Surf Forecasts:
Nobbys Reef surf forecast from 30 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 31 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 10s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 2 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 13s period, SSE swell with 915 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 31 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 10s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Nobbys Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 31) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Nobbys Reef in the next 16 days are 1.6m 13s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 02) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Monday (Aug 03) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Fri 31st Jul) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Fri 31st Jul) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Sun 2nd Aug) | 5ft (1.6m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's cookin' at Nobbys Reef.
Right off the bat, the next week or so is a bit of a mixed bag. We've got some swell on the way, but the wind and conditions are gonna keep things interesting. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.
The first few days are pretty average. Friday the 31st there's some S swell around 6ft to 7ft, but the wind's got a nasty cross or cross-on component to it, making it choppy. Combined energy is reading strong to very strong at times (556 to 1256), but it's not gonna be pretty. Saturday the 1st is similar with the cross-on wind, just a bit smaller at 5ft and 5ft. Not worth paddling out for.
Alright, now we're talking. Sunday morning, August the 2nd is looking like the standout for this whole run. We've got a clean 6ft S swell, but the real kicker is that it's a long-period groundswell at 13 seconds. The wind is light and from the NNW, which is cross-offshore here. Combined energy is a solid 891 (moderate to strong), and conditions are described as clean. This is your best window. This kind of swell can be a bit straight at beach breaks, but Nobbys being a reef, it should handle it beautifully. It's an advanced wave, so it's not for learners, and you might run into a few others out there as it's sometimes crowded, but for the crew who know what they're doing, this is the call.
Monday the 3rd has clean 4ft SE swell with offshore winds in the morning and clean cross-offshore in the afternoon. A solid option for a smaller day, energy is moderate (328).
After that, things drop right off. Tuesday the 4th is tiny at 1ft, and the swell stays inconsistent for the rest of the week. Wednesday the 5th to Friday the 7th have some swell back in the 4ft to 5ft range, but the wind is iffy and making things choppy or marginal. Saturday the 8th morning looks clean again with a 5ft SSE swell (490 energy), but the afternoon turns onshore.
Looking further out into the second week, we get another pulse. Sunday and Monday, August 9th and 10th have some promise with clean 4ft SE and then 3ft to 3ft ESE swell. The wind looks good with cross-offshore and even offshore breezes, so these could be fun if the swell fills in. The combined energy is moderate (around 260-273).
From Tuesday the 11th onwards, it gets small and messy again, with very little to get excited about, and some strong winds in the second half of the week that will just blow it all out.
So, to sum it up: the absolute pick of the bunch is Sunday morning, August 2nd at Nobbys Reef for that clean, long-period S swell. The other good window is the morning of Saturday the 8th, and then maybe the morning of Sunday the 9th and Monday the 10th if you're keen for a smaller, clean session.
Stay stoked,
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Sun morning, min 11°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Mon afternoon, min 8°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 13 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SSW 6 | S 6 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 764 | 552 | 725 | 495 | 400 | 351 | 250 | 876 | 558 | 593 | 314 | 194 | 89 | 25 | 12 | 35 | 272 | 485 | 426 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 9:29AM1.31m | 9:21PM1.70m | 10:05AM1.34m | 9:59PM1.64m | 10:41AM1.36m | 10:37PM1.56m | 11:20AM1.38m | 11:20PM1.46m | 12:03PM1.40m | 00:08AM1.34m | 12:54PM1.43m | 1:05AM1.22m | |||||||
Low Tide | 3:26AM0.19m | 3:02PM0.43m | 3:59AM0.19m | 3:43PM0.42m | 4:33AM0.21m | 4:27PM0.43m | 5:07AM0.25m | 5:14PM0.45m | 5:44AM0.30m | 6:09PM0.48m | 6:25AM0.36m | 7:14PM0.50m | |||||||
 |  |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — |
 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:16 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 20 | 21 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 16 | 14 |
Feels °C | 12 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 17 | 18 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 14 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 13 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 10 | ESE 7 | SSW 6 | S 6 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 |
| kJ | 764 | 552 | 527 | 495 | 400 | 351 | 244 | 876 | 558 | 593 | 314 | 194 | 89 | 18 | 12 | 35 | 272 | 485 | 426 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 13 | E 6 | E 7 | E 7 | NE 7 | E 7 | SSE 14 | E 17 | SE 14 | S 21 | S 21 | S 20 | S 19 | SE 10 | ESE 7 | E 9 | E 8 | E 10 | E 9 |
| kJ | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 250 | 6 | 224 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 25 | 9 | 15 | 5 | 17 | 6 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | E 13 | E 13 | E 13 | E 12 | E 12 | E 12 | S 22 | S 21 | E 8 | E 16 | E 15 | SE 14 | E 14 | SSE 10 | S 12 | E 13 | E 18 | E 18 |
| kJ | — | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 6 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | S 10 | — | — | — | NE 6 | — | ENE 3 | NE 4 | NNE 4 | W 2 | NW 3 | W 3 | — | W 3 | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | 725 | — | — | — | 2 | — | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 2 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Nobbys Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Nobbys Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Nobbys Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Nobbys Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Nobbys Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Nobbys Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Nobbys Reef, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Newcastle which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 31 km (19 miles) away, Port Stephens, Cessnock and Central Coast.
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