Mablethorpe Surf Break

Lat Long: 53.30° N 0.30° E

Mablethorpe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 6 pm 22 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Mablethorpe sea temperature is
19.0° C
3.9° 

Mablethorpe surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Mablethorpe surf forecast from 22 Jul 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 23 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 7s period, NNE swell with 55 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Mablethorpe this week:

The most powerful waves expected at Mablethorpe in the next 16 days are 0.7m 7s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 23) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 5s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 1AM.

Wave TypeTime (BST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful 1AM (Thu 23rd Jul)2.5ft (0.7m) 7s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Mablethorpe over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Well, folks, it’s Rusty here, and I gotta be straight with you – the next 16 days for Mablethorpe are looking pretty flat. If you’ve got a kite, you might be in luck, but for a paddle surfer, there’s just nothing to get excited about.

The first chance of anything even vaguely surfable doesn’t show up until Monday, the 3rd of August. Up until then, we’re facing a long, bleak stretch of tiny waves. From the 22nd of July right through to the 2nd of August, the swell is barely a whisper, with heights mostly under 2 ft and periods so short you’d be bobbing like a cork. The combined wave energy is pathetically weak, barely cracking 100 (e.g., 7, 15, 35) for most of that time. It’s a complete blank run, and for this area, that’s not unusual.

Now, on Monday, the 3rd of August, we finally see a tiny glimmer. The morning brings a 3 ft swell from the NE, with a period of 6 seconds. The wind is offshore from the WSW at 15 mph, which is a major positive—it’ll be clean. The combined energy is 74, still weak but at least it’s something. The water temp is a whopping 66° with a 7° anomaly, meaning it’s much warmer than normal for the time of year. The wave comment only says “surfable waves but very ordinary conditions,” so don’t expect much. This is really the only session that even gets a score above zero. It’s still tiny, and the break is inconsistent, so you’ll be scratching for a ride.

After that, it’s back to the same story. The rest of the forecast through to the 6th of August is just more tiny, weak swells with poor conditions. The wind switches around, but the waves never get above 2 ft with any real energy. There’s no standout, no hidden gem. This is a kite surfer’s playground, not a surfer’s. For the few of you who are desperate, that Monday morning on the 3rd of August is your only real shot, but keep your expectations in the car.

Stay salty,
Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Fri afternoon, min 15°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (light winds from the WNW on Fri morning, fresh winds from the W by Sat morning).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 14mm), heaviest on Sat night. Warm (max 26°C on Tue morning, min 13°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WNW on Sat afternoon, calm by Sun night).

Wed
22
Thursday
23
Friday
24
Saturday
25
Sunday
26
Monday
27
Tuesday
28
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1
N
8
0.7
NNE
7
0.6
NNE
7
0.7
NNE
6
0.6
NNE
6
0.4
NNE
6
0.4
NNE
6
0.3
NNE
6
0.3
N
6
0.2
N
6
0.1
N
7
0.2
N
4
0.3
N
7
0.4
NNE
8
0.4
N
7
0.5
N
8
0.4
NNE
8
0.3
NNE
6
0.6
SE
4
0.1
N
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
127
55
35
37
33
17
14
7
7
3
1
2
8
19
17
33
19
8
10
1
Wind (km/h)
20
NNE
5
NW
10
NNE
15
ESE
15
SSE
10
W
10
NW
15
WNW
30
W
30
WNW
10
WSW
15
NNW
15
ENE
10
WSW
10
NW
10
ESE
15
SSW
20
S
25
ESE
15
SSW
Wind State
cross
cross-off
cross
on
cross
off
cross-off
off
off
off
off
cross-off
on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross-off
High Tide
1:25AM3.98m
1:45PM4.07m
2:29AM3.89m
2:56PM3.97m
3:33AM3.93m
4:02PM4.03m
4:31AM4.10m
4:59PM4.19m
5:21AM4.34m
5:47PM4.38m
6:03AM4.62m
6:29PM4.57m
Low Tide
6:50PM1.58m
7:08AM1.96m
7:52PM1.86m
8:23AM2.06m
9:10PM1.97m
9:48AM1.98m
10:25PM1.89m
10:56AM1.76m
11:21PM1.69m
11:47AM1.47m
00:03AM1.46m
12:29PM1.16m
00:40AM1.24m
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:00
5:01
5:03
5:03
5:05
5:07
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
9:09
9:08
9:07
9:06
9:04
9:02
9:00
 mm
2
12
Temp °C
16
16
18
18
17
24
26
20
24
19
17
18
18
16
19
22
22
26
26
22
Feels °C
13
15
17
16
15
22
23
16
19
15
15
17
16
16
18
19
21
22
21
17
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Mablethorpe Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Mablethorpe provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Mablethorpe can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Mablethorpe surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Mablethorpe) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Mablethorpe may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Mablethorpe is 20 km (12 miles) from Skegness. If you plan a holiday in Lincolnshire, look for hotels and other accommodation in Skegness. Skegness has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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