Rock Point/Pohakuloa Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for the next 16 days. I’ll be straight with you – this one’s a tough watch.

Right off the bat, we’re looking at a stretch of poor conditions. The surf is on offer, but it’s not worth paddling out for. The wind is hammering in from the ENE almost the entire time, whipping up a cross-shore chop that’s just ruining any chance of a clean face. The water temp is sitting at 79°, which is about average for the time of year, so at least you won’t freeze while you’re getting frustrated.

We’ve essentially got a 16-day block of “poor surf conditions” with no real standout window. The only spot on the radar is Rock Point/Pohakuloa (a reef and point setup), but it’s inconsistent and often crowded. The swell is coming from the ENE, which doesn’t match the optimum NE direction this place needs. The wave heights hover between 4 ft and 8 ft, with short periods of 5 to 8 seconds, so it’s mostly windswell, not the good stuff. The combined energy sits anywhere from 154 to 609 (moderate), but with that relentless cross-breeze, it’s choppy and lumpy.

The first few days – Saturday the 11th through Monday the 14th of July – are a write-off. The wind is a fresh 19 to 22 mph cross-shore, making it look more like a kite session than a paddle session. The swell is a bit bigger on the 12th (8 ft), but with that short period and cross-chop, it’s just messy.

The middle of the week, from the 15th to the 18th, the swell drops a little but the wind doesn’t let up. Still cross-shore, still lumpy. The water temp anomaly is normal, so no surprises there.

The second week, from the 19th of July onwards, it’s more of the same. The swell picks up again around the 20th and 21st (7 ft, ENE), but the wind is still a cross-shore buzzkill. The combined energy hits the 500-600 range, which tells you there’s power in the water, but it’s all wasted on bad conditions.

Honestly, there’s nothing here that screams “go now.” The wind is the enemy, and the swell direction is off. For a spot that’s already inconsistent and often crowded, you’d need everything to line up, and it just doesn’t. If you’re desperate, maybe keep an eye on the 25th and 26th of July – the swell is still 6 ft to 7 ft, and the wind drops to a moderate 16 mph, but it’s still cross-shore. It’s the best of a bad bunch, but don’t expect miracles.

Hang in there, the forecasts can change. For now, keep the board in the car and the wax in the bag.

Rusty.

Read more