Stinky Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get stuck into this one. I’m talkin’ about Stinky Bay, a reef break that’s pretty consistent and works best when the swell comes from the west. The water’s runnin’ a touch warmer than average for this time of year, about 66°, so you’re not gonna need a thick steamer.

Now, lookin’ at the whole 16-day window, I gotta be straight with you – it’s a rough run. For the first week and a bit, we’ve got a whole lot of nothin’. The swell is tiny, the wind is mostly cross or onshore, and the wave energy is weak. We’re talkin’ days of 1.0ft to 3ft slop with combined energy values barely crackin’ 100 (like 247 down to 16). It’s a dry spell. There’s one brief glimmer Tuesday morning, the 28th of July, with 2ft swell from the WNW and a gentle cross-offshore breeze that cleans it up, but it’s still small. You’d be scratchin’ for anything half-decent.

Then the week of August 4th shows a little pulse. Tuesday morning, the 4th, has 3ft swell from the west with a 10-second period, but the wind is messy. The real highlight of that day is Tuesday afternoon – the wind goes totally glassy, zero mph, and the water’s clean. The energy is still modest (128), but glassy conditions on a reef like Stinky Bay? That’s a rare, beautiful moment. If you can get out then, it’s your best bet for a clean little wave.

Now, the real standout, the one that gets the heart pumpin’, is Sunday, the 9th of August. The swell jumps up to 7ft to 7ft – that’s solid, groundswell territory. The period is short though, only 6 to 8 seconds, so it’ll be a bit lumpy and fat on the takeoff. But the wind is offshore from the east and northeast, clean as a whistle. The combined energy for that afternoon is a massive 603 (moderate energy), so there’s power behind it. But here’s the catch – 7ft on a reef is expert territory. It’s gonna be heavy, maybe too big for most. If you’re solid and know the reef, this is your session. If not, watch from the rocks.

After that, it drops back to junk. So, to sum it up: the first 10 days are mostly a waste. Tuesday afternoon, 4th August, is a little glassy gem for small-wave fun. Sunday, 9th August, is the big one – but it’s for experts only.

Rusty.

Read more