Rock Point/Pohakuloa Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about Rock Point/Pohakuloa – it’s a reef and point break that’s inconsistent and can draw a crowd. The water’s sitting at a normal 79° for this time of year, nothing out of the ordinary.

To be straight with you, the next week and a half is pretty grim. From Monday 13 July through to Thursday 23 July, it’s all poor surf conditions – cross-shore winds, lumpy chop, and weak, short-period swell. You’re looking at heights around 3 ft to 6 ft, but with periods mostly 6-8 seconds and combined energy bouncing between 180 and 311 – that’s weak to moderate energy at best. Not worth paddling out.

Things start to look a bit less hopeless from Friday 24 July. That afternoon we get a slight improvement: cross-offshore wind from the NE at 12 mph, clean conditions, and a 6 ft swell from ENE with a 7-second period (combined energy 392). Still marginal, but at least the wind’s not chopping it up. Saturday 25 July brings a real oddball – only 3 ft swell but a very long period of 15 seconds, combined energy up to 693. That’s a proper groundswell, but sadly it’s tiny and winds are fresh cross-offshore, so not really rideable for most. Sunday 26 July sees the swell pick back up to 6-6 ft with an 8-second period from NE, combined energy 665-880, but the cross-wind from ENE keeps it messy.

Now, here’s the one window that might be worth waiting for. Monday 27 July afternoon – yes, that’s over two weeks out, so treat it as promising but a long shot. We’ve got a 4 ft swell from the east with a long 14-second period, combined energy a solid 1091 (strong). Winds swing light easterly at 6 mph, just a light cross-shore with tiny ripples – clean enough. That long period groundswell won’t love a beach break, but Rock Point is a reef and point, so it could line up nicely. The score is the best we see in the whole outlook, but it’s still labelled “marginal surf forecast or questionable tide conditions.” Keep your fingers crossed.

Tuesday 28 July morning offers a bigger 7 ft from ENE with a 13-second period and stronger combined energy of 1686, but the wind is a moderate cross-shore from the east at 9 mph, creating some cross-chop. That’s more of an expert-only day – 7 ft is pushing it for intermediates, and the wind isn’t helping.

Bottom line: the first two weeks are a write-off. The only real standout is Monday 27 July afternoon, but it’s far out and marginal. If you’re itching for waves, keep an eye on that window. Otherwise, it’s a long wait.

Rusty.

Read more