Dogmans (Rincon) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s shaping up for Dogmans (Rincon).

To be honest, mate, it’s a tough stretch ahead. The combined energy is tiny, barely scratching into double digits at its best, so we’re looking at a long, flat run. The first real pulse of swell doesn’t show up until Tuesday 22 September when a small bump of 2.3ft from the north finally rolls in with a combined energy of (63), which is still weak. The water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing to write home about.

For the first two weeks, it’s a write-off. From Monday 7 September through to Monday 21 September, the swell is hovering between flat and 1.3ft, mostly from the north-northeast with periods of 7 to 10 seconds. The winds are often glassy or light offshore—especially in the mornings—which would be a dream if there were any waves. But there aren’t. It’s a solid 13-day gap with no real surf on offer.

The standout, and really the only day worth pointing a board at, is Tuesday 22 September morning. The forecast shows 2.3ft from the north with a period of 8 seconds, and the wind is dead calm, glassy. That’s your best shot. The break is a reef, fairly consistent, and the swell direction is northwest, which is near optimum for this spot. It’s small, but it’ll be clean. The combined energy climbs to (63), which is still weak but much better than the total flatness we’ve been staring at. Crowds are possible here, so expect a few locals out.

If that 2.3ft north swell doesn’t live up to the hype, the rest of the outlook is just wind and ripples. For a reef break like this, the longer period swell that shows up on 17 September (13 seconds) has a bit more shape, but with only 0.7ft of height, it’s not enough to ride. Still, it’s a glimmer that the ocean might be waking up.

In short: wait for Tuesday 22 September morning. The rest of the 16 days? You’re better off cleaning your wax.

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