Rock Point/Pohakuloa Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s cut to the chase. We’ve looked at the next couple of weeks for Rock Point/Pohakuloa, and I gotta be honest, it’s a rough stretch. We’ve got a long run of onshore energy and cross-shore winds that are going to keep things messy and lumpy. Not the kind of forecast that gets a surfer fired up.

The first real pulse of size doesn’t even show up until around the 14th of August. Before that, we’re dealing with junky, short-period windswell in the 5ft to 6ft range, with energy readings mostly in the 200s and 300s (moderate wave energy). The wind is constantly out of the ENE, which is cross-shore for this spot, and it’s blowing fresh at 15 to 18 mph. That’s going to make for terrible, bumpy surf. We’re looking at a real grind through the weekend and into the start of the next week.

Then, things get big. Real big. But not in a good way. Around the 14th and 15th of August, the swell just explodes. We’re talking 10ft to 13ft of wind-whipped, short-period energy. The energy readings spike hard into the 1000s and even over 2000 (strong to very strong wave energy). But the wind is still howling out of the ENE at 25 to 28 mph, so it’s not going to be surfable. It’s just going to be a massive, messy white-water zone. Honestly, with that much wind and that kind of swell, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

There is one glimmer of hope, and it’s on the morning of Sunday, the 16th of August. The forecast model flagged this as having favorable wind and tide, and the swell is still a solid 10ft. The catch? That’s way too big for this break. Even if the wind is right, it’s going to be a washing machine. The energy is still strong at 1349, but it’s a pass for me. The rest of that day and into the following week, it backs down a bit, but the wind stays cross and the waves stay poor.

On the 18th and 19th, we see the swell drop to a more manageable 5ft to 5ft, with periods stretching out to 9 seconds. That’s a little better, but the wind is still cross-shore, so the quality is going to be average at best. It’s just not going to be clean.

The bottom line is, there are no good surf options in this 16-day window for Rock Point. It’s a rough stretch. The break itself is inconsistent at the best of times, and with this constant cross-shore wind, it’s just not cooperating. The swell is there, but the conditions are never right. It’s a bummer, but it happens. The good news is, forecasts can change, and it tends not to stay this poor for long. Keep an eye on it, but for now, I’d be looking for sheltered spots or taking a break.

This is Rusty, signing off.

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