Kimmeridge Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's take a look at what the next couple of weeks has in store for us down at Kimmeridge Bay.

Honestly, it’s a bit of a tough stretch to start. We’ve got a long dry spell on our hands, with nothing worth paddling out for from now until at least the middle of the month. The first ten days or so are looking very bleak, with tiny slop and bumpy conditions. You can see the combined swell energy barely getting into double digits, with a lot of readings sitting at just 3 or 4 (units). The wind is mostly cross or cross-onshore, just chopping up what little bump there is.

We finally start to see a pulse of easterly windswell building around Friday the 10th and into the weekend. For a few days, we’ve got 4 to 5ft of swell coming from the east, but that’s the problem. Kimmeridge is exposed to the southwest, so this easterly swell won’t wrap in properly. The wave energy climbs up to a moderate 125 and 133 (units) but that’s about it. The wind is also honking from the east at 15-18 mph, making for a lumpy cross-chop. The reports say it all: “poor surf conditions.” This will be more of a kite surfing session than a paddle session.

Things get a touch more interesting on Tuesday the 14th. The afternoon shows a small window with a light, true offshore wind from the north, and the wave quality improves. Combined energy is at 75 (units) with 4ft of east swell. It’s still an odd direction for the bay, but the clean conditions will make it ridable. A real diamond in the rough.

Then on Wednesday the 15th, we get a bit of a standout. The afternoon has a glassy, dead-calm sea surface. The wind is an absolute non-entity. Swell is 4ft from the east, bumping the energy up to a moderate 107 (units). It’s not perfect, but that clean, glassy surface is going to make a world of difference at this reef setup. After days of chop, it’ll feel like a dream.

Saturday the 18th morning also shows promise. We’ve got a moderate offshore breeze from the north-northwest and 4ft of swell from the west-southwest – which is pretty much bang on the optimum direction for Kimmeridge. Energy is a solid 106 (units). That’s the best all-round day on the cards, pairing the right direction with clean wind. Expect a few lined-up sets peeling down the reef.

As we head into the final week, the surf fades back down to nothing, with those small, clean but tiny leftover pulses. It’s fair to say the second week is quiet after that Saturday morning.

For now, the standout is that Saturday the 18th, followed by the two small, clean windows earlier in the week. Don’t get your hopes up for the first ten days.

Rusty.

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