Stinky Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here again, switching over to the old-school numbers. Let’s break down the same outlook for Stinky Bay. It’s gonna be a long haul, so buckle up. The wind is the main villain here, blowing onshore or cross-onshore for days on end, making a mess of things.

Starting off on Friday the 11th of September, we’ve got a WNW cross-on breeze at 9 mph, bumping up a 5ft W swell at 10 seconds. The combined energy reads 356 – moderate – but the wind is just chopping it up. That’s a no-go. Saturday the 12th is flat and weak, with 3ft of onshore mush. Sunday the 13th brings a bit more size, 5ft from the west with 392 energy, but it’s blowing onshore at 16 mph. Just ugly. Monday the 14th afternoon gives us a small break: the wind swings to a light cross-offshore from the north at 3 mph, and the wave comment says “clean.” The swell is tiny though, only 2ft from the west at 9 seconds. Surfable, but very ordinary.

Tuesday the 15th and Wednesday the 16th see the wind howling again at 19 mph, creating a lumpy cross-chop with swell around 3ft to 5ft. The energy jumps to 277 and 318, but the direction is all wrong for this spot. Thursday the 17th is a complete loss with a 25 mph onshore gale.

After a real dry spell, we finally get a gem on Saturday the 19th of September. The morning is glassy – a 3 mph ESE breeze and a clean 3ft WNW swell with a nice 11-second period. The combined energy is 158, but that glassy surface is the key. It’ll be the cleanest Stinky Bay looks in the whole 16 days. The afternoon stays clean with a light cross-offshore from the north at 6 mph, but the swell drops to 2ft. That Saturday morning is the one to aim for. Expect crowds, so get there early.

The following week, around the 21st and 22nd, we get persistent offshore winds from the ENE at 16-19 mph, which is perfect for the wave face, but the swell is tiny – mostly 2ft to 3ft. It’s clean but not really worth the paddle. Then on the 23rd of September, a pulse of long-period groundswell shows up: 3ft from the WNW at a very long 14 seconds, with a moderate ENE offshore at 16 mph. The combined energy is 331, and the afternoon is rated as “expect good surf conditions.” This is the other standout. The long period means longer waits between sets but better-shaped waves, and the offshore wind will keep it clean. A promising call, but it’s over a week out, so stay hopeful.

After that, it fades to nothing. By the 26th, we’re down to 0.7ft of weak slop with a fresh cross-shore wind. Not worth it.

Best bets: the glassy Saturday morning on the 19th, and the clean, long-period groundswell on the afternoon of the 23rd. Water temp is sitting around 67° – that’s much warmer than usual for this time of year, so you might be able to go with a spring suit.

Rusty.

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