
Surf Forecasts:
Rock Point/Pohakuloa surf forecast from 14 Sep 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 17 Sep, 11AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 9s period, ENE swell with 847 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rock Point/Pohakuloa this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Rock Point/Pohakuloa in the next 16 days are 2.3m 9s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 17) at 11AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 5s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 8AM.
| Wave Type | Time (HST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 11AM (Thu 17th Sep) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rock Point/Pohakuloa over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you about what we’re looking at. This 16-day window is a bit of a grind, to be honest. The only spot in the game is Rock Point/Pohakuloa, a reef and point set-up that’s exposed to the NE. It’s inconsistent by nature, so we’re starting from a tough spot.
The outlook kicks off Monday the 14th of September, but don’t get excited. The first week is a write-off for quality surfing. That ENE wind is blowing steady at 12-22 mph, and it’s cross-shore every day, creating lumpy, choppy conditions. Swell is small, between 2 ft and 3 ft with weak energy (54 to 100), and the wave comment is squarely "poor surf conditions." That runs all the way through to the 17th, where the swell starts to push 7-8 ft, but the wind stays fresh and cross, so it’s still a mess.
We finally get a hint of something different on Monday the 21st of September. The afternoon sees a jump to 7 ft from the E with a 9-second period, energy reading a moderate 748, and the comment shifts to “marginal.” Still, the wind is cross at 16 mph, so it’s not clean, just less terrible.
The only real standout in the whole run hits on Tuesday the 22nd. Tuesday afternoon brings a shift: wind goes cross-off from the NE at 16 mph, and the wave state cleans right up. The swell is 7 ft from the E with a 9-second period, and the energy is 686. For this break, with the wind finally giving us a break, this is the best it gets. That’s a solid intermediate wave, but know that the size is pushing the limit for beginners, and the point-and-reef setup here might handle that period better than a beach break. Crowds are "often" here, and with the only decent window in two weeks, you’ll have company.
From Wednesday the 23rd onward, it’s back to fresh cross-shore wind and lumpy surf. By the 27th, we see a weird late shift to a very long-period NW swell (17 seconds) but the swell height drops to 3 ft, and the wind is still cross, so it’s a tease. That long-period groundswell is best for a point or reef like this, but the energy (791) is there, not the quality conditions.
Bottom line: for the next 16 days, you’ve got one real shot—Tuesday afternoon the 22nd at Rock Point. The rest is a whole lot of cross-shore wind and chop. It’s a dry spell, but for this area, that’s not unusual.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Mon afternoon, min 25°C on Sun night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 13mm), heaviest on Thu afternoon. Warm (max 27°C on Fri morning, min 25°C on Wed night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||
Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | Saturday 19 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NNE 8 | NE 8 | NNE 8 | ENE 5 | ENE 5 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | E 8 | E 7 | E 8 | E 7 | E 8 | E 8 | E 7 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
142 | 100 | 54 | 42 | 133 | 60 | 84 | 143 | 214 | 408 | 847 | 682 | 650 | 501 | 507 | 532 | 619 | 619 | 474 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross |
High Tide | 4:26AM0.76m | 3:26PM0.64m | 5:09AM0.74m | 3:29PM0.59m | 6:00AM0.70m | 3:11PM0.55m | 7:21AM0.66m | 9:47AM0.66m | 11:11AM0.70m | ||||||||||
Low Tide | 9:40PM0.13m | 10:18AM0.39m | 10:01PM0.13m | 10:58AM0.46m | 10:24PM0.15m | 11:51AM0.52m | 10:50PM0.18m | 11:24PM0.22m | 00:31AM0.26m | 3:01AM0.27m | |||||||||
— | 6:13 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | |
6:31 | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:29 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:27 | — | — | 6:25 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | — | 5 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 25 | 25 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 |
Feels °C | 25 | 25 | 27 | 26 | 27 | 26 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 25 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NNE 8 | SW 20 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 |
142 | 100 | 54 | 42 | 137 | 52 | 32 | 154 | 194 | 147 | 89 | 89 | 246 | 243 | 230 | 208 | 166 | 166 | 166 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 12 | SSW 14 | SW 22 | E 13 | E 12 | E 11 | E 11 | NNE 9 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | SSW 20 | SW 19 | W 10 | NW 11 | NW 10 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 10 |
14 | 19 | 73 | 30 | 45 | 60 | 56 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 58 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 14 | WNW 12 | SSW 14 | SW 21 | NE 8 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SSW 12 | WNW 9 | NW 10 | SW 11 | SW 10 | NW 12 | W 9 | W 9 | W 9 | W 9 | W 9 | N 8 |
20 | 14 | 19 | 72 | 10 | 134 | 131 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 4 | ENE 4 | ENE 5 | ENE 5 | NE 8 | ENE 5 | ENE 5 | ENE 5 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | E 8 | E 7 | E 8 | E 7 | E 8 | E 8 | E 7 |
9 | 21 | 41 | 53 | 133 | 40 | 84 | 143 | 214 | 408 | 847 | 682 | 650 | 501 | 507 | 532 | 619 | 619 | 474 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 20 | 18 | 17 | 14 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 24 | 24 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Molokai | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rock Point/Pohakuloa Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rock Point/Pohakuloa provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rock Point/Pohakuloa can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rock Point/Pohakuloa surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rock Point/Pohakuloa) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rock Point/Pohakuloa may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a vacation in Molokai? If you are looking for accommodation near Rock Point/Pohakuloa, camping, hotels and condos and appartments in Molokai, consider staying in Wailuku which is 36 km (22 miles) away. Other places in and around Molokai where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Kaunakakai - Molokai which is 38 km (24 miles) away, Kahului, Lanai - Lanai and Kihei.










