Surf Forecasts:
Nobbys Reef surf forecast from 23 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 24 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 13s period, S swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 25 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 14s period, S swell with 1,442 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 24 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 10s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Nobbys Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Nobbys Reef in the next 16 days are 1.9m 14s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 25) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Fri 24th Jul) | 5ft (1.5m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Fri 24th Jul) | 6ft (1.8m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Sat 25th Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here, and I’ve got the lowdown on the surf for the next couple of weeks. Let’s get into it.
The overall pattern is a bit of a slow burn with a few sweet windows, but the crowd at Nobbys Reef (New South Wales) needs to be on their game. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so nothing wild there.
The first real action worth talking about kicks off on Saturday, July 25th. Saturday morning is looking clean with a solid 5ft south swell and a period of 12 seconds. That’s a proper groundswell, and with a gentle offshore wind from the WNW, it’s going to be a treat. The wave energy is pumping at 712 (moderate energy), and the direction is hitting the optimum SE. This is the standout of the whole forecast. The afternoon glass off is a bonus, though the swell drops a touch to 4ft.
Sunday, July 26th, keeps the run going. Morning looks clean again with a 5ft south swell (11 seconds) and a cross-off wind. The energy is solid at 570. It’s still a good session, but Saturday morning is the clear winner.
Monday, July 27th, the swell backs off to 4ft in the morning. Still clean with a light offshore, but it’s a lot smaller. The afternoon gets ruined by a cross-on wind.
From Tuesday, July 28th, things get small and ordinary. The swell drops below 3ft, and the energy weakens to under 100. There’s a long gap of poor to marginal conditions that stretches all the way through to the start of August.
The next flicker of hope comes on Thursday, August 6th. The morning session shows a 4ft south swell with a 9-second period and a light offshore wind. It’s clean, and the energy is 325. A decent option, but not a standout.
Then, the big one. On Saturday, August 8th, the forecast is for a massive 10ft east swell with a 12-second period. The wave energy is a monstrous 2679. But here’s the thing – the file says it’s predicted to be too big for this break. For a reef wave that’s inconsistent, this is for experts only, and even then, it’s a serious call. The winds are offshore and light, but the sheer size means it’s a beast. If you’re a pro, get on it early.
For the rest of the second week, it’s a mix of small, choppy, and onshore. No other standouts.
So, the best on offer is Saturday morning, July 25th, at Nobbys Reef. Clean, 5ft south swell, offshore wind, and good energy. Second best is the early part of Sunday, July 26th. The 8th of August is a wildcard for the brave.
Rusty out.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Sat afternoon, min 6°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Wed afternoon. Very mild (max 19°C on Tue afternoon, min 11°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 7 | S 10 | S 10 | S 14 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | SSE 15 | SSE 16 | SSE 17 | SSE 19 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 152 | 464 | 417 | 1442 | 686 | 375 | 284 | 566 | 461 | 290 | 198 | 168 | 130 | 78 | 55 | 45 | 53 | 56 | 283 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | off | off | glassy | off | cross-off | on | cross-off | off | cross-on | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | on |
High Tide | 3:53AM0.99m | 4:35PM1.45m | 5:04AM0.98m | 5:25PM1.52m | 6:05AM1.02m | 6:09PM1.59m | 6:54AM1.08m | 6:51PM1.65m | 7:37AM1.15m | 7:30PM1.70m | 8:16AM1.21m | 8:08PM1.73m | |||||||
Low Tide | 10:35PM0.63m | 9:30AM0.57m | 11:38PM0.58m | 10:24AM0.58m | 00:26AM0.50m | 11:18AM0.57m | 1:07AM0.42m | 12:09PM0.54m | 1:43AM0.34m | 12:56PM0.51m | 2:18AM0.27m | 1:40PM0.47m | 2:52AM0.21m | ||||||
 |  | | | | | | | | | | | | |  |  | |  |  | |
 | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — |
 | — | — | 5:08 | — | — | 5:08 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:10 | — | — | 5:10 | — | — | 5:12 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 12 |
Temp °C | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 18 | 19 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15 |
Feels °C | 6 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | S 10 | S 10 | S 14 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | SSE 16 | S 6 | S 10 |
| kJ | 24 | 464 | 417 | 1442 | 686 | 375 | 284 | 566 | 461 | 290 | 198 | 168 | 130 | 78 | 55 | 33 | 53 | 7 | 75 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | NE 9 | ENE 9 | SSE 17 | NE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 12 | SE 16 | SE 14 | SE 15 | SSE 15 | S 8 | SSE 17 | SSE 19 |
| kJ | 2 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 20 | 7 | 30 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 45 | 10 | 56 | 283 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 15 | SE 7 | SSE 19 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 8 | E 8 | — | E 13 | E 8 | E 11 | E 8 | S 14 | — | SE 6 | E 13 | E 13 |
| kJ | 4 | 2 | 35 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | — | 1 | 3 | 3 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 7 | — | — | — | NW 3 | — | WNW 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 2 | WNW 2 | — | — | — |
| kJ | 152 | — | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 10 | 10 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 293 | 44 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Nobbys Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Nobbys Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Nobbys Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Nobbys Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Nobbys Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Nobbys Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Nobbys Reef, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Newcastle which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 31 km (19 miles) away, Port Stephens, Cessnock and Central Coast.
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