Rock Point/Pohakuloa Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Hey everyone, Rusty here. Let's break down what’s coming.

I'm not going to sugarcoat it—the next sixteen days are a tough go. We're looking at just the one spot, Rock Point/Pohakuloa, and she's an inconsistent reef and point break that demands you wait for the right moment. The swell is going to be there, but the wind and conditions are going to ruin it for most of the time. Expect a lot of cross-shore wind and lumpy, choppy water that just isn't any fun to paddle out into.

That first week, starting Saturday the 5th, we get some solid east-northeast swell coming in, about 7 to 8 feet, with a combined wave energy hitting 1800. The period is a decent 13 seconds, so it's a groundswell with some power, which suits a point break. But the problem is that wind. It’s a moderate breeze from the east-northeast at 16 mph, blowing right across the face. It’s going to be a lumpy, cross-chop mess. The charts are calling it "marginal" and "poor," and the tides are looking iffy. It’s not the clean, groomed wave you want.

The one bright spot, the only day that gets my heart rate up, is the morning of Sunday the 13th. We finally get a shift to a cross-offshore wind from the northeast at 16 mph. The forecast uses the word "clean," and that's all we need to hear. The swell is still there at about 6 to 7 feet from the east, but with a short, weak period of 7 seconds. The combined energy is a low 447, so it won't have a ton of punch, but with clean faces, that point could start to line up. That's your standout session. It’s not a big day, but it's the only clean one we've got.

After that, it’s a long, ugly slog. From the 14th onward, the wind is back on the cross or gets stronger, hitting 19 to 22 mph. The swell period drops to a pitiful 7 seconds, giving us short, weak, and choppy waves. The combined energy stays low. We've got waves up to 8 feet of wind-blown slop on the 16th and 17th, and that's just a waste of energy. The ocean temperature is right where it should be for this time of year.

So here’s the bottom line: hit that window on the morning of Sunday the 13th. A clean 6 to 7 foot wave on a point is worth the drive, even if it’s not firing at 100%. The rest of the days? Leave the board on the racks. It’s a long, poor stretch. The forecast could turn, but right now, it’s a tough beat.

Rusty.

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