Nobbys Reef Surf Break

Lat Long: 32.93° S 151.80° E

Nobbys Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 am 14 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Nobbys Reef sea temperature is
18.6° C
0.0° 

Nobbys Reef surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Nobbys Reef surf forecast from 14 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Tuesday 21 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 10s period, E swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 15 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period, S swell with 1,507 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 15 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 6s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Nobbys Reef this week:

The surf forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 10s. Another secondary swell of 0.1m and 15s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Nobbys Reef in the next 16 days are 3.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 3s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 10PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1AM (Wed 15th Jul)2.5ft (0.7m) 6s
Best Surf 1AM (Tue 21st Jul)4ft (1.2m) 10s
Most Powerful 4PM (Wed 15th Jul)10ft (3.0m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G’day, I’m Rusty. Let’s talk about what’s coming up.

The first several days are a total dud. Tuesday and Wednesday the 14th and 15th are flat or blown out, with a sloppy 7.2ft wave on the 15th that’s no good. Thursday the 16th through Monday the 20th stay poor or marginal, with onshore winds and choppy conditions. That’s a solid week of nothing to get excited about.

Then things turn. Tuesday the 21st and Wednesday the 22nd bring clean, waist-high surf at Nobbys Reef. The swell is a small 3.3ft to 3.6ft from the east, with a period of 10 seconds, so it’s a gentle groundswell. The wind goes offshore and light, so the surface will be clean. The combined swell energy is moderate (217 to 284), and water temp is about 65.5°, which is normal for this time of year. It’s not big, but it’s rideable and tidy. Crowds are possible here, so keep an eye out.

The real standout is Thursday the 23rd of July. That morning is the best of the whole outlook. Clean, glassy conditions with a light offshore wind from the WNW, and the swell jumps to 4.9ft from the east with a very long period of 13 seconds. That’s a proper groundswell – more energy, better shaped waves, and longer lulls between sets. The combined energy is strong (860). This is a reef break, so that long-period swell will line up nicely. It’s a bit too much for beginners, but for advanced surfers it’s a gem. The afternoon gets a bit cross-onshore, but the morning is the one.

Friday the 24th is also very good, with 4.6ft from the east, 11-second period, and light offshore winds again. Clean and fun, with moderate energy (508 to 568). Saturday the 25th starts to fade with a cross-shore breeze, then a strong southerly blow in the afternoon messes it up. From the 26th onward, it’s back to onshore winds and poor conditions, with the swell dropping off.

So, if you can wait, Thursday morning the 23rd is your best bet – clean, solid groundswell at Nobbys Reef. The rest of the second week is mostly a bust.

Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 22mm), heaviest during Thu morning. Very mild (max 19°C on Tue afternoon, min 12°C on Tue morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SSW on Wed afternoon, light winds from the SE by Thu morning).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Fri morning. Very mild (max 17°C on Fri afternoon, min 16°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light.

Tuesday
14
Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
Friday
17
Saturday
18
Sunday
19
Monday
20
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
S
20
0.1
S
16
0.7
SW
6
2.2
S
8
3
S
10
2
S
8
2
S
8
2.2
S
8
1.4
S
8
1
S
7
1.2
SE
6
0.8
S
9
1.6
SE
6
1.4
ESE
6
1.6
E
8
1.8
E
9
1.7
E
10
1.5
E
10
1.4
E
10
1.3
E
10
1.2
E
10
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
8
5
31
675
1507
496
463
596
217
91
99
96
171
155
316
563
627
434
384
346
290
Wind (km/h)
25
WNW
15
NW
15
WSW
25
SW
35
SSW
30
S
20
S
10
SE
20
SE
15
SE
20
SSE
20
SE
25
SSE
25
SSE
25
SE
20
ESE
15
SE
15
E
10
E
10
E
5
NNW
Wind State
off
off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
on
on
on
on
on
on
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
High Tide
8:15PM1.95m
9:04AM1.33m
9:04PM1.94m
9:52AM1.37m
9:52PM1.87m
10:39AM1.38m
10:39PM1.76m
11:26AM1.38m
11:24PM1.61m
12:13PM1.37m
00:10AM1.45m
1:01PM1.37m
00:56AM1.29m
Low Tide
1:41PM0.37m
3:03AM0.09m
2:35PM0.36m
3:50AM0.09m
3:28PM0.36m
4:35AM0.12m
4:20PM0.40m
5:17AM0.18m
5:12PM0.45m
5:58AM0.26m
6:06PM0.52m
6:38AM0.35m
7:03PM0.58m
clear
part cloud
clear
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
mod rain
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:54
6:52
6:52
6:52
6:52
6:52
6:50
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:02
5:02
5:04
5:04
5:05
5:06
5:06
 mm
1
2
5
6
5
3
1
1
1
Temp °C
17
19
14
14
15
16
15
15
17
16
17
17
17
16
16
16
16
16
17
17
17
Feels °C
12
15
9
7
8
11
13
13
13
13
13
13
12
11
11
12
13
13
14
15
16
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Nobbys Reef Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Nobbys Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Nobbys Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Nobbys Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Nobbys Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Nobbys Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Nobbys Reef, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Newcastle which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 31 km (19 miles) away, Port Stephens, Cessnock and Central Coast.

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