Surf Forecasts:
Nobbys Reef surf forecast from 3 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 8 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 11s period, SE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 6 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 11s period, S swell with 2,155 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 4 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 7s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Nobbys Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 04) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Nobbys Reef in the next 16 days are 3.0m 11s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 06) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 3s period and expected on Friday (Jul 03) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Sat 4th Jul) | 2ft (0.6m) 7s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Wed 8th Jul) | 7ft (2.2m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Mon 6th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright, Rusty here.
Let’s talk about Nobbys Reef. This is a tricky reef break, inconsistent and for advanced surfers only. Not a beginner spot.
The window opens on Saturday, July 4th. Early morning you’ll see a 3ft swell from the south with a 12-second period (290 combined energy), so that’s a proper groundswell. The wind is a light cross-off from the WNW at 3 mph, which will keep things glassy. This is the real standout of the first week. Just remember it might be inconsistent and crowds can pop up now and then.
Sunday the 5th is a mess. The swell bumps up to 8ft out of the south, but the wind is onshore and lumpy (1674 combined energy). Skip it. Monday and Tuesday are the same story – choppy and poor.
Wednesday, July 8th morning is your next real winner. You’ve got a clean 7ft southeast swell (952 combined energy) with a light cross-off breeze from the southwest. The period is 10 seconds, so it’ll be a solid, fun wave.
Looking into the second week, Wednesday, July 15th shows some promise. A 6ft south swell (647 combined energy) with a gentle offshore wind. It’s cleaner, but not a standout.
Then, Thursday, July 16th brings a massive 10-12ft swell from the SSE with a 13-second period. The combined energy is huge at 3947, very strong. But the guidance says it’s just too big for this spot. Even with clean offshore winds, that’s for experts only.
After that, Friday the 17th looks decent for the experienced crew. A 7ft south swell (1394 combined energy) with a 12-second period and cross-off winds – it’s calling for "excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers." But Saturday the 18th gets blown out by a fresh SE wind and a messy 10ft swell.
So, the best bets are Saturday morning, July 4th for a clean smaller groundswell, and Wednesday morning, July 8th for a bigger, clean southeast swell. The second week has a bit of promise for experts around the 15th-17th, but it’s a longer-range gamble.
Keep it between the flags.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Sun morning. Very mild (max 19°C on Fri morning, min 10°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (calm on Sat morning, fresh winds from the SSE by Sun afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Mon afternoon. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon morning, min 12°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 3 | Saturday 4 | Sunday 5 | Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 9 | ENE 8 | S 7 | S 12 | S 10 | S 9 | S 11 | S 10 | S 11 | SSE 9 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 12 | SSE 10 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 13 | 12 | 33 | 271 | 188 | 247 | 1663 | 1347 | 2155 | 1012 | 1324 | 926 | 1110 | 1338 | 1167 | 884 | 724 | 496 | 421 | 569 | 640 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 10:42AM1.26m | 10:26PM1.69m | 11:22AM1.27m | 11:05PM1.61m | 12:03PM1.29m | 11:48PM1.53m | 12:47PM1.32m | 00:36AM1.43m | 1:35PM1.36m | 1:31AM1.33m | 2:29PM1.43m | 2:35AM1.24m | 3:28PM1.51m | 3:48AM1.18m | |||||||
Low Tide | 4:05PM0.58m | 5:14AM0.29m | 4:49PM0.60m | 5:51AM0.31m | 5:38PM0.61m | 6:29AM0.35m | 6:33PM0.62m | 7:10AM0.38m | 7:36PM0.61m | 7:55AM0.41m | 8:47PM0.58m | 8:47AM0.44m | 10:03PM0.52m | ||||||||
 | |  | | |  |  |  |  |  | | | | |  | | | |  | | | |
 | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — |
 | — | 4:57 | — | — | 4:58 | — | — | 4:58 | — | — | 4:59 | — | — | 4:59 | — | — | 4:59 | — | — | 5:00 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | 4 | — | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 19 | 18 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 14 |
Feels °C | 13 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 9 | ENE 8 | S 7 | S 12 | S 10 | S 8 | E 8 | E 8 | S 11 | E 14 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 10 |
| kJ | 13 | 12 | 33 | 271 | 188 | 112 | 11 | 12 | 2155 | 16 | 957 | 926 | 1110 | 1338 | 1167 | 884 | 724 | 496 | 421 | 505 | 640 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 6 | E 11 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | E 12 | S 12 | — | — | E 13 | — | E 14 | E 13 | SE 14 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | — | ESE 13 | S 9 | SSE 12 | ESE 9 |
| kJ | 3 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 27 | 26 | — | — | 13 | — | 15 | 13 | 116 | 108 | 78 | 68 | — | 17 | 95 | 569 | 8 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 8 | — | E 12 | E 13 | E 12 | E 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | E 13 | S 16 | S 15 | — | — | S 15 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | S 16 |
| kJ | 2 | — | 11 | 14 | 27 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 13 | 5 | 18 | — | — | 4 | 51 | 22 | 5 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 3 | W 3 | WNW 3 | — | — | S 9 | S 11 | S 10 | SSE 11 | SSE 9 | SSE 10 | SE 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 9 | — | — |
| kJ | 6 | 5 | 3 | — | — | 247 | 1663 | 1347 | 1668 | 1012 | 1324 | 577 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 230 | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 95 | 107 | 0 | 0 | 44 | 0 | 125 | 488 | 349 | 221 | 221 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Nobbys Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Nobbys Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Nobbys Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Nobbys Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Nobbys Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Nobbys Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Nobbys Reef, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Newcastle which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 31 km (19 miles) away, Port Stephens, Cessnock and Central Coast.
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