Dogmans (Rincon) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what’s cookin’ for Dogmans (Rincon).

Right now, it’s flat as a pancake. We’re looking at a solid 9-day stretch of virtually no swell, just tiny 0.3ft to 1ft dribble that’s not worth paddling for. The water is sitting at 85°F, which is about average for this time of year, so nothing weird going on there.

Things finally start to stir on September 9th. Wednesday afternoon sees a tiny bump to 1ft from the NNE with a 12-second period and the combined energy is still weak (61). The wind goes glassy, dead calm, but the conditions are described as very ordinary – surfable, but nothing to write home about. That carries into Thursday the 10th with 2ft NNE swell, 11-second period, and a cross-off breeze keeping it clean. Energy creeps up to 69-70, but it’s still just small and average.

Friday the 11th holds similar: 2ft from the N, period around 10 seconds, clean cross-off wind, energy up to 91. By Saturday the 12th, we finally see some moderate energy (170-235) with 2ft to 3ft NNE swell, still around 10 seconds. The morning is glassy, and the afternoon is clean. This is the standout window. It’s not big, but for a spot that’s been dead for over a week, it’s the most life we’ve seen. Sunday the 13th morning again sees glassy conditions with 3ft NNE swell, energy at 118, but the afternoon picks up a breeze.

For a reef break like Dogmans, that longer-period groundswell (12 seconds early on, 10 seconds for the peak) is decent. It’ll hold shape well, and the light, glassy or offshore winds will make it clean. The crowds are listed as “sometimes,” so you might have company, but it won’t be a zoo. This spot is fairly consistent when there's swell, but the first week-plus is a write-off. After that, the best call is Saturday the 12th – clean, glassy morning, moderate wave energy, and a reasonable 3ft NNE swell. It’s not a big day, but it’s the pick of a very quiet period.

Rusty.

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