Tocones Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, gang, Rusty here, looking at the surf for Tocones for the next couple weeks. I’m just going to tell it like it is.

The big picture? It’s a long and quiet stretch. We have a small, steady east swell bumping along, but the wind is the main problem. It’s blowing cross or cross-off from the east or east-southeast at 15 to 19 mph for almost the entire time. That’s not going to give us clean, fun waves. The water temp is sitting about where it should be for this time of year. Honestly, it’s a tough stretch of days for finding a decent wave.

Starting off on Friday the 3rd of July, we’ve got a tiny 3ft easterly swell with a short period of 5 seconds. The combined swell energy is weak, barely a whisper at 53. The mornings are clean with that cross-off breeze, but the swell is just too small and weak. Saturday the 4th and Sunday the 5th are the same story—3ft to 4ft, 6-second period, and the same wind.

Into Monday the 6th, the swell pushes up a little to 4ft, but the period is still 6 seconds. The morning is clean, but the energy only just gets into the moderate range at 114. Still, it’s poor conditions. The best window you’re going to see is Wednesday the 8th of July morning. The swell hits 5ft from the ENE, period is 7 seconds, and the energy finally gets up to 205. The wind is a clean cross-off. For a strong intermediate or a local, there might be something to work with, but the short period means the waves will be lumpy and lack punch. It's the best of the lot, but it's not great.

Then it fades. The second week is small surf—4ft to 4ft—and that east wind just keeps pumping at 15 to 19 mph, mostly cross-shore. By the time we reach Saturday the 18th of July, it drops back to 3ft with an 8-second period, clean in the morning but with no energy (118). It’s a slow fade.

There is no true standout in this forecast. The only day you might even bother to look at the ocean is Wednesday the 8th of July morning. But honestly, the wind and short period will keep it messy. For the rest, it’s a 16-day gap with nothing worth recommending. That happens here sometimes—it’s just how the cards fall.

Don’t let it get you down. The forecast can change, and we’ll be back on it when it does.

Rusty.

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