Redgate Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, mate, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s on the cards for the next couple of weeks.

Overall, we’ve got a classic winter pattern firing up. A massive, long-period SW groundswell is about to slam into us, but it’s going to be a story of too much of a good thing. The window for clean, manageable surf is going to be real tight. The water is sitting at 67°F, which is a good 4°F warmer than normal for this time of year, so you can leave the 5/4 at home for a bit longer.

The first real shot of surfable waves is on Wednesday, August 5th. Redgate is our only option on the board, and it’s a point break that’s very consistent. We’re looking at a solid 16 ft swell from the SW with a very long 16-second period. The energy is massive (11044), but the wind is a light cross-onshore. It’s going to be a bit lumpy, but it’s the best we’ve got. The morning rain showers might put you off, but the afternoon clears up nicely with a light NW breeze. The tide might be a factor, so pick your bank. That’s the standout of the whole run, but it’s a bit of a one-hit wonder.

Right after that, things go sideways. Thursday, August 6th brings in a fresh cross-onshore breeze from the NW, making it lumpy and messy. The swell is still big at 13 ft from the WSW, but the quality is shot. Friday, August 7th is a write-off with a strong onshore breeze blowing into the afternoon. The swell is still 13 ft, but the wind makes it a nightmare.

Then we get into the danger zone. From Saturday, August 8th through to Monday, August 11th, the swell is just too big. We’re talking 20 ft to 21 ft of SW energy (swell energy hitting 16207 to 28160). This is big, powerful, and only for the absolute top-tier chargers. The wind is also cross-onshore, so it’s going to be a washing machine. This is kite-surfing territory, not paddle surfing.

The second week is a bit of a letdown. Surfable swell is still there, but the wind is a persistent problem. Tuesday, August 12th through to Sunday, August 17th is a steady diet of onshore and cross-onshore winds from the NW and WNW, with a lumpy, choppy state. The swell is consistently in the 10 ft to 15 ft range, but it’s just not clean. There’s a small window on Sunday, August 16th with a 12 ft WSW swell, but the wind is still a strong cross-onshore breeze.

The pattern finishes with another massive pulse. Monday, August 17th and Tuesday, August 18th see the swell jump back up to 23 ft and 21 ft from the WSW (swell energy over 19000 to 21000). Again, this is too big for any normal session. The wind is onshore, so it’s blown out and dangerous.

So, the verdict: Your best bet is Wednesday, August 5th. Get on it. After that, it’s a long wait for clean conditions, or you’re looking at giant, messy, and dangerous waves. It’s a big winter pattern, but not a clean one.

Rusty.

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