Nobbys Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. The window ahead is a bit of a mixed bag with some real nice windows and some proper slop to sit out. The standout is undeniably Thursday morning, but we’ll walk through it all step by step, day by day.

We start off pretty grim. Tuesday morning’s got a solid 8.2 ft of SSE swell, but it’s cross-on with a 15.5 mph southerly, making it messy and choppy. The combined energy is still strong (1133), but the conditions are just poor. Tuesday afternoon drops to 6.6 ft, but the wind stays cross-on, and the period is short at 8 seconds, so it’s still a write-off, only a 1/10.

Wednesday morning is our first real glimmer of hope. The swell drops to 3.3 ft from the S with a period of 8 seconds, but the wind swings to a light 6.2 mph cross-off from the WSW, cleaning the surface right up. The energy is weak (227), but the conditions are clean. This is a solid option for a beginner or a longboard session. Wednesday afternoon is a hard no – 7.9 ft of S swell with a 28 mph southerly cross-on wind. That’s a kitesurfing special, not a paddle surf session.

Now for the real standout. Thursday morning, the 10th of September, is the pick of the whole forecast. We’ve got a solid 9.8 ft S swell with a period of 10 seconds, and the combined energy is pumping hard (1650). The wind is a moderate 15.5 mph cross-shore from the SW, which is workable, but the size is the issue. At 9.8 ft, this is strictly for experts at Nobbys Reef. This break is a reef, so it handles the size well, but the crowd profile is “sometimes” so you could get a few out. The swell direction is SSE, which is slightly off the optimum SE, but it will still wrap in nicely. This is the one to point your board at if you’ve got the skill. Thursday afternoon, forget it, the wind picks up to 21.7 mph onshore and it’s a mess.

Friday the 11th is a bit of a letdown. Morning has 8.2 ft S swell at 10 seconds, but it’s cross-on with a 9.3 mph south wind, so it’s fairly choppy. The energy is high (2269), but the quality is just marginal. The water temperature is about average for this time of year, so no thermal surprises there.

Saturday morning the 12th is a beauty. The swell drops to 5.2 ft from the SSE, period is 10 seconds, and the wind is glassy—3.1 mph from the SSW. The combined energy is moderate (522), and the surf is clean. This is a proper, fun, clean session for the intermediate to advanced crowd. The size is manageable for confident beginners but not ideal for a total newbie. The glassy conditions are a major positive. Saturday afternoon goes to crap with a 12.4 mph cross-on from the ENE.

Sunday the 13th morning is small and clean. Only 3.0 ft from the SSE with a 6.2 mph cross-off from the north. The energy is weak (284), but it’s clean. A good option for mellow waves or a learner session. Sunday afternoon is a write-off with a 18.6 mph cross-shore wind.

Monday the 14th morning is a nice little window. The swell is 2.6 ft from the S, but the period jumps to 12 seconds, giving it some push. The wind is off from the NW at 9.3 mph, so it’s clean. The energy is low (209), but the quality is good. This is a classic, clean, small-wave day.

The middle of the second week gets quiet. Tuesday the 15th is a write-off, small and onshore. Wednesday the 16th has some size (5.2 ft S) but cross-shore winds and a marginal rating. The energy is moderate (457) but the quality isn’t there.

Thursday the 17th morning is small and clean, but the swell is only 3.9 ft and the period is 10 seconds, so it’s weak. The afternoon has a 3.6 ft SSE swell with a very long period of 15 seconds, which is a groundswell. The energy is moderate (1089), but the wind is onshore. This long period swell will break straight at a beach break, but Nobbys is a reef, so it might produce some nice lines if the wind cooperates. It’s marginal.

Friday the

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