Surf Forecasts:
Tocones surf forecast from 10 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Friday 10 Jul, 2PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 7s period, ENE swell with 157 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tocones this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Tocones in the next 16 days are 1.3m 7s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 10) at 2PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 11PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 2PM (Fri 10th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tocones over the next 16 days.
Alright, this is Rusty. Let's talk about Tocones.
Right off the bat, I've got to be straight with you: the next two weeks are looking pretty grim for this spot. The forecast shows a real dry spell with no good surf on offer. We're looking at a solid 13 days of "poor surf conditions" across the board, from Friday the 10th of July all the way through to the 23rd.
The swell is hanging around the 3ft to 4ft range, mostly from the ENE or E, but it's weak and short-period stuff, mostly 6 seconds or less. The wave energy is pitiful, barely cracking triple digits on the combined energy scale (169 on the 10th, dropping to as low as 53 by the 17th). There's just no power in the water. The real killer is the wind. It's a persistent cross-shore breeze from the East howling at 15 to 19 mph for most of the time, which is just going to chop the place up into a lumpy mess.
There are a couple of days, like the 14th, 15th, and 17th, where we get a brief "clean" spell with a cross-offshore wind, but the swell is still tiny and weak. It's a tease, but it's not enough to get excited about.
Now, the 22nd of July shows a little spike in energy with a reading of 217, but it's still a 4ft swell with a 6-second period and cross-shore wind, so it's still going to be poor. The following days, the 23rd and 25th, show a more promising swell energy (150 and 274 respectively) and the swell size bumps up to 5ft, but it's still accompanied by onshore or cross-shore winds and short periods.
For a beginner-friendly reef break like Tocones, the water temp is a warm 84°F, which is about normal for the time of year, so that's not the issue. The problem is the persistent wind and lack of quality swell.
Honestly, for the next week and a half, there's just nothing to recommend. The setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing with that constant side wind. It's a classic blank run for this area. Keep your eyes on the longer-range forecasts for the last week of July, but for now, don't bother paddling out.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 29°C on Sat afternoon, min 26°C on Fri night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Mon night. Warm (max 29°C on Mon morning, min 26°C on Mon night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | E 6 | E 6 | ENE 6 | E 6 | E 6 | E 6 | E 5 | E 6 | E 5 | E 5 | E 5 | E 5 | E 6 | E 6 | E 5 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 152 | 143 | 104 | 119 | 108 | 83 | 82 | 82 | 65 | 74 | 66 | 62 | 45 | 62 | 34 | 55 | 47 | 43 | 72 | 77 | 36 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross |
High Tide | 6:50PM0.47m | 4:39AM0.23m | 7:46PM0.50m | 5:46AM0.23m | 8:37PM0.52m | 6:57AM0.23m | 9:23PM0.52m | 8:05AM0.25m | 10:06PM0.51m | 9:11AM0.27m | 10:47PM0.49m | 10:14AM0.29m | 11:26PM0.46m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:53AM-0.07m | 1:39AM0.21m | 11:49AM-0.09m | 2:38AM0.20m | 12:45PM-0.11m | 3:23AM0.18m | 1:42PM-0.11m | 4:01AM0.16m | 2:38PM-0.10m | 4:37AM0.14m | 3:33PM-0.07m | 5:12AM0.11m | 4:28PM-0.04m | ||||||||
 | |  | |  | | | | | | |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 5:52 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — |
 | — | 7:04 | — | — | 7:04 | — | — | 7:04 | — | — | 7:04 | — | — | 7:02 | — | — | 7:02 | — | — | 7:02 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 |
Temp °C | 28 | 28 | 26 | 28 | 29 | 27 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 27 | 29 | 29 | 27 | 29 | 29 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 27 |
Feels °C | 27 | 27 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 28 | 28 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 10 | ENE 10 | E 8 | ENE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | NNE 10 | ENE 8 | NE 10 | ENE 7 | E 5 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 |
| kJ | 17 | 16 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 21 | 12 | 21 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 19 | 4 | 18 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 18 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | NE 10 | N 14 | NE 9 | ENE 9 | N 9 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 7 | NNE 11 | NNE 10 | N 6 | NNE 10 | N 7 | N 9 | NNW 9 | E 8 | — | ENE 7 |
| kJ | — | — | 14 | 4 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 1 | — | 18 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | N 13 | N 10 | NE 9 | NE 9 | ENE 9 | NNE 11 | NNE 11 | N 7 | NE 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 7 | NW 8 | N 9 | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | E 6 | E 6 | ENE 6 | E 6 | E 6 | E 6 | E 5 | E 6 | E 5 | E 5 | E 5 | E 5 | E 6 | E 6 | E 5 |
| kJ | 152 | 143 | 104 | 119 | 108 | 83 | 82 | 82 | 65 | 74 | 66 | 62 | 45 | 62 | 34 | 55 | 47 | 45 | 72 | 77 | 36 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 879 | 879 | 384 | 420 | 841 | 384 | 841 | 338 | 384 | 879 | 338 | 33 | 53 | 53 | 30 | 53 | 165 | 420 | 53 | 133 | 71 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Puerto Rico | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Tocones Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Tocones provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tocones can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tocones surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tocones) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tocones may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
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