Dogmans (Rincon) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cooking for the next 16 days. Gotta be straight with you – this one’s a tough pill to swallow. The computer’s just not serving up any real surf to get excited about. We’ve got a long, flat stretch ahead, so don’t be rushing to wax up just yet.

Right now, and for the vast majority of the forecast period, the ocean is basically asleep. The combined swell energy is sitting at a pathetic 0 or 1 (0 to 1) for days on end. That’s the sound of a lake, not a surf break. You’ll see a few tiny pulses of energy, but nothing that’s going to push you down the line. It’s a lean run.

For the first real sign of life, we’ve got to look all the way to the morning of Wednesday, August 6th. Even then, it’s just a whisper of a swell. The water temp is sitting at 84°F, which is pretty much average for this time of year, so at least you won’t freeze while you’re waiting.

The only spot that’s even on the radar for the whole 16 days is Dogmans (Rincon) . It’s a reef setup, fairly consistent, and it likes a swell from the WNW. The problem is, the swell just isn’t coming from that direction with any muscle. The best we see is a tiny, long-period groundswell from the NNE on the 5th and 6th of August. That 12-second period is the only thing that’s interesting, but the swell height is barely 0.3 ft. The combined energy tops out at a measly 10 (10) on the 6th. That’s weak.

The winds, to be fair, are often glassy or offshore in the mornings, which would make for a beautiful, clean surface if there were any waves. But without any push, it’s just a pretty, flat ocean.

If you absolutely have to get wet, the morning of Thursday, August 7th, might be your best bet. We’ve got a sliver of 0.7 ft swell from the NNE with a 10-second period, and the wind is calm and glassy. The combined energy is still feeble at 9 (9). It’s not a standout. It’s the only fish in a very empty barrel. But honestly, the setup looks more interesting for a paddle on a SUP than a surf.

Forget the second week. It’s the same story – tiny scraps of 0.7 ft energy and glassy mornings. The afternoon of August 11th brings a gusty 16 mph offshore wind, but the swell is just a pathetic 1 ft with a 4-second period. That’s pure wind chop. No good.

This is just a blank run for the area. It’s one of those spells where the ocean just takes a holiday. Hang tight, keep an eye on the charts, and don’t bother dragging your boards down to the beach until something real shows up.

Stay salty,
Rusty

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