Surf Forecasts:
Nobbys Reef surf forecast from 7 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 8 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 11s period, SE swell with cross-onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 8 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 11s period, SE swell with 1,987 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 8 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 11s period with SE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Nobbys Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 11s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-onshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Nobbys Reef in the next 16 days are 3.0m 11s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 3s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 12) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Wed 8th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Wed 8th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Wed 8th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days.
Righto, let’s have a look at what’s on the table. It’s a bit of a mixed bag ahead, but there’s a narrow window of something worthwhile if you’re keen and patient.
We start off a little rough. Wednesday the 8th through to Friday the 10th are pretty much a write-off for any decent paddle. The swell is hanging around 5ft to 8ft, but it’s all coming from the SSE or S with a cross-onshore wind, making it choppy and messy. The wave energy is strong in the early days – around 1786 (moderate to strong) – but the conditions just aren’t playing ball. The wind is onshore, the water temp is about average for the time of year, so nothing unusual there, but the surf is a no-go for a decent session.
Then we get a glimmer on Saturday the 11th. The swell drops to 4ft in the morning, coming from the SE with a period of 9 seconds. The wind swings to a light offshore from the NW, and it’s clean. The wave energy sits at 378 (moderate enough). The afternoon stays clean with a moderate offshore, but the swell backs off to 3ft. This is your best bet in the whole run – Saturday morning is a standout. It won’t be big, but it’ll be lined up and rideable. The break is Nobbys Reef, an exposed reef setup that’s inconsistent, so you have to pick your moments. Crowds are possible, but with these modest conditions, it might not be packed.
From Sunday the 12th onward, it’s a slow fade. The swell drops below 3ft, and while the wind is often offshore or glassy, the energy is weak – dropping to 105 or lower. The wave heights are tiny, and you’ll be scratching for anything over knee-high. There’s a brief bump on Thursday the 16th with a 6ft to 7ft swell from the S, but it’s got a strong onshore wind and the energy is pumping at 918, making it a lumpy mess. That’s more of a kite-surfing scenario. After that, it’s flat or near-flat with odd little pulses of 1ft to 2ft, mostly clean but useless for a proper surf. The end of the run into the second week is a long gap of no real recommendations – a few days in a row of poor conditions.
So, if you want to get wet, point your board at Nobbys Reef on Saturday morning the 11th. It’s the only session that’s really worth the paddle.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 14mm), heaviest on Wed night. Very mild (max 17°C on Wed morning, min 12°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Sat morning, min 8°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tue 14 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | S 7 | S 9 | S 7 | S 6 | S 10 | S 9 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 2211 | 1536 | 1210 | 1051 | 653 | 589 | 492 | 373 | 450 | 365 | 202 | 200 | 173 | 88 | 52 | 49 | 159 | 51 | 19 | 50 | 41 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | on | glassy | cross | on | off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy |
High Tide | 1:31AM1.33m | 2:29PM1.43m | 2:35AM1.24m | 3:28PM1.51m | 3:48AM1.18m | 4:29PM1.62m | 5:04AM1.16m | 5:30PM1.73m | 6:15AM1.19m | 6:28PM1.83m | 7:17AM1.23m | 7:23PM1.91m | 8:13AM1.29m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:55AM0.41m | 8:47PM0.58m | 8:47AM0.44m | 10:03PM0.52m | 9:44AM0.45m | 11:16PM0.43m | 10:44AM0.44m | 00:23AM0.32m | 11:45AM0.42m | 1:21AM0.22m | 12:44PM0.39m | 2:14AM0.14m | 1:41PM0.37m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | |  |  | | | | |  | | | |  | | | | | | |
 | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — |
 | — | — | 4:59 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:01 | — | — | 5:01 | — | — | 5:02 |
mm | 2 | 2 | — | 9 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 10 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 15 | 16 |
Feels °C | 12 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 14 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 11 | ESE 12 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 8 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | S 7 | S 9 | S 7 | S 6 | S 10 | S 9 |
| kJ | 2211 | 1536 | 1210 | 698 | 653 | 589 | 492 | 373 | 450 | 365 | 202 | 118 | 173 | 88 | 52 | 49 | 159 | 51 | 19 | 50 | 41 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | ESE 14 | ESE 13 | SSE 10 | ESE 10 | SE 10 | S 16 | SE 13 | S 20 | ESE 15 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | SSE 8 | SE 8 | SSE 8 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 8 | S 11 | SE 7 | S 19 |
| kJ | — | 250 | 269 | 492 | 116 | 25 | 5 | 108 | 8 | 42 | 172 | 200 | 46 | 17 | 6 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 7 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | S 15 | S 18 | S 18 | S 16 | — | — | S 18 | S 15 | S 16 | S 15 | — | S 16 | SE 8 | E 11 | E 11 | SE 8 | S 19 | E 10 |
| kJ | — | — | — | 4 | 6 | 6 | 5 | — | — | 6 | 4 | 5 | 4 | — | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 2 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | SE 11 | — | — | — | WSW 2 | — | W 2 | WNW 2 | NNW 2 | NW 3 | W 3 | SW 3 | W 3 | WNW 3 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | 1051 | — | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 2 | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 125 | 72 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 47 | 0 | 85 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Nobbys Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Nobbys Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Nobbys Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Nobbys Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Nobbys Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Nobbys Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Nobbys Reef, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Newcastle which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 31 km (19 miles) away, Port Stephens, Cessnock and Central Coast.
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