Nobbys Reef Surf Break

Lat Long: 32.93° S 151.80° E

Nobbys Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 pm 05 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Nobbys Reef sea temperature is
17.8° C
0.8° 

Nobbys Reef surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Nobbys Reef surf forecast from 5 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Tuesday 11 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 13s period, S swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 10 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 9s period, ENE swell with 329 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 6 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 1ft (0.3m), 12s period with SSE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Nobbys Reef this week:

The surf forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 06) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.3m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 5s. Another secondary swell of 0.3m and 8s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Nobbys Reef in the next 16 days are 1.5m 9s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 5s period and expected on Monday (Aug 10) at 1PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Thu 6th Aug)1ft (0.3m) 12s
Best Surf10AM (Tue 11th Aug)2.5ft (0.8m) 13s
Most Powerful 7AM (Mon 10th Aug)5ft (1.5m) 9s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here, and I'm looking at the next couple of weeks for surf around here. It's gonna be a slow burn, but there's some fire at the end.

Right now, the water's sitting around 64°, which is pretty normal for this time of year. But the first few days are a real snooze. We've got tiny, weak swell—waist-high at best, from the east and south—with a few glassy windows here and there. Wednesday afternoon the 5th has glassy conditions and a tiny 1ft easterly, but it's just not worth paddling out for. Thursday morning the 6th is clean with a light WNW wind, but again, knee-high stuff. The energy is weak, in the 30 to 100 range.

Friday the 7th through the weekend is more of the same: small, weak, and ordinary. The swell picks up a bit to 3ft by Sunday the 9th, but it's still nothing to write home about.

Now, here’s the first real bright spot. Tuesday the 11th. Early morning, we’ve got a clean 3ft south swell with a solid 13-second period, and a strong WNW offshore wind at 25 mph. The combined energy jumps to 372—that's got some punch. It’s a proper groundswell, and Nobbys Reef will be looking clean and lined up. Afternoon holds similar quality with a 3ft south swell and offshore NW wind. Mark that one down.

From the 12th through the 16th, it fades back to small and messy. There’s a pulse of bigger swell on Friday the 14th—7ft from the south with a 12-second period and energy over 1100—but the wind is cross or cross-onshore, making it choppy and marginal. Don't bother.

Then, the big boys show up. Monday the 18th and Tuesday the 19th are for experts only. Monday the 18th morning is glassy calm with a huge 10ft south swell, 11-second period, and insane energy over 3900. That's a monster. The report says it might be too big for this break, so only the most experienced should even look at it. Tuesday the 19th morning is cleaner with a NW offshore wind and a still-massive 8ft S/SE swell, 12-second period, and energy near 1900. The report says excellent for experienced surfers. That's the real standout, but it's over a week away, so keep checking.

Wednesday the 20th offers a nice drop to a more manageable 6ft SE swell with a clean offshore NW wind. That’s a good, solid wave for a wider crew.

So, bottom line: the first week is a dud. Your best bets are Tuesday the 11th for some clean, fun groundswell, and then the big, heavy stuff around the 18th and 19th for the pros. Stay patient, and stay tuned.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Wed afternoon, min 9°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Sun night. Very mild (max 17°C on Sun morning, min 8°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (calm on Sun afternoon, strong winds from the NW by Sun night).

Wed
5
Thursday
6
Friday
7
Saturday
8
Sunday
9
Monday
10
Tuesday
11
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
1
1
0
1
1
1
1
0
0
1
2
2
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
E
9
0.3
SSE
12
0.4
S
10
0.7
S
9
0.6
S
7
0.7
SSE
9
0.7
SSE
9
0.5
SSE
9
0.4
SSE
9
0.5
E
8
0.7
E
8
0.8
E
9
0.7
ENE
9
1.2
ENE
9
1.3
ENE
9
0.7
ENE
9
0.5
E
9
0.8
S
13
0.7
S
13
0.8
S
9
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
26
27
31
78
38
92
88
49
32
32
64
99
79
203
266
88
43
219
177
102
Wind (km/h)
5
NE
15
WNW
5
WNW
5
E
10
NNW
10
W
10
ESE
5
WNW
5
W
10
E
15
N
10
NNW
5
NE
30
NW
40
WNW
30
W
25
WNW
25
WNW
25
NW
15
NW
Wind State
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
off
cross-off
on
off
glassy
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
off
off
cross-off
off
off
off
off
High Tide
1:05AM1.22m
1:53PM1.46m
2:17AM1.12m
3:00PM1.52m
3:41AM1.07m
4:12PM1.60m
5:05AM1.09m
5:19PM1.69m
6:15AM1.16m
6:20PM1.79m
7:11AM1.24m
7:13PM1.85m
Low Tide
7:14PM0.50m
7:13AM0.42m
8:30PM0.51m
8:12AM0.47m
9:54PM0.46m
9:20AM0.49m
11:13PM0.37m
10:32AM0.48m
00:18AM0.26m
11:40AM0.43m
1:11AM0.16m
12:41PM0.36m
1:58AM0.10m
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:39
6:39
6:37
6:37
6:35
6:35
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:16
5:16
5:17
5:19
5:19
5:20
5:21
 mm
4
Temp °C
16
13
13
14
12
15
15
14
14
15
13
17
17
17
15
15
11
16
18
13
Feels °C
13
7
11
11
8
13
12
13
12
12
10
14
16
12
6
7
5
10
12
9
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Nobbys Reef Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Nobbys Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Nobbys Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Nobbys Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Nobbys Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Nobbys Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Nobbys Reef, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Newcastle which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 31 km (19 miles) away, Port Stephens, Cessnock and Central Coast.

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