Tocones Surf Break

Lat Long: 18.45° N 65.96° W

Tocones Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 1 pm 21 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Tocones sea temperature is
28.6° C
0.5° 

Tocones surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Tocones surf forecast from 22 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 22 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 6s period, NE swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 28 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 8s period, E swell with 149 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 22 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 6s period with NE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tocones this week:

The surf forecast for Tocones over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Tocones in the next 16 days are 1.1m 8s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 5s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 23) at 8PM.

Wave TypeTime (AST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 5AM (Wed 22nd Jul)3.5ft (1.0m) 6s
Best Surf 5AM (Wed 22nd Jul)3.5ft (1.0m) 6s
Most Powerful 8PM (Tue 28th Jul)3.5ft (1.1m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tocones over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright mates, Rusty here again, but this time in feet and knots for those who think in old school.

Straight up, the next 16 days are flat and forgettable. We’re looking at a long stretch of small, weak surf with a lot of cross-shore breeze messing things up. From Tuesday the 21st of July onward, most days are a washout. There’s a tiny pulse around the 23rd and 24th where the swell bumps up to about 3 to 4 ft, but it’s short period, 6 to 8 seconds, and the wind is either cross or cross-off, so it’s not clean enough to get excited about. The combined energy hits the 100 to 200 range for a few days, but that’s weak sauce for a reef break.

Our only break is Tocones, a consistent, beginner-friendly reef that needs swell from the north. The swell we’re getting is out of the E to ENE, which is off its best direction. On Thursday the 23rd of July in the morning, there’s a small window with 4 ft of ENE swell, a 7-second period, and a cross-offshore wind from the ESE at around 12 knots. The surface will be clean, but the energy is only moderate – about 245 – and it’s still a marginal call with poor surf conditions. Not worth rushing for.

By the 1st of August, we’re down to 2 to 3 ft of weak E swell with 8-second periods. The wind does turn cross-off on some mornings and afternoons, so you’ll get a clean, glassy face – but the energy is tiny, often below 100 and as low as 30 to 40. That’s barely enough to push a longboard through a slow section. The best of a bad bunch is probably the morning of the 2nd of August: clean ESE wind, 3 ft swell, and a 7-second period. Still, it’s not a stand-out by any stretch.

No standout here. If you’re desperate, bring a longboard and expect knee-high dribblers. Otherwise, save your energy for another week.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Wed morning. Warm (max 30°C on Wed afternoon, min 26°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Warm (max 29°C on Fri afternoon, min 26°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Tue
21
Wednesday
22
Thursday
23
Friday
24
Saturday
25
Sunday
26
Monday
27
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1
NE
6
1
NE
6
0.9
ENE
7
1.1
ENE
7
1
ENE
7
1.2
ENE
7
1.1
ENE
7
1
ENE
7
1.1
ENE
7
1.1
ENE
6
0.8
NE
8
1.2
ENE
7
1
E
7
1.2
ENE
7
1.1
ENE
8
1
ENE
8
1
ENE
8
0.9
ENE
8
0.9
ENE
8
0.9
ENE
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
73
78
76
102
96
135
115
96
108
96
77
129
107
147
128
120
120
102
107
119
Wind (km/h)
20
ENE
15
E
20
ESE
25
ESE
20
ESE
20
ESE
25
ESE
15
ESE
25
E
25
E
20
E
25
E
25
E
20
E
25
E
25
E
15
ESE
20
ESE
25
ESE
10
ESE
Wind State
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
3:41PM0.37m
2:36AM0.28m
4:51PM0.38m
3:21AM0.26m
5:56PM0.40m
4:13AM0.24m
6:54PM0.42m
5:11AM0.22m
7:44PM0.44m
6:10AM0.22m
8:27PM0.45m
7:04AM0.22m
9:06PM0.45m
Low Tide
9:41PM0.17m
9:23AM0.00m
11:05PM0.19m
10:14AM-0.00m
00:30AM0.20m
11:06AM-0.01m
1:42AM0.19m
11:57AM-0.01m
2:37AM0.18m
12:45PM-0.02m
3:18AM0.17m
1:30PM-0.02m
3:50AM0.16m
clear
clear
thunderstorm
clear
thunderstorm
clear
part cloud
clear
thunderstorm
clear
thunderstorm
clear
clear
thunderstorm
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
thunderstorm
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:58
5:58
5:58
5:58
5:58
5:58
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
7:01
7:01
7:01
7:00
7:00
7:00
7:00
 mm
2
1
1
1
1
1
Temp °C
29
27
29
30
27
29
29
27
28
29
27
29
29
27
29
29
27
29
30
27
Feels °C
30
29
29
29
29
29
28
29
28
29
29
29
28
29
30
29
29
29
30
29
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Tocones Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Tocones provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tocones can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tocones surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tocones) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tocones may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

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