
Surf Forecasts:
Rock Point/Pohakuloa surf forecast from 10 Sep 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Friday 11 Sep, 11AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 11s period, ENE swell with 415 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rock Point/Pohakuloa this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Rock Point/Pohakuloa in the next 16 days are 1.3m 11s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 11) at 11AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 5s period and expected on Monday (Sep 14) at 5AM.
| Wave Type | Time (HST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 11AM (Fri 11th Sep) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rock Point/Pohakuloa over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's get straight into it.
Honestly, the 16-day window for Rock Point/Pohakuloa is a tough one. The forecast is pretty much a write-off for decent paddle surfing. The main issue is a relentless cross-shore wind that just won't let up, keeping the surface lumpy and chopped up. A surfer’s gonna be fighting the conditions more than the waves.
First thing Thursday morning, the 10th of September, we see a 6ft swell from the ENE with a short, weak 7-second period and moderate energy (390). But the wind is howling at 19 mph from the E, making it a messy cross-chop. That sets the tone. The rest of the day and through Friday, the 11th, it’s more of the same. By Friday afternoon the swell drops to 4ft, but the period stretches out to 11 seconds, and the energy jumps up (737). That’s a better quality wave in there, but the cross-shore wind (12 mph from ENE) still ruins it. It’s a classic case of swell and wind fighting each other.
We roll through the weekend of the 12th and 13th with tiny, weak 3ft to 3ft swells. The energy is very weak (around 200 or less), so even if the conditions were perfect, there's hardly anything to ride.
The pattern repeats all through the second week. From the 14th up to the 24th of September, the combined swell energy occasionally spikes, like on the 16th afternoon with 5ft and moderate energy (547), and then again on the 18th with 7ft from the E and moderate energy (635). But every single entry is tagged with "poor surf conditions." The wind is a constant cross-shore, often a fresh breeze of 19-22 mph. For a reef and point break that works best with a clean NE groundswell, getting a cross-shore wind like this is brutal. It just shreds the wave face.
Late in the window, on the 25th of September, we see one last push of 5ft from the ENE with moderate energy (541), but again, the moderate cross-shore breeze locks it in as a write-off.
To be totally blunt, there isn't a single standout day here. The setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing, with that consistent cross-shore wind. We are staring down a full 16-day dry spell. The break is known to be inconsistent, so a blank run like this is pretty normal for the region.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Warm (max 26°C on Wed night, min 25°C on Thu night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Tue morning, min 25°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 11 | ENE 11 | E 10 | NNE 9 | NNE 9 | NNE 9 | NNE 9 | NE 9 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 7 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
284 | 352 | 204 | 186 | 415 | 397 | 204 | 96 | 121 | 135 | 132 | 110 | 86 | 82 | 69 | 131 | 111 | 94 | 99 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-on |
High Tide | 1:48AM0.65m | 2:16PM0.86m | 2:29AM0.71m | 2:39PM0.81m | 3:08AM0.75m | 2:58PM0.75m | 3:47AM0.77m | 3:14PM0.69m | 4:26AM0.76m | 3:26PM0.64m | 5:09AM0.74m | 3:29PM0.59m | |||||||
Low Tide | 8:17PM0.23m | 7:43AM0.14m | 8:37PM0.19m | 8:23AM0.18m | 8:58PM0.16m | 9:02AM0.25m | 9:19PM0.14m | 9:40AM0.32m | 9:40PM0.13m | 10:18AM0.39m | 10:01PM0.13m | 10:58AM0.46m | 10:24PM0.15m | ||||||
— | 6:11 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | |
6:35 | — | 6:34 | — | — | 6:32 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:30 | — | |
mm | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 |
Temp °C | 26 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 27 | 26 |
Feels °C | 26 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 25 | 27 | 27 | 29 | 29 | 27 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 9 | NW 8 | E 12 | E 11 | NNE 8 | E 11 | NNE 7 | NNE 9 | NNE 9 | NNE 9 | NNE 9 | NE 9 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | E 8 | ESE 8 | NE 7 |
135 | 38 | 96 | 121 | 54 | 281 | 41 | 96 | 121 | 135 | 132 | 110 | 86 | 82 | 69 | 131 | 43 | 44 | 99 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 13 | SW 13 | NW 7 | SW 16 | SW 16 | NE 8 | SW 15 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | NW 13 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 7 | E 7 | SW 20 | SW 20 | E 8 |
67 | 42 | 19 | 93 | 90 | 59 | 77 | 75 | 68 | 46 | 44 | 28 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 25 | 137 | 134 | 41 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 7 | SW 16 | SW 18 | NW 7 | NW 9 | SW 15 | NE 8 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SSW 12 | SSW 14 | SW 22 | SW 21 | ENE 7 | E 11 | SW 19 |
5 | 42 | 49 | 8 | 22 | 79 | 23 | 76 | 63 | 46 | 54 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 73 | 72 | 9 | 22 | 131 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 11 | ENE 11 | E 10 | ENE 5 | E 4 | E 4 | E 4 | ENE 8 | ENE 5 | ENE 5 | ENE 5 | — | NE 8 | NE 8 | — |
284 | 352 | 204 | 186 | 415 | 397 | 204 | 28 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 73 | 75 | 44 | 34 | — | 111 | 94 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 20 | 14 | 18 | 24 | 20 | 18 | 28 | 28 | 24 | 24 | 14 | 14 | 17 | 18 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Molokai | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)
Wind Speed (km/h)
Information about the Rock Point/Pohakuloa Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rock Point/Pohakuloa provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rock Point/Pohakuloa can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rock Point/Pohakuloa surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rock Point/Pohakuloa) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rock Point/Pohakuloa may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a vacation in Molokai? If you are looking for accommodation near Rock Point/Pohakuloa, camping, hotels and condos and appartments in Molokai, consider staying in Wailuku which is 36 km (22 miles) away. Other places in and around Molokai where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Kaunakakai - Molokai which is 38 km (24 miles) away, Kahului, Lanai - Lanai and Kihei.










