Le Kerou Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what’s coming our way for Le Kerou. I’ve got to be straight with you – this isn’t a week for the quiver to be on the roof rack. The guidance shows Le Kerou as a fairly consistent, exposed spot that likes a west swell, but the forecast is serving up a plate of mostly poor surf conditions for a solid stretch. We’re looking at a long, dry spell with no real rideable waves on offer for the first twelve days. The first sign of potential comes on the morning of the 19th, so there’s a big gap to get through.

The water temp is sitting around 66°, which is almost bang on average for this time of year, so the wetsuit situation is normal.

Let’s get into it. The first several days are a write-off. Tiny swell, poor conditions, and no score above a zero. The morning of Saturday the 15th goes glassy with a light breeze, but the swell is only 2 ft from the west with a period of 8 seconds – just not enough to bother with. The energy is weak (50). It’s a shame, because the wind is perfect.

The first real glimmer of hope shows up on the morning of Tuesday the 19th of August. We’ve got a northwest swell rolling in, coming in at 5 ft with a period of 8 seconds. The total energy is a solid 399, which is moderate. The wind is a light breeze from the north, keeping it clean. The wave comment says “expect good surf conditions,” and the score reflects that. This is the standout. For a beginner-friendly break, 5 ft is getting into the upper end of the comfort zone, but it’s still manageable. The only downside is that this swell is from the WNW, and this spot prefers a pure west swell – so it’s not perfectly aligned, but it’s close enough to get some fun ones. The afternoon gets blown out by a fresh cross-shore wind, so make it a dawn patrol session.

After that, the rest of the forecast period is a bit of a mess. The Thursday morning of the 21st shows a 4 ft swell from the WSW, but it’s directly onshore and lumpy. The last weekend of the period, the 22nd, gets a bigger pulse of 6 ft from the WSW with a 10-second period, which is a nice groundswell. But the wind is a fresh cross-onshore at 22 mph, making it lumpy and messy. For a beach setup, that’s a kite-surfing wind, not a paddle-surfing one. The energy is strong (674) but the conditions are just poor.

So, to sum it up: the only real window to get wet is the morning of the 19th. It’s a long way off, but it’s the one to circle on the calendar. Everything else is a pass. Keep the board waxed and wait for that one session.

Rusty.

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