Nobbys Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, Rusty here, and I've gotta be straight with you—this stretch coming up is a proper mixed bag at Nobbys Reef. For a spot that's exposed and picks up a nice SE swell, we're looking at a long, frustrating wait for the stars to line up. The water's sitting at 63°F, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year, so don't forget the extra rubber.

The first few days are a write-off. From Saturday the 15th right through the following week, it's mostly poor surf conditions with onshore or cross-onshore winds messing things up. The swell's there, but it's short-period slop, and the wind's just killing it. We're looking at weak to moderate wave energy, nothing over 400, and a lot of it under 200. You'll be scratching your head.

Now, a glimmer of hope. The standout moment in this whole outlook is the morning of Wednesday the 19th. It's not big—just 4ft from the SE—but the wind goes glassy, dead calm, with a clean NW direction. The wave comment says "expect good surf conditions," and that's what we're after. It'll be a short-lived window though, because by the afternoon the E wind picks up and ruins it.

Then we hit another dry spell. Thursday the 20th and Friday the 21st offer some tiny, ordinary waves with clean-ish conditions, but you're looking at 3ft to 4ft of weak, short-period energy at best. Not worth paddling out for.

The real kicker comes at the very end of the outlook. Saturday the 29th and Sunday the 30th of August bring a massive, powerful groundswell from the SSE. The combined energy hits 14754 on Saturday morning and 4771 on Sunday—that's strong to very strong wave energy. The swell is 16ft and 12ft, way too big for this break. The wind and tide are favorable, but the forecast says it's predicted to be too big for Nobbys Reef. This is expert-only territory, and even then, it's a gamble. The period is 13 seconds, so it's a proper groundswell, but at a reef like this, that size is just a washing machine. Beginners, stay well clear. For the rest of us, it's a day to watch from the rocks.

So, overall, the only real standout is that glassy Wednesday morning, the 19th. Everything else is either poor, too small, or too big. If you're patient, the end of the month might offer something for the brave, but it's a long way off and the forecast is less certain. Honestly, it's a tough run for Nobbys.

Rusty.

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