Riviera Shorebreak Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a proper look at the charts for Riviera Shorebreak over the next couple of weeks.

The long-range picture here is a bit of a mixed bag, to be honest. We’ve got a decent pulse of SW groundswell coming through over the next week, but the wind and the overall setup means we’ve got to be patient and pick the absolute windows. There’s a bit of a lull heading into the second week where things get real small and pretty much unsurfable, so we need to focus on the best bits of the first week.

Right now, on Friday (24th July), it’s a mess. There’s a risk of thunderstorms and a bit of onshore wind, so we’re looking at clean conditions from the morning session, even if the swell is tiny at 2 ft to 2 ft. This break is rarely breaking, but when it does, the wind is off so the surface is clean. The water temperature is sitting at 89°, which is about 4°F warmer than average for this time of year – you’ll feel that.

Moving into Saturday (25th July), the swell starts to push up a bit, with 4 ft to 4 ft sets coming from the SW on Sunday morning (26th July). Saturday morning is cross-on with a light breeze, so it’s not ideal yet. The real standout looks like it could be Monday morning (27th July). We’re looking at a solid 6 ft swell from the SSW with period dropping to 18 seconds – that’s proper groundswell energy. The wind is cross-on but glassy, and the combined energy reading hits 1674, which is moderate energy. For a rarely-breaking spot like this, that’s a big window. It might be a bit bigger than the norm, but the longer period means it’ll be better for the bank shape.

Tuesday morning (28th July) pushes up to 7 ft from the SSW, with a 17-second period and a combined energy of 2866. That’s getting into strong territory. But the wind stays cross-on. The morning of Wednesday (29th July) is another big call: 8 ft from the SW, 16-second period, and the biggest energy in the run at 3974. The wind flips to a light offshore from the WSW, making it clean. This is a serious size for this break, and for expert surfers only – anything over 8 ft is getting heavy. It’s the best combination of size and wind in the whole period.

Thursday morning (30th July) still has 7 ft from the SW, but the period drops to 14 seconds and the energy starts to fade. By Thursday afternoon the wind kicks up from the WNW at 15 mph, turning it all into a choppy mess.

After that, we see a big drop. Friday (31st July) is down to 5 ft, and by Saturday (1st August) it’s tiny and poor. There’s a stretch from Friday afternoon (31st July) all the way through to the end of the 16-day window where the conditions are consistently poor. The swell stays below 3 ft, and the energy is weak (mostly two-digit or low three-digit values). There are no surfable recommendations for the second week; it’s a real blank run, which is more normal for here when the swell disappears.

So, if you’re an experienced surfer, Wednesday morning (29th July) is your standout: 8 ft of SW groundswell with offshore wind. The next best is Monday morning (27th July) – a solid 6 ft with glassy conditions. For the rest of it, you’re looking at marginal to poor. No buoys, no links, just the data in front of me.

Rusty

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