Lajao (Baia dos Golfinhos) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Imperial Units

Alright, let’s be straight with each other. This forecast for the next 16 days is a tough one. We’re looking at a long stretch of small, weak, and messy energy. The first decent window doesn't really show up until Thursday morning, July 22nd, and even then, it’s more of a "maybe" than a "must-do."

The only spot in the game is Lajao (Baia dos Golfinhos). This is a beginner-friendly reef break, but it’s very consistent. It’s exposed to the swell, which is a good thing, but the swell direction is all wrong. It needs it from the NE, but what we’re getting is mostly from the E and ESE. That’s a big problem.

The first couple of days—Wednesday July 22nd and Thursday July 23rd—offer the most size, but it’s frustrating. Wednesday morning brings a 6ft ESE swell with a short 9-second period, giving us a moderate wave energy of 687. The cross-off wind from the SE will keep it clean, but the comment says it’s marginal. Thursday afternoon bumps up to a 6ft swell with a bit more energy (798), but again, it’s a marginal call. The wind stays cross-off, so it’ll look clean, but the shape is going to be poor with the wrong swell direction. After that, things drop off fast. From Friday the 24th all the way through to the end of the month, we’re stuck with tiny waves—3ft to 3ft—and weak energy readings in the double digits. The wind is mostly cross-off, keeping it clean, but there’s no power. It’s just not worth paddling out for.

The first week of August is more of the same. We see a tiny bump on Sunday the 2nd with a 5ft swell, but it’s weak at 174 energy and the periods are short. Most of the time, the wave heights are sitting around 3ft to 4ft, with energy readings barely cracking 200. The wind stays cross-off for the most part, which is the only saving grace, but the waves are just too weak and poorly directed.

Honestly, the only truly interesting note is right at the very end. On Thursday morning, August 6th, we get a tiny 2ft swell, but it has a very long period of 14 seconds, giving us a moderate energy of 247. That’s a groundswell, and it’s coming from a direction that’s a bit more favorable (SE). For a reef break like Lajao, a long period swell like this can suddenly make even a small wave rideable and fun. But it’s a long way out, so keep an eye on it. It’s the only glimmer of hope in a pretty bleak outlook.

The water temp is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

This is a patch where you’re going to have to be patient. The forecast can always change, but right now, it’s a waiting game.

Rusty.

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