Mablethorpe Surf Break

Lat Long: 53.30° N 0.30° E

Mablethorpe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 6 am 09 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Mablethorpe sea temperature is
19.5° C
5.2° 

Mablethorpe surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Mablethorpe surf forecast from 9 Jul 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Monday 13 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 7s period, NNE swell with 86 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Mablethorpe this week:

The most powerful waves expected at Mablethorpe in the next 16 days are 0.9m 7s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.3m 5s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 12) at 4PM.

Wave TypeTime (BST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful 4PM (Mon 13th Jul)3ft (0.9m) 7s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Mablethorpe over the next 16 days.


Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on offer for Mablethorpe.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – it's a bleak picture for us over the next sixteen days. The whole period is marked by poor surf conditions. There isn't a single recommendation in the window, so we're looking at a total blank run. That's a long stretch with nothing to get excited about, I know. The swell never really gets its act together, and the wind is mostly wrong. It's one of those spells where the stars just don't align, and for this area, a run like this isn't totally out of the ordinary.

Starting from Thursday the 9th through to Monday the 20th, we're stuck with tiny, weak waves. The water temp is way warmer than normal for this time of year, but that's little consolation.

Looking at the best of a bad bunch, we might see a slight lift around the weekend of the 12th and 13th of July. Sunday morning the 12th could see the swell nudge up to 3ft from the NE, with the combined energy reaching a meager (49), still well short of anything punchy. The wind stays cross-onshore and moderate, so don't expect any clean lines. It's going to be choppy and messy.

The swell sticks around that 3ft mark into Monday the 13th, but it's still all cross-onshore from the NE, with combined energy climbing a touch to (73) in the morning and (86) in the afternoon. It's still poor, just slightly less poor. For the more experienced paddlers, the period stays short and the conditions are going to be a battle.

Later on, there's a tiny hint of something better on Monday the 20th of July. The swell will be tiny at 2ft from the N, but we get a glassy afternoon with zero wind. For a few hours, the surface might look like a lake, but there's just no energy in the water to make a wave worth paddling for. The combined energy is only (11), so it's dead flat.

Honestly, given the consistent onshore and cross-onshore winds and the generally small, weak swells, at times the setup here looks more interesting for a kite surfer than for a paddle surfer, especially when the wind picks up to a fresh breeze.

Save your energy on this one. The forecasts can change, but for now, it's a hard pass from me.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Thu morning, min 14°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Tue morning, min 12°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Thursday
9
Friday
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
Monday
13
Tuesday
14
Wednesday
15
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
NNE
7
0.3
NNE
7
0.4
ESE
4
0.3
NNE
9
0.3
NNE
9
0.2
NNE
8
0.2
N
8
0.6
NE
4
0.8
NE
5
0.9
NE
5
0.9
NE
6
0.9
NE
7
0.9
NE
7
0.9
NNE
7
0.8
NNE
7
0.7
NE
6
0.7
NE
6
0.7
NE
5
0.7
NE
5
0.7
NE
4
0.8
NE
4
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
9
9
6
16
15
7
5
12
37
49
60
77
73
86
57
39
31
25
21
20
24
Wind (km/h)
10
SE
25
ESE
10
SE
15
E
20
ENE
10
ENE
20
NNE
25
NE
20
NNE
25
NE
25
NE
20
NNE
20
NNE
25
NE
20
NNE
25
NNE
25
ENE
25
NE
15
ENE
25
NE
20
NNE
Wind State
cross-on
on
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross
High Tide
1:23PM4.51m
2:20AM4.33m
2:38PM4.56m
3:27AM4.48m
3:49PM4.74m
4:28AM4.73m
4:54PM4.98m
5:24AM5.02m
5:53PM5.22m
6:15AM5.32m
6:48PM5.39m
7:04AM5.57m
7:39PM5.45m
Low Tide
7:53PM1.20m
8:23AM1.69m
9:08PM1.20m
9:41AM1.48m
10:22PM1.08m
10:52AM1.13m
11:26PM0.90m
11:54AM0.72m
00:22AM0.72m
12:48PM0.34m
1:11AM0.61m
1:38PM0.04m
1:57AM0.59m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
light rain
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
4:41
4:43
4:43
4:45
4:46
4:47
4:48
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
9:24
9:23
9:22
9:22
9:21
9:20
9:19
 mm
2
Temp °C
25
24
23
23
22
18
17
17
14
15
14
13
15
15
16
20
20
19
20
20
19
Feels °C
24
21
21
20
19
17
15
14
10
10
9
9
11
11
13
17
16
15
18
16
18
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Mablethorpe Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Mablethorpe provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Mablethorpe can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Mablethorpe surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Mablethorpe) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Mablethorpe may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Mablethorpe is 20 km (12 miles) from Skegness. If you plan a holiday in Lincolnshire, look for hotels and other accommodation in Skegness. Skegness has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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