Tocones Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the menu for Tocones.

To be honest, mate, this is a pretty grim stretch ahead. We're looking at a solid 16-day run with nothing but "poor surf conditions" across the board. The first real chance of a wave doesn't even pop up until the 14th of July, and even then, it's a no-go. The swell is all small, short-period windswell from the East, with heights mostly between 2ft and 4ft, and periods hanging around 5 to 7 seconds. That's just not going to stack up.

The wind is the real killer here. It's a relentless 16 mph Easterly breeze, blowing straight cross-shore, day after day. That's a constant moderate cross-shore with a cross-chop, which just tears the surface to bits. There's no glassy windows, no offshore relief. Everything is just messy.

The water temperature is sitting at 83°F with a tiny anomaly of 0.7°F, so it's pretty average for this time of year in Tocones. The combined energy is weak, mostly two-digit numbers under 100 (like 80, 46, 93), meaning there's just no grunt behind these waves. Even when we get a slight bump in energy to 220 (moderate) on the 24th of July, the wind is still blowing 16 mph cross-shore, and the surf is still rated as poor.

There's a small glimmer on the 29th of July, Wednesday morning, where the swell bumps up to 5ft from the ENE with a 7-second period, and the energy hits 212 (moderate). But again, it's a cross-shore wind at 16 mph. That's still going to be a sloppy, choppy mess.

For a beginner-friendly reef break like Tocones, this is a write-off. The constant cross-shore wind and small, weak swell just don't deliver. If you're into kitesurfing, the steady cross-shore wind might be a goer, but for paddle surfing, there's nothing to get excited about. Keep the board in the bag, and wait for a better run.

Rusty.

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