Nobbys Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, listen up. I’m not gonna lie to you, it’s looking bleak out there for a while. The surf at Nobbys Reef is about to go on a serious vacation, and we’re stuck with the leftovers. The next couple of weeks are filled with onshores, lumpy junk, and waves with no heart. It’s a hard watch, but it’ll turn around. It always does.

It starts this Tuesday, the 15th, with a tiny 1-foot south swell. There’s a light offshore in the morning cleaning it up, but the energy is zilch. It’s flat. Then, things get stupid on Wednesday the 16th. The swell jumps to 11 feet, but a fresh south-southwest cross-onshore wind turns it into a complete stormy mess. The energy is huge, but it’s pure chaos.

Thursday morning the 17th is the only real look we get. The swell eases to 10 feet, and the wind goes light and variable. But let’s be real – 10 feet at Nobbys Reef is a freight train. It’s way too big and unruly. Only the crazy crew would even think about it, and even then, it’s a risk. The afternoon drops to 7 feet but the wind goes onshore, so that’s done.

Then, on Friday morning, the 18th, we finally get something human. The swell drops to 4-5 feet from the south-southeast, and we have a clean, light offshore. It’s not big, but the surface will be glassy. That’s our best bet for a real surf.

But just as quick, it’s gone. The rest of Friday, Saturday, and Sunday see the swell fizzle out to almost nothing. The wind goes onshore and the surface gets chopped. There’s nothing worth the paddle.

We get another spike on Monday the 22nd with a 7-foot south-southeast swell, but it’s got a short, crappy period and is accompanied by rain and a cross-onshore wind. It’s a grovelly mess. Tuesday is more of the same, just smaller.

After that, the wind goes northeast. The swell drops to 4 feet, but the period is terrible – down in the 6-second range. That’s just pure windswell. It’s bumpy and weak, with a fresh cross-shore breeze ruining any chance of a clean face.

The single exception is Saturday morning, the 26th. The wind goes light and cross-offshore. The swell is 4 feet from the east-northeast with a 7-second period. It’ll be clean, but it’s still short-period and weak. It’s a grovel, but it might be the only other time you’d get wet.

The last week is just onshores and rain. The energy is gone, the wind is howling, and there’s nothing on the horizon.

So, look. Your only real chances are an early session on the 18th for some clean, though small, waves, or maybe a dawn paddle on the 26th if you’re desperate. Nothing is going to be stellar. The winds are against us, and the swell just isn’t doing anything right. For everyone else, it’s a good time to check your wax stash and wait it out.

Rusty.

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