
Surf Forecasts:
Nobbys Reef surf forecast from 6 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 13 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 12s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 13 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 12s period, S swell with 6,215 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 6 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 9s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Nobbys Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 06) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Nobbys Reef in the next 16 days are 4.5m 12s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 13) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 4s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 13) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Thu 6th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 7PM (Thu 13th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Thu 13th Aug) | 15ft (4.5m) 12s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cooking for the next couple of weeks around Nobbys Reef.
First up, the water temp is sitting at 64°, which is a touch cooler than average for this time of year – nothing crazy, just a bit of a chill in the water.
Right now, we’re in a bit of a flat spell. The first few days offer barely a bump. Thursday afternoon the 6th has some tiny 2ft S swell, but it’s so weak the combined energy is only 98 – that’s weak sauce. Not worth paddling out for. Friday morning the 7th is a little cleaner with a cross-off breeze, but the swell is even smaller at 2ft from the SSE. Still, nothing to write home about.
Saturday morning the 8th is glassy, but again, just 1ft of SSE swell – you’d be chasing whitewater. Saturday afternoon gets a bit of onshore breeze and chop. Sunday the 9th is a write-off with small, weak E swell.
Monday the 10th is a complete no-go. Strong offshore winds at 28 mph make it clean but impossible to paddle into, and combined energy is only 99.
Now, things start to get interesting around Tuesday the 11th. Tuesday afternoon sees a nice jump: 4ft of S swell, period 9 seconds, and a clean offshore NW wind at 12 mph. The combined energy hits 379 (moderate), and the conditions are looking good. This is the first real standout of the period. Not huge, but clean and surfable.
Wednesday morning the 12th is also decent – 4ft S swell, light offshore NW wind, and 274 combined energy. Clean, fun waves for the advanced crew.
Then we hit a huge pulse. Thursday the 13th afternoon brings a 8ft S swell with an 11-second period, and combined energy rockets to 1605 (strong). But the wind is cross-shore, making it a bit lumpy. It’s big, but not perfect.
Friday the 14th morning is the big one. A solid 12ft SSE groundswell with a 12-second period, combined energy of 3186 (very strong). The wind is light offshore from the W, which would be clean, but this is way too big for Nobbys Reef – this is expert-only territory. The reef will be punishing, and the sets will be long and heavy. Only for the brave.
Saturday the 15th morning is still massive – 10ft S swell, 10-second period, 3091 combined energy – but again, cross-shore wind and too big for this break.
After that, the swell drops but the wind turns nasty. From Sunday the 16th through to the 21st, it’s a mix of onshore, cross-shore, and rain – lots of poor conditions. Waves are small and messy, not worth your time.
The best bet for the whole outlook is Tuesday afternoon the 11th and Wednesday morning the 12th – clean, offshore winds, moderate S swell, and manageable size for the advanced crowd. The 14th and 15th are massive but only for experts, and even then, the wind isn’t ideal.
Keep an eye on the forecast, but for now, the window is narrow.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Sun morning, min 9°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Sun night. Very mild (max 18°C on Sun afternoon, min 8°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WNW on Mon morning, light winds from the NW by Wed morning). | |||||||||||||||||||
Thu 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | S 7 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | S 8 | E 8 | E 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | S 8 | S 10 | S 9 | S 12 | S 10 | S 9 | ENE 10 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
78 | 39 | 56 | 88 | 49 | 32 | 34 | 61 | 103 | 106 | 184 | 96 | 49 | 49 | 325 | 282 | 441 | 242 | 140 | 35 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | off | cross-off | on | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | cross-off |
High Tide | 2:17AM1.12m | 3:00PM1.52m | 3:41AM1.07m | 4:12PM1.60m | 5:05AM1.09m | 5:19PM1.69m | 6:15AM1.16m | 6:20PM1.79m | 7:11AM1.24m | 7:13PM1.85m | 7:59AM1.33m | 8:03PM1.87m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:30PM0.51m | 8:12AM0.47m | 9:54PM0.46m | 9:20AM0.49m | 11:13PM0.37m | 10:32AM0.48m | 00:18AM0.26m | 11:40AM0.43m | 1:11AM0.16m | 12:41PM0.36m | 1:58AM0.10m | 1:36PM0.30m | 2:42AM0.06m | |||||||
— | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | |
5:16 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | 1 |
Temp °C | 14 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 12 |
Feels °C | 12 | 8 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 3 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | S 7 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | S 8 | E 8 | E 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | S 8 | S 10 | S 9 | S 12 | S 10 | S 9 | S 8 |
78 | 39 | 56 | 88 | 49 | 32 | 31 | 61 | 103 | 106 | 184 | 96 | 49 | 49 | 325 | 282 | 441 | 242 | 140 | 35 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 9 | SSE 10 | S 9 | E 8 | E 7 | S 8 | E 8 | S 7 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | S 8 | S 13 | SSW 5 | ENE 9 | SSE 14 | S 12 | NE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 |
15 | 38 | 38 | 21 | 16 | 20 | 34 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 63 | 78 | 25 | 32 | 31 | 31 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 16 | S 9 | E 11 | E 17 | S 8 | ENE 7 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | S 7 | S 6 | E 14 | — | S 13 | S 12 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | — | — | — | ENE 6 |
5 | 15 | 20 | 6 | 21 | 9 | 32 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 4 | — | 3 | 28 | 19 | 19 | — | — | — | 8 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | N 2 | — | — | — | — | — | NE 3 | — | — | N 3 | WNW 4 | W 4 | W 4 | WNW 3 | NW 3 | NW 3 | N 3 | NNE 3 | NW 4 |
— | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | — | — | 7 | 34 | 28 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 65 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 212 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 75 | 163 | 164 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 57 | 224 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)
Wind Speed (km/h)
Latest Updates
Information about the Nobbys Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Nobbys Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Nobbys Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Nobbys Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Nobbys Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Nobbys Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Nobbys Reef, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Newcastle which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 31 km (19 miles) away, Port Stephens, Cessnock and Central Coast.











