Mablethorpe Surf Break

Lat Long: 53.30° N 0.30° E

Mablethorpe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 12 pm 27 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Mablethorpe sea temperature is
19.3° C
3.9° 

Mablethorpe surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Mablethorpe surf forecast from 27 Jul 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Friday 31 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 8s period, N swell with 34 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Mablethorpe this week:

The most powerful waves expected at Mablethorpe in the next 16 days are 0.5m 8s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 31) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 4s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 10PM.

Wave TypeTime (BST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful 4PM (Fri 31st Jul)1.5ft (0.5m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Mablethorpe over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here, giving you the lowdown on Mablethorpe.

Let’s be real, the next 16 days are a total dud for surfing. The water is feeling like a hot tub at 67°F, which is about 7°F warmer than what’s normal for this time of year, but that’s the only thing that’s out of the ordinary.

From Monday the 27th through the end of July, it’s flat. We’re looking at ankle-snappers, mostly around 0.7ft to 1ft, coming from the north with a short period of 8-9 seconds. The combined energy is weak, sitting between 5 and 25 (weak energy). Winds are light and sometimes offshore, but there’s just no wave to ride.

We get a tiny glimmer on Saturday the 1st of August. The morning shows a 2ft north swell with a gentle offshore, but the energy is still low at 39 (weak energy). The afternoon goes glassy with a 2ft north swell, but the period drops to 7 seconds, making it weak and disorganized. Still not worth getting wet.

The rest of the run is a write-off. From Sunday the 2nd through the second week, the swell rarely gets above 3ft, and the wind is mostly from the east, blowing straight onshore. The energy finally shows a pulse on the 9th of August, hitting 122 (moderate wave energy) with a 3ft north swell, but it’s a short 9-second period and a choppy cross-onshore wind.

The best of a bad bunch is Tuesday the 11th of August. The morning has a 3ft north swell, a 9-second period, and the most energy we’ll see at 133 (moderate wave energy). But the wind is onshore from the east, and the swell is still too small and short-period to form anything decent.

There’s no standout here. It’s a solid 16 days of poor surf conditions. If you’ve got a kite, the onshore wind days might be fun, but for a surfboard, it’s a no-go. Things can always change, but right now, the forecast is a long, flat stretch.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Tue afternoon, min 17°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Thu afternoon, min 12°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Monday
27
Tuesday
28
Wednesday
29
Thursday
30
Friday
31
Saturday
1
Sunday
2
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
N
8
0.3
N
8
0.5
N
8
0.4
N
8
0.4
N
9
0.3
N
9
0.2
N
9
0.3
N
10
0.3
N
9
0.3
N
9
0.2
N
9
0.2
N
8
0.2
N
8
0.5
N
8
0.2
N
8
0.4
NNE
7
0.3
N
8
0.3
N
8
0.2
N
9
0.3
N
9
0.3
N
9
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
12
12
32
23
25
14
6
16
14
13
6
5
5
34
5
18
10
10
6
13
15
Wind (km/h)
15
WNW
20
WNW
15
W
20
SW
10
SSW
5
WNW
5
S
20
SE
15
NW
15
W
20
WSW
15
WNW
15
NW
25
E
10
SW
10
W
15
ENE
15
NW
10
N
20
E
15
NE
Wind State
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
cross
cross-on
cross-off
off
cross-off
off
cross-off
on
cross-off
off
on
cross-off
cross
on
cross-on
High Tide
5:47PM4.38m
6:03AM4.62m
6:29PM4.57m
6:41AM4.90m
7:06PM4.72m
7:15AM5.14m
7:41PM4.84m
7:47AM5.32m
8:14PM4.91m
8:18AM5.43m
8:47PM4.94m
8:50AM5.45m
9:21PM4.93m
Low Tide
11:47AM1.47m
00:03AM1.46m
12:29PM1.16m
00:40AM1.24m
1:06PM0.86m
1:15AM1.06m
1:42PM0.61m
1:48AM0.93m
2:16PM0.44m
2:21AM0.86m
2:50PM0.34m
2:55AM0.86m
3:23PM0.33m
3:29AM0.91m
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:05
5:07
5:09
5:09
5:11
5:13
5:15
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
9:02
9:00
9:00
8:58
8:55
8:54
8:52
 mm
Temp °C
20
24
20
26
28
27
28
28
22
22
25
18
18
16
17
20
20
19
18
17
16
Feels °C
16
19
18
24
27
25
26
25
19
18
20
13
15
11
15
18
16
18
14
13
13
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Mablethorpe Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Mablethorpe provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Mablethorpe can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Mablethorpe surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Mablethorpe) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Mablethorpe may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Mablethorpe is 20 km (12 miles) from Skegness. If you plan a holiday in Lincolnshire, look for hotels and other accommodation in Skegness. Skegness has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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