Dogmans (Rincon) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. The name’s Rusty, and I’m looking at what’s on offer for Dogmans (Rincon) over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – it’s a tough stretch. There’s a big gap of nothing happening from now until the 9th of September. For a solid five days, the ocean’s basically flat and just not cooperating. The water temp is sitting about average for this time of year, so no surprises there, but you’d be paddling for nothing.

The first real flicker of hope shows up on the morning of Wednesday, the 9th. It’s tiny, with a 1.0 ft swell from the north, but the period is a solid 11 seconds, which is a nice groundswell pulse. The energy is weak though, only measuring 22. The wind is glassy, calm as can be, so if you’re desperate for a few small, clean rolls on the reef, you could get a board wet. Don’t expect much.

Thursday the 10th is a bit better. The swell bumps up to 2 ft from the north, with a 10-second period, and the energy climbs to 47. The morning is glassy again, perfect conditions for that tiny wave. It’s a reef break, so that longer period will wrap in nicely, but it’s still small stuff.

The real standout here, if you can call it that, is the afternoon of Wednesday the 16th of September. The swell is only 1 ft from the north, but the energy jumps to 60, and the wind is light and clean. It’s the first time the forecast climbs out of the "poor" category, calling it "surfable waves but very ordinary conditions." That’s the best we’re gonna get. For a reef break that’s fairly consistent, this is a pretty disappointing run.

After that, the 17th and 18th keep things small and mediocre, with onshore winds messing up the shape. The 18th afternoon has a clean offshore breeze from the east at 9 mph, but the swell is still only 1 ft and 8 seconds. It’s not worth a special trip.

Honestly, for the whole 16-day window, there’s no proper swell on the cards. It’s a long, flat spell. If you’re a beginner, you won’t find anything over 5 ft, so that’s not an issue, but there’s just nothing to ride. The only day that might give you a few grovelly waves is the 16th, and even then, it’s just barely surfable.

Rusty, signing off.

Read more