Nobbys Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let me break this down for you.

First up, we're looking at a pretty quiet stretch for the next 16 days around here. The only break that's even worth talking about is Nobbys Reef, but honestly, it's a tough one to call. This spot is a reef break, so it's got that proper groundswell feel, but it's also inconsistent and really only for the more advanced crew – it doesn't break often, so when it does, you've gotta be on it.

The swell is coming from the south-east, which is the optimum direction for this place, so that's a plus. The water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing unusual to report there.

The first bit of action is on Wednesday, September 2nd. We've got a small 2ft south swell pushing through with a 10-second period, so the energy is moderate (112). The wind is a clean offshore northwesterly, so the faces will be tidy. It's not a showstopper, but it's something to get wet on. The morning and afternoon look similar.

Thursday, September 3rd keeps that same small south swell, around 2ft, but the wind shifts to a cross-on from the south in the afternoon, which messes it up. The morning is still clean offshore, but the energy is a bit weaker (86).

Friday, September 4th is a bit of a tease. The morning is glassy – dead flat wind from the south-west, with a tiny 1ft south-southeast swell. The energy is weak (82). It's a glassy morning, but the swell is almost nothing. The afternoon goes cross-shore and picks up a little to 3ft, but the quality drops.

Saturday, September 5th and Sunday, September 6th are mostly poor. The swell stays tiny and the wind is messy. Then on Sunday afternoon, the swell jumps up to 5ft from the south with a 12-second period, and the energy spikes to 539 (moderate-strong), but it's onshore from the south-east, so it's going to be a lumpy mess. Not worth it.

Now, Monday, September 7th is the first real standout. The morning has a 4ft south swell with an 11-second period and a light north wind – that's a nice cross-off. The energy is solid (293). The conditions are clean, and it's the best we've seen so far. The swell is still a bit small for a reef, but it's the pick of the week.

After that, we hit a real dry spell. Tuesday, September 8th through to Saturday, September 12th is mostly rubbish – tiny swell, onshore winds, and a lot of rain. The energy is weak to moderate, but the wind is just awful. There's a period of very long gap with no decent recommendations.

Things try to fire up again on Sunday, September 13th. The afternoon session is the highlight: 4ft south swell with a 9-second period, and the wind goes offshore from the north-west. The energy is solid (276) and the conditions are described as "good surf conditions." This is definitely the second standout of the period.

Monday, September 14th is a bit of a drop-off, but the morning is clean with a small 2ft swell.

Then we get a big warning for Tuesday, September 15th. The swell is going to pump up to 8ft from the south-southeast with a long 14-second period. The energy is insane (2558). That's a lot of power. But it's cross-on, and at that size, it's strictly for experts only. The afternoon is similar at 8ft. This is a heavy groundswell, and with a long period like that, it's going to be a constant line-up at a reef, but the wind is going to make it a challenge. For the average surfer, it's a leave-it-alone day.

The last few days (Wednesday 16th and Thursday 17th) are back to small, wind-affected slop. The morning of the 16th has a 4ft SSE swell, but it's onshore and messy.

So, to wrap it up: Monday, September 7th morning and Sunday, September 13th afternoon are your best bets. The rest of the time, you're either looking at tiny waves, wrong wind, or dangerously big swell for the experts. Nobbys Reef is a tricky spot, and this forecast shows that.

Rusty.

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