
Surf Forecasts:
Nobbys Reef surf forecast from 28 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 30 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 12s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 31 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 10s period, S swell with 1,026 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 30 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 12s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Nobbys Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 6s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Nobbys Reef in the next 16 days are 2.2m 10s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 31) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 02) at 10PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Thu 30th Jul) | 5ft (1.5m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Thu 30th Jul) | 5ft (1.5m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Fri 31st Jul) | 7ft (2.2m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Righto, let's have a look at what's on the table for the next couple of weeks. It's a bit of a slow start, but there's some proper fun on the horizon.
The first few days are a write-off, with nothing but tiny dribble on Wednesday the 29th and Thursday morning the 30th. Hang tight, because things start to kick off properly from Thursday afternoon.
The standout window is clearly the morning of Thursday the 30th. Nobbys Reef is looking at a solid 6ft of swell from the south, with a clean 10-second period. The swell energy is in the moderate range (629), and with a light cross-offshore breeze, it's going to be a ripper. This is the pick of the forecast for the experienced crew.
Friday the 31st will still have some size, but the wind is a bit more messy. The morning session is the go, with 6ft from the south (11-second period) and a light cross-shore wind. The combined energy is strong (651), so there'll be plenty of push. The afternoon gets a bit choppy as the wind swings onshore.
Saturday the 1st offers a real treat for the early birds. The morning is glassy, with a clean 5ft swell from the south-southeast. The energy is moderate (383), and with zero wind, it'll be smooth as silk. This is a golden window for the more forgiving surfers, as the size is manageable.
The following week, from Sunday the 2nd into the second week, the swell sticks around but the quality drops. Sunday morning is clean with a light offshore and 5ft from the south-southeast, but the energy is moderate (462). Monday the 3rd is similar, with clean 3ft waves in the morning. After that, things get smaller and more inconsistent, with a few days of tiny surf and onshore winds from the 4th through the 6th.
There's a second chance for a proper session on Thursday the 6th. The morning kicks off with a clean 5ft from the south (moderate offshore wind), but the real magic is the afternoon. It goes glassy with 7ft of swell from the south, and the combined energy jumps to 922. That's a strong, powerful swell, so it's one for the experts only. Friday the 7th morning is also a beauty, with 6ft from the south-southeast and a clean offshore breeze (769 energy).
The last few days of the outlook, from the 8th to the 13th, are a mixed bag of smaller, cleaner waves and some onshore slop. The 13th morning has a clean 4ft from the southeast with a moderate offshore, which is a decent way to finish the run.
Nobbys Reef is a reef break, so it's for the advanced crew. It's inconsistent, which means you'll have to be patient, but when it comes, it's worth the wait. The crowds are sometimes a factor, so keep an eye out. The water temperature is about average for this time of year.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Wed morning, min 8°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Warm (max 20°C on Mon morning, min 12°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | S 18 | S 16 | SSW 6 | S 10 | S 9 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
13 | 24 | 5 | 107 | 625 | 367 | 963 | 646 | 902 | 499 | 378 | 351 | 402 | 450 | 441 | 288 | 175 | 106 | 41 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | off | cross | cross-on | glassy | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | off | cross | cross-off | off | off | cross-off |
High Tide | 8:16AM1.21m | 8:08PM1.73m | 8:53AM1.27m | 8:45PM1.73m | 9:29AM1.31m | 9:21PM1.70m | 10:05AM1.34m | 9:59PM1.64m | 10:41AM1.36m | 10:37PM1.56m | 11:20AM1.38m | 11:20PM1.46m | |||||||
Low Tide | 2:18AM0.27m | 1:40PM0.47m | 2:52AM0.21m | 2:22PM0.45m | 3:26AM0.19m | 3:02PM0.43m | 3:59AM0.19m | 3:43PM0.42m | 4:33AM0.21m | 4:27PM0.43m | 5:07AM0.25m | 5:14PM0.45m | |||||||
— | 6:46 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 18 | 17 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 17 | 18 | 16 | 20 | 20 | 14 |
Feels °C | 11 | 13 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | S 8 | SE 6 | SSW 6 | S 10 | S 9 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 |
13 | 5 | 2 | 50 | 625 | 367 | 963 | 646 | 653 | 499 | 378 | 351 | 402 | 450 | 441 | 288 | 175 | 106 | 41 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 7 | SE 6 | S 8 | ENE 6 | NE 6 | E 12 | — | NE 7 | NE 7 | NE 7 | NE 7 | NE 7 | E 12 | E 17 | E 8 | ENE 4 | ENE 4 | NE 5 | ESE 8 |
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 7 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 14 | S 18 | S 16 | S 16 | E 12 | E 13 | — | E 13 | E 13 | E 13 | E 12 | E 12 | E 18 | E 17 | E 17 | S 22 | S 21 | E 15 | ENE 4 |
8 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 3 | — | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 35 | 4 | 2 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 2 | NW 3 | WSW 3 | SSW 6 | — | — | — | — | S 10 | — | — | — | NE 6 | NNW 3 | NE 3 | NNW 3 | NNW 2 | — | WNW 3 |
1 | 5 | 3 | 107 | — | — | — | — | 902 | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 43 | 482 | 174 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Nobbys Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Nobbys Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Nobbys Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Nobbys Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Nobbys Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Nobbys Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Nobbys Reef, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Newcastle which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 31 km (19 miles) away, Port Stephens, Cessnock and Central Coast.










