Nimitz Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, this is Rusty. Let’s have a look at what’s cooking for Nimitz Beach over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – the surf is pretty flat and uninspiring for the first few days. The wind is a fresh cross-off breeze, but we’re looking at weak, short-period swell from the SSW. The water is a balmy 80°, which is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there. The combined energy is moderate (936) but it’s just not delivering.

Friday the 24th and Saturday the 25th are a write-off. We’re looking at waves around 2ft to 3ft, mostly from the SSW, but with a period of 17-19 seconds. That’s a long period groundswell, which usually means better shape, but the energy is scattered and the conditions are just marginal. The combined energy bounces around (1211 on Friday afternoon, then 853 on Saturday morning), but it’s not enough to get excited about.

Sunday the 26th is more of the same – 3ft SSW swell at 16 seconds, with a moderate cross-off breeze. The energy is still moderate (813). Honestly, it’s barely surfable.

Monday the 27th sees a shift to an easterly swell, but it’s only 4ft to 4ft at 13-14 seconds. The combined energy is moderate (755-784). Still not worth paddling out for.

Now, here’s the one bright spot in this whole forecast. Tuesday morning, the 28th of July. The swell jumps to 6ft from the east, with a period of 13 seconds, and the combined energy cranks up to 1311 – that’s moderate to strong. The wind is a light NNE cross-off breeze, which will keep the surface clean. This is the only time in the window where the conditions are described as excellent for experienced surfers. But keep in mind, 6ft is getting into the territory where beginners might struggle. It’s a reef break, and it’s inconsistent, so you’ll be waiting for sets. The afternoon drops off fast, so get on it early.

After that, it’s a long, bleak stretch. Wednesday the 29th offers a bit of hope with a 6ft easterly swell in the afternoon, but the period is only 10 seconds and the wind goes cross-shore, creating some chop. The energy is moderate (948). Not great.

From Thursday the 30th all the way through to Saturday the 9th of August, the swell drops off to a measly 1ft to 2ft, with combined energy barely breaking 100-200. The wind is mostly cross-off or cross-shore, but the waves are just too small and weak to bother with. The 2nd of August morning has a 3ft easterly swell at 17 seconds, but the energy is moderate (1019) and the wind is a moderate cross-off. It’s still marginal. The 8th of August morning has a risk of thunderstorms, and the swell is a pathetic 2ft.

So, the takeaway? If you’re a seasoned surfer who doesn’t mind waiting for a set and can handle a bit of size, Tuesday morning the 28th is your only real shot. For everyone else, this is a very quiet period for Nimitz Beach. It’s a consistent spot, but when the swell is this weak, you’re better off doing something else. The forecast can change, but right now, it’s looking like a long dry spell.

Rusty

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