Surf Forecasts:
Stinky Bay surf forecast from 16 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 22 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 8s period, WNW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 20 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 8s period, W swell with 450 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 22 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 8s period with WNW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Stinky Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Stinky Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 22) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Stinky Bay in the next 16 days are 1.8m 8s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 20) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 5s period and expected on Saturday (Aug 22) at 10PM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Sat 22nd Aug) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Sat 22nd Aug) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Thu 20th Aug) | 6ft (1.8m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Stinky Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's take a look at what's on the menu for Stinky Bay over the next couple of weeks.
Honestly, it's a rough start. We're looking at a run of days with poor surf conditions, and the first solid recommendation doesn't show up until later on. The water's sitting at 68°, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year – that's a solid 4° above average, so you can leave the thick rubber at home.
The first week is a write-off for any decent paddle surfing. From Sunday the 16th right through to Monday the 25th, every single report flags "poor surf conditions." The swell is mostly weak, with a lot of wind chop and onshore winds messing things up. The combined swell energy is very low, often under 100, and it never really gets its act together. There's a little bump in energy around Thursday the 20th, with a 5ft swell from the W and a period of 9 seconds, pushing the energy to 390, but the onshore wind at 15-16 mph just kills it. It's just not worth paddling out.
We finally get a bit of a window. Tuesday the 25th sees some cleaner conditions thanks to a cross-offshore breeze from the NNE. The swell is a small 4ft from the NW, but the period is a weak 5 seconds, so it'll be a bit crumbly. The combined energy is only 59-67, so it's weak. It’s not a standout, but if you're desperate, it's the first time it’s not blown out.
The best of the entire run looks to be later on. On Thursday the 27th, we get a pulse of swell. Morning sees a 6ft swell from the W with a 7-second period, pushing the combined energy to 258. The problem is the cross-onshore wind at 19 mph from the WNW, making it lumpy. The afternoon cleans up a bit with lighter winds, but the swell drops slightly. The real size comes on Saturday the 30th. We're looking at a 6ft swell from the W with a 9-second period on the morning of the 30th, with a combined energy of 470. That's the most powerful swell of the period. However, that's paired with a fresh cross-onshore breeze at 22 mph, so it's going to be a messy, lumpy, powerful wall of water. For the experienced surfer at Stinky Bay, that's the one to circle on the calendar, but it's not going to be pretty.
In short, it's a long, bleak stretch of flat and blown-out conditions. The only real size shows up right at the end of the month, and even then the wind is a factor. The overall pattern is poor, so don't hold your breath.
- Rusty
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Warm (max 20°C on Sun afternoon, min 16°C on Tue night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Very mild (max 18°C on Wed afternoon, min 15°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WSW on Wed night, light winds from the NNW by Fri morning). | |||||||||||||||||||
Sun 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 7 | W 7 | WNW 5 | W 4 | WNW 5 | WNW 5 | W 5 | WNW 5 | W 6 | WNW 6 | W 7 | W 9 | W 9 | W 9 | WNW 9 | W 9 | WNW 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 10 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 28 | 10 | 13 | 19 | 91 | 45 | 48 | 59 | 88 | 115 | 236 | 390 | 364 | 397 | 202 | 122 | 65 | 29 | 12 | 31 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | on | cross-on | on | on | on | cross-on | cross | cross | off | off | cross-off | off |
High Tide | 9:55PM8.85m | 10:15AM8.41m | 10:31PM8.29m | 10:51AM7.88m | 11:07PM7.63m | 11:27AM7.27m | 11:46PM6.92m | 12:08PM6.63m | 00:32AM6.23m | 1:03PM6.03m | 1:45AM5.68m | 2:35PM5.67m | 3:33AM5.55m | |||||||
Low Tide | 4:20AM0.45m | 4:35PM0.85m | 4:53AM1.02m | 5:09PM1.40m | 5:27AM1.66m | 5:45PM2.01m | 6:04AM2.32m | 6:27PM2.63m | 6:50AM2.93m | 7:26PM3.17m | 8:01AM3.40m | 9:02PM3.45m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  | | | |  |  | | | | |  | | | | | |  | |
 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — |
 | 8:23 | — | — | 8:22 | — | — | 8:20 | — | — | 8:17 | — | — | 8:16 | — | — | 8:15 | — | — | 8:13 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 20 | 19 | 20 | 19 | 18 | 19 | 19 | 18 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 21 | 20 |
Feels °C | 18 | 16 | 19 | 17 | 14 | 16 | 17 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 13 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 7 | W 7 | N 3 | — | — | — | W 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 9 | W 9 | WNW 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 10 |
| kJ | 28 | 9 | 1 | — | — | — | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 202 | 122 | 65 | 29 | 12 | 31 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 5 | — | W 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 12 | W 11 | ESE 3 | N 7 |
| kJ | 1 | — | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 10 | 1 | 1 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | W 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 12 | — | W 11 | — |
| kJ | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | 9 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | WNW 4 | WNW 5 | W 4 | WNW 5 | WNW 5 | W 5 | WNW 5 | W 6 | WNW 6 | W 7 | W 9 | W 9 | W 9 | — | N 4 | — | E 4 | NE 6 | NE 5 |
| kJ | — | 10 | 13 | 19 | 91 | 45 | 48 | 59 | 88 | 115 | 236 | 390 | 364 | 397 | — | 3 | — | 19 | 25 | 59 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 192 | 308 | 205 | 119 | 208 | 425 | 204 | 208 | 723 | 119 | 317 | 321 | 119 | 154 | 168 | 36 | 0 | 245 | 190 | 166 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Jersey | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Stinky Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Stinky Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Stinky Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Stinky Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Stinky Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Stinky Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Stinky Bay is 11 km (7 miles) from Saint Helier. If you plan a holiday in Jersey, look for hotels and other accommodation in Saint Helier. Saint Helier has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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