
Surf Forecasts:
Nobbys Reef surf forecast from 3 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 6 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 10s period, S swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 8 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 9s period, SSE swell with 972 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 3 Sep, 4PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 10s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Nobbys Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 03) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.5m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Nobbys Reef in the next 16 days are 2.5m 9s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 08) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Thursday (Sep 03) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4PM (Thu 3rd Sep) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Sun 6th Sep) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Tue 8th Sep) | 8ft (2.5m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's cut through the noise on this one.
We've got a slow start and a bit of a wait on our hands. The next couple of weeks are looking pretty quiet for Nobbys Reef (New South Wales). The water's about 65°F, which is normal for the season, nothing wild.
The first few days, from Thursday the 3rd through the weekend, are small and weak. Thursday morning has a tiny 2ft south swell at 10 seconds and a clean offshore wind, but there's no energy behind it. Friday and Saturday are the same story—small, weak, and mostly messy with cross-shore winds. Sunday the 6th is a write-off with building onshore south-southeast swell.
The first real chance of a wave is on Monday the 7th of September. We get a 4ft south swell, a light cross-offshore breeze, and moderate energy. It'll be clean, but it's not the main event. Tuesday the 8th jumps up to a big 8ft southeast swell, but it's onshore and chopped to bits—that's one for the big guns only, and even then it'll be rough. That drops to 6ft in the afternoon, but still not pretty.
Then we get to our window. Thursday the 10th has serious size, but the wind ruins it. A stormy 8ft in the morning, and while the afternoon swell is a more manageable 5ft, it's got a long 16-second period with a lot of energy, but it's still cross-onshore and lumpy.
Friday the 11th is better. A solid 6ft south-southeast groundswell at 11 seconds, with a light cross-shore wind in the morning. It's got some power, but the real gem is Saturday the 12th of September.
Saturday morning is the standout. It's completely glassy, with a clean 5ft south-southeast swell at 12 seconds. The energy is solid, the conditions are perfect, and it's the best chance you'll get for a proper, well-shaped wave on this reef all fortnight. This break is fickle, so be ready to wait, but it'll be worth it. And with the surf that clean, expect a few other locals to have the same idea.
After that, it drops off a cliff. The following week is tiny, with a few 2ft days here and there, and a long gap of nothing worthwhile. There's a small, fading pulse mid-week, but the swell peters out to nothing by the 16th and 17th.
The tail end of the window, on Thursday the 18th, shows a small 2ft south-southeast swell with a very long 18-second period and a light offshore wind. The size is marginal, but that long period might just line up a few fun ones. It's a long way off though, so keep your expectations in check.
So, there you have it. If you only surf one day in the next two weeks, make it the glassy Saturday morning on the 12th.
Catch you in the water.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 29°C on Sat morning, min 14°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NW on Thu morning, light winds from the SW by Fri morning). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 19°C on Mon morning, min 12°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 10 | S 12 | S 10 | SSE 14 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 12 | S 10 | S 9 | S 8 | S 6 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 8 | S 8 | S 8 | SSE 7 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
50 | 51 | 33 | 134 | 186 | 67 | 98 | 41 | 27 | 55 | 290 | 314 | 241 | 143 | 135 | 972 | 572 | 210 | 140 | 108 | 237 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross | on | glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-on | on | off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 12:22PM1.51m | 00:54AM1.12m | 1:26PM1.51m | 2:14AM1.04m | 2:41PM1.52m | 3:47AM1.04m | 3:58PM1.58m | 5:08AM1.11m | 5:08PM1.65m | 6:07AM1.21m | 6:08PM1.71m | 6:55AM1.32m | 6:59PM1.74m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:02PM0.42m | 6:42AM0.47m | 8:22PM0.44m | 7:51AM0.54m | 9:49PM0.40m | 9:11AM0.55m | 11:04PM0.32m | 10:30AM0.51m | 00:02AM0.23m | 11:39AM0.42m | 00:51AM0.15m | 12:36PM0.33m | 1:33AM0.11m | ||||||||
6:09 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | |
— | 5:36 | — | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 27 | 26 | 18 | 18 | 20 | 18 | 29 | 27 | 25 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 19 | 19 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 |
Feels °C | 22 | 22 | 14 | 16 | 17 | 15 | 25 | 23 | 21 | 14 | 12 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 10 | S 12 | S 10 | S 8 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 12 | S 10 | S 9 | S 8 | SSE 9 | E 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 8 | S 8 | S 8 | SSE 15 |
50 | 51 | 33 | 134 | 186 | 44 | 98 | 41 | 27 | 55 | 290 | 314 | 241 | 143 | 78 | 2 | 572 | 210 | 140 | 108 | 23 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | S 6 | E 10 | SSE 14 | E 9 | ENE 5 | ENE 7 | E 10 | S 9 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 9 | — | E 10 | SE 11 | SE 8 | E 9 | E 9 |
18 | 18 | 18 | 25 | 7 | 67 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 127 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | — | 2 | 18 | 88 | 2 | 6 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 13 | WNW 4 | SSE 13 | ENE 10 | S 18 | NE 4 | — | E 9 | E 11 | ENE 6 | E 10 | NE 8 | NE 8 | SE 11 | — | — | — | E 10 | E 9 | S 17 | E 16 |
16 | 1 | 17 | 19 | 6 | 4 | — | 7 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 5 | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | 6 | 5 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 3 | WSW 3 | SSW 5 | — | — | NW 3 | N 3 | WNW 3 | WSW 2 | — | SE 3 | — | — | NE 3 | S 6 | SSE 9 | — | — | — | SE 8 | SSE 7 |
5 | 1 | 9 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 6 | 1 | — | 3 | — | — | 3 | 135 | 972 | — | — | — | 82 | 237 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 35 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 212 | 0 | 0 | 739 | 107 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 508 | 221 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Nobbys Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Nobbys Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Nobbys Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Nobbys Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Nobbys Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Nobbys Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Nobbys Reef, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Newcastle which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 31 km (19 miles) away, Port Stephens, Cessnock and Central Coast.










