Tocones Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s on offer at Tocones over the next couple of weeks.

To be honest, the first week is a bit of a write-off. We’ve got consistent, small swell in the 3ft to 4ft range, but the wind is locked in from the east, blowing cross or cross-off, and it’s just not producing any quality. The energy is weak to moderate, with readings mostly between 80 and 234, and the period is a short, weak 6 to 8 seconds. Every session from Thursday the 6th through to the end of the following week is rated as poor. It’s clean on a few mornings, but the waves are just too junky to get excited about. You’d be fighting a moderate breeze and lumpy cross-chop most days.

That stretch of poor conditions runs for a solid week, from August 6th all the way through to the 16th. There’s a glimmer of hope early on the morning of the 6th where it’s clean and cross-off, but the swell is marginal and the forecast is a 1 out of 10.

The real story, and the only standout in this whole outlook, arrives on Monday, August 17th. That morning, the swell bumps up to 7ft from the east, with a period of 9 seconds. The energy jumps significantly to 1205 (strong), and the wind goes light and cross-off from the southeast at 12 mph. This is going to be clean and solid. That afternoon the swell drops to 7ft, still with a gentle breeze and clean conditions, but the early session on the 17th is the one to circle.

Tocones is a consistent reef break, beginner-friendly, and the crowd can be often. For the morning of August 17th, with that clean, moderate breeze and a proper 7ft east swell, it’ll be the best we’ve seen. It might be a little strong for total beginners at that size, but anyone comfortable in the water will find some clean, punchy walls.

After that, Tuesday the 18th still has some waist-to-shoulder high leftovers around 5ft, but the energy drops back quickly, and by the 19th we’re back to poor conditions. The second week fades into nothing special by the 21st.

So to sum it up: don’t bother for the first week. Set your sights on Monday morning, August 17th for the best chance at a decent, clean session. It’s the one bright spot, but it’s still over a week away, so keep an eye on it.

- Rusty

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