Nobbys Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let's get into it. This is Rusty, lookin' at the charts for the next couple of weeks, and honestly, it's a bit of a mixed bag. We're gonna have to be patient, but there are a couple of windows that'll get the heart pumping.

First up, we're looking at a stretch where the surf is pretty ordinary. The water temp is sittin' around 64°, which is about 1° cooler than average for this time of year, so nothing too wild there.

We kick off with a bit of a wait. The first real chance to get wet comes on Tuesday, the 25th of August. Nobbys Reef is the only spot on the cards. Early Tuesday morning, we've got a tiny 3ft swell from the ENE, but the real story is the wind. It's a clean offshore from the NNW at 6 mph. That's gonna clean things right up. The combined energy is moderate at 104. It's nothing to write home about, but it's surfable.

Tuesday afternoon, the wind shifts to a gentle offshore from the NW, and the swell ticks up a touch to 3ft from the ENE. The energy picks up a bit too at 132. Still very ordinary, but you could get a few. Wednesday morning, the 26th, is similar with a 2ft ENE swell and a light cross-offshore breeze. It's clean, but tiny.

Then things get a bit messy. From Wednesday afternoon through to the end of the month, the wind turns onshore or cross-shore, and the swell, while it gets bigger, is junk. Thursday the 27th has a 5ft S swell, but it's cross-on and choppy. The energy is up there at 312, but the quality is poor. This pattern of onshore slop continues for days.

Now, there's a glimmer. Sunday morning, the 30th of August. We get a 3ft SE swell, and the wind goes glassy. Dead flat calm. The energy is a moderate 165. It's a tiny window, but a clean one.

The standout, and I mean the *only* real standout in this whole 16-day forecast, is Monday morning, the 31st of August. Nobbys Reef. The swell is small, only 2ft, but it's a long-period groundswell from the south, with a period of 18 seconds. That's a very long period. The combined energy is moderate at 212. The wind is glassy. Absolutely dead calm. For a reef break, that long-period groundswell will produce some clean, lined-up waves. It won't be big, but it'll be the most quality you'll see all forecast. Keep in mind, it's inconsistent, and it's an advanced wave, so not for the groms. And crowds are possible.

After that, we're back into the doldrums. The first week of September is a write-off. The 1st has a tiny 1ft S swell with offshore wind, but it's weak. From the 2nd of September onwards, it's a mix of small, onshore, and choppy conditions. The 4th of September has a 4ft SSE swell, but it's a fresh cross-onshore at 19 mph, making it lumpy and horrible. The 5th and 6th are similar, with onshore winds and poor conditions. The energy on the 5th afternoon is 449, but it's all wind and chop.

Honestly, after that Monday morning, there's a gap of about a week with no real recommendations. The surf just drops off. By the 7th and 8th of September, we're looking at tiny 1ft and 1ft swells with no quality.

So, the call is simple. If you're a patient surfer, you've got one day to circle: Monday, August 31st. Get down to Nobbys Reef for that glassy, long-period groundswell. It's your best bet. For everything else, save your energy.

Rusty.

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