
Surf Forecasts:
Nobbys Reef surf forecast from 13 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 16 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period, S swell with cross-shore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 16 Sep, 4PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 10s period, S swell with 2,770 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 14 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 10s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Nobbys Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 14) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 6s. Another secondary swell of 1.1m and 6s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Nobbys Reef in the next 16 days are 3.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 4s period and expected on Friday (Sep 18) at 10PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Mon 14th Sep) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Wed 16th Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Wed 16th Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Righto, let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for Nobbys Reef over the next couple of weeks. To be honest, it’s a bit of a mixed bag, and we’re gonna have to pick our moments.
First up, Sunday the 13th is a write-off. We’ve got a messy 3ft S’ly swell with a fresh cross-shore wind and lumpy conditions – not worth paddling out for.
Monday the 14th shows a little promise early. A clean 2ft S’ly swell with a light cross-offshore breeze from the north, making for surfable waves, though it’s nothing to write home about. The energy’s moderate at best (157). Monday afternoon goes back to poor.
Tuesday the 15th morning is clean but tiny – just 1ft of SSE swell with a gentle offshore wind. It’s surfable but very ordinary. The combined energy is weak (51). Afternoon is onshore and even worse.
Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Wednesday the 16th morning sees a big jump: a 8ft S’ly swell with a period of 9 seconds, but it’s coming in with a fresh cross-shore wind and lumpy cross-chop. The energy is strong (1208), but conditions are marginal. Wednesday afternoon ramps up to 12ft S’ly swell with a strong cross-onshore wind – that’s messy and only for the brave.
Thursday the 17th morning is the standout for the first week – but only for experts. We’ve got a 12ft S’ly swell (3890 energy) with a cross-shore wind. The swell is too big for this break for most people, and the conditions are lumpy. If you’re an experienced charger and you know Nobbys, this could be on, but it’s a serious session.
Friday the 18th morning brings a much cleaner window: 5ft SSE swell with a light offshore wind from the NW, clean conditions and moderate energy (389). That’s your best bet for a solid, manageable session this week. Expect good surf.
Saturday the 19th morning is small but clean again – 3ft S’ly swell, light cross-offshore breeze, clean (260 energy). A nice little session for the log or a fun shortboard.
From there, it drops off. Sunday the 20th is tiny with offshore wind – not much to work with. The 21st sees a return of big swell (10ft S’ly) but with onshore wind, making it a no-go for paddling. The energy is very strong (2017), but it’s messy.
The second week has a couple of highlights. Tuesday the 22nd morning is clean with 5ft S’ly swell, light cross-offshore wind, and moderate energy (474). Expect good surf – a solid, fun morning. The afternoon holds similar quality.
After that, it’s mostly small or windy until Thursday the 24th morning, which brings glassy conditions but only 1ft of swell – surfable but tiny. The energy is weak (43).
The standout overall is Friday the 18th morning – that 5ft SSE swell with clean offshore wind and moderate energy will be the pick of the fortnight for a decent session. For the brave, Thursday the 17th morning offers big, challenging waves but it’s only for experts.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 24°C on Mon morning, min 12°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (light winds from the N on Mon morning, strong winds from the S by Tue night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Warm (max 23°C on Sat morning, min 10°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the SSW on Wed afternoon, light winds from the SW by Thu night). | |||||||||||||||||||
Sun 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | Saturday 19 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | S 10 | S 12 | S 11 | NE 6 | SSE 10 | SE 4 | S 6 | S 9 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | S 9 | S 9 | SSE 17 | SSE 16 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
143 | 100 | 132 | 85 | 126 | 31 | 17 | 366 | 1198 | 2770 | 2726 | 2223 | 1493 | 645 | 380 | 343 | 185 | 95 | 100 | 53 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | off | on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-off | off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | off |
High Tide | 9:47PM1.46m | 10:10AM1.53m | 10:25PM1.32m | 10:48AM1.50m | 11:03PM1.19m | 11:27AM1.46m | 11:44PM1.07m | 12:11PM1.41m | 00:35AM0.98m | 1:02PM1.36m | 1:45AM0.92m | 2:03PM1.34m | 3:16AM0.92m | |||||||
Low Tide | 3:53AM0.24m | 4:26PM0.31m | 4:24AM0.32m | 5:12PM0.39m | 4:55AM0.41m | 6:01PM0.48m | 5:28AM0.51m | 6:59PM0.55m | 6:08AM0.59m | 8:08PM0.59m | 7:03AM0.67m | 9:25PM0.58m | ||||||||
— | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | |
5:42 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:44 | — | — | 5:44 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 20 | 17 | 24 | 24 | 22 | 24 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 20 | 19 | 16 | 23 | 23 | 21 |
Feels °C | 14 | 13 | 20 | 21 | 19 | 20 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 14 | 14 | 19 | 19 | 17 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | ENE 6 | S 12 | S 11 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | E 14 | — | — | S 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 |
143 | 53 | 132 | 85 | 34 | 17 | 3 | 5 | 4 | — | — | 1664 | 1106 | 645 | 380 | 343 | 185 | 95 | 55 | 39 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 17 | S 10 | ENE 6 | E 12 | S 10 | SSE 10 | E 14 | E 14 | NE 7 | — | — | E 13 | SSE 19 | E 13 | S 18 | SSE 18 | ESE 9 | SE 9 | SE 8 | SE 9 |
29 | 100 | 12 | 3 | 51 | 31 | 4 | 4 | 2 | — | — | 3 | 34 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 108 | 73 | 42 | 29 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 13 | E 13 | E 13 | E 10 | E 12 | E 13 | E 14 | — | E 14 | — | — | — | E 13 | — | E 12 | E 12 | SSE 17 | SSE 17 | SSE 17 | SSE 16 |
17 | 3 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 15 | — | 4 | — | — | — | 3 | — | 3 | 3 | 101 | 92 | 100 | 53 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 5 | NE 6 | — | ENE 4 | NE 6 | — | SE 4 | S 6 | S 9 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | — | — | E 3 | WSW 2 | — | NE 2 | NW 3 |
56 | 95 | — | 16 | 126 | — | 17 | 366 | 1198 | 2770 | 2726 | 2223 | 1493 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 287 | 0 | 0 | 81 | 0 | 0 | 70 | 259 | 739 | 831 | 293 | 96 | 125 | 0 | 0 | 75 | 0 | 0 | 81 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Nobbys Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Nobbys Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Nobbys Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Nobbys Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Nobbys Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Nobbys Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Nobbys Reef, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Newcastle which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 31 km (19 miles) away, Port Stephens, Cessnock and Central Coast.










