
Surf Forecasts:
Nobbys Reef surf forecast from 22 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 25 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 14s period, S swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 30 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 11s period, S swell with 3,036 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 23 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 9s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Nobbys Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 23) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Nobbys Reef in the next 16 days are 3.5m 11s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 4s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 23) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Thu 23rd Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Sat 25th Jul) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Thu 30th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s get into it.
Things are looking pretty bleak for a while, I won’t lie to you. We’ve got a real stretch of nothing special coming up, so don’t get too excited too early. The first surf worth talking about isn’t until Saturday the 25th of July, so there’s a long wait.
Friday the 23rd – Honestly, don’t bother. We’ve got a tiny 2ft swell from the east with a weak 9-second period, and the energy is just pathetic (67). The morning is clean with a light offshore, but there’s just nothing to work with. It’s not worth paddling out for.
Friday the 24th – A bit more size pushes in, with 6–7ft from the south in the morning, but the wind is cross-shore, and it’s messy. The energy is moderate (1186) but the conditions are marginal – questionable tides and a cross-chop. Not a day to get excited about.
Saturday the 25th – Alright, now we’re talking. The morning has a clean 5ft south swell with a nice 11-second period and a gentle offshore wind from the west-northwest. The wave energy is solid (685), and the conditions are set up well. Nobbys Reef is the standout here; the morning session should offer clean, lined-up waves. The afternoon stays clean and drops to 4ft with hardly any wind – still a good option if you’re keen.
Sunday the 26th – Another solid morning. Swell holds at 5ft from the south, period bumps up to 12 seconds, and the wind is light and cross-offshore. Clean conditions and strong energy (740). The morning is the go. By afternoon the wind turns onshore and it gets ordinary.
Monday the 27th – Dropping off a bit. Morning has 3–4ft south swell, clean with an offshore breeze, but the energy is only moderate (207). Surfable but nothing special. The afternoon is even smaller.
Tuesday the 28th – Very small again. Only 1–2ft in the morning, weak energy (46). Not worth it.
Wednesday the 29th – Absolute write-off. Strong, messy winds and a short-period wind swell. The morning is cross-shore and choppy, the afternoon is a total mess with 25 mph winds from the south. Stay on land.
Thursday the 30th of July – The swell jumps massively, but it’s too big for Nobbys Reef. We’re looking at 15ft from the south with huge wave energy (8088), but strong cross-shore winds and a setup that’s only for experts – and even then, conditions are rough. This is more likely to be a kite-surfing day than a paddle-surfing one.
Friday the 31st of July – Still oversized. 11–12ft from the south, still too big for the break, and the wind is messy. Not a day for the average surfer.
Saturday the 1st of August – Now we’re getting closer to something workable. Morning has 7–8ft from the south-southeast, with a light cross-offshore wind and clean conditions. The energy is strong (1371), and it’s the best we’ve seen in a while. This is for experienced surfers only – that’s a decent-sized swell and Nobbys Reef can get hollow. The afternoon is onshore and less appealing.
Sunday the 2nd of August – Good morning with 5ft from the southeast and a clean offshore. Light winds, wave energy is solid (606). A much more manageable size, clean conditions. This is a good session for competent surfers.
Monday the 3rd of August – Small again. Glassy conditions in the morning with 3ft from the southeast, but very little energy (187). Only worth it if you’re desperate.
Tuesday the 4th of August – Picking up a bit. Morning has 4ft from the south, short period of 6 seconds, but clean with an offshore breeze. Energy is low (246). Not great quality, but surfable.
Wednesday the 5th of August – Swell jumps again. 10ft from the southeast, clean cross-offshore winds, but this is once again too big for Nobbys Reef. Another day for experts only, and it’s pushing the limits even for them.
Thursday the 6th of August – Still big. 7ft from the southeast in the morning with a clean offshore, but the period is short – only 8 seconds. It’s going to be a bit lumpy and less organised. Energy is moderate (566). Only for experienced surfers.
Friday the 7th of August – Glassy conditions in the morning with 5–6ft from the southeast, but again a short period of 7 seconds. Clean, but not the best quality. Still, it’s a decent morning session.
The standout in this whole forecast is Saturday the 25th of July and Sunday the 26th of July mornings – clean offshore winds, solid south swell, and decent wave energy. That
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Thu morning, min 6°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Mon afternoon, min 10°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 9 | E 9 | E 9 | SSW 6 | S 10 | S 10 | S 14 | S 11 | S 10 | S 11 | S 12 | S 11 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | SSE 8 | S 8 | S 7 | S 7 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
86 | 57 | 39 | 115 | 799 | 460 | 1617 | 663 | 367 | 289 | 734 | 449 | 256 | 203 | 158 | 90 | 29 | 9 | 8 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | on | cross-off | cross | on | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | on | off | off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 2:44AM1.04m | 3:40PM1.40m | 3:53AM0.99m | 4:35PM1.45m | 5:04AM0.98m | 5:25PM1.52m | 6:05AM1.02m | 6:09PM1.59m | 6:54AM1.08m | 6:51PM1.65m | 7:37AM1.15m | 7:30PM1.70m | |||||||
Low Tide | 8:41AM0.54m | 10:35PM0.63m | 9:30AM0.57m | 11:38PM0.58m | 10:24AM0.58m | 00:26AM0.50m | 11:18AM0.57m | 1:07AM0.42m | 12:09PM0.54m | 1:43AM0.34m | 12:56PM0.51m | 2:18AM0.27m | |||||||
— | 6:50 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:08 | — | — | 5:08 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:10 | — | — | 5:10 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 17 | 18 | 18 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 17 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 17 | 18 | 13 | 17 | 18 | 14 |
Feels °C | 13 | 15 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 9 | E 9 | E 9 | ENE 8 | S 10 | S 10 | S 14 | S 11 | S 10 | S 11 | S 12 | S 11 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | SSE 8 | S 8 | S 7 | S 7 |
86 | 57 | 39 | 24 | 362 | 460 | 1617 | 663 | 367 | 289 | 734 | 449 | 256 | 203 | 158 | 90 | 29 | 9 | 4 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | SSW 5 | S 10 | S 10 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | E 9 | SSE 17 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 12 | SE 16 | SE 7 | SE 7 | ESE 7 |
9 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 23 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 6 | 58 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 9 | 5 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | S 10 | SSW 5 | SE 8 | SE 7 | SSE 18 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 8 | E 8 | — | — | E 13 | SE 14 | E 11 | ENE 5 | NE 5 | SE 14 |
— | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 34 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 1 | — | — | 3 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | WNW 2 | — | SSW 6 | S 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NE 3 | NW 3 | NW 3 | NW 3 |
— | 1 | — | 115 | 799 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 2 | 5 | 2 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 44 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 417 | 281 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Nobbys Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Nobbys Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Nobbys Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Nobbys Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Nobbys Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Nobbys Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Nobbys Reef, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Newcastle which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 31 km (19 miles) away, Port Stephens, Cessnock and Central Coast.










