Publics Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a honest look at what the next couple of weeks are shaping up like for Publics.

Right off the bat, it’s a pretty bleak start for the first week, honestly. The first surf we can even talk about is on Wednesday, August 5th, but it's nothing to get excited about. The water temp is bang on average for the time of year at 81°, so that's one small win.

Wednesday morning sees a small 4ft swell from the ENE with a period of 10 seconds, but the wind is a moderate cross-off at 16 mph. Combined wave energy is weak (347). The call is marginal at best. The afternoon stays much the same with 4ft and a bit more energy (379), but still side-shore breeze and a marginal call. We then hit a real dry spell from Thursday, August 6th, right through to Monday, August 10th. For days on end, the swell drops to a tiny 1ft and the conditions are rated as poor. It's a proper flat spell, so don't even bother waxing up.

Monday afternoon, August 10th, shows a tiny blip of 2ft from the SSW with a 15-second period, but it's still rated poor. This pattern of small, poor-quality SSW groundswell with moderate to fresh cross-off winds drags through the rest of the week. The longer period (14-21 seconds) on these small swells suggests more energy than the height indicates, but the wave state is just not good. We see combined energy jump into the moderate range (from 400 up to 894) but it’s all for nothing with the winds being what they are.

The weekend of August 15th and 16th brings a bigger ENE windswell, pushing 6ft to 7ft, but with a short, choppy period of just 7 seconds. The wind picks up to a strong breeze at 25 mph. This is a classic messy, blown-out setup. Honestly, with that much wind and a beach-and-reef setup, this looks far more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. It's poor conditions across the board.

The second week doesn’t get much better. Monday, August 17th offers a 7ft, 8-second ENE windswell with fresh cross-off winds, but still rated poor. There is a brief spike in combined energy (663) but no quality. The end of the window, around August 19th and 20th, sees a small 2ft to 5ft mix of ENE and S swells, but again, the wave state is poor and the energy is weak to moderate.

Overall, it’s a tough outlook for Publics. There are no standout sessions on the horizon. The winds are consistently cross-off or onshore-ish and the swell quality is just not cooperating. It's a long, blank run that looks fairly normal for this stretch of coast when the trade winds set in. Forecasts can change, but right now, I'd keep the board in the bag.

Rusty.

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