Rock Point/Pohakuloa Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ve been staring at the charts for Rock Point/Pohakuloa, and I gotta be straight with you—it’s a tough run ahead. This spot is a reef and point set-up that’s inconsistent and often crowded, and for the next 16 days, the cards are just not falling our way. There’s a big dry spell to start, and it’s not until the back half of the forecast that we even see a glimmer of something rideable, and even then it’s a coin flip.

Right from the get-go, Friday the 24th through to the end of July, it’s a write-off. We’ve got a fresh cross-shore wind, 18 to 22 mph, just tearing up the surface. The swell is there—6.9 ft to 7.2 ft from the ENE—but it’s short-period junk at 7 to 8 seconds, and the water is a mess of lumpy cross-chop. The combined energy is moderate (427 to 619), but it’s all wind-slop. No point paddling out. That stretch runs through Saturday the 25th and Sunday the 26th, where the period finally jumps to 14-15 seconds on Sunday, but the wind is still howling cross-shore, and the energy spikes to 828 and then 1025—strong for sure—but the conditions are poor. The water temp is 79.9°, which is about average for this time of year, no real anomaly to speak of.

Monday the 27th and Tuesday the 28th improve a touch. The wind backs off a little to a moderate breeze, and we get a cross-offshore flow, which cleans things up. The swell is 4.6 ft to 7.5 ft from the E, with a 13-second period, so there’s some groundswell in there. The combined energy is strong (961 to 1772), but the forecast calls it marginal—tide or swell quality is questionable. The crowds at Rock Point are often there, so even if it’s clean, you’ll be sharing it.

Now, Wednesday the 29th morning is the standout, and it’s the only real highlight. The wind shifts to a light breeze from the W at 6 mph, giving us a cross-offshore flow. The swell is 8.2 ft from the ENE with a 10-second period, and the combined energy is a meaty 1365. The forecast calls it excellent for experienced surfers—and that’s the truth. That’s a solid wave, but remember, it’s over 8 ft, so this is expert territory only. Rock Point is a reef and point, so that longer-period groundswell (10 seconds is decent) will wrap in nicely, but it’s inconsistent here, so you might wait for sets. The afternoon falls apart though—wind swings SE, onshore, and it’s done.

From Thursday the 30th through to Saturday the 1st of August, we’re back to the same old story: fresh cross-shore wind, 18-22 mph, and poor surf conditions. Swell hangs around 5.9 ft to 7.2 ft but it’s short-period (7-8 seconds) and lumpy. A total waste.

Sunday the 2nd of August sees a long-period swell (16 seconds) roll in, but it’s only 3.6 ft to 3.9 ft and the wind is still a fresh cross-shore. The energy is strong (1034 to 1147), but the conditions are marginal. That long-period groundswell on a beach with a reef setup? It might break too straight, but at a point, it could be okay. Still, the wind is the villain.

Monday the 3rd and Tuesday the 4th of August stay marginal. The wind drops to a moderate breeze, 12-16 mph, still cross-shore. Swell is 3.6 ft to 6.6 ft from the E and ENE, with periods of 15-16 seconds on Monday and 12-13 seconds on Tuesday. The combined energy is strong (800 to 1398), but it’s all cross-chop. The Tuesday afternoon session gets a score of 2, but it’s not clean.

Wednesday the 5th of August morning is more of the same, but the afternoon is a bit better. The wind goes cross-offshore from the NE at 12 mph, dropping to a moderate breeze, and the swell is 5.9 ft from the ENE with an 11-second period. The energy is strong (1208), and it’s clean. This is another promising window, but it’s still marginal. The crowd profile? Rock Point is often crowded, so if it’s clean, expect company.

Thursday the 6th of August morning has a similar feel—cross-offshore wind

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