Surf Forecasts:
Nobbys Reef surf forecast from 15 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 20 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 10s period, E swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 19 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 10s period, E swell with 701 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 20 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 10s period with E swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Nobbys Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 20) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 12s. Another secondary swell of 0.4m and 3s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Nobbys Reef in the next 16 days are 1.9m 10s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 21) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Mon 20th Jul) | 4ft (1.2m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Mon 20th Jul) | 4ft (1.2m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Sun 19th Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, this is a bit of a tough stretch for Nobbys Reef. We've got a long wait for anything decent, so don't get your hopes up for the first week. The setup is a shallow, exposed reef that demands a clean swell, and for most of the next 16 days, the wind is just not playing ball.
We're looking at a whole lot of nothing for the first week. Thursday the 16th kicks off with some chest-high at 7ft from the S, but the wind is a messy cross-onshore and the combined energy is moderate (494). It's a chop fest. The whole first week is plagued by onshore or cross-onshore winds and poor quality. The water temp is sitting at 65°, pretty much average for the time of year, so that's not a factor.
We get a glimmer of hope on Tuesday the 21st. The morning is looking clean with a light offshore from the NNW. The swell is pretty small, only about 4ft, but it's a nice 10-second period from the E. The energy is moderate (295). It's not a standout, but it's the first clean window we've had. The wave quality is still only marginal though, so don't expect barrels.
The real standout, the one that's worth waiting for, is the 29th of July. Wednesday morning sees a jump in size with 7ft from the S. The wind is a gentle offshore from the NW, and the energy is getting strong (897). The forecast says "expect very good surf conditions". By Wednesday afternoon, it's going to be pumping. The swell hits 8ft from the S, still with a clean offshore from the NW, and the energy jumps to a very strong 1096. This is for experienced surfers only—it's a powerful wave. The period is 9 seconds, so it's a wind swell, a little shorter, but with that offshore wind it'll be groomed to perfection. The crowds might be a problem here, as it is a spot that can get busy. That afternoon session on the 29th is the one to circle on the calendar. The days before that, like the 25th and 26th, have some long-period groundswell from the SSE, but it's tiny—2ft to 3ft—and the long period (19 seconds) at that size will just be a slow, straight wall at a beach break. It's not worth it.
After that Wednesday, the wind turns messy again on the 30th and 31st, so the window is really just that one day. It's a long wait, but when it comes, it'll be worth it.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 21mm), heaviest during Thu morning. Very mild (max 17°C on Fri morning, min 13°C on Thu morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Sun morning, min 11°C on Tue morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 7 | S 8 | S 8 | ESE 6 | ESE 7 | E 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 8 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 483 | 418 | 163 | 88 | 125 | 127 | 242 | 306 | 701 | 502 | 492 | 494 | 371 | 320 | 279 | 231 | 188 | 157 | 125 | 98 | 92 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | on | cross-on | on | on | on | on | on | on | on | on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-off | off | cross | off | cross-off | on | cross-off |
High Tide | 9:52PM1.87m | 10:39AM1.38m | 10:39PM1.76m | 11:26AM1.38m | 11:24PM1.61m | 12:13PM1.37m | 00:10AM1.45m | 1:01PM1.37m | 00:56AM1.29m | 1:51PM1.36m | 1:46AM1.15m | 2:44PM1.37m | 2:44AM1.04m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 3:28PM0.36m | 4:35AM0.12m | 4:20PM0.40m | 5:17AM0.18m | 5:12PM0.45m | 5:58AM0.26m | 6:06PM0.52m | 6:38AM0.35m | 7:03PM0.58m | 7:17AM0.43m | 8:07PM0.64m | 7:57AM0.50m | 9:20PM0.66m | ||||||||
 | |  | |  | |  |  |  | | |  | | | | | |  | | | | |
 | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — |
 | — | 5:04 | — | — | 5:04 | — | — | 5:05 | — | — | 5:06 | — | — | 5:06 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — |
mm | 11 | 3 | 3 | 2 | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 |
Feels °C | 13 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 15 | S 8 | S 8 | S 7 | S 6 | E 7 | S 10 | S 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 |
| kJ | 4 | 418 | 163 | 58 | 39 | 127 | 31 | 29 | 701 | 502 | 492 | 494 | 371 | 320 | 279 | 231 | 188 | 157 | 125 | 98 | 92 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 18 | S 18 | E 8 | SSE 17 | S 15 | S 8 | SSE 21 | SSE 20 | S 9 | SSE 17 | SSE 16 | S 13 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 |
| kJ | 7 | 25 | 12 | 30 | 18 | 20 | 43 | 38 | 24 | 101 | 86 | 125 | 106 | 103 | 87 | 56 | 32 | 31 | 30 | 17 | 15 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | S 13 | SSE 18 | S 16 | S 11 | S 21 | S 19 | S 18 | SSE 19 | S 8 | S 8 | SE 16 | SE 15 | SE 15 | SE 14 | SE 14 | SE 14 | SE 13 | S 14 | S 13 | — |
| kJ | — | 4 | 32 | 21 | 20 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 68 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 3 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 7 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 7 | S 6 | ESE 7 | ESE 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | NE 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 483 | 52 | 53 | 88 | 125 | 24 | 242 | 306 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 125 | 9 | 44 | 1 | 66 | 1 | 90 | 212 | 66 | 44 | 1 | 44 | 12 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)- Wind Speed (km/h)
FREE! Surf-Forecast.com widget for your website
The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Nobbys Reef surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the Nobbys Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Nobbys Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Nobbys Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Nobbys Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Nobbys Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Nobbys Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Nobbys Reef, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Newcastle which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 31 km (19 miles) away, Port Stephens, Cessnock and Central Coast.
Nearest