Porsmilin Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s coming for Porsmilin over the next couple of weeks. I’m not gonna sugarcoat it – the start is a bit of a dud. We’ve got a flat, messy patch to sit through before the good stuff kicks in.

The first few days are a write-off. From Sunday the 13th through Tuesday the 15th, the surf is poor. The swell is weak, the period is short, and we’ve got cross-onshore winds making a mess of things. The combined energy is low, between 190 and 630 (weak to moderate). Not worth your time. The water temp is about 63°F, which is pretty normal for this time of year.

Things start to look up on Wednesday the 16th. The swell pushes up to about 8ft from the WNW, with a period of 10 seconds. The energy jumps to 922 (moderate). The wind is cross-offshore and clean, which is a big plus. It’s still a bit raw and the forecast is marginal, but it’s the first sign of life. By the afternoon, the swell holds at 7ft and the energy hits 1069 (strong), but again, conditions are only just okay. This is for intermediates and above – 7ft is a bit much for beginners.

Now, the real standout. Circle Friday the 18th. This is the one that’s got me buzzing. We’ve got a proper groundswell coming in – 8ft from the WNW with a very long period of 15 seconds. The combined energy is a massive 3505 (very strong). That’s a powerful, serious swell. The wind is gentle and cross-shore in the morning, which should keep things reasonably clean. This is a big, powerful wave at a sandbar, so it’s one for the experienced crew. The long period means long lulls between sets, making the paddle out easier, but the waves will have real punch. This is your best chance for a proper session, but be aware – it’s a big swell, definitely not for the faint-hearted.

We get another solid pulse on Saturday the 19th. The swell is still a healthy 8ft from the WNW with a 12-second period. The wind swings offshore in the afternoon (NW, 15 km/h or about 9 mph) and conditions are clean. The energy is 1491 (strong). This is a very good backup, and with cleaner winds than Friday, it might actually be the pick of the two for some. Again, expert territory due to the size.

The following week is a mixed bag. Tuesday the 22nd sees a 6ft, 13-second groundswell with light offshore winds in the morning – very clean, and a nice size for intermediate surfers. The energy is 1234 (strong). That’s a great morning session.

Then, the real highlight of the second week lands on Thursday the 24th. The morning is glassy – yes, glassy – with a 5ft swell from the WNW at 12 seconds. The energy is 710 (moderate). Glassy conditions at a sandbar? That’s as good as it gets for clean, fun waves. This is a standout for anyone looking for a smooth, uncrowded session. The afternoon stays clean with a cross-offshore wind.

Finally, Friday the 25th offers the biggest swell of the run, a 7ft groundswell from the NW with a very long 14-second period, and beautiful offshore winds (NNE, 10 km/h or about 6 mph). The energy is 1833 (very strong). The report calls this excellent for experienced surfers. The caveat here is that long-period NW swell at a sandbar can be a bit straight and dumpy, but with those offshore winds, it’ll be a proper barrel if it lines up. A true expert’s wave.

The last few days from the 26th onwards fade in size and quality. It’s not a total loss, but the magic is definitely in that first window from the 18th to the 25th. Keep an eye on the long-range forecasts – it’s promising but never set in stone this far out.

Stay safe, and I’ll see you out there.

Rusty

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