Rock Point/Pohakuloa Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's be straight up – this outlook for Rock Point/Pohakuloa is a real tough one. We’ve got a pretty bleak run of weather for the next week and a half, with hardly any windows of clean surf. The first recommendation doesn't kick in until Monday the 7th of September, and before that we're looking at a solid gap of poor conditions.

The whole period starts off with a relentless cross-shore breeze – mostly from the ENE at 15 to 22 mph – chunking up the water. Swell hangs around 6 to 8 feet, but with short 7 to 8 second periods, it's just messy, lumpy, and not worth paddling out in. The combined energy is moderate (around 501 to 866), but the wind kills any chance of a decent wave. Water temp is a balmy 80°, which is pretty average for this time of year.

Then we get a bit of a tease. On Saturday the 5th and into Sunday the 6th of September, the swell period jumps up to 13 seconds, with the combined energy spiking to 1703 and even 3061. That's proper moderate to strong energy. But the wind is still a cross-shore mess, and the surf is described as "marginal." It’s frustrating because the potential is there, but it’s just not clean enough to recommend.

Now, the real standout, the only true highlight in this whole 16-day window, arrives on Monday the 7th of September into Monday afternoon. The wind finally swings offshore from the NW at a gentle 9 mph, cleaning things right up. The swell is still a solid 8 feet, but now it’s got a long, proper 11 second period from the ENE. The combined energy is strong at 2299. This is excellent for experienced surfers. Rock Point is a reef and point break, exposed to the NE, and this long-period ENE swell will wrap in nicely. The optimum swell direction from the guidance is NE, so this is a great match. It’s inconsistent, which means you’ll get lulls between sets, making the paddle out manageable, but the sets themselves will have real power. It’s also a spot that's often crowded, so for this one window, expect some company.

After that brief moment of glory, it turns ugly again. Tuesday the 8th sees the wind swing onshore, the swell drops off, and by Wednesday the 9th we’re back to fresh cross-shore winds and messy 8-foot surf. The rest of the second week is a slow fade – smaller swells, persistent cross-winds, and no more clean windows. The gap from around the 9th to the end of the forecast is basically a write-off for decent surf.

So, mark your calendar for Monday the 7th of September. It’s a one-shot deal. If you're intermediate or above, and you don’t mind a crowd, that Monday afternoon could deliver some memorable waves at Rocky Point. The rest? Save your energy.

Rusty.

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