Rock Point/Pohakuloa Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s keep it real – the outlook for Rock Point/Pohakuloa over the next 16 days is pretty bleak. There’s a long stretch of poor conditions, and I can’t find a single session worth chasing. The whole run is held hostage by cross-shore winds that will leave the water looking lumpy and choppy, and the wave quality is consistently rated as poor.

Kicking off on Monday, August 24th, we’ve got a 7ft swell from the east with a short 7-second period. But the wind is screaming from the ENE at 22 mph, just tearing it up. The combined energy is 497 (moderate), but that cross-chop ruins it. This pattern sticks all week – cross-winds from the east or east-northeast at 15-19 mph, with swells between 4ft and 6ft, and short periods of 6-7 seconds. Energy bounces up on the 29th (444) and 30th (339), but the wind is relentless. Nothing to get excited about.

Moving into the first week of September, it’s the same story. The 31st of August and 1st of September see a bit more size – 7ft to 8ft from the northeast, with periods stretching to 8-9 seconds. Energy climbs into the 700-800 range. But with that cross-wind still blowing 15-19 mph, this is looking more like a kite-foiling afternoon than a surfing one. It’s too big and messy. The wind doesn’t let up, and every wave comment is still “poor surf conditions.”

There’s a tiny blip on the morning of September 5th – a 2ft swell from the east with a long 12-second period and energy at 289. But the fresh cross-shore wind fouls it up. Then on September 6th, a 2ft swell from the northwest, period 13 seconds, shows up in the morning (energy 314). That long period would be a treat for the reef at Rock Point, but again, that strong cross-wind destroys the surface.

Honestly, for the full 16-day window, there are zero recommended sessions. This is a dry spell, and since Rock Point is an inconsistent spot that doesn’t break often, it’s not out of the ordinary here. The only faint hope is that small NW swell on the morning of the 6th, but I wouldn’t bank on it. Keep an eye on things in case the wind backs off, but the forecast says leave the board in the truck.

Rusty

Read more