Le Kerou Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Gotta give it to you straight – this is a rough one. Looking at the next 16 days for Le Kerou, it’s a pretty bleak picture. The swell is just not showing up with any real power or direction to make it worthwhile. We’re looking at a long stretch of tiny, weak waves with messy onshore or cross-onshore winds most of the time. The combined energy is mostly weak, sitting in the low double digits (46), and the swell period is short, around 8 seconds, so there’s no real push behind it. The water temp is sitting at 66°, which is about average for this time of year – nothing special there.

The first real possibility, if you can call it that, is on Friday morning, 31 July. The swell is small at 2ft from the west, with a period of 8 seconds. The wind is a light cross-offshore from the north at 9 mph, so it’ll be clean. But the combined energy is only 46, so we’re talking about tiny, weak ripples. Not worth getting excited about.

After that, it’s a real desert. The rest of Friday, all of Saturday and Sunday are just poor. The wind swings onshore, the swell stays tiny, and the quality is just terrible. The combined energy on Saturday morning drops to just 29 – that’s barely a ripple.

The next time the wind might line up is on Thursday morning, 6 August. Again, a tiny 2ft west-southwest swell with a 7-second period, but the wind is a clean cross-offshore from the north at 9 mph. The combined energy is still a weak 57. It’s clean, but it’s small.

Looking further out, Sunday morning, 9 August has a slightly better vibe. The swell is 3ft from the west-southwest with a 9-second period, and the wind is a moderate cross-offshore from the east at 12 mph. The combined energy bumps up to 109 (moderate), so there’s a bit more juice. The period is creeping up towards that 10-second mark, which means a touch more shape. This might be the best of a bad bunch, but it’s still a long shot.

For the rest of the second week, it’s more of the same. Tiny swells, short periods, and wind that’s either onshore or cross-onshore. The combined energy stays low, jumping between 33 and 69. The period drops to 6 seconds at times, which is just awful for any real wave face.

Honestly, there’s no standout session here. If you’re desperate, the Sunday morning, 9 August window is the only one that even hints at a few rideable waves. But the crowds are “sometimes” a problem there, and with such small waves, it’s going to be a scrap for every little bump. The break is a beginner spot, so keep that in mind. The swell is from the west-southwest, which matches the optimum direction for the break, so that’s one positive.

For the rest of this 16-day run, you’re better off finding something else to do. The forecast confidence is higher for the first week, and it’s poor, so the second week is just a continuation of the same flat spell. With such a long gap of no recommendations, it’s a proper blank run for the area.

Rusty.

Read more