Mablethorpe Surf Break

Lat Long: 53.30° N 0.30° E

Mablethorpe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 6 pm 21 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Mablethorpe sea temperature is
20.1° C
4.2° 

Mablethorpe surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Mablethorpe surf forecast from 21 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 23 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 8s period, NNE swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 22 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 8s period, N swell with 196 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 23 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 8s period with NNE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Mablethorpe this week:

The surf forecast for Mablethorpe over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 23) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 8s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Mablethorpe in the next 16 days are 1.3m 8s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 22) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 3s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 27) at 4PM.

Wave TypeTime (BST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1AM (Sun 23rd Aug)3ft (0.9m) 8s
Best Surf 1AM (Sun 23rd Aug)3ft (0.9m) 8s
Most Powerful10AM (Sat 22nd Aug)4.5ft (1.3m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Mablethorpe over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what Mablethorpe has in store for us over the next couple of weeks. I’ll be honest, it’s a slow start, but there’s a light at the end of the tunnel.

The water’s sitting at a warm 68°F, which is a good 8°F warmer than normal for this time of year. That’s a bonus right now.

The next week and a half is mostly gutless. We’ve got a lot of cross-shore rubbish to sift through. The only real chance in this stretch is the morning of Sunday the 23rd. The swell will be a weak 3ft from the NNE with an 8-second period, and the energy is a low 99. It’s surfable, but just barely. A light cross-off from the SSW will keep it clean. After that, it just flatlines for over a week. From the 24th right through to the 3rd of September, there’s basically nothing worth paddling out for. It’s a proper blank spell, and it’s just part of the game here sometimes.

Now, for the good news. We’ve got a real pulse of swell showing up for the morning of Thursday, the 4th of September. This is the standout of the whole forecast. We’re looking at a solid 6ft of north swell with a 9-second period, and the combined energy jumps all the way up to a strong 476. The wind is light from the SSW, making it a clean cross-off. This is a proper day for it. It’s a while away, so treat it as promising rather than a guarantee, but it’s the one to circle on the calendar. The afternoon will get a bit messy with a cross-on breeze, so hit it early. The next morning, Saturday the 5th, also has some punch. A 6ft north swell with an 8-second period and a cross-off wind, packing a combined energy of 637. It’s a bit more raw, but still a good time to be out. That kind of size is pushing it for the beginners, but anyone with a bit of experience will be in for a treat.

Hold tight, it’s gonna be a wait, but it might just be worth it.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Fri afternoon. Very mild (max 17°C on Sun morning, min 13°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the N on Fri afternoon, calm by Sat night).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Thu morning. Warm (max 21°C on Wed afternoon, min 15°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Fri
21
Saturday
22
Sunday
23
Monday
24
Tuesday
25
Wednesday
26
Thursday
27
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.4
N
7
1.1
N
8
1.3
N
8
1.1
NNE
8
0.9
NNE
8
0.8
NNE
8
0.8
NNE
8
0.6
NNE
8
0.5
NNE
7
0.4
NNE
7
0.9
E
5
1.1
ENE
6
1.1
ENE
6
0.7
E
5
0.6
ENE
6
0.6
NE
6
0.5
NE
6
0.4
NE
6
0.2
ENE
5
0.3
NE
6
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
181
149
196
163
119
90
75
47
29
15
36
80
69
28
30
29
16
8
3
6
Wind (km/h)
30
N
25
NNW
25
N
15
NNE
5
N
5
SSW
15
ENE
10
ESE
15
ENE
20
E
25
ENE
25
ENE
20
ENE
10
N
10
SSW
15
SE
15
SSW
10
NE
20
NE
25
SW
Wind State
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
glassy
cross-off
on
on
cross-on
on
on
on
on
cross
cross-off
cross-on
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
High Tide
1:25AM3.68m
2:13PM3.71m
2:55AM3.67m
3:40PM3.76m
4:09AM3.89m
4:45PM3.98m
5:03AM4.24m
5:34PM4.27m
5:44AM4.63m
6:13PM4.57m
6:19AM5.00m
6:47PM4.84m
Low Tide
6:42PM2.05m
7:12AM2.13m
8:06PM2.26m
9:03AM2.18m
9:56PM2.18m
10:39AM1.91m
11:02PM1.89m
11:32AM1.51m
11:45PM1.56m
12:11PM1.09m
00:20AM1.25m
12:46PM0.69m
00:54AM0.97m
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
rain showers
light rain
mod rain
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:48
5:50
5:52
5:54
5:56
5:58
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:14
8:12
8:09
8:07
8:05
8:02
8:00
 mm
2
1
3
8
Temp °C
15
15
15
15
14
17
17
16
16
17
16
17
17
17
19
21
21
19
18
16
Feels °C
9
10
11
11
12
15
14
14
13
14
12
13
14
16
17
21
19
19
16
11
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Mablethorpe Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Mablethorpe provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Mablethorpe can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Mablethorpe surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Mablethorpe) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Mablethorpe may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Mablethorpe is 20 km (12 miles) from Skegness. If you plan a holiday in Lincolnshire, look for hotels and other accommodation in Skegness. Skegness has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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