Tocones Surf Break

Lat Long: 18.45° N 65.96° W

Tocones Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 7 pm 07 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Tocones sea temperature is
29.2° C
0.8° 

Tocones surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Tocones surf forecast from 8 Aug 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Friday 14 Aug, 5PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 8s period, E swell with 509 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tocones this week:

The most powerful waves expected at Tocones in the next 16 days are 2.0m 8s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 14) at 5PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.1m 14s period and expected on Saturday (Aug 15) at 2AM.

Wave TypeTime (AST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful 5PM (Fri 14th Aug)6.5ft (2.0m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tocones over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it. We’ve got a pretty grim stretch ahead for Tocones. The whole 16-day window looks like a write-off, honestly. There are no good surf options on offer here – the data just doesn’t give us a decent window to work with. For an exposed reef break like this, that’s a tough beat.

The main issue is a persistent easterly wind that stays cross-shore or cross-onshore for almost the entire forecast. The swell is hanging around 3ft to 4ft for the first week, mostly from the ENE with a short, weak period of 6 to 7 seconds. The combined energy is weak, and the conditions are consistently described as "poor surf conditions" with a cross-chop. It’s just messy.

Even on the 12th of August, when the wind goes cross-offshore and it cleans up, the swell is only 3ft to 3ft – too weak to get excited about. The 14th and 15th see a bump in swell up to 7ft, and the energy climbs, but the wind is howling at 22 mph and 19 mph, creating a lumpy cross-chop. That’s more of a kite session than a paddle session.

The only glimmer comes on the 18th of August. Tuesday afternoon sees the wind drop to a light breeze, going cross-off with a clean face. The swell is only 2ft from the ESE at 9 seconds, and the energy is weak. The comment says "surfable waves but very ordinary conditions" – it’s the best of a bad lot, but that’s not saying much. After that, it drops off into tiny, clean but weak surf until the 23rd.

For a spot that’s consistent and exposed, this is a rare blank run. The good news is, it doesn’t tend to stay this poor for long. Forecasts can change. But for now, leave the boards in the bag.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Warm (max 30°C on Sun morning, min 27°C on Fri night). Mainly fresh winds.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Some drizzle, heaviest during Mon night. Warm (max 30°C on Wed morning, min 27°C on Mon night). Mainly fresh winds.

Saturday
8
Sunday
9
Monday
10
Tuesday
11
Wednesday
12
Thursday
13
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.3
ENE
7
1.2
ENE
7
1.1
ENE
7
1.3
ENE
6
1.3
ENE
6
1.3
ENE
6
1.3
E
6
1.3
ENE
6
1.2
ENE
6
0.9
ENE
6
1
ENE
6
1
ENE
6
1
E
6
0.9
ENE
6
1
E
6
1
E
6
1.3
E
6
1.4
E
7
1.7
ENE
7
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
167
132
113
136
132
136
143
129
110
70
64
71
60
64
76
73
139
181
293
Wind (km/h)
20
E
25
E
25
E
20
E
25
E
25
E
20
ESE
25
E
20
E
20
E
25
E
25
E
20
ESE
25
ESE
25
ESE
20
ESE
25
E
25
ESE
25
E
Wind State
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross
High Tide
2:58AM0.24m
6:34PM0.46m
4:19AM0.23m
7:29PM0.48m
5:49AM0.24m
8:18PM0.48m
7:07AM0.26m
9:01PM0.47m
8:15AM0.29m
9:41PM0.45m
9:16AM0.33m
10:18PM0.43m
Low Tide
00:20AM0.22m
10:28AM-0.06m
1:30AM0.21m
11:33AM-0.07m
2:14AM0.19m
12:39PM-0.07m
2:50AM0.16m
1:41PM-0.07m
3:22AM0.14m
2:39PM-0.05m
3:55AM0.11m
3:34PM-0.03m
4:29AM0.07m
rain showers
clear
clear
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:03
6:03
6:03
6:03
6:03
6:03
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:54
6:54
6:53
6:53
6:52
6:52
6:52
 mm
1
1
1
1
Temp °C
27
29
29
27
30
30
28
30
30
28
29
29
27
30
30
28
29
30
28
Feels °C
28
28
29
28
30
29
29
29
29
30
29
29
29
30
29
30
29
29
27
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Tocones Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Tocones provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tocones can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tocones surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tocones) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tocones may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

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