Surf Forecasts:
Stinky Bay surf forecast from 17 Aug 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 20 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 9s period, W swell with 381 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Stinky Bay this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Stinky Bay in the next 16 days are 1.6m 9s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 20) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 5s period and expected on Saturday (Aug 22) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Thu 20th Aug) | 5ft (1.6m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Stinky Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s get this straight. I’m looking at the next sixteen days, and I’m not gonna lie to you – it’s a tough stretch for the Bay. We’ve got a long, dry spell of poor surf ahead. We’re talking a solid week to ten days where there’s just nothing on offer. The swell is small, the wind is messy, and it’s just not going to be worth the paddle out. It’s one of those times where you’re better off leaving the boards in the car and finding something else to do.
The water is a real talking point though. When we do get going, you’re looking at about 67.8° water, which is a full 4.1° warmer than normal for this time of year. That’s a big deal around here, a real anomaly.
The first faint glimmer of hope shows up on Friday the 28th. The morning is still pretty grim, with a cross-onshore wind making things choppy. But the afternoon, that’s the first moment we get a “good” call. We’re looking at a clean 5ft 3in of west swell, a 366 combined energy reading in the moderate range. The wind is light offshore, so it should clean things up. It’s the first real window, but it’s not the main event.
The standout, the one you want to circle on the calendar, is Tuesday the 1st of September. That’s a full week away, so treat it with some caution, but the models are showing something special. The morning is still too big and messy, but the afternoon is the call. We’re talking a solid 6ft 10in of west-northwest groundswell with a long 11-second period. The combined energy is a massive 1083, which is strong, very strong. The wind is light offshore, making it glassy. The catch? At that size, this reef break is an expert-only wave. It’s going to be big, powerful, and not for the faint of heart. Still, for those who know what they’re doing, that’s the day. It’s the clear standout of the entire run, the only real pulse of energy that lines up with clean conditions.
Before that, we have that Friday afternoon wave on the 28th, which will be a good warm-up. But that Tuesday, September 1st, that’s the one.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Very mild (max 19°C on Mon afternoon, min 17°C on Mon night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 17mm), heaviest on Sun morning. Very mild (max 19°C on Sat afternoon, min 14°C on Sun morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the NW on Fri morning, fresh winds from the ENE by Sat afternoon). | |||||||||||||||||||
Mon 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | Sunday 23 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 4 | WNW 5 | W 5 | W 5 | WNW 6 | W 7 | W 7 | W 6 | W 8 | W 9 | WNW 9 | W 9 | W 9 | W 8 | WNW 8 | W 9 | W 9 | W 9 | W 9 | W 9 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 15 | 69 | 64 | 97 | 89 | 86 | 147 | 132 | 299 | 311 | 360 | 169 | 76 | 48 | 21 | 23 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 6 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | on | on | on | on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off |
High Tide | 10:31PM8.29m | 10:51AM7.88m | 11:07PM7.63m | 11:27AM7.27m | 11:46PM6.92m | 12:08PM6.63m | 00:32AM6.23m | 1:03PM6.03m | 1:45AM5.68m | 2:35PM5.67m | 3:33AM5.55m | 4:16PM5.82m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 4:35PM0.85m | 4:53AM1.02m | 5:09PM1.40m | 5:27AM1.66m | 5:45PM2.01m | 6:04AM2.32m | 6:27PM2.63m | 6:50AM2.93m | 7:26PM3.17m | 8:01AM3.40m | 9:02PM3.45m | 9:52AM3.48m | 10:51PM3.20m | |||||||
 |  |  |  |  |  | | | | |  | | | |  | |  |  | | | |
 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — |
 | 8:22 | — | — | 8:20 | — | — | 8:17 | — | — | 8:16 | — | — | 8:15 | — | — | 8:13 | — | — | 8:10 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 4 | — | 1 | 9 | 4 | 1 |
Temp °C | 19 | 18 | 19 | 19 | 18 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 18 | 16 | 15 | 17 |
Feels °C | 17 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 17 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 15 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 10 | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 9 | — | — | — | WNW 9 | W 9 | W 9 | W 8 | WNW 8 | W 9 | W 9 | W 9 | W 9 | W 9 |
| kJ | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | 17 | — | — | — | 360 | 169 | 76 | 48 | 21 | 23 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 6 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 5 | — | — | WNW 7 | — | W 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | — | — | 5 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 4 | WNW 5 | W 5 | W 5 | WNW 6 | W 7 | W 7 | W 6 | W 8 | W 9 | — | NNW 4 | NNE 5 | NNE 4 | NE 5 | NNE 5 | NE 3 | ENE 4 | NE 4 | NE 3 |
| kJ | 15 | 69 | 64 | 97 | 89 | 86 | 147 | 132 | 299 | 311 | — | 5 | 40 | 12 | 49 | 44 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 3 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 205 | 208 | 428 | 119 | 119 | 119 | 119 | 179 | 321 | 119 | 40 | 53 | 36 | 190 | 217 | 201 | 322 | 245 | 245 | 477 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Jersey | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Stinky Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Stinky Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Stinky Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Stinky Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Stinky Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Stinky Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Stinky Bay is 11 km (7 miles) from Saint Helier. If you plan a holiday in Jersey, look for hotels and other accommodation in Saint Helier. Saint Helier has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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