Nobbys Reef Surf Break

Lat Long: 32.93° S 151.80° E

Nobbys Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 am 13 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Nobbys Reef sea temperature is
18.7° C
0.1° 

Nobbys Reef surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Nobbys Reef surf forecast from 13 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 16 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 8s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 15 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 11s period, S swell with 1,165 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 15 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 6s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Nobbys Reef this week:

The surf forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Nobbys Reef in the next 16 days are 2.3m 11s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Monday (Jul 13) at 7PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7AM (Wed 15th Jul)2.5ft (0.8m) 6s
Best Surf 7AM (Thu 16th Jul)6ft (1.9m) 8s
Most Powerful 4PM (Wed 15th Jul)7.5ft (2.3m) 11s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days.


Alright, let's get into it. This is a tough one for us, I'm not gonna lie. The first ten days or so are basically a write-off for any proper surfing. The good news is, it looks like things might finally turn around around July 26th, so there's a light at the end of the tunnel.

Right now, and for the next week and a half, it's flat and messy. We're looking at tiny waves, mostly under 3 ft, with the odd pulse of weak energy. The water temp is sitting at about 66°F, which is pretty much spot on for this time of year.

The first real sign of life comes on Sunday morning, July 26th, at Nobbys Reef. We're looking at a clean 5 ft swell out of the SSW, with a gentle offshore breeze. The energy is moderate (379). It’s not perfect, but after all this nothing, it feels like a blessing.

But the standout, the real one to circle on your calendar, is the Sunday afternoon session on the 26th. The swell jumps to a solid 7 ft from the S, moderate period of 8 seconds, and the wind is a clean offshore from the NW. The wave energy is strong at 569, and it’s looking very good. This is the best on offer, no question. It's going to be a bit too big for beginners, but for the advanced crew, this is the session. The crowd is "sometimes" a factor, so expect some company if you're paddling out.

Monday the 27th still has some decent leftover swell around 5-7 ft, with light winds and even a glassy period in the afternoon. That's another good window. After that, it fades back down into the ordinary stuff by Tuesday.

So, hold tight, it’s a long wait, but the 26th and 27th look like they’ll be worth it. Promising, but we've still got a ways to go.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Tue afternoon, min 11°C on Mon morning). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 16mm), heaviest on Thu night. Very mild (max 17°C on Fri night, min 12°C on Thu morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SSW on Thu afternoon, light winds from the SE by Fri morning).

Monday
13
Tuesday
14
Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
Friday
17
Saturday
18
Sunday
19
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
SSW
7
0.2
S
11
0.2
S
11
0.1
S
20
0.2
S
16
0.3
S
10
2.2
S
10
2.3
S
11
1.7
S
9
2.2
S
8
1.9
S
8
1.6
SSE
8
1.4
SSE
7
1
S
6
1
ESE
6
1
ESE
7
1.2
ESE
7
1.3
E
8
1.3
E
9
1.3
E
9
1.1
E
9
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
18
10
9
8
20
19
875
1165
430
670
500
300
180
83
68
99
139
193
262
264
177
Wind (km/h)
25
WNW
25
NW
20
NW
20
WNW
15
NW
15
WSW
15
SW
20
S
15
SSW
25
SW
30
SSW
20
SSE
5
SE
10
SSE
15
SE
15
ESE
15
SE
15
SE
15
ESE
10
SE
10
ESE
Wind State
off
off
off
off
off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
on
on
on
on
cross-on
on
cross-on
High Tide
7:23PM1.91m
8:13AM1.29m
8:15PM1.95m
9:04AM1.33m
9:04PM1.94m
9:52AM1.37m
9:52PM1.87m
10:39AM1.38m
10:39PM1.76m
11:26AM1.38m
11:24PM1.61m
12:13PM1.37m
00:10AM1.45m
Low Tide
12:44PM0.39m
2:14AM0.14m
1:41PM0.37m
3:03AM0.09m
2:35PM0.36m
3:50AM0.09m
3:28PM0.36m
4:35AM0.12m
4:20PM0.40m
5:17AM0.18m
5:12PM0.45m
5:58AM0.26m
6:06PM0.52m
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:54
6:54
6:52
6:52
6:52
6:52
6:52
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:01
5:02
5:02
5:04
5:04
5:05
5:06
 mm
1
9
2
2
2
Temp °C
15
17
12
17
19
14
16
15
15
14
16
16
16
16
17
17
16
16
16
16
16
Feels °C
9
11
7
12
15
9
12
11
12
8
10
12
15
14
14
13
12
12
13
14
13
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Nobbys Reef Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Nobbys Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Nobbys Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Nobbys Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Nobbys Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Nobbys Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Nobbys Reef, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Newcastle which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 31 km (19 miles) away, Port Stephens, Cessnock and Central Coast.

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