Rock Point/Pohakuloa Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s take a look at what’s on the table. I’ve been watching the charts and for Rock Point/Pohakuloa, it’s a bit of a frustrating stretch coming up. A reef and point setup that can pump when the stars align, but over the next 16 days, it's mostly a story of waiting. The opening week is a write-off: poor surf and cross-shore wind just messing with any chance of clean lines. From Friday the 11th through to about the 22nd, the wind stays cross or worse, and the wave heights bob around 2 ft to 4 ft. The combined energy is weak to moderate at best (469 down to 99), and the period sits between 7 and 11 seconds – nothing groundswell-like to get excited about. The water temp is 80°F, dead average for this time of year.

The real shift starts around the 23rd of September. That Wednesday, conditions clean up nicely: wind turns cross-offshore from the NE at 12 mph, and the swell lifts to 7 ft from the E, with periods starting to push into the 9-10 second range. Combined energy climbs into the moderate range (741 to 843). This is the standout window. It's still nothing huge, but with the wind offshore and the swell direction matching up with the optimum from the NE, Rock Point will start showing some proper shape. Thursday the 24th keeps the size at 7 ft from the E, period at 10 seconds, but the wind swings SE and cross-on, so the clean conditions won't last. Energy spikes hard (1231 to 1316) but the cross-on wind kills the quality.

When the wind is right and the swell is in the 7 ft range from the E, this spot can be a gem for intermediates. It’s inconsistent, so you have to pick the moment, and when the crowd shows (and they often do here), the lineup gets busy. The 23rd is your best bet. That Wednesday morning and afternoon session is the true highlight. Beyond that, the final days of the month stay marginal – energy stays high but the wind stays wrong, with a cross-on or cross-shore messing up what could be good. Over 7 ft and with the period around 11 seconds, it’s not too big for most experienced surfers, but the wind keeps the scores low.

Bottom line: a long dry spell to start, then a tight window on the 23rd where the conditions finally click. After that, it’s back to lumpy, cross-shore junk. If you’re keen, pencil in that Wednesday.

- Rusty

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