Dogmans (Rincon) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what Dogmans (Rincon) has on the menu for the next couple of weeks. I’ll be straight with you – it’s a lean stretch. The forecast is telling us to be patient. We’re looking at a long gap of no real surf to start, with only tiny, weak signals popping up in the middle, and then another flat spell to close it out.

The first few days are a write-off. From Monday the 10th right through to Tuesday the 11th, there’s absolutely no swell on the cards. Just clean skies but a flat ocean. That’s a tough way to start the outlook.

Things try to flicker to life starting Wednesday the 12th. We see some tiny pulses, but nothing that’s going to get you out of bed. The swell height barely reaches 0.7 ft and the combined wave energy is virtually non-existent, sitting around (6) on the morning. The wind does turn glassy though, so if you’re desperate for a splash, the conditions will be clean, but you’ll be waiting a long time between ripples.

Thursday the 13th looks similar with glassy conditions and 0.7 ft of swell (6 energy). The afternoon sees a longer period pulse of 14 seconds, but the swell is a pathetic 0.3 ft (4 energy). That long period is a tease – it means better shape in theory, but you need some size to work with.

We get the best of a bad bunch on Friday the 14th and Saturday the 15th. The swell nudges up to 0.7 ft and 1.0 ft respectively, with periods holding around 12 seconds. The combined energy hits a peak of (27) on Saturday morning. Winds are cross-offshore from the ENE, keeping things reasonably clean, but the size is just frustratingly small for a reef break that needs a proper WNW swell to light up.

From Sunday the 16th through Monday the 24th, it’s a grim desert. There’s a tiny blip on Tuesday the 18th with 1.0 ft swell and combined energy of (23) under glassy winds, but again, it's hardly rideable. After that, the final week is dominated by howling winds – we’re looking at 25 mph from the NE on Monday the 24th – and absolutely no swell to speak of. Even the water temp anomaly is unremarkable, so nothing unusual to report there.

Honestly, for Dogmans, this setup looks far more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. The winds are there, but the swell just isn’t. There are no standout days in this outlook. You’d be waiting for a change in the pattern.

Stay tuned, forecasts can shift.

Rusty.

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