Nobbys Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, let’s talk about what’s on offer at Nobbys Reef.

Truth be told, mate, it’s a bit of a slow start for this stretch. The first real chance to get wet isn’t until Friday morning, the 11th, and even then it’s a tough call. We’ve got a 6 ft swell from the SSE, but the wind is a cross-shore from the SW, and the wave energy is moderate (576). It’s a bit messy and lumpy, nothing to get excited about – marginal at best.

Saturday the 12th sees the swell drop right off to 2 ft, and the wind stays cross-onshore, which is a no-go. Sunday morning the 13th is cleaner, with a light cross-offshore breeze from the NNE, but the swell is tiny at 3 ft. You’d be scratching for anything rideable. The energy drops to weak (177) too.

Monday the 14th morning is a tease. We get a clean offshore wind from the NNW, and the swell is a small 2 ft from the S, but it’s a long-period groundswell at 12 seconds. That means it’ll be a bit more lined up on this reef, but the energy is weak (155). It’s one of the better windows in the first week, but only just.

Then things get grim. From Tuesday the 15th through to Wednesday the 16th, the wind goes onshore or cross-onshore, and the swell gets messy. Wednesday morning actually sees a jump in size to 8 ft from the S, but with a strong cross-onshore wind at 16 mph, and moderate energy (923), it’s going to be a choppy, blown-out mess. That’s expert-only territory, and even then, it’s not pretty.

Thursday the 17th has a small 4 ft swell but the wind is light and cross-onshore, so it stays bumpy. The energy is still moderate (342), but the quality isn’t there.

Now, let’s look ahead. The standout in this entire forecast is the morning of Friday the 18th. We’ve got a clean cross-offshore breeze from the N, and while the swell is small at 2 ft, it’s a very long-period groundswell from the S at 18 seconds. The energy is moderate (311). That long period will wrap nicely into Nobbys Reef, giving you some clean, lined-up waves. It’s a sweet spot for the experienced crew, and the light wind will make it glassy. Crowds are possible here, so get in early.

The following weekend, Saturday the 20th morning, is another promising window. Offshore wind from the NW at 12 mph, with a 4 ft swell from the S at 10 seconds. The energy is moderate (430) and the wind will keep it clean. This is a solid, surfable option for the more advanced surfer.

Beyond that, the swell drops off again. Monday the 21st morning is glassy, zero wind, but the swell is only 2 ft with weak energy (91). You’d be doing a lot of waiting for a small one. The rest of the second week is mostly small, weak, or onshore, with a few fleeting moments of offshore wind but not enough swell to make them count.

Overall, the best on offer is the Friday the 18th morning session – that long-period groundswell and clean conditions make it the pick of the bunch. The following Saturday morning the 20th is another solid backup. The rest of the 16 days is mostly flat or messy, so don’t hold your breath.

Stay salty,
Rusty

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