Surf Forecasts:
Mablethorpe surf forecast from 7 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Monday 13 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 7s period, NNE swell with 127 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Mablethorpe this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Mablethorpe in the next 16 days are 1.2m 7s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.3m 4s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 11) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Mon 13th Jul) | 4ft (1.2m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Mablethorpe over the next 16 days.
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s be straight: Mablethorpe is a dead zone for surf over this whole stretch. You’re looking at a long, depressing run.
Starting Tuesday 7th July morning, it’s barely a ripple—0.7 ft out of the north with only 6 units of combined energy (6). The water temp is weirdly warm at 67°F, way above average for this time of year, but that won’t help the surf. Winds are offshore from the WNW, so the surface is clean, but there’s nothing to ride.
The whole first week is a washout. From Tuesday afternoon through Monday 20th July, every session is rated as “poor surf conditions.” The biggest pulse comes Sunday 12th and Monday 13th, with waves pushing 4 ft from the NNE and a bit more energy (up to 127 units), but it’s hammered by 15–16 mph cross-onshore winds. That’s choppy, blown-out junk—more of a kite-surf day than a paddle session.
The only bright spot is Friday 17th July morning. The swell hangs around 3 ft NNE, 6-second period (68 energy), and the wind drops to zero—flat calm, glassy. The report calls it "surfable waves but very ordinary conditions." It’s the only moment with a real chance to get wet, but the break is inconsistent and rarely fires anyway. This spot is only fairly exposed, so don’t expect much.
From there, it’s back to tiny, onshore slop through Wednesday 22nd July. Swells shrink to 0.7–2 ft, and the wind shifts around, but the energy level is pitiful (6–14 units). No crowds to worry about, because there’s nothing to surf.
My call? Friday 17th July morning is the only window, but it’s a long shot. If you’re desperate, go early, but otherwise, I’d skip it entirely.
- Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Tue morning, min 18°C on Tue afternoon). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Fri morning, min 12°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 7 | N 6 | N 6 | N 5 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 7 | NNE 7 | NNE 6 | NNE 9 | NNE 9 | NNE 9 | N 8 | ENE 3 | NE 4 | NE 5 | NE 6 | NE 7 | NNE 7 | NNE 7 | NE 6 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 4 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 49 | 78 | 119 | 127 | 123 | 73 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross | cross-off | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 11:16AM4.75m | 00:08AM4.30m | 12:14PM4.60m | 1:12AM4.27m | 1:23PM4.51m | 2:20AM4.33m | 2:38PM4.56m | 3:27AM4.48m | 3:49PM4.74m | 4:28AM4.73m | 4:54PM4.98m | 5:24AM5.02m | 5:53PM5.22m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:53PM0.99m | 6:07AM1.65m | 6:48PM1.11m | 7:09AM1.73m | 7:53PM1.20m | 8:23AM1.69m | 9:08PM1.20m | 9:41AM1.48m | 10:22PM1.08m | 10:52AM1.13m | 11:26PM0.90m | 11:54AM0.72m | 00:22AM0.72m | ||||||||
 | |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 4:39 | — | — | 4:41 | — | — | 4:41 | — | — | 4:43 | — | — | 4:43 | — | — | 4:45 | — | — | 4:46 | — | — |
 | — | — | 9:25 | — | — | 9:24 | — | — | 9:24 | — | — | 9:23 | — | — | 9:22 | — | — | 9:22 | — | — | 9:21 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 25 | 22 | 19 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 24 | 23 | 22 | 22 | 21 | 19 | 19 | 18 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 14 |
Feels °C | 21 | 20 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 22 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 18 | 18 | 16 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 5 | N 6 | N 6 | N 5 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 7 | NNE 7 | NNE 6 | NNE 9 | NNE 9 | ESE 4 | N 8 | N 8 | N 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 2 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 7 | N 11 | N 9 | N 8 | NNE 5 | — | — | — | N 10 | NNE 9 | N 6 | NNE 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | — | — | — | 2 | 16 | 2 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | N 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 3 | — | — | — | — | ESE 3 | — | — | ESE 4 | ESE 3 | ESE 3 | SE 4 | ENE 3 | ENE 3 | NE 4 | NE 5 | NE 6 | NE 7 | NNE 7 | NNE 7 | NE 6 |
| kJ | 3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 49 | 78 | 119 | 127 | 123 | 73 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 447 | 548 | 428 | 417 | 300 | 50 | 428 | 457 | 157 | 361 | 361 | 317 | 429 | 423 | 395 | 544 | 478 | 251 | 637 | 544 | 218 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Lincolnshire | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Mablethorpe Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Mablethorpe provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Mablethorpe can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Mablethorpe surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Mablethorpe) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Mablethorpe may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Mablethorpe is 20 km (12 miles) from Skegness. If you plan a holiday in Lincolnshire, look for hotels and other accommodation in Skegness. Skegness has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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