Surf Forecasts:
Nobbys Reef surf forecast from 16 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 17 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 11s period, S swell with cross-shore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 17 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 11s period, S swell with 2,864 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 17 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 11s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Nobbys Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 17) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.5m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 3.0m and 11s. Another secondary swell of 0.1m and 13s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-shore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Nobbys Reef in the next 16 days are 3.5m 11s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 17) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Saturday (Sep 19) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Thu 17th Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Thu 17th Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Thu 17th Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here again, looking over our stretch of water. To be honest, the next two weeks aren't shaping up to be a classic. The first day, Wednesday, is a flat-out mess – big, stormy, and blown out. Not worth a second look.
Thursday morning sees a big, powerful south swell that’s still too much for this spot, with a strong cross-shore chop. It might look tempting from the car park, but it’s an expert-only kind of day. By the afternoon, it's coming down but still messy.
Friday is when we get our first real chance. The wind swings offshore early, cleaning up a small but rideable 1.2m south swell. It’ll be clean and the lineup will be friendly. That’s your window for a fun, relaxed session.
The weekend is a bit of a let-down – small and underwhelming, with only brief windows of clean surf. Sunday morning looks the most glassy, but we’re talking a push over the sandbank at best.
Then we hit a proper dry spell. From the 22nd right through to the 29th, it’s a flat, weak mess. The swell is down to nothing, with inconsistent short-period windswell and a cross-shore chop. There are a couple of mornings where the surface is clean, but there's just no wave energy to work with. It’s a typical dead period for this spot.
Things start to look a little better on the first of October. There’s a small, clean Thursday morning with an offshore wind, but it’s not very powerful. The afternoon brings a bit more size, up to 1.8m, and a touch more energy, but the wind is a light onshore, which will put a bit of a crumble on the face.
So, the pick of the fortnight has to be Friday the 18th – small, clean, and offshore with a good chance of an empty lineup. For the more experienced surfers, Thursday morning on the 17th is a serious, big-wave proposition, but be ready for a heavy, powerful slab. Everything else is just filling in time.
Don't expect much, and you won't be disappointed. Conditions are clean, but there's just no real, solid swell on the horizon. Fingers crossed something changes.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Warm (max 26°C on Sat morning, min 10°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SSW on Wed afternoon, calm by Sat morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 31°C on Mon morning, min 16°C on Mon afternoon). Winds increasing (calm on Sun morning, fresh winds from the S by Mon afternoon). | |||||||||||||||||||
Wed 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | Saturday 19 | Sunday 20 | Monday 21 | Tuesday 22 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | SSE 10 | S 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 17 | S 9 | S 10 | S 11 | SSE 19 | SSE 19 | S 13 | S 13 | SSE 6 | SSE 8 | S 11 | SSE 9 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 2377 | 2605 | 2143 | 958 | 493 | 220 | 282 | 170 | 151 | 83 | 65 | 185 | 637 | 360 | 263 | 490 | 183 | 293 | 235 | 210 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | off | off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | off | off | cross-on | cross-on | cross | on | cross |
High Tide | 11:44PM1.07m | 12:11PM1.41m | 00:35AM0.98m | 1:02PM1.36m | 1:45AM0.92m | 2:03PM1.34m | 3:16AM0.92m | 3:09PM1.34m | 4:36AM0.99m | 4:11PM1.38m | 5:27AM1.08m | 5:04PM1.43m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 6:01PM0.48m | 5:28AM0.51m | 6:59PM0.55m | 6:08AM0.59m | 8:08PM0.59m | 7:03AM0.67m | 9:25PM0.58m | 8:16AM0.71m | 10:30PM0.52m | 9:34AM0.71m | 11:17PM0.45m | 10:40AM0.65m | 11:54PM0.36m | |||||||
 |  |  |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | |  |  | | | |
 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — |
 | 5:44 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:47 | — |
mm | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 |
Temp °C | 15 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 19 | 20 | 19 | 26 | 27 | 22 | 23 | 22 | 21 | 31 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 17 |
Feels °C | 6 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 23 | 23 | 19 | 21 | 19 | 20 | 27 | 12 | 12 | 16 | 16 | 16 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | E 13 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 10 | S 11 | SSE 9 | SSE 19 | S 13 | E 11 | S 12 | SSE 8 | S 11 | SSE 9 |
| kJ | — | 3 | 1576 | 958 | 493 | 220 | 282 | 170 | 111 | 83 | 65 | 185 | 180 | 360 | 263 | 2 | 106 | 293 | 235 | 206 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | E 13 | S 19 | S 19 | SE 8 | SSE 18 | ESE 8 | S 17 | SSE 15 | ESE 7 | S 5 | SSE 19 | S 11 | SSE 18 | — | S 9 | S 12 | SSE 19 | SSE 19 |
| kJ | — | — | 3 | 7 | 7 | 84 | 103 | 37 | 151 | 46 | 5 | 20 | 637 | 84 | 61 | — | 43 | 134 | 35 | 210 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | E 13 | E 13 | SSE 18 | E 12 | S 17 | SE 7 | SE 7 | SSE 18 | SSE 19 | E 11 | S 7 | — | — | — | S 20 | — | S 11 |
| kJ | — | — | — | 3 | 3 | 34 | 3 | 140 | 14 | 9 | 32 | 118 | 3 | 26 | — | — | — | 8 | — | 58 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | SSE 10 | S 10 | — | — | — | ESE 8 | W 3 | WNW 3 | — | — | — | E 4 | — | NW 3 | S 13 | SSE 6 | — | SSE 7 | — |
| kJ | 2377 | 2605 | 2143 | — | — | — | 72 | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | 17 | — | 1 | 490 | 183 | — | 99 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 831 | 212 | 44 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 81 | 0 | 0 | 294 | 44 | 0 | 9 | 1 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Nobbys Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Nobbys Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Nobbys Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Nobbys Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Nobbys Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Nobbys Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Nobbys Reef, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Newcastle which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 31 km (19 miles) away, Port Stephens, Cessnock and Central Coast.
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