
Surf Forecasts:
Nobbys Reef surf forecast from 22 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 30 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period, S swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 30 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period, S swell with 1,854 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 23 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 9s period with E swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Nobbys Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 23) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 5s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Nobbys Reef in the next 16 days are 3.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 5s period and expected on Friday (Jul 24) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10AM (Thu 23rd Jul) | 2ft (0.6m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Thu 30th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Thu 30th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, this is Rusty talkin’. Let’s have a look at what’s on the table for Nobbys Reef over the next couple of weeks.
First off, we’ve got a bit of a slow start. Thursday the 23rd is real small, with only 2ft of easterly swell and a combined energy of just 69 – not much to get excited about. The wind is offshore and clean in the morning, so it’s surfable if you’re desperate, but it’s pretty ordinary. Thursday afternoon turns onshore and messy, so I’d give it a miss.
Friday the 24th sees a bump in size to 5ft from the south, but the wind is all over the shop – cross-shore in the morning and onshore in the arvo. The energy picks up to 442, but it’s marginal at best, with questionable tide conditions. Not worth paddling out for.
Now, Saturday the 25th is where things start to look good. We’ve got a solid 5ft southerly groundswell, with a period of 12 seconds, and combined energy of 696. The wind is offshore and light from the WNW in the morning, keeping it clean. This is a standout for the week. The swell is a bit long-period, so it might be a little straight at times, but on a reef setup like Nobbys, it should shape up nicely. This is for advanced crew only, as it’s pushing over 5ft. Sunday morning the 26th is also very good, with 5ft from the south, 12-second period, and light cross-offshore wind. Energy is 602 – another solid session. But Sunday afternoon gets ruined by onshore wind.
Monday the 27th is small again, with 4ft and a 9-second period, but the morning has clean conditions with cross-offshore wind. It’s okay, but nothing special. Then we hit a flat spell from Tuesday the 28th through Wednesday the 29th – tiny 0.7ft to 2ft waves, with hardly any energy (27-57). Not worth your time.
Then, hold onto your board. Thursday the 30th of July brings a big jump. The swell hits 8ft from the south in the morning, with a massive combined energy of 1325, and fresh offshore wind. That’s a lot of power. By the afternoon, it’s 12ft from the south, energy of 2230, and clean cross-offshore wind. This is too big for most people – expert-only territory. The swell is over 8ft, so it’s strictly for the experienced. The water temperature is about 65°, which is pretty average for this time of year – nothing unusual there.
Friday the 31st is a write-off. Near gale-force winds and 12ft to 10ft swell, but it’s all cross-shore and messy. Stay on the beach.
Saturday the 1st of August drops down to 6ft to 7ft, with moderate winds, but the conditions are marginal. Energy is still high (617-1211), but the wind is not cooperating. Not a great day.
From Sunday the 2nd of August onwards, it’s a slow decline. Waves drop to 4ft and below, with onshore or cross-shore winds most of the time. There’s a bit of energy here and there, but nothing clean or consistent. The last real chance is Thursday the 6th and Friday the 7th of August, with 4ft from the south-east, but the wind is cross-onshore in the afternoons, and the mornings are only marginal. Not a great finish.
Best on offer: Saturday the 25th of July morning – 5ft southerly groundswell, 12-second period, offshore wind, clean, and 696 energy. That’s your session. Sunday the 26th morning is also a very good backup. The big swell on Thursday the 30th is for experts only, with a caveat of size.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Thu morning, min 6°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Sun night. Very mild (max 19°C on Tue afternoon, min 11°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 9 | E 9 | S 6 | S 10 | S 10 | S 14 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | SSE 8 | S 8 | S 9 | S 8 | S 16 | S 19 | S 10 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
57 | 39 | 119 | 426 | 408 | 1484 | 674 | 375 | 289 | 596 | 434 | 306 | 199 | 151 | 92 | 48 | 36 | 11 | 20 | 28 | 65 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | on | cross-off | cross | on | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | on | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | off | off | off | off | off | off |
High Tide | 3:40PM1.40m | 3:53AM0.99m | 4:35PM1.45m | 5:04AM0.98m | 5:25PM1.52m | 6:05AM1.02m | 6:09PM1.59m | 6:54AM1.08m | 6:51PM1.65m | 7:37AM1.15m | 7:30PM1.70m | 8:16AM1.21m | 8:08PM1.73m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:35PM0.63m | 9:30AM0.57m | 11:38PM0.58m | 10:24AM0.58m | 00:26AM0.50m | 11:18AM0.57m | 1:07AM0.42m | 12:09PM0.54m | 1:43AM0.34m | 12:56PM0.51m | 2:18AM0.27m | 1:40PM0.47m | 2:52AM0.21m | ||||||||
6:50 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | |
— | 5:07 | — | — | 5:08 | — | — | 5:08 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:10 | — | — | 5:10 | — | — | 5:12 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 19 | 19 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 17 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 18 | 19 | 15 | 15 | 11 | 9 |
Feels °C | 16 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 2 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 9 | E 9 | ENE 8 | S 10 | S 10 | S 14 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | SSE 8 | S 8 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | S 19 | S 10 |
57 | 39 | 24 | 426 | 408 | 1484 | 674 | 375 | 289 | 596 | 434 | 306 | 199 | 151 | 92 | 48 | 36 | 11 | 5 | 28 | 65 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 5 | S 10 | SE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | SSE 17 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 12 | SE 16 | SE 7 | SE 7 | SE 7 | S 16 | S 8 | S 16 |
4 | 8 | 2 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 7 | 57 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 1 | 5 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | SSW 5 | S 9 | SE 7 | SSE 19 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 8 | — | — | E 13 | SE 14 | E 11 | SE 14 | SE 15 | ENE 4 | SE 6 | SE 6 | S 19 |
8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 36 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 1 | — | — | 3 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 2 | — | S 6 | — | — | — | WNW 3 | — | W 3 | — | — | — | — | — | NE 3 | — | — | W 2 | WNW 3 | WSW 3 | SSW 6 |
1 | — | 119 | — | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3 | 33 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 30 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 164 | 421 | 107 | 55 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Nobbys Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Nobbys Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Nobbys Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Nobbys Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Nobbys Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Nobbys Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Nobbys Reef, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Newcastle which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 31 km (19 miles) away, Port Stephens, Cessnock and Central Coast.










