Surf Forecasts:
Rock Point/Pohakuloa surf forecast from 4 Aug 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 4 Aug, 8AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 11s period, ENE swell with 608 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rock Point/Pohakuloa this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Rock Point/Pohakuloa in the next 16 days are 1.6m 11s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 04) at 8AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 15s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 05) at 8PM.
| Wave Type | Time (HST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 8AM (Tue 4th Aug) | 5ft (1.6m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rock Point/Pohakuloa over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, I’m just gonna level with you. The only spot on the map is Rock Point/Pohakuloa, and it’s looking like a rough stretch.
Right now, on Monday, August 3rd, the water’s a comfortable 80°, which is pretty average for this time of year. But the surf? It’s a mess. We’ve got a 5ft ENE swell rolling in, but the period is a short, weak 8 seconds, and the wind is howling from the ENE at 12 mph, creating a cross-shore chop that’s killing any chance of a clean wave. The combined energy is moderate (413), but the conditions are just poor.
We’re in for a long dry spell. The forecast shows poor surf conditions day after day, all the way through the 16-day window. Tuesday morning, the 4th, the swell ticks up to 5ft and the period improves to 11 seconds, which is a better groundswell shape, but it’s still a marginal call with that cross-shore wind. The energy is still moderate (496), but the wind just won’t ease up. From there, it’s a washout. We get swells from 3ft up to 8ft, but the wind is always cross-shore, mostly from the ENE or E at 12 to 22 mph, and the period stays short, between 5 and 8 seconds. The energy fluctuates from weak (81) up to strong (710) by the 14th and 15th, but with those lumpy, messy conditions, it’s not surfable.
By the second week, the swell actually gets bigger – we’re looking at 8ft waves on Friday the 14th and Saturday the 15th, with strong energy (639 to 710). That’s expert territory for sure, and with that short period and constant cross-shore wind, it’s going to be a chaotic mess. Honestly, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing, given the strong winds and lumpy conditions.
Rock Point is a reef and point break, and it’s inconsistent, so a blank run like this is more normal for the area. It’s a tough one, but forecasts can change. Keep an eye on it.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Mon afternoon, min 25°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Warm (max 25°C on Thu afternoon, min 24°C on Thu night). Mainly fresh winds. | |||||||||||||||||||
Mon 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | ENE 11 | ENE 11 | ENE 11 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 5 | E 6 | ENE 6 | E 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | E 7 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 284 | 603 | 496 | 496 | 425 | 280 | 227 | 262 | 201 | 123 | 140 | 48 | 166 | 256 | 276 | 285 | 397 | 426 | 449 | 423 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross |
High Tide | 4:58PM0.73m | 6:39AM0.61m | 5:12PM0.67m | 8:21AM0.64m | 5:13PM0.61m | 10:26AM0.70m | 11:45AM0.79m | 12:36PM0.87m | 10:02PM0.43m | 1:17PM0.93m | 11:48PM0.45m | |||||||||
Low Tide | 11:55PM0.20m | 11:37AM0.46m | 00:35AM0.18m | 1:07PM0.55m | 1:28AM0.16m | 2:42AM0.14m | 4:05AM0.11m | 8:33PM0.42m | 5:16AM0.07m | 8:26PM0.39m | ||||||||||
 |  | |  | | | |  | | | | | | | | |  |  | |  | |
 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — |
 | 7:04 | — | — | 7:04 | — | — | 7:02 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:00 | — | — | 7:00 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | — | 1 |
Temp °C | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 |
Feels °C | 27 | 26 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 24 | 24 | 24 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 12 | N 5 | ENE 11 | SSW 12 | SW 16 | NNE 9 | NNE 8 | SW 15 | SW 14 | NW 8 | NNW 7 | NNW 7 | NE 12 | SW 13 | SW 14 | NE 9 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 |
| kJ | 104 | 9 | 496 | 13 | 38 | 16 | 14 | 34 | 33 | 16 | 11 | 10 | 48 | 46 | 51 | 31 | 49 | 71 | 68 | 65 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 7 | W 12 | SSW 12 | W 13 | SSW 11 | SSW 15 | SW 15 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | NNW 7 | NE 11 | NE 10 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SSW 13 | W 11 | W 10 |
| kJ | 25 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 23 | 36 | 6 | 6 | 32 | 33 | 30 | 9 | 20 | 17 | 45 | 44 | 33 | 21 | 19 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 12 | N 7 | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | W 12 | W 12 | W 12 | W 11 | W 11 | ESE 7 | W 11 | NE 12 | SW 14 | NNW 7 | SW 18 | SW 18 | W 12 | W 11 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 |
| kJ | 15 | 4 | 28 | 28 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 9 | 54 | 50 | 11 | 22 | 15 | 14 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | ENE 11 | — | ENE 11 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 5 | E 6 | ENE 6 | E 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | E 7 |
| kJ | 284 | 603 | — | 496 | 425 | 280 | 227 | 262 | 201 | 123 | 140 | 48 | 166 | 256 | 276 | 285 | 397 | 426 | 449 | 423 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 20 | 22 | 22 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 28 | 28 | 24 | 24 | 51 | 24 | 26 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 26 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Molokai | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rock Point/Pohakuloa Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rock Point/Pohakuloa provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rock Point/Pohakuloa can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rock Point/Pohakuloa surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rock Point/Pohakuloa) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rock Point/Pohakuloa may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a vacation in Molokai? If you are looking for accommodation near Rock Point/Pohakuloa, camping, hotels and condos and appartments in Molokai, consider staying in Wailuku which is 36 km (22 miles) away. Other places in and around Molokai where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Kaunakakai - Molokai which is 38 km (24 miles) away, Kahului, Lanai - Lanai and Kihei.
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