Seignosse - Les Estagnots Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming our way on the coast.

I gotta be straight with you – the outlook for Seignosse - Les Estagnots is a bit of a bummer for the first week, but we might have a little flicker of hope right at the tail end of this 16-day window. The water temp is sitting at 76°F currently, which is a noticeable 5°F warmer than average for this time of year, so that’s a bit of a treat for the skin.

The problem is we’ve got a long, drawn-out stretch of small, weak swell and poor conditions. From Friday the 14th to Wednesday the 26th, the combined energy of the swell is really low – bouncing around between 19 and 148 (weak to moderate energy). We’re looking at tiny waves, mostly under 3 ft, with periods rarely getting over 10 seconds. That’s mostly short-period, weak windswell, not the kind of stuff that gets the heart pumping. Winds are mostly onshore or cross-onshore, keeping things chopped and messy. There are a couple of windows...

On the morning of Thursday the 20th, we see a brief moment where conditions clean up enough for a “surfable but very ordinary” session. That morning brings in an offshore wind from the NNE at 6 mph, with a 2 ft NW swell at 9 seconds. It’s clean but tiny. The crowd factor here is *often*, so expect company even for the small stuff.

Then on Saturday the 22nd and Sunday the 23rd, we get similar small clean windows in the mornings, with a little ENE and ESE offshore breeze. Still, the swell is tiny – 2 ft to 2 ft – and the periods are short (6 seconds). Not exactly one for the memory books.

Now, hold on. The real standout comes in the second week. Mark Thursday the 27th of August on your calendar. The morning shows a jump in quality with a 5 ft NW swell, a period of 9 seconds, and a gentle offshore breeze from the ESE at 9 mph. That’s going to produce clean lines and some proper push. The combined energy hits 380 (moderate wave energy), which is a solid step up from the weak stuff that came before. The afternoon stays clean but drops to 5 ft. For a spot like Les Estagnots, which is an exposed beach, that offshore wind and NW groundswell could set up some nice, rippable walls. Just be warned, this is an expert-level break and crowds are often here.

There’s also a potential big swell event around the 28th and 29th of August, with sizes ramping up to 7 ft to 10 ft and long periods (10-13 seconds). But the wind is going to be howling from the W and WNW at 22-25 mph, smashing it to pieces. That’s a no-go for a paddle board, though those winds on that exposed beach setup would be more interesting for kite surfers than us.

So, the bottom line: the first 12 days are a write-off unless you’re desperate for a clean ankle-biter. The best and only true standout is the morning of Thursday the 27th of August. It’s a long way off so keep an eye on the forecast, but for now, that’s the one to aim for.

Rusty.

Read more