Surf Forecasts:
Dogmans (Rincon) surf forecast from 5 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 10 Sep, 5AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 10s period, N swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 10 Sep, 11AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 10s period, N swell with 71 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 10 Sep, 5AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 10s period with N swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Dogmans (Rincon) this week:
The surf forecast for Dogmans (Rincon) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.5m and 10s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Dogmans (Rincon) in the next 16 days are 0.6m 10s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 11AM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 2PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 5AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 5AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 11AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 2ft (0.6m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Dogmans (Rincon) over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here, checkin' in with the local scoop for the next couple of weeks.
Well, folks, I'm gonna level with you. The next sixteen days are lookin' mighty quiet. We've got a real long stretch of nothin' much happening, so don't go gettin' your hopes up for any kind of swell party. The first real sign of life doesn't show up until Thursday the 10th, and even then it's a whisper.
The main spot we're watchin' is Dogmans (Rincon), a reef break that's fairly consistent. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so nothin' special there. Basically, from now until the morning of Thursday the 10th, you're lookin' at a solid block of flat, poor surf conditions. We're talkin' days of glassy, calm water, but with zero energy behind it. The combined swell energy is a big fat zero (0) for most of that time. It's a good time to clean the wax off your board or go for a paddle, but not for catchin' waves.
Come Thursday the 10th, things finally change, but it's not a game-changer. Through the morning and afternoon, we see a tiny pulse of swell at 2 ft from the north, with a period of 10 seconds. The combined energy is weak (71), but it's surfable. The wind is glassy in the morning, which is a treat, but the waves are just ordinary. It's a one-day wonder, as the next day, Friday the 11th, the swell drops back to 2 ft, and the wind turns a bit cross. The energy drops off (39-41), and it's back to poor conditions.
After that, we're back into the doldrums. From Saturday the 12th all the way through to the end of the forecast on Sunday the 20th, it's a whole lot of nothin'. The swell is tiny, between 0.3 ft and 1 ft, with weak energy readings barely crackin' double digits. The wind is often glassy or light offshore, but with no swell to push, it's just a pretty lake. We get a little bump of 1 ft on the 16th and 17th, but it's still poor surf.
Honestly, the only window that's remotely worth paddlin' out for is that Thursday the 10th. The waves will be small, clean, and perfect for a longboard or a funboard. It's not a standout by any means, but it's the best we've got. The rest of the time, the setup looks more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer, if you can handle the afternoon thunderstorms. Keep your eyes on the forecasts, though – it tends not to stay this quiet forever.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Mon afternoon. Warm (max 30°C on Sun morning, min 27°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 17mm), heaviest on Tue afternoon. Warm (max 30°C on Wed afternoon, min 26°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 5 | NE 5 | N 8 | NE 5 | NE 5 | NE 5 | NNE 7 | NNE 9 | NNE 8 | NE 11 | N 8 | N 7 | N 7 | N 7 | N 7 | NNE 11 | N 10 | N 10 | N 9 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 37 | 71 | 67 | 42 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross | off | glassy | off | off | glassy | glassy | off | glassy | glassy | off |
High Tide | 2:01AM0.29m | 4:01PM0.54m | 3:13AM0.29m | 5:05PM0.55m | 4:29AM0.31m | 6:03PM0.56m | 5:42AM0.35m | 6:56PM0.56m | 6:47AM0.39m | 7:43PM0.55m | 7:46AM0.44m | 8:27PM0.52m | |||||||
Low Tide | 9:48PM0.21m | 8:21AM0.03m | 10:59PM0.21m | 9:31AM0.04m | 11:56PM0.20m | 10:43AM0.04m | 00:43AM0.18m | 11:52AM0.05m | 1:24AM0.17m | 12:56PM0.06m | 2:02AM0.15m | 1:55PM0.07m | 2:37AM0.12m | ||||||
 |  |  |  | | | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — |
 | 6:40 | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:38 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:36 | — | — | 6:36 | — |
mm | — | — | 1 | 2 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 4 | 1 | — | 4 | 1 | — | 5 | 3 | — | 3 | 1 |
Temp °C | 29 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 29 |
Feels °C | 32 | 32 | 34 | 32 | 34 | 34 | 34 | 34 | 35 | 34 | 34 | 33 | 30 | 32 | 34 | 32 | 33 | 33 | 33 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 5 | NE 5 | NE 7 | NE 5 | NE 5 | NE 5 | NE 5 | S 6 | NE 5 | NE 11 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 12 | NE 11 | NE 11 | NNE 11 | NE 6 | NE 6 | N 9 |
| kJ | 9 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 28 | 34 | 33 | 31 | 37 | 22 | 64 | 42 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 9 | ENE 7 | — | — | — | S 4 | S 6 | ENE 8 | S 5 | NE 5 | S 6 | S 6 | S 5 | S 5 | S 5 | S 5 | N 10 | N 10 | S 5 |
| kJ | 3 | 5 | — | — | — | 1 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 71 | 67 | 2 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 8 | — | N 8 | E 8 | NE 7 | E 8 | NNE 7 | NNE 9 | NNE 8 | S 6 | N 8 | N 7 | N 7 | N 7 | N 7 | N 6 | S 5 | S 5 | ENE 8 |
| kJ | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | NE 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NE 5 | NE 6 | NE 4 | NE 6 | ENE 6 | NE 6 | — | SSE 5 | NE 5 |
| kJ | — | — | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | 38 | 15 | 37 | 55 | 33 | — | 15 | 17 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 22 | 22 | 303 | 22 | 22 | 303 | 22 | 329 | 67 | 58 | 22 | 861 | 107 | 144 | 860 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 109 |
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Information about the Dogmans (Rincon) Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Dogmans (Rincon) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Dogmans (Rincon) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Dogmans (Rincon) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Dogmans (Rincon)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Dogmans (Rincon) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
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