Surf Forecasts:
Tocones surf forecast from 21 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 22 Aug, 8AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 5s period, E swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 26 Aug, 2PM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 8s period, E swell with 190 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 22 Aug, 8AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 5s period with E swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tocones this week:
The surf forecast for Tocones over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 22) at 8AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 5s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 5s. Another secondary swell of 0.4m and 8s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Tocones in the next 16 days are 1.2m 8s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 26) at 2PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (AST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8AM (Sat 22nd Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 5s |
| Best Surf | 8AM (Sat 22nd Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 5s |
| Most Powerful | 2PM (Wed 26th Aug) | 4ft (1.2m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tocones over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what Tocones is shaping up to deliver over the next couple of weeks.
Straight up, it’s a pretty grim start. We’re looking at a long dry spell with no real surf on offer from now until the end of August. The wind is stuck in a cross-shore groove, mostly from the east, and the swell is small, weak, and short-period. The combined wave energy is barely registering, often under 100 (weak). It’s a frustrating stretch of small, choppy, and poor surf conditions. You’d be better off doing something else.
The first real glimmer of hope comes on Sunday, the 30th of August. The morning session is the standout of the entire forecast. The swell is picking up to 6 ft from the east, with a period of 8 seconds. The combined energy jumps right up to 571 (moderate to strong). What makes this one special is the light offshore wind out of the ESE, only 9 mph. That’s going to clean things up nicely. The water is a toasty 85°, which is about 1° warmer than normal for this time of year, so nothing too unusual but still pleasant. The break is a consistent reef, exposed to the north, and it’s a beginner-friendly spot. But keep in mind, crowds are often an issue here, so get out there early if you want a peak to yourself. This is the best on offer – a clean, punchy morning with real energy.
After that, the energy drops back off quickly. The end of the first week of September sees a few small windows of cleaner conditions, but the swell is tiny and weak. The 1st of September has a brief moment of offshore wind with a small 2 ft east swell, but it’s barely surfable. The rest of the second week is more of the same: small, weak, and not worth the paddle. The forecast is less certain out that far, but right now, there’s nothing to get excited about.
So, the bottom line is: hold out for the morning of Sunday the 30th of August. That’s your one clear shot. Everything else is a washout.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Warm (max 30°C on Fri morning, min 26°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Warm (max 31°C on Tue afternoon, min 26°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | Sunday 23 | Monday 24 | Tuesday 25 | Wednesday 26 | Thursday 27 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 9 | ENE 5 | ENE 5 | ENE 5 | ENE 8 | ENE 5 | E 5 | E 5 | E 5 | ENE 5 | ENE 5 | ENE 5 | ENE 5 | E 7 | ENE 9 | E 8 | E 8 | ENE 8 | NE 13 | NE 13 | NE 12 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
122 | 31 | 35 | 47 | 65 | 26 | 31 | 34 | 40 | 36 | 33 | 34 | 21 | 51 | 101 | 165 | 161 | 137 | 88 | 109 | 97 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 5:19PM0.39m | 3:33AM0.23m | 6:19PM0.40m | 4:46AM0.22m | 7:10PM0.41m | 5:55AM0.22m | 7:54PM0.42m | 6:53AM0.24m | 8:31PM0.42m | 7:44AM0.26m | 9:05PM0.41m | 8:30AM0.29m | 9:35PM0.40m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 9:29AM0.02m | 00:07AM0.20m | 10:28AM0.02m | 1:13AM0.19m | 11:27AM0.02m | 1:58AM0.17m | 12:22PM0.01m | 2:30AM0.16m | 1:13PM0.01m | 2:57AM0.15m | 2:01PM0.00m | 3:20AM0.13m | 2:46PM0.00m | 3:43AM0.11m | |||||||
6:05 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | |
— | 6:45 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:44 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:42 | — | |
mm | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | — | — |
Temp °C | 30 | 30 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 27 | 29 | 30 | 27 | 29 | 30 | 27 | 30 | 31 | 28 | 30 | 30 | 27 | 29 | 30 | 27 |
Feels °C | 29 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 32 | 31 | 31 | 30 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 29 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 5 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | ENE 5 | NNE 8 | NNE 7 | ENE 5 | ENE 7 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | NE 16 | NE 16 | ENE 8 | NE 13 | NE 13 | NE 12 |
10 | 24 | 23 | 40 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 32 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 11 | 101 | 10 | 40 | 137 | 88 | 109 | 93 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 9 | NNE 7 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | N 10 | E 11 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 7 | NE 7 | NE 7 | NE 6 | NNE 6 | NE 12 | NE 12 | NE 15 | N 6 | — | — |
3 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 54 | 1 | — | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 11 | NNE 8 | N 10 | N 10 | E 11 | — | E 11 | E 11 | E 10 | — | — | NE 10 | N 11 | NE 11 | NE 11 | N 10 | NE 10 | NNE 11 | — | — | — |
2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | — | — | 4 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12 | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 9 | ENE 5 | ENE 5 | E 5 | ENE 8 | ENE 5 | E 5 | E 5 | E 5 | ENE 5 | ENE 5 | — | ENE 5 | E 7 | — | E 8 | E 8 | E 5 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 6 |
122 | 31 | 35 | 47 | 65 | 26 | 31 | 34 | 40 | 36 | 33 | — | 21 | 51 | — | 165 | 161 | 43 | 69 | 91 | 97 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 338 | 519 | 347 | 53 | 338 | 355 | 696 | 338 | 347 | 338 | 338 | 336 | 420 | 71 | 6 | 53 | 841 | 420 | 53 | 841 | 82 |
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Information about the Tocones Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Tocones provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tocones can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tocones surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tocones) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tocones may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.











