Rock Point/Pohakuloa Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about the next 16 days at Rock Point/Pohakuloa. It’s a reef and point set-up that’s inconsistent, but when it gets a proper NE groundswell with the right conditions, it can fire. Right now, the water is sitting at 80°, which is about what you’d expect for this time of year.

The first few days look pretty average, to be honest. Sunday the 26th is a write-off – lumpy cross-shore breeze and weak energy (838), with a clean 3ft to 4ft easterly swell that’s just not doing much. The wind is howling at 19 mph from the ENE, making it a messy, cross-shore chop. Not worth paddling out for.

Monday the 27th sees a slight bump in size, 5ft to 6ft, coming from the east with a 14-second period. The energy is building (1143), and by the afternoon the wind shifts to a cross-offshore from the NE at 19 mph, which cleans things up. It’s still a bit of a gamble with a risk of thunderstorms, but with the right tide, you might snag a few. The energy is moderate.

Tuesday the 28th is where things get interesting, but it’s a double-edged sword. The morning has 8ft easterly swell (13-second period) and clean cross-offshore wind from the NE at 16 mph. The energy is climbing (2107). By the afternoon, though, it jumps to 10ft from the east with a 13-second period, and the energy is strong (2919). The finder says the swell is predicted to be too big for this break. At 10ft, this is expert-only territory, and the point will likely be a washing machine. The wind is clean, but it’s a lot of water.

Wednesday the 29th is a step down. The swell drops to 8ft from the NE in the morning, but the wind is light cross-onshore from the SSW at 6 mph. The energy is still moderate (1124). The afternoon sees a further drop to 6ft, but the wind goes cross-onshore from the ESE, making it choppy. Not great.

From Thursday the 30th all the way through to Monday the 10th of August, we’re looking at a long stretch of poor surf. The wind is a persistent cross-shore from the ENE, mostly moderate to strong breeze (13-25 mph), and the wave heights bounce between 3ft and 8ft, but the period drops to 7-8 seconds, meaning weak, short-period wind swell. The energy values are mostly in the low hundreds to a bit over a thousand, but the combination of messy cross-shore wind and short period keeps the quality poor. The finder scores are consistently zero or one during this period. It’s a long blank run – a full 10 days of nothing worth chasing for a paddle surfer.

Honestly, with that persistent cross-shore wind and significant swell, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing for most of the second week.

The best bet, if you’re an expert, is the afternoon of Tuesday the 28th. It’s a true standout for size and energy, but you’ll need to be on your game. The wind is clean, but the swell is big. For anyone else, the week is a write-off.

Stay tuned, forecasts can change. This is Rusty, signing off.

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