Mablethorpe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – this is a rough patch for the Mablethorpe stretch. The whole 16-day window looks pretty flat and lifeless, so we’re going to have to wait for any real hope. The first few days are basically a write-off, with tiny waves and poor conditions. We're looking at a long gap of nothing special until the 22nd, and even then, it's a very marginal call.

Let’s start at the beginning. Friday the 7th of August, we’ve got a tiny swell of 2 ft from the north, with a short period of 8 seconds. The combined energy is a measly 66, so there’s almost no push. The water temperature is a whopping 68°, which is about 7° warmer than normal—very unusual for this time of year. But the wind is a light cross-off, keeping the little bumps clean. Still, it’s just not enough to get excited about.

Through the rest of the first week and into the second, it’s a real struggle. Waves drop to 1 ft or 0.3 ft, with periods as short as 4-5 seconds. The energy numbers are mostly in the single digits or low teens. We get a glassy moment on Sunday the 9th afternoon, but with 0.3 ft of swell, you’d be bobbing around on a lake. The wind is messy, often cross-on or onshore, and there’s no real swell to work with.

The real standout, and I mean only one worth mentioning, is the forecast for Saturday the 22nd of August. It’s still a long way off, so consider this a promising but uncertain look. The morning shows a 3 ft swell from the north, with a period of 9 seconds. The combined energy finally creeps into triple digits at 104 (moderate energy). The wind is a moderate cross-shore breeze, which is acceptable but not perfect. The afternoon sees the swell holding at 3 ft from the north, the period stretching to 10 seconds, and the energy bumping up to 115. The wind is a similar moderate cross-shore.

For the first time in the outlook, there’s enough energy to push a few rideable waves. Because the swell is less than 5 ft, it’s fine for most skill levels. The period is just under that 11-second mark, so it’s not a long groundswell that might break too straight. If you’re desperate, this is the day to pencil in. The north swell direction is the optimum swell direction for Mablethorpe, which is a good sign. Crowds are listed as "sometimes," so you might have a few others with the same idea.

For the rest of the window, it’s a waiting game. The surf simply isn’t there. Stay tuned, and maybe the forecasts will change for the better.

Rusty.

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