Number Threes Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, surfers, Rusty here. Let’s break down the next couple of weeks at Number Threes. It’s a real mixed bag, so let’s get into it.

First, the water is sitting at 81°F, which is about average for the time of year, so nothing crazy there. This is a proper, consistent reef break that’s exposed to the open ocean.

The next few days are going to be a write-off. We have some bigger, but junky, east-northeast windswell on Friday the 14th with 2.2m (7ft) waves. The problem is that 40 km/h (25 mph) wind is going to put a nasty chop on top of everything. The wave energy is moderate at 1028, but the quality is just nonexistent. It gets worse over the weekend, with swell jumping to 3.5m (12ft), but those near-gale force winds absolutely kill it. This is more for the kite crew than the surf crew. The energy is strong, like 1802 on Saturday morning, but it’s all for nothing.

After that, the bottom falls out. From Monday the 17th right through to the 23rd, we’re looking at tiny, mostly sub-1m (3ft) leftovers. There is a glimmer on Monday the 17th with a 0.9m (3ft) south swell, but the fresh cross-off wind isn't going to make it magic. The energy is weak, in the 200-600 range. It’s a flat spell, pure and simple. You’d be paddling for the exercise, not the waves.

Now, for the good stuff. Things start to look up on Monday the 24th with a pulse of east-northeast windswell at 1.6m (5ft) and clean, cross-off winds. The energy is moderate at 598, but it’s a start. That swell holds through Tuesday the 25th at 1.8m (6ft) with clean conditions.

But the real standout is the end of the window. Circle Thursday the 27th of August on your calendar. That’s when a proper groundswell starts to fill in from the east. By Thursday afternoon, we're looking at 1.3m (4ft) of east swell with a 17-second period, light offshore winds, and the energy jumps to 1568. This is the one. It’s going to be clean and lined-up. Friday the 28th looks nearly as good, with 1.3m (4ft) of east swell at a 16-second period, gentle offshore breezes, and energy at 1592. This long-period stuff is great for a reef like this, as it will hold its shape perfectly.

This is the good stuff in the second week, but it's over a week away, so call it promising, not a guarantee. Just be aware this spot can get crowded, especially when it’s good. Expect some company if you paddle out there.

So, the plan is simple: you can sit out this weekend and the early part of next week. Save your energy. The real surf is out there on the horizon, and it’s heading our way.

Rusty out.

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