Surf Forecasts:
Rock Point/Pohakuloa surf forecast from 4 Aug 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 4 Aug, 8AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 11s period, ENE swell with 608 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rock Point/Pohakuloa this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Rock Point/Pohakuloa in the next 16 days are 1.6m 11s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 04) at 8AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 5s period and expected on Friday (Aug 07) at 5PM.
| Wave Type | Time (HST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 8AM (Tue 4th Aug) | 5ft (1.6m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rock Point/Pohakuloa over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Yo, Rusty here. Alright, lookin' at the charts for the next 16 days, and I gotta be straight with you – it's a tough stretch. The only spot on the radar is Rock Point/Pohakuloa, a reef and point setup that's exposed to the swell but inconsistent by nature. The honest truth is, there's not a single day in this forecast that's worth paddling out for. The whole run is a blank.
The pattern is persistent: we're stuck with a cross-shore wind that just won't let up, blowing from the ENE at 9 to 25 mph the whole way through. It's a fresh breeze most days, creating a lumpy, cross-chop that's ruining whatever shape the waves might have. The swell is there, but it's all wrong. For the first few days, we've got a short-period, 4 ft to 5 ft windswell from the ENE, but the note says "poor surf conditions" every time. The combined energy is moderate at 561, but it's coming from the wrong direction for the break's optimum NE swell, and the wind is just trashing it.
The middle of the week gets worse. By Thursday the 6th, the swell period drops to 6 seconds – that's pure wind chop, no form at all. The energy is weak to moderate (141 to 163), and the wind is still howling. The weekend of the 8th and 9th sees the swell push up to 6 ft and 7 ft, but the period is still short, and the wind is up to 19 and 22 mph. It's just a messy, bumpy ocean. The energy gets into the moderate range (267 to 438), but with that cross-chop, it's not surfable.
As we head into the second week, from the 11th of August onward, the swell actually gets bigger, hitting 7 ft to 8 ft by the 15th and 16th. The energy is strong, climbing to 816, but look at the wind – still 19 to 25 mph from the ENE. An 8 ft wave with a short 7-8 second period and a 25 mph cross-shore wind is just a washing machine. It's only for the experts if anyone's crazy enough to try, but the conditions are consistently rated as poor. The wind is so strong and consistent that this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.
Bottom line: this is a long, dry spell for Rock Point. The break is inconsistent, and the forecast is a solid 16 days of no-go. It's a tough one, but that's how it goes sometimes. The forecasts can change, but right now, there's nothing to get excited about.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Thu morning. Warm (max 26°C on Tue morning, min 24°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Warm (max 25°C on Fri morning, min 25°C on Fri morning). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 11 | ENE 11 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 6 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 5 | NNW 7 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | E 7 | E 8 | ENE 7 | E 7 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 561 | 496 | 425 | 242 | 194 | 243 | 136 | 147 | 117 | 59 | 9 | 240 | 263 | 310 | 435 | 375 | 438 | 465 | 377 | 432 | 400 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross |
High Tide | 5:12PM0.67m | 8:21AM0.64m | 5:13PM0.61m | 10:26AM0.70m | 11:45AM0.79m | 12:36PM0.87m | 10:02PM0.43m | 1:17PM0.93m | 11:48PM0.45m | 1:54PM0.97m | 00:51AM0.50m | ||||||||||
Low Tide | 11:37AM0.46m | 00:35AM0.18m | 1:07PM0.55m | 1:28AM0.16m | 2:42AM0.14m | 4:05AM0.11m | 8:33PM0.42m | 5:16AM0.07m | 8:26PM0.39m | 6:14AM0.03m | 8:43PM0.35m | ||||||||||
 | |  | | | |  |  | | | |  | | |  |  | | | | | | |
 | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — |
 | — | 7:04 | — | — | 7:02 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:00 | — | — | 7:00 | — | — | 7:00 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — |
Temp °C | 26 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 |
Feels °C | 27 | 27 | 25 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 12 | ENE 11 | SW 16 | ENE 9 | NNE 8 | SW 15 | SW 14 | NW 8 | NNW 7 | NNW 7 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SSW 15 | SW 15 |
| kJ | 14 | 496 | 38 | 242 | 14 | 34 | 33 | 16 | 11 | 10 | 46 | 46 | 51 | 45 | 49 | 71 | 68 | 65 | 64 | 88 | 57 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 17 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | NNE 9 | SW 15 | NNE 8 | W 11 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | NNW 7 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | W 11 | W 11 | N 8 | NNW 8 |
| kJ | 28 | 13 | 12 | 16 | 36 | 6 | 10 | 32 | 33 | 30 | 9 | 59 | 53 | 50 | 44 | 33 | 15 | 21 | 20 | 13 | 6 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 14 | W 13 | W 12 | SSW 15 | W 12 | W 11 | N 8 | W 11 | NE 11 | NE 12 | SW 20 | NNW 7 | NNW 7 | N 6 | W 10 | NE 9 | W 11 | SSW 12 | N 9 | W 10 | W 10 |
| kJ | 4 | 13 | 11 | 23 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 23 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 8 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 11 | — | ENE 10 | — | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 6 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 5 | ENE 5 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | E 7 | E 8 | ENE 7 | E 7 |
| kJ | 561 | — | 425 | — | 194 | 243 | 136 | 147 | 117 | 59 | 69 | 240 | 263 | 310 | 435 | 375 | 438 | 465 | 377 | 432 | 400 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 22 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 28 | 28 | 24 | 28 | 24 | 26 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 26 | 24 | 24 | 26 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Molokai | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rock Point/Pohakuloa Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rock Point/Pohakuloa provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rock Point/Pohakuloa can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rock Point/Pohakuloa surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rock Point/Pohakuloa) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rock Point/Pohakuloa may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a vacation in Molokai? If you are looking for accommodation near Rock Point/Pohakuloa, camping, hotels and condos and appartments in Molokai, consider staying in Wailuku which is 36 km (22 miles) away. Other places in and around Molokai where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Kaunakakai - Molokai which is 38 km (24 miles) away, Kahului, Lanai - Lanai and Kihei.
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