Mablethorpe Surf Break

Mablethorpe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Lat Long: 53.30° N 0.30° E

Issued: 6 pm 02 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Mablethorpe sea temperature is
19.0° C

5.3°C warmer than normal for this time of year

Mablethorpe surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Mablethorpe surf forecast from 2 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 3 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 9s period, N swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 3 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 9s period, N swell with 106 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 3 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 9s period with N swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Mablethorpe this week:

The surf forecast for Mablethorpe over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 03) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Mablethorpe in the next 16 days are 0.8m 9s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 03) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 3s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 04) at 4PM.

Wave TypeTime (BST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10AM (Fri 3rd Jul)2.5ft (0.8m) 9s
Best Surf10AM (Fri 3rd Jul)2.5ft (0.8m) 9s
Most Powerful 1PM (Fri 3rd Jul)2.5ft (0.8m) 9s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Mablethorpe over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what the next couple of weeks are serving up.

Well, I’ll be honest, it’s a lean stretch ahead. We’ve got a whole lot of flat and poor conditions staring us down, with only one window that even looks worth paddling out for. The first decent bit of surf doesn’t show until Friday the 3rd of July, and even then it’s nothing to write home about. Before that, Thursday the 2nd is a write-off with tiny 1ft wind swell and a stiff 19 mph cross-off wind. The wave energy is barely a whisper at 7 – forget it.

The standout, if you can call it that, is Friday the 3rd of July at Mablethorpe. Come Friday morning, we’re looking at a clean 3ft swell rolling in from the north with a long 9-second period. The wind is offshore and light at 9 mph, so it’ll be glassy and lined up. Wave energy bumps up to a moderate 164, which is the strongest we’ll see for the whole 16 days. It’s on the small side, alright for a beginner-friendly spot, but for the more experienced crew, you’ll be on a longboard or a funshape. The water temp is a balmy 66°, which is *far* warmer than normal for this time of year – a real treat.

Friday afternoon stays clean with the same offshore breeze, though the swell drops a touch to 2ft and the energy falls to 76. Still surfable, but the morning is the pick.

Now, after that window, it goes very quiet. From Saturday the 4th of July all the way through to the end of the forecast on the 17th, it’s pretty much a bust. We get some days with tiny 0.7ft to 1ft waves, mostly blown out by onshore or cross-shore winds. There’s a brief uptick on the 13th and 14th of July where the swell tries to push 3ft from the ESE, but the period is a short and weak 4 to 5 seconds, and the wind is onshore or cross-onshore, making it a choppy, lumpy mess. Wave energy for those days only gets into the 30-40 range – weak stuff. With that poor quality and onshore wind, a beach break like this would be more interesting for the kite surfers than us paddle guys.

Honestly, there’s nothing else that comes close to that Friday morning session. If you’re itching for a wave, your one and only shot is first thing on the 3rd of July at Mablethorpe. After that, it’s a long, flat, and frustrating run.

Stay patient, folks.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Sat afternoon, min 12°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (light winds from the ENE on Fri night, fresh winds from the WNW by Sat afternoon).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Tue afternoon, min 17°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the W on Mon morning, light winds from the ENE by Tue afternoon).

Thu
2
Friday
3
Saturday
4
Sunday
5
Monday
6
Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
N
6
0.3
N
7
0.8
N
9
0.7
N
9
0.6
N
8
0.4
NNE
7
0.3
NNE
7
0.3
N
6
0.2
N
6
0.6
NW
4
0.3
N
5
0.2
N
5
0.2
N
5
0.1
N
9
0.2
N
6
0.2
N
6
0.2
N
5
0.3
N
5
0.3
N
9
0.3
NNE
8
0.3
NNE
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
7
8
102
76
41
15
9
6
3
0
5
2
2
2
2
2
2
4
13
13
11
Wind (km/h)
30
WNW
20
WNW
15
WNW
15
W
15
SSW
30
W
30
WNW
25
W
20
NW
10
NW
15
WSW
30
W
30
WNW
15
WSW
25
WNW
20
NW
15
WNW
15
N
15
NE
10
E
10
E
Wind State
cross-off
off
off
off
cross-off
off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross
cross-on
on
on
High Tide
8:31PM4.70m
8:38AM5.12m
9:07PM4.62m
9:11AM5.10m
9:44PM4.53m
9:48AM5.02m
10:25PM4.45m
10:28AM4.90m
11:12PM4.37m
11:16AM4.75m
00:08AM4.30m
12:14PM4.60m
1:12AM4.27m
Low Tide
2:39AM1.07m
3:09PM0.69m
3:14AM1.14m
3:47PM0.72m
3:50AM1.25m
4:25PM0.78m
4:30AM1.38m
5:07PM0.87m
5:15AM1.53m
5:53PM0.99m
6:07AM1.65m
6:48PM1.11m
7:09AM1.73m
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
4:35
4:37
4:37
4:39
4:39
4:41
4:41
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
9:29
9:28
9:28
9:27
9:27
9:25
9:24
9:24
 mm
Temp °C
21
16
20
22
17
22
25
20
21
23
20
25
25
21
22
26
23
22
19
17
16
Feels °C
14
11
18
19
14
18
19
16
19
21
18
18
18
18
18
23
24
19
15
16
15
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
N
6
0.3
N
4
0.8
N
9
0.7
N
9
0.6
N
8
0.4
NNE
7
0.3
NNE
7
0.3
N
6
0.2
N
6
0.3
N
5
0.2
N
5
0.2
N
5
0.2
N
4
0.2
N
6
0.2
N
6
0.2
N
5
0.3
N
5
0.3
N
9
0.3
NNE
8
0.3
NNE
8
Energy kJ
7
3
102
76
41
15
9
6
3
5
2
2
1
2
2
2
4
13
13
11
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
N
7
0.6
N
9
0.1
N
9
0.1
N
9
0.1
N
10
0.1
N
9
0.2
N
8
Energy kJ
8
62
2
2
2
2
6
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
Energy kJ
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
NW
4
0.4
WNW
3
0.4
WNW
3
0.6
NW
3
0.5
WNW
3
0.4
WNW
3
0.6
NW
4
0.3
W
2
0.4
WNW
3
0.3
W
3
0.3
WNW
2
0.3
SE
2
Energy kJ
10
4
3
9
6
3
10
1
3
1
1
1
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Distance (km)
325
106
0
0
102
449
624
350
476
476
266
473
531
460
531
508
428
392
494
392
417
Best forecast wave conditions in Lincolnshire
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom
Rating
(10 max)
1
2
2
1
1
3
1
1
2
1
1
2
1
1
2
1
1
1
1
2
2
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
9
5
9
5
5
6
5
9
7
5
8
9
8
6
8
9
6
9
5
5
9
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Mablethorpe Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Mablethorpe provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Mablethorpe can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Mablethorpe surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Mablethorpe) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Mablethorpe may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Mablethorpe is 20 km (12 miles) from Skegness. If you plan a holiday in Lincolnshire, look for hotels and other accommodation in Skegness. Skegness has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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