Nobbys Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for the next couple of weeks.

First up, we’ve got a bit of a quiet start. The early part of the week is looking pretty flat and uninspiring, so don’t get too excited just yet. The water temperature is sitting at 66°F, which is pretty much spot on for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The first real chance to get wet will be on Tuesday morning. It’s not going to set the world on fire, but it’s a start. We’ve got a small 4ft easterly swell rolling in at Nobbys Reef, with a period of 10 seconds – so it’s got a bit of push to it. The wind is light and cross-off from the north, which should keep things clean. The energy is moderate (325), so you’ll feel it, but it’s not a powerhouse. It’s a reef break, so it might be a bit inconsistent, and you might have to share it with a few others now and then.

Wednesday morning will see the swell drop a little to 3ft from the ENE, but the wind is blowing offshore from the NW at 12 mph, which will keep the faces clean. It’s a small, clean, surfable wave, but nothing to write home about.

The real standout is going to be Friday the 24th. That morning, the swell jumps up to 7ft from the south, with a period of 10 seconds. The energy is strong (1275), and the wind is a light cross-off from the WSW. This is a proper size for experienced surfers – it’s going to be too big for beginners. The reef should handle that south swell nicely, and the conditions are looking clean. That’s your best session of the first week right there.

Saturday the 25th is also worth a mention. The swell hangs around 5ft from the south, but the period stretches to 11 seconds, which is long-period groundswell. That means more energy and better shape. The wind is offshore from the WNW at 12 mph (584). It’s a very good option, but Friday morning just has a little more punch.

After that, the swell drops off again through the early part of the following week, with some smaller, clean but ordinary days. The wind stays friendly for the most part, but the size just isn't there.

Looking further ahead into the second week, things get pretty wild. From Thursday the 30th right through to Sunday the 3rd of August, we’re looking at a massive pulse of swell. The swell height hits 10ft from the SSE with a very long period of 11 to 12 seconds. The energy readings are massive (2119, 2315, 4075) – this is a serious event. However, the notes say this swell is predicted to be too big for Nobbys Reef. This is an expert-only zone at that size, and even then, it might be a washing machine. The wind is offshore for most of it, so it’ll be clean, but don’t even think about it if you’re not a seasoned pro. Monday the 3rd turns messy with fresh onshore winds and rain, so that’s a write-off.

So, to sum it up: the best surf on offer is the Friday morning (24th July) session. It’s the perfect balance of decent size, clean wind, and manageable energy. The second week is a big swell event for experts only, but the conditions are good for those who can handle it. For everyone else, there’s a long gap of smaller, cleaner days to work on the basics.

Rusty.

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