Rock Point/Pohakuloa Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you. The next 16 days are looking like a bit of a grind for the Rock Point/Pohakuloa zone. We’ve got a lot of wind and not a lot of quality on the table. It’s one of those stretches where you’ve gotta be patient and pick your moments, or just find something else to do for a while.

The whole window is dominated by a persistent cross-shore wind that’s going to chop things up. The swell is coming in from the ENE, which isn't ideal for this setup. We start off with a bit of a lull, a few days of small, short-period junk. The first several days are a write-off, honestly. The water temp is sitting at 80°F, which is about average for this time of year, so at least you won’t need a thick suit.

The first real sign of life shows up around the weekend of the 8th and 9th. The swell starts to push up a bit, but the wind is fresh and lumpy, so it’s still messy. The energy is moderate, but it’s not going to be clean. We’re looking at surf in the 6ft to 6ft range, but with that cross-chop, it’s going to be a battle. The period is short, too, around 6-8 seconds, so it’s not going to have any punch.

We’ve got a long, uneventful stretch through the middle of the month. The wind stays on it, the swell stays average, and the quality stays poor. It's not until the 16th and 17th that things get interesting, but not in a good way for most of us. The swell really starts to build, pushing up to 10ft and beyond. The energy numbers are getting into the strong range – we’re talking values like 1135 and 1582.

Now, here’s the catch. The 17th and the morning of the 18th are flagged as having favorable wind and tide, but that swell is just too big. At 10ft to 12ft, this is expert territory only. It’s a lot of water moving around, and with the period still only around 9 seconds, it’s going to be a heavy, unruly mess. For the average surfer, this is a stay-on-the-beach kind of day. There might be a crew of big-wave chargers out there, but this isn’t a paddle-out for the faint of heart.

After that peak, things start to back off a little, but the wind is still howling. The final days of the window see the swell drop back to the 7ft to 8ft range, but with that fresh cross-shore, it’s still going to be rough.

So, what’s the call? If you’re an expert surfer, the morning of Monday the 17th looks like the only real window, but even then it’s a beast. For everyone else, there’s just nothing here. The wind is the main problem, and the swell direction isn't doing us any favors. This setup looks more interesting for kite surfers than for paddle surfers, to be honest.

Keep an eye on the long-range, but don’t get your hopes up. For now, this is a blank stretch. It happens.

Rusty.

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