Kimmeridge Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right then, let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for Kimmeridge Bay. I’ll be straight with you – it’s a tough stretch ahead. The forecast is a real dry spell for waves, so we’re not talking about any classic sessions here. The water temperature is sitting at 66°, which is a whopping 6° warmer than usual for this time of year – that’s very unusual, you’d feel it straight away, like a warm bath.

The first week is basically a write-off. From Thursday 16th July right through to the end of that week, we’re looking at tiny, weak swells. The combined energy is barely a whisper, with values like 20 or less. Thursday afternoon has a 2ft easterly swell with a short 5-second period and a cross-on wind – that’s choppy, messy, and not worth paddling out for. Friday and Saturday offer nothing better, just tiny dribbles. Sunday and Monday are flat, with swell heights of 0.3ft. There’s a glassy moment on Monday morning 20th July, but with a 0.3ft swell, it’s just a flat calm. The wind is offshore or cross-off at times, but there’s no wave to work with. This whole first week is a real bust.

We then hit a gap of several days with absolutely no surfable waves. From Tuesday 22nd through to Thursday 24th, it’s all zeros in the energy department. Friday 24th July afternoon sees a little bump – a 2ft swell from the WSW with a 4-second period, pushing the combined energy to 12. That’s still weak, and the wind is cross-shore, so it’s going to be a bumpy, unshapely mess. Not a recommendation.

The second week doesn’t get much better. Saturday 25th and Sunday 26th July offer a few more pulses, but the quality is poor. The biggest we see is on Sunday 26th July afternoon at 3ft from the WSW, with a 4-second period and energy of 36. That’s a short, weak windswell, and a fresh cross-shore wind will chop it up. It’s the same story into Monday 27th and Tuesday 28th: a 3ft swell from the WSW on Monday afternoon, but the period is still only 4 seconds, and the energy is just 36. It’s lumpy and cross-shore.

The best of a bad lot might be the tail end. Wednesday 29th July sees the swell push up to 4ft from the SW, with a period of 5 seconds and energy hitting 53. That’s still a weak, short-period windswell, and the wind is a fresh cross-on, so it’ll be lumpy and difficult. By Thursday 30th, it’s dropping back down. Friday 31st July morning offers a 2ft swell from the WSW with a 6-second period and a clean cross-off wind from the NW. The energy is 35, which is still low. It’ll be small and clean, but nothing to get excited about.

Honestly, there’s no standout session here. The entire 16-day window is a dud for Kimmeridge Bay. The break is a reef, very consistent, and exposed to the SW, but the forecast just doesn’t deliver the swell or the conditions. For paddle surfing, you’re better off leaving the board in the car. With the strong cross-shore winds and poor wave quality, this setup honestly looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. The forecasts can change, but right now, it’s a flat spell.

Rusty.

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