Guibia Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. The next 16 days are a bit of a mixed bag for us here. We’ve got a clear standout right at the start of the window, but after that, things get real quiet for a long stretch. Looking at the whole picture, the first few days are where you want to point the car. There’s a real nice push of energy coming in, and the winds are going to be in our favor. That’s the window to make the most of it. After that, we’re looking at a long, flat spell that’ll test your patience. So, let’s break it down.

The standout is Saturday morning, August 15th at Guibia. This is the moment. We’ve got a solid 7ft of east swell with an 8-second period, and the combined energy is at a moderate 807. The wind is a light cross-offshore breeze, which is going to keep that reef break looking clean and lined up. This is as good as it gets for the whole period, so be on it. A 7ft wave at Guibia is a proper session, not for the faint of heart, but manageable for the intermediate crew. Later that afternoon, the swell stays similar but the wind picks up and goes a bit more cross-offshore, making it a bit bumpier, and the forecast isn't as favorable.

That Sunday, August 16th, there’s still some energy in the water, but the wind goes cross-shore and there’s a risk of thunderstorms. The swell eases off to around 8ft in the morning, but the conditions are mushier, so it’s not worth chasing.

Now, here’s where things go quiet. From Monday, August 17th onward, it’s a long, drawn-out fade. The swell drops day by day, the wind stays onshore or cross-onshore for most of it, and we’re looking at a good week or more of nothing worth paddling out for. The wave heights drop below 3ft, the periods get short, and the energy levels are weak, with values in the 30s to 90s range. There's a brief blip on Saturday the 22nd where it tries to pick up a touch to 4-4ft, but the wind goes against us, making it choppy and uninviting. It's just a tease.

The only other time the wind looks like it might turn off is the morning of Tuesday, August 25th, and again on Saturday, August 29th, but by then, the swell is gone entirely, with tiny, weak waves that won't do anything. So, it's a classic case of "get it while you can." The forecast tells me there are no good surf options for a long stretch after that initial pulse. But that's how it goes sometimes. It won't stay this flat forever; the ocean always finds its rhythm again, and forecasts can change.

For the first standout session, the water temperature is about average for this time of year, so no surprises in the lineup. And just to be clear, Guibia is an inconsistent spot, so when it lines up like that, you make the most of it. Sundays and Saturdays will be busy, so expect some company in the water for that morning session on the 15th.

So, make your plans for Saturday morning. Don't sleep on it. After that, you might be doing some dry-dock repair work for a while.

Rusty.

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