Rock Point/Pohakuloa Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s shaping up over the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, mate, this is a tough stretch. We’re looking at a solid 16-day run where the surf just never seems to line up right. It’s not that there’s no swell – there’s plenty of it, especially in the second week – but the wind is a constant issue, always blowing cross-shore or harder, and it’s trashing the quality at Rock Point/Pohakuloa (which is our only option listed here). The water temperature is sitting at a pretty typical 81°F for this time of year, so no surprises in the warmth.

From the get-go, Sunday the 13th through Tuesday the 22nd, it’s just poor. Swells are small to moderate, mostly from the NE to E, with periods all over the place – short 5-second stuff and some longer 11-second pulses. But the wind is relentless, 15 to 30 km/h (9 to 19 mph) from the E and ENE, putting a nasty cross-chop on everything. Combined wave energy is mostly low to moderate (54 to 898), but that doesn’t matter when it’s all blown out. You’ll be paddling into bumpy, crumbly lines.

Then into the second week, things actually get bigger. From Wednesday the 23rd onwards, we start seeing solid swell in the 7ft to 8ft range, with some serious energy readings hitting 1302 on the Wednesday morning. The period stretches out to 10 or 11 seconds from the E and ENE too. But here’s the killer – the wind doesn’t let up. It stays fresh and cross-shore at 25 to 35 km/h (16 to 22 mph). That’s just too much chop for this setup. The surf is messy and lumpy, and for any surfer who isn’t an expert, those 8ft-plus waves with a strong cross-wind are going to be a handful at best. It’s a real shame because the swell is there.

The one tiny glimmer comes on the morning of Wednesday the 23rd, where the report flags it as “marginal” rather than outright poor. But that’s about the only hiccup in an otherwise grim forecast.

So, summed up: there’s no clean window for a good paddle session here. The swell builds but the wind ruins it. If I was a kite surfer, I’d be keeping an eye on those stronger winds with that bumpy swell, but for a regular surfer? This stretch just isn't your friend.

Keep an eye on the forecasts, things can flip, but right now it’s looking like a long, frustrating run.

Rusty.

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