Dogmans (Rincon) Surf Break

Lat Long: 18.34° N 67.26° W

Dogmans (Rincon) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 7 am 14 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Dogmans (Rincon) sea temperature is
29.5°C
0.8° 

Dogmans (Rincon) surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Dogmans (Rincon) surf forecast from 14 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 18 Sep, 8PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 8s period, N swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 18 Sep, 8PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 8s period, N swell with 52 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 18 Sep, 8PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 8s period with N swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Dogmans (Rincon) this week:

The surf forecast for Dogmans (Rincon) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 18) at 8PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 8s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Dogmans (Rincon) in the next 16 days are 0.6m 8s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 18) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 5s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 8PM.

Wave TypeTime (AST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 8PM (Fri 18th Sep)2ft (0.6m) 8s
Best Surf 8PM (Fri 18th Sep)2ft (0.6m) 8s
Most Powerful 8PM (Fri 18th Sep)2ft (0.6m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Dogmans (Rincon) over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here. Let's get into it.

First off, the honest truth: the next couple of weeks are looking pretty flat around here. We’ve got a good stretch of nothing much on the cards, so don’t be in a rush to wax up yet. There’s a real gap in the action. From today, Monday the 14th, all the way through to Friday the 25th of September, the surf is basically a no-show – tiny little scraps of swell with almost no energy, mostly reading between 1 and 51 in the combined energy department, which is very weak. It’s a long, quiet period.

The only real glimmer of hope, and I mean the one standout in this whole 16-day window, comes right at the tail end. We're looking at Saturday the 26th of September. Dogmans (Rincon) should finally see a pulse of life early that morning. We’re talking small but clean surf, with swell around 2 ft coming from the NNE. That’s a fair direction for this spot. What makes it worthwhile is the wind: glassy, dead calm. It’s a reef break that’s fairly consistent, so it should be holding the swell okay. The combined energy is around 63, still weak but a lot better than what we’ve seen. It’s still small, but for the size, it'll be fun on a log or a fish. Expect a few others out there – it can get crowded sometimes – but on a little bump like this, it’ll be mellow. The water’s sitting at about 85°, which is a touch warmer than usual for this time of year by just under a degree and a half – not a massive deal, but nice and tropical feeling.

After that, Sunday the 27th of September morning is a similar story – another 2 ft from the NNE with glassy conditions. The energy is a touch higher at 67. It’s still just "surfable but very ordinary," so don’t plan a road trip, but if you’re local and jonesin’, it’s the only show in town.

Monday the 28th of September morning holds a tiny bit of shape, 1 ft from the NNE, still glassy, but the energy is dropping off again. After that, it turns back to dust for the rest of the forecast.

So, to sum it up: the first week and a half is a write-off. Don’t bother. Your best bet, and really the only call to make, is the early glass off on Saturday the 26th of September at Dogmans. It’s small but clean. Set the alarm.

- Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 16mm), heaviest on Mon afternoon. Warm (max 29°C on Mon morning, min 26°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 19mm), heaviest on Thu afternoon. Warm (max 30°C on Thu afternoon, min 27°C on Thu morning). Wind will be generally light.

Monday
14
Tuesday
15
Wednesday
16
Thursday
17
Friday
18
Saturday
19
Sunday
20
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
N
8
0.2
N
7
0.2
NNE
7
0.1
N
7
0.1
N
10
0.1
N
10
0.1
N
10
0.1
N
14
0.1
N
10
0.2
NNE
13
0.2
NNE
12
0.2
NNE
12
0.4
NNW
9
0.5
N
9
0.6
N
8
0.5
N
8
0.5
N
8
0.4
N
8
0.4
N
8
0.4
N
7
0.3
N
7
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
4
4
5
1
2
2
2
4
2
17
15
14
28
39
50
32
31
19
18
17
9
Wind (km/h)
5
E
15
NE
10
ENE
10
E
15
NE
20
E
5
ENE
10
E
10
E
0
SE
5
ESE
15
E
5
NNE
15
NNE
5
NE
5
ENE
5
ESE
5
ESE
10
SE
15
SE
5
ESE
Wind State
glassy
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
off
cross-off
off
off
glassy
off
off
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
High Tide
11:09AM0.53m
10:58PM0.36m
11:58AM0.51m
11:35PM0.32m
12:49PM0.49m
00:13AM0.29m
1:43PM0.47m
00:56AM0.27m
2:40PM0.46m
1:49AM0.26m
3:39PM0.45m
2:52AM0.26m
4:35PM0.46m
4:01AM0.27m
Low Tide
5:34PM0.15m
4:58AM0.06m
6:30PM0.17m
5:36AM0.06m
7:29PM0.18m
6:18AM0.07m
8:35PM0.20m
7:04AM0.08m
9:44PM0.20m
7:58AM0.09m
10:47PM0.21m
8:59AM0.11m
11:37PM0.21m
rain showers
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
part cloud
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
clear
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
part cloud
mod rain
thunderstorm
part cloud
part cloud
thunderstorm
part cloud
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
cloud
thunderstorm
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:16
6:16
6:16
6:16
6:16
6:16
6:16
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:31
6:30
6:30
6:29
6:29
6:28
6:27
 mm
1
5
2
1
1
2
4
9
2
1
2
5
1
Temp °C
29
29
28
28
29
28
28
29
28
29
30
28
28
29
28
28
29
28
27
29
28
Feels °C
33
33
30
31
33
31
31
33
31
34
34
30
32
33
31
32
34
31
31
30
31
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Dogmans (Rincon) Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Dogmans (Rincon) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Dogmans (Rincon) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Dogmans (Rincon) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Dogmans (Rincon)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Dogmans (Rincon) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

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