
Surf Forecasts:
Nobbys Reef surf forecast from 1 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 2 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 14s period, SSE swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 2 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 13s period, SSE swell with 737 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 2 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 9s period with SSE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Nobbys Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 02) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Nobbys Reef in the next 16 days are 1.5m 13s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 02) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 5s period and expected on Monday (Aug 03) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Sun 2nd Aug) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Sun 2nd Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Sun 2nd Aug) | 5ft (1.5m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let’s look at what’s coming down the line.
Nobbys Reef is a reef break for advanced surfers, and it’s inconsistent – you gotta pick your windows. The water is about 64°, which is pretty normal for the season.
The first real chance to get wet is Saturday morning, August 1st. We’ve got a 5ft SSE swell with a 9-second period, and the combined energy is a solid moderate 414. The wind is glassy out of the west at just 3 mph. That means clean, smooth conditions. Expect good surf, but you’ll need to be on your game at this exposed spot.
Sunday morning, August 2nd, is the one. The swell drops a little to 5ft, but the period jumps to a very long 13 seconds – that’s real groundswell. The combined energy is a strong 917. Wind is light NNW at 6 mph, cross-off, keeping it clean. This is the standout morning. The long period will give the waves real shape and power, perfect for a reef. Just remember, it’s inconsistent, so be patient.
Monday morning, August 3rd, is still decent. Swell is 4ft from the SE at 11 seconds, with 311 energy, and a clean offshore wind from the NW at 9 mph. Smaller but clean.
Then we hit a dry patch. From Tuesday, August 4th, through Friday, August 7th, the swell drops to tiny or the wind goes bad. A few sessions are surfable but very ordinary.
The next little blip is Saturday morning, August 8th. Glassy again, with a 4ft SSE swell at 8 seconds. Energy is low-to-moderate at 201. Clean, but short period means it’ll be a bit weak.
Sunday morning, August 9th, is better. Clean offshore wind from the NW at 6 mph, swell 4ft from the SSE, 9-second period, and 237 energy. Small, clean, fun.
Monday morning, August 10th, has a moderate offshore from the NW at 16 mph, with a 4ft SE swell at 9 seconds. Energy is 444. Clean, but the wind is a bit stronger.
Then a big gap until Wednesday morning, August 12th. A clean offshore from the WNW at 16 mph, with a 3ft E swell at 9 seconds. Small, but clean. The afternoon gets a 6ft SSE swell, but only a 6-second period – very short and messy.
Thursday morning, August 13th, sees an 8ft SE swell with an 8-second period. Energy is a strong 791. The wind is cross-off from the west at 12 mph, so it’s clean. But 8ft is big, and with short period, it’ll be a mess. Experts only. The afternoon is even bigger – 10ft from the SE – but the wind is a messy cross-shore, and it’s predicted to be too big for this break.
The final days, from August 14th to 16th, are all poor. Clean cross-off winds, but the swell is either too big, too short period, or the wind turns into a 28 mph onshore mess. By Sunday, August 16th, we’re looking at 45 mph winds and lumpy, terrible conditions.
So, the best of the whole run is Sunday morning, August 2nd – that’s the one to circle. Clean, strong, long period groundswell. The other standout is Saturday morning, August 1st, for the glassy conditions. After that, it’s a lot of waiting around for small windows.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Sat morning. Warm (max 21°C on Mon afternoon, min 12°C on Sat morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Tue afternoon, min 8°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 13 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 10 | SE 10 | ESE 7 | S 6 | E 10 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 9 | S 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 8 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
409 | 351 | 280 | 737 | 558 | 583 | 297 | 191 | 54 | 25 | 9 | 32 | 29 | 168 | 234 | 153 | 201 | 380 | 484 | 432 | 293 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | on | cross-off | off | cross-on | off | cross | on | glassy |
High Tide | 10:05AM1.34m | 9:59PM1.64m | 10:41AM1.36m | 10:37PM1.56m | 11:20AM1.38m | 11:20PM1.46m | 12:03PM1.40m | 00:08AM1.34m | 12:54PM1.43m | 1:05AM1.22m | 1:53PM1.46m | 2:17AM1.12m | 3:00PM1.52m | 3:41AM1.07m | |||||||
Low Tide | 3:43PM0.42m | 4:33AM0.21m | 4:27PM0.43m | 5:07AM0.25m | 5:14PM0.45m | 5:44AM0.30m | 6:09PM0.48m | 6:25AM0.36m | 7:14PM0.50m | 7:13AM0.42m | 8:30PM0.51m | 8:12AM0.47m | 9:54PM0.46m | ||||||||
6:43 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | |
— | 5:14 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:17 | — | |
mm | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 20 | 21 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 13 | 16 | 16 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 15 |
Feels °C | 13 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 17 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 14 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 13 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 10 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | S 6 | S 6 | S 7 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 9 | S 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 8 |
409 | 351 | 280 | 737 | 558 | 583 | 297 | 191 | 54 | 10 | 9 | 32 | 15 | 33 | 234 | 153 | 201 | 380 | 484 | 432 | 293 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 7 | E 7 | SE 13 | SE 15 | SE 14 | S 21 | S 21 | S 20 | ESE 8 | SE 10 | S 6 | E 10 | E 10 | S 9 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 9 |
2 | 1 | 183 | 174 | 221 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 25 | 3 | 19 | 29 | 23 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 6 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 12 | E 12 | E 18 | E 17 | S 21 | E 16 | E 16 | E 15 | E 15 | SSW 6 | SSE 10 | E 7 | S 9 | E 9 | E 18 | E 12 | E 16 | E 16 | NE 7 | E 9 | E 15 |
3 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | ENE 3 | NE 4 | NNW 2 | NW 3 | NW 3 | — | — | W 3 | WNW 3 | S 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | 5 | 18 | 1 | 6 | 2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 168 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 287 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 294 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 0 | 0 | 81 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Nobbys Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Nobbys Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Nobbys Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Nobbys Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Nobbys Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Nobbys Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Nobbys Reef, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Newcastle which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 31 km (19 miles) away, Port Stephens, Cessnock and Central Coast.











