Seignosse - Les Estagnots Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s happening at Seignosse - Les Estagnots.

Right now, the water is 73°, which is *much warmer than normal* for this time of year—over 5°F above average. Feels like a bath.

First up, we’ve got a slow start. Thursday the 2nd has some 4ft swell from the WNW, but the wind is a messy cross-onshore at 9 mph, and the energy is weak at 295. It’s a write-off. Friday the 3rd is no better—morning is questionable with onshore wind and a scrawny 3ft, and the afternoon is the same story.

Now, Saturday morning the 4th is where it gets interesting. That’s your standout. We’ve got clean 4ft from the WNW with a 10-second period and glass conditions—zero wind. The combined energy is a moderate 261, and with that offshore-friendly direction and glassy water, Les Estagnots is going to be tidy. For an expert-level break like this, that’s the session to jump on. Expect consistent waves and some proper shape.

Saturday afternoon, the wind swings cross-onshore again, and the quality drops. Sunday the 5th morning brings a tiny 2ft with a nice cross-offshore breeze, but it’s pretty weak. From Monday the 6th right through to Wednesday the 15th, it’s a long stretch of undersized surf—mostly between 1ft and 3ft. The energy readings are all below 100, so it’s barely rumbling. A couple of those mornings, like Tuesday the 7th and Thursday the 9th, do have glassy conditions, but with no real power behind the swell, you’re just floating around.

By the second week, the pattern holds: low, weak swell with occasional wind shifts. Thursday the 16th afternoon gets a fresh onshore blow of 19 mph, which is just ugly and way too strong for any decent paddle surfing with the small 3ft swell. The whole setup from the 11th onward has some longer-period NW groundswell (12 seconds on the 11th), but the wind is always cross-onshore, so it’s messy.

Honestly, for this 16-day run, Saturday morning the 4th is the only real highlight. The rest is either flat, choppy, or downright poor. For a break that’s consistent and exposed, it’s a bit of a bummer, but that one glassy morning makes it worth keeping an eye on. After the 5th, there’s a long gap of about a week where nothing’s worth paddling for. If there’s any swell hiding behind those low numbers, the forecasts could flip—these things change.

Stay tuned, and don’t sell your board just yet.

Rusty

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