Surf Forecasts:
Mablethorpe surf forecast from 1 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 5 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 6s period, NE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 4 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 7s period, NE swell with 100 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 5 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 6s period with NE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Mablethorpe this week:
The surf forecast for Mablethorpe over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 05) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Mablethorpe in the next 16 days are 1.1m 7s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 04) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.3m 2s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 06) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Wed 5th Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 6s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Wed 5th Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 6s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Tue 4th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Mablethorpe over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, let's get into it. Rusty here, and I've got the lowdown on the local surf scene for the next couple of weeks.
First off, I gotta be straight with you: it's a rough start. For the first six days, from Saturday the 1st to Thursday the 6th, we're looking at a whole lot of nothing. The swell is tiny, the wind is messy, and the energy is just flat. You're better off checking the wind forecast for kites or just taking the dog for a walk. After that, we get a bit of a gap until we see anything worth getting wet for.
The standout window, and I mean the only real chance for a wave, is looking like Friday the 13th and Saturday the 14th. The swell starts to build overnight Thursday the 12th, and by Friday morning we're seeing a 3ft swell from the north. The wind is a clean cross-offshore from the SW at 16 mph, which is a solid combo. The combined wave energy is moderate, hitting 57. The afternoon pushes that energy up to 115, still with a 3ft north swell and a clean 19 mph cross-offshore breeze. That's the pick of the lot. Saturday the 14th keeps the clean cross-off wind from the SW, with a 2ft north-northeast swell.
Now, the spot we're talking about is Mablethorpe. It's a beginner-friendly break, but it's inconsistent and can be a bit of a gamble. The crowds are "sometimes" an issue, so you might have some company. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so nothing crazy on that front. For the Friday and Saturday, the wind is clean, making the most of that small swell. It's not going to be a world-class session, but it'll be the best we've got.
For the rest of the window, the 7th through the 12th are a write-off, with small, choppy, and onshore slop. The 15th and 16th look messy again, with a bit of size but cross-onshore winds. So, if you're keen, pencil in that Friday the 13th and Saturday the 14th. It's not a guarantee, but the wind is right and the energy is there. Keep an eye on it.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 23°C on Sat afternoon, min 14°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Wed afternoon, min 14°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 6 | N 7 | N 7 | N 9 | N 8 | ENE 4 | ENE 5 | ENE 6 | NE 5 | NNE 7 | NE 7 | NE 6 | NE 6 | NE 6 | NNE 6 | NNE 7 | NNE 6 | NNE 6 | NE 5 | E 3 | E 4 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 3 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 77 | 63 | 57 | 91 | 75 | 66 | 45 | 37 | 27 | 18 | 16 | 27 | 12 | 5 | 25 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | off | cross | on | off |
High Tide | 8:18AM5.43m | 8:47PM4.94m | 8:50AM5.45m | 9:21PM4.93m | 9:25AM5.38m | 9:57PM4.85m | 10:02AM5.24m | 10:38PM4.71m | 10:46AM5.01m | 11:25PM4.51m | 11:39AM4.74m | 00:25AM4.30m | 12:49PM4.48m | 1:40AM4.16m | |||||||
Low Tide | 2:50PM0.34m | 2:55AM0.86m | 3:23PM0.33m | 3:29AM0.91m | 3:58PM0.42m | 4:05AM1.02m | 4:36PM0.59m | 4:45AM1.19m | 5:18PM0.84m | 5:32AM1.39m | 6:10PM1.14m | 6:30AM1.60m | 7:16PM1.43m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | |  | | | | | | | | | |  | | | | | | |
 | 5:13 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:18 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — |
 | — | 8:54 | — | — | 8:52 | — | — | 8:51 | — | — | 8:49 | — | — | 8:46 | — | — | 8:45 | — | — | 8:44 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 21 | 23 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 16 | 18 | 20 | 19 | 24 | 25 | 23 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 21 |
Feels °C | 17 | 19 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 17 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 20 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 17 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 6 | N 5 | — | N 9 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 9 | — | NNE 7 | N 9 | NE 6 | NE 6 | NE 6 | NNE 6 | NNE 7 | — | NNE 6 | NE 5 | NNE 5 | NNE 6 |
| kJ | 3 | 1 | — | 14 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 6 | — | 91 | 14 | 66 | 45 | 37 | 27 | 18 | — | 27 | 12 | 2 | 8 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 7 | N 7 | N 7 | — | N 8 | — | — | — | — | — | N 9 | N 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 7 | N 7 | — |
| kJ | 1 | 1 | 4 | — | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | 25 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 4 | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | N 10 | N 7 | N 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NE 5 | — |
| kJ | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | NNW 2 | N 3 | NE 2 | ENE 4 | ENE 5 | ENE 6 | NE 5 | — | NE 7 | — | — | — | — | — | NNE 6 | — | — | E 3 | E 4 |
| kJ | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 77 | 63 | 57 | — | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | 16 | — | — | 5 | 25 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 532 | 548 | 485 | 457 | 492 | 361 | 340 | 367 | 361 | 220 | 582 | 0 | 49 | 49 | 106 | 221 | 511 | 278 | 545 | 285 | 106 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Lincolnshire | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Mablethorpe Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Mablethorpe provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Mablethorpe can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Mablethorpe surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Mablethorpe) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Mablethorpe may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Mablethorpe is 20 km (12 miles) from Skegness. If you plan a holiday in Lincolnshire, look for hotels and other accommodation in Skegness. Skegness has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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