Le Kerou Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Lookin’ at the next couple of weeks, and honestly, it’s a bit of a slow burn at first. We’ve got a long stretch of small, messy stuff before a solid pulse of swell shows up, but you’ll be waiting over a week for the real deal. Le Kerou (Lekerou) is the only spot on the menu, so let’s see what’s on offer.

Right from the get-go, Thursday the 10th and Friday the 11th are a write-off. Tiny 2ft to 4ft swell, onshore wind, and the combined wave energy is weak (55–212). Not worth paddling out for. Saturday the 12th throws us a tiny bone—3ft swell from the west, and the morning goes glassy. That’s about as clean as it gets for that tiny size, with combined energy still low (101). Still, it’s surfable, but don’t expect much. Sunday the 13th brings a bit more size (4ft) and a longer 11-second period, but cross-onshore wind trashes it, with moderate energy (311). By Monday the 14th, the morning has clean cross-offshore wind and 3ft swell, but combined energy is weak (122). It’s ordinary. The rest of that week through to the 18th is a parade of small, choppy, onshore junk. We get a few glimpses of glassy conditions on the 19th morning (2ft, 69 energy), but it’s barely a blip.

Then things turn. The standout is Sunday, September 20th. That morning delivers a clean 7ft swell from the west, with cross-offshore wind, and the combined energy jumps to 760—moderate to strong. The afternoon bumps up to 8ft, but gets a bit cross. This is the first serious swell of the outlook. The water temp is 67°F, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so it’s pleasant if you’re in a wetsuit.

The absolute best on offer, though, is Monday, September 21st. We’re talking a 7ft west-northwest swell with a long 13-second period, clean cross-offshore wind, and combined energy of 2347—that’s strong, very strong. This is a proper groundswell. That longer period will see the waves start to stand up, but it’s over 8ft, so this one’s strictly for the experts. The crowd factor at Le Kerou is described as “sometimes,” so you might have company, but the quality will be worth it. Tuesday the 22nd still holds good 5ft clean surf in the morning with offshore wind and 467 energy, but the afternoon gets chopped.

Wednesday the 23rd morning cleans up again with 4ft and offshore breeze (289 energy), and then Thursday the 24th morning is another standout: 5ft from the west-southwest with a very long 16-second period, clean offshore wind, and 989 energy. That’s a lot of grunt for a 5ft wave. Again, the long period means it’s best for a point break or reef setup, and Le Kerou is exposed to the west, so it could handle it nicely. Friday the 25th has clean 4ft surf in the morning, but the northerly wind picks up to 16 mph, so it’s a bit sketchy.

To wrap it up: first week is mostly a dud with small, choppy slop. The real action kicks off Sunday the 20th, but if you want the best, pencil in Monday the 21st morning or Thursday the 24th morning. That’s when it’s on.

Rusty.

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