Rock Point/Pohakuloa Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's get straight into it.

Honestly, the 16-day window for Rock Point/Pohakuloa is a tough one. The forecast is pretty much a write-off for decent paddle surfing. The main issue is a relentless cross-shore wind that just won't let up, keeping the surface lumpy and chopped up. A surfer’s gonna be fighting the conditions more than the waves.

First thing Thursday morning, the 10th of September, we see a 6ft swell from the ENE with a short, weak 7-second period and moderate energy (390). But the wind is howling at 19 mph from the E, making it a messy cross-chop. That sets the tone. The rest of the day and through Friday, the 11th, it’s more of the same. By Friday afternoon the swell drops to 4ft, but the period stretches out to 11 seconds, and the energy jumps up (737). That’s a better quality wave in there, but the cross-shore wind (12 mph from ENE) still ruins it. It’s a classic case of swell and wind fighting each other.

We roll through the weekend of the 12th and 13th with tiny, weak 3ft to 3ft swells. The energy is very weak (around 200 or less), so even if the conditions were perfect, there's hardly anything to ride.

The pattern repeats all through the second week. From the 14th up to the 24th of September, the combined swell energy occasionally spikes, like on the 16th afternoon with 5ft and moderate energy (547), and then again on the 18th with 7ft from the E and moderate energy (635). But every single entry is tagged with "poor surf conditions." The wind is a constant cross-shore, often a fresh breeze of 19-22 mph. For a reef and point break that works best with a clean NE groundswell, getting a cross-shore wind like this is brutal. It just shreds the wave face.

Late in the window, on the 25th of September, we see one last push of 5ft from the ENE with moderate energy (541), but again, the moderate cross-shore breeze locks it in as a write-off.

To be totally blunt, there isn't a single standout day here. The setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing, with that consistent cross-shore wind. We are staring down a full 16-day dry spell. The break is known to be inconsistent, so a blank run like this is pretty normal for the region.

Rusty.

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