Surf Forecasts:
Tocones surf forecast from 16 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 18 Aug, 5AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 8s period, ENE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 16 Aug, 2AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 7s period, E swell with 462 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 18 Aug, 5AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 8s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tocones this week:
The surf forecast for Tocones over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 18) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Tocones in the next 16 days are 2.1m 7s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 16) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 5s period and expected on Friday (Aug 21) at 2AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 5AM (Tue 18th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 5AM (Tue 18th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 2AM (Sun 16th Aug) | 7ft (2.1m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tocones over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, grab a coffee and listen up. This is a tough one.
Lookin' at the whole 16-day window for Tocones, and honestly, it's a long stretch of disappointment. The first ten days are a write-off – we're talkin' Sunday the 16th right through to Tuesday the 25th of August with nothing but poor surf and cross-shore winds. The swell energy is weak, mostly under 100 (263 on that first Sunday morning is the highest, but it's a messy east-northeast windswell with a short period of 7 seconds). It's just not gonna happen.
You've got to wait a long time. The only real glimmer in this whole forecast lands on Wednesday the 26th of August. The afternoon sees a shift: a light south-easterly breeze coming offshore, which is a huge plus. The swell is 4ft from the east at 10 seconds, with a combined energy of 315 (moderate). The wind turns it clean, and for the first time we get a "good surf conditions" tag. It's not a monster, but it's clean. The next morning, Thursday the 27th, is also worth a paddle with light offshore winds again, 3ft east swell at 8 seconds, and energy at 239. It's still small, but it's the best of a bad lot.
After that, it's back to poor conditions. The swell on Tuesday the 25th gets up to 6ft from the ENE with a 12-second period and strong energy (966), but it's hammered by a strong cross-shore wind. It's a total mess. If you're a kite surfer, that Tuesday might look interesting, but for a paddle surfer? No thanks.
So, for the standouts: The best you'll get is the afternoon of the 26th and the morning of the 27th. It's a short window. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there. Tocones is a consistent reef break, but it's not gonna save us this time. Crowds are often a thing here, but I doubt many will be out for this.
It's a grim outlook, but that's how it goes sometimes. Forecasts can change.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Warm (max 29°C on Sun afternoon, min 26°C on Mon night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Thu morning. Warm (max 29°C on Wed morning, min 26°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 6 | ENE 9 | E 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | ENE 8 | E 5 | E 9 | E 8 | ENE 5 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 462 | 219 | 127 | 197 | 52 | 112 | 90 | 32 | 64 | 21 | 64 | 21 | 68 | 66 | 23 | 34 | 122 | 113 | 32 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross |
High Tide | 11:26PM0.37m | 12:03PM0.38m | 00:00AM0.34m | 12:59PM0.39m | 00:33AM0.31m | 1:59PM0.38m | 1:08AM0.29m | 3:03PM0.38m | 1:47AM0.26m | 4:12PM0.38m | 2:33AM0.24m | 5:19PM0.39m | 3:33AM0.23m | ||||||
Low Tide | 5:40AM0.02m | 6:10PM0.08m | 6:19AM0.01m | 7:05PM0.12m | 7:00AM0.00m | 8:05PM0.16m | 7:45AM0.01m | 9:16PM0.18m | 8:34AM0.01m | 10:41PM0.20m | 9:29AM0.02m | 00:07AM0.20m | |||||||
 |  |  |  | | |  | | | | | | |  | | |  | | | |
 | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — |
 | 6:51 | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:49 | — | — | 6:49 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:45 | — |
mm | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 28 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 27 | 29 | 29 | 27 | 29 | 29 | 27 | 29 | 29 | 27 | 29 | 29 | 27 |
Feels °C | 28 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 28 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 7 | NNE 11 | NE 10 | ENE 9 | E 8 | NNE 10 | ENE 8 | E 8 | NNE 9 | ENE 4 | NNW 7 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | ENE 8 | E 5 | NNE 7 | NNE 7 | ENE 8 |
| kJ | 346 | 44 | 27 | 197 | 52 | 19 | 90 | 32 | 8 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 68 | 66 | 23 | 34 | 5 | 5 | 22 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 11 | — | NE 10 | NE 10 | NNE 10 | — | NNE 10 | NNE 10 | N 8 | E 8 | NNE 9 | N 8 | N 7 | N 7 | N 7 | ENE 8 | N 11 | NE 11 | NNE 7 |
| kJ | 47 | — | 27 | 25 | 20 | — | 9 | 9 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 18 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 24 | 2 | 5 | 5 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 9 | NNE 9 | N 8 | NE 9 | NE 9 | N 9 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NNE 7 | N 11 | E 12 | NE 10 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 6 | E 6 | ENE 5 | ENE 8 | — | ENE 5 | E 8 | — | E 8 | ENE 5 | — | — | E 5 | E 5 | E 9 | E 8 | ENE 5 |
| kJ | 462 | 219 | 127 | 77 | 42 | 112 | — | 13 | 64 | — | 64 | 17 | — | — | 17 | 57 | 122 | 113 | 32 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 696 | 879 | 841 | 384 | 165 | 338 | 0 | 165 | 338 | 0 | 336 | 165 | 0 | 53 | 338 | 14 | 879 | 841 | 71 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Puerto Rico | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Puerto Rico | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Tocones Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Tocones provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tocones can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tocones surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tocones) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tocones may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
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