Kimmeridge Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for Kimmeridge Bay.

To be straight with you, the next 16 days are looking pretty flat and uninspiring. We’ve got a long, quiet patch ahead. The first week and more are dominated by tiny swells and messy winds, and there’s really nothing that fires up enough to call a proper standout. It’s a tough run.

Starting off, Friday the 3rd of July, we’ve got next to nothing. A tiny 0.7ft swell from the WSW with a long 11-second period, but with almost no energy behind it (17). The morning is glassy, but the afternoon gets chopped up by a 12 mph cross-onshore. Saturday the 4th also stays tiny, and we see a brief spike to 3ft in the afternoon, but that’s a short-period windswell (4 seconds) with a 16 mph cross-shore wind making it choppy. Not worth paddling out.

Sunday the 5th is clean in the morning with a light cross-offshore, but it’s only 1.0ft and barely any energy (7). That pattern of small, poor-quality surf and moderate to strong cross-shore winds just keeps rolling through Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday. The water temperature is 63°, which is *much warmer than normal* for this time of year – about 5° above average – so at least you won’t be cold while you’re sitting there waiting for nothing.

There’s a slight lift on Saturday the 11th of July. Under a clear sky, we get a 3ft swell from the east, clean conditions with a cross-offshore wind. The energy is still weak (45), but it’s the best we’ll see in the first half of the outlook. That carries into Sunday morning the 12th with 2ft and clean cross-offshore winds, but the energy is negligible.

The second week remains a struggle. The only flicker of real hope comes on Saturday the 18th of July – that’s a week and a half away, so keep the date in mind. It’s a 3ft groundswell from the WSW, clean again with a light cross-offshore, and the combined energy hits 44. Then in the afternoon, it bumps up to 4ft with onshore wind, but it’s still weak energy (52) and the surf quality will be poor. Not worth the drive.

Kimmeridge Bay is a reef break, very consistent and fairly exposed to the SW, but the problem here is the total lack of any decent size or proper swell direction matching the optimum SW. The winds are rarely in our favour, and we never get a clean, decent-sized wave with any power.

Honestly, for this stretch, you’re better off leaving the boards at home. The setup looks more interesting for a kite surfer on the few afternoons when the cross-shore wind is up, but for a wave rider, it’s a blank fortnight.

Stay tuned, the forecasts can change, but right now it’s a long wait.

Rusty.

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