Nobbys Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, I’m Rusty, and I’ve been watching this stretch of coast like a hawk. Right now, we’ve got a bit of a slow start, but there’s some real promise further out if you’re willing to be patient. The first few days are a write-off, but things start to look up by the end of the first week.

The first surf worth mentioning is Monday, August 24th, at Nobbys Reef. It’s an exposed reef break, best for advanced surfers, and it’s inconsistent, so you’ll need to be in the right spot at the right time. Monday morning is looking clean with a light cross-offshore breeze and a small S swell of 3ft, period at 10 seconds. The combined energy is weak (210). The water temp is 64°, which is about 2° cooler than the long-term average for this time of year, so pretty normal. It’s not big, but for a quiet session, it’s a start.

After that, Tuesday, August 25th, has a chance in the afternoon if you’re desperate. The swell drops to 2ft from ENE, period 7 seconds, but the wind goes glassy. The energy is very weak (88). It’s surfable, but you won’t be writing home about it.

The real standout in this forecast is the end of August and the start of September. Sunday, August 30th, shows a jump in size, but the wind is messy, so skip it. Instead, look to Monday, August 31st. That’s the day. Both the morning and afternoon at Nobbys Reef are clean, with a S swell pushing 5ft to 5ft and a period of 11 to 12 seconds. The combined energy is strong (821 in the morning, 711 in the afternoon). The wind is light cross-offshore, keeping it clean. That’s a proper groundswell with good shape, and at a reef like this, it’ll be lined up. Swell direction is S to SSE, and the optimum is SE, so it’s a good match. At 5ft to 5ft, it’s a solid size for experienced surfers, maybe a bit much for beginners. Crowds are sometimes a thing here, so expect some company.

Tuesday, September 1st, is also worth a mention. The morning is a bit windier with offshore NW winds at 16 mph, and the swell drops to 4ft from SSE, period 12 seconds. The energy is moderate (403). The afternoon is cleaner with the same offshore flow, swell at 3ft, and energy at 269. It’s not as good as Monday, but still a solid option.

The second week drops off quickly. From Wednesday, September 2nd, the swell fades to tiny 1.0ft to 2ft, and the energy is very weak. There’s a small bump on Saturday, September 5th, with a clean morning and a 3ft SSE swell, period 10 seconds, and energy at 201. It’s surfable, but nothing special. After that, the forecast goes flat with weak energy and onshore winds through the 6th and 7th.

Overall, the clear winner is Monday, August 31st. That’s the one to circle on your calendar. For the rest of the run, it’s a waiting game.

Rusty.

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