Surf Forecasts:
Nobbys Reef surf forecast from 13 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 16 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 8s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 15 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 11s period, S swell with 1,165 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 15 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 6s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Nobbys Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Nobbys Reef in the next 16 days are 2.3m 11s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Monday (Jul 13) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Wed 15th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 6s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Thu 16th Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Wed 15th Jul) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days.
Alright, let's get into it. This is a tough one for us, I'm not gonna lie. The first ten days or so are basically a write-off for any proper surfing. The good news is, it looks like things might finally turn around around July 26th, so there's a light at the end of the tunnel.
Right now, and for the next week and a half, it's flat and messy. We're looking at tiny waves, mostly under 3 ft, with the odd pulse of weak energy. The water temp is sitting at about 66°F, which is pretty much spot on for this time of year.
The first real sign of life comes on Sunday morning, July 26th, at Nobbys Reef. We're looking at a clean 5 ft swell out of the SSW, with a gentle offshore breeze. The energy is moderate (379). It’s not perfect, but after all this nothing, it feels like a blessing.
But the standout, the real one to circle on your calendar, is the Sunday afternoon session on the 26th. The swell jumps to a solid 7 ft from the S, moderate period of 8 seconds, and the wind is a clean offshore from the NW. The wave energy is strong at 569, and it’s looking very good. This is the best on offer, no question. It's going to be a bit too big for beginners, but for the advanced crew, this is the session. The crowd is "sometimes" a factor, so expect some company if you're paddling out.
Monday the 27th still has some decent leftover swell around 5-7 ft, with light winds and even a glassy period in the afternoon. That's another good window. After that, it fades back down into the ordinary stuff by Tuesday.
So, hold tight, it’s a long wait, but the 26th and 27th look like they’ll be worth it. Promising, but we've still got a ways to go.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Tue afternoon, min 11°C on Mon morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 16mm), heaviest on Thu night. Very mild (max 17°C on Fri night, min 12°C on Thu morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SSW on Thu afternoon, light winds from the SE by Fri morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 7 | S 11 | S 11 | S 20 | S 16 | S 10 | S 10 | S 11 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 7 | S 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | E 8 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 18 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 19 | 875 | 1165 | 430 | 670 | 500 | 300 | 180 | 83 | 68 | 99 | 139 | 193 | 262 | 264 | 177 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | on | on | on | on | cross-on | on | cross-on |
High Tide | 7:23PM1.91m | 8:13AM1.29m | 8:15PM1.95m | 9:04AM1.33m | 9:04PM1.94m | 9:52AM1.37m | 9:52PM1.87m | 10:39AM1.38m | 10:39PM1.76m | 11:26AM1.38m | 11:24PM1.61m | 12:13PM1.37m | 00:10AM1.45m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 12:44PM0.39m | 2:14AM0.14m | 1:41PM0.37m | 3:03AM0.09m | 2:35PM0.36m | 3:50AM0.09m | 3:28PM0.36m | 4:35AM0.12m | 4:20PM0.40m | 5:17AM0.18m | 5:12PM0.45m | 5:58AM0.26m | 6:06PM0.52m | ||||||||
 | |  | |  | | | | | |  |  | | | |  | |  | | | | |
 | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — |
 | — | 5:01 | — | — | 5:02 | — | — | 5:02 | — | — | 5:04 | — | — | 5:04 | — | — | 5:05 | — | — | 5:06 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 19 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 |
Feels °C | 9 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 13 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 7 | SSW 7 | S 7 | S 7 | S 16 | S 10 | S 8 | S 10 | S 8 | S 8 | S 17 | SSE 8 | S 7 | S 6 | S 8 | S 10 | S 10 | E 8 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 |
| kJ | 18 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 149 | 884 | 277 | 358 | 6 | 300 | 113 | 83 | 68 | 89 | 65 | 193 | 262 | 264 | 177 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 8 | S 11 | S 11 | S 11 | S 7 | SSW 4 | S 10 | — | — | — | S 14 | S 14 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | S 11 | SSE 21 | SSE 20 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | SSE 9 |
| kJ | 7 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 108 | — | — | — | 4 | 32 | 24 | 36 | 21 | 44 | 38 | 63 | 41 | 44 | 28 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | ESE 8 | SE 8 | S 20 | S 10 | E 10 | E 10 | — | — | — | — | — | S 17 | E 7 | E 8 | — | S 16 | SSE 19 | SSE 18 | SSE 17 | SSE 16 |
| kJ | 10 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 23 | 4 | 10 | — | 5 | 37 | 62 | 101 | 83 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 3 | NW 3 | WNW 3 | WNW 3 | NW 3 | W 3 | S 10 | S 11 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | ESE 6 | SSE 7 | — | ESE 6 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 8 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 875 | 1165 | 430 | 670 | 500 | 29 | 180 | — | 68 | 99 | 139 | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 33 | 43 | 174 | 174 | 174 | 43 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 44 | 96 | 44 | 9 | 9 | 44 | 1 | 44 | 44 | 136 | 1 | 81 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Nobbys Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Nobbys Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Nobbys Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Nobbys Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Nobbys Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Nobbys Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Nobbys Reef, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Newcastle which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 31 km (19 miles) away, Port Stephens, Cessnock and Central Coast.
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