Surf Forecasts:
Nobbys Reef surf forecast from 5 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 6 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 11s period, S swell with cross-onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 11 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 12s period, S swell with 2,495 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 6 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 11s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Nobbys Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 06) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 2.4m and 11s. Another secondary swell of 0.2m and 10s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-onshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Nobbys Reef in the next 16 days are 3.0m 12s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 11) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Sep 06) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Sun 6th Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Sun 6th Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Fri 11th Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 12s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here. It’s been a bit of a flat spell, but the waiting game looks like it’s about to pay off for those in the know. Let’s get into it.
The first proper surf on offer kicks off Monday morning, September 7th. Before that, Sunday the 6th is pretty much a write-off – tiny, weak 1ft swell with a messy cross-shore wind, and the combined energy is a paltry 37. You’d be better off waxing your board at home.
Monday the 7th sees the first glimmer of hope. By morning, a 5ft swell from the south-southeast is building, with a light cross-shore breeze. The combined energy jumps to a moderate 327, and while it’s labelled as marginal, it’s a step in the right direction. The water temp is about average for this time of year.
The standout window arrives on Friday the 11th of September. Early morning at Nobbys Reef, we’ve got a 6ft south-southeast groundswell (11-second period) wrapping in with a clean, light cross-offshore breeze from the west-northwest. The combined energy is a solid 886. This is the pick of the forecast – clean, good shape, and that longer period will give you some proper lines. Crowds can be around sometimes, so get there early.
Saturday the 12th is more marginal with onshore winds, and Sunday the 13th morning cleans up again – 4ft swell, a light offshore from the north-northwest, and clean conditions. The period is a nice 11 seconds too.
Into the second week, things get a little more mixed. Monday the 14th morning has a clean 3ft south-southeast groundswell with a long 12-second period and offshore northwesterlies – a nice little dawny if you’re keen. Tuesday the 15th is small with gentle offshore winds. Then Wednesday the 16th turns choppy again.
The real long-range highlight is the run from Friday the 18th through Saturday the 19th. Friday sees 4ft south-southeast swell with clean, moderate offshore winds from the northwest all day. Combined energy sits at 294–311. Saturday morning keeps it going with 4ft swell and a gentle offshore breeze. This is a promising stretch, but it’s over a week away, so keep an eye on it.
From Sunday the 20th, it fades fast into tiny, weak surf. That’s your window.
Stay sharp,
Rusty
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 18°C on Sun morning, min 11°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon morning, fresh winds from the S by Mon night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Fri morning, min 12°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the S on Wed afternoon, light winds from the SSW by Thu night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | S 8 | S 10 | S 8 | SSE 8 | S 6 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | S 10 | S 10 | S 12 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | S 10 | S 9 | SSE 20 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 27 | 141 | 1217 | 264 | 299 | 345 | 1406 | 885 | 644 | 351 | 466 | 1806 | 1318 | 1330 | 2495 | 831 | 667 | 721 | 816 | 553 | 567 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 3:58PM1.58m | 5:08AM1.11m | 5:08PM1.65m | 6:07AM1.21m | 6:08PM1.71m | 6:55AM1.32m | 6:59PM1.74m | 7:38AM1.42m | 7:45PM1.73m | 8:18AM1.49m | 8:28PM1.67m | 8:56AM1.53m | 9:08PM1.58m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 11:04PM0.32m | 10:30AM0.51m | 00:02AM0.23m | 11:39AM0.42m | 00:51AM0.15m | 12:36PM0.33m | 1:33AM0.11m | 1:27PM0.25m | 2:11AM0.10m | 2:14PM0.21m | 2:47AM0.12m | 2:59PM0.20m | 3:21AM0.17m | ||||||||
 | |  |  | |  | | |  | |  | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:05 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — |
 | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:42 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 18 | 18 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15 |
Feels °C | 12 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 6 | ENE 10 | S 10 | S 8 | SSE 8 | E 11 | E 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | E 9 | SE 11 | ESE 10 | SSE 22 | SSE 12 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | S 10 | S 9 | SSE 12 |
| kJ | 18 | 10 | 1217 | 264 | 299 | 9 | 2 | 885 | 644 | 351 | 2 | 33 | 40 | 183 | 1513 | 831 | 667 | 721 | 816 | 553 | 532 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | SSE 10 | — | — | E 10 | E 10 | — | E 13 | E 16 | SSE 18 | SSE 18 | ESE 9 | ESE 8 | E 14 | E 13 | SSE 18 | SSE 18 | SSE 20 |
| kJ | 27 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 34 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | 4 | 5 | 33 | 102 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 64 | 188 | 567 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 7 | — | NE 8 | NE 8 | E 10 | — | — | — | — | E 16 | S 17 | — | SSE 24 | SE 10 | E 15 | SE 21 | E 9 | E 9 | E 14 | E 14 | E 13 |
| kJ | 4 | — | 2 | 2 | 8 | — | — | — | — | 5 | 6 | — | 55 | 24 | 4 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 4 | 13 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 3 | S 8 | — | — | — | S 6 | SSE 10 | — | — | NW 3 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | S 10 | S 10 | S 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 2 | 141 | — | — | — | 345 | 1406 | — | — | 2 | 466 | 1806 | 1318 | 1330 | 2495 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 42 | 553 | 9 | 2 | 349 | 107 | 44 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 241 | 96 | 9 | 212 | 0 | 0 | 125 | 2 | 9 | 81 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Nobbys Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Nobbys Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Nobbys Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Nobbys Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Nobbys Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Nobbys Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Nobbys Reef, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Newcastle which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 31 km (19 miles) away, Port Stephens, Cessnock and Central Coast.
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