Publics Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here again, going through the same 16 days for Publics, but in feet and miles per hour.

This is a rough stretch, no two ways about it. A lot of wind, a lot of days where the tide and conditions just don't line up.

We start on Tuesday, September 1st. Cross-off wind from the NE at 18 mph. The swell is 6 ft from the ENE (8 seconds). The combined energy is moderate (871). It’s clean, but the wind is fresh and the period is short. Water temp is about normal for this time of year.

Wednesday the 2nd and Thursday the 3rd are tougher. The wind jumps to 25 mph, still cross-off, with swell from 7 ft to 8 ft. That’s getting into expert territory, and the strong wind makes it a real battle. The energy is in the thousands.

Friday the 4th through the weekend are the same story: cross-off, strong to fresh wind, swell around 7 ft to 7 ft. Energy is high, but the wind just won’t let up.

Then we get a shift on Saturday, September 5th. The swell drops to 7 ft, but the period jumps to 13 seconds – a proper groundswell. The energy is high (1874). The wind is still 18 mph, but the longer period means better shape, though it might be a bit straight for the beach. It’s a glimmer.

Sunday the 6th and Monday the 7th are the best window of the whole forecast. The wind drops to a moderate 12 mph. The swell is clean, 7 ft to 7 ft from the ENE, with a 12-second period. The energy is over 2000. This is the most consistent, clean swell of the 16 days. These are the days to paddle out.

Tuesday the 8th is a change-up. The wind goes cross-shore from the ESE at 9 mph, with a smaller 6 ft swell. Energy drops to 1209. Lighter wind, but smaller surf.

Wednesday the 9th brings back the 22 mph cross-off wind and a 6 ft swell. Not good.

Thursday the 10th is a dud. Energy drops to 526, and the conditions are poor. Wind is 22 mph.

Friday the 11th is tiny, with 3 ft of swell. Wind is moderate at 15 mph. Not worth it.

Now, Saturday the 12th is the other standout. The wind is cross-off from the E at 9 mph, with a 5 ft swell from the ENE, 11-second period. The energy is moderate at 631. The forecast says “expect very good surf conditions” for the afternoon. This is the highest-rated day in the whole 16 days. Light wind, clean surf – get on it.

Sunday the 13th is a mess with rain and thunderstorms, and a tiny, messy swell.

The final days (Monday the 14th to Wednesday the 16th) are all small, with swells under 2 ft and poor conditions. Energy is very weak (under 300). The wind is light, but there’s nothing to ride.

The Bottom Line:
The best consistent swell is Sunday the 6th and Monday the 7th. But the real standout, the one day that looks like a proper session, is Saturday, September 12th afternoon. Circle that day. The rest of the time, you’re fighting the wind or waiting for a pulse.

Rusty.

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