Rock Point/Pohakuloa Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, I’m Rusty. Let’s chew the fat about the surf outlook for Rock Point/Pohakuloa.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – this isn’t a pretty picture for paddle surfing over the next couple of weeks. There’s a big gap of nothing worthwhile right now, and it’s going to be a long wait before anything even remotely interesting shows up. Most of the time, conditions are just plain poor, with fresh cross-shore winds and lumpy, messy waves. The forecast doesn't offer any standouts that I’d get genuinely excited about.

From now through to the first week, it’s a write-off. September 15th through the 21st is all “poor surf conditions” with moderate to fresh cross-breezes and cross-chop. Swell heights bob around 3 to 7 feet, but the energy is weak to moderate at best (energy figures between 168 and 770). The winds are from the ENE to E, and they’re cross or cross-off, so the line-up is going to be a mess. There’s no clean, glassy conditions on offer at all. A few of those days see short-period swell (7 to 10 seconds), which doesn’t help shape one bit.

Now, look, on September 22nd and 23rd, the swell does pick up – we’re talking 10 to 12 feet from the east, with energy climbing into strong territory (energy up to 1779). But here’s the catch: the winds are still cross or cross-off, and the reports warn the swell is too big for this break. That’s expert-only territory, and even then, with those lumpy winds, it’s more likely to be a kite-surfing setup than something you’d paddle into. September 24th has similar-sized swell (10 feet) but with onshore and cross-onshore winds, so it’s choppy and messy. No good.

After that, from September 25th right through to the 30th, it’s back to poor conditions, with swell dropping to 5 to 8 feet, short periods (7 to 8 seconds), and those pesky fresh cross-winds. Energy values drop back to moderate (246 to 802). The water temp sits at 81°F on the first recommendation, and with an anomaly of +0.2°F, that’s about average for this time of year – nothing unusual there.

If you were hoping for a standout session, I can’t give you one. The closest you get is the 22nd and 23rd, but those are for experts only, and not clean. Keep an eye on the longer range, because forecasts can change, but as it stands, it’s a pretty barren run for paddle surfing at Rock Point/Pohakuloa.

Rusty.

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