Nobbys Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ll be straight with you – this 16-day window for Nobbys Reef is a real mixed bag of small, ordinary surf and a few fleeting moments that could be worth a look. The overall pattern is dominated by long periods of poor conditions, with a couple of standouts that are the real deal.

We kick off with some pretty weak energy. The water temp is sitting at 64°, which is about 1° cooler than usual for this time of year – nothing to write home about, just a bit of a chill.

The first few days are a write-off. Thursday the 6th is tiny, with a 1.0ft S swell and weak energy (38). Friday and Saturday the 7th and 8th are similar – small, messy, and not worth paddling out for. This poor run continues through Sunday the 9th and Monday the 10th, with a strong, howling WNW wind hitting 28 mph on Monday morning, making it clean but impossible to paddle into. That pattern drags on.

Then, on Tuesday the 11th, we get our first real window. The morning brings a solid 4ft swell from the S with moderate energy (313) and a clean offshore WNW breeze. The wind is moderate, but the sets should have some shape. Nobbys Reef is an exposed reef, and this S swell is right in its wheelhouse. It’s a standout for the first week – the best on offer, but it’s a short-lived window.

The surf drops right back off after that, with a string of poor, small days from the 12th through to the 13th. The energy is weak, and the wind is mostly cross-off but strong.

Now, hold on to your board. The next standout is a beauty. On Friday the 14th, the morning session is where it’s at. We’re looking at a 5ft swell from the S, with very strong energy (513) – that’s a serious pulse of groundswell. The wind is gentle and cross-off from the WSW, keeping the surface clean. This is a much bigger, more powerful wave, and with a period of 10 seconds, it’ll have some push. For advanced surfers at Nobbys Reef, this is the pick of the entire forecast. The S swell direction matches the optimum for the reef. The afternoon turns sour with a cross-on wind, so get in early.

Saturday the 15th morning is also solid, with another 5ft S swell and strong energy (481), again clean with light WSW cross-off winds. Another strong option, but again, the wind swings onshore in the afternoon.

After that, it’s a long, barren stretch. From Sunday the 16th right through to the 20th, the surf is tiny, onshore, and messy. Energy levels drop into the weak range. There’s a gap of several days with no real action.

Finally, on Friday the 21st, we get a late bloomer. The morning is glassy with a 3ft S swell and a long 11-second period, carrying moderate energy (295). This will be a clean, lined-up groundswell with good shape. The glassy conditions make it a real treat for the reef. It’s a promising end to a tough period, but the afternoon onshore wind kills it.

So, the standout is the Friday the 14th morning session at Nobbys Reef – that’s your best bet. The Tuesday the 11th morning and the Saturday the 15th morning are also solid. Everything else is a waiting game.

Rusty.

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