
Surf Forecasts:
Nobbys Reef surf forecast from 14 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 17 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 11s period, S swell with cross-shore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 17 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 10s period, S swell with 2,600 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 14 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 6s period with NE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Nobbys Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 14) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 6s. Another secondary swell of 0.5m and 11s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Nobbys Reef in the next 16 days are 3.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 17) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Sep 20) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Mon 14th Sep) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 6s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Thu 17th Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Thu 17th Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a proper look at what’s on the table for the next couple of weeks at our local patch.
Right off the bat, we’ve got a bit of a slow start. Monday morning the 14th is clean enough with a light cross-off breeze, but the swell is small at 2 ft from the S with a moderate 158 combined swell energy – honestly, it’s a bit ordinary. Monday afternoon gets ruined by a stiff NE breeze at 25 km/h, so we’ll leave that one.
Tuesday the 15th shows some promise early with a glassy offshore from the NW at 15 km/h and tiny 1 ft S swell, but the energy is weak at 54. You might get a fun little slide on the right board, but it’s not going to set the world on fire.
Now, Wednesday the 16th morning is a different beast. We’ve got a solid 10 ft S swell rolling in, but the period is a short 9 seconds and the wind is a messy cross-shore at 30 km/h. The combined energy is massive at 1772, but this reef break is exposed to that S swell and it’s going to be too big and lumpy for most. This one is strictly for experts only, and even then, it’s going to be a battle. Thursday the 17th is similar – 10 ft S swell early, big energy at 4219, but again that cross-shore wind and size are pushing the limits. These days are more about watching than paddling, unless you’re really charging.
The standout of the whole period? Friday the 18th morning. The swell has dropped to a more manageable 5 ft from the SSE, the wind is light offshore from the NW at just 5 km/h, and the water temp is 18° with a normal anomaly for this time of year. The break is clean, the combined energy is a moderate 317, and conditions are looking prime. That’s your best window for a proper session. Saturday the 19th morning also looks sweet with a very long period 16-second S groundswell at 2 ft and clean offshore winds from the WNW. That long period will wrap nicely around the reef, but it’s a small one – better for a longboard or a fish.
After that, we hit a flat spell. Sunday the 20th through to Monday the 21st is pretty poor – tiny swell and onshore winds. Tuesday the 22nd morning sees a bump up to 8 ft SSE with a 12-second period, but the wind is cross-shore from the NE at 15 km/h, so it’s going to be a bit lumpy. Wednesday the 23rd morning is another highlight: 5 ft SSE swell at 12 seconds with glassy offshore NNW winds at 5 km/h. That’s clean and should offer some good shaped waves. The energy is moderate at 537.
Thursday the 24th morning is glassy with a light W wind and 3 ft SSE swell – another clean one for the small wave gear. The rest of the period drifts into messy or small conditions, with a final notable window on Sunday the 27th afternoon when the swell picks back up to 5 ft SSE with an offshore WNW breeze at 15 km/h, giving you a clean 247 combined energy.
So to sum it up: Friday the 18th morning is the absolute pick of the bunch – clean, offshore, manageable size, and quality surf. Wednesday the 23rd morning is a close second. The rest of the time is either too small, too big, or too windy. Stay keen, and don’t sleep on those early sessions.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Tue night. Warm (max 24°C on Mon morning, min 10°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (light winds from the N on Mon morning, strong winds from the S by Wed afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Sat morning, min 11°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | Saturday 19 | Sunday 20 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | S 11 | NE 6 | S 10 | SE 4 | S 7 | S 9 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 18 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
132 | 85 | 78 | 30 | 15 | 585 | 1764 | 2391 | 2386 | 2010 | 807 | 427 | 322 | 276 | 206 | 103 | 74 | 52 | 39 | 25 | 113 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | on | cross-off | off | cross-on | cross-off | off | cross-on | off | cross-off | cross-off | off |
High Tide | 10:10AM1.53m | 10:25PM1.32m | 10:48AM1.50m | 11:03PM1.19m | 11:27AM1.46m | 11:44PM1.07m | 12:11PM1.41m | 00:35AM0.98m | 1:02PM1.36m | 1:45AM0.92m | 2:03PM1.34m | 3:16AM0.92m | 3:09PM1.34m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 4:26PM0.31m | 4:24AM0.32m | 5:12PM0.39m | 4:55AM0.41m | 6:01PM0.48m | 5:28AM0.51m | 6:59PM0.55m | 6:08AM0.59m | 8:08PM0.59m | 7:03AM0.67m | 9:25PM0.58m | 8:16AM0.71m | 10:30PM0.52m | ||||||||
5:54 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | |
— | 5:43 | — | — | 5:44 | — | — | 5:44 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 24 | 24 | 22 | 23 | 18 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 20 | 19 | 17 | 26 | 26 | 20 | 27 | 28 | 25 |
Feels °C | 20 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 17 | 15 | 13 | 23 | 22 | 19 | 23 | 22 | 22 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | S 11 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | S 9 | NE 7 | E 14 | — | E 13 | S 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 18 |
132 | 85 | 34 | 13 | 15 | 2 | 4 | — | 3 | 1449 | 807 | 427 | 322 | 276 | 206 | 103 | 74 | 52 | 39 | 25 | 113 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 6 | E 12 | S 10 | S 10 | ENE 7 | E 14 | E 15 | — | — | S 18 | S 19 | S 19 | SSE 18 | SSE 18 | SSE 17 | SSE 16 | SSE 17 | ENE 4 | S 17 | S 21 | ENE 5 |
13 | 3 | 52 | 30 | 5 | 4 | 4 | — | — | 7 | 28 | 7 | 31 | 60 | 97 | 83 | 55 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 4 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 13 | E 10 | E 12 | E 13 | E 14 | — | — | — | — | E 13 | E 13 | E 13 | E 12 | E 12 | E 12 | E 12 | SE 9 | SSE 16 | E 8 | S 17 | S 11 |
13 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 1 | 6 | 9 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 6 | ENE 4 | NE 6 | WNW 2 | SE 4 | S 7 | S 9 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | — | — | — | E 3 | NNE 4 | — | E 2 | — | — | NE 2 | NW 2 |
54 | 17 | 78 | 1 | 14 | 585 | 1764 | 2391 | 2386 | 2010 | — | — | — | 2 | 4 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 1 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 136 | 0 | 0 | 712 | 212 | 739 | 831 | 96 | 44 | 66 | 0 | 0 | 81 | 0 | 0 | 75 | 0 | 41 | 407 | 32 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Nobbys Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Nobbys Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Nobbys Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Nobbys Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Nobbys Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Nobbys Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Nobbys Reef, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Newcastle which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 31 km (19 miles) away, Port Stephens, Cessnock and Central Coast.










