
Surf Forecasts:
Nobbys Reef surf forecast from 4 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 8 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 11s period, SSE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 10 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 9s period, SSE swell with 1,794 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 5 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 11s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Nobbys Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 05) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.5m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Nobbys Reef in the next 16 days are 3.5m 9s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 3s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Sat 5th Sep) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Tue 8th Sep) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Nobbys Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’m gonna give it to you straight. The next 16 days around *Nobbys Reef* are a real mixed bag – some clean little windows, but plenty of gaps where you’re better off doing something else. For a reef that needs a decent S-SSE groundswell, we’ve got a few standouts but a lot of ordinary.
The first real highlight is Monday the 9th of September morning. A clean 5ft swell from the SSE with a cross-off breeze – that’s a proper combo for this reef. The energy’s moderate (396), and that 10-second period will give you decent shape. It’s an exposed reef, so it’ll handle that size. For the advanced crew, this is your best early look.
But don’t get too keen because it gets blown out that afternoon by a strong S wind, and then we’re into a messy stretch right through to the middle of the following week. Tuesday the 10th morning has a chunky 8ft at 10 seconds from the SSE, but it’s cross-onshore and choppy – that’s an expert-only day, and the wind’s going to make it a grind. Energy’s strong (1211), but without clean conditions, it’s just a headache.
There’s a decent gap from that Monday afternoon right through until the following Monday the 14th of September. That’s when we get a return of clean conditions. Morning sees 4ft SSE with a cross-off breeze and afternoon drops a little to 4ft – still from the SSE. The period around 11-12 seconds is prime for a reef, giving you longer lulls and proper barrels if the tide lines up. Both sessions have that “clean” label, so the surface will be smooth.
Tuesday the 15th morning is another genuine standout. Light offshore wind from the NNW, 3ft SSE swell at 10 seconds, and glassy clean. The energy is moderate (227) but the quality will be high – perfect for a longboard or a fish, and the crowd might show up (it’s a reef that gets attention), but with conditions that good, you’ll be sharing waves with a few happy locals.
Then we hit another dry spell. From Tuesday afternoon through to the Friday the 18th morning, things go ordinary with onshore or cross-chop winds and dropping swell. That Friday morning though – mark it in your calendar. Glassy conditions, a clean 4ft SSE swell at 11 seconds, and 335 energy. That’s the kind of morning where you paddle out early and don’t come in until your arms fall off.
After that, the last few days fade out with weak, short-period bump.
Water temp is sitting about average for this time of year, nothing unusual. Dress for a typical spring session.
Alright, best bets: Monday 9th morning for the first real clean push, then Monday 14th through Tuesday 15th morning for a solid run of glassy-ish conditions, and Friday 18th morning for that absolute glass-off. The rest is a write-off for real surfers.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Sat afternoon. Warm (max 29°C on Sat afternoon, min 14°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Wed afternoon. Very mild (max 17°C on Wed morning, min 11°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (light winds from the ESE on Tue afternoon, strong winds from the S by Wed afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 6 | S 8 | S 10 | S 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 9 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 10 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
61 | 96 | 58 | 42 | 20 | 74 | 1241 | 317 | 240 | 669 | 901 | 1121 | 628 | 391 | 377 | 1794 | 1129 | 662 | 628 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 2:14AM1.04m | 2:41PM1.52m | 3:47AM1.04m | 3:58PM1.58m | 5:08AM1.11m | 5:08PM1.65m | 6:07AM1.21m | 6:08PM1.71m | 6:55AM1.32m | 6:59PM1.74m | 7:38AM1.42m | 7:45PM1.73m | |||||||
Low Tide | 7:51AM0.54m | 9:49PM0.40m | 9:11AM0.55m | 11:04PM0.32m | 10:30AM0.51m | 00:02AM0.23m | 11:39AM0.42m | 00:51AM0.15m | 12:36PM0.33m | 1:33AM0.11m | 1:27PM0.25m | 2:11AM0.10m | |||||||
— | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:39 | — | |
mm | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 18 | 27 | 29 | 21 | 19 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 15 |
Feels °C | 15 | 25 | 24 | 19 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 6 | S 8 | S 10 | S 8 | SSE 8 | E 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | E 9 | S 19 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 10 |
61 | 96 | 58 | 42 | 20 | 74 | 1241 | 317 | 240 | 2 | 901 | 1121 | 628 | 391 | 2 | 64 | 1129 | 662 | 628 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 12 | E 9 | E 9 | NE 6 | S 9 | ENE 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | — | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 16 | E 17 | E 16 | SSE 17 | SSE 23 | SSE 23 |
50 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 2 | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 104 | 101 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 4 | — | ENE 4 | E 11 | ENE 7 | — | E 10 | NE 8 | NE 8 | — | — | — | — | — | E 17 | — | SSE 24 | E 15 | S 18 |
3 | — | 2 | 9 | 5 | — | 8 | 2 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | — | 54 | 4 | 6 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NNW 3 | NW 3 | WNW 2 | W 3 | SSE 3 | — | — | — | SSE 8 | — | — | NNE 3 | N 3 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | — | — | — |
— | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | — | — | — | 669 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 377 | 1794 | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 42 | 259 | 9 | 0 | 221 | 174 | 92 | 81 | 0 | 0 | 702 | 212 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Nobbys Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Nobbys Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Nobbys Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Nobbys Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Nobbys Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Nobbys Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Nobbys Reef, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Newcastle which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 31 km (19 miles) away, Port Stephens, Cessnock and Central Coast.










