Mablethorpe Surf Break

Lat Long: 53.30° N 0.30° E

Mablethorpe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 12 am 25 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Mablethorpe sea temperature is
19.4°C
3.6° 

Mablethorpe surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Mablethorpe surf forecast from 25 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 27 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 6s period, ENE swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 27 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 6s period, E swell with 120 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 27 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 6s period with ENE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Mablethorpe this week:

The surf forecast for Mablethorpe over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 27) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 6s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Mablethorpe in the next 16 days are 1.3m 6s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 27) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 4s period and expected on Monday (Aug 31) at 4PM.

Wave TypeTime (BST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4PM (Thu 27th Aug)3ft (0.9m) 6s
Best Surf 4PM (Thu 27th Aug)3ft (0.9m) 6s
Most Powerful 1PM (Thu 27th Aug)4.5ft (1.3m) 6s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Mablethorpe over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s on the table for Mablethorpe over the next couple of weeks.

Look, I hate to be the bearer of bad news, but we’re staring down a long, frustrating dry spell. For the next week and a half, there’s barely a whisper of proper surf. Most days are looking at tiny, weak windswell with crummy onshore winds, and when the wind does swing offshore, the swell just completely shuts off. It’s the kind of setup that makes you want to leave the boards in the garage.

The water temp is about where you’d expect for this time of year, nothing wild.

We don’t really get a genuine look at decent waves until well into the second week. The first real sniff of something interesting shows up on Wednesday, the 2nd of September. There’s a late-arriving pulse of northerly swell that bumps up to around 7.2ft. The energy is strong – we’re talking a combined energy reading of 1075 – but the winds are howling from the WSW at 22 mph, making it a cross-offshore breeze. It’s clean, but that’s a lot of power with wind on it. At that size, it’s starting to get a bit much for a learner.

After that, it drops back down into the small stuff, with nothing else really screaming "paddle out."

So really, if you’re desperate for a wave, the only true stand-out in the whole 16-day window is that Wednesday, 2nd of September window. It’s a long way out, so treat it as a promising possibility rather than a guarantee. It’s a beach break, so that long-period (11 seconds) northerly swell might be a little straight, but it’ll have some punch. If you’re an experienced surfer who can handle a bit of wind and size, mark that date. Everyone else, just wait.

Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 28mm), heaviest during Thu afternoon. Very mild (max 19°C on Tue night, min 16°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the E on Wed afternoon, calm by Thu afternoon).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Warm (max 21°C on Fri morning, min 13°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (light winds from the SE on Thu night, strong winds from the WSW by Fri afternoon).

Tuesday
25
Wednesday
26
Thursday
27
Friday
28
Saturday
29
Sunday
30
Monday
31
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1
ENE
5
0.9
ENE
5
1
E
6
1.2
E
6
1.1
E
5
0.9
ENE
6
1
E
6
0.9
ENE
6
0.8
ENE
7
0.5
NE
6
0.4
NE
6
0.4
NE
7
0.4
NE
7
0.2
NNE
8
0.3
NE
6
0.1
NE
6
0.2
N
6
0.2
N
6
0.1
N
8
0.1
N
7
0.1
N
7
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
56
46
60
99
70
52
73
68
51
18
11
16
11
6
6
1
3
3
1
1
1
Wind (km/h)
25
E
25
E
25
E
25
ESE
35
E
10
E
20
E
15
WNW
15
SW
20
SW
40
WSW
25
SW
25
SW
20
WSW
20
WSW
25
SW
25
SSW
30
SW
45
W
40
W
25
WSW
Wind State
on
on
on
cross-on
on
on
on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
High Tide
5:03AM4.24m
5:34PM4.27m
5:44AM4.63m
6:13PM4.57m
6:19AM5.00m
6:47PM4.84m
6:51AM5.31m
7:19PM5.07m
7:22AM5.55m
7:50PM5.24m
7:53AM5.70m
8:21PM5.33m
8:26AM5.73m
8:53PM5.31m
Low Tide
11:32AM1.51m
11:45PM1.56m
12:11PM1.09m
00:20AM1.25m
12:46PM0.69m
00:54AM0.97m
1:19PM0.36m
1:26AM0.75m
1:51PM0.13m
1:58AM0.60m
2:23PM0.02m
2:31AM0.54m
2:56PM0.05m
3:05AM0.57m
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
mod rain
rain showers
rain showers
clear
light rain
part cloud
cloud
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
light rain
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:54
5:56
5:58
6:00
6:01
6:03
6:05
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:05
8:02
8:00
7:58
7:55
7:53
7:51
 mm
7
21
3
1
1
1
1
Temp °C
18
18
19
19
19
19
18
18
17
21
17
16
19
16
17
19
20
16
16
17
15
Feels °C
14
14
17
16
14
16
17
19
17
16
10
12
15
13
16
14
16
12
7
9
10
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Mablethorpe Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Mablethorpe provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Mablethorpe can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Mablethorpe surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Mablethorpe) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Mablethorpe may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Mablethorpe is 20 km (12 miles) from Skegness. If you plan a holiday in Lincolnshire, look for hotels and other accommodation in Skegness. Skegness has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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