Surf Forecasts:
Mablethorpe surf forecast from 18 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 22 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 8s period, N swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 21 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 9s period, N swell with 220 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 22 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 8s period with N swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Mablethorpe this week:
The surf forecast for Mablethorpe over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 22) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Mablethorpe in the next 16 days are 1.2m 9s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 21) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Tuesday (Aug 18) at 10PM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Sat 22nd Aug) | 4ft (1.2m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Sat 22nd Aug) | 4ft (1.2m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Fri 21st Aug) | 4ft (1.2m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Mablethorpe over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what we’ve got coming up.
Honestly, it’s a pretty lean run for the next couple of weeks. The first proper wave worth talking about doesn’t show until Saturday the 22nd, and even then it’s nothing to write home about. For the most part, we’re looking at a lot of small, weak swell with poor conditions. There’s a huge stretch from now all the way through to Saturday morning with nothing surfable, so don’t bother checking the cams until then.
The only two days that even flicker to life are Saturday the 22nd and then Wednesday the 2nd of September. Saturday morning at Mablethorpe has some 3ft of north swell (9-second period) and clean conditions with a light cross-offshore breeze. It’s surfable, but just barely. The wave energy is moderate (151), but the shape will be ordinary. It’s a beach break with north swell, and this setup will be a bit walled-off and tricky.
The better of the two and the real standout comes on Wednesday the 2nd of September in the morning. Swell bumps up slightly to 3ft from the north, with a moderate offshore wind out of the west, making for clean faces. The period hits 9 seconds, so it’s got a touch more push, and the combined energy is 139. It’s still small, but it’s the cleanest wave in the whole window. That morning is your best bet if you’re desperate for a paddle.
Water temp is sitting at 69°, which is a massive 8° above normal, so it’s much warmer than usual for this time of year.
Overall, the consistency is poor. This area is prone to flat spells like this, so don’t be surprised. Forecasts can change, but right now you’re waiting until the first week of September for the best of a pretty average bunch.
Stay patient.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Wed afternoon. Warm (max 22°C on Tue morning, min 13°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri morning, min 12°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | Sunday 23 | Monday 24 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 8 | N 7 | N 7 | N 8 | N 8 | NNE 7 | NNE 8 | N 4 | NNE 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 9 | N 9 | NNE 8 | N 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | N 8 | NNE 8 | N 7 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
4 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 19 | 15 | 101 | 205 | 210 | 147 | 151 | 154 | 96 | 114 | 92 | 68 | 58 | 44 | 26 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | off | off | glassy | off | off | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 10:13AM5.15m | 10:42PM4.58m | 10:54AM4.72m | 11:22PM4.23m | 11:42AM4.29m | 00:12AM3.91m | 12:45PM3.91m | 1:25AM3.68m | 2:13PM3.71m | 2:55AM3.67m | 3:40PM3.76m | 4:09AM3.89m | 4:45PM3.98m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 4:33PM0.81m | 4:40AM1.24m | 5:08PM1.26m | 5:18AM1.55m | 5:48PM1.69m | 6:05AM1.86m | 6:42PM2.05m | 7:12AM2.13m | 8:06PM2.26m | 9:03AM2.18m | 9:56PM2.18m | 10:39AM1.91m | 11:02PM1.89m | ||||||||
5:43 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | |
— | 8:21 | — | — | 8:19 | — | — | 8:16 | — | — | 8:14 | — | — | 8:12 | — | — | 8:09 | — | — | 8:07 | — | |
mm | — | — | 1 | — | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 22 | 22 | 17 | 20 | 19 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 15 |
Feels °C | 17 | 17 | 13 | 18 | 18 | 15 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 13 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 8 | N 7 | N 5 | N 8 | N 8 | NNE 7 | NNE 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNE 8 | NNE 9 | — | NNE 8 | N 8 | NNE 8 | N 7 |
4 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 96 | 77 | — | 68 | 58 | 44 | 26 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | N 7 | NW 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | 4 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | N 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 2 | W 3 | W 3 | W 3 | — | — | — | N 4 | NNE 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 9 | N 9 | — | N 8 | NNE 8 | — | — | — | — |
1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | 15 | 101 | 205 | 210 | 147 | 151 | 154 | — | 114 | 92 | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 325 | 582 | 308 | 469 | 457 | 321 | 118 | 384 | 266 | 218 | 220 | 87 | 0 | 220 | 87 | 220 | 220 | 87 | 87 | 485 | 50 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Lincolnshire | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Mablethorpe Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Mablethorpe provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Mablethorpe can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Mablethorpe surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Mablethorpe) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Mablethorpe may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Mablethorpe is 20 km (12 miles) from Skegness. If you plan a holiday in Lincolnshire, look for hotels and other accommodation in Skegness. Skegness has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











