Nobbys Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, I’m Rusty. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up for Nobbys Reef. It’s a tricky one for the next 16 days, with a real mixed bag of conditions. The water temp is sitting around 66°, which is pretty much normal for this time of year.

The first few days are a write-off. Sunday the 6th is a no-go – cross and cross-on winds with weak, short-period swell and only 49 units of energy behind it. Not worth paddling out.

Monday the 7th morning is where it starts to get interesting. The wind drops to glassy, and the swell bumps up to 5ft from the south, with an 8-second period. The energy jumps to 274, and the conditions are clean. This is a solid little window for a reef wave. It’s not huge, but it’ll be clean and fun. Crowds are possible, so get in early.

Tuesday the 8th is a no-go for most. The swell hits 10ft from the SSE, but it’s a choppy cross-on mess with a fresh breeze. The energy is a massive 1408, but the quality is poor. This is more of a kite-surfing day than a paddle-surfing day.

Wednesday the 9th morning brings a bit of hope. The swell drops to 5ft from the SSE, the wind goes cross-off and light, and the conditions are clean. Energy is 356. It’s a short window, but the morning will be worth it if you can sneak out. The afternoon turns rubbish again with a strong onshore kick.

Thursday the 10th is all big, messy swell again. 8ft from the south, but cross-on wind and lumpy conditions. Best left alone unless you’re an expert on a big board.

Now, the standout window arrives on Friday the 11th morning. The swell is 6ft from the SSE, with a long 11-second period, giving it proper groundswell grunt. The wind is cross-off and light, energy is 855, and the conditions are clean. This is the best on offer in the whole run. The reef should handle the long period well, and the waves will have shape and power. It’s a morning mission, though – the afternoon goes onshore.

Saturday the 12th is marginal. 7ft from the south, but cross-on wind and small ripples. Not terrible, but not great.

Sunday the 13th morning is another clean session. The swell drops to 4ft from the SSE, but the period is still 11 seconds, and the wind is cross-off and light. Energy is 698. It’ll be clean and fun, but smaller than Friday.

Monday the 14th is all about offshore winds all day. The swell is 3ft from the SSE, with a very long 12-second period. Energy is 331. The waves will be clean and lined up, but it’s small. Still, a good day for a longboard or a fish.

After that, the swell drops right off. From Tuesday the 15th through to the 21st, it’s mostly small, messy, or wind-affected. There are a few clean moments, like Wednesday the 16th morning with offshore winds and 4ft from the SSE, but the energy is only 446, and it’s not the same quality as the previous week. The very end of the run, on the 21st, is all poor surf conditions.

So, to sum it up: the best days are Friday the 11th morning, with Sunday the 13th morning and Monday the 14th as solid runners-up. The reef will be clean and have some proper shape. After that, it’s a waiting game.

Rusty.

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