Tocones Surf Break

Lat Long: 18.45° N 65.96° W

Tocones Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 1 pm 12 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Tocones sea temperature is
28.6° C
0.5° 

Tocones surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Tocones surf forecast from 12 Jul 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 19 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 7s period, ENE swell with 163 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tocones this week:

The most powerful waves expected at Tocones in the next 16 days are 1.4m 6s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 5AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 5s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 8AM.

Wave TypeTime (AST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful 5AM (Sun 19th Jul)4ft (1.2m) 7s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tocones over the next 16 days.


Alright, surfers, it’s Rusty here, and I’ve got a look at what’s coming up for the next couple of weeks around Tocones. Straight up, this is going to be a tough stretch. We’ve got a massive run of time here with nothing good on the table for paddle surfing. The whole outlook is pretty much a blank.

From now through the weekend and into the following week, the story stays the same: small, weak swell with hardly any energy. The combined swell energy values mostly sit in the double and low triple digits, between 46 and 135, which is weak to barely moderate. We’re looking at tiny waves around 2 ft to 4 ft, coming out of the east and east-northeast, with short periods of 5 to 7 seconds. That’s just windswell junk. On top of that, we’ve got a relentless 16 mph cross-shore wind, sometimes shifting a little offshore, but that wind state is often creating a cross-chop. The forecast keeps saying “poor surf conditions” for every single session. There is no standout, no hidden gem, nothing worth paddling out for in that entire run.

There is a noticeable gap of about two full weeks with no recommendations. Even the last few days of the forecast, around the 26th and 27th of July, the surf is dropping even smaller, down to 2 ft, though the period stretches to a slightly longer 9 to 10 seconds. Still, the direction is wrong, the energy is weak (between 69 and 109), and that cross-shore wind is still blowing. There’s just no quality on offer here. For a spot like Tocones that’s usually consistent, this is a frustrating stretch.

For now, with the water temp sitting at a normal 84° for the time of year and the wind just hammering it, the setup looks far more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing if you had to be on the water.

Keep an eye on the forecasts, as things can change, but for now, I’d save the wax.

Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 29°C on Sun afternoon, min 26°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 29°C on Wed afternoon, min 25°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Sun
12
Monday
13
Tuesday
14
Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
Friday
17
Saturday
18
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.9
ENE
7
1.1
E
5
1
E
6
1
E
5
1
E
6
0.9
E
6
1
E
7
1
E
7
0.9
E
6
0.9
E
5
0.9
ENE
5
0.8
ENE
6
1.1
E
6
1.2
E
6
0.9
ENE
6
1.1
E
6
0.8
E
7
1
E
7
1.1
ENE
7
1.1
ENE
7
1.1
ENE
7
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
91
65
64
59
62
50
106
106
49
42
47
40
80
102
66
97
61
100
125
132
118
Wind (km/h)
25
E
20
E
25
E
25
E
20
ESE
25
ESE
25
E
20
E
25
E
25
E
20
ESE
25
E
25
E
20
ESE
25
ESE
25
ESE
20
ESE
25
E
25
E
20
ESE
25
E
Wind State
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross
High Tide
8:37PM0.52m
6:57AM0.23m
9:23PM0.52m
8:05AM0.25m
10:06PM0.51m
9:11AM0.27m
10:47PM0.49m
10:14AM0.29m
11:26PM0.46m
11:16AM0.31m
00:03AM0.42m
12:19PM0.33m
00:41AM0.38m
1:24PM0.34m
Low Tide
3:23AM0.18m
1:42PM-0.11m
4:01AM0.16m
2:38PM-0.10m
4:37AM0.14m
3:33PM-0.07m
5:12AM0.11m
4:28PM-0.04m
5:49AM0.09m
5:23PM0.00m
6:26AM0.06m
6:20PM0.05m
7:06AM0.04m
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:54
5:54
5:54
5:56
5:56
5:56
5:56
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
7:04
7:04
7:02
7:02
7:02
7:02
7:02
7:02
 mm
Temp °C
29
28
29
29
27
28
29
27
29
29
27
28
28
26
28
28
26
29
29
27
28
Feels °C
28
29
28
28
27
27
28
28
28
27
27
28
27
26
27
27
26
28
28
27
27
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Tocones Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Tocones provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tocones can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tocones surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tocones) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tocones may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

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