Rock Point/Pohakuloa Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about Rock Point, or as the locals know it, Pohakuloa. This is a reef‑and‑point setup, inconsistent as it gets, and when it’s on it’s a treat – but we’ve got a long dry spell to get through first.

Right now, from Thursday 23 July through to the end of the month, it’s pretty grim. The wind is hammering cross‑shore day after day, fresh breeze strength, and the swell is short‑period, lumpy, and messy. The combined energy sits around 300–400 (weak) early on, then climbs a bit but the wind just ruins it. The water temperature is 80°F with a tiny anomaly of +0.7°F, so pretty average for this time of year. Not a single wave worth paddling out for in that first week.

There’s a flicker of hope on Tuesday 28 July – morning shows a cross‑off wind from the NE, swell from the east at 6ft, 12‑second period, and the combined energy jumps to 1127 (strong). The score is still marginal, but the wind is clean. Afternoon pushes 6ft with the same 12‑second period and energy up to 1335, but the wind picks up to fresh again. Still, if you’re desperate, that Tuesday morning might be the only window in the first ten days. Crowds are likely here when it’s good, so expect company.

Then we hit another flat‑windy stretch until the first week of August. The morning of Monday 3 August shows a 4ft swell from the east with a 16‑second period – that’s proper groundswell, very long period. The energy is 1017 (strong). But the wind is cross, moderate, and the surf is marginal. The long period at a beachy point can make it tricky – the sets will be widely spaced and the wave shape might be too straight for this spot. Still, a slight chance if you’re patient.

The real standout, the one I’d circle on the calendar, is Wednesday 5 August. Morning has 7ft from the ENE at 12 seconds, cross wind, energy 1154 (strong) – still marginal. But the afternoon? That’s the pick of the whole 16‑day window. Swell drops slightly to 6ft, but it swings to the NE – that’s the optimum direction for this break. Period is 11 seconds, and the wind turns cross‑off from the NE, giving clean, smooth conditions. Energy is 1159 (strong). The break is inconsistent, so it might not be pumping all day, but when a set comes through it’ll be rippable. Crowds are likely, so get in early. This is a solid intermediate‑level wave – 6ft is fun, not too big, not too small. Water temp still around 80°F, normal.

After that, Thursday 6 and Friday 7 August look poor again, with cross winds and lumpy chop. So if you’ve got a window, Wednesday 5 August afternoon is your best bet. Forecasts this far out can shift, but that’s the one to watch.

Stay salty,
Rusty

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