Dogmans (Rincon) Surf Break

Lat Long: 18.34° N 67.26° W

Dogmans (Rincon) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 7 pm 11 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Dogmans (Rincon) sea temperature is
29.9°C
1.1° 

Dogmans (Rincon) surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Dogmans (Rincon) surf forecast from 12 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 18 Sep, 11PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 9s period, N swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 19 Sep, 2AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 10s period, N swell with 65 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 18 Sep, 11PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 9s period with N swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Dogmans (Rincon) this week:

The surf forecast for Dogmans (Rincon) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 18) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 9s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Dogmans (Rincon) in the next 16 days are 0.6m 10s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 19) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 5s period and expected on Sunday (Sep 13) at 2PM.

Wave TypeTime (AST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)11PM (Fri 18th Sep)2ft (0.6m) 9s
Best Surf11PM (Fri 18th Sep)2ft (0.6m) 9s
Most Powerful 2AM (Sat 19th Sep)2ft (0.6m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Dogmans (Rincon) over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you—this coast is in a proper lull for a while. We’re lookin’ at a good ten days or more of flat, dribbly conditions at Dogmans (Rincon) before anything with a pulse shows up. Don’t get your hopes up for the first week and a half; the ocean’s basically asleep.

The first real chance of a wave shows up on Thursday, September 25th, with a modest bump of northerly swell pushing in around 3ft. The swell energy is weak-to-moderate at 109, and it’s glassy in the morning—that’s about as good as it gets for a while. The period’s around 9 seconds, so it’s a bit of a windswell, but clean conditions will make it rideable. By the afternoon it gets a little cross-off with a gentle breeze, but still surfable. It’s not a standout, but at least you can paddle out and get a few crumbly ones.

Then the real event—the one to keep an eye on—rolls in on Sunday, September 27th. The swell jumps to 7ft out of the north, and the energy jumps way up to 716, which is strong, proper grunt. That’s the best on offer across the whole run, but it’s not for the faint-hearted. 7ft is solid, pushing past beginner territory, and with a period of 9 seconds it’s still a bit short, so it’s going to be lumpy and testing. The wind is light cross-on in the morning, which will leave a bit of texture, but it’s still the only day where you’ll get some real power. This one’s for the experienced crew—the reef will be working but it’ll be handling some size.

The water’s about average for this time of year, nothing wild there.

Before that, it’s a long grind. From now through the 24th, you’re looking at waves mostly under 2ft, with combined swell energy in the single digits and teens. There are some glassy mornings here and there, but it’s just not worth suiting up for. The swell direction is mostly north, which is what Dogmans wants, but there’s no size behind it. A few afternoons pick up a bit of cross-off breeze, but again, it’s all flat.

So, bottom line: mark Thursday the 25th as a “maybe” if you’re desperate, but Sunday the 27th is the real deal—if you’re experienced and hungry, that’s your session. Everything else is a waiting game. Forecasts can change, so keep your fingers crossed, but for now, bring the longboard and a book.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Sun afternoon. Warm (max 29°C on Fri night, min 26°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Heavy rain (total 20mm), heaviest during Tue afternoon. Warm (max 29°C on Wed afternoon, min 26°C on Tue morning). Mainly fresh winds.

Saturday
12
Sunday
13
Monday
14
Tuesday
15
Wednesday
16
Thursday
17
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
NNE
8
0.3
N
7
0.3
N
6
0.2
NNE
10
0.2
NNE
10
0.2
NNE
10
0.2
NNE
9
0.2
N
8
0.2
N
7
0.2
N
7
0.1
N
7
0.1
N
10
0.1
N
10
0.5
NE
6
0.1
N
14
0.6
NE
5
0.2
NNE
13
0.2
NNE
12
0.2
NNE
12
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
21
10
7
11
9
9
8
4
4
4
1
2
2
0
4
0
17
15
14
Wind (km/h)
15
E
5
NNW
20
ENE
20
ENE
5
NE
15
NE
15
ESE
5
E
10
N
15
ENE
5
E
10
ESE
35
NE
0
NNE
10
NNE
15
ENE
5
WNW
5
NNE
10
ESE
Wind State
off
cross-on
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
off
glassy
cross-off
off
glassy
off
cross-off
glassy
cross-off
off
glassy
cross-off
off
High Tide
9:07PM0.49m
9:31AM0.52m
9:45PM0.45m
10:20AM0.53m
10:22PM0.40m
11:09AM0.53m
10:58PM0.36m
11:58AM0.51m
11:35PM0.32m
12:49PM0.49m
00:13AM0.29m
1:43PM0.47m
00:56AM0.27m
Low Tide
3:12AM0.10m
3:47PM0.11m
3:47AM0.08m
4:41PM0.13m
4:22AM0.07m
5:34PM0.15m
4:58AM0.06m
6:30PM0.17m
5:36AM0.06m
7:29PM0.18m
6:18AM0.07m
8:35PM0.20m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
part cloud
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
part cloud
mod rain
mod rain
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:16
6:16
6:16
6:16
6:16
6:16
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:35
6:34
6:32
6:31
6:30
6:30
6:29
 mm
2
2
1
2
8
9
1
1
Temp °C
29
28
29
28
29
29
28
28
28
28
28
28
27
27
29
28
28
29
29
Feels °C
32
32
31
28
32
32
29
32
32
32
32
32
30
31
32
30
32
34
33
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Dogmans (Rincon) Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Dogmans (Rincon) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Dogmans (Rincon) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Dogmans (Rincon) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Dogmans (Rincon)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Dogmans (Rincon) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

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