Nobbys Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for Nobbys Reef over the next couple of weeks.

Right now, there’s not a whole lot to get excited about. The first proper chance to paddle out won’t come until Monday the 7th of September. Up until then, Sunday the 6th is a write-off with a messy cross-onshore breeze and weak, short-period swell making for poor conditions.

Monday the 7th is where we get our first look. The morning is the pick with the wind going glassy, dead calm, and the swell coming from the SSE at a modest 5 ft with a short 8-second period. The water temp is sitting at 66°F, which is bang on average for this time of year – nothing out of the ordinary there. It’s not big, but it’ll be clean. The combined swell energy is moderate (280). The afternoon turns ugly with a cross-onshore chop, so make the most of the early session.

Tuesday the 8th is a step up in size, but don’t be fooled. The morning swell hits 8 ft from the SSE, which is big enough to be expert-only territory, but it’s cross-onshore and messy with a combined energy of 910 (moderate-strong). The afternoon cleans up a touch with a light onshore breeze, but the conditions are still marginal at best.

Wednesday the 9th morning offers a nice little window: 4 ft from the S with a clean, light offshore breeze from the WSW. The combined energy is moderate (237), and it’ll be clean. A good one for the early bird. The afternoon gets blown out by a strong 25 mph cross-onshore, so that’s a hard pass.

Thursday the 10th is a big day for size, but not for quality. The swell hits 8 ft from the S with a long 10-second period, and the combined energy is very strong (1508). However, the wind is messy – cross-shore in the morning, cross-onshore in the afternoon. This is expert-only territory and not firing on all cylinders.

Now, Friday the 11th of September is a standout. The morning session is the one to circle. Clean conditions, a light offshore cross-off breeze from the WSW, and a solid 7 ft S swell with a 10-second period. The combined energy is strong (936). This is a proper groundswell with long lines, and at Nobbys Reef, that setup can produce some beauty. The water temp is still about average for the time of year. This is the best on offer in the first week – get on it.

Saturday the 12th drops back to 5 ft from the SSE, but the wind is light cross-onshore in the morning and onshore in the afternoon. It’s marginal – surfable but nothing to write home about.

Sunday the 13th and Monday the 14th are small, weak, and nothing special. The swell drops below 3 ft, and while there are some clean offshore winds on Monday, the energy is low (86-212). This is a gap of a few quiet days.

The next real highlight comes on Wednesday the 16th of September. The morning is glassy, dead calm, with a 4 ft S swell and an 11-second period. The combined energy is moderate (540). It’s clean, it’s lined up, and it’s a great mid-week option. Thursday the 17th morning is also glassy with 4 ft S swell and a 10-second period, another clean session.

Friday the 18th of September is the second big standout. The morning brings 6 ft from the SSW with a clean offshore breeze from the NNW, and the combined energy is very strong (1175). This is excellent for experienced surfers – long-period groundswell, clean, powerful. The afternoon stays offshore but drops to 3 ft with a 20-second period – that’s a very long period, so the sets will be spaced out but the shape will be good on the reef.

After that, Saturday the 19th and Sunday the 20th are smaller and more ordinary. The swell is around 3 ft, winds are mixed, and conditions are marginal. Monday the 21st fades out with weak, onshore winds.

So to wrap it up: your best windows are Friday morning the 11th and Friday morning the 18th. The 11th has the bigger swell and clean wind, the 18th has excellent power and offshore flow. Get out there early and you’ll score.

Stay stoked,
Rusty

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