Surf Forecasts:
Tocones surf forecast from 12 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 14 Sep, 8PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 9s period, E swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 12 Sep, 8AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 8s period, ENE swell with 109 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 14 Sep, 8PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 9s period with E swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tocones this week:
The surf forecast for Tocones over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 14) at 8PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Tocones in the next 16 days are 0.9m 8s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 12) at 8AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 5s period and expected on Monday (Sep 14) at 11PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8PM (Mon 14th Sep) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 8PM (Mon 14th Sep) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 8AM (Sat 12th Sep) | 3ft (0.9m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tocones over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Right, I’ve had a look through the charts for the next couple of weeks here, and I gotta be straight with you – it’s looking pretty grim. There’s really nothing worth paddling out for in this whole 16-day window. We’ve got a long, dry spell on our hands.
Starting off now and running through to the middle of the month, the surf is just poor. For Saturday the 12th, we’re looking at a puny 1.0 to 2ft of weak, short-period windswell at Tocones, and a stiff cross-shore wind is chopping it all up. The combined energy is barely registering (126), and the wave comment says it all – poor conditions. This flat spell drags on for days.
The only faint glimmer, and I mean *faint*, comes right at the end of the outlook. Around Thursday the 24th of September, we see a pulse of longer-period swell (11 seconds) from the NNW, pushing the combined energy up to a moderate 107. Swell heights are still tiny, around 1.0 to 2ft, and it’s from a northerly direction, which is off the optimum for the break. But the wind does turn cross-offshore, cleaning up the surface. By Saturday the 26th, there’s a tick more energy (121) and a consistent 3ft from the NNE, but it’s still cross-shore wind.
Honestly though, none of it is worth getting wet for. For this area, a blank run like this isn’t unusual – the forecasts can change, but as it stands, the best advice is to save your wax and give the board a rest.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 30°C on Sat morning, min 27°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Warm (max 29°C on Tue morning, min 26°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | E 8 | ENE 5 | ENE 5 | ENE 10 | E 5 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 5 | E 5 | ENE 5 | ENE 5 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | E 6 | ENE 6 | E 6 | E 6 | ENE 7 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 109 | 32 | 33 | 36 | 34 | 41 | 28 | 27 | 26 | 25 | 24 | 41 | 36 | 48 | 67 | 74 | 76 | 62 | 66 | 40 | 37 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 10:06AM0.41m | 10:14PM0.34m | 10:55AM0.43m | 10:46PM0.32m | 11:44AM0.43m | 11:18PM0.30m | 12:33PM0.42m | 11:51PM0.27m | 1:27PM0.41m | 00:26AM0.26m | 2:24PM0.40m | 1:06AM0.24m | 3:27PM0.38m | 1:59AM0.22m | |||||||
Low Tide | 4:24PM0.05m | 4:19AM0.01m | 5:13PM0.08m | 4:55AM-0.00m | 6:01PM0.11m | 5:33AM-0.01m | 6:52PM0.14m | 6:13AM-0.00m | 7:50PM0.16m | 6:56AM0.01m | 8:57PM0.18m | 7:45AM0.02m | 10:14PM0.19m | ||||||||
 | |  | | | |  |  |  | | |  | | | | |  | | | |  | |
 | 6:09 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — |
 | — | 6:29 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:27 | — | — | 6:25 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:23 | — | — | 6:22 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 30 | 30 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 27 | 29 | 29 | 27 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 27 | 29 | 30 | 27 |
Feels °C | 30 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 31 | 28 | 28 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 28 | 30 | 30 | 29 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 7 | E 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | ENE 5 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | E 5 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 5 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 6 | NNE 13 | NNE 12 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | E 6 | ENE 7 |
| kJ | 10 | 32 | 23 | 28 | 31 | 33 | 28 | 27 | 17 | 25 | 24 | 26 | 7 | 13 | 67 | 16 | 15 | 62 | 51 | 40 | 37 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 11 | N 7 | N 6 | NNE 10 | NNE 10 | ENE 10 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | ENE 9 | N 7 | N 7 | ENE 8 | N 10 | N 14 | NNE 13 | N 9 | N 8 | NNE 12 | NNW 9 | NNW 9 | NNW 8 |
| kJ | 5 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 31 | 14 | 12 | 26 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 22 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 9 | NNE 11 | NNE 10 | N 6 | NE 13 | NNE 9 | NE 12 | NNE 11 | NNE 7 | NE 11 | NE 10 | N 6 | N 6 | N 10 | N 9 | E 12 | E 11 | N 10 | NNE 12 | NNE 11 | NNE 11 |
| kJ | 2 | 12 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 12 | 12 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | ENE 5 | ENE 5 | ENE 5 | E 5 | E 5 | E 5 | E 5 | — | E 5 | ENE 5 | E 5 | ENE 5 | ENE 5 | — | ENE 6 | E 6 | — | E 6 | — | — |
| kJ | 109 | 24 | 33 | 36 | 34 | 41 | 27 | 25 | — | 24 | 23 | 41 | 36 | 48 | — | 74 | 76 | — | 66 | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 879 | 519 | 347 | 871 | 338 | 30 | 53 | 53 | 0 | 879 | 428 | 0 | 520 | 696 | 14 | 872 | 1143 | 14 | 120 | 165 | 0 |
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Information about the Tocones Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Tocones provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tocones can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tocones surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tocones) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tocones may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
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