Surf Forecasts:
Nobbys Reef surf forecast from 4 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 7 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period, SSE swell with cross-shore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 5 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 13s period, SSE swell with 3,092 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 4 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 9s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Nobbys Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 04) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Nobbys Reef in the next 16 days are 3.0m 13s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 05) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Friday (Jul 10) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7PM (Sat 4th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Tue 7th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Sun 5th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s break it down for the yardstick crew.
We’ve got a gap before the first real surf shows up. Saturday, July 4th morning is where we kick off: a clean 4ft S swell with 12-second period, a light WNW offshore breeze. Water temp is 19°, about average for this time of year. Wave energy’s moderate (392). Expect some nice reef lines but crowds might show. Saturday afternoon is a total dud – onshore SE wind ruins it.
Sunday the 5th is a wash – 8 to 10ft of lumpy onshore mess. Monday through Wednesday the 6th to 8th is all big, messy, or cross-wind junk. Tuesday morning sees 10ft SSE swell with strong energy (3080), but it’s way too big and cross-choppy. This stretch is kite-surf territory.
Thursday the 9th drops to 7ft but still onshore and choppy – not worth it.
Then Friday, July 10th is the real gem. Morning: 7ft SSE swell at 11 seconds, light WSW cross-off breeze, clean. Strong energy (1018). That’s a proper reef wave for experienced surfers. Afternoon goes glassy with 7ft swell and a tiny NE breeze – flat calm perfection. Expect a few heads out but it’s worth it.
Saturday the 11th is still fun with 5ft SE swell and NW offshore. Sunday the 12th drops to 3ft, and from there it’s a slow bleed into tiny weak waves through midweek. By Monday the 13th through Thursday the 16th, you’re looking at ankle-biters – energy down to single digits, barely a ripple.
Then Saturday, July 18th afternoon lights up again: 7ft S swell, gentle NW offshore, clean. Strong moderate energy (716). That’ll be a solid reef session. Sunday the 19th is huge – 15ft S swell with 11-second period – but that’s too big for this break, even with clean wind. Expert-only if you’re brave.
So the standout go-times are Friday July 10th (both sessions) and Saturday July 18th afternoon. There’s a flat spell from July 14th to 17th where you won’t need your board.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Sat night. Very mild (max 16°C on Sun night, min 11°C on Sat morning). Winds increasing (calm on Sat afternoon, fresh winds from the S by Sun morning). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 22mm), heaviest during Tue night. Very mild (max 16°C on Tue morning, min 12°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 4 | Sunday 5 | Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 10 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | SE 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SE 10 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 373 | 181 | 155 | 1106 | 1837 | 1916 | 1149 | 1077 | 1163 | 1768 | 2308 | 2248 | 1843 | 1384 | 1544 | 970 | 908 | 815 | 1018 | 903 | 592 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | glassy | cross-off | glassy | off |
High Tide | 11:22AM1.27m | 11:05PM1.61m | 12:03PM1.29m | 11:48PM1.53m | 12:47PM1.32m | 00:36AM1.43m | 1:35PM1.36m | 1:31AM1.33m | 2:29PM1.43m | 2:35AM1.24m | 3:28PM1.51m | 3:48AM1.18m | 4:29PM1.62m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 4:49PM0.60m | 5:51AM0.31m | 5:38PM0.61m | 6:29AM0.35m | 6:33PM0.62m | 7:10AM0.38m | 7:36PM0.61m | 7:55AM0.41m | 8:47PM0.58m | 8:47AM0.44m | 10:03PM0.52m | 9:44AM0.45m | 11:16PM0.43m | ||||||||
 | |  |  | |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | |  | |  | |
 | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — |
 | — | 4:58 | — | — | 4:58 | — | — | 4:59 | — | — | 4:59 | — | — | 4:59 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — |
mm | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | — | — | 4 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | — | 4 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 14 |
Feels °C | 13 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | S 10 | S 9 | E 8 | E 13 | E 13 | E 14 | E 14 | E 13 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SE 11 | SE 11 | ESE 13 | SE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SE 10 |
| kJ | 373 | 181 | 155 | 11 | 30 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 12 | 1306 | 1732 | 1871 | 1592 | 225 | 1274 | 970 | 908 | 815 | 1018 | 903 | 592 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 7 | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | — | E 8 | — | E 11 | — | — | S 18 | — | — | ESE 15 | — | ESE 11 | S 23 | ESE 10 | SE 15 | — | — | S 21 |
| kJ | 5 | 51 | 50 | — | 11 | — | 2 | — | — | 6 | — | — | 87 | — | 69 | 10 | 20 | 171 | — | — | 9 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 13 | E 12 | E 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 14 | 27 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 3 | — | — | S 9 | S 10 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | — | — | — | SW 3 | — | — |
| kJ | 2 | — | — | 1106 | 1837 | 1916 | 1149 | 1077 | 1163 | 1768 | 2308 | 2248 | 1843 | 1384 | 1544 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 9 | 0 | 125 | 241 | 241 | 283 | 221 | 44 | 44 | 44 | 1 | 88 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Nobbys Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Nobbys Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Nobbys Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Nobbys Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Nobbys Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Nobbys Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Nobbys Reef, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Newcastle which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 31 km (19 miles) away, Port Stephens, Cessnock and Central Coast.
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