Guibia Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's get into it.

Look, I'm not gonna sugarcoat it for Guibia. We're looking at a long, drawn-out stretch of pretty ordinary conditions right through the middle of July. The wind is mostly cross or cross-onshore, and it's going to keep things choppy and messy most days. The wait for something decent is real.

The window opens up a little on the morning of Tuesday the 14th. For the first time in a while, we get a light, cross-offshore breeze from the NE at 6 mph. The swell will be around 5 ft from the ESE, but it's a short period windswell at 7 seconds, so the wave shapes won't be the prettiest. The water temp is sitting at a pretty normal 84°, about average for this time of year. The combined swell energy (337) is moderate, so there's some push but not a ton of power. You'll get a few clean walls thanks to that offshore wind, but don't expect perfection. The break itself is a reef, so it'll handle that shorter period swell better than a beach would.

After that brief window, it's right back into the chop. The next real glimmer of hope doesn't come until the morning of Saturday the 18th. The swell is picking up to 6 ft from the ESE – that’s the most size we’ve seen by a long stretch. The combined energy hits 774, which is strong. But here’s the rub: it’s coming with a light cross-onshore breeze from the E at 6 mph, and the forecast is for some risk of thunderstorms. This one is for the experienced crew only; 6 ft over a reef with that much energy can get powerful.

Looking further out, the morning of Tuesday the 21st gives us another tiny chance. A 3 ft, ESE swell with a cross-offshore breeze from the NNE. The report says "surfable" and the conditions are clean, but that's a tiny amount of water with energy (108) that’s barely registering. It’s not worth the paddle unless you’re desperate.

Honestly, for this 16-day run at Guibia, the standouts are few. The Tuesday morning, July 14th offers the cleanest conditions, and the Saturday morning, July 18th has the most size and grunt, but with that wind it’s a wildcard. Everything else is a write-off with poor conditions. If you're a kite surfer, that steady cross-onshore wind on the bigger days will look a whole lot more interesting than it does for the rest of us.

Stay patient, and check back in case something changes.

Rusty.

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