Surf Forecasts:
Nobbys Reef surf forecast from 14 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 21 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 10s period, E swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 15 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 9s period, S swell with 1,279 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 21 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 10s period with E swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Nobbys Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 21) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Nobbys Reef in the next 16 days are 2.5m 9s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Tue 21st Jul) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Tue 21st Jul) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Wed 15th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s look at what’s cooking for Nobbys Reef. This spot is a reef break, inconsistent, and it needs a real swell to fire. Over the next couple of weeks, the wave energy is all over the board, so we’re in for a long, slow grind until something decent shows.
The first few days are a total loss. Wednesday the 15th is a mess with strong cross-shore wind, rain, and a short, lumpy swell. The energy is moderate (237) but the conditions are just poor. Thursday and Friday are no better with onshore wind and chop. Saturday and Sunday the 18th and 19th see a little more size, but the wind is onshore and the energy is moderate (319 to 338), with messy waves. Sunday the 19th has a longer 11 second swell, but the cross-onshore wind ruins it. Monday the 20th and Tuesday the 21st finally offer a clean window. Tuesday morning the 21st has a light offshore wind from the NNW, a clean 1.3m east swell at 10 seconds, and moderate energy (403). It’s not big, but it’ll be clean and lined up. The water temp is about average for the season.
The real standout is Thursday the 23rd. This is the best of the whole run. We’ve got a gentle offshore wind from the NW, holding clean all day. The swell is a consistent 1.5m from the east with a nice 11 second period, giving proper power. The combined energy is moderate (571), but it’s quality energy. This is the day to mark. It’s not a huge swell, so it’s fine for a good surfer, and the reef will really shape up that long period. The crowd can be *sometimes* an issue, but with that clean offshore wind, it’ll be worth the paddle.
After that, the swell drops. Friday the 24th is still clean in the morning (1.4m, 11 seconds), but the afternoon gets chopped by a south wind. Saturday the 25th and Sunday the 26th are marginal. Sunday the 26th morning has a spike of 1.5m from the south, but it’s a short 7 second period and the wind is light offshore – clean but weak and inconsistent. The energy is moderate (522). The last week into the end of the month is very small, with light offshore winds, but the swell drops under 1.0m and the energy is weak (87 to 207). It’s surfable but very ordinary.
Bottom line: It’s a long wait for the good stuff. The first week is a bust. The 21st is a small clean option, but Thursday the 23rd is the clear winner. If you can wait, that’s your day. The rest is mostly small and clean, but not worth the drive.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 23mm), heaviest during Thu morning. Very mild (max 17°C on Fri morning, min 13°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SSW on Wed morning, light winds from the E by Thu afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Sat morning. Very mild (max 17°C on Sat morning, min 15°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 7 | S 9 | S 8 | S 7 | S 8 | S 8 | S 7 | ESE 6 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 9 | E 11 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 198 | 1279 | 484 | 447 | 314 | 163 | 73 | 80 | 128 | 222 | 249 | 484 | 991 | 724 | 557 | 426 | 371 | 379 | 339 | 279 | 273 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | on | on | on | on | on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | off |
High Tide | 9:04PM1.94m | 9:52AM1.37m | 9:52PM1.87m | 10:39AM1.38m | 10:39PM1.76m | 11:26AM1.38m | 11:24PM1.61m | 12:13PM1.37m | 00:10AM1.45m | 1:01PM1.37m | 00:56AM1.29m | 1:51PM1.36m | 1:46AM1.15m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 2:35PM0.36m | 3:50AM0.09m | 3:28PM0.36m | 4:35AM0.12m | 4:20PM0.40m | 5:17AM0.18m | 5:12PM0.45m | 5:58AM0.26m | 6:06PM0.52m | 6:38AM0.35m | 7:03PM0.58m | 7:17AM0.43m | 8:07PM0.64m | ||||||||
 | |  | | | | |  |  |  |  |  | | | | |  |  | | | | |
 | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — |
 | — | 5:02 | — | — | 5:04 | — | — | 5:04 | — | — | 5:05 | — | — | 5:06 | — | — | 5:06 | — | — | 5:07 | — |
mm | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 17 |
Feels °C | 8 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 14 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | — | — | S 15 | S 8 | S 8 | S 7 | S 6 | ESE 7 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | SSE 18 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 |
| kJ | 37 | — | — | 4 | 314 | 163 | 73 | 51 | 128 | 54 | 46 | 25 | 61 | 724 | 557 | 426 | 371 | 379 | 339 | 279 | 273 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | — | — | S 18 | ESE 6 | E 8 | E 8 | S 15 | S 20 | SSE 21 | SSE 19 | SSE 19 | S 8 | SSE 17 | S 13 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 |
| kJ | 2 | — | — | 7 | 38 | 10 | 19 | 18 | 8 | 43 | 37 | 70 | 12 | 92 | 89 | 108 | 100 | 89 | 56 | 34 | 33 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | S 18 | SSE 18 | SSE 17 | S 11 | — | — | S 18 | SE 18 | S 8 | S 8 | S 7 | SE 16 | SE 16 | S 15 | SE 14 | SE 14 | SE 13 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | 25 | 32 | 30 | 10 | — | — | 6 | 13 | 21 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 7 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 7 | S 9 | S 8 | S 7 | — | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | S 8 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 9 | E 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 198 | 1279 | 484 | 447 | — | 55 | 64 | 80 | 63 | 222 | 249 | 484 | 991 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 125 | 96 | 96 | 125 | 293 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 44 | 212 | 168 | 96 | 112 | 44 | 59 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 224 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Nobbys Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Nobbys Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Nobbys Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Nobbys Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Nobbys Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Nobbys Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Nobbys Reef, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Newcastle which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 31 km (19 miles) away, Port Stephens, Cessnock and Central Coast.
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