Mablethorpe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming down the line for the Mablethorpe stretch.

To be straight with you, this is a quiet run. For the next sixteen days, the swell is mostly small and weak. There’s a long gap of poor to non-existent surf until we get a slight lift around Thursday the 10th of September. Before that, the waves are tiny and the energy is low. Between Tuesday the 1st and Wednesday the 9th, the combined energy barely gets into double digits most days, hanging around (12 to 65). We’re looking at ankle to knee-high stuff with northerly and north-northeasterly swells, and periods between 6 and 11 seconds. The wind does blow offshore or cross-offshore a fair bit, which would keep the surface clean, but there’s just not enough swell to work with.

Now, the one window that gets our attention is around Thursday the 10th of September. On the Thursday morning, we see a 3 ft north swell with an 8-second period and moderate offshore wind from the west-southwest. The combined energy jumps to (113), which is the most we’ll see in the whole forecast. The afternoon holds a similar 3 ft swell from the north, period stretching to 9 seconds, energy at (101), and more clean offshore wind from the west-northwest. The wave comment is "surfable waves but very ordinary conditions", so it's not going to blow your mind, but it’s the best on offer. Given the break is a beginner-level, inconsistent spot that’s fairly exposed to the north-east, the combination of a moderate northerly groundswell and clean offshore wind makes this the standout time. If you’re keen, get in the water that afternoon. The crowd is listed as "sometimes", so you might have company, but it won’t be a circus.

After that, the surf fades quickly. Friday the 11th drops back to 2 ft with energy down to (38), and then we’re into tiny, onshore junk through the weekend and into the following week. The second week looks bleak, with easterly and northeasterly wind pushing in and swells staying under 3 ft, but with short periods and poor direction. There’s nothing worth chasing out there.

The water temperature is about average for the time of year in this part of the UK, nothing unusual to report.

So, the call is simple: wait for Thursday the 10th of September. It’s not a classic, but it’s our best shot in a long, flat spell. Otherwise, the boards stay in the van.

Rusty.

Read more