Mablethorpe Surf Break

Lat Long: 53.30° N 0.30° E

Mablethorpe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 12 am 27 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Mablethorpe sea temperature is
19.0°C
3.3° 

Mablethorpe surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Mablethorpe surf forecast from 27 Aug 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 27 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 5s period, E swell with 55 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Mablethorpe this week:

The most powerful waves expected at Mablethorpe in the next 16 days are 1.0m 5s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 27) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 3s period and expected on Friday (Aug 28) at 7PM.

Wave TypeTime (BST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful10AM (Thu 27th Aug)3.5ft (1.0m) 5s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Mablethorpe over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Right then, let's be honest with you. The next couple of weeks are looking pretty flat for the Mablethorpe area. We've got a real dry spell on our hands, and if you're after proper waves, you're gonna be staring at a lot of nothing. There's nothing on the cards that's worth getting excited about, and honestly, it's a tough stretch. The good news is that some of the breaks are fairly consistent, so it tends not to stay this poor for long. Forecasts can change, so keep an eye on it.

Looking at the start, Thursday the 27th is a total washout. We've got light rain and a moderate breeze with a messy, onshore wind. The swell is tiny, coming in from the east at about 3ft with a weak period of 5 seconds. The combined energy is a meager 55, and it's just poor surf conditions. Not worth paddling out for.

Friday the 28th cleans up a little with a cross-offshore wind, but the swell has dropped to 2ft from the ENE with a period of 6 seconds. It's clean, but there's just no power behind it. The energy is down to 25, which is about as weak as it gets. It's still a no-go.

The weekend isn't offering any salvation. Saturday the 29th has a tiny 0.7ft swell in the morning, and then the wind swings onshore in the afternoon, making things lumpy. Sunday the 30th has a better offshore wind, but the swell is a pathetic 1ft from the north with a period of 7 seconds. The energy is just 16. It's clean but absolutely tiny.

The first week of September is more of the same. From Monday the 1st through to Sunday the 7th, we're looking at swells between 0.3ft and 1ft. There's a period of clean conditions with some offshore winds, but it's all surface texture with no actual wave. The energy readings are all in single digits or low twenties, which is just nothing. The water temp is about average for the time of year, so no surprises there.

Then there's a real lull from the 8th. The morning of the 8th has no swell at all, and the wind is howling. The afternoon sees a small bump of 3ft from the north, but the period is only 6 seconds. It's still weak. The 9th of September brings a slightly better swell, with 3ft to 4ft from the north-northeast, but the period is still short at 6 seconds. The combined energy climbs to 101, which is the only time we get into triple digits in the whole period, but it's still not enough to make it worthwhile. The wind is also cross-shore, so it'll be a bit lumpy.

The 10th of September is back down to 2ft to 2ft with a cross-shore wind, and the 11th sees a 1ft swell with a slightly better 9-second period. But it's all too small and weak to be any fun.

Honestly, if you're looking for a standout, there isn't one. The best you could say is that the 9th of September has the most energy, but with that short period and cross-shore wind, it's not going to be clean. This whole stretch looks more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer. There's simply no swell to work with.

Keep the faith, check back later, and hopefully the ocean will wake up soon.

Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 19mm), heaviest on Thu night. Warm (max 21°C on Thu afternoon, min 15°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (light winds from the SE on Thu night, fresh winds from the SW by Fri afternoon).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 17mm), heaviest on Sat night. Warm (max 22°C on Mon afternoon, min 15°C on Sat night). Mainly fresh winds.

Thursday
27
Friday
28
Saturday
29
Sunday
30
Monday
31
Tuesday
1
Wednesday
2
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1
E
5
0.9
ENE
6
0.7
ENE
6
0.6
ENE
6
0.5
NE
6
0.2
NNE
7
0.2
NNE
8
0.7
S
4
0.2
N
8
0.4
N
7
0.3
N
7
0.3
N
7
0.3
N
7
0.4
N
8
0.4
NNE
8
0.4
NNE
8
0.4
N
8
0.4
N
8
0.3
N
7
0.3
N
7
0.2
N
7
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
55
55
33
25
18
5
6
16
5
16
9
9
8
18
20
21
20
18
9
9
4
Wind (km/h)
25
E
20
SSE
15
SSW
25
SW
35
SW
20
SW
25
SSW
30
S
25
WSW
35
W
15
WSW
10
SSW
15
SW
15
SW
15
W
25
WSW
25
WSW
20
WNW
15
NW
5
SSE
25
SSW
Wind State
on
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
glassy
cross-off
High Tide
6:19AM5.00m
6:47PM4.84m
6:51AM5.31m
7:19PM5.07m
7:22AM5.55m
7:50PM5.24m
7:53AM5.70m
8:21PM5.33m
8:26AM5.73m
8:53PM5.31m
9:01AM5.65m
9:28PM5.18m
9:39AM5.44m
10:06PM4.95m
Low Tide
12:46PM0.69m
00:54AM0.97m
1:19PM0.36m
1:26AM0.75m
1:51PM0.13m
1:58AM0.60m
2:23PM0.02m
2:31AM0.54m
2:56PM0.05m
3:05AM0.57m
3:30PM0.22m
3:40AM0.69m
4:07PM0.51m
light rain
light rain
thunderstorm
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
light rain
light rain
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
part cloud
rain showers
light rain
part cloud
rain showers
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:58
6:00
6:01
6:03
6:05
6:07
6:07
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:00
7:58
7:55
7:53
7:51
7:49
7:46
 mm
3
2
8
1
1
4
7
5
2
1
2
Temp °C
18
21
19
21
21
17
18
18
18
19
21
17
20
22
17
17
19
15
16
18
18
Feels °C
15
21
19
16
14
13
15
14
15
15
18
15
19
20
14
13
15
10
15
15
14
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Mablethorpe Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Mablethorpe provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Mablethorpe can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Mablethorpe surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Mablethorpe) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Mablethorpe may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Mablethorpe is 20 km (12 miles) from Skegness. If you plan a holiday in Lincolnshire, look for hotels and other accommodation in Skegness. Skegness has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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