Surf Forecasts:
Mablethorpe surf forecast from 9 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 16 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 6s period, ENE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 16 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 7s period, ENE swell with 187 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 16 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 6s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Mablethorpe this week:
The surf forecast for Mablethorpe over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 6s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Mablethorpe in the next 16 days are 1.5m 7s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 4s period and expected on Friday (Jul 10) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Thu 16th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 6s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Thu 16th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 6s |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Thu 16th Jul) | 5ft (1.5m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Mablethorpe over the next 16 days.
Alright, let’s get this out. Grab a coffee, ‘cause I’m gonna level with you.
First off, I’ll be straight up with you. The next 16 days are a real struggle for Mablethorpe. There’s a big old gap at the start where there’s not a single decent surf recommendation – the whole run from Thursday 9th July right through to Friday 24th July is a total bust. It’s not an exaggeration; we’re talking a full two weeks of basically nothing you’d want to paddle out for.
The only thing that even gets close to a mention is the odd bit of optimisation on the wind. But here’s the thing: the swell is too small, too short-period, and the wind is all wrong. The best you’ll see is a pathetic 3 ft on the morning of Sunday 12th July, but it’s cross-onshore and choppy. Not a wave you’d write home about. The water temp is a real story though – it’s clocking in at a crazy 67°F on Thursday 9th July, which is a massive 9°F warmer than normal. That’s freakishly warm for the time of year, a real head-scratcher.
Then, by the 22nd and 23rd of July, we get a bit of offshore wind. The breeze goes clean from the west, but the swell is absolutely tiny – 1 ft to 2 ft. It’s clean, but ankle-snappers. Not even worth a longboard for a paddle. The energy is weak, barely registering double digits in the combined swell energy (52 on the 22nd morning, 39 in the afternoon). It’s just not happening.
Honestly, this is one of those blank runs that’s pretty normal for the area. The forecasts can change, but right now, the best advice is to leave the board at home, grab a beer, and watch the water. There’s nothing on offer.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Thu afternoon, min 14°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Wed morning, min 12°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thu 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 7 | SE 4 | NNE 9 | NNE 9 | NNE 8 | N 8 | NE 4 | NE 5 | NE 6 | NE 6 | NNE 7 | NNE 7 | NNE 7 | NE 6 | NE 5 | NE 5 | NE 5 | NE 5 | ENE 5 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 9 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 58 | 83 | 108 | 99 | 93 | 56 | 35 | 30 | 25 | 32 | 33 | 43 | 156 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 2:20AM4.33m | 2:38PM4.56m | 3:27AM4.48m | 3:49PM4.74m | 4:28AM4.73m | 4:54PM4.98m | 5:24AM5.02m | 5:53PM5.22m | 6:15AM5.32m | 6:48PM5.39m | 7:04AM5.57m | 7:39PM5.45m | 7:50AM5.72m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:53PM1.20m | 8:23AM1.69m | 9:08PM1.20m | 9:41AM1.48m | 10:22PM1.08m | 10:52AM1.13m | 11:26PM0.90m | 11:54AM0.72m | 00:22AM0.72m | 12:48PM0.34m | 1:11AM0.61m | 1:38PM0.04m | 1:57AM0.59m | ||||||||
 |  | | | | | |  | | | | | | | | | |  |  | | | |
 | — | — | 4:43 | — | — | 4:43 | — | — | 4:45 | — | — | 4:46 | — | — | 4:47 | — | — | 4:48 | — | — | 4:50 |
 | — | 9:24 | — | — | 9:23 | — | — | 9:22 | — | — | 9:22 | — | — | 9:21 | — | — | 9:20 | — | — | 9:19 | 9:17 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 25 | 24 | 23 | 22 | 19 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 16 | 19 |
Feels °C | 23 | 22 | 20 | 19 | 17 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 17 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 7 | ESE 4 | NNE 9 | NNE 9 | NNE 8 | N 8 | N 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ESE 4 | — | NNE 6 | — | — | NNE 5 | — |
| kJ | 9 | 6 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | 3 | — | — | 9 | — |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NNE 6 | N 9 | N 6 | NE 4 | ESE 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | 4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | N 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 3 | SE 4 | ESE 3 | ESE 3 | ESE 3 | NE 3 | NE 4 | NE 5 | NE 6 | NE 6 | NNE 7 | NNE 7 | NNE 7 | NE 6 | NE 5 | NE 5 | NE 5 | NE 5 | ENE 5 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 |
| kJ | 3 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 28 | 58 | 83 | 108 | 99 | 93 | 56 | 35 | 30 | 25 | 32 | 33 | 43 | 156 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 444 | 157 | 361 | 361 | 317 | 434 | 457 | 434 | 477 | 482 | 220 | 638 | 437 | 213 | 457 | 423 | 457 | 318 | 281 | 75 | 102 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Lincolnshire | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Mablethorpe Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Mablethorpe provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Mablethorpe can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Mablethorpe surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Mablethorpe) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Mablethorpe may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Mablethorpe is 20 km (12 miles) from Skegness. If you plan a holiday in Lincolnshire, look for hotels and other accommodation in Skegness. Skegness has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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