Lajao (Baia dos Golfinhos) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, I’m Rusty… and let me tell ya, this 16-day outlook for Lajao (Baia dos Golfinhos) is mostly a dud. The first bunch of days—nothing worth paddling for. Small, weak, short-period junk with cross-off winds. You’re looking at about 5 days of zero-surf before anything even looks possible.

Starting Wednesday 29th July through Friday 1st August, it’s all 3 ft to 4 ft waves from the ESE with a pathetic 6-second period. Combined energy is only in the 90–100 range, so it’s weak. Winds are cross-off from the SSE or SE at 12–18 mph. The water temp anomaly is just 0.5°F above normal, so nothing unusual there. Honestly, don’t even bother.

Saturday 2nd and Sunday 3rd see a tiny bump to 4 ft to 4 ft, still short period, still cross-off. Combined energy creeps into the 100s, but the wave quality is awful. You’d be frustrated.

The first real chance is Monday 4th August morning, when the swell hits 7 ft from the ESE with an 8-second period. Combined energy jumps to 781—that’s a solid push. But the wind is cross-off at 12 mph, and it’s only scoring 2/10 for the reef. The afternoon gets cross-shore chop. If you’re an expert and you’re itching, the morning might give you some lumpy waves, but it’s not clean.

Tuesday 5th through Friday 8th August, the swell bounces between 5 ft and 7 ft, still short period, and combined energy in the 200–500 range. Winds stay cross-off, except for some cross-shore days that’ll mess up the surface. Scores are stuck at 1 or 2. Nothing to call home about.

Now, the best of the bunch is Monday 10th August morning. Swell is 6 ft from the ESE at 8 seconds, combined energy hits 504 (moderate to strong), and the wind is cross-off from the SE at 12 mph with clean conditions. Score is 2/10, but compared to the rest, this is your highlight. The break is a reef that’s very consistent, and crowds are only “sometimes” reported, so you might get some peace. The swell is a bit off the optimum NE direction, but the size and wind are the best combo we see. The short period means the waves might be a little crumbly, but it’s rideable.

After that, Tuesday 11th through Thursday 13th August drops back to 4 ft to 5 ft, with cross-off or cross-shore winds and combined energy in the 200–300 range. The last day, Thursday 13th, has a 5 ft swell with a 9-second period, but still not enough to make it great.

So bottom line: only two mornings—4th and 10th of August—offer any real surf, with the 10th being the better shot. The first week is a total blank, and the second week is marginal. If you’re a diehard with a longboard, maybe you’ll find something, but otherwise, wait for the next swell. Rusty.

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