Surf Forecasts:
Nobbys Reef surf forecast from 25 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 28 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 12s period, SSE swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 28 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 12s period, SSE swell with 669 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 26 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 8s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Nobbys Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 26) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Nobbys Reef in the next 16 days are 1.6m 12s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 28) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 01) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10AM (Wed 26th Aug) | 2ft (0.6m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Fri 28th Aug) | 5ft (1.6m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Fri 28th Aug) | 5ft (1.6m) 12s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s do that again in feet, temperature in Fahrenheit, and wind in miles per hour.
Righto folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a proper look at what’s coming for Nobbys Reef over the next couple of weeks. It’s gonna be a bit of a slow burner, but there are a couple of windows worth setting the alarm for.
First up, we’ve got a bit of a quiet start mid-week. Wednesday the 26th is nothing to write home about – a small 2ft push from the ENE with a weak 90 (combined energy) is there, but it’s scrappy with a cross-off breeze. By the afternoon, a south wind kicks up to 19 mph and the swell goes onshore and lumpy – total write-off.
Thursday stays poor. A 5ft south swell fills in but the cross-onshore wind ruins it. The numbers are there (454 energy) but the quality is missing, especially for a reef setup. Friday morning is where things start to look interesting. We get a cracking window: a 5ft SSE groundswell with a period of 11 seconds and a clean offshore from the WNW. The energy is pumping at 602 (moderate) and with that wind, Nobbys will be peeling nicely. That’s your first standout. This is an advanced break, so it won't be for the beginners at that size, but for the crew who know the line-up, it’ll be on. The water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing weird going on there.
Saturday and Sunday drop off again with onshore winds and messy conditions, though Sunday morning has a little 3ft S swell with a light cross-off that might offer a cleanish wave if you’re desperate.
There’s a gap of a few days through the start of next week. Monday the 31st has a very long-period SSE groundswell (17 seconds) pushing 4ft, but the energy (891) is moderate and the wind is flukey. The tide might mess with it. Tuesday the 1st of September has a cleaner morning with a 3ft S swell (12 sec) and a solid offshore from the NW. It’s small but clean – a good option for the longboard or a fun mid-length. That’s worth a mention.
Then we hit another quiet patch. Wednesday the 2nd through to Saturday the 5th is mostly tiny – under 2ft for days on end. Not worth paddling out for. Energy drops into double digits. You’d be better off checking the forecast again.
Now, hold onto your board, because Sunday the 6th of September throws a curveball. A 8ft S swell rolls in with a short 8-second period, but the wind is a clean offshore from the WNW. Combined energy is a solid 697 (moderate). That’s a proper expert-only day – the size and the short period will make it punchy and powerful on the reef. Not for the faint-hearted, but if you’ve got the skills, that’s the best session of the whole outlook.
Monday the 7th is a nice follow-up: 4ft from the S, glassy conditions on the morning. Clean, smooth, and much more user-friendly. Another good option for the experienced crew. After that, Tuesday and Wednesday turn nasty with strong winds and messy surf, then Thursday the 10th of September brings a last hope: 7ft S swell with a clean cross-off wind. It’s got 607 energy, but it is a bit of a gamble this far out. Still, worth keeping an eye on.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Wed morning. Very mild (max 18°C on Wed morning, min 12°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Sat morning. Very mild (max 16°C on Sat morning, min 13°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 26 | Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | S 5 | SSE 7 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | S 9 | SSE 9 | S 9 | SSE 17 | SSE 16 | SSE 10 | SSE 12 | S 11 | S 10 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
49 | 71 | 191 | 404 | 348 | 269 | 582 | 487 | 248 | 248 | 292 | 192 | 123 | 232 | 220 | 385 | 191 | 177 | 224 | 114 | 73 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | off | cross-off | on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | off | cross-off | off |
High Tide | 7:02PM1.62m | 7:46AM1.28m | 7:40PM1.65m | 8:19AM1.35m | 8:17PM1.66m | 8:52AM1.41m | 8:54PM1.63m | 9:27AM1.45m | 9:33PM1.57m | 10:03AM1.49m | 10:13PM1.48m | 10:43AM1.51m | 10:58PM1.36m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 12:39PM0.48m | 1:42AM0.22m | 1:22PM0.41m | 2:14AM0.17m | 2:02PM0.35m | 2:46AM0.15m | 2:42PM0.30m | 3:18AM0.15m | 3:23PM0.28m | 3:50AM0.18m | 4:07PM0.29m | 4:25AM0.23m | 4:56PM0.32m | ||||||||
6:18 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | |
— | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:34 | — | — | 5:35 | — | |
mm | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 18 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 22 | 24 | 21 |
Feels °C | 16 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 19 | 18 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | S 9 | SSE 9 | S 9 | S 8 | SSE 9 | SSE 10 | SSE 12 | S 11 | S 10 |
49 | 51 | 37 | 404 | 348 | 269 | 582 | 487 | 248 | 248 | 292 | 192 | 123 | 232 | 220 | 121 | 138 | 177 | 224 | 114 | 73 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | S 15 | S 16 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | S 9 | S 9 | SE 10 | ENE 8 | SSE 17 | SSE 17 | SSE 16 | ENE 9 | ENE 11 | ENE 10 | ENE 5 |
6 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 24 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 145 | 148 | 94 | 14 | 166 | 385 | 191 | 15 | 23 | 35 | 15 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 16 | — | S 11 | S 15 | SSE 15 | SSE 14 | S 15 | S 12 | SSW 11 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | SSE 18 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | S 12 | E 12 | ENE 8 | S 18 | ENE 10 |
19 | — | 3 | 18 | 42 | 37 | 17 | 67 | 38 | 28 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 32 | 18 | 16 | 41 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 32 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | S 5 | SSE 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSE 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 3 | ENE 4 | — |
— | 71 | 191 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 198 | 44 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 92 | 2 | 42 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 0 | 9 | 81 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Nobbys Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Nobbys Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Nobbys Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Nobbys Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Nobbys Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Nobbys Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Nobbys Reef, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Newcastle which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 31 km (19 miles) away, Port Stephens, Cessnock and Central Coast.











