Mablethorpe Surf Break

Lat Long: 53.30° N 0.30° E

Mablethorpe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 12 am 24 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Mablethorpe sea temperature is
19.6°C
3.7° 

Mablethorpe surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Mablethorpe surf forecast from 24 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 26 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 7s period, ENE swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 26 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 7s period, ENE swell with 192 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 26 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 7s period with ENE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Mablethorpe this week:

The surf forecast for Mablethorpe over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 26) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 5s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Mablethorpe in the next 16 days are 1.4m 7s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 26) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 3s period and expected on Saturday (Aug 29) at 10AM.

Wave TypeTime (BST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4PM (Wed 26th Aug)3ft (0.9m) 7s
Best Surf 4PM (Wed 26th Aug)3ft (0.9m) 7s
Most Powerful 4AM (Wed 26th Aug)4.5ft (1.4m) 7s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Mablethorpe over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, let’s talk about this stretch of coast. I’m Rusty, and this is a tough one.

Honestly, you’re looking at a long, flat spell. From the 24th of August right through the end of the month, there’s basically nothing. Tiny, weak waves and onshore winds. You’ll be wasting your time. The afternoon of the 26th of August at Mablethorpe gives you a temporary reprieve with a glassy 0.9m swell from the ENE, but it’s short period (7 seconds) and the energy is weak (87). It’s just “ordinary” – not a session to write home about.

The first real glimmer of hope is the 6th of September. That Sunday morning, a pulse of 1.6m swell from the north rolls in, with a period of 7 seconds. The combined energy jumps to 401, which is a solid, moderate pulse. The wind is a clean cross-offshore from the NW at 20 km/h. This is your standout. For a beginner-oriented spot like Mablethorpe, this is the best you’ll see in the entire 16-day window. It’s still a short-period, windswell-type wave, so it won’t be picture-perfect, but it’s the only time the energy is there and the wind is working with us. The water temperature is about average for the time of year.

Before that, the 1st of September has some size (1.1m) and fresh offshore winds, but the energy is moderate (114) and the period is short. It’s a better session than the flat days, but it’s not a standout. The 5th of September also has a 1.0m northerly swell, but the wind swings cross-shore, creating chop.

So, the summary: a long, flat dry spell until the 6th of September. That Sunday morning is your best bet. It’s not a classic, but it’s the only real window we’ve got. After that, it drops back down to tiny, clean but weak waves. The break is Mablethorpe, a beach break that’s fairly exposed to the north. It’s known for being inconsistent, and this forecast proves it. Crowds are possible, especially on the 6th with the first decent swell in a fortnight.

Keep your eyes on the forecasts – but for now, it’s a waiting game.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Wed morning. Warm (max 20°C on Wed afternoon, min 15°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (calm on Sun night, fresh winds from the ENE by Tue morning).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 13mm), heaviest on Thu afternoon. Warm (max 22°C on Fri afternoon, min 14°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Monday
24
Tuesday
25
Wednesday
26
Thursday
27
Friday
28
Saturday
29
Sunday
30
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
NNE
7
0.4
NNE
7
0.4
NNE
6
1.2
ENE
5
1.1
ENE
5
1.5
ENE
7
1.1
ENE
7
0.9
ENE
7
0.9
E
6
0.9
E
6
0.8
ENE
6
0.6
ENE
6
0.4
NE
6
0.3
NE
7
0.5
NE
10
0.2
NNE
8
0.3
N
7
0.4
N
8
0.3
N
8
0.3
N
8
0.2
N
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
29
15
15
75
66
189
127
78
56
57
40
26
8
8
45
7
9
19
11
10
5
Wind (km/h)
15
ENE
20
E
25
ENE
30
ENE
30
E
25
E
15
ENE
5
E
20
SE
10
SE
5
ESE
15
NNW
20
WNW
25
W
20
SW
20
WSW
20
SSW
25
SSW
30
SW
25
SW
35
SW
Wind State
cross-on
on
on
on
on
on
on
glassy
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
4:09AM3.89m
4:45PM3.98m
5:03AM4.24m
5:34PM4.27m
5:44AM4.63m
6:13PM4.57m
6:19AM5.00m
6:47PM4.84m
6:51AM5.31m
7:19PM5.07m
7:22AM5.55m
7:50PM5.24m
7:53AM5.70m
8:21PM5.33m
Low Tide
10:39AM1.91m
11:02PM1.89m
11:32AM1.51m
11:45PM1.56m
12:11PM1.09m
00:20AM1.25m
12:46PM0.69m
00:54AM0.97m
1:19PM0.36m
1:26AM0.75m
1:51PM0.13m
1:58AM0.60m
2:23PM0.02m
2:31AM0.54m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
light rain
mod rain
part cloud
light rain
light rain
thunderstorm
rain showers
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
cloud
rain showers
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:52
5:54
5:56
5:58
6:00
6:01
6:03
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:07
8:05
8:02
8:00
7:58
7:55
7:53
 mm
1
6
3
4
5
1
3
Temp °C
17
17
16
18
18
19
17
20
19
18
21
17
21
22
18
20
21
17
20
21
17
Feels °C
14
13
13
14
14
16
17
21
19
18
21
17
17
17
16
17
17
14
14
16
10
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Mablethorpe Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Mablethorpe provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Mablethorpe can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Mablethorpe surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Mablethorpe) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Mablethorpe may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Mablethorpe is 20 km (12 miles) from Skegness. If you plan a holiday in Lincolnshire, look for hotels and other accommodation in Skegness. Skegness has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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