Mablethorpe Surf Break

Lat Long: 53.30° N 0.30° E

Mablethorpe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 12 pm 18 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Mablethorpe sea temperature is
19.4° C
4.5° 

Mablethorpe surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Mablethorpe surf forecast from 18 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 20 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 9s period, NNE swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 19 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 9s period, N swell with 347 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 20 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 9s period with NNE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Mablethorpe this week:

The surf forecast for Mablethorpe over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 20) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 9s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Mablethorpe in the next 16 days are 1.5m 9s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 3s period and expected on Friday (Jul 24) at 7PM.

Wave TypeTime (BST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1AM (Mon 20th Jul)4ft (1.2m) 9s
Best Surf 1AM (Mon 20th Jul)4ft (1.2m) 9s
Most Powerful10PM (Sun 19th Jul)5ft (1.5m) 9s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Mablethorpe over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on offer for the Mablethorpe region.

Honestly, mate, I'm looking at this 16-day stretch and it's a tough one. The truth is, there are no good surf options to get excited about in this whole window. The waves are just too small, and the wind's often in the wrong place. It's a bit of a flat spell, but for an area like this, that kind of run isn't unusual. Forecasts can change, so don't bin the boards just yet, but for now, we're in a waiting game.

The only real talk of swell comes early on. We start off with a pulse on Saturday the 18th of July. The morning offers up a 3.6ft swell from the north with a short, weak 6-second period, and the combined energy is only 89. That's weak. The wind is a fresh 18.6 mph from the NNW, which is cross-offshore, so it'll be clean. But the water is a whopping 4.5° warmer than usual for this time of year, which is very unusual. This swell is too weak to do much with, and the whole day is marked as poor surf.

Sunday the 19th sees a bump up to 4.6ft from the NNE, with a 9-second period. The energy climbs to a moderate 318. The wind stays a fresh 18.6 mph from the north in the morning, holding it cross-off and clean. It's the biggest swell of the week, but for a beginner-rated spot that's inconsistent, this is still not a standout. The following days just drop off. By Monday the 20th, we're down to 3.0ft, and the wind goes cross-shore or onshore, so it's just lumpy and choppy. The rest of the week into the start of August is a slow bleed of small, weak swell with no real energy.

So, to sum it up: there's nothing here worth paddling out for. The best you'll see is a clean, but weak, 4.6ft wave on Sunday the 19th, but it's not going to be a session to remember. Brace for a flat spell and keep an eye on the charts.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon morning, min 12°C on Sat night). Mainly fresh winds.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Wed morning, min 12°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (calm on Tue night, fresh winds from the N by Thu morning).

Saturday
18
Sunday
19
Monday
20
Tuesday
21
Wednesday
22
Thursday
23
Friday
24
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.1
N
6
1.2
NNE
7
1.3
NNE
8
1.4
NNE
9
1.4
NNE
9
1.2
NNE
9
0.9
NNE
8
0.9
NNE
8
0.9
NNE
7
0.8
NNE
6
0.9
NNE
6
0.5
NNE
6
0.6
NNE
7
0.7
NNE
7
0.9
NNE
7
1.1
NNE
7
1
NNE
8
0.8
NNE
8
0.6
NNE
7
0.4
NNE
7
0.3
N
6
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
89
160
229
318
311
208
125
89
66
45
55
22
36
49
86
132
127
64
42
15
7
Wind (km/h)
30
NNW
30
N
25
NNW
30
N
25
N
15
NNW
15
N
20
NE
15
NNW
20
N
15
NE
0
NW
5
NNE
25
NNE
20
NNW
30
N
20
NNE
10
SW
15
W
15
WNW
20
W
Wind State
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross-off
cross
cross-on
glassy
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
off
off
off
High Tide
10:02PM4.98m
10:04AM5.40m
10:48PM4.71m
10:50AM5.06m
11:35PM4.42m
11:41AM4.68m
00:27AM4.17m
12:38PM4.33m
1:25AM3.98m
1:45PM4.07m
2:29AM3.89m
2:56PM3.97m
3:33AM3.93m
Low Tide
3:54PM0.09m
4:01AM1.03m
4:36PM0.40m
4:42AM1.27m
5:18PM0.80m
5:25AM1.53m
6:01PM1.21m
6:12AM1.77m
6:50PM1.58m
7:08AM1.96m
7:52PM1.86m
8:23AM2.06m
9:10PM1.97m
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
4:52
4:54
4:54
4:56
4:58
5:00
5:01
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
9:15
9:14
9:13
9:12
9:09
9:08
9:07
 mm
Temp °C
14
15
14
14
14
13
16
16
15
15
16
15
18
16
14
15
15
16
25
27
19
Feels °C
9
9
10
8
8
10
12
13
12
12
13
16
17
13
11
10
11
14
20
23
14
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Mablethorpe Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Mablethorpe provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Mablethorpe can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Mablethorpe surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Mablethorpe) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Mablethorpe may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Mablethorpe is 20 km (12 miles) from Skegness. If you plan a holiday in Lincolnshire, look for hotels and other accommodation in Skegness. Skegness has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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