Surf Forecasts:
Rock Point/Pohakuloa surf forecast from 10 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 12 Jul, 5PM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 8s period, ENE swell with 689 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rock Point/Pohakuloa this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Rock Point/Pohakuloa in the next 16 days are 2.4m 8s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 12) at 5PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 15s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 5AM.
| Wave Type | Time (HST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 5PM (Sun 12th Jul) | 8ft (2.4m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rock Point/Pohakuloa over the next 16 days.
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you—this is a tough one. Rock Point/Pohakuloa is the only break on the cards for the next 16 days, and I’m gonna be honest, it’s not looking good for a paddle. The whole period is a write-off for decent surf. There are no standout days, no hidden gems, just a long stretch of poor conditions.
We start off on Friday, July 10th, with a messy 6ft swell from the ENE, period a short 7 seconds, and the combined energy sitting at a weak 330. That’s not great, but the real killer is the wind. It’s blowing a fresh 18-22 mph cross-shore all day, putting a nasty lumpy chop on everything. That same pattern just repeats itself day after day. Saturday the 11th, the swell bumps up to 7ft, but the wind is still howling cross-shore at 18-22 mph, and the energy creeps up to 408—still moderate, but the surface is trashed.
Through Sunday the 12th, the swell gets to 8ft with energy up to 604, but again, that cross-shore wind is relentless. This is a reef and point break, but with that much wind and chop, it’s not going to hold any shape. Honestly, with that setup and the wind, it’s looking more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. The water temperature is about average for this time of year, nothing wild there.
The whole first week—from July 10th right through to July 16th—is just a block of poor surf. Swell sizes range from 4ft to 8ft, but the period never gets above 8 seconds, and the wind never drops below a moderate to fresh cross-shore. The energy values are all in the moderate range (175 to 689), but it’s all wind-affected slop.
Into the second week, things don’t improve. From July 17th to the 25th, it’s more of the same: 4ft to 6ft swell, short periods of 6 to 8 seconds, and constant cross-shore wind. The energy stays weak to moderate (164 to 351). Even on the clear days, the wind is there to ruin it.
There’s no point sugar-coating it: this is a blank run for the area. Rock Point is inconsistent at the best of times, and here, with the trade winds blowing steady cross-shore every single day, the conditions are just poor. It tends not to stay this bad forever, and forecasts can change, but right now, there’s nothing to recommend. A blank run like this is more normal for this spot when the wind is up.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Sun morning. Warm (max 25°C on Fri morning, min 24°C on Thu night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Warm (max 25°C on Mon afternoon, min 24°C on Sun night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thu 16 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | NE 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | E 5 | E 6 | E 6 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 498 | 330 | 334 | 421 | 408 | 385 | 389 | 604 | 689 | 568 | 439 | 358 | 305 | 337 | 276 | 334 | 229 | 180 | 95 | 127 | 116 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross |
High Tide | 12:41PM0.86m | 9:48PM0.48m | 1:27PM0.94m | 11:21PM0.47m | 2:10PM0.99m | 00:30AM0.47m | 2:51PM1.02m | 1:30AM0.49m | 3:29PM1.02m | 2:24AM0.51m | 4:05PM0.99m | 3:17AM0.52m | 4:37PM0.94m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 4:26AM0.08m | 8:04PM0.48m | 5:22AM0.03m | 8:38PM0.43m | 6:16AM-0.01m | 9:11PM0.40m | 7:07AM-0.04m | 9:43PM0.37m | 7:54AM-0.04m | 10:16PM0.35m | 8:39AM-0.01m | 10:48PM0.32m | 9:21AM0.06m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | | | |  | | | | | | | |  | | |  | | | |
 | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — |
 | 7:12 | — | 7:12 | — | — | 7:12 | — | — | 7:12 | — | — | 7:12 | — | — | 7:10 | — | — | 7:10 | — | — | 7:10 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 24 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 24 | 25 | 24 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 |
Feels °C | 21 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 22 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 23 | 24 | 24 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 12 | W 13 | W 13 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | W 16 | W 15 | W 15 | W 15 | NNE 8 | NNE 7 | NNE 7 |
| kJ | 15 | 31 | 13 | 59 | 54 | 109 | 107 | 129 | 124 | 119 | 110 | 104 | 100 | 92 | 132 | 118 | 165 | 161 | 67 | 62 | 59 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 13 | SSW 12 | W 15 | W 13 | W 14 | W 14 | W 13 | W 13 | W 12 | W 12 | W 12 | W 19 | W 18 | W 16 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 14 | W 15 | W 14 | W 14 |
| kJ | 14 | 13 | 17 | 30 | 36 | 35 | 30 | 29 | 27 | 26 | 11 | 28 | 98 | 82 | 89 | 44 | 65 | 77 | 159 | 153 | 150 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 16 | SW 21 | SSW 13 | S 11 | S 10 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 24 | W 16 | W 13 | N 8 | SW 19 | SSW 19 | SW 17 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 13 | SW 17 |
| kJ | 5 | 18 | 16 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 13 | 6 | 58 | 37 | 75 | 49 | 49 | 119 | 43 | 75 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | NE 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | E 5 | E 6 | E 6 |
| kJ | 498 | 330 | 334 | 421 | 408 | 385 | 389 | 604 | 689 | 568 | 439 | 358 | 305 | 337 | 276 | 334 | 229 | 180 | 95 | 127 | 116 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 28 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 26 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 20 | 24 | 26 | 24 | 24 | 26 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Molokai | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rock Point/Pohakuloa Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rock Point/Pohakuloa provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rock Point/Pohakuloa can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rock Point/Pohakuloa surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rock Point/Pohakuloa) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rock Point/Pohakuloa may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a vacation in Molokai? If you are looking for accommodation near Rock Point/Pohakuloa, camping, hotels and condos and appartments in Molokai, consider staying in Wailuku which is 36 km (22 miles) away. Other places in and around Molokai where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Kaunakakai - Molokai which is 38 km (24 miles) away, Kahului, Lanai - Lanai and Kihei.
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