Le Kerou Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’m gonna be straight with you – the next couple of weeks are a bit of a struggle for surf around here. We’ve got a long dry spell to get through before anything really worth paddling out for shows up. The water is sitting at a pretty toasty 69°F, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year, so at least you won’t need a thick wetsuit.

For the first week, from Monday the 20th right through to Saturday the 26th, it’s mostly tiny, weak dribble. We’re talking waves around 0.7ft to 1.0ft, with a combined energy that barely gets above 17 (10-17). The winds are all over the shop – offshore, cross-off, cross-on – but with that little swell, it doesn’t matter. The quality is just poor. There’s a small bump on Saturday the 25th afternoon with a 3ft W swell at 4 seconds, but it’s got a 35 km/h cross-onshore wind on it, so it’s just lumpy, choppy, and not worth your time.

Now, Sunday the 26th is where things get a bit more interesting. The morning brings a 4ft swell from the WNW, with a period of 7 seconds and combined energy of 244 (moderate). The wind is a gentle cross-shore from the NW, which is okay, but the surf is still only marginal – questionable tide conditions and a bit of a cross-chop. The afternoon jumps up to 6ft from the WNW, but the wind whips up to 35 km/h from the same direction, creating a lumpy, messy cross-chop. That’s expert-only territory for size, and the wind is terrible. Not a standout.

The real highlight, the only one worth getting excited about, is Monday the 27th morning. The swell drops back to 3ft from the W, but the period is a decent 9 seconds, and the combined energy is 128 (moderate). The wind is a light 10 km/h cross-onshore from the W, which is actually pretty glassy and clean. It’s still not pumping, but it’s the best we’ve got. Le Kerou is a beginner-friendly break, fairly consistent, and exposed to the W swell. The water is still warm, and with crowds only sometimes, it’s a good chance to get a few clean, easy waves without a circus.

After that, it’s back to the doldrums. Tuesday the 28th through to Tuesday the 4th of August is a mix of 1.0ft to 2ft W swells, with combined energy mostly under 80 (weak). The winds are a frustrating mix of cross-off and cross-on, keeping things clean but tiny, or choppy. The setups are so small and weak that for paddle surfing, it’s a write-off. Honestly, if you’re into kite surfing, the stronger wind days like Saturday the 1st of August afternoon with a 3ft WNW swell and 30 km/h onshore wind might look more appealing than a paddle.

So, to sum it up: the first week is a blank. The only real chance at a decent wave is Monday the 27th morning. After that, it’s a long gap of small, weak surf until the end of the forecast period. The consistent nature of the break means it won’t stay poor forever, but for now, it’s a waiting game.

Rusty.

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