Kimmeridge Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right then, let's have a look at what’s on the cards for Kimmeridge Bay. I’ve got to be straight with you – it’s a tough outlook. We’re looking at a 16-day window starting now, but you’re going to have to be patient because the first real chance of anything decent doesn’t show up for a while. The water here is sitting at 69°, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year, so at least you won’t be cold while you’re waiting.

We’ve got a long, frustrating stretch of small, choppy, and blown-out conditions to start. Wednesday the 27th and Thursday the 28th are out. The swell is tiny, the wind is onshore or cross-onshore, and the periods are short. Friday the 28th afternoon sees the swell jump to 8 ft from the SW with a period of 7 seconds, but the wind is a strong 28 mph cross-onshore, making it an absolute mess. The combined swell energy is ramping up to 547, so there’s power there, but it’s not for paddling. With that kind of wind and a beach/reef setup, this looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

Saturday the 29th is just as bad, with a near gale blowing. The swell hits 10 ft from the SW, but the conditions are blown out. Sunday the 30th is still lumpy and messy, and the drop in quality continues right through the first week of September. The best I can see in that first week is a small window on Saturday the 5th of September. On Saturday morning the 5th, we get a clean spell with a 2 ft WSW swell, a period of 11 seconds, and a light offshore from the NW at 9 mph. The combined energy is 134, so it’s weak. It’s a small, clean, long-period groundswell, which is better suited to a reef like Kimmeridge Bay than a beach break, but it’s really tiny. It’s the only time the wind looks good, but you’ll be hunting for anything rideable.

After that, it’s back to small and messy until the 10th of September. On Thursday morning the 10th, we see a 5 ft SW swell with a period of 5 seconds. The wind is a clean cross-offshore from the NE at 16 mph, and the wave comment says “clean”. The energy is 115. It’s a short-period swell, so the shape won’t be epic, but it’s the cleanest we’ve seen. The afternoon gets a bit bigger at 6 ft from the SW with a 6-second period, and lighter winds. Given the conditions, Thursday the 10th of September is the standout. It’s not perfect, but with clean winds and a bit of size, it’s the best option in this entire outlook. Expect crowds here as it’s often busy.

So, to sum it up: sit tight for a long wait. The first week is a write-off. Saturday the 5th of September offers a clean but tiny window, and Thursday the 10th of September is your best bet with clean, rideable waves at Kimmeridge Bay. The forecasts can change, so keep an eye on it, but for now, it’s a patience game.

Rusty.

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