Surf Forecasts:
Copa (Bull Bay) surf forecast from 1 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 6 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 9s period, ESE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 8 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 9s period, ESE swell with 982 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 4 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 8s period with ESE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Copa (Bull Bay) this week:
The surf forecast for Copa (Bull Bay) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 04) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 8s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Copa (Bull Bay) in the next 16 days are 2.5m 9s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 08) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.3m 7s period and expected on Saturday (Aug 01) at 4PM.
| Wave Type | Time (EST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Tue 4th Aug) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Thu 6th Aug) | 7ft (2.2m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Sat 8th Aug) | 8ft (2.5m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Copa (Bull Bay) over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Well, folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you about Copa (Bull Bay). This is a reef break that’s exposed to SSE swell, and it’s fairly consistent. But the outlook over the next 16 days is a tough one. The wind is blowing from the east and southeast, cross-onshore, nearly every day, and that’s keeping things choppy and messy. The swell is coming from the ESE, not the ideal SSE direction, with short periods around 8 seconds, so it’s lacking that real punch. The water temp is about average for the time of year, nothing unusual.
We start off with a long gap—no good surf on offer at all through the first week. From Saturday, August 1st, right through to Friday, August 7th, it’s all poor surf conditions with scores of zero. The swell hangs around 5 ft to 8 ft, but with that constant cross-onshore wind, it’s just a bumpy mess. The combined energy is weak to moderate, but it doesn’t matter when the wind is ruining it.
Things start to look a little more interesting on Saturday, August 8th, in the morning. We get a slight drop in wind to a light breeze, and the swell picks up to 8 ft from the ESE with a period of 9 seconds. The combined energy is strong, and the conditions are described as marginal. It’s not clean, but it’s the closest we get to a window. The rest of that day and the following week, it’s back to poor surf with cross-onshore winds, though the swell stays solid, reaching 8 ft and even 10 ft by Wednesday, August 12th, with energy in the thousands. But again, the wind is the enemy.
The best bet in this whole 16-day stretch? I’d have to point to Saturday morning, August 8th. That’s where the swell is biggest at 8 ft, the energy is strong, and the wind is light enough to give you a chance at something rideable, even if it’s still cross-onshore. The swell direction is ESE, which isn’t the optimum SSE, but with a reef break like Copa, there’s hope. However, crowds are often here, so you won’t be alone. And at 8 ft, it’s getting into the territory where beginners might struggle, but it’s still manageable for intermediates.
After that, the forecast gets grim again. The final day, Sunday, August 16th, shows a morning with 8 ft swell and high energy, but it’s still marginal with moderate cross-onshore winds. So, honestly, if you’re a kitesurfer, the setup might be more interesting than for paddle surfing, with all that wind and swell.
Keep an eye on the forecasts, but for now, it’s a waiting game. This is Rusty, signing off.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 33°C on Sun morning, min 25°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 34°C on Wed morning, min 25°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 8 | ESE 9 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 9 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 294 | 315 | 336 | 328 | 475 | 636 | 488 | 512 | 433 | 432 | 454 | 477 | 537 | 653 | 764 | 500 | 477 | 489 | 547 | 738 | 982 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 10:36AM0.28m | 10:52PM0.33m | 11:26AM0.29m | 11:20PM0.31m | 12:25PM0.29m | 11:53PM0.27m | 1:38PM0.30m | 00:34AM0.24m | 3:03PM0.31m | 1:35AM0.21m | 4:26PM0.32m | 3:08AM0.19m | 5:35PM0.35m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 4:49AM0.11m | 4:27PM0.11m | 5:18AM0.10m | 5:15PM0.14m | 5:52AM0.09m | 6:16PM0.16m | 6:34AM0.08m | 7:42PM0.18m | 7:27AM0.07m | 9:42PM0.18m | 8:34AM0.05m | 11:30PM0.16m | 9:49AM0.04m | 00:35AM0.13m | |||||||
 | |  | | |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — |
 | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:38 | — | — | 6:38 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 32 | 31 | 27 | 33 | 32 | 27 | 33 | 32 | 27 | 33 | 32 | 27 | 34 | 33 | 27 | 32 | 32 | 27 | 34 | 33 | 27 |
Feels °C | 34 | 31 | 30 | 33 | 32 | 29 | 33 | 33 | 30 | 33 | 33 | 30 | 33 | 33 | 31 | 33 | 33 | 30 | 33 | 32 | 30 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 8 | NE 7 | ESE 8 | — | — | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | — | ESE 8 | — | — | ESE 8 | — | — | ESE 9 | — | ESE 8 | ESE 9 | — | — | ESE 9 |
| kJ | 294 | 2 | 336 | — | — | 500 | 488 | — | 433 | — | — | 477 | — | — | 618 | — | 477 | 489 | — | — | 820 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NE 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NE 6 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | ESE 8 | — | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | — | ESE 8 | NE 7 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | — | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | — | — | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 9 |
| kJ | — | 315 | — | 328 | 475 | 636 | — | 512 | 2 | 432 | 454 | — | 537 | 653 | 764 | 500 | — | — | 547 | 738 | 982 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 804 | 440 | 32 | 785 | 440 | 89 | 810 | 665 | 0 | 785 | 440 | 32 | 785 | 489 | 0 | 791 | 440 | 32 | 830 | 660 | 1039 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Jamaica | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Jamaica | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Copa (Bull Bay) Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Copa (Bull Bay) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Copa (Bull Bay) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Copa (Bull Bay) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Copa (Bull Bay)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Copa (Bull Bay) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Copa (Bull Bay) is 12 km (7 miles) from the city of Kingston. If you plan a holiday in Jamaica, look for hotels and other accommodation in Kingston. Kingston has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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