Stinky Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. This is Rusty, and I’m looking at the next 16 days for Stinky Bay. I gotta be straight with you – it’s a grim stretch. The first week is basically a write-off, and the second week doesn’t offer much hope either. We’ve got a lot of flat days and crummy conditions. There’s no standout session here, just a few moments where you might scrape together something rideable if you’re desperate.

The surf kicks off from Thursday, July 23rd, but it’s a dead start. We’re looking at tiny 0.7 ft waves from the west, with a period of just 9 seconds. The energy is pathetic (6 to 7). Thursday morning has some clouds and a light cross-offshore breeze from the SE at 6 mph, so it’s clean, but there’s nothing to ride. Thursday afternoon turns clear, but the wind swings north and freshens to 16 mph, still cross-off, but the swell is still 0.7 ft. It’s a total non-event.

Friday the 24th and Saturday the 25th are more of the same. Friday sees 0.7 ft west swell, period dropping to 8 seconds, and energy bottoming out at 6. Wind is light and cross from the SSE in the morning, then a moderate north breeze in the afternoon. Saturday morning finally bumps up a tiny bit to 2 ft from the NW, but the period is a short 4 seconds, and the energy is a weak 21. The wind is a moderate cross-shore from the NNW, creating a cross-chop. It’s still poor. Saturday afternoon gets worse: 2 ft from the WNW, but a fresh 19 mph cross-onshore wind makes it lumpy and horrible.

Sunday the 26th is the first sign of something in the water, but the quality is still trash. We get a 4 ft swell from the WNW in the morning, with a 6-second period, and the energy jumps to 143 (moderate). The problem is a fresh 22 mph cross-onshore westerly wind. It’s lumpy and messy. The afternoon is slightly bigger at 5 ft, with a 7-second period and energy at 220 (moderate), but it’s still cross-onshore from the WNW at 19 mph. This is a classic “looks better for kite surfing than paddle surfing” setup at this beach-and-reef break.

Monday the 27th is the closest we get to a “surfable” day. The morning has a 3 ft west swell, 8-second period, and energy of 147 (moderate). The wind is a gentle cross-offshore from the north at 9 mph, and the conditions are clean. The official word is “surfable waves but very ordinary conditions.” It’s not good, but it’s the best of a bad bunch. The water temp is about average for the time of year.

After Monday, the window slams shut. Tuesday the 28th drops to 2 ft, Wednesday the 29th to 1.0 ft, and the energy sinks like a stone. The winds are mostly light and cross-offshore, keeping the surface clean, but there’s simply no swell to work with. This flat spell lasts all the way through the end of July and into August.

The first week of August is no better. Saturday the 1st has a fresh 22 mph cross-onshore wind and rain showers. Sunday the 2nd sees a brief spike to 4 ft from the west with a 8-second period and energy of 213 (moderate), but it’s onshore wind from the WSW at 16 mph, making it a mess. Monday the 3rd has a strong breeze from the SSE at 25 mph, creating a messy cross-chop. The rest of the week is tiny again, with 1.0 ft to 1 ft waves and no energy.

Honestly, there’s no standout. If you have to paddle out, Monday morning, July 27th is your only real shot. It’s a 3 ft west swell, clean with a light cross-offshore breeze. It’s not firing, but it’s the only window where you won’t be completely wasting your time. The rest of the 16 days is a desert.

Rusty.

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