Nobbys Reef Surf Break

Lat Long: 32.93° S 151.80° E

Nobbys Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 pm 20 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Nobbys Reef sea temperature is
18.7° C
0.2° 

Nobbys Reef surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Nobbys Reef surf forecast from 20 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 25 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 17s period, SSE swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 25 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 14s period, S swell with 1,212 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 21 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 10s period with E swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Nobbys Reef this week:

The surf forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 21) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Nobbys Reef in the next 16 days are 1.7m 14s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 1AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1AM (Tue 21st Jul)4.5ft (1.3m) 10s
Best Surf 1AM (Sat 25th Jul)4ft (1.2m) 17s
Most Powerful 4AM (Sat 25th Jul)5.5ft (1.7m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Righto, let’s have a look at the next couple of weeks for Nobbys Reef. This is a tricky little reef setup that’s exposed and needs a decent SE swell to really fire. The water’s sitting at 66°F, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The first few days are a bit of a write-off. Monday the 20th kicks off with a 5ft easterly swell but it’s cross-on and the energy’s only moderate (653), and the conditions are marginal. Tuesday the 21st morning cleans up with a light northerly and a smaller 4ft east swell, but the energy drops (325) and it’s nothing to get excited about. Wednesday the 22nd has a clean window with offshore NW wind in the morning and glassy conditions in the arvo, but the swell’s tiny at 3ft and the energy’s weak (138, 133). Thursday the 23rd is flat and poor. Honestly, we’re waiting for something better.

Then Friday the 24th morning shows a pulse from the south, 5ft with clean cross-off wind and moderate energy (329). It’s surfable, but nothing special. The real standout comes on Saturday the 25th. Morning sees a 5ft south swell with a solid 12-second period, meaning proper groundswell energy (688) and clean offshore WNW wind. This is the best on offer for the first week – the reef should be handling that long period well, and the sets will have some punch. Arvo goes glassy with 4ft and still good energy (398). Sunday the 26th keeps it going with a 4ft south swell, clean cross-off wind, and decent energy (456). That Saturday morning is the pick.

After that, the surf fades through the start of the week. Monday 27th and Tuesday 28th are small, weak, and mostly poor. Wednesday the 29th afternoon brings a bit of life with a 2ft south swell, but the energy’s low (197) and it’s ordinary.

The second week has a promising window. Thursday the 30th morning hits hard with a 5ft south swell, 11-second period, and strong energy (930) under offshore NW wind. That’s another standout – clean, powerful, and the reef will be working nicely. Friday the 31st morning is still good with 4ft and gentle offshore wind (372), but the arvo gets chopped by a cross-on wind. Saturday August 1st morning is clean and surfable with 3ft south swell (209). Then Sunday August 2nd morning brings a real treat: 4ft south swell with a very long 14-second period and strong energy (641) under clean cross-off wind. That’s a proper groundswell – the reef will love it, but expect longer waits between sets. Monday and Tuesday the 3rd and 4th get messy or too big. By Tuesday the 4th morning, the swell hits 10ft with massive energy (3991) – that’s expert only, and way too big for most.

So, the standout moments are Saturday the 25th morning, Thursday the 30th morning, and Sunday August 2nd morning. If you’re picking one, that Thursday the 30th with the offshore wind and 5ft south swell is the cream of the crop. Crowds are sometimes an issue here, so you might have some company on the peak.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Wed afternoon, min 12°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Thu afternoon, min 6°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WSW on Thu night, calm by Sat afternoon).

Mon
20
Tuesday
21
Wednesday
22
Thursday
23
Friday
24
Saturday
25
Sunday
26
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
2
2
0
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
1
4
3
2
2
2
1
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.5
E
11
1.3
E
10
1.1
E
10
1
E
10
1
E
10
0.8
ENE
9
0.8
ENE
9
0.7
ENE
9
0.6
E
9
0.5
E
9
1.3
S
7
1.4
S
9
1.6
S
9
1.2
SSE
17
1.5
S
12
1.2
S
11
1.2
S
12
1.3
S
12
1.2
S
11
1.2
S
10
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
505
346
245
200
188
118
115
86
57
39
148
313
441
767
668
357
411
449
326
268
Wind (km/h)
10
E
10
N
5
NNW
15
ENE
10
NNW
20
NW
5
NNE
15
WNW
15
W
5
SSE
20
WSW
15
WSW
10
S
15
NW
20
WNW
5
WSW
10
W
10
W
10
ENE
15
W
Wind State
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
off
glassy
off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
off
off
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
High Tide
00:56AM1.29m
1:51PM1.36m
1:46AM1.15m
2:44PM1.37m
2:44AM1.04m
3:40PM1.40m
3:53AM0.99m
4:35PM1.45m
5:04AM0.98m
5:25PM1.52m
6:05AM1.02m
6:09PM1.59m
Low Tide
7:03PM0.58m
7:17AM0.43m
8:07PM0.64m
7:57AM0.50m
9:20PM0.66m
8:41AM0.54m
10:35PM0.63m
9:30AM0.57m
11:38PM0.58m
10:24AM0.58m
00:26AM0.50m
11:18AM0.57m
1:07AM0.42m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:50
6:50
6:50
6:48
6:48
6:48
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:06
5:07
5:07
5:07
5:08
5:08
5:09
 mm
Temp °C
15
15
16
16
16
19
20
16
18
19
12
12
13
11
16
18
14
14
16
15
Feels °C
13
13
14
13
14
15
18
12
14
16
5
8
10
7
12
17
10
12
13
12
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Nobbys Reef Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Nobbys Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Nobbys Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Nobbys Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Nobbys Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Nobbys Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Nobbys Reef, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Newcastle which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 31 km (19 miles) away, Port Stephens, Cessnock and Central Coast.

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