Mablethorpe Surf Break

Lat Long: 53.30° N 0.30° E

Mablethorpe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 12 am 04 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Mablethorpe sea temperature is
19.5° C
3.8° 

Mablethorpe surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Mablethorpe surf forecast from 4 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 6 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 9s period, N swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 6 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 9s period, N swell with 94 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 6 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 9s period with N swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Mablethorpe this week:

The surf forecast for Mablethorpe over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 06) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 9s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Mablethorpe in the next 16 days are 0.8m 9s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 06) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 3s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 06) at 4AM.

Wave TypeTime (BST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Thu 6th Aug)2.5ft (0.8m) 9s
Best Surf10PM (Thu 6th Aug)2.5ft (0.8m) 9s
Most Powerful10PM (Thu 6th Aug)2.5ft (0.8m) 9s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Mablethorpe over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here. Let's take a look at what's on the table for Mablethorpe over the next couple of weeks.

To be straight with you, the outlook is a tough one. There are no standout days, no proper swells to get excited about. The whole 16-day period is a flat, frustrating run of tiny waves and poor conditions. We’re looking at a long gap with basically nothing to recommend, and it’s not until the very end of the second week that we might see a slight glimmer of something worth paddling out for.

The first real sniff of anything comes on Thursday the 13th of August afternoon. We’ve got a brief window of glassy conditions, with a light southwest wind and the water going flat calm. The swell is a pathetic 4 ft, but it's coming from the ESE with a short period of 5 seconds, so it's windswell, not groundswell. The combined energy is still weak at 87, and the wave comment says "surfable waves but very ordinary conditions." It’s not going to be good, but it might be the only time you can get wet and not be fighting a complete washing machine. For a beginner, this is a low-risk, low-reward session.

Other than that, the rest of the time is a write-off. The water temperature is about average for the time of year, so no surprises there. The wind is mostly offshore or cross-offshore, which is a bonus, but with swell heights barely reaching 3 ft and periods often under 8 seconds, there’s just no energy to work with. The combined energy readings are almost all two-digit numbers, staying well below 100, confirming very weak wave energy. Tuesday the 19th of August morning shows a 3 ft swell from the north with a period of 8 seconds and a moderate offshore wind, but it's still poor surf conditions.

Forget about any big days. This is a period to leave the boards in the van and maybe go for a walk on the beach. It’s a blank run for the area, and it’s not unusual to see such a flat spell. Forecasts can change, but right now, there’s nothing to chase.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Tue afternoon. Warm (max 27°C on Tue morning, min 13°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (light winds from the SE on Mon night, fresh winds from the W by Wed afternoon).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Sat afternoon, min 14°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Tuesday
4
Wednesday
5
Thursday
6
Friday
7
Saturday
8
Sunday
9
Monday
10
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
NE
6
0.6
NE
6
0.5
NE
6
0.2
N
8
0.2
N
8
0.2
N
8
0.1
N
9
0.6
N
8
0.8
N
8
0.7
N
8
0.6
N
8
0.5
N
8
0.4
NNE
7
0.3
NNE
7
0.1
N
7
0.1
N
9
0.1
N
9
0.1
N
8
0.1
N
12
0.4
NNE
6
0.3
N
10
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
35
30
15
5
5
5
2
45
91
66
48
31
18
9
1
2
2
1
3
12
18
Wind (km/h)
15
SSW
15
SSE
20
SW
25
W
35
W
30
WSW
30
W
15
NNW
15
WNW
15
WSW
10
W
5
NNW
15
SW
15
SSW
10
NNW
5
WSW
20
ESE
10
NNE
25
NNE
20
NE
15
ENE
Wind State
cross-off
cross
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
off
cross-off
off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
High Tide
10:02AM5.24m
10:38PM4.71m
10:46AM5.01m
11:25PM4.51m
11:39AM4.74m
00:25AM4.30m
12:49PM4.48m
1:40AM4.16m
2:14PM4.36m
3:02AM4.23m
3:39PM4.46m
4:14AM4.50m
4:51PM4.73m
Low Tide
4:05AM1.02m
4:36PM0.59m
4:45AM1.19m
5:18PM0.84m
5:32AM1.39m
6:10PM1.14m
6:30AM1.60m
7:16PM1.43m
7:48AM1.72m
8:43PM1.58m
9:25AM1.60m
10:13PM1.47m
10:49AM1.21m
11:22PM1.21m
part cloud
rain showers
clear
part cloud
cloud
clear
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:18
5:20
5:22
5:24
5:24
5:26
5:28
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:49
8:46
8:45
8:44
8:42
8:39
8:37
 mm
2
Temp °C
27
27
25
21
20
17
18
17
17
21
23
19
24
27
24
22
22
19
16
16
15
Feels °C
23
24
23
14
12
12
14
14
13
17
20
16
19
23
21
19
18
17
13
13
12
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Mablethorpe Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Mablethorpe provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Mablethorpe can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Mablethorpe surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Mablethorpe) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Mablethorpe may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Mablethorpe is 20 km (12 miles) from Skegness. If you plan a holiday in Lincolnshire, look for hotels and other accommodation in Skegness. Skegness has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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