Surf Forecasts:
Nobbys Reef surf forecast from 4 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 7 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period, S swell with cross-onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 10 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period, SSE swell with 2,020 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 5 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 10s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Nobbys Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 05) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Nobbys Reef in the next 16 days are 3.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Saturday (Sep 05) at 4PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10AM (Sat 5th Sep) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Mon 7th Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s coming for Nobbys Reef over the next couple weeks.
To start, don’t bother suiting up just yet. The first few days are mostly a bust. Saturday the 5th has a few small waves, but the conditions are ordinary, and it stays that way through Sunday and Monday with cross-onshore winds chopping everything up. You’ll be waiting a bit before anything worthwhile appears.
The first real chance comes Wednesday the 9th morning. A clean 5-foot swell from the SSE, with a light cross-offshore breeze. The combined energy is moderate (389) and the water temp is a normal 66°. Not a standout, but it’s the first clean session.
Now, Thursday the 10th morning brings a big 10-foot SSE swell. The energy is strong (1688), and the wind is just cross-shore, but this reef break is likely too big for most. Only for the experts. The afternoon drops a little but gets messy again. If you’re seasoned, Thursday morning could be on, but it’s heavy.
The real gem of the outlook is Saturday the 12th morning. It’s not the biggest—just 4-foot from the S—but with a 11-second period and glass-calm conditions, Nobbys Reef will be pristine. The energy is moderate (464) and that long-period groundswell will produce well-shaped waves. Longer lulls between sets make the paddle out easier. This is the morning to mark down.
After that, things drop off. Sunday the 13th morning has similar glassy conditions but smaller 2-foot waves. Still worth a look if you’re itching. Another big pulse hits Wednesday the 16th morning at 10-foot S, but again, too big and windy. Not for a paddle.
The last highlight is Saturday the 19th morning. A clean 4-foot S swell (13-second period) with light cross-offshore winds. The energy is moderate (525) and it’s shaping up for very good surf. It’s a long way out, so keep an eye on it.
Bottom line: Saturday the 12th morning is your best shot. Glassy conditions and a long-period groundswell on this exposed reef. Don’t miss it.
Stay salty,
Rusty
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Sat afternoon. Warm (max 29°C on Sat afternoon, min 15°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon morning, fresh winds from the S by Mon night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Tue morning, min 11°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the S on Wed morning, light winds from the SSE by Thu night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 6 | S 8 | S 10 | S 8 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 8 | SSE 10 | S 11 | S 12 | S 11 | SSE 10 | S 10 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 96 | 58 | 42 | 17 | 113 | 1752 | 324 | 518 | 660 | 1422 | 1322 | 810 | 383 | 346 | 931 | 1673 | 1608 | 1435 | 846 | 647 | 496 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-on | on | cross-off |
High Tide | 2:41PM1.52m | 3:47AM1.04m | 3:58PM1.58m | 5:08AM1.11m | 5:08PM1.65m | 6:07AM1.21m | 6:08PM1.71m | 6:55AM1.32m | 6:59PM1.74m | 7:38AM1.42m | 7:45PM1.73m | 8:18AM1.49m | 8:28PM1.67m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 9:49PM0.40m | 9:11AM0.55m | 11:04PM0.32m | 10:30AM0.51m | 00:02AM0.23m | 11:39AM0.42m | 00:51AM0.15m | 12:36PM0.33m | 1:33AM0.11m | 1:27PM0.25m | 2:11AM0.10m | 2:14PM0.21m | 2:47AM0.12m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | |  | | |  |  | | | |  |  | | | | | | | |
 | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — |
 | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:40 | — |
mm | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 27 | 29 | 21 | 19 | 18 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 16 |
Feels °C | 25 | 25 | 19 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 6 | E 10 | S 10 | S 8 | SSE 10 | E 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | S 17 | E 16 | S 23 | S 10 | S 12 | S 11 | SSE 10 | S 10 |
| kJ | 96 | 58 | 42 | 17 | 8 | 1333 | 324 | 518 | 2 | 1422 | 1322 | 810 | 383 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 1060 | 1435 | 846 | 647 | 496 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 9 | E 9 | ENE 6 | S 9 | NE 6 | E 10 | SSE 11 | E 10 | NE 8 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | — | E 9 | E 9 | E 16 | SSE 22 | SE 24 | SSE 22 | SE 21 | E 13 |
| kJ | 7 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 93 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | — | 2 | 2 | 5 | 92 | 22 | 46 | 18 | 4 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NE 4 | E 11 | ENE 6 | — | — | E 10 | NE 8 | — | — | — | — | S 18 | E 17 | E 16 | — | SSE 18 | E 15 | E 15 | E 14 | E 9 |
| kJ | — | 1 | 9 | 4 | — | — | 8 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 6 | 6 | 5 | — | 30 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 3 | NW 3 | NW 3 | W 3 | S 8 | S 10 | — | — | SSE 9 | — | — | — | NNW 3 | SSE 9 | SSE 8 | SSE 10 | S 11 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 113 | 1752 | — | — | 660 | — | — | — | 3 | 346 | 931 | 1673 | 1608 | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 30 | 0 | 42 | 44 | 44 | 0 | 221 | 125 | 96 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 508 | 96 | 44 | 92 | 1 | 2 | 81 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Nobbys Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Nobbys Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Nobbys Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Nobbys Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Nobbys Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Nobbys Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Nobbys Reef, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Newcastle which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 31 km (19 miles) away, Port Stephens, Cessnock and Central Coast.
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