Surf Forecasts:
Nobbys Reef surf forecast from 5 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 8 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 11s period, SE swell with cross-onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 5 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 13s period, SSE swell with 3,397 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 8 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 11s period with SE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Nobbys Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 11s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-onshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Nobbys Reef in the next 16 days are 3.0m 13s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 05) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Wed 8th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Wed 8th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Sun 5th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright, Rusty here. Let's size up Nobbys Reef for the next couple of weeks.
First off, the water's about 66°, which is dead-on average for the time of year – no surprises.
Right now, we've got a big dry spell ahead. From today straight through to Wednesday, July 8th, there's not a single session worth paddlin' out for. The swell is pumpin' – we're talkin' 10 to 12 feet from the south and SSE – but the wind is a total mess, blowin' cross-on at 15 to 19 mph. That's a choppy, lumpy disaster. The energy numbers are huge – 2146 to 4217 – but that's just raw grunt with no shape. This is kite-surf territory, not paddle-surf.
Come Wednesday the 8th and Thursday the 9th, it's still pretty average. Swell drops to about 7 to 8 feet, but the wind stays cross or cross-on, and the waves are only marginal. The energy is still solid – around 885 to 1748 – but the conditions won't let you enjoy it.
Now, Friday the 10th is where we finally get a little window. Friday morning, the wind swings to a light cross-off from the WSW at just 3 mph, and that's a beauty. The swell is 6 feet from the SE with a period of 9 seconds – not super long, but the energy is still moderate at 554. The forecast says "expect very good surf conditions," and that's the best we've got. The wind will keep it clean. This is an advanced reef, and it's inconsistent, so don't expect a crowd, but you might see a few locals.
Saturday the 11th and Sunday the 12th, the swell fades. Saturday morning has 4 feet with a light cross-off from the W, but by Sunday it's down to 3 feet. The wind is offshore on Sunday from the NNW at 9 mph, which keeps it glassy, but the waves are just ordinary. Energy drops fast to around 176. This is small-wave stuff.
From Monday the 13th onward, it's a slow bleed. Waves drop below 2 feet, the energy is weak (under 100), and even with offshore winds, there's just nothin' to ride. The last half of the forecast is a flat spell.
So here's the call: Your one and only standout is Friday morning, July 10th. Not huge, but with that glassy cross-off wind and a solid 6-foot SE swell, it's your best shot. Get out early while the wind is light. This reef rarely lines up perfect, so grab it when it does. After that, it's a slow fade to flat.
Rusty, out.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 19mm), heaviest on Tue night. Very mild (max 17°C on Tue night, min 14°C on Sun morning). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 15mm), heaviest on Wed night. Very mild (max 15°C on Wed morning, min 12°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SSW on Wed morning, calm by Fri night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 5 | Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | S 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 2134 | 2181 | 2049 | 1393 | 1339 | 1490 | 2349 | 2460 | 1951 | 1291 | 989 | 917 | 869 | 727 | 612 | 549 | 634 | 398 | 215 | 193 | 250 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | on | glassy | cross-off | on | cross-off | cross-off | on | off |
High Tide | 12:03PM1.29m | 11:48PM1.53m | 12:47PM1.32m | 00:36AM1.43m | 1:35PM1.36m | 1:31AM1.33m | 2:29PM1.43m | 2:35AM1.24m | 3:28PM1.51m | 3:48AM1.18m | 4:29PM1.62m | 5:04AM1.16m | 5:30PM1.73m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:38PM0.61m | 6:29AM0.35m | 6:33PM0.62m | 7:10AM0.38m | 7:36PM0.61m | 7:55AM0.41m | 8:47PM0.58m | 8:47AM0.44m | 10:03PM0.52m | 9:44AM0.45m | 11:16PM0.43m | 10:44AM0.44m | 00:23AM0.32m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | |  | | | | |  | | | | |  | | | | |  | |
 | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — |
 | — | 4:58 | — | — | 4:59 | — | — | 4:59 | — | — | 4:59 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — |
mm | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | — | 3 | 2 | 3 | 4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 14 |
Feels °C | 9 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 8 | E 13 | E 13 | E 14 | E 14 | E 13 | SSE 10 | — | SE 11 | SE 11 | ESE 12 | SSE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 8 | ESE 10 |
| kJ | 12 | 30 | 14 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 1868 | — | 1951 | 1291 | 759 | 917 | 869 | 727 | 612 | 549 | 634 | 398 | 215 | 153 | 250 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | E 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ESE 13 | — | ESE 12 | S 18 | S 17 | S 20 | S 16 | S 19 | SE 14 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | SSE 8 |
| kJ | — | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 373 | — | 211 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 52 | 172 | 193 | 38 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 14 | S 23 | — | S 20 | — | — | S 18 | S 16 | S 16 | S 15 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 10 | — | 8 | — | — | 6 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | S 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | SE 11 | — | — | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 2134 | 2181 | 2049 | 1393 | 1339 | 1490 | 2349 | 2460 | — | — | 989 | 889 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 92 | 241 | 241 | 292 | 221 | 44 | 44 | 96 | 44 | 1 | 44 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Nobbys Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Nobbys Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Nobbys Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Nobbys Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Nobbys Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Nobbys Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Nobbys Reef, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Newcastle which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 31 km (19 miles) away, Port Stephens, Cessnock and Central Coast.
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