Surf Forecasts:
Tocones surf forecast from 8 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 8 Jul, 5PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 7s period, ENE swell with 254 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tocones this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Tocones in the next 16 days are 1.6m 7s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 5PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (AST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 5PM (Wed 8th Jul) | 5ft (1.6m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tocones over the next 16 days.
Right, folks, let's have a look at what's on the menu for Tocones (Chile). I've gotta be straight with you – the next 16 days aren't shaping up to be anything to write home about. It's a bit of a flat spell, and what little energy is around is being hammered by some tricky winds.
We kick off on Wednesday, 8th July, with a bit of swell on the cards – around 5 ft coming from the East. But that's where the good news ends. The wind is howling from the East at 19 mph, putting a nasty cross-shore chop all over it. With a short period of 7 seconds, the wave energy is moderate (213), but the quality is just poor. This pattern locks in for days. Through to Saturday morning, 18th July, it's the same sad story: swell between 4 ft and 5 ft, always from the East or East-Northeast, but always accompanied by a moderate to fresh cross-shore breeze. The waves will be lumpy and unruly. For a beginner-friendly reef like this, those conditions are a write-off.
There's a tiny glimmer on the afternoon of Saturday, 18th July. The wind eases just a touch and turns cross-offshore, making things clean for a bit. The swell is around 5 ft from the ENE, period still short at 7 seconds, with moderate energy (213). It's still not great, but it might be the only window where you could get a couple of half-decent ones if you're really desperate.
After that, it fades out. Sunday, 19th July, things drop, and by Monday, 20th July, the swell collapses to a tiny 2 ft to 3 ft. The last few days of the outlook are flat, with energy readings barely hitting 60, and short, weak periods. For a spot that is usually consistent, this is a frustrating run.
Honestly, there is no standout session here. The constant Easterly breeze is the killer. For this beach and reef setup, the conditions look more suited to a kite surfer than a paddle surfer for almost the entire period. If you're a beginner, stay home; the swell rarely gets over 5 ft, but the wind makes it messy. For the experts, there's nothing to get excited about. It's a real bummer, but forecasts can change. Keep an eye on it.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Warm (max 29°C on Thu morning, min 26°C on Tue night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 29°C on Sat afternoon, min 26°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tue 14 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 7 | E 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | E 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 6 | E 7 | E 7 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | E 7 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | E 6 | E 6 | ENE 6 | E 6 | E 6 | E 6 | E 6 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 206 | 206 | 254 | 186 | 218 | 203 | 143 | 171 | 161 | 123 | 152 | 120 | 65 | 83 | 66 | 62 | 86 | 104 | 104 | 141 | 153 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross |
High Tide | 2:24AM0.29m | 4:38PM0.39m | 3:00AM0.27m | 5:48PM0.43m | 3:44AM0.25m | 6:50PM0.47m | 4:39AM0.23m | 7:46PM0.50m | 5:46AM0.23m | 8:37PM0.52m | 6:57AM0.23m | 9:23PM0.52m | 8:05AM0.25m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 9:19PM0.17m | 9:12AM-0.01m | 10:47PM0.20m | 10:01AM-0.04m | 00:19AM0.21m | 10:53AM-0.07m | 1:39AM0.21m | 11:49AM-0.09m | 2:38AM0.20m | 12:45PM-0.11m | 3:23AM0.18m | 1:42PM-0.11m | 4:01AM0.16m | 2:38PM-0.10m | |||||||
 |  |  |  | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — |
 | 7:04 | — | 7:04 | — | — | 7:04 | — | — | 7:04 | — | — | 7:04 | — | — | 7:04 | — | — | 7:04 | — | — | 7:02 |
mm | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — |
Temp °C | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 29 | 29 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 26 | 28 | 29 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 27 | 29 | 29 |
Feels °C | 28 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 27 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 27 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 7 | NE 13 | NE 12 | NE 12 | ENE 11 | NE 11 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | N 8 | E 6 | NNE 10 | NNE 10 |
| kJ | 206 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 29 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 31 | 21 | 20 | 12 | 12 | 4 | 104 | 11 | 10 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 14 | N 13 | ENE 9 | NE 9 | N 9 | N 8 | N 8 | NNE 11 | NNE 11 | N 7 | N 7 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 1 | 1 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 12 | N 9 | NE 9 | NNE 11 | NNE 11 | — | N 7 | N 9 | N 8 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 11 | — | 4 | 2 | 1 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | E 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | E 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 6 | E 7 | E 7 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | E 7 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | E 6 | E 6 | ENE 6 | E 6 | — | E 6 | E 6 |
| kJ | — | 206 | 254 | 186 | 218 | 203 | 143 | 171 | 161 | 123 | 152 | 120 | 65 | 83 | 66 | 62 | 86 | 104 | — | 141 | 153 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 30 | 53 | 879 | 82 | 871 | 874 | 420 | 879 | 137 | 420 | 879 | 841 | 384 | 871 | 519 | 33 | 879 | 879 | 362 | 53 | 879 |
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Information about the Tocones Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Tocones provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tocones can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tocones surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tocones) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tocones may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
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