Tocones Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, grab a coffee, mate. Rusty here.

Look, I’ll be straight with you. We’re looking at a pretty grim 16-day stretch for Tocones. It’s a reef setup, so it’s normally got some promise, but the charts are stubborn as a mule. The whole run is shot through with cross-shore wind, which is the last thing you want on a reef. A block of steady, poor conditions runs right through to the end of the first week and into the start of the second. The combined swell energy is weak for the most part, often well under 100, with only a few fleeting moments above that into the moderate range (480), but that comes with nasty, junky wind.

Saturday 15th August kicks things off with a choppy mess. A 7ft ENE swell (480) is there, but it’s getting battered by a 22 mph cross-wind. It’s just a messy, blown-out situation. This is basically the theme for the first eight days.

Into Sunday the 23rd, the swell drops right off to under 2ft. It’s a proper dry spell, with almost nothing to ride for several days. You’re staring at a blank run for the best part of a week.

Now, there is a tiny flicker of a chance right at the tail end. Around Tuesday 25th August and into Wednesday 26th, the swell picks back up to a punchier 5ft to 6ft from the ENE, with the period stretching to 9 seconds. The combined energy hits a moderate to strong 466. But more importantly, the wind whispers around to a cross-off shore for a couple of sessions. That’s the cleanest we’ll see. The water temp anomaly is about normal for this time of year.

For a true standout, look at the Tuesday 25th and Wednesday 26th periods. The swell is around 5ft to 6ft (ENE), the period is a workable 8-9 seconds, and the cross-off breeze means the face of that reef might actually hold up and look rideable. It’s not classic, but it’s the only game in town. The rest of the time, especially in that long gap from the 17th to the 24th, there’s really no point dragging the board out.

Stay patient, mate. The surf will come back.

Rusty.

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