Tocones Surf Break

Lat Long: 18.45° N 65.96° W

Tocones Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 7 pm 01 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Tocones sea temperature is
29.0° C
0.7° 

Tocones surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Tocones surf forecast from 2 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Tuesday 4 Aug, 5AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 6s period, ENE swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 2 Aug, 11AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 7s period, E swell with 168 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 4 Aug, 5AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 6s period with ENE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tocones this week:

The surf forecast for Tocones over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 04) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Tocones in the next 16 days are 1.4m 7s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 02) at 11AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 5s period and expected on Saturday (Aug 08) at 8AM.

Wave TypeTime (AST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 5AM (Tue 4th Aug)3ft (0.9m) 6s
Best Surf 5AM (Tue 4th Aug)3ft (0.9m) 6s
Most Powerful11AM (Sun 2nd Aug)4.5ft (1.4m) 7s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tocones over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright mate, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for Tocones over the next couple of weeks.

Straight up, I gotta be honest with you – it’s a pretty grim run of surf. We’ve got a solid 16-day window ahead, but there isn’t a single session I’d get excited about. The scoreboard is showing zeros right through, so we’re looking at a real dry spell. The first record kicks off on Sunday, August 2nd, but even then it’s only a marginal call.

For Sunday morning, August 2nd, we’ve got some chest-high swell pushing in at around 5ft from the East, but the period is a short, weak 7 seconds. The combined wave energy is moderate at best (302), and while the wind is a cross-offshore breeze from the ESE at 16 mph, keeping it clean, the overall surf quality is just ordinary. It’s not going to offer much shape or punch, so don’t expect much.

The rest of that first week and into the second is more of the same – or worse. Swell heights drop under 3ft, periods stay short (5-7 seconds), and the energy levels fall right away into weak territory (below 100). Winds flip between cross and cross-off, but mostly it’s a moderate to fresh breeze from the E or ESE, often 16-19 mph, which puts a chop on things. Tocones is an exposed reef break, so it takes all that on the chin. The water temp is about average for early August, nothing wild there.

Even the bigger pulses around the 7th to 9th of August only push up to 4ft, but with that short period and messy wind, it’s still a no-go. From the 10th onwards we’re stuck in a rut of tiny, weak swell and lumpy cross-shore conditions. Honestly, this stretch looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing if you’re into that sort of thing.

For a spot that’s normally consistent, this is a quiet spell. Forecasts can change though, so don’t write it off completely, but for now, leave the board in the bag.

– Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Warm (max 30°C on Mon afternoon, min 26°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Wed afternoon. Warm (max 30°C on Wed afternoon, min 26°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Sunday
2
Monday
3
Tuesday
4
Wednesday
5
Thursday
6
Friday
7
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.4
E
6
1.4
E
7
1
E
7
0.9
ENE
7
0.9
ENE
6
0.9
ENE
6
0.9
ENE
6
0.8
ENE
6
0.7
ENE
6
0.7
ENE
7
0.7
ENE
6
0.7
ENE
7
0.7
ENE
7
0.8
ENE
6
0.8
ENE
6
0.9
ENE
6
1
ENE
8
1
ENE
6
1.1
ENE
6
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
139
168
106
91
64
66
57
50
44
38
37
38
45
48
51
45
133
66
77
Wind (km/h)
20
ESE
25
ESE
20
ESE
20
ESE
25
ESE
25
E
20
ESE
25
ENE
25
E
15
ESE
20
E
25
E
15
ESE
20
ESE
25
ESE
15
ESE
25
E
25
E
15
ESE
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
High Tide
11:39PM0.38m
11:51AM0.33m
00:05AM0.35m
12:49PM0.36m
00:32AM0.32m
1:52PM0.37m
00:59AM0.29m
3:03PM0.40m
1:28AM0.27m
4:17PM0.42m
2:04AM0.25m
5:29PM0.44m
2:58AM0.24m
Low Tide
5:53AM0.08m
5:55PM0.07m
6:23AM0.05m
6:49PM0.11m
6:59AM0.02m
7:53PM0.16m
7:40AM-0.01m
9:09PM0.20m
8:29AM-0.04m
10:43PM0.22m
9:25AM-0.05m
00:20AM0.22m
thunderstorm
part cloud
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
clear
clear
thunderstorm
clear
clear
clear
clear
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:01
6:01
6:01
6:01
6:01
6:03
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:58
6:58
6:57
6:57
6:55
6:55
6:54
 mm
2
1
2
1
1
1
1
Temp °C
27
29
29
27
29
30
27
29
29
28
29
30
27
29
30
27
29
29
27
Feels °C
28
30
29
29
29
30
28
30
30
31
30
30
29
29
29
29
29
28
28
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Tocones Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Tocones provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tocones can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tocones surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tocones) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tocones may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

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