Surf Forecasts:
Nobbys Reef surf forecast from 7 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 10 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period, SSE swell with cross-shore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 10 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 10s period, S swell with 2,279 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 8 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 8s period with SSE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Nobbys Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 08) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.8m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Nobbys Reef in the next 16 days are 3.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 2s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Tue 8th Sep) | 6ft (1.8m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on offer for Nobbys Reef over the next couple of weeks.
Right off the bat, I’m not gonna lie to you, it’s a rough start. The first few days are a write-off with strong, choppy winds and poor surf conditions. We’re looking at a gap of a couple of days before we see anything worthwhile.
The first real window of opportunity shapes up on Wednesday, 9th September. The early morning session is where it’s at. We’ve got a clean 3ft swell from the S with a light offshore wind from the WSW. The combined energy is weak at 226, but it’s a reef break, so it’ll focus that energy nicely. For a picky, inconsistent spot like this, that’s your best bet in the near term – clean, small, and all to yourself if you’re lucky, though crowds are possible.
Now, hold onto your boards, because the standout window is Thursday, 10th September. The morning is looking like a proper session. We’ve got a solid 8ft swell from the SSE, with a period of 10 seconds, pumping in some serious energy (1408). The wind is a cross-shore from the SSW, which keeps it manageable. That’s powerful, clean, and lined-up for the advanced crew. Anything over 8ft is expert territory, so this is not for the faint of heart. The water temp is sitting at 66°, which is pretty much normal for this time of year, so no surprises there.
The rest of the second week is a bit of a mixed bag. There’s another small window on Sunday, 13th September morning with a clean 3ft swell from the SSE and a light offshore from the N. The combined energy is weak (236), but it’ll be tidy. Then we get a longer gap of poor conditions before a final flicker of hope on Friday, 18th September. The morning has a 5ft SSE swell with a clean offshore from the NW. The energy is moderate at 318, and it’s a reef, so it’ll hold its shape. A decent option for a paddle out if you’re patient.
Overall, the pick of the fortnight is Thursday, 10th September morning. It’s big, it’s got energy, and it’s clean. Get out there if you’ve got the skills.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 18°C on Mon morning, min 10°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (calm on Tue night, strong winds from the S by Wed afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Thu afternoon. Very mild (max 16°C on Thu night, min 12°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the S on Thu afternoon, light winds from the NNW by Sat night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | SSE 9 | S 8 | S 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | S 8 | S 7 | S 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | S 10 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 223 | 336 | 724 | 1055 | 576 | 443 | 140 | 602 | 2279 | 1287 | 1481 | 1219 | 1037 | 713 | 690 | 433 | 505 | 299 | 154 | 119 | 94 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 5:08PM1.65m | 6:07AM1.21m | 6:08PM1.71m | 6:55AM1.32m | 6:59PM1.74m | 7:38AM1.42m | 7:45PM1.73m | 8:18AM1.49m | 8:28PM1.67m | 8:56AM1.53m | 9:08PM1.58m | 9:33AM1.54m | 9:47PM1.46m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:30AM0.51m | 00:02AM0.23m | 11:39AM0.42m | 00:51AM0.15m | 12:36PM0.33m | 1:33AM0.11m | 1:27PM0.25m | 2:11AM0.10m | 2:14PM0.21m | 2:47AM0.12m | 2:59PM0.20m | 3:21AM0.17m | 3:43PM0.24m | 3:53AM0.24m | |||||||
 |  |  | | |  | |  | | |  | | | |  | | | | | | | |
 | 6:03 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — |
 | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:42 | — |
mm | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | — | 1 | 3 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 18 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 15 |
Feels °C | 16 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | SSE 9 | E 10 | E 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | S 8 | ESE 13 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | SSE 23 | SSE 18 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | S 10 |
| kJ | 223 | 336 | 2 | 2 | 576 | 443 | 140 | 17 | 81 | 65 | 173 | 130 | 1037 | 713 | 482 | 433 | 505 | 299 | 154 | 119 | 94 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 11 | E 10 | — | — | E 10 | E 10 | SE 8 | E 9 | S 26 | SSE 23 | SE 10 | E 15 | E 15 | E 14 | E 13 | SSE 18 | SSE 18 | E 13 | SSE 19 | SSE 17 | ENE 5 |
| kJ | 24 | 8 | — | — | 2 | 8 | 84 | 2 | 13 | 51 | 23 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 66 | 104 | 13 | 68 | 29 | 20 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | NE 8 | — | — | — | E 15 | E 9 | E 17 | — | E 16 | E 15 | E 10 | S 21 | E 9 | — | E 14 | E 14 | E 9 | E 13 | E 13 | E 13 |
| kJ | 8 | 3 | — | — | — | 4 | 2 | 6 | — | 5 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 2 | — | 4 | 15 | 2 | 14 | 13 | 13 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | S 8 | S 9 | — | — | WNW 2 | S 7 | S 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | — | — | SSE 9 | — | — | — | — | E 3 | NNW 3 |
| kJ | — | — | 724 | 1055 | — | — | 1 | 602 | 2279 | 1287 | 1481 | 1219 | — | — | 690 | — | — | — | — | 8 | 2 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 2 | 81 | 211 | 212 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 241 | 221 | 1 | 241 | 9 | 44 | 212 | 42 | 9 | 174 | 0 | 0 | 287 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Nobbys Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Nobbys Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Nobbys Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Nobbys Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Nobbys Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Nobbys Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Nobbys Reef, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Newcastle which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 31 km (19 miles) away, Port Stephens, Cessnock and Central Coast.
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