Surf Forecasts:
Nobbys Reef surf forecast from 1 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 7 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 9s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 6 Sep, 4PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 12s period, S swell with 529 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 2 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 10s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Nobbys Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 02) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 5s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Nobbys Reef in the next 16 days are 1.4m 12s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 06) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 3s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 02) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Wed 2nd Sep) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Mon 7th Sep) | 3ft (0.9m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Sun 6th Sep) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 12s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let me break this down for you.
First up, we're looking at a pretty quiet stretch for the next 16 days around here. The only break that's even worth talking about is Nobbys Reef, but honestly, it's a tough one to call. This spot is a reef break, so it's got that proper groundswell feel, but it's also inconsistent and really only for the more advanced crew – it doesn't break often, so when it does, you've gotta be on it.
The swell is coming from the south-east, which is the optimum direction for this place, so that's a plus. The water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing unusual to report there.
The first bit of action is on Wednesday, September 2nd. We've got a small 2ft south swell pushing through with a 10-second period, so the energy is moderate (112). The wind is a clean offshore northwesterly, so the faces will be tidy. It's not a showstopper, but it's something to get wet on. The morning and afternoon look similar.
Thursday, September 3rd keeps that same small south swell, around 2ft, but the wind shifts to a cross-on from the south in the afternoon, which messes it up. The morning is still clean offshore, but the energy is a bit weaker (86).
Friday, September 4th is a bit of a tease. The morning is glassy – dead flat wind from the south-west, with a tiny 1ft south-southeast swell. The energy is weak (82). It's a glassy morning, but the swell is almost nothing. The afternoon goes cross-shore and picks up a little to 3ft, but the quality drops.
Saturday, September 5th and Sunday, September 6th are mostly poor. The swell stays tiny and the wind is messy. Then on Sunday afternoon, the swell jumps up to 5ft from the south with a 12-second period, and the energy spikes to 539 (moderate-strong), but it's onshore from the south-east, so it's going to be a lumpy mess. Not worth it.
Now, Monday, September 7th is the first real standout. The morning has a 4ft south swell with an 11-second period and a light north wind – that's a nice cross-off. The energy is solid (293). The conditions are clean, and it's the best we've seen so far. The swell is still a bit small for a reef, but it's the pick of the week.
After that, we hit a real dry spell. Tuesday, September 8th through to Saturday, September 12th is mostly rubbish – tiny swell, onshore winds, and a lot of rain. The energy is weak to moderate, but the wind is just awful. There's a period of very long gap with no decent recommendations.
Things try to fire up again on Sunday, September 13th. The afternoon session is the highlight: 4ft south swell with a 9-second period, and the wind goes offshore from the north-west. The energy is solid (276) and the conditions are described as "good surf conditions." This is definitely the second standout of the period.
Monday, September 14th is a bit of a drop-off, but the morning is clean with a small 2ft swell.
Then we get a big warning for Tuesday, September 15th. The swell is going to pump up to 8ft from the south-southeast with a long 14-second period. The energy is insane (2558). That's a lot of power. But it's cross-on, and at that size, it's strictly for experts only. The afternoon is similar at 8ft. This is a heavy groundswell, and with a long period like that, it's going to be a constant line-up at a reef, but the wind is going to make it a challenge. For the average surfer, it's a leave-it-alone day.
The last few days (Wednesday 16th and Thursday 17th) are back to small, wind-affected slop. The morning of the 16th has a 4ft SSE swell, but it's onshore and messy.
So, to wrap it up: Monday, September 7th morning and Sunday, September 13th afternoon are your best bets. The rest of the time, you're either looking at tiny waves, wrong wind, or dangerously big swell for the experts. Nobbys Reef is a tricky spot, and this forecast shows that.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Thu morning, min 14°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Sat morning, min 12°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 10 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | S 10 | S 8 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 12 | S 9 | S 11 | S 10 | NE 6 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
106 | 74 | 82 | 50 | 51 | 52 | 33 | 35 | 125 | 28 | 33 | 43 | 27 | 40 | 529 | 211 | 279 | 230 | 123 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | off | off | off | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | on | cross | cross-off | cross | glassy |
High Tide | 10:58PM1.36m | 11:28AM1.51m | 11:50PM1.23m | 12:22PM1.51m | 00:54AM1.12m | 1:26PM1.51m | 2:14AM1.04m | 2:41PM1.52m | 3:47AM1.04m | 3:58PM1.58m | 5:08AM1.11m | 5:08PM1.65m | |||||||
Low Tide | 5:03AM0.31m | 5:53PM0.37m | 5:47AM0.39m | 7:02PM0.42m | 6:42AM0.47m | 8:22PM0.44m | 7:51AM0.54m | 9:49PM0.40m | 9:11AM0.55m | 11:04PM0.32m | 10:30AM0.51m | 00:02AM0.23m | |||||||
— | 6:09 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 20 | 25 | 24 | 21 | 27 | 22 | 19 | 18 | 20 | 18 | 28 | 27 | 22 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 19 | 19 | 17 |
Feels °C | 17 | 20 | 19 | 18 | 22 | 19 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 23 | 21 | 19 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 16 | 17 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 10 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 10 | S 6 | S 10 | S 8 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 12 | S 9 | S 11 | S 10 | ENE 6 |
106 | 74 | 82 | 50 | 51 | 52 | 33 | 28 | 125 | 28 | 33 | 43 | 27 | 40 | 529 | 211 | 279 | 230 | 72 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 5 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | SSE 10 | ENE 10 | NE 4 | S 7 | ENE 5 | ENE 6 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | — | S 9 |
7 | 33 | 19 | 19 | 18 | 19 | 18 | 35 | 18 | 2 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | — | 76 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 10 | NE 6 | NE 5 | ENE 5 | SSE 13 | NNW 3 | SSE 13 | ENE 10 | S 18 | S 11 | E 9 | E 9 | E 11 | NE 6 | NE 6 | — | — | — | — |
20 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 1 | 17 | 19 | 6 | 21 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 3 | NW 3 | NW 3 | NW 3 | NNW 3 | SSE 3 | SSW 4 | — | E 2 | WNW 2 | NNW 3 | WNW 3 | — | WNW 3 | SE 3 | E 4 | ENE 4 | ENE 5 | NE 6 |
1 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | — | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 85 | 123 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 64 | 10 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 30 | 22 | 23 | 43 | 508 | 30 | 0 | 81 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Nobbys Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Nobbys Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Nobbys Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Nobbys Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Nobbys Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Nobbys Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Nobbys Reef, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Newcastle which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 31 km (19 miles) away, Port Stephens, Cessnock and Central Coast.











