Dogmans (Rincon) Surf Break

Lat Long: 18.34° N 67.26° W

Dogmans (Rincon) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 1 am 12 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Dogmans (Rincon) sea temperature is
29.7°C
1.0° 

Dogmans (Rincon) surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Dogmans (Rincon) surf forecast from 12 Sep 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Friday 18 Sep, 5PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 8s period, NNW swell with 24 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Dogmans (Rincon) this week:

The most powerful waves expected at Dogmans (Rincon) in the next 16 days are 0.4m 8s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 18) at 5PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 5s period and expected on Saturday (Sep 12) at 5PM.

Wave TypeTime (AST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful 5PM (Fri 18th Sep)1.5ft (0.4m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Dogmans (Rincon) over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Righto, let’s see what’s cookin’ for the next couple weeks. Honestly, it starts off pretty dead, but there’s a little flicker of life later on if you’re willin’ to wait.

We’re kickin’ off at Dogmans (Rincon), a reef break that’s fairly consistent and gets good exposure to a WNW swell. Water’s sittin’ at about 86°, which is roughly 2° warmer than normal for this time of year — nothin’ wild, just a bit toastier than usual. But from Saturday the 12th all the way through Wednesday the 23rd, it’s a wasteland. Swell heights are mostly 0.3ft to 1ft, with combined swell energy barely hittin’ double digits (10 at best), and often just 1 or even 0. That’s flat, weak stuff. A few mornings are glassy or light offshore, but there’s no push behind ’em. You’d be floatin’ around with no hope.

That’s a solid 12-day gap with nothin’ worth paddlin’ for.

Then around Thursday the 24th of September, things start to rumble a little. Thursday morning shows 2ft from the north with a period of 11 seconds, combined energy at 61 — that’s weak to moderate, just barely into the low end of okay. By Thursday afternoon it bumps to 2ft from the north, 10-second period, and combined energy hits 101 — now that’s solidly moderate. Wind goes light cross-off or glassy — real clean. For a reef like Dogmans, that means some tidy little lines. The swell’s from the north and the optimum here is WNW, so it’s not a perfect match, but with that longer period and clean conditions, it’ll still wrap in nicely.

Friday the 25th morning holds 2ft from the north, 9-second period, energy at 83, with light offshore wind. The afternoon drops to 2ft but stays clean. Saturday the 26th morning is glassy, 2ft from the north-northeast, 9-second period, energy at 68 — still surfable and clean, but nothin’ to shout about.

The real standout is Thursday the 24th afternoon: 2ft, north swell, clean light cross-off wind, and energy tipping over 100. It’s the best of a quiet run — small enough for beginners to have a go, and the reef should shape up some fun little waves. Crowds are listed as “sometimes” at Dogmans, so don’t be surprised if a few locals are out there sniffin’ the same bump.

After that, it fades again into Sunday the 27th and beyond, back to 0.7ft and weak energy. So if you’re keen, that Thursday arvo and Friday morning are your best bet. It ain’t epic, but it’s the only real surf in sight.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Sun afternoon. Warm (max 29°C on Sat morning, min 26°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Tue afternoon. Warm (max 30°C on Thu afternoon, min 26°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Saturday
12
Sunday
13
Monday
14
Tuesday
15
Wednesday
16
Thursday
17
Friday
18
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
N
7
0.3
N
6
0.2
NNE
10
0.2
NNE
10
0.2
NNE
10
0.2
NNE
9
0.2
N
8
0.2
N
7
0.2
N
7
0.1
N
7
0.1
N
6
0.4
NE
5
0.4
NE
5
0.1
N
14
0.7
NE
4
0.2
NNE
13
0.2
NNE
12
0.2
NNE
12
0.3
NNW
9
0.4
NNW
8
0.4
NNW
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
10
7
11
9
9
8
4
4
4
1
1
0
0
4
0
17
15
14
16
24
22
Wind (km/h)
5
N
25
ENE
20
E
5
ENE
15
NE
10
ESE
10
ESE
10
SE
10
NE
10
E
10
NNE
15
ENE
5
ESE
10
NNE
10
E
0
WNW
10
NNE
10
E
0
NW
15
NE
15
ENE
Wind State
cross
cross-off
off
glassy
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
cross-off
off
glassy
cross-off
off
glassy
cross-off
off
High Tide
9:31AM0.52m
9:45PM0.45m
10:20AM0.53m
10:22PM0.40m
11:09AM0.53m
10:58PM0.36m
11:58AM0.51m
11:35PM0.32m
12:49PM0.49m
00:13AM0.29m
1:43PM0.47m
00:56AM0.27m
2:40PM0.46m
1:49AM0.26m
Low Tide
3:47PM0.11m
3:47AM0.08m
4:41PM0.13m
4:22AM0.07m
5:34PM0.15m
4:58AM0.06m
6:30PM0.17m
5:36AM0.06m
7:29PM0.18m
6:18AM0.07m
8:35PM0.20m
7:04AM0.08m
9:44PM0.20m
clear
thunderstorm
clear
clear
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
cloud
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
cloud
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
part cloud
part cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:16
6:16
6:16
6:16
6:16
6:16
6:16
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:34
6:32
6:31
6:30
6:30
6:29
6:29
 mm
1
4
2
1
1
2
2
3
2
Temp °C
29
29
28
29
29
28
28
28
27
28
28
28
28
29
28
29
30
28
28
29
29
Feels °C
33
31
28
33
32
30
31
33
29
31
31
32
32
33
31
34
34
30
32
31
33
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Dogmans (Rincon) Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Dogmans (Rincon) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Dogmans (Rincon) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Dogmans (Rincon) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Dogmans (Rincon)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Dogmans (Rincon) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

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