Tocones Surf Break

Lat Long: 18.45° N 65.96° W

Tocones Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 7 am 19 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Tocones sea temperature is
28.7° C
0.6° 

Tocones surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Tocones surf forecast from 19 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 22 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 6s period, NE swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 25 Jul, 5PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 8s period, ENE swell with 204 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 22 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 6s period with NE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tocones this week:

The surf forecast for Tocones over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Tocones in the next 16 days are 1.4m 8s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 5PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 5s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 23) at 5AM.

Wave TypeTime (AST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 2AM (Wed 22nd Jul)2.5ft (0.7m) 6s
Best Surf 2AM (Wed 22nd Jul)2.5ft (0.7m) 6s
Most Powerful 5PM (Sat 25th Jul)4.5ft (1.4m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tocones over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you: the next 16 days at Tocones are a tough stretch. We’re looking at a run of predominantly poor surf, with a lot of cross-shore wind and a short, weak period swell that just doesn’t have the juice. The water temp is sitting at a warm 84°F, which is about average for the time of year, so at least you won’t need a wetsuit.

The first solid sign of anything surfable doesn’t show up until the morning of Thursday, 23rd July. Even then, it’s a modest 3ft from the ENE with a 7-second period, and the combined energy is only moderate (104). The wind turns cross-off, so the surface will be clean, but it’s not going to blow your mind. That clean, cross-off wind sticks around through the afternoon and into the next morning, but the swell stays small and weak.

The best of a bad bunch looks like it’s shaping up for the afternoon of Saturday, 25th July. We see a bump in swell to 5ft from the ENE, with the period stretching to 8 seconds, and the combined energy jumps to a moderate 204. It’s a bit more push, but the wind is still cross-shore, so it’ll be a bit lumpy. It’s the most size you’ll get, but it’s not the cleanest.

The following Sunday, 26th July, sees a jump in combined energy to 332 in the afternoon, but the swell is still only 4ft from the E, and the cross-shore wind keeps it messy. For a spot like Tocones, exposed to the north, this ENE/E wind is just not playing ball. The optimum swell direction is from the north, and we’re not seeing that.

Honestly, there’s no standout window here. The consistent short-period swell (7-8 seconds) means the waves will be weak and crumbly, not holding any real shape. With the wind and the small size, this setup actually looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. Keep the board in the car and wait for a change in the pattern.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Warm (max 29°C on Sun morning, min 25°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Some drizzle, heaviest during Wed morning. Warm (max 29°C on Wed morning, min 26°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Sunday
19
Monday
20
Tuesday
21
Wednesday
22
Thursday
23
Friday
24
Saturday
25
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.3
ENE
7
1.2
ENE
7
1.3
ENE
7
1.1
ENE
7
1.1
ENE
7
0.9
ENE
5
0.8
ENE
7
0.8
ENE
7
0.7
NE
6
0.8
NE
7
0.9
ENE
7
0.9
ENE
7
1
ENE
7
1
ENE
7
1
ENE
7
1
ENE
7
0.9
ENE
7
1.1
ENE
8
1.2
ENE
8
1.4
ENE
8
1.2
ENE
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
137
139
141
111
111
46
56
56
30
52
73
73
104
104
104
96
82
135
159
204
151
Wind (km/h)
25
E
25
E
20
E
25
E
25
ENE
15
ENE
15
ENE
20
ENE
10
ESE
20
ESE
25
ESE
15
SE
25
ESE
25
ESE
20
ESE
25
E
25
E
20
ESE
25
E
25
E
20
ESE
Wind State
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
High Tide
1:24PM0.34m
1:18AM0.35m
2:31PM0.36m
1:56AM0.31m
3:41PM0.37m
2:36AM0.28m
4:51PM0.38m
3:21AM0.26m
5:56PM0.40m
4:13AM0.24m
6:54PM0.42m
5:11AM0.22m
7:44PM0.44m
Low Tide
7:20PM0.10m
7:49AM0.02m
8:26PM0.14m
8:35AM0.01m
9:41PM0.17m
9:23AM0.00m
11:05PM0.19m
10:14AM-0.00m
00:30AM0.20m
11:06AM-0.01m
1:42AM0.19m
11:57AM-0.01m
2:37AM0.18m
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
rain showers
clear
clear
rain showers
thunderstorm
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
thunderstorm
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:56
5:56
5:56
5:58
5:58
5:58
5:58
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
7:02
7:01
7:01
7:01
7:01
7:00
7:00
 mm
1
1
1
1
Temp °C
29
29
27
28
28
27
27
28
27
29
29
27
29
29
27
29
29
27
28
29
27
Feels °C
28
28
28
28
28
29
29
29
29
29
28
28
28
27
28
29
29
28
28
29
29
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Tocones Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Tocones provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tocones can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tocones surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tocones) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tocones may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

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