Nobbys Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here, and I’ve gotta be honest with you – the next couple of weeks at Nobbys Reef is a real mixed bag. We’re looking at a long stretch of pretty ordinary conditions before a couple of windows that might just get the heart pumping. The water temp’s about average for this time of year, no big surprises there.

First up, nothing doing today, Wednesday the 22nd. We’ve got tiny 3ft ENE swell and a bit of a clean look with offshore NW wind, but the energy is weak (138) and it’s not worth getting wet for. Thursday the 23rd is even smaller, dropping to 2ft by the afternoon with glassy conditions, but it’s just not enough push. Honestly, we’re treading water here until Friday the 24th.

Now Friday morning the 24th is where it starts to get interesting. A solid 8ft southerly swell rolls in, with a period of 10 seconds and a massive energy jump (1378). The wind is light WSW, cross-offshore, keeping it clean. This is proper, punchy reef-break power – one for the experienced crew only, as it’s over the 5ft mark. The morning session is the standout for this whole first week. The afternoon slips into onshore SSE wind and the quality drops, so get in early.

Saturday the 25th still has some decent size, 6ft in the morning with clean cross-off conditions, but the energy is starting to back off (697). By the afternoon, it’s cleaner with a lighter offshore NNW wind and 5ft, but it’s not the same juice. Sunday the 26th morning is your next best bet: 5ft southerly swell, 11-second period, light WSW cross-off wind, and clean. That’s a very nice, solid reef wave with energy (509) – you’ll feel the push. The afternoon turns cross-on and choppy, so bail before lunch.

Then we hit a quiet patch. Monday the 27th through to Wednesday the 29th is mostly small, weak, or messy – not worth the paddle. There’s a bit of a break on the 28th with glassy 2ft, but it’s tiny. On Thursday the 30th, look out for a serious pulse: 8ft southerly groundswell with a 12-second period and energy screaming (1959). This is big, powerful, and definitely expert-only. The morning has clean cross-off NNE wind, but it’s a raw, heavy reef. The afternoon brings risk of thunderstorms and cross-shore chop. This is a beast for the brave.

The 31st Friday settles back to 5ft, clean in the morning, and then it’s mostly small, weak, and fading into the first week of August. There’s a gap of a few days with no real recommendations until Monday the 3rd of August when a new S swell bumps up to 7ft with a short 8-second period, but the offshore NNW wind (12 mph) keeps it clean and the energy is decent (703). That’s another day for the experienced, and it holds through Tuesday and Wednesday with offshore winds and 5–6ft swell.

All in all, the standout sessions are Friday the 24th morning and Sunday the 26th morning for the first week, and then Thursday the 30th morning for the big stuff. After that, the 3rd of August is a solid late-run option. Just remember, this is a reef break that’s inconsistent, so when it’s on, it’s on, but there’s a lot of flat in between. Crowds are possible, but with the size and the inconsistency, you might get a few waves to yourself if you’re keen.

Rusty.

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