Surf Forecasts:
Nobbys Reef surf forecast from 1 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 2 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 13s period, SSE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 2 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 13s period, SSE swell with 822 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 2 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 13s period with SSE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Nobbys Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 02) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 15s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Nobbys Reef in the next 16 days are 1.6m 13s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 02) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 02) at 10PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10AM (Sun 2nd Aug) | 5ft (1.6m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 10AM (Sun 2nd Aug) | 5ft (1.6m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Sun 2nd Aug) | 5ft (1.6m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s get into it. Things are looking pretty quiet to start. The first real session worth paddling out for isn’t until Sunday the 2nd of August, and even then, it’s not for everyone. So we’ve got a bit of a gap right now.
Alright, let’s talk about the standout. The pick of the whole 16-day window is Nobbys Reef, and it’s all about the 14th of August. That Friday morning is looking magic. We’ve got a solid 7ft swell from the south, with a nice 10-second period, and the water is glassy. No wind at all. The combined energy is strong (752), and it’s a reef break, so those longer-period swells are going to line up properly. This is expert territory at that size, but the conditions are going to be pristine. Keep in mind, crowds are possible here, so get in early.
Before that, the 7th of August is worth a mention for those who want something a bit smaller. The Friday morning has clean 5ft swell from the south, with a 9-second period, and it’s glassy. The combined energy is moderate (386). It’s a solid session, but not the big one.
Now, the 15th of August Saturday morning sees a monster 12ft swell from the SSE, with a very long 13-second period. The combined energy is massive (3448), but the forecast says it’s too big for this break. Only for the brave, and even then, it’s a warning. The 16th of August Sunday morning is a better bet for experienced surfers, with 7ft from the SSE and an 11-second period, clean cross-off wind. Combined energy is strong (1047).
The water temperature is sitting at 64°F, which is about 1°F cooler than average for this time of year. Nothing too unusual, just a little on the fresh side.
For the rest of the period, there are some smaller, ordinary days, and a few sessions with onshore wind that will chop things up. The first week is pretty lean, but the second week has that real promise. It’s a waiting game, but when it fires, it’s worth it.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Mon morning, min 8°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Wed morning, min 9°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 13 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 10 | SE 10 | ESE 7 | SSW 6 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 9 | SSE 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 822 | 549 | 533 | 292 | 187 | 85 | 25 | 9 | 24 | 82 | 94 | 224 | 235 | 297 | 397 | 372 | 304 | 180 | 112 | 140 | 94 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | on | cross-off | off | on | off | glassy | cross-on | off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 10:41AM1.36m | 10:37PM1.56m | 11:20AM1.38m | 11:20PM1.46m | 12:03PM1.40m | 00:08AM1.34m | 12:54PM1.43m | 1:05AM1.22m | 1:53PM1.46m | 2:17AM1.12m | 3:00PM1.52m | 3:41AM1.07m | 4:12PM1.60m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 4:27PM0.43m | 5:07AM0.25m | 5:14PM0.45m | 5:44AM0.30m | 6:09PM0.48m | 6:25AM0.36m | 7:14PM0.50m | 7:13AM0.42m | 8:30PM0.51m | 8:12AM0.47m | 9:54PM0.46m | 9:20AM0.49m | 11:13PM0.37m | ||||||||
 | |  |  | |  | | | | | | |  | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:43 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — |
 | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:19 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 16 | 15 | 21 | 21 | 17 | 17 | 19 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 15 |
Feels °C | 14 | 13 | 11 | 17 | 17 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 13 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 10 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | SSW 6 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 9 | SSE 8 |
| kJ | 822 | 549 | 533 | 292 | 187 | 85 | 17 | 9 | 24 | 82 | 94 | 224 | 235 | 297 | 397 | 372 | 304 | 180 | 112 | 140 | 94 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 15 | SE 14 | S 21 | S 21 | S 20 | E 15 | SE 10 | SSE 10 | E 11 | E 10 | E 9 | E 8 | E 10 | E 8 | E 8 | E 7 | E 9 | E 9 | E 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 |
| kJ | 174 | 221 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 25 | 9 | 21 | 31 | 26 | 22 | 17 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 5 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 17 | S 21 | E 8 | E 16 | E 15 | SE 15 | SSW 5 | S 6 | ESE 7 | E 7 | E 18 | E 18 | E 17 | E 16 | E 16 | E 16 | E 17 | NE 7 | SE 15 | E 16 | E 9 |
| kJ | 6 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 6 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NE 8 | NNE 4 | NNE 4 | NW 2 | NW 3 | — | — | W 3 | WNW 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NE 3 |
| kJ | — | 3 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 336 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 81 | 0 | 0 | 81 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Nobbys Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Nobbys Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Nobbys Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Nobbys Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Nobbys Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Nobbys Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Nobbys Reef, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Newcastle which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 31 km (19 miles) away, Port Stephens, Cessnock and Central Coast.
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