Surf Forecasts:
Nobbys Reef surf forecast from 2 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 6 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 10s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 7 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 12s period, S swell with 396 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 2 Sep, 4PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 11s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Nobbys Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 02) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Nobbys Reef in the next 16 days are 1.2m 12s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 07) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Saturday (Sep 05) at 4PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4PM (Wed 2nd Sep) | 2ft (0.6m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Sun 6th Sep) | 3ft (0.9m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Mon 7th Sep) | 4ft (1.2m) 12s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G'day, Rusty here. Look, I'll be straight with you – we've got a bit of a flat spell ahead with nothing worth paddling out for until Wednesday the 2nd, so there's a gap of a couple of days at the start. After that, it's a long haul with mostly small, lacklustre conditions.
The first session to get your eyes on is Nobbys Reef on Wednesday the 2nd. It's an exposed reef break, rated for advanced surfers only. Early morning we're looking at a tiny 2ft south swell, but with a clean 10-second period and a moderate offshore breeze from the NW. The combined swell energy is moderate at 115. Water temp is 65°, bang on average for this time of year. It's surfable, but it's very ordinary – not gonna set the world on fire.
The real standout, and the only one worth writing home about, is Monday the 7th of September. It's not huge, but it's the best of a quiet run. The morning session has a 4ft south swell, a 11-second period, and light cross-offshore WNW winds keeping it clean. The combined energy jumps to 355 (moderate). Conditions are set to be clean, and it's the only day where the forecast says "expect good surf conditions." It’s not a monster, but it’s the pick of the fortnight.
After that, things get messy. We get a spike in swell size around the 8th, 10th, and 11th (up to 5ft and even a 22-second period on the 10th afternoon), but the wind turns ugly – strong cross-shore and onshore breezes (up to 18 mph) ruin any chance of clean waves. The 8th is too big for beginners at 5ft, short period, and onshore wind. The 10th has that crazy 22-second, 2ft groundswell, but the combined energy is a hefty 859 (strong) – huge energy, but the wind is a fresh onshore and the quality is poor. That spot is a reef, so the long period might give it a chance, but with those winds, it’s a no-go for me.
Another blip comes on Wednesday the 16th of September. The morning shows 4ft east swell with a clean, gentle offshore from the NW. Combined energy is 297 (moderate) and it’s forecast as good surf conditions. It's not as strong as the 7th, but worth a mention if you're desperate. Then Thursday the 17th morning goes glassy – 3ft east swell with no wind at all. That’s rare and would be clean as a whistle, but the swell energy is only 162, so it’s small and weak. Still, a glassy morning on a reef is always tempting.
Overall, it's a lean run. If you're on the ball, hit Monday the 7th. Otherwise, wait for the 16th or 17th and just enjoy the peace and quiet. Forecasts can change, so don't lose hope.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Thu morning, min 14°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 29°C on Sat afternoon, min 11°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (light winds from the SSW on Sun morning, fresh winds from the SSE by Mon afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 10 | S 12 | S 10 | SSE 14 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 6 | S 12 | S 9 | S 11 | S 10 | SSE 6 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 74 | 82 | 50 | 50 | 51 | 33 | 130 | 145 | 68 | 72 | 42 | 27 | 25 | 187 | 166 | 344 | 190 | 84 | 385 | 284 | 75 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | off | off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | off | off | off | cross-off | cross | on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | off |
High Tide | 11:28AM1.51m | 11:50PM1.23m | 12:22PM1.51m | 00:54AM1.12m | 1:26PM1.51m | 2:14AM1.04m | 2:41PM1.52m | 3:47AM1.04m | 3:58PM1.58m | 5:08AM1.11m | 5:08PM1.65m | 6:07AM1.21m | 6:08PM1.71m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:53PM0.37m | 5:47AM0.39m | 7:02PM0.42m | 6:42AM0.47m | 8:22PM0.44m | 7:51AM0.54m | 9:49PM0.40m | 9:11AM0.55m | 11:04PM0.32m | 10:30AM0.51m | 00:02AM0.23m | 11:39AM0.42m | 00:51AM0.15m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |  | | | | |
 | 6:09 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — |
 | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:38 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 25 | 25 | 22 | 27 | 23 | 18 | 18 | 20 | 18 | 28 | 29 | 24 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 21 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 15 |
Feels °C | 20 | 20 | 19 | 22 | 21 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 15 | 22 | 24 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 17 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 10 | S 12 | S 10 | S 8 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 6 | S 9 | S 9 | S 11 | S 10 | S 9 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 |
| kJ | 74 | 82 | 50 | 50 | 51 | 33 | 130 | 145 | 43 | 72 | 42 | 27 | 24 | 125 | 166 | 344 | 190 | 74 | 385 | 284 | 75 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | S 6 | ENE 10 | SSE 14 | E 9 | ENE 5 | ENE 6 | S 12 | S 12 | E 4 | ENE 4 | E 10 | E 9 | E 9 | E 10 | ENE 4 |
| kJ | 33 | 19 | 19 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 19 | 18 | 68 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 25 | 187 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 9 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 6 | NE 5 | ENE 5 | SSE 13 | SW 3 | SSE 13 | ENE 10 | S 18 | NE 4 | ENE 5 | E 9 | E 11 | S 10 | ENE 10 | E 10 | E 10 | NE 8 | E 9 | N 9 | NE 7 | S 10 |
| kJ | 8 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 1 | 17 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 29 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 3 | NNW 3 | NW 3 | NW 3 | S 3 | SSW 5 | — | NE 7 | — | NNW 3 | NW 4 | — | WNW 3 | — | ENE 4 | — | ENE 4 | SSE 6 | — | — | NE 4 |
| kJ | 5 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 14 | — | 8 | — | 2 | 15 | — | 1 | — | 12 | — | 2 | 84 | — | — | 12 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 241 | 0 | 0 | 294 | 44 | 2 | 81 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Nobbys Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Nobbys Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Nobbys Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Nobbys Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Nobbys Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Nobbys Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Nobbys Reef, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Newcastle which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 31 km (19 miles) away, Port Stephens, Cessnock and Central Coast.
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