Mablethorpe Surf Break

Lat Long: 53.30° N 0.30° E

Mablethorpe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 6 am 29 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Mablethorpe sea temperature is
19.3° C
3.8° 

Mablethorpe surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Mablethorpe surf forecast from 29 Jul 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 4 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 6s period, NE swell with 106 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Mablethorpe this week:

The most powerful waves expected at Mablethorpe in the next 16 days are 0.7m 10s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 04) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Friday (Jul 31) at 1AM.

Wave TypeTime (BST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful 1PM (Tue 4th Aug)4ft (1.2m) 6s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Mablethorpe over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on offer for Mablethorpe over the next couple of weeks. Straight up, I gotta be honest with you – it's a pretty flat spell we're looking at. The data is showing a whole lot of nothing for a good long stretch, so temper those expectations.

We're looking at clean conditions on Wednesday the 29th of July with a light cross-off breeze, but the swell is barely a ripple at 0.7ft from the north. The water is sitting at 67°, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year – over five degrees warmer, so a pretty unusual anomaly. But honestly, with that tiny swell and combined wave energy at a mere 6, it's barely worth paddling out for. Thursday the 30th brings a bit of offshore wind in the morning, but again, we're stuck with a 1ft north swell. It's clean, but it's just ankle-snappers. Friday morning the 31st is a similar story with a little 1ft north swell and light cross-shore winds.

The weekend doesn't offer much either. Saturday the 1st of August has a tiny 0.7ft north swell in the morning with light offshore wind – clean but pathetic. The next few days just blend into the same pattern: small, weak swells with energy readings in the teens or less, and generally poor surf conditions flagged across the board. By Tuesday the 4th, we see a slight bump with a 4ft north-easterly swell, but it's accompanied by a fresh, lumpy cross-onshore wind at 19 mph, making it a messy, choppy mess. The wave energy hits 106 (moderate), but with that wind, it's not going to be any fun for a paddle surfer. Honestly, with that wind and the beach setup, that afternoon might look more interesting for the kite surfers than us.

We get a little more hope by Wednesday the 5th of August as the swell drops back but the wind goes cross-off. Still, we're talking about 1ft to 2ft swells, so nothing to get excited about. This limp pattern continues right through to the end of the forecast period on Thursday the 13th of August. The biggest waves we see are on Monday the 10th of August, with a 3ft north-north-easterly swell in the afternoon and a clean cross-off breeze – combined energy of 64 (weak to moderate). But that's the standout of a pretty quiet window. For the rest of it, we're looking at long gaps of days with no real recommendations.

So, the best on offer in this 16-day window? That Monday the 10th of August afternoon. The swell is a tad under 3ft from the north-northeast, the wind is light and clean from the southwest – a proper cross-off. It'll be small and weak, but if you're desperate for a splash on a longboard, that's your best bet. It's still inconsistent, and the spelling-out continues, so don't expect much. It's a tough run for Mablethorpe, but the forecasts can always change. Keep your eyes peeled.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 29°C on Wed afternoon, min 13°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Sat afternoon, min 14°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (calm on Sat night, fresh winds from the ENE by Mon night).

Wednesday
29
Thursday
30
Friday
31
Saturday
1
Sunday
2
Monday
3
Tuesday
4
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
N
9
0.3
N
10
0.3
N
9
0.3
N
8
0.3
N
8
0.2
N
8
0.4
N
6
0.3
N
8
0.3
N
8
0.2
N
6
0.1
N
7
0.1
N
9
0.2
N
8
0.3
N
8
0.4
NE
3
0.6
NE
4
0.8
ENE
4
1
ENE
5
1.2
NE
6
1.2
NE
6
0.7
N
10
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
6
16
14
13
12
5
10
10
10
3
1
2
6
11
2
8
22
54
89
106
94
Wind (km/h)
15
SSW
15
SSE
15
WNW
20
WNW
15
W
15
NNW
10
N
25
ESE
5
SSW
10
WNW
10
ESE
15
NW
10
NE
20
ENE
15
ENE
30
ENE
30
ENE
35
NE
30
ENE
30
NNE
20
NNE
Wind State
cross-off
cross
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross
on
glassy
off
cross-on
cross-off
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
High Tide
7:06PM4.72m
7:15AM5.14m
7:41PM4.84m
7:47AM5.32m
8:14PM4.91m
8:18AM5.43m
8:47PM4.94m
8:50AM5.45m
9:21PM4.93m
9:25AM5.38m
9:57PM4.85m
10:02AM5.24m
10:38PM4.71m
Low Tide
1:06PM0.86m
1:15AM1.06m
1:42PM0.61m
1:48AM0.93m
2:16PM0.44m
2:21AM0.86m
2:50PM0.34m
2:55AM0.86m
3:23PM0.33m
3:29AM0.91m
3:58PM0.42m
4:05AM1.02m
4:36PM0.59m
clear
part cloud
clear
cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
light rain
heavy rain
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:09
5:09
5:11
5:13
5:15
5:16
5:18
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
9:00
8:58
8:55
8:54
8:52
8:51
8:49
 mm
3
16
Temp °C
28
29
25
21
24
18
18
17
17
20
21
19
17
17
16
16
16
15
15
14
14
Feels °C
25
26
23
18
20
16
14
12
14
18
18
18
14
13
13
11
11
9
9
9
10
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Mablethorpe Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Mablethorpe provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Mablethorpe can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Mablethorpe surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Mablethorpe) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Mablethorpe may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Mablethorpe is 20 km (12 miles) from Skegness. If you plan a holiday in Lincolnshire, look for hotels and other accommodation in Skegness. Skegness has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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