Tocones Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. To be straight with you, looking at the charts for Tocones for the next couple of weeks, it's a pretty bleak picture. We've got a real flat spell on our hands.

The main issue is the wind. That steady easterly breeze blows cross-shore almost every day, chopping up any bump that tries to form. The wave energy is weak, mostly sitting below 100 (128 at best on the 11th), and the swell period is short, mainly between 5 and 7 seconds. You're looking at weak, crumbly, un-organised waves.

From July 11th through the 16th, it's a total bust. The wind is too strong from the east at 25 to 30 km/h, creating a nasty cross-chop. Swell is tiny, between 2ft and 4ft, and all short-period junk.

It cleans up a little from July 17th to the 19th, with the wind turning cross-offshore (ESE). The wave heights stay small, around 3ft to 3ft, and the wave energy is still weak (80 to 90). The surface will be glassy, but "clean" doesn't mean good when the swell has no power or period.

There's another big gap of poor conditions from July 20th to the 24th. The energy drops to a pathetic 43. The swell is just a dribble.

The only spot that might be worth a look, and I'm being generous, is the morning of Saturday, July 26th. The swell direction shifts to the ENE and the period bumps up to 9 seconds, which is the best we see in the whole 16-day window. The wind drops to a moderate 20 km/h from the ENE, but it's still cross-shore. The swell height is only 2ft, so it's tiny, but that longer period means a little more shape and push. The energy reading is 78. It's the least-worst option, but don't get your hopes up.

For the whole period, there isn't a single day I'd call a true "go" day. Tocones is a consistent reef, but she's napping. Bring a kite if you're desperate, because the paddle surfing looks like a frustrating grind for the next two weeks.

Rusty.

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