Surf Forecasts:
Rock Point/Pohakuloa surf forecast from 10 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 12 Jul, 2PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 8s period, ENE swell with 691 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rock Point/Pohakuloa this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Rock Point/Pohakuloa in the next 16 days are 2.5m 8s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 12) at 2PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 15s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 5AM.
| Wave Type | Time (HST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 2PM (Sun 12th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rock Point/Pohakuloa over the next 16 days.
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s cut to the chase. I’ve looked at the charts for the next 16 days, and honestly, it’s a tough one. We’re looking at a long stretch of nothing special, so don’t get your hopes up too high.
The main break on offer is Rock Point/Pohakuloa (a reef and point setup), and it’s inconsistent. It faces northeast, which is a problem because the wind is hammering from the same direction for the entire forecast period. The water is sitting about average for this time of year at 79°, so nothing weird there.
From Thursday, July 9th, right through to the end of July, the story is the same: cross-shore winds, mostly 15 to 22 mph, and a lumpy cross-chop that’s just ruining the surface. The swell hangs around 5 ft to 8 ft, with a short period of 7 to 8 seconds, meaning weak, bumpy, and unorganized waves. The combined energy is moderate (340 to 709), but it doesn’t matter because the wind is killing any chance of a clean face. Every single session is flagged as “poor surf conditions” with a score of zero. There is not a single standout, not one decent window in the whole 16 days.
The only thing that changes is around July 21st and 22nd, when the swell drops right down to 2 ft to 3 ft, and the period jumps to 14–16 seconds. That’s a very long period groundswell, which usually means more energy and better shape, but the energy is still moderate (356 to 745) and the wind is still hammering cross-shore. At a point break like Rock Point, that long period could work, but with the wind howling, it’s just messy. On July 21st the swell is 3 ft from the east with a 16-second period, and the energy is 745 – that’s the most interesting pulse of the whole run, but the wind ruins it.
So, the honest truth: there’s no surf worth paddling for. The setup is more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing, given the steady cross-shore breeze and consistent chop. If you’re desperate, the period around July 21st might have a little more push, but it’s a long shot. The breaks are inconsistent anyway, so a blank run like this isn’t totally abnormal for this area. Forecasts can change, but right now, I’d leave the boards at home.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Warm (max 25°C on Thu afternoon, min 24°C on Thu afternoon). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Sun afternoon, min 24°C on Sun night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thu 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | E 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 6 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 557 | 474 | 340 | 328 | 372 | 397 | 397 | 373 | 687 | 623 | 568 | 422 | 336 | 229 | 347 | 314 | 327 | 256 | 278 | 338 | 298 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross |
High Tide | 7:59PM0.53m | 12:41PM0.86m | 9:48PM0.48m | 1:27PM0.94m | 11:21PM0.47m | 2:10PM0.99m | 00:30AM0.47m | 2:51PM1.02m | 1:30AM0.49m | 3:29PM1.02m | 2:24AM0.51m | 4:05PM0.99m | 3:17AM0.52m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 6:58PM0.53m | 4:26AM0.08m | 8:04PM0.48m | 5:22AM0.03m | 8:38PM0.43m | 6:16AM-0.01m | 9:11PM0.40m | 7:07AM-0.04m | 9:43PM0.37m | 7:54AM-0.04m | 10:16PM0.35m | 8:39AM-0.01m | 10:48PM0.32m | 9:21AM0.06m | |||||||
 |  |  | | | | |  |  | | | | | | | | | | |  | | |
 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 |
 | 7:12 | — | — | 7:12 | — | — | 7:12 | — | — | 7:12 | — | — | 7:12 | — | — | 7:10 | — | — | 7:10 | — | 7:10 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 25 | 24 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 24 | 25 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 |
Feels °C | 23 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 23 | 23 | 22 | 23 | 22 | 21 | 21 | 23 | 22 | 24 | 24 | 22 | 23 | 23 | 24 | 24 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | W 13 | W 13 | SW 19 | W 14 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | NNE 7 | SW 14 | W 16 | W 15 | W 15 | W 15 | W 15 | W 14 |
| kJ | 32 | 15 | 31 | 13 | 59 | 36 | 109 | 107 | 129 | 124 | 119 | 110 | 104 | 88 | 93 | 132 | 118 | 163 | 159 | 157 | 153 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 14 | W 13 | SSW 12 | W 15 | W 13 | SW 19 | W 14 | W 13 | W 13 | W 12 | W 12 | W 12 | W 19 | SW 14 | W 16 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 13 |
| kJ | 15 | 14 | 13 | 17 | 30 | 54 | 35 | 30 | 29 | 27 | 26 | 11 | 64 | 100 | 82 | 89 | 44 | 60 | 69 | 119 | 43 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 17 | W 16 | SW 21 | SSW 12 | S 12 | S 10 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 24 | W 16 | W 12 | W 18 | SW 19 | SSW 19 | SW 17 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 19 | SW 16 |
| kJ | 6 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 11 | 98 | 58 | 36 | 75 | 49 | 49 | 15 | 66 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | E 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 6 |
| kJ | 557 | 474 | 340 | 328 | 372 | 397 | 397 | 373 | 687 | 623 | 568 | 422 | 336 | 229 | 347 | 314 | 327 | 256 | 278 | 338 | 298 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 28 | 28 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 28 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 28 | 24 | 24 | 24 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Molokai | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rock Point/Pohakuloa Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rock Point/Pohakuloa provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rock Point/Pohakuloa can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rock Point/Pohakuloa surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rock Point/Pohakuloa) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rock Point/Pohakuloa may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a vacation in Molokai? If you are looking for accommodation near Rock Point/Pohakuloa, camping, hotels and condos and appartments in Molokai, consider staying in Wailuku which is 36 km (22 miles) away. Other places in and around Molokai where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Kaunakakai - Molokai which is 38 km (24 miles) away, Kahului, Lanai - Lanai and Kihei.
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