Kimmeridge Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, it’s Rusty here. I’ve had a good look at what’s on the cards for Kimmeridge Bay over the next couple of weeks, and I’ll be straight with you – it’s a pretty grim run. This is a reef break that’s very consistent, but that doesn’t mean it’s gonna be any good. We’re looking at a long stretch of tiny, weak waves and messy wind, so don’t get your hopes up.

The water is sitting at a balmy 66°, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year, so at least you won’t be freezing your bits off while you’re staring at flat water.

For the first week, from Tuesday the 14th right through to Sunday the 20th, it’s a sad story. Swell heights barely tickle 0.3ft to 3ft, with periods so short there’s no grunt in 'em. The combined energy is weak, mostly single or low double digits, like 3 or 66 (weak energy). And the wind is a mess – cross-off, cross-on, cross-shore – just a real dog’s breakfast. There’s nothing to ride here, plain and simple. A couple of mornings, like the 20th, show glassy conditions, but with a swell of 2ft and a 4-second period, it’s still a flat spell.

Wednesday the 22nd offers a slight bump in size, with 5ft from the east. The combined energy hits 140 (moderate wave energy), and it’s clean in the morning with a cross-off breeze. But the period is only 6 seconds, so it’ll be a short, crumbly affair. Still, it’s the first time we see anything with a bit of push. The afternoon goes onshore and messy. This is the only real standout of the whole outlook, but it’s a weak one.

Then we drop right back into the doldrums from Thursday the 23rd through the 25th. Tiny 0.3ft to 2ft swells, with a combined energy barely reaching 92 (weak energy). On the 25th morning we get a clean offshore wind from the NNW and a 2ft swell from the SW with a 7-second period, which is *surfable* but very ordinary. The energy is 92 (weak energy). It’s the only time the score even gets a mention, but it’s nothing to write home about.

The last few days, from the 26th of July to the 29th, see a bit more size, but the wind is all wrong. The 26th and 27th mornings have 5ft swell from the SW, but it’s cross-on, making it choppy and messy. The combined energy on the 27th afternoon jumps to 248 (moderate wave energy) with a 5ft swell from the WSW and an 8-second period, but it’s cross-shore. The 29th morning sees a 4ft swell from the SW with an 8-second period, and the energy is a solid 349 (moderate wave energy), but again, it’s a cross-shore breeze. The 29th afternoon has the biggest waves of the whole period at 6ft from the WSW, with a combined energy of 668 (moderate to strong wave energy), but it’s a cross-on wind at 25 km/h, meaning it’ll be a choppy, blown-out mess that’s only for the experts who don’t mind a wrestling match.

Honestly, if you’re looking to paddle, you’re better off waiting for a proper swell. This setup, with the wind and the beach-and-reef nature, looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing on the 29th. There’s a big gap of no real surf from the 14th to the 21st, then again from the 23rd to the 25th. It’s a blank run, and for this area, that’s not unusual.

Rusty.

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