Surf Forecasts:
Tocones surf forecast from 20 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 22 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 6s period, NE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 26 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 7s period, ENE swell with 214 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 22 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 6s period with NE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tocones this week:
The surf forecast for Tocones over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 6s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Tocones in the next 16 days are 1.4m 7s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 26) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 5s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 23) at 11AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 5AM (Wed 22nd Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 6s |
| Best Surf | 5AM (Wed 22nd Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 6s |
| Most Powerful | 2AM (Sun 26th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tocones over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. I’m looking at the forecast for Tocones, and I gotta be honest with you – it’s a real bummer of a stretch. The whole 16-day window is basically a washout for decent surf. We’re talking a long, long gap with nothing worth getting wet for.
Right now and for the next few weeks, the wind is mostly out of the east, which is a cross-shore for this north-facing reef. That’s making everything choppy and messy. The swell is tiny, mostly 2ft to 4ft, with a short period – usually 6 to 8 seconds, so it’s weak, weak energy. The combined energy readings are mostly in the double digits, like 116 (Monday morning) or 77 (Tuesday morning), which is just weak, anemic stuff. The wave comment says it all: "poor surf conditions" day after day.
The water temp is a warm 84°F with a tiny anomaly of 0.9°F, so it’s totally normal for this time of year, but that doesn’t help the surf.
There is one tiny glimmer, but it’s a long way off. On the afternoon of July 27th, we get a "surfable waves but very ordinary conditions" rating, scoring a 1 out of 10. The swell is 4ft from the east with an 8-second period, and the wind is a gentle cross-offshore breeze from the SE, which will clean it up a bit. The combined energy jumps to 165 (moderate). But even then, it’s just barely surfable. For a spot that’s consistent, this is a real letdown.
The truth is, there are no standout days in this entire forecast. The swell direction is mostly ENE, which is off the mark for this break. The wind is never fully offshore and glassy; it’s always cross or cross-shore, keeping the surface lumpy. For beginners, the swell rarely gets above 5ft so it’s not too big, but the conditions are just so poor it’s not worth it. For experts, there’s nothing to get excited about.
This is a classic blank run for this area. It’s a long stretch, from now until at least the end of the forecast on August 4th, with only that one almost-okay afternoon on July 27th. The forecasts can change, but right now, I’d find something else to do.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Tue morning. Warm (max 30°C on Wed afternoon, min 26°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Fri morning. Warm (max 30°C on Thu afternoon, min 26°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 7 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | E 7 | NE 6 | NE 6 | NE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | E 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | NE 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 108 | 110 | 76 | 51 | 64 | 68 | 75 | 105 | 135 | 88 | 114 | 120 | 91 | 99 | 102 | 165 | 85 | 214 | 143 | 147 | 127 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 2:31PM0.36m | 1:56AM0.31m | 3:41PM0.37m | 2:36AM0.28m | 4:51PM0.38m | 3:21AM0.26m | 5:56PM0.40m | 4:13AM0.24m | 6:54PM0.42m | 5:11AM0.22m | 7:44PM0.44m | 6:10AM0.22m | 8:27PM0.45m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:26PM0.14m | 8:35AM0.01m | 9:41PM0.17m | 9:23AM0.00m | 11:05PM0.19m | 10:14AM-0.00m | 00:30AM0.20m | 11:06AM-0.01m | 1:42AM0.19m | 11:57AM-0.01m | 2:37AM0.18m | 12:45PM-0.02m | 3:18AM0.17m | ||||||||
 | |  |  | | | | |  | | | | | | | | | | | |  | |
 | 5:56 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — |
 | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:00 | — | — | 7:00 | — | — | 7:00 | — |
mm | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 2 | — | 3 |
Temp °C | 28 | 29 | 27 | 27 | 29 | 27 | 29 | 30 | 27 | 29 | 30 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 27 | 29 | 29 | 27 | 29 | 29 | 27 |
Feels °C | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 29 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | ENE 7 | E 7 | E 8 | NE 6 | NE 7 | — | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | NE 7 | ENE 7 | — | — | ENE 7 | — | NE 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | — | ENE 8 |
| kJ | 7 | 7 | 76 | 51 | 5 | 68 | 75 | — | 96 | 88 | 65 | 99 | — | — | 102 | — | 84 | 177 | 143 | — | 127 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 7 | — | NNE 8 | NNE 6 | — | — | NE 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NE 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 1 | — | 6 | 20 | — | — | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | NNE 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 7 | ENE 6 | ENE 5 | — | NE 6 | — | — | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | SE 5 | ENE 7 | E 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | — | ENE 8 | E 7 | ENE 7 | — | ENE 7 | — |
| kJ | 108 | 110 | 60 | — | 64 | — | — | 105 | 135 | 23 | 114 | 120 | 91 | 99 | — | 165 | 85 | 214 | — | 147 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 519 | 519 | 9 | 338 | 306 | 9 | 120 | 71 | 5 | 165 | 71 | 1 | 841 | 338 | 71 | 139 | 841 | 362 | 137 | 53 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Puerto Rico | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Puerto Rico | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Tocones Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Tocones provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tocones can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tocones surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tocones) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tocones may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
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