Nobbys Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here, and I'm looking at the next couple of weeks for surf around here. It's gonna be a slow burn, but there's some fire at the end.

Right now, the water's sitting around 64°, which is pretty normal for this time of year. But the first few days are a real snooze. We've got tiny, weak swell—waist-high at best, from the east and south—with a few glassy windows here and there. Wednesday afternoon the 5th has glassy conditions and a tiny 1ft easterly, but it's just not worth paddling out for. Thursday morning the 6th is clean with a light WNW wind, but again, knee-high stuff. The energy is weak, in the 30 to 100 range.

Friday the 7th through the weekend is more of the same: small, weak, and ordinary. The swell picks up a bit to 3ft by Sunday the 9th, but it's still nothing to write home about.

Now, here’s the first real bright spot. Tuesday the 11th. Early morning, we’ve got a clean 3ft south swell with a solid 13-second period, and a strong WNW offshore wind at 25 mph. The combined energy jumps to 372—that's got some punch. It’s a proper groundswell, and Nobbys Reef will be looking clean and lined up. Afternoon holds similar quality with a 3ft south swell and offshore NW wind. Mark that one down.

From the 12th through the 16th, it fades back to small and messy. There’s a pulse of bigger swell on Friday the 14th—7ft from the south with a 12-second period and energy over 1100—but the wind is cross or cross-onshore, making it choppy and marginal. Don't bother.

Then, the big boys show up. Monday the 18th and Tuesday the 19th are for experts only. Monday the 18th morning is glassy calm with a huge 10ft south swell, 11-second period, and insane energy over 3900. That's a monster. The report says it might be too big for this break, so only the most experienced should even look at it. Tuesday the 19th morning is cleaner with a NW offshore wind and a still-massive 8ft S/SE swell, 12-second period, and energy near 1900. The report says excellent for experienced surfers. That's the real standout, but it's over a week away, so keep checking.

Wednesday the 20th offers a nice drop to a more manageable 6ft SE swell with a clean offshore NW wind. That’s a good, solid wave for a wider crew.

So, bottom line: the first week is a dud. Your best bets are Tuesday the 11th for some clean, fun groundswell, and then the big, heavy stuff around the 18th and 19th for the pros. Stay patient, and stay tuned.

Rusty.

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