Surf Forecasts:
Mablethorpe surf forecast from 2 Aug 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Monday 3 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 6s period, ENE swell with 69 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Mablethorpe this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Mablethorpe in the next 16 days are 1.0m 6s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 03) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 3s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 05) at 4PM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Mon 3rd Aug) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 6s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Mablethorpe over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, I’ve had a look at this one. To be honest, it’s not looking like a great time for a paddle right now. There’s no recommendation in the finder, which tells you straight up that the surf isn’t on. Over the whole 16-day window, we’ve got practically nothing. I’ve seen Mablethorpe go quiet before, but this is a long stretch.
The water temperature is 67°F, which is a whopping 7°F above the long-term average for this time of year. That’s very unusual, much warmer than you’d expect for August, so at least a swim won’t feel cold.
The first real sign of anything is on Monday morning, 3rd August, but it’s tiny: 3 ft from the ENE with a short period of 5 seconds, and a fresh cross-onshore wind. That’s 19 mph, making it lumpy and messy. The combined energy is only 43 – weak. Not worth it.
There’s a brief moment on Tuesday morning, 4th August, with a bit of a cleaner feel. Swell is around 2 ft from the NE, period of 6 seconds, and a gentle offshore wind from the WSW at 9 mph. That’s the closest we get to anything rideable, but the swell’s still tiny and short-period. Energy is 48 – still weak.
From Wednesday, 5th August, onwards, it’s pretty much flat. A few days of 0.7 ft to 1 ft, and the swell energy drops into single digits. The odd glassy moment on 12th and 14th August, but with no swell to push, it’s flat calm. The wind does go offshore or glassy a few times, but there’s just no wave to work with.
By the second week, it’s all zeros and 0.3 ft, weak energy, and poor surf conditions. Honestly, this stretch has nothing for a surfer. The only thing that might appeal is the wind for a kite, but for paddle surfing, it’s a write-off. The area is inconsistent at the best of times, and this is a blank run. Forecasts can change, but right now, it’s a no-go.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Tue afternoon, min 16°C on Sun morning). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 23°C on Wed afternoon, min 13°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SW on Wed morning, light winds from the NW by Fri morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 7 | N 8 | E 4 | ENE 5 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | NE 6 | NE 6 | NE 6 | NNE 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 7 | N 7 | N 7 | N 7 | N 7 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | NNE 7 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 4 | 5 | 10 | 38 | 69 | 47 | 42 | 30 | 11 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 51 | 49 | 35 | 26 | 52 | 37 | 33 | 18 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | on | on | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on |
High Tide | 9:21PM4.93m | 9:25AM5.38m | 9:57PM4.85m | 10:02AM5.24m | 10:38PM4.71m | 10:46AM5.01m | 11:25PM4.51m | 11:39AM4.74m | 00:25AM4.30m | 12:49PM4.48m | 1:40AM4.16m | 2:14PM4.36m | 3:02AM4.23m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 3:23PM0.33m | 3:29AM0.91m | 3:58PM0.42m | 4:05AM1.02m | 4:36PM0.59m | 4:45AM1.19m | 5:18PM0.84m | 5:32AM1.39m | 6:10PM1.14m | 6:30AM1.60m | 7:16PM1.43m | 7:48AM1.72m | 8:43PM1.58m | ||||||||
 | |  |  | | | |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | |  | |
 | 5:15 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:18 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — |
 | — | 8:52 | — | — | 8:51 | — | — | 8:49 | — | — | 8:46 | — | — | 8:45 | — | — | 8:44 | — | — | 8:42 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 |
Temp °C | 17 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 18 | 27 | 28 | 25 | 22 | 23 | 17 | 16 | 18 | 17 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 20 | 19 | 18 |
Feels °C | 14 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 18 | 25 | 24 | 22 | 15 | 17 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 14 | 14 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 7 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | ENE 6 | NE 6 | NE 6 | NE 6 | NNE 8 | NNE 5 | N 8 | N 7 | N 7 | N 7 | N 7 | N 7 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | NNE 7 |
| kJ | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 47 | 42 | 30 | 11 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 51 | 49 | 35 | 26 | 52 | 37 | 33 | 18 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 9 | N 8 | — | — | — | N 9 | N 9 | N 9 | N 8 | ENE 5 | N 8 | NE 5 | NE 6 | — | — | — | — | — | ESE 4 | — | ESE 4 |
| kJ | 2 | 5 | — | — | — | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | 3 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | E 6 | NE 5 | — | SE 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | E 4 | ENE 5 | ENE 6 | — | — | S 3 | SW 3 | SSW 3 | SW 3 | WSW 3 | W 3 | WNW 3 | — | — | SE 2 | SE 4 | — | SE 3 | — |
| kJ | — | — | 10 | 38 | 69 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 7 | — | — | 1 | 7 | — | 2 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 457 | 485 | 361 | 339 | 367 | 77 | 6 | 162 | 50 | 274 | 325 | 279 | 106 | 87 | 73 | 73 | 363 | 101 | 157 | 457 | 350 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Lincolnshire | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Mablethorpe Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Mablethorpe provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Mablethorpe can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Mablethorpe surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Mablethorpe) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Mablethorpe may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Mablethorpe is 20 km (12 miles) from Skegness. If you plan a holiday in Lincolnshire, look for hotels and other accommodation in Skegness. Skegness has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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