Nobbys Reef Surf Break

Lat Long: 32.93° S 151.80° E

Nobbys Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 pm 15 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Nobbys Reef sea temperature is
18.2° C
0.3° 

Nobbys Reef surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Nobbys Reef surf forecast from 15 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Tuesday 21 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 10s period, E swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 19 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 10s period, ESE swell with 784 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 21 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 10s period with E swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Nobbys Reef this week:

The surf forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 21) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Nobbys Reef in the next 16 days are 2.1m 10s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1AM (Tue 21st Jul)4.5ft (1.3m) 10s
Best Surf 1AM (Tue 21st Jul)4.5ft (1.3m) 10s
Most Powerful 7AM (Sun 19th Jul)7ft (2.1m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G’day, Rusty here. We’re looking at a pretty quiet start to the outlook for Nobbys Reef, with a long stretch of poor conditions to kick things off. Nothing worth paddling out for until the second week, so patience is the name of the game. The water temp is sitting at 65°, which is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The first hint of something surfable arrives on the morning of Monday 20 July. It’s still marginal – just 5ft of E swell with a moderate combined energy reading of 565, and a light cross-onshore wind. Not exactly firing, but at least it’s not a total write-off. Conditions stay pretty ordinary through to Wednesday morning 22 July, with small, clean waves around 3ft from the ENE, combined energy down to 177. It’s surfable but nothing to get excited about.

The real turnaround comes on the morning of Thursday 30 July. We’ve got a solid 6ft of S swell, period bumping up to 11 seconds (that’s a nice groundswell pulse), and combined energy of 757 – moderate to strong energy. The wind is offshore out of the NW, light at 9 mph, so expect clean, lined-up waves. This is the standout of the whole outlook. Nobbys Reef can handle this direction, and with offshore conditions, it’s going to be a great session for advanced surfers. The swell is a bit too big for beginners, but if you’ve got the skills, this is the morning to be out there. The southerly direction matches the optimum swell direction of SE nicely, so the reef should be working well. Thursday afternoon keeps the clean theme with a lighter 5ft of S swell and light NNW offshore – another good window, but the morning is the pick.

Before that, on Tuesday 21 July, there’s a brief clean window in the morning with 4ft ENE swell, a period of 10 seconds, and light offshore wind from the NNW. Combined energy is 360 – moderate – so it’s small but clean. It’s not the biggest, but if you’re desperate for a paddle, that’s your best early option. Crowds at Nobbys can show up sometimes, so don’t expect solitude.

There’s a long gap from the start right through to Monday 20 July with no real recommendations – about five days of poor to marginal surf. After Thursday 30 July, the swell drops off again into the weekend with tiny waves and messy winds. The following Monday 27 July and Tuesday 28 July bring a fresh S swell pulse, but the wind is cross or cross-on, so it’s choppy and not worth the effort.

So to wrap it up: the whole 16-day window is a slow burn. The one true standout is Thursday 30 July morning – that’s your best shot. It’s a promise, but a good one. Keep an eye on the forecasts, because a week out things can shift.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 20mm), heaviest during Thu morning. Very mild (max 17°C on Thu afternoon, min 12°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SSW on Wed afternoon, light winds from the SE by Thu night).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Sat afternoon, min 13°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Wed
15
Thursday
16
Friday
17
Saturday
18
Sunday
19
Monday
20
Tuesday
21
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
2
1
2
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.5
S
10
2
S
8
2.1
S
8
1.6
S
8
1.1
S
8
1.1
ESE
6
1.1
ESE
7
1.4
SE
7
1.5
ESE
7
1.6
ESE
8
1.7
E
9
2
E
10
1.8
E
10
1.6
E
10
1.5
E
10
1.4
E
10
1.3
E
10
1.2
E
10
1.1
E
10
1.1
ENE
10
0.9
ENE
10
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1212
475
518
323
133
104
114
211
210
296
516
770
648
514
449
392
339
296
245
250
157
Wind (km/h)
30
SSW
25
SSW
20
S
15
SE
10
ESE
10
SE
20
SE
15
SSE
20
SE
25
SE
20
SE
20
ESE
15
ESE
10
E
10
ENE
15
ENE
10
N
10
NNW
10
ENE
10
NNW
10
NW
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
on
on
on
on
on
on
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
off
cross
off
off
High Tide
9:04PM1.94m
9:52AM1.37m
9:52PM1.87m
10:39AM1.38m
10:39PM1.76m
11:26AM1.38m
11:24PM1.61m
12:13PM1.37m
00:10AM1.45m
1:01PM1.37m
00:56AM1.29m
1:51PM1.36m
1:46AM1.15m
Low Tide
3:50AM0.09m
3:28PM0.36m
4:35AM0.12m
4:20PM0.40m
5:17AM0.18m
5:12PM0.45m
5:58AM0.26m
6:06PM0.52m
6:38AM0.35m
7:03PM0.58m
7:17AM0.43m
8:07PM0.64m
7:57AM0.50m
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
clear
rain showers
clear
rain showers
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:52
6:52
6:52
6:52
6:50
6:50
6:50
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:02
5:04
5:04
5:05
5:06
5:06
5:07
5:07
 mm
1
3
7
3
4
1
1
Temp °C
15
16
15
17
16
17
17
17
17
17
17
17
17
17
16
16
16
17
17
16
17
Feels °C
8
11
12
14
14
14
14
14
12
12
12
13
14
14
13
13
14
15
15
14
15
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Nobbys Reef Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Nobbys Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Nobbys Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Nobbys Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Nobbys Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Nobbys Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Nobbys Reef, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Newcastle which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 31 km (19 miles) away, Port Stephens, Cessnock and Central Coast.

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