Guibia Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's be straight with you: the next 16 days at Guibia are looking pretty grim for a proper paddle. We've got a long stretch ahead with very little to get excited about.

The overall pattern is one of small, weak, short-period windswell coming from the SE and ESE, with almost constant onshore or cross-onshore winds messing up what little wave action there is. The combined swell energy is weak for most of the period, sitting well below 100, with only a few brief moments where it climbs into the moderate range. For a reef break that's exposed to the SE, which is the optimum direction, it's just not coming together.

Starting now, on Sunday afternoon, September 6th, we've got a tiny 2 ft swell from the SE with a period of just 5 seconds. The combined energy is a paltry 25, and with a 9 mph SSE wind blowing straight onshore, it's a complete write-off. This sets the tone for the next several days.

Through Monday and Tuesday of this week, it's more of the same. Small, weak swell, poor conditions, and winds that are either onshore or cross-onshore. We see the energy tick up a bit on Tuesday morning, September 8th, to 216, but the swell is still junk—4 ft of short-period SE windswell with a cross-onshore wind. It's still poor.

Wednesday, September 9th, offers a tiny glimmer. The morning shows a 6 ft swell from the ESE, the biggest we'll see, and the combined energy jumps to 586, which is a moderately strong pulse. But at 6 ft, it's getting too big for beginners, and the 7-second period is still short. The wind is a light cross-onshore from the E at 6 mph. The forecast calls it "marginal surf forecast or questionable tide conditions" and rates it a 1 out of 10. It's the best we've got, but it's not a recommendation.

After that, it's back to the doldrums. From Thursday, September 10th, all the way through to Monday, September 21st, the story is the same: small to moderate swell (3 ft to 4 ft), short periods (6 to 8 seconds), and almost always a cross-onshore wind. The combined energy mostly sits in the weak to low-moderate range. The water temperature is around 85°F, which is about average for the time of year, so at least you won't be cold while you're sitting there on a flat day.

The only real standout, if you can call it that, is that brief window on Wednesday morning, September 9th. If you're desperate for a paddle, that's your only chance to catch a wave that has a bit of push, but be prepared for a bumpy, choppy surface. The rest of the 16-day window is a blank run. For a spot like Guibia, which is already inconsistent, a long stretch of poor surf isn't uncommon. It's just one of those periods where the forecasts don't line up.

Honestly, if the wind keeps up, this setup might be more interesting for the kite surfers than for us. For now, I'd leave the board at home and check back in a few days.

Rusty.

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