Tocones Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what’s cookin’ for the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, I gotta be straight with you – this is a grim stretch for Tocones. We’re looking at a solid 16-day run with hardly anything worth paddling out for. The first week and a half is basically a write-off. From Tuesday the 8th right through to the morning of Monday the 21st of September, the surf is pretty much flat or junk. There’s a few days with waist-high waves, but the wind is on it, and the energy is just sad. The combined swell energy is weak, mostly sitting between 28 and 145 (weak energy), and the period is short, around 5 to 9 seconds – nothing that’s going to get you pumped.

The only real flicker of hope comes right at the very end of the forecast. On Wednesday the 23rd of September, we finally see a bit of a pulse. The morning shows a 4ft swell from the east, with a 6-second period, and the combined energy climbs to 169 (moderate energy). The bigger news is that the wind is cross-offshore from the ESE at 12 mph, so the surface should be clean. It’s not a stand-out session by any means, but compared to the rest of this run, it’s the only window where you might get a few grovelly ones to yourself. The water temp is about average for the time of year, so no drama there.

The other date to keep an eye on, but with a lot of caution, is the 22nd of September. The Tuesday afternoon sees a 3ft swell from the east, with a 6-second period and clean cross-off wind. The energy is still weak at 108, but it’s a glimmer. For a spot that’s consistently breaking, it’s just a run of poor conditions.

So, bottom line: for the next 16 days, there’s no standout. The best on offer is Wednesday the 23rd of September morning, but it’s a 'maybe' – more of a hope than a plan. The rest of the time, you’re better off doing something else. This is one of those stretches where the forecast can change, so keep an eye on it, but right now, it’s a hard pass.

Rusty.

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