
Surf Forecasts:
Stinky Bay surf forecast from 16 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 22 Sep, 7PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 18s period, W swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 18 Sep, 7PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 13s period, WNW swell with 669 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 21 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 11s period with WNW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Stinky Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Stinky Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 21) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 11s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Stinky Bay in the next 16 days are 1.4m 13s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 18) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 4s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Mon 21st Sep) | 3ft (0.9m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 7PM (Tue 22nd Sep) | 2ft (0.6m) 18s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Fri 18th Sep) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Stinky Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here. Let’s cut through the noise—this forecast is pretty grim for a while, then it lights up for a day or two. Stinky Bay’s the only spot on the menu, and for the first week and a half, it’s mostly a mess.
Wednesday, 16 September starts off with a 1.4m west swell but a cross-onshore wind out of the northwest, and the energy’s weak at 347. It’s choppy and not worth getting excited about. Thursday brings 1.6m west, but that 40 km/h southwest wind is onshore—just ugly. Energy picks up to 645, but that doesn’t help when it’s blown out. Friday and Saturday are similar: 1.5m west-northwest and west, cross-onshore winds, moderate chop, energy around 700 and 398. Sunday’s a bit softer at 1.3m, but there’s still a fair bit of chop in the water.
Monday, 21 September morning, the swell drops to 0.8m west-northwest, and we finally get a clean offshore breeze. Energy’s down to 153—it’s surfable, but pretty ordinary. The rest of that week stays small: Tuesday’s 0.5m, Wednesday’s 0.9m with fresh offshore, Thursday’s 0.7m—nothing worth rushing out for.
Now here’s the deal. Wednesday, 30 September is the standout, no question. Both morning and afternoon have 2.0m west swell, clean offshore winds from the east and east-northeast, and strong combined energy at 758 and 738. This is the one. Stinky Bay is a reef, exposed to that west swell, and with offshore wind it should be cracking. But listen—2.0m is solid. Beginners should sit this one out; it’s for the experienced crew only. For everyone else, this is the best surf in the whole 16 days.
Thursday, 1 October morning is a quick drop to 0.9m west, still offshore and clean—a fun little wave if you just want a paddle, but it’s nothing compared to the day before.
Water temp at Stinky Bay is about average for this time of year, nothing unusual.
So, the plan: don’t waste your time until around the 30th. You’ve got a solid week and a half of flat or messy conditions from around the 22nd to the 29th. Then Wednesday, 30 September—be there early, bring your good board, and enjoy it while it lasts. Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Thu afternoon. Very mild (max 17°C on Tue night, min 15°C on Wed afternoon). Mainly strong winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Mon afternoon, min 16°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the W on Fri night, light winds from the N by Mon morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | Saturday 19 | Sunday 20 | Monday 21 | Tuesday 22 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 9 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | W 10 | W 6 | WNW 9 | WNW 10 | WNW 13 | W 12 | W 8 | W 8 | W 11 | WNW 10 | W 10 | WNW 11 | WNW 11 | WNW 10 | W 11 | W 10 | WNW 18 | WNW 16 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
347 | 533 | 443 | 502 | 243 | 374 | 424 | 530 | 638 | 255 | 229 | 449 | 377 | 265 | 194 | 153 | 110 | 85 | 53 | 114 | 341 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | on | on | on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off |
High Tide | 10:10AM8.00m | 10:27PM7.64m | 10:42AM7.37m | 11:01PM6.94m | 11:18AM6.69m | 11:42PM6.23m | 12:06PM6.03m | 00:46AM5.60m | 1:36PM5.54m | 2:54AM5.37m | 3:44PM5.66m | 4:31AM5.79m | 4:54PM6.25m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 4:12AM1.09m | 4:28PM1.33m | 4:43AM1.71m | 5:01PM1.95m | 5:17AM2.36m | 5:40PM2.61m | 6:00AM3.00m | 6:37PM3.21m | 7:12AM3.52m | 8:18PM3.55m | 9:13AM3.62m | 10:16PM3.28m | 10:48AM3.16m | 11:21PM2.65m | |||||||
6:45 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | |
— | 7:21 | — | — | 7:19 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:14 | — | — | 7:12 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:07 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 20 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 20 |
Feels °C | 12 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 15 | 18 | 18 | 16 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 9 | — | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | — | — | WNW 10 | WNW 13 | — | W 11 | WNW 11 | — | WNW 10 | W 10 | WNW 11 | WNW 11 | WNW 10 | W 11 | W 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 16 |
347 | — | 443 | 143 | — | — | 424 | 530 | — | 66 | 41 | — | 377 | 265 | 194 | 153 | 110 | 85 | 53 | 55 | 341 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 12 | WNW 11 | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 12 | — | W 21 | WNW 18 | WNW 11 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 77 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | 27 | — | 9 | 114 | 123 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 12 | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 30 | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 4 | WNW 10 | — | W 10 | W 6 | WNW 9 | WNW 10 | — | W 12 | W 8 | W 8 | W 11 | — | N 3 | N 3 | — | — | ENE 2 | ESE 2 | — | E 3 |
7 | 533 | — | 502 | 243 | 374 | 285 | — | 638 | 255 | 229 | 449 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 3 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 154 | 119 | 119 | 217 | 119 | 99 | 204 | 99 | 99 | 184 | 99 | 99 | 154 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 36 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 36 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Jersey | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)
Wind Speed (km/h)
Information about the Stinky Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Stinky Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Stinky Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Stinky Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Stinky Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Stinky Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Stinky Bay is 11 km (7 miles) from Saint Helier. If you plan a holiday in Jersey, look for hotels and other accommodation in Saint Helier. Saint Helier has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










