Surf Forecasts:
Nobbys Reef surf forecast from 20 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 24 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 11s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 27 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 11s period, S swell with 643 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 21 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 6s period with E swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Nobbys Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 21) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Nobbys Reef in the next 16 days are 1.6m 11s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 27) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 3s period and expected on Friday (Aug 21) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Fri 21st Aug) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 6s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Mon 24th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Thu 27th Aug) | 5ft (1.6m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, this is Rusty, and here’s how it’s looking for our local stretch.
Right off the bat, I’ve gotta be straight with you – the next week or so is pretty flat and quiet. We’ve got a real slow start here. The first few days from Friday the 21st through to Tuesday the 25th are mostly tiny, weak dribble with hardly any energy in the water. There’s nothing worth paddling out for until we hit Sunday morning the 23rd, when a little pulse of 3ft S swell shows up with glassy conditions at Nobbys Reef. It’s still very ordinary, but at least it’s clean. That said, the swell energy is still weak at just 176, so don’t expect much push.
We do get a few more small windows – Monday morning the 24th is clean with 3ft S swell, and Wednesday the 26th has offshore winds but the swell is weak and short-period. Nothing really gets going until Thursday the 27th, when the swell jumps up to 5ft from the south, with moderate energy (610) and clean morning conditions. That’s the first real chance for a proper session, but it’s still a bit raw and choppy in the afternoon.
Friday the 28th is probably the standout in this whole run. Morning offshore NW wind at 12 mph, clean 4ft S swell, and decent energy at 245 – it’s not huge, but it’ll be shaped up nicely. The afternoon goes glassy with a light offshore breeze, 3ft swell, and clean conditions. That’s the one to aim for.
After that, things get messy. Saturday the 29th is a write-off with strong southerly winds and rain, and Sunday the 30th sees 7 to 8ft E swell, but with onshore winds and huge energy (1375) – that’s only for experts, and even then it’ll be a battle. The following week stays small and mediocre, with a brief glimmer on Thursday the 3rd of September when 4ft S swell and clean offshore winds give us one more shot at some fun waves.
Water temps are about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.
Overall, Friday the 28th is your best bet. Get it while it’s clean.
- Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Sat morning, min 14°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Warm (max 22°C on Tue morning, min 14°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | Sunday 23 | Monday 24 | Tuesday 25 | Wednesday 26 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 6 | E 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | S 9 | S 8 | S 11 | S 9 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | S 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 54 | 20 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 144 | 93 | 223 | 121 | 87 | 64 | 41 | 41 | 67 | 70 | 54 | 163 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | off | off | cross-off | on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | off | off | off | cross-off |
High Tide | 2:06AM0.94m | 2:52PM1.35m | 3:30AM0.91m | 3:55PM1.38m | 4:54AM0.95m | 4:52PM1.43m | 5:52AM1.02m | 5:41PM1.50m | 6:35AM1.11m | 6:23PM1.57m | 7:12AM1.20m | 7:02PM1.62m | |||||||
Low Tide | 7:47AM0.60m | 10:07PM0.62m | 8:49AM0.64m | 11:13PM0.55m | 9:57AM0.64m | 11:59PM0.47m | 11:00AM0.61m | 00:36AM0.38m | 11:53AM0.55m | 1:10AM0.29m | 12:39PM0.48m | 1:42AM0.22m | |||||||
 |  | |  |  | |  | |  | | | | | |  |  |  |  | | |
 | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — |
 | — | — | 5:27 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | — |
Temp °C | 19 | 17 | 18 | 15 | 21 | 19 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 19 | 20 | 18 | 22 | 22 | 17 | 21 | 21 | 13 |
Feels °C | 16 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 19 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 19 | 19 | 17 | 18 | 16 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 6 | E 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | S 8 | S 11 | S 9 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | S 8 |
| kJ | 54 | 20 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 144 | 93 | 223 | 121 | 87 | 35 | 23 | 36 | 67 | 70 | 54 | 163 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 8 | SE 7 | SE 7 | SE 7 | S 9 | S 6 | ENE 6 | SE 4 | SSE 15 | NE 8 | E 6 | SSE 17 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 11 | SSW 5 | ENE 8 |
| kJ | 1 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 45 | 3 | 49 | 27 | 64 | 41 | 41 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 38 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 13 | S 12 | E 9 | S 10 | — | S 9 | E 9 | ENE 8 | E 7 | — | SSE 16 | E 13 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | NNE 4 | S 16 | S 15 | S 14 |
| kJ | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | — | 6 | 2 | 6 | 1 | — | 27 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NW 2 | NW 3 | NW 3 | WNW 2 | ESE 7 | SE 3 | SE 4 | E 4 | ENE 5 | — | E 6 | — | — | — | NNW 3 | W 3 | SSW 5 | — |
| kJ | — | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 12 | 29 | — | 54 | — | — | — | 4 | 8 | 26 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 33 | 92 | 164 | 164 | 294 | 146 | 0 | 81 | 0 | 0 | 276 | 0 | 0 | 81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Nobbys Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Nobbys Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Nobbys Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Nobbys Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Nobbys Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Nobbys Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Nobbys Reef, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Newcastle which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 31 km (19 miles) away, Port Stephens, Cessnock and Central Coast.
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