Surf Forecasts:
Nobbys Reef surf forecast from 23 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 24 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 10s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 28 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 11s period, SSE swell with 297 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 24 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 10s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Nobbys Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 24) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 8s. Another secondary swell of 0.9m and 5s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Nobbys Reef in the next 16 days are 1.1m 11s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 28) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Friday (Aug 28) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Mon 24th Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Mon 24th Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Fri 28th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here. Let’s talk about Nobbys Reef. Looking at the next couple of weeks, it’s a bit of a mixed bag—we’ve got some clean windows but plenty of ordinary days to wade through too.
The water’s sitting at 64°F, which is about average for this time of year, nothing wild.
First up, Monday the 24th of August morning is looking like our first real chance. The swell is a small 3ft from the S with a 10-second period, and the wind is a light northerly, making it cross-offshore and clean. That’s half-decent for a Monday session, but it’s not big—friendly for most skill levels. The combined swell energy is moderate at 220.
Thursday the 27th of August morning sees a bump in size to 5ft from the S, but the wind is cross-onshore from the SSE, so it’s lumpy with only marginal conditions. The energy is moderate at 316, but it’s not the cleanest.
Friday the 28th of August morning is a standout. Glassy conditions with a light offshore from the NW, swell at 3ft from the S, 9-second period—clean and tidy. Combined energy is moderate at 223. This is a nice one for a relaxed paddle.
Now, look ahead to Monday the 31st of August morning. We’ve got a very long-period groundswell coming in—19 seconds from the SSE—with a small 2ft wave height. That long period means really clean lines, but it might break a bit straight at a reef like this. Wind is cross-offshore from the NNW, and it’s clean. The energy is strong at 401. For a reef break, that long-period energy could line up beautifully if you know the take-off spots. Crowds are possible here, so keep that in mind.
Tuesday the 1st of September morning offers another clean one: offshore WNW wind, 2ft from the S with a 15-second period. Moderate energy at 283, clean conditions.
Wednesday the 2nd of September morning is also solid—light offshore NW wind at 12 mph, 2ft from the S, 14-second period. Clean and moderate offshore wind, combined energy at 232.
Then we get a gap of a few days with smaller, weaker surf and less inspiring conditions until Sunday the 6th of September. That morning sees a clean NW offshore breeze, 2ft from the S with a 14-second period, and moderate energy at 257.
For the best of the bunch, I’m calling Friday the 28th of August morning—those glassy conditions and a clean S swell make for a lovely session. The second standout is Monday the 31st of August morning: that long-period, high-energy groundswell is rare and could be a treat if you’re comfortable on a reef. It’s a few weeks away, so keep an eye on it.
Stay keen.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Tue afternoon. Warm (max 23°C on Tue morning, min 14°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Wed afternoon. Very mild (max 17°C on Fri morning, min 13°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SSW on Wed afternoon, calm by Fri night). | |||||||||||||||||||
Sun 23 | Monday 24 | Tuesday 25 | Wednesday 26 | Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 8 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | S 6 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 9 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 194 | 231 | 123 | 89 | 68 | 53 | 76 | 87 | 65 | 48 | 104 | 277 | 201 | 124 | 130 | 198 | 218 | 163 | 197 | 161 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | off | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross | on | on | glassy |
High Tide | 4:52PM1.43m | 5:52AM1.02m | 5:41PM1.50m | 6:35AM1.11m | 6:23PM1.57m | 7:12AM1.20m | 7:02PM1.62m | 7:46AM1.28m | 7:40PM1.65m | 8:19AM1.35m | 8:17PM1.66m | 8:52AM1.41m | 8:54PM1.63m | |||||||
Low Tide | 11:59PM0.47m | 11:00AM0.61m | 00:36AM0.38m | 11:53AM0.55m | 1:10AM0.29m | 12:39PM0.48m | 1:42AM0.22m | 1:22PM0.41m | 2:14AM0.17m | 2:02PM0.35m | 2:46AM0.15m | 2:42PM0.30m | 3:18AM0.15m | |||||||
 |  | | | |  |  |  | |  | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — |
 | 5:29 | — | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 6 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 17 | 17 | 20 | 20 | 18 | 23 | 21 | 16 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15 |
Feels °C | 14 | 14 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 20 | 19 | 16 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 8 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | ENE 5 | ENE 7 | S 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | S 6 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 9 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 |
| kJ | 194 | 231 | 123 | 89 | 29 | 53 | 27 | 87 | 65 | 48 | 104 | 277 | 201 | 124 | 130 | 198 | 218 | 163 | 197 | 161 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 15 | ENE 8 | E 5 | SSE 17 | S 10 | S 9 | S 16 | S 9 | S 8 | S 11 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | S 8 | ENE 5 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 |
| kJ | 112 | 7 | 19 | 28 | 68 | 28 | 19 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 35 | 34 | 38 | 55 | 38 | 46 | 20 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | SSE 17 | E 13 | ENE 9 | S 16 | — | S 16 | S 16 | S 15 | S 15 | S 16 | SSE 15 | S 12 | SSE 13 | S 13 | ENE 8 | S 10 | — | SSE 4 |
| kJ | — | — | 28 | 3 | 8 | 20 | — | 21 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 72 | 55 | 29 | 13 | 33 | — | 7 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 9 | ENE 5 | NE 5 | ENE 4 | ENE 6 | NNW 2 | ENE 7 | — | — | S 4 | — | — | — | NE 3 | — | E 8 | NE 5 | SSW 4 | — | — |
| kJ | 8 | 29 | 50 | 31 | 55 | 1 | 76 | — | — | 10 | — | — | — | 3 | — | 48 | 50 | 4 | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 81 | 30 | 0 | 226 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 201 | 42 | 9 | 81 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 30 | 9 | 44 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Nobbys Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Nobbys Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Nobbys Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Nobbys Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Nobbys Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Nobbys Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Nobbys Reef, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Newcastle which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 31 km (19 miles) away, Port Stephens, Cessnock and Central Coast.
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