Mablethorpe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let me tell you straight up, we've got a pretty flat run ahead here at Mablethorpe. The whole 16-day window is looking pretty bleak, with no standout sessions to get excited about. The forecast is showing a long stretch of tiny, weak waves and poor conditions, so don't be holding your breath for a epic paddle.

We start off on Friday, July 31st, and it's a non-starter. The swell is a pathetic 0.7ft from the north with a short 8-second period, and the energy is just a whisper at 6. The morning is clean with a light cross-off wind, but there's just nothing to ride. The afternoon gets worse with onshore winds. Saturday and Sunday are the same story – tiny swell, weak energy, and mostly onshore or cross-off breezes. The water temperature is a stunning 68°, which is a massive 7° warmer than normal, so it's very unusual. You could swim, but you won't be surfing.

The whole first week is a write-off. The swell barely cracks 3ft, and even when it does, it's from the east or northeast with a short, wind-swell period of 4 to 6 seconds. The wind is often onshore, or if it's offshore, the swell is too small to care. The combined energy is mostly in the low double digits, which is just weak. There's a brief moment on Tuesday, August 4th, with glassy conditions and a 3ft swell, but it's still weak and the period is only 6 seconds, so it's just a messy, ordinary wave. Don't be fooled.

As we move into the second week, the story doesn't improve. The swell remains small, mostly under 3ft, and the energy stays low. There's a little bump on Monday, August 10th, with a 3ft swell from the north, but it's accompanied by a choppy cross-onshore wind. The period is only 7 seconds. The following days see a slight increase in energy on August 12th, with a 3ft swell and a 9-second period giving a moderate energy of 173, but the wind is cross-shore and the wave quality is still poor. The whole period is really just a flat, disappointing run.

The bottom line is, there are no good surf options here in the next 16 days. The swell is consistently weak, and the conditions are mostly poor. For a spot like Mablethorpe that's inconsistent anyway, this kind of blank run is pretty normal. Forecasts can change, but right now, it's a big fat zero for surf. If you're desperate, you might find a tiny, clean ripple on the glassy Tuesday morning, but it's not worth the drive. The whole setup looks more interesting for a kite than a paddle stick.

Rusty.

Read more