Surf Forecasts:
Nobbys Reef surf forecast from 31 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 31 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 9s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 6 Sep, 1PM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 11s period, S swell with 317 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 31 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 9s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Nobbys Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 31) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 16s. Another secondary swell of 0.3m and 3s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Nobbys Reef in the next 16 days are 1.2m 11s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 06) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Friday (Sep 04) at 10PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Mon 31st Aug) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Mon 31st Aug) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Sun 6th Sep) | 4ft (1.2m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, surfers, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s headed our way.
It’s a pretty quiet start to the forecast window, with a lot of small, ordinary surf on offer at Nobbys Reef. The first few days are all about knee-high waves with messy conditions, so we’ll be waiting for a window of cleaner, more promising swell.
The real standout comes on Friday, the 4th of September. The morning session is looking like the pick of the week. We’ve got a clean 3ft S swell rolling in, with glassy conditions and a light breeze. The combined swell energy is moderate at 265, and it’s a long-period groundswell of 11 seconds, which will give those waves some real shape. The water temp is about 65°F, which is normal for this time of year. This is the best chance for a decent session – get on it early.
There’s another good window on Sunday, the 6th of September, with a glassy morning and a 3ft S swell (12s period, 251 energy). That’s a nice, clean option for a paddle. Then, Monday morning the 7th also shows clean conditions with a 2ft S swell (11s, 209 energy). These are all good, clean windows, but the Friday morning is the peak.
After that, things get a bit wild. Wednesday, the 9th of September, sees a massive 16ft S swell hit, with combined energy over 5500. That’s huge, powerful, and way too big for this reef – strictly for experts only, and even then, it’s a serious call. That kind of energy is more suited to kite surfing than paddle surfing. The swell stays big through Thursday, the 10th, with 13ft to 15ft, then drops back down.
Friday, the 11th of September, brings a more manageable 8ft ESE swell in the morning under glassy conditions, with a combined energy of 923. That’s a solid, powerful groundswell, but it’s still big and will be breaking straight at the beach – best left for experienced surfers.
The final few days from the 12th onwards drop back into small, poor surf with onshore winds, so the window of quality is really that first week of September.
Keep your eyes on that Friday the 4th – it’s the best bet.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Thu morning, min 13°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Sat morning, min 14°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NW on Sat afternoon, calm by Sun morning). | |||||||||||||||||||
Mon 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | S 9 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 6 | S 11 | S 9 | S 12 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 12 | S 9 | S 8 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 111 | 110 | 94 | 151 | 108 | 74 | 80 | 50 | 50 | 52 | 25 | 246 | 111 | 69 | 92 | 57 | 25 | 233 | 210 | 63 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross | off | off | off | cross | glassy | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 10:13PM1.48m | 10:43AM1.51m | 10:58PM1.36m | 11:28AM1.51m | 11:50PM1.23m | 12:22PM1.51m | 00:54AM1.12m | 1:26PM1.51m | 2:14AM1.04m | 2:41PM1.52m | 3:47AM1.04m | 3:58PM1.58m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 4:07PM0.29m | 4:25AM0.23m | 4:56PM0.32m | 5:03AM0.31m | 5:53PM0.37m | 5:47AM0.39m | 7:02PM0.42m | 6:42AM0.47m | 8:22PM0.44m | 7:51AM0.54m | 9:49PM0.40m | 9:11AM0.55m | 11:04PM0.32m | |||||||
 |  | | | |  | |  | | | | | | |  | | | | |  | |
 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — |
 | 5:34 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 |
Temp °C | 17 | 16 | 23 | 24 | 21 | 25 | 25 | 21 | 26 | 24 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 18 | 26 | 25 | 21 | 19 | 18 | 16 |
Feels °C | 15 | 14 | 19 | 20 | 18 | 20 | 20 | 18 | 21 | 22 | 12 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 21 | 19 | 19 | 16 | 14 | 14 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | S 9 | S 9 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 6 | S 11 | S 9 | S 8 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 12 | S 9 | S 8 |
| kJ | 111 | 110 | 74 | 151 | 108 | 74 | 80 | 50 | 50 | 52 | 25 | 246 | 111 | 46 | 92 | 57 | 25 | 233 | 210 | 63 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 15 | SSE 15 | S 11 | ENE 10 | ENE 5 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | SSE 10 | ENE 10 | S 18 | S 12 | E 9 | E 9 | E 11 | S 5 | S 20 | SSE 15 |
| kJ | 75 | 77 | 94 | 22 | 9 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 19 | 6 | 69 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 46 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 9 | E 9 | ENE 11 | NE 12 | ENE 10 | ENE 6 | NE 5 | SSE 13 | SSE 13 | S 20 | ENE 10 | NNE 7 | N 10 | NE 4 | ENE 5 | ENE 5 | NE 6 | ENE 10 | E 10 | E 10 |
| kJ | 16 | 13 | 22 | 6 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 17 | 8 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 8 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NE 3 | — | NE 3 | — | NW 3 | NW 3 | NW 3 | NW 3 | WNW 3 | W 3 | — | E 10 | NW 3 | — | NW 3 | WSW 2 | — | E 3 | ENE 5 |
| kJ | — | 2 | — | 1 | — | 3 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | — | 47 | 1 | — | 11 | 1 | — | 7 | 25 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 224 | 0 | 0 | 55 | 23 | 0 | 81 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Nobbys Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Nobbys Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Nobbys Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Nobbys Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Nobbys Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Nobbys Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Nobbys Reef, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Newcastle which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 31 km (19 miles) away, Port Stephens, Cessnock and Central Coast.
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