Nobbys Reef Surf Break

Lat Long: 32.93° S 151.80° E

Nobbys Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 pm 10 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Nobbys Reef sea temperature is
18.7° C
0.1° 

Nobbys Reef surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Nobbys Reef surf forecast from 10 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 11 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 9s period, SE swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 15 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period, S swell with 1,716 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 11 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 9s period with SE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Nobbys Reef this week:

The surf forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 11) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Nobbys Reef in the next 16 days are 3.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Monday (Jul 13) at 7PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7AM (Sat 11th Jul)4ft (1.2m) 9s
Best Surf 7AM (Sat 11th Jul)4ft (1.2m) 9s
Most Powerful 1PM (Wed 15th Jul)10ft (3.0m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days.


Alright, Rusty here again. Let's break it down for Nobbys Reef, the reef break that only really gets going with a solid SE swell and is known to be a bit inconsistent. For the advanced crew only. Water temp is running normal for this time of year, nothing wild.

First decent window hits Saturday, July 11th morning. A clean 4ft SE swell, around 9 seconds, with a light offshore wind out of the NW at 6 mph. Wave energy is moderate at 375. Not a big swell, but with that offshore breeze it’ll be clean and fun. Crowds can pop up sometimes, just a heads up.

Saturday afternoon drops to a 3ft ESE groundswell with a longer period of 11 seconds and a light offshore. Energy is still solid at 313. Clean again.

Sunday, July 12th morning brings a 3ft SE swell, 10 second period, but the wind picks up to 15 mph offshore from the WNW. Energy is down to 162. Still rideable but weaker. Afternoon drops to 2ft and cross-off, energy only 70. Not worth suiting up.

Monday 13th and Tuesday 14th are tiny – 2ft down to 0.9ft. Energy is under 100, barely a ripple. Even with some offshore wind, there’s nothing to ride.

Wednesday, July 15th is a big shift: an 8ft S swell with a 10-second period, and the energy rockets to 1232. That’s proper power. But the wind is cross-shore from the SW at 18 mph, turning it lumpy. This is experts-only territory. In the afternoon it goes cross-on, energy hits 2014, and it’s messy. Think kite surf conditions more than paddle.

Thursday, July 16th morning still has a 7ft S swell, cross-on wind and rain. Energy at 971. Not pretty. But the afternoon turns glassy with a 6ft SSE swell – short period, 7 seconds, but the wind goes dead calm from the NE at 3 mph. Energy 369. That’s a clean, powerful window for experienced surfers.

Friday, July 17th drops to 4-5ft but it’s cross-on from the S with 6-second period. Choppy and weak. Over the weekend of the 18-19th, it’s mostly onshore, but Sunday, July 19th morning shows a clean 3ft E swell with a light offshore NNW wind at 6 mph. Energy 214. Small but clean.

Monday, July 20th is a standout. Both morning and afternoon have 4ft E swell, 9-second period, with consistent offshore winds from the NNW and NW at 9-12 mph. Energy is 359 and 351. That’s clean, consistent, and the pick of the week.

Tuesday, July 21st is similar size but wind goes cross-off in the morning and cross-on in the afternoon. The morning could still be clean.

Wednesday, July 22nd morning is magic – glassy conditions, 4ft S swell, energy 359. That early glass-off is a rare treat.

Thursday, July 23rd morning delivers clean 4ft S swell, offshore wind, period 10 seconds, energy 308. Afternoon is 3ft and gentle offshore. Both solid.

From Friday, July 24th onward it fades quickly. Swell runs 2ft down to 1ft through Sunday, July 26th. Energy collapses below 200 and then under 100. There’s a 15-second period on Friday the 24th morning but with only 2ft, it’s a non-event. After that it’s flat.

Best bets: Saturday, July 11th morning for clean, fun surf, and Monday, July 20th morning for consistent, clean waves. Thursday, July 16th afternoon is a wildcard with glassy 6ft swell for the brave. The second week has some nice clean windows mid-week (22-23 July). After that, a long stretch of nothing – but forecasts can always change.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Sat afternoon, min 8°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NW on Fri night, fresh winds from the W by Sun morning).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Wed night. Very mild (max 19°C on Tue morning, min 11°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SSW on Wed afternoon, calm by Thu afternoon).

Saturday
11
Sunday
12
Monday
13
Tuesday
14
Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
Fri
17
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
2
1
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.4
SE
10
1.1
SE
9
0.9
ESE
11
1.1
SE
10
0.9
SE
10
0.5
ESE
10
0.4
SE
9
0.5
S
8
0.3
S
12
0.3
S
11
0.3
S
8
0.2
S
10
0.9
SSW
6
2.5
S
10
2.5
S
10
2.2
S
9
2.1
S
8
1.8
SSE
7
1.2
S
7
1.2
S
6
1.5
S
6
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
373
202
193
225
134
51
21
37
25
21
10
8
66
1232
1201
758
583
365
138
106
162
Wind (km/h)
5
NW
10
NW
10
NNW
15
NW
25
WNW
30
WNW
25
WNW
25
WNW
25
NW
20
NW
25
WNW
20
W
20
SW
30
SW
30
SSW
20
S
15
SSW
5
NE
5
E
10
SSE
10
S
Wind State
off
off
off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
off
off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
glassy
cross-on
cross-on
High Tide
5:04AM1.16m
5:30PM1.73m
6:15AM1.19m
6:28PM1.83m
7:17AM1.23m
7:23PM1.91m
8:13AM1.29m
8:15PM1.95m
9:04AM1.33m
9:04PM1.94m
9:52AM1.37m
9:52PM1.87m
10:39AM1.38m
Low Tide
11:16PM0.43m
10:44AM0.44m
00:23AM0.32m
11:45AM0.42m
1:21AM0.22m
12:44PM0.39m
2:14AM0.14m
1:41PM0.37m
3:03AM0.09m
2:35PM0.36m
3:50AM0.09m
3:28PM0.36m
4:35AM0.12m
4:20PM0.40m
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
rain showers
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
rain showers
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:54
6:54
6:54
6:54
6:52
6:52
6:52
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:00
5:01
5:01
5:02
5:02
5:04
5:04
 mm
1
5
2
2
1
Temp °C
14
16
18
14
16
16
11
15
17
12
19
19
14
14
16
16
15
15
16
16
16
Feels °C
13
13
15
10
9
9
5
9
10
7
13
13
9
8
10
11
12
14
14
15
15
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Nobbys Reef Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Nobbys Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Nobbys Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Nobbys Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Nobbys Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Nobbys Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Nobbys Reef, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Newcastle which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 31 km (19 miles) away, Port Stephens, Cessnock and Central Coast.

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