
Surf Forecasts:
Rock Point/Pohakuloa surf forecast from 11 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 15 Aug, 2AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 13s period, E swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 16 Aug, 8AM (local time) - 33ft (10.0m), 13s period, ENE swell with 35,517 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 15 Aug, 2AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 13s period with E swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rock Point/Pohakuloa this week:
The surf forecast for Rock Point/Pohakuloa over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 15) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rock Point/Pohakuloa in the next 16 days are 10.0m 13s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 16) at 8AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.9m 7s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 16) at 8PM.
| Wave Type | Time (HST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 2AM (Sat 15th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 2AM (Sat 15th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 8AM (Sun 16th Aug) | 33ft (10.0m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rock Point/Pohakuloa over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright crew, Rusty here. Let's talk about the next couple of weeks at Rock Point/Pohakuloa.
Honestly, it’s a pretty grim stretch of surf for the most part. The forecast is a long run of poor conditions, with a lot of cross-shore wind and lumpy, choppy surf. It’s one of those setups where the waves are there, but you’ll be fighting a messy, bumpy ocean the whole time. The water temp is pretty much spot on for this time of year, so no worries there – it's just the waves that are the problem.
For the first week, from the 10th through to the 16th, you're looking at a whole lot of nothing. The swell is small-to-modest, but the wind is just onshore or cross-shore and fresh, churning up the surface into a cross-chop. Honestly, it's not even worth paddling out. The energy is weak to moderate, with values in the 200 to 300 range, and it’s just not translating into anything rideable. There’s a notable jump in size around Friday the 14th, with the swell bumping up over 7ft and energy climbing to 552 and then 594, but it’s still coming with those same messy winds. This looks better for the kitesurfers than for us paddle surfers, to be honest.
Then we get to the weekend and the energy really starts to build. Saturday the 15th sees strong breezes, but they're more cross-off, which at least cleans things up a bit. The swell is up around 8ft to 8ft from the ENE with a period of 10 seconds, and the energy is cranking into the 947 to 1079 range – that's strong, powerful surf. By Sunday the 16th, the wind flips onshore, and the swell gets to 8ft with a period of 11 seconds. That's a lot of water, and it’s pushing over 5ft so it’s too big for beginners, and getting close to the limit for anyone but experts. The energy is up around 1312 to 1435, so there's plenty of grunt in it.
Now, the one real glimmer of hope in this entire forecast is Monday morning, the 17th. The wind finally eases to a gentle breeze, which will be a godsend. The swell holds at 8ft from the ENE with a period of 11 seconds, and the energy peaks at a very strong 2170. The wind is still cross, but light, so there might be a short window of cleaner conditions. Still, it's a reef and point set-up, and a long-period swell like that at a point, well, that could be something. It’s the best on offer, but even then, it's only rated as marginal. Take it for what it’s worth.
After that, it's back to the same old story. From the 18th onwards, the swell drops, the wind picks back up, and we’re looking at poor surf with weak to moderate energy all the way through to the 25th. There are a few pulses in size later, like on the 23rd and 24th, pushing back up to around 7ft, but the wind is fresh cross-shore and the energy is only moderate, in the 500 range. It's going to be a mess.
So, to sum it up, mark Monday the 17th on your calendar. That’s the standout, the only real chance of a decent wave. Everything else is a waiting game. Keep the faith, and we’ll see what the ocean gives us.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Mon afternoon, min 25°C on Mon night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 47mm), heaviest during Sat night. Warm (max 26°C on Thu afternoon, min 25°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (fresh winds from the ENE on Thu night, near gales from the S by Sat night). | |||||||||||||||||||
Mon 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 8 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 6 | ENE 7 | E 6 | E 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | E 13 | E 13 | E 14 | E 13 | E 12 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
302 | 279 | 272 | 233 | 166 | 191 | 188 | 251 | 223 | 280 | 374 | 599 | 724 | 2610 | 4258 | 6455 | 7450 | 15702 | 2612 | 791 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | on | on | on |
High Tide | 00:51AM0.50m | 2:28PM0.98m | 1:43AM0.55m | 2:58PM0.97m | 2:31AM0.59m | 3:26PM0.92m | 3:18AM0.63m | 3:50PM0.86m | 4:04AM0.65m | 4:10PM0.79m | 4:52AM0.65m | 4:25PM0.72m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:43PM0.35m | 7:04AM0.01m | 9:06PM0.31m | 7:49AM0.02m | 9:30PM0.28m | 8:31AM0.07m | 9:54PM0.24m | 9:10AM0.14m | 10:18PM0.22m | 9:48AM0.24m | 10:42PM0.20m | 10:26AM0.33m | 11:07PM0.19m | |||||||
— | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | |
7:00 | — | — | 6:59 | — | — | 6:59 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:57 | — | — | 6:57 | — | — | 6:55 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | 4 | 36 | 3 | — | — |
Temp °C | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 26 |
Feels °C | 25 | 26 | 25 | 24 | 24 | 23 | 24 | 23 | 25 | 24 | 23 | 23 | 24 | 23 | 24 | 23 | 21 | 23 | 25 | 26 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | S 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | E 14 | E 13 | W 12 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 |
88 | 57 | 54 | 81 | 73 | 65 | 121 | 103 | 85 | 78 | 113 | 70 | 69 | 66 | 35 | 6455 | 7450 | 26 | 2612 | 791 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 9 | NNW 8 | NNW 8 | NNW 8 | SSW 19 | SSW 18 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | NNW 7 | NNW 7 | NNW 8 | NNW 8 | NNW 9 | SSW 13 | SSW 14 | W 12 | SSW 16 | S 13 |
26 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 74 | 106 | 64 | 55 | 27 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 35 | 41 | 26 | 25 | 31 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 10 | W 10 | W 10 | W 10 | NNW 7 | W 10 | W 12 | W 12 | NNW 9 | NNW 8 | W 12 | W 12 | W 12 | W 11 | W 11 | NW 8 | W 13 | SW 19 | W 12 | SSW 16 |
18 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 30 | 15 | 11 | 25 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 8 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 6 | ENE 7 | E 6 | E 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | E 13 | E 13 | ENE 13 | NNE 8 | E 12 | S 6 | S 6 |
302 | 279 | 272 | 233 | 166 | 191 | 188 | 251 | 223 | 280 | 374 | 599 | 724 | 2610 | 4258 | 3198 | 1449 | 15702 | 240 | 190 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 24 | 24 | 24 | 26 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 26 | 314 | 229 | 145 | 40 | 30 | 5 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Molokai | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rock Point/Pohakuloa Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rock Point/Pohakuloa provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rock Point/Pohakuloa can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rock Point/Pohakuloa surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rock Point/Pohakuloa) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rock Point/Pohakuloa may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a vacation in Molokai? If you are looking for accommodation near Rock Point/Pohakuloa, camping, hotels and condos and appartments in Molokai, consider staying in Wailuku which is 36 km (22 miles) away. Other places in and around Molokai where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Kaunakakai - Molokai which is 38 km (24 miles) away, Kahului, Lanai - Lanai and Kihei.











