Nobbys Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Imperial

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming down the line for Nobbys Reef. It’s a bit of a slow start, but there are a couple of real gems hiding in the forecast if you’re patient.

Alright, looking at the whole 16-day window for Nobbys Reef, it’s a tale of two halves. The first week or so is pretty flat and uninspiring, but then we’ve got a proper pulse of energy arriving around the second week. Don't get too excited about the next few days though. For Saturday the 29th, it’s a write-off with a messy 4ft SSE swell and a cross-onshore wind making a mess of things. That moderate combined energy (311) isn't doing anyone any favors.

Things start looking up on Sunday morning the 30th. The swell drops back to a clean 3ft from the SSE, but the wind goes glassy out of the NW. That’s proper clean conditions, the kind that makes a reef like this start talking. The energy is moderate (218) but it’s a small, clean wave that’ll be fun for an advanced crew.

Monday the 31st morning is your next little window. The wind is dead calm, glassy as anything, with a 3ft south swell. The combined energy picks up a bit to 301, still moderate. It’s going to be clean but small.

After that, we drop into a lull. From Tuesday the 1st of September through to Saturday the 6th, it’s tiny. We’re talking waves between 1.0ft and 2ft. The wind is offshore a lot of this time, which is nice, but with combined energy dropping as low as 39, there’s just not enough push to make Nobbys Reef work properly for a paddle surfer. One session on the 7th of September looks interesting for kites, with a strong 28 mph offshore NW wind and a 3ft SSW swell, but the energy is only moderate (149) and that wind is going to make paddling a nightmare.

Then, the real event arrives. Keep your eyes on Wednesday the 9th of September. That morning we see a solid 8ft southerly swell rolling in with a very long period of 12 seconds. The combined energy is pumping at 1699. This is serious groundswell. It’s going to be a lot of water, and for a reef break, that long period should produce some proper, heavy lines. This is strictly for experts only.

But the absolute standout, the one to circle on the calendar, is Thursday the 10th of September. The morning is glassy calm, with a 6ft SSE groundswell arriving at a 12-second period. The combined energy is still strong at 986, but the complete lack of wind is going to make it an epic, clean day at the reef. The swell is still big enough to be challenging for beginners, but for an advanced surfer, it’s looking like the pick of the 16-day period.

Friday the 11th morning is a close second, with clean, glassy conditions again and a 5ft SSE swell at the same long period. The energy (613) is still proper. It’s going to be a touch smaller but just as clean.

After that high, it fades again through the weekend, with the swell dropping and onshore winds returning for the 12th. The last few days are just small and clean, finishing the run on a quiet note. So, to sum it up: be patient this week, the flat spell will feel like an eternity, but hold out for that morning of the 10th of September. That’s the one where it all comes together.

Stay frothy.
Rusty.

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