
Surf Forecasts:
Tocones surf forecast from 29 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 1 Aug, 11PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 8s period, ENE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 31 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 8s period, ENE swell with 246 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 1 Aug, 11PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 8s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tocones this week:
The surf forecast for Tocones over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 01) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 8s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Tocones in the next 16 days are 1.5m 8s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 31) at 5AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 02) at 2PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 11PM (Sat 1st Aug) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 11PM (Sat 1st Aug) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 5AM (Fri 31st Jul) | 5ft (1.5m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tocones over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a honest look at what Tocones has got lined up for us over the next couple of weeks. Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – this is a rough patch. There's no real surf on offer for a solid week and a half, from Wednesday the 29th of July all the way through to around Tuesday the 11th of August. That's a long, flat stretch with nothing worth paddling out for.
The problem is the wind. We're stuck with a persistent moderate breeze from the east and east-southeast, blowing cross and cross-off at 12 to 16 mph. That's just messy. The swell is tiny, ranging from a dismal 2 ft to 5 ft, but it's all short-period wind swell clocking in at a weak 6 to 8 seconds. The wave energy is laughable, barely hitting triple digits when it's "good" – we're talking a combined energy of only 86 to 238 for most of it – and often dipping into the double digits. Water temp is sitting at a warm 84°, which is about normal for the time of year, but that's not much comfort when the waves are junk. For a beginner-friendly reef break like Tocones, this is just a write-off. There's nothing to ride.
Now, if you're desperate for a shred of hope, the models are *hinting* at a pulse of energy coming in around Wednesday the 12th of August and lasting into Thursday the 13th. But this is deep in the forecast, so take it with a grain of salt. The swell bumps up to 6 ft to 6 ft from the ENE, with a period still stuck at a weak 7 seconds. The combined energy jumps to a more significant 338 and 416, so there's finally some push in the water. But here's the kicker – the wind is forecast to turn into a fresh breeze from the east at 19 mph, right on the cross. That'll turn the surface into a lumpy, chop-ridden mess. It's a classic case of "there's swell, but it's unsurfable." For a beginner reef, 6 ft is already getting too big, and with that wind it’s just ugly. Honestly, that setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.
So, the long and short of it: there is no standout day in this 16-day window. Not even close. Don't bother waxing up for the next week and a half. The only possible activity is that mid-August bump, but with those winds, it’s a pass for me. Keep an eye on it, but don't hold your breath. Forecasts can change, and it tends not to stay this poor forever.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Fri afternoon. Warm (max 30°C on Thu afternoon, min 26°C on Fri night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Sun afternoon. Warm (max 30°C on Sun afternoon, min 26°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Wed 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 6 | ENE 8 | E 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | E 8 | ENE 8 | E 6 | E 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 6 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
143 | 196 | 227 | 238 | 226 | 226 | 218 | 187 | 187 | 187 | 127 | 107 | 121 | 75 | 86 | 89 | 58 | 44 | 50 | 31 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 10:13PM0.45m | 9:24AM0.26m | 10:43PM0.43m | 10:10AM0.28m | 11:12PM0.41m | 10:59AM0.31m | 11:39PM0.38m | 11:51AM0.33m | 00:05AM0.35m | 12:49PM0.36m | 00:32AM0.32m | 1:52PM0.37m | 00:59AM0.29m | |||||||
Low Tide | 2:56PM-0.02m | 4:41AM0.14m | 3:38PM-0.01m | 5:04AM0.12m | 4:21PM0.01m | 5:27AM0.10m | 5:07PM0.03m | 5:53AM0.08m | 5:55PM0.07m | 6:23AM0.05m | 6:49PM0.11m | 6:59AM0.02m | 7:53PM0.16m | |||||||
— | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | |
6:59 | — | — | 6:59 | — | — | 6:59 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:57 | — | — | 6:57 | — | |
mm | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3 | 6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 |
Temp °C | 29 | 27 | 29 | 30 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 29 | 29 | 27 | 29 | 30 | 27 | 29 | 29 | 27 | 29 | 29 | 27 |
Feels °C | 29 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 27 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 28 | 30 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 29 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 7 | ENE 8 | N 6 | — | ENE 8 | — | — | ENE 8 | — | N 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | E 8 | ENE 8 | — | — | ENE 7 | ENE 6 | N 9 | ENE 6 |
1 | 196 | 1 | — | 226 | — | — | 187 | — | 2 | 127 | 107 | 121 | 75 | — | — | 58 | 44 | 2 | 31 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | N 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 8 | N 8 | N 7 | — | — | — | N 10 | N 10 | N 9 | N 9 |
— | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 9 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 6 | — | E 8 | ENE 8 | — | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | — | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | — | — | — | — | E 6 | E 7 | — | — | ENE 7 | — |
143 | — | 227 | 238 | — | 226 | 218 | — | 187 | 187 | — | — | — | — | 86 | 89 | — | — | 50 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 125 | 137 | 53 | 137 | 30 | 841 | 720 | 30 | 125 | 165 | 0 | 165 | 165 | 14 | 879 | 97 | 165 | 53 | 696 | 30 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Puerto Rico | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Puerto Rico | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Tocones Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Tocones provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tocones can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tocones surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tocones) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tocones may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.










