Nobbys Reef Surf Break

Lat Long: 32.93° S 151.80° E

Nobbys Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 am 17 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Nobbys Reef sea temperature is
18.3° C
0.2° 

Nobbys Reef surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Nobbys Reef surf forecast from 16 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 24 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 9s period, SSE swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 19 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 11s period, E swell with 1,107 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 21 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 10s period with ENE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Nobbys Reef this week:

The surf forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 21) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Nobbys Reef in the next 16 days are 2.2m 11s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 2s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 23) at 7AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1AM (Tue 21st Jul)4ft (1.2m) 10s
Best Surf 7AM (Fri 24th Jul)8ft (2.5m) 9s
Most Powerful 4AM (Sun 19th Jul)7ft (2.2m) 11s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Righto, let’s have a look at what’s shaping up for Nobbys Reef. It’s a tricky outlook, to be honest. The run of surf is pretty ordinary for the first week, but there’s a proper standout window that pops up toward the end of the fortnight that’s worth keeping an eye on.

The first serious call is a bit of a wait. We’ve got nothing worth paddling out for on Friday the 17th or Saturday the 18th – poor conditions with onshore winds and weak, short-period swell. Sunday the 19th is only marginal at best, with a moderate energy (1094) 7ft easterly swell, but the wind is still on it, so it’s messy. Monday the 20th is still a write-off.

The first real glimmer of hope comes on Tuesday the 21st. The morning session at Nobbys Reef sees a clean 4ft swell from the ENE, with a light offshore wind from the NNW. The wave energy is moderate (322), and the 10-second period should give it some shape. It’s small, but clean. That’s the best of the first week, but it’s far from a standout.

Then we hit a flat spell. Wednesday the 22nd through to Sunday the 26th of July is mostly small and weak, with heights dropping below 3ft and energy levels falling into the double digits. It’s a proper gap of a few days with nothing to get excited about. The water temp is about 65°, which is pretty normal for this time of year.

Now, here’s the one that really stands out. Friday the 24th of July – the morning session at Nobbys Reef is the pick of the whole 16-day window. We’ve got a 8ft southerly swell, very strong energy (1895), and a clean offshore wind from the WSW. This is proper groundswell. The 9-second period is a bit short, but the size and clean conditions make it a serious option for experienced surfers. This is way too big for beginners. Expect good, powerful waves. Crowds are possible here, so be ready for company.

After that, the swell drops off quickly. The rest of the month and into August is a mix of small, weak, or onshore conditions. The morning of Monday the 27th is glassy but tiny at 2ft. Tuesday the 28th has a consistent offshore wind but small 3ft southerly swell – it’s clean, but not a standout. The long-range call on Saturday the 1st of August shows a 3ft southerly swell with a very long 17-second period and offshore wind, but the energy is moderate (610) and the forecast is less certain. It’s promising but not a lock.

So, keep your eyes on Friday the 24th of July for the best session. The rest is a waiting game.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Some drizzle, heaviest during Fri night. Very mild (max 17°C on Fri morning, min 16°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Wed afternoon, min 12°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Friday
17
Saturday
18
Sunday
19
Monday
20
Tuesday
21
Wednesday
22
Thursday
23
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
2
1
2
2
0
2
1
0
1
1
1
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1
ESE
6
1
ESE
6
1
ESE
7
1.5
ESE
6
1.5
ESE
7
2
E
11
2.1
E
11
1.9
E
10
1.7
E
10
1.5
E
10
1.3
E
10
1.2
ENE
10
1.1
ENE
10
1
E
10
1
ENE
10
0.8
ENE
9
0.7
ENE
9
0.7
ENE
9
0.6
ENE
9
0.5
ENE
9
2.3
SSE
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
90
90
96
176
242
917
980
708
557
452
339
294
255
200
201
110
86
82
62
46
561
Wind (km/h)
20
SE
15
SSE
15
SSE
20
SE
25
SE
20
SE
20
SE
15
SE
15
ESE
10
ENE
15
ENE
10
N
10
NNW
15
ENE
10
N
10
NNW
15
NE
15
NW
20
WNW
15
WNW
15
W
Wind State
on
on
on
on
on
on
on
on
on
cross-on
cross
cross-off
off
cross-on
cross-off
off
cross
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
10:39AM1.38m
10:39PM1.76m
11:26AM1.38m
11:24PM1.61m
12:13PM1.37m
00:10AM1.45m
1:01PM1.37m
00:56AM1.29m
1:51PM1.36m
1:46AM1.15m
2:44PM1.37m
2:44AM1.04m
3:40PM1.40m
3:53AM0.99m
Low Tide
4:20PM0.40m
5:17AM0.18m
5:12PM0.45m
5:58AM0.26m
6:06PM0.52m
6:38AM0.35m
7:03PM0.58m
7:17AM0.43m
8:07PM0.64m
7:57AM0.50m
9:20PM0.66m
8:41AM0.54m
10:35PM0.63m
clear
clear
rain showers
part cloud
clear
cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:52
6:52
6:52
6:50
6:50
6:50
6:50
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:04
5:05
5:06
5:06
5:07
5:07
5:07
 mm
1
Temp °C
17
17
17
17
17
17
17
17
16
17
17
16
16
17
16
18
19
18
20
21
16
Feels °C
13
14
13
12
12
12
13
14
13
15
15
14
15
15
14
16
16
15
17
18
12
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Nobbys Reef Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Nobbys Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Nobbys Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Nobbys Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Nobbys Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Nobbys Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Nobbys Reef, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Newcastle which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 31 km (19 miles) away, Port Stephens, Cessnock and Central Coast.

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