Lajao (Baia dos Golfinhos) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for the next couple of weeks.

To be honest, it’s a tough stretch ahead. The whole 16-day window is a bit of a flat spell with very little to get excited about. We’re looking at a long gap of poor surf right through until the end of the run. The water temp is sitting at a warm 81°, which is about average for this time of year – nothing unusual there.

The only spot on the cards is Lajao (Baia dos Golfinhos), a beginner-friendly reef break that’s very consistent. The problem is the swell. We’ve got a persistent, short-period easterly swell hanging around, mostly between 3ft and 5ft, but with periods of only 6 to 8 seconds. That’s barely enough to push a ripple. The wind is a real killer too – it’s either a cross-off or a cross-shore breeze, and it’s almost always moderate to fresh, blowing at 9 to 19 mph. That keeps the surface messy and bumpy. The combined swell energy is mostly in the moderate range, between 96 and 495 (on the 2nd of September morning), but it’s still not enough to overcome the wind and poor period.

For the first few days, from Monday the 24th through Wednesday the 26th, the surf is flat and poor. Thursday the 27th and Friday the 28th look equally grim with a moderate cross-chop. The whole first week is a washout. The second week, from the 1st of September onwards, is more of the same: a constant easterly wind, short-period swell, and a cross-shore chop. The water temp anomaly is normal, so you can’t blame that.

There is a tiny flicker of hope on the 3rd of September (Thursday morning) and the 4th of September (Friday afternoon) where the conditions are flagged as “marginal,” with a score of 1/10. That’s about as good as it gets, and it’s not saying much. The swell is still tiny (4ft to 4ft) and short-period (8 seconds), but the wind is a lighter cross-off on the 3rd morning and a gentle cross-shore on the 4th afternoon, which *might* make it surfable for a longboard or a beginner. Don’t get your hopes up.

For the geeks out there, the combined energy on the morning of the 2nd of September hits 495 (moderate), but it’s still a poor, short-period wave with a cross-shore wind. It’s a classic case of lookin’ good on paper but terrible in the water.

The Bottom Line: There’s no standout session. The best you can hope for is a slim chance of a rideable knee-high wave on the 3rd or 4th of September morning/afternoon. If you’re desperate, bring a log and maybe a kite. The setup here is more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing for the entire duration.

Stay patient, and don’t sell the board just yet – it tends not to stay this poor for long.

Rusty.

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