Riviera Shorebreak Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s shaping up. We’ve got a 16-day window, but I’ll be honest with you – it’s not a pretty picture for most of it. We’re looking at a long stretch of small, weak, and often choppy conditions. The first real glimmer of hope doesn't show up until Friday, August 14th, so we’ve got a solid two-week gap where the surf is mostly a write-off.

Right now, water temp is sitting at 89.1°F around Riviera Shorebreak, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year. Don’t expect a wetsuit.

The first few days are a struggle. Saturday, August 1st, we’ve got some small SW swell around 3ft, but the wind is messy and the energy is weak (264). It’s just poor. Sunday the 2nd morning is even smaller, but the afternoon turns glassy with a tiny 2ft SW swell. It’s surfable, but just barely. That’s the story for the next week: tiny little bumps of SW swell, mostly ruined by cross-onshore winds. There’s a glassy moment on Wednesday, August 5th morning, and again on Thursday, August 6th morning, but the swell is barely 1.5ft to 2ft. You could get a fun little slide on a log, but it’s not worth getting excited about. The energy stays low, under 200.

Heading into the second week, the swell gets a little more consistent but still messy. The wind is rarely your friend. The "combined energy of all swells directed here" starts climbing into the 400s and 500s by August 7th, but the notes say "poor surf conditions" or "marginal." The period gets long, hitting 18 seconds on August 7th morning, which is groundswell, but it’s breaking straight and bumpy. That energy is there, but it’s not translating into clean waves.

Now, the one standout. Mark your calendar for Friday, August 14th morning. Riviera Shorebreak is the only real hope in this whole outlook. The wind goes glassy, light and variable from the NNW, and the swell is 2.5ft from the SW with a very long period of 18 seconds. The energy is strong (665) and the forecast is for "very good surf conditions." That’s the only time in the whole 16 days we get that call. The long period means it’ll be a bit lully and better for a point or reef, but at a beach break, those longer gaps between sets will make paddling out easier. The swell direction is SW, which matches what the spot wants. If you’ve got a board, that’s your window. The afternoon on the 14th gets bigger, up to 4ft, but the wind goes onshore, so get it in the morning.

After that, the 15th and 16th are back to marginal, cross-onshore slop. It’s a tough forecast, but that Friday morning on the 14th is the real deal.

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