Porsmilin Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. The forecast starts a bit shaky, but there’s some real potential hiding in there, especially if you’re willing to wait it out.

Right off the bat, we’ve got some swell on the way, but the winds are messing with us. Wednesday morning sees a clean 8ft from the WNW with a 10-second period, but that cross-off breeze is making things a bit tricky. The afternoon stays similar at 8ft, but the overall energy is building. It’s rideable, sure, but nothing to write home about just yet.

Thursday turns ugly—cross-on winds, choppy conditions, and the swell drops off. This one’s a write-off. Friday picks the size back up to 8ft, but it’s messy with a long-period groundswell and cross-on winds, so it’s going to be lumpy and hard to manage. Saturday is more of the same: 6ft but choppy.

Now, here’s where things start to turn around. Sunday morning, the wind goes completely glassy and we’ve got a clean 6ft from the WNW. That’s the first real window of opportunity. The water’s sitting at 63°, which is right around average for this time of year, so nothing wild there. That morning session is going to be worth it—clean lines, some push, and nobody around.

Monday keeps things clean with a 5ft morning and then proper offshore winds in the afternoon, 4ft, and a 12-second period. It’s small but fun, the kind of day you grab a log for.

Tuesday is where it starts to get interesting. The morning is clean at 4ft, but the afternoon is the standout of the first week: 5ft, but with an 18-second period and full offshore winds. That’s a long-period groundswell, and Porsmilin is a sandbar, so it might be a bit straight, but with that much push and clean conditions, it’s going to be a lot of fun for the experienced crew.

Wednesday brings a bit more size—7ft in the morning, dropping to 6ft in the afternoon—but the wind is up and it’s cross-off, so it’s clean but a bit more challenging. Thursday is a down day, small at 4ft and then dropping.

But hold on. Friday afternoon is where the magic happens. The wind goes offshore, the swell jumps back to 5ft, but the period is 16 seconds and the energy is building strong. That’s a proper groundswell, and it’s going to be glassy.

Saturday stays clean with a 5ft morning and a proper offshore afternoon at 5ft, 13 seconds. That’s consistent, clean surf. Two days in a row of genuinely good conditions.

Then we hit a bit of a lull early next week. Sunday and Monday are small—dropping to under 3ft—and the energy fades.

But here’s the big one, and it’s a fair way off: Wednesday the 30th. The forecast shows a massive 18ft from the west with a 12-second period, and the energy reading is off the charts. That’s a huge, powerful swell. But, and this is important, it’s predicted to be too big for this break. The winds are cross-off and the tide is favorable, but Porsmilin is going to be overwhelmed. That’s one for the experts only, and even then, it’s a “look but don’t jump” kind of day. The afternoon drops to 12ft, still huge, and the period drops to 9 seconds, so it’s going to be lumpy and raw.

After that, Thursday the 1st of October has some leftover energy at 8ft, dropping to 6ft, but the period is short—8 seconds—so it’s going to be windswell, not the clean groundswell we want.

So, the standout windows here are Sunday the 20th morning for clean, glassy waves, and then that Tuesday afternoon the 22nd with that long-period, offshore goodness. That Friday the 25th afternoon and Saturday the 26th are also solid, consistent runs of clean surf.

For the second week, the long-range stuff on the 30th is promising but way too big for this spot, so I’d temper expectations there. The early part of that week is small and clean, so it’s more of a longboard day.

Rusty.

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