Tocones Surf Break

Lat Long: 18.45° N 65.96° W

Tocones Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 1 pm 26 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Tocones sea temperature is
28.8° C
0.5° 

Tocones surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Tocones surf forecast from 26 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 2 Aug, 2AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 8s period, E swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 30 Jul, 11AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 8s period, E swell with 273 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 26 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 8s period with ENE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tocones this week:

The surf forecast for Tocones over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 26) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 8s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Tocones in the next 16 days are 1.5m 8s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 11AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 7s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 30) at 5PM.

Wave TypeTime (AST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)11PM (Sun 26th Jul)3ft (0.9m) 8s
Best Surf 2AM (Sun 2nd Aug)3.5ft (1.1m) 8s
Most Powerful11AM (Thu 30th Jul)5ft (1.5m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tocones over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – if you’ve got your heart set on a surf at Tocones over the next couple of weeks, you’re gonna need a whole lot of patience and maybe a different hobby. There’s nothing in the pipeline that’s worth paddling out for.

The whole 16-day window out at Tocones is a flat, featureless run. From Sunday the 26th of July all the way through to Monday the 10th of August, every single report is a "poor surf conditions" call. The swell barely gets its act together, and the wind is a constant cross or cross-off shore breeze – mostly from the east around 16 mph, occasionally picking up to 19 mph. While that cross-off wind keeps the surface clean on some mornings, there’s just no power in the water to ride.

The biggest bump we see is on Wednesday the 29th of July, into Thursday the 30th, where the swell pushes up to about 5 ft out of the east with a period of 7 to 8 seconds. That’s weak, short-period windswell, with combined energy readings hitting 219 (moderate) and 274 (moderate). That’s the best of the worst, but it’s still a messy, crumbly wave with no shape. The water is sitting at 84° with a temperature anomaly of 0.9°, so it’s about average for the time of year.

After a brief lull, there’s a tiny uptick on Saturday the 8th of August with 3 ft east swell and a 6-second period, but the energy is only 136 (moderate) and the wind goes back to cross-shore. It’s not surfable, just a bump on the surface.

The long-range stuff around the 10th of August is a joke – 1 ft swell with a 10-second period from the north-northeast, which is a longer period but the height is barely a ripple. The combined energy is a measly 56 (weak). You’d be better off swimming.

Bottom line: not a single recommendable wave in the whole outlook. It’s a dead period for Tocones. The break is consistent but the swell just isn’t showing up. Hopefully the forecasts change, but for now, leave the board at home.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Mon morning. Warm (max 30°C on Mon afternoon, min 26°C on Sun night). Mainly fresh winds.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Fri morning. Warm (max 29°C on Wed afternoon, min 26°C on Wed night). Mainly fresh winds.

Sun
26
Monday
27
Tuesday
28
Wednesday
29
Thursday
30
Friday
31
Saturday
1
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.1
ENE
7
0.9
ENE
8
0.9
ENE
8
0.9
ENE
8
0.8
ENE
8
0.5
ENE
8
0.8
E
5
0.8
ENE
8
1
E
5
1.5
E
7
1.5
E
7
1.5
E
8
1.4
ENE
8
1.4
ENE
8
1.4
ENE
8
1.3
ENE
7
1.1
ENE
8
1.1
ENE
8
1.1
ENE
8
1.1
E
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
140
99
102
110
85
36
37
85
52
218
242
273
245
238
226
181
163
163
159
146
Wind (km/h)
25
E
15
E
20
E
25
ESE
10
SE
25
ESE
25
ESE
20
ESE
30
ESE
30
ESE
25
ESE
30
ESE
25
E
20
E
25
E
25
E
15
ESE
25
E
25
E
15
ESE
Wind State
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
8:27PM0.45m
7:04AM0.22m
9:06PM0.45m
7:54AM0.23m
9:41PM0.45m
8:40AM0.24m
10:13PM0.45m
9:24AM0.26m
10:43PM0.43m
10:10AM0.28m
11:12PM0.41m
10:59AM0.31m
11:39PM0.38m
Low Tide
3:18AM0.17m
1:30PM-0.02m
3:50AM0.16m
2:14PM-0.02m
4:17AM0.15m
2:56PM-0.02m
4:41AM0.14m
3:38PM-0.01m
5:04AM0.12m
4:21PM0.01m
5:27AM0.10m
5:07PM0.03m
clear
clear
thunderstorm
clear
thunderstorm
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
thunderstorm
clear
thunderstorm
clear
clear
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:58
6:00
6:00
6:00
6:01
6:01
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
7:00
7:00
7:00
6:59
6:59
6:59
6:58
 mm
1
3
1
2
Temp °C
29
27
29
30
27
29
30
27
29
29
27
29
29
27
28
29
26
29
29
27
Feels °C
29
28
30
30
29
29
30
29
29
28
28
28
28
28
27
28
27
29
28
28
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Tocones Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Tocones provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tocones can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tocones surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tocones) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tocones may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

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