Nobbys Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cooking for the next couple of weeks around Nobbys Reef.

First up, the water temp is sitting at 64°, which is a touch cooler than average for this time of year – nothing crazy, just a bit of a chill in the water.

Right now, we’re in a bit of a flat spell. The first few days offer barely a bump. Thursday afternoon the 6th has some tiny 2ft S swell, but it’s so weak the combined energy is only 98 – that’s weak sauce. Not worth paddling out for. Friday morning the 7th is a little cleaner with a cross-off breeze, but the swell is even smaller at 2ft from the SSE. Still, nothing to write home about.

Saturday morning the 8th is glassy, but again, just 1ft of SSE swell – you’d be chasing whitewater. Saturday afternoon gets a bit of onshore breeze and chop. Sunday the 9th is a write-off with small, weak E swell.

Monday the 10th is a complete no-go. Strong offshore winds at 28 mph make it clean but impossible to paddle into, and combined energy is only 99.

Now, things start to get interesting around Tuesday the 11th. Tuesday afternoon sees a nice jump: 4ft of S swell, period 9 seconds, and a clean offshore NW wind at 12 mph. The combined energy hits 379 (moderate), and the conditions are looking good. This is the first real standout of the period. Not huge, but clean and surfable.

Wednesday morning the 12th is also decent – 4ft S swell, light offshore NW wind, and 274 combined energy. Clean, fun waves for the advanced crew.

Then we hit a huge pulse. Thursday the 13th afternoon brings a 8ft S swell with an 11-second period, and combined energy rockets to 1605 (strong). But the wind is cross-shore, making it a bit lumpy. It’s big, but not perfect.

Friday the 14th morning is the big one. A solid 12ft SSE groundswell with a 12-second period, combined energy of 3186 (very strong). The wind is light offshore from the W, which would be clean, but this is way too big for Nobbys Reef – this is expert-only territory. The reef will be punishing, and the sets will be long and heavy. Only for the brave.

Saturday the 15th morning is still massive – 10ft S swell, 10-second period, 3091 combined energy – but again, cross-shore wind and too big for this break.

After that, the swell drops but the wind turns nasty. From Sunday the 16th through to the 21st, it’s a mix of onshore, cross-shore, and rain – lots of poor conditions. Waves are small and messy, not worth your time.

The best bet for the whole outlook is Tuesday afternoon the 11th and Wednesday morning the 12th – clean, offshore winds, moderate S swell, and manageable size for the advanced crowd. The 14th and 15th are massive but only for experts, and even then, the wind isn’t ideal.

Keep an eye on the forecast, but for now, the window is narrow.

Rusty

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