Rock Point/Pohakuloa Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is a tough one to call. Let me break it down for ya.

Honestly, Rock Point/Pohakuloa is gonna be a real challenge for the next week and a half. We’ve got a solid run of cross-shore winds that just won’t let up, and it’s making a mess of things. The swell energy is moderate, sitting around 370 to 596, but it’s all coming from the ENE, which is a bit of a weird angle for this spot. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The first real glimmer of hope doesn’t show up until Thursday, September 3rd, in the afternoon. We’ll see a drop in size to 4ft, but the wind goes cross-offshore and the conditions clean up nicely. It’s still a marginal call, but it’s the best we’ve seen. The energy is modest at 394.

Then, on Friday, September 4th, the morning session has a 5ft swell with a long 13-second period and a solid 837 energy reading. That’s a proper groundswell, but the wind is still cross, so it’ll be a bit lumpy. The afternoon cleans up again with cross-offshore wind, but the period drops to 8 seconds.

After that, it’s back to the same story of cross-shore wind and poor surf until Saturday, September 12th. That’s a real dry spell.

Now, the standout is shaping up for Monday, September 7th. We’ve got a solid 10ft swell from the ENE, with a moderate 10-second period. The energy is massive at 1916 in the morning and 1679 in the afternoon. The wind even goes cross-offshore in the afternoon. But here’s the catch—this is a reef and point break, and 10ft is too big for most. This is expert territory only. It’s a powerful, jacking swell that’ll be barreling, but if you’re not on your game, it’ll chew you up.

The real sweet spot, the one I’d be circling, is Wednesday, September 9th. Morning and afternoon, we’ve got 8ft swell from the East, with a light cross-offshore breeze from the NE and NNE. The conditions are clean, the energy is moderate at 617-619, and the swell direction is a solid match for the optimum NE direction. This is the best combo of size, wind, and quality in the whole forecast. The water is still average temp, so just a spring suit will do.

After that, things fade out again with smaller, weaker swells and cross-shore winds through the 10th to the 13th. Late in the run, on Sunday the 13th, it’s back to 6ft and poor conditions.

So, to sum it up: the first week is a write-off. Thursday the 3rd and Friday the 4th have some cleaner windows, but the real standout is Wednesday, September 9th. It’s not a perfect forecast, but that day has the best chance of a good session. Keep an eye on the long-range, but don’t hold your breath for the rest of it.

Rusty.

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