Tocones Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get real about the next couple of weeks here at Tocones. This reef break is usually a consistent beginner-friendly spot, but it’s going to be a long, quiet stretch with very little to get excited about.

Right now, the water temp is sitting at 84°, which is pretty much normal for this time of year. Nothing out of the ordinary there.

From Thursday the 20th of August all the way through to the end of the month, the surf is just not happening. We’ve got small, weak swell – mostly around 3 ft to 5 ft from the east or east-northeast – but the wind is all over the place. It’s cross-shore almost every day, with a moderate to fresh breeze, and the sea state is just lumpy and chopped. The combined wave energy is mostly weak, with values like 90 (Thursday morning), 75 (Friday morning), and even dropping to 42 (Monday afternoon). There’s not a single wave comment that says anything good – it’s all “poor surf conditions.” Honestly, this is a total blank run for paddle surfing. The setup here is more interesting for kite surfing than anything else during this period.

There is a tiny glimmer of cleaner conditions on the 25th of August (Tuesday morning and afternoon) and again on the 29th (Saturday morning), with a cross-offshore wind and a clean sea state, but the swell is still tiny – 2 ft to 5 ft – and the energy is only moderate at best. The 29th morning has a combined energy of 343, which is the highest in the whole forecast, but at 5 ft with a 7-second period, it’s still not going to offer anything memorable. For a beginner reef, it’s just not enough.

The first week of September is even worse. The 1st of September morning has a brief spike in period – 12 seconds from the north-northeast – but the swell height is only 1.0 ft, so that’s a nothing burger. After that, it’s back to tiny, weak waves with poor winds.

So, plain and simple: there are no good surf options in this 16-day window. Tocones is a consistent spot normally, so this kind of dry spell is a bit unusual, but forecasts can change. For now, I wouldn’t bother paddling out. Leave the boards on the rack, mates.

Rusty

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