Mablethorpe Surf Break

Lat Long: 53.30° N 0.30° E

Mablethorpe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 6 pm 03 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Mablethorpe sea temperature is
19.5° C
3.8° 

Mablethorpe surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Mablethorpe surf forecast from 3 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 6 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 8s period, N swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 7 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 8s period, N swell with 90 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 6 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 8s period with N swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Mablethorpe this week:

The surf forecast for Mablethorpe over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 06) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 8s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Mablethorpe in the next 16 days are 0.8m 8s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 07) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 3s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 05) at 1PM.

Wave TypeTime (BST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Thu 6th Aug)2.5ft (0.8m) 8s
Best Surf10PM (Thu 6th Aug)2.5ft (0.8m) 8s
Most Powerful 1AM (Fri 7th Aug)2.5ft (0.8m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Mablethorpe over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright lads, Rusty here. Let’s break it down for Mablethorpe. Over the next 16 days, it’s a lean spell. The first surfable day doesn’t roll around until Friday the 7th of August, so you’ve got a few days of nothing right at the start.

The water is running at 67°, which is a whopping 7° warmer than normal for this time of year. That’s very unusual, so you’ll be feeling that warmth.

The one real highlight in the whole stretch is Sunday the 16th of August, specifically the afternoon. We’re looking at a clean 4ft north swell, with a gentle offshore breeze from the west. The combined energy is moderate at 119. It’s a short-period windswell, but it’ll be clean and rideable. This break is inconsistent and best for beginners, so don’t expect perfection. Crowds can pop up sometimes, but it’s not a circus.

Before that, Friday the 7th of August morning has a tiny 2ft north swell (69 weak energy) with a light offshore, keeping it clean. And Tuesday the 11th of August sees a 2-3ft north-northeast swell with moderate energy (130 morning, 111 afternoon), but the wind is onshore, so it’ll be messy – more of a kite day than a surf day.

The rest of the run is tiny, with mostly offshore winds but barely any wave height. The morning of Tuesday the 18th of August is glassy with a 2ft north swell, but the energy is weak (17) and the period is short (5 seconds). It’s clean but barely a ripple.

If you want the best chance, aim for the afternoon of Sunday the 16th of August. Otherwise, it’s a quiet stretch. That’s just how it goes here sometimes. Forecasts can change, so keep an eye out.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Some drizzle, heaviest during Tue afternoon. Warm (max 28°C on Tue afternoon, min 14°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon night, fresh winds from the W by Wed afternoon).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Sat afternoon, min 13°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Mon
3
Tuesday
4
Wednesday
5
Thursday
6
Friday
7
Saturday
8
Sunday
9
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.8
ENE
5
0.9
ENE
5
0.7
NE
6
0.6
NE
6
0.5
NE
6
0.2
N
8
0.3
NNE
8
0.2
N
8
0.2
N
8
0.4
N
7
0.8
N
8
0.7
N
8
0.7
N
8
0.5
N
8
0.4
NNE
7
0.3
NNE
7
0.2
N
6
0.1
N
9
0.1
N
9
0.1
N
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
35
42
33
29
15
5
13
5
4
16
90
69
66
33
18
9
3
2
2
1
Wind (km/h)
20
ENE
15
ESE
10
S
15
S
20
SW
25
WSW
35
W
30
WSW
30
W
20
N
15
WNW
10
W
10
S
10
NW
15
SW
10
WSW
5
W
10
NW
20
E
10
E
Wind State
on
cross-on
cross-off
cross
cross-off
off
off
off
off
cross
off
off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
on
on
High Tide
9:57PM4.85m
10:02AM5.24m
10:38PM4.71m
10:46AM5.01m
11:25PM4.51m
11:39AM4.74m
00:25AM4.30m
12:49PM4.48m
1:40AM4.16m
2:14PM4.36m
3:02AM4.23m
3:39PM4.46m
Low Tide
4:05AM1.02m
4:36PM0.59m
4:45AM1.19m
5:18PM0.84m
5:32AM1.39m
6:10PM1.14m
6:30AM1.60m
7:16PM1.43m
7:48AM1.72m
8:43PM1.58m
9:25AM1.60m
10:13PM1.47m
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
cloud
cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:18
5:20
5:22
5:24
5:24
5:26
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:51
8:49
8:46
8:45
8:44
8:42
8:39
 mm
1
Temp °C
18
17
27
28
25
22
21
18
18
17
17
20
23
20
23
25
20
22
20
17
Feels °C
16
15
23
24
21
15
13
12
13
13
15
17
20
19
19
22
18
20
17
16
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Mablethorpe Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Mablethorpe provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Mablethorpe can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Mablethorpe surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Mablethorpe) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Mablethorpe may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Mablethorpe is 20 km (12 miles) from Skegness. If you plan a holiday in Lincolnshire, look for hotels and other accommodation in Skegness. Skegness has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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