Nobbys Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a proper look at what’s on the table for the next couple of weeks at our local patch.

Right off the bat, we’ve got a bit of a slow start. Monday morning the 14th is clean enough with a light cross-off breeze, but the swell is small at 2 ft from the S with a moderate 158 combined swell energy – honestly, it’s a bit ordinary. Monday afternoon gets ruined by a stiff NE breeze at 25 km/h, so we’ll leave that one.

Tuesday the 15th shows some promise early with a glassy offshore from the NW at 15 km/h and tiny 1 ft S swell, but the energy is weak at 54. You might get a fun little slide on the right board, but it’s not going to set the world on fire.

Now, Wednesday the 16th morning is a different beast. We’ve got a solid 10 ft S swell rolling in, but the period is a short 9 seconds and the wind is a messy cross-shore at 30 km/h. The combined energy is massive at 1772, but this reef break is exposed to that S swell and it’s going to be too big and lumpy for most. This one is strictly for experts only, and even then, it’s going to be a battle. Thursday the 17th is similar – 10 ft S swell early, big energy at 4219, but again that cross-shore wind and size are pushing the limits. These days are more about watching than paddling, unless you’re really charging.

The standout of the whole period? Friday the 18th morning. The swell has dropped to a more manageable 5 ft from the SSE, the wind is light offshore from the NW at just 5 km/h, and the water temp is 18° with a normal anomaly for this time of year. The break is clean, the combined energy is a moderate 317, and conditions are looking prime. That’s your best window for a proper session. Saturday the 19th morning also looks sweet with a very long period 16-second S groundswell at 2 ft and clean offshore winds from the WNW. That long period will wrap nicely around the reef, but it’s a small one – better for a longboard or a fish.

After that, we hit a flat spell. Sunday the 20th through to Monday the 21st is pretty poor – tiny swell and onshore winds. Tuesday the 22nd morning sees a bump up to 8 ft SSE with a 12-second period, but the wind is cross-shore from the NE at 15 km/h, so it’s going to be a bit lumpy. Wednesday the 23rd morning is another highlight: 5 ft SSE swell at 12 seconds with glassy offshore NNW winds at 5 km/h. That’s clean and should offer some good shaped waves. The energy is moderate at 537.

Thursday the 24th morning is glassy with a light W wind and 3 ft SSE swell – another clean one for the small wave gear. The rest of the period drifts into messy or small conditions, with a final notable window on Sunday the 27th afternoon when the swell picks back up to 5 ft SSE with an offshore WNW breeze at 15 km/h, giving you a clean 247 combined energy.

So to sum it up: Friday the 18th morning is the absolute pick of the bunch – clean, offshore, manageable size, and quality surf. Wednesday the 23rd morning is a close second. The rest of the time is either too small, too big, or too windy. Stay keen, and don’t sleep on those early sessions.

Rusty.

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