Nobbys Reef Surf Break

Lat Long: 32.93° S 151.80° E

Nobbys Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 am 27 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Nobbys Reef sea temperature is
18.2° C
0.3° 

Nobbys Reef surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Nobbys Reef surf forecast from 27 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 30 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 11s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 31 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 10s period, S swell with 865 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 27 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 8s period with SSE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Nobbys Reef this week:

The surf forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 27) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 15s. Another secondary swell of 0.4m and 3s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Nobbys Reef in the next 16 days are 2.1m 10s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 31) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 3s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 10AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Mon 27th Jul)3ft (0.9m) 8s
Best Surf 7AM (Thu 30th Jul)5ft (1.6m) 11s
Most Powerful 4PM (Fri 31st Jul)7ft (2.1m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the table for the next 16 days.

Alright, the pickins are a bit slim to start, but there's some real promise later on. The main event is absolutely Nobbys Reef, a solid reef break that needs a good S/SE swell to fire. The water is sitting at 65°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so nothing unusual there.

The first decent window sneaks in on Thursday morning, July 30th. We've got a 6ft swell from the S, with a clean 10-second period. The winds are a light cross-offshore, which will keep the surface glassy. The combined energy is moderate at 561, and it's shaping up for some very good surf. This is a standout session for the early part of the forecast.

After that, things get messy. The afternoon of the 30th and into the 31st sees the wind shift onshore and the swell gets a bit lumpy, with the energy spiking up to 1433 on Friday afternoon, but with a 7ft S swell and a cross-on breeze, it's going to be a choppy, closed-out mess. Saturday and Sunday (August 1st & 2nd) are a mixed bag of light winds but questionable conditions, though the Sunday morning (August 2nd) offers a clean 4ft SSE swell with offshore NNW winds at 6 mph and moderate energy (287). It's a solid option, but not the best of the run.

Now, hold onto your board, because the real standout is Friday morning, August 7th. The swell jumps to 7ft from the SE, with a long 12-second period. That's a proper groundswell, and it's going to have some serious push. The energy is strong at 1142. The wind is a clean cross-offshore from the WSW. This is top-tier stuff for Nobbys Reef, but remember, at 7ft it's getting into the expert-only zone. The Saturday morning (August 8th) is even bigger, with a 10ft SE swell, but the file says it's predicted to be too big for this break, so steer clear unless you're a pro with a death wish.

The last real highlight is Sunday, August 9th. The morning session has a clean 7ft SE swell with a 10-second period and light offshore NW winds. The energy is strong at 913. The afternoon is slightly smaller at 6ft but still very good, with light cross-offshore winds. That's a solid day of proper reef waves.

After that, the swell drops off into the second week, with weaker, short-period windswell and stronger winds making it mostly a write-off for paddle surfing. The wind on the 11th (Tuesday) is hitting 19-22 mph, which is more of a kitesurfing setup than anything else.

So, for the best on offer: Thursday morning, July 30th is the early winner, but Friday morning, August 7th and Sunday, August 9th are the true standouts for the serious surfer. It's a long-range forecast, so keep an eye on it, but it's looking tasty.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Tue afternoon, min 7°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri afternoon, min 9°C on Thu morning). Wind will be generally light.

Monday
27
Tuesday
28
Wednesday
29
Thursday
30
Friday
31
Saturday
1
Sunday
2
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
3
2
2
2
1
1
2
2
1
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.1
S
9
1
S
9
0.9
SSE
8
0.6
S
8
0.4
S
7
0.3
S
9
0.2
S
18
0.2
ENE
7
0.8
S
6
1.7
S
10
1.6
S
9
1.8
S
12
1.6
S
10
2.1
S
10
1.7
S
10
1.3
SSE
9
1.3
SSE
9
1.3
SSE
9
1.1
SSE
10
1.1
SSE
10
0.9
SSE
10
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
203
162
119
42
17
13
24
4
47
557
427
851
562
865
527
295
274
266
235
245
163
Wind (km/h)
5
W
10
E
10
N
15
NW
15
NW
15
WNW
25
WNW
20
WSW
20
SW
10
W
10
S
5
W
10
SW
15
S
5
SSE
10
SW
10
SE
10
N
10
NNW
15
NE
10
NNW
Wind State
cross-off
cross-on
cross-off
off
off
off
off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-on
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross
on
cross-off
off
cross
off
High Tide
6:51PM1.65m
7:37AM1.15m
7:30PM1.70m
8:16AM1.21m
8:08PM1.73m
8:53AM1.27m
8:45PM1.73m
9:29AM1.31m
9:21PM1.70m
10:05AM1.34m
9:59PM1.64m
10:41AM1.36m
10:37PM1.56m
Low Tide
12:09PM0.54m
1:43AM0.34m
12:56PM0.51m
2:18AM0.27m
1:40PM0.47m
2:52AM0.21m
2:22PM0.45m
3:26AM0.19m
3:02PM0.43m
3:59AM0.19m
3:43PM0.42m
4:33AM0.21m
4:27PM0.43m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:47
6:47
6:46
6:45
6:45
6:43
6:43
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:10
5:10
5:12
5:13
5:13
5:14
5:15
 mm
Temp °C
16
16
15
19
20
15
16
18
12
12
13
13
13
15
15
14
15
15
17
19
18
Feels °C
15
14
13
14
16
11
9
12
6
8
9
11
10
12
13
12
12
12
15
15
15
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Nobbys Reef Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Nobbys Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Nobbys Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Nobbys Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Nobbys Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Nobbys Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Nobbys Reef, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Newcastle which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 31 km (19 miles) away, Port Stephens, Cessnock and Central Coast.

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