Nobbys Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the table for the next 16 days.

Alright, the pickins are a bit slim to start, but there's some real promise later on. The main event is absolutely Nobbys Reef, a solid reef break that needs a good S/SE swell to fire. The water is sitting at 65°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so nothing unusual there.

The first decent window sneaks in on Thursday morning, July 30th. We've got a 6ft swell from the S, with a clean 10-second period. The winds are a light cross-offshore, which will keep the surface glassy. The combined energy is moderate at 561, and it's shaping up for some very good surf. This is a standout session for the early part of the forecast.

After that, things get messy. The afternoon of the 30th and into the 31st sees the wind shift onshore and the swell gets a bit lumpy, with the energy spiking up to 1433 on Friday afternoon, but with a 7ft S swell and a cross-on breeze, it's going to be a choppy, closed-out mess. Saturday and Sunday (August 1st & 2nd) are a mixed bag of light winds but questionable conditions, though the Sunday morning (August 2nd) offers a clean 4ft SSE swell with offshore NNW winds at 6 mph and moderate energy (287). It's a solid option, but not the best of the run.

Now, hold onto your board, because the real standout is Friday morning, August 7th. The swell jumps to 7ft from the SE, with a long 12-second period. That's a proper groundswell, and it's going to have some serious push. The energy is strong at 1142. The wind is a clean cross-offshore from the WSW. This is top-tier stuff for Nobbys Reef, but remember, at 7ft it's getting into the expert-only zone. The Saturday morning (August 8th) is even bigger, with a 10ft SE swell, but the file says it's predicted to be too big for this break, so steer clear unless you're a pro with a death wish.

The last real highlight is Sunday, August 9th. The morning session has a clean 7ft SE swell with a 10-second period and light offshore NW winds. The energy is strong at 913. The afternoon is slightly smaller at 6ft but still very good, with light cross-offshore winds. That's a solid day of proper reef waves.

After that, the swell drops off into the second week, with weaker, short-period windswell and stronger winds making it mostly a write-off for paddle surfing. The wind on the 11th (Tuesday) is hitting 19-22 mph, which is more of a kitesurfing setup than anything else.

So, for the best on offer: Thursday morning, July 30th is the early winner, but Friday morning, August 7th and Sunday, August 9th are the true standouts for the serious surfer. It's a long-range forecast, so keep an eye on it, but it's looking tasty.

Rusty.

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