Surf Forecasts:
Mablethorpe surf forecast from 11 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Monday 13 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 7s period, NNE swell with 110 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Mablethorpe this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Mablethorpe in the next 16 days are 1.1m 7s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Mon 13th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Mablethorpe over the next 16 days.
Alright, let’s have a look at what’s on offer for Mablethorpe over the next couple of weeks.
Honestly, it’s a pretty bleak stretch. The surf forecast is basically a write-off from start to finish. There’s not a single session that scores high enough to get the heart pumping. The whole 16-day window is a dud.
We kick off Saturday the 11th of July, and it’s just flat with tiny, gutless waves. 0.7ft to 1ft of swell, and the wind is cross-onshore, making it a choppy mess. The water is sitting at 68°, which is a massive 10° warmer than normal for this time of year – that’s super unusual, like jumping into a bath, but it doesn’t help the surf.
Sunday the 12th and Monday the 13th bring a little more size, around 3ft to 4ft, but the wind stays cross or cross-onshore, and the period is short. It’s just a lumpy, bumpy, poor-quality wave with weak energy.
The middle of the week, from the 14th to the 17th, is more of the same, with the wind mostly onshore or cross-onshore. There’s a brief moment on the morning of Wednesday the 15th where the wind is directly onshore, but it’s still only 3ft and messy. The combined energy is low, mostly in the double digits.
The following weekend, the 18th and 19th, is just as bad. The wind picks up to a fresh breeze, which is lumpy and cross-shore, making it almost unsurfable.
Then, on the 20th and 21st of July, we see the biggest swell of the whole period, with 5ft to 5ft from the north-northeast, and the combined energy hits 238 to 358 (moderate wave energy). But the wind is still cross-shore, it’s cross-chop, and the quality is poor. This is the closest we get to anything, but it’s still not worth paddling out for. The period is only 8 seconds, so it’s a weak, choppy windswell, not a proper groundswell.
The final days, from the 22nd to the 26th, drop right back off. There are a few mornings with offshore winds, like the 22nd and the 26th, but the swell is tiny – 1ft to 2ft. It’s clean but flat.
Mablethorpe is an inconsistent spot, and this is a classic example of a blank run. Nothing to get excited about. The setup looks more like a kiteboarding day than a paddle surf day, especially with that cross-shore wind on the 20th.
Just a quiet period, mate. Forecasts can change, but right now, there’s nothing to chase.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Sat morning, min 13°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Wed morning, min 18°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 8 | NE 3 | NE 4 | NE 5 | NE 6 | NE 6 | NNE 7 | NNE 7 | NNE 6 | NE 5 | NE 5 | NE 5 | E 5 | ENE 5 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | E 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | NE 6 | ENE 5 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 5 | 2 | 15 | 52 | 82 | 78 | 93 | 107 | 85 | 57 | 62 | 67 | 36 | 49 | 77 | 62 | 88 | 41 | 25 | 15 | 9 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 3:49PM4.74m | 4:28AM4.73m | 4:54PM4.98m | 5:24AM5.02m | 5:53PM5.22m | 6:15AM5.32m | 6:48PM5.39m | 7:04AM5.57m | 7:39PM5.45m | 7:50AM5.72m | 8:28PM5.39m | 8:35AM5.76m | 9:16PM5.22m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:22PM1.08m | 10:52AM1.13m | 11:26PM0.90m | 11:54AM0.72m | 00:22AM0.72m | 12:48PM0.34m | 1:11AM0.61m | 1:38PM0.04m | 1:57AM0.59m | 2:25PM-0.10m | 2:40AM0.66m | 3:10PM-0.09m | 3:21AM0.82m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | | | | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 4:43 | — | — | 4:45 | — | — | 4:46 | — | — | 4:47 | — | — | 4:48 | — | — | 4:50 | — | — | 4:50 | — | — |
 | — | — | 9:22 | — | — | 9:22 | — | — | 9:21 | — | — | 9:20 | — | — | 9:19 | — | — | 9:17 | — | — | 9:16 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 17 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 17 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 22 | 22 | 21 | 22 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 18 |
Feels °C | 16 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 18 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 16 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 8 | N 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNE 5 | — | NNE 5 | NNE 5 | NNE 5 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | NE 6 | ENE 5 |
| kJ | 5 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 13 | — | 5 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 25 | 15 | 9 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 3 | NE 3 | NE 4 | NE 5 | NE 6 | NE 6 | NNE 7 | NNE 7 | NNE 6 | NE 5 | NE 5 | NE 5 | E 5 | ENE 5 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | E 6 | — | — | — | NNE 5 |
| kJ | 1 | 2 | 15 | 52 | 82 | 78 | 93 | 107 | 85 | 57 | 62 | 67 | 36 | 49 | 77 | 62 | 88 | — | — | — | 2 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 428 | 461 | 428 | 477 | 477 | 263 | 220 | 220 | 405 | 407 | 428 | 428 | 428 | 428 | 93 | 659 | 285 | 263 | 407 | 673 | 449 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Lincolnshire | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Mablethorpe Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Mablethorpe provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Mablethorpe can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Mablethorpe surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Mablethorpe) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Mablethorpe may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Mablethorpe is 20 km (12 miles) from Skegness. If you plan a holiday in Lincolnshire, look for hotels and other accommodation in Skegness. Skegness has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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