
Surf Forecasts:
Nobbys Reef surf forecast from 8 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 9 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 9s period, SSE swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 10 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 10s period, S swell with 2,250 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 9 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 9s period with SSE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Nobbys Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Nobbys Reef in the next 16 days are 3.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Sep 13) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Wed 9th Sep) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Wed 9th Sep) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G'day, Rusty here. Look, if you were hoping for a ripper run at Nobbys Reef, you're gonna need a bit of patience. The next couple of weeks are a bit of a mixed bag, with a few windows of clean waves but plenty of chop and onshore slop to dodge.
The water temp is sitting around 66°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year.
The action starts picking up on Wednesday the 9th. Wednesday morning is your first real chance, with a clean 3ft S swell and a light offshore WNW wind. It’s not big, but the conditions will be tidy.
Thursday the 10th sees a big jump in energy, with a solid 8ft SE swell hitting in the morning, backed by a combined energy reading of (1253). That's a powerful lump of water, but it's coming with a cross-onshore breeze, making things messy and choppy. This one's for experienced crew only. By the afternoon the wind is still messy on a 7ft SSE swell.
Friday the 11th is a write-off with cross-shore and cross-onshore winds messing up the 7ft and 6ft swell.
Now, the standout for the whole period is hands down Saturday morning, the 12th. It might not be the biggest swell at 4ft SSE, but the conditions are absolute perfection – glassy, clean surf with barely a breath of wind. Combined energy sits at a moderate (382), and a period of 9 seconds means it'll have a bit of shape on the reef. This is the session to circle on the calendar.
Sunday the 13th drops in size to 3ft. The morning has a light offshore N wind, keeping it clean, but it's small.
We go through a flat and ordinary spell from Monday the 14th through to Wednesday the 16th, with small, messy swell and onshore winds. Thursday morning the 17th offers another glassy, clean spell, but it's only 4ft S swell.
The second week sees a bit of a resurgence. Friday the 18th looks promising, with clean conditions all day thanks to offshore WNW winds, picking up a 3ft S swell (period 12 seconds). It's a groundswell, so it'll wrap nicely into the reef.
The real treat for the second week, and the second standout, comes on Saturday the 19th. We're looking at a very long period groundswell of 17 seconds, coming from the SSE at 2-2ft. That's a deep ocean pulse, and with a gentle offshore NW breeze it'll be clean as a whistle. The energy is moderate at (297) but that long period means it'll have some real push. This is a promise rather than a certainty this far out, but it's one to watch.
The runs continue with clean offshore days on Sunday the 20th with 3ft S swell (period 12s), before the window looks to close down from Monday the 21st onward with a return of smaller swell and onshore winds.
So there you have it. It'll be a waiting game, but the 12th of September is the pick of the crop, with the morning of the 19th as a promising long-range option.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Tue afternoon, min 11°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (calm on Tue night, strong winds from the S by Wed night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Mon morning, min 12°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (calm on Sat morning, fresh winds from the ENE by Sun afternoon). | |||||||||||||||||||
Tue 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 8 | SSE 9 | S 8 | SSE 7 | S 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | S 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 11 | SSE 19 | SSE 9 | S 11 | S 10 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
562 | 433 | 140 | 517 | 2199 | 1106 | 1027 | 1370 | 683 | 510 | 359 | 260 | 303 | 210 | 113 | 146 | 106 | 137 | 121 | 82 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | glassy | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | off | off | cross | off |
High Tide | 6:08PM1.71m | 6:55AM1.32m | 6:59PM1.74m | 7:38AM1.42m | 7:45PM1.73m | 8:18AM1.49m | 8:28PM1.67m | 8:56AM1.53m | 9:08PM1.58m | 9:33AM1.54m | 9:47PM1.46m | 10:10AM1.53m | 10:25PM1.32m | |||||||
Low Tide | 00:51AM0.15m | 12:36PM0.33m | 1:33AM0.11m | 1:27PM0.25m | 2:11AM0.10m | 2:14PM0.21m | 2:47AM0.12m | 2:59PM0.20m | 3:21AM0.17m | 3:43PM0.24m | 3:53AM0.24m | 4:26PM0.31m | ||||||||
— | — | 6:01 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | |
5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:43 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 19 | 20 | 17 | 26 | 26 | 23 |
Feels °C | 12 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 22 | 21 | 20 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 8 | SSE 9 | S 8 | ESE 13 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | SSE 23 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | S 11 | S 10 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 |
562 | 433 | 140 | 17 | 47 | 38 | 170 | 939 | 683 | 510 | 359 | 260 | 303 | 160 | 113 | 146 | 106 | 137 | 121 | 82 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | E 10 | SE 7 | E 9 | S 26 | SSE 23 | SE 10 | SSE 18 | E 15 | E 14 | E 13 | SSE 19 | SSE 18 | SSE 19 | SSE 16 | E 13 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 5 | ENE 6 |
2 | 2 | 79 | 7 | 13 | 104 | 23 | 126 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 118 | 193 | 210 | 52 | 13 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 20 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | E 15 | E 9 | E 17 | — | E 16 | E 9 | E 15 | S 21 | E 10 | S 18 | E 14 | E 14 | E 13 | ENE 4 | — | SSE 13 | E 13 | E 12 | E 12 |
— | 4 | 7 | 6 | — | 5 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 4 | — | 58 | 13 | 3 | 3 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | NW 2 | SSE 7 | S 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | S 10 | — | — | — | — | E 3 | ENE 4 | — | ENE 4 | — | — | NE 4 | WSW 2 |
— | — | 1 | 517 | 2199 | 1106 | 1027 | 1370 | — | — | — | — | 5 | 20 | — | 23 | — | — | 4 | 1 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 9 | 0 | 0 | 702 | 179 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 81 | 0 | 0 | 213 | 0 | 0 | 136 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Nobbys Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Nobbys Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Nobbys Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Nobbys Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Nobbys Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Nobbys Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Nobbys Reef, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Newcastle which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 31 km (19 miles) away, Port Stephens, Cessnock and Central Coast.










