Surf Forecasts:
Nobbys Reef surf forecast from 20 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 24 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 11s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 24 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 11s period, S swell with 227 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 23 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 11s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Nobbys Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 23) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.5m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 3s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Nobbys Reef in the next 16 days are 1.0m 11s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 24) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 3s period and expected on Friday (Aug 21) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Sun 23rd Aug) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Mon 24th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Mon 24th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Righto, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ over the next couple of weeks.
Honestly, it’s a bit of a slow start. We’re looking at a real flat spell to kick things off, with hardly any energy in the water. The first solid chance of a wave doesn’t come until Sunday the 23rd, so you’re looking at a few days of flatness before then. That Sunday morning, we’ve got a glassy, calm session at Nobbys Reef with a little 3ft southerly swell sneaking in. The combined energy is moderate (162), and with the glassy wind it’ll be clean, but the swell’s pretty weak and short period at 11 seconds – it’ll be a bit fat and inconsistent. Worth a paddle if you’re keen, but don’t expect much.
Monday the 24th morning is similar, with 3ft south swell and a light NNE breeze giving clean conditions. Again, it’s surfable but ordinary. The energy is moderate (184), but the waves are small and the period’s only 10 seconds. Not a standout.
Now, things start to look a little more interesting toward the end of the first week. Saturday the 29th afternoon sees a bump in size, with 4ft southerly swell and a gentle offshore wind from the NW. The period is a short 5 seconds though, so it’ll be a bit messy and wonky. Still, it’s clean and rideable. The combined energy is moderate (169).
The real standout, and the best on offer in this whole outlook, is Monday the 31st. That afternoon, Nobbys Reef sees 4ft easterly swell with a clean cross-offshore wind from the west, and the combined energy is solid moderate (226). The period is 7 seconds – not long, but the conditions will be clean and the swell has a bit of push. That morning also has 5ft ENE swell with similar clean wind, but the afternoon is the pick. This is the session to aim for if you can get out of work.
We’ve got one more promising window: Thursday the 3rd of September morning. Nobbys Reef gets 3ft easterly swell with a light offshore cross-off breeze from the north, glassy conditions and a moderate period of 10 seconds. The combined energy is strong (352) – that’s a noticeable jump in power. It’s a long-range call so less certain, but if it holds, it could be a fun, clean morning with a bit of grunt. Keep an eye on it.
Other than those, the rest of the period is filled with small, weak swells and often messy onshore winds. Water temp is about 63°F, which is a touch cooler than average for this time of year.
So, for the pick of the fortnight: Monday the 31st afternoon at Nobbys Reef. Get on it.
- Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Sat morning, min 14°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Tue night. Warm (max 23°C on Tue morning, min 13°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | Sunday 23 | Monday 24 | Tuesday 25 | Wednesday 26 | Thursday 27 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | S 9 | S 8 | S 11 | S 9 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | S 6 | S 7 | SSE 7 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 20 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 146 | 99 | 227 | 121 | 87 | 69 | 41 | 47 | 81 | 68 | 67 | 51 | 54 | 88 | 86 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | off | off | glassy | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 2:52PM1.35m | 3:30AM0.91m | 3:55PM1.38m | 4:54AM0.95m | 4:52PM1.43m | 5:52AM1.02m | 5:41PM1.50m | 6:35AM1.11m | 6:23PM1.57m | 7:12AM1.20m | 7:02PM1.62m | 7:46AM1.28m | 7:40PM1.65m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:07PM0.62m | 8:49AM0.64m | 11:13PM0.55m | 9:57AM0.64m | 11:59PM0.47m | 11:00AM0.61m | 00:36AM0.38m | 11:53AM0.55m | 1:10AM0.29m | 12:39PM0.48m | 1:42AM0.22m | 1:22PM0.41m | 2:14AM0.17m | ||||||||
 | |  |  | |  | |  | | | | | | |  |  | |  |  | | | |
 | 6:24 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — |
 | — | 5:27 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 18 | 16 | 21 | 21 | 17 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 19 | 19 | 17 | 23 | 23 | 17 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 |
Feels °C | 12 | 13 | 12 | 18 | 19 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 21 | 21 | 15 | 17 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | S 6 | S 8 | S 11 | S 9 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | ENE 6 | E 6 | S 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | S 6 | S 7 | SSE 7 |
| kJ | 20 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 146 | 99 | 227 | 121 | 87 | 51 | 20 | 40 | 81 | 68 | 67 | 51 | 54 | 88 | 86 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 7 | SE 7 | SE 7 | S 9 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 9 | SSE 15 | NE 8 | E 6 | SSE 17 | S 10 | S 9 | SSE 16 | S 9 | S 8 | S 9 | S 5 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 |
| kJ | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 45 | 3 | 36 | 27 | 69 | 41 | 24 | 24 | 12 | 14 | 11 | 50 | 38 | 37 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | E 9 | S 10 | SE 7 | S 9 | E 9 | E 8 | E 9 | — | SSE 17 | E 13 | S 18 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | SSE 17 | S 16 | S 15 | S 11 | S 14 | S 14 | S 13 |
| kJ | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | — | 27 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 27 | 20 | 17 | 9 | 16 | 15 | 30 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 3 | NW 3 | NW 3 | WNW 3 | — | ESE 3 | SE 4 | ESE 4 | ENE 5 | — | E 6 | — | — | ENE 7 | — | WNW 2 | S 3 | S 5 | — | — | NE 3 |
| kJ | 3 | 3 | 5 | 1 | — | 4 | 7 | 24 | 33 | — | 38 | — | — | 47 | — | 1 | 1 | 16 | — | — | 1 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 33 | 91 | 164 | 164 | 281 | 146 | 0 | 81 | 0 | 0 | 383 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 96 | 9 | 107 | 221 | 2 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Nobbys Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Nobbys Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Nobbys Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Nobbys Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Nobbys Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Nobbys Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Nobbys Reef, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Newcastle which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 31 km (19 miles) away, Port Stephens, Cessnock and Central Coast.
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