Guibia Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Gotta be straight with you – the outlook for Guibia over the next 16 days is a tough one. We're looking at a long, dry spell with hardly a wave worth paddling for. The first real sniff of anything comes on the morning of the 9th of September, but even then it's a real struggle.

We start off with days of nothing. From Wednesday the 2nd all the way through Tuesday the 8th, it's flat or just plain messy. Tiny swell, mostly around 2ft to 4ft, with a short, weak period of 6 to 7 seconds. The combined energy is weak, barely cracking 100 (77 to 112). The wind is a constant problem, blowing cross-onshore or onshore, killing any chance of a clean line. It's basically a write-off – don't bother paddling out.

The first tiny glimmer of hope shows up on the morning of Wednesday the 9th. The swell bumps up to 4ft from the ESE, with a period of 7 seconds. The combined energy jumps to 256 (moderate), which is at least something. The wind is still light and cross-onshore, but it's the first time the forecast even mentions "marginal surf." That's the best we've got, but it's still a real gamble. Thursday the 10th is similar, with 4ft ESE swell and 193 energy, but again, the wind is not your friend.

The only other slight peak comes on the morning of Friday the 11th of September. The swell hits 5ft from the ESE, and the combined energy spikes to 399 (moderate). The period is still a short 7 seconds, so it'll be a bit lumpy. The wind is light and cross-onshore, so it's not clean, but if you're desperate, there might be a few grovelly, close-out walls. The water temp is a warm 85°F, which is about average for this time of year, so at least you won't be cold while you're sitting there waiting.

After that, it fades back into the same old story. The swell drops back down, the energy falls off, and the onshore wind returns. The morning of Monday the 14th and Tuesday the 15th actually see a shift to a light cross-offshore breeze from the NNE and NE, which would make the ocean look clean, but the swell is tiny – only 3ft and 2ft respectively. It's a tease.

So, if I had to call out a standout, it's the morning of the 11th of September. That's your best bet, but it's a poor bet. The swell is the biggest (5ft) and the energy is the highest (399), but it's still a short-period, wind-affected mess at a reef break that's exposed to the SE. For a spot that's inconsistent, this is a painful run. Don't expect much. This is a place where a blank run like this is not unusual.

Rusty.

Read more