Le Kerou Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get real here. I’ve looked at what’s on offer for Le Kerou, and to be honest, it’s a pretty grim stretch ahead. We’re looking at a 16-day window, but the first week and a half is basically a write-off. From now until the 26th of July, the swell is tiny – we’re talking 0.7ft to 1ft – and the wind is all over the place. You’ll be staring at a lake. The combined energy is barely a whisper, with most days showing single-digit to low double-digit readings. It’s going to be a long, flat spell.

Then, on the morning of Sunday, the 26th of July, we finally see a pulse arrive. The swell bumps up to 5ft from the west, with a period of 7 seconds. The combined energy jumps to 167 (moderate), but the wind is cross-shore at 16 mph, creating a cross-chop. It’s not clean, but it’s the first real movement we’ve seen. The afternoon gets a bit bigger at 5ft, with energy at 268 (moderate), still with that cross-shore wind. It’s a bit of a messy one.

The best chance in this whole outlook looks to be the morning of Monday, the 27th of July. The swell holds at 4ft from the west, with a period of 9 seconds. The combined energy is a solid 196 (moderate). The wind is a light cross-offshore breeze from the northwest at 9 mph, which will keep the surface clean. The water is much warmer than normal for this time of year, sitting at 69°F – a solid 5°F above average. The break is a beginner-friendly spot, fairly consistent, and exposed to the west swell. It’s the standout, but it’s still only described as “surfable waves but very ordinary conditions.”

If you’re a beginner, this is your window. The swell is small enough to be safe. For the more experienced, don’t get your hopes up. The afternoon of the 27th sees the swell jump to 5ft and the energy skyrocket to 527 (strong), but the wind swings cross-shore at 12 mph, and the wave comment is “marginal.” It’s going to be a lumpy, choppy mess.

The morning of Tuesday, the 28th of July, is worth a mention. The swell drops to 2ft from the west, period 10 seconds, and the wind goes glassy – dead calm. The energy is only 89 (weak), but for a clean, small-wave session on a longboard, it could be a fun, quiet paddle. The afternoon turns onshore and messy.

After that, the forecast dries right up again. We’re looking at another week of tiny, weak swells and poor conditions right through to the 5th of August. The morning of Monday, the 3rd of August, shows a brief moment of hope with 2ft, glassy wind, and energy of 68, but it’s a fleeting moment in a sea of flatness.

So, the pick of the litter is the morning of the 27th of July. It’s not epic, but it’s the cleanest, most rideable swell we’ll see. Bring a grovel board and low expectations.

Rusty.

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