Surf Forecasts:
Tocones surf forecast from 13 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 19 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 7s period, E swell with 139 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tocones this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Tocones in the next 16 days are 1.2m 7s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 5s period and expected on Friday (Jul 17) at 2AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 2AM (Sun 19th Jul) | 4ft (1.2m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tocones over the next 16 days.
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about Tocones for the next couple of weeks.
Straight up, it’s a tough run. The whole 16-day window is looking pretty average, with no real standouts to get excited about. The swell is small and weak, and the wind is a constant problem. For the first week and a half, from July 13th right through to about July 24th, the conditions are just not cooperating. The wind is mostly cross-shore from the east at 15 mph, sometimes stronger, which just chops up the surface. The swell is tiny, hanging around 3 ft to 4 ft from the east or east-northeast, with a short period of 5 to 7 seconds. That’s weak, wind-affected stuff with combined energy rarely cracking the 100 mark (usually in the 70s to 90s). The water temp is a warm 83°, which is pretty standard for the time of year, but that’s about the only thing going for it.
The best chance we see in the whole period is Thursday, July 24th. The swell picks up a touch to 4 ft–4 ft from the east-northeast, with the period stretching to 8 seconds. That’s still short period, but the combined energy bumps up to 160–178 (moderate), which is the most energy we’ll see. The real thing is the wind goes cross-offshore from the ESE in the afternoon, which should clean the face up. It’s still small, but for a spot that’s exposed to the north with an optimum swell from the north, this east-northeast swell isn’t hitting it perfectly. It’s the only window where the surf might be rideable rather than a complete mess.
After that, it drops back down again. The last few days of July and into the 28th, we’re back to tiny, weak, cross-shore junk. There’s a brief gap after the 24th where the size drops, but it’s all pretty forgettable. Honestly, for a beginner reef that’s consistent, it’s a real shame. The orientation just isn’t lining up with the forecast.
For expert punters, there’s nothing here that’s worth the paddle. For a beginner, it’s too weak and messy to learn on. The whole setup is more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer during this period.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 30°C on Mon afternoon, min 26°C on Tue night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Thu afternoon. Warm (max 29°C on Sat afternoon, min 26°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 5 | ENE 6 | E 5 | E 6 | E 6 | E 5 | E 6 | E 7 | E 5 | ENE 5 | ENE 5 | E 5 | E 6 | E 6 | ENE 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 6 | ENE 6 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 57 | 50 | 79 | 69 | 60 | 47 | 50 | 83 | 33 | 39 | 47 | 47 | 78 | 84 | 75 | 89 | 110 | 139 | 107 | 84 | 85 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 9:23PM0.52m | 8:05AM0.25m | 10:06PM0.51m | 9:11AM0.27m | 10:47PM0.49m | 10:14AM0.29m | 11:26PM0.46m | 11:16AM0.31m | 00:03AM0.42m | 12:19PM0.33m | 00:41AM0.38m | 1:24PM0.34m | 1:18AM0.35m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 1:42PM-0.11m | 4:01AM0.16m | 2:38PM-0.10m | 4:37AM0.14m | 3:33PM-0.07m | 5:12AM0.11m | 4:28PM-0.04m | 5:49AM0.09m | 5:23PM0.00m | 6:26AM0.06m | 6:20PM0.05m | 7:06AM0.04m | 7:20PM0.10m | ||||||||
 | |  |  | |  | | | | |  |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — |
 | — | 7:04 | — | — | 7:02 | — | — | 7:02 | — | — | 7:02 | — | — | 7:02 | — | — | 7:02 | — | — | 7:02 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 29 | 30 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 27 | 27 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 26 | 28 | 29 | 27 | 29 | 28 | 27 |
Feels °C | 28 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 27 | 28 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 8 | E 8 | ENE 5 | NNE 10 | NNE 10 | E 5 | NE 10 | N 9 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | E 5 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NE 8 | NE 7 | NE 9 | ENE 7 | NE 9 | NE 9 | NE 9 |
| kJ | 12 | 19 | 47 | 11 | 10 | 47 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 16 | 17 | 47 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 22 | 99 | 13 | 12 | 12 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 8 | N 7 | E 8 | N 7 | N 6 | ENE 7 | N 7 | N 7 | N 8 | N 8 | N 7 | N 7 | N 7 | — | — | — | — | NE 9 | NW 7 | NW 6 | N 6 |
| kJ | 5 | 4 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 1 | — | — | — | — | 23 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 11 | NNE 11 | NNE 11 | N 8 | E 8 | NNE 10 | N 7 | N 7 | N 9 | N 9 | NE 9 | NNE 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 6 | — |
| kJ | 11 | 11 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 5 | ENE 6 | E 5 | E 6 | E 6 | E 5 | E 6 | E 7 | E 5 | ENE 5 | ENE 5 | E 5 | E 6 | E 6 | ENE 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 6 | ENE 6 |
| kJ | 57 | 50 | 79 | 69 | 60 | 58 | 50 | 83 | 33 | 39 | 47 | 70 | 78 | 84 | 75 | 89 | 110 | 139 | 107 | 84 | 85 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 338 | 165 | 71 | 53 | 338 | 53 | 53 | 519 | 347 | 879 | 53 | 347 | 53 | 53 | 30 | 879 | 338 | 5 | 125 | 879 | 30 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Puerto Rico | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Tocones Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Tocones provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tocones can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tocones surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tocones) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tocones may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
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