Surf Forecasts:
Nobbys Reef surf forecast from 10 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 10 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 10s period, SE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 15 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 10s period, S swell with 832 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 10 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 10s period with SE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Nobbys Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 10) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 19s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Nobbys Reef in the next 16 days are 2.1m 10s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 12) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Fri 10th Jul) | 5ft (1.6m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Fri 10th Jul) | 5ft (1.6m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Wed 15th Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days.
Alright, let's get into it. The swell window's been a bit shy lately, but we've got a little window opening up that's worth paddling out for.
The real standout here is Nobbys Reef, and it's gonna be this Friday afternoon, July 10th. We're looking at a solid 6ft SE groundswell rolling in, with a period just over 10 seconds. The wind is glassy, practically dead calm from the SSE at only 3 mph. That's a recipe for some truly clean, rippable lines off the reef. The water's sitting at a normal 66°, so nothing wild there. The combined energy is a solid moderate (588), and with the reef's exposure, it's gonna handle that SE push perfectly. This is the one to circle. Keep in mind, it's an advanced spot and only suits the experienced crew. Crowds are sometimes a factor, so get in early.
Saturday morning, July 11th, the swell backs off a touch to 4ft, but by then we've got clean, light NW offshore wind at 6 mph. It won't have the punch of Friday, but it'll be a nice, clean morning session. The swell drops further through Saturday afternoon to 3ft from the ESE with a longer 11-second period and a light offshore breeze from the NNW. It'll be a gentler, cleaner wave, but the energy is moderate (375 and then 313).
By Sunday morning, July 12th, the wind gets rowdy. A solid 16 mph WNW offshore breeze will make it clean, but it'll be blowing hard, and the swell is down to 3ft with only low energy (162). It's a bit of a battle for not much reward. The rest of the week is pretty flat or messy until Wednesday, July 15th, when a pulse of S swell arrives, but the wind is cross-shore and onshore, so it's not worth chasing.
There's a long gap of quiet, poor conditions from Sunday afternoon right through the middle of the next week. The models show another potential window around Thursday the 16th, with a 4ft S swell (287 energy) and light cross-offshore wind from the WSW in the morning, but that's a week and a half out, so keep a loose eye on it. There's nothing else in the 16-day window that comes close to Friday's quality.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Fri afternoon. Very mild (max 17°C on Sat afternoon, min 8°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (calm on Fri afternoon, fresh winds from the W by Sun morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Tue afternoon, min 10°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Fri 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | ESE 11 | SE 10 | SE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | SSW 8 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 19 | S 11 | S 10 | S 9 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 7 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 580 | 373 | 202 | 193 | 225 | 134 | 59 | 32 | 22 | 11 | 21 | 10 | 7 | 37 | 463 | 575 | 469 | 287 | 306 | 161 | 176 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 4:29PM1.62m | 5:04AM1.16m | 5:30PM1.73m | 6:15AM1.19m | 6:28PM1.83m | 7:17AM1.23m | 7:23PM1.91m | 8:13AM1.29m | 8:15PM1.95m | 9:04AM1.33m | 9:04PM1.94m | 9:52AM1.37m | 9:52PM1.87m | 10:39AM1.38m | |||||||
Low Tide | 11:16PM0.43m | 10:44AM0.44m | 00:23AM0.32m | 11:45AM0.42m | 1:21AM0.22m | 12:44PM0.39m | 2:14AM0.14m | 1:41PM0.37m | 3:03AM0.09m | 2:35PM0.36m | 3:50AM0.09m | 3:28PM0.36m | 4:35AM0.12m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | |  | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 |
 | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:01 | — | — | 5:01 | — | — | 5:02 | — | — | 5:02 | — | — | 5:04 | — | 5:04 |
mm | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 14 | 16 | 17 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 11 | 15 | 17 | 12 | 18 | 19 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 15 |
Feels °C | 14 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 13 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 8 | SE 10 | SE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | SSW 8 | SSW 7 | S 11 | S 7 | S 7 | S 11 | S 10 | — | S 10 | S 9 | SSE 9 | S 8 | SSE 7 |
| kJ | 580 | 373 | 202 | 115 | 225 | 134 | 59 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 21 | 4 | 4 | 37 | 268 | — | 469 | 287 | 202 | 161 | 114 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 20 | ESE 15 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | SSE 9 | SSE 8 | SE 8 | SSW 6 | ESE 8 | S 12 | SE 8 | S 11 | S 10 | E 10 | E 10 | — | — | — | S 15 | S 13 | S 12 |
| kJ | 8 | 21 | 169 | 193 | 52 | 24 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | 4 | 29 | 27 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | S 18 | S 15 | S 16 | S 15 | S 14 | SW 4 | SE 8 | E 11 | SE 8 | E 10 | E 11 | S 19 | E 10 | — | — | — | — | — | E 10 | — |
| kJ | — | 6 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | NW 3 | WNW 3 | WNW 3 | W 4 | WNW 3 | NW 3 | WNW 3 | WNW 3 | W 3 | SSW 5 | S 10 | S 9 | — | — | S 9 | — | S 7 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | 2 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 35 | 463 | 575 | — | — | 306 | — | 176 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 85 | 0 | 0 | 33 | 33 | 174 | 174 | 100 | 42 | 0 | 66 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Nobbys Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Nobbys Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Nobbys Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Nobbys Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Nobbys Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Nobbys Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Nobbys Reef, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Newcastle which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 31 km (19 miles) away, Port Stephens, Cessnock and Central Coast.
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