Nobbys Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Righto, surf’s up around here, but it’s a mixed bag if I’m being honest. We’ve got Nobbys Reef as the main show, a solid exposed reef break that’s got a bit of a reputation. Water temp’s about average for this time of year, so you won’t be needing a thicker suit unless you’re a real sook. The combined swell energy is moderate to strong throughout, sitting around 200 to over 2000 at times, so there’s definitely power in the water.

We start off on Sunday morning the 13th with a clean little 3ft SE swell, light cross-off breeze from the NNE. It’s got a decent 9-second period, and the energy’s sitting at 206. It’s not a monster, but it’s clean and the reef will shape it up nicely. This is one of the better windows in the whole forecast – good shape, easy paddling, and the old Nobbys will be working proper. The afternoon goes to custard though – wind swings onshore and it’s gone.

Monday the 14th has another tidy morning – 2ft S swell, 12-second period, light offshore wind. Energy’s at 204. It’s clean, it’s consistent enough, and the longer period means more push. The afternoon turns to chop again.

Then we hit a flatter spell. Tuesday the 15th and Wednesday the 16th are ratshit. Tiny, onshore, lumpy – don’t bother. Wednesday the 16th actually sees a big jump in swell, 10ft, but it’s cross-onshore at 22 mph, and the energy is a huge 1594. It’s too big for most, and it’s messy. Thursday the 17th morning is still a massive 10ft from the SSE, with cross-shore wind, but the forecast says it’s too big for this break – that’s expert-only territory, and the crowds might still be there if it’s clean, but the wind is junk.

We get a proper window on Friday the 18th morning – clean 4ft S swell with a light offshore NW wind, 8-second period, energy at 416. It’s a good solid size, and with offshore winds, the reef will be firing. The afternoon goes shit again.

Saturday the 19th morning is another standout – 4ft SE swell, 11-second period, clean offshore WNW wind, energy at 470. That’s a lovely combo for a consistent, medium-sized session.

After that, we fade into tiny, weak surf for a few days. Sunday the 20th has a 1ft SE swell with a light offshore, but it’s barely breaking. The following days are small, onshore, and chopped up.

Then we get a late pulse. Tuesday the 22nd sees 8ft to 8ft S/SSE swell, but the wind is cross or cross-onshore, and the energy is high (523 to 739). It’s going to be a mess again.

The real late bright spot is Saturday the 26th morning – 5ft NE swell, 7-second period, but with a clean offshore NNW wind. Energy’s at 284. The period is short so it’ll be a bit fat, but clean offshore conditions on a 5ft swell will still give you some fun ones, especially if you’re on it early. It’s not as good as the earlier windows, but it’s the pick of the second week.

Overall, the early mornings on the 13th, 14th, 18th, and 19th are your best bets. Those are the standouts. The later stuff is more of a gamble.

- Rusty

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