Surf Forecasts:
Nobbys Reef surf forecast from 17 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 20 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 10s period, E swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 19 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 11s period, E swell with 901 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 20 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 10s period with E swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Nobbys Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 20) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 11s. Another secondary swell of 0.4m and 3s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Nobbys Reef in the next 16 days are 2.0m 11s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.3m 2s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Mon 20th Jul) | 4ft (1.2m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Mon 20th Jul) | 4ft (1.2m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Sun 19th Jul) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s break it down.
First up, it’s a quiet start. The first few days are a total loss for any decent surf. Friday the 17th through Sunday the 19th are all no-good – onshore winds and poor conditions. The water temp is sitting around 65°, which is pretty much normal for this time of year, nothing unusual there.
We finally get a little window of hope on Monday the 20th morning. It’s small, but the easterly swell is pushing around 5ft with a 10-second period. The wind is light and cross-onshore, so it’s not glassy, but it’s rideable. The combined energy is moderate (524). Not a standout, but a step in the right direction.
The real highlight comes much later, on Wednesday the 29th of July. That morning, the south swell is pumping in at 10ft with a 10-second period. That’s a lot of juice – the combined energy is a massive 2706. The wind is offshore from the northwest, so it’ll be clean. But listen, that’s too big for this reef break. It’s an advanced spot anyway, and at that size, only the most experienced crew should even think about it. The afternoon settles down to a still-chunky 6ft with the same clean offshore wind, and that’s where the quality is for the experts. The combined energy is still strong (1002). This is the best on offer in the whole outlook, but you gotta be on your game.
A few other days worth a mention: Tuesday the 21st morning has a clean 4ft easterly swell with a light offshore northwesterly, but the energy is low (303). Saturday the 25th morning has a clean 3ft south swell with a light offshore – clean but small. And the very end of the outlook, Saturday the 1st of August, has a moderate offshore wind with 4ft swell from the SE – clean and surfable, but nothing to write home about.
Overall, it’s a slow start, a big, dangerous pulse on the 29th, and then a few small, clean mornings to finish. Don’t get your hopes up for the first week.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Fri night. Very mild (max 17°C on Fri morning, min 15°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Wed morning, min 12°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 7 | ESE 11 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | S 7 | S 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 90 | 90 | 90 | 145 | 203 | 846 | 776 | 623 | 474 | 371 | 332 | 284 | 240 | 196 | 157 | 115 | 86 | 64 | 45 | 152 | 367 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | on | cross-on | on | on | on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | off | cross | off | off | on | cross | glassy | on | cross |
High Tide | 10:39AM1.38m | 10:39PM1.76m | 11:26AM1.38m | 11:24PM1.61m | 12:13PM1.37m | 00:10AM1.45m | 1:01PM1.37m | 00:56AM1.29m | 1:51PM1.36m | 1:46AM1.15m | 2:44PM1.37m | 2:44AM1.04m | 3:40PM1.40m | 3:53AM0.99m | |||||||
Low Tide | 4:20PM0.40m | 5:17AM0.18m | 5:12PM0.45m | 5:58AM0.26m | 6:06PM0.52m | 6:38AM0.35m | 7:03PM0.58m | 7:17AM0.43m | 8:07PM0.64m | 7:57AM0.50m | 9:20PM0.66m | 8:41AM0.54m | 10:35PM0.63m | ||||||||
 | |  |  | |  | |  |  | | |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — |
 | — | 5:04 | — | — | 5:05 | — | — | 5:06 | — | — | 5:06 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — |
mm | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 17 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 19 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 15 |
Feels °C | 14 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 18 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 12 | 13 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 6 | S 6 | ESE 6 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | S 8 |
| kJ | 90 | 28 | 90 | 47 | 29 | 24 | 776 | 623 | 474 | 371 | 332 | 284 | 240 | 196 | 157 | 115 | 86 | 64 | 45 | 46 | 367 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 7 | S 8 | S 21 | SSE 21 | SSE 20 | SSE 19 | SSE 18 | SSE 16 | S 13 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 11 | S 10 | S 12 | E 9 |
| kJ | 58 | 22 | 8 | 43 | 39 | 70 | 102 | 87 | 125 | 144 | 139 | 88 | 58 | 54 | 31 | 30 | 17 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 40 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 17 | S 15 | S 21 | — | — | SSE 19 | S 8 | S 8 | SE 16 | SE 15 | SE 15 | S 20 | S 16 | SSE 15 | SE 14 | S 12 | — | E 12 | — | — | S 14 |
| kJ | 30 | 18 | 9 | — | — | 69 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 8 | 3 | — | 3 | — | — | 4 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | ESE 6 | S 8 | ESE 6 | ESE 7 | ESE 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 2 | — | WSW 2 | S 5 | S 7 | — |
| kJ | — | 90 | 66 | 145 | 203 | 846 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 12 | 152 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 42 | 44 | 1 | 168 | 179 | 96 | 96 | 1 | 44 | 3 | 75 | 0 | 0 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Nobbys Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Nobbys Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Nobbys Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Nobbys Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Nobbys Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Nobbys Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Nobbys Reef, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Newcastle which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 31 km (19 miles) away, Port Stephens, Cessnock and Central Coast.
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