Pointe du Toulinguet Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a hard look at the stretch ahead for Pointe du Toulinguet. I’ve got to be straight with you—this is a tough one.

The forecast window is 16 days, but you’re looking at a long dry spell. The first week and a bit is basically a write-off for any decent surf. From Sunday the 19th right through to Friday the 31st of July, the waves are tiny, weak, and messy. The swell is a paltry 0.7 ft to 5 ft, mostly from the NW or WNW, with very short periods (4–8 seconds) that lack any punch. The combined energy stays weak, between 13 and 99 for most of that time, barely a ripple. Winds are mostly cross-off or cross, but the swell just isn’t there to work with. It’s a frustrating stretch of flat, poor surf conditions.

We finally see a pulse of energy arrive starting Monday, 27 July. The swell builds to 6 ft on Monday morning from the WNW, with a period of 9 seconds, and the combined energy kicks up to a moderate 426. That’s the first sign of life, but the wind is a fresh cross-onshore at 19 mph, making for lumpy, choppy conditions. The swell peaks on Tuesday, 28 July, with a solid 6 ft from the NW in the morning, 9-second period, and combined energy rising to 532 (moderate). The wind is cross-shore at 16 mph, which keeps it a bit cleaner than the day before, but it’s still a cross-chop. This is the only window that’s even worth a look, and even then, it’s marginal. The surf is just too short-period and wind-affected to be a standout.

The standout really is the Tuesday morning session on 28 July. Swell is 6 ft from the NW, and while the period is only 9 seconds, the energy is there. The wind is a moderate breeze from the N, cross-shore, keeping the surface workable. It’s still choppy, but it’s the best you’ll see. For a point break, a NW swell is okay, but it’s not the optimum W direction. The water temperature is about 64°F, which is pretty average for the time of year (anomaly of +0.9°F), so nothing wild there.

After that, it drops off again. By Wednesday, 29 July, the swell is back to 4 ft, and the wind goes cross-onshore, ruining it. By Thursday, 30 July, we’re down to 3 ft and soft. The second week (from 31 July onward) is a return to tiny, weak swell, 1.0 ft to 4 ft, with onshore winds. It’s a dead end.

Honestly, this is a bleak outlook. If you’re desperate, Tuesday morning 28 July is your only shot, and it’s not going to be pretty. Don’t hold your breath on the long-range stuff—it’s too far out and the signs are weak.

Rusty.

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