Guibia Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on offer for the coming weeks.

To be straight with you, the outlook for Guibia is a real mixed bag, and honestly, it's mostly a waiting game. The first week and a half is pretty grim, with a lot of onshore or cross-onshore wind and weak, choppy conditions. There's a lot of junk to sift through before we see anything decent.

Looking at the start, from Saturday the 8th right through to the end of the week, it's a write-off. We're dealing with a persistent ESE to SE wind that's just ruining the surface. The swell is small and weak, mostly under 5 ft, with periods barely hitting 6-7 seconds. The combined energy is low, bouncing around between 60 and 160 (weak to moderate), so there's just no power in the water. It's blown out and choppy. You'd be better off doing something else.

Then we hit the weekend of the 10th and 11th. Monday the 10th morning sees a slight bump to 5 ft from the ESE, but it's still a short period (7s) and the wind is cross. The energy picks up a bit to 394 (moderate), but it's still only rated as marginal. It's not the clean, lined-up surf we're after.

The next real glimmer comes on Friday the 14th. The morning shows a pulse of 6 ft from the ESE, with a period of 8s. The combined energy jumps to 700 (moderate to strong), and we've got a light cross-shore breeze from the ENE. The wind is light, but it's still cross-shore, so it won't be glassy. Still, it's a step up and the best we've seen in a while.

Now, the one true standout in this whole 16-day window is Sunday the 16th. The morning looks magic. We've got a clean 5 ft ESE swell, with a period of 8s, but the key is the wind. It's a light 9 mph NE breeze, coming from a cross-offshore direction. That's the kind of wind that will groom the surface, making it smooth and lined up. The combined energy sits at 284 (moderate). For a reef break like Guibia, that is a proper window of clean surf. It's not huge, but it will be quality. The break is inconsistent, so don't expect endless waves, but when they come, they'll be worth it. And with the water temp being about average for this time of year, a dawn session is your best bet.

Monday the 17th morning also looks promising, with a similar setup: 4 ft from the E, a light NNE cross-offshore breeze, and clean conditions. The energy is 291 (moderate). It's a very similar offering to the day before, so if you miss Sunday, Monday morning is your backup.

After that, it drops off again into weak, choppy junk for the rest of the second week. The 15th of August has a bigger 8 ft swell from the ESE, but with a strong 16 mph cross-shore wind, it will be a messy, blown-out mess. That's more of a kite-surfing day than a paddle-surfing day.

So, to wrap it up: the first week is a washout. The only real window is Sunday the 16th and Monday the 17th of August, with clean, offshore winds and rideable swell. Get on it if you can.

Rusty.

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