Rock Point/Pohakuloa Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Gotta be straight with you – it's a grim outlook for Rock Point/Pohakuloa. We're looking at a full 16-day window with not a single day worth paddling out. That's a blank run, and for this area it’s not that unusual when the trades just won't let up. The whole stretch is plagued by a relentless cross-shore or cross-onshore breeze that's going to leave the surface lumpy, choppy, and messy. There's no glass, no offshore, no clean face to be found.

Let's walk through it. Starting Wednesday August 12th, we've got a 5 ft swell from the ENE with a short 7-second period. The wind is a fresh 19 mph cross-shore, creating lumpy cross-chop. The wave energy is weak (191). That's a hard pass.

Thursday the 13th sees the swell bumping to 6 ft from the ENE, but the period drops to a miserable 6 seconds. Wind stays fresh cross-shore. The energy ticks up a touch (245), but the quality is still terrible.

Friday the 14th brings a 7 ft ENE swell with an improving period of 8 seconds. The wind picks up to 22 mph in the afternoon. The combined energy jumps to moderate (567-666), but the "poor surf conditions" tag and the lumpy cross-chop kill any hope.

Saturday the 15th and Sunday the 16th are the most powerful, but also the ugliest. Swell hits 12-13 ft from the E with periods hitting 11-12 seconds. This is big, strong energy (2621-4067), but it's accompanied by rain, thunderstorms, and a strong 25-28 mph wind that's either cross or cross-onshore. For a reef and point break, this setup would be a washing machine. This is more of a kite-surfing kind of day than a paddle-surfing one unless you're an expert looking for a beating.

From Monday August 17th onward, the swell drops back to the 5 ft to 7 ft range with short periods (6-8 seconds). The wind remains a persistent moderate to fresh cross-shore breeze. The wave energy bounces between weak and moderate (149-451), but the quality never improves. The "poor surf conditions" label sticks through every single session until the end of the forecast on Thursday August 27th.

So, bottom line: there are zero standouts here. The water's warm at 80°F, about average for this time of year, but you won't be feeling it because you'll be on the beach. Hang loose and wait for a change in the pattern.

Rusty.

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