Tocones Surf Break

Lat Long: 18.45° N 65.96° W

Tocones Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 1 pm 29 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Tocones sea temperature is
29.5°C
0.8° 

Tocones surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Tocones surf forecast from 29 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 30 Aug, 5PM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 10s period, ENE swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 30 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 11s period, ENE swell with 1,268 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 30 Aug, 5PM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 10s period with ENE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tocones this week:

The surf forecast for Tocones over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 30) at 5PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.4m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Tocones in the next 16 days are 2.4m 11s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 30) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 6s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 01) at 5AM.

Wave TypeTime (AST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 5PM (Sun 30th Aug)8ft (2.4m) 10s
Best Surf 5PM (Sun 30th Aug)8ft (2.4m) 10s
Most Powerful 8PM (Sun 30th Aug)8ft (2.4m) 11s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tocones over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's cookin' for Tocones over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – there's a lot of waiting around at the start. The water temp is sitting at about 85°, which is pretty normal for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The first real chance to paddle out comes Sunday afternoon, the 30th of August. That's the standout. We've got a solid 8ft swell pushing in from the ENE, and the wind is gonna swing light offshore from the SSE, just 9 mph. That's a rarity here – glassy, offshore conditions at a reef break. The combined energy is cranked up to 1197, which is strong, so this is one for the experienced crew only. It's punchy, it's clean, and it's a proper window. Tocones is a consistent reef, exposed to the north, so when it's on, it's on.

Monday the 31st offers a bit of a comedown. Swell drops to 5ft in the morning and 4ft in the afternoon, both from the ENE with a period around 9 seconds. The wind is cross-off from the ESE, so it's clean, but the energy is moderate (330 and 213). It's surfable, but you'll be working for it – tide could be a factor too.

After that, things get pretty quiet. From Tuesday the 1st of September all the way through to Saturday the 12th of September, it's mostly small, weak, and choppy. Swell heights hover between 2ft and 5ft, period is short, and the wind is almost always cross or cross-off from the east. The combined energy stays low, mostly under 200, and the scores are poor. There's a brief flicker on Sunday the 6th of September with a 5ft, 10-second ENE swell and 449 energy, but it's still marginal and the wind is cross-off. Not worth getting excited about.

The long-range window from the 9th of September onward shows a bit more size, but the wind stays messy and the period is short. It's the same story – small, crumbly waves with cross-shore chop. If you're desperate, you might find a waist-high closeout, but don't hold your breath.

So, the bottom line: Sunday the 30th of August afternoon is your one real shot. Get on it if you're an experienced surfer and you want clean, offshore conditions with some proper power. For the rest of the forecast, it's a blank run. That's just how it goes sometimes around here.

Stay salty,
Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 23mm), heaviest during Sun night. Warm (max 30°C on Sat afternoon, min 27°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 13mm), heaviest on Tue afternoon. Warm (max 30°C on Thu afternoon, min 25°C on Tue afternoon). Wind will be generally light.

Sat
29
Sunday
30
Monday
31
Tuesday
1
Wednesday
2
Thursday
3
Friday
4
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
4
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.2
ENE
7
1.3
ENE
7
1.5
ENE
7
2.4
ENE
10
1.9
ENE
10
1.4
ENE
9
1.1
ENE
9
0.9
ENE
9
0.9
ENE
9
0.7
E
8
0.7
ENE
8
0.8
E
8
0.7
ENE
8
0.7
E
4
0.6
ENE
4
0.7
E
5
0.8
ENE
5
0.9
E
6
0.8
ENE
6
0.8
ENE
7
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
147
181
222
1191
710
318
202
132
123
66
68
78
62
19
16
23
31
57
45
69
Wind (km/h)
25
E
20
ENE
20
NE
15
SSE
15
SE
15
ESE
20
ESE
15
ESE
20
ESE
5
SSE
15
E
20
E
20
E
15
ESE
20
E
20
E
20
ESE
20
ESE
20
ESE
15
ESE
Wind State
cross
cross
cross-on
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
10:30PM0.36m
10:47AM0.38m
10:55PM0.33m
11:38AM0.41m
11:20PM0.30m
12:33PM0.42m
11:46PM0.28m
1:34PM0.43m
00:14AM0.27m
2:41PM0.43m
00:48AM0.25m
3:53PM0.44m
1:38AM0.24m
Low Tide
4:16PM0.03m
4:33AM0.05m
5:03PM0.06m
5:02AM0.02m
5:53PM0.10m
5:36AM-0.01m
6:48PM0.14m
6:15AM-0.03m
7:52PM0.18m
7:01AM-0.04m
9:10PM0.21m
7:55AM-0.05m
10:42PM0.22m
clear
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thunderstorm
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thunderstorm
thunderstorm
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thunderstorm
thunderstorm
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<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:07
6:07
6:09
6:09
6:09
6:09
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:39
6:39
6:38
6:37
6:37
6:36
6:35
 mm
3
3
6
7
2
2
3
4
2
1
1
2
2
Temp °C
30
28
29
29
28
30
30
27
29
26
27
29
29
28
28
30
28
29
29
28
Feels °C
30
30
31
33
30
31
31
29
30
27
30
31
29
31
29
30
30
31
30
30
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Tocones Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Tocones provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tocones can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tocones surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tocones) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tocones may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

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