Nobbys Reef Surf Break

Lat Long: 32.93° S 151.80° E

Nobbys Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 pm 14 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Nobbys Reef sea temperature is
18.3°C
0.4° 

Nobbys Reef surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Nobbys Reef surf forecast from 14 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 16 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period, S swell with cross-shore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 17 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 11s period, S swell with 2,918 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 14 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 6s period with NE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Nobbys Reef this week:

The surf forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 14) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 1.0m and 6s. Another secondary swell of 0.5m and 11s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Nobbys Reef in the next 16 days are 3.5m 11s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 17) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Friday (Sep 18) at 10PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Mon 14th Sep)4.5ft (1.3m) 6s
Best Surf10AM (Wed 16th Sep)10ft (3.0m) 9s
Most Powerful 4AM (Thu 17th Sep)11ft (3.5m) 11s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Hey, Rusty here, let's talk about what Nobbys Reef has on offer.

Alright, the next week or so is a real mixed bag. We've got a big pulse of swell mid-week that's gonna be a proper handful, but it's mostly getting trashed by wind. The real window, the one worth getting excited about, is Friday the 18th of September. That morning, with a clean 5ft from the SSE, glassy conditions, and that light offshore breeze, is your standout. It’s the best bet for a proper session.

Let's start with Monday the 14th. The morning offers a small 2ft south swell with light cross-off winds, making it clean. It's not big, but it's surfable, though the combined energy is weak (158). The water temp is sitting at 65°, which is just about normal for the time of year. The afternoon goes downhill fast with a strong cross-shore NE breeze trashing things.

Tuesday the 15th is a write-off with tiny swell and onshore wind, so don't bother. Wednesday the 16th sees a huge jump in size, with 10ft to 12ft of south swell, but it's accompanied by a fresh to strong cross-onshore wind, making it a total mess. The combined energy rockets up (1772 to 2391), but the conditions are just poor. This one is for the experts only if they're feeling masochistic, but honestly, the setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

Thursday the 17th morning is similar, with a powerful 10ft south swell but still cross-shore wind. The combined energy is massive (3469), but the forecast says it's just too big for this break. The afternoon eases to 7ft, but still onshore.

Now for your window. Friday the 18th of September, morning session is where it's at. We're looking at a clean 5ft SSE swell with light offshore winds from the NW. The combined energy is moderate (356), and that offshore breeze will have the waves standing up nicely. This is the pick of the forecast. The afternoon goes sloppy again with a cross-onshore breeze, so get out there early.

Saturday the 19th morning has small 3ft surf but with a gentle offshore. It's clean, but pretty weak.

From Sunday the 20th until the end of the forecast, it's a long stretch of poor conditions. There's a tiny window on Thursday the 24th of September morning with a 5ft NE swell and light cross-off winds, but the period is a short 7 seconds and it's still a small, wind-affected wave. Honestly, after Friday, it’s pretty grim.

So, to wrap it up: if you want the best chance at a quality wave, set your alarm for Friday the 18th of September morning. The rest of the period is mostly for the dedicated or for those who want to just watch the chaos. Rusty out.

Short Range Forecast

Some drizzle, heaviest during Tue night. Warm (max 23°C on Mon afternoon, min 10°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (light winds from the N on Mon night, fresh winds from the SSW by Wed morning).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 29°C on Sun morning, min 11°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Mon
14
Tuesday
15
Wednesday
16
Thursday
17
Friday
18
Saturday
19
Sunday
20
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
1
0
0
0
!
0
0
!
1
2
2
0
2
2
0
1
1
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
S
11
1.1
NE
6
0.3
S
10
0.7
ESE
4
2.3
S
8
3
S
9
3.5
S
10
3.5
S
10
3
S
10
2.2
SSE
10
1.7
SSE
9
1.5
SSE
9
1.4
SSE
9
1.1
S
9
0.8
S
9
0.8
S
9
0.6
S
9
0.5
S
9
0.4
SSE
9
0.3
S
10
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
85
91
17
15
650
1453
2482
2291
1924
825
436
322
300
207
108
106
57
40
25
19
Wind (km/h)
25
NE
15
N
15
WNW
15
SSE
30
S
35
SSW
35
SSW
30
S
25
SSW
15
SSE
10
WNW
10
NW
20
ENE
15
W
10
W
10
ESE
5
NW
10
NNW
20
NNE
15
NW
Wind State
cross
cross-off
off
on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross
on
cross-off
off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
off
off
cross-off
off
High Tide
10:25PM1.32m
10:48AM1.50m
11:03PM1.19m
11:27AM1.46m
11:44PM1.07m
12:11PM1.41m
00:35AM0.98m
1:02PM1.36m
1:45AM0.92m
2:03PM1.34m
3:16AM0.92m
3:09PM1.34m
Low Tide
4:26PM0.31m
4:24AM0.32m
5:12PM0.39m
4:55AM0.41m
6:01PM0.48m
5:28AM0.51m
6:59PM0.55m
6:08AM0.59m
8:08PM0.59m
7:03AM0.67m
9:25PM0.58m
8:16AM0.71m
10:30PM0.52m
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:52
5:50
5:50
5:48
5:47
5:46
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:43
5:44
5:44
5:45
5:45
5:45
5:46
 mm
1
Temp °C
23
21
23
19
14
13
14
15
14
14
13
21
19
17
23
23
20
29
30
25
Feels °C
17
18
19
17
7
5
5
6
9
11
12
18
14
14
19
19
19
25
24
22
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Nobbys Reef Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Nobbys Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Nobbys Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Nobbys Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Nobbys Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Nobbys Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Nobbys Reef, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Newcastle which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 31 km (19 miles) away, Port Stephens, Cessnock and Central Coast.

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