Dogmans (Rincon) Surf Break

Lat Long: 18.34° N 67.26° W

Dogmans (Rincon) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 1 am 16 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Dogmans (Rincon) sea temperature is
29.2° C
0.7° 

Dogmans (Rincon) surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Dogmans (Rincon) surf forecast from 16 Aug 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 16 Aug, 11PM (local time) - 1ft (0.3m), 10s period, NNE swell with 20 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Dogmans (Rincon) this week:

The most powerful waves expected at Dogmans (Rincon) in the next 16 days are 0.3m 10s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 16) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 5s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 16) at 2PM.

Wave TypeTime (AST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful11PM (Sun 16th Aug)1ft (0.3m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Dogmans (Rincon) over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's be straight with you – this is a tough one to write.

Lookin' at the whole 16-day window for Dogmans, and honestly, it’s a bit of a heartbreaker. The swell just isn’t showing up. We've got a dead flat start right now, and that sets the tone. For the first week, from Sunday the 16th right through to the end of Sunday the 24th, the wave energy is pathetic – readings barely climbing into double digits (20 to 0) – and the swell heights are stuck below 1 foot. You’d be hard-pressed to paddle for a ripple, let alone a wave. There’s a brutal stretch from Monday the 24th through Tuesday the 25th showing straight-up zeros.

Then we roll into the final days of August and the start of September, and it’s still a desert. The combined energy pokes its head up to a paltry 29 on the 26th, but with a period of 6 seconds and a messy onshore breeze, it’s more wind-chop than anything else. We get some glassy mornings on the 29th and 30th, but still with next to no height (0.7 ft). The water temp is sitting at 85°, which is bang on average for this time of year, so at least you won't need a winter suit for the paddle of shame.

Alright, if I *have* to pick the best of a bad bunch, it’s a toss-up between a couple of moments that are less bad than the rest. The first one is Wednesday afternoon, the 19th of August. We get a tiny 1.0 ft from the N with a glassy surface. It ain't surf, but it's the prettiest-looking flat day you'll ever see.

The second faint glimmer is Saturday morning, the 29th of August. Again, glassy conditions with 0.7 ft from the N, and you're looking at a combined energy of just 3. It’s not a standout for surfing, it’s a standout for how calm the ocean will look.

For a reef break like Dogmans that’s fairly exposed to the WNW and needs some push, this is a proper dry spell. It’s the kind of run where you either take up fishing or just wait for the next forecast update. Sometimes it's like this. The ocean will come back.

Rusty, signing off.

Short Range Forecast

Some drizzle, heaviest during Tue night. Warm (max 30°C on Sun afternoon, min 26°C on Mon morning). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 16mm), heaviest on Thu afternoon. Warm (max 29°C on Thu morning, min 25°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light.

Sunday
16
Monday
17
Tuesday
18
Wednesday
19
Thursday
20
Friday
21
Saturday
22
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.1
NE
6
1.4
NE
5
0.3
NNE
10
0.3
NNE
10
0.2
NNE
10
0.2
NNE
10
0.2
NNE
10
0.2
NNE
9
0.2
N
7
0.2
NNE
9
0.3
N
8
0.3
N
7
0.2
NNE
7
0.3
NNE
8
0.2
NNE
9
0.3
NNE
9
0.1
N
11
0.3
NNE
8
0.3
NNE
8
0.1
N
10
0.2
NNE
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
0
0
20
20
10
9
9
8
4
8
11
9
5
13
7
15
2
14
13
2
6
Wind (km/h)
10
NE
20
NNE
20
E
10
NNW
15
NE
15
E
5
NW
10
E
15
ENE
5
NNW
5
NE
15
SE
0
S
10
NNE
15
ESE
5
N
20
ENE
25
ENE
10
ENE
10
E
15
ESE
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross
cross-off
off
cross-on
off
off
cross-on
glassy
cross-off
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
off
cross-off
off
off
High Tide
11:38AM0.49m
11:39PM0.43m
12:32PM0.50m
00:16AM0.38m
1:28PM0.49m
00:53AM0.33m
2:25PM0.47m
1:33AM0.30m
3:24PM0.46m
2:17AM0.27m
4:24PM0.46m
3:12AM0.25m
5:21PM0.47m
4:14AM0.25m
Low Tide
5:46PM0.14m
5:50AM0.08m
6:46PM0.17m
6:29AM0.07m
7:51PM0.20m
7:09AM0.07m
9:02PM0.21m
7:54AM0.07m
10:17PM0.22m
8:43AM0.07m
11:27PM0.21m
9:37AM0.08m
00:24AM0.21m
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
thunderstorm
part cloud
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
clear
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
clear
thunderstorm
clear
clear
thunderstorm
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:11
6:11
6:11
6:11
6:11
6:11
6:11
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:54
6:53
6:53
6:52
6:52
6:52
6:51
 mm
1
3
5
6
1
1
9
Temp °C
29
30
28
28
29
28
28
28
27
28
28
28
29
29
29
27
28
27
29
29
28
Feels °C
31
35
29
31
31
29
31
31
29
31
32
31
33
31
33
30
32
27
32
32
29
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Dogmans (Rincon) Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Dogmans (Rincon) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Dogmans (Rincon) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Dogmans (Rincon) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Dogmans (Rincon)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Dogmans (Rincon) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

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