Surf Forecasts:
Nobbys Reef surf forecast from 18 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 19 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 7s period, E swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 19 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 10s period, ESE swell with 282 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 19 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 7s period with E swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Nobbys Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 19) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 8s. Another secondary swell of 0.7m and 10s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Nobbys Reef in the next 16 days are 1.2m 10s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 19) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 5s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 20) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Wed 19th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 7s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Wed 19th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 7s |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Wed 19th Aug) | 4ft (1.2m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G'day, Rusty here.
Look, I’m gonna level with you – the next 16 days at Nobbys Reef are a real mixed bag, and honestly, the pickings are slim. There’s a lot of nothing, and while we get a couple of moments that look alright, the window is tight. We start with a little pulse on Wednesday morning, August 19th, and there’s a gap of dead quiet from the 22nd through to the 26th that’s hard to ignore. The first real standout is that Wednesday morning, and the second one is a Thursday morning over a week away.
Let’s kick it off. The first good news is Wednesday morning, August 19th. Nobbys Reef is turning on a clean 2ft swell coming out of the ESE with a period of 10 seconds. The wind is a light 3 mph from the NNE, so it’s cross-offshore and the water is clean. The combined energy is moderate at 204, so there’s enough push for a fun session. This is a reef break, so it’s for advanced surfers only, and it’s also inconsistent, so you’ll be waiting for the sets. The water temperature is about average for this time of year. Keep an eye out for crowds, they’re sometimes around, but with the inconsistency, it might not be too packed.
Thursday morning, August 20th, is a bit of a letdown. The swell drops to 3ft with a short 7-second period, and the energy is weak at 66. The wind is 6 mph from the N, cross-off, and it’s clean, but the waves are just ordinary. Not worth paddling out for.
From Friday the 21st through to Tuesday the 26th, it’s pretty much a dead zone. The swell is tiny, the energy is weak, and the conditions are poor. You’d be better off checking the forecast again later.
Now, the next real standout is Thursday morning, August 27th. The swell picks up to 3ft from the S, with an 8-second period, and the wind is offshore from the NW at 9 mph. The water is clean, and the energy is moderate at 222. This is a solid call for a session. The swell direction is SE optimum, so the S direction is a bit off, but it’s still worth a look. Again, it’s a reef break for advanced surfers, and it’s inconsistent, so patience is key.
Thursday afternoon, August 27th, sees the swell bump to 4ft from the SE, with a 9-second period, and the energy is moderate at 310. The wind is cross-off from the NNW at 12 mph, and the water is clean. It’s marginal, but might be worth a paddle if you’re keen.
Friday the 28th is a write-off, and then Saturday the 29th gets nasty. We’ve got an 8ft to 13ft swell from the S and SSE, with a strong breeze of 28 mph from the SSE. The energy is very strong (1346 to 2342), but the wind is onshore and messy. This is strictly for experts only, and even then, it’s likely just a mess. For a beach break, this setup would be more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.
The rest of the period into September is a mix of onshore winds and small, choppy waves. The energy is weak, and the conditions are poor. There’s nothing worth chasing.
So, to wrap it up: Wednesday morning, August 19th, is your best bet for a clean, fun session. Thursday morning, August 27th, is another promising window, but it’s a long way off, so keep an eye on it. The rest is a lot of waiting.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Warm (max 21°C on Thu morning, min 13°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Sat morning. Warm (max 23°C on Mon morning, min 13°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | Sunday 23 | Monday 24 | Tuesday 25 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | SE 9 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | E 7 | E 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | S 8 | S 9 | SSE 16 | S 12 | S 10 | ENE 7 | NE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
92 | 282 | 95 | 64 | 66 | 70 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 15 | 51 | 25 | 28 | 49 | 157 | 46 | 34 | 35 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off | off | on | glassy | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | off | off | off | off | off | cross |
High Tide | 12:59PM1.36m | 1:04AM1.03m | 1:52PM1.34m | 2:06AM0.94m | 2:52PM1.35m | 3:30AM0.91m | 3:55PM1.38m | 4:54AM0.95m | 4:52PM1.43m | 5:52AM1.02m | 5:41PM1.50m | 6:35AM1.11m | 6:23PM1.57m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:31PM0.60m | 6:59AM0.54m | 8:45PM0.63m | 7:47AM0.60m | 10:07PM0.62m | 8:49AM0.64m | 11:13PM0.55m | 9:57AM0.64m | 11:59PM0.47m | 11:00AM0.61m | 00:36AM0.38m | 11:53AM0.55m | 1:10AM0.29m | ||||||||
6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | |
— | 5:25 | — | — | 5:27 | — | — | 5:27 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:30 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 4 |
Temp °C | 17 | 17 | 15 | 21 | 21 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 15 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 23 | 22 | 19 | 22 | 16 | 16 |
Feels °C | 14 | 13 | 11 | 18 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 20 | 19 | 18 | 20 | 14 | 15 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 7 | S 9 | SE 9 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | E 7 | E 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | S 8 | S 4 | S 9 | S 8 | S 10 | E 5 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 |
86 | 14 | 95 | 64 | 58 | 70 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 3 | 24 | 22 | 28 | 9 | 41 | 46 | 34 | 35 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 10 | — | E 12 | E 11 | E 10 | S 13 | SSE 7 | SE 7 | SE 7 | S 9 | S 5 | ENE 6 | S 9 | SSE 16 | E 4 | E 5 | S 9 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 |
92 | — | 3 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 51 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 28 | 26 | 14 | 13 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | — | — | — | S 14 | — | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | SE 7 | S 9 | S 4 | ENE 6 | S 16 | S 12 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | S 15 | — | S 14 | S 13 |
26 | — | — | — | 4 | — | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 45 | 25 | 6 | 6 | 18 | — | 4 | 4 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | ESE 10 | ENE 5 | — | ENE 6 | — | NW 2 | WNW 3 | — | — | — | — | — | E 8 | ENE 4 | — | ENE 7 | NE 6 | NNW 4 | NW 3 | WSW 3 |
— | 282 | 39 | — | 66 | — | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 22 | 9 | — | 49 | 157 | 8 | 6 | 2 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 294 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 105 | 174 | 174 | 241 | 146 | 23 | 241 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Nobbys Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Nobbys Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Nobbys Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Nobbys Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Nobbys Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Nobbys Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Nobbys Reef, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Newcastle which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 31 km (19 miles) away, Port Stephens, Cessnock and Central Coast.











