Rock Point/Pohakuloa Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you about what we’re looking at. This 16-day window is a bit of a grind, to be honest. The only spot in the game is Rock Point/Pohakuloa, a reef and point set-up that’s exposed to the NE. It’s inconsistent by nature, so we’re starting from a tough spot.

The outlook kicks off Monday the 14th of September, but don’t get excited. The first week is a write-off for quality surfing. That ENE wind is blowing steady at 12-22 mph, and it’s cross-shore every day, creating lumpy, choppy conditions. Swell is small, between 2 ft and 3 ft with weak energy (54 to 100), and the wave comment is squarely "poor surf conditions." That runs all the way through to the 17th, where the swell starts to push 7-8 ft, but the wind stays fresh and cross, so it’s still a mess.

We finally get a hint of something different on Monday the 21st of September. The afternoon sees a jump to 7 ft from the E with a 9-second period, energy reading a moderate 748, and the comment shifts to “marginal.” Still, the wind is cross at 16 mph, so it’s not clean, just less terrible.

The only real standout in the whole run hits on Tuesday the 22nd. Tuesday afternoon brings a shift: wind goes cross-off from the NE at 16 mph, and the wave state cleans right up. The swell is 7 ft from the E with a 9-second period, and the energy is 686. For this break, with the wind finally giving us a break, this is the best it gets. That’s a solid intermediate wave, but know that the size is pushing the limit for beginners, and the point-and-reef setup here might handle that period better than a beach break. Crowds are "often" here, and with the only decent window in two weeks, you’ll have company.

From Wednesday the 23rd onward, it’s back to fresh cross-shore wind and lumpy surf. By the 27th, we see a weird late shift to a very long-period NW swell (17 seconds) but the swell height drops to 3 ft, and the wind is still cross, so it’s a tease. That long-period groundswell is best for a point or reef like this, but the energy (791) is there, not the quality conditions.

Bottom line: for the next 16 days, you’ve got one real shot—Tuesday afternoon the 22nd at Rock Point. The rest is a whole lot of cross-shore wind and chop. It’s a dry spell, but for this area, that’s not unusual.

Rusty.

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