Porsmilin Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, it’s Rusty.

Look, the next couple of weeks at Porsmilin are going to be a bit of a mixed bag, and honestly, for the next few days, you might as well leave the board in the shed. The wind’s got a nasty cross-on angle on it, and the waves are just gonna be a mess. We’re talking combined swell energy of 414 – that’s weak – with a 4ft WNW swell at 10 seconds, and cross-on winds making it choppy. It’s not worth the paddle out.

We’ve got a bit of a gap here. Nothing on offer for Saturday, Sunday, Monday, or Tuesday. A few days of onshore junk and poor conditions. You're looking at a couple of days with nothing clean. But don't get too down, because things start to stir on Wednesday the 16th. The swell is picking up to 7ft with a strong combined energy of 1224, and there’s a solid cross-off wind from the NW. It's still a bit rough around the edges, a 2/10 at best, but it's a sign of things to come.

Then we get a lull before the real event. The standout window is shaping up for Friday the 18th through to the following week. On Friday morning the swell jumps to 8ft, with a long 14-second period and combined energy hitting a solid 2827. It's a proper groundswell. But the wind is cross-shore and messy, so it's not going to be perfect. Saturday the 19th is stormy, forget it. Sunday the 20th brings more size, 7ft to 8ft, but with that long 15-second period and fresh cross-shore winds, it'll be lumpy as all get-out. It’s only for the determined.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. The real gem in this outlook is Tuesday the 22nd. The swell is still a solid 7ft from the WNW, but the wind finally drops out and goes cross-off from the NW. It’s clean, period is a nice 12 seconds, and the combined energy is 1059. The forecast is calling for “very good surf conditions.” That’s your morning or afternoon session. After that, we get a little drop in size, but Wednesday the 23rd is looking alright with clean conditions and a 4ft swell, perfect for the loggers out there.

As for the first break I mentioned, Porsmilin, the water temp is sitting at 63°, which is pretty much dead average for this time of year, about 0.2° off the norm.

After that, we’re into the long-range stuff, which is promising but less certain. Around the 27th, a big 10ft swell with a 15-second period is forecast, but the wind is howling, fresh and cross-on. That’s going to be a handful, and at 10ft, it’s expert territory only. With that much power and wind, it might be a better day for the kites than the paddles at this exposed sandbar.

So, in a nutshell: the early part is a write-off, keep your eye on Tuesday the 22nd, and if you’re feeling brave, the last weekend of the period has size but it'll be wild.

Rusty, signing off.

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