Lajao (Baia dos Golfinhos) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let’s be straight with you – the outlook for the next 16 days around Lajao (Baia dos Golfinhos) is a tough one to swallow. We’ve got a solid run of days with surf, but the conditions are fighting us every step of the way. The water is sitting at a warm 81°F, which is pretty much normal for this time of year, so you won’t need a thick suit.

The first window of surf kicks off on Saturday, September 5th. We’re seeing small, weak swell around 2ft from the east, with a short, choppy period of 7 seconds. The combined energy is low, just 98. The real problem is the cross-shore wind from the ESE at 15 km/h, stirring up a slight chop. It’s not going to be a pretty sight. Sunday the 6th is more of the same – 3ft to 3ft east swell, 6-second period, a bit more juice in the water (energy hits 103-130), but the wind is still cross-shore and lumpy. We’re looking at poor surf conditions across the board.

The middle of the week, from Monday the 7th to Wednesday the 9th, we nudge up to 3ft to 4ft east swell, but the period stays short – 6 to 7 seconds. The energy climbs into the 120s and 180s, but the wind is still mostly cross-shore. On Tuesday the 8th, we get a brief moment of clean surf in the afternoon with a cross-offshore wind from the SE at 30 km/h, but the swell is still small and weak. It’s the only real glimmer of non-chop all week.

From Thursday the 10th through to the 16th, the swell sticks around 4ft to 5ft from the east, with periods finally stretching to 7-8 seconds. The energy gets into the 200s and even 288 by the 12th, but the cross-shore winds are relentless. The waves have some push, but the wind is ruining the face. It’s a classic case of “there’s waves, but you won’t want to surf them.”

The final days from the 17th to the 20th keep the pattern: 4ft to 4ft east swell, 7-second period, with the energy settling between 137 and 190. A few afternoons, like the 17th and the 19th, show a clean look with a cross-offshore wind, but the swell is still small and weak. For a beginner reef break, these swells are manageable, but the quality is just not there.

Honestly, if you’re a kite surfer, the steady cross-shore winds and the 3ft to 5ft east swell might look more interesting than a paddle session. The consistency is there, but the surf quality is poor for the entire 16-day stretch. This is one of those empty runs where it’s better to wait for a change in the forecast.

Rusty.

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