Riviera Shorebreak Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about the stretch ahead. It’s gonna be a bit of a waiting game, but there are a couple of windows where it’ll light up.

The opening of the forecast period is pretty quiet. For the first few days, the swell’s just not there. You’re looking at small, weak lines that are mostly messy and blown out by the afternoon. It’s a classic case of “check the cam, then go back to bed.” There’s a real drought in quality on the immediate horizon, so don’t get too excited about the start of the week.

The first real glimmer of hope shows up on Thursday, September 10th, in the morning. The wind drops right out, leaving it glassy, and we’ve got a cleaner, 3ft SW swell rolling in with a decent 16-second period from the southwest. That’s more like it. The energy is still modest, but the calm conditions will make it feel so much better than the bumpy leftovers we've been seeing. This is the standout of the first week. The water’s running at 89°, which is *much warmer* than it should be for this time of year – that’s a big anomaly, but right now, that warmth is welcome.

After that Thursday morning, the wind swings onshore again and we slip back into marginal conditions through Friday and into the weekend. The swell stays small, around 3ft, and the windows of opportunity are few and far between. It's a real stop-start affair.

The second week brings a bit more size, but the wind is the main problem. We start to see the swell consistently reaching 3ft, and there’s a noticeable kick in energy from mid-week. Wednesday, September 16th has some potential, but the northwesterlies are gonna make it a choppy mess in the afternoon. The mornings look a little better, but it’s all cross-onshore, so the quality will be poor. This is where I’d be careful: the size is there, but it’s not going to be clean.

Looking further out, like the 21st and 22nd, we still have that 3ft SW swell, but again, the wind is just never quite right. It’s onshore or cross-onshore, keeping things lumpy. There are a few mornings with light offshore winds, but they’re quickly ruined as the breeze builds. It’s a frustrating pattern.

So, to be straight with you: the one true standout on offer is that Thursday morning session. It’s small, but it'll be clean. Don’t forget, this is a spot that “rarely breaks” anyway, so when it does and the conditions are right, you gotta move on it. The long-period nature of the swell (16 seconds) will give you some nice lines to work with, but with it being a shorebreak, that long period can also make it a bit closey-outey. Still, the glassy conditions will be the big winner.

Later in the second week, things look more promising from an energy standpoint, but the wind will keep the quality down. It’s not gonna be a classic stretch by any means, but for a break that doesn't work often, there's at least a couple of moments where it might just turn on.

Stay patient, keep your eyes on the forecast, and be ready to move when you see that glass.

Rusty.

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