Surf Forecasts:
Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 25 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 28 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 17s period, SW swell with onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 30 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 16s period, SW swell with 2,790 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 27 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 12s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 27) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 15s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 2.3m 16s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 30) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 4s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 01) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1PM (Thu 27th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 1PM (Fri 28th Aug) | 7ft (2.1m) 17s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Sun 30th Aug) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for Rye Ocean Beach.
This is a tricky stretch. We’ve got some serious size coming through, but it's a bit of a double-edged sword. The water temp is sitting at a mild 56° right now, which is about what you'd expect for late August – nothing to write home about, just your average late-summer cool.
First real chance to get wet slinks in on Thursday the 27th afternoon. The swell drops a notch to 4ft from the SW with a nice 14-second groundswell, and more importantly, we get a light offshore breeze from the NNE. That's the clean stuff, glassy faces. The energy is moderate at 638 (combined energy), so it's not firing, but for a beginner-friendly spot it'll be fun, clean little waves. This is the pick of the early days.
Friday the 28th morning looks messy with a cross-onshore, but then things get... interesting. By Friday afternoon, a big 7ft SW groundswell (17-second period, very long) rolls in, with 2653 energy. But this break can't handle that much water. It’s too big for most, expert territory only, and the 9 mph onshore wind won't help.
The weekend gets blown out, but look at Sunday the 30th. The morning has a light onshore with 6ft SW swell – marginal but clean enough. Then Sunday afternoon, it pumps up to 8ft SW with a 16-second period, massive energy of 4162. Same problem, though – it's too big for this break and the cross-onshore breeze will chop it up.
Now, Monday the 31st of August is where the real stand-out window is. We’ve got that 8ft SW swell rolling in at 15 seconds, but here’s the kicker: a light cross-offshore breeze from the N. That means the faces will be clean as a whistle with that big groundswell power behind it. The energy is 2365 (moderate to strong), but honestly, for a reef-and-beach setup, this swell is going to be big, clean, and powerful. It's too big for learners, no doubt about it, but for anyone with a bit of experience, Monday morning and afternoon at Rye Ocean Beach will be the standout session of this whole run. It’s a proper swell with good wind.
After Tuesday the 1st of September, the wind goes bonkers. We get a stretch of clean but massive waves, but it’s consistently over 7ft and that’s pushing the limits of this break. The entire second week is dominated by big, clean but oversized swells hitting 7ft to 8ft from the SW with very long periods, all of them too big for the setup. The wind is cross-off or offshore, but the volume of water is the issue. You’d need a big board and a lot of confidence, or a kite.
From the 7th of September onwards, the wind turns fully onshore or cross-onshore and strong, making a mess of the 5ft to 8ft swells. The final days are just raw, windy, and blown out. Not worth paddling out.
So, to keep it simple: Thursday arvo (27th) is your fun, clean little wave day. But the absolute standout, the one you wait for, is Monday the 31st of August. Early doors, cross-offshore breeze, that 8ft SW groundswell. Clean and powerful, just watch the size.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Tue afternoon, min 8°C on Thu morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SW on Tue night, calm by Thu afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 12°C on Fri afternoon, min 8°C on Sat morning). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Tue 25 | Wednesday 26 | Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 14 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 17 | SW 16 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
925 | 1163 | 1139 | 984 | 732 | 383 | 404 | 577 | 1136 | 2595 | 1806 | 1109 | 834 | 501 | 1127 | 2709 | 2238 | 2259 | 2520 | 1895 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | on | on | on | on | cross | off | cross | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | on | cross-on | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 7:55PM1.11m | 10:06AM1.18m | 9:09PM1.07m | 11:09AM1.20m | 10:26PM1.08m | 12:01PM1.24m | 11:37PM1.13m | 12:43PM1.28m | 00:36AM1.22m | 1:18PM1.33m | 1:27AM1.32m | 1:51PM1.36m | 2:12AM1.40m | |||||||
Low Tide | 2:52AM0.41m | 3:52PM0.82m | 3:59AM0.41m | 5:11PM0.75m | 5:06AM0.39m | 6:08PM0.65m | 6:06AM0.36m | 6:51PM0.54m | 6:56AM0.34m | 7:28PM0.44m | 7:41AM0.35m | 8:03PM0.34m | ||||||||
— | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | |
5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:53 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:55 | — | — | 5:57 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 17 | 16 |
Feels °C | 11 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 17 | SW 16 |
925 | 1163 | 1139 | 984 | 732 | 383 | 404 | 577 | 1077 | 2595 | 1806 | 1109 | 834 | 501 | 1127 | 2709 | 2238 | 2259 | 2520 | 1895 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | — | S 18 | — | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 21 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SSW 17 | S 16 | SSW 15 | S 14 | SW 22 | SW 20 | SW 17 | S 16 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | S 17 |
381 | — | 6 | — | 91 | 106 | 117 | 546 | 1136 | 58 | 20 | 21 | 4 | 73 | 62 | 897 | 126 | 106 | 157 | 144 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | W 24 | WSW 22 | SW 21 | S 20 | S 18 | — | — | — | — | WSW 22 | SW 20 | SSW 17 | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | 11 | 48 | 117 | 7 | 56 | — | — | — | — | 45 | 99 | 556 | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SW 5 | S 6 | SSW 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 5 | SSW 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | 58 | 34 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 51 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 24 | 52 | 33 | 33 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 106 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











