Surf Forecasts:
Nobbys Reef surf forecast from 12 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 15 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period, S swell with 1,469 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Nobbys Reef this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Nobbys Reef in the next 16 days are 3.0m 9s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 12) at 10PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Wed 15th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days.
Alright, Rusty here again, but in feet and knots for those who think that way.
Let’s break down what’s gonna happen at Nobbys Reef.
Right now, we’ve got a big flat spell. From now through Sunday the 12th, Monday the 13th, and Tuesday the 14th, there’s nothing doing. The swell is tiny and the energy is weak. Combined energy numbers are in the double digits—164 on Sunday morning, then down to 31 and 27 Monday. It’s a solid gap of several days without a real wave.
The first push of swell comes Wednesday morning the 15th, but it’s ruined by a cross-onshore wind from the SSW at 15 mph. You’ve got 4ft from the south with a short 6-second period, so it’s messy and choppy. That afternoon, the swell jumps to 8ft, energy hits 1017, but it’s still cross-onshore and poor.
Thursday the 16th has a glimmer. Morning has 8ft from the SSE with cross-shore wind, marginal at best. But Thursday afternoon? The wind goes glassy—dead calm—and there’s 6ft from the SSE. Clean but a little disorganized. Energy is 380. It’s a short window.
Then Friday the 17th and Saturday the 18th are back to poor or marginal with onshore flow and 6ft to 7ft of ESE swell.
Now, the real standout. Monday the 20th of July. Morning shows 7ft of east swell with an 11-second period, light offshore breeze from the northwest at 6 mph. That’s clean, powerful, and the combined energy is a strong 1101. This is excellent surf for experienced crew. The swell direction matches the reef’s optimum.
Another cracker is Wednesday the 22nd of July. Morning has 5ft from the east, period 12 seconds, with a clean offshore from the WNW at 6 mph. The combined energy is a very strong 1736. That’s a groundswell with serious push, and the offshore wind will keep it tidy. The afternoon goes glassy with 5ft. That might be the best session of the whole forecast.
The following week has some decent days too. Thursday the 23rd and Friday the 24th bring moderate offshore wind with 5ft to 5ft from the south, and Saturday the 25th looks excellent with 6ft from the SE and clean offshore wind. But by Sunday the 26th, it drops off, and Monday the 27th is back to tiny stuff.
Water temp is 66°F, which is about normal for mid-July.
So, the bottom line: don’t bother for the next few days. Save your energy for Monday the 20th and Wednesday the 22nd. Those are the real deals. Clean, solid, and on the reef.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Very mild (max 18°C on Tue afternoon, min 9°C on Sun night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Wed night. Very mild (max 17°C on Thu night, min 15°C on Wed morning). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | SSW 8 | S 12 | S 11 | S 20 | S 16 | S 11 | S 8 | S 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 8 | SSE 7 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | E 9 | E 10 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 134 | 76 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 870 | 1198 | 1217 | 679 | 440 | 613 | 554 | 466 | 450 | 471 | 646 | 1207 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | on | on | on | on | on | on | cross-on |
High Tide | 6:28PM1.83m | 7:17AM1.23m | 7:23PM1.91m | 8:13AM1.29m | 8:15PM1.95m | 9:04AM1.33m | 9:04PM1.94m | 9:52AM1.37m | 9:52PM1.87m | 10:39AM1.38m | 10:39PM1.76m | 11:26AM1.38m | 11:24PM1.61m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 11:45AM0.42m | 1:21AM0.22m | 12:44PM0.39m | 2:14AM0.14m | 1:41PM0.37m | 3:03AM0.09m | 2:35PM0.36m | 3:50AM0.09m | 3:28PM0.36m | 4:35AM0.12m | 4:20PM0.40m | 5:17AM0.18m | 5:12PM0.45m | ||||||||
 | |  | | | | |  |  |  | | |  | | |  | | | | | | |
 | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — |
 | — | 5:01 | — | — | 5:01 | — | — | 5:02 | — | — | 5:02 | — | — | 5:04 | — | — | 5:04 | — | — | 5:05 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | 7 | 2 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | 1 |
Temp °C | 17 | 17 | 12 | 15 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 18 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 |
Feels °C | 10 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 15 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | SSW 8 | S 7 | S 11 | S 7 | S 7 | S 11 | — | — | — | S 15 | E 9 | ESE 9 | S 6 | ESE 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 10 | SSE 18 |
| kJ | 134 | 76 | 32 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 21 | — | — | — | 4 | 26 | 613 | 38 | 466 | 25 | 12 | 16 | 113 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SSW 6 | ESE 8 | S 12 | SE 8 | S 11 | S 16 | S 4 | — | — | — | — | S 14 | S 12 | S 18 | S 17 | SSE 18 | SSE 19 | SSE 21 | S 9 |
| kJ | 23 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 11 | 6 | 22 | 32 | 36 | 44 | 6 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 14 | SW 4 | SE 8 | E 11 | ESE 8 | E 10 | S 20 | S 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 12 | S 18 | S 16 | S 14 | S 10 | S 15 | S 13 |
| kJ | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 26 | 25 | 20 | 16 | 8 | 18 | 3 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 3 | W 3 | W 4 | WNW 3 | NW 3 | WNW 3 | WNW 3 | NW 2 | WSW 3 | S 8 | S 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 8 | SSE 7 | S 7 | ESE 9 | S 6 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | E 9 | E 10 |
| kJ | 8 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 870 | 1198 | 1217 | 679 | 440 | 91 | 554 | 24 | 450 | 471 | 646 | 1207 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 81 | 0 | 125 | 75 | 43 | 174 | 174 | 499 | 43 | 9 | 96 | 44 | 44 | 259 | 96 | 96 | 90 | 90 | 9 | 90 | 44 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Nobbys Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Nobbys Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Nobbys Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Nobbys Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Nobbys Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Nobbys Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Nobbys Reef, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Newcastle which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 31 km (19 miles) away, Port Stephens, Cessnock and Central Coast.
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