Mablethorpe Surf Break

Lat Long: 53.30° N 0.30° E

Mablethorpe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 6 pm 04 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Mablethorpe sea temperature is
19.7° C
4.0° 

Mablethorpe surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Mablethorpe surf forecast from 4 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 6 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 9s period, N swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 6 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 9s period, N swell with 99 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 6 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 9s period with N swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Mablethorpe this week:

The surf forecast for Mablethorpe over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 06) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 9s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Mablethorpe in the next 16 days are 0.8m 9s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 06) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 5s period and expected on Saturday (Aug 08) at 10PM.

Wave TypeTime (BST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Thu 6th Aug)2.5ft (0.8m) 9s
Best Surf10PM (Thu 6th Aug)2.5ft (0.8m) 9s
Most Powerful10PM (Thu 6th Aug)2.5ft (0.8m) 9s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Mablethorpe over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Right then, let's have a look at what's on offer for Mablethorpe.

Honestly, it's a tough one, mate. The entire 16-day window is looking pretty grim. There's not a single session that I'd even bother paddling out for, so I'd say it's a straight-up blank run. The surf is just poor across the board, with combined swell energy barely getting out of the single digits most days, only occasionally scraping into the 40s or 50s. It's not unusual for this area to have a quiet spell, but this one's a proper flat spell.

For the first week, there's nothing. From Tuesday, the 4th of August onwards, we're looking at a mix of tiny, short-period windswell and mostly onshore or cross-shore winds. The best of a bad bunch is probably early on the 7th of August, with a light offshore breeze, but the swell is only 2ft from the north with a 8-second period, and the combined energy is a weak 66. It's clean, but it's knee-high mush. The water temperature is a very unusual 68°F, which is 7°F warmer than normal for this time of year, so you'll be warm, but that's about the only positive.

The second week doesn't get any better. We see a few more days with offshore winds, like the 13th of August, where it's clean with 2ft of swell, but the energy is still rubbish. The only slight bump in the whole period is on the 19th of August, where the swell pushes to 4ft from the north with a 6-second period. The combined energy hits 105, which is at least moderate, but the wind is either cross-shore or onshore, so it's going to be a messy, choppy mess. That's not good for a paddle surfer. Honestly, with that kind of chop and weak swell, the setup might be more interesting for kite surfing than anything else.

Don't get your hopes up for this one. Sometimes the forecasts change, but for now, it's a full-on flat spell.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Tue afternoon. Warm (max 26°C on Tue afternoon, min 12°C on Wed night). Mainly fresh winds.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Sun night. Warm (max 27°C on Sat afternoon, min 13°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Tue
4
Wednesday
5
Thursday
6
Friday
7
Saturday
8
Sunday
9
Monday
10
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
NE
6
0.5
NE
6
0.2
N
8
0.2
N
8
0.2
N
8
0.2
N
7
0.5
N
8
0.8
N
9
0.7
N
8
0.6
N
8
0.5
N
8
0.4
NNE
7
0.6
SE
4
0.2
N
6
0.1
N
9
0.1
N
6
0.2
E
5
0.2
N
5
0.3
N
6
0.2
N
10
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
30
16
5
5
5
4
30
99
66
48
31
18
10
3
2
1
2
2
6
8
Wind (km/h)
20
S
20
SW
25
WSW
30
WSW
30
WSW
35
WNW
15
NW
15
WNW
10
WSW
10
SSE
5
SW
15
SSW
15
SSE
10
NNW
10
W
10
ENE
15
NNW
15
NNW
20
NE
10
NE
Wind State
cross
cross-off
off
off
off
off
cross-off
off
off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
off
on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
High Tide
10:38PM4.71m
10:46AM5.01m
11:25PM4.51m
11:39AM4.74m
00:25AM4.30m
12:49PM4.48m
1:40AM4.16m
2:14PM4.36m
3:02AM4.23m
3:39PM4.46m
4:14AM4.50m
4:51PM4.73m
Low Tide
4:36PM0.59m
4:45AM1.19m
5:18PM0.84m
5:32AM1.39m
6:10PM1.14m
6:30AM1.60m
7:16PM1.43m
7:48AM1.72m
8:43PM1.58m
9:25AM1.60m
10:13PM1.47m
10:49AM1.21m
11:22PM1.21m
rain showers
clear
part cloud
cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
cloud
light rain
rain showers
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:20
5:22
5:24
5:24
5:26
5:28
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:49
8:46
8:45
8:44
8:42
8:39
8:37
 mm
2
1
1
Temp °C
26
24
22
21
17
19
19
16
20
22
19
25
27
24
24
23
21
16
16
15
Feels °C
23
22
16
14
12
14
15
15
17
19
15
20
22
20
23
20
19
13
12
12
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Mablethorpe Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Mablethorpe provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Mablethorpe can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Mablethorpe surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Mablethorpe) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Mablethorpe may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Mablethorpe is 20 km (12 miles) from Skegness. If you plan a holiday in Lincolnshire, look for hotels and other accommodation in Skegness. Skegness has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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