Mablethorpe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, let’s talk about Mablethorpe. I’ve had a good look at what’s coming down the pipe, and I gotta be straight with you – it’s a pretty grim run for the next couple of weeks. We’re looking at a long, drawn-out stretch of tiny, weak, and messy conditions that’s going to test your patience.

Right off the bat, things are flat. The first row we’ve got is for Wednesday morning, the 8th of July, and it’s a bust. We’re talking a piddly little 1ft swell from the north, with a trash period of 5 seconds. The combined swell energy is a lowly 6 – that's barely a ripple. The wind is cross-on from the north-northeast at 6 mph, which just messes up what little surface there is. It’s rated as poor surf conditions. This sets the tone for the next week or so.

The entire run from Wednesday the 8th right through to Wednesday the 15th is just one big gap of no-surf misery. The swell never gets above 3ft during that stretch, the period is almost always under 8 seconds, and the wind is either onshore or cross-onshore, keeping everything choppy and blown out. The crowds at Mablethorpe are listed as "sometimes" an issue, but honestly, with this lack of waves, nobody’s going to be bothered.

There’s a tiny glimpse of something slightly less terrible around Friday the 17th of July. The morning shows a 3ft swell from the north-northeast with a 7-second period. The combined energy jumps to 99 (moderate). The wind is cross-off from the north at 12 mph, which will keep the surface reasonably clean. But even then, it’s still flagged as poor surf. It’s small, short-period stuff, and for a beach break like Mablethorpe, that 7-second period will make for fat, weak waves.

By Saturday the 18th of July, we get a little lick of offshore wind. The morning has a gentle offshore breeze from the west at 9 mph, with a 3ft north-northeast swell (55 energy). The afternoon turns glassy with a light north-northwest cross-off at 6 mph. This is about as clean as it’s going to get, but the swell is dropping to 2ft by the afternoon. It’s clean, but tiny.

After that, we’re back into the doldrums. From Sunday the 19th right through to the end of the outlook on Thursday the 23rd of July, the swell just dies. We’re talking 0.5ft to 2ft onshore mush. The combined energy drops to single digits for most of that final week. There is one blue sky moment on Tuesday morning the 21st with a light cross-off and a 1ft swell, but it’s not worth paddling out for.

In short: There are no standouts here. The whole 16-day window is a write-off for any kind of proper surfing. The best you can hope for is a clean, ankle-to-knee-high wave on Saturday the 18th if you’re desperate for a paddle. Otherwise, maybe bring a kite if you’ve got one, because this stretch is more suited to that than a surfboard. Forecasts can always change, but right now, it’s a tough one for the regulars.

Rusty.

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