Surf Forecasts:
Nobbys Reef surf forecast from 4 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 7 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period, SSE swell with cross-shore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 5 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 13s period, SSE swell with 3,555 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 5 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 9s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Nobbys Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 05) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Nobbys Reef in the next 16 days are 3.0m 13s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 05) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Sun 5th Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Tue 7th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Sun 5th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright, grab a coffee and let’s talk surf. Rusty here.
Right now, Nobbys Reef is a mess. We’ve got a big lumpy south swell slamming in with onshore winds, and the water temp is about 19°, which is normal for this time of year – no surprises there. But the energy is huge, up to 4303 combined, and it’s just choppy, lumpy, and poor. You don’t want to be out there.
The first decent chance comes on Saturday, July 11th. A light northwesterly offshore breeze will clean up a 1.4m southeast swell with a 9-second period. The combined energy is modest at 319, but that offshore wind is a major positive. It’s an inconsistent reef so you’ll have to wait, but it’ll be clean.
Sunday the 12th keeps the good wind going – WNW offshore at 12 mph, with 1.1m of ESE swell at 10 seconds. Clean and small, but ridable.
Now, if you’re an expert, circle Wednesday, July 15th. That’s the standout: a massive 4.5m south swell with an 11-second period, and the energy is off the charts at 6738. The wind is offshore and it’ll be clean. But listen – this is only for the pros. At that size, it’s dangerous for anyone else. The reef will be firing, but that long period might make it a bit straight at times. Don’t even think about it if you’re not experienced.
After that, a strong southerly wind kicks in on the 16th, wrecking the surf again. But then Sunday the 19th brings another good day: northwest offshore wind at 12 mph, 1.0m to 1.5m swell from the ESE and SE, with a long 13-second period. Combined energy around 700, and the forecast says very good surf conditions. It’s smaller but clean – perfect for this reef. Crowds are possible, so expect some company.
In short: first week is a write-off. Saturday the 11th and Sunday the 12th are clean and small. Wednesday the 15th is for big-wave hunters only. Sunday the 19th is a tidy, quality session. Stay safe out there.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 16mm), heaviest on Sat night. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon morning, min 14°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (calm on Sat afternoon, fresh winds from the SSE by Sun afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 19mm), heaviest on Wed night. Very mild (max 16°C on Tue afternoon, min 12°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the S on Tue afternoon, light winds from the SSW by Thu night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sat 4 | Sunday 5 | Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 9 | S 11 | S 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SSE 11 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 11 | SE 10 | SE 9 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 181 | 126 | 2207 | 1693 | 2128 | 1299 | 1209 | 1320 | 2349 | 2505 | 2590 | 1670 | 1365 | 1054 | 869 | 627 | 526 | 415 | 712 | 527 | 314 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | on | off | off |
High Tide | 11:05PM1.61m | 12:03PM1.29m | 11:48PM1.53m | 12:47PM1.32m | 00:36AM1.43m | 1:35PM1.36m | 1:31AM1.33m | 2:29PM1.43m | 2:35AM1.24m | 3:28PM1.51m | 3:48AM1.18m | 4:29PM1.62m | 5:04AM1.16m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 4:49PM0.60m | 5:51AM0.31m | 5:38PM0.61m | 6:29AM0.35m | 6:33PM0.62m | 7:10AM0.38m | 7:36PM0.61m | 7:55AM0.41m | 8:47PM0.58m | 8:47AM0.44m | 10:03PM0.52m | 9:44AM0.45m | 11:16PM0.43m | 10:44AM0.44m | |||||||
 |  |  |  |  | |  | | | | | | | | | |  | | | | | |
 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 |
 | 4:58 | — | — | 4:58 | — | — | 4:59 | — | — | 4:59 | — | — | 4:59 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | 5:00 |
mm | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | — | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 16 |
Feels °C | 12 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 9 | E 8 | SSE 15 | E 13 | E 14 | E 14 | E 13 | SSE 10 | — | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SSE 11 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 11 | SE 10 | SE 9 |
| kJ | 181 | 126 | 12 | 811 | 14 | 16 | 4 | 14 | 1550 | — | 2174 | 1670 | 1365 | 1054 | 869 | 627 | 526 | 415 | 712 | 527 | 314 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 12 | S 12 | — | E 8 | — | — | — | — | SE 14 | — | — | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 10 | S 18 | S 18 | SE 16 | SE 14 | S 15 | — | S 16 |
| kJ | 51 | 72 | — | 12 | — | — | — | — | 404 | — | — | 101 | 169 | 170 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 336 | 4 | — | 5 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 12 | E 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 23 | — | S 21 | S 19 | S 19 | S 21 | — |
| kJ | 27 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | — | 8 | 7 | 7 | 9 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | S 11 | S 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | SE 11 | SE 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | 2207 | 1693 | 2128 | 1299 | 1209 | 1320 | 2349 | 2505 | 2590 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 9 | 0 | 125 | 241 | 241 | 292 | 221 | 44 | 44 | 96 | 44 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Nobbys Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Nobbys Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Nobbys Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Nobbys Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Nobbys Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Nobbys Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Nobbys Reef, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Newcastle which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 31 km (19 miles) away, Port Stephens, Cessnock and Central Coast.
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