Surf Forecasts:
Nobbys Reef surf forecast from 14 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 21 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 10s period, E swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 15 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period, S swell with 1,507 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 15 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 6s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Nobbys Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 10s. Another secondary swell of 0.1m and 15s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Nobbys Reef in the next 16 days are 3.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 3s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 10PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Wed 15th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 6s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Tue 21st Jul) | 4ft (1.2m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Wed 15th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, I’m Rusty. Let’s talk about what’s coming up.
The first several days are a total dud. Tuesday and Wednesday the 14th and 15th are flat or blown out, with a sloppy 7.2ft wave on the 15th that’s no good. Thursday the 16th through Monday the 20th stay poor or marginal, with onshore winds and choppy conditions. That’s a solid week of nothing to get excited about.
Then things turn. Tuesday the 21st and Wednesday the 22nd bring clean, waist-high surf at Nobbys Reef. The swell is a small 3.3ft to 3.6ft from the east, with a period of 10 seconds, so it’s a gentle groundswell. The wind goes offshore and light, so the surface will be clean. The combined swell energy is moderate (217 to 284), and water temp is about 65.5°, which is normal for this time of year. It’s not big, but it’s rideable and tidy. Crowds are possible here, so keep an eye out.
The real standout is Thursday the 23rd of July. That morning is the best of the whole outlook. Clean, glassy conditions with a light offshore wind from the WNW, and the swell jumps to 4.9ft from the east with a very long period of 13 seconds. That’s a proper groundswell – more energy, better shaped waves, and longer lulls between sets. The combined energy is strong (860). This is a reef break, so that long-period swell will line up nicely. It’s a bit too much for beginners, but for advanced surfers it’s a gem. The afternoon gets a bit cross-onshore, but the morning is the one.
Friday the 24th is also very good, with 4.6ft from the east, 11-second period, and light offshore winds again. Clean and fun, with moderate energy (508 to 568). Saturday the 25th starts to fade with a cross-shore breeze, then a strong southerly blow in the afternoon messes it up. From the 26th onward, it’s back to onshore winds and poor conditions, with the swell dropping off.
So, if you can wait, Thursday morning the 23rd is your best bet – clean, solid groundswell at Nobbys Reef. The rest of the second week is mostly a bust.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 22mm), heaviest during Thu morning. Very mild (max 19°C on Tue afternoon, min 12°C on Tue morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SSW on Wed afternoon, light winds from the SE by Thu morning). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Fri morning. Very mild (max 17°C on Fri afternoon, min 16°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 20 | S 16 | SW 6 | S 8 | S 10 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 7 | SE 6 | S 9 | SE 6 | ESE 6 | E 8 | E 9 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 8 | 5 | 31 | 675 | 1507 | 496 | 463 | 596 | 217 | 91 | 99 | 96 | 171 | 155 | 316 | 563 | 627 | 434 | 384 | 346 | 290 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | on | on | on | on | on | on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 8:15PM1.95m | 9:04AM1.33m | 9:04PM1.94m | 9:52AM1.37m | 9:52PM1.87m | 10:39AM1.38m | 10:39PM1.76m | 11:26AM1.38m | 11:24PM1.61m | 12:13PM1.37m | 00:10AM1.45m | 1:01PM1.37m | 00:56AM1.29m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 1:41PM0.37m | 3:03AM0.09m | 2:35PM0.36m | 3:50AM0.09m | 3:28PM0.36m | 4:35AM0.12m | 4:20PM0.40m | 5:17AM0.18m | 5:12PM0.45m | 5:58AM0.26m | 6:06PM0.52m | 6:38AM0.35m | 7:03PM0.58m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  | |  |  | | | | | | |  |  | | | | | | | |
 | 6:54 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — |
 | — | 5:02 | — | — | 5:02 | — | — | 5:04 | — | — | 5:04 | — | — | 5:05 | — | — | 5:06 | — | — | 5:06 | — |
mm | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 17 | 19 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 17 |
Feels °C | 12 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 7 | S 7 | S 10 | — | — | — | S 18 | S 18 | S 8 | S 7 | S 9 | S 9 | SSE 21 | S 10 | S 10 | E 9 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 |
| kJ | 4 | 4 | 8 | — | — | — | 6 | 25 | 217 | 91 | 36 | 95 | 44 | 46 | 45 | 563 | 627 | 434 | 384 | 346 | 290 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | S 16 | S 15 | — | — | — | S 15 | S 18 | SSE 17 | SSE 18 | S 15 | S 24 | S 21 | SSE 20 | SSE 19 | S 9 | SSE 17 | S 14 | S 13 | S 12 | S 12 |
| kJ | 2 | 5 | 5 | — | — | — | 4 | 27 | 30 | 31 | 18 | 12 | 35 | 38 | 36 | 25 | 99 | 100 | 116 | 102 | 66 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 20 | S 10 | E 10 | — | — | — | — | — | S 17 | E 10 | S 16 | — | — | — | — | SSE 18 | S 10 | S 9 | SE 16 | SE 15 | SE 14 |
| kJ | 8 | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 50 | 2 | 20 | — | — | — | — | 106 | 29 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 3 | NW 3 | SW 6 | S 8 | S 10 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | ESE 5 | ESE 6 | SE 6 | ESE 6 | SE 6 | ESE 6 | E 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 7 | 1 | 31 | 675 | 1507 | 496 | 463 | 596 | 32 | 53 | 99 | 96 | 171 | 155 | 316 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 174 | 421 | 0 | 92 | 96 | 85 | 30 | 30 | 66 | 9 | 44 | 70 | 90 | 139 | 179 | 96 | 96 | 154 | 81 | 30 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)- Wind Speed (km/h)
FREE! Surf-Forecast.com widget for your website
The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Nobbys Reef surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the Nobbys Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Nobbys Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Nobbys Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Nobbys Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Nobbys Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Nobbys Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Nobbys Reef, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Newcastle which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 31 km (19 miles) away, Port Stephens, Cessnock and Central Coast.
Nearest