Surf Forecasts:
Nobbys Reef surf forecast from 11 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 16 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 7s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 12 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 11s period, S swell with 465 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 12 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 11s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Nobbys Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Nobbys Reef in the next 16 days are 1.4m 11s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 3s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Wed 12th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Sun 16th Aug) | 5ft (1.5m) 7s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Wed 12th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here again. Let’s break this down in feet and miles per hour.
This stretch starts with a whimper. A few small pulses, but the wind’s all wrong. The only real standouts are tucked away a week or more out.
We’ve got Nobbys Reef. It’s an advanced reef break, exposed to a south-east swell, and it’s an inconsistent spot. When it fires, you gotta be ready.
Tuesday 11th (afternoon): A 4 ft south swell rolls in with a 12-second period. The combined energy is 418, so it’s got some push. Water temp is 64°, a bit colder than normal. Wind is cross-off, but the report calls it marginal. Not worth suiting up.
Wednesday 12th (morning): This is the first good window. Same 4 ft, but the period drops to 10 seconds. Combined energy is 268. The wind is offshore from the west-northwest at 12 mph. That’s clean. That’s open. If the tide plays ball, this is your session. The afternoon drops to 3 ft.
Thursday 13th to Tuesday 18th: A miserable stretch. Onshore, cross-onshore, and choppy junk. Swell bounces between 3 ft and 6 ft, but the wind is trash. There’s a 6-day stretch with nothing worth paddling for.
Wednesday 19th (morning): This is a big one. Swell is 6 ft from the east-southeast, with 389 energy. And the wind? Glassy. Zero. Dead calm. On a reef, that’s a rare treat. The period is short (7 seconds), so it’ll be a bit jumbled, but the clean surface makes it a standout.
Thursday 20th to Saturday 22nd: The swell cranks to 8 ft on Thursday, with 858-979 energy. That is powerful, heavy surf. But the wind is cross or onshore. This is for experts only, and it’s only marginal. Could be a beast of a paddle.
Sunday 23rd (morning): Another glassy morning. Swell is 5 ft from the east-southeast, 351 energy, and it’s dead calm. Clean, open faces. This is your second standout.
Monday 24th to Wednesday 26th: Fades to 2 ft to 3 ft with energy below 160. Winds are okay, but there’s just not enough wave to get excited about. Time to rest the arms.
The call: Wednesday 12th morning for the offshore 4 ft, or Sunday 23rd morning for the glassy 5 ft. Those are your golden tickets.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Wed afternoon. Very mild (max 18°C on Wed afternoon, min 11°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 17mm), heaviest on Sat morning. Very mild (max 16°C on Sat afternoon, min 13°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | S 10 | S 9 | S 8 | SSW 7 | S 9 | S 8 | S 7 | S 9 | S 8 | SSE 7 | S 8 | S 7 | SSE 7 | SSE 7 | SE 7 | SE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 465 | 237 | 168 | 90 | 158 | 258 | 277 | 86 | 190 | 239 | 125 | 286 | 229 | 166 | 166 | 428 | 340 | 325 | 344 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | on | cross-off | cross-off | on | on | on | cross-on | cross-off | on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 7:59AM1.33m | 8:03PM1.87m | 8:44AM1.39m | 8:49PM1.83m | 9:26AM1.44m | 9:32PM1.74m | 10:08AM1.45m | 10:14PM1.61m | 10:48AM1.45m | 10:54PM1.46m | 11:30AM1.42m | 11:35PM1.30m | |||||||
Low Tide | 1:58AM0.10m | 1:36PM0.30m | 2:42AM0.06m | 2:27PM0.26m | 3:22AM0.07m | 3:15PM0.26m | 4:01AM0.12m | 4:02PM0.29m | 4:37AM0.19m | 4:49PM0.36m | 5:12AM0.28m | 5:38PM0.44m | |||||||
 |  |  |  |  | | | | |  |  | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — |
 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:23 | — | — | 5:24 | — |
mm | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 2 | — | 2 | — | 1 | 5 |
Temp °C | 14 | 17 | 18 | 13 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 |
Feels °C | 9 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | S 10 | S 9 | S 8 | S 7 | S 9 | S 8 | S 7 | S 9 | SSE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | SSE 7 | SSE 17 | SSE 15 | S 18 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 |
| kJ | 465 | 237 | 168 | 90 | 88 | 258 | 277 | 86 | 190 | 155 | 17 | 17 | 197 | 54 | 75 | 6 | 43 | 55 | 35 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | S 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | SSE 19 | SSE 19 | SSE 18 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | S 16 | S 15 | S 13 |
| kJ | 28 | 31 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 17 | 17 | 44 | 17 | 17 | 35 | 36 | 61 | 19 | 20 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 12 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | S 15 | — | — | — | S 16 | ENE 10 | SSE 17 | SSE 16 | S 15 | S 13 | ENE 10 | — | S 13 | — | ENE 9 | S 15 | — |
| kJ | — | — | 4 | — | — | — | 5 | 18 | 30 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 18 | — | 12 | — | 28 | 4 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 3 | WNW 3 | NW 2 | W 3 | SSW 7 | — | — | — | — | S 8 | SSE 7 | S 8 | S 7 | SSE 7 | SSE 7 | SE 7 | SE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 |
| kJ | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 158 | — | — | — | — | 239 | 125 | 286 | 229 | 166 | 166 | 428 | 340 | 325 | 344 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 125 | 44 | 0 | 107 | 125 | 125 | 241 | 414 | 226 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Nobbys Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Nobbys Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Nobbys Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Nobbys Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Nobbys Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Nobbys Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Nobbys Reef, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Newcastle which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 31 km (19 miles) away, Port Stephens, Cessnock and Central Coast.
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