Nobbys Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, let’s have a look at what’s on offer for the next couple of weeks. It’s gonna be a bit of a mixed bag, so sit tight.

First up, the only spot we’ve got in the frame is Nobbys Reef, a reef break that’s only for the advanced crew. It’s inconsistent, so when it turns on, it’s a proper treat, but it can also be a total tease. Crowds are possible here, so keep that in mind.

The water temp is about average for the time of year, nothing wild there.

We kick off with a bit of a flat spell straight away. Sunday the 12th morning has some waist-high swell (3ft) from the SE with a short period of 10 seconds, but the wind is a moderate offshore from the WNW. The combined energy is weak (162), so it’s not really enough to get excited about. The afternoon drops off even more. Monday and Tuesday are tiny, with barely a ripple. So, the first few days are a miss.

Then things get a bit hairy. Wednesday the 15th sees a big jump in size, but it’s a total mess. The morning has 7ft from the south with a short period, and the wind is a fresh cross-onshore – lumpy and poor. The afternoon pumps up to 10ft (1259 energy), but it’s the same story: strong onshore wind and poor surf. That’s expert-only territory, and even then, it’s not pretty. Thursday the 16th is still big (8ft) and onshore, so no good.

Friday the 17th and Saturday the 18th are still on the big side (7ft to 8ft), and while the wind eases a bit, the conditions are marginal at best. The energy is moderate to strong (686 to 1037), but the wind just won’t clean it up. The setup is a reef, so the long-period swell on the 18th (10 seconds) might help, but the cross-onshore wind is a killer.

Now, the standout window. Sunday the 19th morning is the best on offer. The swell is a solid 8ft from the ESE with a long period of 11 seconds, and the wind is a slight air from the north, going cross-offshore. That’s clean, clean, clean. The combined energy is strong (1220), so it’s going to have some punch. This is for experienced surfers only at that size, but the shape and conditions will be excellent. The afternoon is still good, but a bit more cross.

Monday the 20th is great too, with 6ft ESE swell and a clean offshore from the WNW. The energy is moderate (658) and the wind is moderate offshore, so it’ll be a fun, manageable size for advanced crew.

Tuesday the 21st is another standout morning. The swell is 7ft from the ESE with a very long period of 12 seconds, and it’s glassy with a light cross-offshore wind. The energy is very strong (1446). This is proper groundswell, and for a reef break like Nobbys, that’s a dream. The long period might make it a bit straight at times, but on a reef, it’ll be lined up. This is another one for the experts.

The rest of the second week drops off a bit. Wednesday the 22nd is still 5ft (11 sec period) but the wind turns cross-onshore, making it choppy. Thursday the 23rd morning is glassy with 5ft from the ESE, so that’s a nice, clean, smaller option for the experienced surfers. Friday the 24th is clean with offshore winds and 4ft, good for a cruise. The last days of the period are small and fading.

So, to sum it up: the first few days are a flat bust. The middle of the first week is big and blown out. Your best bets are the Sunday the 19th and Tuesday the 21st mornings – that’s where the quality, size, and clean conditions all line up. It’s a waiting game, but when it comes, it’ll be worth it.

Rusty.

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