Tocones Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here.

Look, I’ve got to be straight with you. The next couple of weeks are looking pretty ordinary for a proper surf. There’s nothing that’s going to have you ringing in sick for work, but there are a few windows where you can get a few clean ones if you’re keen.

The story for the next week is small, short-period, wind-affected slop. We’re looking at waves in the 3ft to 4ft range, with periods of only 6 to 8 seconds. That’s just not enough oomph to get the reef at Tocones (Tocones) doing anything special. The wind is mostly cross or cross-off from the east, which keeps things reasonably clean at times, but the energy is weak, with combined energies sitting between 57 and 166. It’s not going to be a total flat spell, but it’s not going to be much fun either.

The first real chance of something half-decent comes on Thursday the 13th. The afternoon sees the swell bump up to 5ft from the east with a 6-second period, and the wind goes cross-off from the ESE, cleaning up the surface. The energy is still only moderate at 190, but it’s an improvement. Friday the 14th and Saturday the 15th see the swell push up into the 6ft to 6ft range, but the wind goes cross and freshens up, making it lumpy. The energy is building, reaching 397 by Saturday, but the cross-shore chop is going to make it messy. This is more of a battle than a pleasure.

The standout, if you can call it that, is Sunday the 16th of August. The swell is up to 6ft from the ENE with an 8-second period, and the energy is strong at 426. It’s the biggest swell of the period. However, the wind is a moderate cross-shore, and there is a risk of thunderstorms. It won’t be perfect, but there will be more push and power in the water. For a more experienced surfer on a larger board, it could offer some fun, but the cross wind will be a factor. It’s the best of a fairly average bunch, but I wouldn't call it a day you’d plan your week around.

For the following week, the swell eases back. Monday the 17th has a 5ft morning that drops off in the afternoon, with a risk of storms. Then it’s back to the small, weak stuff, around 4ft to 4ft with 6-second periods. The wind does go cross-off from the ESE from Tuesday the 18th onwards, which will keep the surface clean, but the lack of size and period means the reef won’t really switch on. It’s clean but tiny.

Everything in this outlook is below the 8ft mark, so it’s not expert-only, but the poor wind and short-period swells will keep the quality down, especially for beginners. This is a period for the dedicated, not the casual. Keep an eye on the charts, because forecasts this far out are promising but less certain.

Rusty.

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