Surf Forecasts:
Nobbys Reef surf forecast from 30 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 31 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 9s period, S swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 6 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 11s period, S swell with 546 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 31 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 9s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Nobbys Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 31) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 18s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Nobbys Reef in the next 16 days are 1.5m 11s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 06) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Saturday (Sep 05) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Mon 31st Aug) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Mon 31st Aug) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Sun 6th Sep) | 5ft (1.5m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what’s shaping up.
Right off the bat, we’ve got a pretty quiet stretch ahead. The first real glimmer of something rideable shows up on Monday the 31st of August, but even then, it’s not much to write home about. The overall pattern is small, with a lot of ordinary or poor conditions in the mix. There’s a long gap of nothing really worthwhile until we get into the second week, so don’t get your hopes up too high for the next few days.
Let’s start with the first decent window. On Monday morning, August 31st, Nobbys Reef is looking at a clean, glassy start. The swell is a modest 3ft from the south, with a period of 9 seconds. The wind is light from the north-northeast, glassy, which is a major positive. The combined energy is moderate (300). It’s not a big swell, but with those conditions, it’s the best on offer early on. It’s a reef break, so you’ll need to know what you’re doing; it’s rated for advanced surfers. Keep in mind this spot is known to be inconsistent, so don’t bank on it every day.
The next notable moment comes on Friday morning, September 4th, with another glassy morning. The swell is smaller at 3ft from the south, still with an 11-second period, and combined energy at 187. Again, the wind is from the north-northwest, glassy, giving you clean conditions. But it’s still a small wave, and the quality is just ordinary.
The water temperature is sitting at 65°F, which is about normal for this time of year, so no surprises there.
Moving into the second week, things quieten right down. There’s nothing really worth paddling out for from the 5th through to the 10th of September. The swell is tiny, the wind is often messy, and the energy is low. It’s a proper blank run.
Then, a real standout appears. On Friday morning, September 11th, the swell jumps up to 8ft from the south, with a period of 10 seconds. The combined energy is very strong at 1266. This is a big swell, and at this size, it’s really only for the experts. The wind is light from the east-northeast, cross-shore, which is workable. This is the biggest surf of the entire forecast, and it’s a significant event. The quality is still marginal due to the size and the tide, but if you’re an experienced surfer, this is your window.
The following morning, Saturday, September 12th, offers a cleaner option. The swell has dropped to 4ft from the south, with a 10-second period, and the wind is offshore from the northwest, giving you clean, peeling waves. Combined energy is moderate (386). This is a much more manageable size and the conditions are good. It’s a solid day for the more experienced crew.
After that, it fades back into small, messy conditions through to the end of the forecast.
So, to sum it up: the best bets are the glassy, small mornings in the first week if you’re desperate for a clean wave, but the real standout is the Friday morning, September 11th, with that big 8ft south swell for the experts. The Saturday morning, September 12th, is the best all-rounder for the experienced surfer, with cleaner conditions and a solid 4ft swell.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Wed morning, min 13°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Wed afternoon, min 14°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (calm on Thu night, fresh winds from the NW by Sat morning). | |||||||||||||||||||
Sun 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 9 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 11 | S 9 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
126 | 157 | 153 | 111 | 110 | 89 | 149 | 108 | 74 | 80 | 50 | 50 | 53 | 49 | 149 | 104 | 35 | 68 | 49 | 53 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | glassy | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | on | cross-off | glassy | cross | off | off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 9:33PM1.57m | 10:03AM1.49m | 10:13PM1.48m | 10:43AM1.51m | 10:58PM1.36m | 11:28AM1.51m | 11:50PM1.23m | 12:22PM1.51m | 00:54AM1.12m | 1:26PM1.51m | 2:14AM1.04m | 2:41PM1.52m | 3:47AM1.04m | |||||||
Low Tide | 3:50AM0.18m | 4:07PM0.29m | 4:25AM0.23m | 4:56PM0.32m | 5:03AM0.31m | 5:53PM0.37m | 5:47AM0.39m | 7:02PM0.42m | 6:42AM0.47m | 8:22PM0.44m | 7:51AM0.54m | 9:49PM0.40m | ||||||||
— | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | |
5:32 | — | — | 5:34 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:37 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 23 | 24 | 21 | 26 | 28 | 22 | 24 | 20 | 18 | 19 | 19 | 17 | 28 | 27 | 18 |
Feels °C | 14 | 16 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 20 | 20 | 18 | 21 | 24 | 19 | 22 | 17 | 18 | 17 | 15 | 15 | 21 | 21 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 9 | S 9 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 6 | S 11 | S 9 | S 7 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 |
126 | 157 | 153 | 111 | 110 | 74 | 149 | 108 | 74 | 80 | 50 | 50 | 53 | 23 | 149 | 104 | 17 | 68 | 49 | 53 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 10 | SSE 18 | S 16 | SSE 15 | SSE 15 | S 11 | ENE 10 | ENE 5 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | S 10 | S 6 | SSE 18 | S 11 | E 9 | ENE 5 | E 11 |
96 | 103 | 131 | 75 | 77 | 89 | 22 | 6 | 33 | 19 | 19 | 18 | 18 | 49 | 19 | 32 | 35 | 7 | 3 | 9 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | E 9 | ENE 11 | — | ENE 10 | NE 6 | NE 5 | SSE 13 | SSE 12 | S 19 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | S 18 | NE 4 | ENE 4 | E 9 | ENE 6 |
14 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 13 | 22 | — | 19 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 15 | 7 | 18 | 19 | 57 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 3 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | E 3 | NE 3 | — | NNE 2 | — | NW 3 | NW 3 | — | WNW 3 | — | — | — | E 10 | — | NW 3 | WNW 4 | SW 3 |
— | — | — | 2 | 3 | — | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | — | 3 | — | — | — | 45 | — | 1 | 8 | 3 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 44 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 81 | 0 | 0 | 75 | 0 | 0 | 42 | 64 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Nobbys Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Nobbys Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Nobbys Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Nobbys Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Nobbys Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Nobbys Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Nobbys Reef, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Newcastle which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 31 km (19 miles) away, Port Stephens, Cessnock and Central Coast.











