Rock Point/Pohakuloa Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s coming up for Rock Point/Pohakuloa. This is a reef and point setup, exposed to the swell, and it’s an inconsistent wave that only works when the conditions line up right. It's an intermediate-level spot, and it can get crowded.

Right now, and for the next couple of weeks, the outlook is pretty grim. The water temp is sitting at 80°, which is about average for the time of year, so no surprises there. But the wind is a big issue. We’ve got a persistent cross-shore breeze that’s creating lumpy, choppy conditions. The swell is coming from the ENE, with periods hovering around 5 to 9 seconds – that’s short period, wind swell stuff, not the clean groundswell this point craves. The combined energy is up and down, but even when it gets into the hundreds (296), it’s still just messy, poor surf. The swell heights are a tease, from 3ft to 5ft, but the wind ruins it.

The first week is a washout. Wednesday the 5th through to the weekend is all cross-shore winds and “poor surf conditions.” There’s a risk of thunderstorms on Sunday the 9th, with a bump in swell to 7ft, but the wind is a stiff 22 mph cross-shore, so it’s just a blown-out mess. Nothing to get excited about.

The second week is where things get interesting, but it’s a long way out. The swell builds through the week, and by Saturday the 15th of August, we’re looking at 8ft to 8ft of ENE swell with a period of 8 seconds. The energy is pumping – 690 on Saturday morning, 825 in the afternoon. But the wind is still cross-shore at 19 mph. That’s a lot of power, but it’s going to be lumpy and hard to handle. The real standout on paper is Sunday the 16th of August. The swell hits 10ft – that’s expert territory, too big for beginners – and the energy is massive at 1081. The wind is still cross-shore, but the forecast says "wind and tide favorable." For a break that’s already inconsistent, this is a rare chance. The swell direction is ENE, which is not the optimum NE the spot likes, but with that much power, it’ll still wrap in. The period is 8 seconds, so it’s still a bit short, but the sheer size and energy might make up for it. Keep in mind, this is a long-range call, so don’t book your flights yet, but if you’re an expert looking for a big, challenging session, that Sunday afternoon is the only window in this whole 16-day stretch that has any real spark.

After that, Monday the 17th drops back to 8ft and the energy fades, with the same cross-shore wind. The rest of the week is a slow decline back to small, weak stuff. The whole period is a long stretch of duds, but that one Sunday in the second week is the only thing worth keeping an eye on.

Rusty.

Read more