Nobbys Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty, and I’m looking at the local surf picture for the next couple of weeks. It’s a pretty quiet start, but I can see a few windows that might get you wet.

The first solid surf on offer is a little push from the east on Sunday morning, August 9th. Nobbys Reef is looking at 3 ft of east swell, period around 9 seconds, with a light offshore NNW breeze. The water temperature is sitting at 64°, which is a touch colder than normal for this time of year. The combined energy is weak (116), so don’t expect much power. It’s clean, but very ordinary. This is an advanced reef break, and it’s inconsistent, so you’ll need to be patient. It’s also exposed to the swell, and the direction is a match for the optimum.

Monday morning, August 10th, the swell bumps up to 5 ft from the ENE, still with a 9-second period, and the wind is a strong offshore from the NW at 25 mph. The combined energy jumps to moderate (298). The conditions are clean, but the wind is so strong it’s going to be a battle to paddle into anything. It’s not for the faint-hearted.

The rest of the first week is a mix of very small, clean surf but with poor conditions and low energy. There’s a bit of a spike on Thursday, August 13th, with a 7 ft south swell, but it’s short period (8 seconds) and the wind is cross-shore. The energy is strong (758), but it’s a messy, cross-chop situation. That’s more of a kite-surfing setup than a paddle-surfing one.

The best-looking window for a decent paddle shows up on Friday, August 14th. The morning has 4 ft from the south (8 seconds) with light cross-offshore winds from the WSW, and the energy is moderate (230). It’s clean, and the forecast says “expect good surf conditions.” This is the standout for the near term. The afternoon turns into a poor onshore wind, so you’ll want to be out early.

The second week looks pretty grim overall. There’s a lot of onshore and cross-onshore wind, rain, and choppy conditions. Monday, August 17th, has 5 ft of swell but with moderate cross-onshore winds and high energy (317), but it’s a mess. The only real glimmer is on Thursday, August 20th, with a 4 ft east swell and a light offshore N wind in the morning. It’s clean, but still very ordinary with low energy (197). Saturday, August 22nd, has a brief moment of glassy conditions in the morning with 4 ft east swell, but it’s not a big wave.

For the long-range, the standout is Friday, August 14th, morning. It’s not huge, but it’s the cleanest, most surfable offering in the whole forecast. The swell direction is south, which is a secondary direction for this spot, but the light wind makes it worthwhile.

Stay patient, and get out there early on the 14th.

Rusty.

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