Surf Forecasts:
Tocones surf forecast from 13 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 14 Sep, 2AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 10s period, ENE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 13 Sep, 11PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 10s period, ENE swell with 123 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 14 Sep, 2AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 10s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tocones this week:
The surf forecast for Tocones over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 14) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.4m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 5s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Tocones in the next 16 days are 0.8m 10s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 13) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 6s period and expected on Friday (Sep 18) at 2AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 2AM (Mon 14th Sep) | 1.5ft (0.4m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 2AM (Mon 14th Sep) | 1.5ft (0.4m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 11PM (Sun 13th Sep) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tocones over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here again. Let’s break down Tocones in feet and Fahrenheit.
Water temp is about 85°, which is normal for this time of year.
The first week and a half is mostly flat. Swell runs 1ft to 3ft from the ENE, periods 5 to 10 seconds, with cross-shore winds messing it up. Wave energy is weak, mostly under 100 (like 67, 64, 65). Not worth your time. Around Thursday 17th and Friday 18th, winds turn cross-offshore and swell energy hits 106 to 147 (moderate), but the waves stay small and poor. No real standouts.
There’s a gap of several days with no good options. Then, starting Saturday 26th September, we see a 4ft to 4ft NNE swell with a 10-second period, clean cross-offshore winds from the ESE at 12 mph. Energy jumps to 250-279 (moderate to strong). Conditions are marginal, but it’s the best stretch. Tocones is a consistent reef, exposed north, and that NNE swell is right in its wheelhouse. Crowds are often there.
Sunday 27th keeps similar 4ft NNE swell, clean winds, energy around 256-257. Still marginal but the pick of the period. The swell’s small enough for beginners, and the 10-second period is solid.
Monday 28th afternoon has a 3ft NNE swell with an 11-second period and energy up to 326 (moderate to strong), but winds go cross-shore again. Only marginal.
Best bet: Saturday 26th and Sunday 27th September. Not perfect, but the cleanest and most consistent. Forecasts can change, so stay tuned.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Sun morning. Warm (max 30°C on Mon afternoon, min 27°C on Sun morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Thu night. Warm (max 30°C on Wed afternoon, min 26°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | Saturday 19 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 5 | ENE 5 | E 5 | ENE 5 | ENE 5 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | E 7 | E 6 | E 7 | N 9 | N 8 | E 7 | N 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 28 | 31 | 31 | 28 | 27 | 26 | 32 | 33 | 33 | 28 | 43 | 69 | 61 | 75 | 74 | 64 | 62 | 55 | 33 | 33 | 19 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 10:55AM0.43m | 10:46PM0.32m | 11:44AM0.43m | 11:18PM0.30m | 12:33PM0.42m | 11:51PM0.27m | 1:27PM0.41m | 00:26AM0.26m | 2:24PM0.40m | 1:06AM0.24m | 3:27PM0.38m | 1:59AM0.22m | 4:31PM0.38m | 3:11AM0.22m | |||||||
Low Tide | 5:13PM0.08m | 4:55AM-0.00m | 6:01PM0.11m | 5:33AM-0.01m | 6:52PM0.14m | 6:13AM-0.00m | 7:50PM0.16m | 6:56AM0.01m | 8:57PM0.18m | 7:45AM0.02m | 10:14PM0.19m | 8:42AM0.04m | 11:28PM0.18m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  | |  | | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:11 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — |
 | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:27 | — | — | 6:25 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:23 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:22 | — |
mm | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 29 | 29 | 27 | 29 | 30 | 27 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 28 | 28 | 30 | 28 | 30 | 30 | 28 |
Feels °C | 30 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 31 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 31 | 31 | 30 | 31 | 31 | 32 | 30 | 31 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | E 5 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | E 5 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 5 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | NNE 12 | E 7 | E 6 | N 9 | N 9 | E 7 | N 8 | ENE 7 |
| kJ | 28 | 31 | 22 | 28 | 27 | 17 | 25 | 14 | 27 | 13 | 13 | 69 | 61 | 15 | 74 | 64 | 59 | 55 | 24 | 32 | 15 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 10 | NNE 10 | ENE 10 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | ENE 9 | N 7 | N 7 | ENE 8 | N 10 | N 14 | NNE 13 | NNE 13 | N 8 | NNE 12 | N 9 | NNE 12 | E 7 | N 8 | NE 11 | N 8 |
| kJ | 9 | 18 | 31 | 14 | 12 | 26 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 14 | 45 | 13 | 36 | 33 | 5 | 19 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 6 | NE 13 | NNE 9 | NE 12 | NNE 11 | NNE 7 | NE 11 | NE 10 | N 6 | N 6 | N 10 | N 9 | N 8 | NNE 12 | NW 10 | NNE 12 | NNE 12 | NNE 11 | NNE 11 | NE 11 | NE 11 |
| kJ | 3 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 5 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 5 | ENE 5 | — | E 5 | E 5 | — | ENE 5 | ENE 5 | E 5 | ENE 5 | ENE 5 | — | — | ENE 7 | SE 6 | SE 6 | E 7 | — | — | E 7 | — |
| kJ | 27 | 26 | — | 16 | 23 | — | 32 | 33 | 33 | 28 | 43 | — | — | 75 | 33 | 24 | 62 | — | — | 33 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 338 | 720 | 0 | 338 | 165 | 14 | 428 | 841 | 347 | 432 | 442 | 12 | 53 | 53 | 0 | 5 | 53 | 0 | 0 | 165 | 116 |
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Information about the Tocones Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Tocones provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tocones can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tocones surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tocones) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tocones may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
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