Surf Forecasts:
Nobbys Reef surf forecast from 14 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 16 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period, S swell with cross-shore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 17 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 11s period, S swell with 2,918 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 14 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 6s period with NE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Nobbys Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 14) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 1.0m and 6s. Another secondary swell of 0.5m and 11s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Nobbys Reef in the next 16 days are 3.5m 11s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 17) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Friday (Sep 18) at 10PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Mon 14th Sep) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 6s |
| Best Surf | 10AM (Wed 16th Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Thu 17th Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Hey, Rusty here, let's talk about what Nobbys Reef has on offer.
Alright, the next week or so is a real mixed bag. We've got a big pulse of swell mid-week that's gonna be a proper handful, but it's mostly getting trashed by wind. The real window, the one worth getting excited about, is Friday the 18th of September. That morning, with a clean 5ft from the SSE, glassy conditions, and that light offshore breeze, is your standout. It’s the best bet for a proper session.
Let's start with Monday the 14th. The morning offers a small 2ft south swell with light cross-off winds, making it clean. It's not big, but it's surfable, though the combined energy is weak (158). The water temp is sitting at 65°, which is just about normal for the time of year. The afternoon goes downhill fast with a strong cross-shore NE breeze trashing things.
Tuesday the 15th is a write-off with tiny swell and onshore wind, so don't bother. Wednesday the 16th sees a huge jump in size, with 10ft to 12ft of south swell, but it's accompanied by a fresh to strong cross-onshore wind, making it a total mess. The combined energy rockets up (1772 to 2391), but the conditions are just poor. This one is for the experts only if they're feeling masochistic, but honestly, the setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.
Thursday the 17th morning is similar, with a powerful 10ft south swell but still cross-shore wind. The combined energy is massive (3469), but the forecast says it's just too big for this break. The afternoon eases to 7ft, but still onshore.
Now for your window. Friday the 18th of September, morning session is where it's at. We're looking at a clean 5ft SSE swell with light offshore winds from the NW. The combined energy is moderate (356), and that offshore breeze will have the waves standing up nicely. This is the pick of the forecast. The afternoon goes sloppy again with a cross-onshore breeze, so get out there early.
Saturday the 19th morning has small 3ft surf but with a gentle offshore. It's clean, but pretty weak.
From Sunday the 20th until the end of the forecast, it's a long stretch of poor conditions. There's a tiny window on Thursday the 24th of September morning with a 5ft NE swell and light cross-off winds, but the period is a short 7 seconds and it's still a small, wind-affected wave. Honestly, after Friday, it’s pretty grim.
So, to wrap it up: if you want the best chance at a quality wave, set your alarm for Friday the 18th of September morning. The rest of the period is mostly for the dedicated or for those who want to just watch the chaos. Rusty out.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Tue night. Warm (max 23°C on Mon afternoon, min 10°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (light winds from the N on Mon night, fresh winds from the SSW by Wed morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 29°C on Sun morning, min 11°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Mon 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | Saturday 19 | Sunday 20 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | NE 6 | S 10 | ESE 4 | S 8 | S 9 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | SSE 9 | S 10 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 85 | 91 | 17 | 15 | 650 | 1453 | 2482 | 2291 | 1924 | 825 | 436 | 322 | 300 | 207 | 108 | 106 | 57 | 40 | 25 | 19 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | off | on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | on | cross-off | off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | off | off | cross-off | off |
High Tide | 10:25PM1.32m | 10:48AM1.50m | 11:03PM1.19m | 11:27AM1.46m | 11:44PM1.07m | 12:11PM1.41m | 00:35AM0.98m | 1:02PM1.36m | 1:45AM0.92m | 2:03PM1.34m | 3:16AM0.92m | 3:09PM1.34m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 4:26PM0.31m | 4:24AM0.32m | 5:12PM0.39m | 4:55AM0.41m | 6:01PM0.48m | 5:28AM0.51m | 6:59PM0.55m | 6:08AM0.59m | 8:08PM0.59m | 7:03AM0.67m | 9:25PM0.58m | 8:16AM0.71m | 10:30PM0.52m | |||||||
 |  | |  |  | | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — |
 | 5:43 | — | — | 5:44 | — | — | 5:44 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 23 | 21 | 23 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 21 | 19 | 17 | 23 | 23 | 20 | 29 | 30 | 25 |
Feels °C | 17 | 18 | 19 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 25 | 24 | 22 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | S 9 | NE 7 | E 14 | — | E 13 | S 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | SSE 9 | ENE 4 |
| kJ | 85 | 45 | 14 | 15 | 2 | 4 | — | 3 | 1375 | 825 | 436 | 322 | 300 | 207 | 108 | 106 | 57 | 40 | 25 | 4 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 12 | SSE 10 | S 10 | ENE 7 | E 14 | ENE 14 | — | — | E 13 | S 19 | E 13 | SSE 18 | SSE 18 | SSE 16 | SSE 16 | SSE 17 | ENE 4 | S 17 | S 17 | S 10 |
| kJ | 3 | 34 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 20 | — | — | 3 | 28 | 3 | 32 | 102 | 91 | 87 | 95 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 19 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | E 12 | E 13 | E 14 | — | — | — | — | E 13 | E 13 | S 19 | E 12 | E 12 | NNE 4 | ESE 7 | E 12 | SSE 16 | — | E 9 | S 17 |
| kJ | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 25 | — | 1 | 6 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 4 | NE 6 | NW 2 | ESE 4 | S 8 | S 9 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | — | — | — | ENE 2 | WNW 3 | — | — | — | — | — | NW 2 |
| kJ | 23 | 91 | 1 | 11 | 650 | 1453 | 2482 | 2291 | 1924 | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 276 | 0 | 23 | 1387 | 96 | 739 | 831 | 125 | 44 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 81 | 0 | 0 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 97 | 43 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Nobbys Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Nobbys Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Nobbys Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Nobbys Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Nobbys Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Nobbys Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Nobbys Reef, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Newcastle which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 31 km (19 miles) away, Port Stephens, Cessnock and Central Coast.
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