Surf Forecasts:
Mablethorpe surf forecast from 22 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 23 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 7s period, NNE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 22 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 8s period, N swell with 131 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 23 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 7s period with NNE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Mablethorpe this week:
The surf forecast for Mablethorpe over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 23) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 7s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Mablethorpe in the next 16 days are 1.0m 8s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 25) at 4PM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Thu 23rd Jul) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 7s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Thu 23rd Jul) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 7s |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Wed 22nd Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Mablethorpe over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, your mate Rusty here. Let’s break down the Mablethorpe outlook for the next couple of weeks. Gotta be honest, it’s a long, dry spell with barely a pulse.
It starts on Wednesday, 22 July, with a tiny swell around 1 to 3 feet from the NNE, but the wind is cross or just messy, making it a poor, scratchy session. The wave energy is weak, in the 42 to 131 range. Hardly worth the wet suit.
From Thursday the 23rd all the way through to Tuesday, 4 August, it’s flat. The swell is mostly under 2 feet, with periods between 6 and 10 seconds, and the energy drops to single digits or low teens. The wind is often offshore and clean, but with no swell, there’s nothing to ride. A long stretch of no good surf.
The one bright spot is the morning of Monday, 3 August. We get a 3 foot north swell with a period of 11 seconds – that’s a proper groundswell. The combined energy hits 229 (moderate). The wind is light and cross-off from the NNW, keeping it clean. That’s your best chance. The water temp is about average for the time of year. Mablethorpe is a fairly exposed beach, inconsistent, and best for beginners. Crowds are possible. That morning, you’ll find clean, waist-high waves with a good shape. The north swell direction suits the break. The afternoon turns choppy onshore, and the following days drop back to flat.
So, in short: a huge gap of nothing from 22 July until the morning of Monday, 3 August. That morning is the only real window. Don’t miss it, but don’t get your hopes up too high.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Fri afternoon, min 14°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Sat afternoon, min 12°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WNW on Sun morning, light winds from the WNW by Mon afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 8 | N 8 | NNE 7 | NNE 7 | NNE 7 | NNE 7 | NNE 7 | NNE 7 | NNE 6 | NNE 6 | N 6 | N 6 | N 4 | N 7 | N 6 | NNE 6 | NNE 6 | N 10 | N 10 | N 9 | N 9 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 19 | 131 | 71 | 48 | 51 | 36 | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 2 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | on | cross | off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross |
High Tide | 12:38PM4.33m | 1:25AM3.98m | 1:45PM4.07m | 2:29AM3.89m | 2:56PM3.97m | 3:33AM3.93m | 4:02PM4.03m | 4:31AM4.10m | 4:59PM4.19m | 5:21AM4.34m | 5:47PM4.38m | 6:03AM4.62m | 6:29PM4.57m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 6:12AM1.77m | 6:50PM1.58m | 7:08AM1.96m | 7:52PM1.86m | 8:23AM2.06m | 9:10PM1.97m | 9:48AM1.98m | 10:25PM1.89m | 10:56AM1.76m | 11:21PM1.69m | 11:47AM1.47m | 00:03AM1.46m | 12:29PM1.16m | 00:40AM1.24m | |||||||
 | |  |  |  |  | | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 4:58 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:01 | — | — | 5:03 | — | — | 5:03 | — | — | 5:05 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — |
 | — | — | 9:09 | — | — | 9:08 | — | — | 9:07 | — | — | 9:06 | — | — | 9:04 | — | — | 9:02 | — | — | 9:00 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 17 | 16 | 15 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 25 | 26 | 20 | 22 | 26 | 18 | 20 | 20 | 17 | 23 | 26 | 24 | 29 | 30 | 26 |
Feels °C | 12 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 23 | 24 | 17 | 17 | 21 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 22 | 25 | 23 | 25 | 27 | 25 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 8 | — | NNE 7 | NNE 7 | NNE 7 | NNE 7 | NNE 7 | NNE 7 | NNE 6 | NNE 6 | N 6 | N 6 | N 4 | N 7 | N 6 | NNE 6 | NNE 6 | ESE 4 | N 10 | N 9 | ESE 4 |
| kJ | 19 | — | 71 | 48 | 51 | 36 | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 7 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SE 4 | N 4 | — | — | N 6 | — | — | N 9 | SSE 3 | N 6 | SE 4 | — | N 9 |
| kJ | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | — | 2 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 12 | N 11 | N 10 | SE 4 | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 9 | 8 | 1 | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 6 | N 8 | — | — | — | SE 3 | — | ESE 3 | NW 2 | — | WSW 3 | WNW 3 | — | — | NW 3 | — | WSW 2 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 18 | 131 | — | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 3 | 3 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 182 | 662 | 0 | 73 | 144 | 50 | 736 | 1113 | 457 | 624 | 624 | 504 | 653 | 653 | 433 | 157 | 425 | 345 | 473 | 447 | 326 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Lincolnshire | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Mablethorpe Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Mablethorpe provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Mablethorpe can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Mablethorpe surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Mablethorpe) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Mablethorpe may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Mablethorpe is 20 km (12 miles) from Skegness. If you plan a holiday in Lincolnshire, look for hotels and other accommodation in Skegness. Skegness has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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