Surf Forecasts:
Nobbys Reef surf forecast from 25 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 30 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 11s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 31 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 11s period, S swell with 2,020 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 26 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 12s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Nobbys Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 26) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Nobbys Reef in the next 16 days are 3.0m 11s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 31) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Sun 26th Jul) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Thu 30th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Fri 31st Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, I’m Rusty. Let’s talk about what’s happening at Nobbys Reef for the next couple of weeks. This is a classic reef break that needs some south-east energy to get going, and we’ve got a few tidy windows mixed in with some rough ones.
This Sunday the 26th morning is a beauty. We’re looking at a clean 6ft south swell with an 11-second period and a light cross-off breeze from the WNW. The combined energy is 697 (moderate wave energy) and conditions are very good. Water temp is about average for the time of year. It’s an advanced spot and it’s inconsistent, so don’t expect non-stop action, but the sets that come through will be clean. Crowds are possible. Sunday afternoon the wind turns onshore from the ESE and things get messy, so definitely get out in the morning.
Monday the 27th morning has the swell dropping to 4ft from the south, 9-second period, but the wind goes dead glassy from the west at just 3 mph. Combined energy is 207 (moderate wave energy). It’s small but clean—grab a longboard. Afternoon goes onshore again.
Tuesday the 28th morning is tiny, with 2ft of south swell, 8-second period, and a clean offshore from the NW at 9 mph. Combined energy is only 62 (weak wave energy). Surfable but not worth rushing for. It gets even smaller in the afternoon. Wednesday the 29th is a write-off with strong winds. Then Thursday the 30th morning brings a solid 7ft south swell at 10 seconds, cross-off from the WSW, with combined energy of 947 (moderate wave energy). That’s a clean, proper session.
Friday the 31st morning gets huge—10ft from the south, 10-second period, cross-off WSW wind at 12 mph. Combined energy is 2710 (strong to very strong wave energy). This is too big for the break, experts only if they’re game. Afternoon is blown out.
After a quiet spell, Sunday the 2nd of August morning is another standout. A clean 6ft south-southeast swell with an 11-second period and a light cross-off breeze from the WSW at just 3 mph. Combined energy is 912 (moderate wave energy) with very good conditions. That’s a groundswell with nice period on the reef—worth the wait. Crowds are possible.
Monday the 3rd keeps it going with a 5ft southeast swell at 10 seconds, clean offshore from the NNW, combined energy 441 (moderate wave energy). Good, clean waves again. The rest of the week drops off into small, poor conditions with onshore winds and rain until the 10th of August.
Monday the 10th morning brings a 7ft south swell with an 8-second period, clean offshore north wind at 6 mph, and combined energy of 544 (moderate wave energy). Very good conditions, so that’s a solid late option if you’re patient.
The top pick is Sunday the 26th morning—6ft clean south groundswell, light offshore, and low crowd pressure early. The other standout is Sunday the 2nd of August morning with a similar setup. Both are winners.
-Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Tue morning, min 11°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Wed afternoon, min 7°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the W on Wed afternoon, light winds from the W by Thu night). | ||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | SSE 8 | S 8 | S 7 | S 9 | S 8 | S 17 | SSW 6 | S 10 | S 10 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 418 | 695 | 573 | 326 | 203 | 158 | 112 | 41 | 17 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 170 | 944 | 1328 | 2020 | 1730 | 964 | 675 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | on | off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross |
High Tide | 6:05AM1.02m | 6:09PM1.59m | 6:54AM1.08m | 6:51PM1.65m | 7:37AM1.15m | 7:30PM1.70m | 8:16AM1.21m | 8:08PM1.73m | 8:53AM1.27m | 8:45PM1.73m | 9:29AM1.31m | 9:21PM1.70m | |||||||
Low Tide | 00:26AM0.50m | 11:18AM0.57m | 1:07AM0.42m | 12:09PM0.54m | 1:43AM0.34m | 12:56PM0.51m | 2:18AM0.27m | 1:40PM0.47m | 2:52AM0.21m | 2:22PM0.45m | 3:26AM0.19m | 3:02PM0.43m | 3:59AM0.19m | ||||||
 |  | | | | | | | |  | | | | | | | |  |  | |
 | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — |
 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:10 | — | — | 5:10 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:13 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 |
Temp °C | 14 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 19 | 19 | 15 | 14 | 16 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 15 |
Feels °C | 11 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | SSE 8 | S 8 | S 7 | S 9 | S 8 | ENE 7 | SSW 6 | S 10 | S 10 | S 11 | S 10 | E 13 | S 9 |
| kJ | 418 | 695 | 573 | 326 | 203 | 158 | 112 | 41 | 17 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 70 | 944 | 944 | 1466 | 980 | 3 | 675 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 13 | E 12 | SE 16 | SE 7 | SE 7 | SE 7 | SE 6 | S 17 | NE 6 | E 12 | — | — | — | — | E 8 |
| kJ | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 3 | — | — | — | — | 1 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 8 | E 8 | — | — | E 8 | S 14 | E 11 | SE 14 | SE 15 | SE 14 | ENE 6 | SE 6 | S 15 | — | — | — | — | — | E 13 |
| kJ | 3 | 1 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | 3 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 2 | NW 3 | — | WNW 3 | W 3 | SSW 6 | — | S 10 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3 | — | 6 | 6 | 170 | — | 1328 | 2020 | 1730 | 964 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 81 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 33 | 43 | 164 | 281 | 2 | 0 | 96 | 1 | 44 | 125 | 10 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Nobbys Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Nobbys Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Nobbys Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Nobbys Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Nobbys Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Nobbys Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Nobbys Reef, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Newcastle which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 31 km (19 miles) away, Port Stephens, Cessnock and Central Coast.
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