Tocones Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let me break it down for you. The waves are coming in from the ENE, but the real hero here is the Sunday afternoon session. The wind goes glassy, the swell hits 7 ft, and the period stretches out to 10 seconds. That's clean, powerful, and lined up. The water temperature is 85°, which is a bit warmer than usual for this time of year, but nothing crazy. Crowds are often a thing at Tocones, so get in early if you want a few to yourself.

The overall energy on Sunday afternoon is moderate at 813, so there's plenty of push. The swell direction is ENE, and the optimum direction for this reef is N, so it's not a perfect match, but with that glassy wind and the size, it's still the standout of the whole 16-day window. The Sunday morning session is a risk with thunderstorms and a cross-shore wind, and the swell is a bit smaller at 6 ft. Short period at 8 seconds means it's less refined.

Then Monday sees a drop. The swell chills to 5 ft in the morning and 4 ft in the afternoon, with a 9-second period. The wind is cross-off from the SE, so it's clean, but the energy is weak at 323 and 247. It's just okay.

From Tuesday onward, things go flat. The swell drops below 3 ft, the period shortens, and the energy plummets. There's a solid 10-day stretch of poor surf conditions from the 1st of September through to the 10th, with only a hint of life on the 6th and 7th, but even then the swell is small and the period is short. The 14th of September shows a little bump back to 5 ft, but the period is still only 6 seconds and the wind is cross-shore, so it's not offering much.

Honestly, if you're not out on Sunday afternoon, you're waiting a long time. The rest of the window is a write-off for paddle surfing. The combination of small swell, short period, and cross-shore winds makes it look more interesting for kite surfing than a proper surf session.

Rusty

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