Dogmans (Rincon) Surf Break

Lat Long: 18.34° N 67.26° W

Dogmans (Rincon) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 7 am 10 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Dogmans (Rincon) sea temperature is
29.0° C
1.0° 

Dogmans (Rincon) surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Dogmans (Rincon) surf forecast from 10 Jul 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 16 Jul, 11AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 8s period, N swell with 21 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Dogmans (Rincon) this week:

The most powerful waves expected at Dogmans (Rincon) in the next 16 days are 0.4m 8s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 11AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.7m 6s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 11) at 8PM.

Wave TypeTime (AST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful11AM (Thu 16th Jul)1.5ft (0.4m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Dogmans (Rincon) over the next 16 days.


Alright folks, let’s break it down. For the next 16 days at Dogmans (Rincon), it’s a flat spell. This is a reef break that needs a good west-northwest swell to get cranking, and we’re getting none of that. Water temp is 84°F, a little over a degree warmer than average for July.

Starting Friday, July 10th, absolutely nothing – zero energy. Saturday the 11th brings the first hint of a wave: a tiny 0.3ft from the north, with a 13-second period. Combined energy is only 4 – that’s pathetic. The wind is light and cross-offshore in the afternoon, making it clean, but you can’t ride what isn’t there.

Sunday the 12th through Wednesday the 15th is more of the same. Trash waves: 0.3ft to 0.7ft from the north or north-northeast. Periods between 9 and 11 seconds. Energy values are in the single digits or low teens (2 to 16). It’s a total desert out there.

We see a little bump on Thursday the 16th and Friday the 17th of July. Swell height gets to 1ft, still from the north-northeast, but the period drops to 7-8 seconds – windswell junk. The combined energy gets up to 21 on Thursday morning. Still not worth the drive. Crowds here are *sometimes* an issue, but not with this. Friday morning the 17th is glassy – calm wind – but the swell is tiny and weak. Clean water, no waves.

From Saturday the 18th through Saturday the 25th, it’s a total shutout. Multiple days with zero swell energy. There’s a blink on Sunday the 19th morning: 1.0ft from the north-northeast, period 7 seconds, energy 9 – but cross-onshore wind messes it up. Tuesday the 21st morning is glassy with a 0.3ft north swell, 10-second period, energy of 2. That’s not a surf session, that’s a lake.

There are zero standout sessions in this whole 16-day window. The longest stretch of nothing runs from the 18th right through to the 25th. For an intermediate reef spot like this, it’s more of a kiteboarding scene right now, but the wind’s too light for that too.

Stay patient. It’ll turn around eventually.

- Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 29°C on Fri afternoon, min 25°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (calm on Fri afternoon, fresh winds from the ENE by Sat night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Mon afternoon. Warm (max 29°C on Mon afternoon, min 25°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Friday
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
Monday
13
Tuesday
14
Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
NE
6
1.3
NE
6
0.9
ENE
5
0.9
NE
6
0.1
N
13
0.1
N
10
0.2
N
9
0.2
N
9
0.3
N
8
0.2
NNE
11
0.2
NNE
11
0.2
NNE
11
0.2
NNE
10
0.2
NNE
10
0.6
NE
6
0.1
N
10
0.1
N
10
0.3
N
9
0.4
N
8
0.4
N
8
0.4
N
7
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
0
0
0
0
4
2
6
7
12
11
11
11
11
10
0
2
2
14
21
19
17
Wind (km/h)
10
N
10
N
20
E
5
NNE
25
NE
25
E
10
NW
15
NE
25
ENE
10
NNW
10
E
15
E
10
NW
15
NNE
10
ESE
10
NW
25
NE
15
E
5
NW
10
N
15
ESE
Wind State
cross
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-on
cross-off
off
cross-on
off
off
cross-on
cross-off
off
cross-on
cross-off
off
cross-on
cross
cross-off
High Tide
5:34PM0.56m
4:33AM0.29m
6:33PM0.60m
5:37AM0.28m
7:31PM0.62m
6:43AM0.29m
8:26PM0.64m
7:49AM0.32m
9:18PM0.64m
8:54AM0.35m
10:07PM0.63m
9:57AM0.38m
10:53PM0.60m
Low Tide
10:02AM0.02m
00:27AM0.20m
10:57AM-0.01m
1:29AM0.19m
11:57AM-0.03m
2:23AM0.17m
12:57PM-0.04m
3:12AM0.16m
1:57PM-0.04m
3:57AM0.15m
2:57PM-0.01m
4:40AM0.14m
3:56PM0.02m
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
clear
clear
clear
clear
thunderstorm
clear
part cloud
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:58
5:58
6:00
6:00
6:00
6:01
6:01
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
7:08
7:08
7:08
7:08
7:07
7:07
7:07
 mm
1
1
1
2
1
Temp °C
28
29
27
28
29
27
27
29
28
27
29
28
27
29
28
27
28
27
27
29
28
Feels °C
31
34
27
31
28
26
29
30
28
29
32
29
29
30
29
29
28
28
29
32
29
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Dogmans (Rincon) Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Dogmans (Rincon) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Dogmans (Rincon) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Dogmans (Rincon) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Dogmans (Rincon)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Dogmans (Rincon) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

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