Dogmans (Rincon) Surf Break

Lat Long: 18.34° N 67.26° W

Dogmans (Rincon) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 1 pm 10 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Dogmans (Rincon) sea temperature is
29.2° C
0.7° 

Dogmans (Rincon) surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Dogmans (Rincon) surf forecast from 10 Aug 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 15 Aug, 11AM (local time) - 1ft (0.3m), 12s period, NNE swell with 27 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Dogmans (Rincon) this week:

The most powerful waves expected at Dogmans (Rincon) in the next 16 days are 0.3m 12s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 15) at 11AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.0m 6s period and expected on Saturday (Aug 15) at 5PM.

Wave TypeTime (AST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful11AM (Sat 15th Aug)1ft (0.3m) 12s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Dogmans (Rincon) over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it for Dogmans (Rincon). It’s a reef setup that can handle a bit of swell, but looking at the next couple of weeks, it’s gonna be a tough stretch for the paddle crew. We start off with a real quiet, frustrating run.

Right from Monday afternoon (August 10th), it’s flat with zero swell energy (0) and barely a breath of wind from the ENE. The water is sitting at a pretty warm 84.6°, about 1.3° warmer than normal for this time of year, so it feels about average out there. That’s the only nice thing I can say. Tuesday and Wednesday morning (August 11th-12th) we see a few tiny 0.7ft bumps from the NNE with a short sub-8 second period – anemic. Wednesday afternoon (August 12th) goes glassy but it’s still just a pathetic 0.7ft with 8 seconds.

We drag through the rest of that first week and the start of the second week with nothing but scraps. From the afternoon of August 13th right through until the early part of August 18th, the swell energy bumps along mostly in the low single digits, never breaking out of the weak zone. There’s a brief bit of hope on the morning of the 18th (Tuesday) when we see some combined energy hitting 59 with a 2.3ft NNE swell, period sitting at a short 8 seconds. The morning is glassy, but the wave comment says it all: “surfable waves but very ordinary conditions.” It’s the best we’re gonna see, but I’m telling you, that’s a low bar.

After that little hiccup, it’s back to near-flat mush. The energy drops away again into the low single digits through the rest of August 19th and into the third week. The morning glass-off windows on the 20th, 21st, 22nd, and 25th are all met with zero to 1ft of weak, short-period NNE or N swell. The late morning of August 25th shows a tiny 0.7ft at 8 seconds with a combined energy of only 7. It’s pretty, with glassy conditions, but there’s just no power in the water to shape up a proper wave.

Honestly, for the entire 16-day window, nothing here is a standout. The swell is consistently too small, the period is too short, and the energy is too weak to do anything with at a reef like this. You need that WNW swell direction to get the best out of Dogmans, and we just aren’t seeing it. If you’re desperate for a paddle on the glassy mornings, you might find a little ankle-to-barely-knee high wobble on the 18th, but don’t get your hopes up.

For the second week, there’s just nothing to recommend. The same pattern of tiny, weak pulses continues. The second week is as flat and disappointing as the first.

So wrap your board in a towel, because this stretch looks more like a kiteboarding wind festival than a surfing event. A bit of a grim run. Keep an eye on it though – forecasts can shift.

Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 20mm), heaviest during Tue afternoon. Warm (max 30°C on Mon afternoon, min 26°C on Tue afternoon). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Some drizzle, heaviest during Sat afternoon. Warm (max 31°C on Fri afternoon, min 26°C on Thu night). Mainly fresh winds.

Mon
10
Tuesday
11
Wednesday
12
Thursday
13
Friday
14
Saturday
15
Sunday
16
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.9
NE
6
0.7
NE
5
0.2
NNE
7
1
NE
5
0.6
NNE
6
0.6
NE
6
0.2
NNE
8
0.2
NNE
8
0.2
NNE
8
0.1
N
14
0.8
ENE
7
0.2
NNE
12
0.2
NNE
12
0.2
NNE
11
0.3
NNE
12
0.2
NNE
11
1.1
NE
6
0.2
NNE
11
0.2
NNE
10
0.3
NNE
10
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
0
0
5
0
24
0
7
7
6
4
0
14
14
13
27
13
0
11
10
20
Wind (km/h)
15
ENE
25
ENE
10
ENE
10
ENE
10
ESE
0
WNW
5
NNW
10
ESE
5
NNW
10
E
15
E
15
E
25
ENE
15
E
5
NNE
25
ENE
30
ENE
35
NE
40
NE
35
ENE
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
glassy
glassy
off
glassy
off
off
off
off
off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
7:17PM0.60m
6:42AM0.33m
8:08PM0.61m
7:47AM0.37m
8:56PM0.60m
8:48AM0.41m
9:40PM0.57m
9:47AM0.45m
10:22PM0.53m
10:43AM0.48m
11:01PM0.48m
11:38AM0.49m
11:39PM0.43m
Low Tide
1:59AM0.18m
12:53PM-0.00m
2:41AM0.16m
1:54PM0.01m
3:21AM0.15m
2:53PM0.04m
3:59AM0.13m
3:51PM0.07m
4:36AM0.11m
4:48PM0.11m
5:13AM0.09m
5:46PM0.14m
part cloud
clear
clear
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
part cloud
thunderstorm
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
thunderstorm
clear
clear
clear
thunderstorm
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:09
6:09
6:09
6:09
6:09
6:11
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:59
6:58
6:58
6:57
6:55
6:55
6:54
 mm
11
6
3
1
1
Temp °C
30
29
29
29
27
28
29
28
28
30
29
30
31
28
29
29
27
30
29
27
Feels °C
32
31
32
33
30
32
31
31
32
33
30
31
31
27
32
30
25
27
28
24
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Dogmans (Rincon) Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Dogmans (Rincon) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Dogmans (Rincon) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Dogmans (Rincon) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Dogmans (Rincon)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Dogmans (Rincon) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

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