Tocones Surf Break

Lat Long: 18.45° N 65.96° W

Tocones Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 1 pm 03 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Tocones sea temperature is
29.5°C
0.8° 

Tocones surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Tocones surf forecast from 4 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 4 Sep, 5AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 7s period, E swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 10 Sep, 8AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 7s period, E swell with 179 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 4 Sep, 5AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 7s period with E swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tocones this week:

The surf forecast for Tocones over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 04) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 7s. Another secondary swell of 0.2m and 10s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Tocones in the next 16 days are 1.4m 7s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 8AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 5s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 08) at 5AM.

Wave TypeTime (AST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 5AM (Fri 4th Sep)2ft (0.6m) 7s
Best Surf 5AM (Fri 4th Sep)2ft (0.6m) 7s
Most Powerful 8AM (Thu 10th Sep)4.5ft (1.4m) 7s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tocones over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, it’s Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you: the numbers are up, and this 16-day window for Tocones is a bit of a heartbreaker. We’ve got a solid run of small, messy, or just plain poor surf conditions stretching from now, right through the first week. There’s a long gap of days with no real recommendations, and the whole outlook is a waiting game for a few brief windows that might be worth a paddle.

The first real glimmer of hope doesn’t show up until Thursday the 10th of September. The mornings are showing a combined swell energy of 341 (moderate), with a 4ft swell from the east at a short period of 7 seconds. The wind is a clean cross-offshore from the ESE at 15 mph, which is a big positive. It’s listed as marginal, but for a break like Tocones (a reef setup), a clean east swell with the wind off the land is your best bet. The water temp is a warm 85°F, with a water temperature anomaly of 1°F, so it’s about average for this time of year, nothing too unusual.

The next standout is on Monday the 14th of September. Another morning session with a 4ft east swell (7 seconds) and a clean cross-off breeze. The combined energy is 290 (moderate). It’s similar to the 10th, but the swell period is a touch shorter, so it’s not quite as good. The water temp is still in that warm range, making it a comfortable wait.

The absolute best on offer, though, is the Thursday the 10th morning. That 4ft swell combined with moderate energy (341) and clean cross-off wind is the only real standout in the whole 16 days. The swell direction (E) matches the optimum swell direction for the break (N) reasonably well on a reef. It’s not a huge day, but it’s the cleanest and most consistent window we’ve got.

The rest of the period is a washout. The second week is mostly the same story: small, weak swells (mostly under 3ft) with short periods and cross-shore winds. The combined energy rarely breaks 100, and the scores are all zeros. It’s a tough run, but it doesn’t stay poor forever. If you’re chasing something, the 10th is your only real shot.

Rusty out.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 30°C on Fri afternoon, min 26°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Warm (max 31°C on Sun afternoon, min 27°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Thu
3
Friday
4
Saturday
5
Sunday
6
Monday
7
Tuesday
8
Wednesday
9
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
ENE
7
0.5
ENE
7
0.5
ENE
7
0.7
ENE
8
0.7
ENE
8
0.7
E
8
0.7
E
8
0.7
E
8
0.6
E
8
0.7
E
8
0.6
E
8
0.6
E
8
0.4
ENE
8
0.4
NNE
11
0.4
NE
12
0.6
NE
12
1.2
E
6
1.1
E
6
1.2
E
6
1.1
E
7
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
30
26
25
68
62
55
55
57
42
57
44
45
21
44
52
112
105
88
115
124
Wind (km/h)
20
E
10
SE
15
E
20
ESE
10
ESE
20
E
20
ESE
10
SE
15
ESE
20
ESE
10
SE
20
ESE
20
ESE
15
ESE
25
ESE
20
ESE
20
ESE
25
ESE
25
E
20
ESE
Wind State
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
High Tide
2:41PM0.43m
00:48AM0.25m
3:53PM0.44m
1:38AM0.24m
5:05PM0.44m
3:02AM0.23m
6:08PM0.44m
4:43AM0.24m
7:03PM0.43m
6:11AM0.27m
7:49PM0.42m
7:22AM0.31m
8:30PM0.41m
Low Tide
9:10PM0.21m
7:55AM-0.05m
10:42PM0.22m
8:59AM-0.04m
00:01AM0.21m
10:13AM-0.03m
00:52AM0.19m
11:29AM-0.02m
1:30AM0.16m
12:40PM-0.02m
2:04AM0.13m
1:44PM-0.01m
2:37AM0.09m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
thunderstorm
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:09
6:09
6:09
6:09
6:09
6:09
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:36
6:35
6:35
6:34
6:32
6:31
6:30
 mm
1
3
4
2
Temp °C
29
27
29
30
28
29
29
28
30
31
28
30
30
28
30
30
27
29
30
28
Feels °C
29
29
31
31
31
31
30
31
33
32
31
32
31
31
31
30
29
29
30
29
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Tocones Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Tocones provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tocones can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tocones surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tocones) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tocones may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

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