
Surf Forecasts:
Nobbys Reef surf forecast from 6 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 6 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 11s period, S swell with cross-onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 11 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 12s period, S swell with 2,495 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 6 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 11s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Nobbys Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 06) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 2.4m and 11s. Another secondary swell of 0.2m and 10s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-onshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Nobbys Reef in the next 16 days are 3.0m 12s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 11) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Sun 6th Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Sun 6th Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Fri 11th Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 12s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, I’m Rusty. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up for Nobbys Reef. It’s a tricky one for the next 16 days, with a real mixed bag of conditions. The water temp is sitting around 66°, which is pretty much normal for this time of year.
The first few days are a write-off. Sunday the 6th is a no-go – cross and cross-on winds with weak, short-period swell and only 49 units of energy behind it. Not worth paddling out.
Monday the 7th morning is where it starts to get interesting. The wind drops to glassy, and the swell bumps up to 5ft from the south, with an 8-second period. The energy jumps to 274, and the conditions are clean. This is a solid little window for a reef wave. It’s not huge, but it’ll be clean and fun. Crowds are possible, so get in early.
Tuesday the 8th is a no-go for most. The swell hits 10ft from the SSE, but it’s a choppy cross-on mess with a fresh breeze. The energy is a massive 1408, but the quality is poor. This is more of a kite-surfing day than a paddle-surfing day.
Wednesday the 9th morning brings a bit of hope. The swell drops to 5ft from the SSE, the wind goes cross-off and light, and the conditions are clean. Energy is 356. It’s a short window, but the morning will be worth it if you can sneak out. The afternoon turns rubbish again with a strong onshore kick.
Thursday the 10th is all big, messy swell again. 8ft from the south, but cross-on wind and lumpy conditions. Best left alone unless you’re an expert on a big board.
Now, the standout window arrives on Friday the 11th morning. The swell is 6ft from the SSE, with a long 11-second period, giving it proper groundswell grunt. The wind is cross-off and light, energy is 855, and the conditions are clean. This is the best on offer in the whole run. The reef should handle the long period well, and the waves will have shape and power. It’s a morning mission, though – the afternoon goes onshore.
Saturday the 12th is marginal. 7ft from the south, but cross-on wind and small ripples. Not terrible, but not great.
Sunday the 13th morning is another clean session. The swell drops to 4ft from the SSE, but the period is still 11 seconds, and the wind is cross-off and light. Energy is 698. It’ll be clean and fun, but smaller than Friday.
Monday the 14th is all about offshore winds all day. The swell is 3ft from the SSE, with a very long 12-second period. Energy is 331. The waves will be clean and lined up, but it’s small. Still, a good day for a longboard or a fish.
After that, the swell drops right off. From Tuesday the 15th through to the 21st, it’s mostly small, messy, or wind-affected. There are a few clean moments, like Wednesday the 16th morning with offshore winds and 4ft from the SSE, but the energy is only 446, and it’s not the same quality as the previous week. The very end of the run, on the 21st, is all poor surf conditions.
So, to sum it up: the best days are Friday the 11th morning, with Sunday the 13th morning and Monday the 14th as solid runners-up. The reef will be clean and have some proper shape. After that, it’s a waiting game.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 18°C on Sun morning, min 11°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon morning, fresh winds from the S by Mon night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Fri morning, min 12°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the S on Wed afternoon, light winds from the SSW by Thu night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | S 8 | S 10 | S 8 | SSE 8 | S 6 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | S 10 | S 10 | S 12 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | S 10 | S 9 | SSE 20 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
27 | 141 | 1217 | 264 | 299 | 345 | 1406 | 885 | 644 | 351 | 466 | 1806 | 1318 | 1330 | 2495 | 831 | 667 | 721 | 816 | 553 | 567 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 3:58PM1.58m | 5:08AM1.11m | 5:08PM1.65m | 6:07AM1.21m | 6:08PM1.71m | 6:55AM1.32m | 6:59PM1.74m | 7:38AM1.42m | 7:45PM1.73m | 8:18AM1.49m | 8:28PM1.67m | 8:56AM1.53m | 9:08PM1.58m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 11:04PM0.32m | 10:30AM0.51m | 00:02AM0.23m | 11:39AM0.42m | 00:51AM0.15m | 12:36PM0.33m | 1:33AM0.11m | 1:27PM0.25m | 2:11AM0.10m | 2:14PM0.21m | 2:47AM0.12m | 2:59PM0.20m | 3:21AM0.17m | ||||||||
6:05 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | |
— | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:42 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 18 | 18 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15 |
Feels °C | 12 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 6 | ENE 10 | S 10 | S 8 | SSE 8 | E 11 | E 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | E 9 | SE 11 | ESE 10 | SSE 22 | SSE 12 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | S 10 | S 9 | SSE 12 |
18 | 10 | 1217 | 264 | 299 | 9 | 2 | 885 | 644 | 351 | 2 | 33 | 40 | 183 | 1513 | 831 | 667 | 721 | 816 | 553 | 532 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | SSE 10 | — | — | E 10 | E 10 | — | E 13 | E 16 | SSE 18 | SSE 18 | ESE 9 | ESE 8 | E 14 | E 13 | SSE 18 | SSE 18 | SSE 20 |
27 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 34 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | 4 | 5 | 33 | 102 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 64 | 188 | 567 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 7 | — | NE 8 | NE 8 | E 10 | — | — | — | — | E 16 | S 17 | — | SSE 24 | SE 10 | E 15 | SE 21 | E 9 | E 9 | E 14 | E 14 | E 13 |
4 | — | 2 | 2 | 8 | — | — | — | — | 5 | 6 | — | 55 | 24 | 4 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 4 | 13 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 3 | S 8 | — | — | — | S 6 | SSE 10 | — | — | NW 3 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | S 10 | S 10 | S 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2 | 141 | — | — | — | 345 | 1406 | — | — | 2 | 466 | 1806 | 1318 | 1330 | 2495 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 42 | 44 | 9 | 0 | 499 | 125 | 44 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 241 | 44 | 9 | 44 | 1 | 0 | 81 | 2 | 9 | 81 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Nobbys Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Nobbys Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Nobbys Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Nobbys Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Nobbys Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Nobbys Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Nobbys Reef, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Newcastle which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 31 km (19 miles) away, Port Stephens, Cessnock and Central Coast.










