La Boya Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get real. Looking at the data I’ve got, the next 16 days for this area are looking pretty ordinary. There’s nothing here that I’d call a standout; the conditions are just not coming together for a good session. Let’s break it down.

We start on Wednesday morning, the 8th of July. Honestly, it’s not looking good. There’s a risk of thunderstorms, and we’ve got a cross-onshore wind at 9 mph. The swell’s coming from the ESE at 4 ft, with a short period of 8 seconds. The combined wave energy is weak, sitting at 178, and it’s just choppy. The water’s warm at 84°F, which is about average for this time of year, but that’s the only positive.

This poor run of surf conditions just keeps rolling on. Day after day, we see the same story: cross-onshore or onshore winds, short period swell, and combined energy that never really gets into the moderate range until later, but even then, the winds are no good. By Thursday the 9th, the swell bumps up to 6 ft, and the energy hits 586 (moderate), but the wind’s still a problem. Friday the 10th is a similar story. It’s just not clean.

It’s not until Wednesday the 15th of July that we see a glimmer of something, but even then, it’s only described as marginal. The swell is 6 ft from the ESE, period at 8 seconds, energy at 765 (moderate), but the wind is still a cross-onshore breeze. It’s not good enough to get excited about.

Honestly, for the entire 16-day window, there are no real highlights. The wind is consistently from the east or southeast, keeping things choppy and messy. The swell direction (ESE to SE) is also not the optimal S direction that this break (La Boya) really wants to see. The period stays short, mostly 7 to 8 seconds, which means weak, wind-affected waves.

The only break to talk about is La Boya, a reef break that’s fairly consistent. It's rated for intermediate surfers, and crowds can pop sometimes. But with the constant onshore and cross-onshore winds, even an exposed reef can’t save this forecast. It’s just poor surf conditions day after day, with a little marginal action on the 15th that still has a cross-onshore element. There’s nothing here worth planning around.

So, in a nutshell: the next couple of weeks are a write-off. If you’re desperate, maybe check the 15th, but don’t hold your breath. We need a change in the wind to turn this around.

Rusty.

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