Surf Forecasts:
Mablethorpe surf forecast from 28 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Monday 3 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 6s period, E swell with 44 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Mablethorpe this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Mablethorpe in the next 16 days are 0.8m 6s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 03) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 3s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 30) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Mon 3rd Aug) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 6s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Mablethorpe over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Right, folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – this 16-day stretch for Mablethorpe is a tough one. The guidance tells me this spot is already inconsistent, and the forecast just confirms it’s going to be a long, frustrating wait. There’s simply nothing on the table worth paddling out for right now.
We’re looking at a whole lot of tiny, weak swell days. The first real blip that catches my eye is on Tuesday the 11th of August. The swell finally pushes up to about 4 ft from the north, and the wind is looking good – clean and offshore from the west. Even then, the combined energy is only moderate at best (117), and the period is short at 7 seconds, so it’s not going to be anything special. Still, after a week of zero scores, that’s the best we’ve got. The water is much warmer than normal for this time of year at 67°, which is a bit of a surprise, but it won’t help the waves.
Before that, it’s a desert. From the 28th of July right through to the 10th of August, the scores are all zeros. We’re talking about a brutal thirteen-day stretch with no real surf. There is a brief moment on the morning of Saturday the 8th of August where it goes glassy, but the swell is only 3 ft with a weak combined energy of 62. It’s frustrating because the conditions are perfect, but the ocean just isn’t delivering. A few days later, on the 11th, we get that clean offshore wind again, but the waves are only just surfable, and it’s pretty ordinary.
So, if you’re a beginner, the small size might not scare you, but the lack of any real push will. For anyone else, pack your patience. That Tuesday morning on the 11th of August is your only real shot, and it’s a long way off. The setup is so weak that even the 12th of August fades back to tiny, unremarkable surf. It’s one of those quiet spells for the area.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 30°C on Tue afternoon, min 13°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Sat morning, min 13°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 9 | N 9 | N 9 | N 9 | N 10 | N 9 | N 8 | N 8 | N 5 | N 7 | NNE 6 | N 5 | N 8 | N 8 | N 9 | N 8 | N 8 | ESE 4 | E 6 | E 6 | ENE 6 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 23 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 26 | 41 | 33 | 28 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | off | cross | cross-off | cross-on | on | cross-on | on | on | on |
High Tide | 6:29PM4.57m | 6:41AM4.90m | 7:06PM4.72m | 7:15AM5.14m | 7:41PM4.84m | 7:47AM5.32m | 8:14PM4.91m | 8:18AM5.43m | 8:47PM4.94m | 8:50AM5.45m | 9:21PM4.93m | 9:25AM5.38m | 9:57PM4.85m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 12:29PM1.16m | 00:40AM1.24m | 1:06PM0.86m | 1:15AM1.06m | 1:42PM0.61m | 1:48AM0.93m | 2:16PM0.44m | 2:21AM0.86m | 2:50PM0.34m | 2:55AM0.86m | 3:23PM0.33m | 3:29AM0.91m | 3:58PM0.42m | ||||||||
 | |  | | | | |  |  | | | | | | | | | |  | | | |
 | 5:07 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:11 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — |
 | — | — | 9:00 | — | — | 9:00 | — | 8:58 | — | — | 8:55 | — | — | 8:54 | — | — | 8:52 | — | — | 8:51 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 27 | 30 | 26 | 28 | 29 | 20 | 23 | 24 | 17 | 19 | 20 | 19 | 21 | 21 | 18 | 17 | 18 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 18 |
Feels °C | 25 | 28 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 11 | 16 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 9 | N 9 | ESE 4 | N 9 | N 10 | N 9 | N 8 | N 8 | N 5 | N 7 | NNE 6 | ESE 4 | N 8 | N 8 | — | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 7 | E 6 | ENE 6 |
| kJ | 23 | 14 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | 6 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 28 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | N 9 | SE 4 | — | ESE 4 | — | — | N 7 | — | N 9 | N 5 | — | — | N 7 | — | — | N 10 | N 11 | N 7 | N 9 |
| kJ | — | — | 14 | 1 | — | 2 | — | — | 4 | — | 2 | 2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 3 | — | — | N 8 | — | — | N 9 | — | — | — | — | N 11 | N 11 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 3 | WSW 2 | — | — | ESE 2 | — | NW 3 | WNW 2 | — | — | ESE 2 | — | — | — | — | — | ESE 3 | ESE 4 | E 6 | — | — |
| kJ | 1 | 1 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 26 | 41 | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 50 | 50 | 298 | 463 | 457 | 485 | 631 | 624 | 87 | 300 | 633 | 498 | 531 | 548 | 433 | 457 | 485 | 361 | 340 | 402 | 144 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Lincolnshire | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Mablethorpe Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Mablethorpe provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Mablethorpe can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Mablethorpe surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Mablethorpe) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Mablethorpe may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Mablethorpe is 20 km (12 miles) from Skegness. If you plan a holiday in Lincolnshire, look for hotels and other accommodation in Skegness. Skegness has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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