Surf Forecasts:
Nobbys Reef surf forecast from 16 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 17 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 9s period, S swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 23 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 9s period, S swell with 355 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 17 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 9s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Nobbys Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 17) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 1.0m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Nobbys Reef in the next 16 days are 1.5m 9s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 23) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 3s period and expected on Friday (Aug 21) at 10PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Mon 17th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Mon 17th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Sun 23rd Aug) | 5ft (1.5m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here, and I've got the lowdown on what's brewing for the next couple of weeks. Let's get straight into it.
Right off the bat, I gotta be honest with you – the start of this period is looking flat and pretty grim. We're looking at a solid 10-day stretch of no good surf offers. From Sunday the 16th right through to the end of the month, it's a write-off. The swell is small, the wind is mostly onshore or cross-shore, and the energy is weak. Don't even bother checking the cam for the next week and a half.
Now, the one beacon of hope in all this mess is a couple of days right at the end of the month. The standout window is the morning of Saturday the 29th of August. We've got a new swell pushing in, a solid 6 ft from the ENE, and the wind is forecast to be glassy. That's a magic word around here. The water is sitting at 63°, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year, so you'll still want a decent spring suit. The combined energy hits 764 (moderate wave energy), which is strong enough to get things moving properly. It's a reef break, so that long period (8 seconds) groundswell will wrap in nicely and give you some proper shape. It's not the biggest swell, but with offshore wind and that clean, glassy surface, it's going to be the best wave we've seen in a while. This one is for the advanced crew who know the lineup.
The Saturday afternoon will see a drop-off, and the wind will turn onshore and mess it up, so the morning session is the only one worth chasing.
After that, Sunday the 30th is back to small, clean but weak waves, and then it's back to the doldrums for the rest of the forecast. So, mark your calendar for the 29th of August. That's your one shot.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Sun morning. Very mild (max 17°C on Tue morning, min 14°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Fri night. Warm (max 20°C on Thu morning, min 13°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 6 | S 7 | S 8 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 11 | ESE 7 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ENE 6 | E 6 | E 6 | E 7 | ENE 7 | S 5 | S 9 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 140 | 117 | 78 | 102 | 99 | 99 | 108 | 117 | 111 | 99 | 221 | 124 | 59 | 40 | 25 | 29 | 30 | 24 | 15 | 47 | 355 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | on | cross-on | glassy | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 10:48AM1.45m | 10:54PM1.46m | 11:30AM1.42m | 11:35PM1.30m | 12:12PM1.39m | 00:16AM1.16m | 12:59PM1.36m | 1:04AM1.03m | 1:52PM1.34m | 2:06AM0.94m | 2:52PM1.35m | 3:30AM0.91m | 3:55PM1.38m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 4:49PM0.36m | 5:12AM0.28m | 5:38PM0.44m | 5:46AM0.37m | 6:30PM0.53m | 6:20AM0.46m | 7:31PM0.60m | 6:59AM0.54m | 8:45PM0.63m | 7:47AM0.60m | 10:07PM0.62m | 8:49AM0.64m | 11:13PM0.55m | ||||||||
 |  |  | |  |  |  | | | | | | | |  | | |  | | | | |
 | 6:30 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — |
 | — | 5:23 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:25 | — | — | 5:27 | — | — | 5:27 | — | — | 5:28 | — |
mm | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 20 | 20 | 17 | 20 | 19 | 13 | 17 | 14 | 15 |
Feels °C | 12 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 18 | S 7 | ESE 6 | ESE 7 | S 9 | ESE 7 | S 8 | S 11 | ESE 8 | ESE 7 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ENE 6 | E 6 | E 6 | E 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | S 9 |
| kJ | 102 | 117 | 78 | 102 | 78 | 99 | 33 | 55 | 103 | 99 | 221 | 124 | 59 | 40 | 25 | 29 | 30 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 355 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | SSE 18 | S 8 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 12 | ESE 14 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | S 8 | S 8 | E 11 | E 10 | SE 7 | S 12 | SE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | S 9 | ENE 7 |
| kJ | 8 | 102 | 72 | 81 | 80 | 35 | 10 | 71 | 111 | 58 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 16 | SSW 13 | S 12 | E 9 | S 18 | S 10 | S 9 | S 15 | — | S 14 | — | E 9 | E 10 | SE 7 | SE 7 | SE 7 | — | — |
| kJ | 3 | 25 | 40 | 21 | 53 | 25 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 26 | 4 | — | 4 | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 6 | ESE 6 | — | — | ESE 7 | — | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | — | — | — | — | — | ENE 3 | — | NW 3 | — | NW 3 | SSW 5 | S 5 | — |
| kJ | 140 | 58 | — | — | 99 | — | 108 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — | 2 | 15 | 47 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 125 | 96 | 44 | 0 | 193 | 81 | 117 | 136 | 0 | 0 | 75 | 0 | 0 | 95 | 0 | 23 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 212 | 9 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)- Wind Speed (km/h)
FREE! Surf-Forecast.com widget for your website
The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Nobbys Reef surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the Nobbys Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Nobbys Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Nobbys Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Nobbys Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Nobbys Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Nobbys Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Nobbys Reef, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Newcastle which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 31 km (19 miles) away, Port Stephens, Cessnock and Central Coast.
Nearest