Guibia Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s on, right now through the next couple of weeks.

First off, I gotta be straight with you – the surf across the whole region is going through a lean spell. There are no top-shelf days here. The set-up is a reef break called Guibia. It’s exposed to the swell, but it’s inconsistent. The water temp is sitting at 84°, which is about 1° warmer than usual for this time of year – nothing crazy, just a touch above average.

Right now, and for most of the next week, the story is the same: we’ve got a moderate east-southeast swell around 4 to 8 ft, but it’s short-period stuff, only about 8 seconds. That means weaker, bumpier waves. The wind is mostly a cross or cross-onshore from the east and southeast, so it stays pretty choppy. The combined swell energy (215) is low to moderate and it just doesn’t line up. Tuesday and Wednesday mornings might look like they have something, but the conditions are marginal with a risk of thunderstorms and a little bit of wind chop. Honestly, the scores are low.

Even by Thursday the 9th and Friday the 10th, when the swell pushes up to 7 ft and 8 ft, the energy (914 and 1612) gets to a moderate-to-strong range, but that short period means it’s not going to offer much shape. The wind stays onshore or cross-onshore, so it’s messy. Friday morning on the 10th is the best you’ll see in that first week – 8 ft from the ESE at 9 seconds – but it’s still not clean.

After the 10th, the swell drops back and keeps fading through the middle of the month. There’s a real gap from around the 13th through to the 20th where nothing is worth paddling out for. The waves stay under 5 ft, the period drops to 7 seconds, and the wind keeps it choppy.

There is one small window worth noting: Wednesday morning, July 22. That’s over two weeks away, so keep the salt in your veins, but it’s the only session that looks cleaner. You’ll get a 5 ft ESE swell with a cross-offshore breeze from the NE. That’s the cleanest wind of the whole outlook (226 combined energy), and it’s the only time you get that "clean" label on the waves. The break is inconsistent, so you’ll need patience, but if you’re out there early, it could be a fun little session with a few decent ones.

Bottom line: don’t hold your breath for the next week or so. The 22nd is your best shot, and even then it’s not a standout. For now, you’re better off doing something else with your time.

Rusty.

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