Lajao (Baia dos Golfinhos) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.

First off, we’re looking at Lajao (Baia dos Golfinhos) and it’s a bit of a mixed bag over the next couple of weeks. Water temp is sitting at 81°F with a 0.7°F anomaly, so it’s pretty much where you’d expect it to be for this time of year. The swell energy is going to be a big talking point, and you’ll see why.

The first week is a real struggle. We’ve got a pulse of swell coming through on Saturday the 18th, with waves around 6ft from the ESE, but the period is short at 7 seconds and the cross-off wind is a stiff 19 mph. The combined energy is a moderate 346, but the conditions are just poor. There’s a risk of thunderstorms, and honestly, the wind and tide are messing things up. The swell even gets too big for this break on Saturday afternoon, hitting 7ft with 555 energy, which is too much for a beginner-friendly reef setup. Not the day for it.

Sunday the 19th through to Wednesday the 23rd is pretty much a write-off. The swell drops slightly but stays around 4ft to 6ft, with that short 8-second period. Winds are cross-off and moderate, and the energy is moderate (between 257 and 427). The scores are all poor or marginal. Nothing to get excited about. The gap in quality surf here is a solid five days of flat to messy conditions.

Then, on Thursday morning the 23rd, we get a little window. The swell drops to 4ft from the E, period still 8 seconds, but the wind eases to a gentle 9 mph, cross-off, and the energy is 242. The forecast says “expect good surf conditions” – that’s the first real standout. It’s clean, the wind is light, and the waves are manageable. However, by the afternoon, the wind shifts to cross, and the conditions get a slight cross-chop, so make the most of the morning.

The rest of the month into early August is a slow grind. The swell stays small, mostly 3ft to 4ft, with 7-second periods and moderate winds. The energy drops to weak (74 to 80) on the 28th and 29th. There’s no surf worth chasing here. It’s a blank run of several days.

Now, looking way out to the start of August, there’s a bit of a pulse on the 1st and 2nd. On Saturday the 1st, we see the swell start to build, with 5ft ESE in the morning and 6ft ESE in the afternoon, period stretching to 9 seconds. The energy jumps to 505 in the afternoon, which is strong. But the wind is cross-off in the morning, turning to a moderate cross-off in the afternoon, and the score is only marginal. The same holds for Sunday the 2nd, with 7ft ESE and a 10-second period, giving a very strong energy of 796. But the wind is cross with a moderate chop, and the score is still marginal. This is promising for the long run, but it’s not a sure thing and the conditions need to line up. If you’re a competent surfer, keep an eye on this, but it’s a long way off.

Overall, the best bet is Thursday morning the 23rd. That’s the one true standout. The rest is either too blown out, too small, or too far out to get excited about.

Rusty.

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