Le Kerou Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, listen up. The next couple of weeks are looking pretty slim for real surf, and honestly, for a while there it’s going to be a whole lot of nothing. We’ve got a long stretch of tiny, wind-chopped conditions before anything with a pulse shows up. Hang tight, because it’s not all bad news, but you’ll need some patience.

The first real glimmer of hope doesn’t even arrive until Saturday, August 23rd. Before that, from now until the 22nd, it’s pretty grim. We’re looking at swell heights mostly under 3 feet, with a lot of onshore and cross-onshore winds messing things up. There are a few clean pockets early on, like Sunday the 9th and Monday the 10th in the morning with light offshore breezes, but there’s just no power behind the waves. It’s ankle-biters, really. The energy is weak too, with the combined swell energy only reaching into the double digits on most days, like 19 or 38, before occasionally popping into the low double digits like 81. All of it is just hinting at a lot of close-outs and mush.

There’s a small pulse mid-period, with the energy jumping to 223 on Thursday the 13th morning, pushing the swell to 3 feet, but the wind is cross-onshore and it’s going to be chopped up. Even when we get 4 feet on Sunday the 16th afternoon, the fresh cross-onshore wind ruins any chance of it being clean.

Now, that brings us to the one true standout. Saturday, August 23rd. The models are showing something much more interesting. Morning brings a 8 foot swell from the WNW at 10 seconds, and the combined energy jumps to 1703. That’s a massive jump, and tells you there’s real power behind it. The wind is a cross-offshore from the NNW at 15 mph, which will keep it clean and lined up. This is the morning to be out there. It’s still not perfect—the period is a touch short for the size—but it’s as good as it gets in this stretch. This is for experienced surfers, as 8 feet is well past beginner territory. The afternoon backs off a bit to 6 feet, still with clean cross-offshore wind, and energy sits at 736. That’s still a solid session.

Before that, there’s not a single day I’d call a must-surf. We’ve got almost two full weeks of nothing, so if you see a clean day with a knee-high wave, you might get a couple of grovelly ones. But the 23rd is the day to circle. Water temp is a touch above average for this time of year at 66°F, so you won’t need the thickest suit, but it's not tropical either.

So, the plan: sit tight, watch the forecasts, and be ready to pull the trigger on the morning of the 23rd. It’s promising, but remember, it’s still a week and a half out, so don’t book the day off work just yet.

That’s all I’ve got. Keep your eyes on the horizon.

Rusty

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