Dogmans (Rincon) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's be straight with you – the outlook for Dogmans (Rincon) over the next 16 days is a tough one to write. We're looking at a long, dry spell with barely a ripple to get excited about.

Right from the start, it's flat. We've got a long gap of several days with no real surf to speak of. The first few days of the period, from Sunday the 12th through to Wednesday the 15th, we're seeing tiny, weak swells. The combined energy is barely registering, with readings as low as 2 (weak energy). The swell heights are a measly 0.3ft to 0.7ft, with periods around 7 to 11 seconds, but it's just not enough to push any shape through. Even when the wind goes glassy or light offshore, like on Tuesday morning the 14th, there's just no wave to ride. The water temp is sitting around 84°, which is about a degree and a half warmer than average for this time of year – comfortable, but it won't help make waves.

We then hit a complete dead zone. From Saturday the 18th all the way through to Saturday the 25th, it's a solid week of zeros in the energy department. Plenty of glassy mornings and clean offshore afternoons, but with nothing to surf, it's just a flat, calm ocean. A few tiny 0.3ft pulses show up on the 22nd and 23rd, but with periods of 6 seconds, they're just weak windswell that won't stand up.

The last couple of days, the 26th and 27th, tease us with a little 0.7ft NNE windswell, period of 8 seconds, and an offshore wind. The energy reading is a low 6, so it's still poor surf. For a spot like Dogmans (Rincon), which is a reef break that holds a good wave when the swell is right, this is a painful run. The optimum direction is a solid West-Northwest, and we're not seeing that at all.

Honestly, there's nothing here worth paddling out for. This is one of those stretches where the ocean just goes to sleep. Keep the board in the car, check the forecast in a few days—it tends not to stay this poor for long around here.

Rusty.

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