Dogmans (Rincon) Surf Break

Lat Long: 18.34° N 67.26° W

Dogmans (Rincon) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 1 pm 15 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Dogmans (Rincon) sea temperature is
29.5°C
0.8° 

Dogmans (Rincon) surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Dogmans (Rincon) surf forecast from 15 Sep 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Friday 18 Sep, 8PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 8s period, N swell with 50 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Dogmans (Rincon) this week:

The most powerful waves expected at Dogmans (Rincon) in the next 16 days are 0.6m 8s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 18) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 5s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 5PM.

Wave TypeTime (AST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful 8PM (Fri 18th Sep)2ft (0.6m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Dogmans (Rincon) over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, this is Rusty with the long-range look for our neck of the woods here at Dogmans (Rincon).

Honestly, I’ve got to call it like I see it. Over the next 16 days, the surf is looking pretty flat for the most part. There’s a big ol' gap of nothing really rideable for the first week. The first recommendation doesn’t come up until Wednesday the 23rd of September, and even then it’s just barely getting going. The water temp is sitting at a warm 85°, which is a touch warmer than average for this time of year.

From Tuesday the 15th all the way through Tuesday the 22nd, the wave heights are tiny, mostly under 2 ft, and the combined swell energy is weak, mostly under 100. We’ve got some glassy mornings like on Friday the 18th and Sunday the 20th, but with next to no swell, those are just flat and clean.

The first glimmer of hope shows up on Wednesday the 23rd of September. The afternoon picks up a bit of pulse with a 1.0 ft swell from the NNE, period stretching out to 14 seconds. That’s a long-period groundswell. The combined energy climbs to 67 (moderate). It's not huge but the wind is light offshore from the ENE, so it’ll be clean. That is the best on offer for this whole stretch, even if it’s only just surfable.

Thursday the 24th keeps things going with a similar NNE swell, hitting 2 ft in the afternoon, with a 12-second period. The energy bumps up to 102 (moderate). The morning has a light cross-onshore, but the afternoon turns cross-offshore with the NE breeze, keeping it clean. This is your next best bet.

Friday the 25th and Saturday the 26th hold that 2 ft NNE swell. Friday morning is glassy, Saturday morning is glassy too. The period drops a bit, but the wind is light or offshore. Good for a longboard or a funboard if you’re keen for a paddle.

Sunday the 27th of September could be the other little standout. Morning offshore from the east at 6 mph, 2 ft swell from the NNE, period back up to 13 seconds, and the combined energy hits 92 (moderate). It’s not a beast, but that’s about as good as it gets in this window.

After that, it fades back down into the nothing zone from Monday the 28th onwards.

So bottom line: If you’re desperate for a wave, target Wednesday the 23rd through Sunday the 27th. The best combo of swell size, longer period, and light offshore wind really lands on Sunday the 27th. Don’t expect much size, but it’ll be clean. Keep your expectations in check.

- Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 14mm), heaviest on Tue afternoon. Warm (max 31°C on Thu afternoon, min 27°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 19mm), heaviest on Sat afternoon. Warm (max 29°C on Fri afternoon, min 26°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Tue
15
Wednesday
16
Thursday
17
Friday
18
Saturday
19
Sunday
20
Monday
21
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
N
10
0.1
N
10
0.1
N
5
0.1
N
14
0.6
NE
5
0.2
NNE
13
0.2
NNE
12
0.2
NNE
12
0.4
NNW
9
0.5
N
8
0.6
N
8
0.5
N
8
0.5
N
8
0.4
N
8
0.4
N
8
0.4
N
7
0.3
N
7
0.2
N
7
0.2
N
7
0.2
N
6
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
2
2
1
4
0
17
15
14
28
37
49
30
28
18
18
17
9
4
4
3
Wind (km/h)
15
NE
15
E
10
ENE
15
E
5
ESE
10
ESE
5
E
10
E
10
E
10
NE
5
ENE
5
N
5
SSW
5
ESE
0
SW
5
NNE
10
E
5
SE
10
N
10
E
Wind State
cross-off
off
off
off
cross-off
off
glassy
off
off
cross-off
glassy
glassy
glassy
glassy
glassy
cross-off
off
glassy
cross
off
High Tide
11:35PM0.32m
12:49PM0.49m
00:13AM0.29m
1:43PM0.47m
00:56AM0.27m
2:40PM0.46m
1:49AM0.26m
3:39PM0.45m
2:52AM0.26m
4:35PM0.46m
4:01AM0.27m
5:25PM0.47m
Low Tide
6:30PM0.17m
5:36AM0.06m
7:29PM0.18m
6:18AM0.07m
8:35PM0.20m
7:04AM0.08m
9:44PM0.20m
7:58AM0.09m
10:47PM0.21m
8:59AM0.11m
11:37PM0.21m
10:03AM0.12m
00:14AM0.20m
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
cloud
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thunderstorm
part cloud
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
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part cloud
part cloud
clear
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
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thunderstorm
thunderstorm
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<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:16
6:16
6:16
6:16
6:16
6:16
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:30
6:30
6:29
6:29
6:28
6:27
6:25
 mm
4
2
1
2
3
2
7
3
4
5
2
3
Temp °C
29
28
28
30
28
30
31
29
28
29
28
28
29
28
28
29
28
28
29
28
Feels °C
32
30
31
33
30
33
35
32
32
33
32
32
33
31
32
34
32
32
33
32
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Dogmans (Rincon) Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Dogmans (Rincon) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Dogmans (Rincon) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Dogmans (Rincon) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Dogmans (Rincon)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Dogmans (Rincon) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

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