Nobbys Reef Surf Break

Lat Long: 32.93° S 151.80° E

Nobbys Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 am 09 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Nobbys Reef sea temperature is
18.7° C
0.1° 

Nobbys Reef surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Nobbys Reef surf forecast from 8 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 9 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 10s period, SE swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 16 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 10s period, SSE swell with 3,079 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 9 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 10s period with SE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Nobbys Reef this week:

The surf forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.8m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 17s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Nobbys Reef in the next 16 days are 4.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 12) at 10PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7PM (Thu 9th Jul)6ft (1.8m) 10s
Best Surf 7PM (Thu 9th Jul)6ft (1.8m) 10s
Most Powerful 7AM (Thu 16th Jul)13ft (4.0m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days.


Alright, let’s talk about what’s on offer. We’ve only got one spot this whole forecast, Nobbys Reef, and it’s an inconsistent reef break that needs a solid SE swell to get working. So we play the cards we’re dealt.

Things start off on Thursday morning, July 9th, with a 7ft SE swell at 10 seconds. It's got moderate energy (862), but a light cross-shore keeps it from being clean. Afternoon sees it drop to 6ft, still not great.

Now, Friday July 10th is where you want to be out. Morning starts with a 6ft SE swell, clean as a whistle with a light offshore breeze from the west. The energy is moderate (527), but on an inconsistent reef like this, that combo is gold. Then the afternoon goes glassy with a 5ft SE swell. Dead flat water. This is your window.

Saturday the 11th is still decent. Morning has a 4ft SE swell with a clean offshore breeze, energy is moderate (373). Afternoon is smaller at 3ft from ESE with an 11-second period, still clean. Good for the smaller gear.

Sunday the 12th is fading fast, 2ft to 2ft, clean but weak, with the energy dropping to just 100 and then 67.

Monday the 13th is tiny with 2ft to 3ft, moderate offshore but it’s just not doing much.

Then we hit a long stretch from Tuesday the 14th all the way through to the 23rd of July where the surf is basically flat, tiny, or totally blown out. There is a spike on Thursday the 16th with a massive 10ft S swell, but it’s a total mess: 45 km/h onshore wind, energy over 2900. That’s expert-only, if anyone can even paddle into it. The short period (9 seconds) and the strong onshore make it look more like a windy mess for kite surfers.

Monday the 20th has a 3ft S swell at a very long 12 seconds with a moderate offshore, but it’s fleeting and the rest of the week is dead.

So, the bottom line: the standout is Friday the 10th of July at Nobbys Reef. That’s a rare clean, glassy day on an inconsistent spot. Don’t overthink it. The rest is a write-off.

- Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Thu morning. Very mild (max 17°C on Sat afternoon, min 10°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Some drizzle, heaviest during Tue night. Very mild (max 18°C on Tue morning, min 9°C on Sun night). Mainly fresh winds.

Thursday
9
Friday
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
Monday
13
Tuesday
14
Wednesday
15
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2
SE
10
1.8
SE
10
1.7
SE
9
1.7
SE
10
1.7
SE
10
1.5
SE
10
1.2
SE
9
0.9
ESE
11
0.9
ESE
10
0.7
ESE
10
0.6
ESE
9
0.4
SE
9
0.3
S
13
0.8
S
11
0.5
S
8
0.4
S
7
0.5
S
9
0.3
S
7
1.1
S
6
3
S
8
4
S
10
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
757
602
502
513
580
408
225
190
160
81
58
21
30
146
31
17
39
8
85
1165
2844
Wind (km/h)
10
SW
5
SSE
10
W
10
W
5
S
10
NW
15
NW
15
NW
20
NW
30
WNW
25
WNW
20
WNW
25
NW
25
NW
20
NW
20
WNW
10
SSE
15
WSW
35
SW
55
SSE
45
SSE
Wind State
cross
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
off
off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
off
off
on
cross-off
cross-off
on
on
High Tide
3:28PM1.51m
3:48AM1.18m
4:29PM1.62m
5:04AM1.16m
5:30PM1.73m
6:15AM1.19m
6:28PM1.83m
7:17AM1.23m
7:23PM1.91m
8:13AM1.29m
8:15PM1.95m
9:04AM1.33m
9:04PM1.94m
Low Tide
10:03PM0.52m
9:44AM0.45m
11:16PM0.43m
10:44AM0.44m
00:23AM0.32m
11:45AM0.42m
1:21AM0.22m
12:44PM0.39m
2:14AM0.14m
1:41PM0.37m
3:03AM0.09m
2:35PM0.36m
3:50AM0.09m
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
light rain
cloud
clear
part cloud
cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
cloud
rain showers
heavy rain
heavy rain
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:54
6:54
6:54
6:54
6:54
6:54
6:52
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:00
5:00
5:00
5:01
5:01
5:02
5:02
 mm
3
2
4
1
1
30
24
7
Temp °C
14
15
14
14
15
14
16
17
14
16
17
12
15
16
13
18
17
15
9
14
15
Feels °C
12
14
12
12
14
13
12
13
11
8
10
6
9
10
8
14
14
11
1
4
5
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Nobbys Reef Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Nobbys Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Nobbys Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Nobbys Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Nobbys Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Nobbys Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Nobbys Reef, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Newcastle which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 31 km (19 miles) away, Port Stephens, Cessnock and Central Coast.

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