Lajao (Baia dos Golfinhos) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let’s cut to it. The next couple of weeks are looking pretty flat and frustrating. We have waves, sure, but they’re mostly small, short-period slop with the wind messing things up. It’s one of those stretches where you’ll spend more time paddling than riding.

The only spot we keep coming back to is Lajao (Baia dos Golfinhos). It’s a very consistent reef break, so there will always be something rolling through, but the forecast isn't doing it any favors. Water temp is about 78°F, which is normal for this time of year, so at least the water won’t be uncomfortable.

The next few days are a washout. Swell is tiny, around 3ft, coming from the ESE with a weak 7-second period. The energy is right in that weak range, with readings in the 100s. The wind is mostly cross-off or cross, which keeps the surface clean in the mornings, but there’s just no power in the waves. This is pretty much beginner-only stuff, and low-end at that. The first few days are a hard pass.

Tuesday the 4th shows a little bump with the swell pushing to 4-5ft and the period stretching to 8 seconds. The energy reading doubles to 219 in the morning, and the light cross-off breeze makes the surface look decent. It’s still a marginal call, but if you’re keen, that morning window might have one or two rideable ones.

Then it’s back to the same old story for the rest of the first week and into the second. It’s a monotonous run of 3ft to 4ft east swell, with periods stuck at 7 seconds. The wind stays in that cross/cross-off range, and the energy stays weak to moderate, mostly in the 100-160 range. It’s all a bit ho-hum.

But there’s one thing that has my attention, and it’s a long way off. On Saturday the 15th, there’s a morning pulse that’s more interesting. The swell kicks up to 5ft, but more importantly, the combined energy jumps way up to 341. That’s a significant spike in power compared to everything around it. It’s still a short 7-second period, so it won’t be glassy perfection, but there might be a few more powerful lines. It’s got potential, but it’s over a week away, so don’t book your day off work just yet.

The biggest problem is the direction. Lajao is built for NE swell, but we’re getting everything from the ESE. That means the swell is hitting the reef at a bad angle, and the wave just won’t break with any real shape. This is a constant theme across the whole window, and it’s why everything is looking so poor. The 17th looks like the size might finally push past 5ft, but with winds cranking at 30 km/h, it’s going to be blown out and messy.

So, bottom line: there’s no standout day, no must-do session. If you’re itching to get wet, maybe check the early morning of the 4th or that far-off Saturday morning on the 15th. But honestly, you might be better off waxing the longboard and taking a walk. This is Rusty, signing off. I’ll keep watching the charts and see you when it turns on.

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