Le Kerou Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it.

The next couple of weeks are looking pretty grim around these parts. Honestly, you’re staring down a long, dry spell before anything even remotely worth paddling out for shows up. We’ve got more than a week of poor surf and messy conditions from now, with very little to get excited about.

We’re looking at Le Kerou. This is a beginner-friendly, fairly consistent break that’s exposed to the west. The water temp is sitting at 65°F, which feels about average for the time of year.

Monday afternoon kicks off with a tiny 1ft SW swell, light cross-off breeze, but the whole setup is just weak – combined energy is only (15). Honestly, it’s poor. Tuesday and Wednesday stay small, maxing out around 3ft with short period swells below 8 seconds, and winds onshore or cross-shore. Thursday morning (27th August) sees the swell hit 5ft from the SW, but the wind is blowing onshore at 10 mph, so it’s messy. Condition notes say “poor surf” all round.

Friday and Saturday (28th–29th) the swell pushes up to 6ft, even hitting 7ft on Saturday afternoon, but the wind is howling onshore – 19–22 mph – and the energy jumps to moderate-to-strong (458 up to 1024). With that short 6–7 second period and onshore wind, this is a sloppy, lumpy mess. Honestly, with the swell size and wind, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

Sunday the 30th drops back to 5ft–5ft but still wind-affected. Monday the 31st sees the swell at 7ft from the west with a moderate cross-onshore wind – combined energy hits 1427, so there’s plenty of water moving, but the quality is still poor.

The first week of September stays small and weak – 2ft to 4ft – with onshore wind most days. Thursday morning the 3rd has a little light offshore wind from the NE and clean conditions with a 2ft west swell, but it’s barely surfable and drops off again by afternoon.

Then we finally get a bit of a standout, though it’s far out. On Tuesday the 8th of September, we’ve got a serious jump: a 8ft to 8ft west-southwest groundswell with a very long 15–17 second period. This is proper energy – combined values of 2837 to 2974. The morning has a moderate cross-shore wind from the southeast, making for clean-ish, powerful lines. This is expert territory at that size, and with that long period, the waves will be walled up and fast – better suited to a reef or point than a beach break. Then Tuesday afternoon the wind shifts to a gentle cross-onshore, still surfable but less clean. This is the highlight of the whole 16-day window, but it’s a long way out, so keep an eye on the forecasts – it’s promising but not a guarantee yet.

Bottom line: if you’re patient, the second week has one window that could deliver, but the rest is a write-off. Stay tuned.

Rusty

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