Rock Point/Pohakuloa Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Lookin’ at Rock Point/Pohakuloa for the next 16 days, and I gotta tell ya, it’s a rough stretch. This is a reef and point break, exposed to the NE, but the wind is locked in from the east and east-northeast the whole time, blowin’ cross-shore or even cross-onshore. That means the surface is always chopped up, and the waves are all short-period, wind-driven slop. There’s no clean window, no proper groundswell, and the ratings are all zeros or a couple of marginal ones.

From Thursday the 30th of July, we’ve got a 5ft swell from the ENE with a period of just 8 seconds, but the wind is a moderate breeze at 16 mph, cross-shore. The combined wave energy is moderate at 302, but it’s already “poor surf conditions.” That holds through the whole first week. By Friday the 31st, the swell pushes up to 8ft from the E, period still short at 7 seconds, with a fresh breeze at 22 mph. It’s lumpy and cross-shore—totally unrideable. The energy gets into the strong range, hittin’ 853 in the afternoon, but it’s just a windy mess.

Saturday the 1st of August is the biggest swell of the window, with 10ft from the ENE and a strong breeze at 22 mph. That’s expert-level size, but with short period and messy wind, it’s a washout. The energy is nearly 1000 (998), but for paddle surf, it’s a no-go. Honestly, with those conditions, this setup looks way more interesting for kite surfing than a paddle session.

There’s a brief flicker on Monday the 3rd of August morning—the swell drops to 6ft from the ENE, still 8 seconds, but the wind eases to a moderate 12 mph cross-shore. The rating is a marginal 1/10. It’s still cross-chop, but the energy is moderate at 510. It’s not good, just less bad. Then Tuesday the 4th of August sees the period stretch to a long 11 seconds, which is actual groundswell. The swell is 6ft from the ENE, with a light wind of 9 mph in the mornin’. That longer period means better-shaped waves, but it’s still cross-shore and lumpy. The energy is moderate at 667. It’s the closest we get to somethin’ surfable, but for a point and reef, that long period could make it break too straight. Still, if you’re desperate, that Tuesday mornin’ might give ya a few decent ones.

From Wednesday the 5th of August onward, the swell drops below 3ft with periods all under 10 seconds, and the wind stays cross or cross-onshore. The energy is weak, in the 100–200 range. It stays poor through to the end of the technical period on Friday the 14th of August. There’s no standouts, no real window of clean surf. It’s a long, dry run. The one piece of hope is that Rock Point is inconsistent anyway—it rarely breaks clean, so this kind of blank run isn’t unheard of around here. Forecasts can change, but right now, I’d say leave the stick on the rack.

For the first break mentioned, water temp is 80°F with an anomaly of just +0.4°F, so it’s pretty average for this time of year—no major change there.

Rusty.

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