Kimmeridge Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's be straight with you. The next couple of weeks look pretty bleak for getting wet at Kimmeridge Bay. We’re looking at a long stretch of small, weak, and messy waves, so if you’re jonesing for a surf, you might want to find another hobby for a bit. The swell energy is just pathetic, mostly in the single digits or low double digits, with a couple of moments where it bumps up but never does anything with it. There's a real gap in the action, with day after day of nothing worth paddling out for. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so at least you won't freeze when you're sitting there wondering why you came out.

The story for the first week is all about tiny waves and bad wind. Wednesday the 5th and Thursday the 6th bring some swell, but it's lumpy, cross-shore junk with weak energy (122 and 176) and poor conditions. Friday the 7th is glassy in the morning, which is a small mercy, but the swell is nothing – 0.7ft of nothing. This pattern of tiny, weak surf and onshore or cross winds just keeps repeating. The weekend isn't any better. We're looking at days of sub-2ft surf and weak energy readings of 1, 2, and 4. There’s barely a wave to even be disappointed by.

As we move into the second week, things don't improve. From the 11th to the 17th, it's the same story: small, weak, and mostly messy. There are a few clean windows with light cross-offshore winds, but with swell that's barely a ripple and energy readings stuck below 50, it's not worth the hassle. The wind might be alright, but there's simply no ocean energy to work with. This stretch is a total write-off for anyone wanting to actually catch a wave.

Now, let’s talk about the one faint glimmer of hope, and it’s a long way off. Tuesday the 18th sees a pulse of swell, with the morning showing 5ft from the WSW and the afternoon jumping to 7ft, also from the WSW. The energy readings finally climb to 170 and then 394, which is the only time in the whole period that we see anything close to moderate. The morning looks clean with a cross-offshore wind, but it'll be the afternoon where the size is at its peak, though the cross-shore wind will chop it up. Still, this is the standout of the whole stretch. Over 8ft might be expert territory, but this is just shy, so it's more of a solid, challenging size. Then it fades quickly. Wednesday the 19th has some early rideable 4ft waves but nothing special.

So, there you have it. A whole lot of nothing, with one potentially fun day on the 18th if the wind plays ball. It's a long way out, so don't get your hopes up too much, but it's the only thing on the menu. This spot is a reef, so a longer period swell might be better here, but we don't get that this time. Keep an eye on the forecast, but for now, the board can stay in the shed.

Rusty.

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