Surf Forecasts:
Nobbys Reef surf forecast from 18 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 20 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 10s period, E swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 19 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 11s period, E swell with 828 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 20 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 10s period with E swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Nobbys Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 20) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Nobbys Reef in the next 16 days are 1.9m 11s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Mon 20th Jul) | 5ft (1.6m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Mon 20th Jul) | 5ft (1.6m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Sun 19th Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s talk about Nobbys Reef. This is a reef break, advanced territory, and it’s inconsistent – it doesn’t fire often, so when it does, you want to be on it. The forecast kicks off from Sunday 19 July, but honestly, the first few days are a write-off. Sunday and Monday have onshore winds and poor conditions, with combined swell energy around 900 (moderate) on Sunday morning, dropping to 700s Monday, but it’s all messy. You’d be wasting your time.
Tuesday 21 July morning brings a glimmer: clean, cross-offshore wind, 3.6ft east swell, 10s period, energy only 319 (weak). Small and clean, but nothing to write home about. Wednesday and Thursday are even smaller, with energy dropping into the 100s. The surf is there but ordinary.
Now, Friday 24 July morning – that’s the first real standout. The swell picks up to 4.9ft from the south, 10s period, cross-offshore wind, clean conditions. Combined energy hits 438 (moderate). It’s not huge, but for a reef that loves south swell, this is a solid window. The waves will have shape, and the offshore wind will keep them glassy. Crowds are sometimes a thing here, so you might have company, but it’s worth it.
Saturday 25 July morning has a tiny 2.0ft south-southeast swell but with a very long 18s period – that’s proper groundswell. Energy 461 (moderate) despite the size. On a reef, that long period can make the waves stand up nicely
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Sat night, min 13°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Warm (max 21°C on Wed afternoon, min 11°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SW on Thu afternoon, light winds from the NE by Fri afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 9 | E 11 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | S 9 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 463 | 798 | 637 | 627 | 545 | 424 | 346 | 240 | 196 | 189 | 110 | 84 | 82 | 61 | 43 | 586 | 422 | 258 | 160 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 11:24PM1.61m | 12:13PM1.37m | 00:10AM1.45m | 1:01PM1.37m | 00:56AM1.29m | 1:51PM1.36m | 1:46AM1.15m | 2:44PM1.37m | 2:44AM1.04m | 3:40PM1.40m | 3:53AM0.99m | 4:35PM1.45m | |||||||
Low Tide | 5:58AM0.26m | 6:06PM0.52m | 6:38AM0.35m | 7:03PM0.58m | 7:17AM0.43m | 8:07PM0.64m | 7:57AM0.50m | 9:20PM0.66m | 8:41AM0.54m | 10:35PM0.63m | 9:30AM0.57m | 11:38PM0.58m | |||||||
 |  |  | |  | |  | | | | | | | | |  | | | | |
 | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — |
 | — | — | 5:06 | — | — | 5:06 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:08 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 17 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 19 | 21 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 13 |
Feels °C | 12 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 18 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | E 11 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | S 9 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 |
| kJ | 24 | 798 | 637 | 627 | 545 | 424 | 346 | 240 | 196 | 189 | 110 | 84 | 82 | 61 | 43 | 413 | 422 | 258 | 160 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 19 | SSE 18 | SSE 16 | S 13 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 11 | S 6 | S 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 |
| kJ | 70 | 102 | 87 | 125 | 144 | 139 | 85 | 56 | 35 | 31 | 17 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 8 | 29 | 14 | 14 | 13 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 19 | S 8 | S 8 | SE 16 | SE 15 | SE 15 | SE 15 | SSE 15 | SSE 15 | SSE 14 | S 12 | WNW 3 | — | S 10 | E 9 | SE 8 | SE 7 | E 7 | S 21 |
| kJ | 63 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 23 | 21 | 19 | 3 | 2 | — | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | E 2 | NE 4 | NW 3 | — | WSW 2 | SSW 6 | S 6 | S 9 | — | — | NW 2 |
| kJ | 463 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 26 | 2 | — | 1 | 45 | 36 | 586 | — | — | 2 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 90 | 96 | 96 | 1 | 24 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 281 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 88 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Nobbys Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Nobbys Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Nobbys Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Nobbys Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Nobbys Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Nobbys Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Nobbys Reef, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Newcastle which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 31 km (19 miles) away, Port Stephens, Cessnock and Central Coast.
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