Kimmeridge Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, I've looked over the numbers for the next couple of weeks, and I gotta be straight with you – it’s a tough stretch for surf at Kimmeridge Bay. I'm looking at a long gap where there's just nothing doing on the wave front, so don't go getting your hopes up.

It kicks off this Sunday morning, the 12th of July, with a micro 0.3 ft ripple out of the west, period a weak 9 seconds. The swell energy is tiny – just a 2. The wind is blowing a fresh 19 mph cross-offshore, which keeps the surface clean, but there's just no power behind it. The water is a balmy 65°F, which is a whopping 5°F warmer than normal for this time of year – that's very unusual, feels like a warm bath out there. But with that being said, it's a flat spell. The wave comment says it all: "poor surf conditions." Total zero out of ten on the scoreboard.

That clean but flat theme runs right through. Monday morning, July 13th, is also clean with that cross-offshore wind, but the combined energy is at 0. Monday afternoon has a bit of a cross-chop from a moderate breeze. Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, Friday… same story. We see tiny waves here and there – another 0.3 ft on Tuesday morning, a weak 3 ft on Tuesday afternoon – but it's all blown out, lumpy, or just too weak to ride.

By Saturday the 18th of July, there’s a faint 1 ft swell from the southwest, but it's only got 6 seconds of period and a light wind that's creating small ripples. Not worth the drive. This flat pattern just keeps repeating itself. We get a few pulses of energy, like 3 ft on Tuesday the 21st of July, but the wind is on it, making it choppy and messy. Wednesday the 22nd, the morning looks clean with a 3 ft east swell, low period again at 5 seconds, but with moderate cross-offshore wind, it's clean but weak.

The bigger pulses don't start showing up until the end of the week. On Sunday the 26th of July, we finally see some proper energy – 4 ft of southwest swell, with a period of 5 to 6 seconds. The combined energy hits 111 and 124 in the afternoon, which is moderate energy. But here's the kicker: the wind is a fresh 19 to 22 mph cross-onshore. That's going to make it lumpy and choppy, and that's why the surf quality is still marked as poor. Monday the 27th sees another 4 ft swell, but again, it's cross-onshore and messy.

Look, Kimmeridge Bay is a reef setup that can handle a bit of swell, but it needs the right wind. For almost the entire 16-day window, the conditions just aren't coming together. If you're an expert, maybe you could look at the 26th if the wind drops, but as it stands, this is a real dry spell. If you want clean surf, you're better off waiting for a change in the forecast, because this run doesn’t look like it’s going to offer anything good.

Rusty.

Read more