Mablethorpe Surf Break

Lat Long: 53.30° N 0.30° E

Mablethorpe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 6 am 02 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Mablethorpe sea temperature is
19.5° C
3.8° 

Mablethorpe surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Mablethorpe surf forecast from 2 Aug 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Monday 3 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 6s period, ENE swell with 69 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Mablethorpe this week:

The most powerful waves expected at Mablethorpe in the next 16 days are 1.0m 6s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 03) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 3s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 05) at 4PM.

Wave TypeTime (BST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful 4PM (Mon 3rd Aug)3.5ft (1.0m) 6s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Mablethorpe over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, I’ve had a look at this one. To be honest, it’s not looking like a great time for a paddle right now. There’s no recommendation in the finder, which tells you straight up that the surf isn’t on. Over the whole 16-day window, we’ve got practically nothing. I’ve seen Mablethorpe go quiet before, but this is a long stretch.

The water temperature is 67°F, which is a whopping 7°F above the long-term average for this time of year. That’s very unusual, much warmer than you’d expect for August, so at least a swim won’t feel cold.

The first real sign of anything is on Monday morning, 3rd August, but it’s tiny: 3 ft from the ENE with a short period of 5 seconds, and a fresh cross-onshore wind. That’s 19 mph, making it lumpy and messy. The combined energy is only 43 – weak. Not worth it.

There’s a brief moment on Tuesday morning, 4th August, with a bit of a cleaner feel. Swell is around 2 ft from the NE, period of 6 seconds, and a gentle offshore wind from the WSW at 9 mph. That’s the closest we get to anything rideable, but the swell’s still tiny and short-period. Energy is 48 – still weak.

From Wednesday, 5th August, onwards, it’s pretty much flat. A few days of 0.7 ft to 1 ft, and the swell energy drops into single digits. The odd glassy moment on 12th and 14th August, but with no swell to push, it’s flat calm. The wind does go offshore or glassy a few times, but there’s just no wave to work with.

By the second week, it’s all zeros and 0.3 ft, weak energy, and poor surf conditions. Honestly, this stretch has nothing for a surfer. The only thing that might appeal is the wind for a kite, but for paddle surfing, it’s a write-off. The area is inconsistent at the best of times, and this is a blank run. Forecasts can change, but right now, it’s a no-go.

Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Tue afternoon, min 16°C on Sun morning). Mainly fresh winds.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 23°C on Wed afternoon, min 13°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SW on Wed morning, light winds from the NW by Fri morning).

Sunday
2
Monday
3
Tuesday
4
Wednesday
5
Thursday
6
Friday
7
Saturday
8
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
N
7
0.2
N
8
0.6
E
4
0.9
ENE
5
1
ENE
6
0.8
ENE
6
0.7
NE
6
0.6
NE
6
0.4
NE
6
0.3
NNE
8
0.2
N
8
0.2
N
8
0.2
N
7
0.7
N
7
0.7
N
7
0.6
N
7
0.5
N
7
0.6
N
8
0.5
N
8
0.5
N
8
0.4
NNE
7
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
4
5
10
38
69
47
42
30
11
12
5
4
4
51
49
35
26
52
37
33
18
Wind (km/h)
10
NE
20
ENE
20
E
30
ENE
20
ENE
15
ESE
15
WSW
30
SW
20
SW
25
SW
30
SW
25
WSW
35
W
20
WNW
15
WNW
10
NW
20
E
15
SE
15
SE
30
ESE
15
ESE
Wind State
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
on
on
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
off
cross-off
on
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
High Tide
9:21PM4.93m
9:25AM5.38m
9:57PM4.85m
10:02AM5.24m
10:38PM4.71m
10:46AM5.01m
11:25PM4.51m
11:39AM4.74m
00:25AM4.30m
12:49PM4.48m
1:40AM4.16m
2:14PM4.36m
3:02AM4.23m
Low Tide
3:23PM0.33m
3:29AM0.91m
3:58PM0.42m
4:05AM1.02m
4:36PM0.59m
4:45AM1.19m
5:18PM0.84m
5:32AM1.39m
6:10PM1.14m
6:30AM1.60m
7:16PM1.43m
7:48AM1.72m
8:43PM1.58m
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:15
5:16
5:18
5:20
5:22
5:24
5:24
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:52
8:51
8:49
8:46
8:45
8:44
8:42
 mm
1
Temp °C
17
17
17
18
19
18
27
28
25
22
23
17
16
18
17
18
17
16
20
19
18
Feels °C
14
13
14
15
17
18
25
24
22
15
17
13
9
14
14
14
13
13
16
14
14
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Mablethorpe Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Mablethorpe provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Mablethorpe can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Mablethorpe surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Mablethorpe) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Mablethorpe may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Mablethorpe is 20 km (12 miles) from Skegness. If you plan a holiday in Lincolnshire, look for hotels and other accommodation in Skegness. Skegness has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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