Seignosse - Les Estagnots Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. Rusty here.

First off, I’m looking at Seignosse - Les Estagnots. The water is sitting at 76°, which is over three degrees warmer than normal for this time of year – that’s seriously unusual. You’ll be feeling that bathwater.

The whole 16-day window is a tough one. We’ve got a long dry spell right from the start. From Thursday 23rd July right through to Monday 27th July, the surf is basically a write-off – small, weak, and the wind is just making a mess of things. The combined energy is barely hitting 37 on that first Thursday morning, and it’s in the weak range until the weekend. The wind is onshore or cross-onshore, and the swell is short-period, around 6 to 7 seconds. It’s tiny, messy, and not worth a paddle.

Then on Saturday 25th July, the swell kicks up. We’re looking at 7 ft from the west with a period of 7 seconds. That’s a lot of water, but it’s short-period, onshore wind, and the combined energy jumps to 478 (moderate to strong). The problem is the wind is howling onshore at 15 to 18 mph. For a beach break like Les Estagnots, that’s messy. This is more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. It’s too big and blown out for beginners, and even experts will be battling the chop.

Sunday 26th July is still bumpy, with 6 ft to 5 ft and cross-onshore winds. The energy is still decent (336 to 218), but wind is ruining the shape.

Now, the one standout. Tuesday 28th July morning. This is the best on offer. The swell drops to 4 ft from the northwest, with a period of 10 seconds – that’s a nice groundswell. The wind is offshore from the east at just 3 mph, glassy. The combined energy is 311 (moderate), and the conditions are described as “clean”. This is a proper window. The swell direction (NW) is coming from the optimum direction for this break. The waves will be clean, lined up, and the offshore wind will hold the faces. It’s an expert break, and with “often” crowds, you’ll likely have company, but for that morning, it’s worth it. The longer period (10 seconds) means better shape and more energy between sets.

After that, we go back into a slump. Wednesday 29th July through to the end of the first week of August, the swell drops back to below 3 ft, and the wind is mostly onshore or cross. The combined energy falls into the weak bucket (mostly under 100), and the period drops to 8 or 9 seconds. There are a few glassy moments – like Friday 31st July morning (3 ft, glassy, 84 energy) and Monday 3rd August morning (1 ft, glassy, 55 energy), and Tuesday 4th August morning (1 ft, clean offshore, 43 energy). But these are tiny waves, waist-high at best, and very ordinary. Not worth getting excited about.

The period from 29th July to 7th August is a real dry spell. There are several days with no real recommendations. The surf is small, weak, and the wind is rarely cooperating. The only bright spot is that Tuesday 28th July morning. If you can get out then, you’ll be rewarded. Otherwise, it’s a waiting game.

The forecasts are solid for the near-term, but the long-range stuff (into the first week of August) is less certain. Still, the pattern looks quiet.

Rusty out.

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