
Surf Forecasts:
Nobbys Reef surf forecast from 7 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 10 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period, S swell with cross-shore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 10 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 10s period, S swell with 2,448 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 8 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 8s period with SSE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Nobbys Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 08) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.8m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Nobbys Reef in the next 16 days are 3.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Sep 13) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Tue 8th Sep) | 6ft (1.8m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Hey, Rusty here. Let’s run through the next couple weeks for our local stretch.
We start off rough. Tuesday (8th) is a total loss – onshore wind, messy, poor. Water temp is about 66°F, right where it should be for this time of year, nothing unusual.
Wednesday morning (9th) is a different story. Offshore wind from the west at just 6 mph – clean conditions. Nobbys Reef has 3ft of S swell with an 8-second period, combined energy at 226 – moderate but not big. It’s clean and surfable, and that’s your best early window. Wednesday afternoon gets ugly with strong southerly wind, so go early.
Thursday (10th) morning brings 8ft of S swell with a longer 10-second period, energy jumps to 1415 – that’s strong. But wind is cross-shore from the SW at 16 mph, so it’ll have some cross-chop. This one’s for the experienced crew only, and the reef being inconsistent means patience. Afternoon goes downhill.
Friday (11th) holds around 7ft of SSE swell at 10 seconds, morning is cross-shore and a bit choppy. Afternoon gets worse. Not a standout.
Saturday (12th) drops to 5ft SSE at 9 seconds, light cross-onshore, small and bumpy.
Sunday morning (13th) cleans up with offshore north wind at 6 mph, 3ft SSE swell at 9 seconds. Weak energy at 239, but clean. Small, but clean.
From there it goes flat and ordinary. Monday (14th) morning has 2ft S swell at 12 seconds, offshore wind, clean but tiny. Tuesday (15th) is onshore and bump. Wednesday (16th) through Thursday (17th) stay small with onshore or cross-onshore wind. Friday (18th) morning has offshore NW wind again but only 2ft S swell at 10 seconds. Saturday (19th) stays tiny with 2ft and 1ft, offshore wind keeps it clean.
Sunday (20th) bumps to 3ft S swell at 7 seconds, offshore wind in the morning, combined energy at 131 – weak. Monday (21st) into Tuesday (22nd) stays tiny. Wednesday (23rd) morning has 2ft S swell at 11 seconds, offshore NW wind at 9 mph, clean but weak.
Best bet? Wednesday morning (9th) – clean, surfable, manageable size. Sunday morning (13th) also offers a clean window, though smaller. The rest is mostly waiting for better days.
Remember, Nobbys Reef is inconsistent, so you’ll be waiting between sets. When the swell picks up and wind gets messy, the exposed nature of the reef can turn ugly fast.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Very mild (max 16°C on Tue morning, min 11°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (calm on Tue night, strong winds from the S by Wed afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Sun morning, min 12°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 9 | SSE 8 | SSE 9 | S 8 | S 7 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 11 | S 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 11 | SSE 20 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | S 10 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
1131 | 562 | 433 | 140 | 522 | 2448 | 1267 | 1375 | 1891 | 862 | 688 | 424 | 315 | 387 | 216 | 124 | 115 | 96 | 137 | 132 | 82 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | off | off | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 6:08PM1.71m | 6:55AM1.32m | 6:59PM1.74m | 7:38AM1.42m | 7:45PM1.73m | 8:18AM1.49m | 8:28PM1.67m | 8:56AM1.53m | 9:08PM1.58m | 9:33AM1.54m | 9:47PM1.46m | 10:10AM1.53m | 10:25PM1.32m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 11:39AM0.42m | 00:51AM0.15m | 12:36PM0.33m | 1:33AM0.11m | 1:27PM0.25m | 2:11AM0.10m | 2:14PM0.21m | 2:47AM0.12m | 2:59PM0.20m | 3:21AM0.17m | 3:43PM0.24m | 3:53AM0.24m | 4:26PM0.31m | ||||||||
6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | |
— | 5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:43 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 19 | 19 | 17 | 25 | 24 | 22 |
Feels °C | 9 | 12 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 21 | 19 | 20 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | SSE 8 | SSE 9 | S 8 | ESE 13 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | SSE 22 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | S 10 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 |
2 | 562 | 433 | 140 | 17 | 48 | 38 | 285 | 1322 | 862 | 688 | 424 | 315 | 387 | 169 | 124 | 115 | 96 | 137 | 132 | 82 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | E 10 | E 10 | SE 7 | E 9 | S 26 | SSE 23 | SE 9 | E 15 | E 15 | E 14 | E 13 | SSE 19 | SSE 18 | SSE 20 | SSE 17 | SSE 16 | ENE 6 | ENE 5 | E 12 | ENE 5 |
— | 2 | 2 | 79 | 6 | 13 | 105 | 23 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 68 | 126 | 216 | 101 | 25 | 29 | 3 | 3 | 11 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | E 15 | E 9 | E 17 | — | E 16 | E 15 | E 10 | S 21 | ENE 14 | S 18 | E 14 | E 14 | E 13 | E 13 | E 13 | SSE 13 | E 13 | E 10 | E 12 |
— | — | 4 | 7 | 6 | — | 5 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 18 | 6 | 16 | 4 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 59 | 13 | 2 | 3 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 9 | — | — | NW 3 | S 7 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 11 | S 10 | — | — | — | — | — | ENE 4 | — | ENE 4 | — | NNW 2 | ENE 3 | — |
1131 | — | — | 1 | 522 | 2448 | 1267 | 1375 | 1891 | — | — | — | — | — | 15 | — | 9 | — | 1 | 4 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 125 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 241 | 185 | 44 | 125 | 44 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 81 | 0 | 0 | 224 | 0 | 0 | 154 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Nobbys Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Nobbys Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Nobbys Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Nobbys Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Nobbys Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Nobbys Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Nobbys Reef, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Newcastle which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 31 km (19 miles) away, Port Stephens, Cessnock and Central Coast.










