Tocones Surf Break

Lat Long: 18.45° N 65.96° W

Tocones Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 7 pm 24 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Tocones sea temperature is
28.8° C
0.6° 

Tocones surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Tocones surf forecast from 25 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 27 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 7s period, ENE swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 30 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 8s period, E swell with 282 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 27 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 7s period with ENE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tocones this week:

The surf forecast for Tocones over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 27) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 7s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Tocones in the next 16 days are 1.6m 8s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 5AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (AST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 2AM (Mon 27th Jul)3.5ft (1.0m) 7s
Best Surf 2AM (Mon 27th Jul)3.5ft (1.0m) 7s
Most Powerful 5AM (Thu 30th Jul)5ft (1.6m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tocones over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the table for the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, I gotta be straight with you – this is a tough stretch. The whole 16-day window looks pretty flat and frustrating. We’re looking at a long gap with no real surf to get excited about. The first decent chance is a tiny window, but even then, it’s weak.

Starting off, from Saturday the 25th of July right through to Sunday the 9th of August, it’s basically a write-off. The swell is small, the wind is mostly cross or cross-off, and the energy is just not there. The combined swell energy barely cracks three digits on a few days, hitting a max of 251 (moderate) on the 30th, but it’s paired with a short period and messy winds. For a reef break like Tocones, which is exposed and consistent, that’s a real letdown. The water temp is about average for the time of year, so nothing wild there.

The best you’ll see is a couple of afternoons where it cleans up, like Sunday the 26th afternoon and a few days around the end of July, but the swell is tiny – 2 ft to 5 ft from the ENE, with a short period of 6 to 8 seconds. That’s weak, windswell stuff. It’s not going to give you any punch. The wind is offshore or cross-off a few times, so the surface will look clean, but there’s just no power behind it. Energy values on those cleaner days are low, like 66 or 79 (weak). For beginners, the smaller days (under 5 ft) are safe, but there’s nothing to ride.

Honestly, there’s no standout here. Nothing to get fired up about. You’d be better off doing something else until the charts look better. Forecasts can change, but right now, it’s a flat spell.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Sun night. Warm (max 30°C on Mon afternoon, min 26°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Warm (max 30°C on Tue afternoon, min 26°C on Tue night). Mainly fresh winds.

Saturday
25
Sunday
26
Monday
27
Tuesday
28
Wednesday
29
Thursday
30
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.1
ENE
8
1.4
ENE
8
1.1
E
7
1.3
ENE
7
1.1
ENE
7
1.1
ENE
7
1
ENE
7
0.9
ENE
8
0.8
ENE
8
0.8
ENE
8
0.7
ENE
8
0.5
ENE
8
0.9
ENE
6
1
E
6
1.4
ENE
7
1.6
E
7
1.4
E
8
1.4
ENE
8
1.4
ENE
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
151
204
126
172
140
140
117
83
85
73
67
37
56
67
191
267
251
251
238
Wind (km/h)
20
E
30
E
25
E
20
E
25
E
25
E
15
ESE
20
E
25
E
15
ESE
25
ESE
25
ESE
15
ESE
25
ESE
25
ESE
20
ESE
30
E
25
E
20
E
Wind State
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
High Tide
5:11AM0.22m
7:44PM0.44m
6:10AM0.22m
8:27PM0.45m
7:04AM0.22m
9:06PM0.45m
7:54AM0.23m
9:41PM0.45m
8:40AM0.24m
10:13PM0.45m
9:24AM0.26m
10:43PM0.43m
Low Tide
1:42AM0.19m
11:57AM-0.01m
2:37AM0.18m
12:45PM-0.02m
3:18AM0.17m
1:30PM-0.02m
3:50AM0.16m
2:14PM-0.02m
4:17AM0.15m
2:56PM-0.02m
4:41AM0.14m
3:38PM-0.01m
rain showers
thunderstorm
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
thunderstorm
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
thunderstorm
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:58
5:58
5:58
6:00
6:00
6:00
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
7:00
7:00
7:00
7:00
7:00
6:59
6:59
 mm
1
2
2
1
1
Temp °C
28
29
29
27
29
29
27
29
30
27
29
30
27
29
29
27
29
30
27
Feels °C
30
29
29
28
30
29
29
30
30
29
29
30
29
30
28
28
29
29
28
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Tocones Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Tocones provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tocones can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tocones surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tocones) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tocones may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

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