Surf Forecasts:
Nobbys Reef surf forecast from 3 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 4 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 10s period, SE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 9 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 9s period, ENE swell with 144 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 4 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 10s period with SE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Nobbys Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 04) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.4m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 7s. Another secondary swell of 0.2m and 5s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Nobbys Reef in the next 16 days are 0.9m 9s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 09) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Monday (Aug 10) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Tue 4th Aug) | 1.5ft (0.4m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Tue 4th Aug) | 1.5ft (0.4m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Sun 9th Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let's break down what's coming. It's a long wait for the good stuff, but there is a window if you're keen.
Right off the bat, the first stretch is dead. From now until the 9th of August, it's all small fry. The swell is tiny, from 1.0ft to 3ft, with weak energy readings barely hitting 126. The wind is often light or glassy, but the waves just don't have any push. You'd be better off staying on the sand.
From the 10th of August, the swell tries to get going, but the wind gets stronger and messes up the surface. The water temp is around 64°, pretty normal for this time of year.
Then, around the 13th of August, a monster shows up. A huge south swell is forecast, with an energy reading of 8037 – that's a massive amount of power. For Nobbys Reef, a 15ft swell from the south is way, way too big. It'll be a dangerous, churning mess, only for the craziest experts. The wind is no help either, making it choppy. The 14th is still too big at 10ft.
Here's the one true highlight. You gotta wait, but on Wednesday morning, the 19th of August, things finally line up. The swell drops to a nice 4ft from the ESE. The wind goes light and glassy, turning into a cross-offshore breeze from the west. That means clean, smooth faces. The combined energy is a solid 316, so there's some fun power behind it. For Nobbys Reef, this is your only real shot in the whole 16-day forecast.
So, the story is: a long dry spell, a dangerous, oversized pulse that's no good for this break, and then one sweet, clean morning on the 19th of August. Mark your calendar.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Tue afternoon, min 9°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Sun night. Very mild (max 19°C on Sun afternoon, min 8°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (light winds from the WSW on Fri night, fresh winds from the WNW by Sun night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 10 | ESE 7 | E 11 | E 10 | E 9 | SSE 12 | S 9 | S 9 | S 7 | S 9 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | S 8 | S 8 | SSE 9 | E 9 | E 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | S 9 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 25 | 9 | 10 | 31 | 26 | 27 | 40 | 71 | 39 | 56 | 55 | 50 | 33 | 41 | 25 | 73 | 103 | 144 | 96 | 68 | 58 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | off | cross-off | on | cross-off | cross | on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 12:03PM1.40m | 00:08AM1.34m | 12:54PM1.43m | 1:05AM1.22m | 1:53PM1.46m | 2:17AM1.12m | 3:00PM1.52m | 3:41AM1.07m | 4:12PM1.60m | 5:05AM1.09m | 5:19PM1.69m | 6:15AM1.16m | 6:20PM1.79m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 6:09PM0.48m | 6:25AM0.36m | 7:14PM0.50m | 7:13AM0.42m | 8:30PM0.51m | 8:12AM0.47m | 9:54PM0.46m | 9:20AM0.49m | 11:13PM0.37m | 10:32AM0.48m | 00:18AM0.26m | 11:40AM0.43m | 1:11AM0.16m | ||||||||
 | |  | | | | |  | | | | | | | |  | |  | | | | |
 | 6:41 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — |
 | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 17 | 18 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 18 | 19 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 13 |
Feels °C | 14 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 15 | 16 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 7 | S 6 | ESE 7 | E 10 | E 9 | SSW 5 | S 9 | S 9 | S 7 | S 9 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | S 8 | S 8 | E 8 | E 9 | E 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | S 9 |
| kJ | 18 | 6 | 4 | 31 | 26 | 7 | 40 | 71 | 39 | 55 | 55 | 50 | 33 | 41 | 19 | 73 | 103 | 144 | 96 | 68 | 58 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 10 | ESE 7 | S 6 | SSW 5 | SSW 5 | E 8 | SSW 5 | E 9 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | S 9 | S 8 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | S 7 | SSW 5 | S 7 | ENE 9 |
| kJ | 25 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 22 | 5 | 15 | 38 | 56 | 37 | 35 | 33 | 30 | 25 | 21 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 28 | 47 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 5 | SSE 10 | E 11 | SE 11 | S 11 | SSE 12 | E 8 | SSE 12 | E 10 | E 9 | E 10 | E 10 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | S 7 | E 14 | E 15 | S 13 | S 7 | E 13 | E 13 |
| kJ | 5 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 27 | 12 | 15 | 17 | 14 | 18 | 30 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | SW 3 | — | — | W 3 | — | — | N 3 | — | — | — | — | — | NE 3 | — | NW 3 | WNW 4 | WNW 3 | WNW 3 | NW 3 |
| kJ | — | — | 2 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | — | 1 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 482 | 43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 117 | 0 | 0 | 125 | 0 | 0 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 55 | 107 | 2 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Nobbys Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Nobbys Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Nobbys Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Nobbys Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Nobbys Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Nobbys Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Nobbys Reef, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Newcastle which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 31 km (19 miles) away, Port Stephens, Cessnock and Central Coast.
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