Surf Break

Lat Long: 17.90° N 76.19° W

The Ranch Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 12 am 16 Oct 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's The Ranch sea temperature is
29.6°C
0.8° 

The Ranch surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


The Ranch surf forecast from 16 Oct 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 21 Oct, 1AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 7s period, ESE swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 16 Oct, 4PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 7s period, ESE swell with 242 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 21 Oct, 1AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 7s period with ESE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Ranch this week:

The surf forecast for The Ranch over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Oct 21) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 5s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at The Ranch in the next 16 days are 1.5m 7s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Oct 16) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 6s period and expected on Saturday (Oct 17) at 1AM.

Wave TypeTime (EST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1AM (Wed 21st Oct)2.5ft (0.8m) 7s
Best Surf 1AM (Wed 21st Oct)2.5ft (0.8m) 7s
Most Powerful 4PM (Fri 16th Oct)5ft (1.5m) 7s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Ranch over the next 16 days.


Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Warm (max 29°C on Fri afternoon, min 27°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Sun night, min 26°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Friday
16
Saturday
17
Sunday
18
Monday
19
Tuesday
20
Wednesday
21
Thursday
22
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.3
ESE
7
1.5
ESE
7
1.4
ESE
8
1.3
ESE
7
1.3
ESE
7
1.3
ESE
7
1.1
ESE
7
1.1
ESE
7
1.1
ESE
7
1
ESE
7
1.1
ESE
7
1
ESE
7
0.9
ESE
7
0.9
SE
7
0.8
ESE
7
0.7
SE
7
0.7
SE
7
0.6
SE
6
0.8
ESE
6
0.9
ESE
6
1.3
ESE
6
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
178
242
213
169
160
160
124
117
113
102
124
99
81
67
57
46
44
32
51
60
130
Wind (km/h)
20
ESE
20
E
15
E
15
ENE
15
ESE
10
E
15
E
20
ESE
10
ESE
15
E
15
E
10
E
10
ENE
10
E
0
ESE
10
ENE
15
E
5
ESE
15
E
20
E
15
E
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
glassy
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
High Tide
1:35PM0.27m
2:49PM0.27m
3:14AM0.13m
3:50PM0.28m
4:32AM0.16m
4:36PM0.29m
5:12AM0.20m
5:13PM0.30m
5:49AM0.25m
5:47PM0.30m
6:25AM0.29m
6:19PM0.29m
Low Tide
4:46AM0.07m
5:43AM0.09m
11:26PM0.12m
7:29AM0.11m
11:26PM0.12m
9:17AM0.12m
11:37PM0.11m
10:33AM0.12m
11:51PM0.11m
11:32AM0.12m
00:10AM0.09m
12:25PM0.11m
00:33AM0.07m
thunderstorm
clear
rain showers
thunderstorm
clear
clear
thunderstorm
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:58
—
—
5:58
—
—
5:58
—
—
5:58
—
—
5:58
—
—
5:58
—
—
6:00
—
—
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
—
5:42
—
—
5:40
—
—
5:39
—
—
5:39
—
—
5:38
—
—
5:37
—
—
5:37
—
 mm
2
—
1
1
—
—
1
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
1
2
6
Temp °C
28
29
28
29
28
28
28
28
28
28
28
27
28
28
27
28
28
27
28
27
27
Feels °C
30
31
31
31
31
32
30
30
31
31
31
30
31
32
31
31
30
30
30
29
28
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Quick surf report for The Ranch:

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Information about the The Ranch Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for The Ranch provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Ranch can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Ranch surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Ranch) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Ranch may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Jamaica? If you are looking for accommodation near The Ranch, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Jamaica, consider staying in Rocky Point which is 9 km (6 miles) away. Other places in and around Jamaica where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Port Antonio which is 35 km (22 miles) away, New Kingston, Kingston and Half Way Tree.

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