Surf Forecasts:
Mablethorpe surf forecast from 30 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 4 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 7s period, NE swell with 193 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Mablethorpe this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Mablethorpe in the next 16 days are 1.4m 7s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 04) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.3m 3s period and expected on Friday (Jul 31) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Tue 4th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Mablethorpe over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, this is Rusty. Let’s be straight with you – it’s pretty grim out there for the next couple of weeks. There are no good surf options in this entire 16-day window for Mablethorpe, none at all. Every single forecast slot scores a big fat zero for quality. The punches just aren’t landing. The area is exposed to the north, but the swell that shows is tiny, close to flat, and the wind is nearly always in the wrong spot. The problem isn’t just the size; it’s the constant cross-onshore or onshore breeze that’s chopping everything up, even when a bit of energy tries to show. It’s the kind of run where you’re better off leaving the board in the shed.
Looking at the first week, from Thursday the 30th of July right through to the morning of Monday the 10th of August, it’s a total blank. You’d be chasing ankle-biters with wind ripples. There’s a bit of a bump on the 4th of August morning with combined swell energy climbing to 186 (moderate energy) and a wave height of 4 ft, but the wind is smashing it from the ENE at 16 mph, cross-onshore, and the period is a short, weak 7 seconds. It’s just a washing machine – more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. The water temperature is about average for this time of year. There’s nothing here to recommend.
After that long gap, the only day that even sniffs a recommendation is Tuesday the 11th of August morning. We finally get an offshore breeze from the WSW at 9 mph, which will clean things up. The swell is tiny though, only 3 ft from the north-northeast with a 7-second period, and the combined energy is 129 (moderate). It’s described as ‘surfable waves but very ordinary conditions’. The rating is just 2 out of 5 for a beginner spot that’s inconsistent. It’s the least bad option in a very bad bunch. But honestly, there’s no standout here. Not even close. The rest of the second week slides back into tiny, wind-affected mush.
So, that’s the long and short of it. Sometimes the ocean just ain’t playing ball. Forecasts can always change, but for now, this is a solid pass.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Thu morning, min 14°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Very mild (max 18°C on Mon morning, min 14°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 5 | N 5 | N 10 | N 5 | N 8 | N 8 | E 4 | ENE 5 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | NE 7 | NE 7 | NE 6 | NE 6 | NE 5 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 13 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 15 | 40 | 75 | 159 | 189 | 135 | 102 | 115 | 45 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-off | off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 7:41PM4.84m | 7:47AM5.32m | 8:14PM4.91m | 8:18AM5.43m | 8:47PM4.94m | 8:50AM5.45m | 9:21PM4.93m | 9:25AM5.38m | 9:57PM4.85m | 10:02AM5.24m | 10:38PM4.71m | 10:46AM5.01m | 11:25PM4.51m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 1:42PM0.61m | 1:48AM0.93m | 2:16PM0.44m | 2:21AM0.86m | 2:50PM0.34m | 2:55AM0.86m | 3:23PM0.33m | 3:29AM0.91m | 3:58PM0.42m | 4:05AM1.02m | 4:36PM0.59m | 4:45AM1.19m | 5:18PM0.84m | ||||||||
 | |  |  | | | | |  | | | | | |  | | |  |  | | | |
 | 5:09 | — | — | 5:11 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:18 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — |
 | — | 8:58 | — | — | 8:55 | — | — | 8:54 | — | — | 8:52 | — | — | 8:51 | — | — | 8:49 | — | — | 8:46 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | 3 |
Temp °C | 21 | 19 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 20 | 21 | 19 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 |
Feels °C | 20 | 17 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 19 | 19 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 5 | N 5 | N 5 | N 5 | N 8 | N 8 | N 7 | N 11 | N 10 | N 9 | — | N 9 | N 8 | — | — |
| kJ | 13 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 32 | 27 | — | 14 | 6 | — | — |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | N 8 | E 4 | — | — | N 7 | N 9 | N 8 | — | N 12 | N 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | 5 | 1 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 5 | — | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | N 9 | — | N 8 | N 7 | N 10 | N 7 | — | — | N 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NNE 2 | — | NNE 3 | NE 3 | NW 2 | — | — | NNW 3 | — | — | E 3 | E 4 | ENE 5 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | NE 7 | NE 7 | NE 6 | NE 6 | NE 5 |
| kJ | — | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 3 | 15 | 40 | 75 | 159 | 189 | 135 | 102 | 115 | 45 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 582 | 653 | 485 | 527 | 618 | 635 | 548 | 428 | 485 | 529 | 361 | 182 | 274 | 274 | 300 | 544 | 363 | 545 | 544 | 424 | |
Best forecast wave conditions in Lincolnshire | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Mablethorpe Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Mablethorpe provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Mablethorpe can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Mablethorpe surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Mablethorpe) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Mablethorpe may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Mablethorpe is 20 km (12 miles) from Skegness. If you plan a holiday in Lincolnshire, look for hotels and other accommodation in Skegness. Skegness has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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