Lajao (Baia dos Golfinhos) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, I'm Rusty, and I've been staring at the charts for your neck of the woods. I gotta be straight with you—this forecast is a tough one. We're looking at a long stretch of pretty ordinary conditions, so don't get your hopes up too high.

The water temp is sitting around 80° right now, which is about average for this time of year, so that's one small win.

Let's start with the only spot on the cards: Lajao (Baia dos Golfinhos). This is a beginner-friendly reef break, and it's very consistent, meaning it'll always have something rolling in. But the problem is, for the next several days, the swell is small and the wind is a persistent cross-off. The first few days are a write-off with poor surf conditions. Tuesday the 28th has tiny 3 ft swell from the ESE with a short period of 7 seconds and weak energy (73). It's not happening.

The first tiny glimmer of something semi-rideable shows up on Sunday, August 2nd. The morning sees a 4 ft swell from the ESE with a period of 7 seconds and moderate energy (309). The wind is still cross-off, but the rating is a "1" – marginal. It's not great, but it's the best we've seen. Monday the 3rd and Tuesday the 4th are similar, with the swell pushing 5 ft but the wind turning more cross, creating a bit of chop. The energy is building, hitting 435 on Tuesday afternoon, but the quality is poor.

Further out, from Wednesday, August 5th, through to the end of the outlook, we're stuck in a rut. The swell hangs around 4 ft to 4 ft, always from the east or ESE, with a short period of 7-8 seconds. The wind stays cross-off, keeping the surface clean, but the waves lack any real punch or shape. The combined energy values mostly sit in the 100-300 range (moderate), but it's just not translating into good surf. The scores are a flat zero or a "1" for marginal.

So, what's the call? The only standout, if you can call it that, is Sunday, August 2nd. It's the first day we see a glimmer of hope. But honestly, it's a long wait for not much. The rest of the 16 days is a grind of small, weak, and uninspiring surf. The best you can hope for is a few crumbly, knee-to-waist high waves. For the more experienced crew, this setup looks more like a kite surfing session than a paddle surfing one, given the consistent cross-off wind and the lack of quality.

Hang in there, mate. Sometimes these blanks runs happen, and forecasts can change. But for now, keep your board in the car and your expectations low.

Rusty.

Read more