Mablethorpe Surf Break

Mablethorpe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Lat Long: 53.30° N 0.30° E

Issued: 12 am 07 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Mablethorpe sea temperature is
19.3° C

5.3°C warmer than normal for this time of year

Mablethorpe surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Mablethorpe surf forecast from 7 Jul 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Monday 13 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 7s period, NNE swell with 116 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Mablethorpe this week:

The most powerful waves expected at Mablethorpe in the next 16 days are 1.2m 7s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 3s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 10AM.

Wave TypeTime (BST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful10AM (Mon 13th Jul)4ft (1.2m) 7s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Mablethorpe over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Right then, let’s get into it. I’ve had a proper look at the charts for Mablethorpe, and I’ll be honest with you – it’s a rough stretch. The whole 16-day window is pretty quiet. There’s a big gap at the start with nothing worth mentioning; the first sniff of any real action doesn’t show up until late in the second week. For most of the period, we’ve got tiny, weak swell with poor wind, and nothing really builds. The only time the energy starts to climb into the moderate range (116) is on Monday the 13th of July, but the wind is a moderate cross-onshore from the NNE at 16 mph, making it choppy and messy. The swell’s only 4ft at 7 seconds – short period, so not much shape. That’s the biggest we get, but the quality is poor. It stays like that for a few days, with swell around 3ft to 4ft and cross-onshore winds. Then from around Thursday the 21st of July, the wind turns cross-offshore and offshore, with the break cleaning right up. The swell is still small though, only 2ft to 2ft, but the wind is light and clean, especially Tuesday morning the 21st and Wednesday morning the 22nd. That’s the standout for anyone who just wants a clean, small wave. The water temp is about average for the time of year, nothing wild going on. With it being a beach break, and the wind mostly messy, a lot of these days would suit a kite surfer more than a paddle surfer. The best honest call is the morning of Wednesday the 22nd of July – gentle offshore wind from the W at 9 mph, with a 2ft swell from the north at an 8-second period. It’s small and clean, and with the break being inconsistent, you’ll want to pick your moment. Crowds are only sometimes an issue, so you might have a bit of space.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Tue morning, min 17°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 23°C on Thu night, min 13°C on Sun afternoon). Wind will be generally light.

Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
Friday
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
Monday
13
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
N
7
0.3
N
6
0.3
N
6
0.2
N
8
0.4
NNE
8
0.4
NNE
7
0.3
NNE
7
0.3
NNE
6
0.3
NNE
6
0.3
NNE
9
0.3
NNE
8
0.2
NNE
8
0.2
N
8
0.4
ENE
3
0.4
ENE
4
0.8
NE
5
0.8
NE
5
0.9
NE
6
1.2
NNE
7
1.2
NNE
6
0.9
NNE
6
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
4
6
7
5
19
18
9
8
7
15
14
7
5
4
5
30
35
59
116
109
61
Wind (km/h)
30
WNW
10
ENE
10
W
10
N
15
E
10
SSE
10
SE
25
E
10
SE
15
ESE
20
E
10
E
15
NE
20
NE
20
NE
20
NE
25
NNE
20
NNE
25
NNE
25
NNE
20
NNE
Wind State
off
cross-on
off
cross
on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
on
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross
High Tide
11:16AM4.75m
00:08AM4.30m
12:14PM4.60m
1:12AM4.27m
1:23PM4.51m
2:20AM4.33m
2:38PM4.56m
3:27AM4.48m
3:49PM4.74m
4:28AM4.73m
4:54PM4.98m
5:24AM5.02m
5:53PM5.22m
Low Tide
5:15AM1.53m
5:53PM0.99m
6:07AM1.65m
6:48PM1.11m
7:09AM1.73m
7:53PM1.20m
8:23AM1.69m
9:08PM1.20m
9:41AM1.48m
10:22PM1.08m
10:52AM1.13m
11:26PM0.90m
11:54AM0.72m
00:22AM0.72m
part cloud
cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
4:39
4:41
4:41
4:43
4:43
4:45
4:46
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
9:25
9:24
9:24
9:23
9:22
9:22
9:21
 mm
Temp °C
25
21
20
22
21
20
24
23
23
23
23
19
18
18
16
15
15
13
14
14
18
Feels °C
22
22
21
22
20
20
22
20
22
21
20
18
16
15
14
11
10
9
9
9
15
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
N
5
0.3
N
6
0.3
N
6
0.3
N
5
0.4
NNE
8
0.4
NNE
7
0.3
NNE
7
0.3
NNE
6
0.3
NNE
6
0.3
NNE
9
0.3
NNE
8
0.2
NNE
8
0.2
N
8
0.1
N
8
0.1
N
5
Energy kJ
2
6
7
4
19
18
9
8
7
15
14
7
5
1
1
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
N
7
0.1
N
11
0.1
N
9
0.2
N
8
0.2
N
9
0.1
N
10
0.2
N
9
0.2
N
8
0.1
N
6
0.1
N
6
Energy kJ
4
2
2
5
6
2
6
5
1
1
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
Energy kJ
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
WNW
3
0.2
ESE
2
0.3
ESE
3
0.3
ESE
4
0.2
ESE
3
0.3
E
3
0.4
E
3
0.4
NE
3
0.4
ENE
3
0.4
ENE
4
0.8
NE
5
0.8
NE
5
0.9
NE
6
1.2
NNE
7
1.2
NNE
6
0.9
NNE
6
Energy kJ
5
1
1
3
1
1
3
3
4
5
30
35
59
116
109
61
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Distance (km)
447
447
428
417
300
417
392
325
149
363
392
323
429
459
457
515
484
218
549
481
300
Best forecast wave conditions in Lincolnshire
Rating
(10 max)
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
1
1
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
5
7
9
8
9
7
7
6
7
5
5
5
5
5
5
9
9
7
5
6
5
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Mablethorpe Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Mablethorpe provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Mablethorpe can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Mablethorpe surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Mablethorpe) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Mablethorpe may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Mablethorpe is 20 km (12 miles) from Skegness. If you plan a holiday in Lincolnshire, look for hotels and other accommodation in Skegness. Skegness has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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