Surf Forecasts:
Nobbys Reef surf forecast from 6 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 10 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 10s period, S swell with cross-shore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 10 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 10s period, S swell with 2,457 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 7 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 9s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Nobbys Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 07) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Nobbys Reef in the next 16 days are 3.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 5s period and expected on Monday (Sep 14) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Mon 7th Sep) | 5ft (1.5m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.
Right off the bat, we’ve got a window of opportunity at Nobbys Reef. The standout is Thursday the 10th of September, but it’s a tricky one. The swell is pumping – 10ft from the south with a 10-second period. The combined energy is a massive 3363, which is a lot of power. The wind is cross-shore, but the problem is the size: this is big, heavy stuff and the forecast says it’s predicted to be too big for this break. This is for experts only, and even then, it’s a serious session. The morning of Thursday the 10th is the only time to look at it, as the afternoon turns into a lumpy mess.
If you’re looking for something a bit more manageable, the real gem is Friday the 11th of September. The morning session is the pick of the whole run. You’ve got a solid 8ft south swell, still a 10-second period, with a nice cross-off wind from the WSW at 15 mph. The combined energy is 2393, powerful but not as wild as Thursday. The forecast calls it “excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers” – clean, lined up, and with that reef bottom, it’ll be proper. The water temp is 66°F, which is about average for this time of year, nothing wild.
The first real good surf after that is Wednesday the 16th of September. The morning is glassy, absolutely zero wind, and a 8ft swell from the SSE with a 10-second period. The combined energy is 1210. This is another excellent session for experienced surfers. The clean, glassy conditions will make the reef work beautifully.
Before that, we have a few smaller, cleaner windows. Monday the 7th of September morning is a nice little intro: 4ft from the south, 8-second period, glassy conditions with a light SSW wind. Combined energy is 255 – not a lot of power, but clean and fun. The water is 66°F, pretty normal.
Wednesday the 9th of September morning has a small 3ft south swell, 8-second period, with a light offshore wind from the west. Combined energy of 241. Clean, but small. Sunday the 13th of September morning is similar: 4ft from the SSE, 9-second period, with a cross-off wind from the north at 10 mph. Combined energy of 211. Clean and small.
From the 14th of September onwards, the surf drops right off for a few days. The 15th is a write-off with strong onshore winds and tiny waves. Then we get that Wednesday the 16th stand-out.
The second week is lean. We have a few small, clean windows on the 18th of September with a 2ft south swell and a 2ft on the 18th afternoon, both with offshore winds, but the combined energy is low (134 and 102). Then the 19th and 20th are tiny and poor. The 22nd of September tries to build again with a 7ft south swell, but the wind is cross-onshore, so it’s messy.
Beware Nobbys Reef is an inconsistent spot, so don’t bank on it being perfect every day. When it’s on, it’s a reef break, so it handles the south swell well. Crowds are sometimes, so you might have a few out, but it’s not a zoo.
Bottom line: The best of the best is the morning of Friday the 11th of September. The clear second is the morning of Wednesday the 16th of September. Thursday the 10th is for the big dogs only.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 18°C on Mon morning, min 10°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (calm on Tue night, strong winds from the S by Wed afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Thu morning. Very mild (max 16°C on Fri afternoon, min 12°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SSW on Thu morning, light winds from the E by Sat afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | SSE 9 | SSE 8 | S 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | S 8 | S 7 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 11 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 10 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 223 | 336 | 663 | 1138 | 662 | 436 | 140 | 670 | 2457 | 1854 | 1621 | 1714 | 1330 | 1170 | 597 | 579 | 551 | 334 | 197 | 146 | 123 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross | on | off | cross-off | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 5:08PM1.65m | 6:07AM1.21m | 6:08PM1.71m | 6:55AM1.32m | 6:59PM1.74m | 7:38AM1.42m | 7:45PM1.73m | 8:18AM1.49m | 8:28PM1.67m | 8:56AM1.53m | 9:08PM1.58m | 9:33AM1.54m | 9:47PM1.46m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:30AM0.51m | 00:02AM0.23m | 11:39AM0.42m | 00:51AM0.15m | 12:36PM0.33m | 1:33AM0.11m | 1:27PM0.25m | 2:11AM0.10m | 2:14PM0.21m | 2:47AM0.12m | 2:59PM0.20m | 3:21AM0.17m | 3:43PM0.24m | 3:53AM0.24m | |||||||
 |  |  |  | |  | | | |  |  |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:03 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — |
 | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:42 | — |
mm | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 18 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 18 | 17 | 16 |
Feels °C | 16 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 13 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | SSE 9 | E 10 | E 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | S 8 | ESE 13 | ESE 11 | S 10 | SE 9 | E 15 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 10 |
| kJ | 223 | 336 | 2 | 2 | 662 | 436 | 140 | 17 | 81 | 1420 | 23 | 4 | 1042 | 792 | 597 | 579 | 551 | 334 | 197 | 146 | 123 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 11 | E 10 | E 11 | — | E 10 | E 10 | SE 8 | E 9 | S 26 | ESE 10 | SSE 22 | E 15 | SE 21 | E 14 | E 13 | E 14 | SSE 18 | SSE 19 | E 13 | E 13 | ENE 5 |
| kJ | 24 | 8 | 2 | — | 2 | 2 | 99 | 2 | 13 | 38 | 98 | 4 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 64 | 35 | 14 | 13 | 14 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | NE 8 | — | — | — | — | E 9 | E 17 | — | SSE 23 | E 15 | — | E 15 | — | E 13 | ENE 14 | E 14 | E 13 | — | — | E 13 |
| kJ | 8 | 3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 6 | — | 51 | 4 | — | 4 | — | 14 | 19 | 4 | 3 | — | — | 13 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | SSE 8 | S 9 | — | — | WNW 2 | S 7 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 11 | S 10 | S 10 | — | — | — | N 2 | — | E 3 | NE 5 |
| kJ | — | — | 663 | 1138 | — | — | 1 | 670 | 2457 | 1854 | 1621 | 1714 | 1330 | 1170 | — | — | — | 1 | — | 8 | 60 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 81 | 198 | 212 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 241 | 185 | 44 | 241 | 44 | 0 | 96 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 226 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Nobbys Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Nobbys Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Nobbys Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Nobbys Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Nobbys Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Nobbys Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Nobbys Reef, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Newcastle which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 31 km (19 miles) away, Port Stephens, Cessnock and Central Coast.
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