
Surf Forecasts:
Nobbys Reef surf forecast from 8 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 10 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period, SSE swell with cross-shore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 10 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 10s period, SSE swell with 2,269 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 8 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 8s period with SSE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Nobbys Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 08) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.8m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Nobbys Reef in the next 16 days are 3.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 5s period and expected on Sunday (Sep 13) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Tue 8th Sep) | 6ft (1.8m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here, let’s look at what’s cooking at Nobbys Reef.
Tuesday is a mess. You’ve got a 8ft cross-on swell from the SSE with a moderate breeze, and energy is pumping at 1075 – but it’s choppy and poor. Tuesday afternoon drops to 7ft, still cross-on and messy. No thanks.
Wednesday morning is our first real shot. The wind goes light offshore from the west at 6 mph, and the swell cleans up to a tidy 3ft from the south at 8 seconds. Energy is weak at 225, but it’s clean. That’s a fun little session on the reef. Wednesday afternoon is a blowout – wind hits 25 mph cross-on and it goes to crap.
Now, Thursday morning – the standout. We’re looking at a 10ft south swell with a 10-second period and massive energy at 2905. That’s a ton of power. Wind is moderate cross-shore from the SSW, but at this size, Nobbys is strictly for experts. Over 8ft, it’s a heavy, serious wave. The swell direction (SSE) matches the optimum from the southeast, so the reef should be cranking. If you’re not an experienced charger, stay on the beach. The morning of September 10th is the one to circle.
The weekend is hit or miss. Saturday morning is glassy – 3 mph southerly breeze, and a clean 4ft SSE swell at 9 seconds. That’s a really nice, user-friendly wave. Clean, no chop. Saturday afternoon gets mucked up by a cross-on easterly. Sunday morning is clean again with a light offshore from the NNE, but the swell is tiny at 3ft – rideable, but nothing special.
After that, the swell dies. The middle of the second week (around the 14th and 15th) we get tiny 2ft to 2ft waves, long period but hardly any energy. A few clean windows, but it’s basically flat. There’s a long stretch from Saturday afternoon through to the 17th where not much is happening – just occasional clean but tiny mornings.
The 17th of September morning gives another clean window – 3ft from the SSE with light offshore wind. Nice, but small. Then it’s back to tiny slop for the rest of the run.
Bottom line: if you’re an expert, Thursday morning, September 10th is your day – 10ft of raw reef power. For everyone else, Wednesday morning the 9th and Saturday morning the 12th are your best bets for clean, fun waves at Nobbys.
- Rusty
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Very mild (max 16°C on Tue morning, min 11°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (calm on Tue night, strong winds from the S by Wed afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Sun afternoon, min 12°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 9 | SSE 8 | SSE 9 | S 8 | S 7 | SSE 10 | S 10 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 11 | SSE 20 | SSE 9 | S 11 | S 10 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
1073 | 562 | 433 | 140 | 522 | 2269 | 1568 | 1267 | 1506 | 768 | 592 | 359 | 260 | 319 | 218 | 115 | 146 | 130 | 137 | 132 | 83 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | glassy | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | off | cross | off |
High Tide | 6:08PM1.71m | 6:55AM1.32m | 6:59PM1.74m | 7:38AM1.42m | 7:45PM1.73m | 8:18AM1.49m | 8:28PM1.67m | 8:56AM1.53m | 9:08PM1.58m | 9:33AM1.54m | 9:47PM1.46m | 10:10AM1.53m | 10:25PM1.32m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 11:39AM0.42m | 00:51AM0.15m | 12:36PM0.33m | 1:33AM0.11m | 1:27PM0.25m | 2:11AM0.10m | 2:14PM0.21m | 2:47AM0.12m | 2:59PM0.20m | 3:21AM0.17m | 3:43PM0.24m | 3:53AM0.24m | 4:26PM0.31m | ||||||||
6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | |
— | 5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:43 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 18 | 20 | 17 | 24 | 24 | 22 |
Feels °C | 10 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 20 | 18 | 19 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | SSE 8 | SSE 9 | S 8 | ESE 13 | ESE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 23 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | S 11 | S 10 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 |
2 | 562 | 433 | 140 | 17 | 47 | 1194 | 170 | 1176 | 768 | 592 | 359 | 260 | 319 | 163 | 115 | 146 | 130 | 137 | 132 | 83 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | E 10 | E 10 | SE 7 | E 9 | S 26 | ESE 10 | SE 9 | E 15 | E 15 | E 14 | E 13 | SSE 19 | SSE 18 | ENE 4 | SSE 18 | SSE 16 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | E 12 | ENE 6 |
— | 2 | 2 | 79 | 2 | 13 | 38 | 23 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 117 | 182 | 18 | 102 | 27 | 29 | 6 | 3 | 17 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | E 15 | E 9 | E 17 | — | SSE 23 | E 15 | E 10 | S 21 | ENE 14 | S 18 | E 14 | E 14 | SSE 20 | ENE 4 | E 13 | E 13 | E 13 | E 10 | E 12 |
— | — | 4 | 6 | 6 | — | 105 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 218 | 4 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 2 | 3 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 9 | — | — | NW 3 | S 7 | SSE 10 | S 10 | SSE 11 | S 10 | — | — | — | — | E 3 | NNE 4 | NNE 4 | ENE 4 | — | NNW 2 | NE 3 | WSW 2 |
1073 | — | — | 1 | 522 | 2269 | 1568 | 1267 | 1506 | — | — | — | — | 5 | 13 | 13 | 16 | — | 1 | 3 | 1 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 221 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 702 | 179 | 44 | 241 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 81 | 0 | 0 | 224 | 0 | 0 | 136 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Nobbys Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Nobbys Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Nobbys Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Nobbys Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Nobbys Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Nobbys Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Nobbys Reef, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Newcastle which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 31 km (19 miles) away, Port Stephens, Cessnock and Central Coast.










