Guibia Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright mates, Rusty here. Let’s break down the next couple of weeks at Guibia.

Honestly, it’s a tough stretch for the next 16 days. The surf quality is looking pretty ordinary for most of it. The first real chance to get wet doesn’t come until the 12th of September, and even then, it’s only a maybe. The water temp is around 86°F, which is about 2°F warmer than usual, so it’s a touch warm, but nothing crazy.

For the first week, it’s a whole lot of nothing. From Monday the 7th right through to Friday the 11th, the conditions are just poor. The wind is mostly a cross-onshore, the swell is small and weak, and the energy is low. The combined energy is sitting at 36 on the 7th, and it only climbs to a pretty weak 432 by the 11th. The swell period is a short 6-8 seconds, so it’s not going to have any punch. It’s not worth paddling out for this.

The first real glimmer of hope shows up on the morning of Saturday the 12th of September. The swell bumps up to 6ft from the ESE with a period of 8 seconds. The combined energy hits 546, which is moderate, but it’s still a cross-onshore wind. The report says "marginal surf forecast," so it’s a maybe, but not a standout. The wind is light, so it won’t be too messy, but it’s not your classic clean setup.

The best bet in this whole 16-day window looks like Sunday the 13th of September. Early morning, the wind goes light and cross-offshore from the NE. That’s the cleanest we’ll see. The swell is 4ft from the ESE at 8 seconds, combined energy 154. It’s not huge, but it’s surfable and the conditions will be clean. The report says "surfable waves but very ordinary conditions," but with that light cross-offshore, it’s the pick of the bunch. Just be aware that crowds are often at Guibia, so don’t expect solitude.

After that, the rest of the second week into the 22nd of September looks like a bust. The swell drops back under 3ft, the wind is generally on or cross-on, and the combined energy is weak, mostly in the 50-100 range. There’s a brief moment on the 15th with a clean cross-offshore wind, but the swell is only 3ft with a short period, so it’s a long shot.

So, to wrap it up: if you’re desperate, aim for the early morning of the 13th of September. It’s the only time the wind truly cooperates. Otherwise, keep your expectations low, and maybe leave the board at home. The surf just isn’t cooperating for the foreseeable future.

Rusty.

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