Surf Forecasts:
Rock Point/Pohakuloa surf forecast from 28 Aug 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 3 Sep, 5PM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 9s period, ENE swell with 547 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rock Point/Pohakuloa this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Rock Point/Pohakuloa in the next 16 days are 1.9m 9s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 03) at 5PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 15s period and expected on Friday (Aug 28) at 5AM.
| Wave Type | Time (HST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 5PM (Thu 3rd Sep) | 6ft (1.9m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rock Point/Pohakuloa over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.
First up, I’m looking at the whole picture for Rock Point/Pohakuloa, and honestly, it’s a slow burn for the first week. The wind is a real problem early on, blowing cross-shore and fresh, which is just chopping everything up. The swell is there, but it’s short-period and messy. The real light at the end of the tunnel is the second week. We’ve got a solid run of cleaner conditions lining up, with a couple of days that look genuinely special.
Right now, through the end of August and into the start of September, it’s a write-off. We’re seeing a persistent ENE wind at 15 to 19 mph, creating lumpy cross-chop. The swell is pushing 4 ft to 7 ft, but with a period of only 6 to 8 seconds, it’s just wind-affected junk. The combined energy is moderate, hitting 197 to 570 (moderate wave energy), but it’s poorly organized. The water temp is about average for the time of year, nothing out of the ordinary.
We get a slight tease on the 4th of September afternoon, when the wind shifts to a cross-offshore from the NE, cleaning things up. But the surf quality is still marginal. This pattern continues for a few days with cleaner conditions but still only marginal surf.
The standout arrives on the 9th of September. Wednesday afternoon at Rock Point (Hawaii) is where it all comes together. The wind is light from the NE at 9 mph, giving us clean, cross-offshore conditions. We’re looking at 6 ft of swell from the NE with a solid 10-second period. The combined energy is strong at 699 (moderate wave energy). This is the kind of afternoon you want to be on the water—clean lines, good shape, and a proper swell direction for the point.
The best of the whole run, though, is the 10th of September. Thursday morning kicks off with a light NNE breeze at only 6 mph, glassy and clean. The swell bumps up to 7 ft from the NE, still holding that 10-second period. The combined energy rockets up to 905 (strong wave energy). By the afternoon, it’s 8 ft from the NE with 964 (strong wave energy) and a gentle offshore breeze. This is the call. The water is clean, the swell is solid, and the direction is perfect for the reef and point setup. Just keep in mind that 8 ft is getting into expert territory, so if you’re not comfortable in that size, give it a watch.
That said, the 11th of September offers a bigger pulse at 8 ft from the ENE, but the period drops to 9 seconds and the wind goes cross-shore again. The energy is still very strong at 1270 (strong to very strong wave energy), but the quality is marginal. This is more for the experienced crew on a bigger day.
One thing to note: Rock Point is listed as “inconsistent,” so these good days are a real treat. And with crowds marked as “often,” you’ll want to be early or pick your bank.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Sat morning, min 25°C on Thu night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Mon morning. Warm (max 26°C on Mon morning, min 25°C on Sun night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||
Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | NE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
179 | 117 | 130 | 192 | 205 | 263 | 349 | 372 | 277 | 223 | 425 | 441 | 358 | 443 | 534 | 443 | 422 | 422 | 462 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross |
High Tide | 2:21AM0.63m | 2:55PM0.85m | 2:59AM0.67m | 3:14PM0.82m | 3:40AM0.70m | 3:32PM0.77m | 4:24AM0.72m | 3:49PM0.71m | 5:15AM0.72m | 4:02PM0.65m | 6:22AM0.71m | 4:04PM0.60m | |||||||
Low Tide | 8:58PM0.26m | 8:17AM0.14m | 9:16PM0.22m | 8:51AM0.19m | 9:37PM0.18m | 9:28AM0.26m | 10:00PM0.15m | 10:07AM0.34m | 10:26PM0.13m | 10:52AM0.43m | 10:58PM0.13m | 11:54AM0.51m | 11:37PM0.14m | ||||||
— | 6:09 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | |
6:46 | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:44 | — | — | 6:44 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:42 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | 3 |
Temp °C | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 25 |
Feels °C | 22 | 24 | 23 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 23 | 23 | 24 | 23 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 24 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | E 15 | E 15 | E 13 | E 13 | SSW 13 | SW 17 | SW 16 | E 11 | ENE 10 | SW 15 | SW 14 | E 9 | SW 14 | SW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | E 14 | E 13 |
74 | 72 | 109 | 130 | 125 | 16 | 43 | 65 | 61 | 33 | 55 | 53 | 42 | 54 | 80 | 105 | 102 | 148 | 170 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 7 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 17 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SW 16 | SW 15 | W 13 | SSW 18 | SW 14 | SSW 18 | SW 14 | E 13 | E 15 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 |
9 | 41 | 37 | 35 | 34 | 46 | 14 | 14 | 61 | 57 | 3 | 32 | 53 | 63 | 32 | 14 | 67 | 99 | 42 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 9 | NNE 6 | NW 8 | WNW 8 | SSW 18 | NW 8 | NW 8 | W 10 | S 12 | S 11 | S 9 | W 12 | SSW 19 | W 12 | W 11 | E 16 | W 10 | W 10 | ESE 14 |
12 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 31 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 37 | 11 | 10 | 20 | 8 | 8 | 20 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | NE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 |
179 | 117 | 130 | 192 | 205 | 263 | 349 | 372 | 277 | 223 | 425 | 441 | 358 | 443 | 534 | 443 | 422 | 422 | 462 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 26 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 52 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 28 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Molokai | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rock Point/Pohakuloa Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rock Point/Pohakuloa provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rock Point/Pohakuloa can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rock Point/Pohakuloa surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rock Point/Pohakuloa) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rock Point/Pohakuloa may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a vacation in Molokai? If you are looking for accommodation near Rock Point/Pohakuloa, camping, hotels and condos and appartments in Molokai, consider staying in Wailuku which is 36 km (22 miles) away. Other places in and around Molokai where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Kaunakakai - Molokai which is 38 km (24 miles) away, Kahului, Lanai - Lanai and Kihei.











