Nobbys Reef Surf Break

Lat Long: 32.93° S 151.80° E

Nobbys Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 pm 05 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Nobbys Reef sea temperature is
18.6°C
0.1° 

Nobbys Reef surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Nobbys Reef surf forecast from 5 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 7 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period, S swell with cross-onshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 7 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period, S swell with 1,671 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 5 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 9s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Nobbys Reef this week:

The surf forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 05) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.5m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 5s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Nobbys Reef in the next 16 days are 3.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 07) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 3s period and expected on Saturday (Sep 05) at 10PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Sat 5th Sep)1.5ft (0.5m) 9s
Best Surf 1AM (Mon 7th Sep)10ft (3.0m) 10s
Most Powerful 1AM (Mon 7th Sep)10ft (3.0m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’m not gonna lie to you – the next couple of weeks are a mixed bag for Nobbys Reef. There’s no surf at all until Saturday afternoon, so you’ve got a quiet start. The first few days after that are pretty ordinary, with onshore winds messing things up most of the time. But if you’re patient, there are a couple of windows where it all comes together.

We’ll kick things off on Saturday the 5th. The afternoon sees a tiny 2ft south swell, with a light offshore breeze, so it’s clean but really weak. The combined swell energy is only 66, which is nothing to write home about. Water temp is 66°, right on the money for this time of year.

Sunday the 6th is a write-off – the swell is either too small or mixed with bad wind. Monday the 7th is marginal, with a 5ft south swell but cross-shore winds making it a bit of a lottery.

The real story starts to build mid-week. By Tuesday the 8th, we’ve got a 7ft SSE swell pumping in, but it’s coming with a cross-onshore wind and the combined energy is a healthy 743. It’s messy, not clean. That trend of chunky swell with poor winds continues through Wednesday and Thursday, with the energy peaking at 914 on Thursday the 10th morning, but again, the wind is wrong.

Then, mark your calendar for Friday the 11th of September. This is the standout. Friday morning delivers a 6ft south swell with a period of 11 seconds, and the wind goes glassy – dead calm. The combined energy is 946, a nice solid push. This is good, clean, powerful surf at a tricky reef break that’s inconsistent and for advanced surfers only. It can get crowded, so you’ll want to be early. The swell direction (S) is a good match for the reef’s optimum (SE). This is the one to aim for.

Saturday the 12th morning offers a smaller 5ft SSE swell with glassy conditions again, a nice little bonus if Friday was too big. Sunday the 13th and Monday the 14th mornings bring clean offshore winds on smaller swells around 3ft to 3ft, good for a fun session if you’re not chasing size.

The second week gets more uncertain. Tuesday the 15th and Wednesday the 16th look poor with strong, messy winds. But look, keep an eye on Friday the 18th morning. The forecast is promising a 5ft south swell with a 11-second period, light offshore wind, and combined energy of 1014 – that’s strong. It’s an excellent window for experienced surfers, but it’s still a long way out, so don’t lock it in yet. Saturday the 19th morning is clean but smaller at 3ft.

After that, the swell fades into the 20th with tiny waves and clean but weak conditions. The run of clean mornings in the second week keeps the tone optimistic – these conditions can turn on fast.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Warm (max 29°C on Sat afternoon, min 15°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (light winds from the SE on Mon morning, fresh winds from the S by Mon night).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Fri morning, min 12°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the S on Wed afternoon, calm by Fri morning).

Sat
5
Sunday
6
Monday
7
Tuesday
8
Wednesday
9
Thursday
10
Friday
11
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
0
0
0
!
1
0
0
0
1
2
1
0
1
0
1
4
3
1
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
S
9
0.5
S
9
0.5
S
6
1
S
8
3
S
10
1.4
S
8
1.3
SSE
8
1.6
SSE
9
2.2
SSE
9
1.9
SSE
8
1.7
SSE
9
1.4
SSE
9
1.8
SSE
9
2.5
SSE
9
2.3
SSE
9
2.2
S
10
1.9
S
10
1.9
S
11
1.7
S
10
1.6
S
10
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
58
42
16
110
1671
277
235
349
741
498
487
294
516
993
808
1060
755
894
644
573
Wind (km/h)
25
NNW
20
W
25
SW
20
SSE
15
SSW
10
SW
20
E
20
S
20
S
15
SSE
10
NW
10
SSW
35
S
20
S
25
S
15
SSE
10
WSW
5
SW
15
E
5
SSE
Wind State
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
off
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
glassy
cross-on
glassy
High Tide
3:47AM1.04m
3:58PM1.58m
5:08AM1.11m
5:08PM1.65m
6:07AM1.21m
6:08PM1.71m
6:55AM1.32m
6:59PM1.74m
7:38AM1.42m
7:45PM1.73m
8:18AM1.49m
8:28PM1.67m
Low Tide
9:49PM0.40m
9:11AM0.55m
11:04PM0.32m
10:30AM0.51m
00:02AM0.23m
11:39AM0.42m
00:51AM0.15m
12:36PM0.33m
1:33AM0.11m
1:27PM0.25m
2:11AM0.10m
2:14PM0.21m
2:47AM0.12m
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
rain showers
rain showers
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:05
6:03
6:01
6:01
5:58
5:58
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:37
5:37
5:37
5:38
5:39
5:39
5:40
 mm
1
4
1
Temp °C
29
21
18
18
17
17
17
17
16
16
15
15
15
15
15
14
14
17
16
16
Feels °C
24
20
12
13
14
16
14
14
12
13
14
13
9
9
9
10
12
14
13
16
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Nobbys Reef Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Nobbys Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Nobbys Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Nobbys Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Nobbys Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Nobbys Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Nobbys Reef, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Newcastle which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 31 km (19 miles) away, Port Stephens, Cessnock and Central Coast.

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