Rock Point/Pohakuloa Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, surfers, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the table for Rock Point. We're in for a long stretch of waiting, to be honest. The first real chance of a wave doesn't show up until we're well into the second week.

The outlook kicks off from the 7th of September, but honestly, it's a write-off for the first ten days or so. The wind is all over the place, mostly cross or cross-onshore, and the swell is messy and weak. We're looking at a solid block of nothing worthwhile until about the 17th.

Now, the first glimmer of hope comes on the 17th of September. Swell starts to build out of the NNW, with wave heights around 4 ft and a period of 13 seconds. That's a decent groundswell working in, but the wind is still a cross-shore mess, so conditions are raw. The energy is moderate, sitting at 770.

Things get a bit more interesting on the 18th of September. The swell hangs in from the NNW at 4 ft to 5 ft, with a period of 12 seconds. The energy is still moderate (649 and 518), but the wind is still cross-shore, so it's going to be a bumpy ride. The models are calling it marginal, which is code for "you might get a few, but don't expect magic."

The standout, and the only day I'd truly circle on the calendar, is the morning of the 21st of September. We finally get a break in the wind. It's a gentle offshore breeze out of the NE, which is a game-changer. The swell is a solid 4 ft from the NNW with an 11-second period, and the energy is moderate (516). The model is calling for "very good surf conditions." This is the one. Rock Point is an inconsistent spot, and it rarely breaks this clean. With the wind glassing it up, it could be a real treat. Keep in mind, crowds are often a factor here, so get there early.

The afternoon of the 21st and the 22nd back off a bit, with the wind shifting and the swell dropping. The 22nd morning sees a light breeze, but the swell is only 4 ft from the NW with a short 9-second period, making it less appealing.

So, there you have it. A long, flat stretch, then a couple of days of building but bumpy swell, and one real window of magic on the 21st of September. It's a waiting game, but that morning could be worth the patience.

Rusty.

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