Surf Forecasts:
Rock Point/Pohakuloa surf forecast from 15 Sep 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 17 Sep, 11AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 9s period, ENE swell with 865 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rock Point/Pohakuloa this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Rock Point/Pohakuloa in the next 16 days are 2.3m 9s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 17) at 11AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 18s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 2PM.
| Wave Type | Time (HST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 11AM (Thu 17th Sep) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rock Point/Pohakuloa over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s talk it out in feet and miles an hour.
Rock Point (Big Island) – a reef and point break, but it’s inconsistent and needs everything to line up to fire. Over this 16-day outlook, there’s barely a window worth paddling for. Honestly, most of it is a waste of time.
Starting Tuesday 15 September: weak, short-period NE swell at 3ft, combined energy (156), cross-shore breeze, poor conditions. Wednesday morning sneaks up to around 4ft but still messy. Water temp is 81°F, right on average for the time of year.
Wednesday afternoon through Thursday the swell builds, but so does the wind. By Thursday morning we’ve got a 8ft ENE swell at 9 seconds, cross-shore fresh breeze, lumpy – not the kind of waves you tell your mates about. Energy reads 865, moderate now, but the wind chops it up. The rest of the week and into the weekend sits around 6-7ft, short period, same lumpy cross-shore. No good.
The one standout – if you can call it that – lands on Tuesday 22 September. Early morning shows an 8ft E swell, 9 seconds, energy over 1000 (1041). That’s moderate energy getting real. But the wind is a fresh cross-shore, the surf report says marginal at best. That afternoon it jumps to 10ft (1697 energy), but at that size with onshore cross-wind, it’s only for experts, and honestly the setup looks more interesting for kiteboarding than paddling. If you’re experienced and don’t mind rough faces, that Tuesday morning is your only real shot.
From there the swell backs off to 5-6ft, mostly NNE by the end of September, but winds stay cross-shore and moderate to fresh. Tuesday 29 September sees a 6-6ft NNE swell (energy 557-604), rated marginal again in the afternoon, so not completely flat, but expect a lumpy lineup and likely crowds – this spot sees people often.
Bottom line: don’t get excited. The only real hope in this 16-day stretch is Tuesday 22 September morning. Even that’s a long shot for quality. When it’s this inconsistent, a blank run like this is pretty normal for the area.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Warm (max 26°C on Tue morning, min 25°C on Wed night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Fri morning, min 25°C on Sat night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | Saturday 19 | Sunday 20 | Monday 21 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 8 | ENE 5 | ENE 5 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | E 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | E 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 101 | 60 | 69 | 306 | 394 | 177 | 865 | 724 | 607 | 501 | 482 | 460 | 539 | 500 | 535 | 355 | 449 | 469 | 474 | 547 | 684 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross |
High Tide | 3:29PM0.59m | 6:00AM0.70m | 3:11PM0.55m | 7:21AM0.66m | 9:47AM0.66m | 11:11AM0.70m | 11:50AM0.74m | 10:58PM0.39m | 12:17PM0.78m | 11:48PM0.46m | |||||||||||
Low Tide | 10:58AM0.46m | 10:24PM0.15m | 11:51AM0.52m | 10:50PM0.18m | 11:24PM0.22m | 00:31AM0.26m | 3:01AM0.27m | 7:44PM0.36m | 4:33AM0.25m | 7:21PM0.34m | |||||||||||
 | |  | | |  | |  | | | | |  | | | | |  | | | | |
 | 6:13 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — |
 | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:29 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:27 | — | — | 6:25 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:23 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | 1 |
Temp °C | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 26 |
Feels °C | 28 | 26 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 23 | 24 | 24 | 23 | 25 | 25 | 25 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 12 | NNE 8 | NNE 7 | NNE 7 | SW 18 | E 10 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SW 15 | SSW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 |
| kJ | 45 | 35 | 31 | 37 | 194 | 158 | 125 | 124 | 246 | 243 | 230 | 208 | 166 | 166 | 166 | 109 | 144 | 53 | 51 | 71 | 34 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 20 | E 11 | E 11 | SW 18 | SSW 11 | SW 17 | SSW 20 | SW 19 | SW 8 | NW 11 | NW 10 | NW 9 | W 9 | NW 8 | N 12 | N 11 | N 11 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | NNW 10 | SW 14 |
| kJ | 137 | 60 | 56 | 154 | 12 | 147 | 38 | 58 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 42 | 38 | 9 | 30 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 8 | SW 20 | SW 19 | N 9 | WNW 9 | SW 11 | SW 11 | WSW 10 | NW 12 | W 9 | W 9 | W 9 | NW 9 | W 9 | NW 10 | NW 9 | W 13 | NW 9 | N 10 | NW 10 | NNW 10 |
| kJ | 10 | 134 | 131 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 8 | ENE 5 | ENE 5 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | NE 6 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | E 8 |
| kJ | 101 | 56 | 69 | 306 | 394 | 177 | 865 | 724 | 607 | 501 | 482 | 460 | 539 | 500 | 535 | 355 | 449 | 469 | 474 | 547 | 684 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 20 | 24 | 20 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 43 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 24 | 26 | 24 | 24 | 26 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Molokai | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rock Point/Pohakuloa Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rock Point/Pohakuloa provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rock Point/Pohakuloa can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rock Point/Pohakuloa surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rock Point/Pohakuloa) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rock Point/Pohakuloa may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a vacation in Molokai? If you are looking for accommodation near Rock Point/Pohakuloa, camping, hotels and condos and appartments in Molokai, consider staying in Wailuku which is 36 km (22 miles) away. Other places in and around Molokai where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Kaunakakai - Molokai which is 38 km (24 miles) away, Kahului, Lanai - Lanai and Kihei.
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