Guibia Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab your board, let’s talk about what’s on the menu for Guibia over the next couple of weeks.

To be honest, the start of this stretch looks pretty flat and messy. We’ve got a few days here where it’s just not doing much, with those tiny, short-period swells struggling to get any shape. The energy is weak, in the low double digits (51-67), and the wind is mostly onshore or cross-onshore, chopping up what little there is. Water temps are running about 2°F warmer than average for this time of year at 85°, which is notable but not extreme. It’s gonna be a bit of a rough paddle for little reward.

The first real window where things start to open up a touch comes on Monday the 10th. It’s still marginal, with a 5ft ESE swell and some cross wind giving it a slight chop. The energy jumps though, hitting 467, so there’s a pulse coming, but the conditions are still keeping the quality down. That trend continues into Tuesday and Wednesday as we hover between 4ft and 4ft, with a bit more of that short-period energy in the low 100s (131-135). Not anything to write home about.

We get a bit more size on Thursday the 13th and Friday the 14th, with swells pushing 5ft to 6ft. The energy is getting stronger too, up to 229 and then 716 on Friday morning. But the wind is still mostly cross-onshore and choppy, so it's looking pretty average. There's a hint of a clean-up happening Friday morning with gentler breezes, but it's still only marginal.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Saturday the 15th morning is looking like the standout of the whole run. We get a clean 7ft ESE swell, with a decent 10-second period and light offshore NE winds. The energy is cranked at 746, and the call is for very good surf conditions. This is the one where you want to be in the water early. The afternoon, however, is a totally different story as the wind swings onshore and it jumps up to a stormy 10ft – that’s one for the experts only, if anyone.

Sunday the 16th morning is another cracker, a real repeat of Saturday. Another 7ft swell, clean conditions with the cross-offshore NE wind, and energy at 702. It’s got that same good vibe. After that, Monday the 17th morning is still clean but the swell drops back to a mediocre 4ft.

The following week is a bit more all over the place. Tuesday the 18th morning has a funky long-period (12s) ESE swell at 4ft with clean offshore winds, energy around 343, which could be interesting for a reef setup like Guibia, but it's not huge. Then it gets messy again with more onshore winds and bigger, junky swells through the middle of the week. By the time we get to the 22nd and 23rd, it fades back into the weak, small, and choppy stuff from the start.

So, bottom line: forget this weekend and the start of next week. Your two real windows of opportunity are the mornings of Saturday the 15th and Sunday the 16th. They’re your best bet for clean, powerful surf on this reef. Don’t sleep on it because it doesn’t look like it’ll last long.

Catch you in the water.

Rusty

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