
Surf Forecasts:
Kimmeridge Bay surf forecast from 15 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 19 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 5s period, E swell with 44 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Kimmeridge Bay this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Kimmeridge Bay in the next 16 days are 1.0m 5s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 6s period and expected on Friday (Jul 17) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Sun 19th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 5s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Kimmeridge Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here, and I’ve taken a good hard look at the 16-day picture for Kimmeridge Bay. I’ve got to be straight with you – this is a bleak stretch. The forecast is showing a whole lot of nothing for the first two weeks, with surf conditions that are mostly poor. There’s a gap of almost 14 days starting now with no real surf on offer, just tiny dribbles and messy winds. The only faint glimmer of hope comes right at the very end of the period, on the 29th of July, but it’s a long way off and not much to get excited about.
Let’s run through it. From Wednesday the 15th of July right through to Tuesday the 28th of July, it’s a desert. You’ve got scraps of swell – we’re talking 0.3 ft to 3 ft, mostly from the east or west with short periods under 8 seconds, which is just windswell trash. The wind is almost always onshore, cross-on, or cross-shore, adding chop and mess to water that’s already flat. The combined energy is weak, barely cracking 54 on the 15th, and often just single digits. There’s a brief moment on the morning of Monday the 20th of July where it goes glassy, but the swell is only 2 ft – not enough to push a ripple. Don’t even think about paddling out.
The water temperature on the 15th of July is sitting at 66°, which is a whopping 6° warmer than normal for this time of year. That’s a proper anomaly, mate – unusually warm water, but it doesn’t help the waves.
Now, the standout – if you can call it that – is Wednesday the 29th of July. The morning session shows a bit of life. The swell jumps to 6 ft from the WSW, with a period of 6 seconds and a combined energy of 196 – that’s moderate energy, finally. The wind is glassy, with a slight air from the NNE, so it’s clean. The break is a reef, so that longer period (over 11 seconds) isn’t an issue, but 6 seconds is short, so the waves will be a bit crumbly and soft. It’s surfable, but the conditions are still just “ordinary” – not great. The afternoon goes to crap with a cross-onshore wind. The swell direction from the WSW is bang on the optimum SW direction for Kimmeridge Bay, which is a point in its favour. Crowds are often here, so expect company if you go. It’s only for intermediates and up, though – 6 ft is a bit much for beginners.
The 30th of July offers a 4 ft swell from the WSW with a 9-second period and moderate energy (258), but a cross-shore wind from the ESE spoils it. The morning might be worth a look if you’re desperate and the wind stays light, but it’s not a standout.
So, plain and simple: the best (and really only) bet in this whole 16-day window is the morning of the 29th of July. It’s a long-range call, so don’t take it to the bank, but if the forecast holds, there’s a clean, small-to-medium reef wave to be had. Before that, save your petrol and give the bay a miss.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Thu afternoon, min 16°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 23°C on Sat afternoon, min 13°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the ENE on Sat night, calm by Sun night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wed 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 6 | E 5 | W 9 | E 5 | WSW 7 | W 8 | WSW 3 | W 4 | W 8 | ESE 4 | ESE 3 | E 5 | ESE 4 | ESE 4 | E 5 | W 12 | SSE 3 | E 4 | W 10 | W 10 | W 10 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
50 | 43 | 2 | 27 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 44 | 15 | 11 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 8:51PM2.19m | 9:21AM1.89m | 9:33PM2.21m | 10:04AM1.86m | 10:14PM2.15m | 10:45AM1.79m | 10:55PM2.03m | 11:26AM1.69m | 11:34PM1.85m | 12:08PM1.58m | 00:15AM1.64m | 12:52PM1.45m | 00:58AM1.43m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 4:07PM0.30m | 4:39AM-0.05m | 4:50PM0.31m | 5:22AM-0.05m | 5:32PM0.35m | 6:03AM0.02m | 6:12PM0.43m | 6:42AM0.14m | 6:50PM0.53m | 7:17AM0.30m | 7:28PM0.64m | 7:49AM0.46m | 8:03PM0.73m | 8:15AM0.60m | |||||||
— | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:18 | — | — | 5:18 | — | — | 5:20 | |
— | 9:15 | — | — | 9:14 | — | — | 9:13 | — | — | 9:12 | — | — | 9:10 | — | — | 9:09 | — | — | 9:08 | 9:07 | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 25 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 23 | 24 | 21 | 23 | 22 | 23 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 19 | 22 |
Feels °C | 22 | 23 | 21 | 22 | 22 | 21 | 16 | 20 | 19 | 22 | 18 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 19 | 17 | 20 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 7 | SW 6 | SW 5 | SW 7 | E 6 | E 5 | E 4 | WSW 4 | SW 4 | SW 5 | — | W 7 | W 8 | W 10 | E 5 | ESE 4 | WSW 3 | — | E 4 | — | — |
2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 46 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 3 | 1 | — | 2 | — | — | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 10 | W 9 | W 9 | W 8 | WSW 7 | SW 6 | W 8 | SW 6 | SW 6 | W 7 | W 7 | — | — | W 7 | — | W 9 | W 8 | W 8 | W 7 | W 10 | — |
2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | W 8 | W 8 | — | W 8 | W 8 | SW 5 | — | — | — | — | — | W 12 | — | W 11 | W 10 | W 7 | W 10 |
— | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 6 | E 5 | E 5 | E 5 | E 6 | — | WSW 3 | W 4 | E 4 | ESE 4 | ESE 3 | E 5 | ESE 4 | ESE 4 | E 5 | SSW 2 | SSE 3 | E 4 | SSW 2 | WSW 2 | — |
50 | 43 | 42 | 27 | 83 | — | 3 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 44 | 15 | 11 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 236 | 396 | 386 | 215 | 468 | 468 | 1044 | 495 | 493 | 493 | 316 | 216 | 260 | 276 | 337 | 570 | 173 | 198 | 216 | 206 | 260 |
Best forecast wave conditions in South Coast of England | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Kimmeridge Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Kimmeridge Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Kimmeridge Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Kimmeridge Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Kimmeridge Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Kimmeridge Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Kimmeridge Bay is 18 km (11 miles) from the city of Poole. If you plan a holiday in South Coast of England, look for hotels and other accommodation in Poole. Poole has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











