Nobbys Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, Rusty here. Alright, let's have a look at what's on the cards for our local stretch. Honest truth up front: the first few days are a bit of a write-off. We've got a pretty quiet start, but there's a window of real quality coming if you're patient.

The water temp at the only spot that's worth talking about, Nobbys Reef, is sitting at 64°, which is about 1° cooler than normal for this time of year. So, nothing crazy, just a touch on the fresh side.

Alright, let's get into it. The first notable swell arrives on the morning of Sunday, the 2nd of August. That's your standout. We're looking at a solid 6ft swell from the SSE with a super long period of 14 seconds. That's proper groundswell energy, and the combined energy reading is a meaty 1148 (moderate). The wind is light from the NNW, blowing cross-offshore. It'll be clean. Now, that long period (14 sec) means it's likely to break a bit straight at beach breaks, but at a reef like Nobbys, the shape should be there. It's advanced-only, so this isn't one for the beginners – 6ft might push it for them anyway.

Sunday afternoon drops off a bit with a 5ft SE swell and a cross-shore breeze, so morning is the pick. Monday the 3rd keeps things surfable with knee-to-waist high clean waves from the SE, around 4ft in the morning and dropping to 3ft in the afternoon, both with clean cross-offshore winds. The energy is dropping though (322 to 205).

Then we hit a big gap. From Tuesday the 4th through to Wednesday the 12th of August, it's pretty much flat or junk. There are a few mornings with clean offshore winds and tiny 3ft to 1ft swells, but honestly, you're fighting for scraps. Not worth a paddle.

After that dry spell, the next chance comes on Friday the 14th of August. The afternoon session is a big one – but it's a warning, not a celebration. A 10ft swell from the S, with energy at 1472 (strong), is predicted to be too big for this break. It's an expert-only bomb if you've got the nerve and the spot can handle it, but the commentary says it's too big. The wind is a gentle cross-onshore from the S at 9 mph, so a bit lumpy. This is a serious, heavy call for the experienced crew only.

So, to sum it up: your one true standout is the Sunday, 2nd of August, morning session at Nobbys Reef. Clean, long-period groundswell, and the reef should juice it up. After that, it's a long wait until the 14th, but that's a wild card that's likely too much of a good thing.

Rusty.

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