Surf Forecasts:
Tocones surf forecast from 24 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 29 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 8s period, E swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 29 Aug, 2PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 7s period, E swell with 298 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 29 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 8s period with E swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tocones this week:
The surf forecast for Tocones over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 29) at 8PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 1.5m and 8s. Another secondary swell of 0.6m and 10s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Tocones in the next 16 days are 1.7m 7s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 29) at 2PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 5s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 26) at 5AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8PM (Sat 29th Aug) | 5ft (1.6m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 8PM (Sat 29th Aug) | 5ft (1.6m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 2PM (Sat 29th Aug) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tocones over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright crew, Rusty here. Let’s talk about Tocones. It’s a consistent reef spot, but we’re looking at a rough start with a long dry spell. The first few days are a total bust.
From Monday the 24th through the end of the week, we’ve got weak, short-period windswell and a cross breeze. The combined energy is stuck in the weak range (31 to 220), and the waves are small and messy. Not worth getting wet for. The water is sitting at 85°F, about average for this time of year.
We get a little pulse on Saturday the 29th. Swell hits 5ft from the ENE with a clean cross-offshore breeze. The combined energy climbs to 290, which is moderate, but the period is a short 7 seconds, so it’s going to be bumpy and lack real shape. Marginal at best.
The real standout, the one to circle on the calendar, is Tuesday the 1st of September. The afternoon sees a solid 5ft swell from the ENE, with a moderate 12-second period. The wind turns cross-offshore and the combined energy hits a strong 657. That’s proper power. It’s clean, it’s got size, and the long period means real groundswell. That’s your best bet. The morning of the 2nd of September also looks decent with 4ft clean surf, but the Tuesday afternoon is the pick of the whole forecast.
After that, it fades into smaller, less interesting surf with cross winds and poor conditions. The second week is mostly a bust.
So, save your energy for that Tuesday the 1st of September. It’s the only true standout on offer.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Warm (max 30°C on Mon afternoon, min 27°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 20mm), heaviest during Sat morning. Warm (max 30°C on Thu afternoon, min 27°C on Thu morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 24 | Tuesday 25 | Wednesday 26 | Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 5 | E 5 | E 5 | ENE 5 | ENE 5 | ENE 9 | E 8 | ENE 8 | NE 14 | NE 13 | NE 13 | ENE 8 | NE 12 | NE 11 | NE 11 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | E 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | E 15 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 25 | 28 | 31 | 35 | 27 | 26 | 35 | 87 | 74 | 111 | 108 | 92 | 89 | 80 | 82 | 218 | 222 | 247 | 127 | 78 | 106 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 7:54PM0.42m | 6:53AM0.24m | 8:31PM0.42m | 7:44AM0.26m | 9:05PM0.41m | 8:30AM0.29m | 9:35PM0.40m | 9:15AM0.33m | 10:03PM0.38m | 10:00AM0.36m | 10:30PM0.36m | 10:47AM0.38m | 10:55PM0.33m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 12:22PM0.01m | 2:30AM0.16m | 1:13PM0.01m | 2:57AM0.15m | 2:01PM0.00m | 3:20AM0.13m | 2:46PM0.00m | 3:43AM0.11m | 3:31PM0.01m | 4:06AM0.09m | 4:16PM0.03m | 4:33AM0.05m | 5:03PM0.06m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |  | |
 | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — |
 | — | 6:44 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:42 | — | — | 6:40 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:39 | — |
mm | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 4 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | 3 | 10 | 2 | 3 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 29 | 30 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 28 | 30 | 30 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 30 | 30 | 28 |
Feels °C | 30 | 30 | 31 | 30 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 30 | 31 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 8 | NNE 7 | E 5 | NNE 7 | NNE 6 | ENE 9 | E 8 | NE 16 | ENE 5 | ENE 8 | NE 13 | ENE 8 | NE 12 | NE 11 | ENE 7 | NE 10 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | NE 10 | ENE 7 |
| kJ | 6 | 5 | 31 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 35 | 39 | 33 | 92 | 108 | 81 | 89 | 80 | 82 | 69 | 222 | 178 | 127 | 33 | 75 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | E 8 | N 11 | NE 11 | NE 6 | ENE 16 | NE 12 | E 8 | NE 13 | N 6 | NE 12 | E 7 | — | NE 11 | N 13 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 10 | E 16 | E 15 |
| kJ | — | — | 5 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 25 | 5 | 33 | 111 | 1 | 92 | 28 | — | 75 | 3 | 59 | 47 | 33 | 20 | 106 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | NNE 7 | NE 10 | — | NE 11 | NE 12 | NE 10 | NE 14 | N 6 | SE 6 | — | — | — | N 15 | — | N 13 | NE 12 | NNE 12 | NNE 12 | NE 9 |
| kJ | — | — | 5 | 4 | — | 5 | 6 | 4 | 74 | 1 | 8 | — | — | — | 4 | — | 3 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 22 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 5 | E 5 | — | ENE 5 | ENE 5 | ENE 5 | E 5 | ENE 8 | — | SE 5 | ENE 8 | — | ENE 5 | ENE 6 | — | ENE 7 | — | E 8 | — | ENE 7 | — |
| kJ | 25 | 28 | — | 35 | 27 | 20 | 27 | 87 | — | 5 | 81 | — | 39 | 56 | — | 218 | — | 247 | — | 78 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 165 | 841 | 14 | 696 | 165 | 14 | 338 | 144 | 347 | 165 | 338 | 30 | 125 | 444 | 71 | 53 | 5 | 22 | 53 | 135 | 0 |
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Information about the Tocones Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Tocones provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tocones can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tocones surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tocones) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tocones may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
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