Guibia Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s coming up for us over the next couple of weeks. We’ll be looking at Guibia, a reef setup that’s exposed to the SE. Straight up, the water temp is sitting at 85°F, which is about 2°F warmer than usual for this time of year—so it’s a touch above average, nothing crazy, but you’ll notice it’s a bit toastier than normal.

Now, the honest truth is the 16-day window starts off with a real bummer. From Monday the 3rd right through to about the middle of the month, it’s a long, dry spell with no surf worth paddling out for. The combined energy of the swells is weak, mostly under 100 (85 on that first Monday), and the period is short, around 7 seconds. That’s just windswell junk, and with the wind blowing onshore or cross-onshore most of the time, it’s messy. The morning of the 4th shows a bit of a bump in energy (223) and a light cross breeze, but it’s still rated as marginal. Too much chop, not enough push.

We’re looking at a real gap of about 12 days before things get slightly more interesting. The first real standout appears around the morning of Saturday the 15th. The swell picks up to 6ft from the ESE with a period of 9 seconds, and the combined energy jumps to 419—that’s moderate wave energy. The wind is a gentle cross-shore, which is a major positive because it’ll keep the surface cleaner than what we’ve seen. But be warned: at 6ft, it’s getting a bit too big for beginners, and the period is still under 10 seconds, so it’s not a proper groundswell. Still, for a reef like Guibia, that’s the best we’ve got in the whole outlook.

The morning of Sunday the 16th also offers a 5ft swell from the ESE with a period of 8 seconds, and a light cross breeze again. The energy is solid (322), and it’s a similar story—cleaner conditions, but still not perfect. The afternoon of the 16th sees a bigger jump in energy (727) with 6ft swell, but the wind shifts cross-onshore, so it’ll get choppy. Monday morning the 17th keeps the 5ft swell with a light cross wind, so it’s a repeat of the same clean-ish window.

Truth be told, there’s nothing here that’s a true highlight. The best on offer is the morning of the 15th and the mornings of the 16th and 17th, where you get a bit of size and a light cross breeze. But for a reef that’s inconsistent, and with the swell direction coming from the ESE (not the optimum SE), it’s not going to be firing. The crowds are marked as “often,” so expect company if you do go out. The whole setup feels more like a waiting game than a go-to spot this fortnight.

Rusty, signing off.

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