Rock Point/Pohakuloa Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s happening at Rock Point/Pohakuloa. I’m not gonna sugarcoat it – this is a tough stretch. The trade winds are gonna be blowing hard and cross-shore for most of the time, keeping things messy. We’re looking at a long dry spell before anything even remotely rideable shows up.

The water temp is sitting at 80° which is about normal for this time of year, so no surprises there.

We’ve got a solid week of poor conditions ahead. For the first five days, from Saturday the 25th to Wednesday the 30th of July, it’s mostly cross-shore winds in the 18 to 22 mph range, with swell coming from the ENE. The swell is actually there – 7 ft to 8 ft and over 8 ft – but it’s short-period junk around 8 seconds, and the wind is just ruining it. The wave energy is moderate to strong (535 to 2724), but it’s all lumpy, wind-affected chop. Not worth paddling out for.

The first real glimmer comes on Monday the 27th of July. The wind swings to a cross-offshore from the NE at 15 mph, which cleans things up. The swell is 5 ft from the East at a long 13 seconds. That’s a nice groundswell period. The energy is strong (1030), but the break is inconsistent and it’s a reef and point setup, which is perfect for that long-period swell. It’s not a standout, but it’s the best we’ll see all week. The crowd factor is “often” so expect some company. This is really the only window where you might get a clean wave, but it’s marginal.

After that, it’s back to poor conditions through the end of July and into the first week of August. The wind stays strong from the ENE, swinging onshore from the south on the 29th, which is a total write-off. Swell sizes bump up over 10 ft on the 1st of August, but with 25 mph cross-shore winds, it’s just a washing machine. That’s more kite-surfing territory than paddle surfing.

We do get another small window on Monday the 3rd of August. The swell drops to 3 ft, but it’s from the East with a very long 14-second period. The wind is lighter at 12 mph, but it’s still cross-shore, so it’ll be a bit bumpy. The energy is moderate (650). It’s a low-score day, but if you’re desperate, that long period might offer a few clean lines on the point.

The rest of the forecast from the 4th to the 9th of August is a grind. The swell period drops short again, the wind stays cross-shore, and the energy fades. There’s nothing to get excited about. The break is inconsistent, so a blank run like this isn’t out of the ordinary for this spot.

So, to sum it up: the best bet is Monday the 27th of July for a few clean-ish waves on the point, but keep your expectations in check. Everything else is a battle with the wind.

Rusty.

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