Nimitz Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's talk about what's cookin' for the one spot we've got.

First up, Nimitz Beach. It's a reef break, so it's a bit more forgiving on the take-off than a shallow slab, but it's inconsistent and only really for beginners. The water's sittin' around 80°F, which is pretty much normal for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The 16-day window starts quiet. We've got a pulse of short-period east swell comin' through on Wednesday the 8th of July, a solid 6ft, but the wind is a cross-off from the ENE at 22 mph. It's clean, but the surf quality is poor. The combined energy is moderate at 614, but that east wind is just not workin' with the wave shape. Thursday and Friday see the swell drop right off, and the same wind keeps things messy. There's a real drought here through the first week.

Saturday the 11th of July shows a bit of a lift with a long-period 18-second southwest swell, but it's only 2ft to 2ft. The energy reading jumps up to 623, which is moderate, but that's mostly from the longer period, not the size. It's still marginal, and the same cross-off wind ain't helpin'. Sunday the 12th through Monday the 13th is more of the same – small, long-period SSW to SW swell, but the wave comment keeps sayin' "marginal" or "poor." The energy readings are moderate (around 700-800), but the size is just too small for any real fun.

Tuesday the 14th of July has a little spike of 5ft east swell in the morning, with a short period of 7 seconds, but it's "marginal" at best. The wind is still a strong cross-off. The real interest don't show up until Saturday the 18th of July. That morning, we get a 6ft east swell, period 8 seconds, with a moderate breeze offshore. The combined energy is moderate at 578. It's still a "marginal" call, but the size is there. The wind is a cross-off, so it won't be glassy, but it's a better chance than anything else in the first two weeks.

But the standout window is Tuesday the 21st of July. We have a solid 4ft south swell, with a very long 16-second period. The energy is strong at 1566. The wind is a gentle breeze from the ENE, cross-off, makin' for clean conditions. This is the best lookin' session in the entire forecast. That long period south groundswell will wrap in nicely for a reef break like this. The swell is a bit small, but that long period and clean conditions could make for some really fun, groomed lines for the beginner to intermediate crew. Keep in mind, with a period that long, the sets will be spaced out, but the paddle out will be easier.

The followin' Wednesday the 22nd of July drops off a bit, with a 3ft south swell, and the wind swings more cross-shore, which will introduce some chop. The rest of the window tails off into small, short-period swell again.

Honestly, the best bet is the morning of Tuesday the 21st of July. That's your green light. Everything else is a hard pass for a decent paddle. If you're a kiter, that 6ft east swell with the fresh cross-off wind on the 8th and 18th might look more interesting, but for a surfboard, it's a no-go.

Rusty

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