Dogmans (Rincon) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you: the next 16 days at Dogmans are about as flat as a lake. There’s no real swell to speak of, so we’re looking at a long stretch of poor surf conditions. The first record shows absolutely nothing on Wednesday afternoon, August 12th, with a tiny 0.7ft swell from the NNE and a period of 8 seconds, giving a combined energy of just 7 – that’s weak. The water temperature is 84°, which is about normal for this time of year.

The outlook doesn’t change much. Thursday morning, August 13th, still has that same 0.7ft NNE swell, but the wind is a light offshore from the ENE at 3 mph, so the surface is clean. The energy is only 11, though. Thursday afternoon sees the swell drop to 0.3ft from the N with a longer 14-second period, but that’s still a combined energy of just 4. The wind is offshore from the ESE at 9 mph, so it’s clean, but there’s nothing to ride.

Friday, August 14th, through Saturday, August 15th, we’re stuck with 0.7ft to 1ft NNE swell, period between 11 and 12 seconds, and combined energy maxing out at 27. Winds are cross-offshore from the ENE at 6-9 mph, keeping it clean, but it’s still tiny. Sunday, August 16th, is a flat day with a zero reading in the morning, and the afternoon brings a 0.7ft NNE swell at 10 seconds, energy of 10, with a strong cross-offshore breeze from the NE at 25 mph.

From Monday, August 17th, all the way through Thursday, August 27th, the pattern is the same: tiny 0.3ft to 1ft swells, mostly from the N or NNE, periods ranging from 5 to 14 seconds, and combined energy rarely breaking into double digits. There are several days where the swell is completely absent – zero combined energy. The wind is often glassy or light offshore, so the water is clean, but there’s just no push.

The only blip worth mentioning is Wednesday afternoon, August 26th, when the swell picks up to 1ft from the NNE, but it’s only a 5-second period and a combined energy of 5. That’s a short-period, weak windswell that won’t produce anything rideable. For a reef break like Dogmans, which is fairly consistent and fairly exposed to WNW swells, a blank run like this is more normal for the area during this time of year. It’s not a good sign when the best option is nothing. Hang tight, check back later – forecasts can change, but right now, it’s a no-go.

Rusty.

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