Seignosse - Les Estagnots Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab your wettie, because it’s looking like a bit of a waiting game here, but there are a few windows to keep an eye on. To be straight with you, the next couple of weeks are mostly flat and messy. We’ve got a lot of small, weak swell and a lot of onshore wind to ruin whatever’s out there.

The water is running much warmer than usual for this time of year, coming in at about 75°F, which is a solid 4°F above the norm. That’s a real standout, so you can leave the booties at home. I’ll be talking about Les-Estagnots (Seignosse - Les Estagnots) for all of this, as that’s the only spot we’ve got on the map.

We’re starting off this Saturday arvo with next to nothing. A tiny 1ft swell from the NNW with a short, weak 5-second period. It’s cross-shore and the energy is just pitiful at 16. It’s going to be flat and bumpy. Sunday isn’t any better, with similar tiny surf in the 2ft range. The energy does pick up a touch to 102 by the afternoon, but the onshore wind will chop it up. No dice.

Monday the 10th is the first time we see anything surfable, and I’m using that word loosely. The morning looks glassy with a light west wind, and we’ve got a knee-high 2ft wave. The period is a touch better at 9 seconds, but the energy is still weak at 71. It’s rideable on a longboard, but you won’t be getting any barrels. Tuesday and Wednesday mornings are more of the same—small, glassy, and pretty ordinary. If you’re desperate for a splash, those are your windows, but keep the expectations in the gutter.

Through the rest of the week and into the weekend, the swell stays small and the wind stays mostly onshore or cross-onshore. The energy slowly creeps up, hitting 144 by Friday morning, but the waves are still only around 3ft. It’s messy, it’s lumpy, and it’s not worth getting excited about. Even when the swell tries to push a bit to 4ft on Sunday the 16th, the period drops to a junky 7 seconds, which means weak, fat, and crumbling waves. The wind is cross-onshore, so it’ll be a bit of a mess.

The first couple of days of the following week are more of the same, just poor surf with light, onshore winds. Then we get another brief chance on the morning of Wednesday the 20th. The wind goes glassy again, but the swell is still just 3ft with an 8-second period. The energy is at 88, so it’s another longboard day for those who are keen.

The next real blip comes on the morning of Saturday the 22nd. It’s glassy again, the wind is light from the SSW, and the swell bumps up a touch to 3ft. Still small, but it’s clean. The energy is at 94, so it’s not doing much, but if you’re a log guy, that’s your call to action. The arvo, however, is a write-off. The wind swings around to the NNW and howls to 25 km/h, chopping up that small swell and making for a miserable paddle.

Then, get this, the long-range has a pulse. By Sunday the 23rd, the swell finally shows some life. We’re looking at 7ft in the morning and pushing 8ft by the afternoon. The period is a solid 10 seconds, and the energy jumps to a strong 777, then up to 1175. This is the most significant swell of the entire window. However, it’s not all good news, as the wind is still cross-onshore, which will put some texture on the face. Also, at 7ft to 8ft, this is getting big for the beach break. It’s only for experienced surfers. It’s promising, but the wind needs to ease off for it to be truly epic. We’ll have to see how it plays out. It’s a week out, so treat it as a hopeful possibility, not a guarantee.

So, in the short term, there’s nothing worth rushing out for. The only real standouts are those clean, glassy mornings where you can get a few small ones on the longboard. The big swell on the 23rd is the one to watch, but it comes with a caveat. It’s a waiting game, but the water is warm, and there’s a pulse on the horizon.

Rusty.

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