Dogmans (Rincon) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, it’s Rusty.

Alright, let’s be straight with you. The next couple of weeks around Dogmans (Rincon) are looking pretty flat and uninviting for the most part. The ocean’s basically taking a nap. We’ve got a long stretch of tiny, weak waves and poor conditions that’s going to test your patience. There’s a solid run of nothing from now until around the 20th, with wave heights barely cracking 1ft and the energy readings in the single digits to low thirties – just not enough to get excited about. You’d be wasting your time paddling out for those dribbles.

The water temp is sitting at 86°, which is about 2° warmer than normal for this time of year – a touch warmer than usual, so if you do get in, it’ll be a warm one.

The first real glimmer of hope shows up on Monday the 21st. We see the swell start to fill in from the north, around 3ft to 4ft. The combined energy jumps right up into the strong range (159 on the morning, then a solid 268 by Monday afternoon). That’s the standout window. It’s still a bit short-period at 9 seconds, but it’s something. The wind on Monday afternoon looks glassy, which is a huge bonus – that’ll keep the reef nice and clean. This is your best bet of the whole run. It’s not huge, but it’s rideable and clean.

After that little pulse, it fades quickly. Tuesday the 22nd and Wednesday the 23rd see the swell drop back down to under 3ft with poor, cross-onshore winds that will chop things up. The energy, while moderate (169 and 137), just won’t have the quality to match the Monday window. Then it looks like it fades out again towards the end of the period.

So, if you’re keen, circle Monday the 21st. That’s the one to make time for. Everything else in the next two weeks is either flat or messy. Don’t hold your breath for the long range – it’s a promising blip, but with this kind of run, you take what you can get.

Keep an eye on it, but for now, the board stays in the car.

Rusty.

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