Tocones Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Hey folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about Tocones.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – this 16-day window is a rough one for surfing at Tocones. We’ve got a long stretch of poor conditions ahead, with only a couple of faint glimmers way out there. Don’t get your hopes up too high.

We start on Saturday the 22nd of August. It’s a total bust. Swell is tiny at 3 ft from the ENE with a weak 5-second period, and a moderate cross-breeze is chopping it all up. The wave energy is really weak (56). This theme sticks around for days. Sunday the 23rd, Monday the 24th, Tuesday the 25th – all the same story: small, weak swell, and mostly cross-shore winds making a mess of things. There’s just nothing to work with.

Wednesday the 26th shows a slight flicker of life. The swell period bumps up to 8 seconds in the morning, and the wind turns cross-offshore, cleaning up the surface. But the swell is only 2 ft from the E, and the energy is still weak (105). It’s clean, but barely surfable. The energy picks up a bit on Thursday the 27th with a 13-second period groundswell from the NE, which gives the waves a bit more push (177-200 energy), but the strong cross-wind at 15 mph keeps the surface messy. Friday the 28th is similar – morning session has clean conditions with a cross-offshore wind and a 4 ft swell from the ENE, but the energy is moderate (223). It’s a maybe, not a must-do.

The weekend of the 29th and 30th sees the swell size jump up. Saturday the 29th has 5 ft from the E, but it’s cross-shore and messy. Sunday the 30th gets bigger – 8 ft in the morning and pushing 10 ft in the afternoon from the E, with a 9-second period. Wave energy ramps up to strong (999) and then very strong (1564). But that cross-shore wind is still there. For experienced surfers, the afternoon might be interesting if you can handle the size and chop. This is getting close to expert-only territory with that 10 ft.

Monday the 31st of August and Tuesday the 1st of September look poor again. By the 1st, the wind goes glassy in the morning with a tiny 2 ft swell from the E, and in the afternoon it’s glassy again with a 1.0 ft, 12-second period groundswell from the NNE. The wave energy is weak (102 and 63). It’s clean, but there’s just not enough water moving.

From the 2nd of September through to the end of the forecast on the 6th, it’s back to small, weak swells with moderate cross or cross-offshore winds. Nothing to write home about. The best bet in this entire outlook, and I mean the only real standout, is that Sunday afternoon on the 30th of August. It’s a big, powerful swell (10 ft, 1564 energy) from the E. If you’re an expert and can handle the cross-shore wind, that might be your session. Otherwise, this is a time to take a long walk on the beach.

Keep an eye on the forecasts though – things can change.

Stay salty,
Rusty

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