Surf Forecasts:
Nobbys Reef surf forecast from 1 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 7 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 10s period, S swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 6 Sep, 7PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 12s period, S swell with 461 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 2 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 10s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Nobbys Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 02) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Nobbys Reef in the next 16 days are 1.3m 12s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 06) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Wed 2nd Sep) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Mon 7th Sep) | 4ft (1.2m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Sun 6th Sep) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 12s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here again. Let's break down what's coming up.
We've only got one break in this whole 16-day look: Nobbys Reef. It's an advanced reef break, and it's inconsistent, so it doesn't just fire up all the time. The water is 65°, which is about average for the time of year.
This forecast is a slow starter. The first week, from Wednesday the 2nd through Tuesday the 8th, is mostly nothing to write home about. We're looking at ankle to waist-high waves, mostly 1ft to 4ft. The combined swell energy is low to moderate. There are a few clean mornings with offshore wind from the NW on the 2nd, 3rd, 5th, and 7th, but the swell is just too small and weak. It's surfable, but you'd be hard-pressed to have a good time.
Now, the real story starts on Wednesday the 10th of September. A big pulse of south swell is forecast to hit. The combined energy jumps to a very strong level. The problem? The swell is 12ft. For an advanced, inconsistent reef break like Nobbys, that's a monster. The data says it's predicted to be too big for this break, so unless you're a pro on a tow board, give it a miss. The wind is onshore anyway.
The one standout, and the only real highlight in this whole period, is Friday the 11th of September. The swell from Thursday drops to a hefty 8ft. That's still an expert-only wave, not for the groms. But the magic is in the wind: glassy conditions with a light 3 mph breeze from the NNE. For an exposed south-facing reef, that is as good as it gets. The swell is from the SSE, which is perfect for this break, with a 9-second period. The combined energy is still very strong. It's going to be a powerful, clean, bowling day. This is the one to call in sick for. Just be ready for a crowd, because it gets packed when it's good.
After that, it fades fast. Saturday the 12th has 4ft with a clean offshore NNW breeze, but it's much weaker. The rest of the second week is a mix of small, weak swell and messy winds, so don't sleep on that Friday session.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Thu morning, min 14°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 29°C on Sat afternoon, min 12°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 10 | S 11 | S 10 | S 8 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 11 | S 10 | S 9 | SSE 10 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 74 | 82 | 50 | 50 | 52 | 33 | 86 | 116 | 29 | 33 | 43 | 27 | 72 | 369 | 257 | 150 | 164 | 151 | 144 | 128 | 87 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | off | off | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-on | off | off | off | cross-off | cross | on | glassy | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | off |
High Tide | 11:28AM1.51m | 11:50PM1.23m | 12:22PM1.51m | 00:54AM1.12m | 1:26PM1.51m | 2:14AM1.04m | 2:41PM1.52m | 3:47AM1.04m | 3:58PM1.58m | 5:08AM1.11m | 5:08PM1.65m | 6:07AM1.21m | 6:08PM1.71m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:53PM0.37m | 5:47AM0.39m | 7:02PM0.42m | 6:42AM0.47m | 8:22PM0.44m | 7:51AM0.54m | 9:49PM0.40m | 9:11AM0.55m | 11:04PM0.32m | 10:30AM0.51m | 00:02AM0.23m | 11:39AM0.42m | 00:51AM0.15m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:09 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — |
 | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:38 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 25 | 25 | 23 | 27 | 25 | 18 | 18 | 20 | 18 | 28 | 29 | 24 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 16 |
Feels °C | 20 | 20 | 20 | 22 | 22 | 14 | 16 | 17 | 15 | 23 | 24 | 20 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 15 | 14 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 10 | S 11 | S 10 | S 8 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 11 | S 10 | S 9 | SSE 10 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 |
| kJ | 74 | 82 | 50 | 50 | 52 | 33 | 86 | 116 | 29 | 33 | 43 | 27 | 72 | 369 | 257 | 150 | 164 | 151 | 144 | 128 | 87 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | W 3 | ENE 10 | S 6 | ENE 10 | NE 4 | S 7 | ENE 5 | ENE 6 | E 10 | ENE 10 | E 10 | E 10 | S 9 | ENE 4 | E 9 | E 10 | E 10 |
| kJ | 33 | 19 | 19 | 18 | 2 | 18 | 19 | 18 | 6 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 55 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 6 | NE 5 | ENE 6 | SSE 13 | ENE 10 | SSE 13 | ENE 10 | S 18 | S 11 | E 9 | E 9 | E 11 | NE 6 | E 10 | NE 7 | E 10 | E 10 | E 9 | — | — | E 10 |
| kJ | 8 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 19 | 17 | 19 | 6 | 21 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 7 | — | — | 8 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 3 | NNW 3 | NW 2 | NW 3 | SSW 3 | SSW 5 | — | E 2 | NW 3 | NNW 3 | WNW 4 | SW 4 | — | — | — | — | NE 3 | — | — | — | ENE 4 |
| kJ | 5 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 4 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | 10 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 64 | 0 | 508 | 0 | 0 | 212 | 9 | 0 | 30 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Nobbys Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Nobbys Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Nobbys Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Nobbys Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Nobbys Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Nobbys Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Nobbys Reef, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Newcastle which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 31 km (19 miles) away, Port Stephens, Cessnock and Central Coast.
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