Kimmeridge Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a straight look at what’s coming up for Kimmeridge Bay. This is a reef setup that’s pretty exposed to a SW swell, and it's very consistent, but the next couple of weeks are looking like a long, flat spell. There’s a big gap of poor surf conditions right through, so we’ll have to be patient.

Starting now, the outlook is quiet. We’ve got a real dry patch with only tiny, weak swell and mostly poor surf conditions. For the first week, through to around the 10th of July, there’s nothing worth paddling out for. Swell heights are stuck between 0.3 ft and 3 ft, and the combined energy is weak – the highest we see is just 36 (weak) on the 10th of July morning, but with a short, 5-second period and cross-shore wind, that’s not going to shape up. The water temp anomaly isn’t flagged, so it’s about average for this time of year.

There’s a slight improvement on the 11th of July (Saturday) morning. We get a 2 ft swell from the east, but the period is only 4 seconds – that’s windswell, no power. The wind is offshore from the north though, at 9 mph, so it’d be glassy clean. Still, the energy is low (14), so it’s more of a chance for a longboard or a fun session if you’re desperate, but not a standout.

Into the second week, around the 13th of July (Monday) morning, we see a bit more promise. A 0.7 ft swell from the WSW with a 12-second period gives a combined energy of 25 – still weak, but that longer period (12 seconds) is a groundswell. The wind is light offshore from the NNE at 6 mph, keeping it clean. But at 0.7 ft, it’s barely breaking at this reef. The afternoon of the 13th sees the biggest reading: 1 ft from the SW, 12-second period, with combined energy of 58 (weak). The wind is light cross-shore, so it’s not messy, but again, it’s tiny.

After the 13th, it dies right back down. The 15th of July (Wednesday) morning has a bit of a pulse – 3 ft from the east, 5-second period, combined energy 40 – but that’s short-period windswell with moderate cross-shore wind. Not the kind of wave that makes a reef break sing. There’s another tiny blip on the 17th of July (Friday) morning with 1.0 ft, but it’s cross-shore and weak.

Honestly, there’s no true standout session in this whole 16-day window. The best of a bad bunch is likely the 13th of July (Monday) morning or the 13th afternoon, with that 12-second groundswell and clean conditions. But at tiny heights, it’s more of a paddle and a hope. For anything bigger, you’d be waiting on a change in the charts. For now, the bay is quiet, and it’s a waiting game. Keep an eye on the horizon.

Rusty.

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