Surf Forecasts:
Nobbys Reef surf forecast from 13 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 15 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 6s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 15 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 10s period, S swell with 1,245 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 15 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 6s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Nobbys Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Nobbys Reef in the next 16 days are 2.4m 10s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 3s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Wed 15th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 6s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Wed 15th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 6s |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Wed 15th Jul) | 8ft (2.4m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days.
Right, grab a coffee and listen up. This is a tough one to call. Right now, for the next 16 days, the surf options are pretty much non-existent. Don't get your hopes up just yet. We're looking at a long, dry spell before anything remotely rideable shows up.
The main break in the picture is Nobbys Reef. It's an advanced reef setup that's inconsistent, meaning it needs a lot of things to line up. The water temp is sitting at 66°, which is bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises there.
The first few days are a write-off. Monday the 13th through to the end of the week is just tiny, weak swell with poor conditions. The combined energy is pitiful, sitting at 26, and you're looking at ankle-snappers.
We've got a pulse of stronger swell coming through Wednesday the 15th and Thursday the 16th, with a spike of energy hitting 2096, but the wind is a mess. It's cross or cross-on, and the period is short, around 8-10 seconds, making for lumpy, choppy waves. That 8ft to 8ft swell is only for the experts, and even then, the conditions are so poor it's not worth the paddle.
Things get a little more interesting much later. After a long gap with very little to recommend, we get a glimmer of hope on Tuesday the 21st. The early morning and afternoon look *glassy* with a light wind, and the swell is a clean 4ft from the east. The combined energy is moderate at 302. This is the best on offer, but it's still a far cry from pumping. The optimum swell direction is SE, and this is coming from the east, so it's not a perfect match for the reef.
The following week sees a few more clean windows, like Wednesday the 22nd morning with a light offshore wind, and Monday the 27th morning with a clean, cross-off wind. The swell stays small, around 3ft, but the periods get longer, up to 12 seconds, suggesting some groundswell energy. This is better for the reef, but with such small heights, it's not going to be a standout.
Honestly, the standout in this whole forecast is the glassy conditions on Tuesday the 21st. It's a small window, but if you're desperate and the tide is right, that's your best shot. For the rest of the time, the wind is just too messy, or the swell is too small to bother. It's a bleak run.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Thu morning. Very mild (max 19°C on Tue afternoon, min 10°C on Mon night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Thu afternoon. Very mild (max 17°C on Thu night, min 15°C on Sat night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Mon 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | S 11 | S 20 | S 16 | SW 5 | S 9 | S 10 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | SSE 7 | S 7 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | SE 6 | ESE 7 | E 8 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 10 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 11 | 859 | 1245 | 471 | 540 | 526 | 252 | 88 | 57 | 136 | 209 | 249 | 294 | 395 | 408 | 325 | 280 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | on | on | on | on | on | on | on | cross-on |
High Tide | 7:23PM1.91m | 8:13AM1.29m | 8:15PM1.95m | 9:04AM1.33m | 9:04PM1.94m | 9:52AM1.37m | 9:52PM1.87m | 10:39AM1.38m | 10:39PM1.76m | 11:26AM1.38m | 11:24PM1.61m | 12:13PM1.37m | 00:10AM1.45m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 2:14AM0.14m | 1:41PM0.37m | 3:03AM0.09m | 2:35PM0.36m | 3:50AM0.09m | 3:28PM0.36m | 4:35AM0.12m | 4:20PM0.40m | 5:17AM0.18m | 5:12PM0.45m | 5:58AM0.26m | 6:06PM0.52m | 6:38AM0.35m | ||||||||
 |  | |  | | | |  |  |  |  | | | | | |  |  | | | | |
 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:50 |
 | 5:01 | — | — | 5:02 | — | — | 5:02 | — | — | 5:04 | — | — | 5:04 | — | — | 5:05 | — | — | 5:06 | — | 5:06 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 4 | 6 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 |
Temp °C | 17 | 12 | 17 | 19 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 18 |
Feels °C | 11 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 15 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 7 | S 7 | S 7 | S 7 | S 10 | S 8 | S 10 | S 8 | S 8 | S 17 | SSE 7 | S 7 | S 7 | S 8 | SSE 21 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 |
| kJ | 9 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 349 | 851 | 324 | 316 | 24 | 252 | 88 | 31 | 68 | 44 | 42 | 38 | 24 | 408 | 325 | 280 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | S 11 | S 11 | S 16 | S 15 | E 10 | — | — | S 15 | S 18 | S 12 | ESE 6 | S 9 | S 23 | S 21 | SSE 20 | SSE 19 | SSE 18 | SSE 17 | SSE 10 | S 13 |
| kJ | 10 | 9 | 2 | 21 | 5 | 2 | — | — | 4 | 25 | 27 | 45 | 36 | 11 | 35 | 38 | 36 | 62 | 101 | 18 | 86 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 8 | SE 8 | S 20 | S 10 | E 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | E 8 | E 8 | S 23 | — | S 16 | — | S 11 | SSE 9 | S 14 | S 9 |
| kJ | 7 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 5 | 10 | — | 5 | — | 2 | 26 | 34 | 6 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 3 | WNW 3 | WNW 3 | NW 3 | SW 5 | S 9 | S 10 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | ESE 6 | — | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | SE 6 | ESE 7 | E 8 | E 9 | — | — | — |
| kJ | 9 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 859 | 1245 | 471 | 540 | 526 | 49 | — | 57 | 136 | 209 | 249 | 294 | 395 | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 57 | 174 | 174 | 174 | 91 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 66 | 125 | 44 | 42 | 72 | 1 | 96 | 96 | 96 | 96 | 96 | 96 | 44 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Nobbys Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Nobbys Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Nobbys Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Nobbys Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Nobbys Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Nobbys Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Nobbys Reef, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Newcastle which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 31 km (19 miles) away, Port Stephens, Cessnock and Central Coast.
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