid 8 ft from the southwest with a 15-second period. That's a nice, powerful line. The combined energy is 2497 (moderate). The wind turns offshore in the afternoon, and the swell drops slightly to 7 ft. This is a standout window for the more experienced surfers. The crowd factor is "sometimes" here, so you might find a few mates out, but it's not a zoo.

Sunday the 13th is a step down. The swell drops to 5 ft to 5 ft, and while the wind is clean cross-off, it's a bit on the lighter side. The energy is way down at 1282 and 1009. It's marginal, but if you're desperate for a paddle, it's clean.

Then we hit a dry spell. From Monday the 14th through to Tuesday the 15th, the swell is small and the wind is messy. The energy drops to between 377 and 1500, and the conditions are poor. Not worth your time.

But hang on, because Wednesday the 16th is another proper standout. The morning is glassy – I mean, flat calm, with a 7 ft southwest swell and a 13-second period. The combined energy is 2217 (moderate). This is "excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers," and it's clean as a whistle. The swell is a bit over the 5 ft mark, so it's not for beginners, but for the crew who know what they're doing, that's a magic session.

The rest of the week from the 17th to the 20th is a mixed bag. The swell hangs around 5 ft to 7 ft, but the wind keeps shifting. Thursday the 17th has a fresh cross-off breeze, but the energy is dropping. Friday the 18th and Saturday the 19th are marginal, with clean conditions on the 19th afternoon giving a score of 3, but it's nothing to write home about.

Sunday the 20th is a write-off with onshore wind, but then Monday the 21st delivers another glassy morning with a 8 ft southwest swell, 16-second period, and a combined energy of 3858 (moderate). That's a big, clean swell, but it's firmly in the "too big for beginners" category. For the experienced surfers, that's a ripper.

Tuesday the 22nd is a gem. Clean cross-offshore wind all day, with a 7 ft to 6 ft southwest swell, 16-second period. The energy is 2233 and 1533, and the conditions are described as "excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers." That's a full day of fun.

The run finishes on Wednesday the 23rd with a fresh cross-off breeze, but the swell is down to 4 ft, and the energy is weak at 873. Not much to get excited about there.

Overall, the standout sessions are Tuesday afternoon the 8th, Saturday the 12th, Wednesday morning the 16th, and Monday the 21st. For my money, Saturday the 12th and Wednesday the 16th are the best on offer – clean, solid swell, and good vibes.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Some drizzle, heaviest during Tue night. Very mild (max 12°C on Tue afternoon, min 9°C on Tue morning). Winds increasing (calm on Tue morning, strong winds from the SSW by Tue night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Sun afternoon, min 10°C on Fri morning). Winds increasing (calm on Fri night, strong winds from the N by Sun night).

Tuesday
8
Wednesday
9
Thursday
10
Friday
11
Saturday
12
Sunday
13
Monday
14
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
!
0
0
!
0
0
0
!
!
!
!
!
!
3
2
2
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.3
SW
18
2.1
SW
17
2.1
SW
16
3.5
SW
16
4
SW
18
4
SW
18
3.5
SW
16
3
SW
16
2.5
SW
15
2.1
SW
14
2.3
SW
15
2.5
SW
16
2.3
SW
15
2.1
SW
15
1.9
SW
15
1.6
SW
15
1.5
SW
15
1.2
SW
15
1.1
SW
14
1
SW
13
1.9
SW
7
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
995
2442
2061
5606
9006
9157
5849
4437
2741
1855
2238
3222
2350
1833
1632
1232
962
606
410
347
335
Wind (km/h)
15
W
15
SW
30
W
35
SSW
35
SSW
25
SSW
25
SW
25
SSW
10
SW
5
W
10
S
5
NNE
10
N
10
NE
20
N
30
N
25
N
40
N
20
NW
20
WSW
35
WSW
Wind State
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
on
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
on
on
High Tide
7:28PM1.23m
9:24AM1.22m
8:58PM1.19m
10:41AM1.24m
10:31PM1.22m
11:44AM1.29m
11:52PM1.31m
12:34PM1.35m
00:55AM1.41m
1:17PM1.41m
1:47AM1.49m
1:55PM1.45m
2:32AM1.54m
Low Tide
1:44PM0.76m
2:23AM0.32m
3:11PM0.74m
3:47AM0.36m
4:42PM0.65m
5:10AM0.36m
5:52PM0.51m
6:17AM0.34m
6:46PM0.38m
7:11AM0.33m
7:31PM0.27m
7:56AM0.35m
8:12PM0.19m
clear
part cloud
light rain
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:33
6:31
6:30
6:28
6:26
6:26
6:24
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:04
6:05
6:06
6:07
6:07
6:07
6:08
 mm
1
Temp °C
10
12
11
11
11
11
11
11
11
11
12
12
15
19
17
20
22
18
18
17
13
Feels °C
8
7
5
2
2
4
6
6
8
9
9
10
12
17
14
14
17
11
13
13
6
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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