Dogmans (Rincon) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it for Dogmans (Rincon). It’s a reef setup that can handle a bit of swell, but looking at the next couple of weeks, it’s gonna be a tough stretch for the paddle crew. We start off with a real quiet, frustrating run.

Right from Monday afternoon (August 10th), it’s flat with zero swell energy (0) and barely a breath of wind from the ENE. The water is sitting at a pretty warm 84.6°, about 1.3° warmer than normal for this time of year, so it feels about average out there. That’s the only nice thing I can say. Tuesday and Wednesday morning (August 11th-12th) we see a few tiny 0.7ft bumps from the NNE with a short sub-8 second period – anemic. Wednesday afternoon (August 12th) goes glassy but it’s still just a pathetic 0.7ft with 8 seconds.

We drag through the rest of that first week and the start of the second week with nothing but scraps. From the afternoon of August 13th right through until the early part of August 18th, the swell energy bumps along mostly in the low single digits, never breaking out of the weak zone. There’s a brief bit of hope on the morning of the 18th (Tuesday) when we see some combined energy hitting 59 with a 2.3ft NNE swell, period sitting at a short 8 seconds. The morning is glassy, but the wave comment says it all: “surfable waves but very ordinary conditions.” It’s the best we’re gonna see, but I’m telling you, that’s a low bar.

After that little hiccup, it’s back to near-flat mush. The energy drops away again into the low single digits through the rest of August 19th and into the third week. The morning glass-off windows on the 20th, 21st, 22nd, and 25th are all met with zero to 1ft of weak, short-period NNE or N swell. The late morning of August 25th shows a tiny 0.7ft at 8 seconds with a combined energy of only 7. It’s pretty, with glassy conditions, but there’s just no power in the water to shape up a proper wave.

Honestly, for the entire 16-day window, nothing here is a standout. The swell is consistently too small, the period is too short, and the energy is too weak to do anything with at a reef like this. You need that WNW swell direction to get the best out of Dogmans, and we just aren’t seeing it. If you’re desperate for a paddle on the glassy mornings, you might find a little ankle-to-barely-knee high wobble on the 18th, but don’t get your hopes up.

For the second week, there’s just nothing to recommend. The same pattern of tiny, weak pulses continues. The second week is as flat and disappointing as the first.

So wrap your board in a towel, because this stretch looks more like a kiteboarding wind festival than a surfing event. A bit of a grim run. Keep an eye on it though – forecasts can shift.

Read more