Surf Forecasts:
Nobbys Reef surf forecast from 11 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 12 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 11s period, S swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 11 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 11s period, S swell with 496 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 12 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 11s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Nobbys Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Nobbys Reef in the next 16 days are 1.5m 11s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 11) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 3s period and expected on Tuesday (Aug 11) at 10PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Wed 12th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Wed 12th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Tue 11th Aug) | 5ft (1.5m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s break it down.
For Nobbys Reef, it’s a reef break that only suits advanced surfers, and it’s inconsistent – it doesn’t come alive every day, so when it does, you’ve gotta move. Water temp is about 64°, a touch cooler than usual for this time of year, so you’ll want a good wetsuit.
The first real look comes Tuesday morning (12th). But the standout is Wednesday morning (12th) – clean 4ft swell from the south, 10-second period, and offshore winds from the WNW. Combined energy is moderate at 273. It’s not massive, but it’s clean and rideable. That’s your call for the short term.
Thursday (13th) turns sloppy with cross-shore wind. Friday (14th) morning offers a tiny clean window – 3ft from the SSE, but the period is short at 7 seconds, so it’s weak and pretty ordinary.
Then it goes quiet. From Friday afternoon all the way through to Sunday 24th August, there’s almost nothing worth suiting up for. Onshore winds, small swell, blown-out conditions – a solid 10-day stretch of mostly junk.
Monday morning, 24th August is the long-range highlight. Clean 3ft swell from the east with an 8-second period and light offshore breezes. Combined energy hits a moderate 240. It won’t be big, but it’s the cleanest you’ll see in that second week. With the inconsistency of this spot, expect it to be quiet.
So, bottom line: Wednesday morning, 12th August is your best near-term bet. For the patient, Monday morning, 24th August is the one that could deliver a clean little session. Not an epic run, but there are a couple of windows if you pick your timing.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Tue afternoon, min 10°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Sat night. Very mild (max 16°C on Sat morning, min 12°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | SSW 8 | S 8 | S 8 | SSE 7 | S 8 | S 7 | SSE 7 | SSE 7 | S 7 | SSE 7 | SSE 7 | SE 7 | SE 7 | SE 7 | ESE 7 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 42 | 325 | 465 | 242 | 134 | 99 | 196 | 196 | 234 | 86 | 190 | 183 | 121 | 269 | 238 | 168 | 247 | 323 | 262 | 197 | 151 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-off | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | on | on | on | on |
High Tide | 7:13PM1.85m | 7:59AM1.33m | 8:03PM1.87m | 8:44AM1.39m | 8:49PM1.83m | 9:26AM1.44m | 9:32PM1.74m | 10:08AM1.45m | 10:14PM1.61m | 10:48AM1.45m | 10:54PM1.46m | 11:30AM1.42m | 11:35PM1.30m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 12:41PM0.36m | 1:58AM0.10m | 1:36PM0.30m | 2:42AM0.06m | 2:27PM0.26m | 3:22AM0.07m | 3:15PM0.26m | 4:01AM0.12m | 4:02PM0.29m | 4:37AM0.19m | 4:49PM0.36m | 5:12AM0.28m | 5:38PM0.44m | ||||||||
 | |  |  | | | | | | | |  |  | | |  | |  | | | | |
 | 6:35 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — |
 | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:23 | — | — | 5:24 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | — | 1 | — | — | — | 1 |
Temp °C | 19 | 20 | 14 | 18 | 18 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 |
Feels °C | 13 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | SSE 7 | S 8 | SSE 7 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | S 7 | SSE 7 | SSE 16 | S 14 | SE 7 | SE 7 | ESE 7 |
| kJ | 42 | 325 | 465 | 242 | 134 | 99 | 103 | 196 | 234 | 86 | 137 | 140 | 17 | 17 | 238 | 168 | 50 | 15 | 262 | 188 | 151 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | S 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | SSE 15 | SSE 14 | ENE 10 | SSE 17 | E 10 | E 10 | S 7 | S 9 | S 8 |
| kJ | 29 | 28 | 28 | 31 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 17 | 41 | 17 | 17 | 22 | 19 | 18 | 57 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 36 | 35 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 17 | ENE 9 | — | — | S 14 | S 13 | S 16 | S 19 | S 16 | ENE 9 | SSE 19 | SSE 16 | S 15 | — | S 19 | ENE 10 | S 11 | S 18 | S 16 | S 16 | — |
| kJ | 6 | 65 | — | — | 4 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 36 | 51 | 4 | — | 27 | 19 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 5 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 4 | NW 3 | W 3 | WNW 3 | NW 3 | WNW 3 | SSW 8 | — | — | — | S 8 | S 7 | SSE 7 | SSE 7 | ESE 5 | SE 5 | SSE 7 | SE 7 | — | ESE 7 | — |
| kJ | 6 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 196 | — | — | — | 190 | 183 | 121 | 269 | 17 | 27 | 247 | 323 | — | 197 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 44 | 96 | 9 | 107 | 516 | 125 | 271 | 271 | 136 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Nobbys Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Nobbys Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Nobbys Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Nobbys Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Nobbys Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Nobbys Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Nobbys Reef, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Newcastle which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 31 km (19 miles) away, Port Stephens, Cessnock and Central Coast.
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