Surf Forecasts:
Nobbys Reef surf forecast from 9 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 10 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period, S swell with cross-shore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 10 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 10s period, SSE swell with 2,177 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 10 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Nobbys Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 3.0m and 10s. Another secondary swell of 0.4m and 10s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-shore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Nobbys Reef in the next 16 days are 3.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 6s period and expected on Monday (Sep 14) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s get into it for this stretch.
We’ve got a pretty lean run of surf, so patience is the name of the game. The only spot on the charts is Nobbys Reef.
Wednesday the 9th kicks off with a chunky 8ft SSE swell, but it’s howlin’ from the south at 25 mph, cross-on, and the energy is moderate (421). It’s a mess – leave the board in the car.
The first real window doesn’t pop up until Saturday morning the 12th. Swell drops to a nice 3ft from the SSE, 9-second period, and the wind goes glassy – southeast at 3 mph. Clean, clean, clean. The combined energy is moderate (412). This is a standout morning. The water temp is 66°, about normal for the time of year, so you’re fine without a spring suit.
That glassy spell is short. Saturday afternoon the wind swings to the east-northeast at 12 mph, cross-on, and it gets choppy again. Sunday morning the 13th shows a tiny 3ft SSE swell with a light cross-off breeze – surfable, but ordinary, and the energy’s weak (191).
Then we hit a long dry patch. From Sunday afternoon the 13th right through to Friday the 18th, it’s mostly tiny waves and messy winds. Swell stays under 3ft, mostly from the south or SSE, with weak energy below 200.
Saturday the 19th is a write-off, but Sunday morning the 20th delivers a solid pulse. A clean 6ft from the SSE at 10 seconds, with a light north-northeast cross-off breeze. The combined energy is moderate (593) and it’s clean. This is the other true standout morning – best of the whole outlook, but it’s a one-off.
After that, it fades back to small and messy through to Tuesday the 22nd and Wednesday the 23rd. There’s a glassy 4ft ESE pulse on Wednesday morning the 23rd, but it’s small with moderate energy (319). Worth checking if you’re bored, but not a patch on the 20th.
Best of the best? Saturday morning the 12th for that glassy, clean 3ft SSE swell, and Sunday morning the 20th for more size and clean conditions. Pick your day.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Thu afternoon. Very mild (max 17°C on Sat morning, min 12°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the S on Wed afternoon, calm by Fri night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 24°C on Mon morning, min 13°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Wed 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 6 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | S 9 | S 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | S 11 | S 10 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 5 | SSE 9 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 396 | 2177 | 1001 | 792 | 1230 | 627 | 400 | 307 | 189 | 343 | 163 | 118 | 146 | 70 | 119 | 83 | 51 | 32 | 64 | 721 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | off | cross | cross-on | on |
High Tide | 6:59PM1.74m | 7:38AM1.42m | 7:45PM1.73m | 8:18AM1.49m | 8:28PM1.67m | 8:56AM1.53m | 9:08PM1.58m | 9:33AM1.54m | 9:47PM1.46m | 10:10AM1.53m | 10:25PM1.32m | 10:48AM1.50m | 11:03PM1.19m | |||||||
Low Tide | 1:33AM0.11m | 1:27PM0.25m | 2:11AM0.10m | 2:14PM0.21m | 2:47AM0.12m | 2:59PM0.20m | 3:21AM0.17m | 3:43PM0.24m | 3:53AM0.24m | 4:26PM0.31m | 4:24AM0.32m | 5:12PM0.39m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  | |  | |  | | |  | | | | | | | | |  | |
 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — |
 | 5:39 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:44 | — |
mm | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 |
Temp °C | 16 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 19 | 19 | 17 | 24 | 23 | 23 | 18 | 17 | 16 |
Feels °C | 8 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 20 | 18 | 20 | 15 | 13 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 13 | ESE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 22 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | S 11 | ENE 5 | S 11 | S 11 | ENE 6 | SSE 10 | NE 5 | SSE 9 |
| kJ | 17 | 47 | 1001 | 169 | 896 | 627 | 400 | 307 | 189 | 343 | 163 | 118 | 146 | 24 | 119 | 83 | 26 | 32 | 1 | 721 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 9 | S 26 | ESE 10 | SE 10 | SSE 20 | E 15 | E 14 | SSE 18 | S 12 | SSE 18 | SSE 20 | ENE 4 | E 13 | S 10 | ENE 5 | E 12 | S 10 | ENE 6 | E 14 | E 14 |
| kJ | 2 | 13 | 38 | 23 | 79 | 4 | 4 | 33 | 80 | 124 | 128 | 4 | 13 | 70 | 5 | 3 | 51 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 17 | — | SSE 23 | E 9 | E 10 | S 21 | E 10 | E 13 | SSE 19 | E 14 | E 13 | SSE 17 | — | SSE 12 | E 13 | E 16 | E 12 | E 13 | E 9 | NE 6 |
| kJ | 6 | — | 104 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 143 | 15 | 3 | 58 | — | 51 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 6 | SSE 10 | — | S 9 | S 10 | — | — | — | — | NE 2 | ENE 4 | NE 4 | ENE 4 | NE 6 | — | ENE 4 | NNW 2 | WSW 3 | SSE 5 | — |
| kJ | 396 | 2177 | — | 792 | 1230 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 16 | 11 | 25 | 88 | — | 11 | 1 | 4 | 64 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 712 | 185 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 281 | 3 | 0 | 287 | 0 | 0 | 224 | 0 | 75 | 281 | 179 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Nobbys Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Nobbys Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Nobbys Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Nobbys Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Nobbys Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Nobbys Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Nobbys Reef, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Newcastle which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 31 km (19 miles) away, Port Stephens, Cessnock and Central Coast.
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