Rock Point/Pohakuloa Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's get into what's happening at Rock Point/Pohakuloa over the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, the start is a bit of a write-off. We've got a long stretch of nothing special. From Sunday the 9th right through to Friday the 14th, it's all cross-shore winds, lumpy conditions, and poor surf. The swell stays under 7 ft, mostly from the east, with a short period around 6 to 8 seconds, meaning gutless, unsurfable lines. The combined energy is weak to moderate at best, peaking around 814 on Friday afternoon, but the wind makes a mess of it. You wouldn't paddle out.

Now, Saturday the 15th is where things get interesting, but tricky. A big ENE groundswell rolls in, hitting 12 ft with a long 13-second period. The combined energy jumps to four and five thousand, that's some serious push. The wind turns cross-offshore from the NE, so the lineup will look clean. But here's the catch: 12 ft is too big for most, and the wave comment spells it out – it's predicted to be too big for this break. That's expert territory only, and even then, be careful.

Sunday the 16th is the actual standout. The morning is a write-off with an 18 ft monster from the NE and storm risk, giving a combined energy of 9377 – that’s a lot of power. But the afternoon window is magic. The swell drops to a still-chunky 8 ft from the ENE with an 11-second period, combined energy at 3162 (strong), and crucially, the wind goes offshore from the NW with a moderate breeze. That’s clean, lined-up, proper surf. The rating calls it excellent for experienced surfers. The swell direction (ENE) is a bit east of the optimum (NE), but with that quality of wind and size, it’s the best on offer. Expect crowds, as it’s often busy here, and this is an inconsistent break, so when it fires, everyone knows it.

After that, it fades fast. Monday the 17th the wind swings onshore and it all turns to chop. The rest of the second week is a desert of cross-shore winds and poor surf, with swell bouncing around from 4 ft to 8 ft but the wind ruining any chance of a good wave. The combined energy stays mostly moderate to weak, and the period drops back to 6-10 seconds. There’s nothing worth chasing in that last stretch.

So, to sum it up: the 16-day run is mostly a bust. The one true standout is Sunday afternoon, August 16th. Get on it if you’re experienced, because that window of clean, offshore 8 ft groundswell is the only real shot we get.

Rusty.

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