Surf Forecasts:
Mablethorpe surf forecast from 27 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 28 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 8s period, N swell with 33 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Mablethorpe this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Mablethorpe in the next 16 days are 0.5m 8s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 3s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 30) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Tue 28th Jul) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Mablethorpe over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let's be real: the outlook for Mablethorpe over the next 16 days is a total bust. You can leave your board in the car. There's nothing worth paddling for.
Kicking off on Monday, July 27th, we've got a tiny 0.3m wave from the north, but it's just not enough to ride. The water is a warm 67°, which is a whopping 7° warmer than usual for this time of year – that's very unusual. That's the only thing that's out of the ordinary.
The rest of July and the first week of August is a long, flat stretch. You'll see a few mornings with glassy or offshore winds, like Friday morning, July 31st, when it's flat calm, or Saturday afternoon, August 1st, with a clean 0.2m. But with combined swell energy in the single digits (1-26), there's just no wave. It's a drought.
We get a tiny bump around August 4th and 5th, with the swell climbing to 0.7m from the east, but it's a choppy, onshore mess with a short period of 4-5 seconds. The combined energy is still weak (30-40). Not worth a second look.
The only time the numbers look interesting is on Monday, August 10th. The swell pushes up to 1-1.4m from the north, and the combined energy is moderate (224-286). But the wind is a fresh 35 km/h cross-offshore, which is just too strong and messy. It's still a "poor surf conditions" call.
Then we get to Tuesday, August 11th. The morning shows a 2.1m north swell with a 10-second period and a clean offshore wind. The combined energy is a massive 1192 – that's strong! But the forecast says it's "marginal" due to tide or something. The wave is over 1.5m, so it's not for beginners, and it's a beach break, so that long period groundswell might make it close out straight. The afternoon drops to 1.3m with a fresh offshore. It's the closest we get to a wave, but even then, the score is a 2 out of 10, and it's way out at the end of the forecast. It's a long shot.
So, in short, there's nothing to recommend here. Not a single standout. The setup is flat or blown out for the entire 16 days. For a spot that's already inconsistent, this is a pretty normal blank run. Don't waste your time.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 29°C on Tue afternoon, min 17°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 24°C on Thu afternoon, min 13°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Mon 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 8 | N 8 | N 9 | N 9 | N 9 | N 9 | N 10 | N 9 | N 8 | N 9 | N 8 | N 6 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 9 | N 8 | N 8 | ESE 3 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 12 | 32 | 23 | 25 | 14 | 6 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 2 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | glassy | cross | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | on | on |
High Tide | 5:47PM4.38m | 6:03AM4.62m | 6:29PM4.57m | 6:41AM4.90m | 7:06PM4.72m | 7:15AM5.14m | 7:41PM4.84m | 7:47AM5.32m | 8:14PM4.91m | 8:18AM5.43m | 8:47PM4.94m | 8:50AM5.45m | 9:21PM4.93m | |||||||
Low Tide | 00:03AM1.46m | 12:29PM1.16m | 00:40AM1.24m | 1:06PM0.86m | 1:15AM1.06m | 1:42PM0.61m | 1:48AM0.93m | 2:16PM0.44m | 2:21AM0.86m | 2:50PM0.34m | 2:55AM0.86m | 3:23PM0.33m | 3:29AM0.91m | |||||||
 |  |  |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:11 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — |
 | — | 9:02 | — | — | 9:00 | — | — | 9:00 | — | 8:58 | — | — | 8:55 | — | — | 8:54 | — | — | 8:52 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 23 | 21 | 26 | 29 | 26 | 28 | 29 | 23 | 22 | 24 | 15 | 19 | 23 | 19 | 21 | 23 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 16 |
Feels °C | 18 | 19 | 24 | 27 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 20 | 18 | 19 | 8 | 15 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 20 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 14 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 5 | N 8 | N 9 | N 9 | ESE 4 | N 9 | N 10 | N 9 | N 8 | N 9 | N 8 | N 6 | N 8 | ESE 3 | N 8 | N 8 | N 9 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 |
| kJ | 4 | 32 | 23 | 25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 1 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 8 | — | — | — | N 9 | ESE 4 | — | ESE 4 | — | — | — | — | N 6 | N 8 | — | ESE 4 | — | N 4 | — | — |
| kJ | 12 | — | — | — | 14 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | 1 | — | 1 | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 9 | N 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | S 3 | — | — | SE 3 | NW 3 | WNW 2 | WNW 3 | NNW 5 | — | SE 3 | — | — | — | NW 2 | — | ESE 2 | ESE 3 |
| kJ | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | — | 1 | — | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 2 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 101 | 49 | 50 | 50 | 425 | 504 | 485 | 485 | 651 | 673 | 118 | 527 | 548 | 556 | 532 | 772 | 662 | 529 | 545 | 428 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Lincolnshire | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Mablethorpe Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Mablethorpe provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Mablethorpe can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Mablethorpe surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Mablethorpe) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Mablethorpe may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Mablethorpe is 20 km (12 miles) from Skegness. If you plan a holiday in Lincolnshire, look for hotels and other accommodation in Skegness. Skegness has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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