Nobbys Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a proper look at the surf prospects for Nobbys Reef over the next couple of weeks. It's a tale of two halves, with a slow, windy start before a serious pulse of south groundswell changes everything.

The water's hovering right around average for this time of year, so no surprises there. Just your standard early spring temps.

Sunday the 6th is a washout. Tiny 1ft south swell in the morning, shredded by a moderate cross-shore breeze. The afternoon adds a bit more size to 4ft, but a cross-on wind just ruins it. Not worth the paddle.

Monday the 7th is a bit better. The early session looks clean and glassy with a 5ft SSE swell, and the wind is almost nothing. The reef will be working nicely on those short-period waves. But the afternoon sees a cross-on breeze mess things up again. Get out there early.

Tuesday the 8th is a beast. A solid 8ft SSE swell rolls in with moderate energy, but the cross-on wind is howling. It's a messy, lumpy day with a moderate cross-shore chop that will have you fighting the whole time. The afternoon drops to 7ft but is still choppy. I'd sit this one out.

Wednesday the 9th brings some calm. The morning looks clean with a 5ft SSW swell, a light offshore breeze, and clean conditions. It's back to being fun. But the afternoon turns nasty again with a strong cross-on breeze and the swell jumping to 8ft. It'll be a wild one.

Thursday the 10th is another heavy day. The swell is holding at 8ft from the south, and the energy is strong. But the wind is messy, a cross-shore chop in the morning and a full onshore in the afternoon. Not a pretty sight.

Friday the 11th starts with a 7ft south swell and a light cross wind, making it a bit bumpy. But by the afternoon, it's onshore and big again at 8ft. A total washout.

Saturday the 12th calms down. The morning has a clean 6ft SSE swell with a long 11-second period, but a light cross wind keeps it from being perfect. It's okay, but not the one.

Sunday the 13th is a nice, clean day. A tidy 4ft cross-off swell with light winds. Perfect for a longboard or a funboard. The afternoon gets blown out by a fresh cross breeze, so make the most of the morning.

Monday the 14th continues the pattern of good mornings. A clean, 3ft swell with a moderate offshore wind. Small, but the reef will be rippable. The afternoon is a bit smaller but still clean.

We hit a bit of a flat spot on Tuesday the 15th with a poor morning and a wonky afternoon.

Wednesday the 16th is another small, clean morning, with a cross-off breeze and a long-period 2ft swell.

Now, hold on, because Thursday the 17th starts to show some real muscle. The afternoon brings a proper 6ft south swell, but the wind is fresh and onshore, making it a mess. The energy is there, but the quality is lacking.

Friday the 18th is the big one. The forecast is for a massive 16ft south swell on a 12 to 13-second period. The wind is offshore and clean, but this is way, way too big for Nobbys. The energy readings are huge, and this is a serious, dangerous event. This one is for the big-wave chargers only.

Saturday the 19th is where the magic happens. The swell backs down to a solid 8ft from the SSE on a 12-second period. The morning is clean, glassy, and absolutely firing. This is the standout day. It’s got size, power, and perfect conditions. It's for experienced surfers only, but for those guys, this will be a session to remember. The afternoon stays big at 8ft but gets a little cross-on.

Sunday the 20th keeps the good times rolling. A clean, 6ft SSE swell on a long 13-second period, with offshore winds in the morning. It's a bit smaller, but still a fantastic, powerful wave. Another great option for the experienced crew.

From Monday the 21st, the swell fades and the winds turn onshore again, so we'll see a return to those messy, smaller conditions.

So, in a nutshell, it’s a quiet, windy start, a heap of stormy days in the middle, and then a truly epic window around the 19th and 20th of September. Don’t sleep on those early morning sessions, but do everything you can to be free for that Saturday. That’s the one.

Rusty, signing off.

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