Rock Point/Pohakuloa Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, listen up. Rusty here. Let's talk about what's on the menu.

First up, the water temp is sitting right around 79°, which is bang on average for this time of year, so no wetsuit needed, just your boardies.

Alright, the outlook for Rock Point is a bit of a mixed bag. We’ve got a window of opportunity, but it’s going to be a game of patience. The first few days actually have some decent size, but the wind is a bastard. It’s mostly cross or cross-offshore, which isn't ideal, and the swell is a bit short-period, meaning the waves are going to be wonky and hard to read.

The standout for the whole 16 days is actually on Tuesday, July 28th. The morning session is the pick of the bunch. We’ve got a solid 8ft of groundswell coming from the East, with a 13-second period. That’s a proper long-period groundswell, and the combined energy is a massive 2314, which is strong. The wind is a light cross-off from the NE at 16 mph, which is clean enough to get some good lines. The problem is, Rock Point is a reef and point break that’s inconsistent, and it’s often crowded. So, if you’re on it, expect a few other heads in the water. The afternoon is a step down, with a bit less energy, but still a solid 8ft.

Come Wednesday the 29th, the wind swings onshore in the morning, which is a real shame. We’ve got 7ft of NE swell, but the SSE wind is going to mess it up. The afternoon gets worse with a cross-on wind and poor conditions.

From Thursday the 30th right through to the end of the run, it’s a sad story. For over a week, we’re looking at mostly poor surf conditions. The wind is a persistent cross-shore, often a fresh breeze, and the swell period drops to 8 seconds or less. This is short-period, wind-affected junk. The combined energy drops into the hundreds, which is weak to moderate. There’s a bit of a pulse around the 4th of August with a longer period, but the wind is still cross and the conditions are marginal. The size is often around 5ft to 7ft, but with the cross-shore chop, it’s going to be a mess. For a spot that’s already inconsistent, this is a tough run. Honestly, with the strong cross-shore winds and the beach-and-reef setup, this looks more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer for most of the second week.

So, to sum it up: your best bet is Tuesday morning, July 28th. Get in early, hope the crowd isn't too thick, and enjoy that long-period groundswell while it’s clean. The rest of the forecast is a write-off. There’s a long gap of poor conditions from the 30th of July through to the 12th of August.

Rusty.

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