Tocones Surf Break

Lat Long: 18.45° N 65.96° W

Tocones Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 1 am 09 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Tocones sea temperature is
29.6°C
0.8° 

Tocones surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Tocones surf forecast from 9 Sep 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 10 Sep, 8AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 7s period, E swell with 239 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tocones this week:

The most powerful waves expected at Tocones in the next 16 days are 1.6m 7s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 8AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (AST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful 8AM (Thu 10th Sep)5ft (1.6m) 7s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tocones over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Hey, Rusty here. Look, I’ll level with you—this 16-day stretch for Tocones is mostly a bust. There’s a big ol’ gap with no surf to speak of, and the first real chance you’ll get is a week out, and even then, it’s nothing special.

We start Wednesday the 9th through to Wednesday the 16th with just poor conditions. Waist-high slop from the east and east-northeast, about 3 to 5 ft, with a short, weak period of 5 to 8 seconds. Wind’s blowing 16 mph, mostly cross or cross-off, and the combined energy is weak to moderate (numbers like 187, 230, 232). Water temp’s a warm 85°, pretty average for this time of year. Not worth your time.

Thursday the 17th eases up a bit. Wind drops to 9–12 mph from the ESE, and we get a 3 ft east swell with a 7-second period and combined energy of 194 (moderate). It’s “surfable but very ordinary.” Still small. Friday the 18th through Sunday the 20th is tiny—dropping to 0.7 ft to 2 ft with hardly any energy (27 to 67). Dead.

Here’s the only thing that gets a nod. On Monday the 21st of September, we get a shift. Swell goes north-northeast with a 4 ft swell and a 10-second period—more push. Combined energy hits 386 (moderate to strong). Wind is light, 6–9 mph from the east or ESE, so clean. It’s still only “marginal,” but it’s your best bet. Tuesday the 22nd is similar: 4 ft north-northeast swell, 9-second period (combined energy 218), with a bit of offshore wind from the south in the afternoon. Wednesday the 23rd keeps up: 3 ft to 3 ft, clean, but ordinary.

After that, it fades again. Thursday the 24th has a 3 ft east swell with a short 6-second period, energy down to 123. Tough run overall. If you’re desperate, aim for the 21st and 22nd for the cleanest, biggest waves, but don’t get your hopes up.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Wed night. Warm (max 30°C on Wed morning, min 27°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Warm (max 30°C on Sat afternoon, min 26°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Wednesday
9
Thursday
10
Friday
11
Saturday
12
Sunday
13
Monday
14
Tuesday
15
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.3
E
6
1.4
E
7
1.4
ENE
7
1.4
E
7
1.3
E
8
1.3
E
8
1.1
E
6
1
E
8
0.9
E
8
0.8
E
8
0.8
E
8
0.7
ENE
5
0.9
ENE
5
0.4
ENE
10
0.8
ENE
5
0.8
ENE
5
0.8
ENE
5
0.8
ENE
5
0.8
ENE
5
0.8
ENE
6
0.9
ENE
6
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
143
198
199
192
196
217
91
134
105
84
82
25
49
37
35
39
37
37
35
40
50
Wind (km/h)
25
ESE
25
E
25
E
25
ESE
25
ESE
20
ESE
25
E
25
ESE
20
ESE
25
E
25
ENE
20
E
25
E
25
E
20
E
25
E
20
E
15
ESE
25
E
25
E
20
E
Wind State
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
High Tide
8:30PM0.41m
8:22AM0.35m
9:07PM0.38m
9:16AM0.39m
9:41PM0.36m
10:06AM0.41m
10:14PM0.34m
10:55AM0.43m
10:46PM0.32m
11:44AM0.43m
11:18PM0.30m
12:33PM0.42m
11:51PM0.27m
Low Tide
1:44PM-0.01m
2:37AM0.09m
2:41PM0.00m
3:10AM0.06m
3:34PM0.02m
3:44AM0.03m
4:24PM0.05m
4:19AM0.01m
5:13PM0.08m
4:55AM-0.00m
6:01PM0.11m
5:33AM-0.01m
6:52PM0.14m
thunderstorm
clear
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
clear
clear
thunderstorm
clear
clear
clear
clear
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:09
6:09
6:09
6:09
6:11
6:11
6:11
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:30
6:30
6:29
6:29
6:28
6:27
6:25
 mm
1
6
2
1
1
2
1
2
1
Temp °C
30
30
28
29
30
28
29
30
28
29
30
27
29
30
27
29
29
27
29
30
28
Feels °C
30
30
29
29
30
30
29
30
29
29
30
28
29
30
28
29
28
27
28
29
29
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Tocones Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Tocones provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tocones can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tocones surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tocones) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tocones may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

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