Guibia Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let me break down the surf picture for you.

Look, I’ve got to be straight with you – the next couple of weeks are looking pretty grim for Guibia. The water is sitting at 84°, which is about normal for this time of year, so at least it’s warm. But the action? It’s mostly missing. We’ve got a long, dry spell ahead.

For the first several days, from Wednesday the 29th of July right through the weekend and into the start of the next week, it’s just one poor surf report after another. The swell is tiny, mostly around 2ft to 5ft, and coming from the SE or ESE. The real killer is the wind – it’s stubbornly cross-onshore, from the SE or ESE, just chopping everything up. The combined wave energy is weak, barely cracking 100 (25 to 257) for most of that period. It’s basically a write-off for a paddle. The setup is so wind-affected and poor that it honestly looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

We do finally see a small glimmer on the morning of Wednesday the 5th of August. The swell drops to a clean 4ft from the SE, and the wind swings around to a light NE at 6 mph, giving us a cross-offshore flow. That’s the light at the end of the tunnel. The combined energy is still low at 116, but the conditions will be clean. It’s a surfable wave, but it’s very ordinary. It’s a one-hit wonder, though, because the next day the wind goes back to junk.

Then there’s a big spike in energy around the 7th and 8th of August. On the morning of Saturday the 8th, we see a 6ft swell from the ESE with a 7-second period. The combined energy jumps to 719 (moderate), and the wind is light easterly at 6 mph, creating a cross-shore flow. That’s the biggest swell of the whole run, but it’s a steep, short-period, east-southeast swell. At 6ft, it’s getting a bit much for beginners. The conditions are still marginal, but it’s the closest thing to a standout we’ve got. The following Monday morning, the 10th of August, also has a decent 6ft ESE swell with 517 energy and a light cross-shore ENE wind, which is another potentially rideable window.

The outlook is frustrating. A long stretch of nothing, then a couple of brief, marginal windows where the wind might line up. The forecasts can change, and it doesn’t usually stay this poor for long, but for now, you’re mostly waiting.

Rusty.

Read more