Stinky Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. I’ve eyeballed the numbers for Stinky Bay, and I’ve got to be straight with you – this is a tough one to write. The outlook for the next 16 days is a real quiet one, a proper flat spell for this exposed reef break.

Let’s face it, the combined swell energy barely cracks 50 (44) at its best, and that’s a weak, weak pulse. The water’s running about average for this time of year, which is a small mercy, but you won’t be getting wet enough to notice.

We start off with Friday, July 31st. There’s a tiny bit of swell, 2ft from the WNW, but it’s a short-period 6-second windswell. It’s messy and on the smaller side. The wind is a moderate cross-off from the NNW, which keeps the surface clean, but the lack of punch means poor surf conditions. A real skunk.

Saturday, August 1st, drops right off. We’re down to 1.0ft, and while the period stretches to 10 seconds, the energy is pathetic (32). The wind flips around, and it’s just a crossed-up mess. Sunday the 2nd offers a bit of hope with a light offshore from the NE in the morning, but the swell is barely 1ft. It’s clean, but tiny. That’s the story for the next week: tiny, clean, and frustrating. The wind stays decent for the most part – a few light offshore moments – but the swell just isn’t there.

The most interesting blip on the radar is Sunday, August 9th. The morning sees a clean, gentle offshore breeze from the ENE, and the swell bumps up to 2ft from the W with an 8-second period. The combined energy hits 51 – still weak, but it’s the high point of the whole run. For a flat spell, this is the standout. The reef at Stinky Bay will be ridable, but you’ll be scratching for every little wave. It’s inconsistent and exposed, so don’t expect a crowd to be battling for these scraps; it’s more likely to be just you and the seabirds.

After that, it’s a long, slow fade to nothing. Through the second week, from August 10th onwards, the numbers are grim. The swell drops to 0.3ft, period, and the energy goes into single digits. There’s a little spike of 3ft on Tuesday, August 11th, but it’s a 5-second windswell with a fresh onshore breeze – that’s a choppy, blown-out no-go. The rest of the days are just as flat.

For this stretch, Stinky Bay is a write-off. The setup is a reef, so it’s usually better for a paddle surfer than a kite surfer, but with zero swell, even the kites are staying on the beach. It’s a long, dry 16 days ahead. Forecasts can change, but right now, I wouldn’t even bother waxing the board.

Rusty.

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