Surf Forecasts:
Tocones surf forecast from 6 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 8 Jul, 11AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 7s period, E swell with 240 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tocones this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Tocones in the next 16 days are 1.6m 7s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 11AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (AST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 11AM (Wed 8th Jul) | 5ft (1.6m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tocones over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Hey folks, Rusty here. Let’s be real – the next 16 days for Tocones are a tough beat. This is a reef break that’s consistent, but the wind and swell just aren’t lining up for any kind of quality session. We’re looking at a long stretch with nothing good on offer.
The whole forecast is a flat-out dud. From Monday, July 6th right through to Tuesday, July 21st, every single slot is marked as “poor surf conditions” with a score of zero. That’s a solid two and a half weeks of no-go. The combined energy of all swells directed here is weak, mostly below 200 (142 on Monday morning, 207 on Friday, July 10th), and often dipping into the double digits like 50 on July 13th. The wind is a constant problem – it’s almost always cross or cross-off from the east or ESE, and it’s fresh, blowing at 15 to 18 mph. That’s turning the faces into lumpy, messy cross-chop. Even when it’s “clean” in the wind state, the wave comment still says “poor surf conditions.”
The swell is there, but it’s wrong. It’s small, between 3 ft and 5 ft, and it’s coming from the east or ENE, which is not the optimum north direction for this exposed reef. The period is short, around 6 to 7 seconds, so it’s weak, chopped-up windswell. There’s no power, no shape. For a beginner-friendly reef, it’s not even worth a paddle.
The only tiny flicker of hope comes on Wednesday, July 8th, when the combined energy jumps to 451 in the morning, and the wind is cross-off. That’s the biggest energy spike of the whole run, but it’s still a 5 ft, 7-second east swell with poor conditions. It’s a nothing burger.
Honestly, for the entire 16-day window, there is not a single standout session. No good waves, no clean windows. For a spot that’s normally consistent, this is a proper blank run. The water temp is about average for the time of year, but that’s cold comfort. If you’re desperate, the setup might be more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing, because the wind is strong and the swell is small and messy.
Stay patient, folks. Forecasts can change, but right now, this is a write-off.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Wed morning. Warm (max 29°C on Mon afternoon, min 27°C on Sun night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 29°C on Thu afternoon, min 26°C on Wed night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sun 12 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 6 | E 6 | E 6 | E 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | E 7 | E 7 | ENE 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 6 | E 7 | E 7 | E 6 | E 7 | E 5 | E 6 | ENE 6 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 130 | 139 | 123 | 101 | 134 | 165 | 187 | 240 | 231 | 220 | 208 | 198 | 166 | 190 | 187 | 138 | 119 | 100 | 59 | 64 | 54 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross |
High Tide | 1:20AM0.35m | 2:13PM0.32m | 1:51AM0.32m | 3:25PM0.35m | 2:24AM0.29m | 4:38PM0.39m | 3:00AM0.27m | 5:48PM0.43m | 3:44AM0.25m | 6:50PM0.47m | 4:39AM0.23m | 7:46PM0.50m | 5:46AM0.23m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:51AM0.06m | 8:02PM0.13m | 8:29AM0.03m | 9:19PM0.17m | 9:12AM-0.01m | 10:47PM0.20m | 10:01AM-0.04m | 00:19AM0.21m | 10:53AM-0.07m | 1:39AM0.21m | 11:49AM-0.09m | 2:38AM0.20m | 12:45PM-0.11m | ||||||||
 |  | |  | |  |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — |
 | 7:04 | — | 7:04 | — | — | 7:04 | — | — | 7:04 | — | — | 7:04 | — | — | 7:04 | — | — | 7:04 | — | — | 7:04 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 27 | 28 | 29 | 27 | 29 | 29 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 26 | 28 | 29 | 27 | 28 | 29 |
Feels °C | 27 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 27 | 26 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 27 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | — | — | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | NE 12 | NE 12 | ENE 11 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 10 | ENE 10 | E 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | NE 9 |
| kJ | — | 3 | 2 | 2 | — | — | 187 | 204 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 28 | 26 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 3 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | N 10 | N 10 | — | — | — | NE 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 14 | ENE 9 | N 12 | N 12 | N 11 |
| kJ | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | NE 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 13 | — | N 12 | N 11 |
| kJ | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | 3 | 2 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 6 | E 6 | E 6 | E 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | — | E 7 | E 7 | ENE 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 6 | E 7 | E 7 | E 6 | E 7 | E 5 | E 6 | ENE 6 |
| kJ | 130 | 139 | 123 | 101 | 134 | 165 | — | 240 | 231 | 220 | 208 | 198 | 166 | 190 | 187 | 138 | 119 | 100 | 59 | 64 | 54 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 360 | 874 | 519 | 420 | 879 | 137 | 420 | 53 | 879 | 53 | 871 | 139 | 420 | 879 | 879 | 420 | 879 | 879 | 384 | 874 | 841 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Puerto Rico | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Tocones Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Tocones provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tocones can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tocones surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tocones) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tocones may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
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