Guibia Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, listen up. Let's talk about what's happening in the water. It's gonna be a frustrating run of days, to be honest. We've got some swell on the horizon, but the wind just won't cooperate most of the time. There are a few cracks in the weather where it might get good, so let's get into it.

Right now, this Sunday afternoon, we got waves around 4ft from the southeast with a short 8-second period. The combined energy is weak at (140). Water temp is about 84°, pretty normal. The problem is the southeast wind blowing at 15 km/h, making it cross-onshore and choppy. It's not a good time.

Monday and Tuesday are going to be a wash. The swell picks up a bit, especially Monday morning hitting 6ft with combined energy hitting (571), which is a moderate amount of energy, but the wind is either cross-onshore or straight cross, leaving it messy and poor. Tuesday morning has a light cross-shore breeze at 10 km/h, which is the cleanest wind of the first week, but the waves are still just marginal. For the first week, you're mostly just watching the forecast.

Now, into the second week, a couple of days stand out. The one that has my attention is Saturday the 11th in the morning. The swell is a solid 6ft from the southeast with a 9-second period, and the combined energy is (537). But the big win is the wind. We've got an east wind at 10 km/h coming cross, so the surface will be clean with only a few ripples. That's the best wind of the entire forecast. Guibia is a reef break, and even though it's inconsistent, if you get a little clean wind on it, it can give you a fun wave. This is your best session of the forecast, but it's a small window. Think "quiet, glassy morning with a chance of a fun left."

Sunday the 12th morning is another option. Again, a light cross-shore wind from the east-northeast at 10 km/h, with waves around 6ft from the east-southeast. The combined energy is (741), so there's a bit more power behind it, and the wind is clean. Both these mornings are marginal, not epic, but they're the only ones that aren't a total loss.

After that, from the 13th onward, the swell drops and the cross-onshore wind comes back. It's poor conditions through to the 19th. There's a tiny uptick on the 20th with 5ft swell and combined energy at (435), but with a light cross-shore wind, it's still just a marginal call. The window is tight, but if you really need to get wet, the mornings of the 11th and 12th of July are your only real hope.

So, bottom line: the next week is pretty grim. Sunday the 11th morning is the best of a bad bunch. Go in with low expectations and a small board. It's not going to be pumping, but it's the best we've got.

Rusty.

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