Lajao (Baia dos Golfinhos) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab your coffee, I’m Rusty, and I’ve got the goods on Lajao (Baia dos Golfinhos) for the next couple of weeks. I’m not gonna lie, the vibe is kind of flat and messy – this isn’t a week for epic stories, more for a quiet paddle. The water’s sitting at a warm 81°, which is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The whole outlook is a bit of a struggle, to be honest. Right from the get-go, Tuesday the 11th, it’s on. We’ve got a knee-to-waist high 4ft swell from the ESE, but it’s traveling on a short, weak 7-second period. The combined energy is moderate at 176, but the wind is a fresh cross-offshore breeze from the SSE at 19 mph. That cross-off keeps the surface clean, but the wave quality is just poor – it’s not going to be a good session.

Wednesday the 12th and Thursday the 13th are basically a repeat. Same story: waist-high 4ft to 4ft swell, short period, cross-off wind, but the energy drops, and the forecast is still "poor surf conditions." There’s no standout here; it’s just a flat, workmanlike grind.

Friday the 14th is a real low point. The swell drops to 3ft, the period is a tiny 6 seconds, and the energy is weak at 94. It’s just not worth getting wet for.

Saturday the 15th through the following week is a long, sad tale of the same conditions. The swell bounces between 2ft and 5ft, but every single entry says "poor surf conditions." The wind is mostly cross-off or cross, so the surface is clean or has a bit of a chop, but the wave quality is terrible. It’s like the ocean forgot how to make a proper wave.

The only thing that gets interesting is around Sunday the 16th. There’s a pulse of energy that hits 226 (moderate) with a 5ft swell, but the period is still just 6 seconds, so it’s a messy, weak bump. Not a stand-out.

The whole 16-day window is a stretch of nothing special. There are no proper standouts, no swell that lines up with the optimum NE direction. The setup here is a reef break, but with this onshore ESE swell and constant cross-off wind, it’s just a frustrating, choppy mess. For a beginner, the swell is mostly manageable (under 5ft), but the quality is so poor it wouldn’t be enjoyable. For anyone else, it’s a hard pass. The only bright spot is that this spot is very consistent, so it tends not to stay this poor for long, and forecasts can change. But for now, I’d leave the board in the car.

Rusty

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