Nobbys Reef Surf Break

Lat Long: 32.93° S 151.80° E

Nobbys Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 am 10 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Nobbys Reef sea temperature is
18.6° C
0.0° 

Nobbys Reef surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Nobbys Reef surf forecast from 9 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 16 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 8s period, SE swell with cross-onshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 17 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 12s period, SE swell with 4,287 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 10 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 10s period with SE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Nobbys Reef this week:

The surf forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 10) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 19s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Nobbys Reef in the next 16 days are 4.0m 12s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 12) at 7AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10AM (Fri 10th Jul)5.5ft (1.7m) 10s
Best Surf 7PM (Thu 16th Jul)10ft (3.0m) 8s
Most Powerful10AM (Fri 17th Jul)13ft (4.0m) 12s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days.


Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it. We’ve got a tricky 16-day window ahead, with a real mix of clean windows and some wild, blown-out chaos. The first few days offer the best bet for quality, so don’t sleep on the early call.

Nobbys Reef is the only spot on the menu, and it’s a reef break that’s exposed to the SE swell. It’s an advanced wave, and it’s inconsistent, so it’s a spot for the crew who know the take-off. The water temp is sitting at 66°, which is bang on average for this time of year, so no need to dig out the thickest rubber just yet.

The best surf of the whole period kicks off Friday the 10th. Dawn patrol is looking magic with a 6ft SE swell, a 10-second period, and a light W wind keeping it cross-off. The combined energy is solid at 527, and it’s clean. Friday afternoon goes glassy with a light S breeze. That’s the pick of the entire run.

Saturday the 11th holds up nicely, with a dropping 4ft SE swell in the morning under a clean NW offshore, then a 3ft ESE swell in the arvo with the wind still offshore from the NNW. It’s smaller, but still clean and fun.

Then we hit a dry spell. Sunday the 12th through to Thursday the 17th is a write-off – the wind goes onshore or cross-onshore, the swell gets messy, and on the 15th and 16th it’s a solid 8ft to 10ft with strong cross-onshore wind. That’s a no-go for paddling, though if you’re into kite surfing, the setup on the 15th and 16th with that strong SW wind and size would be more interesting.

There’s a big, raw swell spike on Friday the 17th – a 13ft SE groundswell with a 12-second period, but the wind is onshore from the SSE. That’s massive, messy, and only for the crazy brave. The energy reading is 4287, which is huge, but the quality is poor.

Saturday the 18th is a strange one. The morning is still too big at 8ft, and it’s a bit lumpy. The afternoon drops to 10ft SE, but it goes glassy. The problem is the swell is predicted to be too big for this break, so it’s likely just a washing machine, even for the experts.

Now, the real standout for the second week is Sunday the 19th. The morning session is proper. A 8ft ESE swell, a very long 12-second period, light NNW winds giving a cross-off breeze. The energy is a massive 1796, and it’s described as excellent for experienced surfers. This is a big, powerful reef wave, so only the keenest advanced crew should be out there. The long period means the sets will be clean and powerful, but the gaps between sets will be longer.

Monday the 20th and Tuesday the 21st back off to a more manageable 4ft to 4ft SE swell, with clean conditions making for a nice, mellow drop in size.

The run finishes with a few solid, clean mornings. Friday the 24th has a 7ft SE swell, clean, and then Saturday the 25th is a real beauty – a 5ft to 6ft ESE swell, light offshore NW wind in the morning, and light cross-off in the arvo. It’s clean, consistent for the spot, and the energy is respectable. That’s a great way to end the outlook.

So, to wrap it up: if you want the best, you paddle out at dawn on Friday the 10th or on the Sunday the 19th for the big stuff. The weeks in between are mostly a windy mess, so pick your days wisely.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Some drizzle, heaviest during Fri morning. Very mild (max 18°C on Sat afternoon, min 8°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Wed afternoon. Very mild (max 18°C on Tue morning, min 10°C on Mon morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the S on Tue afternoon, strong winds from the SSW by Wed morning).

Friday
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
Monday
13
Tuesday
14
Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
2
2
2
2
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
!
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.7
SE
10
1.7
SE
10
1.4
SE
10
1.1
SE
9
0.9
ESE
11
1.1
SE
10
0.9
SE
10
0.5
ESE
10
0.4
SE
9
0.5
S
8
0.3
S
12
0.3
S
8
0.3
S
7
0.1
S
19
0.4
S
10
1.4
SSW
7
2.5
S
8
2.5
S
9
3
SSE
8
3
SE
8
4
SE
10
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
513
580
373
202
193
225
134
51
23
30
24
12
9
7
30
203
966
973
974
1035
2859
Wind (km/h)
10
W
5
S
5
NW
15
NW
15
NNW
15
NNW
25
WNW
25
W
25
WNW
20
NW
25
NW
20
NW
20
WNW
5
SSW
20
W
30
SW
35
SSW
25
SSE
25
SSE
20
SSE
20
SE
Wind State
cross-off
glassy
off
off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
off
off
off
glassy
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
High Tide
4:29PM1.62m
5:04AM1.16m
5:30PM1.73m
6:15AM1.19m
6:28PM1.83m
7:17AM1.23m
7:23PM1.91m
8:13AM1.29m
8:15PM1.95m
9:04AM1.33m
9:04PM1.94m
9:52AM1.37m
9:52PM1.87m
Low Tide
11:16PM0.43m
10:44AM0.44m
00:23AM0.32m
11:45AM0.42m
1:21AM0.22m
12:44PM0.39m
2:14AM0.14m
1:41PM0.37m
3:03AM0.09m
2:35PM0.36m
3:50AM0.09m
3:28PM0.36m
light rain
cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
cloud
clear
cloud
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
cloud
light rain
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:54
6:54
6:54
6:54
6:54
6:52
6:52
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:00
5:00
5:01
5:01
5:02
5:02
5:04
 mm
1
2
3
2
1
Temp °C
14
15
14
16
18
14
16
16
11
14
16
13
18
18
14
14
15
16
16
17
16
Feels °C
13
14
13
13
14
10
9
9
5
9
10
8
13
16
9
5
7
10
10
12
12
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Nobbys Reef Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Nobbys Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Nobbys Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Nobbys Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Nobbys Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Nobbys Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Nobbys Reef, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Newcastle which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 31 km (19 miles) away, Port Stephens, Cessnock and Central Coast.

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