Surf Forecasts:
Nobbys Reef surf forecast from 25 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 28 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 12s period, SSE swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 31 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 18s period, SSE swell with 951 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 25 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 8s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Nobbys Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 25) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Nobbys Reef in the next 16 days are 1.2m 18s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 31) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 5s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 01) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4PM (Tue 25th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Fri 28th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Mon 31st Aug) | 4ft (1.2m) 18s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let's get into it. Rusty here, and I've had a good look at what's on the cards for us.
Right off the bat, I’ve got to be straight with you – for the first couple of days, it’s pretty flat and ordinary. We’re looking at a gap of a couple of days with nothing really worth getting wet for. Tuesday the 25th and Wednesday the 26th of August are a write-off. The swell is small and the wind is doing us no favours at all. A bit of energy shows up on Thursday the 27th, but the wind is from the wrong quarter, so it’s a pass.
Now, finally, we’ve got something to work with. Friday morning, the 28th of August, is your first real standout. Nobbys Reef is where you want to be. We’ve got a clean 3 ft swell rolling in from the SSE, and the wind is a light offshore from the WNW. The water is sitting at 64°, which is about 1° cooler than the yearly average – so, pretty normal for this time of year, nothing wild. The wave energy is moderate but solid (588), and with that light offshore breeze, it's going to be clean and make for some decent, rippable walls.
The weekend is a bit of a mixed bag. Saturday and Sunday are there, but the wind swings around onshore, making things lumpy and choppy – not what you want on that reef. The swell energy is still kicking, though (704 on Saturday morning is a solid pulse), so if the wind gods smile on you, it could be a gamble.
Here’s another one that has me excited. Monday morning, the 31st of August. This is a proper sleeper. The swell drops to 3 ft, but listen to this: it's an 18-second period groundswell from the SSE, and the wind is glassy. Completely glassy, like a mirror. The energy reading is high at (640), which for a smaller wave height tells you there’s real grunt in the water. This is a reef break, and that long period groundswell will wrap in and set up some beautiful, lined-up waves. Just a heads up, it can be inconsistent here and it’s an advanced wave, so you need to know what you’re doing. The crowds can show up sometimes, but with those conditions, it’ll be worth fighting for a spot.
After that, the first week of September looks like we're back into a lull. The swell sticks around but gets mixed up with more onshore winds. There are some clean offshore mornings on the 1st, 2nd, and 3rd, but the swell is tiny – under 3 ft. It’s surfable, but nothing to write home about.
Further out in the second week, around the 7th and 8th of September, the models are hinting at a bit more energy from the SSE again, but the wind predictions keep it messy. Looks like a lot of cross-onshore chop. It’s a long-range whisper, so keep an eye on it, but right now it’s not looking like a standout. There’s a long gap of flat, poor conditions from the end of the first week through the second.
So, your two clear winners are Friday morning the 28th for a solid, clean session on a proper swell, and Monday morning the 31st for an absolutely glassy, long-period groundswell treat at Nobbys Reef.
Keep your wax soft and your eyes on the horizon.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 15mm), heaviest on Tue afternoon. Warm (max 22°C on Tue morning, min 12°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the S on Wed afternoon, calm by Thu night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Fri morning, min 13°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 25 | Wednesday 26 | Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | S 5 | SSE 7 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | S 9 | SSE 18 | SSE 18 | SSE 16 | S 13 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
54 | 64 | 67 | 50 | 65 | 208 | 412 | 364 | 220 | 512 | 487 | 358 | 471 | 360 | 208 | 348 | 421 | 826 | 448 | 263 | 345 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | glassy | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross | glassy | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 6:23PM1.57m | 7:12AM1.20m | 7:02PM1.62m | 7:46AM1.28m | 7:40PM1.65m | 8:19AM1.35m | 8:17PM1.66m | 8:52AM1.41m | 8:54PM1.63m | 9:27AM1.45m | 9:33PM1.57m | 10:03AM1.49m | 10:13PM1.48m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 11:53AM0.55m | 1:10AM0.29m | 12:39PM0.48m | 1:42AM0.22m | 1:22PM0.41m | 2:14AM0.17m | 2:02PM0.35m | 2:46AM0.15m | 2:42PM0.30m | 3:18AM0.15m | 3:23PM0.28m | 3:50AM0.18m | 4:07PM0.29m | ||||||||
6:20 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | |
— | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:34 | — | |
mm | — | 6 | 7 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 22 | 16 | 16 | 19 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 16 |
Feels °C | 20 | 15 | 16 | 18 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | SSE 7 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | ENE 8 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | S 9 | SSE 18 | SSE 8 | SSE 9 | S 13 |
54 | 64 | 67 | 50 | 35 | 208 | 412 | 364 | 220 | 512 | 487 | 12 | 471 | 360 | 208 | 348 | 421 | 826 | 176 | 146 | 345 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 16 | S 15 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | S 8 | SSE 18 | SSE 16 | ENE 9 |
28 | 27 | 15 | 19 | 5 | 36 | 24 | 20 | 24 | 13 | 12 | 19 | 219 | 122 | 111 | 15 | 17 | 124 | 448 | 263 | 16 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 16 | S 16 | S 16 | S 9 | — | S 16 | S 15 | SSE 15 | SSE 14 | S 14 | SSW 12 | — | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | SE 9 | SSE 20 | SE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | E 12 |
20 | 20 | 21 | 6 | — | 5 | 17 | 22 | 36 | 63 | 50 | — | 14 | 14 | 15 | 21 | 77 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 11 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 3 | — | — | — | S 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSE 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NE 4 |
1 | — | — | — | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 358 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 174 | 9 | 9 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 44 | 44 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 81 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Nobbys Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Nobbys Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Nobbys Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Nobbys Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Nobbys Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Nobbys Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Nobbys Reef, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Newcastle which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 31 km (19 miles) away, Port Stephens, Cessnock and Central Coast.











