Surf Forecasts:
Mablethorpe surf forecast from 5 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 8 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 9s period, NNW swell with 29 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Mablethorpe this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Mablethorpe in the next 16 days are 0.4m 9s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 4s period and expected on Friday (Jul 10) at 10PM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Wed 8th Jul) | 1.5ft (0.4m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Mablethorpe over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Right then, let's have a look at what we've got around Mablethorpe. I'll be honest with ya, mate, this stretch of coast is lookin' proper flat for the vast majority of the next sixteen days. We're talkin' a massive gap from now all the way through to the end of the first week, with hardly anything worth paddlin' out for.
The water temp is sittin' at a really unusual 67°, which is far warmer than normal for this time of year – that's one positive, I suppose.
Now, if you're desperate for a slide, you gotta wait until the 19th of July, a Sunday afternoon. That's the only time in the whole window where the numbers get even close to worthwhile. The swell finally bumps up to 4 ft out of the east, and the wind swings around to a gentle offshore from the west. That'll clean things up nicely. The energy is still weak though, only 76 combined. It's not gonna be anything epic, but for Mablethorpe, "surfable waves but very ordinary conditions" is as good as it gets on this forecast. If you're a beginner and you've been waitin', that Sunday arvo is your only true shot. Just don't expect any power behind it.
Before that, it's a bust. Tiny dribbles, onshore junk, or cross-off breezes that do nothin' to make the knee-high slop any more attractive. There's one little moment on the 8th of July, a Wednesday morning, where the wind goes glassy and a 1 ft swell shows... but the energy is still piddly at 37, and the "poor surf conditions" stamp says it all. Not worth a trip.
To be blunt, this is a classic Mablethorpe run. It tends to be quiet for long stretches, so this blank spell ain't unusual. Keep an eye on the forecasts, because things can change. But for now, the only day that gets a mention is that Sunday the 19th.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Mon afternoon, min 16°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Tue afternoon, min 16°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WNW on Tue afternoon, calm by Wed morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sat 4 | Sunday 5 | Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 6 | N 6 | N 6 | NNW 5 | N 5 | N 5 | N 6 | N 6 | N 12 | N 6 | NNW 9 | N 9 | N 8 | N 8 | NNE 7 | NNE 7 | ESE 4 | NNE 9 | ESE 4 | NNE 8 | NNE 7 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 8 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 29 | 24 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 6 | 5 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | off | glassy | on | cross | cross-on | on | on | on | on | on | on |
High Tide | 9:44PM4.53m | 9:48AM5.02m | 10:25PM4.45m | 10:28AM4.90m | 11:12PM4.37m | 11:16AM4.75m | 00:08AM4.30m | 12:14PM4.60m | 1:12AM4.27m | 1:23PM4.51m | 2:20AM4.33m | 2:38PM4.56m | 3:27AM4.48m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 3:50AM1.25m | 4:25PM0.78m | 4:30AM1.38m | 5:07PM0.87m | 5:15AM1.53m | 5:53PM0.99m | 6:07AM1.65m | 6:48PM1.11m | 7:09AM1.73m | 7:53PM1.20m | 8:23AM1.69m | 9:08PM1.20m | 9:41AM1.48m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | | | |  | | | |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 4:37 | — | — | 4:39 | — | — | 4:39 | — | — | 4:41 | — | — | 4:41 | — | — | 4:43 | — | — | 4:43 |
 | — | 9:28 | — | — | 9:27 | — | — | 9:27 | — | — | 9:25 | — | — | 9:24 | — | — | 9:24 | — | — | 9:23 | 9:22 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 22 | 19 | 21 | 23 | 19 | 25 | 27 | 20 | 26 | 27 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 20 | 23 | 22 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 16 | 18 |
Feels °C | 17 | 16 | 18 | 22 | 18 | 21 | 22 | 18 | 22 | 22 | 20 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 21 | 19 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 17 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 6 | N 6 | N 6 | NNW 5 | N 4 | N 5 | N 6 | N 6 | N 5 | N 6 | N 6 | N 9 | N 8 | N 8 | NNE 7 | NNE 7 | NNE 6 | NNE 9 | NNE 8 | ESE 4 | NNE 7 |
| kJ | 8 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 6 | 5 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | N 5 | — | — | — | N 7 | N 11 | N 9 | N 9 | N 8 | NNE 5 | — | N 12 | N 10 | NE 6 | NE 5 | NNE 8 | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 6 | 2 | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 6 | NE 6 | NE 5 | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 3 | WNW 3 | WNW 3 | — | W 2 | WNW 3 | WNW 3 | WNW 3 | WNW 3 | NW 3 | NNW 9 | — | — | — | — | ESE 3 | ESE 4 | ESE 3 | ESE 4 | SSW 3 | N 2 |
| kJ | 5 | 3 | 4 | — | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 29 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 1 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 396 | 279 | 367 | 476 | 481 | 473 | 491 | 469 | 473 | 531 | 118 | 417 | 417 | 50 | 417 | 527 | 417 | 363 | 361 | 365 | 365 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Lincolnshire | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Mablethorpe Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Mablethorpe provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Mablethorpe can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Mablethorpe surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Mablethorpe) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Mablethorpe may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Mablethorpe is 20 km (12 miles) from Skegness. If you plan a holiday in Lincolnshire, look for hotels and other accommodation in Skegness. Skegness has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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