Surf Forecasts:
Nobbys Reef surf forecast from 27 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 28 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 11s period, SSE swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 28 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 11s period, SSE swell with 679 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 28 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 11s period with SSE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Nobbys Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 28) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Nobbys Reef in the next 16 days are 1.7m 11s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 28) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Thursday (Sep 03) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10AM (Fri 28th Aug) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 10AM (Fri 28th Aug) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Fri 28th Aug) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here. Look, it’s a bit of a mixed bag on the horizon for Nobbys Reef (Australia). Water temp’s sitting right around the long-term average at 64°, so nothing weird going on there. The good news is there’s a decent run of cleaner conditions coming through, especially early on and again later in the first week. The bad news: it’s a reef break that’s inconsistent, so you gotta pick your moments, and it only really works with that SE swell direction.
We kick off on Friday morning, 28 August. It’s looking solid right out of the gate – a clean 6 ft SSE swell with a moderate 11-second period, and light offshore NW breeze. Combined wave energy is moderate at 752, and it’s glassing up nicely. That’s the standout of the whole outlook for me. Friday afternoon, though, the wind swings onshore SE and it gets messy – skip it.
Saturday, 29 August, is a write-off. Onshore and choppy, no good. Sunday morning, 30 August, is a little glassy window with a small 3 ft SE swell – fun for a paddle on a log, but it’s weak. Monday morning, 31 August, is another glassy one with that SW wind, 4 ft S swell – clean but nothing to write home about. Tuesday, 1 September, stays clean through the day with cross-off winds and consistent 3 ft S swell.
From Wednesday, 2 September, into Thursday, the swell drops away hard – we’re talking 1.0 ft to 2 ft – and the energy is weak (as low as 41). It’s a gap of dud days until Saturday morning, 5 September, where a little 2 ft S groundswell (12 seconds) pops up and stays clean. Not exciting.
Then there’s a serious gap of poor surf until Monday morning, 7 September, when a big 12 ft SSE swell rolls in – but that’s way oversize for this break, only for experts, and it’s cross-on wind. Energy is very strong at 2233, but the setup is too much. Now, the true second standout is Tuesday morning, 8 September: a solid 8 ft SSE groundswell (12 seconds) with glassy conditions and calm wind. That’s a serious session for the experienced crew – energy is very strong at 2107. After that, conditions start to clean up again with offshore winds into Wednesday and Thursday morning, 9-10 September, but the swell fades fast down to 1 ft.
The rest of the second week, from 11 September onward, is pretty flat and poor – small S swells, onshore or cross wind, and very little energy. Not worth the drive.
Overall, your best bets are Friday morning, 28 August, for the cleanest combo of size and wind, and Tuesday morning, 8 September, for the bigger groundswell if you’ve got the skills. Be aware, Nobbys can get crowded sometimes, and it’s an inconsistent spot, so it pays to be ready.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Fri morning, min 12°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Wed afternoon, min 13°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | S 9 | S 10 | S 8 | SSE 15 | SSE 9 | SSE 11 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | ENE 10 | S 17 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
679 | 478 | 312 | 269 | 485 | 203 | 128 | 123 | 522 | 196 | 240 | 138 | 209 | 198 | 149 | 74 | 50 | 31 | 20 | 18 | 24 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross | glassy | on | cross | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | off | off | off |
High Tide | 8:17PM1.66m | 8:52AM1.41m | 8:54PM1.63m | 9:27AM1.45m | 9:33PM1.57m | 10:03AM1.49m | 10:13PM1.48m | 10:43AM1.51m | 10:58PM1.36m | 11:28AM1.51m | 11:50PM1.23m | 12:22PM1.51m | 00:54AM1.12m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 2:02PM0.35m | 2:46AM0.15m | 2:42PM0.30m | 3:18AM0.15m | 3:23PM0.28m | 3:50AM0.18m | 4:07PM0.29m | 4:25AM0.23m | 4:56PM0.32m | 5:03AM0.31m | 5:53PM0.37m | 5:47AM0.39m | 7:02PM0.42m | ||||||||
6:16 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | |
— | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:34 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:36 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 18 | 17 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 22 | 24 | 19 | 24 | 26 | 22 | 28 | 28 | 23 |
Feels °C | 17 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 19 | 21 | 16 | 19 | 22 | 19 | 23 | 24 | 20 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SE 9 | S 8 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | SSE 9 | SSE 11 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | ENE 10 | SSE 11 |
679 | 478 | 312 | 269 | 485 | 203 | 91 | 123 | 293 | 196 | 131 | 138 | 209 | 198 | 149 | 74 | 50 | 31 | 20 | 18 | 23 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | S 8 | SE 9 | SE 10 | SSE 17 | SSE 16 | SSE 15 | S 16 | ENE 11 | ENE 10 | ENE 5 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | S 10 | ENE 10 |
13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 104 | 128 | 113 | 57 | 153 | 240 | 129 | 22 | 21 | 9 | 33 | 33 | 30 | 18 | 17 | 19 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 13 | ENE 8 | S 11 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | E 9 | E 9 | E 8 | — | — | ENE 10 | NE 5 | SSE 13 | ENE 5 | SSE 13 | SSE 12 | S 17 |
60 | 25 | 39 | 28 | 28 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 13 | — | — | 33 | 1 | 18 | 2 | 17 | 15 | 24 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 10 | — | — | NNE 3 | — | NE 3 | WNW 2 | NW 3 | NW 3 | NNW 3 | NW 4 | NW 4 | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 522 | — | — | 3 | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 9 | 2 | 42 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Nobbys Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Nobbys Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Nobbys Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Nobbys Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Nobbys Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Nobbys Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Nobbys Reef, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Newcastle which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 31 km (19 miles) away, Port Stephens, Cessnock and Central Coast.











