Seignosse - Les Estagnots Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here, and I’ve got the lowdown on the next couple of weeks at Seignosse - Les Estagnots. Look, I’ll be straight with you: the first ten days are a tough slog. The swell is tiny, the wind is messy, and it’s going to be a real grind. But if you’ve got patience, there’s a proper little gem hiding right at the end that might just make it all worth it.

The pattern is mostly small, weak NW windswell with combined energy values mostly in the teens, twenties, and thirties – that’s barely a pulse. The water temp is sitting at 75° which is a whopping 6° warmer than normal for this time of year, so you won’t need a thick wetsuit, but that’s about the only plus.

Thursday 16th and Friday 17th are a write-off: 2ft to 2ft of NW slop, onshore or cross-onshore winds, and combined energy around 31 to 33 (weak). Saturday 18th morning goes glassy but the swell drops to a pathetic 0.6ft with only 14 energy, so you’re better off having a sleep-in. The whole week from 16th to 20th is a blank run – nothing worth paddling out for.

Tuesday 21st morning finally shows a tiny flicker of life: 3ft from the NNW with a light NE cross-offshore breeze and clean conditions. The combined energy is 52 (still weak), and the rating says “surfable waves but very ordinary conditions.” It’s not a standout, but it’s the first time you wouldn’t be wasting your time. Still, I’d wait.

Then we hit a long dry spell again. From Tuesday 21st afternoon all the way through to Tuesday 28th, it’s more tiny waves, onshore winds, and poor scores. There’s a brief moment on Wednesday 29th morning – 1ft, glassy calm, clean as a whistle – but with only 58 energy, it’s barely a ripple. Not a real recommendation.

Now, here’s the one that’s got my heart racing. Friday 31st July morning. Mark it in your calendar. We’ve got a solid 7ft groundswell from the NW with a very long period of 12 seconds, and the combined energy absolutely roars in at 1092 (strong). The wind is glassy from the NE, so it’ll be clean as a pin. The forecast says “excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers,” and that’s no joke – 7ft is getting into expert territory, especially at a beach break like Les Estagnots. That long period (12 secs) means proper groundswell with power and shape, but it can also make the waves a bit straight and tricky at this beach setup. If you’re an experienced surfer, this is the one. The crowd factor is “often” busy here, so expect company, but for a wave of this quality, it’s a price worth paying.

The afternoon of the 31st sees the wind swing cross-on and the quality drops right off, so it’s a morning mission only.

So, overall: a long, frustrating wait with tiny surf and poor conditions, but a real standout on Friday 31st July morning for the confident crew. Keep your eyes on that date.

Rusty.

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