Mablethorpe Surf Break

Lat Long: 53.30° N 0.30° E

Mablethorpe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 6 pm 08 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Mablethorpe sea temperature is
19.7° C
3.8° 

Mablethorpe surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Mablethorpe surf forecast from 8 Aug 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 11 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 9s period, N swell with 57 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Mablethorpe this week:

The most powerful waves expected at Mablethorpe in the next 16 days are 0.6m 9s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 11) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 5s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 09) at 1AM.

Wave TypeTime (BST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful 7PM (Tue 11th Aug)2ft (0.6m) 9s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Mablethorpe over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, I’m looking at the charts for Mablethorpe, and I gotta be straight with you – it’s looking like a flat spell. There’s nothing on the table that’s worth paddling out for over this whole 16-day run.

We kick off on Saturday, August 8th, with tiny 2ft slop from the SE at a weak 3-second period. The combined energy is only 9 (weak), and we’ve got a cross-onshore wind messing it up. That’s a no-go.

The next few days don’t get any better. Sunday the 9th through to Friday the 14th of August are all showing either non-existent swell or waves under 2ft. The energy readings are pathetic – mostly single digits. Winds are all over the place, but the swell just isn't there. You’re looking at a solid gap of about a week with absolutely nothing to ride.

The second week doesn’t save us. From the 15th of August onwards, we see a bit of a pulse on the 16th with 2ft from the NNE at 7 seconds, and energy creeping up to 46 (still weak). But it’s cross-onshore, choppy, and generally poor. The 17th has some cleaner conditions with a cross-offshore wind and 2ft swell, but again, it’s just not enough push to get excited about.

By the 19th and 20th, we’re back to tiny 0.6ft and 0.3ft waves. The water is running much warmer than normal at 68°F for that first mention, a full 7° above average for this time of year – which is very unusual, but it doesn’t help the surf.

Honestly, there is no standout here. The whole 16-day forecast is a dud for surf. If you’re really keen, the cleanest windows are those mornings with light offshore winds on the 17th and 18th of August, but the swell is just too small. For a spot that’s already inconsistent, this kind of blank run is pretty normal. Forecasts can change, but right now, I’d say save the wax.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Sun afternoon, min 15°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 31°C on Thu afternoon, min 16°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the ESE on Tue afternoon, light winds from the SSE by Wed night).

Sat
8
Sunday
9
Monday
10
Tuesday
11
Wednesday
12
Thursday
13
Friday
14
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
SE
3
0.1
N
6
0.1
N
10
0.1
N
9
0.1
N
9
0.1
N
9
0.5
N
5
0.7
NNE
8
0.6
N
8
0.6
N
9
0.5
N
9
0.4
NNE
8
0.9
ESE
4
0.7
SE
5
0.2
N
7
0.7
ESE
4
0.6
E
5
0.1
N
11
0.2
N
10
0.2
N
10
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
5
1
2
2
2
2
12
52
52
56
40
23
26
22
4
16
16
2
8
7
Wind (km/h)
20
SE
20
SSW
10
WSW
10
W
10
WNW
20
NNW
20
NE
15
ESE
20
SE
25
E
20
SSE
15
SSE
25
ESE
20
SSE
15
SE
25
E
15
SSE
15
NNW
15
ENE
15
N
Wind State
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross
cross-off
on
cross
High Tide
3:02AM4.23m
3:39PM4.46m
4:14AM4.50m
4:51PM4.73m
5:15AM4.89m
5:51PM5.03m
6:06AM5.30m
6:43PM5.28m
6:52AM5.64m
7:29PM5.43m
7:35AM5.86m
8:11PM5.46m
Low Tide
8:43PM1.58m
9:25AM1.60m
10:13PM1.47m
10:49AM1.21m
11:22PM1.21m
11:52AM0.72m
00:16AM0.93m
12:43PM0.26m
1:01AM0.71m
1:28PM-0.08m
1:42AM0.58m
2:09PM-0.23m
2:20AM0.55m
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:26
5:28
5:30
5:31
5:33
5:35
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:42
8:39
8:37
8:36
8:34
8:31
8:29
 mm
Temp °C
24
23
25
27
19
17
16
15
18
19
17
23
26
24
29
31
28
25
22
17
Feels °C
19
18
22
25
17
13
12
13
14
13
12
19
21
18
25
26
22
23
20
15
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Mablethorpe Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Mablethorpe provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Mablethorpe can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Mablethorpe surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Mablethorpe) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Mablethorpe may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Mablethorpe is 20 km (12 miles) from Skegness. If you plan a holiday in Lincolnshire, look for hotels and other accommodation in Skegness. Skegness has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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