Nobbys Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’m gonna be straight with you – the next couple of weeks are a real mixed bag for Nobbys Reef. The water’s sitting at 66°F with a barely-there anomaly, so pretty average for this time of year. We’ve got a couple of solid windows, but you’ll have to wade through a lot of junk to get to ’em.

The outlook kicks off on Thursday the 10th with a punchy 8ft S swell, but it’s a no-go from the start. That southerly wind is blowing cross-shore at 12 mph, and the energy is massive (2453), but it’s all cross-chop and messy. The waves are too big for anyone but experts anyway, and the conditions are just plain poor. That sets the tone for a rough patch – Friday the 11th is cross-onshore and choppy, Saturday the 12th is light but still cross-on, and Sunday the 13th offers a tiny 3ft SSE swell with clean conditions early, but it’s tiny and ordinary. Honestly, from Thursday through to Tuesday the 15th, it’s mostly poor surf with a few marginal moments. That’s a solid five or six days of nothing to get excited about.

Things start to look a little better on Thursday the 17th. The morning brings a 4ft S swell with a light NNE cross-offshore breeze and clean conditions. It’s not huge, but the energy is moderate (251) and the setup is clean. This is a solid option for a paddle if you’re keen for a session that isn’t a battle. Then Friday the 18th morning is small but clean again with a 2ft SSW swell and a light WNW offshore blowing – gentle waves for a cruisy surf.

Now, the real standout is Saturday the 19th. We’ve got a 6ft SSE swell rolling in with a long 14-second period – that’s proper groundswell energy, and the combined energy is a hefty 2070. The wind is onshore from the SE, which is a bit of a shame, but the wave power is there. This is a reef break, so that long period will wrap in nicely, but it might be a bit straight for the beachies. It’s still the best of the bunch for size and grunt, but expect it to be a bit lumpy. Sunday the 20th morning is another cracker – a 5ft S swell with a 12-second period, light N cross-offshore wind, and clean conditions. The energy is high (802), and this is your best bet for a clean, powerful session. It’s a proper standout.

After that, we get a bit of a drop-off. Monday the 21st is cross-on and lumpy, Tuesday the 22nd morning is clean but small at 3ft, and then it gets messy again through the end of the period. The swell picks up again on the 23rd afternoon with a 8ft S swell, but the wind is a fresh cross-on at 19 mph, so it’s messy and lumpy. The 24th and 25th are blown out with strong winds and rain, making it a write-off.

So, to wrap it up: the best bet is Sunday the 20th morning at Nobbys Reef – 5ft S swell, clean, and powerful. Saturday the 19th is the call for size if you don’t mind a bit of wind. The 17th and 18th mornings are decent for a small, clean paddle. The rest of the window is mostly poor, with a lot of wind and chop. Keep an eye on the 20th, though – that’s the one.

Rusty.

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