Surf Forecasts:
Nobbys Reef surf forecast from 8 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 9 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 8s period, SSE swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 10 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 10s period, S swell with 2,078 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 9 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 8s period with SSE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Nobbys Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Nobbys Reef in the next 16 days are 3.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.3m 2s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Wed 9th Sep) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Wed 9th Sep) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here again. Let’s break down what’s coming for Nobbys Reef.
Water temp is right around average for the season, nothing to write home about.
The first few days are a bit flat, but the real highlight is the morning of Wednesday, September 16th. That morning, Nobbys Reef has a clean 1.6m swell from the SSE, with a 9-second period, and the wind is glassy. The combined energy is moderate (560). That’s going to be silky, lined-up, and a proper session for the advanced crew. The period isn’t crazy long, but the glassy conditions will make it feel like a dream.
Another one to pencil in is the morning of Saturday, September 12th. That’s a 1.3m SSE swell at 9 seconds, with glassy wind – dead calm. The combined energy is moderate (393). For a reef break, that’s going to be smooth as butter, with the swell wrapping in from the SE. Crowds are possible, so get there early.
Now, the morning of Monday, September 21st is a big one: a 3.0m SSE swell with an 11-second period and a clean offshore wind from the NW. The combined energy is strong (2070). But that’s too big for this break. It’s expert-only, and even then, it’s going to be a heavy, dangerous mess. Stay off the reef that day.
There’s a window on the morning of Thursday, September 10th, with a 2.5m SSE swell and a 10-second period, combined energy of 1228. But the wind is cross-shore, putting a chop on the face. Not ideal for a reef.
The second week is quieter. The morning of Saturday, September 20th has a 0.5m S swell with a very long 16-second period, a clean offshore wind, and combined energy of 288. That’s classic groundswell: long, clean lines, good for the reef, but it’s tiny. Fun for a longboard.
The morning of Wednesday, September 9th is small: 1.0m from the S at 8 seconds, with a light cross-offshore wind and moderate energy (226). It’s clean but small. The morning of Sunday, September 13th has a tiny 0.9m SSE swell, clean but weak.
There’s a long stretch of poor conditions from the 14th to the 15th, and again from the 17th to the 19th, with onshore wind and very small swell. The afternoon of the 15th is a total loss with a 1.4m SSE swell and a 5-second period – that’s just wind chop on a reef, no good for paddle surfing.
The morning of Sunday, September 20th is another small one: 0.5m S swell at a 16-second period, offshore wind, combined energy of 118. That’s a glassy, long-period groundswell, but it’s tiny. Clean and fun for a small wave board.
So, the best of the bunch is Wednesday the 16th morning – that’s the one to aim for. Saturday the 12th is a close second for that glassy, clean reef session. The big one on the 21st is a warning, not a day to paddle out. Stay sharp.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Tue night, min 11°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (calm on Tue night, strong winds from the S by Wed afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Warm (max 23°C on Mon morning, min 12°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 9 | S 8 | S 7 | S 10 | SSE 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 12 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | S 9 | S 13 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 433 | 140 | 539 | 1991 | 1086 | 1013 | 1334 | 614 | 451 | 337 | 271 | 343 | 200 | 124 | 64 | 161 | 134 | 114 | 77 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 6:55AM1.32m | 6:59PM1.74m | 7:38AM1.42m | 7:45PM1.73m | 8:18AM1.49m | 8:28PM1.67m | 8:56AM1.53m | 9:08PM1.58m | 9:33AM1.54m | 9:47PM1.46m | 10:10AM1.53m | 10:25PM1.32m | |||||||
Low Tide | 00:51AM0.15m | 12:36PM0.33m | 1:33AM0.11m | 1:27PM0.25m | 2:11AM0.10m | 2:14PM0.21m | 2:47AM0.12m | 2:59PM0.20m | 3:21AM0.17m | 3:43PM0.24m | 3:53AM0.24m | 4:26PM0.31m | |||||||
 |  |  |  | | |  |  | |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | 6:01 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — |
 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:43 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 15 | 23 | 22 | 19 |
Feels °C | 15 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 19 | 16 | 17 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 9 | S 8 | ESE 13 | ESE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | S 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 12 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | S 9 | S 13 | S 12 | S 11 | ENE 6 |
| kJ | 433 | 140 | 17 | 47 | 1086 | 736 | 878 | 614 | 451 | 337 | 271 | 343 | 200 | 124 | 64 | 161 | 134 | 114 | 32 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | SE 7 | E 9 | S 26 | ESE 10 | SSE 22 | SSE 18 | SE 21 | E 14 | SE 18 | SSE 19 | SSE 18 | SSE 19 | SSE 16 | SSE 11 | ENE 5 | ENE 5 | E 12 | S 10 |
| kJ | 2 | 79 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 197 | 126 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 118 | 127 | 148 | 53 | 43 | 24 | 5 | 3 | 77 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 15 | E 9 | E 17 | — | SSE 23 | SE 10 | ESE 9 | E 15 | E 9 | E 13 | E 14 | E 14 | E 13 | E 13 | SSE 15 | E 13 | E 13 | E 10 | E 12 |
| kJ | 4 | 7 | 6 | — | 104 | 23 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 3 | 14 | 23 | 13 | 13 | 2 | 3 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NW 2 | S 7 | S 10 | — | S 10 | S 10 | — | — | — | — | E 3 | ENE 4 | NE 4 | E 4 | NE 5 | — | ENE 4 | — |
| kJ | — | 1 | 539 | 1991 | — | 1013 | 1334 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 9 | 4 | 24 | 45 | — | 13 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 702 | 185 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 81 | 0 | 0 | 276 | 0 | 0 | 154 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Nobbys Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Nobbys Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Nobbys Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Nobbys Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Nobbys Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Nobbys Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Nobbys Reef, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Newcastle which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 31 km (19 miles) away, Port Stephens, Cessnock and Central Coast.
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