Le Kerou Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for Le Kerou over the next couple of weeks.

To be straight with you, the first week and a half is a write-off. We’re looking at a solid 10-day stretch of no-good, flat-to-weak surf with dodgy winds. From Wednesday 29 July right through to about Monday 11 August, it’s a parade of poor surf conditions. Swell heights barely tickle 1 ft to 3 ft, and the wind is mostly cross-on or onshore, chopping it up real bad. There’s a couple of clean mornings here and there – like Friday 31 July morning and Saturday 1 August morning with some light cross-off breezes – but the swell is just too small to bother with. The combined energy barely cracks 100 (weak) for most of that period, only hitting 152 on Saturday afternoon and 238 on Tuesday 4 August afternoon, but that’s with fresh onshore winds and a messy, lumpy sea. Not worth paddling out.

Now, the light at the end of the tunnel. Things start to look up around Tuesday 11 August morning. That’s our first glimmer of hope. Early Tuesday morning we see a little 2 ft, 8-second swell from the west, with a light offshore breeze from the NE. The call says “surfable waves but very ordinary conditions” – it’s a 1 out of 10 situation, but hey, it’s clean. Combined energy is only 74, so it’s weak, but you could get a few little knee-high rollers if you’re desperate.

The real standout, the one to circle on your calendar, is Wednesday 12 August morning. Swell jumps to 6 ft from the WSW with a 7-second period, and the wind is a gentle offshore from the ENE. Combined energy spikes to 397 (moderate), and the report says “expect good surf conditions” – a solid 2 out of 10. That’s the best we’ve got all period. That 6 ft might be a bit much for beginners, but intermediate and up will find some fun, clean waves. The short period (7 seconds) means it’ll be a bit crumbly, but that offshore wind will hold it up.

Then Thursday 13 August morning is even more promising. We’ve got 6 ft again from the WSW, but with a longer 9-second period and a light offshore NNE breeze. Combined energy hits 559 (moderate), and the report says “expect very good surf conditions” – a 3 out of 10. This is the pick of the bunch. The longer period means better shaped waves, and that offshore wind will keep ‘em clean and glassy. It’s still only 6 ft, so it’s not a big swell, but it’s the best quality we’ll see. The water temp is about average for the time of year, nothing weird going on.

So, what’s the call? The first 10 days are a bust. Don’t even bother. But Wednesday 12 August morning and especially Thursday 13 August morning are the ones to aim for. Thursday 13 August morning is the true standout: clean, offshore, moderate energy, and a decent 9-second period. Get out there if you can.

Rusty.

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