Surf Forecasts:
Nobbys Reef surf forecast from 11 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 11 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 11s period, ESE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 15 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 10s period, S swell with 2,270 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 11 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 11s period with ESE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Nobbys Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 11) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Nobbys Reef in the next 16 days are 3.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 3s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 12) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4PM (Sat 11th Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 4PM (Sat 11th Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Wed 15th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days.
Alright, g’day, I’m Rusty. Let’s talk about Nobbys Reef.
We’ve got one spot on the table for the next 16 days. It’s a reef break, exposed to the swell, and it’s for advanced surfers only. It’s inconsistent, so don’t expect it to pump every day. Water temp is about 65.7°F, pretty normal for the time of year.
First real chance to get wet is Saturday the 11th. Morning brings a clean 3.6ft SE swell, period around 9 seconds, light offshore breeze from the NW. Wave energy is moderate (375). Glassy, clean – a solid little session. The afternoon drops to 3ft ESE swell with a longer 11-second period, cross-off wind, still clean.
Sunday the 12th is a letdown. Swell’s still around 3ft SE but the wind’s up from the WNW at 15 mph, offshore but messy. Energy drops to 162. Surfable but ordinary. By Monday morning, swell’s down to 1.3ft and energy’s weak (27). Nothing doing.
Tuesday the 15th through Thursday the 17th is a washout. Big, lumpy, cross-onshore winds, rain. Swell hits 9.8ft on Wednesday with a short 9-second period and energy over 1700 – that’s a lot of water moving, but it’s a mess. Not for paddle surfing. Maybe kite crew would have a look.
Friday the 18th and Saturday the 19th are still marginal. Swell around 5.2ft to 8.2ft, but winds are mostly cross-onshore or onshore.
Now, the standout. Monday the 20th is the best on offer. Morning brings a clean 7.9ft E swell, 12-second period, light offshore from the NW. Wave energy is strong (1725). That’s a proper groundswell, and with offshore wind, Nobbys Reef will be clean and powerful. Afternoon goes glassy, 7.2ft E swell, 11-second period, energy 1359. Excellent for experienced surfers. This is the one.
Tuesday the 21st still has good energy (1362) but the wind swings cross-shore and then ramps up to a fresh 22 mph from the SSW on Tuesday afternoon – lumpy and poor. Wednesday the 22nd sees a 9.8ft S swell with strong energy (2633), but the wind is cross-shore and it’s too big for this break. Only for the brave.
Thursday the 23rd and Friday the 24th have some clean windows. Thursday morning is light cross-shore, 5.9ft SSE swell, energy moderate (989). Friday the 24th is a beauty: morning sees a clean 7.2ft SSE swell, offshore NW wind, 9-second period, energy 1467. Excellent for experienced surfers. Friday afternoon holds 7.2ft S swell, cross-off NNE breeze, clean.
Saturday the 25th and Sunday the 26th are still very good. Clean offshore winds, 6.6ft to 4.6ft SE swell, periods around 10-11 seconds, moderate energy. Solid finish.
Bottom line: Nobbys Reef is inconsistent, but the 20th and 24th are true standouts. Clean, powerful, offshore. Get in the water.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Sat afternoon, min 8°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Tue night. Very mild (max 19°C on Tue afternoon, min 12°C on Tue morning). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 9 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | SE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | SSW 7 | S 12 | S 11 | S 21 | S 18 | S 12 | S 9 | S 10 | SSE 8 | SE 8 | SE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | E 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 202 | 193 | 261 | 134 | 58 | 32 | 17 | 11 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 1752 | 1782 | 765 | 574 | 512 | 554 | 442 | 423 | 375 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | on | on | on | on |
High Tide | 5:30PM1.73m | 6:15AM1.19m | 6:28PM1.83m | 7:17AM1.23m | 7:23PM1.91m | 8:13AM1.29m | 8:15PM1.95m | 9:04AM1.33m | 9:04PM1.94m | 9:52AM1.37m | 9:52PM1.87m | 10:39AM1.38m | 10:39PM1.76m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:44AM0.44m | 00:23AM0.32m | 11:45AM0.42m | 1:21AM0.22m | 12:44PM0.39m | 2:14AM0.14m | 1:41PM0.37m | 3:03AM0.09m | 2:35PM0.36m | 3:50AM0.09m | 3:28PM0.36m | 4:35AM0.12m | 4:20PM0.40m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | |  | | | | | |  |  | | | |  | | | | | |
 | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — |
 | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:01 | — | — | 5:01 | — | — | 5:02 | — | — | 5:02 | — | — | 5:04 | — | — | 5:04 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | — | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | 8 |
Temp °C | 16 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 11 | 16 | 17 | 12 | 18 | 19 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 16 |
Feels °C | 14 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 9 | SE 8 | ESE 10 | SE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | SSW 7 | SSW 7 | S 11 | S 7 | S 7 | SSW 5 | — | — | — | ESE 9 | S 14 | S 13 | S 7 | ESE 9 | E 8 |
| kJ | 202 | 115 | 261 | 134 | 58 | 32 | 17 | 9 | 21 | 4 | 4 | 6 | — | — | — | 90 | 15 | 31 | 23 | 423 | 375 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | SSE 9 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SSW 6 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | SE 8 | S 11 | S 10 | S 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 |
| kJ | 169 | 193 | 44 | 24 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 26 | 44 | 21 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 15 | S 16 | S 15 | S 14 | S 12 | SE 8 | S 12 | S 12 | E 10 | S 21 | S 18 | S 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 18 | SSE 18 |
| kJ | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | 32 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | NW 2 | WNW 3 | W 3 | W 3 | WNW 3 | NW 3 | WNW 3 | NW 3 | NW 3 | WNW 3 | S 9 | S 10 | SSE 8 | SE 8 | SE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 9 | S 8 | S 6 |
| kJ | — | — | 1 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 1752 | 1782 | 765 | 574 | 512 | 554 | 442 | 29 | 78 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 33 | 75 | 107 | 174 | 107 | 23 | 212 | 259 | 44 | 44 | 44 | 96 | 44 | 185 | 1 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Nobbys Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Nobbys Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Nobbys Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Nobbys Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Nobbys Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Nobbys Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Nobbys Reef, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Newcastle which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 31 km (19 miles) away, Port Stephens, Cessnock and Central Coast.
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