Publics Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's take a long look at what the ocean has in store for us at Publics. It's a bit of a slow burn, so settle in.

Right now, there's really nothing worth paddling out for. We're looking at a pretty lean start to the forecast period. The first hint of something rideable arrives on Monday the 13th, but honestly, it's barely worth a mention. The water is sitting at a warm 79°, which is pretty standard for this time of year.

The whole first week is a bit of a struggle. From Monday the 13th through to Friday the 17th, the swell is tiny, hovering around 2 ft to 3 ft. The wave energy is weak to moderate, with readings between 235 and 462. Even though the wind is a cross-off breeze, cleaning things up, there's just no power in the water. It's a real waiting game. Then things get weird over the weekend of the 18th and 19th. The swell bumps up to 6 ft to 6 ft, but it comes straight from the ENE with a horrible, short period of just 7 to 8 seconds. The wave energy reading is moderate to strong, but with those short, fat lines, I wouldn't bother. This setup is more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. It stays messy.

We get a little breather at the start of the next week. Monday the 20th sees some cleaner 3 ft groundswell from the S with a much better 16 second period, but the wind is a fresh side breeze, keeping it from being a real standout. The energy reading is a solid 546.

Now, things start to look up towards the very end of the month. The period from the 25th to the 26th brings building swell. Wave energy is climbing into a strong range, hitting 831 and 903. You'll see 6 ft of short-period ENE swell on Saturday the 25th, and 3 ft of longer-period east swell, but neither are firing on all cylinders.

The real standout, the one worth marking on your calendar, is Tuesday the 28th of July. This is the best on offer. We're looking at a clean, solid 6 ft to 7 ft swell from the ENE. The period is a nice 13 seconds, so there's some proper groundswell punch behind it. The combined wave energy readings are massive, at 1253 and 1386—that's very strong energy. The wind is light and cross-offshore out of the east at 9 mph, keeping the conditions clean. Because this swell is over 5 ft, it's not a beginner's wave; this is one for the experienced crew. The long period will mean the waves are better shaped with more energy, but at a beach and reef setup like Publics, those long lines can break a bit straight. Still, with that energy and clean wind, it's the clear highlight of the sixteen-day window. Keep in mind, this is a solid two weeks out, so the long-range forecast is promising but not locked in.

Until then, it's a tough run. The earlier days from the 20th to the 27th are all marginal, with scores never getting out of the 1 to 2 range. For an exposed spot like Publics, this kind of blank run happens.

Rusty.

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