Lajao (Baia dos Golfinhos) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about Lajao (Baia dos Golfinhos). Look, I’ll be straight with you – this isn’t a classic run of form for this spot. The whole 16-day window is a bit of a grind, with no real standouts. The water temp is sitting around 81°F, which is bang on average for the time of year, so no surprises there.

The pattern is pretty much the same day after day. We’ve got a persistent cross-off or cross wind from the SSE or SE, blowing at 12 to 19 mph. That’s not ideal for clean, glassy conditions. The swell is coming from the east and ESE, mostly around 3 to 5 ft, with a short period of 6 to 8 seconds. That short period means the waves are a bit weak and lack that punch you want for a proper session. The combined energy is mostly in the double digits to low triple digits (like 100 to 322), which tells you the energy is weak to moderate at best.

The first few days, from August 1st to the 4th, are a write-off. The wind is too strong and cross-off, the swell is messy, and the surf is just poor. There’s a tiny flicker on the morning of the 4th where the swell bumps up to 4 ft and the energy hits 220, but it’s still a “marginal” call. Not worth paddling out for.

The whole middle of the forecast, from the 5th right through to the 14th of August, is just a long stretch of poor or marginal surf. The wind stays cross or cross-off, the swell stays small and short-period, and the energy never really gets going. It’s a frustrating run.

Now, the one thing that catches my eye is the morning of the 15th of August. The swell jumps to 4 ft from the ESE, with a period of 10 seconds – that’s a bit more like a groundswell. The combined energy hits 408, which is a solid moderate level. The wind is cross-off from the SE at 16 mph, which isn’t perfect, but it’s clean. This is the best window in the whole outlook, but it’s still a long way off. For a beginner-friendly reef break like Lajao, 4 ft is a decent size, and the 10-second period will give it a bit of shape. It’s promising, but don’t bank on it yet.

The rest of the 16th is just back to the usual small, weak stuff. Honestly, this is one of those runs where the forecast can change, so keep an eye on it. For now, the kites might have more fun than the surfers in this onshore wind.

Rusty.

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