Stinky Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let me break down what Stinky Bay has cookin' for the next couple weeks.

Honestly, the start is a total bust. From now all the way through to the 21st of September, it’s a rough stretch of onshore wind, lumpy chop, and blown-out conditions. You’ll see swell push through with some moderate energy in the hundreds, but the wind is mostly onshore or cross-onshore, often fresh to strong. Surf quality is rated poor throughout. There’s a tiny glimmer on the 21st with light cross-onshore winds and a small 3ft swell from the WNW carrying a long 13-second period, but it’s only marginal. That’s a full week-plus of nothing good.

On the 22nd and 23rd of September, the picture clears up. Tuesday morning the 22nd offers clean, tiny 2ft waves from the west with an 11-second period, under light cross-offshore winds. The energy is weak though (64), so it’s really small. The real standout is Wednesday morning, the 23rd of September. The wind goes offshore from the ENE at 16 mph, blowing clean and right into the face. You’ve got a 3ft swell from the west with a moderate 10-second period and moderate energy (200). It’s a reef break, and crowds are often around, but with that offshore wind, it should be glassy and peeling. Rated 3/5, it’s a solid intermediate option.

The 24th and 25th stay clean with offshore winds, but the swell drops. On the 25th of September, a longer-period groundswell arrives – 4ft from the WNW with a 15-second period – and fresh offshore winds. The energy jumps to 687 (strong), but the forecast says it’s marginal due to tide. Still, that long period could make for some nice lines on the reef if it lines up.

Then, on Sunday the 27th of September afternoon, here it comes. Swell hits 7ft from the west with an 11-second period, and the energy is a massive 1190 – that’s very strong. Wind is light offshore from the ENE, so it’ll be clean. But the call is that the swell is too big for this break. For a reef at intermediate difficulty, over 6ft is expert-only. It’ll be heavy and powerful. If you’ve got the skills, that could be the best wave of the forecast, but it’s no joke. The 28th gets messy again with onshore winds and lumpy conditions.

Water temp is about normal for this time of year, nothing out of the ordinary.

So, your best bet for most folks is Wednesday morning, the 23rd of September. For the experts only, the afternoon of Sunday the 27th of September is the one to watch – just be ready for a serious wave.

Rusty.

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