Surf Forecasts:
Nobbys Reef surf forecast from 8 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 9 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 10s period, SE swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 15 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 11s period, S swell with 2,561 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 9 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 10s period with SE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Nobbys Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.8m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 17s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Nobbys Reef in the next 16 days are 3.5m 11s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 12) at 10PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7PM (Thu 9th Jul) | 6ft (1.8m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 7PM (Thu 9th Jul) | 6ft (1.8m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Wed 15th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days.
Alright, let’s talk about what’s on offer. We’ve only got one spot this whole forecast, Nobbys Reef, and it’s an inconsistent reef break that needs a solid SE swell to get working. So we play the cards we’re dealt.
Things start off on Thursday morning, July 9th, with a 7ft SE swell at 10 seconds. It's got moderate energy (862), but a light cross-shore keeps it from being clean. Afternoon sees it drop to 6ft, still not great.
Now, Friday July 10th is where you want to be out. Morning starts with a 6ft SE swell, clean as a whistle with a light offshore breeze from the west. The energy is moderate (527), but on an inconsistent reef like this, that combo is gold. Then the afternoon goes glassy with a 5ft SE swell. Dead flat water. This is your window.
Saturday the 11th is still decent. Morning has a 4ft SE swell with a clean offshore breeze, energy is moderate (373). Afternoon is smaller at 3ft from ESE with an 11-second period, still clean. Good for the smaller gear.
Sunday the 12th is fading fast, 2ft to 2ft, clean but weak, with the energy dropping to just 100 and then 67.
Monday the 13th is tiny with 2ft to 3ft, moderate offshore but it’s just not doing much.
Then we hit a long stretch from Tuesday the 14th all the way through to the 23rd of July where the surf is basically flat, tiny, or totally blown out. There is a spike on Thursday the 16th with a massive 10ft S swell, but it’s a total mess: 45 km/h onshore wind, energy over 2900. That’s expert-only, if anyone can even paddle into it. The short period (9 seconds) and the strong onshore make it look more like a windy mess for kite surfers.
Monday the 20th has a 3ft S swell at a very long 12 seconds with a moderate offshore, but it’s fleeting and the rest of the week is dead.
So, the bottom line: the standout is Friday the 10th of July at Nobbys Reef. That’s a rare clean, glassy day on an inconsistent spot. Don’t overthink it. The rest is a write-off.
- Rusty
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Thu morning. Very mild (max 17°C on Sat afternoon, min 10°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Tue afternoon, min 8°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the W on Sun morning, light winds from the SSW by Tue afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wed 15 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 11 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | SE 10 | ESE 10 | SE 9 | S 8 | S 11 | S 8 | S 7 | S 10 | SSE 19 | S 10 | S 6 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 926 | 809 | 602 | 502 | 513 | 530 | 373 | 202 | 186 | 183 | 96 | 63 | 24 | 42 | 144 | 31 | 24 | 52 | 68 | 33 | 175 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | cross | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | cross | off | cross-off | cross |
High Tide | 2:35AM1.24m | 3:28PM1.51m | 3:48AM1.18m | 4:29PM1.62m | 5:04AM1.16m | 5:30PM1.73m | 6:15AM1.19m | 6:28PM1.83m | 7:17AM1.23m | 7:23PM1.91m | 8:13AM1.29m | 8:15PM1.95m | 9:04AM1.33m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:47AM0.44m | 10:03PM0.52m | 9:44AM0.45m | 11:16PM0.43m | 10:44AM0.44m | 00:23AM0.32m | 11:45AM0.42m | 1:21AM0.22m | 12:44PM0.39m | 2:14AM0.14m | 1:41PM0.37m | 3:03AM0.09m | 2:35PM0.36m | ||||||||
 |  |  | |  |  |  | | | |  | | | | | | | |  | | | |
 | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:52 | — |
 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:01 | — | — | 5:01 | — | — | 5:02 | — | — | 5:02 |
mm | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 11 | 15 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 14 |
Feels °C | 12 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 4 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 12 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 8 | ESE 10 | SE 10 | ESE 10 | S 7 | S 8 | S 11 | S 8 | S 7 | S 10 | S 10 | S 6 | S 20 |
| kJ | 710 | 809 | 602 | 502 | 513 | 530 | 373 | 202 | 115 | 183 | 96 | 63 | 24 | 42 | 144 | 31 | 24 | 52 | 29 | 25 | 7 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 10 | ESE 11 | SE 10 | SE 14 | S 19 | S 20 | ESE 15 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | SSE 8 | — | SSW 6 | SE 9 | ESE 9 | SE 8 | S 11 | S 10 | E 10 | SSE 19 | S 10 | E 9 |
| kJ | 554 | 47 | 25 | 114 | 7 | 8 | 42 | 167 | 186 | 35 | — | 4 | 22 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 68 | 33 | 2 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 15 | S 18 | S 17 | S 16 | S 20 | — | S 18 | S 15 | S 16 | S 15 | S 14 | — | S 12 | E 11 | E 11 | E 8 | E 10 | S 19 | E 10 | SSE 16 | — |
| kJ | 4 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 7 | — | 6 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | — | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 26 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 2 | NW 3 | WNW 3 | W 3 | W 4 | WNW 3 | NW 3 | W 3 | WNW 3 | — | W 3 | — | S 6 |
| kJ | 926 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 5 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 3 | — | 1 | — | 175 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 55 | 64 | 0 | 0 | 32 | 46 | 97 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 312 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Nobbys Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Nobbys Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Nobbys Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Nobbys Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Nobbys Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Nobbys Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Nobbys Reef, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Newcastle which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 31 km (19 miles) away, Port Stephens, Cessnock and Central Coast.
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