Surf Forecasts:
Rock Point/Pohakuloa surf forecast from 1 Sep 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 5 Sep, 8PM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 14s period, ENE swell with 2,171 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rock Point/Pohakuloa this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Rock Point/Pohakuloa in the next 16 days are 2.4m 14s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 05) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 11s period and expected on Sunday (Sep 06) at 8PM.
| Wave Type | Time (HST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 8PM (Sat 5th Sep) | 8ft (2.4m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rock Point/Pohakuloa over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s chew the fat on what’s coming up for Rock Point/Pohakuloa. I gotta be straight with you – the next couple of weeks look like a real mixed bag, and we’ve got a long stretch of pretty average conditions to wade through before anything gets interesting.
First up, the water temp is sitting at 80°, which is bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises there.
The outlook kicks off with a real flat spell. From Tuesday the 1st of September right through to the end of the first week, it’s pretty grim. The swell is there, but it’s all short-period, wind-affected junk. Those days from Tuesday the 1st to Thursday the 3rd have some size – 6ft to 8ft – but it’s coming from the ENE at 8 seconds, and the wind is a fresh to strong cross or cross-shore breeze. The wave energy is moderate (464-752), but the quality is poor. That’s messy, lumpy stuff, not worth paddling out for.
Friday the 4th is the first sign of something changing. The morning still has that lumpy 8ft cross-shore chop, but by the afternoon the swell period jumps to 14 seconds and the height drops to 4ft. The energy jumps up to 984, but it’s still a cross-shore wind, so it’s not clean. Still, that long period is a hint of better things to come.
Then we hit the real wait. From Saturday the 5th all the way through to Monday the 7th, the swell pushes up to 8ft-8ft from the ENE, with a nice long period of 12-13 seconds. The wave energy goes through the roof – between 1510 and 2347, which is strong. But the wind is still cross-shore, a moderate breeze, so the surf is just marginal. The sets will be there, but the face is gonna be a bumpy ride. Not the best, but if you’re desperate, the afternoon of Monday the 7th with a gentle breeze might offer the cleanest of the bunch.
Tuesday the 8th sees the swell start to drop, and the wind turns cross-onshore, making things choppy. Wednesday the 9th through Friday the 11th is back to poor, short-period, moderate wind slop. Another quiet patch.
Now, here’s the one to circle on the calendar. Saturday the 12th of September. The morning sees a 5ft swell from the E (8 seconds, 336 energy), but the wind is a gentle cross-offshore breeze from the NE. That’s clean. Then the afternoon gets even better: 5ft from the ENE, still 8 seconds, but the wind stays a gentle cross-off, and the forecast says “expect good surf conditions.” The energy is low (252) but the setup is clean. This is the standout window. The swell is a bit small, but for a reef and point break like Rock Point, that long-period groundswell (even at 8 seconds) combined with offshore wind will make for some fun, peelable waves. Just be aware the break is inconsistent, so you’ll be waiting for the sets. And crowds are likely, so get in early.
After that, Sunday the 13th and Monday the 14th go back to poor, short-period cross-shore junk. The following Tuesday and Wednesday, the 15th and 16th, see the swell bottom out around 3ft to 5ft, with a brief pop of 13-second period on the 16th, but the wind is a moderate cross-shore, so it’s not worth the effort.
So, the bottom line: the first week is a write-off. The best bet is Saturday the 12th of September for the cleanest conditions. It won’t be big, but it’ll be tidy. The Sunday morning of the 13th is a second look, but it’s a step down. For the rest, you’re better off waiting for the winds to play ball.
Stay patient, and keep an eye on that forecast.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Tue morning. Warm (max 26°C on Tue morning, min 25°C on Tue morning). Mainly strong winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Fri afternoon, min 25°C on Fri morning). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the ENE on Fri morning, light winds from the E by Sun night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | E 7 | ENE 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 14 | ENE 13 | ENE 13 | ENE 13 | ENE 13 | ENE 13 | ENE 12 | E 12 | ENE 13 | ENE 12 | ENE 11 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
464 | 508 | 568 | 588 | 681 | 628 | 625 | 563 | 788 | 766 | 553 | 1792 | 1713 | 1804 | 1893 | 1780 | 1437 | 1117 | 1808 | 1510 | 1372 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-on |
High Tide | 4:02PM0.65m | 6:22AM0.71m | 4:04PM0.60m | 8:03AM0.70m | 10:11AM0.74m | 11:27AM0.81m | 12:14PM0.86m | 11:11PM0.43m | 12:51PM0.90m | 00:16AM0.50m | |||||||||||
Low Tide | 10:52AM0.43m | 10:58PM0.13m | 11:54AM0.51m | 11:37PM0.14m | 00:35AM0.16m | 2:12AM0.18m | 3:59AM0.17m | 7:38PM0.36m | 5:15AM0.13m | 7:43PM0.32m | |||||||||||
6:09 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | |
— | 6:43 | — | — | 6:42 | — | — | 6:40 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:38 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | |
mm | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 |
Feels °C | 24 | 24 | 25 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 23 | 23 | 21 | 21 | 22 | 21 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 27 | 26 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 28 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | E 16 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | E 14 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SW 12 | ENE 13 | SW 11 | ENE 12 | E 12 | ENE 13 | ENE 12 | ENE 11 |
54 | 80 | 105 | 102 | 99 | 85 | 41 | 81 | 37 | 57 | 553 | 111 | 119 | 142 | 1893 | 147 | 1437 | 1117 | 1808 | 1510 | 1372 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 18 | SW 14 | E 13 | E 14 | E 14 | NW 10 | E 18 | SSW 14 | NW 9 | NW 9 | SSW 13 | N 11 | NNE 10 | NNE 10 | SW 11 | SW 16 | SW 11 | E 14 | SW 11 | SW 11 | WSW 12 |
63 | 32 | 14 | 66 | 66 | 4 | 6 | 39 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 22 | 20 | 31 | 126 | 88 | 171 | 411 | 116 | 137 | 177 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 12 | ESE 11 | W 11 | ESE 11 | NW 11 | W 10 | NW 10 | NW 9 | SW 18 | — | S 11 | SW 20 | NNE 10 | SSW 18 | N 9 | NNE 10 | N 10 | SW 11 | SSW 16 | SSW 17 | SSW 15 |
12 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | — | 22 | 15 | 21 | 31 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 145 | 177 | 186 | 152 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | E 7 | ENE 7 | E 7 | E 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 13 | ENE 13 | ENE 13 | — | ENE 13 | ENE 12 | — | — | NE 4 | — |
464 | 508 | 568 | 588 | 681 | 628 | 625 | 563 | 788 | 766 | 431 | 1792 | 1713 | 1804 | — | 1780 | 902 | — | — | 16 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 24 | 24 | 28 | 28 | 158 | 24 | 26 | 28 | 24 | 26 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 18 | 24 | 18 | 14 | 17 | 14 | 5 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Molokai | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rock Point/Pohakuloa Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rock Point/Pohakuloa provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rock Point/Pohakuloa can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rock Point/Pohakuloa surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rock Point/Pohakuloa) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rock Point/Pohakuloa may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a vacation in Molokai? If you are looking for accommodation near Rock Point/Pohakuloa, camping, hotels and condos and appartments in Molokai, consider staying in Wailuku which is 36 km (22 miles) away. Other places in and around Molokai where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Kaunakakai - Molokai which is 38 km (24 miles) away, Kahului, Lanai - Lanai and Kihei.











