Mablethorpe Surf Break

Mablethorpe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Lat Long: 53.30° N 0.30° E

Issued: 6 pm 05 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Mablethorpe sea temperature is
19.6° C

5.7°C warmer than normal for this time of year

Mablethorpe surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Mablethorpe surf forecast from 5 Jul 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 12 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 4s period, NE swell with 26 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Mablethorpe this week:

The most powerful waves expected at Mablethorpe in the next 16 days are 0.8m 4s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 12) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 3s period and expected on Monday (Jul 06) at 1PM.

Wave TypeTime (BST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful 7PM (Sun 12th Jul)2.5ft (0.8m) 4s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Mablethorpe over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

G’day, Rusty here. I’ve had a good look at what’s on offer for Mablethorpe over the next couple of weeks, and I gotta be straight with you—it’s a tough run. The swell just doesn’t show up with any real grunt, and most days you’re looking at tiny, weak surf that’s barely worth paddling for. The water temp is sitting at a very unusual 67°, which is far warmer than normal for this time of year, so at least you won’t need a thick suit.

The whole 16-day forecast period is basically a write-off for decent waves. There’s a long gap of nothing rideable from the start, and even the few sessions that pop up are well under 3 ft. The first real chance comes on Sunday, July 6th, when we get a tiny 0.7 ft swell from the north with a short 5-second period and weak energy (2). The wind is offshore from the west at 15 mph on Monday morning, keeping the surface clean, but the wave height is so small you’d be struggling to do much more than float. That clean offshore wind is a nice touch, but there’s just no power behind it.

Tuesday, July 7th is similar—0.7 ft from the north, period up to 7 seconds, still with clean offshore or cross-off winds. The energy stays very weak (6). Honestly, even for a beginner spot, you’re chasing knee-high ripples at best.

Later in the week, on Wednesday, July 8th, the swell bumps up to 1 ft from the north with a weak 6-second period, and the wind swings cross-shore from the north at 6 mph. It’s clean, but the energy is still only 11. There’s a bit more activity around Saturday, July 12th, when we see 2 ft to 3 ft from the northeast with a short 4 to 5-second period and moderate energy (32 at best). The wind is cross-onshore though, so expect choppy, messy conditions. Not a standout by any stretch.

The best of a bad bunch is probably Monday afternoon, July 13th, when we get 2 ft from the north-northeast with a 7-second period and the highest combined energy of the entire forecast at 80 (moderate wave energy). It’s still cross-onshore and choppy, but if you’re desperate, that’s the most push you’ll feel. Still, only for beginners who just want to get wet, and even then, it’s not good.

After that, it drops back to tiny or flat conditions for the second week. The period from July 19th onwards is essentially flat, with no swell recorded and zero energy. Mablethorpe is an inconsistent break, and this stretch is a classic example of that blank run. For a spot like this, it’s normal to have long periods with no real surf. The short-period, weak swell and mostly onshore or cross-onshore winds mean this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

Stay patient, mate. It won’t stay poor forever.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Mon afternoon, min 16°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the W on Mon afternoon, light winds from the N by Wed morning).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Thu morning, min 18°C on Wed night). Mainly fresh winds.

Sun
5
Monday
6
Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
Friday
10
Saturday
11
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
N
5
0.2
N
4
0.2
N
5
0.1
N
5
0.2
N
6
0.2
N
7
0.2
N
7
0.2
N
7
0.3
N
6
0.2
N
8
0.4
NNE
8
0.4
NNE
7
0.3
NNE
7
0.4
ESE
4
0.2
NNE
9
0.3
NNE
8
0.5
E
4
0.5
E
4
0.5
E
4
0.5
ENE
4
0.6
E
5
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
2
1
2
1
3
4
4
4
6
5
22
18
9
6
8
14
7
9
9
10
16
Wind (km/h)
15
WNW
15
WSW
25
W
30
W
15
WSW
30
W
25
NW
15
WNW
10
N
20
E
10
SSE
15
SSE
30
ESE
15
SE
15
ESE
25
E
15
E
20
E
25
NE
20
NE
25
NE
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
off
cross-off
off
cross
on
cross
cross-on
on
cross-on
on
on
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
High Tide
10:25PM4.45m
10:28AM4.90m
11:12PM4.37m
11:16AM4.75m
00:08AM4.30m
12:14PM4.60m
1:12AM4.27m
1:23PM4.51m
2:20AM4.33m
2:38PM4.56m
3:27AM4.48m
3:49PM4.74m
4:28AM4.73m
Low Tide
4:25PM0.78m
4:30AM1.38m
5:07PM0.87m
5:15AM1.53m
5:53PM0.99m
6:07AM1.65m
6:48PM1.11m
7:09AM1.73m
7:53PM1.20m
8:23AM1.69m
9:08PM1.20m
9:41AM1.48m
10:22PM1.08m
10:52AM1.13m
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
4:39
4:39
4:41
4:41
4:43
4:43
4:45
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
9:27
9:27
9:25
9:24
9:24
9:23
9:22
9:22
 mm
Temp °C
22
19
25
26
20
25
25
21
22
21
20
25
25
23
24
23
21
20
19
17
18
Feels °C
20
18
19
20
18
21
21
18
22
19
19
23
21
21
21
19
18
17
16
14
14
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
N
5
0.2
N
4
0.2
N
5
0.1
N
5
0.2
N
6
0.2
N
5
0.2
N
7
0.2
N
7
0.3
N
6
0.3
N
5
0.4
NNE
8
0.4
NNE
7
0.3
NNE
7
0.2
NNE
6
0.2
NNE
9
0.3
NNE
8
0.2
NNE
8
0.2
N
8
0.2
N
8
0.6
E
5
Energy kJ
2
1
2
1
3
2
4
4
6
5
22
18
9
4
8
14
7
5
5
16
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
N
5
0.2
N
6
0.2
N
7
0.1
N
11
0.1
N
9
0.2
N
8
0.2
N
8
0.1
N
12
0.1
N
10
0.2
N
6
0.2
N
8
0.1
N
7
Energy kJ
1
3
4
2
2
5
5
3
2
3
5
1
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
SW
4
0.1
N
10
0.1
N
6
Energy kJ
1
2
1
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
NW
2
0.4
WNW
3
0.5
W
3
0.4
WNW
3
0.4
WNW
3
0.3
NW
2
0.3
SE
3
0.4
ESE
3
0.4
ESE
4
0.3
ESE
3
0.5
ESE
4
0.5
E
4
0.5
E
4
0.5
E
4
0.5
ENE
4
0.6
ENE
5
Energy kJ
1
3
5
3
4
1
1
3
6
2
7
7
9
9
10
14
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Distance (km)
422
476
498
525
482
498
531
428
417
219
50
492
438
219
157
361
388
432
423
398
457
Best forecast wave conditions in Lincolnshire
Rating
(10 max)
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
2
2
1
2
2
2
1
1
2
1
1
1
2
1
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
6
4
8
7
5
5
9
8
9
9
5
5
6
5
8
5
5
8
6
5
5
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Mablethorpe Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Mablethorpe provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Mablethorpe can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Mablethorpe surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Mablethorpe) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Mablethorpe may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Mablethorpe is 20 km (12 miles) from Skegness. If you plan a holiday in Lincolnshire, look for hotels and other accommodation in Skegness. Skegness has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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