Rock Point/Pohakuloa Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the table for the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, it's a rough start. For the first week and a half, from now through to about the 24th of July, the surf at Rock Point/Pohakuloa (this reef and point setup) is looking pretty average. There's a persistent cross-shore wind blowing, and the swell is a bit short-period, bumpy chop. The combined wave energy is mostly in the low to mid hundreds, so it's weak to moderate energy, but the wind is just ruining any chance of a clean face. We're talking about a lot of moderate to fresh cross-shore breezes, so the conditions are just lumpy.

The water temp is sitting at 79°, which is about normal for this time of year, so at least a wetsuit isn't a worry.

We finally get a glimmer of hope on the 25th of July. Saturday morning sees the swell pushing up to 7ft from the ENE, and the energy jumps to a solid 561. The wind is still cross-shore, but it's a moderate breeze, and the forecast is calling it "marginal" rather than outright poor. The swell period is a bit short at 7 seconds, so it's still a bit of a windswell, but this is the first time the conditions look like they might be worth a paddle. This is your best bet of the whole outlook. It's not perfect, but it's the closest we get to a decent wave.

The 26th of July, Sunday, is a bit of a weird one. The morning has a similar 6ft ENE swell with moderate energy (622), but the afternoon drops to 3ft from the E with a very long period of 14 seconds. That groundswell energy is strong (668), but a long period swell like that can be a bit tricky at a point break. It might line up nicely, or it might be a bit too straight. The wind is still cross-shore, so it's a gamble.

After that, the 27th sees a very long period swell (16 seconds!) from the E, with massive energy (832), but the conditions are called "poor" and the swell height is only 4ft. That's a lot of energy for not much face, and with the cross-wind, it's probably a frustrating day.

So, to be straight with you: the first 11 days are a write-off. If you're desperate, the 25th of July Saturday is the standout – it's the only day with a decent height and a chance of something rideable. The 26th is a wildcard. The long-range stuff on the 27th and 28th has energy but the trade winds are still going to be messy. It's a waiting game, really.

Rusty.

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