Lajao (Baia dos Golfinhos) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, I'm looking at this forecast and it's a bit of a tough one. We've got a long stretch ahead with only a few fleeting moments that might be worth a paddle. The overall pattern is pretty flat and uninspiring for most of the period, with a lot of small, weak swell and persistent cross or cross-off winds that are just making a mess of things.

The water is sitting at about 81°F, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so at least you won't be needing a steamer.

Let's start with the first chance we get. On Monday, the 3rd of August, we see a tiny bit of swell, but it's only 3ft from the east with a short, weak period of 7 seconds and the combined energy is a measly 97. That's weak, really weak. The wind is a cross-off from the SSE, which is fine, but there's just no power in the water. The report says "poor surf conditions" and I have to agree. It's not worth getting excited about.

This quiet, marginal pattern drags on for days. We see a little bump in energy on the 4th with 5ft of east swell, but the period is still short at 8 seconds and the wind is cross-shore, chopping it all up. The combined energy climbs to 250, which is moderate, but the cross-wind just kills the quality. It's the same story for the 5th, 6th, 7th, 8th, and 9th. We're stuck in a rut of small, short-period swell and onshore or cross-shore winds. For a full week, it's just not worth it.

Then, on the 10th of August, things start to look a little more interesting. The swell picks up to 5ft from the ESE with an 8-second period, and the combined energy jumps to 379. That's moderate, but it's got a bit more push. The wind is cross-off from the SE, which keeps the surface clean. The forecast still calls it "marginal," but it's the best we've seen in a week. The 11th of August is a similar story – 5ft of ESE swell, 8-second period, combined energy of 418, and clean conditions. This is the window. It's not epic, but it's the most promising couple of days in the entire outlook.

The standout in this whole run is the morning of Tuesday, the 11th of August. That's where we have the biggest swell, the highest energy, and the cleanest conditions. The swell is 5ft from the ESE, with a period of 8 seconds. For Lajao, the optimum swell direction is from the NE, so the ESE is a bit of a cross-swell, but with the wind being cross-off, the waves should still be rideable and clean. The energy is moderate (418), so there will be a few runners. Keep in mind that Lajao is a reef break, so it's one for the beginners, but with the swell under 5ft, it's a good size for learning. The break is very consistent and crowds are only sometimes, so you might get a few waves to yourself.

After that brief highlight, the energy drops off again. The 12th, 13th, and 14th have some swell, but it's small and inconsistent, and the wind is still cross-off. The last few days of the forecast, from the 15th to the 18th, see the swell drop right off, with heights under 3ft and combined energy falling back below 200. The wind actually picks up a bit, with a fresh breeze showing on the 13th, 16th, and 18th, making it feel even more bleak.

So, to sum it up: we've got a long, flat period from the start right through to the 9th of August. Then a brief, two-day window on the 10th and 11th where the surf is clean and has some energy. The 11th is the pick of the bunch. After that, it's back to small, weak conditions. It's not a classic run, but if you're keen, set your alarm for the morning of the 11th.

Rusty.

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