Guibia Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.

Look, I’ll be straight with you—this run is a tough one. For the next couple of weeks, the only reef on the menu is Guibia, and it’s a spot that’s known for being inconsistent, so the lack of good options isn’t a surprise. The real bummer is that for the first several days, we’re just chasing scraps. There’s some swell around, but the wind is messy—cross-onshore or onshore for the most part—and it’s keeping the waves choppy and uninviting. The water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing out of the ordinary.

There is a small window that’s worth your time, though. Tuesday, August 11th morning is your only real play in the first week. We’ve got a 4ft ESE swell, period is short at 7 seconds, but the wind is cross-off from the NE at 9 mph, making for clean conditions. The combined energy is weak at 108, so don’t expect much grunt, but it’s the cleanest you’ll see. This is the best of the lot.

After that, it’s a grim stretch. From Tuesday afternoon all the way through to Saturday August 16th morning, it’s mostly poor surf—cross-onshore winds, choppy water, and only small, weak swells. The swell size bumps up a bit on Thursday 13th and Friday 14th, hitting 5ft and 7ft, but the wind is either moderate or strong cross-onshore, turning the ocean into a mess. That Friday morning with the 7ft ESE swell and cross wind? It’s called “marginal” but honestly, with that moderate cross-chop, it’s more of a kite-surfing show than paddle surf.

Saturday morning, August 16th is another brief glimmer: a 4ft ESE swell, cross-off wind from the NE at 9 mph, and clean conditions. The wave energy is moderate at 237. It’s not world-class, but it’s the most fun you’ll have in the first two weeks. The break itself is a reef, so the short period (8 secs) won’t be as much of an issue.

Then we hit another long gap. From Sunday 17th morning right through to Monday August 24th morning, it’s a washout. Tiny 2ft to 4ft swells, onshore or cross-onshore wind, and barely any energy. The only exception is Monday August 24th afternoon, where a 4ft SE swell with a cross-off wind from the NNE at 6 mph gives clean but weak surf.

Right at the tail end, Wednesday August 26th morning we get a bit of pulse: a 6ft ESE swell with 8-second period and light cross wind. The combined energy jumps to 734 (strong wave energy), but it’s still called “marginal.” For a reef, that period is a bit short, and the wind is light but cross, so it’ll have some bump. It’s promising, but still a question mark.

Bottom line: If you’re paddling out, aim for Tuesday 11th morning or Saturday 16th morning at Guibia. The rest is for the wind sports crew.

Rusty.

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