Lajao (Baia dos Golfinhos) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s coming for Lajao (Baia dos Golfinhos) over the next couple of weeks. Gotta be honest, it’s a rough patch overall.

The first few days are a total washout. Poor surf, a lot of cross-shore wind, and the swell is tiny and weak. The first real chance to even think about a wave comes around Saturday, July 11th, but even then it’s only marginal. The swell is around 3 ft to 4 ft from the E to ESE, with a period of just 6 seconds, so it’s small and weak, and the wind is cross-off, which is the only positive. The crowd situation is listed as "sometimes," so you might have a few others out, but it’s nothing crazy.

The next week, from July 13th through the 16th, it’s pretty grim. Wave heights are tiny, around 3 ft to 4 ft, and the swell period is still short at 7 seconds, so it’s basically dribble. The wind is mostly cross, so the faces are going to be choppy and messy. The energy is low, so it’s just not worth the effort.

Now, there’s a glimmer of hope starting around July 20th. The swell starts to push up a bit, with heights reaching 5 ft to 5 ft from the ESE, and the period stretches to 8 seconds, which is a step up. The energy jumps into the moderate range. The biggest pulse comes on the 22nd afternoon, with energy hitting 399 (moderate energy). The wind stays cross-off, so the waves will be clean, but the water temperature is about average for the time of year – nothing unusual. The swell direction is ESE, and the optimum for this break is NE, so it’s not a perfect match, but it’s the best we’ve got.

The real standout, if you can call it that, is around July 22nd. The morning of the 22nd shows a 5 ft ESE swell with a period of 8 seconds, and the energy is strong at 357 (moderate energy). The wind is cross-off and the conditions are clean. This is the best window for the whole outlook. But be aware, the swell is just over 5 ft, so it’s pushing into the “too big for beginners” territory. If you’re an intermediate or above, this is your shot.

After that, it tails off. The 23rd and 24th see similar-sized swell but the energy drops a bit, and the wind picks up a little, so it’s not as good. The 25th looks like the last gasp, with a 5 ft E swell at 9 seconds, but the wind is a fresh breeze at 30 km/h, which will blow it out.

So, to sum it up: the whole 16-day window is pretty poor. There’s a long gap of nothing from now until July 11th, then a week of rubbish, and then a couple of days around July 20th-22nd that are the only ones worth looking at. If you’re a beginner, stay away – the swell is too big and the period is short. For the more experienced, the 22nd morning is your best bet, but it’s not a classic. The setup here is a reef, and with the short period, it’s going to be a bit fat and straight, so don’t expect magic.

Rusty.

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