Rock Point/Pohakuloa Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's get into it.

We're looking at a rough start, folks. The first recommendation for a surf doesn't come until Saturday the 5th, and even then, it's a bit of a struggle. The overall pattern is a long run of onshore and cross-shore winds that's going to keep things choppy and messy for the better part of the first week. The water temp is sitting at 80°, which is about normal for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The only spot on the menu is Rock Point/Pohakuloa, a reef and point setup. The potential is there, but it's an inconsistent wave that needs a lot of things to line up, and the crowds can be a problem. The early part of the outlook is a tough sell. Saturday the 5th has a decent 7ft ENE swell, but with a 16 mph cross-shore blowing, it's going to be a lumpy, messy affair. The combined energy is strong (1722), but the wind is ruining it. Sunday the 6th through to the 12th is a washout of cross-shore winds and onshore slop, with swell hanging around 4ft to 8ft. The wind is just too strong, creating a bad cross-chop. It's a real grind.

Now, look ahead to the second week. There's a proper window of clean surf that starts to show on Sunday the 13th. We get a gentle cross-offshore breeze from the NE, and the swell drops back to a more manageable 6ft to 7ft from the ENE. The energy is moderate (407-515), but the wind is light, and the wave comment is "clean." This is the standout. Monday the 14th is the best of the lot. The swell picks up to 8ft to 8ft from the ENE, and we still have that light, clean cross-offshore wind from the N and NNE. The period is short (7 seconds), so it's not going to have that deep, grunty power, but it will be rideable and way more fun than anything before it. The combined energy is moderate (562-591). This is the one to circle on your calendar.

After that, it starts to fade again. By Tuesday the 15th, the wind turns back onshore, and we're back to choppy conditions through the rest of the forecast. The swell remains around 7ft, but the quality disappears.

So, to sum it up: the first week is a battle against the wind. The best bet is a long shot, but it's there. Monday the 14th at Rock Point/Pohakuloa. Get there early to beat the crowds, and you might score a clean, 8ft to 8ft ENE swell with a light offshore breeze. It's a short-period swell, so it'll be a bit walled up, but it's the cleanest wave in the whole 16-day window. The rest is just a fight for a few okay ones.

Rusty.

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