Kimmeridge Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for Kimmeridge Bay.

First thing I gotta tell you, the water is sitting at 67°, which is a whopping 6° warmer than normal for this time of year. That’s very unusual, and while it’s nice for a long session, it’s not going to help the surf.

Truth is, looking through the whole 16-day window, there’s barely a ripple worth getting excited about. The combined wave energy is tiny, often just a single digit, and the biggest number we see is a measly 91 (moderate energy) right at the very end. The swell is almost always coming from the west or southwest, which is okay for a spot that likes it from the southwest, but the heights are next to nothing. Most days we’re looking at 0.3 ft to 2 ft, with a couple of afternoon pulses hitting 2 ft or 3 ft. The period is short, 3 to 6 seconds for the most part, so it’s just weak, windswell slop.

The wind is a big problem too. It’s often cross-on or cross, and on the few occasions it’s clean, like the morning of Wednesday the 22nd with a light NNE cross-off, the swell is flat at 0.3 ft. There’s a morning on Saturday the 25th with a light WNW cross-off and 0.7 ft, and another on Wednesday the 29th with a light NNE cross-off and 0.3 ft, but it’s not enough to paddle for.

For a brief moment, cloudy on Thursday the 30th morning, we get a 2 ft swell from the east with a 4-second period, and a clean ENE cross-off wind. The combined energy is 10. It’s the same story on Friday the 31st morning, 2 ft from the east, 4-second period, and a 12 mph ENE cross-off wind giving it a clean look. That’s the best we’ve got in the first week, but the period is way too short for any real shape.

The only real standout is right at the end. On Monday the 5th of August, the afternoon shows a 4 ft swell from the west-southwest, with a 6-second period. Combined energy hits 91 (moderate). The wind is a fresh 19 mph from the southwest, cross-on, making it lumpy. It’s not great, but it’s the biggest swell in the whole window. The setup is a reef break, so it might hold that size, but the wind is not your friend. It’s definitely not for beginners at that size, but it’s the only chance for a few bigger waves for the experienced crew.

Honestly, it’s a long, flat run for Kimmeridge Bay. The first week has a few sessions with clean conditions on tiny, weak swell, and the second week is more of the same. The best call is to wait for the early afternoon of the 5th of August, but don’t expect any magic. The forecasts can change, but for now, it’s a tough watch.

Rusty.

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