Tocones Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's take a look at what's on offer for our stretch of coast.

Straight up, I gotta be honest with you – the next two weeks are looking pretty flat and frustrating. We've got a long stretch with no real quality surf on the table. The whole forecast window is a bit of a write-off, I'm afraid. Let's break it down.

We're kicking off on Saturday the 4th, but don't get excited. The waves are small, around 3ft from the East with a short, weak period of 6 seconds. The combined energy is a measly 87 (weak) and the report itself says "poor surf conditions." The wind is a cross-offshore from the ESE at 16 mph, which would normally be a positive for clean faces, but with this little juice, it's just not worth the paddle.

This same pattern drags on through the whole first week and into the second. We're looking at wave heights bouncing between 3ft and 5ft, mostly from the East or ENE. The swell period stays stuck in that short, weak 6 to 7 second range, meaning the energy is just dribbling in. The combined energy readings hover mostly in the 80s and 100s, with a few peaks in the low 200s, which is at best moderate. On top of that, winds are nearly always a cross or cross-off breeze at 16 to 19 mph. It's enough to make things bumpy, but not enough to blow it out completely. Still, "poor surf conditions" is the repeated line throughout the data.

There is a slight uptick around Wednesday the 16th into Saturday the 19th. The swell height bumps up to 5ft on the 18th and 19th, and the period stretches to 7 seconds. The combined swell energy finally hits a moderate 220 (on the 18th). But the wind is still a cross-shore from the East at 12-16 mph, creating that lumpy cross-chop. For a spot like Tocones, which is a consistent beginner reef break, this onshore/cross wind will mess up the shape. Plus, the 5ft might be a touch much for some of the groms and learners. This whole window is more likely to interest the kite surfers than anyone looking for a clean paddle session.

Honestly, there's no standout day here. No real quality to recommend. The forecast looks bleak, but that’s how it goes sometimes. It won’t stay this way forever, and forecasts can always change.

- Rusty

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