Lajao (Baia dos Golfinhos) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what we’ve got coming down the pipe for this stretch. It’s a bit of a mixed bag, so let's talk it out straight up.

We’re looking at a run that starts with a bit of energy but the quality never really locks in. The first few days have some size, but the wind is a constant cross-off, meaning it’s not going to be glassy perfection. The real kicker is the swell direction – it’s coming in from the ESE, but this break at Lajao (Baia dos Golfinhos) really wants it from the NE. That mismatch is going to steal a lot of the punch. The water temp is about average for the time of year, nothing wild there.

For Saturday the 4th, we start with a 7 ft swell from the ESE, but with a moderate cross-off breeze at 12 mph, it’s going to be a bit lumpy. The combined swell energy is moderate (923). The afternoon drops off in size and quality. Not the day to get excited.

Sunday the 5th is still punchy with 6 ft to 6 ft, but again, that cross-off wind makes it tricky. The period is short at 8 seconds, so it’s a weak, disorganised windswell. You’ll get a wave, but it won’t be a thing of beauty.

By Monday the 6th, the morning sees 6 ft from the ESE, but the energy is dropping (562) and the wind is up at 16 mph. The afternoon turns into a write-off with a poor surf warning.

From Tuesday the 7th onwards, the swell just fades. We drop below 4 ft, and the period goes down to 7 or even 6 seconds. That’s a short, weak, and gutless wave for a reef setup. The combined swell energy drops into the double and low triple digits, barely enough to push a log around.

The Pick: Honestly, there isn’t a standout day here. The best of a bad bunch is Saturday the 4th and Sunday the 5th. The swell is around 6 ft to 7 ft, which is the biggest we see. It’s not too big for intermediates, but the cross-off wind and the wrong swell direction mean the waves will be crumbly and hard to hold. Crowds are possible here, so bring your patience. This setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing, given the constant cross-off breeze.

After the 5th, we go into a gap of about 10 days with nothing worth paddling out for. It’s a long, flat run. Forecasts can change, but right now, it’s a hard pass for most of the fortnight.

This is Rusty, signing off.

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