Surf Forecasts:
Tocones surf forecast from 19 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 19 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 8s period, E swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 26 Aug, 5AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 7s period, ENE swell with 175 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 19 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 8s period with E swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tocones this week:
The surf forecast for Tocones over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 19) at 8PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.4m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 8s. Another secondary swell of 0.6m and 5s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Tocones in the next 16 days are 1.4m 7s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 26) at 5AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 6s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 20) at 5AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8PM (Wed 19th Aug) | 1.5ft (0.4m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 8PM (Wed 19th Aug) | 1.5ft (0.4m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 5AM (Wed 26th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tocones over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here again, breakin' it down for Tocones. I won't sugarcoat it – it's a tough run ahead. For a spot that can pump, we're looking at a real famine.
Starting Wednesday, August 19th, it's all a mess. Weak, short-period windswell from the east at a foot or so, with side-shore winds. The energy is weak – barely registering. It's clean-looking water, but the waves themselves are just junky. This goes on and on, day after day.
The swell tries to fill in a little toward the end of August, hitting 4 to 6 feet from the east, but the period stays short, around 6-7 seconds. That's just bumpy, fat lines with no push. The wind keeps swinging side-shore, chopping it all up.
Now, here’s the only real whisper of hope. On Thursday, August 27th, we get a 5-foot east swell with a touch more period and clean, offshore breezes. The energy jumps to a moderate level (378). It's a gamble, but it could be the only time the reef sees a clean face.
After that, it's back to the same story, but keep your eye on Monday, August 31st. We get a 3-foot east swell with a much longer 11-second period, and again, clean offshore wind. The energy is moderate (224-248). It's not big, but that long period will put some real shape in the water. That's your best bet for a decent session, but the swell height is underwhelming.
So, to be honest, the standout play here is a toss-up between the bigger, risky swell on the 27th and the cleaner, longer-period but smaller swell on the 31st. I'd take the 31st for quality over quantity. It’s the only time the waves might actually line up properly.
Get ready to wait. It's gonna be a lean couple of weeks.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Wed morning. Warm (max 30°C on Wed morning, min 26°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 21mm), heaviest during Mon night. Warm (max 30°C on Sat afternoon, min 27°C on Sat morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | Sunday 23 | Monday 24 | Tuesday 25 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 8 | E 8 | E 5 | E 6 | E 6 | E 5 | E 6 | ENE 7 | E 5 | ENE 5 | ENE 5 | ENE 5 | E 5 | E 6 | E 6 | E 6 | E 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 6 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 21 | 21 | 25 | 43 | 54 | 45 | 60 | 91 | 55 | 47 | 45 | 43 | 59 | 69 | 95 | 69 | 76 | 115 | 139 | 147 | 143 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross |
High Tide | 3:03PM0.38m | 1:47AM0.26m | 4:12PM0.38m | 2:33AM0.24m | 5:19PM0.39m | 3:33AM0.23m | 6:19PM0.40m | 4:46AM0.22m | 7:10PM0.41m | 5:55AM0.22m | 7:54PM0.42m | 6:53AM0.24m | 8:31PM0.42m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 9:16PM0.18m | 8:34AM0.01m | 10:41PM0.20m | 9:29AM0.02m | 00:07AM0.20m | 10:28AM0.02m | 1:13AM0.19m | 11:27AM0.02m | 1:58AM0.17m | 12:22PM0.01m | 2:30AM0.16m | 1:13PM0.01m | 2:57AM0.15m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  | | | | |  | | | | | | | | | |  | |  | |
 | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — |
 | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:44 | — | — | 6:43 | — |
mm | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | 2 | — | 1 | 14 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 30 | 30 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 27 | 29 | 29 | 27 | 29 | 30 | 27 | 29 | 30 | 27 | 29 | 29 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 27 |
Feels °C | 32 | 30 | 32 | 30 | 30 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 28 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | ENE 8 | NNE 7 | E 5 | NNE 7 | NNE 7 | ENE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | ENE 5 | NE 8 | NE 8 | E 6 | E 6 | NNE 7 | N 12 | N 11 | NE 11 | ENE 8 |
| kJ | 21 | 21 | 21 | 22 | 10 | 45 | 10 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 17 | 16 | 71 | 69 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 23 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 9 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 7 | E 13 | NNE 7 | NE 9 | NE 8 | NNE 8 | N 10 | N 10 | NNE 8 | — | E 11 | NNE 8 | NNE 7 | — | — | — | E 14 | ESE 12 |
| kJ | 8 | 14 | 19 | 17 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 12 | — | 2 | 6 | 5 | — | — | — | 4 | 14 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 7 | N 7 | N 6 | N 6 | — | E 13 | N 11 | N 11 | N 10 | N 10 | E 11 | E 11 | — | E 11 | — | — | — | — | — | E 14 | NE 11 |
| kJ | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 5 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 5 | E 5 | E 5 | E 6 | E 6 | — | E 6 | ENE 7 | E 5 | ENE 5 | ENE 5 | E 5 | E 5 | E 6 | E 6 | — | E 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 6 |
| kJ | 16 | 17 | 25 | 43 | 54 | — | 60 | 91 | 55 | 47 | 45 | 41 | 59 | 69 | 95 | — | 76 | 115 | 139 | 147 | 143 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 53 | 53 | 30 | 53 | 696 | 30 | 841 | 879 | 355 | 53 | 338 | 420 | 53 | 841 | 30 | 841 | 874 | 347 | 53 | 165 | 30 |
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Information about the Tocones Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Tocones provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tocones can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tocones surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tocones) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tocones may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
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