Mablethorpe Surf Break

Lat Long: 53.30° N 0.30° E

Mablethorpe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 12 am 03 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Mablethorpe sea temperature is
19.1°C
3.7° 

Mablethorpe surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Mablethorpe surf forecast from 3 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 9 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 9s period, N swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 9 Sep, 4PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 9s period, N swell with 169 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 9 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 9s period with N swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Mablethorpe this week:

The surf forecast for Mablethorpe over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 9s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Mablethorpe in the next 16 days are 1.0m 9s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 3s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 08) at 4PM.

Wave TypeTime (BST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10AM (Wed 9th Sep)3.5ft (1.0m) 9s
Best Surf10AM (Wed 9th Sep)3.5ft (1.0m) 9s
Most Powerful 4PM (Wed 9th Sep)3.5ft (1.0m) 9s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Mablethorpe over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, folks. Rusty here. Let’s not sugarcoat it – this is a grim one. The 16-day outlook for Mablethorpe is a long stretch of tiny, poor waves. We’re looking at nearly two weeks of nothing before anything rideable shows up. The water temp is about 66°F... that’s nearly 7°F warmer than usual for this time of year, which is pretty wild to feel, but it won’t help the surf.

Right now, and for the next week and a half, it’s all knee-high slop. Swell heights barely scrape 2 feet, and the combined energy figures are stuck in the low double digits (like 2 to 28). The wind does go offshore from the west a few times, especially Thursday morning and Friday, but there’s just no swell to work with. It’s clean, but it’s a flat glass of water. You’d be better off with a kiteboard on those windy days.

Finally, on Wednesday the 9th of September afternoon, we get a glimpse of something. A 3-foot swell from the north with a period of 10 seconds pushes the combined energy up to 146 – that’s moderate energy, finally. The wind is offshore from the WSW at 15 mph, keeping it clean. The wave comment says “surfable waves but very ordinary conditions,” and honestly, that’s the best we’re gonna get. For a beginner spot that’s inconsistent, this is your window. It’s not a standout, but it’s the only window.

After that, it’s back to tiny or flat conditions through the 17th. The combined energy drops to zero on the 15th and 16th. There’s a moment on the 16th afternoon with glassy conditions, but it’s a 1-foot, 4-second windswell from the south – basically a ripple. No good.

So, the only real pick here is Wednesday the 9th of September afternoon at Mablethorpe. It’s a north swell, 3 feet, with a 10-second period, and offshore west-southwest wind. It’s surfable, but don’t expect any barrels. The break is inconsistent, so you’ll be waiting for those sets. Get on it if you’re desperate, but temper your expectations. Crowds are possible, but with this outlook, I doubt many will show. Rusty out.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Warm (max 22°C on Thu afternoon, min 13°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the W on Fri morning, calm by Sat afternoon).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Some drizzle, heaviest during Sun night. Warm (max 23°C on Sun afternoon, min 11°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (calm on Sat night, fresh winds from the W by Tue afternoon).

Thursday
3
Friday
4
Saturday
5
Sunday
6
Monday
7
Tuesday
8
Wednesday
9
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
N
11
0.3
N
11
0.3
N
10
0.2
N
9
0.2
N
9
0.2
N
8
0.5
N
7
0.5
N
8
0.5
N
8
0.4
NNE
8
0.4
NNE
7
0.9
SSE
5
0.2
N
9
0.2
N
9
0.1
N
8
0.3
NNW
5
0.7
NW
3
0.6
N
7
1
N
9
1
N
9
0.8
NNE
9
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
22
21
17
6
6
5
27
28
36
19
17
40
6
6
1
5
0
38
157
169
101
Wind (km/h)
30
WSW
30
W
25
WSW
30
W
30
W
25
WSW
25
WNW
5
WNW
10
SSE
20
S
20
SSE
20
S
25
W
20
WSW
35
WSW
35
WSW
40
W
30
W
25
WNW
15
W
15
WSW
Wind State
off
off
cross-off
off
off
off
cross-off
glassy
cross-on
cross
cross
cross
off
off
off
cross-off
off
off
off
off
off
High Tide
10:22AM5.12m
10:51PM4.62m
11:15AM4.71m
11:50PM4.26m
12:30PM4.30m
1:13AM4.02m
2:10PM4.11m
2:50AM4.08m
3:44PM4.26m
4:07AM4.44m
4:54PM4.61m
5:06AM4.90m
5:47PM4.98m
Low Tide
4:19AM0.91m
4:49PM0.90m
5:05AM1.21m
5:41PM1.34m
6:04AM1.54m
6:52PM1.75m
7:34AM1.76m
8:36PM1.93m
9:29AM1.60m
10:15PM1.74m
10:51AM1.12m
11:18PM1.38m
11:46AM0.60m
00:06AM1.03m
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
cloud
rain showers
cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:09
6:11
6:13
6:15
6:16
6:18
6:20
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
7:44
7:42
7:39
7:37
7:35
7:31
7:30
 mm
5
1
Temp °C
21
22
19
18
19
16
18
20
19
21
23
19
19
20
18
17
17
13
15
17
14
Feels °C
16
16
15
11
12
11
14
19
18
16
19
14
15
15
11
9
8
6
10
13
10
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Mablethorpe Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Mablethorpe provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Mablethorpe can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Mablethorpe surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Mablethorpe) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Mablethorpe may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Mablethorpe is 20 km (12 miles) from Skegness. If you plan a holiday in Lincolnshire, look for hotels and other accommodation in Skegness. Skegness has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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