Mablethorpe Surf Break

Lat Long: 53.30° N 0.30° E

Mablethorpe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 6 pm 08 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Mablethorpe sea temperature is
19.6° C
5.4° 

Mablethorpe surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Mablethorpe surf forecast from 8 Jul 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Monday 13 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 7s period, NE swell with 112 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Mablethorpe this week:

The most powerful waves expected at Mablethorpe in the next 16 days are 1.1m 7s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.2m 3s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 11) at 4AM.

Wave TypeTime (BST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful 1AM (Mon 13th Jul)3.5ft (1.1m) 7s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Mablethorpe over the next 16 days.


Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's be honest, I've stared at this forecast for Mablethorpe and it's a tough one. We're looking at a solid 16 days with not a single session that gets the nod. The whole window is a write-off for decent surf. There's no standouts, no hidden gems, just a whole lot of nothing.

The pattern is consistent: small, weak, and messy. Even when we get a bit of height, the wind is always blowing the wrong way – cross-on or onshore, chopping up whatever little energy there is. The swell energy is mostly weak, with values in the tens and low hundreds – for example, 30 (moderate energy) on the 8th, and even the "biggest" day on the 16th afternoon only hits 144 (moderate energy). The wind state is described as "poor surf conditions" every single time without exception. It's a blank run, and for this area, that's just how it goes sometimes.

There's a few mornings near the end like the 19th and 22nd where the wind goes clean or even offshore, but the swell is tiny – 2 ft or 2 ft – and the energy is pathetic, barely reaching 48 (weak energy). A 2 ft, 7-second wave with a clean face is better than nothing, but it's not enough to call a session. The 23rd Thursday has offshore winds all day, with a light 12 mph breeze from the W, but the swell is a measly 2 ft. It's a skippers' day, not a surf day.

So, I've got nothing to get excited about. Hang the board up, clean the wax off, and wait for the next system. The forecasts can always change, but for now, it's a no-go all the way through to July 23rd.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Thu morning, min 17°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Tue morning, min 12°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Wed
8
Thursday
9
Friday
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
Monday
13
Tuesday
14
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
NNE
8
0.4
NNE
7
0.3
NNE
7
0.3
NNE
7
0.4
ESE
4
0.3
NNE
9
0.2
NNE
9
0.2
NNE
8
0.5
NE
3
0.6
NE
4
0.9
NE
5
1
NE
6
1.1
NE
6
1.1
NE
7
1.1
NE
7
1
NNE
7
1
NE
6
1
NE
5
0.9
NE
5
0.7
NE
4
0.7
NNE
4
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
20
18
9
9
7
16
8
7
4
12
43
61
83
112
106
96
75
43
35
19
17
Wind (km/h)
15
E
10
SSE
15
SE
25
ESE
10
ESE
15
E
20
E
10
ENE
20
NE
25
NE
25
NE
25
NE
25
NE
25
NNE
25
NNE
30
NNE
25
NNE
20
NE
20
ENE
15
NE
20
NNE
Wind State
on
cross
cross-on
on
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
High Tide
1:12AM4.27m
1:23PM4.51m
2:20AM4.33m
2:38PM4.56m
3:27AM4.48m
3:49PM4.74m
4:28AM4.73m
4:54PM4.98m
5:24AM5.02m
5:53PM5.22m
6:15AM5.32m
6:48PM5.39m
7:04AM5.57m
Low Tide
6:48PM1.11m
7:09AM1.73m
7:53PM1.20m
8:23AM1.69m
9:08PM1.20m
9:41AM1.48m
10:22PM1.08m
10:52AM1.13m
11:26PM0.90m
11:54AM0.72m
00:22AM0.72m
12:48PM0.34m
1:11AM0.61m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
4:41
4:43
4:43
4:45
4:46
4:47
4:48
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
9:24
9:24
9:23
9:22
9:22
9:21
9:20
9:19
 mm
Temp °C
20
20
25
24
23
22
21
18
18
16
15
14
14
13
14
15
17
18
18
17
19
Feels °C
18
19
23
21
21
19
18
17
15
13
11
9
9
9
10
11
14
15
16
16
18
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Mablethorpe Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Mablethorpe provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Mablethorpe can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Mablethorpe surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Mablethorpe) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Mablethorpe may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Mablethorpe is 20 km (12 miles) from Skegness. If you plan a holiday in Lincolnshire, look for hotels and other accommodation in Skegness. Skegness has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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