Surf Forecasts:
Mablethorpe surf forecast from 24 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 27 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 8s period, N swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 27 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 8s period, N swell with 36 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 27 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 8s period with N swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Mablethorpe this week:
The surf forecast for Mablethorpe over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 27) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.5m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Mablethorpe in the next 16 days are 0.5m 8s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 27) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 3s period and expected on Monday (Jul 27) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7PM (Mon 27th Jul) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 7PM (Mon 27th Jul) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Mon 27th Jul) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Mablethorpe over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here again. Looking at the charts for Mablethorpe, it’s a tough stretch for the wave-starved crew. This is a classic case of the North Sea giving us next to nothing. We’re looking at a solid 16-day window, but the first real sniff of surf is a long way off, and even then it’s not going to set the world on fire.
The whole period kicks off with a long, dry gap. From Friday 24 July all the way through to the morning of Thursday 6 August, the surf is just plain poor. The swell is barely a ripple, mostly 0.7ft to 2ft, with a short, weak period of 6 to 10 seconds. The combined energy is a paltry 5 to 56, just a whisper of what we need. Even on the 8th of August, when the period stretches to 12 seconds, the swell is only 0.7ft, so it’s a tease. The wind is often offshore or glassy, which is a tragedy because the waves are too small to ride.
The first real chance to paddle out comes on Thursday morning, 6 August. The wind is blowing offshore from the west at 12 mph, which will keep the surface clean. The swell is still a tiny 2ft from the north, with a period of 8 seconds. The combined energy is a weak 32. It’s not a standout, but it’s the first whiff of actual surf in over a week. The water temperature is a balmy 65°, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year (3° anomaly), so at least you won’t freeze.
The only break worth a mention is Mablethorpe (United Kingdom). It’s a beginner spot, inconsistent, and it only breaks rarely, so the fact that we’re even talking about it tells you how slim the pickings are. The best on offer is the afternoon of Saturday 8 August. The wind is light offshore from the west-northwest at 6 mph, making for clean conditions. The swell is 2ft from the north, with a period of 11 seconds. That longer period gives it a bit of push, and the combined energy climbs to 62. It’s the best we’ve got, but it’s still small. Crowds are a possibility, but with waves this small, you’ll have no trouble finding your own peak.
Overall, it’s a lean run. The forecast can change, but right now, if you’re not a beginner or a paddleboarder, you might be better off keeping the board in the car. The setup is so weak that it’s more interesting for kite surfing than a proper paddle surf session.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Sun morning. Warm (max 26°C on Fri afternoon, min 13°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (light winds from the WNW on Fri afternoon, fresh winds from the WNW by Sat afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Tue night. Warm (max 28°C on Tue morning, min 18°C on Mon morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 6 | NNE 6 | NNE 6 | N 6 | N 6 | N 7 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 10 | N 9 | N 9 | N 9 | N 8 | E 4 | N 8 | N 10 | ENE 4 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 16 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 33 | 35 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 9 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | off | off | off | glassy | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | on | on | glassy | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 2:56PM3.97m | 3:33AM3.93m | 4:02PM4.03m | 4:31AM4.10m | 4:59PM4.19m | 5:21AM4.34m | 5:47PM4.38m | 6:03AM4.62m | 6:29PM4.57m | 6:41AM4.90m | 7:06PM4.72m | 7:15AM5.14m | 7:41PM4.84m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 9:10PM1.97m | 9:48AM1.98m | 10:25PM1.89m | 10:56AM1.76m | 11:21PM1.69m | 11:47AM1.47m | 00:03AM1.46m | 12:29PM1.16m | 00:40AM1.24m | 1:06PM0.86m | 1:15AM1.06m | 1:42PM0.61m | 1:48AM0.93m | ||||||||
 | |  |  | |  |  |  | | | | | | |  | | | | | | | |
 | 5:01 | — | — | 5:03 | — | — | 5:03 | — | — | 5:05 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — |
 | — | — | 9:07 | — | — | 9:06 | — | — | 9:04 | — | — | 9:02 | — | — | 9:00 | — | — | 9:00 | — | 8:58 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 24 | 26 | 19 | 23 | 21 | 17 | 22 | 21 | 18 | 22 | 25 | 21 | 28 | 28 | 23 | 26 | 24 | 22 | 24 | 23 | 18 |
Feels °C | 21 | 24 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 17 | 18 | 13 | 19 | 21 | 21 | 25 | 24 | 21 | 24 | 21 | 20 | 24 | 21 | 17 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 6 | NNE 6 | NNE 6 | N 6 | N 6 | N 7 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 5 | N 8 | N 8 | N 10 | N 9 | N 9 | N 9 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 10 | N 9 |
| kJ | 16 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 33 | 35 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 6 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | N 7 | — | — | — | — | N 8 | N 8 | N 10 | — | — | — | ESE 4 | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | 11 | 21 | 9 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | N 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | NW 3 | W 3 | W 3 | W 3 | W 2 | NW 3 | WNW 3 | WNW 3 | — | — | — | S 2 | SE 4 | — | E 2 | E 4 | E 4 | E 4 | ENE 4 |
| kJ | — | — | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 2 | — | — | — | 1 | 7 | — | 1 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1703 | 1125 | 498 | 698 | 698 | 459 | 624 | 401 | 337 | 50 | 101 | 6 | 50 | 300 | 425 | 527 | 457 | 477 | 500 | 500 | 544 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Lincolnshire | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Mablethorpe Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Mablethorpe provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Mablethorpe can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Mablethorpe surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Mablethorpe) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Mablethorpe may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Mablethorpe is 20 km (12 miles) from Skegness. If you plan a holiday in Lincolnshire, look for hotels and other accommodation in Skegness. Skegness has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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