Nobbys Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the table for the next couple of weeks at Nobbys Reef. It’s a reef break, exposed to south-east swells, and it’s an inconsistent spot that only really fires for the advanced crew. The water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing wild.

Right now, there’s a bit of a slow patch to kick things off. Thursday the 3rd has a tiny 2ft south swell with a 10-second period, and while the morning has a solid offshore from the northwest, the energy is weak at 84 – just not enough to get excited about. The afternoon gets even smaller and cross-onshore. Friday the 4th isn’t much better; a slight bump to 2ft on the morning but the wind is cross-shore and the surf is ordinary. The afternoon pushes up to 3ft and the energy climbs to 211 (moderate), but the cross-onshore breeze and the “marginal” call keep it from being a goer. Saturday the 5th offers cleanish surf in the morning with a gentle offshore from the north-northwest and 2ft south swell (101 energy), but it’s still a very ordinary session. The afternoon gets a moderate offshore but drops back to 2ft.

Sunday the 6th is a write-off with a 3ft short-period swell (7 seconds) and cross-shore wind, then the afternoon jumps to 5ft but it’s onshore and messy with a strong 607 energy reading – that’s a lot of power but blown out. Monday the 7th is where things start to look good. Mid-morning, we’ve got 4ft south swell (10 seconds) with a light offshore from the northwest, and the energy is a solid 307 (moderate). Conditions are clean, and this is a genuine window for the advanced crew. The afternoon holds at 4ft with a similar offshore breeze and 216 energy. That Monday morning is the best on offer in this whole run – not huge, but clean, lined up and low crowd potential given the spot’s inconsistency.

Tuesday the 8th brings a bigger 6ft south-south-east swell but it’s short-period (8 seconds) and cross-shore wind creates a chop – energy is 420, but it’s ugly. Wednesday the 9th falls away quickly with small, cross-onshore slop. Thursday the 10th sees a 7ft south-south-east pulse (7 seconds, 893 energy) but it’s cross-onshore and choppy – way too messy for paddle surfing, honestly looks more like a kite day. The afternoon is bigger with 4ft and long 11-second period, but onshore and marginal.

Friday the 11th is marginal again with 4ft and cross-onshore wind. Saturday the 12th morning offers a clean window with 3ft south-south-east swell (10 seconds, 206 energy) and a light cross-offshore from the north-northwest – the vibe is right but the size is small. The afternoon gets wrecked by a strong north-easterly cross-shore.

From Sunday the 13th onward, the surf drops right off. Sunday morning has just 1ft with moderate offshore wind but only 45 energy – barely a ripple. The rest of that week is tiny, with most days under 2ft and energy below 100. There’s a small pulse on Thursday the 17th morning, 3ft south swell with 287 energy and clean conditions from a cross-offshore west-northwest wind, but it’s still marginal. Friday the 18th morning has a fresh offshore from the northwest but only 2ft and 115 energy.

The standout is definitely Monday the 7th morning – clean, offshore, moderate energy, and a proper reef setup. The Monday 7th afternoon is also worth a look. After that, the only other flicker is Saturday the 12th morning for the small-wave specialist, or that Thursday the 17th if you’re desperate. Otherwise, it’s a lean run.

Rusty.

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