Mablethorpe Surf Break

Mablethorpe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Lat Long: 53.30° N 0.30° E

Issued: 12 pm 06 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Mablethorpe sea temperature is
19.3° C

5.3°C warmer than normal for this time of year

Mablethorpe surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Mablethorpe surf forecast from 6 Jul 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Monday 13 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 7s period, NNE swell with 73 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Mablethorpe this week:

The most powerful waves expected at Mablethorpe in the next 16 days are 0.9m 7s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 3s period and expected on Monday (Jul 06) at 7PM.

Wave TypeTime (BST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful 4PM (Mon 13th Jul)3ft (0.9m) 7s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Mablethorpe over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Right then, let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for Mablethorpe. I’ll be straight with you, mate – it’s a tough stretch ahead. The guidance rates Mablethorpe as a beginner spot that’s inconsistent, and when it does pick up a touch, the wind and swell direction just aren’t playing ball for any proper surf. The water temp is a whopping 67°, which is 10° warmer than normal for this time of year – that’s seriously unusual, almost like swimming in a bath, but it’s not going to make the waves any better.

We kick off Monday the 6th of July with next to nothing. The swell is a tiny 0.7ft out of the north with a short period of 5 seconds, giving us a combined energy of just 3 (weak energy). The wind is offshore and clean, sure, but there’s no wave to ride. This flat spell runs right through until the end of the week. On Tuesday the 7th, it’s even smaller at 0.3ft. By Wednesday the 8th, the swell bumps up to a meagre 1.0ft from the north with a period of 5 seconds and a combined energy of 10 (weak energy), but the wind turns onshore in the afternoon – a real mess. Thursday the 9th and Friday the 10th are more of the same: tiny, weak swell and cross-onshore or onshore wind. Not worth getting the wetsuit damp.

We finally see a pulse of energy coming in on Sunday the 12th of July. The swell lifts to 3ft from the north-northeast with a period of 6 seconds, and the combined energy reaches 57 (weak energy). That’s the biggest we’ll see for a while, but the wind is a moderate cross-onshore, chopping it up. Still, it’s poor surf conditions. Monday the 13th and Tuesday the 14th keep the swell around 2ft to 3ft, with combined energy values in the 40s and 70s (still weak energy), but the wind stays cross-shore or cross-onshore, so the quality is grim. There’s no standout session here.

From the 15th of July onward, the swell drops back into the doldrums. We’re looking at 0.3ft and 0.7ft waves with combined energy barely hitting single digits. By the 19th of July, it’s flat as a pancake, with no swell height recorded and zero combined energy. This gap of poor surf stretches right through to the end of the forecast on the 21st of July. Tuesday morning the 21st sees a whisper of 0.3ft from the north with gentle offshore wind and clean conditions, but again, there’s nothing to ride.

Honestly, Mablethorpe is going through a blank run. With the inconsistent nature of the break, this is more normal for the area. There’s simply no surf worth paddling out for over this whole 16-day window. Keep an eye on the charts, because it tends not to stay this poor forever. Today, it’s a hard pass.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Mon afternoon, min 16°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the W on Mon morning, calm by Tue night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Thu morning, min 13°C on Sat night). Mainly fresh winds.

Monday
6
Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
Friday
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
N
5
0.2
N
5
0.1
N
8
0.1
N
8
0.3
N
6
0.3
N
7
0.2
N
8
0.5
N
8
0.5
N
7
0.4
NNE
7
0.3
NNE
6
0.2
NNE
9
0.3
NNE
8
0.3
NNE
8
0.5
ESE
4
0.2
N
8
0.3
NE
8
0.8
NNE
4
0.9
NNE
6
0.9
NE
6
0.8
NE
6
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
2
2
1
1
7
8
5
31
27
15
8
8
14
13
10
5
9
21
57
44
36
Wind (km/h)
25
W
30
W
15
WSW
30
WNW
10
ENE
10
W
10
NW
20
E
10
SSE
10
SE
25
E
10
SE
15
ESE
25
E
10
ESE
15
ENE
20
NE
20
NNE
25
NNE
25
NNE
25
N
Wind State
off
off
cross-off
off
cross-on
off
cross-off
on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross
High Tide
10:28AM4.90m
11:12PM4.37m
11:16AM4.75m
00:08AM4.30m
12:14PM4.60m
1:12AM4.27m
1:23PM4.51m
2:20AM4.33m
2:38PM4.56m
3:27AM4.48m
3:49PM4.74m
4:28AM4.73m
4:54PM4.98m
Low Tide
5:07PM0.87m
5:15AM1.53m
5:53PM0.99m
6:07AM1.65m
6:48PM1.11m
7:09AM1.73m
7:53PM1.20m
8:23AM1.69m
9:08PM1.20m
9:41AM1.48m
10:22PM1.08m
10:52AM1.13m
11:26PM0.90m
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
4:39
4:39
4:41
4:41
4:43
4:43
4:45
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
9:27
9:25
9:24
9:24
9:23
9:22
9:22
 mm
Temp °C
26
27
20
24
20
19
23
22
21
25
23
24
24
24
22
20
19
17
14
14
13
Feels °C
20
20
17
20
20
19
23
20
20
23
20
22
22
20
20
18
16
14
9
9
9
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
N
5
0.2
N
5
0.1
N
6
0.1
N
5
0.3
N
6
0.3
N
7
0.3
N
5
0.5
N
8
0.5
N
7
0.4
NNE
7
0.3
NNE
6
0.2
NNE
6
0.3
NNE
8
0.3
NNE
8
0.2
NNE
8
0.2
N
8
0.2
ESE
4
0.2
E
4
Energy kJ
1
2
1
1
7
8
5
31
27
15
8
3
14
13
6
5
1
1
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
N
5
0.1
N
8
0.1
N
9
0.2
N
8
0.1
N
12
0.2
NNE
9
0.2
N
8
0.2
N
8
0.1
N
6
0.2
N
7
Energy kJ
2
1
2
5
3
8
6
5
1
4
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
N
8
0.1
N
11
Energy kJ
1
2
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
W
3
0.5
WNW
3
0.3
WNW
2
0.5
WNW
3
0.2
ESE
3
0.3
ESE
2
0.4
ESE
4
0.2
ESE
3
0.6
ESE
4
0.5
ESE
4
0.3
ESE
4
0.3
NE
8
0.8
NNE
4
0.9
NNE
6
0.9
NE
6
0.8
NE
6
Energy kJ
5
6
1
5
1
1
7
1
10
10
2
9
21
57
44
36
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Distance (km)
473
498
467
446
548
428
149
144
417
472
274
149
365
365
392
428
455
182
514
544
423
Best forecast wave conditions in Lincolnshire
Rating
(10 max)
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
2
2
2
1
1
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
8
7
5
5
9
8
9
9
5
6
6
5
8
6
5
5
5
9
9
7
4
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Mablethorpe Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Mablethorpe provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Mablethorpe can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Mablethorpe surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Mablethorpe) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Mablethorpe may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Mablethorpe is 20 km (12 miles) from Skegness. If you plan a holiday in Lincolnshire, look for hotels and other accommodation in Skegness. Skegness has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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