Rock Point/Pohakuloa Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into this look at Rock Point/Pohakuloa.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – this stretch of July is looking pretty grim for a surf. We’ve got a real dud stretch here. From the morning of July 8th and running all the way through until the afternoon of July 20th, the ocean is just not going to give us anything worth paddling out for. That’s nearly two full weeks of poor conditions.

The problem is a persistent cross-shore wind, mainly from the ENE. That wind is blowing straight across the break, kicking up a nasty, lumpy cross-chop that just ruins the face of any wave that tries to form. The swell is a short-period 7-second windswell that doesn't have any power, though the combined energy bounces around. For instance, on July 11th the energy is 574, but it’s all wind-driven junk. The waves themselves will be in the 5ft to 8ft range, but with that cross-wind, it’s just a messy, blown-out wall. Not worth the drive.

The Light at the End of the Tunnel (July 21st and beyond)

The complexion changes towards the end of the run. It starts to get interesting on the morning of Monday, July 21st. This is where you need to circle your calendar. The wave period jumps up to a very impressive 18 seconds – that’s a proper long-period groundswell. The swell will be small, only about 3ft, but that long period gives it so much more shape and energy (a combined energy of 1015 – that’s strong). It’s coming from the east, which is perfect for this exposed reef and point set-up.

The water temp is pretty dialed right now at about 79°F, which is spot on average for this time of year, so grab a spring suit.

Now, the catch is the wind. The readings still show a cross-shore on that day, but the energy and quality of that groundswell might make a few lined-up sets push through. This is a spot that’s known to be inconsistent and can draw a crowd when it does, so you’ll want to be early. This small, clean groundswell (even with the moderate breeze) is the only real shot you’re going to get in this 16-day window.

The energy tapers off after that, fading from a 15-second period on July 22nd back down to short-period junk by July 23rd. So, keep your eyes peeled for that window around July 21st. It’s not a firing day, but it’s the only chance for some real style out there in this forecast.

Stay salty,
Rusty

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