Surf Forecasts:
Mablethorpe surf forecast from 22 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 23 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 7s period, NNE swell with 55 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Mablethorpe this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Mablethorpe in the next 16 days are 0.7m 7s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 23) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 5s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Thu 23rd Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Mablethorpe over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Well, folks, it’s Rusty here, and I gotta be straight with you – the next 16 days for Mablethorpe are looking pretty flat. If you’ve got a kite, you might be in luck, but for a paddle surfer, there’s just nothing to get excited about.
The first chance of anything even vaguely surfable doesn’t show up until Monday, the 3rd of August. Up until then, we’re facing a long, bleak stretch of tiny waves. From the 22nd of July right through to the 2nd of August, the swell is barely a whisper, with heights mostly under 2 ft and periods so short you’d be bobbing like a cork. The combined wave energy is pathetically weak, barely cracking 100 (e.g., 7, 15, 35) for most of that time. It’s a complete blank run, and for this area, that’s not unusual.
Now, on Monday, the 3rd of August, we finally see a tiny glimmer. The morning brings a 3 ft swell from the NE, with a period of 6 seconds. The wind is offshore from the WSW at 15 mph, which is a major positive—it’ll be clean. The combined energy is 74, still weak but at least it’s something. The water temp is a whopping 66° with a 7° anomaly, meaning it’s much warmer than normal for the time of year. The wave comment only says “surfable waves but very ordinary conditions,” so don’t expect much. This is really the only session that even gets a score above zero. It’s still tiny, and the break is inconsistent, so you’ll be scratching for a ride.
After that, it’s back to the same story. The rest of the forecast through to the 6th of August is just more tiny, weak swells with poor conditions. The wind switches around, but the waves never get above 2 ft with any real energy. There’s no standout, no hidden gem. This is a kite surfer’s playground, not a surfer’s. For the few of you who are desperate, that Monday morning on the 3rd of August is your only real shot, but keep your expectations in the car.
Stay salty,
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Fri afternoon, min 15°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (light winds from the WNW on Fri morning, fresh winds from the W by Sat morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 14mm), heaviest on Sat night. Warm (max 26°C on Tue morning, min 13°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WNW on Sat afternoon, calm by Sun night). | |||||||||||||||||||
Wed 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 8 | NNE 7 | NNE 7 | NNE 6 | NNE 6 | NNE 6 | NNE 6 | NNE 6 | N 6 | N 6 | N 7 | N 4 | N 7 | NNE 8 | N 7 | N 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 6 | SE 4 | N 8 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 127 | 55 | 35 | 37 | 33 | 17 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 17 | 33 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 1 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | cross | on | cross | off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 1:25AM3.98m | 1:45PM4.07m | 2:29AM3.89m | 2:56PM3.97m | 3:33AM3.93m | 4:02PM4.03m | 4:31AM4.10m | 4:59PM4.19m | 5:21AM4.34m | 5:47PM4.38m | 6:03AM4.62m | 6:29PM4.57m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 6:50PM1.58m | 7:08AM1.96m | 7:52PM1.86m | 8:23AM2.06m | 9:10PM1.97m | 9:48AM1.98m | 10:25PM1.89m | 10:56AM1.76m | 11:21PM1.69m | 11:47AM1.47m | 00:03AM1.46m | 12:29PM1.16m | 00:40AM1.24m | |||||||
 |  |  |  |  | | | | |  |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:01 | — | — | 5:03 | — | — | 5:03 | — | — | 5:05 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — |
 | — | 9:09 | — | — | 9:08 | — | — | 9:07 | — | — | 9:06 | — | — | 9:04 | — | — | 9:02 | — | — | 9:00 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 24 | 26 | 20 | 24 | 19 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 16 | 19 | 22 | 22 | 26 | 26 | 22 |
Feels °C | 13 | 15 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 22 | 23 | 16 | 19 | 15 | 15 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 18 | 19 | 21 | 22 | 21 | 17 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 8 | NNE 7 | NNE 7 | NNE 6 | NNE 6 | NNE 6 | NNE 6 | NNE 6 | N 6 | N 6 | N 7 | N 4 | N 7 | NNE 8 | N 7 | N 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 6 | N 6 | ESE 5 |
| kJ | 127 | 55 | 35 | 37 | 33 | 17 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 17 | 33 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 15 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 7 | — | N 8 | — | — | N 11 | — | ESE 3 | N 9 | N 9 | N 8 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | SE 3 | — | ESE 3 | NW 2 | WSW 2 | W 3 | WNW 3 | — | — | — | NNW 4 | — | SSE 3 | SSE 3 | SE 4 | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | 5 | — | 2 | 1 | 10 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 243 | 6 | 93 | 1017 | 73 | 736 | 898 | 710 | 698 | 498 | 446 | 367 | 653 | 137 | 73 | 144 | 50 | 473 | 498 | 50 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Lincolnshire | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Mablethorpe Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Mablethorpe provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Mablethorpe can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Mablethorpe surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Mablethorpe) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Mablethorpe may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Mablethorpe is 20 km (12 miles) from Skegness. If you plan a holiday in Lincolnshire, look for hotels and other accommodation in Skegness. Skegness has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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