Rock Point/Pohakuloa Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Hey folks, Rusty here. I've been staring at the charts for Rock Point/Pohakuloa, and I gotta be straight with you—it's a real mixed bag over the next 16 days, and the start is a tough one to swallow.

Right now, through the end of July, we've got a frustrating pattern locked in. The wind is howling out of the ENE at 18 to 22 mph, just ripping straight across the face. The swell is mushy and short-period, around 7 to 8 seconds, with a moderate combined energy (466 to 997). The water temp is sitting at a comfortable 80°F, which is about normal for this time of year, but the conditions are just lumpy cross-chop. It's poor surf, plain and simple. There's nothing to chase here for a few days.

Now, hold on a second. Things start to get interesting as we move into the start of August. Monday the 28th of July into Tuesday the 29th, the wind swings around to the NNE and eventually goes offshore from the north at 9 mph on Wednesday morning. That's the signal we've been waiting for. The swell is coming from the east-northeast, bumping up to 8 ft, and the combined energy jumps to a strong 2190 to 3341. But here's the catch: on Tuesday afternoon, the swell hits 10 ft. That's too big for this spot, only for the experts. The real standout is Wednesday morning, July 29th. The wind is gentle and offshore from the north at 9 mph, the swell is a solid 8 ft from the northeast with a period of 10 seconds, and the energy is a robust 1070. The conditions are clean. For experienced surfers, this is the best window of the whole forecast. While the break is inconsistent and can get crowded, that offshore wind with a moderate-sized, mid-period groundswell from the northeast should offer some proper, well-shaped waves.

After that morning, it gets messy again. The wind shifts back onshore and cross-shore for the rest of the week. From the 30th of July to the 2nd of August, we're back to fresh breezes and lumpy conditions. The swell drops off, and the energy fades into the low hundreds.

The second week, from the 3rd of August onward, is a real letdown. We get a few marginal days with increasing swell from the east-northeast, but the wind is a constant cross-shore from the ENE at 12 to 22 mph. The swell period is all over the place, from 6 to 16 seconds, and the combined energy stays anywhere from 278 to 1377. The surf is poor to marginal, and it's not worth getting excited about. The long-period swell on the 2nd of August (16 seconds) is a tease, but it's coming with a cross-shore wind that'll chop it up.

So, to sum it up: the first week is a write-off until Wednesday morning, July 29th. That's your one true standout. After that, the conditions just don't line up for clean, quality waves. It's a tough run for a break that's usually better than this.

Rusty.

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