Kimmeridge Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Gutted, folks. I’ve been staring at the charts for the next stretch, and it’s a tough one. We’ve got a solid 16 days on the books, but there’s a whole lot of nothing in that first week. The swell is just starved. There’s one little pulse that shows up around August 7th, but even that’s a bit of a tease. It’s not until around the 14th and 15th that we finally see something that looks like a real wave, but it’s a long way off, so keep the expectations in check.

The early days, from now through the 6th, are looking pretty grim. The energy in the water is almost non-existent, with combined energies mostly in the single digits and teens. We’re talking knee-high slop at best, and the wind’s all over the place. Most mornings are clean, but there’s no push to them. It’s a long stretch of nothing worth paddling out for.

The first bit of hope comes on the morning of the 7th of August. Overnight, some easterly energy shows up and bumps the swell to 5ft. That’s the most size we’ve seen all week. It’s still a mess, though, with a short period of 6 seconds and the wind swinging offshore from the north, making it look clean from the beach but it’s not going to have any power. It’s got a combined energy of 184, which is a sign of life, but it’s just one of those "surfable but very ordinary" deals. If you’re desperate, you might get a few grovelly ones, but it’s not the one to write home about.

Then we drop right back off again. From the 8th through the 13th, it’s back to tiny, weak surf. A bit of a bump around the 9th with 2ft, but the period is still poor, and the wind is mostly on it. It’s a lot of waiting, a lot of checking the buoy, and not a lot of riding. The energy is weak, mostly in the double digits, and it’s just not offering anything.

Now, looking further out, there’s a little more hope as we get toward the end of the window. Around the 14th and 15th, we start to see some east in the swell again, with heights flirting with the 2ft to 3ft mark. The period is still short, around 4-5 seconds, so it’s not going to be a groundswell classic. The wind is offshore or cross-off, which will keep the surface clean, and the combined energy gets up to 43, which at least feels like there’s something moving. Still, it’s a small wave, and for a spot like Kimmeridge Bay, which is a reef and pretty exposed to the southwest, this easterly stuff is a bit out of its comfort zone. It might have a few workable corners, but it’s hardly going to be firing.

Honestly, there’s no standout session in this run. If you forced me to pick the best of a bad bunch, that morning of the 7th of August is the only real window with any real size, but it’s going to be soft. And the 14th and 15th look like the cleanest options, but they’re small. This is a classic summer flat spell for the UK. The water’s about average for the time of year, so no surprises there. Just keep the board waxed and be ready to pounce if something unexpected shows up. Forecasts change, and it’s a spot that’s very consistent with its inconsistency, but a blank run like this isn’t unheard of.

Anyway, that’s the long and short of it. It’s a waiting game. Keep the faith.

Rusty.

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