Nimitz Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, Rusty here. Well, I've gotta be straight with you – this stretch of coastline is calling for a whole lot of patience. We're looking at a real lean run for Nimitz Beach over the next couple of weeks. There's no standout swell on the horizon, but if you're hanging for a paddle, there are a couple of windows that might just be worth a look.

Right now, through the start of July, it's pretty flat and uninspiring. The water temperature is sitting at a mild 80°, which is about normal for this time of year. You'll be dealing with small, weak swells and a stiff cross-off breeze, which keeps the surface clean but doesn't deliver any real push. The combined wave energy is weak, with values under 200, and the surf is just too small to get excited about. This quiet spell stretches on for several days, all the way through to the end of the first week.

Things don't look much better heading into the second week. Around Sunday the 12th and Monday the 13th, we see a little bump in energy – the combined swell energy climbs to a moderate 777-840, with swell from the SSW and a 15-16 second period. That's a long period groundswell, which on paper sounds good, but the heights are only around 3 ft and the wind is still a persistent cross-off. For Nimitz, an exposed reef break, that long period SS swell might wrap in, but it's marginal and the forecast calls it just that. It's a session for a longboard and low expectations, but it's the best we've got for a while.

Later on, on the 21st of July, there's a flash of something more interesting. The Tuesday morning and afternoon look at a 3 ft to 4 ft east swell, with a very long 16 second period. The combined wave energy jumps way up to a strong 1162-1212, which is the real highlight of the whole outlook. The issue is the wind turns tricky: on Tuesday morning it's a gentle cross-shore, but by the afternoon we're looking at light cross-off winds from the ENE. The swell direction is straight out of the east, while the optimum for Nimitz is from the south – so it's not an ideal match, but that much energy with that period will still produce some solid lines. This is the one to maybe take a punt on, but remember it's a long-range call, so don't bet the house on it. After that, the wind swings onshore from the SSE on Wednesday the 22nd, and the swell drops back down to 3 ft, and we're back to poor conditions. For the rest of the fortnight, the consistent 22 mph easterly winds and small, short-period east swells (7 seconds) keep things messy and unappealing.

In short, it's a tough outlook, but that 16-second east swell on the 21st is our best chance for a wave with some grunt, and the 12th to 13th could offer a clean but small session. Don't get your hopes too high.

Rusty.

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