Porsmilin Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Grab a coffee, let's talk about what's coming up for Porsmilin over the next couple of weeks. It's a bit of a mixed bag, but there are a couple of windows that are going to be worth the wait, especially for the more experienced crew.

The long-range picture is the one that really gets the stoke going. The next week to ten days is looking pretty ordinary, to be honest. We've got a lot of cross-shore and onshore wind messing things up, and a lot of the days are just showing "poor surf conditions" or "marginal" calls. You'll have to be patient. There's a real gap in quality from now right through until about the 17th of September, with hardly anything worth paddling out for. But hold on, because the second week is where it gets interesting.

Let's break it down. Friday the 11th is a bit of a tease. We’ve got a clean 4ft swell from the west with a long 9-second period, and a nice cross-off wind in the afternoon, but the energy is only moderate at 258. It's surfable, but nothing to write home about. Saturday the 12th and Sunday the 13th are write-offs with onshore wind and poor conditions, despite Sunday seeing a 6ft swell.

Monday the 14th and Tuesday the 15th are more of the same – poor surf and strong winds. By Wednesday the 16th, the swell bumps up to 7ft to 7ft from the WNW, with a moderate 10-second period and clean cross-off winds, so it’s cleaner but the energy is getting up there (1027 in the afternoon). That’s getting into the "expert only" zone if you’re not comfortable in that size. Thursday the 17th morning looks clean with a 5ft swell, but the wind switches onshore by the afternoon. Friday the 18th is a complete mess with strong onshore winds.

Now, here’s the standout. Mark your calendars for Tuesday the 22nd of September. The morning kicks off with a solid 6ft, long-period 15-second groundswell from the WNW. The combined swell energy is a strong 1587. The wind is a clean cross-off from the ENE. But it’s the Tuesday afternoon that’s the real gem. We get an offshore wind from the NNE at 12 mph, a 6ft swell from the WNW, and a 14-second period. The combined energy is a very strong 1476. The guidance calls it "excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers," and I’m not arguing. Porsmilin is a sandbar, and with this long-period WNW groundswell, it’s going to hold up well. The water temperature is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there. Just keep in mind the crowds can be *sometimes* a thing here, so get in early.

Then, if you’re still hungry, Thursday the 24th of September is another big one. The morning swell is pumping at 10ft from the WNW, but with a cloudy sky and a cross-off wind. That’s serious size, only for experts with a death wish or a really big board. The Thursday afternoon, however, is pure magic. You’ve got an 8ft WNW swell, a 12-second period, and glassy conditions. The energy is massive at 1906. "Excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers" is what it says, and with glassy, clean faces, that’s going to be a session to remember. Again, this is expert territory at that size.

Before that, Wednesday the 23rd afternoon is worth a mention too. A clean and glassy 6ft swell from the WNW with a 12-second period. That’s a very good day for the confident intermediate surfer.

The last few days of the forecast drop back down in quality as the wind turns onshore again. Saturday the 26th morning has a clean 6ft from the NW, but not quite the same punch.

So, the long and short of it is: be patient through the first ten days of slop and onshore wind. The real action is in the final week, specifically Tuesday afternoon the 22nd and Thursday afternoon the 24th. Those are your standouts. Get out there if you’ve got the skills.

Rusty.

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