Surf Forecasts:
Nobbys Reef surf forecast from 12 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 14 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 9s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 13 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 9s period, S swell with 431 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 14 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 9s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Nobbys Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 14) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Nobbys Reef in the next 16 days are 1.6m 9s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 13) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Fri 14th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Fri 14th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Thu 13th Aug) | 5ft (1.6m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let's talk about what's on offer for our local break, Nobbys Reef.
We're looking at a pretty bleak stretch to kick things off. There's a run of days with tiny or onshore-slapped surf that just isn't worth paddling out for. The water temp is sitting at 64°, which is a touch colder than we'd expect for this time of year, so you'll want a decent suit.
Thursday the 13th has a clean morning, but it's only 4ft from the SSW on a short 7-second period with very weak energy (273). It's rated as marginal, so it's not a goer. Friday morning the 14th gets glassy with a 4ft S swell, but it's still ordinary. From there, it's a solid week of poor conditions with onshore winds and choppy water, straight through to Wednesday the 19th.
Finally, on Wednesday the 19th of August, the morning brings a real change. We get glassy conditions with a 5ft ESE swell. The energy is moderate (300) and with zero wind, it’s going to be clean. This is our first genuine chance for a wave, but it’s still a short-period swell (7 seconds), so it won't have much punch.
After that, the end of the month starts looking more interesting. On Thursday the 27th of August, the morning session looks like a true standout. We're looking at a solid 8ft SSE groundswell with a 10-second period and a massive energy reading of 1057. The wind is glassy from the SSW at just 5 km/h. This is excellent surf for experienced surfers only – that size at a reef break is no joke for beginners. The swell is coming from the SSE, which is a touch east of the optimum SE direction for Nobbys, but with those conditions, it's going to be well overhead and clean. The afternoon does get onshore, so make it a dawn patrol mission.
The following morning, Friday the 28th, still has decent size at 6ft from the S, but the wind swings cross-onshore, so it won't be as perfect as Thursday morning.
So, to sum it up: there's a long dry spell until the 19th, and the only true standout is that Thursday the 27th of August morning. Get on it if you've got the experience.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 13mm), heaviest on Sat morning. Very mild (max 16°C on Thu morning, min 11°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Tue night. Very mild (max 16°C on Sun morning, min 15°C on Sun morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 7 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | SSE 7 | SSE 9 | SSE 8 | SSE 7 | SSE 7 | S 7 | SE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | SE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
135 | 325 | 258 | 153 | 124 | 89 | 173 | 240 | 208 | 175 | 117 | 200 | 204 | 191 | 69 | 138 | 93 | 99 | 158 | 123 | 96 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | on | cross-off | glassy | on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross | on | on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | on | glassy | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 8:49PM1.83m | 9:26AM1.44m | 9:32PM1.74m | 10:08AM1.45m | 10:14PM1.61m | 10:48AM1.45m | 10:54PM1.46m | 11:30AM1.42m | 11:35PM1.30m | 12:12PM1.39m | 00:16AM1.16m | 12:59PM1.36m | 1:04AM1.03m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 2:27PM0.26m | 3:22AM0.07m | 3:15PM0.26m | 4:01AM0.12m | 4:02PM0.29m | 4:37AM0.19m | 4:49PM0.36m | 5:12AM0.28m | 5:38PM0.44m | 5:46AM0.37m | 6:30PM0.53m | 6:20AM0.46m | 7:31PM0.60m | ||||||||
6:33 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | |
— | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:23 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:25 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | 5 | 2 | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 16 |
Feels °C | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 7 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | SSE 7 | SSE 9 | SSE 19 | SSE 7 | SSE 17 | S 7 | S 11 | S 9 | S 9 | SE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 |
103 | 325 | 258 | 153 | 124 | 89 | 173 | 69 | 208 | 96 | 117 | 112 | 61 | 76 | 69 | 138 | 93 | 99 | 110 | 123 | 96 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | SSE 18 | E 10 | SSE 17 | SSE 17 | S 16 | SSW 12 | S 8 | S 8 | S 11 | S 10 | S 9 | ESE 9 | S 8 |
30 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 60 | 8 | 101 | 30 | 21 | 52 | 35 | 18 | 56 | 30 | 13 | 16 | 5 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 16 | S 19 | S 18 | S 19 | SSE 17 | SSE 16 | SSE 19 | S 14 | ENE 10 | E 9 | S 12 | S 17 | — | — | S 12 | S 11 | E 9 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | — | ESE 8 |
5 | 7 | 6 | 27 | 55 | 25 | 36 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 12 | 52 | — | — | 25 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 19 | — | 7 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 7 | SE 3 | — | — | — | — | — | SSE 8 | — | SSE 7 | ESE 6 | SE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | E 6 | — | — | E 6 | ESE 7 | — | — |
135 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 240 | — | 175 | 71 | 200 | 204 | 191 | 63 | — | — | 43 | 158 | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 10 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 44 | 0 | 2 | 44 | 0 | 195 | 96 | 271 | 96 | 271 | 274 | 44 | 174 | 30 | 0 | 136 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Nobbys Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Nobbys Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Nobbys Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Nobbys Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Nobbys Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Nobbys Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Nobbys Reef, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Newcastle which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 31 km (19 miles) away, Port Stephens, Cessnock and Central Coast.











