Mablethorpe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, it's Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you: we’ve got a 16-day window and, well... it’s a real quiet one. The whole period is looking flat as a pancake, with nothing but tiny, weak signals. There's a big gap of no real surf to speak of from now, stretching all the way through. The first real suggestion of any energy doesn’t pop up until the very tail end of the period, and even then, it’s not exactly going to get the heart racing.

The only break on the radar is Mablethorpe, and it’s a beginner spot that’s "inconsistent" at the best of times. Honestly, for the first two weeks, you’re looking at swell heights barely scraping 0.7 ft to 1 ft, with periods all over the shop – mostly short-period slop. The water temp is sitting at 64 °F, which is a whopping 5 °F warmer than normal. That’s seriously unusual for this time of year, almost like the ocean forgot the season.

Let’s run through it. Tuesday the 15th is a write-off with 0.7 ft of northerly swell and a 12-second period, but it’s weak. The combined energy is just 11 (weak energy). Wednesday the 16th afternoon goes glassy, but the swell is a measly 1 ft with a pathetic 5-second period. Thursday the 17th shows a slight bump: 2 ft from the north with an 8-second period and a combined energy of 52 (still weak). The wind is offshore from the W at 22 mph, so it’ll be clean, but the wave quality is still rated as poor. The rest of that week and the next are just variations on the same theme – tiny, weak, and poor.

Now, the best we’ve got on offer – and I say this with a heavy heart – is a glimmer at the very end. On Wednesday the 30th of September, we finally see some combined energy creep into three-digit territory. The morning session shows 2 ft from the north, a 10-second period, and a combined energy of 132 (moderate wave energy). The wind is a whisper from the NNE at just 3 mph, making it light cross-onshore with small wind ripples. The afternoon keeps the 2 ft from the north, 10-second period, and a combined energy of 108 (moderate wave energy), with a light onshore breeze from the East at 6 mph.

Is it a standout? Only by default. For a beginner at Mablethorpe, that 2 ft might be something to play on, but it’s still tiny and the quality is marked as poor. Don’t expect barrels. This is a spot for a longboard or a foamie on a day when you just need to get wet. But honestly, for the next two weeks, leave the board in the car and go for a walk. It’s that kind of outlook.

Stay patient, Rusty out.

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