Nobbys Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s see what’s on the table for the next stretch. We’ve got one spot to work with, and it’s a bit of a mixed bag, so we’ll dig into the details.

The first real surf worth talking about kicks off this coming Monday, the 27th of July. The early part of the week is pretty ordinary. Monday morning, Nobbys Reef is cleaning up with a little 4ft south swell and a light cross-off breeze. The combined energy is moderate at 207, and the conditions are clean. It’s a decent start, but the swell is small, so don’t expect much push. Monday afternoon the wind swings onshore and it gets messy.

Tuesday the 28th is a write-off with tiny waves. Wednesday the 29th is even worse, with a weird long-period 17-second swell that’s barely 0.7ft – not worth paddling for. That groundswell energy is just too weak (31).

Now, the first real standout comes on Thursday the 30th of July. The early morning brings a solid 6ft swell from the south with a 10-second period, and the wind is light and cross-offshore. The water is about average for the time of year, nothing unusual. The combined energy jumps to a strong 692. This is a proper session for the advanced crew, as it’s a reef break and it’s inconsistent. It can get crowded here sometimes, so keep that in mind. The swell direction is SE, which is the optimum for this spot. Friday the 31st of July morning is also very good, with 5ft of south swell and clean conditions. Energy is still strong at 557. These two mornings are the pick of the first week.

The weekend of the 1st and 2nd of August is smaller and more marginal, with morning winds holding clean but the swell dropping to 4ft and 4ft. The energy drops off to moderate (275 and 218). Not a total loss, but you’ll be working for it.

A big gap follows, with the next morning of real interest not arriving until Wednesday the 5th of August. That’s a solid 4-day wait. On that Wednesday morning, a 8ft south swell lights up, with a very strong combined energy of 2069. That’s a powerful wave. The wind is light and cross-off, so it will be clean. This is for experts only, folks. Anything over 8ft is too much for most, and this is right on the edge. The period is 10 seconds, so it’s got some punch.

The next big one is Saturday the 8th of August morning. Another excellent session with a 7ft swell from the SSE, a very long 12-second period, and glassy offshore winds. The energy is 1232. This is a groundswell, and it’s going to be very clean but heavy. For a reef break, this longer period is a dream, but it will be powerful. Again, experts only.

The final few days of the period are a wind-down, with smaller swells and occasional clean windows, but nothing that screams “drop everything.” The 9th of August morning has a modest 4ft swell with good offshore winds, a nice fun-sized option.

So, to sum up: the two absolute standouts are Thursday morning the 30th of July and Wednesday morning the 5th of August. They’re the biggest, cleanest windows in the whole 16-day run. The rest is a mix of small, clean days and choppy afternoons. Don’t sleep on those early morning windows.

Rusty.

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