Nobbys Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’m not gonna lie to you – the next couple of weeks are a mixed bag for Nobbys Reef. There’s no surf at all until Saturday afternoon, so you’ve got a quiet start. The first few days after that are pretty ordinary, with onshore winds messing things up most of the time. But if you’re patient, there are a couple of windows where it all comes together.

We’ll kick things off on Saturday the 5th. The afternoon sees a tiny 2ft south swell, with a light offshore breeze, so it’s clean but really weak. The combined swell energy is only 66, which is nothing to write home about. Water temp is 66°, right on the money for this time of year.

Sunday the 6th is a write-off – the swell is either too small or mixed with bad wind. Monday the 7th is marginal, with a 5ft south swell but cross-shore winds making it a bit of a lottery.

The real story starts to build mid-week. By Tuesday the 8th, we’ve got a 7ft SSE swell pumping in, but it’s coming with a cross-onshore wind and the combined energy is a healthy 743. It’s messy, not clean. That trend of chunky swell with poor winds continues through Wednesday and Thursday, with the energy peaking at 914 on Thursday the 10th morning, but again, the wind is wrong.

Then, mark your calendar for Friday the 11th of September. This is the standout. Friday morning delivers a 6ft south swell with a period of 11 seconds, and the wind goes glassy – dead calm. The combined energy is 946, a nice solid push. This is good, clean, powerful surf at a tricky reef break that’s inconsistent and for advanced surfers only. It can get crowded, so you’ll want to be early. The swell direction (S) is a good match for the reef’s optimum (SE). This is the one to aim for.

Saturday the 12th morning offers a smaller 5ft SSE swell with glassy conditions again, a nice little bonus if Friday was too big. Sunday the 13th and Monday the 14th mornings bring clean offshore winds on smaller swells around 3ft to 3ft, good for a fun session if you’re not chasing size.

The second week gets more uncertain. Tuesday the 15th and Wednesday the 16th look poor with strong, messy winds. But look, keep an eye on Friday the 18th morning. The forecast is promising a 5ft south swell with a 11-second period, light offshore wind, and combined energy of 1014 – that’s strong. It’s an excellent window for experienced surfers, but it’s still a long way out, so don’t lock it in yet. Saturday the 19th morning is clean but smaller at 3ft.

After that, the swell fades into the 20th with tiny waves and clean but weak conditions. The run of clean mornings in the second week keeps the tone optimistic – these conditions can turn on fast.

Rusty.

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