Mablethorpe Surf Break

Lat Long: 53.30° N 0.30° E

Mablethorpe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 6 pm 09 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Mablethorpe sea temperature is
18.3°C
3.3° 

Mablethorpe surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Mablethorpe surf forecast from 9 Sep 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 16 Sep, 1PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 7s period, NNW swell with 111 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Mablethorpe this week:

The most powerful waves expected at Mablethorpe in the next 16 days are 1.1m 7s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 4AM.

Wave TypeTime (BST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful 1PM (Wed 16th Sep)3.5ft (1.1m) 7s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Mablethorpe over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at the charts for our local stretch.

Well, I’ll be honest with you—this is a tough run. The finder is quiet, and for the next couple of weeks, Mablethorpe is looking pretty flat. We’ve got a long gap of nothing special on the horizon. The first few days, from the 9th right through to the 16th, it’s all small stuff. Tiny waves, mostly under 2ft, with weak energy (4 to 37 on the energy scale). The wind is all over the place, but the swell just isn’t there. Honestly, it’s a kite surfer’s window more than a paddle surfer’s—strong cross-shore breezes and tiny waves don’t add up to a good surf session.

The water on the 9th is a real standout, though—65°F, which is a massive 6°F warmer than normal for this time of year. That’s very unusual, so if you’re going for a swim, it’ll feel like a tropical treat.

Things start to perk up a little on Monday the 21st. Monday morning we see a modest pulse of 3ft from the north, with moderate cross-offshore winds from the WSW at 22 mph. The energy is moderate (72). Then Monday afternoon, the best of the whole forecast arrives: 4ft from the NNW, with a period of 8 seconds, and a fresh offshore wind from the west at 22 mph. The combined energy jumps to 185—moderate, but the biggest we’ll see. This is the standout. The wind will keep it clean, and the size is just right for a fun session. It’s not a monster, but it’s the only real wave in the whole 16 days.

After that, Tuesday the 22nd drops back to 2ft, and then it’s back to tiny dribble for the rest of the week.

So, the call is simple: if you’re desperate, keep an eye on Monday the 21st afternoon. Otherwise, it’s a long wait. The blank run is pretty normal for this area when the pressure sits wrong.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Some drizzle, heaviest during Thu night. Warm (max 20°C on Fri afternoon, min 13°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (calm on Fri afternoon, fresh winds from the SW by Sat morning).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Some drizzle, heaviest during Sat afternoon. Warm (max 25°C on Mon afternoon, min 14°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Wed
9
Thursday
10
Friday
11
Saturday
12
Sunday
13
Monday
14
Tuesday
15
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1
N
7
0.7
NNE
7
0.5
N
6
0.4
NNE
7
0.3
NNE
7
0.2
N
7
0.2
N
7
0.3
N
6
0.1
N
7
0.1
N
6
0.3
WSW
3
0.7
NNE
4
0.6
NNE
5
0.6
NE
5
0.2
N
13
0.3
N
13
0.3
N
12
0.3
N
12
0.3
N
11
0.2
N
10
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
108
47
20
15
9
4
4
7
1
1
0
17
15
13
14
30
26
25
21
8
Wind (km/h)
20
NNE
15
WSW
15
SSW
25
SW
25
SW
20
WNW
5
NNE
10
SW
30
SW
25
SW
20
W
20
NNW
15
E
15
SSW
20
SW
25
WSW
20
SW
25
SW
15
WSW
20
NNW
Wind State
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
High Tide
5:47PM4.98m
5:54AM5.34m
6:32PM5.28m
6:36AM5.68m
7:10PM5.47m
7:15AM5.87m
7:46PM5.54m
7:52AM5.89m
8:19PM5.48m
8:27AM5.76m
8:51PM5.31m
9:02AM5.50m
9:22PM5.04m
Low Tide
00:06AM1.03m
12:31PM0.16m
00:46AM0.74m
1:10PM-0.11m
1:22AM0.54m
1:46PM-0.19m
1:56AM0.44m
2:19PM-0.09m
2:28AM0.44m
2:50PM0.15m
2:58AM0.55m
3:20PM0.50m
3:29AM0.75m
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
light rain
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
cloud
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:22
6:24
6:26
6:26
6:28
6:31
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
7:30
7:28
7:24
7:22
7:20
7:17
7:15
 mm
1
1
1
Temp °C
15
15
17
19
16
19
20
17
19
19
18
16
16
16
22
25
22
23
25
18
Feels °C
11
13
12
14
11
16
19
16
14
15
15
15
14
14
19
23
21
20
23
15
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Mablethorpe Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Mablethorpe provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Mablethorpe can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Mablethorpe surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Mablethorpe) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Mablethorpe may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Mablethorpe is 20 km (12 miles) from Skegness. If you plan a holiday in Lincolnshire, look for hotels and other accommodation in Skegness. Skegness has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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