Le Kerou Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the menu for our stretch of coast.

Honestly, it's a bit of a flat spell to kick things off. We're looking at a long stretch of pretty ordinary conditions, with nothing really worth paddling out for until the end of the second week. The first decent sign of life doesn't show up until the 23rd of August, and even then, it's a bit of a messy proposition.

Let's break it down. From the 11th right through to the 22nd of August, it's a tough watch. We're getting teased with tiny, weak swells, but the wind is almost always on it or cross-onshore, making a mess of what little energy there is. The water temp is sitting at about 67°, which is pretty average for this time of year, so no surprises there. You'll see a few cleaner moments on the 14th, 15th, 16th, and 18th with some cross-off winds, but the swell is just too small and gutless to get excited about. The combined wave energy is barely cracking triple digits on most of those days, well under 100 for much of it, which tells you all you need to know.

The first real event kicks off on Sunday the 23rd of August. The swell finally arrives, but it's not pretty. We're looking at a 6ft to 7ft swell from the WSW, but the wind is howling from the same direction, onshore and cross-onshore, at 16 mph. The combined energy jumps up to 375 and then 541, so there's power, but it's all messy chop. For a beginner, this is too much, and even for the experienced crew, it's going to be a battle. Le Kerou is a beach break, and with that much onshore wind, it's going to be a washing machine. Honestly, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

The biggest swell of the period hits on Monday the 24th of August. We're seeing a solid 7ft swell from the WSW, building through the day with a period of 10 seconds. The combined energy is massive, reading 788 in the morning and peaking at 1196 in the afternoon. That's a lot of water moving around. But again, the wind is a problem. A fresh 22 mph cross-onshore wind will have it all blown out, lumpy, and pretty much unsurfable for anyone but the most hardcore experts. The 7ft height and the strong onshore flow mean it's definitely not a beginner's day.

After that, the swell backs off a bit. Tuesday the 25th brings a 4ft swell from the W, but the wind is still cross-onshore. The energy drops to a moderate 215, which is punchy, but the conditions are still choppy and lumpy. Wednesday the 26th sees it fade again, with the wind staying on it.

So, the bottom line: there's no standout day here. If you're desperate, the cleanest windows might be the morning of the 18th of August with a 3ft WNW swell and some cross-off wind, or the totally glassy morning of the 19th, but with only 2ft on offer, it's a long shot. The bigger swells on the 23rd and 24th have the power but are wrecked by the wind. For a place that's fairly consistent, this is a pretty disappointing run, but these things happen. Forecasts can change, so keep an eye on it.

Rusty.

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