Surf Forecasts:
Tocones surf forecast from 1 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 2 Aug, 2AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 7s period, ENE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 31 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 8s period, ENE swell with 181 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 2 Aug, 2AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 7s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tocones this week:
The surf forecast for Tocones over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 02) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Tocones in the next 16 days are 1.3m 8s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 31) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 6s period and expected on Friday (Aug 07) at 8PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 2AM (Sun 2nd Aug) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 7s |
| Best Surf | 2AM (Sun 2nd Aug) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 7s |
| Most Powerful | 11PM (Fri 31st Jul) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tocones over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, grab a seat. Rusty here, and I've been staring at the charts for Tocones. Honestly, it's a tough gig. We've got a 16-day window, but the surf is looking pretty flat and blown out for most of it. The whole period starts with a bit of a whimper, not a bang.
We're looking at a real dry spell, mate. From the 31st of July right through to the 15th of August, the forecast is a litany of "poor surf conditions". The swell is tiny, mostly hanging around 2ft to 5ft, coming from the ENE. The real killer is that wind. It's a relentless cross-shore or cross-offshore breeze from the east, blowing at 12 to 19 mph. That's going to put a nasty chop on everything, making it messy and hard to ride. The water temp is a balmy 84°F, which is about 1°F warmer than usual, so it's a bit above average for the time of year, but that's about the only nice thing I can say.
Now, if you're desperate for a paddle, there's a faint glimmer around the 10th and 11th of August. The combined energy picks up a bit, hitting 330 (moderate wave energy) on Monday the 10th afternoon, with the swell bumping up to 5ft from the E. Then on the 11th, we get a bit of a cross-offshore wind from the ESE, which is our best chance for a cleaner surface. The swell is 4ft from the ENE. For a beginner-friendly reef break like Tocones, this is about as good as it gets in this window. But don't get your hopes up too high.
The real kicker is the 12th of August. We get a sudden spike in combined energy to 413 (moderate to strong wave energy), but the swell direction switches to NNE with a period of 12 seconds. That's a proper groundswell, but it's coming from a direction that is not the optimum for Tocones (which prefers N). The swell height is only 3ft, but the wind is a fresh 22 mph cross-shore, turning it into a lumpy, choppy mess. It's a tease.
Look, between the 31st of July and the 15th of August, there's no standout, no day you'd mark on the calendar. It's a long stretch of poor conditions. Just keep an eye on the sky, because it can't stay this way forever.
- Rusty
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Sun night. Warm (max 29°C on Fri afternoon, min 26°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Wed morning. Warm (max 30°C on Wed afternoon, min 26°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Fri 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | E 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | NE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 6 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 181 | 176 | 169 | 143 | 132 | 120 | 94 | 117 | 78 | 68 | 51 | 48 | 55 | 24 | 28 | 37 | 40 | 44 | 99 | 96 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 11:12PM0.41m | 10:59AM0.31m | 11:39PM0.38m | 11:51AM0.33m | 00:05AM0.35m | 12:49PM0.36m | 00:32AM0.32m | 1:52PM0.37m | 00:59AM0.29m | 3:03PM0.40m | 1:28AM0.27m | 4:17PM0.42m | 2:04AM0.25m | |||||||
Low Tide | 4:21PM0.01m | 5:27AM0.10m | 5:07PM0.03m | 5:53AM0.08m | 5:55PM0.07m | 6:23AM0.05m | 6:49PM0.11m | 6:59AM0.02m | 7:53PM0.16m | 7:40AM-0.01m | 9:09PM0.20m | 8:29AM-0.04m | 10:43PM0.22m | |||||||
 |  |  | | | |  |  | | | | | |  | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — |
 | 6:59 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:57 | — | — | 6:57 | — | — | 6:55 | — | — | 6:55 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 29 | 27 | 29 | 28 | 27 | 29 | 29 | 27 | 29 | 29 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 27 | 29 | 30 | 27 | 29 | 29 | 27 |
Feels °C | 29 | 28 | 29 | 27 | 28 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 29 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | ENE 8 | — | N 9 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | — | ENE 7 | — | SE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | — | NE 6 | ENE 6 | N 11 | ENE 6 | NE 8 | E 10 | NNE 9 |
| kJ | — | 176 | — | 2 | 132 | 120 | — | 117 | — | 9 | 51 | 48 | — | 24 | 28 | 2 | 35 | 10 | 7 | 8 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | N 8 | N 7 | — | — | — | — | N 10 | — | — | N 9 | N 9 | N 9 | E 11 | E 10 | E 10 | E 9 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 6 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 12 | E 11 | NE 11 | NE 10 | — | E 9 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4 | — | 6 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | — | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | — | — | ENE 8 | — | E 6 | ENE 6 | — | — | ENE 6 | E 4 | — | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 6 |
| kJ | 181 | — | 169 | 143 | — | — | 94 | — | 78 | 68 | — | — | 55 | 10 | — | 37 | 40 | 44 | 99 | 96 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 879 | 30 | 437 | 874 | 0 | 53 | 338 | 30 | 53 | 338 | 0 | 53 | 841 | 338 | 879 | 879 | 0 | 879 | 879 | 30 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Puerto Rico | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Puerto Rico | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Tocones Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Tocones provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tocones can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tocones surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tocones) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tocones may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
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