Surf Forecasts:
Nobbys Reef surf forecast from 14 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 17 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 11s period, S swell with cross-shore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 17 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 11s period, S swell with 2,556 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 15 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 6s period with NE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Nobbys Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 6s. Another secondary swell of 0.5m and 10s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Nobbys Reef in the next 16 days are 3.5m 11s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 17) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Friday (Sep 18) at 10PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Tue 15th Sep) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 6s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Thu 17th Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Thu 17th Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming our way for the next couple of weeks.
First up, the only spot on the menu is Nobbys Reef. It’s a reef break that only works for advanced surfers, and it’s inconsistent, which means we need the stars to align. Right now, the water temp is around average for this time of year, nothing wild.
Here’s the deal: we’re looking at a pretty flat start. The first real call that even gets a nod isn’t until Friday morning, September 18th. The wind will be light and offshore from the northwest, with a clean 4.6ft SSE swell. The energy is weak at just 366, but that offshore breeze will make it glassy. It’s a small window, but it’s the best of the early run.
Then we get a couple more mornings that could be worth a look. Saturday morning, September 19th has a smaller 3.0ft S swell with light cross-offshore winds – clean again, but tiny. Sunday morning, September 20th is even smaller at 2.0ft S swell, but the wind is clean. These are really just for a paddle, not a proper session.
There’s a big gap of nothing worthwhile after that until we hit Sunday, September 27th. The morning shows a 6.2ft SE swell with light cross-offshore wind, clean conditions. The energy jumps to 328, so there’s some push. This is the standout of the whole outlook – bigger, cleaner, and at a consistent level for Nobbys Reef.
The very end of the run, Monday, September 28th, has a similar story: a 4.9ft ESE swell in the morning with a moderate offshore wind from the NW, keeping it clean. The afternoon holds a 4.6ft ESE swell with light wind, also clean. These are solid, but remember, it’s over a week away, so less certain.
Overall, if you’re an advanced surfer and can be patient, the Sunday 27th morning and Monday 28th are the ones to circle. The rest of the period is mostly small, weak, or blown out by onshore winds. It’s a lean run for this inconsistent reef.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Tue night. Warm (max 23°C on Tue morning, min 10°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the S on Tue night, light winds from the ESE by Thu afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 30°C on Sun afternoon, min 11°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | Saturday 19 | Sunday 20 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 6 | S 10 | S 9 | S 8 | S 9 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | SSE 19 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 126 | 17 | 15 | 726 | 1621 | 2344 | 2074 | 1773 | 790 | 366 | 297 | 241 | 168 | 142 | 113 | 81 | 54 | 35 | 37 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | off | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | on | cross-off | off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | off | cross-off | cross-off | off |
High Tide | 10:25PM1.32m | 10:48AM1.50m | 11:03PM1.19m | 11:27AM1.46m | 11:44PM1.07m | 12:11PM1.41m | 00:35AM0.98m | 1:02PM1.36m | 1:45AM0.92m | 2:03PM1.34m | 3:16AM0.92m | 3:09PM1.34m | |||||||
Low Tide | 4:24AM0.32m | 5:12PM0.39m | 4:55AM0.41m | 6:01PM0.48m | 5:28AM0.51m | 6:59PM0.55m | 6:08AM0.59m | 8:08PM0.59m | 7:03AM0.67m | 9:25PM0.58m | 8:16AM0.71m | 10:30PM0.52m | |||||||
 |  |  |  | | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — |
 | — | — | 5:44 | — | — | 5:44 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — |
mm | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 22 | 23 | 18 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 22 | 20 | 18 | 23 | 23 | 19 | 27 | 30 | 25 |
Feels °C | 19 | 20 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 19 | 15 | 15 | 18 | 19 | 17 | 23 | 24 | 21 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | S 9 | E 14 | E 14 | ENE 13 | E 13 | S 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | SSE 10 |
| kJ | 34 | 11 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 3 | 1249 | 790 | 366 | 297 | 241 | 168 | 142 | 113 | 81 | 54 | 35 | 19 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 10 | ENE 6 | E 14 | E 15 | — | — | E 13 | S 19 | E 13 | SSE 18 | SSE 18 | SSE 16 | SSE 17 | SSE 17 | ENE 4 | S 17 | S 17 | ENE 5 |
| kJ | 52 | 17 | 3 | 16 | 4 | — | — | 3 | 28 | 3 | 66 | 103 | 91 | 96 | 99 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 2 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 12 | E 13 | E 14 | — | — | — | — | E 13 | E 13 | S 19 | E 12 | E 12 | ENE 4 | NE 4 | E 12 | SSE 15 | — | — | SSE 19 |
| kJ | 3 | 3 | 4 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 23 | — | — | 37 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 6 | WNW 2 | SE 4 | S 8 | S 9 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | — | — | — | ESE 7 | WNW 2 | W 3 | — | — | — | NW 2 | WNW 2 |
| kJ | 126 | 1 | 10 | 726 | 1621 | 2344 | 2074 | 1773 | — | — | — | 55 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | 1 | 1 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 23 | 1387 | 212 | 739 | 831 | 125 | 44 | 136 | 0 | 0 | 81 | 0 | 0 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 168 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Nobbys Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Nobbys Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Nobbys Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Nobbys Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Nobbys Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Nobbys Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Nobbys Reef, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Newcastle which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 31 km (19 miles) away, Port Stephens, Cessnock and Central Coast.
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