Dogmans (Rincon) Surf Break

Lat Long: 18.34° N 67.26° W

Dogmans (Rincon) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 1 pm 12 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Dogmans (Rincon) sea temperature is
29.0° C
0.6° 

Dogmans (Rincon) surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Dogmans (Rincon) surf forecast from 12 Aug 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 15 Aug, 11AM (local time) - 1ft (0.3m), 12s period, NNE swell with 27 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Dogmans (Rincon) this week:

The most powerful waves expected at Dogmans (Rincon) in the next 16 days are 0.3m 12s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 15) at 11AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.0m 6s period and expected on Saturday (Aug 15) at 5PM.

Wave TypeTime (AST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful11AM (Sat 15th Aug)1ft (0.3m) 12s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Dogmans (Rincon) over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you: the next 16 days at Dogmans are about as flat as a lake. There’s no real swell to speak of, so we’re looking at a long stretch of poor surf conditions. The first record shows absolutely nothing on Wednesday afternoon, August 12th, with a tiny 0.7ft swell from the NNE and a period of 8 seconds, giving a combined energy of just 7 – that’s weak. The water temperature is 84°, which is about normal for this time of year.

The outlook doesn’t change much. Thursday morning, August 13th, still has that same 0.7ft NNE swell, but the wind is a light offshore from the ENE at 3 mph, so the surface is clean. The energy is only 11, though. Thursday afternoon sees the swell drop to 0.3ft from the N with a longer 14-second period, but that’s still a combined energy of just 4. The wind is offshore from the ESE at 9 mph, so it’s clean, but there’s nothing to ride.

Friday, August 14th, through Saturday, August 15th, we’re stuck with 0.7ft to 1ft NNE swell, period between 11 and 12 seconds, and combined energy maxing out at 27. Winds are cross-offshore from the ENE at 6-9 mph, keeping it clean, but it’s still tiny. Sunday, August 16th, is a flat day with a zero reading in the morning, and the afternoon brings a 0.7ft NNE swell at 10 seconds, energy of 10, with a strong cross-offshore breeze from the NE at 25 mph.

From Monday, August 17th, all the way through Thursday, August 27th, the pattern is the same: tiny 0.3ft to 1ft swells, mostly from the N or NNE, periods ranging from 5 to 14 seconds, and combined energy rarely breaking into double digits. There are several days where the swell is completely absent – zero combined energy. The wind is often glassy or light offshore, so the water is clean, but there’s just no push.

The only blip worth mentioning is Wednesday afternoon, August 26th, when the swell picks up to 1ft from the NNE, but it’s only a 5-second period and a combined energy of 5. That’s a short-period, weak windswell that won’t produce anything rideable. For a reef break like Dogmans, which is fairly consistent and fairly exposed to WNW swells, a blank run like this is more normal for the area during this time of year. It’s not a good sign when the best option is nothing. Hang tight, check back later – forecasts can change, but right now, it’s a no-go.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Wed afternoon. Warm (max 31°C on Thu afternoon, min 26°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 13mm), heaviest on Mon afternoon. Warm (max 30°C on Sat afternoon, min 26°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NE on Sun afternoon, calm by Tue morning).

Wed
12
Thursday
13
Friday
14
Saturday
15
Sunday
16
Monday
17
Tuesday
18
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
NNE
8
0.2
NNE
8
0.2
NNE
8
0.1
N
14
0.7
NE
6
0.2
NNE
12
1.8
ENE
6
0.2
NNE
11
0.3
NNE
12
0.2
NNE
11
1.2
NE
5
1.6
NE
5
0.2
NNE
10
0.3
NNE
10
0.2
NNE
10
0.2
NNE
10
0.2
NNE
10
0.2
NNE
10
0.1
N
7
0.2
N
9
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
7
7
7
4
0
14
0
13
27
13
0
0
10
20
10
10
9
9
1
6
Wind (km/h)
5
SSW
15
ESE
5
ENE
15
ESE
15
E
10
NNE
10
ENE
30
ENE
15
ENE
30
ENE
30
ENE
35
NE
40
NE
20
E
5
SE
5
NW
10
ESE
0
WSW
15
NNE
10
E
Wind State
glassy
off
off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
glassy
cross-off
glassy
cross-off
off
High Tide
8:56PM0.60m
8:48AM0.41m
9:40PM0.57m
9:47AM0.45m
10:22PM0.53m
10:43AM0.48m
11:01PM0.48m
11:38AM0.49m
11:39PM0.43m
12:32PM0.50m
00:16AM0.38m
1:28PM0.49m
00:53AM0.33m
Low Tide
3:21AM0.15m
2:53PM0.04m
3:59AM0.13m
3:51PM0.07m
4:36AM0.11m
4:48PM0.11m
5:13AM0.09m
5:46PM0.14m
5:50AM0.08m
6:46PM0.17m
6:29AM0.07m
7:51PM0.20m
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
thunderstorm
clear
clear
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
part cloud
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
part cloud
part cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:09
6:09
6:09
6:11
6:11
6:11
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:58
6:57
6:55
6:55
6:54
6:53
6:53
 mm
7
3
2
1
2
7
1
Temp °C
30
29
30
31
28
28
30
28
30
30
27
30
30
27
30
30
29
29
30
28
Feels °C
34
33
34
32
29
30
33
28
32
29
26
27
27
24
33
33
34
33
34
32
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Dogmans (Rincon) Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Dogmans (Rincon) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Dogmans (Rincon) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Dogmans (Rincon) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Dogmans (Rincon)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Dogmans (Rincon) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

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