Rye Ocean Beach Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.39° S 144.78° E

Rye Ocean Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 am 13 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Rye Ocean Beach sea temperature is
13.5°C
0.8° 

Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast from 13 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 17 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 15s period, SW swell with onshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 15 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 14s period, SW swell with 5,000 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 13 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 15s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rye Ocean Beach this week:

The surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 13) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 15s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Rye Ocean Beach in the next 16 days are 3.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 5s period and expected on Sunday (Sep 20) at 4AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Sun 13th Sep)4.5ft (1.3m) 15s
Best Surf 7AM (Thu 17th Sep)8ft (2.4m) 15s
Most Powerful10PM (Tue 15th Sep)11ft (3.5m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rye Ocean Beach over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here. Let's take a look at what's cookin' for Rye Ocean Beach over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – the start of this period looks pretty average. There’s no real action right now, and the first few days are a write-off. We're looking at a bit of a dry spell until things start to show some potential around the middle of next week.

The water temp is sitting at about 56.3°, which is bang on average for this time of year, so no need to factor in a weird anomaly.

The first day that even gets a mention is Sunday the 13th, but the scores are super low for a reason. We've got a solid 5.2ft SW groundswell with that lovely 15-second period rolling in, and the wave energy is strong (1136). The issue is that even though we're getting that long-period groundswell, which would be great for a point or reef, the wind is a fresh cross-off from the north at 22 mph. It's gonna be blown out and messy for a beach setup. Monday and Tuesday don't look any better, with increasing onshore wind and the swell getting too big for any decent shape.

Honestly, the real story here is later in the week. Thursday the 17th morning shows a promising window. The swell drops slightly to 7.5ft from the SW, with a solid 14-second period, and the wind is only a moderate breeze from the SW, but it is onshore. The warning here is that the swell is getting too big for this break – over 8ft later in the period, that's expert territory only. For the beginner surfer, those bigger days are a no-go.

The standout potential is actually on Saturday the 26th, two weeks out. That Saturday afternoon is looking like the pick of the bunch. You’ll have a clean 5.2ft SW swell, period around 14 seconds, and a gentle cross-off breeze from the north. The wave energy is moderate (1199), but the conditions are described as excellent for experienced surfers. This is where you want to be if you can wait. The swell direction from the SW matches the optimum for this break, and that light offshore wind will groom it up nicely. Crowds are possible here sometimes, so don't expect to have it to yourself.

Sunday the 27th morning has a much bigger, cleaner 7.2ft SW swell with a very long 17-second period (3298 energy), but again, that size is pushing the limit for this beach and reef mix. That long-period swell will be breaking straight in the beach sections, but could offer some real gems if you can find a bank.

So, to wrap it up: the first week and a half is mostly poor. Don't bother paddling out till the weekend of the 26th. Saturday the 26th afternoon is your best bet – solid clean conditions, a decent chest-to-head-high swell, and light winds. The big swells that follow are for the experienced crew only.

That's the call from me. Stay stoked.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Tue morning. Warm (max 21°C on Sun afternoon, min 10°C on Tue afternoon). Winds increasing (light winds from the W on Mon morning, strong winds from the SW by Tue afternoon).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Fri afternoon, min 7°C on Thu night). Mainly fresh winds.

Sunday
13
Monday
14
Tuesday
15
Wednesday
16
Thursday
17
Friday
18
Saturday
19
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
!
1
2
1
0
!
2
1
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.6
SW
15
1.5
SW
15
1.2
SW
14
1.1
SW
14
0.9
SW
13
0.6
SW
13
2.5
SW
13
3.5
SW
13
3.5
SW
14
3
SW
15
3
SW
15
3
SW
15
2.3
SW
14
1.9
SW
14
1.6
SW
13
1.8
SW
14
1.6
SW
13
2.1
SW
15
1.8
SW
14
1.6
SW
13
1.4
SW
13
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1108
1028
598
404
290
128
1969
3732
4697
4079
4079
3286
2090
1363
933
1226
966
1907
1203
809
594
Wind (km/h)
35
N
30
N
25
N
20
WNW
20
SW
30
WSW
30
WSW
45
SW
40
SSW
35
S
30
SSW
20
SSW
20
SW
15
SSW
20
WNW
25
NW
20
WNW
30
NW
25
NNW
20
NW
45
N
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
on
on
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
cross
cross
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross
cross-off
High Tide
1:17PM1.41m
1:47AM1.49m
1:55PM1.45m
2:32AM1.54m
2:30PM1.47m
3:14AM1.55m
3:03PM1.47m
3:52AM1.53m
3:33PM1.44m
4:29AM1.48m
4:02PM1.39m
5:05AM1.42m
4:30PM1.33m
Low Tide
7:31PM0.27m
7:56AM0.35m
8:12PM0.19m
8:36AM0.38m
8:49PM0.15m
9:13AM0.43m
9:24PM0.14m
9:47AM0.50m
9:58PM0.16m
10:20AM0.56m
10:30PM0.20m
10:52AM0.62m
11:02PM0.25m
cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:26
6:24
6:22
6:20
6:18
6:18
6:16
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:07
6:08
6:09
6:10
6:12
6:13
6:13
 mm
1
2
Temp °C
20
21
20
16
15
15
12
11
11
11
11
11
10
10
10
16
18
15
21
23
18
Feels °C
13
15
16
14
12
11
4
1
1
3
4
5
6
6
6
11
13
10
16
19
12
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Rye Ocean Beach Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Rye Ocean Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rye Ocean Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rye Ocean Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rye Ocean Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rye Ocean Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Rye Ocean Beach is 29 km (18 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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