Surf Forecasts:
Nobbys Reef surf forecast from 29 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 30 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 10s period, SSE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 30 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 9s period, S swell with 190 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 30 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 10s period with SSE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Nobbys Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 30) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Nobbys Reef in the next 16 days are 1.1m 9s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 30) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Saturday (Sep 05) at 4PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Sun 30th Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Sun 30th Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Sun 30th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here again, same outlook but in feet and miles per hour for the landlubbers.
Starting this Sunday the 30th. The morning is glassy with a light northwesterly breeze and a small 2-3 foot SSE swell, period about 9 seconds. Clean conditions, good vibes, combined swell energy is a modest 220 – not a huge day, but for a glassy reef it’s a nice little session. Water temp is about average for this time of year.
That first morning is the standout. It’s not big, but that glassy offshore wind and the reef setup mean clean, lined-up waves. Swell is from the SSE, a good angle for Nobbys. Expect some company though – crowds are possible. The afternoon gets ruined by cross-on easterly wind.
Monday the 31st is also clean, flat calm with no wind, and a similar 3-foot southerly swell. Another good window, with energy up to 297. Again, afternoon goes bad. Tuesday the 1st of September offers a clean but small morning with a 2-foot southerly swell and a light cross-offshore breeze – surfable but ordinary. That pattern of small, clean but unremarkable waves holds through the first week. Swells hover around 2 to 3 feet, mostly with offshore or clean wind, but energy is low, often under 100.
Then a gap from around the 7th to the 9th – messy winds, poor quality. Skip those.
Now, Thursday the 10th of September morning is the big one. Over a week away, so treat it as promising but uncertain. Forecast shows a solid 8-foot southerly swell with an 11-second period, pumping the combined energy up to 1238 – that’s serious power. Light offshore from the NNW keeps it clean on the reef. Anything over 8 feet is for experts, and 8 feet is right in that advanced zone. The long period means punch and shape. If this holds, it’s the best session in the entire forecast.
After that pulse, the surf drops fast. Friday the 11th is onshore and chopped, and the rest of the run into mid-September is small again, with the occasional clean morning but nothing like that Thursday peak. One odd note on Sunday the 14th – a tiny 2-foot ENE swell with a short 7-second period and almost no energy (34). Not worth it.
So: grab those first two mornings for clean, fun waves. And circle Thursday the 10th of September – if it comes together, that’s your day at Nobbys Reef.
- Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 24°C on Tue afternoon, min 12°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Wed afternoon, min 14°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | SSE 8 | S 9 | S 9 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | S 10 | SSE 19 | S 11 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 192 | 113 | 162 | 158 | 150 | 112 | 110 | 80 | 149 | 110 | 75 | 77 | 50 | 45 | 31 | 30 | 52 | 72 | 66 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | glassy | cross-on | glassy | glassy | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-on | off |
High Tide | 9:27AM1.45m | 9:33PM1.57m | 10:03AM1.49m | 10:13PM1.48m | 10:43AM1.51m | 10:58PM1.36m | 11:28AM1.51m | 11:50PM1.23m | 12:22PM1.51m | 00:54AM1.12m | 1:26PM1.51m | 2:14AM1.04m | |||||||
Low Tide | 3:18AM0.15m | 3:23PM0.28m | 3:50AM0.18m | 4:07PM0.29m | 4:25AM0.23m | 4:56PM0.32m | 5:03AM0.31m | 5:53PM0.37m | 5:47AM0.39m | 7:02PM0.42m | 6:42AM0.47m | 8:22PM0.44m | |||||||
 |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — |
 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:34 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:36 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 23 | 24 | 20 | 26 | 28 | 22 | 23 | 26 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 16 |
Feels °C | 14 | 14 | 13 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 19 | 20 | 16 | 21 | 24 | 18 | 19 | 22 | 16 | 18 | 16 | 13 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | SSE 8 | S 9 | S 9 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 10 | S 6 | S 6 | S 10 | S 11 |
| kJ | 192 | 93 | 162 | 158 | 150 | 112 | 110 | 80 | 149 | 110 | 75 | 77 | 50 | 45 | 31 | 16 | 18 | 53 | 66 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | SSE 9 | ENE 8 | SSE 18 | S 16 | SSE 15 | SSE 15 | S 11 | ENE 10 | ENE 5 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | S 7 | SSE 10 | S 10 | S 7 | S 8 |
| kJ | 84 | 113 | 14 | 102 | 131 | 75 | 79 | 65 | 22 | 9 | 33 | 19 | 19 | 18 | 16 | 30 | 52 | 14 | 20 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | SSE 16 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | E 9 | ENE 11 | — | ENE 10 | NE 6 | NE 5 | S 14 | SSE 12 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | E 10 | SSE 19 | NE 4 |
| kJ | 16 | 14 | 26 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 13 | 22 | — | 20 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 19 | 19 | 8 | 72 | 4 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | SE 9 | — | — | ENE 3 | NE 4 | — | NE 3 | NNW 2 | NW 3 | NW 3 | NW 3 | WNW 3 | SSE 2 | — | — | E 10 | NNW 2 |
| kJ | — | — | 65 | — | — | 3 | 3 | — | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | — | — | 46 | 1 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 81 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 224 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Nobbys Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Nobbys Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Nobbys Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Nobbys Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Nobbys Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Nobbys Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Nobbys Reef, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Newcastle which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 31 km (19 miles) away, Port Stephens, Cessnock and Central Coast.
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