Nobbys Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up for Nobbys Reef.

Honestly, looking at the next 16 days, it’s a pretty grim picture for this exposed reef break. We’ve got a long stretch of weak, short-period junk and messy wind. The first real glimmer of something decent doesn’t show up until Wednesday morning the 19th of August, and even then it’s a minor window. The water is sitting at 63°, which is a bit colder than usual for this time of year, so you’ll want a good steamer.

The best of a bad bunch comes on Wednesday morning, the 19th of August. Nobbys Reef will see a tiny 2ft swell from the ESE, but the period jumps to 10 seconds, which gives it a bit more shape. The real winner here is the wind: it’s glassy. That’s a major positive for this spot, and combined with the clear sky, it’ll be clean. Wave energy is weak (186), but it’s the only time things line up. The swell is small, so it’s okay for a range of abilities, but Nobbys is an inconsistent reef, so don’t expect a wave every set. Crowds are possible here.

After that, it’s back to tiny, weak waves and poor wind for days. The next little window pops up on Monday morning, the 24th of August, with a 1ft S swell at 11 seconds, but the wind is offshore from the WNW. Energy is still low (72), but it’ll be clean. Tuesday morning the 25th is forgettable, and then we get a couple of glassy mornings on the 26th of August with 2ft S swell at 11 seconds (energy around 110). It’s surfable, but very ordinary.

The end of the month fires up some energy. By the 28th of August (Friday afternoon), we see a 2ft SSE swell with a very long 15-second period and offshore WNW wind at 16 mph. The combined energy climbs to 223, which is moderate. This is a promising setup for a reef like Nobbys – that long period groundswell will wrap in nicely. It’s rated as “expect good surf conditions.” This is a standout for the second week, but it’s far out, so keep an eye on it. The weekend of the 29th and 30th of August throws up some serious size – 6ft to 10ft from the S – but the wind is a mess: strong cross-shore and cross-onshore winds. The energy is massive (over 900), but it’ll be blown out and lumpy. That is for experts only, and only if you’re desperate for a beatdown.

Overall, the first week is a struggle with tiny swell and average wind. The second week has more energy but is a gamble with the wind. The 28th of August afternoon is the best bet on the horizon.

Rusty.

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