Nobbys Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, let’s cut to the chase. The next couple of weeks are a proper mixed bag. There’s a real standout early on, and then a promising window later, but you’ll be chewing on a lot of average days in between.

Don’t waste your time on Saturday the 1st. We’ve got 5ft of SSE swell, but that onshore ESE breeze at 6 mph is making a mess of it. Poor conditions, plain and simple.

Now, Sunday the 2nd morning is where it’s at. There’s a clean 5ft of SSE groundswell with a solid 13-second period. The wind is a light north cross-off at 6 mph, and that’s setting up some proper conditions. The combined energy is a healthy 1002, and this is looking like the best surf of the first week. It’s for experienced surfers only, so leave the beginners on the beach. Water temp is 64°, which is just about normal for this time of year. This is a standout, no question.

Sunday afternoon drops off a bit, with a cross-shore breeze and a smaller 5ft SE swell. It’s marginal, and the tide could mess with it. You might still get some, but it won't be anything special.

Monday the 3rd is a solid option. Both morning and afternoon have offshore winds – NNW at 9 mph in the morning, up to 12 mph in the afternoon. The swell is down a touch, around 4ft and 3ft from the SE, but it’s clean and should offer some fun, rippable waves. Nothing huge, but definitely quality.

From Tuesday the 4th, things take a dive. The swell drops right out. We’re looking at 1ft or less through to Wednesday the 5th morning. Save your energy. There’s just nothing on offer.

Thursday the 6th sees a little bump back up to 4ft from the south, but the morning is only ordinary and the afternoon gets onshore. Not a good look.

The next real chance is Friday the 7th. The swell is back to 5ft from the south, but again, the onshore wind in the afternoon ruins it. The morning is only marginal, and while the energy is there, it’s not clean.

Saturday the 8th has a moment. Early morning, the winds go glassy, and there’s 3ft of SSE swell. That’s going to look super tempting, but the window is short – the afternoon brings in that cross-onshore easterly and chops it up. Get out there early if you can.

Sunday the 9th has a similar story. The morning is a bit small with that offshore breeze, but the afternoon kicks up the swell to 4ft from the SE with a moderate offshore NNW wind. That should be a decent afternoon session, but it’s still not in the same league as Sunday the 2nd.

The start of the second week – Monday the 10th and Tuesday the 11th – is pretty flat and unimpressive. Swell is under 2ft, winds are junk. Not worth a paddle.

Wednesday the 12th stays small but at least it’s clean. You’ll get some knee-high dribbles with the offshore wind, but it’s pretty ordinary.

Now, here’s the other standout to circle: Friday the 14th. The morning sees 6ft of south swell with a 10-second period, kicking the combined energy up to 695. There’s a cross-off wind, so it’ll be clean, but you might need to pick your spot. The afternoon, though, is the real gem. The swell is still a solid 5ft from the south, but the wind drops to a light cross-off at 6 mph. That’s looking like very good surf conditions. Keep this one in mind. It’s promising, but we’re over a week out, so don’t get too locked in just yet.

After that, the weekend looks like it gets blown out with some strong westerly winds, and the swell fades again. The 16th is back down to just small dribbles. The good stuff is definitely front-loaded and that one day mid-month.

Bottom line: get on it this Sunday the 2nd, and keep an eye on Friday the 14th. The rest is just filler.

Rusty.

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