
Surf Forecasts:
Nobbys Reef surf forecast from 4 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 10 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period, SSE swell with cross-shore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 10 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 14s period, SSE swell with 3,275 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 4 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 8s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Nobbys Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 04) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 4s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Nobbys Reef in the next 16 days are 3.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Friday (Sep 04) at 10PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Fri 4th Sep) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 10AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Thu 10th Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G'day, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s coming up at Nobbys Reef. It’s a proper reef set-up that needs an offshore wind and a decent south swell to really fire, and it’s inconsistent as all get-out. The water temp is sitting about average for this time of year, so nothing weird there.
We’ve got a bit of a hit-and-miss run ahead. The first real chance to get a wave is this Friday morning, the 4th of September. It’s looking glassy with light easterly airs, and we’ve got a clean 3 ft south swell rolling in with a period of 12 seconds. The combined energy is moderate (209). It’s not huge, but the conditions are spot on. After that, the wind swings and the quality drops right off.
Next window is Monday morning, the 7th of September. Again, glassy conditions with light southwest winds, and a touch more size at 4 ft from the south. Period’s dropped to 8 seconds, so it’s a shorter-period swell, but with that glassed-out surface it’ll still be a fun session. Wave energy is moderate (205).
Then we get a few days of onshore junk and building swell. Things get messy, but keep an eye on Saturday morning, the 12th of September. We’ve got a solid 5 ft south-southeast swell with a 12-second period, and the combined energy is moderate to strong (575). The wind is cross-shore from the south-southwest, so there’ll be a bit of a cross-chop on the face. It’s marginal, but for a dedicated crew it could offer some better shaped waves than what we’ve seen. For the average punter, it’s touch and go.
If you can wait, Wednesday morning the 16th of September is the real standout. It’s clean with a light west-southwest cross-off breeze, and there’s 3 ft of south swell at 9 seconds. Energy is moderate (210), and with those clean conditions, it’ll be the pick of the bunch for sure. Expect it to be worth the paddle.
Otherwise, there are big gaps of a few days with nothing worth chasing, and that second week has some proper storms blowing through, so don’t hold your breath. For a reef that’s this inconsistent, that’s just how it goes.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 29°C on Sat afternoon, min 14°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (calm on Fri morning, fresh winds from the WNW by Sat afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Warm (max 21°C on Wed morning, min 10°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (calm on Tue night, strong winds from the S by Wed night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | S 10 | SSE 12 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | S 11 | S 9 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 8 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | SSE 14 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
177 | 220 | 50 | 96 | 58 | 42 | 41 | 58 | 1301 | 292 | 187 | 789 | 1042 | 1152 | 787 | 461 | 348 | 763 | 1587 | 2235 | 2977 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | cross | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | on | cross | glassy | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | off | off | on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 1:26PM1.51m | 2:14AM1.04m | 2:41PM1.52m | 3:47AM1.04m | 3:58PM1.58m | 5:08AM1.11m | 5:08PM1.65m | 6:07AM1.21m | 6:08PM1.71m | 6:55AM1.32m | 6:59PM1.74m | 7:38AM1.42m | 7:45PM1.73m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:22PM0.44m | 7:51AM0.54m | 9:49PM0.40m | 9:11AM0.55m | 11:04PM0.32m | 10:30AM0.51m | 00:02AM0.23m | 11:39AM0.42m | 00:51AM0.15m | 12:36PM0.33m | 1:33AM0.11m | 1:27PM0.25m | 2:11AM0.10m | ||||||||
6:07 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | |
— | 5:36 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:39 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
Temp °C | 17 | 19 | 18 | 27 | 29 | 23 | 20 | 18 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 21 | 19 | 14 | 12 | 15 | 15 |
Feels °C | 15 | 15 | 15 | 25 | 24 | 21 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 13 | 19 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | S 10 | S 8 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | S 11 | S 9 | E 10 | E 9 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 15 | SSE 21 | SSE 18 | SSE 14 |
177 | 220 | 44 | 96 | 58 | 42 | 41 | 58 | 807 | 292 | 7 | 7 | 1042 | 1152 | 787 | 461 | 348 | 23 | 144 | 572 | 2977 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 6 | ENE 10 | SSE 12 | E 9 | ENE 5 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | — | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 9 | S 17 | E 16 | E 16 | NE 15 | SSE 24 |
25 | 18 | 50 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 5 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 8 | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 56 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | S 18 | NE 4 | — | E 9 | E 11 | E 10 | E 10 | — | NE 7 | N 8 | — | — | — | — | S 18 | E 17 | E 16 | E 16 | — | E 15 |
7 | 6 | 4 | — | 7 | 9 | 9 | 8 | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | — | 4 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NE 7 | WNW 3 | NNW 3 | NW 3 | WNW 3 | WNW 3 | SE 3 | S 11 | — | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | — | — | — | NNW 2 | — | SSE 8 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | — |
— | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1301 | — | 187 | 789 | — | — | — | 1 | — | 763 | 1587 | 2235 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 136 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 22 | 508 | 2 | 0 | 499 | 96 | 92 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 702 | 259 | 125 | 499 | 44 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Nobbys Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Nobbys Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Nobbys Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Nobbys Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Nobbys Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Nobbys Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Nobbys Reef, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Newcastle which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 31 km (19 miles) away, Port Stephens, Cessnock and Central Coast.










