Dogmans (Rincon) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let’s see what’s cookin’ for the next couple of weeks.

Gotta be honest from the start – it’s a slow burn. The first recommendations don’t show up until Friday morning, July 31st, and even then, it’s a real grind. The overall pattern is one of tiny, weak, jumbled energy. The combined swell energy is barely a whisper, readings like 2 (that’s weak) for the first few days, and it never really gets going. The water temp is 84° with a 1° anomaly, so it’s a touch warmer than average for this time of year – nothing wild.

The only spot in the mix is Dogmans (Rincon). It’s a reef break, fairly consistent, and it likes a WNW swell. From Friday the 31st through the first week, it’s a real mixed bag. Swell heights are tiny, mostly 0.7ft, coming from the NNE, with a short period around 5 seconds – not giving you any form. The wind is a lottery: some glassy moments, but also cross-shore and cross-offshore breezes that won’t clean it up. The best you’ll get is a knee-high ripple on the morning of Saturday, August 1st, with a glassy surface, but it’s poor surf. The combined energy stays low, between 2 and 5, until around the 7th of August.

Now, around Friday, August 7th, we see a little pulse. The swell height stays 0.7ft from the NNE, but the period stretches to 9 seconds, and the combined energy jumps to 17. Still weak, but it’s something. The morning of the 7th is glassy, dead calm – that’s as clean as it gets. But it’s small. Saturday the 8th is glassy too, but flat.

The real standout, if you can call it that, is Sunday, August 9th. The morning session has a 0.7ft swell from the NNE, but the period is 11 seconds – that’s a longer-period groundswell. The combined energy hits 20 (still weak, but the highest we’ll see). The wind is glassy. That’s the cleanest window in the whole forecast. The afternoon is clean too, with a light cross-offshore breeze. For a reef break like Dogmans, that longer period will help the shape, but the size is tiny. It’s not a big day, but it’s the best of a very quiet period.

After that, from the 10th of August onward, it’s back to flat, glassy mornings and tiny, inconsistent pulses. The energy drops again (8, 7, etc.). The period wobbles between 9 and 10 seconds, but it’s all just baby waves. The wind is often glassy or clean, but with no swell, you’re just staring at flat water.

Honestly, none of this is for beginners or experts. It’s all too small. The swell never gets above 1ft, so there’s no danger of it being too big. The setup is more for a longboard or a SUP than a shortboard. There’s no standout session worth making a special trip for. If you’re desperate, the 9th of August morning is your best bet – glassy, 0.7ft, 11-second period, weak energy (20). That’s all she wrote.

Rusty, signing off.

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