Surf Forecasts:
Rock Point/Pohakuloa surf forecast from 8 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 12 Jul, 5PM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 8s period, ENE swell with 639 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rock Point/Pohakuloa this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Rock Point/Pohakuloa in the next 16 days are 2.3m 8s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 12) at 5PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 16s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 12) at 2PM.
| Wave Type | Time (HST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 5PM (Sun 12th Jul) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rock Point/Pohakuloa over the next 16 days.
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about Rock Point. This is a reef and point break that’s exposed to the NE, but it’s an inconsistent spot – doesn’t fire often. Water temp is about 79°F with a normal anomaly, so nothing weird for this time of year.
Honestly, the next couple of weeks are pretty grim. From Tuesday 7 July right through to Sunday 19 July, there’s nothing worth paddling out for. The wind is hammering cross-shore at 15–22 mph, the swell is short-period slop from the ENE, and the combined wave energy is moderate at best (around 400–500). It’s lumpy, choppy, and just plain poor surf conditions. If you’re into kiting, maybe that cross-chop is interesting, but for a surfboard it’s a no-go.
Then on Monday 20 July we get a tiny flicker. The swell drops to 7 ft from the ENE, period still short at 7s, but the combined energy jumps to 579 (moderate) and the wind eases to 12–15 mph. Still cross, still lumpy, but the forecast calls it “marginal” – could be rideable if you’re desperate. Honestly, not a standout.
The real window – and I mean the only one that gets my heart rate up – is Tuesday 21 July. A long-period groundswell (16s) rolls in from the E, 4 ft. That’s a very long period, which means proper energy and shape, especially for a point break like this. The combined energy is 1203 – strong, you’ll feel it. The wind is still cross (ENE 12–15 mph), so it won’t be glassy, but it’s the best we’ve got. Keep in mind that long period swells can break a bit straight on a beach, but at a reef/point it should wrap nicely. However, Rock Point is inconsistent, so even this might be a bit hit-or-miss. And crowds are often, so expect company. Still, if you’re an intermediate and you can get out there, this is your shot.
After that, Wednesday 22 July drops back to 3 ft from the E with a 14–15s period, but the wind turns cross-onshore and the energy fades to 700 – back to poor conditions. So really, the whole 16-day stretch is a write-off except for that one Tuesday. It’s a long way out (21 July), so treat it as promising but not a lock. Forecasts can change, but for now, mark your calendar for that Tuesday if you want a chance at some clean, long-period lines.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Fri morning. Warm (max 25°C on Wed morning, min 24°C on Tue night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Warm (max 25°C on Fri night, min 24°C on Fri night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tue 14 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 484 | 512 | 516 | 621 | 452 | 400 | 471 | 444 | 512 | 472 | 472 | 459 | 456 | 495 | 639 | 602 | 434 | 434 | 417 | 379 | 353 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross |
High Tide | 10:38AM0.66m | 7:18PM0.59m | 11:48AM0.76m | 7:59PM0.53m | 12:41PM0.86m | 9:48PM0.48m | 1:27PM0.94m | 11:21PM0.47m | 2:10PM0.99m | 00:30AM0.47m | 2:51PM1.02m | 1:30AM0.49m | 3:29PM1.02m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 2:35AM0.18m | 3:51PM0.56m | 3:28AM0.13m | 6:58PM0.53m | 4:26AM0.08m | 8:04PM0.48m | 5:22AM0.03m | 8:38PM0.43m | 6:16AM-0.01m | 9:11PM0.40m | 7:07AM-0.04m | 9:43PM0.37m | 7:54AM-0.04m | ||||||||
 |  | |  |  | | |  | | | | |  | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — |
 | 7:12 | — | 7:12 | — | — | 7:12 | — | — | 7:12 | — | — | 7:12 | — | — | 7:12 | — | — | 7:12 | — | — | 7:10 |
mm | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | 1 | 3 | — | 4 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 24 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 |
Feels °C | 21 | 22 | 22 | 21 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 24 | 22 | 22 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 22 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 23 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | W 13 | W 15 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 |
| kJ | 38 | 38 | 37 | 35 | 33 | 32 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 59 | 54 | 109 | 107 | 129 | 124 | 119 | 109 | 104 | 100 | 92 | 89 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 8 | — | W 16 | W 15 | W 15 | W 14 | W 13 | SSW 12 | W 13 | W 13 | W 14 | W 14 | W 13 | W 13 | W 12 | W 12 | W 12 | W 19 | W 18 | W 17 | W 16 |
| kJ | 3 | — | 5 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 30 | 36 | 35 | 30 | 29 | 27 | 26 | 11 | 28 | 99 | 89 | 132 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | W 17 | W 16 | SW 21 | SSW 13 | S 11 | S 10 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 9 | W 16 | W 13 | SSW 18 | SW 19 | SSW 19 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 31 | 58 | 36 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 |
| kJ | 484 | 512 | 516 | 621 | 452 | 400 | 471 | 444 | 512 | 472 | 472 | 459 | 456 | 495 | 639 | 602 | 434 | 434 | 417 | 379 | 353 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 26 | 28 | 28 | 26 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 26 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Molokai | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rock Point/Pohakuloa Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rock Point/Pohakuloa provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rock Point/Pohakuloa can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rock Point/Pohakuloa surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rock Point/Pohakuloa) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rock Point/Pohakuloa may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a vacation in Molokai? If you are looking for accommodation near Rock Point/Pohakuloa, camping, hotels and condos and appartments in Molokai, consider staying in Wailuku which is 36 km (22 miles) away. Other places in and around Molokai where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Kaunakakai - Molokai which is 38 km (24 miles) away, Kahului, Lanai - Lanai and Kihei.
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