Nimitz Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, I'm Rusty, and I've got the lowdown on what's coming up at Nimitz Beach for the next couple of weeks. Let's cut through the noise.

Honestly, it's a pretty quiet period ahead. For a solid week and a half, there's just nothing doing. The ocean is basically flat, with weak, inconsistent energy and constant cross-off winds. A few times the swell nudges up a touch, but the conditions are still marginal, so don't get your hopes up. This gap runs from the start of the forecast right through to late July.

The first real glimmer of anything decent comes right at the end of this week. On the morning of Thursday, the 30th of July, we get a brief window. The wind drops to nothing – glassy conditions – and there's a small 2 ft to 3 ft S swell rolling in at 13 seconds. It's a low-point break, a beginner reef, so these tiny, clean waves are about all it can handle. The wave energy will be weak (around 322) but the lack of wind chop will make it look pretty. It's not going to get your heart racing, but for a learner or someone with a log, it's the cleanest option in a very long, quiet stretch. Keep an eye on the crowds though, as it can get busy when it's small and clean.

After that brief moment, it's back to poor conditions with onshore winds. Then, into the second week, we get a bit of a pulse. Around Sunday, the 2nd of August, the swell picks up to 7-7 ft, but it's a short-period windswell from the E at only 8 seconds. The wind is still howling offshore at 22 mph. A messy, short-period 7 ft swell with that much wind will be a washing machine. Not a good look for a paddle. With the consistent cross-off wind and a beach-break setup, the conditions could actually be more interesting for a kite surfer.

By Monday, the swell holds around 6 ft and the period creeps up to 9 seconds, but the wind settles slightly. It's still not great. The following day, Tuesday the 4th of August morning, sees a bump in swell energy with a 6 ft E swell and a longer 15-second period, giving it some proper grunt. The wave energy will be high (around 1672) but the wind is light and cross-shore, so it's not completely clean. This longer period swell will break straight and fast on a beach break, which isn't ideal. It's an expert-only session that day.

Overall, the standout is that glassy Thursday morning on the 30th of July. It's the only time the stars align for something clean and rideable, even if it's small. Everything else is either too small, too windy, or too messy.

Rusty

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