Kimmeridge Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let's have a look at the stretch ahead for Kimmeridge Bay. I'll be honest with you, straight up: it's a tough watch for the next couple of weeks. The numbers are painting a picture of a long, quiet spell, and the wind is rarely playing ball. There are no standout days where everything clicks, so we're talking about a real patience test.

We're looking at a massive gap here. The first day with anything worth a mention doesn't arrive until Tuesday the 22nd of July, and even then, it’s not a full green light. From now until then, it’s pretty much flat or blown out. The swell energy is almost non-existent, often sitting at just 2 or 3 (combined energy of all swells directed here), with the wind mostly cross or onshore, ruining any tiny bump that might show up. It’s a desert period for surfers.

Kimmeridge Bay (a reef setup) is usually fairly exposed to a SW swell, which is what they recommend. But the wind is our biggest enemy. Early on, like Friday the 17th, we get a brief glimpse of something: a tiny 1ft swell from the SW with a clean, offshore N wind in the morning. It’s clean, but the energy is pitiful (8). It's a session for a longboard if you're desperate, but that's about the best the first week has to offer. The rest of that week is a write-off.

Finally, on the morning of Tuesday the 22nd of July, we get a moment of hope. The wind goes glassy, dead calm. It's a clear morning. We’ve got a tiny 2ft swell from the E, with a short period of 4 seconds. The energy is still weak (16), but with glassy conditions, that little bump might actually line up for a few crumbly waves. This is the highlight of the entire forecast, but it’s about as marginal as it gets. For absolute beginners, that tiny size is fine, but for anyone else, it's a long wait for a small wave.

The following days into the second week see the swell actually build up a bit. By the 24th of July, we’re looking at a 4ft swell from the ESE, but the wind is a fresh cross-shore at 19 mph, turning the surface into a lumpy mess. The energy gets moderate (63), but the quality drops right off. It’s not surfable in any pleasant way. Then on the 27th, the swell jumps to 6ft from the SW with an onshore gale at 25 mph. The wave energy gets strong (293), but that’s a pure wind-chop session. With waves over 5ft and that wind, it’s not for beginners, and the quality is so poor that it's honestly more interesting for kite surfers than paddle surfers.

To sum it up: the whole 16-day window is a struggle. The only true "best on offer" is that glassy morning on the 22nd of July with the tiny 2ft E swell. Everything else is either too small, too windy, or both. It’s a blank run that’s pretty typical for this area when the wind gods are stubborn.

Stay patient, take the longboard out on the 22nd, and don’t get your hopes up for any proper swell.

Rusty.

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