Mablethorpe Surf Break

Lat Long: 53.30° N 0.30° E

Mablethorpe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 6 am 29 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Mablethorpe sea temperature is
19.3°C
3.7° 

Mablethorpe surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Mablethorpe surf forecast from 29 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 5 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 8s period, NNW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 5 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 8s period, NNW swell with 95 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 5 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 8s period with NNW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Mablethorpe this week:

The surf forecast for Mablethorpe over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 05) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 8s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Mablethorpe in the next 16 days are 0.9m 8s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 05) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 02) at 1PM.

Wave TypeTime (BST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Sat 5th Sep)3ft (0.9m) 8s
Best Surf 4AM (Sat 5th Sep)3ft (0.9m) 8s
Most Powerful 4AM (Sat 5th Sep)3ft (0.9m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Mablethorpe over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here. Let's look at what's on the cards for our local stretch.

To be straight with you, the next ten days or so are looking pretty flat. We're looking at a long stretch of nothing but tiny, weak waves – mostly around 1.0ft to 1ft from the north, with very weak energy (between 7 and 29 on the energy scale). The water is sitting at 67° and that's a massive 7° warmer than usual for this time of year, which is very unusual. It's going to be a tough wait.

The real standout in this 16-day window doesn't arrive until Wednesday, the 9th of September. We finally get a pulse of new swell. On the morning of the 9th, Mablethorpe gets a clean, glassy setup with a 4ft swell from the north, a period of 7 seconds, and moderate energy of 142. That glassy, light wind is a major positive, giving us clean conditions. The swell is small enough for beginners, but it's a start. The afternoon on the 9th gets a little bigger at 4ft, with energy jumping to 203, but it gets cross-on shore and choppy, so the morning window is your best bet.

After that, the swell drops back down again into poor conditions for the rest of the forecast. There's a brief moment on the 11th of September with some fresh offshore wind, but the swell is only 2ft, so it's not going to be worth the paddle.

So, if you're patient, the Wednesday morning of the 9th is the only time to get a little wet. For the rest? Leave the board in the car.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Sat afternoon. Warm (max 21°C on Sun afternoon, min 13°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (light winds from the ESE on Sat afternoon, fresh winds from the WNW by Mon morning).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Some drizzle, heaviest during Wed morning. Warm (max 22°C on Wed afternoon, min 13°C on Thu night). Mainly fresh winds.

Saturday
29
Sunday
30
Monday
31
Tuesday
1
Wednesday
2
Thursday
3
Friday
4
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
NE
8
0.2
NNE
7
0.6
N
3
0.4
N
6
0.4
N
6
0.3
N
6
0.3
N
7
0.3
N
7
0.5
N
6
0.4
N
6
0.3
N
6
0.3
N
6
0.1
N
9
0.2
N
8
0.2
N
12
0.3
N
11
0.3
N
11
0.2
N
10
0.4
N
7
0.3
N
9
0.3
N
6
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
9
5
8
12
12
7
8
8
19
13
7
6
2
5
11
21
20
8
17
15
7
Wind (km/h)
25
SW
20
ESE
20
NNW
20
SW
25
SSW
20
SSW
30
W
30
W
20
W
20
SW
20
SW
20
SW
25
SSW
25
SW
30
WSW
25
WSW
25
W
30
WSW
40
WSW
45
WNW
20
W
Wind State
cross-off
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
off
off
off
High Tide
7:50PM5.24m
7:53AM5.70m
8:21PM5.33m
8:26AM5.73m
8:53PM5.31m
9:01AM5.65m
9:28PM5.18m
9:39AM5.44m
10:06PM4.95m
10:22AM5.12m
10:51PM4.62m
11:15AM4.71m
11:50PM4.26m
Low Tide
1:51PM0.13m
1:58AM0.60m
2:23PM0.02m
2:31AM0.54m
2:56PM0.05m
3:05AM0.57m
3:30PM0.22m
3:40AM0.69m
4:07PM0.51m
4:19AM0.91m
4:49PM0.90m
5:05AM1.21m
5:41PM1.34m
cloud
light rain
part cloud
clear
thunderstorm
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
cloud
part cloud
rain showers
cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:01
6:03
6:05
6:07
6:07
6:09
6:11
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
7:55
7:53
7:51
7:49
7:46
7:44
7:42
 mm
4
1
2
1
Temp °C
18
17
16
20
21
16
18
18
14
19
20
18
17
22
19
21
20
17
17
18
15
Feels °C
15
17
15
16
17
12
12
12
9
15
16
14
14
20
16
16
15
13
7
9
11
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Mablethorpe Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Mablethorpe provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Mablethorpe can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Mablethorpe surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Mablethorpe) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Mablethorpe may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Mablethorpe is 20 km (12 miles) from Skegness. If you plan a holiday in Lincolnshire, look for hotels and other accommodation in Skegness. Skegness has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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