Tocones Surf Break

Lat Long: 18.45° N 65.96° W

Tocones Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 1 am 12 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Tocones sea temperature is
29.0° C
0.5° 

Tocones surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Tocones surf forecast from 12 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 17 Aug, 11PM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 8s period, E swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 17 Aug, 8AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 10s period, E swell with 600 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 17 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 9s period with E swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tocones this week:

The surf forecast for Tocones over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 17) at 8PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Tocones in the next 16 days are 1.8m 10s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 17) at 8AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (AST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 8PM (Mon 17th Aug)3.5ft (1.1m) 9s
Best Surf11PM (Mon 17th Aug)4ft (1.2m) 8s
Most Powerful 8AM (Mon 17th Aug)6ft (1.8m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tocones over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, let’s chat about Tocones. For the next couple of weeks, the surf story is pretty bleak – mostly small, choppy waves with wind messing things up. From now until the morning of Sunday, August 17th, there’s basically nothing worth paddling out for – that’s nearly a week of poor conditions.

Water temp here is 84°, which is just a hair warmer than average for this time of year – feels like a warm bath.

The one real highlight comes on the morning of Monday, August 17th. We’ll have a cross-offshore breeze from the SE (12 mph) and a clean, 5ft swell rolling in from the east with a period of 10 seconds. The combined energy hits 550 – that’s moderate energy and actually feels like a proper wave. Tocones is a consistent reef break, exposed to the north, and for a beginner-friendly spot, that clean glassy look is the standout. The afternoon of the 17th stays similar – 5ft east swell, 9-second period, 572 energy, still clean. Tuesday the 18th drops off to 4ft and 276 energy, still clean in the morning, but fading.

After that window, it’s back to small, choppy, or just plain poor surf. Most days show combined energy under 200 – not enough push for a decent ride. No other standouts in the second week; it’s mostly flat and messy.

So, your best bet is that Monday, August 17th morning session. After that, you’re just waiting again.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 13mm), heaviest on Wed afternoon. Warm (max 29°C on Wed morning, min 27°C on Wed night). Mainly fresh winds.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 17mm), heaviest on Sun night. Warm (max 29°C on Sat morning, min 26°C on Sat night). Mainly fresh winds.

Wednesday
12
Thursday
13
Friday
14
Saturday
15
Sunday
16
Monday
17
Tuesday
18
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
2
1
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.1
E
6
1.1
E
6
1.4
E
6
1.4
E
6
1.4
E
7
1.4
E
7
1.6
E
7
1.4
ENE
7
1.6
ENE
7
1.7
ENE
7
1.6
ENE
7
1.8
ENE
7
2.1
ENE
7
2
E
7
1.8
E
7
1.4
E
10
1.4
E
9
1.2
E
8
1.1
E
8
0.8
E
8
0.8
E
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
78
91
143
158
179
203
257
214
239
278
254
312
456
447
329
369
318
187
157
84
80
Wind (km/h)
20
ESE
25
ESE
20
ESE
30
ESE
30
ESE
25
ESE
30
ESE
25
E
30
E
30
E
25
ENE
20
ENE
25
ENE
30
ENE
25
E
20
SE
20
SSE
15
SE
20
ESE
25
ESE
10
SE
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
8:15AM0.29m
9:41PM0.45m
9:16AM0.33m
10:18PM0.43m
10:13AM0.35m
10:52PM0.40m
11:08AM0.37m
11:26PM0.37m
12:03PM0.38m
00:00AM0.34m
12:59PM0.39m
00:33AM0.31m
1:59PM0.38m
1:08AM0.29m
Low Tide
2:39PM-0.05m
3:55AM0.11m
3:34PM-0.03m
4:29AM0.07m
4:26PM0.00m
5:03AM0.05m
5:18PM0.04m
5:40AM0.02m
6:10PM0.08m
6:19AM0.01m
7:05PM0.12m
7:00AM0.00m
8:05PM0.16m
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
clear
clear
thunderstorm
part cloud
clear
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:03
6:03
6:05
6:05
6:05
6:05
6:05
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:52
6:52
6:51
6:51
6:50
6:49
6:49
 mm
2
6
4
1
1
9
3
2
2
Temp °C
29
29
27
28
29
27
29
29
28
29
29
28
29
29
27
28
29
27
28
30
28
Feels °C
30
30
28
29
28
27
28
28
29
29
29
29
29
28
26
29
30
30
30
30
30
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Tocones Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Tocones provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tocones can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tocones surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tocones) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tocones may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

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