Rock Point/Pohakuloa Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks. Rusty here. We’ve got one spot on the map for the next 16 days: Rock Point/Pohakuloa, a reef and point break. The water’s sitting at 80°, which is right about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The start of the outlook is a bit of a rough patch. Thursday the 3rd and Friday the 4th are a write-off – messy cross-shore winds, lumpy conditions, and the swell is just not cooperating. There’s a lot of energy in the water, especially on Friday morning with combined energy reading 2155, but the wind is just ruining it. The swell is coming from the ENE at 8ft with a 14-second period, which is a solid long-period groundswell, but the cross-shore breeze is making it a bumpy, unsurfable mess.

Things start to look a little more interesting from Saturday the 5th. The wind eases off a bit, dropping to 16 mph from the ENE in the afternoon, but it’s still cross-shore, keeping the surface lumpy. The swell stays around 7ft to 8ft with a nice 13-second period, and the combined energy is still hefty (1649 to 1831). It’s marginal, but there’s a glimmer of hope for the more experienced crew. Sunday the 6th is more of the same, with a risk of thunderstorms in the afternoon, which might clear the air but won’t fix the wind.

Now, Monday the 7th is the standout. The morning session is looking like the best bet of the whole forecast. The swell hits 10ft from the E with a 13-second period, and the combined energy goes through the roof at 2762. That’s a lot of power. The wind is still cross-shore from the E at 19 mph, but the forecast says the wind and tide are favorable. However, this swell is too big for the break, so this is strictly for the experts. The afternoon is a no-go with cross-onshore wind and chop.

After that, the surf quality drops off a cliff. From Tuesday the 8th through to the 18th, it’s a mix of poor and marginal conditions. The swell drops right down to 3ft to 5ft, and the wind is mostly cross-shore or cross-onshore, keeping the surface choppy and messy. There’s a brief period around the 12th and 13th where the wind shifts to cross-offshore, giving us clean conditions, but the swell is only 7ft to 8ft with a short period of 7 to 9 seconds. The combined energy dips to 520 to 838. It’s rideable but not worth a special trip, and the crowds are often a problem here, so don’t expect a quiet paddle-out.

The second week is pretty quiet. The 14th has a 8ft ENE swell, but the period is short at 8 seconds, and the wind is light but cross-shore or cross-onshore, so it’s not going to be great. The rest of the week is a slow fade with smaller swells and persistent cross winds. The 18th is the last day in the outlook, with a 4ft swell from the E, a 12-second period, and gentle cross-shore wind. It’s marginal, but it’s a long way out, so don’t hold your breath.

Overall, the only real standout is Monday the 7th morning for the experts. Everything else is a hard pass for quality surfing. The spot is inconsistent, so a blank run is pretty normal here. Keep an eye on the forecasts, but right now, I’d be saving my energy for another day.

Rusty.

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