Surf Forecasts:
Stinky Bay surf forecast from 10 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Friday 10 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 9s period, W swell with 59 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Stinky Bay this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Stinky Bay in the next 16 days are 0.6m 9s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 10) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.3m 6s period and expected on Monday (Jul 13) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Fri 10th Jul) | 2ft (0.6m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Stinky Bay over the next 16 days.
Right, gather 'round. This is a tough one to write. I'm looking at Stinky Bay (Stinky-Bay), and the reality is, for the next two and a half weeks, there's just nothing doing. It's a bleak run.
We start off with a tiny window on Friday, July 10th. The morning shows a tiny 2ft swell from the west with a period of 9 seconds. The water is 65.1°, which is a good 3.6° warmer than usual for this time of year – that’s a real standout warmth, but it doesn't help the waves. The wind is offshore and the combined wave energy is weak (64), but the surf's just too ordinary to get excited about. That afternoon, the wind swings and the score drops off a cliff.
From there, it's a desert. Saturday the 11th through the entire second week and right into the third week, the swell is minute – often less than 1ft – and the wind is a constant problem, blowing hard and often offshore, but that doesn't make up for having no waves. By Sunday the 12th, the energy has dropped to literally 7 (single digits). You’ll be paddling in circles.
The only time we see a bump in the numbers is way, way out, on Saturday the 25th of July. The morning shows a 5ft west swell with a 9-second period and combined energy of 356 (moderate wave energy). That's a proper size. But it's coming with a cross-shore wind, and the break conditions are described as having a cross-chop. It's a reef setup, and the swell direction is a touch north of the optimum westerly. It's a long way out, so treat it as a maybe-hope, but with the forecast confidence low that far out, and the conditions not looking clean, I can't call it a standout.
For now, honestly, it's a write-off. When you've got a stretch this long with nothing on the cards, it's just how it goes sometimes in this spot. Stick the board in the rafters and watch the water. The forecasts can always change, but this run looks real stubborn.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Warm (max 28°C on Fri morning, min 17°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (light winds from the ENE on Sat night, near gales from the ENE by Sun night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Mon night. Warm (max 30°C on Wed afternoon, min 19°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the ENE on Mon night, light winds from the ESE by Wed morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 9 | W 9 | W 9 | WNW 8 | WNW 10 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 13 | W 12 | W 11 | W 10 | W 10 | W 10 | W 9 | W 9 | W 8 | W 9 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 64 | 59 | 55 | 24 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 16 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | off | off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on |
High Tide | 3:19PM7.04m | 3:54AM7.10m | 4:30PM7.33m | 5:04AM7.44m | 5:34PM7.79m | 6:07AM7.89m | 6:32PM8.31m | 7:02AM8.33m | 7:24PM8.77m | 7:53AM8.64m | 8:12PM9.07m | 8:40AM8.78m | 8:58PM9.16m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 9:39PM2.14m | 10:16AM2.00m | 10:56PM1.81m | 11:30AM1.68m | 00:06AM1.30m | 12:34PM1.24m | 1:06AM0.75m | 1:29PM0.82m | 1:58AM0.30m | 2:18PM0.51m | 2:46AM0.03m | 3:05PM0.38m | 3:32AM-0.01m | ||||||||
 | |  | |  | |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 5:13 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:18 | — | — | 5:18 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — |
 | — | — | 9:13 | — | — | 9:13 | — | — | 9:12 | — | — | 9:10 | — | — | 9:09 | — | — | 9:08 | — | — | 9:08 |
mm | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | 5 | — | — | 4 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 2 |
Temp °C | 28 | 28 | 23 | 26 | 28 | 21 | 25 | 27 | 19 | 22 | 26 | 20 | 28 | 28 | 22 | 28 | 30 | 23 | 24 | 23 | 20 |
Feels °C | 25 | 24 | 18 | 21 | 22 | 20 | 21 | 20 | 11 | 16 | 19 | 11 | 23 | 26 | 17 | 26 | 26 | 21 | 24 | 22 | 16 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 9 | W 9 | W 9 | WNW 8 | WNW 10 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 13 | W 12 | W 11 | NE 4 | W 10 | W 10 | W 9 | W 9 | W 8 | W 9 |
| kJ | 64 | 59 | 55 | 24 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 20 | 17 | 16 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | W 13 | WNW 11 | WNW 10 | — | — | N 8 | — | — | — | — | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | NNE 8 | — | — | W 11 | NNE 7 | W 10 | N 8 |
| kJ | — | 3 | 12 | 20 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 37 | — | — | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 12 | W 8 | W 10 | W 8 | — | — | W 9 | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1 | 8 | 1 | — | — | 7 | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 3 | NE 4 | NE 4 | NE 5 | NE 5 | NE 5 | NE 5 | NE 5 | NE 6 | NE 7 | NE 6 | NE 6 | NNE 6 | NNE 6 | — | NNE 6 | NE 5 | NE 5 | NE 7 | NE 5 | NE 5 |
| kJ | 2 | 16 | 52 | 55 | 107 | 119 | 106 | 126 | 379 | 199 | 192 | 169 | 74 | 49 | — | 52 | 98 | 89 | 75 | 70 | 119 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 50 | 191 | 191 | 196 | 215 | 215 | 626 | 447 | 172 | 200 | 69 | 147 | 344 | 190 | 98 | 630 | 154 | 198 | 200 | 70 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Jersey | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Stinky Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Stinky Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Stinky Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Stinky Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Stinky Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Stinky Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Stinky Bay is 11 km (7 miles) from Saint Helier. If you plan a holiday in Jersey, look for hotels and other accommodation in Saint Helier. Saint Helier has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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