Riviera Shorebreak Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let's get into it. Riviera Shorebreak is the only game in town for this stretch, but it's a spot that rarely breaks, so we're working with a very picky wave. Let me tell you, this forecast is a bit of a heartbreaker. We've got almost two full weeks of marginal to poor conditions, mostly because of onshore or cross-onshore winds and inconsistent swell. It's a real waiting game.

It starts off on Sunday the 5th with a bit of hope. Swell is coming in from the SW at 3ft, with a long 14-second period, and combined energy is moderate (633). The wind is light and blowing onshore, though, so it won't be clean. The water temp is about average for this time of year. We see a similar story through Monday and Tuesday – swell holds around 3ft to 5ft, period climbs to a very long 18 seconds, and energy builds (up to 1249 on Tuesday afternoon). But the wind keeps switching around, with a cross-on element that'll mess up the face. For a rarely-breaking spot, it's frustrating.

The only real standout in this entire 16-day window is a brief window on the morning of Saturday the 11th. We’ve got a 4ft SW swell with a 15-second period (moderate energy at 612), and the wind goes cross-offshore – that’s the golden ticket. The comment says “expect very good surf conditions.” Now, for a spot that rarely breaks, getting a clean, cross-offshore wind on a long-period SW groundswell is a true moment of magic. That's your best bet, and it's still over a week away, so keep an eye on it but don't book your flights yet.

After that, it's a slow slide down. By Sunday the 12th, winds pick up again, swell drops under 3ft, and conditions turn poor. We go through a long gap with nothing worth paddling for – days of 2ft to 3ft swell and onshore or choppy winds. There's a little blip on the 14th with a very long 18-second period from the SW, but the swell is tiny at 2ft and it’s a cross-shore wind. Not enough to get excited about.

Looking way out, on Sunday the 19th and Monday the 20th, the swell picks back up. Sunday afternoon sees a 5ft SW swell, 14-second period, and energy jumps to a strong 1342. Monday morning’s swell is 6ft. However, for a rarely-breaking spot, this is getting into the zone where it could be too much for beginners, and the wind on Monday is a cross-on at 15 km/h, which isn't ideal. Still, that Sunday afternoon with light onshore wind and that much energy might be worth a look for the experienced crew. It’s promising, but still two weeks out.

Bottom line: Riviera Shorebreak is a finicky wave, and this forecast is a testament to that. The clear highlight is the Saturday morning (11th) with the cross-offshore wind. Everything else is a waiting game, with that last weekend holding some potential for bigger but less clean waves. Hang in there.

Rusty

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